I very much in principle would love to agree with you.
Unfortunately we've learned that democracy is not perfect. I call it the BoatyMcBoatFace effect. Left to our quixotic whims, we voters have a tendency to make some pretty silly choices.
The Trump effect is not a generational thing its a regional thing - look at the electoral college results map. If you're pissed, blame the right category of people please.
Surprisingly, it happens more often than you think. My wife used to work for an insurance company processing claims. People would have dry leaves in their gutters and then use fireworks to unintentionally ignite their roof.
The server belonged to an email marketing company. In this case here isn't a big deep dark secret Trump-Russian conspiracy.
If you want an insight into Trump's ties with Russia, look at Paul Manaforte and read Time magazines article on the subject http://time.com/4433880/donald...
Those who wanted smartwatches wear Apple Watches and Fitbits already. They only appeal to a small market segment today and that segment is saturated. Apple has sold north of 12 million which in my mind *a lot*. The majority of those I know who bought them will replace them.
A lot of famous people weigh in on the impact of AI. How many of these people have educated themselves to actually understand AI before making claims based upon sci-fi-like assumptions of what it could theoretically be?
Having used machine learning systems the last few months I've come to realize two things:
1) Machine learning and "AI" is much more about augmenting humans than replacing them with simulations
2) A perfect storm of computing hardware and machine learning software is occurring that will have as big an impact in the next 10 years as personal computers, the Internet and mobile technology
Tried that; the update issue is on restart. It seems worse on upgraded computers. The fresh install systems seem to behave differently. The only thing that seems to work reliably for me now on many systems upgraded from 8 to 10 is to disable the Windows Update service. I have to now manually enable it periodically and do updates manually.
With extra effort, the issue can be dealt with, but Windows default behavior is getting close to unusable for many applications. Have you had to reload SQL Server after an update yet?
I think it will be a while before machines cause that much loss of jobs. I think machines and AI will augment people, not replace them.
That said, we need to get ready to revamp our insane tax system. A fair income tax should be applied to a worker whether its is human or mechanical. Maybe go to VAT?
To be sure not a perfect record; for example:
Middle East and Syria in particular - probably would have happened regardless
Relations with Russia and China - hard to say what could have been done differently
"Affordable" Health Care Act - although we couldn't live with what we had we should have done better. At least children are covered now...
Education - we owe our children and future more
Care for the environment - oils spills and global warming
Race relations and policing - Black Lives Matter
If you want to pin a failure on Barack Obama, blame him for not finding a way to reach out to congress - let's face it that situation is f'd up. Barack can't get an A on his report card because he failed that test. While maybe the most powerful person around, the president of the US certainly is not omnipotent. I challenge anybody to say they could have really done better.
If an event like the 1859 Carrington solar event occurred today, our modern infrastructure would be devastated. The geologic record indicates that these occur at least every few hundred years https://mic.com/articles/11774... . At our current state of readiness most of the US could be without power for an estimated six months. The spare parts to repair our power grid simply do not exist. Because so much of our economy runs on technology dependent credit (not cash) the world would face a rapid economic collapse. No phones, no internet, no fuel and soon no food - no joke. http://news.nationalgeographic...
Fortunately this is an unlikely event so we roll the dice and are happy in our ignorance. I would estimate the risk of this issue to be more than a 1000 times that of terrorist attack. The cost of insuring against this risk is not high. The logic for being prepared is unassailable. Hopefully as an open minded intelligent well educated person such as yourself, now armed with the facts you will draw the same logical conclusion.
This is not about politics, it's about the duty of a functional government.
I've nothing more to add on this topic, so this will be my final reply.
I found this 60 Minutes a bit disappointing and misleading. There is so much exciting stuff going on in machine learning today. I'm amazed they couldn't find something fresh instead of Watson, a Google Glass application and a weird looking chat robot making grandiose canned claims.
Not only did the US perform an airstrike against Libya in 1986, I think it killed his son and three grandchildren. I think technically it may have been a NATO mission though.
