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8 In 10 People Now See Climate Change As a 'Catastrophic Risk,' Says Survey (trust.org)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from the Thomas Reuters Foundation: Nearly nine in 10 people say they are ready to make changes to their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe, a survey on global threats found Wednesday. The survey of more than 8,000 people in eight countries -- the United States, China, India, Britain, Australia, Brazil, South Africa and Germany -- found that 84 percent of people now consider climate change a "global catastrophic risk." That puts worry about climate change only slightly behind fears about large-scale environmental damage and the threat of politically motivated violence escalating into war, according to the Global Challenges Foundation, which commissioned the Global Catastrophic Risks 2017 report. The survey, released in advance of this week's G7 summit of advanced economies in Italy, also found that 85 percent of people think the United Nations needs reforms to be better equipped to address global threats. About 70 percent of those surveyed said they think it may be time to create a new global organization -- with power to enforce its decisions -- specifically designed to deal with a wide range of global risks. Nearly 60 percent said they would be prepared to have their country give up some level of sovereignty to make that happen.

384 comments

  1. But President Trump goes by RotateLeftByte · · Score: 4, Funny

    Fake News. La-la-la-la-la-la I can't hear you.

    --
    I'd rather be riding my '63 Triumph T120.
    1. Re: But President Trump goes by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      And I bet they were also the ones they interviewed. Damn those foreigners with their crazy ideas.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re: But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're an immigrant yourself

    3. Re:But President Trump goes by taiwanjohn · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Trump, plus a good percentage of the US population, which means the ratios must be much higher in the other countries surveyed in order to average out to 80% overall. According to Gallup, just 42% of Americans "Think global warming will pose a serious threat in their lifetime." Obviously that's not exactly the same thing as "catastrophic risk" with no time constraint, but it's frankly lower than I expected.

      Pew has a more lengthy survey which does a detailed breakdown of views by political affiliation. Here's one aspect I found intriguing:

      One thing that doesn’t strongly influence opinion on climate issues, perhaps surprisingly, is one’s level of general scientific literacy. According to the survey, the effects of having higher, medium or lower scores on a nine-item index of science knowledge tend to be modest and are only sometimes related to people’s views about climate change and climate scientists, especially in comparison with party, ideology and concern about the issue. But, the role of science knowledge in people’s beliefs about climate matters is varied and where a relationship occurs, it is complex. To the extent that science knowledge influences people’s judgments related to climate change and trust in climate scientists, it does so among Democrats, but not Republicans. For example, Democrats with high science knowledge are especially likely to believe the Earth is warming due to human activity, to see scientists as having a firm understanding of climate change, and to trust climate scientists’ information about the causes of climate change. But Republicans with higher science knowledge are no more or less likely to hold these beliefs. Thus, people’s political orientations also tend to influence how knowledge about science affects their judgments and beliefs about climate matters and their trust in climate scientists.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    4. Re:But President Trump goes by Dorianny · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In general the less educated Conservatives tend to believe that the whole Climate Change things is a conspiracy against economic development by the "business hating Liberals," while the more educated ones tend to discount certain aspects of the body of research, such as how much influence human activity has on Climate change or the severity of the effects of Climate change will have on the World, especially the United States. With the research getting stronger and stronger with each new study it will get harder and harder for them to keep up the facade that the research is just not convincing

    5. Re:But President Trump goes by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Republicans have an ideological opposition to taxation and government regulation, and tend to think of everything in those terms, so naturally when the solution might cost them money or impose some restriction on them they assume it's just a conspiracy.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    6. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We had similar arguments about smoking and cancer. Even so, people still smoke.

      There is a saying where I come from that sums it up perfectly.

      "There is nowt as queer as folk"

      By queer, they don't mean Gay but 'strange'.

      The rest of the world is treating it seriously. Even China who see economic advantages in getting rid of Coal and using Wind, Solar and the rest of the Renewable technology. Strange that the US seems to want to do the opposite. I guess the Koch Brothers money is still speaking volumes.
      By sticking their collective heads in the sand, the US Administration (from the President down) will only hasten the relegation from a 1st world country to a 3rd world dictatorship.

    7. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not a Republican. While I do believe that the climate is changing and is affected by man, I do believe that it is also cyclical. These cooling and warming periods come and go over time. Humans have likely accelerated this to the detriment of the planet. Quite a few experts on both sides of the argument believe we are actually headed for a period of cooling.

    8. Re:But President Trump goes by No+Longer+an+AC · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You have been modded "Funny" but I think there is some insightfulness there:

      "Nearly nine in 10 people say they are ready to make changes to their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe,"

      Oh really?

      Last things first - there's that huge qualification that they would do it "if it would prevent future climate catastrophe". Most of us don't believe we have much if any impact at all. If I do have an impact, it's terribly insignificant.

      And we'd make changes to our standard of living? Wait a minute there - are you talking about any major changes?

      Because I can only do so much. I already do try to make as little impact on the environment as I can. If someone wants to suggest an easy way for me to do better I'm all for it, but I'm not going to inconvenience myself too much. It's too warm in here right now. I could open a window, but I'm gonna turn on the AC instead! Seriously.

      But I recycle every soda can that I buy! Well, that's good but I can only recycle as much as I already am.

      So I do think it's at least sort of fake. Most of us aren't going to do any more than we're already doing. I do care about the environment, but to be honest I'm not willing to sacrifice my standard of living. I like my car and my AC and I'm not going to stop buying things because they come with too much plastic packaging. (Would I really refuse to buy a product just because its packaging wasn't eco-friendly?)

      Quite frankly, the only things I can think of to do that would be more eco-friendly are too much trouble for me to bother with or would have very little impact if any.

      So while it's probably true that nearly 9 in 10 people say they would change their standard of living to save the planet I think it's "fake" to think that nearly 9 in 10 people would actually bother to make any significant changes to their standard of living.

      What would I give up? Nothing.

      I think it's more likely that nearly 9 in 10 people are either dishonest or aren't seriously considering a lower standard of living.

      --

      Or to put it in simpler terms....if you told someone they could save the planet if they just recycled their empty soda cans they'd probably do it, but if you told them they'd have to stop drinking soda they would laugh at you - not that recycling aluminum cans is going to save the planet but I do it anyway.

      It would probably be better for the planet and definitely better for my health if I didn't drink soda in the first place, but screw that!

    9. Re:But President Trump goes by mellon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It is cyclical, but there is nothing in the fossil record showing as rapid an upward cycle as we are seeing now. That's why the worry.

    10. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with you that the cycle has been upended. Perhaps the cycle has been irreparably damaged and we have gone over the proverbial cliff. I don't know. I don't think any of us know. I think it unwise to continue down the same road we are currently using. I agree that greener energy and other ideas can help.

      I would like to see some billionaires and governments clean up the Pacific trash island and other places. Won't happen, though, because there is no profit involved.

    11. Re:But President Trump goes by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      Not a Republican. While I do believe that the climate is changing and is affected by man, I do believe that it is also cyclical. These cooling and warming periods come and go over time. Humans have likely accelerated this to the detriment of the planet. Quite a few experts on both sides of the argument believe we are actually headed for a period of cooling.

      I know it's a tired meme, but I do think we need a citation in this case.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    12. Re:But President Trump goes by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      Not a Republican. While I do believe that the climate is changing and is affected by man, I do believe that it is also cyclical. These cooling and warming periods come and go over time. Humans have likely accelerated this to the detriment of the planet. Quite a few experts on both sides of the argument believe we are actually headed for a period of cooling.

      Earth's climate is dynamic and always the process of change however baring natural disasters such as large meteors or supervolcanos, natural climate change occurs in geologic timescales (at least thousands of years). What we are witnessing is Climate Change occurring practically within a human's lifespan

    13. Re:But President Trump goes by jellomizer · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Survey questions are misleading.
      Thinking global warming will not pose a serious threat in their lifetime. is different from being a climate denier.

      Science is solid on that Global warming is real and man made and that it proposes a risk. However the science is less solid on the scope and rate. Also depending on the age of person asked a Lifetime would be a decade - 4 generations.

      The pooling will need to combine many questions asked differently to really get a good view of the persons viewpoint.
      So most people have a hard time separating climate from weather. So a 4 degree change in their weather doesn't seem like big deal. When winter is -6c vs -10c no big deal it is still cold. when the summer gets 34c vs 30c it is still very hot.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    14. Re: But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Less educated conservatives? Unlike the welfare riding liberals? Be fair, both sides have useful idiots that lack college degrees.

    15. Re:But President Trump goes by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I would avoid jumping onto the conclusions that Conservatives are less educated than Liberals. The larger correlation is that liberals will live more in Urban Areas, while Conservatives live in Rural areas. In these different areas, their world view is different. In Urban areas, a strong government is an overall positive, as there are services that need to be provided, and with a lot of people working closely together, a strong rule of law and regulations is needed for that area to function. In rural areas they are more left to fend for themselves, there tax money is going to places where they will see no benefit, and there is a culture if you have a problem you need to solve it yourself. So such regulations proposed by the government seem like an overall negative.
      Now both areas have highly educated people, and less educated who will vote for whatever party. In urban areas the Poor are often under educated and vote liberal because government is trying to prevent them from dying, as the city environment can prevent them from living off the land and being able to fend for themselves. In rural areas, the poor who have resources to fend for themselves, doesn't need rules and regulations trying to stop them from doing what they need to do to live.
      Conservatives seem to rule corporate higher management, and even modern farmers you need to be just as technical savvy as a Silicon Valley tech worker. These people have those degrees, but because they are working commercial they tend not to flaunt them as much. While in urban areas, there are more colleges and universities, and government agencies, where people will need the education status to help push their agendas.
      Now in terms of Science. Liberal groups have seemed to reject science that says "This product is safe" (GMO, Vaccines...) because they expect government to make sure what we do is safe. While Conservative groups reject science that says "This product is dangerous" (Global Warming, Fracking...) because they are afraid that government will take away necessary tools for them.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    16. Re:But President Trump goes by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      "...while the more educated ones..."

      Given the state of education in the US, is this necessarily a good thing? Is much non-real-science education now just a status signifier?

    17. Re:But President Trump goes by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      "Conservatives seem to rule corporate higher management"

      Does this apply in the tech industries, though?

    18. Re:But President Trump goes by ranton · · Score: 1

      I would avoid jumping onto the conclusions that Conservatives are less educated than Liberals.

      In all fairness he never said that. He made a distinction between the rationalizations used by educated conservatives vs uneducated ones. No opinion regarding the relative education between liberals and conservatives were mentioned. If anything his entire comment was an acknowledgement that climate science denial is not just a problem among the uneducated.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    19. Re:But President Trump goes by interkin3tic · · Score: 2

      There are numbers on this subject. We really don't need to guess or say "Well it goes both ways cause I know some people on both sides" or "we don't really know do we?" Because we do: conservatives tend to have less education while liberals tend to have more. Not an absolute, sure, but there's clear bias.

      The urban government useful vs rural government bad thing is one factor probably, but there's definitely an element of tribalism going on in the GOP today that causes some uneducated rural whites to vote for Trump. And the GOP has definitely undergone a brain drain where all they stand for is saying "no" to anything besides tax cuts.

    20. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By queer, they don't mean Gay but 'strange'.

      And by gay, I'm assuming you don't mean merry but 'homosexual'.

    21. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Republicans have an ideological opposition to taxation and government regulation, and tend to think of everything in those terms, so naturally when the solution might cost them money or impose some restriction on them they assume it's just a conspiracy.

      False. Republicans welcome regulation that makes sense. They want minimal regulation rather than slapping new regulations on everything for any reason. They also support taxation, they also want to keep it to the minimum required, and would much rather cut unneeded expenses and/or inefficiencies than raise taxes.

      Conversely, increasing regulation and taxation is the automatic default solution for the Democrats. Its easier than finding real solutions.

    22. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I am perfectly willing to change my standard of living to avoid catastrophe, but I want to see us being smart and doing what it takes. For example, large expansion of nuclear energy is a necessary element to major global CO2 reduction. If we are not including that in our path forward because of ignorance and FUD mongering, then screw it. Let the ignorant lower their standards, my children will suffer enough because of them.

    23. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "In rural areas they are more left to fend for themselves, there tax money is going to places where they will see no benefit, and there is a culture if you have a problem you need to solve it yourself."

      Utter horseshit. Those rural people aren't fending for themselves -- they're taking tax dollars from the big cities where all of the economic activity actually happens to subsidize their lifestyle. We build their roads, run utilities out there, and pay them all sorts of government benefits like food stamps, farm subsidies, etc.

    24. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trump, plus a good percentage of the world's population
       
      FTFY.
       
      Despite all the chest pounding from certain nations about how their green energy sources can power 85% of their country under extremely advantageous conditions at their lowest power consumption hours the fact is that renewable energy is only a small step in combating climate change. Even high numbers of EVs are mostly irrelevant in the face of power sourcing.
       
      But top that on changes that nearly everyone could do today, free of charge, to decrease their carbon footprint that just isn't happening: go vegetarian, stop driving a half mile to the store for a loaf of bread and stop thinking that going half way across the world to make a half-hour speech about global warming is somehow a win for the environment.
       
      So many are looking for the government pen to fix something that can't be fixed without people changing their way of life.

    25. Re:But President Trump goes by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Most of us don't believe we have much if any impact at all.

      Are you projecting your own believes on everyone else? Don't do that.

      You're like a fad diet of environmentalism. You only put in any token effort if someone else has done all the hard work for you.

      What would I give up? Nothing.

      Nope I stand corrected. You're not even on the fad level.

    26. Re:But President Trump goes by Ogive17 · · Score: 2

      As someone who lives in rural America, most people here don't realize how much Federal aid comes our way. They just assume that because our taxes are lower than urban areas, it means our costs are lower and that we more wisely use the tax revenue. In fact, we probably (making an assumption without citation) receive more federal money per capita than urban areas. More roads, more utilities, more police, more fire are needed to provide the same service in my town of 25k that is spread out over approximately 12 sq. miles (31 sq. km).

      Education level does not matter, life experience matters. Most people here have never spent more than a week or two (vacations) away from the region and have certainly not traveled to other countries. They don't know the benefits of urban living and don't care to learn about them. It's different from their life and they'd rather be ignorant about it.

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    27. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Technically, the older the respondent to that question, the more likely they are right that it won't be a serious threat in their lifetime. Funnily enough, older people lean conservative who don't believe in man-made climate change.

    28. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm a conservative who believes in man-made climate change. I'm also a conservative who sees that those who scream the loudest about it are also the ones who are making the least commonsense changes to their lifestyles to combat it. I'll become more alarmed when Al Gore, Neil deGrasse Tyson and Bill Nye and his crew give up their jets, their mansions and their meat.

    29. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry, but what eight out of ten people BELIEVES is not automatically fact... except for the fact that they believe it.

    30. Re:But President Trump goes by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      I'm not a climate scientist but that doesn't sound correct didn't the last glacial have an ubrupt warming period?
       

    31. Re:But President Trump goes by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Leonardo DiCaprio's lifestyle produces more CO2 in a year than my lifestyle will produce in a lifetime. Likewise all the politicians. Why would I change my lifestyle when they haven't changed theirs? Deal with the small group responsible for the majority of emissions first. Ban all government air travel. They can teleconference around the world, they don't need to travel. And stop the Hollywood crowd from jet-setting around the world. Do this, and then I'll consider how I can cut my own emissions.

    32. Re:But President Trump goes by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      The people you're thinking of are not 'less educated', they're 'wilfully ignorant', which is vastly different.

    33. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Energy efficiency. There is a huge amount of wasted energy in most homes. Finding the low hanging fruit that can be implemented relatively cheaply can save people money over time. Those that want to go further can and depending on the payback times can make out in the end.

    34. Re: But President Trump goes by Miamicanes · · Score: 1

      Technically, the "Medieval Warm Period" (and the "Little Ice Age" that followed) occurred over the span of just a few hundred years, and made a sufficiently-big difference to flip Greenland from "cold, but still-farmable" to "mostly abandoned, because farming became almost a lost cause there".

      Politicians on both sides are guilty of using climate change as a proxy war. The sensible middle ground is to engineer new construction (and future reconstruction/upgrades) to just assume 10 feet of sea-level rise over the next 100 years & assume it's going to happen regardless of carbon or methane arising from human activity.

      Florida will not be abandoned to rising seas. If anything, rising seas will cause saltwater intrusion into wellfields, making agriculture in Florida unprofitable (reverse osmosis is expensive, but the economic impact is MUCH bigger on farmers). With farms gone, their now-cheap land (mostly inland) will become attractive to developers. The "coastal poor" sell out & move inland, and their increasingly-soggy old neighborhoods will get bought up, bulldozed, raised by 10 feet, and rebuilt into expensive new homes purchased by the wealthy.

      Ironically, climate change will probably cause Florida to grow & become MORE urban. Florida's natural ecosystem will be mostly destroyed... NOBODY is going to pay trillions of dollars to protect abstract swampland... but developers WILL spend billions of dollars teraforming a chunk of that soggy swampland into land suitable for tens of billions of dollars worth of NEW condos, office towers, and malls.

      A hundred years from now, Lake Okeechobee will be double its current size, occupy most of western Palm Beach & Broward counties, and be a gigantic freshwater reservoir. The area adjacent to the lake (now farmland) will be home to 25 million new residents, and both coastlines (east & west) will be Manhattan-like expanses of skyscrapers & landscaping, with every hint of Florida's original terrain erased & built-over. In Miami, people will think "Overtown" has ALWAYS been a wealthy residential downtown neighborhood, and "Liberty City" will exist only as the vestigial label on USGS maps next to streets named after French wines, Mediterranean cities & plants, and jewels.

    35. Re:But President Trump goes by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      I think there's another interpretation of these facts which you have neglected to consider. Many people might make substantial changes to their lifestyle if they believed that it would do any good. But do you know what happens when individuals make changes to lifestyle? Fuck-all. The majority of people can't or won't make substantial changes, so those people's efforts is just pissing in the wind.

      The majority of environmental damage benefits not the poor, but the ultra-wealthy. Most of those people don't give one tenth of one fuck about you or me, and are utterly unwilling to make substantive changes in their lifestyles. The few that are willing to make changes have the economic power to have substantial environmental impact, but they are overwhelmed by the rest. The poor aren't shopping at Wal-Mart because they think it's fancy. They're not buying imported Chinese foodstuffs because they think they're of high quality. They're buying what they can afford.

