The main problem I have with the cars is they are being undersold. The quality of the parts and engineering warrants a much larger price tag and further tesla isn't really profiting on them, rather Musk seems to be trying to achieve market penetration at the cost of profits. It's unlikely they will be able to deliver that quality at that price in any long term way short of pulling an apple and locking them into some kind of service.
I used to worry the NSA used the data collection to blackmail and influence elections. Then Trump won the presumptive nomination and I breathed a sigh of relief.
On top of that there are so many problems deciding on any action with regard to drug testing. Testing for cocaine is pretty ineffective. Testing and rejecting a federal return for smoking pot where states claim its legal. False positives from numerous sources such as poppy seed buns. The list goes on and on and on. Maybe society should pull the stick out of thier collective asses and realize the war on drugs is a massive net loss for society.
Despite not having labeled the vertical axis on thier graphs I am going to guess this is a somewhat reasonable extrapolation. However it completely misses things like new regulations and new technologies. If we still power our electric cars with lithium ion batteries in 2040 it will be a sad day indeed as it's not unlikely a better battery technology will come around by then. It's actually pretty likely this report will be far off the mark.
Is it just me or black holes just slightly bigger than the sun sound small?
I think it's a reference to the overall idea there are two size ranges of black holes. Small (stellar) and super massive. For technical reasons there seem to be a lack of many holes in the 100 to 100k solar mass size range. Supermassive mergers are thought to happen sometime after galaxies merge, but this is far less common than thier smaller counterpart mergers. Intermediate holes seem to be quite rare.
The first horseless carriages were death traps and I probably wouldn't ride one of those either. It's not like they had seatbelts, power brakes/steering, crumple zones, or even basic safety anything. I'll wait until the technology matures before making history the hard way.
Determining if it's a sensor problem is easy in the vast majority of cases with a single sensor. Sure a common sensor failure can register an end point value like 0 or 100%, as those are the most common failures. But most systems can set up where full pedal is only 90% throttle, full off is 10%, and that shows a failure right there. Similarly with good resolution a human in a bumpy vehicle cannot hold a sensor at an exact value for long either, again showing a failure (just like how force sticks in old keyboards rezero).
Simply sampling the pedal 10k times a second is another way. A pedal is a physical device and as such probably cannot be moved through its travel much faster than in 0.1 seconds. You should have one thousand readings showing a smooth transition from unpressed to fully pressed. That is a world of difference from going from unpressed to pressed in 0.0001 seconds - a single sensor reading time sample
Another common sensor fault is getting lots of jitter. Again you can see that the sensor can't be functioning realistically because real pedals cannot move that fast.
Add in a bunch of very simple algorithms and it's pretty easy to approach 100% accuracy in determining if a sensor is feeding correct data or not. It's so trivial and sensor design 101 that I can't imagine all three of these are not already in the tesla.
Hopefully we can get more bicycle traffic, of any kind. There are huge numbers of dedicated cycling lanes around here which have taken the place of traffic lanes. Auto congestion is now much higher and it's very rare to see even a single person use them.
Well, consider f'rinstance the uncertainty principle. Certain phenomena (e.g. the state of a particle) do not fully manifest until someone/something is observing it. That strongly resembles a rendering optimization to me...
The idea you have to have something, as in a person or sensor attached to one, observing a state for it to become a single classical outcome is complete and utter bs. There is no requirement for an observer at all, it's simply the energy and type of particle interactions. Sufficient perturbation is all it takes. In fact it's the exact extreme opposite of an optimization, the leading interpretation among physicists is the many worlds hypothesis in which the entire universe essentially is in the process of forking (to use a programming term) on a basis of every particle and in very short periods of time and by getting a single classical result you find yourself in that fork.
If you want something that looks like a simulation it's that the maximum information of states scales as the surface area of a sphere and not the volume. That is strong evidence the entire 3D world is not as it appears.
