This would be a huge mess to deal with, policing every company and deciding if they are worthy, there will be so many shades of grey on the issue it will be too much trouble to figure out. There are much simpler solutions:
1) Remove all corporate taxes! simplifies the government, simplifies the tax code, reduces company waste of dealing with the tax code. Just image the influx of companies, jobs, and boom to the economy this would be, it is unimaginable. All profit all companies earn is already double taxed, once when the company earns it, and secondly when it is paid out as a dividends.
2) To cover this loophole simply tax the royalties Facebook USA is paying to Facebook Dublin. Is this already the case and the story is sensationalized garbage?
Layer 1 (most secure): strictest confidential information, for storage purposes only. system locked metal room with no windows and no internet, system locked in cage with access to display, keyboard, mouse, and drive, all data read/written to drive is permanently logged, connected to layer 2 via sneaker-net.
Layer 2: strictest confidential creation and reference. internal LAN only systems, user endpoints are read only and contain no drives or usb. server is in locked room with limited access and contains files accessed by users, as well as user endpoints with write capability, connected to layer 3 via sneaker-net.
Layer 3: confidential creation and reference. internal LAN with write ability to files, temporarily read only network connectable to layer 4 via password.
Layer 4: normal productivity with confidential read access. normal internet connected network, usb and drives on centrally located system controlled by admin, all io logged.
No he meant 300%, the writer admitted it was an error in the comments and said he should have wrote dropped by 2/3rds or 66%. The drop from $3/GB to $1/GB is where he got the "300%" from.
If the minimum wage were abolished there would be plenty of people happy to work low paying jobs. As it stands welfare, the minimum wage, and healthcare are enforcers of automation. The root of cause is government policies. The more they try to help, the more it hurts, it is impossible for a bureaucrat to get anything right when each policy effects thousands of things in unimaginable ways, after 100 years of this bullshit you end up with a system so broke and supported by the non-working masses that there is only one way it can end, a revolution.
Which is why removing all income taxes and introducing a federal flat sales tax is such a great idea. The benefits are great: 1) restore incentives to save 2) reduce the size of the IRS, now instead of policing 300M people they only have to police a few million businesses 3) free a lot of labor from dealing with the tax code and laws 4) just think of the wasted hours spent on filing taxes, no more! 5) no loop holes for anyone! 6) no more free loading hookers, criminals, and aliens!
As I understand it, no matter the speed of calculating, there are only a set number of bitcoins given out per time, for one year this is 1,310,400 BTC, which are currently worth $13 so roughly $17M total will be awarded. Your amount is only based on what percent of the mining force you represent, it will never go over this. So lets say butterfly could dominate and take 50% of the computational force (which is highly unlikely since there are 5 companies making ASICS and the huge stock of FGPAs and GPUs still online), regardless this would bank them perhaps $8M. Making a HUGE assumption the exchange rate of BTC doesn't fall, which I think it will (explained below). In threads on butterflys website you can read that they have already sold 20k units, and are expecting 2 more rounds of 30k units each, at $150/pop this is $13.5M, already over what they would expect to make mining themselves. Note manf costs are irrelevant in comparisons since butterfly has to make the units if they keep themselves or if they sell them.
I think the exchange rate price is going to tank for 2 reasons, first it will take a while for the difficulty to catch up with the new onslaught of computing power, as is always the case since it is adjusted once per week, during this time there will be a flood of BTC on the market driving the price down. Secondly you will see a huge shift of BTC production from small groups with GPUs to much larger capital intensive groups with ASICS, this is not a graphics card you are using in your spare time, this is a custom built piece of hardware built solely for the purpose of speculating on mining bitcoins, and is worthless otherwise. This will vastly reduce the population mining BTC and thus reduce the number of people using and interested in BTC. As the BTC mining industry ramps up it may be the very thing that unravels interest in BTC. Coupled with more BTC for sale it could crash the market, again.