      TL;DR: You're not going to get poor people to make changes while rich people are flying past in their own private jets. And since most people in the world are poor, there's only one direction in which to look for where the changes need to occur.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    36. Re:But President Trump goes by drinkypoo · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I would avoid jumping onto the conclusions that Conservatives are less educated than Liberals.

      That's because you fear reality's well-known liberal bias. Don't be scared, it's just a fact.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    37. Re:But President Trump goes by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      And liberals, educated or not, tend to deny that the % of variation due to man is unknown. So which of the three groups is anti-science, again?

    38. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So I do think it's at least sort of fake. Most of us aren't going to do any more than we're already doing. I do care about the environment, but to be honest I'm not willing to sacrifice my standard of living. I like my car and my AC and I'm not going to stop buying things because they come with too much plastic packaging. (Would I really refuse to buy a product just because its packaging wasn't eco-friendly?)

      Exactly, hardly anyone buys a high-MPG car because it's better for the environment they do it because it costs them less money in fuel in the long run, even the car commercials acknowledge this. On the flip side people don't buy gas guzzlers just to burn fuel for the hell of it, they buy them because they want the extra power and/or cargo capacity and the cost of fuel isn't much of a concern to them or seen as a necessary drawback.

      When I open all the windows instead of running the A/C in the house it's only to save money. If it's too humid or noisy outside that A/C comes on right away though.

      I recycle cans because it makes more sense to re-use raw materials than to mine more, it's that simple. I'll also still drink as much soda as I want.

    39. Re:But President Trump goes by orgelspieler · · Score: 1

      You need to check your facts on the anti-vaxx movement. Plenty of nutjobs on both sides there. Just look at the recent outbreaks in deep-red East Texas. They think it's the damn gubberment tellin me to give my kids shots they don't need to give the libral big pharma all my money.

    40. Re:But President Trump goes by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Really now? And here I thought the fossil record was accurate to +- 4000 years.

      But our great AGW promoters are comparing year over year records. Hmmm. What stock chart shows more volatility the minute chart or the year chart?

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    41. Re:But President Trump goes by greythax · · Score: 1

      In 100 years?

    42. Re: But President Trump goes by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Conservatives aren't less educated.

    43. Re:But President Trump goes by greythax · · Score: 1

      You hit the nail on the head. People don't want to change the way they live. That is why for vast and rapid change, you will never get anywhere without legislation/public works. Honestly, at this point, we should stop throwing around the "what will I have to sacrifice" trope. The answer is almost nothing. You will still have lights, but they will be LED lights that you have to change less often. You will still have a car, but it will be a hybrid that you have to fill up less often. Your power will come partially from your roof, and you will have to buy less electricity from your provider.

      Lets stop pretending that this debate is really anything more than us sticking with old technologies because we are lazy and lack the will to replace them with better ones. In the grand scheme of things, your soda habits will mean almost nothing against the regulation of the prime contributors to this problem. And implemented responsibly, any change should be nearly transparent/nothing but good news for you the consumer.

    44. Re:But President Trump goes by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Another poster mentioned the Medieval Warm Period.

      As temperatures warmed farmers could sow crops on higher and higher elevations. As temperatures dropped the reverse was true.

      We have tax records of farm lands that showed people abandoning farm lands as the temperature dropped. We see a drastic reduction of available farm land - followed by ever worse famines in a 40 year period (1280 to 1320). The cold, wet, harsher, environment brought with it a recurrence of plagues.

      Europe had plagues every generation from roughly 200AD to 700AD. There then were basically no plagues for 600+ years until 1347 and then there were plagues every generation until roughly 1700.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    45. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WOW. Ok, the first paragraph is reasonable but your representation SUCKS. 'Tribalism' in the GOP? How about 'Elitism' in the DNC? THAT is tribalism too & for my money it is WORSE. Why? Because supposedly they are 'educated' & should know better than to make assumptions that what they think is 'right & proper' actually applies to the 'world' as a whole. I can somewhat forgive an 'uneducated' (note not a reflection of intelligence just schooling/learning) person for holding an opinion because they "don't know any better", I find it unconscionable that a supposedly 'educated' person holds a position on POLICY (not the facts) that effectively comes down to "just trust us we know what we're doing".

      Take for instance that it is these same supposedly 'educated' people that I've debated for YEARS (36 now) that 'Nuclear power is a safe and effective option', and all I get back is 'think of the children' (or similar) after having demonstrated all their arguments on 'safety' and even 'cost' are without real substance (e.g. everything is a trade off, yes there's risk but not NEARLY as high as they claim). The point being is that these people have 1 & only 1 goal 'my way or the high way', WE will tell you what to do & dissenting opinions will be ignored &/or silenced. And look where we are now, so yeah I believe in 'AGW' & it's primarily caused by 'liberals' (which I do use as a pejorative term) who are just 'socialist/communists' in disguise.

      This supposed 'study' is just another example of how such groups operate. There is NO fucking way you get 85% of the world to agree on something like this UNLESS the questions and selection of respondents are chosen to reach that result.

      For instance, go ask a peon of 'liberal values' Obama if he'll give up his private jets, security entourage, the number of times he travels all over the world for 'speaking engagements' (where he gets STUPID amounts of money), his 'Presidential library' (an actual PHYSICAL location with new construction etc.), his book (which will be printed on physical paper) and all kinds of other things that he simply doesn't NEED (vacations on big ass yachts with his 'rich liberal friends') to do. Basically REAL substantive changes to his 'standard of living' in exchange for a yearly government welfare check of O, let's say $250K/year adjusted liberally for inflation for the rest of his life. If and when you get him (the Clinton's too just for fun) to agree to that THAN and ONLY THAN will I agree to vote for government take over of my life.

      Seriously,the middle class & poor (those 'uneducated rural whites'...O and why does the color of their skin matter here?) have more 'common sense' in their pinky fingers than all the combined 'intellectual might' of the supposed 'educated people' doing these studies, pushing for 'climate change accords' and 'global governments'. The former just want the ability to control their individual lives without the government overly complicating their choices, the latter say "its not your choice, we'll make that for you, don't worry just trust us Mommy/Daddy knows best". The former make 'changes to their standard of living' on a DAILY basis! The latter talk about 'change in standard of living', as if it's a decision to buy a 52" screen TV instead of a 60" for YOU not them...never themselves!

      Trump is very likely not the 'answer', and I genuinely wish there was someone better, but the alternative, the people who THINK they have the answers are worse, because they don't realize that their 'answers' are even worse then the problem their trying to solve.

    46. Re:But President Trump goes by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      I think it was an abrupt warming followed by an abrupt cooling that lasted for about 2,000 years for both together but don't quote me on that I read about it in the 70s or 80s.

    47. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it's more like "8 of 10 people are witless fucksticks."

      I'm what many of you would call "a denier."
      Are we dumping a lot of previously captured CO2 into the atmosphere? Yes.
      Is CO2 a pollutant? No, it's plant food. That's how it got captured in the first place.
      Is the climate changing? Yes, it's always changing.
      Are humans changing the climate? Probably a small amount. Latest studies estimate we're behind around a third of the change.
      Are the changes in the climate bad? No fucking clue, JUST LIKE EVERY FUCKING ONE OF YOU!

      We know colder climates are very hard on us, look at the population totals through the last ice age.
      What about warmer climates? There's been a ton of fear mongering but no science that I've seen.

    48. Re:But President Trump goes by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      So, just curious - what would YOU give up?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    49. Re:But President Trump goes by cbeaudry · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wrong. Fossil records do not have the resolution for which to compare rate of change. 100 year rate changes are smoothed by the resolution, so there is no way of telling if the current rate of 0.85c over 150 years is unique, however it most likely is not at all.

    50. Re:But President Trump goes by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Seriously, I don't have a measurable impact on the climate. Now, if you lump in about three hundred million of my best friends, we have a lot of impact. It's a tragedy of the commons.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    51. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This liberal had his kid vaccinated but hates GMO's because of the baggage that comes with them.

      Meaning I think patents on food is a pretty f'n evil thing, and Monsanto, being the poster child for GMOs and wholly evil, only proves my point.

      Farmers are smart, they understand climate change is going to hurt them, but by farmer's you mean Big Ag, there are like two family farms left (I may be low on that number), and they won't do anything that will cause a drop in quarterly earnings, which would cause a drop in their stock price, which is how the C level staff gets their cheddar.

      Plus, if you start to dig around the corporate boardrooms, you find an incestuous family spread across boardrooms of all major corporations.

      People from Tech on Bank Boards, people from fossil fuel boards on Healthcare Boards...the same people on communications company boards....

      Money is the ONLY reason the right stopped believing in climate change, which they did until about 10-15 years ago, when the fossil fuel folks started giving money to politicians and paying Rush Limbaugh's salary.

    52. Re:But President Trump goes by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Obligatory XKCD: https://xkcd.com/1732/

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    53. Re:But President Trump goes by AaronW · · Score: 2

      Here's a good graph showing warming and cooling.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    54. Re:But President Trump goes by AaronW · · Score: 1

      You do know that Al Gore heavily retrofitted his house and sources green energy for it.

      http://www.factcheck.org/2009/...

      Or that Bill Nye backed a solar panel startup?

      http://www.computerworld.com/a...

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    55. Re:But President Trump goes by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      Jesus Christ, buddy. Can you NOT refrain from talking about Trump in every conversation? I bet you're a hoot at Parties.

      Host: care for some canapes?
      You: Canapes, sounds like something TRUMP might eat.
      Host: Go F yourself.

    56. Re: But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sun will eventually go out, at which point the earth will be cold. QED.

      As for the "I'm not a Republican/I'm a Conservative" crowd, you know they're morally bankrupt when they have a party so odious that they feel a need to relabel their affiliation without changing their vote.

    57. Re: But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wah was wah whataboutism wah.

    58. Re: But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Republicans want regulations on women's uteruses, men's asses, fun chemicals and nothing else. Dems want regulations on our exposure to air, water and lead pollution.

    59. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So to get your point across, you first need to insult someone? And of course the mods who tend to lean left will make sure to mark this as insightful because you mention Conservatives. How about trying to make a point without the need the insult anyone????

      Most Conservatives believe in climate change because the climate is obviously always changing. It's the solutions that Conservatives are against because of the costs involved and the solutions don't tend to resolve the issues. The data that scientists use is always needing to be adjusted for some reason and never is made public like original unadjusted data. Personally I don't tend to buy into all the fixes for climate change when people like former President Obama uses a private jet, one helicopter, and a 14 car convoy for a 1.5 hour speech on Climate Change where he got paid $3.2 million. I also don't tend to buy into groups like Energy Transition Commission who members include Al Gore who suggest that countries spend a minor $300 to $600 per year over the next 2 decades to help boost green technology and carbon reduction. The Energy Transitions Commission’s (ETC) report claims “additional investments of around $300-$600 billion per annum(per country) do not pose a major macroeconomic challenge,” which they say will help the world meet the goals laid out in the Paris agreement.

      As a Conservative Geek and yes evil Christian who loves technology and science, has 5 kids, and has a house full of animals including several that have been rescued along with a highly educated wife who teaches, we simply don't believe that every climate change solution always seems to end up needing billions of dollars to resolve. We also have a problem in this modern era of video conferencing with the supposed climate change supporters who feel the need to fly all over the world, drive suvs and eat expensive food and waste ridiculous amounts of fossil fuels while adding more supposed pollution to the environment all in the name of saving the planet. Not to mention the computer models that are always needing to be changed because they never seem to correct or in some cases even close to reality. But go ahead and keep insult people because that should help you win over people who don't believe the same way as you do.

      -GeekPoet

    60. Re:But President Trump goes by microbox · · Score: 1

      The IPCC reports specify estimated risks for different scenarios. People who say that outcomes are uncertain never bother with risk analysis, and balk at talk of the precautionary principle. So, say there's an estimated 30% change that there will be no severe consequences. OBVIOUSLY that means nothing should be done, since that's what we want to happen.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    61. Re:But President Trump goes by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      Jesus, man, you're really raving off on many tangents there. The "elites" of the DNC did what that is worse than screwing over the climate or trying to ban a religion?

      No one that I can see is saying "just trust us we know what we're doing" if one's attention span is longer than a 2 year old. HRC talked as long as anyone was willing to listen to her, but the news was too busy covering the latest insult to a a minority group from the asshole of Trump. Climate change scientists publish hundreds of online articles a year detailing everything, but all conservatives are looking for is out of context quotes. It's like when Pelosi pointed out the GOP was spewing so many lies about Obamacare that America would never understand it until after it was passed. Predictably, the right wing told people she meant it was secret. She was right. Ten seconds of reading on Obamacare at any time would have revealed to most GOP voters Obamacare would be good for them, but the uneducated GOP voters don't have that capacity until it's about to be taken away and their health care bills are about to skyrocket up.

      What does Obama's lifestyle have to do with anything?

      The color of their skin matters because they're attacking every other color of skin. They have no common sense which is why they voted for their own healthcare to be repealed.

      You do effectively prove that education is not the end all be all. I'm sure you have some education, yet

    62. Re:But President Trump goes by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Look I'd like to believe you random internet person, but the full weight of science shows that humans do.

      Now you're either not a human, or an arsehole thinking that everyone else will clean up your mess.

    63. Re:But President Trump goes by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So, just curious - what would YOU give up?

      I have made many changes over the years that have resulted in my energy usage being less than a 1/4 of what it used to be. I have given up driving large over powered cars favouring small fuel efficient vehicles, not that it makes much of a difference since I now cycle to work 4 days a week. Sure it sucks when it is snowing but that's what jackets and studded tires are for. I've stopped heating with oil. I've ditched an always on 4 core xeon server for an Intel Atom. I open the window instead of using air conditioning and put on a jumper instead of warming the house to 25C.

      That's just off the top of my head. What have I given up? Comfort, waste, and a shitload of money to reduce my footprint to a small fraction of what it was. And I continue to look for new ways to do it.

      Let me guess, you're going to reply by saying you changed the lightbulb in your garage to a CFL so you're my equal right?

    64. Re: But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is cyclical due to wobbles as the earth orbits the sun. We were in an 8000 year cooling period because of it, and still should be.

    65. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's the clearest summary I've ever read on this subject. Exceedingly well done!

    66. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      States that tend to vote Republican receive more Federal aid than states that tend to vote Democrat: 2017's Most & Least Federally Dependent States

      That's not quite the same as rural vs. city, but I think your assumption is on the right track.

    67. Re:But President Trump goes by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      This is how it should be: If you want to make environmental changes stick, don't make it nonsense karma feel-good help others. Because people will pay lip service to it and others will take advantage of it. Make it logical and cost effective.
      How did the US reduce CO2 output recently? by moving from coal to natural gas. Because natural gas became economical.

    68. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So much this. And yes, our rural areas do take in more taxes that blue states pay than we pay back in. And just a little clarity on the rural poor, they collect the same welfare as urban poor, often cook up meth or deal with other drugs just like the urban poor, and have little to no opportunity to better themselves due to a culture of fear and ignorance. I live in a very rural area, and probably make more money than anyone who doesn't own a factory around here. I'm not exactly shunned, but I catch wary eyes whenever I tell people I have one job, make more than three times what they do, and work from home. I "worked" the system better than they did, and despite all the success I have made for myself and how much I help them, they are wary of my advice because they think I'm a liberal for not being impressed with their black soot spewing coal rollers. And yes, when income tax season comes, they'll put coal rollers on their trucks instead of investing in anything to help themselves.

    69. Re:But President Trump goes by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      42% of americans may think this now, but Southern Florida is already pretty much lost. It's simply a matter of time before most areas will have to be abandoned because of saltwater incursion into the aquifers even if the persistent flooding and increased number of storm surges doesn't drive people out first.

      In addition, Louisiana has lost around 30% of its land area over the last 60 years. This is as much down to mismanagement of the delta system as actual sea level rise but coastal villages are already being abandoned and it's only a matter of time until larger towns have to make similar decisions.

    70. Re:But President Trump goes by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      There's nothing showing a spike like we're generating at the moment but there are plenty of CO2 spikes over longer periods (usually 10k years or so).

      What should give pause for thought is that time and again in geologic history, those CO2 spikes go hand in hand with anoxic oceanic events.

  2. Regulatory capture by Esteanil · · Score: 5, Interesting

    While I fully agree with climate change being a catastrophic risk, a global organization with enforcement power will immidiately become the most valuable target for lobbying in the world.

    I believe we'd see such an organization effectively ruled by the very interests it's set to regulate within a few years at most.

    --
    I'm a dreamer, the world is my playpen. But hey, I'm a serious person, I can't dream all the time.
    1. Re:Regulatory capture by Bongo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm sure some will just claim you're just an anti-goverment nut, but taking a broad view, given we're talking an issue that affects the species, humans have through history gone from small tribes to large empires to nation states, and now we're tipping towards global organisation.

      However, there's something very interesting in this sequence, and that's that the shift from empire to nation state was a reduction in authoritarianism, and a move towards more individuality.

      Now, individuality is often criticised as the root cause of all the greed which drives overconsumption, which lead many to say we need a sort of Chinese communist regime where a central authority sets consumption limits, but there's an issue around, WHY did we historically move from empire to nation states?

      And a simple answer ot that is the empires are unsustainable in the sense that they eventually become too big to govern. Authoritarianism collapses when there's too many people and the system is too complex to manage, whatever someone's best intentions may be.

      So here's a thought: the globalised stage will be MORE individual, just that, the individual will be MORE intelligent, and as we continue to develop, the intelligence, knowledge, and compassion of each individual will increase. Just as most ordinary people now realise that racism is bad, and work to eradicate racism from their own minds, so too, gradually, we become more intelligent global citizens.

      And the bad news is, there is no shortcut to that. If the world is really about to end in 20 years, well sorry, too late, people can only develop their individual compassion and intelligence at a normal pace, and if that's too late then that's too late. The alternative, as you say, is some sort of global authoritarian genocide, caused either deliberately or inadvertently.

      We need to pursue the most effective technology solutions whilst human psychology catches up to a globalised world. That probably means lots of nuclear, whatever best form of tech that may take.

