I agree with COBOL, but C isn't solid... never has been. It's simple, stupid, and highly available. These are three important features in a system level language.
C should never be used for complex systems. It promotes insecure code by design. It simply works everywhere and if you wanted to make a new C compiler and the Linux kernel wasn't your goal, it's easy.
Never confuse available with solid. Modern computing is a cesspool of shit code in dangerous places because of "We code everything in C!". Redox is the first major effort to try and fix this. It will fail, but if we're lucky, Google will rewrite Fuschia in something better. Fuschia is already a boiling pot of bad code... much because C is a BAD idea for operating systems.
If you are the type of person who would type something like this, you already are an embarrassment to your country, your family, and humanity in general.
While I don't agree with the "twitter length" post by the AC before you, your response is precisely what makes America "the land of the under achiever".
My European family was sent to the gas chambers while my American family could not sign up to fight. An unfortunate side effect of being short, fat, and Jewish. Afterwards, much of my family went to Israel to become some of the worst of the Zionists. Those left behind supported legally, vocally, and financially the establishment of the most racist government ever.
I believe truly that in WWII, your even more primitive ancestry stormed the beaches of Normandy and 75 years later believe the world should pay homage to the dependents of all those great people, and their neighbors, and their dogs.
But if you understood why WWII happened, you would realize that all those people died not because of Hitler, but because of the English and the French driving the German people to the point where supporting Hitler made sense.
1) Unless you are a 100 WWII veteran or a 80 year old who lost their father to the war, you need to move on. The world and its people have changed.
2) If the last positive contribution you can cite or feel is suitable to cite was the performance of your club wielding adolescent ancestors and their performance wielding said clubs against the teenage children of the other side until a team of German immigrants managed to create a bomb that when unleashed burned 129000 (mostly civilians) alive while Truman made empty threats like "I can keep doing this all day".... you truly are some of the worst humanity has to offer. At least cite the Marshal plan.
3) No one outside of America has any point of reference to even attempt to understand what "ebil 'murican" is. I, as an "ebil 'murican" required assistance from Google to decipher such gibberish.
4) Once the war ended, the people would likely have noticed difference. People rarely do notice much in that sense. We wake, we work, we eat, we sleep. The Nazis weren't trying to kill everyone in the world as you suggest. They aimed for the most obviously different groups. This is similar to what your brethren do with Muslims ad Hispanics.See, if you can accuse people who look different than you of trying to take unfairly what you covet, you can blame them for you not having more. The Nazi would have ruled, but if you consider China, a country united though force by a military leadership who preaches pure blood propaganda... of the 1.4 billion people who they govern...maybe 10% would notice if they had democracy tomorrow.
I think what I'm trying to say is that the behavior of your ilk is precisely the reason why wars based on patriotic nonsense occur. Consider that the many great people contributed to the ending of WWII, but it took far more fools like you to start it.
To be honest, I haven't really used snap, but from what I understand it's a chat program that allows you to send photographs of your genitals to people with a hope they will be deleted before they can share them everywhere.
Let's assume you're going to build a messaging back end for that. Companies able to handle real-time data processing for 100,000+ MMORPG players which is somewhat more complex in nature do this all the time. If you also consider that using something like an XMPP back-end would save a lot of work since there are some great hardened ones out there already. The fact is, it's really about the front end and code for data collection.
So that means, they have 1000 developers mostly working on making code for a front end. Opera Software never had half that many people and accomplished substantially more.. having written more or less everything but the operating system itself. Of course, I suppose that's the different between using educated engineers and using whatever you could hire to make your corporate growth look impressive.
You're suggesting that there is a need for fiber in a 50 year old building with rats that was build without communication cabling in mind.
Already in a 4G world, we have reached a point where it is more cost effective to deploy zero-trust connectivity to data centers (possibly public cloud, maybe corporate) via LTE than via wireless deployment. I feed my family by writing automation software for corporate enterprise LANs. I expect this job to be eliminated soon as the cost of a new Cisco (or similar network) costs more on average than paying for 10 years of LTE charges for users. Thanks to load balancers, better compression, etc... and of course that LTE is a proper QoS network by design and operates on properly licensed bands, it is actually no longer possible to deliver user connectivity in any way cheaper than using LTE data.
I have spent 6 years making my living as a Cisco instructor. I've won awards for it as well. And at the end of the day, I can't possibly see the value in investing in any major long term changes to an enterprise network when it would be far smarter to simply work with the telco to ensure they can meet my SLA requirements. I always love going into a classroom with IT people who are there for training on wireless or enterprise routing and switching and showing them the numbers and explaining that it makes far more sense to simply remove the enterprise network and transition to LTE and focusing on secure access instead.
Then there's home users. Can you honestly tell me that there's really a benefit to paying for monthly broadband via fiber as opposed to just buying a bunch more data on your mobile plan? I currently have 40GB a month of mobile data. I can get another 200GB a month for far less than what I pay for my home internet connection. I don't watch a lot of TV, so I can't say whether 240GB is enough for that reason, but what I do know is that within another year, I'll be able to get twice that much for the same price.
As 5G rolls out, bandwidth should be almost free via wireless. Already the 4G networks (in first world countries) are more than capable of handling massive streaming loads. So, let's get back to why would you ever need to bother with TDR on fibers in rat infested buildings? All you really need to an LTE router.
I suppose we could say that there is a case to be made about maintaining the LTE/5G towers themselves, but let's be honest, these are already very quickly being meshed. That leaves power being the main problem. If we ever solve the fuel cell problems, it should be possible to use drones to deliver fuel every few months to each RAN.
Yup... so I'm working my ass off on making software to automate IT people out of jobs. But as I go along, I'm also convincing most people to simply stop wasting money on that same IT... which basically kills my job... the good news is, I have multiple backup options in different career fields that should carry me most of the way to retirement.
1) Store burgers in a specially designed freezer that can be loaded and unloaded via robotics from a delivery vehicle. 2) The outside facing door opens and closes on robotic hinges. 3) Burgers are delivered on a carousel mail-slot system so that 8 stacks of 150 1cm thick burgers can be delivered directly from the truck to the restaurant. Make room for two of these stacks so that one can be empty and being replaced while the other is in use. 4) When a patty is needed, a door to the freezer is opened via robotics then a pushed from behind (with considerable force if necessary) onto a conveyor belt. 5) A metal chain conveyor belt then passes through an oven at the correct speed to cook the burger from above and below. 6) At the end of the conveyor, a similar mechanism has prepared the bun and toppings where the burger falls off the end of the grill into place.
For what a precision robotic arm costs, this solution would be similar. In addition, it should be possible to support automatic cleaning as well.
Fries are far easier to automate.
It should be possible to automate an entire fast food restaurant so that a single person can drive to 8 locations each day and perform checks and additional cleaning. Also it should be possible to completely automate the delivery, waste remove and pickup of empty food cartridges through outside accessible freezer designs. A single self-driving delivery truck could drive from warehouse to restaurant to restaurant resupplying and removing empties for 8 or more locations in a single shipment.
Replacing burger joint workers with robots is just a matter of initial investment. At $10 an employee, if it were to cost $100,000 to retrofit a restaurant with machinery to replace them, that would be 5 employees for a year. In reality, it would probably cost twice that. At which time it would be hard to justify. Of course, a company like McDonalds would have to foot the bill to handle that scale of development.
On the other hand, at $15 an hour, the ROI would be probably a year or less per restaurant. Certainly worth it.
At one point, Airbus owned the Norwegian firm called Marlink. They are one of the world's largest satellite communications companies (also a customer of mine). These guys are not "newbs" and they reliably deliver internet connectivity with relatively decent bandwidth to ships and oil rigs around the world. They are certainly capable of delivering in-flight wifi as well.
As most satellites these types of companies use are generally of the passive types (signal reflection) that means that so long as the ground (and air) based transmitters stay within leased bands, they can change modulation pretty much however they choose to increase bitrate within the same spectrum.
Latency for geostationary satellites will have long latency... that's physics... so sorry. But for LEO, the main problem is availability of satellite networks. This of course will change considerably now that SpaceX is launching. Viasat seems to be competent in the area of in-flight internet using this LEO satellites, however new technologies should be substantially better.
The main problem I've seen with satellite coverage has be Fresnel related. People love to blame clouds and such, but since most satellites are generally launched and aimed for providing maximum coverage at sea-level (plus or minus a few thousand meters), there are often gigantic uncovered gaps in coverage as altitude increases... there is issue that satellites are aiming to cover earth's surface. Consider the shape of a satellite signal reflecting to earth to be somewhat cone shaped. Then consider enough cones aimed at the surface of the planet to cover the entire surface of earth with about 20% overlap at the surface. Then consider that LEO is typically 160km to 2000km from earth. If a plane is flying at about 12km, The overlap is obviously reduced if not leaving gaps between cones.
Picture this differently, take a ball a little less than 13km wide with bumps that protrude at most 8.9km, now blanket that ball with the absolute least number of satellites possible to achieve near 100% coverage by aiming cone shaped signals from the satellites at the surface of the ball. The closer you are to the ball, the lower the latency. The further from the ball, the higher the latency. If you get too close (less than 160km) from the ball, if satellite will burn to ashes at it falls to earth. If you get further than 2000km, you're no longer in LEO which has it's own problems. Even so, a distance of 2000km from earth has a latency substantially longer than 160km (and no it's proportional as the distances must consider more than just up and down).
