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'Reskilling Revolution Needed for the Millions of Jobs at Risk Due To Technological Disruption' (weforum.org)
A new report, published by The World Economic Forum on Monday estimates that 1.4 million U.S. jobs will be hit by automation between now and 2026. Of those, 57 percent belong to women. Without re-education, 16 percent of affected workers will have no job prospects, the study finds. A further 25 percent would have one to three job options. The report adds The positive finding from the report is that with adequate reskilling, 95% of the most immediately at-risk workers would find good-quality, higher-wage work in growing job families. Report highlights the urgent need for a massive reskilling programme, safety nets to support workers while they reskill, and support with job-matching.
I liked retraining better.
That was the turning point of my life--I went from negative zero to positive zero.
You cannot retrain a toilet cleaner to be a robot repairman.
After this or maybe the next wave of automation, there will be many humans whose labor will NEVER be worth what it costs to keep them alive.
A wave or two after that, there will be no humans who can do anything a machine can't do better and cheaper. Not engineers. Not artists. Not politicians. Not CEOs. Not you, either.
Nobody. Period.
"Jobs" are going to be OVER soon. Concentrating on putting people in different jobs ignores the main problem.
We better fucking come up with a better way to run things and a way to make the transition, or we're fucked.
57 percent belong to women
Why bother mentioning 57% would be women? Is it somehow more acceptable if it's only men being affected?
According to the BLS some 154 million Americans are employed. That <1% of those jobs would disappear in 8 years, in fact less than 0.1% per year sounds like the most unrevolutionary revolution ever. We'll all run out of jobs like... year 3000.
Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
For every job that a robot replaces, they must pay someone the equivalent wage of the pre robot job
Why should we retrain those people? Is it even feasible? Most low-skilled workers do not possess the intellectual abilities to learn anything complex. Which brings us to the next question: why waste time and resources on a lost cause? The vast majority of them are conservatives, bigots and gun owners. In a word, deplorables. Let them starve.
AI will also be coming for our jobs too. In fact, AI is already here and is eliminating entire categories of jobs.
Warning: requires a lot of college-level reading.
As the swamp's "favorite" President seeks to cut down the number of people paid by the taxpayer (especially for things other than security), a "report" comes out suggesting yet another way, the taxpayers' monies can be spent.
Why should I be compelled to pay for somebody else's education, again? Because I studied Math, while these slobs were playing football in school — when not robbing me of my lunch-money?
In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
The truth is that most of these people are surplus - their mental faculties will almost assuredly make them useless in any job that will survive this wave of automation. They are only the leading wedge of the surplus population.
Anyone with insight and an ounce of realism will realize that this all ends up with populations being culled via euthanasia because justifying the resources to keep unnecessary people alive isn't a political winner. Your moral arguments won't carry much weight when that becomes clear.
Luckily, I probably won't be alive to see the euthanasia begin, as i'm likely to check out within 15-20 years. But it's going to happen. Best prepare yourself for the first suggestion of it. It'll be within _your_ lifetime, for sure.
Jobs are going to disappear to robots, so we need to bring in immigrants to do the jobs that American robots won't do.
Yeah, we are pretty much fucked. The experiment in class mobility and the death of the aristocracy stands on the razor's edge. Now cheer, peasant, cheer for your Lords and Masters, that they might toss you a loaf of bread.
women should get married stay at home and take care of their children.
Like UBI, it will never happen. Not because it doesn't make economic sense (it obviously does), but because rich people just don't like the idea. Retrain people for free? When he went to his ivy league college, his parents had to pay a lot of money for the privilege! And the result is that you will have fewer desperate dirt-poor people driving wages down. What's good about that?
Post-scarcity at last.
How about challenging the assumption that everyone needs to work full time their entire life?
Otherwise you end up in a situation where you try to invent jobs that aren't actually necessary.
These people (not 100%, maybe 90%) are in these jobs for a reason = mostly an inability or unwillingness to learn more valuable skills.
What to do with them is a problem. The US is an expensive place to live.
it didn't work when the blue collar jobs went overseas and it's not going to work now. That's because:
a) older folks learn slower than young folks (fact)
b) it's kinda hard to work full time supporting the family you made when you had a job and go to school full time.
c) A lot of the folks being asked to re-skill didn't make it through college the first time when they were young and still had the support of their parents and access to scholarships only available to high school seniors
d) Nobody wants to support these folks while they go back to school, since that means tax hikes and we just did a $1.5 trillion dollar tax _cut_.
