Surely this is an important breakthrough. Just as surely, it is not that wealthy nations can now make small toy objects more cheaply than (developing nation). This is Enterprise Transporter 1.2
The story is not about people switching from MS Office to Google Docs. The story is about how or why people will ever need to upgrade to MS Office 201X. The bishop has checked that space.
What I find amazing, according to the article, is that the breakthrough is understanding why it works. In nano engineering, they are making things so small that they themselves have to observe what the creature does and then try to discover what they have appeared to have discovered.
Ha. Yes, and a number of other issues people worried about in 2002 are also getting worse.
There were positive and negative aspects of editorial power. Editors (and moderators) are less empowered today, something that began as soon as "google news" became a leading information portal. What's most dangerous is the trust of wiki editors, the assumption that wikipedia is the same as "crowd wisdom". It's more like "last touch", and financial interest seems to dictate editorial persistence. So I think this was noticed or predicted a decade or more ago, but the fact that it's getting worse is worth calling our attention to.
Well, yes, they are lying and that is one point of the story, but most comments and most public alarm is off point. Assessing cloud security is like checking my mom's virginity. I assume everyone in the cloud lies about my security, and that anything I put in the cloud is at risk. As for "credit card" info, the credit card companies are NUMERO UNO in sharing personal info from credit card use. Everyone who says cloud data, or credit card data, is secure is lying. As for "porn", ha ha ha ha ha ha ha. All porn comes off the cloud, putting it back into the cloud is like passing a marked bill.
The issue is risk. The number one source of credit card number theft is waiters on drugs. USING a credit card is probably a greater risk than entering the credit card number onto a cloud database. Yes, people should not mislead about security, but they are led to mislead by the crazy "lock box" talk about any cloud information being secure, and this discussion proves the point.
Here I was feeling all certain that my data was secure, and it just turns out my information just isn't important or interesting enough to purloin.
Seriously, what is missing in most of the press about data security is the relative weight of security necessary given the risk. You don't put your junk mail in a safe deposit box. What is sufficient security for my work files in dropbox is not sufficient for Obama's missile launching laptop. Speaking about security in the absence of weighted risk is the biggest waste of resources in security discussion. Rhetorically scaring people that their data is interesting and is going to be stolen is as bad as rhetorically emphasizing "lock box" security.
Schnapple would have me believe that I am taking advantage of a service which can get my photo out to a billion viewers who would not otherwise see my photo.
If that were possible, what would happen if Google provided a service for desperate musicians or other artists to upload their content?
And my point is... um... get an engineering degree. Because even if I refuse to provide the content to Twitpic, others may.
Or put $5M deposits on each piece of space junk sent into orbit. Then homeless aliens would collect them in intergalactic shopping carts and return them to the NASA redemption center.
I do a lot of business in Indonesia and Malaysia, as well as Egypt and Peru. The browsers people use, and versions they use, have to do with bandwidth, which in turn has to do with availability of affordable computers. In countries where the hyper-rich are the only ones with internet, they tend to have whatever speed of PC and bandwidth they want. As the nation gets more and more penetration, and "emerging middle class" starts to get online more (the case in Indonesia and Malaysia and Egypt), bandwidth tends to be a moving target, getting more strained as more people use it. Anyway, my experience is that liberal internet access tends to reward browsers and programs that run with less bandwidth, less strain on CPU, etc.
Kepler should keep its eye out for the planets that remove their rings and place them in their pockets. They show attraction, but part without saying goodbye the next morning.
This type of violence occurs at Filenes Basement at Downtown Crossing in Boston during the spring wedding dress sale, and for years the Boston Globe and Herald covered it as kind of a nod to the Filenes mystique. Then came Gang members shooting people over Nikes in LA. This is about crowd behavior, not the product, and publicity spin for the product is kind of 1990s. Move along, nothing to see here.