Once you have surface coverage, you need to consider how you will communicate with all the satellites. On option is using multiple space ports around the world to aim at all the satellites broadly and have the reflect. That would require entire bands of licensed spectrum that could only be used by a single network in the world. If we ignore the technical issues with this and then try to handle just the regulatory issues, this will never be a good solution. You'd need to license the entire sky all around the world for the bands you wanted to spam.
So, the next issue is how to get coverage from satellite to satellite. This can be done using active relays of signals between satellites. For geostationary orbits, this would be REALLY REALLY REALLY slow and REALLY REALLY REALLY REALLY expensive to use satellite to satellite communication that is "active" in the sense that the satellite would be able to store and forward packets actively. This is because as radio technology advances, new radios would need to be installed on the satellite to handle it. On LEO satellites, it's possible because the launch cost is far less, but the number of satellites to produce the same coverage is substantially greater, so the cost benefits are probably lost.
I guess it's already past the point of documentary length now. In any case, let's just say the problem is not trivial and even after 50+ years, we're still noobs on the topic.
I've worked with Ph.D.s for much of the last 25 years... racism doesn't tend to exist... sexism... at the parties it happens... the women can be pigs at times... Ph.D. chicks get really grabby after a few:) Ok... maybe I'm exaggerating.
Here's the thing though. It's about strength and confidence. If you're top of your field... or you're an expert on something... no not the "I'm the computer guy at BestBuy and have a shirt"... then people respect you. Hell.. if you're competent, people will respect you. It simply doesn't matter.
The only think I would really recommend if you don't want to experience discrimination in scientific communities. Showers with soap... this is important. We all smell like shit to each other. Using soap often makes it more tolerable.
I'm making a living by automating the mediocre... associate and professional level IT engineers. I'm also doing everything I can to eliminate the associate/professional level IT engineers who think that just because they're in a purchasing position, they're actually expert level.
Then I'm going to work really hard on eliminating as many jobs as possible for people who are experts in one area and think that makes them understand their job. For example, I shot down a major network design recently after 4 CCIEs were working on it. They are brilliant network engineers. But they have no clue how software defined networking has been implemented in VMware, OpenStack, Hyper-V, etc... they did some studying a few years ago and they never bothered following the other vendors progress. So they were using Cisco's solution (ACI) which basically doesn't work for 90% of the customers who buy it. I then re-engineered the customer's network as a simple layer-3 network with switches with big buffers. Save the customer millions. They actually didn't have to buy anything and were able to remove equipment from their network and save money there too.
So, I have a big fat budget at a big fat multinational and my one and only job is... reduce the need for incompetent people.
From the headline, I expected conjecture. Then I clicked the article and it struck me as a rant.
When someone writes an article like this, they should include facts or at least legitimate testable theories. This was more like a one man jam session to listen to his own voice.
Oh... and what he considered genius with regards to mapping the space between the cars... utter crap. The problem with mathematicians is that they focus on optimization in the worst possible places. If they took a course on algorithms or at least studied graph theory, they would understand that you can model the cars and the space and derive what's not that. In addition, Modelling traffic jams in government sponsored research cannot be done because it requires a great deal of algorithmic data which is highly sensitive. For example, a person driving in direction X in a vehicle of type Y at time Z will close gaps between vehicles(50% chance), block people from merging ahead towards the bottleneck (75% chance), play music rich in bass loud enough to rattle nearby cars (90%). The result of this is that the neighboring cars will behave more aggressively. Seniors will be disturbed but submissive. Middle aged white men who drive larger or sportier vehicles will become extremely aggressive. Etc...
I've been writing traffic modelling software for decades because I find it entertaining and relaxing. I would then occasionally move a few traffic cones in the morning and traffic would flow nicely both ways... until someone realized the cone shouldn't be there. The #1 factor I considered at all times was how does the behavior of one type of person impact the behavior of those around them. So, I'd place cones in places that would force people to do the right thing as opposed to permitting and therefore encouraging opportunism.
haha last time I worked on ACH was in 1993... I was an 18 year old kid and the boss made me rewrite the ACH code in Visual Basic 3.0.
What you just explained sounds a lot like the exact problems I had 25 years ago. We did however have a pretty cool hardware encrypted 4800 baud modem for it. Still, we were a data warehouse for several thousand banks and ATM machines. I'm pretty sure we spent between 8 and 10 hours a day transmitting and receiving batches.
Tell me, is EDI-FACT in EBCDIC still the hot thing?
Do you have a link to an article that makes the claim that Donald Trump is a Russian agent?
I hadn't heard this claim yet. I have heard a great deal of claims that Trump tried to use Russia as a means to his own ends, but I haven't yet seen any accusations of Donald being in the employ of the Russians or acting as an agent of the Russian government.
I do believe it has been very much in the interest of the Russian government to have Trump in the office as it has been a terrible disruption to the American government and has greatly strengthened Russia. Thanks to the current state of the relationship between the U.S. and Russia, both countries can produce massive numbers of jobs in the interest of national security and defense. Political instability between the U.S. and Russia is a proven method of being able to produce millions of jobs with no real accountability so long as people believe it's in their best interest to be prepared to fight their enemy.
Thanks to Trump, Putin's grip on Russia is far greater than it's been in a long time. His approval ratings are sky rocketing and both the U.S. and Russian governments can increase their deficits with worldwide blessings to do so. We're even talking about a new nuclear arms race which will produce insane numbers of jobs for both countries. Peace has been a disaster for the U.S. and Russia. Russia has been far more successful recovering their national independence and economy by playing the American threat. The U.S. has been screwed for jobs because outsourcing and automation have decimated the market. The Taliban just isn't scary enough anymore, ISIS is boring... Russia vs. America and England is worth 50 years of big military spending and millions of fake jobs for both countries.
The real problem is that we don't have an iron curtain. Thanks to open communication between Russia and everyone else, people are talking with each other and openly being friends, associates or colleagues with each other. I work almost daily with people from around the world and I love working with the Russians. The only really bad thing I can say about them is that their pop music is a curse on society and if we ever go to war with them, it should be to destroy all copies of all songs ever recorded by Dress Code... but by that right, we should wage war on Sweden to take out ABBA as well.
But it would mean that the cities buy fleets of self-driving vehicles that eliminate the need for companies like Uber and Lyft.
I've dreamed of a great day when I don't need to own or operate a car but get the benefits of Uber without Uber. So, imagine a self-driving vehicle that you can call from an app, then based on the routes involved, ride sharing would be automatic. It wouldn't be a bus. Instead, it would be a multi-pod vehicle where each passenger pickup has their own pod where they can work, sleep or even make out. Then, as driving, if it would be more efficient to transfer a pod to another vehicle, it would occur while moving. This would allow smaller vehicles to service smaller areas and larger vehicles to service arteries.
This system should be owned an operated by the government similar to buses and trains. And taxis and Ubers and Lyfts would be entirely unneeded.
I am actually a socialist... borderline communist:) I work extremely hard and A LOT because I believe that since I have the ability to achieve a lot, I have the responsibility to contribute. I honestly have no problem working 16 hours a day so other people who are less ambitious can spend those same 16 hours on the beach somewhere. I think we both enjoy it equally. I also know I would enjoy my 16 hours a day far less if I were forced to work with them because they had to work.
I have read a lot in the direction you're leading. I think you and I would enjoy prolonged philosophical discussions of where we might go.
I don't think I'll ever be fat... I might get the chair, but I'll be zooming around trying to fix the space ship or build new robots to fix the old ones. But I certainly would love to automate/obsolete myself.
I am looking forward to a world of less stuff and things. If we eliminate the need to work, people will spend less time trying to make and sell stuff and things as a means of survival. Artists will certainly exist, and I look forward to downloading and 3D printing their works. But things like remote control jumping rubber frogs won't be mass produced in China and then eventually turned to landfill because hopefully basic income will make it so that there's no need to make them in the first place.
I believe that most of my clothing is purchased because there is an industry for making poor quality clothing. I have a few pairs of jeans that will last 10 years, but most of my clothing is 1 year or less. I believe we can eventually start making clothing which lasts 10 years on average. Hopefully it will be biodegradable as well.
I simply fear we won't progress to where we'll need to be without uprisings and cities burning. While I would never steal or do harm to anyone, I've met many people who would. In fact, my son and I just watched "Every which way but lose" with Clint Eastwood where the entire film glorifies solving problems with fists. I believe there's an entire culture of tens of millions of people throughout America who relate to that film. The LA riots (you choose which ones) proves that people generally don't need an excuse to do damage and harm when operating as part of a mob.
As a person who desperately wants the absolute best for everyone. I will always choose to make other peoples live better rather than my own when the question is whether I should starve or someone else should. But I'm also pragmatic. I feel the best solution to the problem with automation and loss of jobs is to rip the band-aid off. I almost have never met a person I don't like. I can genuinely say I've never known anyone I wish harm.