While this is true it is much less so today then before, meaning the value of college is becoming very quickly worthless. 20 years ago the average lifetime income difference between having a college degree and not was 1 million, today the average is 300k, considering your coming out with 20-200k in debt that hardly seems worth it. The number one problem is the government, college tuition has skyrocketed due to free money from the government, without these loans it would be much cheaper to go to college, and everyone graduating would have to pay as they go and not have nearly as much debt when getting out. Thus we would solve nearly all of the problems of the current system. There would be less graduates so most of them would be hired, they would have much less debt, the public would not have to finance their educations, and middle class families who can't get grants and scholarships would actually be able to afford to send some of their kids to college with much lower tuition.
Giving everyone free credit obviously doesn't work, just look at it from a high school graduates perspective. Option 1: get money for 4-8 years to go to college and party with no worries. Option 2: work your ass off at 3 jobs while working through college. Option 3: don't go to college and get a remedial job you are stuck in the rest of your life. Obviously any sane person is going to pick option 1. By eliminating free credit we git ride of option 1, and change option 2 to only working 1 job because of the drastically reduced tuition.
As a developer who wants to eat I don't give a shit who sells the most devices, what I care about is which users actually pay for software. Ask ANY who distribute on multiple platforms and Android is in dead last, not by some fraction, but by a huge margin. The last report I saw iOS generates over 90% of ALL mobile software revenue. Granted there are ways to leverage Android where most expect everything free, but don't kid yourself into thinking it is a perfect system. Because of this nearly all innovation and novelty appears on iOS first then is ported to Android if successful, even knowing they a smash hit some developers still fail to monetize their app on Android.
Give me a break, should we really allow Megaupload to continue so that the 0.1% of legitimate users can get their pictures back? Hell no. 99.9% of Megaupload is pirated garbage, as long as there is a way for the legitimate users to get back their data, of which probably 1% of those users even have data they need back, then nothing is terribly wrong here. They should probably at least make it easier so they can get it back online. For example put in a request for data, someone checks data to make sure it doesn't violate any copyrights, then data is released, this should be a pretty fast process since no one in their right mind is going to request their data back unless it is 100% theirs and absolutely needed.
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah Yah ya goh O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah O eh, o eh Yah ya goh
At night when you turn off all the lights There's no place that you can hide Oh no, Rasterman is gonna get'cha
In bed, throw the covers on your head You pretend like you are dead But I know it Rasterman is gonna gey'cha
Rasterman is gonna get'cha Rasterman is gonna get'cha Rasterman is gonna get you
Rasterman is gonna get you tonight
No way, you can fight it every day But no matter what you say You know it Rasterman is gonna get'cha
No clue, of what's happening to you And before this night is through Ooh baby Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get'cha Rasterman is gonna get'cha Rasterman is gonna get you Rasterman is gonna get you tonight
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah O eh, o eh Yah yeh goh Yah yeh goh Yah yeh goh
Rasterman is gonna get'cha Rasterman is gonna get'cha Rasterman is gonna get you Rasterman is gonna get you Rasterman is gonna get'cha Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Na na na na na na na na Na na na na na na na Rasterman is gonna get you Na na na na na na na na Na na na na na na na
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah O eh, o eh Na na na na na na na Na na na na na na
I don't know about Walmart, I stopped shopping there about 7 years ago due to their poor treatment of employees and shitty quality. The grocer I shop at clearly labels all seafood as fresh or previously frozen and farmed or wild caught and country of origin, I suggest you switch grocers. Bitching is worthless, voting with your dollars is much faster.
If ape and human DNA are 5-10% different, then perhaps dinosaur and some current reptile DNA are very similar as well, since now you have 90% of the DNA already, you have to find much less, and if you have billions of samples of DNA, perhaps they could be reconstructed. I would think that by the time we are able to do such a thing we won't be far from being able to create our own dinosaur from scratch.
Because at the lowest level eventually everything is designed using metric, the people who work with such designs adopt and use metric first, it then filters out to a broader and broader population, very slowly, until there is no point in continuing with the annoyance of two systems, critical mass if formed and the rest are "reminding themselves" of the old system for a few years. It should be no surprise that the subject is the one reminding himself of the old system since he is in advertising and presumably in the US, and thus last to adopt it.
