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User: Solandri

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  1. It's worse than that. If you RTFA, you find the 500 MW is capacity, not actual production. So it's a CSP (concentrated solar power) plant with a peak generating capacity of 500 MW.

    Morocco is at about the same latitude as Southern California, and CSP there has a capacity factor of about 33%. So average power generation for the year should be about 500 MW * 33% = 167 MW. Which for 1.1 million people works out to an average consumption of 152 Watts. That's 1332 kWh/yr.

    U.S. average is about 13,000 kWh/yr
    UK average is about 9450 kWh/yr
    Germany averages about 7200 kWh/yr
    Frace averages about 7300 kWh/yr
    Japan averages about 7800 kWh/yr
    S. Korea averages about 10,200 kWh/yr
    Morocco's average seems to be about 850 kWh/yr, which suggests their expected capacity factor is substantially lower than 33%. Using the above numbers I get a 21% capacity factor.

  2. There's no need for comparative statistics for men vs women, which leave you trying to control for all sorts of nebulous factors like how nicely they make requests, or how the genders might code differently.

    All you have to do is take a bunch of coders (men or women, doesn't matter), and have them submit a bunch of code online using a male persona, using a female persona, and anonymously (or at least gender-neutral). Then compare acceptance rate for each individual. That neatly eliminates all other factors since you're comparing the same individual to himself or herself.

  3. Re:"Tumbling under control" on North Korea's Satellite Tumbling In Orbit · · Score: 1

    And now the Pentagon is saying it's tumbling again.

    Tumbling refers to a very specific behavior in rotational dynamics. A body is only stable in rotation when it rotates around its minimum or maximum moments of inertia (inertia is a 3x3 matrix, not a single number of even a vector like they teach you in high school). When a body tries to spin around any other axis, it ends up gyrating wildly. What's happening is the spin axis is trying to align with a stable spin axis, but overshoots and passes right through it, over and over. Like a marble that tries to reach the bottom of a bowl (stable point) but keeps overshooting and rolling back and forth.

    It's very difficult to recover from because the axis of spin is changing dynamically, so by the time you fire a thruster to counteract the spin, the axis may have changed and the thruster may have little to no effect, or even make things worse. I've been trying to get one of the ISS crew to shoot some video demonstrating it because it's very difficult to demonstrate on Earth. But you can sort of see it by rubber banding a textbook closed (pick one whose three lengths are very different). Spin it as you throw it into the air. Spinning it so the axis is normal to the front/back is stable. So is spinning it so the axis is normal to the top/bottom (assuming the book is taller than it is wide). But spin around the axis through the spine will result in tumbling.

    Rotationally-stabilized spacecraft and satellites are carefully designed so the intended spin axis aligns with a minimum or maximum moment of inertia. Someone on the design team has a great big spreadsheet full of the inertia tensors and exact position of every single part that went into the spacecraft, so s/he can calculate its aggregate inertia tensor. If it doesn't quite line up, they have to either add/remove some weight or move some items around until it does.

  4. Re:Its not the actual bomb, its the threat on North Korea's Satellite Tumbling In Orbit · · Score: 1

    Luckily, your fears are completely unfounded. NK doesn't give a flying *** about the USA. It is more concerned with South Korea and if it was to use a nuke, they already have a target painted large as Seoul is only 30 miles from the NK border - easily reachable by truck in less than an hour. That is their hostage, should anyone attack them.

    NK's entire educational indoctrination program is based on hatred of the U.S. You know how one of the best ways to unite a people is to confront them with an outside enemy? That's what NK does, using the U.S. as the outside bogeyman. You're colossally ignorant of what's going on in NK if you think they don't give a flying *** about the U.S.

    40 years ago, at least most of the people in NK knew life before this political brainwashing began. But today most of the population there has grown up hearing and believing the U.S. is evil with no counterpoint argument for their entire lives. Nobody has ever done a massive social manipulation experiment of this scale for this duration, so nobody knows what the result will be, which makes NK incredibly unpredictable when it comes to anything which involves attacking the U.S.