I believe over the long term, humanity will depend on less materialism. I believe materialism exists today mainly due to people buying crap they don't need because the free market depends on people buying more crap they don't need. I believe humanity will not survive... no that's alarmist. I believe humanity will not thrive unless we automate as much as we possibly can.
I believe we need to reach a point where food, clothing and shelter should be taken for granted by everyone. I believe we need to foster a society that is comfortable with negative population growth. I want to see health and quality of life improve. People like myself will always work... not because we have to, but because there are things which need to be done... and because of OCD:)
I believe we'll see something far worse. I believe that as jobs are eliminated, people will behave poorly. I think in general, we'll see things like people climbing on each others back to fight to get to the ATM machine. And I believe the mass media which depends on the same people who by more crap they don't need to watch and believe crap they is over-exaggerated will do their jobs and spread fear, uncertainty and doubt in the name of "Good TV" and ratings. And uprisings will occur and people will actually die because of this.
I don't remember which movie got me thinking in these terms, but someone in the film explained that the word Sabotage is related to when the French rose up in anger and threw their shoes known as Sabo into the machines to ruin them. At least I believe that's what I remember hearing.
As labor becomes less appreciated and more jobs can be replaced by computers and machines, people will become less valuable. We'll see workers around the world faced with the option of working more for less or being replaced by a machine. And there is a real risk that cities will burn.
In the end, the machines will be built and the jobs will be lost.... and our lives should hopefully improve. And our air should be cleaner. We should waste substantially less.
Or we can have hope that somehow by ripping the band aid off, we can pass through the darker times and react quickly to the market upset and force governments to embrace supporting things like basic income.
I wish I had all the answers... I spend a great deal of time thinking on this. But I truly believe the quality of our children's lives will depend on fighting through this. It will come... the question is whether we handle it gracefully or not.
Consider that even now, the U.S. has been addressing automation and countering job loss by building the biggest socialized government ever. Jobs are created in military, police, TSA, DHS, etc on mass scale. TSA have 1.2 million users in their active directory. DHS has 120,000. Prisons are the best job makers ever!
The military is growing fast under Trump. Military is great for governments because you can employ the kids, if they get killed, the job problem decreases too.
Prisons are amazing. You can take a coal town that would otherwise die, build a prison and populate it.
a) Prisoners don't need jobs
b) Prison guards do need jobs
c) Laundry, food supply, transport, telecommunication, etc... there are TONS of jobs associated with operating a prison. Nothing feeds Americans as well as prisons do.
d) The American prison system is a penal system, not a correctional system. As such prisoners generally get hardened and learn nothing.
e) Prisoners whe
Installation and deployment of 50,000 switches at 18,000 sites in 190 countries for a single organization. I will admit, I cheated and used APIC-EM as the plug-an-play tool and I would have had the job done in 1/4 of the time if APIC-EM wasn't so damn buggy.
We cancelled a contract with a multinational and used internal personnel... mostly janitors for the installation.
I tend to find the people first to call BS are the first to lose their jobs. It proved either you're not smart enough to consider how it could be done or that you're too lazy to bother and would prefer to call people liars because you're just a loving sort of fellow.
The company who lost the hours hired me... gave me and another guy 18 months, a floor of a building and freedom to spend as necessary. I officially started my job Feb 1.
What do you mean without time or money? What is this, a work house in 1800's England?
There are two types of people in the U.S. 1) People who make ends meet by using the tons of money they have mindlessly or the pittance of money they have sparingly through careful planning and budgeting.
2) People who don't make ends meet and run themselves into the ground slowly and lose interest in ever getting out again.
Either of these groups of people will find a way to spend $50 one a book, $20 on a website training subscription, etc...
As for time... there are 24 hours in the day. That's 12 for work, 5-6 for sleep and the rest is for eating and learning. There's also weekends. It's 8:00am on a Saturday and I'm going to the office to sit and read a book on programming. I'll have a date with the wife this evening and hang with the kids a few hours during the day, but then I'll go back to work and study some more.
See this is what people do who don't watch TV. We live and make our lives better.
Money... I've living in both the cases listed above... and I am well off now. I got there by using the little spare time I had to open a book and learn.
And as for difficult to do it yourself... bullshit. It's called discipline. That's the difficult part. Discipline says that if you have to lose 3-4 more hours of sleep or 3-4 hours watching the idiot box a week to learn something, you suck it up and do it. If you can't... no one else can do it for you.
Car repair... no AI needed. Cars will not "Car share" in the future and defective vehicles will be shipped to a centralized repair facility where a machine will disassemble the entire vehicle, run diagnostics on all parts and assemble new vehicles to return them to the road. This sounds cumbersome, but consider an electric vehicle. The chassis can be lifted off the entire car part of the car and then there's 2-4 motors which can be easily replaced, a battery pack and computers. There are some other parts, but a well made modular design can make this extremely efficient to automate. Oh... and changing the clutch on your car... that assumes you a) own a car, b) own a car with a clutch. In 10 years, I hope b is illegal and a is going away.
AC... your home's AC is a problem because it's not modular enough. If you have solar roof tiles, then as the battery units are added to your house, you should have a roof enhancement made to allow the AC unit to be easily installed and removed. Then, your AC unit can be diagnosed remotely and a replacement unit can be delivered by self-driving truck with a automated crane that can pluck either your AC unit or the compressor out and replace it with a new one. The defective unit would be delivered to a shop with facilities to perform most automated routine maintenance and refurbishment. As robotic arms improve, all possible repair functions should be able to be programmed in.
Trim your trees. First... dude... you're going to be unemployed like the rest of us. Trim your own trees. On the other hand... I think someone mentioned boston robotics or something.
Financial industry... haha wanna go see what trading floors look like on wall street these days? They're bare compared to the "glory days". In fact, around 90% of all bank branches in Oslo, Norway have been closed because the jobs were easily replaced by computers. Most loans are handled by computers maybe a small room of human operators in a centralized location. Piece by piece software is adding features for personal and business finance. Consider that in America, a culture designed to punish people during tax season, most people can buy a program, type in their name, answer 5 questions and pay their taxes. As for telling you about your investments. You're trolling on Slashdot and you're talking about a car with a clutch... I'd guess you're like me and probably make a lot of money and live just short of month to month.
Medical.... I just signed up for the university. I am studying pre-med (no intention of being a doctor) so that I can become involved in biotechnology. I intend to use altered versions of the "violate your privacy nudey x-ray" from the airport to perform full and thorough checkups that are hopefully safe to use daily. My goal is to eliminate massive numbers of wasteful bullshit jobs in medicine. General practitioners for one. 95% of what they do can be replaced with a machine. I'm in my 40s and wont finish school until I'm 50, but I'll hopefully be able to self-fund the startup... better yet... I hope someone like Bill and Melinda steal the idea from me and build it. Most medical problems occur because people aren't checked often enough and because the doctors checking them lack any meaningful diagnostic tools to identify anything. I mean seriously, instead of looking at a person's heart and seeing whether it's operating correctly, they do a lot of stupid shit instead.
Police in your neighborhood A friend of mine has a startup which is making drone bullet shields. I believe her long term goals is to be able to launch a swarm of drones into a battle and intercept bullets. She's very proud that she can shoot her drone with a.50 cal multiple times already. It will allow a single remote operator to fly a swarm somewhere to control the situation. There are thousands of government funded companies around the world creating drones for battle. There are companies making drones that can detail and arrest people as well. As for observation, I'm pretty sure the whole Big Broth
Ok... let's be blunt here. Most working age adults won't be replaced by AI. They'll be replaced by machines.
Being replaced by AI suggests that these people have to be replaced by something intelligent. That's absolute bullshit. They will be replaced by machines and robots and that's all.
Want an example?
People working in law firms
20 years ago, there were entire floors of buildings filled with people whose job it was to run around looking stuff up in law books. They would use the in-house libraries, they would go to state and city libraries. Etc... then came online legal libraries and tools like LexisNexis which made it take less time for the lawyers to simple type something into a search bar than to actually get a researcher, paralegal, junior lawyer, etc... on the phone and explain what they wanted.
10 years ago, if a senior lawyer wanted to write a document, he pawned that off on a junior lawyer and he/she would sit and write documents and make use of legal secretaries and paralegals to correct the formatting, properly submit it, etc... now that same senior lawyer simply opens a program and answers a series of questions and in 4-5 minutes produces the document they want, then signs it on the screen and submits it using automated systems to the courts.
The senior lawyer doesn't need juniors for about 95% of the shit work they used to do. They can simply pay a subscription to a company who keeps their tools up-to date.
Want more?
Filing Clerks
25 years ago, I was working at a major financial institution in Richmond, Virginia as a temp to try and make rent. My job was to sort tens of thousands of files and place them in the right filing cabinets. I employed a combination of Heap Sort and Quick Sort manually and finished a 3 month temp position in 5 days. Kinda screwed myself there. There were over 200 desks in the slave labor area of the office for secretaries and filing clerks. Today, I'd imagine that there are 20 desks for those same roles.