      Ya kanny change the laws of physics and ya kanny change the human psychology any faster than it can grow naturally.

      So learn to love your fellow dumb human and build lots of nuclear.

    2. Re:Regulatory capture by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A much simpler and quicker fix is to just shift the subsidies to cleaner energy. Energy is expensive really, it only looks cheap to the end user because much of the cost is either hidden in tax funded subsidy or externalized to someone else.

      In the end, people will usually vote with their wallets. Then they bitch and moan that their wallets are being targeted, because it's the only way to save the fucking planet.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck the planet and fuck you too!

    4. Re:Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      There are next to no subsidies on nuclear or hydroelectric in most of Canada for example. There are massive subsidies for wind/solar however. Energy is cheap, as long as you're willing to use particular types of energy. If you want cheap power then people are going to have to get rid of the anti-nuke hysteria. They're also going to have to make the choice between building hydro-electric plants and saying "fuck the 3.2" minnow."

      Keeping in mind that this cheap energy has done a lot to uplift human civilization in the last 100 years. And the same environmentalists who are enjoying the benefits of it, want to block developing countries from those same cheap sources.

    5. Re:Regulatory capture by DigiShaman · · Score: 0

      Oh hell na!! The propaganda machine is working in full force here. If only all you fucking retards would get on the bandwagon, we can solve global warming within a few years....followed by 10, then 20...then..oh shit, lets bake this into an authoritative legalize of governance at the constitutional level.

      I'm going full prepper. When thermonuclear exchange happens from all this totalitarian expansion and war, you guys that drank the AGW Kool-Aid will be on your own.

      Remember kiddies, lead is more valuable to either gold or silver.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    6. Re:Regulatory capture by Dins · · Score: 2

      Exactly this.

      My position on climate change has always been why does it matter whether climate change is happening and whether it's man-made or not? This planet is the only one we have and polluting it isn't going to get us anywhere. That, and we need to get off fossil fuels as they are a limited resource. So subsidize the shit out of existing green energy tech and triple the R&D money going to new energy tech. Do that enough and the problem will fix itself.

    7. Re:Regulatory capture by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except that you recommended nuclear, which is one of the most expensive forms of energy we have. The new plant at Hinkley Point C is the most expensive object on earth and is guaranteed way, way above the odds for every watt-hour of energy it produces for its entire lifetime.

      They had to promise all that because no-one would build it. In the end, the French are building it with Chinese money. In the UK.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    8. Re:Regulatory capture by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

      A much simpler and quicker fix is to just shift the subsidies to cleaner energy.

      That would be nice, but at this point it's not necessary. Renewables are already undercutting the cost of fossil energy in most areas, even without subsidies (and even though most fossil fuels are heavily subsidized). And all indications are that renewables will only continue to get cheaper while fossil fuels will only continue to get more expensive. If we're not already past the tipping point, we will be soon.

      Another tipping point in the near future is energy storage. Tesla claims to have already broken the $200/kwh threshold, and rumor has it they may in fact be closer to $130/kwh. Again, with all the VC cash that's been invested in battery tech in the last decade, this cost will keep going down for a while yet.

      The future looks bright for renewables, not so much for fossils.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    9. Re:Regulatory capture by Sky+Cry · · Score: 1

      Government has no business telling anyone how to produce energy. Therefore there shouldn't be any subsidies for any specific type of clean energy production.

      However, government has every business telling everyone to not pollute the environment. So instead of subsidies there should be extra heavy taxes on anything that pollutes the environment - proportional to the pollution.

    10. Re:Regulatory capture by dtmancom · · Score: 1

      Energy is expensive really, it only looks cheap to the end user because much of the cost is either hidden in tax funded subsidy or externalized to someone else

      You need to be careful with this kind of talk.

      It almost sounds like you are suggesting that the rich/corporations pay a lot of taxes that keep the costs of living down for the regular people, and that directly contradicts the consensus that the rich/corporations are nothing but leeches on society.

    11. Re:Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      From the first comment on another shameless piece of propaganda:

      This phase of Burbo Bank has an installed capacity of 252.4 MW, a capacity factor of 32.5%, an 'Expected Life' of 25 years, occupies an area of 40 sq km and costs £800 million.

      Hinkley Point C nuclear power plant has an installed capacity of 3,200 MW, an availability factor of 90%, a 'Design Life' of 60 years, occupies an area of 0.69 sq km and costs £18 billion.

      84.2 Burbo Bank-sized offshore wind farms would have to be built to deliver the same amount of [intermittent] electricity as the [24/7] electricity HPC will deliver.

      84.2 Burbo Banks would cost £67.36 billion and would occupy an area of 3,368 sq km - that's 58 km x 58 km. Hinkley's site measures 830 metres x 830 metres.

      Add to the £67.36 billion the cost of the dedicated gas-fired back up plant for the regular and sometimes prolonged periods when "...the 260 foot blades spans an area the size of the London Eye..." don't have a whoosh in them, and it would be fair to say, we could get 4 Hinkleys and therefore 4X more low-carbon [24/7] electricity for the same money.

      It's quite pathetic how renewables supporters like Jillian Ambrose apply nauseous levels of pure propaganda to articles such as this. No attempt whatsoever of presenting any element of the substantial downside to offshore wind.

      HPC isn't nearly as expensive as the alternatives being pushed. Countries that aren't drowning in anti-nuclear hysteria propagated by tools like you actually have inexpensive nuclear, and better technology will only tip scale further. Dismissing the most effective tool, and helping to maintain artificially inflated costs makes you a traitor to your supposed cause.

      The only winners in your fantastical renewable-only scenario are those harvesting the subsidies, and those supplying the fossil fuels which will continue to provide the bulk of the energy.

    12. Re:Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Batteries at $100/kWh will be great for electric cars, yet still orders of magnitude too expensive for seasonal energy storage, which is a requirement if you don't want people freezing to death. It is not uncommon to have essentially zero wind and solar output for weeks on end during winter.

      Your "bright" renewable future will continue to depend on fossil energy, as it does today. It certainly isn't cheap if you account for the cost of backup generation or storage necessary to provide reliable power.

    13. Re:Regulatory capture by swillden · · Score: 2

      You're absolutely right, of course. The best way to manage this problem is to internalize the externalities; make energy producers pay the full cost of their operations. This would mean either a heavy carbon tax or -- even better -- strict regulation on carbon emissions that require fossil fuel burners to capture and sequester all of their emissions. Burning dirty coal for power is just fine if you don't put anything into the atmosphere.

      In practice, subsidizing clean energy is more politically feasible, though. Giving money to build new businesses costs taxpayers, but the cost is spread widely so no one gets really upset... and the people involved in the new businesses are enthusiastically supportive. People in competing old businesses will grumble a bit, but if the subsidy doesn't instantly make them uncompetitive, opposition won't go much beyond grumbling.

      In contrast, adding large new costs to existing businesses makes the people involved in those businesses really angry. They get very vocal and start throwing their influence and money around. If voters were purely rational and actually weighed all of the costs and benefits, that wouldn't matter, but that's not how it works.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    14. Re:Regulatory capture by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      "...shift the subsidies to cleaner energy..."

      What do you think is happening now vis-a-vis subsidies? Or are you referring to nebulous uncalculated "externalities" in the fossil fuel industries?

      "...only way to save the fucking planet..."

      Oh, the drama.

    15. Re:Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A much simpler and quicker fix is to just shift the subsidies to cleaner energy.
       
      Oh, so the family that is already living hand to mouth because they need to make a car payment* to keep food on the table will suddenly be faced with skyrocketing energy costs too? What a great idea! That was simple and quick... Now that they won't be driving their car and their kids will be dying of malnutrition thus decreasing the population. Still, somehow people like you will find a way to blame the rich for this calamity.
       
      Seriously, how the hell did you get modded up?
       
      *Thanks to cash-for-clunkers there is a pretty barren used auto market and EVs and well out of reach of the people with a normal income and a mortgage or rent. But the devil may care.... just cut those people off at the knee.

    16. Re:Regulatory capture by Evil+Kerek · · Score: 1

      That's a fantasy. There is no renewable energy source capable of providing our energy requirements. Period. There isn't ONE that isn't subject to some kind of sever limitation (like..nighttime....lack of wind) You will need a mountain of eco UNFRIENDLY batteries to even start to pull this off - and the reality is it won't work. There's a reason all those solar companies went out of business despite the money poured into them.

      What we can do is supplement our energy with solar/wind/water. That's about it.

      And here, let me gum up your 'make energy more expensive' thing. How many poor people do you think that will affect when you drive up the price of 'non eco friendly' power? As usually, what people think is a quick fix has a ton of side effects that come along with it.

      As other people have said...I am unwilling to go into the dark ages for this. Especially when most of the people doing the yelling and screaming are flying in private jets and set to make money off the whole thing.

    17. Re:Regulatory capture by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      We're trying to avoid sinking the economy here, and requirements for fossil fuel burners to catch all emissions would be a disaster, particularly for fossil fuel-burning cars, trucks, motorcycles, ships, trains, and planes. We'd have approximately no vehicles, and certainly none that could carry significant freight. Carbon taxes would not require the complete replacement of all vehicle engines, but would encourage less use of fossil fuels.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    18. Re:Regulatory capture by UpnAtom · · Score: 1

      Without wanting to defend Tories...

      Currently, the only things cheaper than the nuclear strike price are fossil fuels and onshore wind.

      Everything else is more expensive. This might and probably will change over time.

      Wind power needs storage, which doesn't really exist at the moment. Nuclear power doesn't.

      I'm not qualified to state whether the power station is a good idea or not, but I suspect I'm more qualified than most of the people who comment about it.

    19. Re:Regulatory capture by microbox · · Score: 1

      Just put a tax on carbon. No need for global enforcement regimes. Different countries can use diplomatic pressure to bring everyone in line. The only people who will hate it are the oil generating nations: Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, et al., and only in the short-to-mid term. A revenue neutral carbon tax doesn't mean reducing economic output. It does mean that big oil loses, and other sectors win (e.g., energy and construction)

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    20. Re:Regulatory capture by microbox · · Score: 1

      Nuclear isn't necessarily expensive -- a lot of the cost is insurance. The technology needs to be developed, which promises huge cost savings if there's investment. And it is also a known factor for providing baseline power, which we currently only know how to do with carbon energy.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    21. Re: Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So just give up is the new excuse?

    22. Re:Regulatory capture by swillden · · Score: 1

      We're trying to avoid sinking the economy here, and requirements for fossil fuel burners to catch all emissions would be a disaster,

      Are you sure about that?

      Obviously it couldn't be done instantly, and it would probably have to be ramped up in stages, but I see no reason that it's impossible. A carbon tax would accomplish the same thing, of course, as long as it had a clear trajectory towards a level that would motivate research into alternatives, including carbon capture.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    23. Re:Regulatory capture by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The engine in the article you mention sounds like it's not ready for prime time, and from TFS it appears that it separates out the CO2 into its own stream, presumably for sequestering.

      A gallon of gasoline produces about 20 pounds of CO2, so one fill of my tank would produce about 300 pounds. Call that roughly 140 kilos. About 22 liters of CO2 at standard temperature and pressure will weigh 44 grams, call that 440 liters per kilo. That's going to be a serious storage problem on a vehicle, or even a large stationary installation.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    24. Re:Regulatory capture by swillden · · Score: 1

      Which is why transportation should go electric, sure. It's the far more practical emission-free option.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    25. Re:Regulatory capture by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      The State of California is already seriously considering placing devices on cows to capture their methane.
      http://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/17...

    26. Re:Regulatory capture by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Wind and solar combined can _just_ match the current conventional fleet, but electrical generation only accounts for 30-40% of carbon emissions

      Factor in reduction of carbon from heating/cooling and transportation and you start needing 6-8 times the amount of electrical capacity that exists now.

      No, you can't carpet deserts. Apart from the issue that places like the Sahara belong to someone else (and they'll want that energy for themselves), there's a practical limit of about 1500 miles for transporting electricity before grid losses make it too expensive to be worthwhile.

      One of the larger problems with Wind/solar plants is the need for fast peaking/backing plants to guarantee their output (which the wind/solar operators don't have to pay upkeep on). Molten salt nuclear systems can load follow without penalties - which means that they can replace peaking plants - and the fact that they're cheaper overall than wind/solar should mean that in a short period of time those "renewables farms" will become rusting monuments to useless technology.

  3. eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Science isn't decided by popular vote. If you look at the facts, we are actually in a long term cooling period. Greenland was once green a few hundred years ago, but then the cooling started, and continues to this day.

    1. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're right. it isn't a vote. just because trump won doesn't mean climate change no longer exists. it DOES exist, it has already caused great harm to our environment, and will continue to do so for as long as trump and the rest of you fucking morons continue to bury your heads in the sand (looking for more oil, are you?).

    2. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sorry, but when was Greenland green?

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      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Gavagai80 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Glaciers have covered most of Greenland for the past 2-3 million years. Not hundred.

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    4. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

      Sorry, but when was Greenland green?

      Geez, it ain't hard to find....:

      To investigate the possibility of climatic cooling, scientists drilled into the Greenland ice caps to obtain core samples. The oxygen isotopes from the ice caps suggested that the Medieval Warm Period had caused a relatively milder climate in Greenland, lasting from roughly 800 to 1200. However, from 1300 or so the climate began to cool. By 1420, the "Little Ice Age" had reached intense levels in Greenland.

    5. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by silentcoder · · Score: 1, Insightful

      And while the medieval warm period was, in fact, a thing (with parts, notably the coastal regions, of Greenland being rather greener than today)- it was so incredibly localized that it did not affect global average temperatures at all.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    6. Re: eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Found the paid shill. Go get a real job, wanker.

    7. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      actually it is, its called grants and peer-review, lol

    8. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      "Green" land was an example of medieval marketing BS. The reason it is called "Green" land was the same reason almost every state in the US has a city called "Mount Pleasant", "Greenville", and "Springfield".

      It's to make the place sound inviting. Norsemen were trying to establish permanent colonies on Greenland, and wanted to attract people with the prospect of a green fertile island. (it was in reality, a cold frigid place)

      Yes, there was a few hundred years in the medieval period where the earth warmed slightly. And, yes, Greenland was slightly warmer than today. It still was a harsh, frigid place to live and work, and even colonies set up back then tended to collapse because of the harsh conditions. It was hard to get permanent settlements to thrive.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    9. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong. Greenland has nothing to do with the words used. It is merely a bad translation of a far older Nordic name: grunt (ground) + land.

    10. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by budgenator · · Score: 3, Informative

      And while the medieval warm period was, in fact, a thing (with parts, notably the coastal regions, of Greenland being rather greener than today)- it was so incredibly localized that it did not affect global average temperatures at all.

      Research is indicating that the medieval warm period was much more global than those with financial interests in it being regional will admit.

      Observed increases in ocean heat content (OHC) and temperature are robust indicators of global warming during the past several decades. We used high-resolution proxy records from sediment cores to extend these observations in the Pacific 10,000 years beyond the instrumental record. We show that water masses linked to North Pacific and Antarctic intermediate waters were warmer by 2.1 ± 0.4C and 1.5 ± 0.4C, respectively, during the middle Holocene Thermal Maximum than over the past century. Both water masses were ~0.9C warmer during the Medieval Warm period than during the Little Ice Age and ~0.65 warmer than in recent decades. Although documented changes in global surface temperatures during the Holocene and Common era are relatively small, the concomitant changes in OHC are large. Pacific Ocean Heat Content During the Past 10,000 Years Science 01 Nov 2013:
      Vol. 342, Issue 6158, pp. 617-621
      DOI: 10.1126/science.1240837

      Humans, Human Civilization and the environment all did much better at warmer temperatures.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    11. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but when was Greenland green?

      Geez, it ain't hard to find....:

      To investigate the possibility of climatic cooling, scientists drilled into the Greenland ice caps to obtain core samples. The oxygen isotopes from the ice caps suggested that the Medieval Warm Period had caused a relatively milder climate in Greenland, lasting from roughly 800 to 1200. However, from 1300 or so the climate began to cool. By 1420, the "Little Ice Age" had reached intense levels in Greenland.

      They took these measurements from ice cores. Does it not stand to reason that the ice in those cores existed at the time being measured? See where I'm going with this?

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    12. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, research is showing that it's less than the warming today and there's no research showing it was global.

      For a group who whine and bitch about proxies in MBH98/99, you don't seem to care when you can quotemine to support your position, despite it being contrary to your claim.

      Currently Greenland is seeing temps 5C above average.

      Paleo work defines "today" as 1950. A fact you missed and it's quite important.

    13. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      "Milder" and "Greenland" is like "moderate" and "Westboro Baptist Church".

      Yes, there may be moderates among them. But their moderate is still in the batshit insane religious nutjob category.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    14. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by greythax · · Score: 1

      Humans, Human Civilization and the environment all did much better at warmer temperatures.

      Better than what? Seems to me with all the science and education and, you know, no black plague we are doing pretty good, and would like to keep it that way. We have identified a threat with the same tool that got us to this halcyon age. Stop trying to pretend science is panic or conspiracy.

    15. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Better than what? Seems to me with all the science and education and, you know, no black plague we are doing pretty good, and would like to keep it that way. We have identified a threat with the same tool that got us to this halcyon age. Stop trying to pretend science is panic or conspiracy.

      The Black Plague happened during the Dark Ages, also known as LIA, Little Ice Age, one of the things that lead me to realize that warmer is better.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    16. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by AaronW · · Score: 2

      Except we've hijacked that cooling period and are very quickly warming. https://xkcd.com/1732/

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      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    17. Re: eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The earth didn't really warm in the MWP. It seems to have been more a long term modification of ocean currents making parts of the Northern hemisphere warmer, but not globally.

  4. Something's fishy in Denmark. by darthsilun · · Score: 3, Informative

    54 out of 100 Senators and 234 out of 435 Representatives, and Twitler don't.

    The numbers don't line up.

    1. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      8 out of the 10 people in our carefully cultivated pool of respondents we can count on to give the results we want said that they agree with our biased point of view. Essentially that's what the survey said.

    2. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. I don't think the 80% of Indians who live in absolute poverty really give a single fuck about global warming, nevermind the South Africans who are in danger of actually DYING if food prices go up too much.

    3. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by silentcoder · · Score: 4, Interesting

      As a South African - go fuck yourself with your racist stereotypes.