    And the ICBMs and nukes are for Japan, China, and the U.S. Holding Seoul hostage doesn't even require NK to cross the border - the city is and always has been within artillery range of North Korea.

  5. Re:Illegal phone running on Federal Bill Could Override State-Level Encryption Bans (thestack.com) · · Score: 2

    I actually miss the Cold War. At least back then, our politicians would bend over backwards to avoid doing stuff like this, so they could highlight how we were different from and better than those authoritarian Commies.

  6. Re:Why give them 3 months? on French Gov't Gives Facebook 3 Months To Stop Tracking Non-User Browsers · · Score: 1

    Yeah, Facebook's tracking is why I first installed no-script (I now rely on Ghostery). You know that little "f" logo that's nearly ubiquitous on every web page to let you share the page via Facebook? That isn't just a graphic and a link. It's accompanied by a godwaful script. Every time you visit a page with that 'f' logo, your computer contact's Facebook's servers and hands over enough information (Facebook cookie, cookies for other sites, browser ID and version, system info, etc.) for them to uniquely identify your computer. If you're logged into Facebook, they add the page you've visited (with a 'f' logo) to the browsing history of your secret personal profile. If you're not logged into Facebook, they build up the profile and the moment you login, they append that browsing history to your profile.

    Even if you don't have a Facebook account, they build up a profile for unknown user 512415792346. And one day when your friend emails you a Facebook invite and you happen to view it in your browser, they suddenly know that 512415792346 is in fact John Smith, because that's the name your friend has been using to tag photos of you (auto face recognition FTW) he has on his Facebook account. And your email is johnsmith@gmail.com because that's where your friend sent the invite. And that you live at 1234 Main St, Springfield, CA because that's where the GPS tagging in those photos say you're mostly at in the evenings. And you work at Yoyodyne Propulsion because you were present in photos he and other Facebook users posted of last year's company picnic. And that you're a closet furry (the sex fetish kind) because that's where the browsing history they've collected on you says you spend most of your time online. You don't even have a Facebook account and they already know everything about you.

    The is the crap the French govt is trying to get them to stop doing. People who've opened a Facebook account have presumably consented to this in one of the myriad EULAs they've agreed to. But Facebook has no business tracking people who don't use Facebook and never consented to any of this.

  7. Re: I am not a physicist but... on China Just Made a Major Breakthrough In Nuclear Fusion Research (techienews.co.uk) · · Score: 1

    I wouldn't be so sure. Japan was the first country to travel that route. In the 1950s Japanese products were considered garbage. By the 1980s, it was considered some of the best stuff in the world. But it's GDP per capita (nominal) has stagnated around $35k/yr vs about $55k/yr for the U.S. and $45k/yr for most of the Western Europe.

    South Korea and Taiwan are the two more recent countries to advance that way (products considered to be cheap trash in the 1970s, desirable by the 1990s). But their GDP has stagnated at around $25k/yr per capita. (Yes Taiwan - nearly all laptops are designed in Taiwan). Singapore would seem to be an exception at about $55k/yr, but it's a city-state and achieves that high GDP by not having any low-income rural residents.

    There is just something about these East Asian countries which is preventing them from reaching the level of productivity that the U.S. and Western Europe have reached. My theory is it's corruption (bribery is a fact of life there) and ingrained rules of society which impede free market forces from helping remove inefficiencies. If I'm right, then China, currently at about $8k/yr, is probably going to stagnate before it reaches $15k/yr due to its Communist government trying to micro-manage everything its people do. That would be enough to supplant the U.S. as world's largest economy, but it will hardly be world-leading when it comes to technologies. I mean it will have a few world-leading breakthroughs due to the sheer size of its economy and population, but the amount of technological advancements per $GDP and per citizen will be far below what we see from the U.S., Western Europe, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. You could even argue China has already reached its peak - $8k/yr GDP per capita is where Russia stopped at when it was the Soviet Union (inflation adjusted), and where it is right now.