On one hand you can say that arguing this now is ridiculous now that we know it is actually a problem, there are probably 100's of other things that were budget slashed and worked out fine. On the other hand the entire reason the plane costs 190 million is because every single transistor and bolt in the aircraft is backed by millions of hours of testing and fail-over systems and with such a high priority placed on safety and reliability it seems ludicrous that they would skimp on safety to the pilot. You have to draw the line somewhere though, turns out someone was wrong and is now a higher up, and in true CYA fashion the problem is buried rather than fixed.
I bought my first 160GB SSD for $600, and would do it again in a heartbeat. If you use your machine for any kind of productivity the speed difference is night and day, moving to a SSD is the single most noticeable improvement in overall speed of my computer that I have EVER DONE. About the only thing I can relate it to is 20 years ago when I upgraded to a 3dfx graphics card for the first time, and seeing a software 3d engine vs the new hardware one. Now if you only use your computer for word processing or internet usage as most people, there is little reason to upgrade except for perhaps data security as SSD failure rates are much lower, but since you should be backing up anyways that shouldn't be much of a consideration. I have 3 SSDs totaling 700GB and will never buy another computer again without one.
What I propose is a new exchange that only executes trades once per week, and another that only executes once per month. If your company is on this exchange you are not allowed to be on any others. Problem solved. If you need your money out early there is a fee based on the past volatility of the stock. No more flash crashes, much less speculation, invest in a company due to dividends as it should be and not fucking stock appreciation!
I have been a self employed full time game programmer for over 10 years. I use trig every week, calculus maybe once a month, and have even dipped into differential equations a few times. It all depends on what type of game you want to make, and what libraries you are going to use. If you are going to write your own physics engine then you must have an awesome grasp of math, even if you use an off the shelf one it still helps to have a background heavy in math.
Its meaningless to say Android is "beating" Windows. Most people buying an Android phone don't even know or care what Android is. In contrast to buying a PC most know that their PC is a Windows PC and choose it over a Mac or Linux.
Having few users isn't that big of an issue. For example my games on Mac far outsell my windows games because of two simple reasons: far less competition from competitors, and less piracy. Even though the Mac market is 1/10th the size. You can charge more and face less competition on wp8. The #1 dead in the water issue is not supporting c++ for me. There is no way in hell I'm porting my code base and games to some proprietary ms language that will be abandoned in a few years. Wp8 would have to hold over 50% of the market for me to make that leap.
Interesting that his entire fortune is based on ripping off (admittedly) others ideas and companies, is now giving back so much, which in reality isn't that much at all at 2.7% of his net worth, still better than nothing.
While this is philosophically true, in reality it is not. Because AI is only one part of the equation, the environment determines the outcome, since no environments are the same from the perspective of each player (except a virtual one), the outcomes will be different even if each AI is identical. Furthermore the lack of perfect information each side has of the other side should lead to different outcomes. This is even true with humans, the initial starting conditions and environment significantly determine the outcome, as theorized in Guns, Germs, and Steel http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guns,_Germs,_and_Steel.
Comparing anything from 40 years ago to today is ridiculous. Nearly everything in history was FAR easier for one man to understand than it is today, in the past you could be an expert on any one thing, today that is nearly impossible, today teams of hundreds of people push to make incremental changes and will never make extreme breakthroughs required by a single overall view. Anyone who has such a view (at the top of management or a team) doesn't have the expertise to make the breakthrough, and anyone with the expertise doesn't have the view. We are not infinitely capable of understanding things, we are limited in scope and more importantly time. Look at the past, in the 1800's and early 1900's single men were the greatest inventors of the their time, during the mid 20th century it was small teams, now giant corporations are the only ones making any significant difference. We have reached a saturation point of human ability and understanding, where anyone has so much past human experience and knowledge around them they cannot possibly even come close to learning it all, let alone extending any of it, only well funded teams can do it now.
There will be no clear breakthrough or strong AI 'invented', it will be a never ending series of small incremental advances that is so slow and happens over such a long time that we will not even notice, the exact same thing as the personal computing era. To look back to the 70s now it is a foreign idea, but at any point in time it was only a small advancement from the day before.