      South Africans mostly consider climate change a serious risk to our lives, and one of the nasty impacts of climate change is to raise food prices - by much more than combating it ever could. South Africa has huge investments in renewable energy and these are growing (And make up the ENTIRETY of private sector energy investment).
      The only deniers in South Africa are conservatives and they make up about erm 1% of the population - they're a loud minority but they are about as influential on the country's culture and politics as pissing in the ocean is on it's salt level.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    4. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      You mean that the United States isn't a perfect representation of what the rest of the world wants? I'm shocked! Newsflash: Outside the US (and to some extent Australia), issues of global warming aren't nearly as politicized or controversial as they are in the US. Heck, previous studies have shown that even in the US the majority of Americans think that global warming is a serious problem http://www.pewinternet.org/2016/10/04/public-views-on-climate-change-and-climate-scientists/. The fact that many Senators and Congresspeople don't is to a large extent a reflection of how two aspects of our government system (the ability to gerrymander congressional districts, and the fact that senators are elected by state and many low population states lean right) distort what our elected government ends up looking like compared to what it would on a strict population basis.

    5. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      South African is not a race.

    6. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bullshit.

      It's not about election by state. It's not about leaning right. It's not about gerrymandering.

      It's about money. There's a DISGUSTING amount of money in your politics. Entire national general election campaigns are run in populous countries across the world with less money than goes into some of your senate races.

      It's all about money. Who knew -- energy companies want to buy the right to do business as usual.

    7. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, actually the reason Senators and Congresspeople don't is because of the role of hard cash in US politics

    8. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just to give you a little more detail, in 2015 all UK political parties combined spent less on a general election where the main parties were contesting 650 seats for 60 million people than was spent on Florida's 2016 senate race (one seat).

      If you don't understand that this is the entire source of your political corruption, you're delusional.

    9. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Y The fact that many Senators and Congresspeople don't is to a large extent a reflection of how two aspects of our government system (the ability to gerrymander congressional districts, and the fact that senators are elected by state and many low population states lean right) distort what our elected government ends up looking like compared to what it would on a strict population basis.

      You forgot to add that the politicians are paid for their belief by the people that they actually work for.

      As the Exxon papers prove, the industry works hard in a "tobacco lawyer" style to sow uncertainty, and pays politicians handsomely to do as the industry wishes.

      All while they know, but they simply don't care.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    10. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      The fact that many Senators and Congresspeople don't is to a large extent a reflection of how two aspects of our government system (the ability to gerrymander congressional districts, and the fact that senators are elected by state and many low population states lean right) distort what our elected government ends up looking like compared to what it would on a strict population basis.

      I think that you are wrong about the cause of US politicians not accepting climate change predictions. I propose the real reason is much simpler: money from the Koch Brothers.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    11. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      South African is not a race.

      Race is a social construct. So it could be if we wanted it to be!

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    12. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      If you don't understand that this is the entire source of your political corruption, you're delusional.

      Unfortunately the same people also use their money to corrupt our information sources. I chose my sig for a reason.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    13. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Globally, it's pretty much only the conservatives that deny climate change, because it threatens their precious Money God.

    14. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Brazilian here - go fuck yourself with your racist stereotypes.

      My country has a clean energy matrix [hydro, nuclear] of about 70% renewables. It's been a long time [1977] that Brazil has a nation-wide Ethanol [the sugar-cane type with an 8:1 EROI] program for fueling vehicles. 100% of Brazilian cars can run both on Ethanol and gasoline [most choose ethanol]. In some places, fueling station don't even sell gasoline.

      My country is a leader in recycling. My country has invested heavily in protecting the rain forest. Deforestation has been falling steadily. What more can you ask us to do? We didn't make the mess. We have no responsibility cleaning it. Giving up our sovereignty to fix the problems others caused? Lol, Keep dreaming [big navy, big airforce, and, chiefly an army that has never been defeated - ask the Paraguayans, Italians and Germans] :)

    15. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      You're absolutely correct there, my point was that since conservatives are such a tiny minority in South Africa the GP's suggestion that South Africans are likely to be deniers is... silly.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    16. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Oh, and contrary to his expectations, the small, conservative denier movement in the country is almost entirely and exclusively made up of wealthy whites. Black people, rich and poor alike, are by and large accepting the science.

      Even the more conservative, pro-market, political parties don't deny it here - it's such a fringe movement that the few people who do subscribe to denialism can't even get a voice WITHIN a party, let alone start one themselves. There was an attempt to start a libertarian party (which had denialism in it's platform) a few years ago but it pretty much flaundered because
      1) They couldn't get enough money donated from their "only self interest is real" potential membership to pay the party registration fee (considering that there are dozens of parties with barely enough members to get a single seat in parliament and more than a few that ONLY EVER run in a single town for the council of that town who ALL managed to get the nominal fee collected, that's just pathetic)
      2) They couldn't agree if 'legalize it' should be above or below 'burn the coal'*
      3) They pretty much couldn't agree on anything else except 'guvmints are all evil' and then arguing about why the hell they are trying to run a party to join 'evil' guvmint.

      It was rather humorous to watch.

      *Ironically their 'help' in terms of legalizing marijuana was not needed, all it took was some persistent people willing to fight the battle in the courts that the marijuana laws as written were unconstitutional violating freedom of religion and privacy rights. A recent high court ruling found in favor of the plaintiffs, stating that there is no reason to criminalize posession or growing of small amounts for personal use by adults. Government was given one year to change the law to legalize such adult personal use. Though it remains illegal in the meantime, and it is only becoming legal on your own property - that battle is won. We don't allow drinking in most public places either - because your right to get drunk sort of ends before the point where you become a public nuisance.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    17. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey! Don't rule out first past the post elections and the two party system as part of the corruption.

    18. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Quite a lot of other countries have two party systems and first-past-the-post elections with far less corruption than exists in US politics.

      Money corrupts. Suboptimal political systems (though the suboptimality of even first-past-the-post is actually a question of legitimate debate) might help or hinder. But the US system is corrupt in a profound way because it costs too much money to win.

    19. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OH, yes, the EEEEEEVIL Koch Brothers ( Cue organ music).

  5. More than talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As soon as liberals evacuate Florida, New york city, and coastal California due to rising oceans I'll believe they are serious about global warming.

    Until then they are full of shit.

    1. Re: More than talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, they could lead by example. Ride the bus, get your tubes tied (and your kids' & grandkids' tubes tied if you have them) and start paying an additional 20% income tax to combat climate change. No more private jets. Do that for a year and the rest of us might be willing to go half as far.

    2. Re:More than talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm quite happy for Florida to sink beneath the waves without any evacuation.

      New York City will have to come up with a flood defence system of course, it'll cost a lot but it has a lot to protect.

    3. Re:More than talk by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      if its floods then it is too late... a minor flaw in your ignorant post

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    4. Re:More than talk by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      As soon as liberals evacuate Florida, New york city, and coastal California due to rising oceans I'll believe they are serious about global warming.

      Until then they are full of shit.

      So, they're full of shit until the effects of what they've been warning of get so bad they have to evacuate their homes? Really, that's your bar?

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    5. Re: More than talk by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      Also, they could lead by example. Ride the bus, get your tubes tied (and your kids' & grandkids' tubes tied if you have them) and start paying an additional 20% income tax to combat climate change. No more private jets. Do that for a year and the rest of us might be willing to go half as far.

      Let me guess: You think Al Gore is a hypocrite because he flies on planes.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    6. Re:More than talk by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

      But then we won't be entertained by any more, " crazy Florida man does xyz " stories.
      Save Orlando at least. DisneyWorld and Universal are there.

      --

      Look back up at my post, now look back down, you're on the Internet. Now look back up. I'm a signature.
    7. Re: More than talk by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Al Gore, Barack Obama, Leonardo DiCaprio, and many more ARE hypocrites. They produce more CO2 in a single year than I have produced in my entire life. If they're serious about how catastrophic it's going to be, why haven't they ceased their own air travel? They can attend meetings via teleconference, travel by electric vehicles/sailboats, and vacation locally. Why is it all the climate conferences are attended physically by thousands of air travellers? They should be via teleconference only!

    8. Re: More than talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The extra CO2 produced by these individuals by their lifestyle may be more than you produce. But there are many millions or billions of people just like you. If each of you did some small change to your lifestyles to reduce CO2, you'd have a bigger impact than if these individuals adopted a lifestyle the same as yours.

      This is why you shouldn't wait for anyone else to change first.

      And these people are trying to do something to convince the millions or billions of people to make changes. We need this to happen more than we need them to reduce their individual footprints.

    9. Re: More than talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They'd also do well to stop blocking every offshore wind project that might affect the view from their expensive properties.

  6. Humans will adapt. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Humans will adapt.

    Stupid humans who insist on living where the floods are coming ... well, Darwin has a plan for them and their families.

    But humans have done stupid things for 20K years and we are still here. A good friend bought a home in Tampa, on the water. I think he's an idiot. The same for people living below sea level in New Orleans. Idiots.

    Stock tip - buy companies with experience in dike building. https://www.fastcompany.com/30...

    I live at 900 ft above sea level. No earthquakes or hurricanes here. No flooding nearby - though it does happen within 20 miles and we do have occasional tornadoes.

    I've lived at sea level, in a hurricane zone, and had 2 ft of water in my home. I moved. Hopefully, my family has passed Darwin's test.

    1. Re:Humans will adapt. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So you're OK with the thousands of millions people who live near the water migrating into your country?

    2. Re:Humans will adapt. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      No, but I'm OK with hunting thousands of millions of people trying to escape the waters for fun and profit!

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Humans will adapt. by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      But humans have done stupid things for 20K years and we are still here

      I have been alive my whole life, and therefore will never die. I mean, death has never happened to me before, why should I think it would in the future?

      20,000 years ago we had no technology and our impact on our environment was minimal. Over time our tools have grown more powerful, extending our impact and capabilities. Since you seem to be an investor, you should know that past performance is not indicative of future earnings.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
  7. Armchair heroics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What does "8 in 10 are ready to make changes to their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe" even mean? If 8 in 10 made changes to their standard of living, it _would_ prevent future climate catastrophe.

    The problem is that 10 in 10 are not willing to do squat unless 10 in 10 are being forced. And being forced to do something is not particularly heroic. I really want to beat sense into 8 of 10.

    1. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

      This just isn't the case. I'll talk about the UK because I'm more familiar with it, but other countries will have similar stories. Changes have been made to energy consumption, rules brought in on recycling, incentives given for electric transport, stress on public transport - people see and vote for these things. Yes - every party. Clearly some in the UK want to go further than others, but there is no party that has no policy in this area.

      This didn't happen by magic - this happened because the public consistently and repeatedly voted for candidates that had policies leaning more in that direction. And again - before someone tries to make this a domestic political scrap, this was for every party of every stripe. People do do things when given the chance.

    2. Re:Armchair heroics by danbert8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Right, this survey found that 8 out of 10 people will lie to a surveyor. Everyone SAYS they want cleaner air, less pollution, and to stop global warming. They just want everyone else to stop consuming so they don't have to. It's the same thing with every problem caused by a group. Everyone complains about traffic while moving further away from their workplace and not wanting to ride the bus or carpool.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    3. Re:Armchair heroics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      rules brought in on recycling In other words, people being FORCED to change their behavior. If people were truly WILLING to make changes to their lifestyle, you would not need rules, people would do these things without them.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    4. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

      The point is they voted for people to make the rules. In many cases they already were doing something about them, and they wanted those rules to be the norm. They were willing, they made the change, they voted for the change to be normalised, and now it is.

    5. Re:Armchair heroics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      I suspect it is more likely that they voted for people who made the rules, not that they voted for those people to make the rules. I think it unlikely that the politicians stance on this issue impacted their vote one way or the other.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    6. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

      It's just not the case. 'Green' position became electoral gold - politicians moved that way in order to attract more votes.

    7. Re:Armchair heroics by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      They are honest about WANTING those things. 7 in 10 want them until they find out it requires something like changing a lightbulb. 1 in 10 of them are willing to put the effort in and change their behaviour.

    8. Re:Armchair heroics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      They moved that way to attract the votes of the people who are single issue voters on that subject. Most people do not care one way or the other on such issues. Of course the worst part is that recycling rules generally favor businesses which "recycle" over policies which improve the use of materials (that is, it puts money into the pockets of companies which collect recyclables, whether or not there is any use for the products so recycled, or any value to the environment from doing so).

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    9. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

      Again, the nature of democracy means that is simply not the case - there wouldn't have been enough numbers for a majority if that were true, and the mainstream parties would not have shifted position. They aren't single issue voters - such voters were likely voting for the Green Party anyway.

    10. Re:Armchair heroics by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 2

      Everyone SAYS they want cleaner air, less pollution, and to stop global warming. They just want everyone else to stop consuming so they don't have to.

      There is a social psychology where people are only willing to change/sacrifice if people around them are doing the same. This is why we need individuals that will get the ball rolling and why we need entertainment media to put a lot of positive emphasis on things that are good for the environment without being so extreme as to alienate the audience. If every home makeover show included changing homes over to solar and battery then you would have a lot more people doing the same.

      Behavior (both social and individual) is based on feedback loops, so the stronger the feedback the faster the change.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    11. Re:Armchair heroics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The nature of being right means that you just aren't. A politician holds more views than just about issues on global warming. His opponent also holds views. When you have a choice between someone you disagree with on 90% of their views and another who you disagree with 50%, you will vote for the 50%.(Those % are pulled out of my butt. YMMV) But just because someone is willing to do something about climate change, doesn't mean someone who disagrees climate change is real won't vote for them. A politician has a multitude of positions, and many people take all those positions into account. Some people may even deny climate change but still want to make sure we have clean air to breathe. Or that lakes don't all turn purple due to pollution. It's been shown that a vocal minority in democracies can get their way quite easily. You don't need a majority of the people.

    12. Re:Armchair heroics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a social psychology where people are only willing to change/sacrifice if people around them are doing the same. This is why we need individuals that will get the ball rolling and why we need entertainment media to put a lot of positive emphasis on things that are good for the environment without being so extreme as to alienate the audience. If every home makeover show included changing homes over to solar and battery then you would have a lot more people doing the same.

      Get off it. In many countries, the most-watched and most-discussed channels are sports. Particularly by non-practitioners of staggering degree. Why should idolatry work any better with being environment-friendly?

    13. Re:Armchair heroics by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      1 in 10 of them are willing to put the effort in and change their behaviour.

      And 1 in 1000 are willing to switch to cold showers. But somebody else should make changes.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    14. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

      And again - some make-up of that 50% or 90% will be 'green' policies. If I 45% agreed with you before, but now like your climate change policies it might tip me over the 50% needed to vote for you.

    15. Re:Armchair heroics by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      In other words, people being FORCED to change their behavior. If people were truly WILLING to make changes to their lifestyle, you would not need rules, people would do these things without them.

      So, you have noticed that people generally don't change until circumstances force them to. Congratulations, welcome to reality. Do you pretend you are not also this way? Sure, if men were angels no government would be necessary. And if my aunt were a man she'd be my uncle. You can be pissed about it if you want, but it changes nothing and only results in you being pissed off.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    16. Re:Armchair heroics by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      And everybody wants to save the planet but no one wants to help mom with the dishes.

    17. Re:Armchair heroics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      The original poster stated that saying that "8 in 10 are willing to change their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe" does not mean anything. That in fact 10 out of 10 are not willing to do anything unless forced to do something. mcalli used the fact that in the UK the politicians had forced people to do something as evidence that people were willing to do something without being forced.

      I am not pissed, except at someone claiming that people support the government forcing people to do something is evidence that people are willing to change without being forced to change.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    18. Re:Armchair heroics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If every home makeover show included changing homes over to solar and battery then you would have a lot more people doing the same.

      And what about the 95% of Americans that lack the means to do a 20-40k power install with the hope that it will pay itself back in 20 years?

      You could start the ball rolling yourself by giving away solar installs instead of guilt tripping people that do not have the means to comply.

    19. Re:Armchair heroics by Ranbot · · Score: 1

      A different and less flamey way to say this is what people say they will do and what they actually do are often very different. You can't trust people to be honest about themselves in a poll and many polls are essentially useless to predict actual behavior. This is well know to any researcher studying behavior (e.g. psychology, sociology, marketing, politics, economics, etc.) where they often purposely avoid direct polls, will trick study participants, and/or find other data sets that better indicate what people actually do and think.

    20. Re:Armchair heroics by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      That's one of the things government does: get everybody doing the same thing when necessary.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    21. Re: Armchair heroics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And people in the UK recycle and it's not seen as any big deal to do so. It's now just a normal activity and not an imposition. Most recycling centres now separate items, so it just goes in a differently coloured wheelie bin if it's recyclable. It's not hard to put cans, plastic, paper in one bin, other stuff in another. And my food waste goes in the composter.

    22. Re:Armchair heroics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everyone SAYS they want cleaner air, less pollution, and to stop global warming. They just want everyone else to stop consuming so they don't have to.

      There is a social psychology where people are only willing to change/sacrifice if people around them are doing the same. This is why we need individuals that will get the ball rolling and why we need entertainment media to put a lot of positive emphasis on things that are good for the environment without being so extreme as to alienate the audience. If every home makeover show included changing homes over to solar and battery then you would have a lot more people doing the same.

      Behavior (both social and individual) is based on feedback loops, so the stronger the feedback the faster the change.

      Uh, nice theory. But look at the average sports fan.

    23. Re:Armchair heroics by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      No, the problem is that many people view the changes they're being asked to make as useless / feel good only.
      For example, if I told you to give me all of your money and I can guarantee I would find a cure for cancer--you'd be skeptical, and rightly so.
      People for years have been lectured on what's "good" for them, often finding later it was wrong.
      Why would you be surprised that many are skeptical now?

      Nuclear Power produces no CO2 emissions. Yet I've had self-identified greens almost foaming at the mouth to tell me how bad it is, because RADIATION. Then, in the next sentence, they're lecturing me on the science of global warning and how limiting methane emissions from cows in California will solve climate change.
      Everyone's illogical on the subject, depending their personal weirdness.

    24. Re:Armchair heroics by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      oddly enough, I consider it my duty to always lie to anyone conducting a poll.

