Well, if you allow computers to grade essays, then you should allow students access to AI based tools to generate essays by supplying keywords. Now that is fair competition. In America rich people will by high quality essay-generators for their school district. In socialist Australia government will supply all students with the same single-payer essay generator. Meanwhile Korean and Chinese parents will dutifully coach their children to memorize multiplication tables all the way to 20 times 20. (My Korean friend was surprised to learn we Indians went only till 16 x 16). Japanese would create essay-gochi, an app that you buy as a child and take care of it to produce high quality essays by the time you finish high school. Indians would write project proposals that require technical back-office teams (about three IT techies per student) to create and maintain the essay grading apps.
He is the guy who believes businesses are sacrosanct and if they want to ban blacks from sitting in lunch counters, they should be able to. He thinks such businesses would naturally go bankrupt without any government intervention, and civil rights legislation went too far.
In the long run of history, such businesses would go bankrupt, but the invisible hand of the economy dispenses justice in a collective average statistical sense over a long period of time. Generations of blacks would go discriminated against for decades before the invisible hand acts against the bad actors.
Humanity has experienced such total free economy. It took 1000 years for Europe to break out of the feudal system where inherited property based on land concentrated power at the very top. It took four centuries of combined effects of the renaissance, age of exploration, the industrial revolution and new found serfs in the colonies to break the feudal system. Pure libertarian solutions take centuries to take effect, they require seismic paradigm shifts and the breakdown is very violent. Culminating in a 30 year world war. (According to Churchill world war I and II are just one war spread over three decades).
Pure libertarianism is just marginally more practical than communism. Communism simply will not work because it disconnects incentives from effort. Libertarianism naturally leads to oligarchy. Liberal democracy, founded on acknowledging the usefulness and sinlessness of the profit motive to the society but moderated by large number collectively holding more power than any small group of oligarchs is what would work to give justice, peace and liberty to most people.
People fail to see the positives and always focus on the negative. Take this story for example. People should appreciate the fact that science holds the possibility... that somewhere sometime... given the right circumstances... non poisonous fecal cocktails could exist. Take heart folks.
Agile development will definitely come to the rescue of IBM and pull it out of failure. In fact so many companies have made tons and tons of money using Agile methodology.
The only thing they have to make sure to succeed is: "Sell/push/hawk/promote agile development tools".
But, when it comes to, the buyers and users of the Agile tools and methodology, the results are mixed.
Agile proponents have managed to sell the "no true scotsman" argument convincingly, probably because the management is willing let itself believe, "All we have to do is to give a few million dollars to this latest vendor selling the latest tools, all our problems will magically disappear".
Back when IBM executive predicted "the world will probably need six computers", the main computing model was a mainframe at a distant location and time share on it via (overpriced) telephone lines and VT-100 terminals. Eventually workstations appeared and the move was to get off the mainframe and do local computing. Then came along Sun, "The network is *the* computer" and diskless workstations that would boot into an X-11 display terminal off a distant server. Well, PCs came along and desktop became powerful enough to run even fluid mechanics simulations. Then came high performance computing, and now the cloud.
A bigger machine in a far away place always had the cost advantages of the economy of scale. Everytime there is a jump in connection speeds and bandwidth some customers found it cheaper to "out source" computing to a remote machine. But eventually the advantages of local storage and local computation adds up. So let us see how long this iteration lasts.
Can't you just wrap it in Aluminium foil and block the signals from getting in? Just put it inside the tin-foil hat and it should be able to go off line/
It is based on raw eggs, wocestershire sauce and red pepper.
For a moment you would feel as if somebody had touched off a bomb inside the old bean and was strolling down your throat with a lighted torch, and then everything would suddenly seem to get all right. The sun would shine in through the window; birds would twitter in the tree-tops; and, generally speaking, hope would dawn once more.
It is time tested and well recorded. Really, there is an actual historical record of this recipe working its magic in the morning after an incredible bacchanalian revelry in the Drones club to celebrate the engagement of Augustus Fink-Nottle to Madeline Bassett.
