if you want to be noticed the easiest way is to do an extreme ultra-marathon with a thumbnail of yourself being carried away on a stretcher.
Since I started using Video Blocker add-on that kind of click-baiting only gets that entire channel blocklisted. You know that thing where you watch a video on a topic and lunatics start appearing in your recommended list? Now they show up only once.
By the end, it was an engineering problem, not a science problem.
That was very much not so. Information dump doesn't kill off research. Just like how sharing research doesn't kill off further research or how education of the wider population about the research doesn't kill off research. Science doesn't work like that. Information doesn't work like that.
Such disruptions have been documented when previously isolated tribes make significant contact with the modern world, so it's not just theoretical.
It is not theoretical - it is false equivalence. To suggest that a neolithic "society" of five and a half huts, adopting a slightly better fishing hook style from another tribe with ten huts - is the same as planetary, information and beyond, societies of BILLIONS, exchanging scientific discoveries about the nature of the universe... Why not just compare space exploration with a bacteria floating on top of a pond?
Science is NOT about getting a slightly better fishing hook. It's about UNDERSTANDING everything there is to understand. About fishing hooks and about everything else. Which is not something your average tribal chief or shaman would or could do.
Imagine if your job gets replaced overnight with a magic machine. Not just your employment, your job. Overnight, there is literally no reason for anyone to care that you are skilled at X. All of your skills are now categorically irrelevant to the world.
You are confusing economic incentive with science. Also with information, skill, aptitude... bunch of things.
Just two examples. Imagine a "magic machine" which makes walking obsolete over night. Not just easier - obsolete. You don't have to walk anywhere anymore. Imagine a "magic machine" which can get you all the stories in the world, instantly. You don't have to imagine stories by yourself anymore.
There is no magic machine which replaces human curiosity and need for knowledge. It's an existential need. Even should such a magic machine be created, such as an AI which would solve problems for us, we'd still have the need to understand and know. It's not even a human thing. It's built into the DNA of every creature ever which had to be vary of dangers and needs of everyday life. Curiosity is a survival trait.
It's slashvertisement for a sub-par, TV-version of an adaptation of a classic. And the kind where someone, somewhere upstream (my guess is it's Michael B. Jordan, who's also an executive producer on this one) is pouring money into promoting the flick - but reporters have nothing to report. So they summarize the trailer.
Personally, I think it looks cheap, dumb and misguided compared to the Truffaut version. And cheap, dumb and misguided in general.
Visually it's a cheap ripoff of things seen in every generic TV show currently on. Thematically it's confused whether it's taking place in a society which is clamping down on information and "chaos" - or is it a multicultural, non-uniform, dirty, gritty, information-sharing world. Acting... well... There's Michael Shannon in it. And Michael B. Jordan if you're up for some unintentional comedy. "I... Want to... Look... Like... I'm... Acting... With... Great... Drama... And... Emotion..."
Imagine: You're a physicist who has dedicated your career to understanding the fundamental structure of matter. You have a stack of reprints, a decent position, and a modicum of admiration from the three other specialists who have read your papers. Suddenly, aliens weigh in with knowledge that's a thousand years ahead of yours. So much for your job and your sense of purpose. If humanity is deprived of the opportunity to learn things on its own, much of its impetus for novelty might evaporate. In a society where invention and discovery are written out of the script, progress and improvement would suffer.
Suddenly, SPIES give you that whole atomic bomb thing on a silver platter. So much for your job and your sense of purpose. Oh... wait... No... That's not how that happened.
Only 2% of studies showing antidepressants aren't effective get published:
From TFS:
We did a systematic review and network meta-analysis. We searched Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CINAHL, Embase, LILACS database, MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process, PsycINFO, the websites of regulatory agencies, and international registers for published and unpublished, double-blind, randomised controlled trials from their inception to Jan 8, 2016.
I know for me personally, anti-depressants were awful.
Study is not about antidepressants being good or bad - it's about them being effective. It's about antidepressants not being placebos.
The side effects were bad and I never liked taking them.