    25. Re:Armchair heroics by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      I'm often surprisingly shocked by this:
      How many people go on and on about global warming, or refugees, or any other number of hot button topics-- but won't help a friend fix a car, or help their family with a small task, or find it OK to steal things from a a store because "they're corporate".

      There's a radio personality the other day who always harps on animal rights and refugees, and just admitted a few years ago that they helped a friend steal a car.

      You know who I trust? the one who helps mom with the dishes.

  8. Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Climate change, with the sea level rising 1m every 1000 years - is CATASTROPHIC. Something must be done! But uncontrolled immigration from islamic countries and the almost weekly terror attacks just means you have to get used to it. Oh well.

    1. Re:Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It takes only a few millimeters of water to make it start flowing over whatever is keeping it in place.

    2. Re:Yeah by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      So ... kill all Muslims to fight global warming? Is that your message? Or why do you conflate them?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Muslims coming from third world countries increase the population of first world countries, causing more global warming.

      Also, for the cost that it takes to resettle one migrant/refugee in the West, you could resettle 11 in the Middle East. Where they speak the language and actually have a chance of succeeding. Bringing Arabs to Europe makes about as much sense as sending Katrina refugees to inner Mongolia.

    4. Re: Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Earth's geography changes all the time and it is completely natural. Islands wiped off the map. Metropolitan cities under water. Completely natural, fully expected, and entirely unpreventable.

    5. Re: Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Careful. Liberals tend to get triggered when you display flaws in their logic.

    6. Re: Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Triggered? How dare you use such an offensive term for those with actual mental issues... Like your average illiberal progressive.

    7. Re:Yeah by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I like that idea. You do that, take those 11 people and ... what do you mean, they don't let you?

      I know this is alien to you, but you might have to learn that the hard way: People don't like to be told what to do. No, not even by the all-knowing, ever-so-wise US.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  9. And in other news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Approximately 8 in 10 people are also idiots. Funny how those numbers line up.

    1. Re: And in other news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know you are, but what am I?!

  10. Reality Check by hyades1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It really doesn't matter if 99 out of 100 people see climate change as a real threat. As long as the top 1% keep earning billions of dollars off the status quo, and understand they will be protected from the effects, nothing is going to change.

    --
    I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    1. Re:Reality Check by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I never have understood - it should be easy for the 1% to consider the wider world and the impact of their behaviour (compared with a poverty line individual that can only make choices on how to survive to the next day) - why can they not?

    2. Re:Reality Check by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Because "fuck you, got mine."

    3. Re:Reality Check by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you still drive a car? Do you still but electricity from a power plant ?

    4. Re: Reality Check by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lol you can't point the finger at car owners. If you're going to go after someone, it's clearly the auto manfacturers.

    5. Re: Reality Check by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Al Gore, for example?

    6. Re:Reality Check by tbannist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It really doesn't matter if 99 out of 100 people see climate change as a real threat. As long as the top 1% keep earning billions of dollars off the status quo, and understand they will be protected from the effects, nothing is going to change.

      You know, that only works as long as that 1% can convince enough of the 99% that it's not really a problem. And really, I don't think the top 1% are actually aligned on doing nothing. Of course, they're divided over the whether to take action, often based on whether or not they are invested in the industries that will be hurt by taking action.

      One of the problems of some of this anti-climate change lobbying that people like Rupert Murdoch (owner of coal mines) have engaged in, is that they've spawned groups they can't really control. Trump is the end result of trying to stir up opposition to reasonable policies. If you can't trust the government, can't trust science and can't trust the media, who are people supposed to trust? They set the stage for the rise of Trump and we can only hope that they live to reap the bitter fruits of their labours.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    7. Re:Reality Check by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It kind of does matter.......for example, Germany is now making huge attempts to switch to renewable energy. Not because it's cheaper (or even because it's achievable) but because enough of the population wants it enough to vote based on it.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  11. So what? Three letters: WTO. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We already have that shit.

    Hell, I'll give you another three letters that denote the most valuable target for lobbying: USA.

    Not that the IPCC is not being lobbied to shit and back, with the deniers lobbying about how it's all fake.

  12. Need smarter zombies. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's always changed for a reason. Today that reason is humans burning fossil fuels.

    people have always died. So we drop murder and manslaughter from the books?

    1. Re:Need smarter zombies. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >We humans are burning fossil fuels
      If you would be patient, we're almost done with that. Autonomous electric vehicles will be hitting the streets in the next two years, and they will be so cheap that no-one will ever want to own a car again. There goes our oil consumption. Then throw in the economies of scale and technological advances in solar, and coal is getting to be very expensive.

      And that doesn't even take into account new technologies like thorium fission or fusion.

      The AGW industry will only set those trends back by damaging the economy. We NEED fossil fuels as a boot loader into cleaner methods of living.

    2. Re:Need smarter zombies. by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      If you would be patient, we're almost done with that. Autonomous electric vehicles will be hitting the streets in the next two years, and they will be so cheap that no-one will ever want to own a car again

      LOL, so they have global warming on your planet too?

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
  13. Not science, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the past most doctors didn't believe bacteria didn't cause disease, and many people died from this.

    The percentage of believers doesn't prove facts. It proves belief.

  14. ineffectual governing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Trump trumps a resurgence of oil and coal as a fix to the american job market and economy when the world has moved on - the money is in renewables and he doesn't understand. His gestures toward re-enegising coal and the total indifference of the market to them shows how out of touch he is.

  15. Actually the earth has been cooling! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For a vast and clear majority of earth's history, the climate has been much warmer then it is now. In fact, just 50 million years ago, the earth was about 12C warmer then it is today. Some of the data sets used by the climate change crowd only cover 1880 to the present. This is not even a sliver of geologic time.

    1. Re:Actually the earth has been cooling! by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yes, but for the vast and clear majority of earth's history, humans didn't want to survive on its surface. Including 50 million years ago.

      But then again, we also have not even been around for even a sliver of geologic time. Like the old joke says

      Planet 1: Dude, you look horrible, what's going on with you?
      Planet 2: I have homo sapiens
      Planet 1: Ah, don't worry. It will pass.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re:Actually the earth has been cooling! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, just 50 million years ago, the earth was about 12C warmer then it is today.

      Really? Well, maybe that's why conditions weren't ripe for the rise of advanced mammals, like humans.

  16. Where you will then point out they're out of touch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And that they're kooks who live in mud huts and eat organic berries and tofu and want everyone else to be that way so they can and should be ignored.

    "Lead by example"???? Hell, the first world needs to try it for once instead of demanding China, India and Africa need to do something first.

  17. Re:There's no such thing as Climate Change by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    I think I have the perfect guy for that job. He's experienced with delivering, spreading and repeating that kind of information.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  18. Re:CO2 is good for The plants by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    I also recommend reading about what levels of CO2 are toxic to humans, because I don't give a fuck what plants need if I'm dead.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  19. Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Are you "ready to make changes to your standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe"? OK, here we go.

    We believe that the most likely reason for what seems an unnatural climate change is the huge amount of CO2 emissions provoked by humankind ('s industrialisation) during over the last 200 years. As far as you are willing to do all what is in your hand to minimise the impact of this likely-to-be-so-dangerous output of our modern society, I understand that you are ready to stop using:
    - Any machine requiring combustion to run. Examples: all your vehicles (electrical or similar ones can run without generating CO2, although they have certainly generated some at different points like when being built, transported, repaired, etc.; they also generate CO2 indirectly via power plants as explained below), including the ones you use sporadically and/or transport gods which you use in any way (planes or ships) and even the ones used for your amusement (motor sports).
    - All the industrial processes requiring some combustion and outputting goods/services which you consume at any point (directly, a big proportion of the current power plants; indirectly, all the remaining ones by relying on combustion-based processes at any point to complement their usual activity or as part of required manufacturing, transportation, etc. processes; note that the aforementioned electric vehicles are also generating CO2 indirectly via the way in which the electricity they need is generated). Forget about your clothes, your supermarkets, your computers, etc.
    - Any scientific, research facility or study involving the consumption of relevant amounts of energy. You have to get rid of all the universities, research centres, big research facilities, etc.
    -etc.

    Let's assume that you do all this, that you also convince the whole humankind to join you and that we can reach a stage where the worldwide CO2 generation gets down to about the natural levels (= plants + animals + us generating just a bit more). In that case and by assuming that our theories are right (the climate variation isn't provoked by natural causes) how are you planning to remove all the additional CO2 generated so far? Perhaps this is already enough to provoke an inevitable catastrophe within the next years, who knows for sure?

    I am a firm believer in each-single-bit-counts kind of approaches and also think that environment-concerned ideas are rarely a bad thing. A completely different story is building up a world of lies and misinformation where you can save the world just by buying a brand new car! Step by step, always in the right direction, but never falling for magical, crazily stupid or manipulating nonsense. Out of all the problems of our planet, CO2 generation is one of the less important ones simply because we cannot perform relevant changes on this front (or perhaps we could but don't really want). Sadly, most of CO2-concerned policies are promoted by commercial, egoist, short-sighted interests whose main goals are helping themselves rather than the planet.

    --
    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    1. Re:Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Apparently, my statement was overrated. I am sure that the unnatural CO2 emissions of the person modding this post down (fun fact: being overrated is the most common reason why my posts get modded down since a while ago) are virtually zero. This down-vote was most likely delivered through a magical device powered by unicorn smiles and connected to internet via good intentions. I have so much to learn from the brave, coherent and understanding behaviour of this downvoter!

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    2. Re:Yeah, sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sadly, most of CO2-concerned policies are promoted by commercial, egoist, short-sighted interests whose main goals are helping themselves rather than the planet.
       
      Your point is worth discussion but markets don't exist independent of customers. I'd like to think that if people are really willing to cut back on their own lifestyles they'd go the extra mile to ensure that those that they do business with also take up on the responsible thing to do.
       
      Aside from that, there have been "studies" that claim that runaway greenhouse environments are unlikely on Earth. The sooner we pull back the reigns the better.

    3. Re:Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Your point is worth discussion but markets don't exist independent of customers

      "Let's do the right thing" has always been a best-seller, but not always too realistic on account of the short-sighted and conformist nature of humankind. Everyone wants to save the earth and to do it easily without renouncing to all what they have. My point wasn't arguing against the attractiveness of the premises, but about their actual applicability and the honesty of certain claims. Everyone wants to save the world, but nobody wants to renounce to our combustion(= CO2-generating)-based industrialised society.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    4. Re:Yeah, sure by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Those changes would kill most of the human race anyway, so less major changes to slow down global warming are likely to save many more lives. We're more likely to do well with functioning economies and technological development. With a catastrophic return to medieval technology, for example, we're never going to do any geoengineering.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    5. Re:Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Those changes would kill most of the human race anyway, so less major changes to slow down global warming are likely to save many more lives

      These generic ideas might be applicable in certain situations on account of the conditions; the problem is that the conditions here aren't precisely favourable. Let's forget for one second about all the CO2 which we have been accumulating during the last quite a few years and assume that we only need to worry about what we generate from now on. Imagine now that we divide all the global CO2 emissions among each single person and that we get 100 for each of us. Out of this 100, the contribution of your car might be 0.000[...].1 and the one from all the industrial processes required to design, manufacture, transport, run, repair, etc. your car might be 5; same story with your air conditioning/heating, your computer, what you eat or wear, etc.

      As said, I am completely pro bit-by-bit improvements and am sure that having environmental-concerned behaviours is positive. But don't lie to yourself by thinking that your contribution is more relevant than what it truly is. Or even better: don't think that people and organisations actually taking care of all this should be really concerned about CO2; this is an eminently commercial/trendy concern, mostly used by people with not much technical knowledge (and/or not too honest) to convince other people with not much technical knowledge (and/or naive and/or gullible and/or looking-for-easy-solutions and/or wanting-to-feel-better-without-actually-renouncing-to-anything, etc.). It might also be good to not forget that the whole climate change is just a theory dealing with an extreme complex reality about which we don't know too much. Reducing the amount of human-made dirt is certainly good, let's do it! But let's also not invent apocalyptic scenarios or unnmotivatedly favour a specific emission type which, objectively speaking, isn't the best candidate to be worried about (e.g., CO2 isn't directly harmful for plants/animals and there is no way to avoid it to happen as far as it is a natural output of combustion).

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    6. Re:Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      I am very happy to announce that the second down-vote which my original post got was also because of being overrated! Down-modders might not like me or what I say, but at least they think that I behave consistently!!! This can easily be the happiest day of my life: random people non-constructively censoring what I write in internet think that I have a consistent(ly overrated) behaviour! Hurray!

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  20. Truth does not matter, salesmanship! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since the anthropogenic meme is now proven to be a media and money driven meme, with little truth to it - interesting how effective that media campaign has been. As scientific evidence continues to build that the warming models were and are seriously flawed and inaccurate, the media and educational systems have obscured the facts and are effectively brainwashing the majority.

  21. This is actually good news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. Find a way to reach out to 8 in 10 people
    2. Tell them I can fix climate change in exchange for their money and control over their lives
    3. $$$$ PROFIT $$$$

    Early retirement here I come...

  22. starvation & deception leading killers of us s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    highest rate of death is kids... rockets red glare babys bursting in air... stick in the mud diaper addicts have no advocacy... cease fire stand down... voluntarily disarm our generational genocidal psychopath wmd on credit addict self appointed abuse based religious franchise corepirate nazi rulerships.. that's the spirit... you know the tune.. thanks again...

  23. Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lets get real, people. The United States is NOT the world. Do the correct thing and take a pole of Americans about this. We need to stand independently of the world and make our own decisions.

    1. Re:Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Poles help us stand independently. Got it.

    2. Re:Warming? by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      I took a Pole once and got charged with the federal crime of kidnapping.

      A poll of 10 people revealed 9/10 thought taking a Pole was a bad idea.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    3. Re: Warming? by Entrope · · Score: 2

      You forgot to pole Poll-land.

    4. Re:Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When polled, 9 out of 10 people enjoyed gang rape.

  24. And 55% believe Russia hacked the election by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Coincidence?

  25. Needs a less biased survey group by Togden · · Score: 1

    I'd say its more accurate, from the group of laymen I use for my "What do the masses think" questions, to say that at least 8 out of 10 people don't give a toss what happens to the environment. And they aren't even that stupid.

    1. Re:Needs a less biased survey group by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Yes but 5 of those 10 people live in nations likely to receive trillions of dollars in "climate reparations".

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  26. Yes, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Very encouraging, but how many of those 8 out of 10 are in governments?

  27. no way!! by markdavis · · Score: 3

    >"it may be time to create a new global organization -- with power to enforce its decisions[...]have their country give up some level of sovereignty to make that happen."

    THAT would be the worst mistake ever, especially for the USA. We have already seen many of the things "the world" would want to do and much of it runs contrary to the Constitution.

    1. Re:no way!! by Godwin+O'Hitler · · Score: 1

      Maybe it's the constitution that runs contrary to the world.

      --
      No, your children are not the special ones. Nor are your pets.
    2. Re:no way!! by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Considering the number of right-wing extremists in the hinterlands that swear they'll shoot blue-hats (UN Peacekeeping Forces) on sight; what could go wrong?

      This thought process is exactly why Trump is President. Globalism doesn't get traction in the United States because in the US sovereignty is passed from We the People to Government, not from a higher power down to government.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    3. Re:no way!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, like the Geneva convention, and the chemical weapons treaty. Can't haves that.

    4. Re:no way!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank Odin there.

      Ferret

  28. Give us your name and address by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And if in 10 years it's gone up by more than 10cm/4in, we can take your stuff and throw you out into some third world country with no money and give your home to two families from that country, right? That's 10x the rate you claim, so you should be golden, right?

  29. Number of rational folks up by Dahlgil · · Score: 1

    Cool. Looks like the number of rational folks out there is up to 2 out of 10 now.

    1. Re:Number of rational folks up by mean+pun · · Score: 1

      Cool. Looks like the number of rational folks out there is up to 2 out of 10 now.

      That sounds like that joke about a guy listening to the radio in his car:

      Announcer: Warning: there is a car going the wrong way on the I666, near exit 42.

      Driver: One car? I see dozens of them.

  30. im sorry but i dont believe in polls anymore by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    its not only the numbers that sound invented, but the part about being fine about sacrificing standards of living sounds blatantly fake

  31. Action needed regardless of cause by sjbe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Whether or not you believe humans are responsible for climate change, the evidence is clear that climate change is occurring. A great many of the follow on consequences of climate change are highly predictable and many of them are bad. As such, logically it is almost irrelevant whether or not humans are the driver of the change even though the evidence seems bullet proof that we are responsible. Either way it clear that it is happening and it is equally clear is something we need to plan for and quite likely attempt to mitigate. You don't have to believe humans are responsible for it to be logical for us to take substantial action on the problem. It's really no different in principle than a volcano erupting - we still have to take action to address the consequences.

    Of course the sticky bit of the problem is that dealing with the issue requires human action which will come at a cost. The only (sort of) sane reason to not act to deal with climate change is because someone has economic self interest interest in ignoring the problem. It's understandable if not justifiable. There are of course a few illogical reasons why people oppose taking action the most notable of which seems to be tribalism. Thing is that whether people believe in it or not they will end up dealing with the problem sooner or later. The cost of dealing with it sooner is lower but human nature being what it is it's not clear if that will happen before there are some severe consequences.

    1. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      > Whether or not you believe humans are responsible for climate change, the evidence is clear that climate change is occurring.

      Being worried on climate change is like being worried on gravity. It's there. You can't avoid it. Has there ever been a time when climate has not changed? Not too long ago Time magazine had cover where the biggest worry was looming ice age.

      Climate changes. Always. Once you make climate change your enemy to fight against, you'll be getting never ending budget.

    2. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    3. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, just like that bridge scam we all bought into because of that gravity problem. Gravity is never going away, why do we waste billions of dollars on bridges trying to fight it?

    4. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by Evil+Kerek · · Score: 1

      Actually it's anything but clear WHAT is causing it. That's the fallacy in all of this.

    5. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fair enough. Since the climate is continually changing, and that is in some part natural, just specify what the right amount of climate change is, so we can spend billions and, it appears, start the beginnings of worldwide totalitarianism to reach the right temperature number.