    Technological progress doesn't just come from dumping money into R&D. You also have to give your researchers and engineers freedom to try out all the crazy ideas they can think of. And have a free market which can sort out the good ideas from the bad (instead of some government official designating that one idea is good while another is bad).

  8. Alternate headline on Are Roads Safer With No Central White Lines? · · Score: 1

    Government tries to save money by not painting roads. Conjures up possible safety reason to justify it.

  9. Re:Price Is Still Just One of Two Sticking Points on NAND Flash Density Surpasses HDDs', But Price Is Still a Sticking Point (computerworld.com) · · Score: 2, Informative

    Oh, while we are at it, SSD tend to fail spectacularly: i.e. usually when they perish you cannot extract any information at all vs. spinning platters which usually fail gradually.

    Most newer SSDs are designed to fail gracefully. When they die, they become a read-only device. All your data is still accessible. Many USB flash drives are designed to fail the same way - if you've ever had a USB flash drive mysteriously become "write-protected", it probably died and set itself to read-only mode. Unfortunately, Samsung seems to be one of the SSD manufacturers which hasn't yet adopted this philosophy for failure. But I can understand their reasoning because...

    P.S. If you wanna counter my first argument, fill your SSD up to 99% and then try to work with it continuously for quite some time. That 1% will get overwritten multiple times and your whole SSD will be prone to a failure.

    That problem was solved in the 2000s with wear-leveling algorithms. Basically, the "sectors" the SSD presents to the computer aren't actual physical locations. They're virtual locations stored in a table. If the SSD senses certain blocks being used too much or other blocks sitting unused, it moves the data around behind the scenes so that writes hit all flash memory cells about equally. It updates the virtual table every time it does this, to fool the computer into thinking the drive is physically the same as it has always been.

    The rated endurance on most consumer SSDs is around 2000-3000 cycles. For a 250 GB SSD, that means you can write 625 terabytes to it before expecting a failure. If you write 100 GB of data to the drive every day, you can expect it to last nearly 20 years. In torture tests, most SSDs have lasted about 2-3x longer than their rating. And no, the first cell failure is not catastrophic. Pretty much all SSDs have a number of reserve cells sitting on the sidelines to take over for cells which fail early.

    If your duty cycle is higher than 100 GB/day, they make special enterprise SSDs rated for 10k-100k writes per cell. The price is correspondingly higher of course, primarily due to using SLC (one bit stored per cell) instead of MLC (2 bits) or TLC (3 bits).

    Limited number of writes were more of a problem in the early days of SSDs when they were like 32 GB in size. In that case, the exact same characteristics as the above 250 GB SSD would yield only 2.2 years of longevity. But the problem has pretty much become a non-factor as capacities have increased.

  10. What about the US' ability to attack everyone? How about those pricks disarm and reduce their military to 1/10th the size, stop toppling governments because they don't like them etc?

    You're mixing up capability with likelihood. Total risk is the product of the two. The U.S. has had nuclear-capable ICBMs for over 50 years now, but has never used them. So while it has had the capability for a long time, the proven likelihood that it'll use them is very low, even when it's been provoked. The reason people (not just the U.S.) is concerned about North Korea's capability is because its leadership is extremely erratic and unpredictable, so the likelihood it would actually use ICBMs is a lot higher than existing nuclear powers'.

    Also, U.S. military spending is huge only if you look at it in raw dollars. That's like looking at the raw dollars a large wealthy household spends on food, and comparing it to what a homeless individual spends. If you insist on looking at it in raw dollars, we could divide U.S. military spending across all 50 states (many of them are larger than most countries) and *poof* - the individual states no longer have the world's largest military spending.

    The proper normalized metric is spending (any type, not just military) as a percent of GDP. That eliminates the effect of wealth and population. Basically, what percentage of your citizens' productivity do you direct to your military? By that measure, U.S. military spending is about 3.5% of its GDP. That's only about 1.5x the world average of ~2.3% of GDP. By that measure, the U.S. doesn't even make the top 25 in military spending. And that's not even factoring in Japan, which the U.S. is contractually obligated to defend by the terms of peace treaties signed ending WWII. Include Japan's GDP and U.S. military spending drops to about 2.7% of aggregate GDP. If you cut U.S. military spending to 1/10th what it is now, it would have just about the lowest military spending of any nation on earth.

