Regardless, while the downward trend is clear, the 75% figure is bullshit. There was 50% variation over the first two years, and these major changes continue over time. The overall fall is still dramatic, just less than what is stated.
The guy didn't say that keyboards will die altogether, just that they'll be used for 'legacy applications'. And the same is true for pens. Students no longer write long handwritten works, we don't write handwritten letters, we even often leave digital notes. So sure, pens are still around, they just don't get nearly as much use as they used to.
Speech has also seen some decline, at least in terms of percentage of communication. We text a lot more these days, often texting instead of calling someone. Not that I expect talking to go away (unlike pens, which I do expect to be gone at some point in the future), but it's also been superseded to an extent.
So sure, old stuff sticks around. We still have vinyl and CD's and DVD's and cable TV and paper books and a lot of other stuff that's still kicking, even if it already has more successful replacements. Still, arguing that something isn't going away just because it still remains doesn't make sense. Sure, people like to cling to old stuff for various reasons, but 'mostly dead' is dead enough.
What he says makes no sense. We've moved to a culture where we text more and talk less, and it's natural because it provides privacy and doesn't require us to consider the noise levels around (or contribute to it). So for most people the replacement to a physical keyboard is a touch keyboard, but that's about it. Mind typing, if it works, will be an improvement, so will catch on, but talking to devices? That's a step back. The problem with trying to predict a future based on what you don't want to happen is that it's illogical.
The methodology went like this: take all projects with goals between $1,000 and $100,000, and check how many times their descriptions say 'novel' (or a synonym of it) and 'useful' (or a synonym of it) compared to the size of the description (i.e., percentage of these words), and compare to money made.
This doesn't really reflect usefulness or innovation. Just from normal ads, I tend to associate exaggerated claims of innovation and quality with shoddy products, and I imagine that Kickstarter projects which harp on how innovative and useful the product is do so in an attempt to convince backers that's the case, not necessarily because it really is.
So the real conclusion of the research might be not that people don't want innovative, useful products, but that the advertising strategy of emphasising these aspects doesn't work. (It's hard to know what the case is without a more detailed research, but I'm certainly not going to do that research.)
I'm not sure why anyone would start speculating based on what Bill Gates uses.
Just the other day we learned about Windows Core OS and we also know that Microsoft has been working with Qualcomm on x86 Windows for ARM. So it's obvious the Microsoft does continue to think about a mobile response.
But yes, Microsoft has also realised that a lot of the market is elsewhere, and it would help keep more devs on Windows by allowing them to easily develop for Android and Linux.
Windows 10 Mobile did have Android emulation planned, it just didn't pan out. So nothing new on that front either. Perhaps MS is still working on it.
(All in all, feels like a meaningless 'news item' by someone who has no clue.)
Extending life by 4% is equivalent to 1 hour a day. Sleeping 10% more, assuming you sleep 6 hours, is 6.6 hours, so you gain 0.4 hour. If you extend an 8 hour sleep by 10%, it's 8.8 hours, so you gain 0.2 hour. So either case is a win.
I'm guessing you posted the above without getting enough sleep.:)
This is just a reflection of how selfish and uncaring society has become. Not only have we moved to where a job is the end-all of a person's existence, where we frown upon those who don't want to play the game, and where often financially it's necessary to spend your life at work at the expense of relationships with your family, we're also where neither the workers nor the job matter to anyone. It's just a shitty 'earn money while looking to earn more money' environment.
And stupid people are still going to pursue a 'career' in high-tech, and there are policies to encourage people to go there, just to add stress to their lives with lack of job security and a good chance of being thrown out of the work force at an age when they still need to support a family.
The idea of folding ADC's is to reduce the complexity of an ADC. The result however is potential data loss, and this article proves what conditions are necessary to recreate the original waveform from the samples. (See this for example for an explanation of ADC complexity and ways to simplify it.)
Glitches are annoyances, but if there's support behind the product, I don't tend to get angry. What I hate is the 'this has been a known issue for a few years, and nobody knows how to solve it and the company doesn't seem to want to fix it' type of problem.
Here's the announcement at Microsoft.
It's for enterprises only, and I think MS previously offered Windows as a sub for them, so bundling Office makes sense.
If you don't feel rejuvenated and keen to face Monday after two work-free days, you might be suffering from a condition known in the medical literature as kids.
The underlying problem is that people do require (a lot) more money and more benefits as they raise kids. As a society we're already at a point where we value work more than family, and pretty much require both parents to work. Given that the age of raising kids is rising and, at least in my experience, the parenting age for IT people is higher than normal, the 40+ years are definitely some of the most demanding. (The same can be said for employing women, who typically require even more money and time for kids, especially given the high percentage of single mothers.)
From a cold logic point, paying more to those who can work longer hours makes sense, but at some point we as a society must decide if we value family or not. Currently we don't, and I don't see this changing soon.
Google has already done that partially by putting a lot of functionality into Google Play Services, but it would be nice to be able to get security fixes from Google instead of having the OEM's in the way.
Hopefully none. Cryptocurrency, not a bad idea, Bitcoin, terrible idea. It has many problems and is almost exclusively mined in China these days, to the point where if China decided to take control of it, it could manipulate the blockchain to its will.
You forgot the drivers. As a GPU programmer I often blame the drivers. Of course it's usually my error, but I did come upon driver bugs and even hardware bugs.
Slashdot Mirror
Regardless, while the downward trend is clear, the 75% figure is bullshit. There was 50% variation over the first two years, and these major changes continue over time. The overall fall is still dramatic, just less than what is stated.