    6. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Clearly, the primary cause is us burning fossil fuels. That's been nailed down pretty well. We're putting more CO2 into the atmosphere, and the CO2 from fossil fuels is getting in there. More CO2 is more warming, as we've known for over a century. The amount of warming is pretty much what is to be expected given the increased CO2 (there's a range there). If we're not causing most global warming, we've got some research to do about why not.

      In any case, putting less CO2 into the air will mean we warm up more slowly.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    7. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by sjbe · · Score: 1

      Being worried on climate change is like being worried on gravity. It's there. You can't avoid it. Has there ever been a time when climate has not changed?

      The climate hasn't changed dramatically for several thousand years and there is copious evidence to indicate that modern human industrial activity (particularly fossil fuel burning) is throwing the global climate out of whack. While there are things humans cannot control, our own activity is not among them.

      Not too long ago Time magazine had cover where the biggest worry was looming ice age.

      Is Time magazine a respected science journal? Maybe not the best source.

  32. It's not about the science by sjbe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The percentage of believers doesn't prove facts. It proves belief.

    Missing the point. The point is that when enough people get behind an idea it becomes possible to take meaningful action. This is a political survey regarding the effectiveness of scientific communication. The science is what it is and this survey does not deal with the science. The debate is largely a political and economic one and this seemingly is ammunition in that debate.

    1. Re:It's not about the science by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      The survey is a lie. Its an obvious lie by a global warming alarmist agenda newly founded group. If you want a real survey, here it is: http://data.myworld2015.org/ Even the UN cant massage the data of its own survey. Climate change is DEAD last issue around the world.

    2. Re:It's not about the science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a political survey regarding the effectiveness of political propaganda dressed in science garb.

      FTFY

    3. Re:It's not about the science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Check out Richard Frynman's quick introduction to science for a brief introduction as to why you're logic is wrong:
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KmimDq4cSU

      Belief is a square in Pascal's wager where you cannot prove the impossible but have to deal with the risk that the impossible might happen.

      The argument 'for' man made global warming denies the sun has any role in climate. Denies clouds have any role in climate. Denies gravatational energy has any role on the climate. Denies the magnetic shield generated by the earths core which deflects solar radiation has any effect on the climate.

      As you can see, there is alot of denial assumed when saying 'man made global warming is real'. The truth is, the world is a much more complicated place than they would lead you to believe.

  33. Yer All Pansies by boudie2 · · Score: 1

    Don't know if global warming will be our demise. Do know 2 things. Some people lie and some people will believe anything. Humans would be funny, if there weren't so many of them.

  34. Re:Learn some math! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Use your brain please! 84% is 8/10 when rounding to the nearest multiple of 10, but you could also say it's nearly 9/10. If you use a bit of logic all those statements are true. Stop making pointless pedantic comments when you disagree with something, and especially don't do it when you're comments are just wrong!

  35. Tragedy of the Commons by hipp5 · · Score: 2

    Nearly nine in 10 people say they are ready to make changes to their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe

    Well of course they would. Faced with a clear path to avert catastrophe, people will take it. If you tell people "do this thing, or your life will be ruined", they'll probably do that thing. The problem is that the path to averting climate catastrophe is too abstract from peoples' daily lives. Right now it's more like "do this thing, and depending on whether or not other people do similar things, your life might not be ruined."

    Avoiding catastrophic climate change will take a huge collective action. But since each of our individual actions have a small effect on their own, it's hard for our brains to balance the pain/cost of those actions with a benefit. Few people are willing to lower their standard of living without a clear link between their particular sacrifice and avoiding catastrophe.

    I'm not sure I'm providing any insight into how to solve this problem, but rather that it's not too surprising to see the results as worded.

    1. Re: Tragedy of the Commons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I will fly commercial instead of taking a private jet and I will sell my 25,000 sq ft mansion to move into a tiny apartment without air conditioning.

      What are you going to give up, Leo? How about you, Al?

    2. Re:Tragedy of the Commons by will_die · · Score: 1

      Or for a simpler explanation people are being forced everywhere into believing that we are already in a climate catastrophe, or past the point of no return if you believe the scientists.
      That nearly 9 in 10 would make future changes means they don't believe that there is a current problem. Or in other words as long as you talk the talk on climate change that is all that matters.

    3. Re:Tragedy of the Commons by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      My expected remaining lifespan is very roughly 20 years, and I'm pretty well-off financially. I really doubt that the next 30 years of global warming would ruin my life. It might inconvenience me (chocolate might get very scarce, for example, and food prices will probably rise), but I'll be OK.

      However, we have seen examples of willing lifestyle changes in wartime. Most civilians have been willing to make sacrifices to wage war, as long as they believed the war was a good idea, even when their own sacrifice had only a miniscule effect.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    4. Re:Tragedy of the Commons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nearly nine in 10 people say they are ready to make changes to their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe

      Well of course they would. Faced with a clear path to avert catastrophe, people will take it.

      Since when?

  36. Uh, where does it say it was green? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It was relatively milder, but you go there now and see hw much headroom is left between "green" and "milder".

  37. Excellent! No need for government involvement! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is fantastic news! If 8 in 10 people believe that "Climate Change" is such a dire problem, then there's no need for a bunch of new government rules & regulations. All of those concerned people need to focus on changing their own lifestyles rather than trying to micro-manage the rest of us.

    1. Re: Excellent! No need for government involvement! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's goverments job to force the remaining 20% into compliants. Everyone needs to be on bored with this. The life of the planet is at stake.

  38. 8 ot of 10 people don't know much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "But is it true?" comes to mind as the next question.

  39. 8 in 10 people see climate change news on Slashdot by ET3D · · Score: 1

    as less interesting than Trump news.

  40. No, we don't need them. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Indeed we should stop burning that stuff because plastics and other chemicals are better made with them than just combusting them. What we need is power and a stable climate. Because without a stable climate our infrastructure will be out of place and we would need to spend time and money and effort in moving rather than progressing to a cleaner future.

  41. Elites should put up or shut up by schwit1 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    We really should ban air conditioning in the District of Columbia and tax the blue zones, just to be on the safe side.

    I’ll believe global warming is a crisis, when the people who scream it’s a crisis start to act like it’s a crisis themselves.

    1. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd also like to know what the ideal global temperature is, supposedly.

    2. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Nah - they'll keep milking Climate Change Catastrofarianism for taxpayer funds. It's What they Do.

    3. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by LtNacho · · Score: 1

      The solution isn't going to be a few people turning off their AC. We need a regulatory (like your ban, but not just on liberals) or economic solutions (like subsidies or externality pricing) to do anything meaningful. So you aren't going to see a bunch of "elites" forcing themselves into poverty or suffering when it isn't going to make much of a difference. Look up the tragedy of the commons. This isn't going to be solved by individuals changing their behavior.

    4. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It isn't going to be solved by individuals keeping to the status quo either. The force of the individual is a sign of good faith in their promise. Without that you have nothing to bring to the table for those who are resistant. If you have a better way that is still livable then shut up and show us.

      Ultimately, if you don't clean up your own backyard don't expect anyone else in your neighborhood to do it either.

    5. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I think a good idea would be to force Congress to carpool to work, an even better idea is we pick who rides with whom. I think we could put a dent in the public debt by selling subscriptions to the interior cam feed of Harry Reid and Chuck Schumer or Paul Ryan and Nancy Pelosi riding into work together everyday for 13 weeks!
      No, scratch Paul Ryan and Nancy Pelosi , Representatives should ride public transportation, only Senators should be privileged with car pooling.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    6. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by Baron_Yam · · Score: 1

      I agree in principle that having our lawmakers forced to live more like 'the common rabble' would be a good thing.

      However, when one person's time (or lack thereof) could cause them to read a little less of the legislation they already do a terrible job of reviewing, you start to see the problems that a car and driver might be reducing.

      Maybe we should have 'government housing' - where they are forced to take up residence near their place of work. A decent home would be a job perk, and they could walk or bike to the office. It could be operated like a condo community - the individual houses wouldn't need to be particularly large, because there would be common facilities for various activities, and they wouldn't need a home office given the real thing would be a short walk away.

    7. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Cool Idea, the only channels they'd get on TV is CSPAN.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    8. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by LtNacho · · Score: 1

      Well - I built a small, well insulated house (1500sq ft), put up solar panels, have a very efficient geothermal system for heating and cooling, and drive a small, efficient car. I do what I can, but it's not enough.

  42. Looks like the propaganda campaign by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...is bearing fruit.

  43. Re: CO2 is good for The plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There shall be no common sense here!

  44. Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Most political AGW "fixes" involve taxing CO2, not methane. Methane produced mostly by farmers, who lobby heavily, and are in Iowa the first presidential caucus. If you are interested in winning elections and don't care about solving AGW you need to not admit methane is a bigger problem, which is what liberals do.
    Taxing CO2 is taxing the middle class, which to liberals is perfectly acceptable. As the DNC has shown, screw the middle class and lose the "blue wall". Instead of admitting they hate the working class they come up with "Its the Russians" when they lose.

    Now that the reason they tax the wrong things is covered, lets see what happens with that tax money... It goes to Solyndra, which ended up producing nothing of value and was split up and sold off in pieces. However they did donate heavily to Obama's election. Along with Fisker Auto (not even an American company, but owned by Al Gore), and A123 again who heavily donated to the DNC and was sold off to China.

    So looking at how the DNC deals with AGW, they tax people who they think aren't likely to hurt them in elections, and give that tax money to people who help them get elected and don't seem to care if it helps with AGW at all.

    Put me down as the guy who looked at the solutions put into place to solve AGW and noticed it doesn't actually help but is a money scheme for the DNC instead.

    1. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most political AGW "fixes" involve taxing CO2, not methane. Methane produced mostly by farmers, who lobby heavily, and are in Iowa the first presidential caucus. If you are interested in winning elections and don't care about solving AGW you need to not admit methane is a bigger problem, which is what liberals do.

      Everyone needs to not admit methane is a bigger problem, because methane is not a bigger problem. There's about 220 times as much CO2 in the atmosphere as methane, and it sticks around, whereas methane has a lifetime of 9-12 years. That said, if we keep pumping enough CO2 into the atmosphere, methane clathrates (which have nothing to do with farming) could become a very large problem, potentially even global extinction level.

    2. Re:Let me help by mellon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Methane is a hugely valuable resource. What blows my mind is how many people are leaving that money on the table. Methane from farms is zero-impact, because it comes through a renewal cycle, not from fossil fuels. If you put all your manure in methane digesters, you can generate a fuck-ton of power from it, and as a bonus, what comes out of the digester is a lot less nasty to dispose of.

    3. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      And here is the anti-science, increase middle class taxes, liberal. Every scientific study says methane is a massive problem, but since the "regulators" set the rules to measure over 100 years instead of 20, they can ignore methane and the dreaded taxing people that help me get elected.

      Methane - 8% of greenhouse emissions, x86 times the impact of CO2 (Yes, that makes is a significantly bigger problem than CO2). Completely ignored by anti-science DNC who sets taxing policy based on who they don't like, not based on science.

      Just look at proposed solutions and what has been done or is proposed and you QUICKLY see that they don't see it as a problem. They see it as tax revenue to give to people who help them get elected. They don't care about AGW in the least.

    4. Re: Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One CH4 ==> 3CO2 if I remember my chemistry, so that "decay" you are talking about really isn't such a good thing.

      Oh, to the folks thinking the US is headed to be some third world country, you have 80% agreement and you still can't get anything real done about it. The US will lead eventually, like we always do.

      And to the folks blaming republicans, the distrust of Al Gore set the global warming folks back decades in this country.

    5. Re:Let me help by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      LOL. Since when do the big city Liberals have any love of the solid red farming heartland? According to the Conservatives the Democrats are trying to ruin farmers with EPA rules on pesticide use and fertilizer runoffs

    6. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Where is this liberals don't care about methane BS coming from? I remember the Obama admin creating regulations to force frackers to capture methane venting during drilling operations while I saw that was quickly undone by Trump. Most people I know are ready to take on Climate Change from every angle necessary, no golden cows.

      Let's be honest with ourselves, democrats aren't the problem with Climate Change. Al Gore and every destroy the middle class type argument are just more fake news frothing up from the merchants of doubt.

    7. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      Story of Al Gore admitting he lied about corn subsidies in order to win elections.

      Citation provided. What where you lying about again?

    8. Re:Let me help by PoopJuggler · · Score: 0

      Once again, right-wing idiocy conflating the two things. What you fail to grasp is that you won't have any fucken farmland left to farm after you pollute it all into a toxic wasteland. Sure, your kids will have three arms and a tail, but I fail to see that as a tremendous advantage...

    9. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And here is the anti-science, increase middle class taxes, liberal. Every scientific study says methane is a massive problem, but since the "regulators" set the rules to measure over 100 years instead of 20, they can ignore methane and the dreaded taxing people that help me get elected.

      Methane - 8% of greenhouse emissions, x86 times the impact of CO2 (Yes, that makes is a significantly bigger problem than CO2). Completely ignored by anti-science DNC who sets taxing policy based on who they don't like, not based on science.

      Just look at proposed solutions and what has been done or is proposed and you QUICKLY see that they don't see it as a problem. They see it as tax revenue to give to people who help them get elected. They don't care about AGW in the least.

      And here is the anti-truth, twist the words of the person I'm quoting typical american political partisan. I did not say that methane is not a "massive problem", I said it is not as big a problem as CO2. Methane levels are 1080 parts per billion above pre-industrial levels. CO2 levels are 140,000 parts per billion above pre-industrial levels. Since you object to 100 year measurements, lets just go with the difference it makes RIGHT NOW, and we come up with CO2 having a 50% larger impact than methane, in terms of the amount added to the atmosphere by human activity. This is completely unrealistic comparison of the two for the long term effects, but it is the most extreme one you are going to get and it still falls short of your claims.

      As for your political ranting, maybe I'm missing something here as I'm not american, but I thought the GOP, not the DNC, was the party of choice amoung the farming communities you rail against.

    10. Re:Let me help by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Hey Asshat, CO2 is not toxic, to farming or to people. It's beneficial. It also doesn't cause mutations.

    11. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL. Since when do the big city Liberals have any love of the solid red farming heartland? According to the Conservatives the Democrats are trying to ruin farmers with EPA rules on pesticide use and fertilizer runoffs

      Maybe if you shit-kicking rednecks would stop worshiping that losing traitor Lee, admit that the south lost the war, and get over it, you might get some respect from the city dwellers. And yeah, the stupid shit-kickers living the north aren't any better spewing exactly the same shit.

    12. Re:Let me help by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Informative

      Methane - 8% of greenhouse emissions, x86 times the impact of CO2 (Yes, that makes is a significantly bigger problem than CO2).

      Methane induced warming is measured by "CO2 equivalence", so the number you are quoting is already multiplied by the potency.

      There is 200 times more CO2 than CH4 in the atmosphere.

      Methane has a much shorter half-life in the atmosphere, so it is not as much of a long term problem. Methane is 86 times as potent, but has a potency factor of 34 over a century.

      Last year, the world emitted 36B tons of CO2, and about 0.25B tons of CH4, equivalent to about 8B tons of CO2 in 100-year warming potential. So methane is a serious problem, but far less than CO2.

      Methane emissions are declining in most 1st world nations, mostly because of better wellhead equipment, but also because of declining beef consumption.

      Methane emissions are rising in less developed countries, mostly because of rising meat consumption. Taxes on beef may be able shift consumption to chicken or pork, but are unlikely to be politically feasible on a wide scale.

      Methane emissions by country.
      CO2 emissions by country.

      Disclaimer: I don't eat meat, so don't blame me.

    13. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bill, Thank you. I posted the original post, and you pointed out a flaw. I tried to come up with evidence showing you wrong, but you are not if you were honest in what you posted. However, the citation you did use for your numbers are wrong and show how messed up this all is.

      First, for the 8% (I found 10% elsewhere) that assumes no more methane ever. However, there is more methane year after year, so the "it doesn't hang around long" is pointless as long as there is more methane. So I'm not buying that point at all.

      Now getting the amount of methane produced each year appears nearly impossible. As you pointed out, they all show the same CO2 "equivalent". Which equivalent do they use? I have seen x86, x37, x25, and x21. Quite a difference, and they don't tell you. Found the % on an IPCC and they are required to use x25 because of the 100 year number they had (some rule IPCC is required to follow). x86 is the correct number scientifically, since there is more methane each year.

      So take the (10% / (x25 equivalent)) * (x86 equivalent)) if you want to be HONEST year by year, and it jumps to 34%. CO2 is about 30%, most of the rest is water vapor.

      So even with your numbers, methane is still worse. Only thing is the monkied with the numbers to the point where it makes it look less.

      IPCC assumptions for the 8-10%:
      No more methane ever, and existing methane dissipates as expected
      Methane is x25 as effective as CO2 (but we KNOW its actually x86)

      So not only did you point out a flaw, but ended up convincing me even more on specific numbers methane is worse. In addition IPCC appears to have worked the numbers around to make CO2 look worse than it is in a dishonest way. Looks like the IPCC is just pushing numbers around to get the results they want, and match what the DNC is looking for to increase middle class taxes and leave methane producers alone.

    14. Re: Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      One CH4 ==> 3CO2 if I remember my chemistry

      You mis-remember.

      CH4 + 2O2 ==> CO2 + 2H2O, during combustion.

      There's no way to produce 3 carbon atoms ("3CO2") from one carbon atom ("CH4").

    15. Re: Let me help by AaronW · · Score: 1

      One CH4 = one CO2 + 2 H2O.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    16. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those "shit kickers" make it possible for you to eat.
      If they stopped kicking the shit, all you'd have to eat would be your own. shit, that is.

    17. Re:Let me help by microbox · · Score: 1

      Methane only sits in the atmosphere if a few years. CO2 is up there for 100s of years. CO2 is what needs to be reduced.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    18. Re: Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas, but stays in the atmosphere only briefly. The thing to admit is that CO2 is the long term threat.

      Where methane might be a particular concern is when it is released in response to warming, making it both a feedback and a forcing, but that is currently from tundra, peat bogs, possibly clathrates, not cows in Iowa.

    19. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well said AC, well said.

      Ferret

    20. Re:Let me help by dddux · · Score: 1

      That is true about CO2. But too much of a good thing is also not good and he is right about one thing - that you won't have farmland to farm but if the climate changes enough. Droughts and extreme weather changes will make farming impossible.