I felt a great disturbance in the Force, as if millions of voices suddenly cried out in terror and were suddenly silenced. I feared something terrible has happened, but dismissed it as the burrito I had for lunch at the Taco Bell. It does really look like some planet *was* destroyed. mm.. Should learn to trust the Force more.
Two minutes on google, GDP China India before industrial revoltion gets you:
http://www.theatlantic.com/bus...http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2...
India fell steadily all the way to 5% of the world by 1970. From > 25 in 1800.
China fell fro 33% in 1820 all the way to 5% by 1970.
Now please go ahead and nit pick India was above 5% at independence etc etc.
Over the long arc of history, industrialization destroyed more jobs world wide than it created. Only if you limit yourself to industrialized countries you could argue it created as many as it destroyed.
Read Gandhi, Indian independence movement, and why to this day wearing handloom fabric is considered a sign of patriotism in large parts of India and all the corrupt politicians of India would not be caught dead in anything other than brilliant white handloom clothes. Gandhi talked so much about the power of the West coming from their ability to dump their goods into the colonies. Boycotting foreign made goods was an integral part of the movement.
The dumping of goods produced at mass scale by industrialized Europe into the colonies decimated the local jobs. By the millions the local artisans who made pots, pans, knives, smelted metal, rolled sheet-metal, all went jobless. There was no protection from their government, they had no idea who they were dealing with. All the wealth accumulated by India by exporting spices for two millennia were gone in less than 200 years.
By the time Gandhi came around, it was down to farming the plant that gave indigo dye and handloom cloth. Almost all the native mettalurgists and metal working jobs were gone. More than the loss of jobs, the loss of the pride was more profound.
The view that industrial revolution destroyed cheap labor intensive jobs while creating more value added higher paying jobs and more high paying jobs were created than destroyed is a very Euro-centric view. Industrial revolution in Europe was an unmitigated disaster for India, China and other places. Before industrial revolution, Europe, India and China each had about 20 to 25% of the world GDP. Arab traders and other countries made up for the rest.
India and China were devastated, they had no clue of what was hitting them, they were reduced abject poverty and penury, to less than 5% of the GDP. The high paying jobs were created in Europe, and the number of higher paying jobs created were far less than the number destroyed if you take a global view. Only if you limit yourself to Europe you would see comparable number of new jobs being created. The Luddites were right.
Now finally it is lapping up the shores of the so called developed countries too. Finally it is affecting the upper middle class. Upper middle class are the real henchmen for the super rich. Without the upper middle class professionals siding up with the super rich, they could not stack the system in their favor. The super rich got too greedy and now they are taking from the 99% to 99.5% too. As long as they took from the bottom 95% and left enough for the 95% to 99.5% they could continue to grow. But when the life time earnings of a surgeon or a dentist or a CPA or midlevel MBA does not put them in the top 1% by net worth, they are going to rebel. And they are the ones who would succeed in such revolution without destroying everything else in the process.
Ages ago, seems like bronze age to me now, I was a freshman in college and got my first calculator. A tiny Casio-Fx48 creditcard sized one. It was only 9 decimal digits accurate, but its floating point number range went all the way up to a googol, 9.9999999e+99. That number is so huge, it is more than the number of subatomic particles in the known universe. Ming bogglingly huge number. In math such things are so common. For example the function factorial, reaches a googol at 79. Yup, Factorial (79) > number of subatomic particles in the known universe.
I read the book "Fun With Numbers" by Mir publications, Moscow in 10th grade. It talked about simple things like immensity of a number like pow(2,64) explained in a simple language a 10th grader could get. (pow(2,64) rice grains would need a barn 3 meter wide, 3 meters tall and several times the distance of Earth to Moon or something like that).
So Mandelbrot set could exceed the resolution of the known universe, by some version of the definition of these terms, in as little as 64 iterations.