    Incidentally, guess which country spends the most on its military as a percentage of GDP.

  11. Re:This is big news, actually on Even With Telemetry Disabled, Windows 10 Talks To Dozens of Microsoft Servers (voat.co) · · Score: 1

    Flip the argument on its head. If Microsoft had nothing to hide, it shouldn't be encrypting the telemetry data. If your personal data in the telemetry is sensitive enough to warrant encrypting, then it's sensitive enough that Microsoft has no business collecting it.

  12. Boat still hasn't left port on Ask Slashdot: Time To Get Into Crypto-currency? If So, Which? · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Bitcoin made a lot of progress on the technological front, but its economics is flawed because it limits the number of bitcoins which can be mined, and makes them progressively harder to mine as more are found. This is the same flaw behind using gold as your currency standard, and will cause the same problem - economic instability via repeated bouts of deflation. Basically, because the amount of gold (bitcoins) doesn't grow as quickly as the size of the economy, prices for things in that currency start to go down.

    Vastly simplifying the economy into one currency and one product, today there are x bitcoins and you make y widgets. The price for a widget is thus proportional to x/y. Tomorrow, the number of bitcoins hasn't increased as quickly as your economic activity is increasing. There are 1.2x bitcoins, but you make 1.5 widgets. The price for a widget becomes proportional to 1.2x/1.5y = 0.8x/y. In other words, deflation - a widget is only worth 80% what it was yesterday.

    Now apply the same principle to all goods and services, and the price of everything is going down (actually the price of bitcoins is going up). Once people start to understand what's happening, they stop buying things. They want to wait until the last possible minute, until they absolutely need an item, to buy it because the longer they wait (the longer they hold onto their bitcoins), the less it will cost. This slowdown in economic activity causes a recession, which decreases the number of widgets that are made until once again their price goes up (because not enough are being made to meet demand), which starts the same process over again. Economic instability.

    That's why every major economy has abandoned the gold standard for a fiat currency. Yes a fiat currency can be abused if the people in charge of it are corrupt. But used properly with the money meted out at about the rate the economy is growing, prices remain stable and so is the economy. Just look at the list of recessions in the U.S. pre-1933 and post-1933 when the U.S. went off the gold standard. The economy has been much more stable with a fiat currency. That's what needs to happen with a cryptocurrency for the "boat to leave port." If someone can come up with a cryptocurrency which is independent of central control, yet its supply increases at roughly the same rate the economy expands, that is the boat you want to get on. It just won't be as lucrative for early adopters as bitcoin because it won't be a ponzi scheme.

  13. It's an e-reader, not paper on Amazon's Thin Helvetica Syndrome: Font Anorexia vs. Kindle Readability (teleread.com) · · Score: 1

    The whole point of a LCD or e-ink display made of pixels is that you can display whatever you want. There's no requirement like paper where you have to pick a font and your'e stuck with it. Manufacturers need to let the device's owner load up and use whatever fonts they want. I mean sure the publisher and device manufacturer can recommend a font, but they have no business dictating what font is used on your device. Forcing you to use one particular font is like making a radio with a tuning knob, but only allowing you to listen to one station.

  14. Re:You Live In The Wrong Time Zone. on Don't Hate Perky Morning People: It Might Be Their DNA's Fault. (arstechnica.com) · · Score: 1

    Changing time zones is only a temporary fix. My body's internal clock seems to be set for a 25 hour day. The early riser's internal clock seems to be set for a 23 hour day. I'm slow to get up but can work well into the night. They get up early, but crash sometimes before it's even dark outside.

  15. To get a ticket for going 34 mph in a 25 mph zone usually means you angered a cop,

    Doesn't really work like that. You're assuming there are two variables - how fast you were going, and the speed limit.