Stock "Boys"
Grocery stores used to employ dozens of these. First we cut the overhead in half by employing software which would tell the shelf stockers which items to remove from the shelves and they didn't have to manually read all the dates on the packages. Then we started sorting products better using simple filing systems on computers and multi-sized containers that could be more easily managed by machines. Then, we started replacing the tags on the shelves with small screens that could be updated by a computer to reflect changes to prices and labels. Now a grocery store 5 times the size can operate on 1/4 the staff.
Cashiers
This is 2018, most people have visited stores with self-service checkouts and a maybe a security guard. The next phase is to make employ RFID more heavily and allow shoppers to stand on a yellow box where they will be scanned and then answer on their phone whether they would like to complete the transaction where they can simply click yes. This means malls which hold 500-1000 employees across may stores can offer a service with 20-50 employees who simply visit store by store and keeping things clean... like sorting and replacing throwback bins and such. In fact, shoppers could walk the entire mall store to store and settle their charges for all their items before exiting the building.
Agriculture
In my life, I've watched farms become over 100 times larger than when I was a kid. It used to take far more people to handle the farming. But with milking machines, automated butchering systems, livestock management systems, mega tractors that can not only plant and cut, but also bundle... we haven't even started here yet. It might be that a single building full of farmers will be able to manage the entire state of Montana's farming requirements.
AI will be for people like drivers who will be removed from the eco-system. Initially, truck drivers will be cut back substantially through semi-autonomous trains of vehicles. So, a single driver in a lead truc
No shit... I used to be part of writing a web browser (with a ridiculously large user base world wide) that intentionally reformatted web pages and shrunk content to reduce bandwidth consumption. I wonder if they'll come after us for altering content to save the user money. And no... we didn't give an option to download the full quality items if they requested. So if you really want to see Kim Kardashian's ass in all it's nasty glory, you'll have to use another web browser.... I wonder if that in itself is able to be called a public service.
I think Bright was a movie which was mediocre at best. There were some real problems with it.
4K I absolutely hate films shot in 4K on digital cameras like Red with insanely good quality that shows me close ups. Avatar was the worst... Sigourney Weavers skin is very nice in 1080p at a distance. But even Denise Richards playing Christmas Jones in James Bond at her prime should NEVER EVER EVER be seen at 4K in a close up. Holy shit... she is a goddess but when you magnify her skin to the point where you can go spelunking in her pores, it's just plain horrifying! There is something called film grain. It was great because it not only added something authentic to the filming, but it does a great job of hiding artifacts from chroma keying as well as distorting the image enough that people don't have to use more makeup than geisha to not look horrible. Netflix has a sick aversion to film grain simulation or lens filters. Thankfully, Will Smith looks pretty rough at any distance in that film. But the CG looked extremely super-imposed because delivering a 4K movie requires shooting and editing in 16K or using 72mm film and scanning 16K or everything just looks like shit.
Script Closure to the story was shit. It basically just built the story up and up and up and then "We're out of time" and they tried to sort it all out in the 14 seconds they had left.
Human stupidity Why in these films does everyone always have to be super-cool and by cool we consider them smart or they have to be absolutely stupid and unable to be reasoned with? People never seem to be able to have a discussion and think clearly. In this film, everyone was a bad guy... even the good guys. There was nothing in-between. It just felt wrong. It's like suggesting that humanity exists entirely without rationality or reason. This film should have had commercials for gambling websites interspersed. I think a great "Maria.com" product placement would have been amazing.
So... Let's kill the critique and think in terms of what really matters.
1) Since watching this film on Netflix... mainly because it was there. I have actually been renting films on Google Play since. I haven't even looked at what else is new.
2) With the exception of some animated stuff like Troll Hunters, I've avoided anything marked Netflix Originals. The reason is that pretty much everything I've tried watching from them is so completely American that it's fucking horrifying. Now I am American... at least as much as someone who left the U.S. at the age of 22 about 21 years ago can be. But I've become a great deal more European over the years. And Netflix is designed for a less sophisticated palette. You know... they cater for people who prefer not to think when they're entranced by the idiot box.
Most American TV is designed for people who say things like "I like to watch TV to let me brain have a rest." or "I use TV as a release" etc... in other words... American TV is generally for idiots. Smart people watch porn if they want to release something. Then they spend their lives stimulating their minds with something meaningful instead. Netflix Originals are designed for stupid.
So that said, after watching Bright, if my wife decided to cancel Netflix tomorrow, I don't really think it would concern me at all. It basically tells me that if this is the mixture that Netflix is banking on, I can stick to film rentals or audio books.
Would you ever tell anyone "Hey... Netflix has a great movie called Bright, you should try Netflix!" or would you extend your subscription on Netflix to see more content like this?
I have to say that there were multiple problems with Batman v Superman.
1) The darkness. I don't go to the movies to see Superman portrait as a brooding dark spirit. There are some few occasions where different flavors of Kryptonite or live circumstances causes him to be grumpy or stupid, but to be fair, I never really cared much for the dark portrayal of him.
2) Batman going open season on Superman and basically just picking a fight instead of solving a problem doesn't make sense. Batman has almost always classically kicked some ass and eventually tried to solve the problem. He is supposed to be REALLY SMART and really smart people don't just have blood thirsty vendettas.
I can go on, but there wasn't anything in that entire movie that didn't suck. It made all the super heroes anything but heroes and that kinda sucked.
I also don't like the Avengers when they're basically just fighting each other. It's bloody stupid. Cap an Stark should have a dynamic where they always do what's best and because of their positions, what's best is that they begrudgingly get alone and show a unified front for the team.
The thing about heroes is that they are supposed to make us feel as if a hero is someone who behaves in a way that makes us want to look up to them... not because they're strong of muscle or magic, but of integrity and character. There's nothing wrong with showing that heroes sometimes have problems to solve and they need help too, but thing like Batman v Superman wrecking cities... that's not what they are about. Move the fight somewhere out of town. Team Stark vs. Team Captain, shouldn't include wrecking airports, etc...
So, I tried watching Superman v, Batman a few times and it took like 3 or 4 tries to get through it because it was possibly the worst DC movie ever and I've seen Superman IV.
Life is screwed up when my kids are walking around thinking Deadpool is the best super hero ever.
We are moving towards automation of our core requirements. Humanity requires three core categories of sustenance:
a) Food and water
b) Housing
c) Energy
If we leave out sex as a fourth requirement (though I'm hesitant to do so as I'm practically a dog at heart), we do not need anything more than what is listed above.
Food We will eventually have 3d printers in our houses that are supplied by cartridges of core materials to produce meals of sustenance. They may or may not be yummy, but they will provide us with the nutrients we need to survive. The supply chain can eventually over time be automated as well. I've always dreamed of using underground tunnels with high pressure sodium lighting, air filtering, etc... to produce massive amounts of food of high quality rapidly. I have considered most of the details of automation, and I can't see why humans would have to be too involved with the process if the crops are managed and harvested using overhead robotic arms. It will have many bugs (technical and creepy crawly) at first, but over time, it could prove to be able to provide extremely high quality produce reliably and with minimal toxicity. With good generic alterations of the seeds, it should be possible to have almost perfect crops at almost all times. By improving the delivery chain through automation, a house could order what they need only when they need it and therefore greatly reduce waste.
An alternative approach to 3d printing is a meal on wheels kind of solution which would have centralized kitchens producing meals to order using machines and delivering them via drones. This could be more practical.
Real meat will become a luxury and we'll either switch to eating bug meat or we'll switch to eating meat grown from stem cells. I believe stem cells makes more sense. But we'll do away with animal farms in the future as they're terrible for the planet, generally inhumane and they require far too much work for something we can do far better with stem cells. Also consider that we waste more than 30% of the meat we produce currently. Milk is actually not a requirement of life, but if we decide to keep it around, I have no answer to how to do that.
Water Most of humanities problems with water can be resolved with better logistics. There are places on earth which are perfect for managing water and there are places which are not. For example, California is not a good place for water. If we force people to abandon California for more suitable places like Colorado or even Alaska and Canada for example, we can solve many of our water supply problems. In addition, thanks to problems in places like South Africa today, we will put a great deal more effort into solving water supply chain problems. This can be done through reclamation, filtration, etc... we will get better with water by necessity sooner than later and these systems will be highly automated over time.
Housing As we automate waste removal which already has seen massive improvements through trucks that can lift trash cans from the side of the road using arms... we will see further automation of gathering of raw materials. The raw materials will be collected and shipped to recycling plants which automatically sort trash (see waste management in places like Sandefjord Norway) and once the materials are properly sorted, much material can be automatically reprocessed into raw materials for new construction.
China has made massive progress in flatpack housing, highrises, even almost complete cities. Trucks are loaded with click together housing components in the opposite order they should be removed from the trucks. Cranes are then operated to remove item by item to click into place and with little additional work, a house could be built in a an hour or two using nothing but self driving and self operating robots. The factories will eventually be automated to produce the components using automated systems. With a little more work, the materials delivered from trash recycling (parti
Slashdot Mirror
I think a kickstarter to raise money for a David Hasselhoff concert tour to raise Ruby awareness could work. It would become huge in Germany!
I agree with COBOL, but C isn't solid... never has been. It's simple, stupid, and highly available. These are three important features in a system level language.