Isn't the real problem also automation and robotics in a capitalistic free market? Once this hits a critical point where almost no humans are required all the power will have moved to the sub 1% of humans forever. How well would a revolt work when all militaries are fully automated? How successful would halting human labor production be when it's fully automated? Even the repair and innovation can be automated. This is unprecedented in all of history. The end game for free market capitalism sure looks like it won't work out well for the 99.999% of humans left out of control for the first time ever. If it takes 50 years or 500, we are headed for that scenario as a very real destination.
Loss of jobs is the big one. An AI is not only not capable of killing humans, but would have nothing to gain from killing the people who maintain it. On the other hand, poor and unemployed people with nothing to lose will tear our society apart if that part grows large enough (as has been demonstrated numerous times throughout history) and I fear nobody seems to be taking this situation seriously. We need to find an alternative way to structure our society, and quickly, if we want AI that does all our work for us.
Yes, but isn't the real problem also automation and robotics? Once this hits a critical point where almost no humans are required all the power will have moved to the sub 1% of humans forever. How well would a revolt work when all militaries have gone 99% automated? How successful would halting human labor production be when it's 99% automated? This is unprecedented in all of history. The end game for free market capitalism sure looks like it won't work out well for the 99.999% of humans left out of control. If it takes 50 years or 500 we are on a highway to that destination.
These types of batteries are basically identical to those found in iPhones or any other modern device. Most are cylindrical lithium polymer. What is causing the problems is three basic things.
1) A complete lack of safety circuitry. Forget a smart battery system and gas gauging, many of the units I took apart had no safety at all (relied on the charger alone) to at most a leaky over and under voltage protection that was custom implemented. No charge or discharge current sensing and no temperature sensing. No faulty cell detection and no permenant disable for a faulty battery. Just like when Lipo batteries first hit the hobby market this means fires galore, and when enclosed, sizable explosions.
2) People use the incorrect chargers. Add to that little to no safety and it's a disaster.
3) People modify thier units without knowing what they are actually doing. They may have read a forum post or read a blog or had a friend do it. They don't realize any dangers or take any precautions.
Disclaimer: I have designed smart battery systems for products in the field. I have had failures but nothing the safety systems did not shut down before catastrophe.
If a moron built his own 22 pistol and it blew up in his face....would you blame firearms?
Because that is EXACTLY what this fucknuts did, he bought a VERY expensive and VERY specialized MECHANICAL MOD. For those that do not know a "mech mod" is a very specialized piece of kit really only used by a handful that consider themselves "pro vapors" as it has NO protection or overload circuits, its just a battery and a trigger. this means you HAVE TO know Ohms law like the back of your hand, know the battery output down to the.0 wattage, I know guys that have been vaping a decade that won't touch mech mods because of how much time you have to invest in them to keep them from being seriously dangerous....can we ALL guess where this is going?
If you said "rich dipshit with more money than brains and who doesn't know Ohm's law from a seatbelt law buys a $300+ mech mod, throws a $20 gas station top on it and blows his dumbass up"? Then you win a cookie. I mean for fuck's sake guys, we've seen morons take a glock and promptly shoot themselves in the foot, hell I've even seen video of a future Darwin award winner that has a fucking 110v POWER STRIP floating on a donut in a pool to power a portable TV...do we blame these objects for the fucking idiots that don't know how to use them properly?
If you buy a normal vaping device, not some crazy mech mod or $5 Chinese special? Then you have absolutely ZERO to worry about as they all have overload and short circuit protection, hell I'm looking at a 40 watter right now I have to take to the local vape shop to get a seal replaced on because the rubber grommet got a teeny tiny bit worn down with all the tanks I've swapped on the thing and just that little bit of wear was enough for the unit to shut down with a "short circuit protection" error code. this is why I have ZERO worries about any of my units blowing up in my face, no matter what tank i throw on it as even the $30 basic box mods have automatic adjustment for ohms and will not allow the unit to fire if you put a top on that is too high or too low ohms for it to fire safely.
What we have in the article you cited is no different than a rich dipshit that buys a Kawasaki Ninja was his first bike and promptly fucks himself up or kills himself, he bought the vaping equivalent of a dragster without even knowing where the gas goes in the fucking thing.