Yeah, I know about java security model being completely broken as a plug-in. It has been two years since the advisory came out. Still our vpn vendor is pushing a java-plug-in based solution and our IT is still buying that load of crap. What to do?
f I have the capital resources to invest in a home energy system to go off the grid and say the payback time is 15 years. I and many other people might decide to do just that.
Remember, your parents did exactly that. I957 was the peak of street car/public transportation. Every one who could afford a car, bought one, leaving the remaining riders to pay for the amortized cost of public transportation. Almost all of the street car companies went bankrupt in 20 years. Of course, there was this illegal secret cartel of Firestone, Ford and Standard Oil that speeded up the demise by secretly buying key transfer points of the network and shut them down. But they were also actively aided and abetted by local politicians promising a car on every drive way and a chicken in every pot, and the people also thought it was a good idea to ditch public transportation.
What? NG gas turbine takes 3 to 6 hours to start? You should tell this to the airplane manufacturers. All the turbo-fan engines powering all the airplanes and helicopters are gas turbines [*]. If they are going to take 3 to 6 hours to start, they should never turn their engines off, or they would be stuck at the gate for three to six hours.
[*] I know they use kerosene but combustion of NG is even easier than liquid fuels.
When it rains it pours. I am battling a serious RAID controller failure at my work desktop. At least I could go home, use VPN to access some common team servers to do some work. Lo, and behold! St Murphy, the patron saint of all things barfing, decides to step in at this critical juncture. Chrome decides to cut Java. Our wonderful IT had bought VPN software that relies on java plug-in in the browser. OK firefox will come to my rescue, so I thought. But St Murphy had anticipated my move.
When everything fails, you sell your soul to Satan and decide to fire up, gasp, internet explorer. For some odd reason it manages to get past all the hurdles gets the network extender running. Satan is laughing at St Murphy. St Murphy never loses, his revenge will come soon, and it will be swift.
In the meantime, caught as a mere pawn in the eternal battle between Satan and St Murphy I am ruing my fate and belly aching in slashdot.
No wonder Open Tech is closing in Microsoft. It is the brilliant minds of Microsoft that conceived of putting " shut down " in the "start" menu. It was so bad it became good, and now even Microsoft is not able to get rid of the start button. Same way they might find it impossible to close their open tech.
I mean they have been repeatedly asking who let the dogs out. But I thought no one cared. Looks like there is a scientist who cared. Good for him or her.
NPR had a Ken Burns documentary on cancer, the emperor of maladies (or mother of all diseases or something similar).
It was a typical Ken Burns documentary, history etc. One salient part of the documentary was that cancer is not a single disease. It is a huge variety of diseases causing uncontrolled cell divisions. Further the cancer a patient has changes, evolves over time. Many promising drugs work very well initially but the cancer adapts to the drug.
Another salient part of it is the exponential increase in the cost of treatment. It has gone upwards of 100,000$ per patient per year in drugs. I am sure the researchers in Caltech know more about it than I do, but still, one wonders are they raising hopes needlessly and prematurely.
The call for papers have always been difficult to read pieces of work. You quickly glance at the deadlines to see if you can get one in, then the location to see if it is worth going there and pass on. Except for the more aged members of the academia who sit in panels and act as editors to pad up an useless CV no one cares about all these names in these calls.
So it is not as difficult to create spurious call for papers.
Well, if you allow computers to grade essays, then you should allow students access to AI based tools to generate essays by supplying keywords. Now that is fair competition. In America rich people will by high quality essay-generators for their school district. In socialist Australia government will supply all students with the same single-payer essay generator. Meanwhile Korean and Chinese parents will dutifully coach their children to memorize multiplication tables all the way to 20 times 20. (My Korean friend was surprised to learn we Indians went only till 16 x 16). Japanese would create essay-gochi, an app that you buy as a child and take care of it to produce high quality essays by the time you finish high school. Indians would write project proposals that require technical back-office teams (about three IT techies per student) to create and maintain the essay grading apps.