All good points, DrgnDancer. It may well be that the second broken arm procedure was necessarily more expensive, it may well be that I have two sons requiring teen circumcision. It is also a valid point that in a litigious society that doctors have a very good reason (or excuse) to err on the side of more diagnostic tests and more expensive procedures. I'm unhappy with the complications and skeptical of the justification for the surgery, but it's just a single anecdote.
I found this 2009 NPR story on how a spike in the number of hysterectomies performed in Lewiston, Maine, led to a search for environmental causes http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=113571111. After looking at a number of potential toxins or environmental factors, the number of hysterectomies required suddenly fell dramatically. Then the spike resurfaced in another community. The correlation? The doctor prescribing the hysterectomies had moved his practice to the second location.
The moral of the story is not that "doctors are bad" or "lawyers are bad", but that human behaviors tend to be influenced by economics, and that no field should be considered immune from self-interest.
This is very worrisome, glad to see it being discussed. According to the USA Bureau of Labor Statistics, health care employment accounts for (by far) most of the growth in jobs in the USA http://www.bls.gov/oco/cg/cgs035.htm. What happens when a new sport surgeon opens an office in your county? What happens when a urologist opens an office in a town of 10,000 residents? The free market says that when people take employment providing a "service" which they themselves are empowered to prescribe, that prescription rates increase proportionately to the wages.
I realized this when I broke my arm in almost precisely the same place, in almost exactly the same way. The first time it was a reset, an X-ray, and a cast. The second time, a new Osteopath building had been opened in town, with two new very smart and very nice doctors. Good people. Outcome was surgery, metal plates, screws, therapy, etc. My insurance paid for both treatments, but I got to see the bills. The second broken arm was over $10,000 more expensive than the first time. And when I read about the dangers of putting people under anesthesia, I really wonder how the risk was weighed against the benefit of making payments on the new doctor's office. I'm not grossly cynical about the health industry, but whenever a field of the economy becomes too respected (think Catholic Church), people begin to assume the best, and that's a recipe for problems.
By the way, there is a new Urologist in my town of 10,000, with a lovely office. He just told my wife that both our sons need teen circumcision, under anethesia. What is really worrisome is that the USA's aging population makes for an almost infinite number of diagnostic tests, etc., for these people to fill. If the government paid for car repairs, we'd have lots of mechanics and lots of repairs.
The Germans were already marketing these in 2007. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y4jtguSF0n4 In fact, Voice of America has already publicly announced (March 2011) that the millitary is using "hummingbird drones" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FcXH4iCnck4 in Afghanistan and Pakistan. If the robot spies the size of a hummingbird are already publicly discussed on Voice of America, I would assume they have tick, mosquito, and chigger drones in actual use by now.
Accepting as fact that oil reserves are finite, we should be importing more, not less. The reserves will be more valuable later. When the Arab oil runs dry, they can buy oil from us at a much higher price based on the scarcity. If there were only two canteens available for a hike across the desert, would your policy be to consume your own canteen of water first?
You are pretty much right. The Foxconn factory in Shenzhen has about 450,000 employees (more than in press accounts). There are grocery stores, restaurants, schools, hospitals, etc. inside the campus. The article and header is therefore rather misleading, it's like a small city, with a small city's suicide rate. The tasks are hand assembly, the jobs the USA press is upset about losing. I'm not sure I'd be cut out for that. The actual name of the company is Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd, the factory assembles for a LOT of companies, not just Apple. Expect them to come out with their own brands soon - following Acer (of Wistron) and Lenovo, they are going to outgrow being contract manufacturers and then maybe they'll make more money to pay their employees.
Ok, maybe the correct quote is "I'm not dead yet". My point is not that they are going to be made forever, but they are still a multibillion dollar market and they outlived plasma screens and LCDs on your chart have declined faster than CRTs have. I guess the LED-LCDs may take them out finally. But CRTs being made today (still 50% of sales in India) last for 20 years, and may be around for a long time. Also note on your chart the stubborn little flat spot from 2008-2010... the dip starting on 2011 on is a prediction, and that same prediction was made for 2008-2010 in ISuppli back in 2007 (which showed LCDs going in the opposite direction). Every year they predict steep CRT declines, and every year they are surprised by the 3 billion people earning $3k per year. They'll go away eventually just because the OEMs want to stop making them and will stop retooling the CRT furnaces, but it's still a good candidate for this tremendously important/. survey. Kind of like the end of Monty Python's "Bring Out Your Dead" skit, it may take a bang on the head.