This is precisely why Hilary lost the election. Just telling them to reskill isn't an answer. It's not going to work. Think of something else or get ready for some pain while they elect God only knows what kind of people in a desperate attempt to find someone who will listen to them.
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I skimmed the article to find out, and came up with this gem:
According to this forecast, only one job family—Production—will experience an overall net job decline. However, both Production and Office and Administrative roles are set to experience a significant employment decline. Unlike Production, however, the Office and Administrative job family is forecast to experience sufficient new job gains as well in roles like Billing, Cost and Rate Clerks, Receptionists and Information Clerks, and Customer Service Representatives to counter-balance the shrinking of other occupational categories, such as Data Entry Keyers, File Clerks, Mail Clerks, and Administrative Assistants
So one of their super amazing findings is that data entry people will reskill into receptionists, and we'll need a lot more of those.
It seems to me that they don't have any idea what they're talking about. If you have less jobs under the Office and Administrative category from losing data based ones, you don't need more billing people and receptionists. And how is billing not going to see a similar reduction?
They seem to miss the fundamental issue here, which is that we're quickly getting to the point of being able to replace all of the jobs they think that we'll need more of that we could fill with the people already being made redundant. Some how their magic math shows that we can just retrain people for existing jobs and then we'll suddenly need lots more people in those positions. If that doesn't happen, a lot of the article falls apart. If those jobs also start going away, they're arguing for exactly the wrong approach.
I don't know about everyone else's office, but around here we're not hiring more receptionists and customer service reps. The trend is in the opposite direction, actually. Overall, just a rather fantastical article that seems detached from reality. It sounds good, and if you're selling retraining services, I bet it sounds even better.
Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
Just so long as not a single red cent of taxpayer dollars are spent on this kind of things. People who just refuse to pay for education are the curse on our society and they should be left to die in ditchs instead of becoming welfare queens living a luxury life off MY hard work. I am american and most people agree with me.
Post-scarcity
Human nature and the first law of thermodynamics disagree.
Being too old to be employed and having planned for retired life is making me look like a genius rather than a boomer asshole. I have moved up the scale!
Hey! My local Liberal Arts and Humanities college has been educating StarBucks baristas now for 20 years!
Why, I see philosophy majors contemplating whether or not coffee drinkers have free will. The theology majors - well they're rich. One is on his way to getting a private jet - his Jesus Jet - to serve the Lord.
problem is most people are dumb. I guess we can make a Robot/AI to stand next to each dumb person so that they can just ask the Robot what to do, ROFL!!!
Lots of people have foreseen this problem for a long time, myself included. I've also foreseen that the concept of UBI (universal basic income) will be rejected because of ideology as well as the sheer number of people living in denial about the problem. The workers threatened by automation that are in unions will try (and fail) to outlaw the technologies that are going replace them. Truckers are already doing this but it's a failing strategy. It's only when a very large number of people are their most desperate that UBI will be considered to be an option.
Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
...just increase the cap for H1-B visa workers and stop cracking down on illegal immigration.
Signed: Cato, Radley Balko, and every god-damned corporate shill in America.
We live in a world of extreme surplus, but we're still stuck to the notion that you must work to live. For those humans that can't get a job, do we feed them or treat them as useless? If useless, do we exterminate them? If so, how far do you go? Until there's one last human and everything is automated for him/her?
I like the idea of Universal Basic Income, but I fear that human instinct will cause it to fail. Remember, work hard! Millions on welfare depend on you! I have a difficult time letting go of this notion.
If the takeaway is indeed âoe1.4 million U.S. jobs will be hit by automation between now and 2026â, that seems very low. My startup alone is projected to displace 250,000-5000,000 jobs in the US within five years.
Multiple thoughts on how this is being presented. To me 1.4 million seems WAY on the low side with things like automated driving, delivery, order fullfillment likely arriving before that. McDonald’s new order Kiosks are horrible, but likely they will have voice input on the next go round. Why the emphasis of the likely impact on women? Likely minorities by race will be affected much more.
Let’s not be Pollyannaish about this. The only way this doesn’t get dark and ugly is with universal basic income. It should be phased in slowly, and the rich only get richer if they continue to provide more for the masses as well. Just because technology created new kinds of labor faster than job loss in the past, doesn’t mean it will this time round. In the past we moved from physical labor to mental labor. I don’t buy the we will all move to “creative” labor. Mental labor will likely only pay well for those way up the skill ladder, especially as more people try to enter the mental labor force and drive wages down.