I've dissasssmbled 10 different models or so and they ranged from no safety (on regular cheap ass models) to leaky over voltage and under voltage protection. None had over current protection which is what you would need to prevent a fire by shorting the terminals. The real problem is China garbage with no safety to shave off 50 cents on each model. It is not limited to a single brand or mod.
The answer is most esigs have no to little safety electronics to shave off the last 50 cents in production. Laptops on the other hand have smart protection circuits with multiple redundancy so there really is no comparison.
Typically lithium batteries will pass a puncture with no fire safety test. It's much less likely to happen than in the movies, in fact in many cases rather unlikely. But anytime you have a reasonably high power battery and short the terminals you can create a fire through resistive heating.
I've dissasssmbled around 10 different brands and examined the electronics just for fun. I've designed smart battery systems for actual products in the field and was curious what types of protection were used. Tl:dr they shaved about half a dollar off each one by providing almost no safety at all.
Decent single battery systems have over voltage, under voltage, current limiting during charge and discharge, and temperature sensing with bonus points for more advanced features like fuel gaging so that you have an accurate idea of the power left. The models I looked at had everything from none at all (serious fire/venting risk even with the matched charger) to at most a leaky over and under voltage protection. The kind where if you left it on the wrong charger it would likely be a fire/venting risk.
There really needs to be a concrete law with actual fines and punishments about including some basic safety whenever you release a product into the wild with lithium batteries. Too often people remove the safety features to save a few cents because they tested two for 5 minutes and were fine, not realizing that 1M in the field would mean a fire a day.
Okay, so the concept is the person is hit by the car and does not go flying 20 feet when the car hits them. They have an outer-shell that is reasonably strong so you're not picking up bugs, grass, etc. Sounds like a plan.
My question is "How do you get the person unstuck afterwards?"
So I'm standing in the road and the car hits me, I stick to his hood and I'm now traveling the speed of his car, let's say 30 MPH. He jams on his brakes because, let's face it, there's a guy stuck to his hood. The nice thing is that I'm not going to fly off the car at 30 MPH. The car comes to a stop and the driver gets out and asks if I'm okay. I may have some bumps and bruises, but I'm good.
Okay, that's gotta be pretty good stickum to hold my 180-pounds to the car while it's decelerating. So how do I peel myself off the hood of his car? I mean, I would imagine that any stickum that can hold me in place while a car decelerates from 30 to 0 is not going to let me just get up afterwards.
And Lord help the hairy shirtless men who get hit. That's gonna hurt!
Even better is someone who gets partially stuck and most of them thrown off the car. Most of them....
I don't take any illegal drugs, but if a company asked me to take a drug test then that would be my cue to leave. That level of trust implies that it's not a place that I'd want to work, or be able to work efficiently.
Employers will give you the boot in states where pot is legal, at least according to that states laws.
The whole problem is going to become far worse as more states legalize marijuana.
While pretty much every study shows that marijuana does not impact a persons health, cognative abilities, nor is the cost to society in general anywhere near as high as alachol, employers where it is legal still screen and refuse to hire workers who have smoked a single time in the last month. Compare that to alachol where the health costs and cognative performance decline while under the influence is much higher yet is not tested for. It pretty much undermines the entire premise of the test.
Companies need to pull the stick out of thier ass and hire people who legally enjoy themselves on their own time instead of adopting the corporate slave attitude where every minute of a persons life is controlled by the company. If you show up on time and are responsible that is what is important. Maybe France is onto something by considering a law to make it illegal to require workers to respond to emails and social media 24/7/365. Perhaps it's time for some legal reform in the USA to end the war on common sense since it seems companies are moving in the opposite direction.
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The main problem I have with the cars is they are being undersold. The quality of the parts and engineering warrants a much larger price tag and further tesla isn't really profiting on them, rather Musk seems to be trying to achieve market penetration at the cost of profits. It's unlikely they will be able to deliver that quality at that price in any long term way short of pulling an apple and locking them into some kind of service.
I used to worry the NSA used the data collection to blackmail and influence elections. Then Trump won the presumptive nomination and I breathed a sigh of relief.
