Can you link to a paper, etc., that calculates the adjustments for liberal vs. conservative survey-taking patterns?
Sorry, I have seen these issues mentioned several places, including Nate Silver's blog, but I have never seen them actually quantified.
I think the most famous skewed poll was in 1948. Phone surveys predicted a decisive win by Dewey, but instead Truman was re-elected. The reason was that back in 1948, households with lower incomes (and more likely to vote Democratic) often didn't have a phone.
When I take most surveys I answer calculated to confound the test as much as possible
If a few people did this randomly, then it wouldn't skew the results much. But it is not random. Liberals are more willing to participate in surveys, and more willing to answer honestly. Conservatives tend to be more cynical and calculating. Other factors skewing the results are that Democrats are more likely to be home, more likely to answer the phone, and more likely to participate in social media polls. Republican are more likely to let their phone calls roll over to voice mail, but also more likely to have more than one phone line. Professional pollsters try to take all these factors into account.
The statistical test in TFA won't fix the problem. It will just give the fakers another tool. Just make up some fake data, apply the test, and if it fails then manipulate the data and try again.
If you exclude the religious, the militaristic, and the moderates then what remains?
The libertarian wing, which mostly supported Rand Paul. He got less than 5% of the vote in Iowa. His dad, Ron Paul, who was a better candidate, peaked out at about 10% in 2008 polls.
examine all of the laws they passed by "compromising" with the Democrats.
These were nearly all Republican proposals. Many Democrats don't see these as the result of "compromise". They see them as a result of Democrats caving in to Republican demands.
If you are really opposed to NAFTA, TPP, GATT and FISA, then I think you are in the wrong party. Those laws reflect the core principles of the GOP.
The whole notion of lumping Apple in with this classification of criminal is just batshit crazy.
The Maricopa County sheriff, Joe Arpaio has built his entire political career around being batshit crazy. This is just another political stunt to get his name in the news. If you think the people are too smart to vote for such a shallow egotist, then you have obviously never been to southern Arizona.
Even normal tracer rounds can be aerodynamically unstable as the tracer element is exhausted. When I was a Marine, we were taught to never fire 7.62mm tracers overhead of friendly troops beyond a range of 700m, and no more than 400m for 5.56mm tracers. This is the range where they stop glowing. This announcement seems odd to me, since unstable trajectories should make the bullets more dangerous, and they would also be incendiary (they set stuff on fire).
A better approach to limiting the range of bullets may be to train soldiers to avoid excessively elevating their muzzles. Poorly trained troops have a tendency to shoot high, especially at night.
There are some advantages to using horses. For instance cars are only now getting autopilot, but centuries ago, if you travelled a regular route, say from the market to your farm, you could loosen the reins, and take a snooze in the back of the wagon, and depend on your horse to know the way home.
The reason for chip/signature is that it is believed customers will not remember their PIN and won't be able to use a chip/pin card.
That is silly. People use PINs all the time with debit cards. An interim solution would be to allow individuals to enable/disable PINs on their account. I would certainly enable it, for the extra security. My PIN is my wife's birthday, so I have plenty of incentive to not forget it.
genuinely think that internet access is as important as food, water and sanitation.
Many people think that because it is true. Per dollar invested, internet access does more to alleviate poverty than any other investment except vaccinations. It promotes literacy, enables farmers to get better prices for their crops, makes it easier for people to buy pumps/toilets/etc, and helps people learn about nutrition and how disease is spread. It makes it easier for people to organize to fight corruption. In many 3rd world countries, the internet greatly lowers financial transaction costs, so people can save and invest for the future.
The real 1st world prejudice is not thinking the internet is important, but thinking that it is a frivolous luxury.
Canada has had chips on the bank cards for quite a while too.
America has also had them for quite a while, we just don't actually use them. When we do use them, we do chip+signature instead of chip+PIN, so we get all the hassle of using a chip, with none of the benefits!!!
Unfortunately that philosophy does not work when the network is down. Maybe that is why packet heads still carry around books that rival unabridged dictionaries.
Or they carry around a cellphone, that can be used as a bridge to the another network. The only time I don't have access to either wifi or cellular, is when I am backpacking in the Sierras, and operating system internals are not a priority there.
I still buy books to sit down and read cover to cover, but I haven't bought a reference book in at least a decade.
Government bailouts only happen when the storm/flood/whatever is on TV. Once the problems become common enough, they will no longer be newsworthy, and the handouts will stop. People are always willing to help, until they realize their taxes are going up. Then they realize that apathy and victim blaming is much cheaper. This is known as Compassion Fatigue.
If the new owners of Slashdot really want to improve this site (and I have seen no evidence that they do), a good first step would be stop linking to stories that are paywalled, or that prohibit adblockers. There are always plenty of alternatives.