In the long run of history, such businesses would go bankrupt, but the invisible hand of the economy dispenses justice in a collective average statistical sense over a long period of time. Generations of blacks would go discriminated against for decades before the invisible hand acts against the bad actors.
Humanity has experienced such total free economy. It took 1000 years for Europe to break out of the feudal system where inherited property based on land concentrated power at the very top. It took four centuries of combined effects of the renaissance, age of exploration, the industrial revolution and new found serfs in the colonies to break the feudal system. Pure libertarian solutions take centuries to take effect, they require seismic paradigm shifts and the breakdown is very violent. Culminating in a 30 year world war. (According to Churchill world war I and II are just one war spread over three decades).
Pure libertarianism is just marginally more practical than communism. Communism simply will not work because it disconnects incentives from effort. Libertarianism naturally leads to oligarchy. Liberal democracy, founded on acknowledging the usefulness and sinlessness of the profit motive to the society but moderated by large number collectively holding more power than any small group of oligarchs is what would work to give justice, peace and liberty to most people.
People fail to see the positives and always focus on the negative. Take this story for example. People should appreciate the fact that science holds the possibility... that somewhere sometime ... given the right circumstances ... non poisonous fecal cocktails could exist. Take heart folks.
The only thing they have to make sure to succeed is: "Sell/push/hawk/promote agile development tools".
But, when it comes to, the buyers and users of the Agile tools and methodology, the results are mixed.
Agile proponents have managed to sell the "no true scotsman" argument convincingly, probably because the management is willing let itself believe, "All we have to do is to give a few million dollars to this latest vendor selling the latest tools, all our problems will magically disappear".
It works well enough for me. Battery lasts almost two days. But I don't push it very hard.
A bigger machine in a far away place always had the cost advantages of the economy of scale. Everytime there is a jump in connection speeds and bandwidth some customers found it cheaper to "out source" computing to a remote machine. But eventually the advantages of local storage and local computation adds up. So let us see how long this iteration lasts.
Can't you just wrap it in Aluminium foil and block the signals from getting in? Just put it inside the tin-foil hat and it should be able to go off line/
For a moment you would feel as if somebody had touched off a bomb inside the old bean and was strolling down your throat with a lighted torch, and then everything would suddenly seem to get all right. The sun would shine in through the window; birds would twitter in the tree-tops; and, generally speaking, hope would dawn once more.
It is time tested and well recorded. Really, there is an actual historical record of this recipe working its magic in the morning after an incredible bacchanalian revelry in the Drones club to celebrate the engagement of Augustus Fink-Nottle to Madeline Bassett.
I felt a great disturbance in the Force, as if millions of voices suddenly cried out in terror and were suddenly silenced. I feared something terrible has happened, but dismissed it as the burrito I had for lunch at the Taco Bell. It does really look like some planet *was* destroyed. mm.. Should learn to trust the Force more.
Two minutes on google, GDP China India before industrial revoltion gets you: http://www.theatlantic.com/bus... http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2... India fell steadily all the way to 5% of the world by 1970. From > 25 in 1800. China fell fro 33% in 1820 all the way to 5% by 1970. Now please go ahead and nit pick India was above 5% at independence etc etc. Over the long arc of history, industrialization destroyed more jobs world wide than it created. Only if you limit yourself to industrialized countries you could argue it created as many as it destroyed.
The dumping of goods produced at mass scale by industrialized Europe into the colonies decimated the local jobs. By the millions the local artisans who made pots, pans, knives, smelted metal, rolled sheet-metal, all went jobless. There was no protection from their government, they had no idea who they were dealing with. All the wealth accumulated by India by exporting spices for two millennia were gone in less than 200 years.
By the time Gandhi came around, it was down to farming the plant that gave indigo dye and handloom cloth. Almost all the native mettalurgists and metal working jobs were gone. More than the loss of jobs, the loss of the pride was more profound.
