Once you are out of a job and can't pay for a gun and ammunition anymore, it's definitely you losing.
Coal is quite expensive and inflexible. It takes literally decades to open a coal mine, extract the coal and close it up again. And it is only feasible if there is either someone constantly requesting the coal, or if you have large storage capacities for unused coal, or if some governmental body pays subsidies for the time you can't sell the coal, and thus have to stop mining.
But one solution to air travel issues is not to use air travel. Air travel is just one piece of the whole solution to the problem of getting from A to B, and it's not even a necessary one, as most travel is not by air.
There is a whole bunch of offerings, which can be put together to achieve the A->B transfer, and you not using air travel is even a solution for some of the air travel issues of others. They get shorter waiting queues and more available seats for instance, if you are not there on the same flight.
China might not be building coal plants anymore in 10 years, when Solar becomes cheaper. If you really read the article, you will find out, that there still are regions in the world, where at current prices, Coal is cheaper than Solar.
And also for coal, someone has to pay for the land and subsidy. Coal doesn't fall from the sky (other than sunlight, which literally does so), it has to be mined, and beside the coal mines you need tracks or roads to transport the coal to the plants. So Coal is also a big consumer of land, especially if the coal is mined by surface mining, which is by far the cheapest option.
After you already hit something? What would you win by not hitting the brakes? People rear ending you still have their airbags and seatbelts and crumple zones, which will protect them from the worst. People in front of you don't. So breaking and getting some 40 ton heap of steel into stillstand as soon as possible once it is out of control (and because it hit something, there is enough proof to call it out of control) is in any case better than let it run to save the people driving to close behind it a few bucks by keeping their cars undamaged.
As far as it is currently known it is not possible to get Mad Cow Disease from eating the meat. Apparently it's only bone marrow, joint tissue or brain tissue that might contaminate you. The Mad Cow Disease was spread because non-meat remainings of cattle and sheep (with the similar disease Scrapy) were used in cattle and sheep food pellets to increase the protein content. Most interestingly though, certain Manganese compounds seem to trigger the creation of the prions that lead to Mad Cow Disease even in non-contaminated cows and sheep. So it's much more complicated than eat beaf = get Mad Cow Disease.
Welders, plumbers, morticians, and other staple trades are not going anywhere. Good luck outsourcing an embalmer overseas.
While they might not be fully going, their numbers will shrink. You don't need many morticians if you can just 3D print houses. You don't need many plumbers, if plumbing comes prefabricated in a modular system and only needs to be fixed somewhere, for instance in the predesigned cavities in the 3D printed houses. And outsourcing an embalmer? Easy! Put the coffin on a cooling ship, send it somewhere with cheap labor, and have the corpse being embalmed there. Prawns fished in the Northern Sea get shipped to Morocco to be shelled and then shipped back to the harbours at the Northern Sea to be sold there "fresh from the sea". It's cheaper that way.
Yes, sometimes you need someone who has profound knowledge of a trade. Sometimes, you really need welders, plumbers, morticians and other staple trades. But it will be less and less often. Prefabricated solutions are becoming more and more flexible, and to mount them you will need less and less specialized personnel. I've seen phone installations from the 1930ies, where each cable was individually manufactured by the electrician, each wire individually spliced and soldered to its connector. It took a month to built it, and a highly skilled tradesman. Today, you just take an 50 or 100 pair cable, put it in the cable duct, and plug the ends to a patch panel. It's the work of an hour, and requires no special skill. The number of electricians needed for phone installations thus has shrunken by a factor of 100. What are you doing with the 99 electricians no longer needed?
I've seen things like that in action. When I was a child, we had some traffic lights with additional signs showing the speed necessary to get to the next traffic lights when they are about to turn green. I've seen similar signalling at a rural road close with several traffic lights following each other. At each traffic light there is an additional indicator showing what speed will get you to the next traffic light at green.
These discussions completely miss the point to think about a future where not only companies track our data but everyone can track the own data. And we will also shop for algorithms to make sense of that data. Quantified self and similar movements are only the beginning.