That WAS a part of the study.
Primary outcomes were efficacy (response rate) and acceptability (treatment discontinuations due to any cause).
As for...
Beware of things that say things are confirmed without a doubt. Doubt is essential in all things involving science and research.
...they know that.
We assessed the studies' risk of bias in accordance to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions, and certainty of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework.
The title is basically a thinly veiled accusation of stupidity and ungratefulness.
"Hey morons! What is it you don't understand about Apple and why are you not appreciating all its done for you and the world?! You ungrateful cunts. And to think that The Steve, praised be His name, died for your sins too..."
Aww... A poor snowflake can't take the reality so it mods down. Boo fucking hoo... Luckily! There's copy-paste! Infinite amounts of it!
Thus we all know that Hal_Porter ( 817932 ) is a pathetic little troll who posts circular links to his own posts, pretending to make a point when actually just trolling.
Spinning in circles, getting high on the scent of its own farts...
Oh look... No-Argument Nancy tries to downmode reality again. Awwww... cute. But with the magic of infinite copy-paste... Viola!
Did I mention that I have infinite copy-paste?
Also here: You're full of shit.
The "study" the whole thing was based on was torn down on account the author "no do math too good". Some people just don't understand that whole "stat is ticks" thing. What's up with them ticks anyway? Also, on account of being a cherry picker at doing that.
The perils of cherry picking low frequency events in large sample surveys
Abstract
The advent of large sample surveys, such as the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), has opened the possibility of measuring very low frequency events, characteristics, and behaviors in the population. This paper documents how low-level measurement error for survey questions generally agreed to be highly reliable can lead to large prediction errors in large sample surveys, such as the CCES. The example for this analysis is Richman et al. (2014), which presents a biased estimate of the rate at which non-citizens voted in recent elections. The results, we show, are completely accounted for by very low frequency measurement error; further, the likely percent of non-citizen voters in recent US elections is 0.
OUCH! Sick burn!
Oh... BTW... that's under the link you cherry picked to ignore. Aaaaawwww... poow snowflake. How's all that winnin goin for ya? That ulcer kicked in yet?
Also, besides cherry picking, and not doing numbers that good, you apparently can't read that good either. Spouting completely bullshit numbers not found in links you claim are the source, spinning in circles around same handful of links thinking no one will bother to notice, when all else fails running back to blog posts by the author of the original bullshit study desperate to defend the debunked study...
You're not just full of shit. You're a delusional asshole who thinks that lying the same lies continuously and repeatedly they will eventually become truth. Guess what... You're full of shit on that one too.
"Back to the Future", "Robocop", "Conan the Barbarian", "The Princess Bride". "Escape from New York", etc.
But while I -think- they are better than today's drek, I am not sure how much of that is just nostalgia.
It's not just nostalgia. Those are objectively better movies. Note that not a single one of those was originally made to be a "franchise" or a "universe". They were self-contained stories, much better written and directed than the average movie now OR then - not an obligatory stepping stone in a predetermined 20+ movie "universe", which by the way also includes 14 different TV series.
Those movies you list were all (apart from The Princess Bride) franchise starters due to their quality. MCU movies come with a predetermined franchise attached to them. Regardless of quality.
They will be churned out even if they are really, really bad... Just look at all the attempts to start a Hulk franchise. Or take a gander at Thor and how nearly all characters or even events in those movies DON'T MATTER. They've now literally erased first two movies, cutting them down to just being the source for characters of Thor and Loki - cause those are the only parts that work. Hell... Iron Man was holding the entire "universe" together based solely on Robert Downey Jr.'s charm - movies are again nothing but filler. Even a supposed "big gun" movie like Avengers 2 is pure filler in the story they are supposedly trying to tell. And Captain America... Hell... if THAT movie was made in the '80s, with '80s technology and actors... it would have been the 1990 Captain America movie. One with J. D. Salinger's son. Amazingly, the second Captain America is actually a good stand-alone movie... but still filler in the "grand scheme" of the supposed "universe".