Yes, but according to Digitimes, the overall volume of display units has grown staggeringly, so 15% of today's market not quite as small in relation to 12 years ago as it looks - there are still 3-4 furnaces making brand new CRTs. The other hidden thing is that the continued reuse of the CRTs replaced by LCDs is not in the DailyTech article. Entire factories are running, some using 5,000 used CRTs per day to make new ones. I'm not betting on new CRTs being made, I was just making the point that one man's obsolete is another man's high tech, and the 3 billion people who earn roughly 3 thousand dollars per year (3B3K) tends to get ignored and can sustain a technology far longer than you'd expect standing inside a Best Buy. I'm not saying they will outlive the LED, but the CRT has definitely outlived the Plasma, right?
I thought it was a duplicate too. But it made my comment on the previous story worth duplicating...
"Nine months from now, will these seem large and cumbersome?"
The comment got modded down last month, probably foolish to repost.
This is also, in large part, what drives used goods exports, refurbment, and other "parallel" markets. Early adapters who upgrade are an important source of affordable technology in emerging markets (like Egypt). Americans replace CRT monitors in record turnover from 2000-2008. But in 2007, new CRT manufacturing was still 50% of all new unit production. The biggest threat to the CRT manufacturing industry, in fact, are the used CRTs displaced in wealthy nations, which are practically given away in emerging markets where 50% of the cost of a computer is the display device, and a CRT display device lasts 20 years and doesn't get stolen. This is when OEMs may get tempted to give the old technology "a little push"... I just found this article on how to create EULA agreements to keep people from reusing your ink cartridges. http://www.stroock.com/SiteFiles/Pub383.pdf Planned obsolescence much?
Surely this is an important breakthrough. Just as surely, it is not that wealthy nations can now make small toy objects more cheaply than (developing nation). This is Enterprise Transporter 1.2
The story is not about people switching from MS Office to Google Docs. The story is about how or why people will ever need to upgrade to MS Office 201X. The bishop has checked that space.
What I find amazing, according to the article, is that the breakthrough is understanding why it works. In nano engineering, they are making things so small that they themselves have to observe what the creature does and then try to discover what they have appeared to have discovered.
Ha. Yes, and a number of other issues people worried about in 2002 are also getting worse.
There were positive and negative aspects of editorial power. Editors (and moderators) are less empowered today, something that began as soon as "google news" became a leading information portal. What's most dangerous is the trust of wiki editors, the assumption that wikipedia is the same as "crowd wisdom". It's more like "last touch", and financial interest seems to dictate editorial persistence. So I think this was noticed or predicted a decade or more ago, but the fact that it's getting worse is worth calling our attention to.
Spideroak, Googledocs, Dropbox, Credit Card users... "buyer beware" is now "supplier beware".
I didn't fly across the Atlantic, a savings of 100%
The issue is risk. The number one source of credit card number theft is waiters on drugs. USING a credit card is probably a greater risk than entering the credit card number onto a cloud database. Yes, people should not mislead about security, but they are led to mislead by the crazy "lock box" talk about any cloud information being secure, and this discussion proves the point.
Seriously, what is missing in most of the press about data security is the relative weight of security necessary given the risk. You don't put your junk mail in a safe deposit box. What is sufficient security for my work files in dropbox is not sufficient for Obama's missile launching laptop. Speaking about security in the absence of weighted risk is the biggest waste of resources in security discussion. Rhetorically scaring people that their data is interesting and is going to be stolen is as bad as rhetorically emphasizing "lock box" security.