India and China were devastated, they had no clue of what was hitting them, they were reduced abject poverty and penury, to less than 5% of the GDP. The high paying jobs were created in Europe, and the number of higher paying jobs created were far less than the number destroyed if you take a global view. Only if you limit yourself to Europe you would see comparable number of new jobs being created. The Luddites were right.
Now finally it is lapping up the shores of the so called developed countries too. Finally it is affecting the upper middle class. Upper middle class are the real henchmen for the super rich. Without the upper middle class professionals siding up with the super rich, they could not stack the system in their favor. The super rich got too greedy and now they are taking from the 99% to 99.5% too. As long as they took from the bottom 95% and left enough for the 95% to 99.5% they could continue to grow. But when the life time earnings of a surgeon or a dentist or a CPA or midlevel MBA does not put them in the top 1% by net worth, they are going to rebel. And they are the ones who would succeed in such revolution without destroying everything else in the process.
Didn't Marconi steal the notebook of Jagdish Chandra Bose and came up with the idea of the "coherer"? So wonder where he pinched this idea from.
Thanks for the correction. It would have been so easy to check it using the calci lying on the table, but I was just too lazy.
I read the book "Fun With Numbers" by Mir publications, Moscow in 10th grade. It talked about simple things like immensity of a number like pow(2,64) explained in a simple language a 10th grader could get. (pow(2,64) rice grains would need a barn 3 meter wide, 3 meters tall and several times the distance of Earth to Moon or something like that).
So Mandelbrot set could exceed the resolution of the known universe, by some version of the definition of these terms, in as little as 64 iterations.
Yeah, I know about java security model being completely broken as a plug-in. It has been two years since the advisory came out. Still our vpn vendor is pushing a java-plug-in based solution and our IT is still buying that load of crap. What to do?
f I have the capital resources to invest in a home energy system to go off the grid and say the payback time is 15 years. I and many other people might decide to do just that.
Remember, your parents did exactly that. I957 was the peak of street car/public transportation. Every one who could afford a car, bought one, leaving the remaining riders to pay for the amortized cost of public transportation. Almost all of the street car companies went bankrupt in 20 years. Of course, there was this illegal secret cartel of Firestone, Ford and Standard Oil that speeded up the demise by secretly buying key transfer points of the network and shut them down. But they were also actively aided and abetted by local politicians promising a car on every drive way and a chicken in every pot, and the people also thought it was a good idea to ditch public transportation.
[*] I know they use kerosene but combustion of NG is even easier than liquid fuels.
When everything fails, you sell your soul to Satan and decide to fire up, gasp, internet explorer. For some odd reason it manages to get past all the hurdles gets the network extender running. Satan is laughing at St Murphy. St Murphy never loses, his revenge will come soon, and it will be swift.
In the meantime, caught as a mere pawn in the eternal battle between Satan and St Murphy I am ruing my fate and belly aching in slashdot.
BTW, don't dare ask. You know the answer. It is aum all the way. aum sweet aum all the way aum.
No wonder Open Tech is closing in Microsoft. It is the brilliant minds of Microsoft that conceived of putting " shut down " in the "start" menu. It was so bad it became good, and now even Microsoft is not able to get rid of the start button. Same way they might find it impossible to close their open tech.
I mean they have been repeatedly asking who let the dogs out. But I thought no one cared. Looks like there is a scientist who cared. Good for him or her.
It was a typical Ken Burns documentary, history etc. One salient part of the documentary was that cancer is not a single disease. It is a huge variety of diseases causing uncontrolled cell divisions. Further the cancer a patient has changes, evolves over time. Many promising drugs work very well initially but the cancer adapts to the drug.
Another salient part of it is the exponential increase in the cost of treatment. It has gone upwards of 100,000$ per patient per year in drugs. I am sure the researchers in Caltech know more about it than I do, but still, one wonders are they raising hopes needlessly and prematurely.
So it is not as difficult to create spurious call for papers.
The word "selfie" has been pre empted in the digital camera world to mean a different thing.