On top of that there are so many problems deciding on any action with regard to drug testing. Testing for cocaine is pretty ineffective. Testing and rejecting a federal return for smoking pot where states claim its legal. False positives from numerous sources such as poppy seed buns. The list goes on and on and on. Maybe society should pull the stick out of thier collective asses and realize the war on drugs is a massive net loss for society.
Typically when it's technically infeasible it's 5 years out. Apparently this is at least 5 times that.
Despite not having labeled the vertical axis on thier graphs I am going to guess this is a somewhat reasonable extrapolation. However it completely misses things like new regulations and new technologies. If we still power our electric cars with lithium ion batteries in 2040 it will be a sad day indeed as it's not unlikely a better battery technology will come around by then. It's actually pretty likely this report will be far off the mark.
Is it just me or black holes just slightly bigger than the sun sound small?
I think it's a reference to the overall idea there are two size ranges of black holes. Small (stellar) and super massive. For technical reasons there seem to be a lack of many holes in the 100 to 100k solar mass size range. Supermassive mergers are thought to happen sometime after galaxies merge, but this is far less common than thier smaller counterpart mergers. Intermediate holes seem to be quite rare.
The first horseless carriages were death traps and I probably wouldn't ride one of those either. It's not like they had seatbelts, power brakes/steering, crumple zones, or even basic safety anything. I'll wait until the technology matures before making history the hard way.
Determining if it's a sensor problem is easy in the vast majority of cases with a single sensor. Sure a common sensor failure can register an end point value like 0 or 100%, as those are the most common failures. But most systems can set up where full pedal is only 90% throttle, full off is 10%, and that shows a failure right there. Similarly with good resolution a human in a bumpy vehicle cannot hold a sensor at an exact value for long either, again showing a failure (just like how force sticks in old keyboards rezero).
Simply sampling the pedal 10k times a second is another way. A pedal is a physical device and as such probably cannot be moved through its travel much faster than in 0.1 seconds. You should have one thousand readings showing a smooth transition from unpressed to fully pressed. That is a world of difference from going from unpressed to pressed in 0.0001 seconds - a single sensor reading time sample
Another common sensor fault is getting lots of jitter. Again you can see that the sensor can't be functioning realistically because real pedals cannot move that fast.
Add in a bunch of very simple algorithms and it's pretty easy to approach 100% accuracy in determining if a sensor is feeding correct data or not. It's so trivial and sensor design 101 that I can't imagine all three of these are not already in the tesla.
I've been a systems engineer since 1995, and before that worked networks and as a technician.
Based on my experience with the reliability of Microsoft products: I will never EVER put my life in the hands of Microsoft.
If the car runs Windows (or a Microsoft product) I won't own it or ride in it. Simple self preservation.
Haha, you still put your life in thier hands unless you keep far far far away from any roads.
Hopefully we can get more bicycle traffic, of any kind. There are huge numbers of dedicated cycling lanes around here which have taken the place of traffic lanes. Auto congestion is now much higher and it's very rare to see even a single person use them.
Well, consider f'rinstance the uncertainty principle. Certain phenomena (e.g. the state of a particle) do not fully manifest until someone/something is observing it. That strongly resembles a rendering optimization to me...
The idea you have to have something, as in a person or sensor attached to one, observing a state for it to become a single classical outcome is complete and utter bs. There is no requirement for an observer at all, it's simply the energy and type of particle interactions. Sufficient perturbation is all it takes. In fact it's the exact extreme opposite of an optimization, the leading interpretation among physicists is the many worlds hypothesis in which the entire universe essentially is in the process of forking (to use a programming term) on a basis of every particle and in very short periods of time and by getting a single classical result you find yourself in that fork.
If you want something that looks like a simulation it's that the maximum information of states scales as the surface area of a sphere and not the volume. That is strong evidence the entire 3D world is not as it appears.