Watch Captain America: The First Avenger together with The Shadow (1994) and The Phantom (1996) and you'd be hard pressed to call it the best of the three - DESPITE being the most expensive of the bunch and having the best tech at its disposal. Those '90s movies turned out to be franchise non-starters. That's where Captain America should have ended up as well.
Except it can't. Cause it is a part of a predetermined series and movies WILL BE MADE no matter what. Someone will watch them. There are 3 billion more people in the world. All those new and huge markets which didn't exist in the '80s and '90s. Just advertise the movies long enough and loud enough. E.g. By including adverts for the "next" movie in your current movie. Or by constant bombardment with ads online.
Or by holding fucking rallies for fans. Rallies! Remember that Robocop 2 rally? How about the Back To The Future 3 Celebration? No? Those things look more and more like political rallies where people renew their commitment to the party and the Dear Leader than what they really are - promotional events. Advertisement for a movie. Also, toys.
The "study" the whole thing was based on was torn down on account the author "no do math too good". Some people just don't understand that whole "stat is ticks" thing. What's up with them ticks anyway? Also, on account of being a cherry picker at doing that.
The perils of cherry picking low frequency events in large sample surveys
Abstract
The advent of large sample surveys, such as the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), has opened the possibility of measuring very low frequency events, characteristics, and behaviors in the population. This paper documents how low-level measurement error for survey questions generally agreed to be highly reliable can lead to large prediction errors in large sample surveys, such as the CCES. The example for this analysis is Richman et al. (2014), which presents a biased estimate of the rate at which non-citizens voted in recent elections. The results, we show, are completely accounted for by very low frequency measurement error; further, the likely percent of non-citizen voters in recent US elections is 0.
OUCH! Sick burn!
Oh... BTW... that's under the link you cherry picked to ignore. Aaaaawwww... poow snowflake. How's all that winnin goin for ya? That ulcer kicked in yet?
Also, besides cherry picking, and not doing numbers that good, you apparently can't read that good either. Spouting completely bullshit numbers not found in links you claim are the source, spinning in circles around same handful of links thinking no one will bother to notice, when all else fails running back to blog posts by the author of the original bullshit study desperate to defend the debunked study...
You're not just full of shit. You're a delusional asshole who thinks that lying the same lies continuously and repeatedly they will eventually become truth. Guess what... You're full of shit on that one too.
Note: The post occasioned three rebuttals (here, here, and here) as well as a response from the authors. Subsequently, another peer-reviewed article argued that the findings reported in this post (and affiliated article) were biased and that the authors' data do not provide evidence of non-citizen voting in U.S. elections.
5. Certain Derfendants traveled to the United States under false pretenses for the purpos of collecting intelligence to inform Defendants' operations. Defendants also procured and used computed infrastructure, based partly in the United States, to hide the Russian origin of their activities and to avoid detection by U.S. regulators and law enforcement.
...
12. b. For example, on or about May 29, 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators, through an ORGANIZATION-controlled social media account, arranged for a real U.S. person to stand in front of the White House in the District of Columbia under false pretenses to hold a sign that read "Happy 55th Birthday Dear Boss." Defendents and their co-conspirators informed the real U.S. person that the sign was for someone who "is a leader here and our boss... our funder." PRIGHOZHIN's Russian passport identifies his date of birth as June 1, 1961.
...
30. c. Only KRYLOVA and BOGACHEVA received visas, and from approximately June 4, 2014 through june 26, 2014 KRYLOVA and BOGACHEVA traveled in and around the United States, including stops in Nevada, California, New Mexico, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, Louisiana, Texas, and New York to gather intelligence. After the trip, KRYLOVA and BURCHIK exchanged an intelligence report regarding the trip. d. Another co-conspirator who worked for the ORGANIZATION traveled to Atlanta, Georgia from approximately November 26, 2014 through November 30, 2014. Following the trip, the co-conspirator provided POLOZOV a summary of his trip's itinerary and expenses.
...