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This would be a huge mess to deal with, policing every company and deciding if they are worthy, there will be so many shades of grey on the issue it will be too much trouble to figure out. There are much simpler solutions:
1) Remove all corporate taxes! simplifies the government, simplifies the tax code, reduces company waste of dealing with the tax code. Just image the influx of companies, jobs, and boom to the economy this would be, it is unimaginable. All profit all companies earn is already double taxed, once when the company earns it, and secondly when it is paid out as a dividends.
2) To cover this loophole simply tax the royalties Facebook USA is paying to Facebook Dublin. Is this already the case and the story is sensationalized garbage?
Layer 1 (most secure): strictest confidential information, for storage purposes only. system locked metal room with no windows and no internet, system locked in cage with access to display, keyboard, mouse, and drive, all data read/written to drive is permanently logged, connected to layer 2 via sneaker-net.
Layer 2: strictest confidential creation and reference. internal LAN only systems, user endpoints are read only and contain no drives or usb. server is in locked room with limited access and contains files accessed by users, as well as user endpoints with write capability, connected to layer 3 via sneaker-net.
Layer 3: confidential creation and reference. internal LAN with write ability to files, temporarily read only network connectable to layer 4 via password.
Layer 4: normal productivity with confidential read access. normal internet connected network, usb and drives on centrally located system controlled by admin, all io logged.
No he meant 300%, the writer admitted it was an error in the comments and said he should have wrote dropped by 2/3rds or 66%. The drop from $3/GB to $1/GB is where he got the "300%" from.
If the minimum wage were abolished there would be plenty of people happy to work low paying jobs. As it stands welfare, the minimum wage, and healthcare are enforcers of automation. The root of cause is government policies. The more they try to help, the more it hurts, it is impossible for a bureaucrat to get anything right when each policy effects thousands of things in unimaginable ways, after 100 years of this bullshit you end up with a system so broke and supported by the non-working masses that there is only one way it can end, a revolution.
Which is why removing all income taxes and introducing a federal flat sales tax is such a great idea. The benefits are great: 1) restore incentives to save 2) reduce the size of the IRS, now instead of policing 300M people they only have to police a few million businesses 3) free a lot of labor from dealing with the tax code and laws 4) just think of the wasted hours spent on filing taxes, no more! 5) no loop holes for anyone! 6) no more free loading hookers, criminals, and aliens!
As I understand it, no matter the speed of calculating, there are only a set number of bitcoins given out per time, for one year this is 1,310,400 BTC, which are currently worth $13 so roughly $17M total will be awarded. Your amount is only based on what percent of the mining force you represent, it will never go over this. So lets say butterfly could dominate and take 50% of the computational force (which is highly unlikely since there are 5 companies making ASICS and the huge stock of FGPAs and GPUs still online), regardless this would bank them perhaps $8M. Making a HUGE assumption the exchange rate of BTC doesn't fall, which I think it will (explained below). In threads on butterflys website you can read that they have already sold 20k units, and are expecting 2 more rounds of 30k units each, at $150/pop this is $13.5M, already over what they would expect to make mining themselves. Note manf costs are irrelevant in comparisons since butterfly has to make the units if they keep themselves or if they sell them.
I think the exchange rate price is going to tank for 2 reasons, first it will take a while for the difficulty to catch up with the new onslaught of computing power, as is always the case since it is adjusted once per week, during this time there will be a flood of BTC on the market driving the price down. Secondly you will see a huge shift of BTC production from small groups with GPUs to much larger capital intensive groups with ASICS, this is not a graphics card you are using in your spare time, this is a custom built piece of hardware built solely for the purpose of speculating on mining bitcoins, and is worthless otherwise. This will vastly reduce the population mining BTC and thus reduce the number of people using and interested in BTC. As the BTC mining industry ramps up it may be the very thing that unravels interest in BTC. Coupled with more BTC for sale it could crash the market, again.