The guy didn't say that keyboards will die altogether, just that they'll be used for 'legacy applications'. And the same is true for pens. Students no longer write long handwritten works, we don't write handwritten letters, we even often leave digital notes. So sure, pens are still around, they just don't get nearly as much use as they used to. Speech has also seen some decline, at least in terms of percentage of communication. We text a lot more these days, often texting instead of calling someone. Not that I expect talking to go away (unlike pens, which I do expect to be gone at some point in the future), but it's also been superseded to an extent. So sure, old stuff sticks around. We still have vinyl and CD's and DVD's and cable TV and paper books and a lot of other stuff that's still kicking, even if it already has more successful replacements. Still, arguing that something isn't going away just because it still remains doesn't make sense. Sure, people like to cling to old stuff for various reasons, but 'mostly dead' is dead enough.
What he says makes no sense. We've moved to a culture where we text more and talk less, and it's natural because it provides privacy and doesn't require us to consider the noise levels around (or contribute to it). So for most people the replacement to a physical keyboard is a touch keyboard, but that's about it. Mind typing, if it works, will be an improvement, so will catch on, but talking to devices? That's a step back. The problem with trying to predict a future based on what you don't want to happen is that it's illogical.
The methodology went like this: take all projects with goals between $1,000 and $100,000, and check how many times their descriptions say 'novel' (or a synonym of it) and 'useful' (or a synonym of it) compared to the size of the description (i.e., percentage of these words), and compare to money made. This doesn't really reflect usefulness or innovation. Just from normal ads, I tend to associate exaggerated claims of innovation and quality with shoddy products, and I imagine that Kickstarter projects which harp on how innovative and useful the product is do so in an attempt to convince backers that's the case, not necessarily because it really is. So the real conclusion of the research might be not that people don't want innovative, useful products, but that the advertising strategy of emphasising these aspects doesn't work. (It's hard to know what the case is without a more detailed research, but I'm certainly not going to do that research.)
Would be one which reads articles and replaces headlines with ones which correctly sum up the article.
I'm not sure why anyone would start speculating based on what Bill Gates uses. Just the other day we learned about Windows Core OS and we also know that Microsoft has been working with Qualcomm on x86 Windows for ARM. So it's obvious the Microsoft does continue to think about a mobile response. But yes, Microsoft has also realised that a lot of the market is elsewhere, and it would help keep more devs on Windows by allowing them to easily develop for Android and Linux. Windows 10 Mobile did have Android emulation planned, it just didn't pan out. So nothing new on that front either. Perhaps MS is still working on it. (All in all, feels like a meaningless 'news item' by someone who has no clue.)
Extending life by 4% is equivalent to 1 hour a day. Sleeping 10% more, assuming you sleep 6 hours, is 6.6 hours, so you gain 0.4 hour. If you extend an 8 hour sleep by 10%, it's 8.8 hours, so you gain 0.2 hour. So either case is a win. I'm guessing you posted the above without getting enough sleep. :)
Oh, wait...
Isn't "if he was a Texan" is the correct form?
For those who are worried (or gloating) about control equality, keyboard and mouse control will soon be available for the Xbox.
This is just a reflection of how selfish and uncaring society has become. Not only have we moved to where a job is the end-all of a person's existence, where we frown upon those who don't want to play the game, and where often financially it's necessary to spend your life at work at the expense of relationships with your family, we're also where neither the workers nor the job matter to anyone. It's just a shitty 'earn money while looking to earn more money' environment. And stupid people are still going to pursue a 'career' in high-tech, and there are policies to encourage people to go there, just to add stress to their lives with lack of job security and a good chance of being thrown out of the work force at an age when they still need to support a family.
The idea of folding ADC's is to reduce the complexity of an ADC. The result however is potential data loss, and this article proves what conditions are necessary to recreate the original waveform from the samples. (See this for example for an explanation of ADC complexity and ways to simplify it.)
Glitches are annoyances, but if there's support behind the product, I don't tend to get angry. What I hate is the 'this has been a known issue for a few years, and nobody knows how to solve it and the company doesn't seem to want to fix it' type of problem.
Here's the announcement at Microsoft. It's for enterprises only, and I think MS previously offered Windows as a sub for them, so bundling Office makes sense.
If you don't feel rejuvenated and keen to face Monday after two work-free days, you might be suffering from a condition known in the medical literature as kids.
The underlying problem is that people do require (a lot) more money and more benefits as they raise kids. As a society we're already at a point where we value work more than family, and pretty much require both parents to work. Given that the age of raising kids is rising and, at least in my experience, the parenting age for IT people is higher than normal, the 40+ years are definitely some of the most demanding. (The same can be said for employing women, who typically require even more money and time for kids, especially given the high percentage of single mothers.)
From a cold logic point, paying more to those who can work longer hours makes sense, but at some point we as a society must decide if we value family or not. Currently we don't, and I don't see this changing soon.
as less interesting than Trump news.
Google has already done that partially by putting a lot of functionality into Google Play Services, but it would be nice to be able to get security fixes from Google instead of having the OEM's in the way.
In the past year, OEM's have shipped around 200 million Windows based PC's, I'm guessing.
Disclaimer: You'll get cancer if you're a rat. Which I assume some Slashdot readers are.
Next study would be how to activate genes for reading endurance. Some people just can't go the distance.
Thanks! Fascinating.
I don't expect most people will be able to find work at age 60 thirty years from now.
Hopefully none. Cryptocurrency, not a bad idea, Bitcoin, terrible idea. It has many problems and is almost exclusively mined in China these days, to the point where if China decided to take control of it, it could manipulate the blockchain to its will.
You forgot the drivers. As a GPU programmer I often blame the drivers. Of course it's usually my error, but I did come upon driver bugs and even hardware bugs.