41. In and around 2016. Defendants and their co-conspirators also used, possessed, and transferred, without lawful authority, the social security numbers and dates of birth of real U.S. persons without those persons' knowledge or consent. Using these means of identification, Defendants and their co-conspirators opened accounts at PayPal, a digital payment service provider, created false means of identification, including fake driver's licenses, and posted on ORGANIZATION-controlled social media accounts using the identities of these U.S. victims. Defendants and their co-conspirators also obtained, and attempted to obtain, false identification documents to use as proof of identity in connection with maintaining accounts and purchasing advertisements on social media sites.
And then there's that bit where they organized rallies, offered money to cover rally expenses, paid someone to "BUILD A CAGE ON A FLATBED TRUCK" and another person to "WEAR A COSTUME PORTRAYING CLINTON IN A PRISON UNIFORM".
They can steal identities, travel around U.S., pay people to construct motorized cages and other people to dress up and be driven around in those cages... but they'll somehow not be able to mail in a postcard?
Which part of "run like a KGB operation by former KGB people for current FSB people" is Facebook pretending to not understand?
And I certainly don't wear it to bed, it goes on the charger at that point
The fact that you have to charge it daily kinda proves my point. Which is that it is a power hungry device whose power usage makes it unreliable at any of its functions, without a power cable nearby.
and is fully charged quickly, often before I am even asleep
It's charged quickly cause it has a tiny battery. Which is a THE main reason for your "biggest complaint" - size and weight. Half of its insides is taken up by the battery. Probably more when counting the wireless charging circuit.
Next main reason for its size being the dumb UI and skeumorphic design. Which waste screen real-estate by trying to jam a round hole full of square pegs of textual info and graphics coming from sharp-angled screens. Humans are not giant squids from Arrival (Spoiler: It's a dumb time travel movie based on misunderstanding of a dumb and discredited linguistic theory.) - we read and write in sequence. Which means lines of text. Which means rows. Which means square-shaped UIs.
Round watch faces are an archaic skeumorphic atavism from an older, less capable, horse-driven age.
...cited in the article apparently never did a day of public service, let alone military service.
If they did, they'd understand the concepts of serving the public good as well as of using military staff and resources in response to natural disasters and in providing humanitarian aid.
Additionally I use my smart watch to monitor my heart rate and for someone with a heart condition, it's useful.
Considering the reliability of PPG heart sensors on "smart" watches... You either don't have a "smart" watch... or a heart condition... or you are about to die on account of putting your faith in a toy.
There's a reason why even wrist mounted oximeters still do actual measuring through the sensor attached to a finger. Light seepage around an optical sensor.
Right-wing in the USA has a far longer "tail" of "quite insane" fringers who are basically "the base" of the main right-wing party.
Not because left-wing fringers are less insane per capita, but because many fringe lefties weer off into apolitical interests (until you harm their photosynthetic soulmates)... AND because there was never a comparable level of pandering to the left-wing fringe groups from the main party. E.g. No one is insane enough to embrace communists - and they are nowhere near to the far end of fringe on the left.
I.e. Once you call loons over for tea, then let them take over the whole tea party... That's just the tip of the iceberg of fringe insanity floating out there, now aligning itself not with you (the RINO establishment deep state commies) - but with all those loons you allowed in.
Slashdot Mirror
if you want to be noticed the easiest way is to do an extreme ultra-marathon with a thumbnail of yourself being carried away on a stretcher.
Since I started using Video Blocker add-on that kind of click-baiting only gets that entire channel blocklisted.
You know that thing where you watch a video on a topic and lunatics start appearing in your recommended list? Now they show up only once.
At billion point five people, one in a million false positive means 1500 faces will "Arr rook same!"
Or about this many people.
Disruption!
Sharing economy!
Have your cake and eat it too!
But clearly, HAD they only used an agile blockchain app...
Boy... Did YOU piss off some modpoint farming snowflakes.
I'm guessing it was the "No chaos" joke.
By the end, it was an engineering problem, not a science problem.