C should never be used for complex systems. It promotes insecure code by design. It simply works everywhere and if you wanted to make a new C compiler and the Linux kernel wasn't your goal, it's easy.
Never confuse available with solid. Modern computing is a cesspool of shit code in dangerous places because of "We code everything in C!". Redox is the first major effort to try and fix this. It will fail, but if we're lucky, Google will rewrite Fuschia in something better. Fuschia is already a boiling pot of bad code... much because C is a BAD idea for operating systems.
I had to lookup the definition for "prestigious"
If Stallman is involved, can it be considered prestigious?
Does he know yet that the GPL is dead?
Let us begin with "ebil 'muricans".
If you are the type of person who would type something like this, you already are an embarrassment to your country, your family, and humanity in general.
While I don't agree with the "twitter length" post by the AC before you, your response is precisely what makes America "the land of the under achiever".
My European family was sent to the gas chambers while my American family could not sign up to fight. An unfortunate side effect of being short, fat, and Jewish. Afterwards, much of my family went to Israel to become some of the worst of the Zionists. Those left behind supported legally, vocally, and financially the establishment of the most racist government ever.
I believe truly that in WWII, your even more primitive ancestry stormed the beaches of Normandy and 75 years later believe the world should pay homage to the dependents of all those great people, and their neighbors, and their dogs.
But if you understood why WWII happened, you would realize that all those people died not because of Hitler, but because of the English and the French driving the German people to the point where supporting Hitler made sense.
1) Unless you are a 100 WWII veteran or a 80 year old who lost their father to the war, you need to move on. The world and its people have changed.
2) If the last positive contribution you can cite or feel is suitable to cite was the performance of your club wielding adolescent ancestors and their performance wielding said clubs against the teenage children of the other side until a team of German immigrants managed to create a bomb that when unleashed burned 129000 (mostly civilians) alive while Truman made empty threats like "I can keep doing this all day".... you truly are some of the worst humanity has to offer. At least cite the Marshal plan.
3) No one outside of America has any point of reference to even attempt to understand what "ebil 'murican" is. I, as an "ebil 'murican" required assistance from Google to decipher such gibberish.
4) Once the war ended, the people would likely have noticed difference. People rarely do notice much in that sense. We wake, we work, we eat, we sleep. The Nazis weren't trying to kill everyone in the world as you suggest. They aimed for the most obviously different groups. This is similar to what your brethren do with Muslims ad Hispanics.See, if you can accuse people who look different than you of trying to take unfairly what you covet, you can blame them for you not having more. The Nazi would have ruled, but if you consider China, a country united though force by a military leadership who preaches pure blood propaganda... of the 1.4 billion people who they govern...maybe 10% would notice if they had democracy tomorrow.
I think what I'm trying to say is that the behavior of your ilk is precisely the reason why wars based on patriotic nonsense occur. Consider that the many great people contributed to the ending of WWII, but it took far more fools like you to start it.
To be honest, I haven't really used snap, but from what I understand it's a chat program that allows you to send photographs of your genitals to people with a hope they will be deleted before they can share them everywhere.
Let's assume you're going to build a messaging back end for that. Companies able to handle real-time data processing for 100,000+ MMORPG players which is somewhat more complex in nature do this all the time. If you also consider that using something like an XMPP back-end would save a lot of work since there are some great hardened ones out there already. The fact is, it's really about the front end and code for data collection.
So that means, they have 1000 developers mostly working on making code for a front end. Opera Software never had half that many people and accomplished substantially more.. having written more or less everything but the operating system itself. Of course, I suppose that's the different between using educated engineers and using whatever you could hire to make your corporate growth look impressive.
Hmm... ok, I'll bite.
You're suggesting that there is a need for fiber in a 50 year old building with rats that was build without communication cabling in mind.
Already in a 4G world, we have reached a point where it is more cost effective to deploy zero-trust connectivity to data centers (possibly public cloud, maybe corporate) via LTE than via wireless deployment. I feed my family by writing automation software for corporate enterprise LANs. I expect this job to be eliminated soon as the cost of a new Cisco (or similar network) costs more on average than paying for 10 years of LTE charges for users. Thanks to load balancers, better compression, etc... and of course that LTE is a proper QoS network by design and operates on properly licensed bands, it is actually no longer possible to deliver user connectivity in any way cheaper than using LTE data.
I have spent 6 years making my living as a Cisco instructor. I've won awards for it as well. And at the end of the day, I can't possibly see the value in investing in any major long term changes to an enterprise network when it would be far smarter to simply work with the telco to ensure they can meet my SLA requirements. I always love going into a classroom with IT people who are there for training on wireless or enterprise routing and switching and showing them the numbers and explaining that it makes far more sense to simply remove the enterprise network and transition to LTE and focusing on secure access instead.
Then there's home users. Can you honestly tell me that there's really a benefit to paying for monthly broadband via fiber as opposed to just buying a bunch more data on your mobile plan? I currently have 40GB a month of mobile data. I can get another 200GB a month for far less than what I pay for my home internet connection. I don't watch a lot of TV, so I can't say whether 240GB is enough for that reason, but what I do know is that within another year, I'll be able to get twice that much for the same price.
As 5G rolls out, bandwidth should be almost free via wireless. Already the 4G networks (in first world countries) are more than capable of handling massive streaming loads. So, let's get back to why would you ever need to bother with TDR on fibers in rat infested buildings? All you really need to an LTE router.
I suppose we could say that there is a case to be made about maintaining the LTE/5G towers themselves, but let's be honest, these are already very quickly being meshed. That leaves power being the main problem. If we ever solve the fuel cell problems, it should be possible to use drones to deliver fuel every few months to each RAN.
Yup... so I'm working my ass off on making software to automate IT people out of jobs. But as I go along, I'm also convincing most people to simply stop wasting money on that same IT... which basically kills my job... the good news is, I have multiple backup options in different career fields that should carry me most of the way to retirement.
1) Store burgers in a specially designed freezer that can be loaded and unloaded via robotics from a delivery vehicle.
2) The outside facing door opens and closes on robotic hinges.
3) Burgers are delivered on a carousel mail-slot system so that 8 stacks of 150 1cm thick burgers can be delivered directly from the truck to the restaurant. Make room for two of these stacks so that one can be empty and being replaced while the other is in use.
4) When a patty is needed, a door to the freezer is opened via robotics then a pushed from behind (with considerable force if necessary) onto a conveyor belt.
5) A metal chain conveyor belt then passes through an oven at the correct speed to cook the burger from above and below.
6) At the end of the conveyor, a similar mechanism has prepared the bun and toppings where the burger falls off the end of the grill into place.
For what a precision robotic arm costs, this solution would be similar. In addition, it should be possible to support automatic cleaning as well.
Fries are far easier to automate.
It should be possible to automate an entire fast food restaurant so that a single person can drive to 8 locations each day and perform checks and additional cleaning. Also it should be possible to completely automate the delivery, waste remove and pickup of empty food cartridges through outside accessible freezer designs. A single self-driving delivery truck could drive from warehouse to restaurant to restaurant resupplying and removing empties for 8 or more locations in a single shipment.
Replacing burger joint workers with robots is just a matter of initial investment. At $10 an employee, if it were to cost $100,000 to retrofit a restaurant with machinery to replace them, that would be 5 employees for a year. In reality, it would probably cost twice that. At which time it would be hard to justify. Of course, a company like McDonalds would have to foot the bill to handle that scale of development.
On the other hand, at $15 an hour, the ROI would be probably a year or less per restaurant. Certainly worth it.
At one point, Airbus owned the Norwegian firm called Marlink. They are one of the world's largest satellite communications companies (also a customer of mine). These guys are not "newbs" and they reliably deliver internet connectivity with relatively decent bandwidth to ships and oil rigs around the world. They are certainly capable of delivering in-flight wifi as well.
As most satellites these types of companies use are generally of the passive types (signal reflection) that means that so long as the ground (and air) based transmitters stay within leased bands, they can change modulation pretty much however they choose to increase bitrate within the same spectrum.
Latency for geostationary satellites will have long latency... that's physics... so sorry. But for LEO, the main problem is availability of satellite networks. This of course will change considerably now that SpaceX is launching. Viasat seems to be competent in the area of in-flight internet using this LEO satellites, however new technologies should be substantially better.
The main problem I've seen with satellite coverage has be Fresnel related. People love to blame clouds and such, but since most satellites are generally launched and aimed for providing maximum coverage at sea-level (plus or minus a few thousand meters), there are often gigantic uncovered gaps in coverage as altitude increases... there is issue that satellites are aiming to cover earth's surface. Consider the shape of a satellite signal reflecting to earth to be somewhat cone shaped. Then consider enough cones aimed at the surface of the planet to cover the entire surface of earth with about 20% overlap at the surface. Then consider that LEO is typically 160km to 2000km from earth. If a plane is flying at about 12km, The overlap is obviously reduced if not leaving gaps between cones.