I don't see much advantage here, but one big disadvantage: You can't do anything in secrecy anymore. You can't choose christmas presents, because companies will change the recommendations to your acquintances because of your choices. You can't develop the next big thing in your garage, because companies know what you are working on. There will be no way to discover something for yourself, because algorithms will prediscover everything for you. BYOD and similar concepts will cause the work sphere and the private sphere to merge, making the concept of privacy as a shield not only against the government but against any data processing entity meaningless. The puberty of the next generation will be hell, and they will not learn to take responsibilities, because companies will send parents warnings everywhere about their offspring's behaviour. Their behaviour will no longer be trained by the consequences of their doing, but by the inherent morality the algorithms have derived from other people's behaviours. The story of the young woman, whose father learned of her pregnancy due to a sudden surge in toddler equipment advertisements in the mail might have some anecdotical aspects, nevertheless this is the reality we have to deal with. We know that every mammal needs some place to hide for a moment, to regain strength, but we are actively destroying every hiding places for ourselves.
Fusion is still farther away than 10-15 years, probably further than 50.
Prediction is hard, especially about the future. So far, the contained fusion is not just an engineering problem, where we could predict how long it takes to solve it. It is so many little and big problems intertwined, that it might be working five years from now, because we just discover the missing part, or it might in 50 years still be an unsolved problem.
Deaths per 1000 is not a good proxy for life expectancy. If you look at Japan, which has the highest life expectancy, deaths per 1000 is even higher.
If the population in a region increases over several decades because of a high birth rate, deaths per 1000 will be lower even when the life expectancy is 60 years or less. If you have many young people and not many old ones, deaths per 1000 are very low.
But for some reasons, average body weight in the US is falling at the same time "fat acceptance" is spreading. That's probably pure coincidence, right?
Completely different from what you say, the predictions for the second decade of the 2000s (where we are right now) are closely matched by the predictions in the first climate report to the IPCC of 1990. The following reports moved the error bars a little down, maybe because of political pressure to not paint the future too black, but in fact, the first report was right.
Because most of our crops don't grow in tropic weather. Because the trade winds will cause an inversion between the Tropics and halfway to the equator, independent of the global temperature, meaning that there will be deserts north and south of the equator anyway. Because rising sea levels mean lost agreable land, which not necessarily gets replaced by the same amount of newly agreable land in the North (In the South, there is just ocean and no new land to be gained by moving climate zones closer to the Southpole). Because the amount of food we grow is a limiting factor to mankind. In fact, the total amount of land used to grow crops is slightly shrinking in most regions of the world, be it due to urban sprawl or re-forestation.
The great Hunza secret to old age turned out to be its absence of birth records. The illiterate elders didn't know how old they were, and they tended to overestimate their ages by a decade or two, as I discovered by comparing their recollections with known historical events.
Also, the cure for cancer is at least in part based on the Hunza mountain people who live an average of 120 plus years and do not get cancer.
The longest ever documented lifespan of a human being was that of Jeanne Calment, who died in 1997 being 122 years old. She was no Hunza, but a french woman from Arles. Most other persons being named as the oldest person currently living die between 114 and 117 years old.
I thus seriously doubt any information about people getting older than 120 years on average. You need a very strong proof for that claim.
I never understood that. Whatever else Donald Trump may be, he definitely is establishment. You can't have any large real estate business without being in constant contact with local politicians. His whole economic message during the election was that he has the connections necessary to make Things[tm] work. So he is the establishment guy and insider, that will put an end to all those establishment guys and insiders, right?
One of the most important chapters in my basic CS courses was "robustness", the ability of algorithms to still work correctly even if fed random or maliciously formed input. The mantra of the teacher was: "Never expect input to be what the spec says."
Not necessarily. The potential customer could become wary and think twice if he should be shopping around, if the first company he was looking for got a lot of bad reviews. He might just skip the purchase and keep the money. It's not as if every purchase you do is out of necessity.
I don't think the e-ink display is the right choice for a watch. The nice thing about e-ink is that it doesn't need power to keep the current display, but changing the display actually needs power. A watch constantly changes its display, thus the power advantage is much smaller.