    There are actually three variables. How fast you're going, the speed limit, and how fast the cop says you were going. I was going about 45 mph in a 40 mph zone (used to be a 55 mph zone when I lived there a decade ago so I thought I was far under the limit). On the ticket, the cop wrote that I was going 55 mph just to get around that pesky 10 mph grace. Best I can tell, he was upset that I did a jackrabbit start from a red light, which I did to pass a slow car I'd been stuck behind (the road split into two lanes for a short span at the light). I'm a pretty safe driver and very aware of what I'm doing - that's my only ticket in over 30 years driving.

  16. Re:legalism is a crap philosophy. on Homemade Speed Trap Made By Former UVA CS Professor (cvilletomorrow.org) · · Score: 4, Informative

    All of this should make the UK a very dangerous place for pedestrians if speed limits alone were a primary driver of road fatalities, but they aren't. The UK averages 3.6 fatalities per billion kilometres driven. The US average (where limits are on average lower) is 7.1, which is effectively double. It seems much more likely that issues like car quality, driver certification, road design, car design etc are far more influential.

    I don't disagree with your point, but you're conflating a bunch of numbers which aren't really comparable.

    1) Motor vehicle fatality rate doesn't tell you much about pedestrian fatality rate.

    2) Driving distances area greater n the U.S. so those billion kilometers driven are not comparable. Dividing the fatalities per 100,000 inhabitants by fatalities per billion km yields 8100 km/inhabitant per year in the UK, versus 14,900 km/inhabitant per year in the U.S. So the average American travels 84% further each year than the average UK citizen. Most likely, a greater percentage of those U.S. miles are at higher speeds on highways where accidents are more likely to be fatal.

    The problem at speeds higher than about 50 mph is physics. Given how bodies strapped inside a car react in a crash, 50 mph is about the point where internal organs and blood vessels start tearing apart from their own momentum in a crash. At 100 mph, accidents are almost always fatal for the same reason (energy that goes into tearing up your internal organs is 4x more than at 50 mph). So a disproportionate number of traffic fatalities come from these higher speed accidents. In other words, a single stat like fatalities per billion passenger km doesn't give you the complete picture. You need to control for traffic speed distribution within those billion km first just determine if there's any blame left over to be assigned to other factors like car quality, driver certification, road design, car design, etc.

  17. Re:Physics puts enormous limits on using 30-300GHz on Japanese Researchers Achieve Record 56Gbps Wireless Transmission · · Score: 1

    It's worth pointing out that the frequencies with problematic RF transmission (high attenuation) are precisely the ones the FCC likes to open up for unregulated use. Nobody wants to use those frequencies commercially or for safety because of their unreliability. And the high attenuation means any broadcasts which exceed the unregulated power cap (typically 1 Watt) only affect a small area. 2.4 GHz was opened up because of its high absorption by water molecules, which is why microwave ovens (2.45 GHz) completely screw up your wifi signal.

  18. Re:All for free!!!! on EasyJet May Trial Hydrogen Fuel Cells For Taxiing (thestack.com) · · Score: 4, Interesting

    For the rest of the 99.9999% of the flight this is dead weight that the plane has to burn fuel in order to carry it around.

    If I remember right, if a stewardess loses a sugar packet in some crevice of an airliner, the extra weight (4 grams) will cause an additional half liter of fuel burn in a year.

    It would probably make more sense to assign a tractor to drag each aircraft from the gate to the start of the runway rather than use the planes fuel to taxi around.

    That actually brings up another problem with the idea. The point of moving around under your own power while on the ground is so that any immediate problem with the engines or fuel reveals itself during taxi when you are nice and safe on the ground. Not when you are 10,000 ft in the air hurtling at 400 mph.