While this is true it is much less so today then before, meaning the value of college is becoming very quickly worthless. 20 years ago the average lifetime income difference between having a college degree and not was 1 million, today the average is 300k, considering your coming out with 20-200k in debt that hardly seems worth it. The number one problem is the government, college tuition has skyrocketed due to free money from the government, without these loans it would be much cheaper to go to college, and everyone graduating would have to pay as they go and not have nearly as much debt when getting out. Thus we would solve nearly all of the problems of the current system. There would be less graduates so most of them would be hired, they would have much less debt, the public would not have to finance their educations, and middle class families who can't get grants and scholarships would actually be able to afford to send some of their kids to college with much lower tuition.
Giving everyone free credit obviously doesn't work, just look at it from a high school graduates perspective. Option 1: get money for 4-8 years to go to college and party with no worries. Option 2: work your ass off at 3 jobs while working through college. Option 3: don't go to college and get a remedial job you are stuck in the rest of your life. Obviously any sane person is going to pick option 1. By eliminating free credit we git ride of option 1, and change option 2 to only working 1 job because of the drastically reduced tuition.
As a developer who wants to eat I don't give a shit who sells the most devices, what I care about is which users actually pay for software. Ask ANY who distribute on multiple platforms and Android is in dead last, not by some fraction, but by a huge margin. The last report I saw iOS generates over 90% of ALL mobile software revenue. Granted there are ways to leverage Android where most expect everything free, but don't kid yourself into thinking it is a perfect system. Because of this nearly all innovation and novelty appears on iOS first then is ported to Android if successful, even knowing they a smash hit some developers still fail to monetize their app on Android.
With this drive I would feel ok ditching my onsite weekly backup and only having a single off-site backup.
Give me a break, should we really allow Megaupload to continue so that the 0.1% of legitimate users can get their pictures back? Hell no. 99.9% of Megaupload is pirated garbage, as long as there is a way for the legitimate users to get back their data, of which probably 1% of those users even have data they need back, then nothing is terribly wrong here. They should probably at least make it easier so they can get it back online. For example put in a request for data, someone checks data to make sure it doesn't violate any copyrights, then data is released, this should be a pretty fast process since no one in their right mind is going to request their data back unless it is 100% theirs and absolutely needed.
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh
O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah
Yah ya goh
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh
O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah
O eh, o eh
Yah ya goh
At night when you turn off all the lights
There's no place that you can hide
Oh no, Rasterman is gonna get'cha
In bed, throw the covers on your head
You pretend like you are dead
But I know it
Rasterman is gonna gey'cha
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get you
Rasterman is gonna get you tonight
No way, you can fight it every day
But no matter what you say
You know it
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
No clue, of what's happening to you
And before this night is through
Ooh baby
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get you
Rasterman is gonna get you tonight
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh
O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh
O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah
O eh, o eh
Yah yeh goh
Yah yeh goh
Yah yeh goh
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get you
Rasterman is gonna get you
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Rasterman is gonna get'cha
Na na na na na na na na
Na na na na na na na
Rasterman is gonna get you
Na na na na na na na na
Na na na na na na na
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh
O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah
O eh, o eh, o eh, o eh
O eh, oo aah, o eh, oo aah
O eh, o eh
Na na na na na na na
Na na na na na na
I don't know about Walmart, I stopped shopping there about 7 years ago due to their poor treatment of employees and shitty quality. The grocer I shop at clearly labels all seafood as fresh or previously frozen and farmed or wild caught and country of origin, I suggest you switch grocers. Bitching is worthless, voting with your dollars is much faster.
If ape and human DNA are 5-10% different, then perhaps dinosaur and some current reptile DNA are very similar as well, since now you have 90% of the DNA already, you have to find much less, and if you have billions of samples of DNA, perhaps they could be reconstructed. I would think that by the time we are able to do such a thing we won't be far from being able to create our own dinosaur from scratch.
Because at the lowest level eventually everything is designed using metric, the people who work with such designs adopt and use metric first, it then filters out to a broader and broader population, very slowly, until there is no point in continuing with the annoyance of two systems, critical mass if formed and the rest are "reminding themselves" of the old system for a few years. It should be no surprise that the subject is the one reminding himself of the old system since he is in advertising and presumably in the US, and thus last to adopt it.