I agree - what a weird choice. The Apple watch really needs access to its paired iPhone to be of almost any use and the iPhone has good location awareness already. As a fitness device, the current Apple Watch kinda sucks because is heart rate monitor does not work well. Hopefully that's getting a fix.
Anybody who willingly allows external code like ads or third party Javascript solutions should know that they are intentionally injecting potentially malicious code.
TLDR - the new system is far too complex and the requirements include support for cards not even used in the US.
In order to implement EMV aka chip & pin you need a device that is certified by EMVCO, and industry consortium. They issue LOAs (letters of authorization) for devices having passed the certification process. This administrative process is slow and expensive. Many device manufacturers have trouble getting their devices certified. Many of the devices you see in the marketplace may have chip reading hardware, but their firmware may not be up to date or certified. Certification is extremely complex due to the many variations of card and contactless support theoretically possible. There are two levels of certification needed. In short, the device manufacturers were not ready and the industry underfunded the certification authority. This is why proliferation of devices has been slow.
One you have a device whose firmware is certified the processing gateway and point of sale software has to be certified. This is an incredibly time consuming, expensive and arduous process.
There is a shortcut in this area known as a semi integrated solution. A pos implementer uses an already certified payment "black box" application to integrate with their POS system. This has many advantages but a big disadvantage. The semi integrated software is a middleman and in most cases exacts a price for the processing service making implementations of this approach less competitive.
Ideally systems will use a direct integration. This requires certification for all card brands and all card types. You need and expensive device called a Collis test tool to emulate every conceivable card and contactless technology type. There are hundreds of test cases for each card brand for all the possible scenarios, include failure fallback.
The problem is, the majority of these test cases are for cards never seen in the real world.
Chase issued chip and signature cards several years ago and the rest of the card brands realized that if they issued chip and pin cards, older folks and those who don't want to get pin numbers would use their Chase cards so all the card issuers went with chip and signature. Chip cards are hard to counterfeit (you have to be able to make the chips and I don't have a semiconductor foundry in my basement), but eliminates an important aspect of two factor authentication - something you know. Frankly chip and pin is better, but chip and signature is much better than what we have and probably good enough.
It will be another year before the backlog of certifications gets worked through. There is a waiting line to get slotted for certification and much of the time, the developers in line don't have what it takes to actually code the solution when its finally their turn. You don't google for solutions to these kind of problems. You really need to know exactly what you are doing. A developer of this kind of software cannot get it wrong and the software has to be defect free. And its very complex. If you are not experienced and you do not have a very high IQ and you are not willing to work extremely hard you don't have what it takes to write this king of code. This process is truly a bitch. Because the job is so big, the processing companies have offshored the certification liasons. Working through issues with offshore help protected by a bureaucracy is a special circle of hell reserved for those of us developers who must have done something heinous to deserve this fate...
As for the slowness of the new technology, there are a few factors that come into play. In the good old swipe world, the card is swiped and while the consumer is putting their card away, the device is getting an authorization in parallel. In the chip world, the consumer leaves the card in while the transaction is being processed. When the process is complete, they are asked to remove the card. This has the advantage of preventing consumers from forgetting their cards in the machine but has a big perceived
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I very much in principle would love to agree with you.
Unfortunately we've learned that democracy is not perfect. I call it the BoatyMcBoatFace effect. Left to our quixotic whims, we voters have a tendency to make some pretty silly choices.
So if your house is on fire you might as well throw gasoline on it because its screwed anyway?
The Trump effect is not a generational thing its a regional thing - look at the electoral college results map. If you're pissed, blame the right category of people please.
Surprisingly, it happens more often than you think. My wife used to work for an insurance company processing claims. People would have dry leaves in their gutters and then use fireworks to unintentionally ignite their roof.
Tesla and Solar City
The server belonged to an email marketing company. In this case here isn't a big deep dark secret Trump-Russian conspiracy.