I was just trying to point out that using an open wifi without https/vpn/whateve is like the good old hitchiking
I don't worry about connecting to public hotspots. My knapsack laptop is a $50 used Chromebook. Good luck "hacking" that, since there is basically nothing on it. They might be able to read emails going back and forth, so they will find out my wife wants me to buy some kitty litter on the way home. Whatever. I doubt if they are even going to get that, since pretty much everything is HTTPS these days.
In general, the Rs want to control your moral freedoms, and the Ds want to control your economic ones.
The rationale differs as well. Rs want to take away your freedoms so you feel more secure, while Ds want to take away your freedoms so you don't offend anyone.
Nope. Not even close. More than half of Americans don't vote at all in most elections. Of those that do vote, the majority often vote Democratic, but Republicans win anyway because their votes count more. Sparsely populated rural states are overrepresented, and tend to be Republican. Both Democrats and Republicans do gerrymandering whenever they can get away with it, but the process works better for Republicans because they are less concentrated: Even the reddest of red districts (say a rural county in Utah) have only about 70% Republicans, but it is easy to find urban districts that are 95% Democrat. Also, Democrats are less likely to show up and vote, and more Democrats are excluded from voting because of criminal records.
Two factor is a user selectable option. You get to pick if you want face-id, thumbprint, and/or PIN. You can also set thresholds, so that, say, any transaction for less than $20 goes through automatically, but a thumbprint is required for $20 to $100, and a thumbprint plus a PIN is needed for anything over $100.
They are attempting to have some principles regarding where they get funding
No, they are abandoning their principles. Money should never be tied to a priori viewpoints, or accepting the consensus as "fact". This is about science, not religion.
What you are failing to see is that background checks serve a dual purpose.
According to several news sources, he WAS background checked. He passed. Why wouldn't he? Background checks check your background, they don't do brain scans.
Or just pad it with zero's like everything else does, apparently.
Even better would be to fill it with a value for a randomly selected TZ. That way you are poisoning the data, so "they" cannot be sure if any TZ fields are valid.
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Can you link to a paper, etc., that calculates the adjustments for liberal vs. conservative survey-taking patterns?
Sorry, I have seen these issues mentioned several places, including Nate Silver's blog, but I have never seen them actually quantified.
I think the most famous skewed poll was in 1948. Phone surveys predicted a decisive win by Dewey, but instead Truman was re-elected. The reason was that back in 1948, households with lower incomes (and more likely to vote Democratic) often didn't have a phone.
When I take most surveys I answer calculated to confound the test as much as possible
If a few people did this randomly, then it wouldn't skew the results much. But it is not random. Liberals are more willing to participate in surveys, and more willing to answer honestly. Conservatives tend to be more cynical and calculating. Other factors skewing the results are that Democrats are more likely to be home, more likely to answer the phone, and more likely to participate in social media polls. Republican are more likely to let their phone calls roll over to voice mail, but also more likely to have more than one phone line. Professional pollsters try to take all these factors into account.
The statistical test in TFA won't fix the problem. It will just give the fakers another tool. Just make up some fake data, apply the test, and if it fails then manipulate the data and try again.
If you exclude the religious, the militaristic, and the moderates then what remains?
The libertarian wing, which mostly supported Rand Paul. He got less than 5% of the vote in Iowa. His dad, Ron Paul, who was a better candidate, peaked out at about 10% in 2008 polls.
examine all of the laws they passed by "compromising" with the Democrats.
These were nearly all Republican proposals. Many Democrats don't see these as the result of "compromise". They see them as a result of Democrats caving in to Republican demands.
If you are really opposed to NAFTA, TPP, GATT and FISA, then I think you are in the wrong party. Those laws reflect the core principles of the GOP.
The whole notion of lumping Apple in with this classification of criminal is just batshit crazy.
The Maricopa County sheriff, Joe Arpaio has built his entire political career around being batshit crazy. This is just another political stunt to get his name in the news. If you think the people are too smart to vote for such a shallow egotist, then you have obviously never been to southern Arizona.
Even normal tracer rounds can be aerodynamically unstable as the tracer element is exhausted. When I was a Marine, we were taught to never fire 7.62mm tracers overhead of friendly troops beyond a range of 700m, and no more than 400m for 5.56mm tracers. This is the range where they stop glowing. This announcement seems odd to me, since unstable trajectories should make the bullets more dangerous, and they would also be incendiary (they set stuff on fire).
A better approach to limiting the range of bullets may be to train soldiers to avoid excessively elevating their muzzles. Poorly trained troops have a tendency to shoot high, especially at night.
that it's a bonus because it's not yet another PIN to remember.
I just use the same PIN for all my cards. This might be trivially less secure, but I don't have to write anything down.
They all seem to work just fine with a horse.
There are some advantages to using horses. For instance cars are only now getting autopilot, but centuries ago, if you travelled a regular route, say from the market to your farm, you could loosen the reins, and take a snooze in the back of the wagon, and depend on your horse to know the way home.
Wait, why is this a dumb idea?