On one hand you can say that arguing this now is ridiculous now that we know it is actually a problem, there are probably 100's of other things that were budget slashed and worked out fine. On the other hand the entire reason the plane costs 190 million is because every single transistor and bolt in the aircraft is backed by millions of hours of testing and fail-over systems and with such a high priority placed on safety and reliability it seems ludicrous that they would skimp on safety to the pilot. You have to draw the line somewhere though, turns out someone was wrong and is now a higher up, and in true CYA fashion the problem is buried rather than fixed.
I bought my first 160GB SSD for $600, and would do it again in a heartbeat. If you use your machine for any kind of productivity the speed difference is night and day, moving to a SSD is the single most noticeable improvement in overall speed of my computer that I have EVER DONE. About the only thing I can relate it to is 20 years ago when I upgraded to a 3dfx graphics card for the first time, and seeing a software 3d engine vs the new hardware one. Now if you only use your computer for word processing or internet usage as most people, there is little reason to upgrade except for perhaps data security as SSD failure rates are much lower, but since you should be backing up anyways that shouldn't be much of a consideration. I have 3 SSDs totaling 700GB and will never buy another computer again without one.
So what I'm understanding is its going to cost you $350 to play the 45th super Mario game, no thanks.
What I propose is a new exchange that only executes trades once per week, and another that only executes once per month. If your company is on this exchange you are not allowed to be on any others. Problem solved. If you need your money out early there is a fee based on the past volatility of the stock. No more flash crashes, much less speculation, invest in a company due to dividends as it should be and not fucking stock appreciation!
I have been a self employed full time game programmer for over 10 years. I use trig every week, calculus maybe once a month, and have even dipped into differential equations a few times. It all depends on what type of game you want to make, and what libraries you are going to use. If you are going to write your own physics engine then you must have an awesome grasp of math, even if you use an off the shelf one it still helps to have a background heavy in math.
Its meaningless to say Android is "beating" Windows. Most people buying an Android phone don't even know or care what Android is. In contrast to buying a PC most know that their PC is a Windows PC and choose it over a Mac or Linux.
Having few users isn't that big of an issue. For example my games on Mac far outsell my windows games because of two simple reasons: far less competition from competitors, and less piracy. Even though the Mac market is 1/10th the size. You can charge more and face less competition on wp8. The #1 dead in the water issue is not supporting c++ for me. There is no way in hell I'm porting my code base and games to some proprietary ms language that will be abandoned in a few years. Wp8 would have to hold over 50% of the market for me to make that leap.
Interesting that his entire fortune is based on ripping off (admittedly) others ideas and companies, is now giving back so much, which in reality isn't that much at all at 2.7% of his net worth, still better than nothing.
You are not writing a book! Just use the word four.
While this is philosophically true, in reality it is not. Because AI is only one part of the equation, the environment determines the outcome, since no environments are the same from the perspective of each player (except a virtual one), the outcomes will be different even if each AI is identical. Furthermore the lack of perfect information each side has of the other side should lead to different outcomes. This is even true with humans, the initial starting conditions and environment significantly determine the outcome, as theorized in Guns, Germs, and Steel http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guns,_Germs,_and_Steel.
Comparing anything from 40 years ago to today is ridiculous. Nearly everything in history was FAR easier for one man to understand than it is today, in the past you could be an expert on any one thing, today that is nearly impossible, today teams of hundreds of people push to make incremental changes and will never make extreme breakthroughs required by a single overall view. Anyone who has such a view (at the top of management or a team) doesn't have the expertise to make the breakthrough, and anyone with the expertise doesn't have the view. We are not infinitely capable of understanding things, we are limited in scope and more importantly time. Look at the past, in the 1800's and early 1900's single men were the greatest inventors of the their time, during the mid 20th century it was small teams, now giant corporations are the only ones making any significant difference. We have reached a saturation point of human ability and understanding, where anyone has so much past human experience and knowledge around them they cannot possibly even come close to learning it all, let alone extending any of it, only well funded teams can do it now.
There will be no clear breakthrough or strong AI 'invented', it will be a never ending series of small incremental advances that is so slow and happens over such a long time that we will not even notice, the exact same thing as the personal computing era. To look back to the 70s now it is a foreign idea, but at any point in time it was only a small advancement from the day before.