Not "Boil that dust-speck, boil that dust-speck, BOIL!"
Schnapple would have me believe that I am taking advantage of a service which can get my photo out to a billion viewers who would not otherwise see my photo. If that were possible, what would happen if Google provided a service for desperate musicians or other artists to upload their content? And my point is... um... get an engineering degree. Because even if I refuse to provide the content to Twitpic, others may.
Or put $5M deposits on each piece of space junk sent into orbit. Then homeless aliens would collect them in intergalactic shopping carts and return them to the NASA redemption center.
Oovoo is one. http://www.oovoo.com/home.aspx There are a number of conference-call sites as well that let multiple business people log in and speak.
I do a lot of business in Indonesia and Malaysia, as well as Egypt and Peru. The browsers people use, and versions they use, have to do with bandwidth, which in turn has to do with availability of affordable computers. In countries where the hyper-rich are the only ones with internet, they tend to have whatever speed of PC and bandwidth they want. As the nation gets more and more penetration, and "emerging middle class" starts to get online more (the case in Indonesia and Malaysia and Egypt), bandwidth tends to be a moving target, getting more strained as more people use it. Anyway, my experience is that liberal internet access tends to reward browsers and programs that run with less bandwidth, less strain on CPU, etc.
Kepler should keep its eye out for the planets that remove their rings and place them in their pockets. They show attraction, but part without saying goodbye the next morning.
This type of violence occurs at Filenes Basement at Downtown Crossing in Boston during the spring wedding dress sale, and for years the Boston Globe and Herald covered it as kind of a nod to the Filenes mystique. Then came Gang members shooting people over Nikes in LA. This is about crowd behavior, not the product, and publicity spin for the product is kind of 1990s. Move along, nothing to see here.
All good points, DrgnDancer. It may well be that the second broken arm procedure was necessarily more expensive, it may well be that I have two sons requiring teen circumcision. It is also a valid point that in a litigious society that doctors have a very good reason (or excuse) to err on the side of more diagnostic tests and more expensive procedures. I'm unhappy with the complications and skeptical of the justification for the surgery, but it's just a single anecdote.
I found this 2009 NPR story on how a spike in the number of hysterectomies performed in Lewiston, Maine, led to a search for environmental causes http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=113571111. After looking at a number of potential toxins or environmental factors, the number of hysterectomies required suddenly fell dramatically. Then the spike resurfaced in another community. The correlation? The doctor prescribing the hysterectomies had moved his practice to the second location.
The moral of the story is not that "doctors are bad" or "lawyers are bad", but that human behaviors tend to be influenced by economics, and that no field should be considered immune from self-interest.
This is very worrisome, glad to see it being discussed. According to the USA Bureau of Labor Statistics, health care employment accounts for (by far) most of the growth in jobs in the USA http://www.bls.gov/oco/cg/cgs035.htm. What happens when a new sport surgeon opens an office in your county? What happens when a urologist opens an office in a town of 10,000 residents? The free market says that when people take employment providing a "service" which they themselves are empowered to prescribe, that prescription rates increase proportionately to the wages.
I realized this when I broke my arm in almost precisely the same place, in almost exactly the same way. The first time it was a reset, an X-ray, and a cast. The second time, a new Osteopath building had been opened in town, with two new very smart and very nice doctors. Good people. Outcome was surgery, metal plates, screws, therapy, etc. My insurance paid for both treatments, but I got to see the bills. The second broken arm was over $10,000 more expensive than the first time. And when I read about the dangers of putting people under anesthesia, I really wonder how the risk was weighed against the benefit of making payments on the new doctor's office. I'm not grossly cynical about the health industry, but whenever a field of the economy becomes too respected (think Catholic Church), people begin to assume the best, and that's a recipe for problems.
By the way, there is a new Urologist in my town of 10,000, with a lovely office. He just told my wife that both our sons need teen circumcision, under anethesia. What is really worrisome is that the USA's aging population makes for an almost infinite number of diagnostic tests, etc., for these people to fill. If the government paid for car repairs, we'd have lots of mechanics and lots of repairs.