      --
      "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." - Jiddu Krishnamurti
    21. Re:Let me help by dddux · · Score: 1

      We will have far more serious things to worry about than taxes when next extreme weather hits really hard. How about your home, food and water?

      --
      "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." - Jiddu Krishnamurti
    22. Re:Let me help by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "Last year, the world emitted 36B tons of CO2, and about 0.25B tons of CH4, equivalent to about 8B tons of CO2 in 100-year warming potential. So methane is a serious problem, but far less than CO2."

      Until you factor in stuff like the Leptav Sea emissions of methane clathrates - the plumes are reported to be over 1km wide in places

      If these ongoing emissions and the continuing incursion into the arctic of warm water from the Atlantic destabilise the siberian continental shelf clathrates then there's the potential for 1-6GT(*) of CH4 to bubble out rapidly in a new Storegga Slide with accompanying tsunamis - which will be against sparsely populate shorelines but still catastrophic.

      The global methane survey couldn't account for the origin a large chunk of the atmospheric methane it picked up and subsequently blamed cow burps as a possibility - having spoken to the people who ran the survey, it turns out that not only were they not looking at the possibility of ocean releases, they weren't aware of the Leptav Sea emissions (despite them having been increasing for a decade) and the instruments used are _only_ tuned to detect methane over land (apparently it's nearly impossible to detect it over water).

      Now they're aware of the existent and possible scale of the emissions (it's hard to verify stuff happening in russian waters, the russians aren't cooperative), they're trying to rerun what they've got to see if they can verify the emissions are as bad as suspected or whether a new mission will be required.

      (*) Noone's quite sure how much is down there. It's at least 1GT but could be as high as 8-10GT and whilst we have some idea of release volumes from the Storegga Slides, any release volume is a matter of speculation.
      It should be noted that the timeframe of the Storegga Slides and associated methane release more or less coincides with the sharp rise in temperature at the end of the last glaciation. It's a chicken and egg question if those are related, but that kind of warming in current conditions coupled with the spike in CO2 as the methane breaks down may well push us a long way along the curve towards an anoxic oceanic event and associated terrestrial animal dieback.

    23. Re:Let me help by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Methane breaks down to CO2 and H20, both of which are greenhouse gases in the troposphere.

      The issue isn't that "CO2 lingers in the atmosphere for centuries", the issue is that we're emitting more into the atmosphere each year than the planet can absorb. Until that stops, the levels will keep increasing.

      As part of that, ocean acidity levels have increased by 30% in the last couple of hundred years. The knock-on effects of _that_ are only just starting to become apparent (such as the great barrier reef bleaching now being declared as "irreversible" - when this was decried as alarmist as little as 5 years ago)

  45. create a new global organization - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    with power to enforce its decisions.

    Hm,how about no?
    NWO assholes.

  46. Too bad... by wardrich86 · · Score: 0

    Too bad the 8 people are everyday joes, and the other 2 are people in power that could make regulations to make it better.

  47. Re: CO2 is good for The plants by Entrope · · Score: 1

    At atmospheric concentration of several percent CO2, our lungs can't perform gas exchange to move CO2 from our blood to the air, and we die. That is about 100 times as much as is in the air right now (~400 ppm), and many times the point at which we have other things to worry about.

    So don't put "CO2 levels that are toxic to humans" high on your priority list of things to worry about.

  48. Doesn't matter... by kaizendojo · · Score: 0

    Because 2 of those 10 are Trump and Pence.

  49. What about the elite 1% of Slashdot? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We always hear about the elite in government circles. But I have to wonder, is there a "filter" of individuals who have taken over this site regarding some subjects to make sure they get represented in a certain way - especially with selection of original articles? Global warming is one of those subjects.

    That is not to say that I do not still find good information on a site like Slashdot. But having been on this site for over 15 years, there used to be a much greater variety of opinions expressed. This is especially so with regard to things that are not "politically correct". So Slashdot, if you are filtering in this fashion, cut it out. Eventually, everyone pays in some fashion when they promote something false.

    As far as global warming goes, if bought into, I believe it is going to be more and more expensive and destructive. And personally, I do not like buying expensive, poison kool aide for myself and family.

  50. Oh good grief! by p51d007 · · Score: 0

    8/10 people are MORONS! The globalist have hoodwinked you into believing that YOU must change your lifestyle, or the planet will suffer. Ever notice how these so called "leaders of the world", hollywood morons and leftist uber rich are the ones telling everyone they need to change THEIR livestyle, but, they continue to live in mega mansions, jet set all over the world, have 3-4 houses, 5-6 automobiles? Have you ever stopped to ask WHY they are allowed to "continue on" but everyone else should suffer? Man has very little impact on the climate of this globe. Look up the sunspot cycle and you'll have your answer, if, you are willing to be open minded and believe it!

    1. Re:Oh good grief! by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Look up the sunspot cycle and you'll have your answer, if, you are willing to be open minded and believe it!

      It sure likes you are ready to believe just about anything.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  51. just need one thing ... learn to clean up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As a species, the natural world no longer able to magically take care of our mess. We need to learn how to live like an adult, and not depend on 'mother' earth to provide free cleaning service. Doesn't matter what energy source you use now or in the future. We need to clean up after ourselves. Radio toxic waste, carbon dioxide, rare earth metal to produce solar panel, battery, etc. For far too long, we do not include clean up cost in our elevation of living standard. Moving to a shinny new energy source does not and should not relieve ourselves such responsibility, we are just generating another pile of garbage that the next generation 'discover' that is also un-sustainable.

  52. The real solution may be dirt cheap... by Acron · · Score: 2

    From MIT's Technology Review:

    https://www.technologyreview.c...

    So why aren't we talking about spending a few hundred million into engineering R&D to come up with this potentially real and very inexpensive kind of a solution as quickly as possible? Why are we instead talking about huge bureaucracies and trillions of dollars in carbon taxes for forever? That's because we're allowing politicians etal come up with the solution, instead of engineers and scientists.

    1. Re:The real solution may be dirt cheap... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Well, taxes are a tried-and-true method of implementing market correction by taking advantage of market forces. As we all know the cheaper solution usually wins in the marketplace, so taxing CO2 emitting energy sources either as a revenue-neutral behaviour modification or to pay for the externalized costs of CO2 emissions is an approach that is known to work and has only a few known, unintended consequences (mostly tax-avoiding black market activity).

      We do not know what will happen if we try to modify the entire earth's atmosphere by spraying it with sulfuric acid, for example. Maybe it would work, but if it failed or there were unexpected side effects, the result could be worse than the problem we're trying to solve (for example, over-dimming the planet could trigger a new glacial period). So geo-engineering is a huge risk, even if everything works perfectly. And, of course, we also have to consider what happens if the geo-engineering malfunctions or is sabotaged.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    2. Re:The real solution may be dirt cheap... by Acron · · Score: 0

      Again, why do huge expensive taxes when we just need to come up with an inexpensive engineering solution to cool the planet? I'd recommend reading the article. Reducing C02 is not going to stop global warming at this point. So you're doing an expensive "solution" that isn't going to solve your problem, at least not for a long time. We're going to have to come up with the cheaper engineering solution either way. So why aren't we starting to do the R&D? Oh, because then people wouldn't want to do the big government bureaucracy high taxes approach then. A cheap engineering solution would give us time to try and avoid knee-jerk responses driven by dubious agendas. Plus that wouldn't generate big headlines and lots of eyeballs, or scare voters into continuing to vote for parties that are no longer interested in real solutions, just getting re-elected and remaining in political power.

    3. Re:The real solution may be dirt cheap... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Again, why do huge expensive taxes when we just need to come up with an inexpensive engineering solution to cool the planet?

      How do taxes qualify as expensive?

      I'd recommend reading the article.

      I skimmed it, because it's not that terribly interesting.

      Reducing C02 is not going to stop global warming at this point.

      That's true, but it would stop making the problem worse, or at the very least slow down the problem. The solution proposed in the article that you linked doesn't solve the problem, either. It's a plan to temporarily reflect some of the sun's light back into space before it reaches the earth, and the treatments need to be continued on an ongoing basis. Effectively, you're asking why we can't ignore the disease and only treat half the symptoms (since the atmospheric treatments would only cut the effect of global warming in half).

      So you're doing an expensive "solution" that isn't going to solve your problem, at least not for a long time.

      Again, a carbon tax, cap and trade or legislation are actually relatively inexpensive solutions, especially compared to that proposed solution that requires us to fly dozens (eventually hundreds) of specially designed tankers planes that spay the sulphuric acid into the upper atmosphere year round, and which will require years of study to determine if it's even feasible, and if it is, there will need to be international geo-engineering agreements and treaties, public relations efforts to convince the public that the activity is needed and not inherently evil (the chemtrail people are going to go ballistic), the construction of the materials and a yearly budget of over a trillion dollars to run the program that will need to constantly grow as the need to dim the sun grows with terrestrial CO2 emissions.

      So why aren't we starting to do the R&D?

      Because that's only one of many ideas for how to counter-act the increased greenhouse effect, plus it looks like someone's already doing research on it. His name's David Keith, I believe he may have been mentioned in the article...

      Oh, because then people wouldn't want to do the big government bureaucracy high taxes approach then.

      Every government that I know of already has a tax collecting bureaucracy. Asking them to collect one more tax isn't going to have much effect on them, and the revenue from a carbon tax could be used to offset taxes from other activity that is less worthy of being taxed, for example, it could be used to decrease income taxes. Whether or not the government spends the money on services or on tax reduction is ultimately up to the voters.

      On the other hand, establishing the United Nations department of climate engineering, which would presumably be responsible for running this global dimming operation, would represent an new and expensive bureaucracy. How do we pay for the dimming service? Do we give the United Nations the ability to collect taxes from all the member nations? Is it funded by voluntary contributions? What happens if they don't raise enough money to handle the warming?

      A cheap engineering solution would give us time to try and avoid knee-jerk responses driven by dubious agendas.

      When it comes to engineering the planetary climate, there are no cheap solutions. The one you're currently championing is most likely over $100 trillion dollars over the rest of the century and doesn't solve the problem, it merely mitigates the effects of climate change by effectively dimming the sun.

      Plus that wouldn't generate big headlines and lots of eyeballs, or scare voters into continuing to vote for parties that are no longer interested in real solutions, just getting re-elected and remaining in political power.

      Kid, getting elected (or re-elected) is the primary goal of every democratic

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  53. I'll believe they are serious when... by Mspangler · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They demand the end of commercial air travel. After all, it's not necessary to humanity, (we lived without it until less than a hundred years ago), and it puts out a lot of CO2, and it's not possible to electrify in the foreseeable future.

    Until then, it's "make someone else change or pay so that I can keep my perks."

    1. Re:I'll believe they are serious when... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Generally, intelligent people concerned about AGW have not been suggesting measures that would trash the economy, for various good reasons. Also, what makes you think they're going to continue to produce CO2 as usual while calling for others to sacrifice?

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    2. Re:I'll believe they are serious when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they are not willing to cut out a total luxury like air travel, then they are not really that worried.

      As to the latter, well, human nature covers that. Richard Heinberg covered that well in his Museletter 189. (I don't know if it's still online, it was pretty damning.)(Update: I checked. That one HAS been removed!) So here is the money quote from my own stash.

        "Meanwhile, what can any of us personally do in the cause of techno-sanity? To the degree that we are dependent on the current energy regime, we are all complicit in its depredations. The only solution therefore is to reduce our dependence, and thus our complicity, by conserving energy and making a personal transition to appropriate technologies.

      However, this personal solution is by itself insufficient to prevent significant harms that may result from some of the authoritarian technologies now being designed and implemented. More people need to be alerted to the increasingly compromised position in which their dependency is placing them, and to the side effects of the authoritarian megamachine. Thus there is the requirement for activism of all sorts - from opposition to genetically modified foods to journalistic analyses of global trade agreements. Many people who are doing this necessary work will be unable immediately to put much effort into building alternative, off-grid dwellings, and may have to continue using computers and jet transport, at least in modest ways."

      he will not be joining you on the organic subsistence farms.

      I love it when they condemn themselves. Saves time for me.

    3. Re:I'll believe they are serious when... by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      Air travel is not a total luxury. Lots of people have to travel, and if they're traveling alone there's no real environmental advantage to driving. Over long distances, flying becomes more attractive, as aircraft are more efficient at cruising altitude while the delay of driving mounts up.

      Moreover, we aren't trying to crash the economy and return to technology that can support maybe a billion or two humans on this planet. It's worthwhile slowing carbon emissions down while we do more research and development. We're not going to get all fossil fuels abolished for a long time to come, and we need to develop technology (carbon sequestration, geoengineering, whatever) to make up for that.

      My carbon footprint is trivial, and completely eliminating it will do nothing noticeable for the planet. The only way any reduction I make can be significant is in concert with hundreds of millions of other people, and that generally requires government action, so I don't see where the "authoritarian" comes in for Heinberg. However, I don't take anyone who is flat against GMO food too seriously. You'll notice he wants scrutiny of global trade agreements, but not of GMO.

      We've had environmental problems before. We got a lot of people interested in helping out, but the way we got results was government action.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  54. 8 In 10 People ... by Chrisq · · Score: 1

    OK 8 In 10 People ....yes but what do the cats think?

  55. Whatever by whoda · · Score: 1

    So, what you are saying is: Nearly 9 in 10 people are complete liars.

  56. I'm guessing nobody read the report or the survey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    These guys think very highly of themselves. This from their media summary:

    "For the first time in human history, we have reached a level of scientific knowledge that allows us to develop an enlightened relationship to risks of catastrophic magnitude. Not only can we foresee many of the challenges ahead, but we are in a position to identify what needs to be done in order to mitigate or even eliminate some of those risks. Our enlightened status, however, also requires that we consider our own role in creating those risks, and
    collectively commit to reducing them."

    This is how the survey was done:

    "ComRes interviewed 8,101 adults aged between 18 and 64 across: Australia (1,000), Brazil (1,018), China (1,031), Germany (1,001), India (1,013), South Africa (1,038), the UK (1,000) and the USA (1,000). The research was conducted between 27 April and 10 May 2017. The data were weighted to be nationally representative of the population in each of the country by age, gender and region."

    In other words, it's meaningless nonsense.

  57. Lemmings by U8MyData · · Score: 1

    First, I really don't know what to think about climate change vs. solar influence vs. normal centuries long ebbs and flows of our 4 billion year old planet. However, my gut tell me this. If you say it long enough and beat the drum loud enough, then whatever your message it must true, right?

  58. what propaganda by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    8 becomes nearly 9, and so on and on....

    so there are 8 out of 10 who are idiots that can't see or think for themselves and have to believe anything that they get told.

    Ha, no wonder religions still get so many fans without any proof of anything. But for all other matters they absolutly need proof.....like i said: idiots.

  59. re: nuclear and cost by King_TJ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The main reason nuclear has been so costly isn't because the technology itself isn't feasible.
    The extremely high costs have historically had a lot to do with politics, fear of nuclear energy, and contractors taking advantage of the fact that it's "scary stuff".

    Almost every time a new plant is schedule to be constructed, it turns into a big battle with groups fighting against it and requires expensive site surveys, safety studies and more. (Well, perhaps not in Communist countries where the people don't really get any say-so anyway -- but safety seems to take a back seat to just getting something up and running anyway, in those situations - a la Chernobyl.)

    Here in the U.S. - there has often been a lot of poor long-term projecting of energy needs, also contributing to high cost of nuclear plants. For example, the power plant not far from where I used to live in St. Louis, MO, Callaway County Nuclear plant, had a whole lot of issues in the past including no need to operate it at above 50% or so of its generation capacity because power demands just didn't grow as quickly as they anticipated when it was constructed. (I also recall some issues where construction materials for the cooling pipes didn't wind up meeting the promised standards, leading to an inability to run the plant at full power until that was redone.) It received the top safety rating for risk of damage due to an earthquake though, and is apparently running quite profitably today. That didn't stop a lawsuit in 2014 though, trying to prevent it from getting its operating license renewed, over new rules allowing above-ground storage of spent fuel after years of failed efforts to build a permanent national storage site in Nevada.

    The people who keep arguing we should use other "renewables" refuse to recognize the fact that wind and solar power aren't "always on" power sources. You generate nothing after dark with solar, and the wind doesn't blow constantly at a good rate of speed. The work-around for that always revolves around ideas of implementing large storage batteries, which greatly increases the cost of those projects and reduces reliability. (Batteries are based on chemical reactions and they wear out. Refurbishing them amounts to gutting them out and rebuilding their insides, making that process almost equivalent to just manufacturing new batteries.)

  60. Stupid by dcw3 · · Score: 1

    If you're naïve enough to believe that the world is ready for a global organization that can enforce it's wishes on sovereign nations, maybe you should consider some of the idiocy that's come from the UN previously.

    https://www.unwatch.org/from-t...
    https://www.globalpolicy.org/c...
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
       

    --
    Just another day in Paradise
  61. Call me when... by sycodon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...Algore, Leo, Obama, and all the other celebrity AGW champions jetting around the world Signalling their Virtue are ready to curtail their lifestyles.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:Call me when... by sycodon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Please enlighten us. Have these people moved into a two bedroom home and started driving a Prius?

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    2. Re: Call me when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They probably just buy renewable energy and recycle like most of America doesn't.

      Though they're all committing the greatest ecological sin there is: having kids.

    3. Re:Call me when... by greythax · · Score: 3, Funny

      Good work sir! Thank God you are hear to point out the hypocrisy of a few individuals. Surely that will fix AGW! You are doing God's work, sir!

    4. Re:Call me when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Expect to get called out if you're going to complain about something and not clean up your own backyard. These guys would have the easiest of times transforming their lives into the lives they want the rest of us to live and yet they're still spilling tons of CO2 into the atmosphere (tons more than any average person even many average people in fact).

      Leaders lead by example. These guys don't.

    5. Re:Call me when... by sycodon · · Score: 0

      It's more like the hypocrisy of an entire movement.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    6. Re:Call me when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess if Trump jumped off a cliff you would too.

  62. Re: nuclear and cost by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2, Informative

    In the UK the cost has little to do with protesters or politics. In fact the UK government has been extremely generous to nuclear operators - it build all the original plants, then gave them to commercial operators basically for free, with a guarantee that it would pick up most of the cost of decommissioning, plus the usual subsidies like free insurance.