That was very much not so. Information dump doesn't kill off research.
Just like how sharing research doesn't kill off further research or how education of the wider population about the research doesn't kill off research.
Science doesn't work like that. Information doesn't work like that.
Such disruptions have been documented when previously isolated tribes make significant contact with the modern world, so it's not just theoretical.
It is not theoretical - it is false equivalence.
To suggest that a neolithic "society" of five and a half huts, adopting a slightly better fishing hook style from another tribe with ten huts - is the same as planetary, information and beyond, societies of BILLIONS, exchanging scientific discoveries about the nature of the universe...
Why not just compare space exploration with a bacteria floating on top of a pond?
Science is NOT about getting a slightly better fishing hook. It's about UNDERSTANDING everything there is to understand.
About fishing hooks and about everything else.
Which is not something your average tribal chief or shaman would or could do.
Imagine if your job gets replaced overnight with a magic machine. Not just your employment, your job. Overnight, there is literally no reason for anyone to care that you are skilled at X. All of your skills are now categorically irrelevant to the world.
You are confusing economic incentive with science. Also with information, skill, aptitude... bunch of things.
Just two examples.
Imagine a "magic machine" which makes walking obsolete over night. Not just easier - obsolete. You don't have to walk anywhere anymore.
Imagine a "magic machine" which can get you all the stories in the world, instantly. You don't have to imagine stories by yourself anymore.
There is no magic machine which replaces human curiosity and need for knowledge. It's an existential need.
Even should such a magic machine be created, such as an AI which would solve problems for us, we'd still have the need to understand and know.
It's not even a human thing. It's built into the DNA of every creature ever which had to be vary of dangers and needs of everyday life.
Curiosity is a survival trait.
It's slashvertisement for a sub-par, TV-version of an adaptation of a classic.
And the kind where someone, somewhere upstream (my guess is it's Michael B. Jordan, who's also an executive producer on this one) is pouring money into promoting the flick - but reporters have nothing to report.
So they summarize the trailer.
Personally, I think it looks cheap, dumb and misguided compared to the Truffaut version.
And cheap, dumb and misguided in general.
Visually it's a cheap ripoff of things seen in every generic TV show currently on.
Thematically it's confused whether it's taking place in a society which is clamping down on information and "chaos" - or is it a multicultural, non-uniform, dirty, gritty, information-sharing world.
Acting... well... There's Michael Shannon in it. And Michael B. Jordan if you're up for some unintentional comedy.
"I... Want to... Look... Like... I'm... Acting... With... Great... Drama... And... Emotion..."
Next up: Are you tired of your old blender?
You may have not gotten the point there...
Imagine: You're a physicist who has dedicated your career to understanding the fundamental structure of matter. You have a stack of reprints, a decent position, and a modicum of admiration from the three other specialists who have read your papers. Suddenly, aliens weigh in with knowledge that's a thousand years ahead of yours. So much for your job and your sense of purpose. If humanity is deprived of the opportunity to learn things on its own, much of its impetus for novelty might evaporate. In a society where invention and discovery are written out of the script, progress and improvement would suffer.
Suddenly, SPIES give you that whole atomic bomb thing on a silver platter. So much for your job and your sense of purpose.
Oh... wait... No... That's not how that happened.
Only 2% of studies showing antidepressants aren't effective get published:
From TFS:
We did a systematic review and network meta-analysis. We searched Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CINAHL, Embase, LILACS database, MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process, PsycINFO, the websites of regulatory agencies, and international registers for published and unpublished, double-blind, randomised controlled trials from their inception to Jan 8, 2016.
I know for me personally, anti-depressants were awful.
Study is not about antidepressants being good or bad - it's about them being effective. It's about antidepressants not being placebos.
The side effects were bad and I never liked taking them.
That WAS a part of the study.
Primary outcomes were efficacy (response rate) and acceptability (treatment discontinuations due to any cause).
As for...
Beware of things that say things are confirmed without a doubt. Doubt is essential in all things involving science and research.
...they know that.