Picture this differently, take a ball a little less than 13km wide with bumps that protrude at most 8.9km, now blanket that ball with the absolute least number of satellites possible to achieve near 100% coverage by aiming cone shaped signals from the satellites at the surface of the ball. The closer you are to the ball, the lower the latency. The further from the ball, the higher the latency. If you get too close (less than 160km) from the ball, if satellite will burn to ashes at it falls to earth. If you get further than 2000km, you're no longer in LEO which has it's own problems. Even so, a distance of 2000km from earth has a latency substantially longer than 160km (and no it's proportional as the distances must consider more than just up and down).
Once you have surface coverage, you need to consider how you will communicate with all the satellites. On option is using multiple space ports around the world to aim at all the satellites broadly and have the reflect. That would require entire bands of licensed spectrum that could only be used by a single network in the world. If we ignore the technical issues with this and then try to handle just the regulatory issues, this will never be a good solution. You'd need to license the entire sky all around the world for the bands you wanted to spam.
So, the next issue is how to get coverage from satellite to satellite. This can be done using active relays of signals between satellites. For geostationary orbits, this would be REALLY REALLY REALLY slow and REALLY REALLY REALLY REALLY expensive to use satellite to satellite communication that is "active" in the sense that the satellite would be able to store and forward packets actively. This is because as radio technology advances, new radios would need to be installed on the satellite to handle it. On LEO satellites, it's possible because the launch cost is far less, but the number of satellites to produce the same coverage is substantially greater, so the cost benefits are probably lost.
I guess it's already past the point of documentary length now. In any case, let's just say the problem is not trivial and even after 50+ years, we're still noobs on the topic.
I've worked with Ph.D.s for much of the last 25 years... racism doesn't tend to exist... sexism... at the parties it happens... the women can be pigs at times... Ph.D. chicks get really grabby after a few :) Ok... maybe I'm exaggerating.
... then people respect you. Hell.. if you're competent, people will respect you. It simply doesn't matter.
Here's the thing though. It's about strength and confidence. If you're top of your field... or you're an expert on something... no not the "I'm the computer guy at BestBuy and have a shirt"
The only think I would really recommend if you don't want to experience discrimination in scientific communities. Showers with soap... this is important. We all smell like shit to each other. Using soap often makes it more tolerable.
I'm making a living by automating the mediocre... associate and professional level IT engineers. I'm also doing everything I can to eliminate the associate/professional level IT engineers who think that just because they're in a purchasing position, they're actually expert level.
Then I'm going to work really hard on eliminating as many jobs as possible for people who are experts in one area and think that makes them understand their job. For example, I shot down a major network design recently after 4 CCIEs were working on it. They are brilliant network engineers. But they have no clue how software defined networking has been implemented in VMware, OpenStack, Hyper-V, etc... they did some studying a few years ago and they never bothered following the other vendors progress. So they were using Cisco's solution (ACI) which basically doesn't work for 90% of the customers who buy it. I then re-engineered the customer's network as a simple layer-3 network with switches with big buffers. Save the customer millions. They actually didn't have to buy anything and were able to remove equipment from their network and save money there too.
So, I have a big fat budget at a big fat multinational and my one and only job is... reduce the need for incompetent people.
From the headline, I expected conjecture. Then I clicked the article and it struck me as a rant.
When someone writes an article like this, they should include facts or at least legitimate testable theories. This was more like a one man jam session to listen to his own voice.
Oh... and what he considered genius with regards to mapping the space between the cars... utter crap. The problem with mathematicians is that they focus on optimization in the worst possible places. If they took a course on algorithms or at least studied graph theory, they would understand that you can model the cars and the space and derive what's not that. In addition, Modelling traffic jams in government sponsored research cannot be done because it requires a great deal of algorithmic data which is highly sensitive. For example, a person driving in direction X in a vehicle of type Y at time Z will close gaps between vehicles(50% chance), block people from merging ahead towards the bottleneck (75% chance), play music rich in bass loud enough to rattle nearby cars (90%). The result of this is that the neighboring cars will behave more aggressively. Seniors will be disturbed but submissive. Middle aged white men who drive larger or sportier vehicles will become extremely aggressive. Etc...
I've been writing traffic modelling software for decades because I find it entertaining and relaxing. I would then occasionally move a few traffic cones in the morning and traffic would flow nicely both ways... until someone realized the cone shouldn't be there. The #1 factor I considered at all times was how does the behavior of one type of person impact the behavior of those around them. So, I'd place cones in places that would force people to do the right thing as opposed to permitting and therefore encouraging opportunism.
haha last time I worked on ACH was in 1993... I was an 18 year old kid and the boss made me rewrite the ACH code in Visual Basic 3.0.
What you just explained sounds a lot like the exact problems I had 25 years ago. We did however have a pretty cool hardware encrypted 4800 baud modem for it. Still, we were a data warehouse for several thousand banks and ATM machines. I'm pretty sure we spent between 8 and 10 hours a day transmitting and receiving batches.
Tell me, is EDI-FACT in EBCDIC still the hot thing?
Reference?
Do you have a link to an article that makes the claim that Donald Trump is a Russian agent?
I hadn't heard this claim yet. I have heard a great deal of claims that Trump tried to use Russia as a means to his own ends, but I haven't yet seen any accusations of Donald being in the employ of the Russians or acting as an agent of the Russian government.
I do believe it has been very much in the interest of the Russian government to have Trump in the office as it has been a terrible disruption to the American government and has greatly strengthened Russia. Thanks to the current state of the relationship between the U.S. and Russia, both countries can produce massive numbers of jobs in the interest of national security and defense. Political instability between the U.S. and Russia is a proven method of being able to produce millions of jobs with no real accountability so long as people believe it's in their best interest to be prepared to fight their enemy.
Thanks to Trump, Putin's grip on Russia is far greater than it's been in a long time. His approval ratings are sky rocketing and both the U.S. and Russian governments can increase their deficits with worldwide blessings to do so. We're even talking about a new nuclear arms race which will produce insane numbers of jobs for both countries. Peace has been a disaster for the U.S. and Russia. Russia has been far more successful recovering their national independence and economy by playing the American threat. The U.S. has been screwed for jobs because outsourcing and automation have decimated the market. The Taliban just isn't scary enough anymore, ISIS is boring... Russia vs. America and England is worth 50 years of big military spending and millions of fake jobs for both countries.
The real problem is that we don't have an iron curtain. Thanks to open communication between Russia and everyone else, people are talking with each other and openly being friends, associates or colleagues with each other. I work almost daily with people from around the world and I love working with the Russians. The only really bad thing I can say about them is that their pop music is a curse on society and if we ever go to war with them, it should be to destroy all copies of all songs ever recorded by Dress Code... but by that right, we should wage war on Sweden to take out ABBA as well.
But it would mean that the cities buy fleets of self-driving vehicles that eliminate the need for companies like Uber and Lyft.
I've dreamed of a great day when I don't need to own or operate a car but get the benefits of Uber without Uber. So, imagine a self-driving vehicle that you can call from an app, then based on the routes involved, ride sharing would be automatic. It wouldn't be a bus. Instead, it would be a multi-pod vehicle where each passenger pickup has their own pod where they can work, sleep or even make out. Then, as driving, if it would be more efficient to transfer a pod to another vehicle, it would occur while moving. This would allow smaller vehicles to service smaller areas and larger vehicles to service arteries.
This system should be owned an operated by the government similar to buses and trains. And taxis and Ubers and Lyfts would be entirely unneeded.
I've been getting messages on the 6s plus for months that there was no service where there was?
I am actually a socialist... borderline communist :) I work extremely hard and A LOT because I believe that since I have the ability to achieve a lot, I have the responsibility to contribute. I honestly have no problem working 16 hours a day so other people who are less ambitious can spend those same 16 hours on the beach somewhere. I think we both enjoy it equally. I also know I would enjoy my 16 hours a day far less if I were forced to work with them because they had to work.
:)
I have read a lot in the direction you're leading. I think you and I would enjoy prolonged philosophical discussions of where we might go.
I don't think I'll ever be fat... I might get the chair, but I'll be zooming around trying to fix the space ship or build new robots to fix the old ones. But I certainly would love to automate/obsolete myself.
I am looking forward to a world of less stuff and things. If we eliminate the need to work, people will spend less time trying to make and sell stuff and things as a means of survival. Artists will certainly exist, and I look forward to downloading and 3D printing their works. But things like remote control jumping rubber frogs won't be mass produced in China and then eventually turned to landfill because hopefully basic income will make it so that there's no need to make them in the first place.
I believe that most of my clothing is purchased because there is an industry for making poor quality clothing. I have a few pairs of jeans that will last 10 years, but most of my clothing is 1 year or less. I believe we can eventually start making clothing which lasts 10 years on average. Hopefully it will be biodegradable as well.
I simply fear we won't progress to where we'll need to be without uprisings and cities burning. While I would never steal or do harm to anyone, I've met many people who would. In fact, my son and I just watched "Every which way but lose" with Clint Eastwood where the entire film glorifies solving problems with fists. I believe there's an entire culture of tens of millions of people throughout America who relate to that film. The LA riots (you choose which ones) proves that people generally don't need an excuse to do damage and harm when operating as part of a mob.