Because we have a public debt of $19 trillion, and we shouldn't be making it bigger for the sake of mission creep at the LOC.
The reason for chip/signature is that it is believed customers will not remember their PIN and won't be able to use
a chip/pin card.
That is silly. People use PINs all the time with debit cards. An interim solution would be to allow individuals to enable/disable PINs on their account. I would certainly enable it, for the extra security. My PIN is my wife's birthday, so I have plenty of incentive to not forget it.
Sadly having net access does nothing for an empty stomach or a baby dying of disease.
... except helping to prevent those problems from happening in the first place.
genuinely think that internet access is as important as food, water and sanitation.
Many people think that because it is true. Per dollar invested, internet access does more to alleviate poverty than any other investment except vaccinations. It promotes literacy, enables farmers to get better prices for their crops, makes it easier for people to buy pumps/toilets/etc, and helps people learn about nutrition and how disease is spread. It makes it easier for people to organize to fight corruption. In many 3rd world countries, the internet greatly lowers financial transaction costs, so people can save and invest for the future.
The real 1st world prejudice is not thinking the internet is important, but thinking that it is a frivolous luxury.
Canada has had chips on the bank cards for quite a while too.
America has also had them for quite a while, we just don't actually use them. When we do use them, we do chip+signature instead of chip+PIN, so we get all the hassle of using a chip, with none of the benefits!!!
Unfortunately that philosophy does not work when the network is down. Maybe that is why packet heads still carry around books that rival unabridged dictionaries.
Or they carry around a cellphone, that can be used as a bridge to the another network. The only time I don't have access to either wifi or cellular, is when I am backpacking in the Sierras, and operating system internals are not a priority there.
I still buy books to sit down and read cover to cover, but I haven't bought a reference book in at least a decade.
No. They're angling for government swag.
Government bailouts only happen when the storm/flood/whatever is on TV. Once the problems become common enough, they will no longer be newsworthy, and the handouts will stop. People are always willing to help, until they realize their taxes are going up. Then they realize that apathy and victim blaming is much cheaper. This is known as Compassion Fatigue.
Here are a some non-paywalled links:
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-apple-encryption-idUSKCN0VW0BM
http://www.macrumors.com/2016/02/23/doj-vs-apple-12-court-orders
If the new owners of Slashdot really want to improve this site (and I have seen no evidence that they do), a good first step would be stop linking to stories that are paywalled, or that prohibit adblockers. There are always plenty of alternatives.
I was just trying to point out that using an open wifi without https/vpn/whateve is like the good old hitchiking
I don't worry about connecting to public hotspots. My knapsack laptop is a $50 used Chromebook. Good luck "hacking" that, since there is basically nothing on it. They might be able to read emails going back and forth, so they will find out my wife wants me to buy some kitty litter on the way home. Whatever. I doubt if they are even going to get that, since pretty much everything is HTTPS these days.
In general, the Rs want to control your moral freedoms, and the Ds want to control your economic ones.
The rationale differs as well. Rs want to take away your freedoms so you feel more secure, while Ds want to take away your freedoms so you don't offend anyone.
Half of Americans vote Republican too.
Nope. Not even close. More than half of Americans don't vote at all in most elections. Of those that do vote, the majority often vote Democratic, but Republicans win anyway because their votes count more. Sparsely populated rural states are overrepresented, and tend to be Republican. Both Democrats and Republicans do gerrymandering whenever they can get away with it, but the process works better for Republicans because they are less concentrated: Even the reddest of red districts (say a rural county in Utah) have only about 70% Republicans, but it is easy to find urban districts that are 95% Democrat. Also, Democrats are less likely to show up and vote, and more Democrats are excluded from voting because of criminal records.
Two factor is a user selectable option. You get to pick if you want face-id, thumbprint, and/or PIN. You can also set thresholds, so that, say, any transaction for less than $20 goes through automatically, but a thumbprint is required for $20 to $100, and a thumbprint plus a PIN is needed for anything over $100.
They are attempting to have some principles regarding where they get funding
No, they are abandoning their principles. Money should never be tied to a priori viewpoints, or accepting the consensus as "fact". This is about science, not religion.
Do keep in mind that the groups Exxon had been funding weren't doing climate science
That is not entirely true. For instance, Exxon funds the American Geophysical Union, whose members do legitimate climate science.
What you are failing to see is that background checks serve a dual purpose.
According to several news sources, he WAS background checked. He passed. Why wouldn't he? Background checks check your background, they don't do brain scans.
Or just pad it with zero's like everything else does, apparently.
Even better would be to fill it with a value for a randomly selected TZ. That way you are poisoning the data, so "they" cannot be sure if any TZ fields are valid.
This is unlikely to be a safety issue but it will result in more leaks & floods in homes. So there is an example!
I see. So my pipes would be less likely to leak if I was more willing to accept neurological damage and lower IQ in my children. Great example.
The plumbing in my house is PVC. It doesn't leak.