We assessed the studies' risk of bias in accordance to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions, and certainty of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework.
This whole article is clickbait trolling,
The title is basically a thinly veiled accusation of stupidity and ungratefulness.
"Hey morons!
What is it you don't understand about Apple and why are you not appreciating all its done for you and the world?! You ungrateful cunts.
And to think that The Steve, praised be His name, died for your sins too..."
That joke sounds a bit crude to me.
Aww... A poor snowflake can't take the reality so it mods down. Boo fucking hoo...
Luckily! There's copy-paste! Infinite amounts of it!
Thus we all know that Hal_Porter ( 817932 ) is a pathetic little troll who posts circular links to his own posts, pretending to make a point when actually just trolling.
Spinning in circles, getting high on the scent of its own farts...
Pathetic.
Sad.
Oh look... No-Argument Nancy tries to downmode reality again. Awwww... cute.
But with the magic of infinite copy-paste... Viola!
Did I mention that I have infinite copy-paste?
Also here: You're full of shit.
The "study" the whole thing was based on was torn down on account the author "no do math too good". Some people just don't understand that whole "stat is ticks" thing. What's up with them ticks anyway?
Also, on account of being a cherry picker at doing that.
The perils of cherry picking low frequency events in large sample surveys
Abstract
The advent of large sample surveys, such as the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), has opened the possibility of measuring very low frequency events, characteristics, and behaviors in the population. This paper documents how low-level measurement error for survey questions generally agreed to be highly reliable can lead to large prediction errors in large sample surveys, such as the CCES. The example for this analysis is Richman et al. (2014), which presents a biased estimate of the rate at which non-citizens voted in recent elections.
The results, we show, are completely accounted for by very low frequency measurement error;
further, the likely percent of non-citizen voters in recent US elections is 0.
OUCH! Sick burn!
Oh... BTW... that's under the link you cherry picked to ignore.
Aaaaawwww... poow snowflake. How's all that winnin goin for ya? That ulcer kicked in yet?
Also, besides cherry picking, and not doing numbers that good, you apparently can't read that good either.
Spouting completely bullshit numbers not found in links you claim are the source, spinning in circles around same handful of links thinking no one will bother to notice, when all else fails running back to blog posts by the author of the original bullshit study desperate to defend the debunked study...
You're not just full of shit.
You're a delusional asshole who thinks that lying the same lies continuously and repeatedly they will eventually become truth.
Guess what... You're full of shit on that one too.
TLDR: See the subject. Also, you're full of shit.
"Back to the Future", "Robocop", "Conan the Barbarian", "The Princess Bride". "Escape from New York", etc.
But while I -think- they are better than today's drek, I am not sure how much of that is just nostalgia.
It's not just nostalgia. Those are objectively better movies.
Note that not a single one of those was originally made to be a "franchise" or a "universe".
They were self-contained stories, much better written and directed than the average movie now OR then - not an obligatory stepping stone in a predetermined 20+ movie "universe", which by the way also includes 14 different TV series.
Those movies you list were all (apart from The Princess Bride) franchise starters due to their quality.
MCU movies come with a predetermined franchise attached to them. Regardless of quality.
They will be churned out even if they are really, really bad... Just look at all the attempts to start a Hulk franchise.
Or take a gander at Thor and how nearly all characters or even events in those movies DON'T MATTER.
They've now literally erased first two movies, cutting them down to just being the source for characters of Thor and Loki - cause those are the only parts that work.
Hell... Iron Man was holding the entire "universe" together based solely on Robert Downey Jr.'s charm - movies are again nothing but filler.
Even a supposed "big gun" movie like Avengers 2 is pure filler in the story they are supposedly trying to tell.
And Captain America... Hell... if THAT movie was made in the '80s, with '80s technology and actors... it would have been the 1990 Captain America movie. One with J. D. Salinger's son.
Amazingly, the second Captain America is actually a good stand-alone movie... but still filler in the "grand scheme" of the supposed "universe".