Letter To Iran
I think that a lot of people who are just assuming everything is going to be OK with this next transition are going to be in for a surprise. Automation is also coming for knowledge workers, at all levels. Assume doctors didn't have an ironclad professional organization that will never allow them to be replaced or marginalized. Right now, the requirements for medical school are a photographic memory, a straight-A academic record and the ability to live through a rigorous training regime. With automation, that photographic memory is no longer as important because you don't need to have the entire body of medical knowledge in your brain. You also may be able to get away with accepting students with a 3.5 GPA or even lower. Salaries are going to drop overall because of facts like these.
In addition, consider the following very different, yet very similar hypothetical workers:
- Factory worker in a well-paying part of the country, who has been placing Part A on Part B and tightening Bolt C (or some other assembly skill) for their entire working life since high school, and is at the top of their potential skill level
- Big-company general office worker, who has been accepting email from Department A, performing work item B, and emailing the result to Department C since they got their Business Management degree from Big State University
Both of these workers are toast once automation comes for their jobs, and this time there's nothing they can be trained to do. Don't forget that we told the factory workers to go get office jobs, and we forced the office job holders through college for a generation or two.
Ruling thought of people pulling strings there is: If you are not doing well, you are doing something wrong, you need to be penalized so you learn to do it right.
That's not a fact but a religious-like thought model to create peace of mind and justify why it is good to accumulate Millions/Billions of green stuff and using it to multiply it and game the system. Citizens United, sponsoring - ah, bribing is the right name - politicians to do the "right" thing for them with the help of "how to make friends and influence people" oh, old story, nowadays it's think tanks, https://cambridgeanalytica.org... trying to turn opinions with twitter, facebook, manipulate voting district boundaries to gain advantages etc... How much more sick can it get?
Stepping into an office with a request and the individual on the desk opens his desk drawer and asks "how can I help you"...
Green stuff and power is an addictive drug changing one's brain structure to turn any decency, integrity and common sense off and to the thing, is it ruining parts of a population, People kill (ah, direct others to do it for - guess what) with that mind frame and they accumulate in higher position of societies, states and countries.
So - where are the Eliot Ness characters these days where this system failure of a POTUS has promised to do the job and defrauded everyone who was stupid enough to take the bait? Maybe Robert Mueller is of that type and him succeeding lets others discover their guts?
Enjoy the Armageddon show when you can!
Robot inspector, for one.
Robot attendance checker.
Robot dance instructor.
Robot speech trainer. (Must they all speak in a dull.Shatner.impression. in.that.metallic.monotone?)
Come on, I can't think of everything; I'm stuck in the *present*
WARNING: Smartphones have side effects--most of them undocumented.
Petroleum Engineers are some of the best paid engineers out there. If America paid everyone to reskill into becoming a Petroleum Engineer then Americans would be much better off.
This will happen when we have commercial fusion
As soon as I saw someone ask the question, I know some moron would turn it around to put words in their mouth.
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or at least it does to most people. It's certainly what I think of when I hear the phrase.
Also, what the devil are they going to retrain for? We're about to put every cashier and driver out of work. They're not all going to go off and be doctors, most folks just don't have the capacity. I guess we could think up new service jobs, but who's gonna pay them? It's not looking like folks are gonna have much money.
Also, you're assuming folks need to work or they become listless and frustrated and violent. I think that's only going to be a problem if they don't have enough money for food/shelter and (maybe, big maybe) a modicum of living (e.g. have a kid or two, go get drunk occasionally, that sort of thing).
All I see is more folks trying to put the onus on people to 're-skill' without talking about how they're gonna do that, if they even _can_ do that and where are the jobs going to come from. It sounds like blame shifting so we can all look the other way while 20% of the country's lives go to shit. That's certainly the vibe I got from Hillary Clinton.
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Those millions of no skill browns you imported will suddenly be jobless, hungry and angry. Good luck, Old California!
(1) Maybe. But only a very few things.
(2) The "next thing" will, of course, at some point be invented by the machines. And if not invented by them, it will be delivered by them from day one.
(3) Machines will at some point be able to do all of that BETTER THAN HUMANS. That was the whole point of the post you were answering. Humans have NO unique abilities that can't be improved on by technology. It may take a while, but it will happen. And it looks like it's in sight already.
You will never get the point until you get over the idea that humans are magic. Humans are just evolved machines.
There's nothing special about humans. It's very improbable that humans represent either the best possible performance or the best possible price/performance ratio in ANYTHING AT ALL. By the way, that includes understanding and relating to other humans, in addition to all the cognitive tasks you listed.