    The problem are all to do with the technology itself. For example, the long term profitability of new nuclear is in doubt as renewable energy is replacing it. That's why the people building this new plant demanded a guarantee of extremely high prices and guaranteed sales for the lifetime of the plant. In Europe the decommissioning requirements are stricter too, because land is more valuable here, requiring the site to be made habitable again rather than just burying the reactor there until it becomes safe enough to move.

    As for renewables, fortunately Europe is quite large and has plenty of distributed wind power. While batteries do wear out, they don't wear out as fast as people think and as we move to electric vehicles there will be vast numbers of them that can be re-used before being recycled. There are also other forms of energy storage. More investment is needed of course, which is why people want the subsidies for nuclear redirected.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  63. 8 of 10 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The question to consider as you look at the sea of humanity in this country (best done at a Walmart) is "Is it more likely that 8 out of 10 people are geniuses or morons?".

  64. Push Polls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Global Challenges Foundation commissions a Global Catastrophic Risks 2017 report and it includes a poll which supports their obvious bias.

    Go figure.

    Are you people REALLY that stupid?

    1. Re:Push Polls by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      You know, the rest of the world is wondering just this every time there is a "discussion" about global warming in the US. But then again, we're usually also shaking our head over the fact that you're the only country outside the Islamist world that takes crap like Creationism serious.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  65. UN Survey says AGW is dead last. by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

    I will have to call b.s. on this survey from a newly founded global warming alarmist organisation. You want a real survey, here it is : http://data.myworld2015.org/ Climate change is DEAD LAST.

  66. 8 in 10 = nearly 9 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the left actually believed GW is an imminent threat they wouldn't have campaigned on transgender rights and black lives matter's cop-killing horse shit.

    "Every scientist agrees"

    "name one"

    "I can't because I am more of a BIll Nye fan that someone who enjoys real science"

  67. Re:CO2 is good for The plants by Straumli+Perversion · · Score: 1

    According to this page: https://www.kane.co.uk/knowledge-centre/what-are-safe-levels-of-co-and-co2-in-rooms, the maximum allowed workplace exposure limit is 5000ppm, and the hard-limit appears to be 40000ppm. People start reporting drowsiness or bad air at 1000 to 2000ppm.

  68. Not a "risk" anymore by gweihir · · Score: 2

    A risk is something that has an element of potentiality. In the case of climate change, the catastrophe is already assured. The only question is whether it will be severe, very severe or "collapse of civilization"-level. Calling a "risk" is, once again, making it sound a lot more harmless than it is.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  69. Real aliens are like by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    I don't even admit to being from this planet!

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    1. Re:Real aliens are like by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I once told the google I think I'm an alien. We're not alone!

  70. Too late by OrangeTide · · Score: 2

    We had a chance to make a real difference with climate change some 20 to 30 years ago. We chose to argue about it instead of developing the science and executing a plan. No use arguing about it anymore, climate deniers can say whatever they want and I simply don't care. They'll eat their words within their own lifetime, which will be at least something they can eat during the cycles of famine.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  71. Exactly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Exactly what I was going to say, but I will add that this is what allows us to conclude that Conservatives are less educated than Liberals.

    1. Re:Exactly by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      I always wonder if this is cause of effect.
      Way back when, when I was in college, Liberalism was consistently pounded into me by my professors, sometimes in ways that seemed unrelated to the course at hand. I can only recall one professor who declared herself conservative, and this was outside of class during extra credit group study.
      So are college educated people more liberal, or does going to college involve an indoctrination of sorts?

    2. Re:Exactly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't say the same. I was too self absorbed at the time to be politically aware.

      What I do know is that I learned a lot of problem solving skills in college, and that has applications throughout all aspects of life, not just one's chosen career path.

      When I did become politically aware, my immediate perception was that the conservative perspective was a knee-jerk reaction, and that the liberal perspective was actually developed by following through on the conservative approach and realizing the consequences of it were no better than the original problem. The liberal perspective just seemed to be more well thought out and rational.

      I'm not sure it matters whether you're we're liberal going in, or coming out. All that matters is that you went to college and came out of it with an education.

  72. whose standard of living? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My problem isn't with the people who are willing to make changes to their standard of living. My problem is with the people who are more than happy to make changes to MY standard of living, based on their religious beliefs about the coming Great Apocalypse.

  73. After the Warning = Was Re:Let me help by atrimtab · · Score: 2

    James Burke (creator of the "The Day The Universe Changed") covered a lot of the issues with methane back in a 1990 TV program called "After the Warming:"

    http://www.nytimes.com/1990/11...

    which the farming and petroleum industry worked vigorously to discredit because both create or leak large amounts of methane into the environment as side-effects/externalities/pollution of their profit making businesses.

    Looking up info on that program now provides more links to FUD spun by industry groups than accurate information. There are errors in this now 27 year old program, but the basic points are sound.

    Organizations never want to pay for the externalities, negative side-effects and pollution their activities create. That will have to change or we'll need to get off this planet before we are buried in externalities.

    That is not anti-business. That's a call for responsible enterprises that properly resolve the externalities they create.

    --
    Facebook is billions of individual "Skinner Boxes." And if you use it you are the pigeon!
    1. Re:After the Warning = Was Re:Let me help by mellon · · Score: 1

      You're talking about a different thing than I am talking about. Fossil methane is a problem. Methane produced by farms is not. It's a missed opportunity at present, for the most part.

  74. Catastrophic risk by mattwarden · · Score: 1

    Driving is a catastrophic risk. Eating and not eating are catastrophic risks. Breathing air the composition of which is untested is a catastrophic risk.

  75. Re: nuclear and cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    There are those that will insist nuclear can't be economical even though the existing fleet in the US and France and other countries has provided economical energy for many years. Unfortunately, there are some that have decided no matter what the facts are, the only solution they will accept is wind and solar and the next wonderful unproven source like tidal. They will argue with false facts and NEVER EVER talk about the challenges those energy sources face. They act like its all been figured out because the headlines sound so wonderful. Most of the biggest Solar Wind proponents can't even adequately describe the challenges.

  76. How many out of 10 now see it as inevitable? by JudgeFurious · · Score: 0

    That's pretty much where I'm at. At this point I don't think anything is going to change so the focus really becomes how to adapt to it. I'm in my early 50's so not much will be different between now and when I die. I wonder how much overlap there would be between people who consider it a catastrophe and people who don't believe it can be averted to any meaningful degree? Conclusion? I'm gonna go buy an SUV!

    --
    Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
  77. Bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I suppose if you ask mindless millennials and the elderly you can claim this. But working with intelligent professionals I don't know of a single one the would not laugh at you for this. Nor, would even one of us agree with this false premise.

  78. Modders here are shitbags by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You've learnt your lesson. Post anonymous.

    1. Re:Modders here are shitbags by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the tip, other AC, but I am not planning to join your group. I have never posted anonymously and will not start now, much less out of fear to anyone or anything. Also bear in mind that the moderators are (at least, theoretically) randomly-selected logged-in users with a good track record. Until some weeks ago, I used to get mod points quite regularly, but not so much lately (more logged-in users?).

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    2. Re:Modders here are shitbags by HBI · · Score: 1

      It's not fear, it's the license to troll. With a gazillion sock puppet accounts, those with no life have the advantage. The shitbags deserve the incessant trolling and didn't play nice, so here we are.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
    3. Re:Modders here are shitbags by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      It sounds like fear to me. I prefer to not post in articles about certain issues because of not feeling like getting involved in sad situations. If I thought that there is a real problem as the one you are describing, I would certainly fight it (and/or eventually stop using the site). I like Slashdot and am not willing to let a bunch of virtual mobsters to convert a sensible community into a fear-based crap.

      I am not sure if I fully understand your post. Are you implying that you (or your other accounts) are the author of the last down-vote I got? Just in case that there is even the slightest doubt, note that this is the only account which I have ever used (+ have always modded fairly and by exclusively focusing on the post content, never on the author; I think that I have down-modded just once or twice) and all the up/down mods I have ever got have been voluntarily given by people who I don't know (or at least didn't tell me about that). I have never "trolled" (still not even sure about the exact meaning of this expression; I mostly hear it from very aggressive people trying to attack others who don't agree with them), I am just trying to enjoy the site, show my ideas, meet people like me, share knowledge/learn, etc. You know? Be part of a community which I like, where I am not sure that you, your fears and expectations belong.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  79. NO CARBON TAX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There shall be no tolerance and no payment into a carbon tax.

  80. There's just a lot less methane by UpnAtom · · Score: 1

    Yes, methane emissions are worse per ton than CO2.

    But as ShanghaiBill says, there's just a lot less methane being released -- at least until the tundra melts.

  81. I hope you get fat by UpnAtom · · Score: 1

    Because I can only do so much

    Clearly.

    I could open a window, but I'm gonna turn on the AC instead!

  82. 84 % of survey takers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You have to look at who was surveyed.
    About an equal number of people from each country took the survey. To extend the results to the whole world, one should weight the results by population of each country.
    Of course this weighting implies the survey takers in each country represent the population characteristics.
    Here is a link to the actual survey tables and the demographics of each country.
    http://www.comresglobal.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Global-Challenges-Foundation-Global-Risks-Survey-Data-Tables-1.pdf

    Take a look at China for example. 75% of the respondents have a bachelors degree or better.
    Age distributions also skewed in US more than half under the age of 45.
    The survey isn't fake news the conclusions drawn by Reuters is.

  83. The global warming Religion . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Manmade "global warming" threatens no one and no thing because it does not exist. When / where government(s) practice the "global warming" Religion, those governments catastrophically threaten the economic survival of their citizens because no economic entity can survive the crony socialism . . .

  84. This proves something else that's more important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because all lessons learned seem to be lost within a couple of generations, were were overdue to have an example of this particular lesson re-taught and I suppose "global warming" was one of the less-dangerous ways to encounter it. What lesson? PROPAGANDA, particularly fuelled by governments and backed-up by laws, WORKS remarkably well.

    People occasionally ask how the otherwise well-educated and technological, sensible Germans supported Hitler in the 1930s and 40s. Global Warming is your answer: If governments relentlessly push a story, no matter how scientifically and technically flawed, most people will eventually believe it. In the 1930s the Germans began to believe what their government, the schools, and even the pop culture were pushing: that the SCIENCE of phrenology was true by consensus and therefore that head shapes were related to character and intelligence, and also that there was something SCIENTIFICALLY proven about Jewish blood being bad. SCIENCE said that the genetically inferior needed to be eliminated. Most Germans fell for it.

    When scientists living on government research funds are all pushing a government line that benefits the government and they are censoring and shouting-down anybody who disagrees with the agenda, you are not seeing science at play, you are seeing propaganda at work, particularly when the claims go into the realm of the ridiculous, like where temperature data from satellites gets put onto the same graph as temperature data from tree rings and ice cores (an error even a freshman physics student should see as problematic and unacceptable)

  85. Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

    Human CO2 output is equivalent to one or more Yellowstone-sized supervolcano eruptions per year. Source is Gerlach, '08 if memory serves. He has written various papers and articles comparing human activity with historical volcanism.

    Now, I'm sure I don't know about the resolution of various proxies and datasets, and unless you have some published research on the matter your opinion is worthless too. However, unless you can point me out any past period in Earth's history where multiple supervolcanos were going off on an annual basis, I'm afraid the idea that this CO2 spike is happening at an unprecedented rate has to go unchallenged.

    Frankly I don't know where you get off lying about this subject.

    --
    Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    1. Re:Supervolcanoes by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      First off, if you dont know what you are talking about, how can you come to the conclusion that I am lying? Or are you just mad I don't agree with your belief? Second, I wasnt talking about CO2, so your whole post is just a long rant with no point. You can deny my opinion and science all you like, but high and low resolution problems in various proxy datasets is well known. That you do not know about them, does not make then non existant. You can see a study here that tries to improve temperature resolution by using multiple proxies from the same area. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/p...

    2. Re:Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      Why would CO2 not be relevant to this topic? Unless you're one of those "CO2 doesn't trap heat" liars. I mean, I'm not particular about what brand of liar you are, really, just so it's out there.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    3. Re:Supervolcanoes by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      No one said CO2 is irrelevant. I said your reply was. Saying GHG are the highest ever, does not mean the end of the world is coming. Observations do not demonstrate that it is. CO2 heat trapping properties are logarithmic. Which means, to trap the same amount of heat 400ppm does, you will need to double de CO2 concentration to 800ppm. The effects per molecule are less the more you have. Also, studies have been trying to determine the climate sensitivity to a double of CO2 for a long time now. The only consistency whe get from all these papers over the last 25 years is that as we learn more, that sensitivity is on a downward trend. This means, the more we know, the more we are realising that climate sensitivity to a double of CO2 gets lower and lower and lower. Currently probably somewhere between 0.5C to 1.1C for every doubling of CO2. That my friend is what we call, not much to worry about. It indicates CO2 is not really the driver of the slight increase in global average temperatures we see. In short, you cant call people liars when you just dont understand the subject. Climate isnt black and white, its complex. And complexity comes with nuance and a spectrum of colors. I dont really care what your particular about as you lack the knowledge to debate this subject. I'm sorry your beliefs do not agree with science.

    4. Re:Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      In order to dispute the AGW consensus you basically have to be a liar. Here is your lie:

      This means, the more we know, the more we are realising that climate sensitivity to a double of CO2 gets lower and lower and lower. Currently probably somewhere between 0.5C to 1.1C for every doubling of CO2.

      Try 4-6 degrees C. See wikipedia or the IPCC for more info.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    5. Re:Supervolcanoes by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      Try actual peer reviewed studies.

      https://landshape.files.wordpr...

      Call me a liar all you want, but you would also be calling all the climate scientists who published these studies (many of which are found in the IPCC) liars too.

      There is no consensus.

      It would do you good to do some research, might just help you understand that Wikipedia and the MSM are just pushing a narrative.

    6. Re:Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      Anything less than the no-feedback forcing is unphysical. The lower bound is fixed at 3.7 w/m^2 per doubling, generally held to be about 1 degree C. AR5 had the likely arange at 1.5-4.5k, with a fairly long-tailed distribution. Generally given the H2O feedback low estimates are less plausible.

      The exact value of TCR/ECS have yet to be determined, because that value relies on computer modeling. The lower bound for no-feedback forcing is given by basic physical laws of radiative transfer.

      Wikipedia may or may not be pushing a narrative. I'm not aware of what the MSM is doing. I don't tend to assign much faith in things unless they have been fairly long established in the scientific literature. Unfortunately AGW is one of those things, and there is no reason to believe that climate sensitivity is anywhere near the lower bound.

      (and if your response to that is, "How do we know there's a lower bound?" you don't know enough physics to have this conversation)

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    7. Re:Supervolcanoes by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      The mental gymnastics you are doing to justify your comments is amazing.

      AR5 was 4 years ago. Based on research compiled from 8 to 4 years ago.

      The point I made, that you cannot refute, is that in the last 25 years (and more) most studies have been revising climate sensitivity downwards as we know more.

      It wont go to zero, that is obvious.

      AGW is not a set in stone science and you know this, you just choose to ignore that.

      The reason to consider or at the very least pursue research concerning the no-feedback lowerbound is because of observation.

      When nearly 30% of the CO2 increase has happened over the last 20 years and at the very same time, except for El Nino events, global average temperatures have flatlined statisticaly, its a clear indication of the above.

      You know, all I'm saying is, there is no reason to be alarmist. There is no obvious catastrophic even coming. This needs to continue being researched and we learn more everyday that demonstrates things arent as tire as Hansen, Schmidt, Karl and Mann would want us to believe.

      The fact that you are making a strong effort to deny that, is what makes your comments and train of though un scientific.

    8. Re: Supervolcanoes by JWW · · Score: 1

      Wrong. The climate sensitivity of CO2 is just as the gp post stated. The 4-6, and btw it's continually being down graded, it's now 2.5-4 sensitivity number is based on an Assumed positive feedback effect that has not yet been identified.

      The gp post is completely correct on the impact of CO2 specifically.

    9. Re:Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      The reason to consider or at the very least pursue research concerning the no-feedback lowerbound is because of observation./quote.
      Nope. The lower bound is due to the laws of thermodynamics. As I said, that you don't understand why there is one means you don't understand the subject well enough to speak about it.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    10. Re: Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      There are a number of feedback effects involving the water cycle, whose contributions have been measured, not assumed.

      based on an Assumed positive feedback effect that has not yet been identified

      This is a lie.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
  86. Al Who? by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    It's been ten years and you're still harping on about Al Gore? Ten years and that's all you know about climate science? Ten years of that being the only thing you have to say about the subject? Did your brain ossify at an early age or something?

    Christ almighty man, get some different lies at least.

    --
    Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
  87. So you'd think these 8/10 would start eating vegan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Meat industry emits more carbon than all vehicles combined so if these 8 out of 10 care so much they would quit meat and dairy. But that would be an inconvenience. Most would rather just blame other people than actually fix it.

  88. Breaking news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Breaking news!

    8 in 10 People Don't Know the Meaning of Catastrophic Risk!

  89. Propaganda Works by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Simply proof of the power of propaganda.

  90. I Seriously Doubt that Headline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But hey, even if you do...okay, go forth, change your lifestyle. Go ahead. Have at it. Good luck and may Odin be with you on your journey.

    Ferret

  91. Re: nuclear and cost by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

    "The main reason nuclear has been so costly isn't because the technology itself isn't feasible."

    A lot of _that_ has to do with the conventional uranium cycle being pretty rotten at producing electricity and pretty good at producing nasty byproduct stuff which happens to be handy to build nuclear weapons with - which means paranoid levels of security are required - and that's before you get into the issue of mixing radioactives and water under high pressure. (steam explosions and leaks happen. It's a fact of life. The best fix is not to mix them)

    Thorium cycle is a lot harder to weaponise and a lot easier to generate electricity with. Molten Salt systems were already proven in the cold war but discarded in the rush to make more bombs. Thankfully the chinese and others are now reopening investigations into the technology which should have been at the core of the civil nuclear program from the 1970s onwards.

    Fusion might happen but it;s unlikely to be in my grandchildrens' lifetime. We need to get on with decarbonising _now_. Nuclear waste is a vastly overblown issue and with MSRs the volume is reduced by a factorof 100+ anyway.