Watch Captain America: The First Avenger together with The Shadow (1994) and The Phantom (1996) and you'd be hard pressed to call it the best of the three - DESPITE being the most expensive of the bunch and having the best tech at its disposal.
Those '90s movies turned out to be franchise non-starters. That's where Captain America should have ended up as well.
Except it can't.
Cause it is a part of a predetermined series and movies WILL BE MADE no matter what.
Someone will watch them. There are 3 billion more people in the world. All those new and huge markets which didn't exist in the '80s and '90s.
Just advertise the movies long enough and loud enough.
E.g. By including adverts for the "next" movie in your current movie. Or by constant bombardment with ads online.
Or by holding fucking rallies for fans. Rallies! Remember that Robocop 2 rally? How about the Back To The Future 3 Celebration? No?
Those things look more and more like political rallies where people renew their commitment to the party and the Dear Leader than what they really are - promotional events.
Advertisement for a movie.
Also, toys.
Spinning in circles, getting high on the scent of your own farts...
Pathetic.
Sad.
Also here: You're full of shit.
The "study" the whole thing was based on was torn down on account the author "no do math too good". Some people just don't understand that whole "stat is ticks" thing. What's up with them ticks anyway?
Also, on account of being a cherry picker at doing that.
The perils of cherry picking low frequency events in large sample surveys
Abstract
The advent of large sample surveys, such as the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), has opened the possibility of measuring very low frequency events, characteristics, and behaviors in the population. This paper documents how low-level measurement error for survey questions generally agreed to be highly reliable can lead to large prediction errors in large sample surveys, such as the CCES. The example for this analysis is Richman et al. (2014), which presents a biased estimate of the rate at which non-citizens voted in recent elections.
The results, we show, are completely accounted for by very low frequency measurement error; further, the likely percent of non-citizen voters in recent US elections is 0.
OUCH! Sick burn!
Oh... BTW... that's under the link you cherry picked to ignore.
Aaaaawwww... poow snowflake. How's all that winnin goin for ya? That ulcer kicked in yet?
Also, besides cherry picking, and not doing numbers that good, you apparently can't read that good either.
Spouting completely bullshit numbers not found in links you claim are the source, spinning in circles around same handful of links thinking no one will bother to notice, when all else fails running back to blog posts by the author of the original bullshit study desperate to defend the debunked study...
You're not just full of shit.
You're a delusional asshole who thinks that lying the same lies continuously and repeatedly they will eventually become truth.
Guess what... You're full of shit on that one too.
TLDR: See the subject. Also, you're full of shit.
Right there... in the opening paragraph.
Note: The post occasioned three rebuttals (here, here, and here) as well as a response from the authors.
Subsequently, another peer-reviewed article argued that the findings reported in this post (and affiliated article) were biased and that the authors' data do not provide evidence of non-citizen voting in U.S. elections.
From the Internet Research Agency Indictment:
5. Certain Derfendants traveled to the United States under false pretenses for the purpos of collecting intelligence to inform Defendants' operations.
Defendants also procured and used computed infrastructure, based partly in the United States, to hide the Russian origin of their activities and to avoid detection by U.S. regulators and law enforcement.
...
12. b. For example, on or about May 29, 2016, Defendants and their co-conspirators, through an ORGANIZATION-controlled social media account, arranged for a real U.S. person to stand in front of the White House in the District of Columbia under false pretenses to hold a sign that read "Happy 55th Birthday Dear Boss."
Defendents and their co-conspirators informed the real U.S. person that the sign was for someone who "is a leader here and our boss... our funder."
PRIGHOZHIN's Russian passport identifies his date of birth as June 1, 1961.
...
30. c. Only KRYLOVA and BOGACHEVA received visas, and from approximately June 4, 2014 through june 26, 2014 KRYLOVA and BOGACHEVA traveled in and around the United States, including stops in Nevada, California, New Mexico, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, Louisiana, Texas, and New York to gather intelligence.