Cannon fodder is the standard way of assisting Darwin in finding a way out of the idiocy trap.
get rid of the collage part and open trades up.
The college idea will be that credits do not transfer and not only do you need to retake classes you also need to take filler classes. We may be able to wave must take on campus housing for at least first 2 years.
But any one get get a loan even people who just got out prison.
Bah humbug. Tell that to the agrarian workers of the late 19th and early 20th centuries who survived the industrial revolution. The naysayers back then said the same thing. Truth is even for the staggering amout of automation we have today we still can't fulfill the work force we need.
Despite the sensationalist headline, 1.6M displaced workers out of the total number of jobs is hardly worth the billions that will be demanded for federal programs. Considering 5 million jobs - over 3 times this sensationalist number - have been outsourced since 2000
http://money.cnn.com/2016/03/2...
maybe the time to scream has passed....
Considering the GOP has the House, Senate, and Oval Office, the stomach in the US for additional programs is small....
Yes... I suspect the "reskilling" revolution will be actually looking ahead. There's no point in retraining people to do work that is just going to be in the next wave (or the one after that) of jobs that are automated.
(sweetly)And what jobs might those be? Can you tell us? I've retrained so many times that I often joke about becoming a politician or a policeman next, because it seems every field I get into EVAPORATES.
There will always be jobs, unless anarchy or anti-jobs laws rule.
For one thing, even if robots do 99.9% of the work .. we will still have jobs. Whether it is in space exploration or finding cures for every disease. We still haven't colonized the oceans, we still haven't even put a person on Mars .. let alone colonized it with highways and houses. We still don't have deep space hotels or asteroid mining colonies. My biggest fear is that as humans get more prosperous they reproduce less .. every rich country has kids less than the replacement rate. Today the population growth in nearly all the wealthy countries is ENTIRELY from immigration and from the poor in those countries. Countries that dont allow immigration like Russia and Japan are seeing negative population growth. If everyone is prosperous and has access to good healthcare they won't have enough kids.
germany has trade schools. But in the usa they want you go to collage and maybe even a trade school after that to fill your skill gap but the pay you will get will not help you pay off your $150-200K+ student loans. Unless you went to med school.
Of those, 57 percent belong to women.
Why ... does that matter?
Is that supposed to make us care more or something?
Retraining falsely assumes that the displaced or jobless are at sole fault. Employers still have a entitlement mentality that keeps too many out of work, especially the long-term jobless.
"Forget the engineers." -Carly Fiorina, briber of MIT Technology Review.
We are moving towards automation of our core requirements. Humanity requires three core categories of sustenance :
a) Food and water
b) Housing
c) Energy
If we leave out sex as a fourth requirement (though I'm hesitant to do so as I'm practically a dog at heart), we do not need anything more than what is listed above.
Food
We will eventually have 3d printers in our houses that are supplied by cartridges of core materials to produce meals of sustenance. They may or may not be yummy, but they will provide us with the nutrients we need to survive. The supply chain can eventually over time be automated as well. I've always dreamed of using underground tunnels with high pressure sodium lighting, air filtering, etc... to produce massive amounts of food of high quality rapidly. I have considered most of the details of automation, and I can't see why humans would have to be too involved with the process if the crops are managed and harvested using overhead robotic arms. It will have many bugs (technical and creepy crawly) at first, but over time, it could prove to be able to provide extremely high quality produce reliably and with minimal toxicity. With good generic alterations of the seeds, it should be possible to have almost perfect crops at almost all times. By improving the delivery chain through automation, a house could order what they need only when they need it and therefore greatly reduce waste.
An alternative approach to 3d printing is a meal on wheels kind of solution which would have centralized kitchens producing meals to order using machines and delivering them via drones. This could be more practical.
Real meat will become a luxury and we'll either switch to eating bug meat or we'll switch to eating meat grown from stem cells. I believe stem cells makes more sense. But we'll do away with animal farms in the future as they're terrible for the planet, generally inhumane and they require far too much work for something we can do far better with stem cells. Also consider that we waste more than 30% of the meat we produce currently. Milk is actually not a requirement of life, but if we decide to keep it around, I have no answer to how to do that.
Water
Most of humanities problems with water can be resolved with better logistics. There are places on earth which are perfect for managing water and there are places which are not. For example, California is not a good place for water. If we force people to abandon California for more suitable places like Colorado or even Alaska and Canada for example, we can solve many of our water supply problems. In addition, thanks to problems in places like South Africa today, we will put a great deal more effort into solving water supply chain problems. This can be done through reclamation, filtration, etc... we will get better with water by necessity sooner than later and these systems will be highly automated over time.