If you want an insight into Trump's ties with Russia, look at Paul Manaforte and read Time magazines article on the subject http://time.com/4433880/donald...
...if humanity didn't squander its resources on national defense.
Those who wanted smartwatches wear Apple Watches and Fitbits already. They only appeal to a small market segment today and that segment is saturated. Apple has sold north of 12 million which in my mind *a lot*. The majority of those I know who bought them will replace them.
A lot of famous people weigh in on the impact of AI. How many of these people have educated themselves to actually understand AI before making claims based upon sci-fi-like assumptions of what it could theoretically be?
Having used machine learning systems the last few months I've come to realize two things:
1) Machine learning and "AI" is much more about augmenting humans than replacing them with simulations
2) A perfect storm of computing hardware and machine learning software is occurring that will have as big an impact in the next 10 years as personal computers, the Internet and mobile technology
Yep - that's how I know the fresh install works better. What a PITA
Tried that; the update issue is on restart. It seems worse on upgraded computers. The fresh install systems seem to behave differently. The only thing that seems to work reliably for me now on many systems upgraded from 8 to 10 is to disable the Windows Update service. I have to now manually enable it periodically and do updates manually.
With extra effort, the issue can be dealt with, but Windows default behavior is getting close to unusable for many applications. Have you had to reload SQL Server after an update yet?
My Surface is running Windows 10.
I think it will be a while before machines cause that much loss of jobs. I think machines and AI will augment people, not replace them.
That said, we need to get ready to revamp our insane tax system. A fair income tax should be applied to a worker whether its is human or mechanical. Maybe go to VAT?
its getting ridiculous - it seems every time I turn it on it wants to do updates that take forever.
They are really on fire. The performance is going to be blazing with a lot more bang for your buck. They are smoking the competition.
Sorry - couldn't help myself. I actually like the Samsung products I've owned...
Small and uncoordinated are basically the same thing.
Not the same - uncoordinated is very wasteful which means high taxes and little benefit.
By what measure have the last 8 years sucked? Just curious, but please be objective and stick to the facts.
Stock market did well: http://www.macrotrends.net/135...
GDP slowly rising: http://www.tradingeconomics.co...
Unemployment steadily decreasing http://data.bls.gov/timeseries...
Steadily decreasing gas prices: https://blog.gasbuddy.com/Reta...
Believe it or not, decreasing crime rate: http://www.nationalreview.com/...
No major new gun control laws or other major trampling of the constitution
Many additional safeguards on disadvantaged segments of the population
And finally a reasonable record of kept campaign promises: http://www.politifact.com/trut...
To be sure not a perfect record; for example:
Middle East and Syria in particular - probably would have happened regardless
Relations with Russia and China - hard to say what could have been done differently
"Affordable" Health Care Act - although we couldn't live with what we had we should have done better. At least children are covered now...
Education - we owe our children and future more
Care for the environment - oils spills and global warming
Race relations and policing - Black Lives Matter
If you want to pin a failure on Barack Obama, blame him for not finding a way to reach out to congress - let's face it that situation is f'd up. Barack can't get an A on his report card because he failed that test. While maybe the most powerful person around, the president of the US certainly is not omnipotent. I challenge anybody to say they could have really done better.
In 1989 a solar event caused a widespread long duration blackout in Quebec. https://www.nasa.gov/topics/ea...
If an event like the 1859 Carrington solar event occurred today, our modern infrastructure would be devastated. The geologic record indicates that these occur at least every few hundred years https://mic.com/articles/11774... . At our current state of readiness most of the US could be without power for an estimated six months. The spare parts to repair our power grid simply do not exist. Because so much of our economy runs on technology dependent credit (not cash) the world would face a rapid economic collapse. No phones, no internet, no fuel and soon no food - no joke. http://news.nationalgeographic...
Fortunately this is an unlikely event so we roll the dice and are happy in our ignorance. I would estimate the risk of this issue to be more than a 1000 times that of terrorist attack. The cost of insuring against this risk is not high. The logic for being prepared is unassailable. Hopefully as an open minded intelligent well educated person such as yourself, now armed with the facts you will draw the same logical conclusion.