Let's hope for the best
As a person who desperately wants the absolute best for everyone. I will always choose to make other peoples live better rather than my own when the question is whether I should starve or someone else should. But I'm also pragmatic. I feel the best solution to the problem with automation and loss of jobs is to rip the band-aid off. I almost have never met a person I don't like. I can genuinely say I've never known anyone I wish harm.
... no that's alarmist. I believe humanity will not thrive unless we automate as much as we possibly can.
:)
I believe over the long term, humanity will depend on less materialism. I believe materialism exists today mainly due to people buying crap they don't need because the free market depends on people buying more crap they don't need. I believe humanity will not survive
I believe we need to reach a point where food, clothing and shelter should be taken for granted by everyone. I believe we need to foster a society that is comfortable with negative population growth. I want to see health and quality of life improve. People like myself will always work... not because we have to, but because there are things which need to be done... and because of OCD
I believe we'll see something far worse. I believe that as jobs are eliminated, people will behave poorly. I think in general, we'll see things like people climbing on each others back to fight to get to the ATM machine. And I believe the mass media which depends on the same people who by more crap they don't need to watch and believe crap they is over-exaggerated will do their jobs and spread fear, uncertainty and doubt in the name of "Good TV" and ratings. And uprisings will occur and people will actually die because of this.
I don't remember which movie got me thinking in these terms, but someone in the film explained that the word Sabotage is related to when the French rose up in anger and threw their shoes known as Sabo into the machines to ruin them. At least I believe that's what I remember hearing.
As labor becomes less appreciated and more jobs can be replaced by computers and machines, people will become less valuable. We'll see workers around the world faced with the option of working more for less or being replaced by a machine. And there is a real risk that cities will burn.
In the end, the machines will be built and the jobs will be lost.... and our lives should hopefully improve. And our air should be cleaner. We should waste substantially less.
Or we can have hope that somehow by ripping the band aid off, we can pass through the darker times and react quickly to the market upset and force governments to embrace supporting things like basic income.
I wish I had all the answers... I spend a great deal of time thinking on this. But I truly believe the quality of our children's lives will depend on fighting through this. It will come... the question is whether we handle it gracefully or not.
Consider that even now, the U.S. has been addressing automation and countering job loss by building the biggest socialized government ever. Jobs are created in military, police, TSA, DHS, etc on mass scale. TSA have 1.2 million users in their active directory. DHS has 120,000. Prisons are the best job makers ever!
The military is growing fast under Trump. Military is great for governments because you can employ the kids, if they get killed, the job problem decreases too.
Prisons are amazing. You can take a coal town that would otherwise die, build a prison and populate it.
a) Prisoners don't need jobs
b) Prison guards do need jobs
c) Laundry, food supply, transport, telecommunication, etc... there are TONS of jobs associated with operating a prison. Nothing feeds Americans as well as prisons do.
d) The American prison system is a penal system, not a correctional system. As such prisoners generally get hardened and learn nothing.
e) Prisoners whe
Installation and deployment of 50,000 switches at 18,000 sites in 190 countries for a single organization. I will admit, I cheated and used APIC-EM as the plug-an-play tool and I would have had the job done in 1/4 of the time if APIC-EM wasn't so damn buggy.
We cancelled a contract with a multinational and used internal personnel... mostly janitors for the installation.
I tend to find the people first to call BS are the first to lose their jobs. It proved either you're not smart enough to consider how it could be done or that you're too lazy to bother and would prefer to call people liars because you're just a loving sort of fellow.
The company who lost the hours hired me... gave me and another guy 18 months, a floor of a building and freedom to spend as necessary. I officially started my job Feb 1.
What do you mean without time or money? What is this, a work house in 1800's England?
There are two types of people in the U.S.
1) People who make ends meet by using the tons of money they have mindlessly or the pittance of money they have sparingly through careful planning and budgeting.
2) People who don't make ends meet and run themselves into the ground slowly and lose interest in ever getting out again.
Either of these groups of people will find a way to spend $50 one a book, $20 on a website training subscription, etc...
As for time... there are 24 hours in the day. That's 12 for work, 5-6 for sleep and the rest is for eating and learning. There's also weekends. It's 8:00am on a Saturday and I'm going to the office to sit and read a book on programming. I'll have a date with the wife this evening and hang with the kids a few hours during the day, but then I'll go back to work and study some more.
See this is what people do who don't watch TV. We live and make our lives better.
Money... I've living in both the cases listed above... and I am well off now. I got there by using the little spare time I had to open a book and learn.
And as for difficult to do it yourself... bullshit. It's called discipline. That's the difficult part. Discipline says that if you have to lose 3-4 more hours of sleep or 3-4 hours watching the idiot box a week to learn something, you suck it up and do it. If you can't... no one else can do it for you.
Car repair... no AI needed. Cars will not "Car share" in the future and defective vehicles will be shipped to a centralized repair facility where a machine will disassemble the entire vehicle, run diagnostics on all parts and assemble new vehicles to return them to the road. This sounds cumbersome, but consider an electric vehicle. The chassis can be lifted off the entire car part of the car and then there's 2-4 motors which can be easily replaced, a battery pack and computers. There are some other parts, but a well made modular design can make this extremely efficient to automate. Oh... and changing the clutch on your car... that assumes you a) own a car, b) own a car with a clutch. In 10 years, I hope b is illegal and a is going away.
.50 cal multiple times already. It will allow a single remote operator to fly a swarm somewhere to control the situation. There are thousands of government funded companies around the world creating drones for battle. There are companies making drones that can detail and arrest people as well. As for observation, I'm pretty sure the whole Big Broth
AC... your home's AC is a problem because it's not modular enough. If you have solar roof tiles, then as the battery units are added to your house, you should have a roof enhancement made to allow the AC unit to be easily installed and removed. Then, your AC unit can be diagnosed remotely and a replacement unit can be delivered by self-driving truck with a automated crane that can pluck either your AC unit or the compressor out and replace it with a new one. The defective unit would be delivered to a shop with facilities to perform most automated routine maintenance and refurbishment. As robotic arms improve, all possible repair functions should be able to be programmed in.
Trim your trees. First... dude... you're going to be unemployed like the rest of us. Trim your own trees. On the other hand... I think someone mentioned boston robotics or something.
Financial industry... haha wanna go see what trading floors look like on wall street these days? They're bare compared to the "glory days". In fact, around 90% of all bank branches in Oslo, Norway have been closed because the jobs were easily replaced by computers. Most loans are handled by computers maybe a small room of human operators in a centralized location. Piece by piece software is adding features for personal and business finance. Consider that in America, a culture designed to punish people during tax season, most people can buy a program, type in their name, answer 5 questions and pay their taxes. As for telling you about your investments. You're trolling on Slashdot and you're talking about a car with a clutch... I'd guess you're like me and probably make a lot of money and live just short of month to month.
Medical.... I just signed up for the university. I am studying pre-med (no intention of being a doctor) so that I can become involved in biotechnology. I intend to use altered versions of the "violate your privacy nudey x-ray" from the airport to perform full and thorough checkups that are hopefully safe to use daily. My goal is to eliminate massive numbers of wasteful bullshit jobs in medicine. General practitioners for one. 95% of what they do can be replaced with a machine. I'm in my 40s and wont finish school until I'm 50, but I'll hopefully be able to self-fund the startup... better yet... I hope someone like Bill and Melinda steal the idea from me and build it. Most medical problems occur because people aren't checked often enough and because the doctors checking them lack any meaningful diagnostic tools to identify anything. I mean seriously, instead of looking at a person's heart and seeing whether it's operating correctly, they do a lot of stupid shit instead.
Police in your neighborhood
A friend of mine has a startup which is making drone bullet shields. I believe her long term goals is to be able to launch a swarm of drones into a battle and intercept bullets. She's very proud that she can shoot her drone with a
Ok... let's be blunt here. Most working age adults won't be replaced by AI. They'll be replaced by machines.
Being replaced by AI suggests that these people have to be replaced by something intelligent. That's absolute bullshit. They will be replaced by machines and robots and that's all.
Want an example?
People working in law firms
20 years ago, there were entire floors of buildings filled with people whose job it was to run around looking stuff up in law books. They would use the in-house libraries, they would go to state and city libraries. Etc... then came online legal libraries and tools like LexisNexis which made it take less time for the lawyers to simple type something into a search bar than to actually get a researcher, paralegal, junior lawyer, etc... on the phone and explain what they wanted.
10 years ago, if a senior lawyer wanted to write a document, he pawned that off on a junior lawyer and he/she would sit and write documents and make use of legal secretaries and paralegals to correct the formatting, properly submit it, etc... now that same senior lawyer simply opens a program and answers a series of questions and in 4-5 minutes produces the document they want, then signs it on the screen and submits it using automated systems to the courts.
The senior lawyer doesn't need juniors for about 95% of the shit work they used to do. They can simply pay a subscription to a company who keeps their tools up-to date.
Want more?
Filing Clerks
25 years ago, I was working at a major financial institution in Richmond, Virginia as a temp to try and make rent. My job was to sort tens of thousands of files and place them in the right filing cabinets. I employed a combination of Heap Sort and Quick Sort manually and finished a 3 month temp position in 5 days. Kinda screwed myself there. There were over 200 desks in the slave labor area of the office for secretaries and filing clerks. Today, I'd imagine that there are 20 desks for those same roles.