Housing
As we automate waste removal which already has seen massive improvements through trucks that can lift trash cans from the side of the road using arms... we will see further automation of gathering of raw materials. The raw materials will be collected and shipped to recycling plants which automatically sort trash (see waste management in places like Sandefjord Norway) and once the materials are properly sorted, much material can be automatically reprocessed into raw materials for new construction.
China has made massive progress in flatpack housing, highrises, even almost complete cities. Trucks are loaded with click together housing components in the opposite order they should be removed from the trucks. Cranes are then operated to remove item by item to click into place and with little additional work, a house could be built in a an hour or two using nothing but self driving and self operating robots. The factories will eventually be automated to produce the components using automated systems. With a little more work, the materials delivered from trash recycling (parti
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I'd put my bet on artist, musician, poet, or similar. The society we live in is a system adapted to the exponential growth and political conditions existing around the allocation of capital that prevailed in the twentieth century. It's going to change, and I strongly suspect that questions like "what fields should we reskill workers into?" are going to sound ridiculous a generation or two down the line.
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And in other news, "Sun comes up again today".
but I did IT for a closet & cabinet maker where not a single employee (including the owner) could do carpentry. They had a CNC machine. A sales guy would go out, do measurements, show you some packages and then a computer cut everything to fit. Then a couple guys with nails and hammers went out and banged it all together. If anything didn't fit it was because the measurements were wrong. You didn't 'em again, recut, and yelled at the sales guy not to screw up again.
That's a really, really high skill job that's been turned into Ikea furniture by computers.
Another example is my kid's invisalign braces. After the first set of prints were done she saw the orthodontist a total of 6 times for about 3 hours total; and she only saw him that much because her teeth needed some grinding and that takes a while. Everything else was done by computer in Israel. The invisalign were the same price as regular braces; but the regular braces would have needed bi weekly adjustments. With the invisalign she just swapped out clear plastic retainers.
Oh, and don't get me started on how quick buildings go up now. I've seen high rises open in less than a year. The kind that used to take 5 times that when I was a wee lad. And most of that year was waiting for the city to complete inspections (underfunded inspection offices don't have enough manpower, so you wait a while).
Point is, it's not just automation, it's massive amounts of skill reduction.
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A book I read when I was young: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... Prescient perhaps?
Ok, Time to start building the Ark Fleet Ship B...
Why would any of those be done by humans instead of other robots?
Is a freefall in prices so the boomers can retire.
Bring rent back to 200 instead of 2000, etc.
there was a story about coal miner's kids doing apprenticeships to be coal miners. Everyone called them idiots because they all know the job's going away. One of the left wing rags (I forget which one) actually _interviewed_ the kids. When asked the kids had a damn good reason to take the apprenticeships. There were no jobs available for the other career options available. They'd have to move somewhere else, and they didn't have the money to do that. These were poor kids in dead coal towns. Uprooting wasn't an option.
So they did the only rational thing: study for the only jobs left that weren't Walmart and hope they were one of the ones to get in. A perfectly rational thing to do under the circumstances. Trouble is the entire situation isn't rational, so if you're on the outside looking in they seem crazy.
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They say that smell triggers memories. Move over smell, nothing takes me right back to the strike-riddled seventies than "job" and "hit" spiked into the same headline.
There is no two ways about that.
I'm a web-developer. Which these days means I fiddle with this mess called WordPress for which there are a bazillion plugins for every problem you can think of. I do 20hr/week part-time, earn more than quite a few people do full-time and my biggest challange is diving deep into Gulp and Sass if only for the kicks of it because that will be obsolete in two years too. My life now is basically an extended vacation, because aside from my 20 hours of "work" I indulge in post-scarcity "minimalism", which means I live in a single room appartment, with not too much junk in it but still an abundance of goods, gadgets, food and entertainment. I've picked up Yoga and dumbell training as to stay fit and as a special means of preparing for old age - I want to stay fit as long and possible. In my spare time I go social dancing, have sex and plan surf and snowboard trips and study media CS on the side. Most of my job is being available for when stuff happends which I then fix in a few hours. Roughly 70%. At least.
This is the model of life as it will be in the future from here on out.