After the trip, KRYLOVA and BURCHIK exchanged an intelligence report regarding the trip.
d. Another co-conspirator who worked for the ORGANIZATION traveled to Atlanta, Georgia from approximately November 26, 2014 through November 30, 2014.
Following the trip, the co-conspirator provided POLOZOV a summary of his trip's itinerary and expenses.
...
41. In and around 2016. Defendants and their co-conspirators also used, possessed, and transferred, without lawful authority, the social security numbers and dates of birth of real U.S. persons without those persons' knowledge or consent.
Using these means of identification, Defendants and their co-conspirators opened accounts at PayPal, a digital payment service provider, created false means of identification, including fake driver's licenses, and posted on ORGANIZATION-controlled social media accounts using the identities of these U.S. victims.
Defendants and their co-conspirators also obtained, and attempted to obtain, false identification documents to use as proof of identity in connection with maintaining accounts and purchasing advertisements on social media sites.
And then there's that bit where they organized rallies, offered money to cover rally expenses, paid someone to "BUILD A CAGE ON A FLATBED TRUCK" and another person to "WEAR A COSTUME PORTRAYING CLINTON IN A PRISON UNIFORM".
They can steal identities, travel around U.S., pay people to construct motorized cages and other people to dress up and be driven around in those cages... but they'll somehow not be able to mail in a postcard?
Which part of "run like a KGB operation by former KGB people for current FSB people" is Facebook pretending to not understand?
And I certainly don't wear it to bed, it goes on the charger at that point
The fact that you have to charge it daily kinda proves my point.
Which is that it is a power hungry device whose power usage makes it unreliable at any of its functions, without a power cable nearby.
and is fully charged quickly, often before I am even asleep
It's charged quickly cause it has a tiny battery. Which is a THE main reason for your "biggest complaint" - size and weight.
Half of its insides is taken up by the battery. Probably more when counting the wireless charging circuit.
Next main reason for its size being the dumb UI and skeumorphic design.
Which waste screen real-estate by trying to jam a round hole full of square pegs of textual info and graphics coming from sharp-angled screens.
Humans are not giant squids from Arrival (Spoiler: It's a dumb time travel movie based on misunderstanding of a dumb and discredited linguistic theory.) - we read and write in sequence.
Which means lines of text.
Which means rows.
Which means square-shaped UIs.
Round watch faces are an archaic skeumorphic atavism from an older, less capable, horse-driven age.
...cited in the article apparently never did a day of public service, let alone military service.
If they did, they'd understand the concepts of serving the public good as well as of using military staff and resources in response to natural disasters and in providing humanitarian aid.
Additionally I use my smart watch to monitor my heart rate and for someone with a heart condition, it's useful.
Considering the reliability of PPG heart sensors on "smart" watches...
You either don't have a "smart" watch... or a heart condition... or you are about to die on account of putting your faith in a toy.
There's a reason why even wrist mounted oximeters still do actual measuring through the sensor attached to a finger.
Light seepage around an optical sensor.
wait, smart watches don't last even a decade.
"Smart" watches don't last even a whole day.
Try audio books.
In Soviet Russia, mining algorithm includes SALT!
Cause you're in a Gulag salt mine.
Right-wing in the USA has a far longer "tail" of "quite insane" fringers who are basically "the base" of the main right-wing party.
Not because left-wing fringers are less insane per capita, but because many fringe lefties weer off into apolitical interests (until you harm their photosynthetic soulmates)...
AND because there was never a comparable level of pandering to the left-wing fringe groups from the main party.
E.g. No one is insane enough to embrace communists - and they are nowhere near to the far end of fringe on the left.
I.e. Once you call loons over for tea, then let them take over the whole tea party...
That's just the tip of the iceberg of fringe insanity floating out there, now aligning itself not with you (the RINO establishment deep state commies) - but with all those loons you allowed in.
And that's AFTER you condition the party for decades to expect secret code words everywhere while basing the party itself on the idealization of some past which never was and rejection of reality when it doesn't fit the ideological narrative.
Pretty soon, no one can tell the difference between own propaganda and reality.