Stock "Boys"
Grocery stores used to employ dozens of these. First we cut the overhead in half by employing software which would tell the shelf stockers which items to remove from the shelves and they didn't have to manually read all the dates on the packages. Then we started sorting products better using simple filing systems on computers and multi-sized containers that could be more easily managed by machines. Then, we started replacing the tags on the shelves with small screens that could be updated by a computer to reflect changes to prices and labels. Now a grocery store 5 times the size can operate on 1/4 the staff.
Cashiers
This is 2018, most people have visited stores with self-service checkouts and a maybe a security guard. The next phase is to make employ RFID more heavily and allow shoppers to stand on a yellow box where they will be scanned and then answer on their phone whether they would like to complete the transaction where they can simply click yes. This means malls which hold 500-1000 employees across may stores can offer a service with 20-50 employees who simply visit store by store and keeping things clean... like sorting and replacing throwback bins and such. In fact, shoppers could walk the entire mall store to store and settle their charges for all their items before exiting the building.
Agriculture
In my life, I've watched farms become over 100 times larger than when I was a kid. It used to take far more people to handle the farming. But with milking machines, automated butchering systems, livestock management systems, mega tractors that can not only plant and cut, but also bundle... we haven't even started here yet. It might be that a single building full of farmers will be able to manage the entire state of Montana's farming requirements.
AI will be for people like drivers who will be removed from the eco-system. Initially, truck drivers will be cut back substantially through semi-autonomous trains of vehicles. So, a single driver in a lead truc
No shit... I used to be part of writing a web browser (with a ridiculously large user base world wide) that intentionally reformatted web pages and shrunk content to reduce bandwidth consumption. I wonder if they'll come after us for altering content to save the user money. And no... we didn't give an option to download the full quality items if they requested. So if you really want to see Kim Kardashian's ass in all it's nasty glory, you'll have to use another web browser.... I wonder if that in itself is able to be called a public service.
I think Bright was a movie which was mediocre at best. There were some real problems with it.
4K
I absolutely hate films shot in 4K on digital cameras like Red with insanely good quality that shows me close ups. Avatar was the worst... Sigourney Weavers skin is very nice in 1080p at a distance. But even Denise Richards playing Christmas Jones in James Bond at her prime should NEVER EVER EVER be seen at 4K in a close up. Holy shit... she is a goddess but when you magnify her skin to the point where you can go spelunking in her pores, it's just plain horrifying! There is something called film grain. It was great because it not only added something authentic to the filming, but it does a great job of hiding artifacts from chroma keying as well as distorting the image enough that people don't have to use more makeup than geisha to not look horrible. Netflix has a sick aversion to film grain simulation or lens filters. Thankfully, Will Smith looks pretty rough at any distance in that film. But the CG looked extremely super-imposed because delivering a 4K movie requires shooting and editing in 16K or using 72mm film and scanning 16K or everything just looks like shit.
Script
Closure to the story was shit. It basically just built the story up and up and up and then "We're out of time" and they tried to sort it all out in the 14 seconds they had left.
Human stupidity
Why in these films does everyone always have to be super-cool and by cool we consider them smart or they have to be absolutely stupid and unable to be reasoned with? People never seem to be able to have a discussion and think clearly. In this film, everyone was a bad guy... even the good guys. There was nothing in-between. It just felt wrong. It's like suggesting that humanity exists entirely without rationality or reason. This film should have had commercials for gambling websites interspersed. I think a great "Maria.com" product placement would have been amazing.
So... Let's kill the critique and think in terms of what really matters.
1) Since watching this film on Netflix... mainly because it was there. I have actually been renting films on Google Play since. I haven't even looked at what else is new.
2) With the exception of some animated stuff like Troll Hunters, I've avoided anything marked Netflix Originals. The reason is that pretty much everything I've tried watching from them is so completely American that it's fucking horrifying. Now I am American... at least as much as someone who left the U.S. at the age of 22 about 21 years ago can be. But I've become a great deal more European over the years. And Netflix is designed for a less sophisticated palette. You know... they cater for people who prefer not to think when they're entranced by the idiot box.
Most American TV is designed for people who say things like "I like to watch TV to let me brain have a rest." or "I use TV as a release" etc... in other words... American TV is generally for idiots. Smart people watch porn if they want to release something. Then they spend their lives stimulating their minds with something meaningful instead. Netflix Originals are designed for stupid.
So that said, after watching Bright, if my wife decided to cancel Netflix tomorrow, I don't really think it would concern me at all. It basically tells me that if this is the mixture that Netflix is banking on, I can stick to film rentals or audio books.
Would you ever tell anyone "Hey... Netflix has a great movie called Bright, you should try Netflix!" or would you extend your subscription on Netflix to see more content like this?
I have to say that there were multiple problems with Batman v Superman.
1) The darkness. I don't go to the movies to see Superman portrait as a brooding dark spirit. There are some few occasions where different flavors of Kryptonite or live circumstances causes him to be grumpy or stupid, but to be fair, I never really cared much for the dark portrayal of him.
2) Batman going open season on Superman and basically just picking a fight instead of solving a problem doesn't make sense. Batman has almost always classically kicked some ass and eventually tried to solve the problem. He is supposed to be REALLY SMART and really smart people don't just have blood thirsty vendettas.
I can go on, but there wasn't anything in that entire movie that didn't suck. It made all the super heroes anything but heroes and that kinda sucked.
I also don't like the Avengers when they're basically just fighting each other. It's bloody stupid. Cap an Stark should have a dynamic where they always do what's best and because of their positions, what's best is that they begrudgingly get alone and show a unified front for the team.
The thing about heroes is that they are supposed to make us feel as if a hero is someone who behaves in a way that makes us want to look up to them... not because they're strong of muscle or magic, but of integrity and character. There's nothing wrong with showing that heroes sometimes have problems to solve and they need help too, but thing like Batman v Superman wrecking cities... that's not what they are about. Move the fight somewhere out of town. Team Stark vs. Team Captain, shouldn't include wrecking airports, etc...
So, I tried watching Superman v, Batman a few times and it took like 3 or 4 tries to get through it because it was possibly the worst DC movie ever and I've seen Superman IV.
Life is screwed up when my kids are walking around thinking Deadpool is the best super hero ever.
We are moving towards automation of our core requirements. Humanity requires three core categories of sustenance :
a) Food and water
b) Housing
c) Energy
If we leave out sex as a fourth requirement (though I'm hesitant to do so as I'm practically a dog at heart), we do not need anything more than what is listed above.
Food
We will eventually have 3d printers in our houses that are supplied by cartridges of core materials to produce meals of sustenance. They may or may not be yummy, but they will provide us with the nutrients we need to survive. The supply chain can eventually over time be automated as well. I've always dreamed of using underground tunnels with high pressure sodium lighting, air filtering, etc... to produce massive amounts of food of high quality rapidly. I have considered most of the details of automation, and I can't see why humans would have to be too involved with the process if the crops are managed and harvested using overhead robotic arms. It will have many bugs (technical and creepy crawly) at first, but over time, it could prove to be able to provide extremely high quality produce reliably and with minimal toxicity. With good generic alterations of the seeds, it should be possible to have almost perfect crops at almost all times. By improving the delivery chain through automation, a house could order what they need only when they need it and therefore greatly reduce waste.
An alternative approach to 3d printing is a meal on wheels kind of solution which would have centralized kitchens producing meals to order using machines and delivering them via drones. This could be more practical.
Real meat will become a luxury and we'll either switch to eating bug meat or we'll switch to eating meat grown from stem cells. I believe stem cells makes more sense. But we'll do away with animal farms in the future as they're terrible for the planet, generally inhumane and they require far too much work for something we can do far better with stem cells. Also consider that we waste more than 30% of the meat we produce currently. Milk is actually not a requirement of life, but if we decide to keep it around, I have no answer to how to do that.
Water
Most of humanities problems with water can be resolved with better logistics. There are places on earth which are perfect for managing water and there are places which are not. For example, California is not a good place for water. If we force people to abandon California for more suitable places like Colorado or even Alaska and Canada for example, we can solve many of our water supply problems. In addition, thanks to problems in places like South Africa today, we will put a great deal more effort into solving water supply chain problems. This can be done through reclamation, filtration, etc... we will get better with water by necessity sooner than later and these systems will be highly automated over time.
Housing
As we automate waste removal which already has seen massive improvements through trucks that can lift trash cans from the side of the road using arms... we will see further automation of gathering of raw materials. The raw materials will be collected and shipped to recycling plants which automatically sort trash (see waste management in places like Sandefjord Norway) and once the materials are properly sorted, much material can be automatically reprocessed into raw materials for new construction.
China has made massive progress in flatpack housing, highrises, even almost complete cities. Trucks are loaded with click together housing components in the opposite order they should be removed from the trucks. Cranes are then operated to remove item by item to click into place and with little additional work, a house could be built in a an hour or two using nothing but self driving and self operating robots. The factories will eventually be automated to produce the components using automated systems. With a little more work, the materials delivered from trash recycling (parti