Isn't the real problem also automation and robotics in a capitalistic free market? Once this hits a critical point where almost no humans are required all the power will have moved to the sub 1% of humans forever. How well would a revolt work when all militaries are fully automated? How successful would halting human labor production be when it's fully automated? Even the repair and innovation can be automated. This is unprecedented in all of history. The end game for free market capitalism sure looks like it won't work out well for the 99.999% of humans left out of control for the first time ever. If it takes 50 years or 500, we are headed for that scenario as a very real destination.
Loss of jobs is the big one. An AI is not only not capable of killing humans, but would have nothing to gain from killing the people who maintain it. On the other hand, poor and unemployed people with nothing to lose will tear our society apart if that part grows large enough (as has been demonstrated numerous times throughout history) and I fear nobody seems to be taking this situation seriously. We need to find an alternative way to structure our society, and quickly, if we want AI that does all our work for us.
Yes, but isn't the real problem also automation and robotics? Once this hits a critical point where almost no humans are required all the power will have moved to the sub 1% of humans forever. How well would a revolt work when all militaries have gone 99% automated? How successful would halting human labor production be when it's 99% automated? This is unprecedented in all of history. The end game for free market capitalism sure looks like it won't work out well for the 99.999% of humans left out of control. If it takes 50 years or 500 we are on a highway to that destination.
These types of batteries are basically identical to those found in iPhones or any other modern device. Most are cylindrical lithium polymer. What is causing the problems is three basic things.
1) A complete lack of safety circuitry. Forget a smart battery system and gas gauging, many of the units I took apart had no safety at all (relied on the charger alone) to at most a leaky over and under voltage protection that was custom implemented. No charge or discharge current sensing and no temperature sensing. No faulty cell detection and no permenant disable for a faulty battery. Just like when Lipo batteries first hit the hobby market this means fires galore, and when enclosed, sizable explosions.
2) People use the incorrect chargers. Add to that little to no safety and it's a disaster.
3) People modify thier units without knowing what they are actually doing. They may have read a forum post or read a blog or had a friend do it. They don't realize any dangers or take any precautions.
Disclaimer: I have designed smart battery systems for products in the field. I have had failures but nothing the safety systems did not shut down before catastrophe.
If you ban common passwords. Then you end up with a new set of common passwords. Going to ban those too?
Absolutely! In no time flat this Microsoft problem should fix itself.
Actually you can be fairly sure of this because they typically don't have any of the safety circuitry of quality products.
If a moron built his own 22 pistol and it blew up in his face....would you blame firearms?
Because that is EXACTLY what this fucknuts did, he bought a VERY expensive and VERY specialized MECHANICAL MOD. For those that do not know a "mech mod" is a very specialized piece of kit really only used by a handful that consider themselves "pro vapors" as it has NO protection or overload circuits, its just a battery and a trigger. this means you HAVE TO know Ohms law like the back of your hand, know the battery output down to the .0 wattage, I know guys that have been vaping a decade that won't touch mech mods because of how much time you have to invest in them to keep them from being seriously dangerous....can we ALL guess where this is going?
If you said "rich dipshit with more money than brains and who doesn't know Ohm's law from a seatbelt law buys a $300+ mech mod, throws a $20 gas station top on it and blows his dumbass up"? Then you win a cookie. I mean for fuck's sake guys, we've seen morons take a glock and promptly shoot themselves in the foot, hell I've even seen video of a future Darwin award winner that has a fucking 110v POWER STRIP floating on a donut in a pool to power a portable TV...do we blame these objects for the fucking idiots that don't know how to use them properly?
If you buy a normal vaping device, not some crazy mech mod or $5 Chinese special? Then you have absolutely ZERO to worry about as they all have overload and short circuit protection, hell I'm looking at a 40 watter right now I have to take to the local vape shop to get a seal replaced on because the rubber grommet got a teeny tiny bit worn down with all the tanks I've swapped on the thing and just that little bit of wear was enough for the unit to shut down with a "short circuit protection" error code. this is why I have ZERO worries about any of my units blowing up in my face, no matter what tank i throw on it as even the $30 basic box mods have automatic adjustment for ohms and will not allow the unit to fire if you put a top on that is too high or too low ohms for it to fire safely.