Coal is quite expensive and inflexible. It takes literally decades to open a coal mine, extract the coal and close it up again. And it is only feasible if there is either someone constantly requesting the coal, or if you have large storage capacities for unused coal, or if some governmental body pays subsidies for the time you can't sell the coal, and thus have to stop mining.
There is a whole bunch of offerings, which can be put together to achieve the A->B transfer, and you not using air travel is even a solution for some of the air travel issues of others. They get shorter waiting queues and more available seats for instance, if you are not there on the same flight.
And also for coal, someone has to pay for the land and subsidy. Coal doesn't fall from the sky (other than sunlight, which literally does so), it has to be mined, and beside the coal mines you need tracks or roads to transport the coal to the plants. So Coal is also a big consumer of land, especially if the coal is mined by surface mining, which is by far the cheapest option.
Exactly. .50 cal api rounds do nil in such a situation. But you can be pretty sure to hit innocent bystanders.
If this is your plan, then the next terrorist will not even need to steer the truck into groups of people. Your .50 round will do the work for him.
Because Germany is not a "christian" country. The largest religious group in Germany is "no religious affiliation".
After you already hit something? What would you win by not hitting the brakes? People rear ending you still have their airbags and seatbelts and crumple zones, which will protect them from the worst. People in front of you don't. So breaking and getting some 40 ton heap of steel into stillstand as soon as possible once it is out of control (and because it hit something, there is enough proof to call it out of control) is in any case better than let it run to save the people driving to close behind it a few bucks by keeping their cars undamaged.
No, this is a Tesla driver in the Netherlands, who made a dashcam video.
As far as it is currently known it is not possible to get Mad Cow Disease from eating the meat. Apparently it's only bone marrow, joint tissue or brain tissue that might contaminate you. The Mad Cow Disease was spread because non-meat remainings of cattle and sheep (with the similar disease Scrapy) were used in cattle and sheep food pellets to increase the protein content. Most interestingly though, certain Manganese compounds seem to trigger the creation of the prions that lead to Mad Cow Disease even in non-contaminated cows and sheep. So it's much more complicated than eat beaf = get Mad Cow Disease.
Welders, plumbers, morticians, and other staple trades are not going anywhere. Good luck outsourcing an embalmer overseas.
While they might not be fully going, their numbers will shrink. You don't need many morticians if you can just 3D print houses. You don't need many plumbers, if plumbing comes prefabricated in a modular system and only needs to be fixed somewhere, for instance in the predesigned cavities in the 3D printed houses. And outsourcing an embalmer? Easy! Put the coffin on a cooling ship, send it somewhere with cheap labor, and have the corpse being embalmed there. Prawns fished in the Northern Sea get shipped to Morocco to be shelled and then shipped back to the harbours at the Northern Sea to be sold there "fresh from the sea". It's cheaper that way.
Yes, sometimes you need someone who has profound knowledge of a trade. Sometimes, you really need welders, plumbers, morticians and other staple trades. But it will be less and less often. Prefabricated solutions are becoming more and more flexible, and to mount them you will need less and less specialized personnel. I've seen phone installations from the 1930ies, where each cable was individually manufactured by the electrician, each wire individually spliced and soldered to its connector. It took a month to built it, and a highly skilled tradesman. Today, you just take an 50 or 100 pair cable, put it in the cable duct, and plug the ends to a patch panel. It's the work of an hour, and requires no special skill. The number of electricians needed for phone installations thus has shrunken by a factor of 100. What are you doing with the 99 electricians no longer needed?
I've seen things like that in action. When I was a child, we had some traffic lights with additional signs showing the speed necessary to get to the next traffic lights when they are about to turn green. I've seen similar signalling at a rural road close with several traffic lights following each other. At each traffic light there is an additional indicator showing what speed will get you to the next traffic light at green.
These discussions completely miss the point to think about a future where not only companies track our data but everyone can track the own data. And we will also shop for algorithms to make sense of that data. Quantified self and similar movements are only the beginning.