The Germans were already marketing these in 2007. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y4jtguSF0n4 In fact, Voice of America has already publicly announced (March 2011) that the millitary is using "hummingbird drones" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FcXH4iCnck4 in Afghanistan and Pakistan. If the robot spies the size of a hummingbird are already publicly discussed on Voice of America, I would assume they have tick, mosquito, and chigger drones in actual use by now.
Accepting as fact that oil reserves are finite, we should be importing more, not less. The reserves will be more valuable later. When the Arab oil runs dry, they can buy oil from us at a much higher price based on the scarcity. If there were only two canteens available for a hike across the desert, would your policy be to consume your own canteen of water first?
Like, recharging your flashlight at the urinal.
You are pretty much right. The Foxconn factory in Shenzhen has about 450,000 employees (more than in press accounts). There are grocery stores, restaurants, schools, hospitals, etc. inside the campus. The article and header is therefore rather misleading, it's like a small city, with a small city's suicide rate. The tasks are hand assembly, the jobs the USA press is upset about losing. I'm not sure I'd be cut out for that. The actual name of the company is Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd, the factory assembles for a LOT of companies, not just Apple. Expect them to come out with their own brands soon - following Acer (of Wistron) and Lenovo, they are going to outgrow being contract manufacturers and then maybe they'll make more money to pay their employees.
Ok, maybe the correct quote is "I'm not dead yet". My point is not that they are going to be made forever, but they are still a multibillion dollar market and they outlived plasma screens and LCDs on your chart have declined faster than CRTs have. I guess the LED-LCDs may take them out finally. But CRTs being made today (still 50% of sales in India) last for 20 years, and may be around for a long time. Also note on your chart the stubborn little flat spot from 2008-2010... the dip starting on 2011 on is a prediction, and that same prediction was made for 2008-2010 in ISuppli back in 2007 (which showed LCDs going in the opposite direction). Every year they predict steep CRT declines, and every year they are surprised by the 3 billion people earning $3k per year. They'll go away eventually just because the OEMs want to stop making them and will stop retooling the CRT furnaces, but it's still a good candidate for this tremendously important /. survey. Kind of like the end of Monty Python's "Bring Out Your Dead" skit, it may take a bang on the head.
Yes, but according to Digitimes, the overall volume of display units has grown staggeringly, so 15% of today's market not quite as small in relation to 12 years ago as it looks - there are still 3-4 furnaces making brand new CRTs. The other hidden thing is that the continued reuse of the CRTs replaced by LCDs is not in the DailyTech article. Entire factories are running, some using 5,000 used CRTs per day to make new ones. I'm not betting on new CRTs being made, I was just making the point that one man's obsolete is another man's high tech, and the 3 billion people who earn roughly 3 thousand dollars per year (3B3K) tends to get ignored and can sustain a technology far longer than you'd expect standing inside a Best Buy. I'm not saying they will outlive the LED, but the CRT has definitely outlived the Plasma, right?
I thought it was a duplicate too. But it made my comment on the previous story worth duplicating... "Nine months from now, will these seem large and cumbersome?" The comment got modded down last month, probably foolish to repost.
This is also, in large part, what drives used goods exports, refurbment, and other "parallel" markets. Early adapters who upgrade are an important source of affordable technology in emerging markets (like Egypt). Americans replace CRT monitors in record turnover from 2000-2008. But in 2007, new CRT manufacturing was still 50% of all new unit production. The biggest threat to the CRT manufacturing industry, in fact, are the used CRTs displaced in wealthy nations, which are practically given away in emerging markets where 50% of the cost of a computer is the display device, and a CRT display device lasts 20 years and doesn't get stolen. This is when OEMs may get tempted to give the old technology "a little push"... I just found this article on how to create EULA agreements to keep people from reusing your ink cartridges. http://www.stroock.com/SiteFiles/Pub383.pdf Planned obsolescence much?