This is not about politics, it's about the duty of a functional government.
I've nothing more to add on this topic, so this will be my final reply.
I consider this a serious national defense issue. However it gets done, it needs doing before it's too late.
If the executive branch waited for congress to agree on something, we might as well have anarchy.
Should have been done years ago. Better late than never.
I found this 60 Minutes a bit disappointing and misleading. There is so much exciting stuff going on in machine learning today. I'm amazed they couldn't find something fresh instead of Watson, a Google Glass application and a weird looking chat robot making grandiose canned claims.
Not only did the US perform an airstrike against Libya in 1986, I think it killed his son and three grandchildren. I think technically it may have been a NATO mission though.
I agree - what a weird choice. The Apple watch really needs access to its paired iPhone to be of almost any use and the iPhone has good location awareness already. As a fitness device, the current Apple Watch kinda sucks because is heart rate monitor does not work well. Hopefully that's getting a fix.
Anybody who willingly allows external code like ads or third party Javascript solutions should know that they are intentionally injecting potentially malicious code.
TLDR - the new system is far too complex and the requirements include support for cards not even used in the US.
In order to implement EMV aka chip & pin you need a device that is certified by EMVCO, and industry consortium. They issue LOAs (letters of authorization) for devices having passed the certification process. This administrative process is slow and expensive. Many device manufacturers have trouble getting their devices certified. Many of the devices you see in the marketplace may have chip reading hardware, but their firmware may not be up to date or certified. Certification is extremely complex due to the many variations of card and contactless support theoretically possible. There are two levels of certification needed. In short, the device manufacturers were not ready and the industry underfunded the certification authority. This is why proliferation of devices has been slow.
One you have a device whose firmware is certified the processing gateway and point of sale software has to be certified. This is an incredibly time consuming, expensive and arduous process. There is a shortcut in this area known as a semi integrated solution. A pos implementer uses an already certified payment "black box" application to integrate with their POS system. This has many advantages but a big disadvantage. The semi integrated software is a middleman and in most cases exacts a price for the processing service making implementations of this approach less competitive.
Ideally systems will use a direct integration. This requires certification for all card brands and all card types. You need and expensive device called a Collis test tool to emulate every conceivable card and contactless technology type. There are hundreds of test cases for each card brand for all the possible scenarios, include failure fallback.
The problem is, the majority of these test cases are for cards never seen in the real world.
Chase issued chip and signature cards several years ago and the rest of the card brands realized that if they issued chip and pin cards, older folks and those who don't want to get pin numbers would use their Chase cards so all the card issuers went with chip and signature. Chip cards are hard to counterfeit (you have to be able to make the chips and I don't have a semiconductor foundry in my basement), but eliminates an important aspect of two factor authentication - something you know. Frankly chip and pin is better, but chip and signature is much better than what we have and probably good enough.
It will be another year before the backlog of certifications gets worked through. There is a waiting line to get slotted for certification and much of the time, the developers in line don't have what it takes to actually code the solution when its finally their turn. You don't google for solutions to these kind of problems. You really need to know exactly what you are doing. A developer of this kind of software cannot get it wrong and the software has to be defect free. And its very complex. If you are not experienced and you do not have a very high IQ and you are not willing to work extremely hard you don't have what it takes to write this king of code. This process is truly a bitch. Because the job is so big, the processing companies have offshored the certification liasons. Working through issues with offshore help protected by a bureaucracy is a special circle of hell reserved for those of us developers who must have done something heinous to deserve this fate...
As for the slowness of the new technology, there are a few factors that come into play. In the good old swipe world, the card is swiped and while the consumer is putting their card away, the device is getting an authorization in parallel. In the chip world, the consumer leaves the card in while the transaction is being processed. When the process is complete, they are asked to remove the card. This has the advantage of preventing consumers from forgetting their cards in the machine but has a big perceived