    I'll also add that the energy from combining hydrogen and oxygen to form 1 liter of water releases 237.14 kJ/mole (Gibbs free energy). 1 mole of water is about 18 grams, so 1 liter of water is formed for every 13.15 MJ released this way. An A320 has a maximum landing weight of 66 tons, so figure it's about 60 tons in regular service with a full load. Stopping from a landing speed of 135 knots, that's 252.5 MJ of kinetic energy. Enough to convert just 19 liters of water into hydrogen and oxygen at 100% efficiency. However, some of that kinetic energy is shed by the spoilers and thrust reversers, not the brakes. Frankly I'm not even sure that's worth the extra weight of machinery to recover.

    Summing all this up, the maximum energy you can recover from braking an A320 at landing is equivalent to 5.5 kg of aviation fuel (46 MJ/kg). At a (realistic) 25% conversion efficiency for the fuel, and (optimistic) 60% conversion efficiency for the electrolysis and 70% efficiency for the hydrogen fuel cell (42% overall), this device will basically be reducing your fuel requirement by about 9.24 kg (11.5 liters). Every 8 grams the device weighs more than that will result in an extra liter of fuel burn per year than just carrying around the extra fuel.

  19. Re: What's the deal... on First Hidden Electric Motor In Cycling World Championship (cxmagazine.com) · · Score: 4, Informative

    A pro competitor at Tour de France averages 450 watts. Casual fit rider averages 220. That means having a mere half a horse power would let the casual rider win the Tour de France

    For those weak at the unit conversion, there's a nice rhyme for remembering it.

    In fourteen-hundred and ninety-two,
    Columbus sailed the ocean blue,
    Divide the year of his voyage by two,
    And you get the number of Watts in a horsepower.

  20. Re:From the people who brought us 10 on Microsoft Edge's Private Browsing Mode Isn't Actually Private (betanews.com) · · Score: 2

    Chrome Incognito mode is the same. One of the drawbacks being that if you accidentally close a tab, you can't undo it. That tab is gone for good. I don't think it's encrypted in memory though, so if Windows pushes it to the pagefile it could (temporarily) be written to disk.

  21. Re:Let's be fair on Asus ZenBook UX305CA Shows What Skylake Core M Is Capable Of (hothardware.com) · · Score: 1

    I bought one of these for my dad for Christmas. It's not going to win any benchmarks, and you'll feel it lagging on any processor-intensive tasks. But for office tasks, email, and web browsing it's fine. The biggest annoyances are a mini-HDMI port instead of a regular HDMI port - not that bad in itself, except Asus does not include an adapter. And the beautiful 13.3" 1080p screen is made blurry by Windows 10's (still) inadequate scaling in most apps.

  22. There are a lot more HDMI laptops out there than VGA projectors. So it's really the venues which still have VGA projectors who should have HDMI to VGA adapters on hand, than to expect every laptop owner out there to buy one or buy a VGA laptop, just in case.

    The better venues use projectors configured to allow you to remote desktop/VNC into your laptop over the network (ethernet or wifi). So a lot of times you don't even need to be physically connected to the projector.

  23. Re:Article paid by Apple to boo over it. on Microsoft's Windows Phone Platform Is Dead (windows10update.com) · · Score: 1

    Microsoft used to have 2-3rd place in North America at best, back before the iPhone and Android came out (#1 was BlackberryOS, #2 was PalmOS). Microsoft *could* have taken advantage of a decent position back then, but they, like Nokia, Palm, and BB, were blindsided by the advent of first the iPhone, then Android.

    Microsoft used to be 1st. Back in the PDA days, PalmOS was 1st, Windows Mobile (or WinCE or a slew of other names they used for it) was 2nd. Microsoft gradually chipped away at it and eventually supplanted PalmOS as #1 for the simple reason that Palm wouldn't allow PalmOS on other hardware. Anyone else who wanted to make their own PDA had to invest in making their own OS (Nokia) or use Microsoft's offering. (This is the same mistake Apple made in the PC market, thus relegating them to a 5% market share today.)

    Where Microsoft screwed up was the PDA and cell phone convergence. Everyone knew it was going to happen - two handheld electronic devices which you carry on your person all the time? Hell yeah they're going to converge. The only question was if PDAs were going to pick up cell phone capability, or if cell phones were going to gain PDA (organizer) features.