I don't see much advantage here, but one big disadvantage: You can't do anything in secrecy anymore. You can't choose christmas presents, because companies will change the recommendations to your acquintances because of your choices. You can't develop the next big thing in your garage, because companies know what you are working on. There will be no way to discover something for yourself, because algorithms will prediscover everything for you. BYOD and similar concepts will cause the work sphere and the private sphere to merge, making the concept of privacy as a shield not only against the government but against any data processing entity meaningless. The puberty of the next generation will be hell, and they will not learn to take responsibilities, because companies will send parents warnings everywhere about their offspring's behaviour. Their behaviour will no longer be trained by the consequences of their doing, but by the inherent morality the algorithms have derived from other people's behaviours. The story of the young woman, whose father learned of her pregnancy due to a sudden surge in toddler equipment advertisements in the mail might have some anecdotical aspects, nevertheless this is the reality we have to deal with. We know that every mammal needs some place to hide for a moment, to regain strength, but we are actively destroying every hiding places for ourselves.
Fusion is still farther away than 10-15 years, probably further than 50.
Prediction is hard, especially about the future. So far, the contained fusion is not just an engineering problem, where we could predict how long it takes to solve it. It is so many little and big problems intertwined, that it might be working five years from now, because we just discover the missing part, or it might in 50 years still be an unsolved problem.
If the population in a region increases over several decades because of a high birth rate, deaths per 1000 will be lower even when the life expectancy is 60 years or less. If you have many young people and not many old ones, deaths per 1000 are very low.
But for some reasons, average body weight in the US is falling at the same time "fat acceptance" is spreading. That's probably pure coincidence, right?
Completely different from what you say, the predictions for the second decade of the 2000s (where we are right now) are closely matched by the predictions in the first climate report to the IPCC of 1990. The following reports moved the error bars a little down, maybe because of political pressure to not paint the future too black, but in fact, the first report was right.
Because most of our crops don't grow in tropic weather. Because the trade winds will cause an inversion between the Tropics and halfway to the equator, independent of the global temperature, meaning that there will be deserts north and south of the equator anyway. Because rising sea levels mean lost agreable land, which not necessarily gets replaced by the same amount of newly agreable land in the North (In the South, there is just ocean and no new land to be gained by moving climate zones closer to the Southpole). Because the amount of food we grow is a limiting factor to mankind. In fact, the total amount of land used to grow crops is slightly shrinking in most regions of the world, be it due to urban sprawl or re-forestation.
The great Hunza secret to old age turned out to be its absence of birth records. The illiterate elders didn't know how old they were, and they tended to overestimate their ages by a decade or two, as I discovered by comparing their recollections with known historical events.
Read yourself: The Optimists Are Right.
Also, the cure for cancer is at least in part based on the Hunza mountain people who live an average of 120 plus years and do not get cancer.
The longest ever documented lifespan of a human being was that of Jeanne Calment, who died in 1997 being 122 years old. She was no Hunza, but a french woman from Arles. Most other persons being named as the oldest person currently living die between 114 and 117 years old.
I thus seriously doubt any information about people getting older than 120 years on average. You need a very strong proof for that claim.
I never understood that. Whatever else Donald Trump may be, he definitely is establishment. You can't have any large real estate business without being in constant contact with local politicians. His whole economic message during the election was that he has the connections necessary to make Things[tm] work. So he is the establishment guy and insider, that will put an end to all those establishment guys and insiders, right?
One of the most important chapters in my basic CS courses was "robustness", the ability of algorithms to still work correctly even if fed random or maliciously formed input. The mantra of the teacher was: "Never expect input to be what the spec says."
Even that's not for sure. He might just keep the money and reduce his debt, thus it even hurts banks not getting interest.
Not necessarily. The potential customer could become wary and think twice if he should be shopping around, if the first company he was looking for got a lot of bad reviews. He might just skip the purchase and keep the money. It's not as if every purchase you do is out of necessity.
The DNC put millions of people in concentration camps and killed them?
I don't think the e-ink display is the right choice for a watch. The nice thing about e-ink is that it doesn't need power to keep the current display, but changing the display actually needs power. A watch constantly changes its display, thus the power advantage is much smaller.
Early 19th century. My bad. Otherwise it would have been 300 years ago. Time flies.