Keynes profecy has come true. 15 per week and person max. required for luxury lifetimes. UBI will come, and if it's the megacorps drilling it into the head of the stupid Trumps of this world. Even high profile CEOs say it's inevitable. There simply is no other way. As soon as robots drive our cars and sew our clothing at minimum 200 - 300 million people are going to lose their job around the world and a good pair of jeans will still cost less than 10 euros and *won't* need shipping around the globe, because on demand local production will be cheaper . Yea, robot maintainence is a few extra jobs, but nowhere near what is going overboard. Add to that the loss of the ICE drivetrain with at least 100 000 high qualification jobs in Germany and Europe and the AIs doing the stuff I still do because the code I work with is from 20 years ago by people who couldn't programm, bound to be replaced within the next two major releases of whatever tool I'm currently using.
Bottom line:
Sit back, relax n chill and prepare for incoming.
We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
....as Trump has done and is doing in his solar-tariff game. Or you could innovate your way out. Everyone is in the same boat.
Hands-on care for the under aged and elderly. Obviously if you're male then don't bother with the childcare aspect - you simply won't be allowed to be near children unless the place has 24/7 CCTV. So look to elderly care.
Of course, if your country doesn't care that much for the elderly, perhaps you're SOL. If you're in the US, maybe prison guard. You incarcerate a lot of your population, and I doubt that's going to reduce anytime soon (well, unless you get you're War on Drugs under control).
They expect anyone ato believe this? Or are they just telling themselves that in order to just spread the false image and just push through full speed ahead and then "not their problem" because they needed lower corporate taxes to avoid such scenario or some other shameless remark.
"The positive finding from the report is that with adequate reskilling, 95% of the most immediately at-risk workers would find good-quality, higher-wage work in growing job families"
And why do they always ignore and assume all the "blue colar jeans" plebes need is "reskilling", "retraining", "re-education". I assume whoever wrote this and other who share these sort of simplistic approaches of just "turning the button/switch on/off" like their dream (dys)utopian future of automated la la land with the current capitalist bankster mafia bosses could be so easily done. The sociopathic assholes who push such poor social policies or whatever you want to define this as, should immediately go into retraining themselves into say one of many advanced computer engineering courses, like flipping a switch, they sign up get sent over there "reskilling" meanwhile with every basic life costs and needs paid for while they're (most likely long term) un-employed in "reskilling" and surelly their innate skills as politicians could be molded into the next master of quantum electronic systems and computing devices. They just needed to be sent into a job "reskilling" program.
About 1% of artists manage to make a living out of 'pure' art, as opposed to becoming an illustrator for a magazine, children's books, etc.
Reminds me of these adverts that were on New Zealand TV years ago: Cannon Safety Inspector https://www.youtube.com/watch?... & Shopping Trolley Mechanic https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
According to current scifi, mining virtual gold. You grind and grind and grind in VRMMO and come up with enough money to eat and sleep in a cubicle. Your room doesn't matter as you essentially live in VR.
Machines only have a price tag because it takes human labour to build them still. In other words, when there is no longer any human inputs then the cost drops to zero. Money is just a placeholder for cooperation.
The problem then becomes one of population control. There is two ways to do it without wars, either use discriminatory ways to decimate the "undesirables" or simply limit the birth rate.
Of course, there is also the problem of the combat capable machines. Who gets the tell them what to do? And at what level of accountability?
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I highly doubt that there will be enough jobs for retrained people, maybe 1/3 of the current workforce will get another job, the rest will have to re-invent themselves and go to another place.
In the late seventies, as manufacturing was being sent to cheaper, non-union labor in other countries, we were told that better jobs would come from the "information economy".
I skimmed the article... and they simply do not mention what the "growing job categories" are.
It's all magic, they say, we'll wave our hands, and move on.
Meanwhile, the folks who's jobs, or whose parents jobs, were outsourced and offshored do *not* have been jobs. The mechanic who works for a dealer, and has to buy his own
"special service tools" every year, does *not* make as much as a unionized factory worker did, nor do they have a pension, or a union hall to go to, where they can get jobs.
And remember, nearly 50% of the US has *no* college. And a lot of them would not be happy in college (really? how much did you enjoy the flunk-out courses?).
A guaranteed basic income is the only way to deal with too many people, and fewer and fewer jobs. They could be paid for by dividends (aka "taxes") from the megacorps making tens of billions a year... in profits.
'Cause I still have all the right skills, I'm just too old to get hired.
It's going to change, and I strongly suspect that questions like "what fields should we reskill workers into?" are going to sound ridiculous a generation or two down the line.
Nice fantasy. Too bad the wealthy and powerful have ultimate power and no interest in sharing it.
Well you seem like a clear thinker to me. Prepare to be euthanized.