    For whatever reason, Microsoft didn't see this and were content to sit on their laurels after having conquered the PDA market. HP (a major Windows Mobile vendor) tried to make a PDA which was also a phone, but without built-in OS support it was an exercise in futility and died in the market. Then Blackberry came out with a cell phone which also had PDA features and took over the market in almost one fell swoop. Palm responded quickly (but not quickly enough) and eventually died. Nokia, which had started off in phones, already had what was a combination phone + organizer, so did better than Palm and eventually owned the biggest market share when Blackberry failed to improve. Windows Mobile entered the cell phone game late and was relegated to a distant 3rd/4th.

    There it remained as Blackberry and PalmOS were supplanted by iOS and Android. The former two were really just PDA features grafted onto a cell phone, while the latter two were generic OSes which basically make the smartphone a mini personal computer. In that respect Microsoft was already ahead of the game - Windows Mobile was also a generic OS for cell phones. But in an idiotic move, Microsoft insisted on tying it together with their desktop OS monopoly by forcing it to use the Win32 API and UI paradigm. (A Start button on a phone? Really?) Nobody wants to use the Windows desktop UI on a 4-inch screen. That allowed iOS and eventually Android to slip in and take over the market. By the time Microsoft got with the program, bought Nokia to try to salvage some market share, and came up with the excellent tiles interface for Windows Phone, it was too late.

    IMHO that will go down in history as Ballmer's biggest blunder - missing the PDA and cell phone convergence. All Microsoft had to do was add cell phone support to Windows Mobile around the time Blackberry showed up, and allow Windows Mobile to grow as an OS for 4-inch screens instead of forcing it to be a mini-desktop Windows.

  24. Re:subsidies on Gambling State Says the Solar Gamble Is Over · · Score: 1

    Getting rid of all subsidies would have little to no impact on fossil fuel costs, while it would be devastating for renewables. Fossil fuel subsidies are large only because a huge amount of fossil fuels are burned compared to other sources. On a per kWh basis, the subsidy for renewables is 25x that for fossil fuels. The subsidy for solar is 1600x that for fossil fuels.

  25. Re:Plan B on Gambling State Says the Solar Gamble Is Over · · Score: 1

    If utilities don't do retail metering, consumers can get similar results by pooling their loads.

    If you are using the electricity at the same place the solar panels are generating it, you are by definition unaffected by this decision. You are not selling the electricity back to the grid, you are using it before it even hits the grid, and thus you are unaffected by decisions which affect how much you get for selling electricity back to the grid.

    If you are selling the electricity through the grid, then you should be getting the wholesale rate. Don't think of the power utility as one company, think of it as two - one which generates electricity, and one which distributes electricity.

    • The wholesale price is what the company which generates electricity gets paid to compensate for the cost to generate electricity.
    • The distribution company gets a distribution price, which pays for building and maintaining the power grid.
    • The retail price is wholesale + distribution (+ profit, but that's regulated in most states via a public utilities commission to a fixed percent).

    If you generate your own electricity and sell it through the grid, someone still has to pay for distribution. The person who uses your electricity pays retail price. The distribution company subtracts their distribution fee. So you end up getting (retail price) - (distribution price). Which is the wholesale price. There's also the profit margin which needs to be resolved, but as I stated it's regulated in most states to a small fixed percent of the total so won't affect things much.

    Expecting to get retail price for the electricity you generate is like a farmer expecting to get all the money a supermarket charges for his produce they sell. That leaves nothing to pay for transportation, distribution, and preservation costs for the food as it makes its way from the farmer to the final buyer. The only reason it ever happened with electricity is because the utilities weren't initially equipped to deal with it, and so as quick and dirty fix they just they made the meter run backwards if you were sending electricity back to the grid. Now that they have smart meters in place which can accurately tabulate electricity flowing in and out separately, it's possible to accurately pay you the wholesale rate.