What we have in the article you cited is no different than a rich dipshit that buys a Kawasaki Ninja was his first bike and promptly fucks himself up or kills himself, he bought the vaping equivalent of a dragster without even knowing where the gas goes in the fucking thing.
I've dissasssmbled 10 different models or so and they ranged from no safety (on regular cheap ass models) to leaky over voltage and under voltage protection. None had over current protection which is what you would need to prevent a fire by shorting the terminals. The real problem is China garbage with no safety to shave off 50 cents on each model. It is not limited to a single brand or mod.
The answer is most esigs have no to little safety electronics to shave off the last 50 cents in production. Laptops on the other hand have smart protection circuits with multiple redundancy so there really is no comparison.
Typically lithium batteries will pass a puncture with no fire safety test. It's much less likely to happen than in the movies, in fact in many cases rather unlikely. But anytime you have a reasonably high power battery and short the terminals you can create a fire through resistive heating.
I've dissasssmbled around 10 different brands and examined the electronics just for fun. I've designed smart battery systems for actual products in the field and was curious what types of protection were used. Tl:dr they shaved about half a dollar off each one by providing almost no safety at all.
Decent single battery systems have over voltage, under voltage, current limiting during charge and discharge, and temperature sensing with bonus points for more advanced features like fuel gaging so that you have an accurate idea of the power left. The models I looked at had everything from none at all (serious fire/venting risk even with the matched charger) to at most a leaky over and under voltage protection. The kind where if you left it on the wrong charger it would likely be a fire/venting risk.
There really needs to be a concrete law with actual fines and punishments about including some basic safety whenever you release a product into the wild with lithium batteries. Too often people remove the safety features to save a few cents because they tested two for 5 minutes and were fine, not realizing that 1M in the field would mean a fire a day.
No worries, that's what a DMCA notice is for.
Okay, so the concept is the person is hit by the car and does not go flying 20 feet when the car hits them. They have an outer-shell that is reasonably strong so you're not picking up bugs, grass, etc. Sounds like a plan.
My question is "How do you get the person unstuck afterwards?"
So I'm standing in the road and the car hits me, I stick to his hood and I'm now traveling the speed of his car, let's say 30 MPH. He jams on his brakes because, let's face it, there's a guy stuck to his hood. The nice thing is that I'm not going to fly off the car at 30 MPH. The car comes to a stop and the driver gets out and asks if I'm okay. I may have some bumps and bruises, but I'm good.
Okay, that's gotta be pretty good stickum to hold my 180-pounds to the car while it's decelerating. So how do I peel myself off the hood of his car? I mean, I would imagine that any stickum that can hold me in place while a car decelerates from 30 to 0 is not going to let me just get up afterwards.
And Lord help the hairy shirtless men who get hit. That's gonna hurt!
Even better is someone who gets partially stuck and most of them thrown off the car. Most of them....
If you are able to glue the face of the victim to the hood such that they suffocate. Remember this is America and lawsuits are like a friendly hello.
I don't take any illegal drugs, but if a company asked me to take a drug test then that would be my cue to leave. That level of trust implies that it's not a place that I'd want to work, or be able to work efficiently.
Employers will give you the boot in states where pot is legal, at least according to that states laws.
The whole problem is going to become far worse as more states legalize marijuana.
While pretty much every study shows that marijuana does not impact a persons health, cognative abilities, nor is the cost to society in general anywhere near as high as alachol, employers where it is legal still screen and refuse to hire workers who have smoked a single time in the last month. Compare that to alachol where the health costs and cognative performance decline while under the influence is much higher yet is not tested for. It pretty much undermines the entire premise of the test.
Companies need to pull the stick out of thier ass and hire people who legally enjoy themselves on their own time instead of adopting the corporate slave attitude where every minute of a persons life is controlled by the company. If you show up on time and are responsible that is what is important. Maybe France is onto something by considering a law to make it illegal to require workers to respond to emails and social media 24/7/365. Perhaps it's time for some legal reform in the USA to end the war on common sense since it seems companies are moving in the opposite direction.