Wow. What I get from that is people really have understanding of how to rate insurance and health care. No wonder the healthcare debate is so messed up.
You can see more if you do a search for "temperature reconstruction graph." Of course I picked two graphs that show my point most dramatically, but in many (not all) of the reconstructions you will see dramatic swings of temperature over time.
we've had good overall models of how it affects temperature for fifty years now;
This isn't really true, unless you mean very rough estimates. Consider that without an atmosphere, the earth would be a certain temperature (as the moon is now). We don't know what that temperature would be for Earth. We have a rough idea, within 10 degrees. Likewise, we don't know how much warming the present atmosphere is providing. We have good rough estimates, but again, within 10 degrees.
You will never read precise numbers for the warming given to us from our blanket that is the atmosphere, because those numbers don't exist. We try to predict how much warming will be caused by a doubling of CO2, but again, the estimates are in a vast range, over 7 degrees of variability. The IPCC report attempts to figure out which of those estimates is most likely, but their answer changes in every report.
Blackberry certainly learned that lesson. All they spent on QNX and the customers yawned.
It was a great system, too bad it failed in the marketplace. It was better than iPhone when iPhone was released, and the certificate system was better than Apple's when Blackberry-QNX was released.
Anyway, as you said, better kernel technology (or even better systems for developers) doesn't win the game.
btw fruit quality isn't so much about "local" vs "non-local" although that does have an effect. When you pick fruits commercially, you pick them all at once. So you have to pick them at the moment the average fruit is ripe. But you don't want a bunch of overripe fruit, so in fact you pick them before the average fruit is ripe.
Farmers markets can pick them in smaller quantities and thus can focus on only picking the ripe ones at a particular time.
It's tough.....having a trademark doesn't prevent other people from using it, it prevents other people from using it in a way that confuses the identity in the minds of listeners.
Thus I can call you a slanty redskin all I want, even in print or commercial material, but if I say, "buy this Redskins hat and support your local football team!" then that is preventable.
It's more like the news media doesn't use AI in the same way scientists use it:
When the Media says "AI" they usually mean strong AI.
When scientists say "AI", they usually mean weak AI.
This confusion is why you get people like Bill Gates saying that AI is our biggest existential threat. The AI we're seeing today has nothing to do with existential threats. And if IBM tries to sell you Watson, it's just a marketing term, not the thing that won at Jeopardy.
When was the last time your agile sprint gave you time to look for security problems?
When was the last time any manager told you to look for security problems?
Magic Leap created such a convincing tech demo video that every CEO got sold on it and now wants to build it. Apple's Tim Cook got caught up in it too.
It kind of reminds me of 3D desktops environments: cool in principle, lame in practice. Maybe someone will figure out a way to make it non-lame.
Wikipedia has a good explanation. Briefly, it turns out albedo is tough to calculate.
I don't know if you remember this conversation, but I thought you might be interested in another book I found recently, When They Severed Earth From Sky. It clarifies a lot of natural-history aspects of mythology.
Wow. What I get from that is people really have understanding of how to rate insurance and health care. No wonder the healthcare debate is so messed up.
I don't normally read WUWT, but I wanted to test your hypothesis, so I searched Google for WUWT Berkeley. It showed a lot of results.
Scientific method proved your claim wrong.
Could it be the rate of temperature change is unprecedented throughout the history you described
Probably not. Look at this reconstruction, for example. You'll see there were times in the past temperature changed just as quickly. Here's another one.
You can see more if you do a search for "temperature reconstruction graph." Of course I picked two graphs that show my point most dramatically, but in many (not all) of the reconstructions you will see dramatic swings of temperature over time.
I don't know anything about coral, though.
If you think that's bad, you should try some Baked Alaska. With AGW will have even more of it.
we've had good overall models of how it affects temperature for fifty years now;
This isn't really true, unless you mean very rough estimates. Consider that without an atmosphere, the earth would be a certain temperature (as the moon is now). We don't know what that temperature would be for Earth. We have a rough idea, within 10 degrees. Likewise, we don't know how much warming the present atmosphere is providing. We have good rough estimates, but again, within 10 degrees.
You will never read precise numbers for the warming given to us from our blanket that is the atmosphere, because those numbers don't exist. We try to predict how much warming will be caused by a doubling of CO2, but again, the estimates are in a vast range, over 7 degrees of variability. The IPCC report attempts to figure out which of those estimates is most likely, but their answer changes in every report.
Blackberry certainly learned that lesson. All they spent on QNX and the customers yawned.
It was a great system, too bad it failed in the marketplace. It was better than iPhone when iPhone was released, and the certificate system was better than Apple's when Blackberry-QNX was released.
Anyway, as you said, better kernel technology (or even better systems for developers) doesn't win the game.
btw fruit quality isn't so much about "local" vs "non-local" although that does have an effect. When you pick fruits commercially, you pick them all at once. So you have to pick them at the moment the average fruit is ripe. But you don't want a bunch of overripe fruit, so in fact you pick them before the average fruit is ripe.
Farmers markets can pick them in smaller quantities and thus can focus on only picking the ripe ones at a particular time.
Whole Foods tends to have worse fruit quality than my local Safeway, that's been my experience. And don't tell me the bananas are local.
It's tough.....having a trademark doesn't prevent other people from using it, it prevents other people from using it in a way that confuses the identity in the minds of listeners.
Thus I can call you a slanty redskin all I want, even in print or commercial material, but if I say, "buy this Redskins hat and support your local football team!" then that is preventable.
It's more like the news media doesn't use AI in the same way scientists use it:
When the Media says "AI" they usually mean strong AI.
When scientists say "AI", they usually mean weak AI.
This confusion is why you get people like Bill Gates saying that AI is our biggest existential threat. The AI we're seeing today has nothing to do with existential threats. And if IBM tries to sell you Watson, it's just a marketing term, not the thing that won at Jeopardy.
That's unusual, what company do you work for? Not Google, I'm sure.
Nessus? Really?
When was the last time your agile sprint gave you time to look for security problems?
When was the last time any manager told you to look for security problems?
That's why we don't have secure software.
Indeed, smart money donates to the campaign of the candidate that is already likely to win.
Corporations should be allowed to fill their lungs with pot!
You cannot circumvent the laws of supply and demand
Google is opening up three new large office buildings, so they're hitting the demand button a lot harder than they're supplying things.
Ha, like spread rumors that Osama bin Ladin has been seen in Bukhara building schools and mosques alongside Gandhi?
I think you would also need to do something to counter ISIS' innate appeal to our conquest instinct.............
They took off and I called the cops. They took fingerprints and stuff but never caught them.
Yeah, that's how it goes with police.
And all I am doing is reporting an anti-social bomb maker to various law enforcement agencies.
I noticed. Apparently that's what you do when you can't answer questions.
All I said was the US earth quakes detectors didn't detect the full mass of the twin towers.
All I did was ask questions to clarify your position.
How about you answer my questions?
Oh, you can't. All you can do is cuss and seethe in your own rage.
...for a country as big as Venezuela, the 3rd largest oil producer in the world?
Their oil production has been dropping since the government takeover of the oil fields, and now they are #11 behind Brazil.
Venezuela is basically an example of how to run a country hard into the ground. "Dios es Venezolano" but he's face-palming right now.