The obvious conclusion of this paper is that there is a finite limit to the amount of pr0n in the universe. That's good to know -- I can now relax, knowing that I won't have to keep buying bigger hard drives forever.
And what does that tell us? Using the same maths, there is a 99% likelihood that the internet will last for between 45 days and 4,950 years - but it's just clever arithmetic, isn't it?
No, it's a best guess. He wanted to know how long the Internet would be around, and the answer I gave is (to within a 95% probability) the best answer he can get.
I, too, was "invented" 25 years ago. Do the same probablities apply to me?
Yup.
My point, I guess, is that you have to use some actual data if you want to make any sort of prediction.
And I did, using the data that was relevant and immediately at hand. If you have better information, then you can make a better prediction.
Having just read a book by Richard Gott that discusses this sort of question, let's do a little math.
There is a 95% likelyhood that we are seeing the middle 95% of the Internet's lifetime. That means we have seen anything from the first 2.5% of the Internet's life span up to the first 97.5% of the Internet's lifespan. If we say (to make the numbers work out evenly) that the Internet was invented 25 years ago, then if we are present at the beginning of the Internet's life span, we can be 95% confident that will last for another 1000 years. If we are at the end of the Internet's life span, then it will last another 7.7 months. So, we can say with 95% certainty that we can expect the Internet to survive for something between the next 7.7 months and 1000 years.
Don't forget: An E-Mail has been dispatched to our Technical Staff, who you can also contact if the problem persists.. Not only is their web server melting down, but if this message is accurate, their mail server just exploded.
They did. Mainframes and the like have had protection from this sort of hack for ages. AS/400s have object orientation support built into the hardware, and a data object (which is what a stack or buffer would be implemented as) cannot be executed as code, no matter what. The hardware will not allow it. Nor would the buffer be allowed to grow into a code location.
We're living with hardware and software architecture decisions made in the 1980s, when PCs were still considered toys.
From their latest 10-Q statement, dated Feb 10, 2004:
Debt
The Company currently has debt outstanding in the form of $300 million of aggregate principal amount 6.5% unsecured notes that were originally issued in 1994. The notes, which pay interest semiannually, were sold at 99.925% of par, for an effective yield to maturity of 6.51%. The notes, along with approximately $1.5 million of unamortized deferred gains on closed interest rate swaps, are due in February of 2004 and therefore have been classified as current debt as of December 27, 2003. The Company currently anticipates utilizing its existing cash balances to settle these notes when due.
Since they've got way more than $300 million in the bank, they would be able to cover these notes in cash, which is apparently what they did.
Someone from Habeas should respond to the parent post. Otherwise they're going into my blacklist. So far I have received nothing useful through their service that I can recall,
My Baysian filter has already decided that anything coming in with a Habeas header is spam, and I've seen nothing from them that would make me believe differently. Sorry, Habeas, you lose.
Your radio has a component in it (an oscillator) that vibrates at the frequency of the station you're listening to
One minor nit: the frequency of the oscillator is typically at (frequency of station) minus 10.7 MHz. (For AM, it's (frequency of station) minus 455 KHz.)
I don't know about you, but around here (Cincinnati), FM stations do have traffic and weather during commute time. Besides, I listen to NPR news in the morning. NPR isn't on very many AM stations.
Re:Welcome to 10 years ago ...
on
Smart Billboards
·
· Score: 5, Insightful
Auto mp3 players are under $150, who actually listens to the radio anymore?
uh, people who want traffic reports? People who want to listen to the news or weather?
There's actually several. All the SOHO images are posted to the SOHO web site shortly after they are received. Strictly speaking, that makes SOHO a webcam.
You know what they say... the pictures are always better on the TV.
Balony. I guarantee you that if you listen to a radio drama, the pictures going on inside your head will be far better than anything anybody would shoot.
"pr0n" is a deliberate misspelling, intended to let the message slip past dumb proxy filtering.
The obvious conclusion of this paper is that there is a finite limit to the amount of pr0n in the universe. That's good to know -- I can now relax, knowing that I won't have to keep buying bigger hard drives forever.
No, it's a best guess. He wanted to know how long the Internet would be around, and the answer I gave is (to within a 95% probability) the best answer he can get.
I, too, was "invented" 25 years ago. Do the same probablities apply to me?
Yup.
My point, I guess, is that you have to use some actual data if you want to make any sort of prediction.
And I did, using the data that was relevant and immediately at hand. If you have better information, then you can make a better prediction.
Having just read a book by Richard Gott that discusses this sort of question, let's do a little math.
There is a 95% likelyhood that we are seeing the middle 95% of the Internet's lifetime. That means we have seen anything from the first 2.5% of the Internet's life span up to the first 97.5% of the Internet's lifespan. If we say (to make the numbers work out evenly) that the Internet was invented 25 years ago, then if we are present at the beginning of the Internet's life span, we can be 95% confident that will last for another 1000 years. If we are at the end of the Internet's life span, then it will last another 7.7 months. So, we can say with 95% certainty that we can expect the Internet to survive for something between the next 7.7 months and 1000 years.
http://www.groklaw.net/article.php?story=200402150 15800694#c78161
The site www.ev1servers.net is running Microsoft-IIS/5.0 on Windows 2000.
The site forums.ev1servers.net is running Apache/1.3.28 (Unix) mod_gzip/1.3.26.1a PHP/4.3.2 on Linux.
Don't forget: An E-Mail has been dispatched to our Technical Staff, who you can also contact if the problem persists.. Not only is their web server melting down, but if this message is accurate, their mail server just exploded.
They did. Mainframes and the like have had protection from this sort of hack for ages. AS/400s have object orientation support built into the hardware, and a data object (which is what a stack or buffer would be implemented as) cannot be executed as code, no matter what. The hardware will not allow it. Nor would the buffer be allowed to grow into a code location.
We're living with hardware and software architecture decisions made in the 1980s, when PCs were still considered toys.
Isn't the truth an absolute defense against libel?
Since they've got way more than $300 million in the bank, they would be able to cover these notes in cash, which is apparently what they did.
Better tell that to NASA then, since their big antenna complex is called the "Deep Space Network."
No. If you push the end of the stick, that push travels down the length of the stick as a shock wave, moving at the speed of sound.
True. The universe is described by complicated equations wrought by the human mind.
My Baysian filter has already decided that anything coming in with a Habeas header is spam, and I've seen nothing from them that would make me believe differently. Sorry, Habeas, you lose.
IBM 1130 for me. Though I also got close to some 360s and 370s (when the 370 was a new model, no less) - Boy Scout Explorer post sponsored by IBM.
One minor nit: the frequency of the oscillator is typically at (frequency of station) minus 10.7 MHz. (For AM, it's (frequency of station) minus 455 KHz.)
I don't know about you, but around here (Cincinnati), FM stations do have traffic and weather during commute time. Besides, I listen to NPR news in the morning. NPR isn't on very many AM stations.
uh, people who want traffic reports? People who want to listen to the news or weather?
It's down half a percent from today's open.
Because in the opinion of the director, that part of the book didn't make a very good movie?
There's actually several. All the SOHO images are posted to the SOHO web site shortly after they are received. Strictly speaking, that makes SOHO a webcam.
No kidding. I muted the TV and turned on the radio for the games. Far better descriptions, and I got to watch the game too.
Balony. I guarantee you that if you listen to a radio drama, the pictures going on inside your head will be far better than anything anybody would shoot.
VMWare still requires a port, doesn't it?. It's just that they provide a lot of them already done.
Not likely. It's generally understood that if Sauron gets his (its?) hand on the Ring again, it's all over for the good guys.