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Bob Young says Linux won't rule the desktop

Wee writes "I just came across this interesting Yahoo interview with Bob Young in which he says that Linux won't rule the desktop but will instead focus on replacing legacy Unix systems and enhancing Linux's embedded presence. He makes some pretty good points. The oddest quote: "So our opportunity is not to replace Microsoft on the PC. If you've got a perfectly good working PC, why you would go through the angst of replacing it?". Not sure where to start answering that one. My wife (a dedicated Win32 user) liked his car analogy. I need to get her to read 'In the Beginning was the Command Line'..."

161 of 434 comments (clear)

  1. but by Gehenna_Gehenna · · Score: 3, Funny
    my car never, ever had a BSOD.

    yet...

    --

    1. Re:but by Zach+Garner · · Score: 2

      Aparently you never owned a Model T, Or for that matter a Corvair.

    2. Re:but by ScumBiker · · Score: 2

      Gehenna_Gehenna, that is absolutely my favorite .sig so far "I say to our enemies, 'We are coming. God may show you mercy. We will not."
      --Sen. John McCain

      That totally says how I _still_ feel after September. Thanx for the reminder.

      Now, on to the on-topic bit. Bob Young is prbably right. The good news is, the desktop will become less usefull as a metaphor over the next few years. Let's face it, all most people use it for is to hold a few terminals, or other apps. I have no idea what's going to replace it, but, damn, I really wish I did. Think about betting on the Superbowl, knowing the results prior. If I could figure out where we're going next on the client side, I could potentially be as rich as hillbilly Bill.

      --
      --- Think of it as evolution in action ---
  2. Sigh by NiftyNews · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Wait, the author is pointing out the fact that the average mainstream user doesn't want to work harder or relearn PC tasks and GUI's?

    Friggin' astonishingly original viewpoint.

    1. Re:Sigh by eric_aka_scooter · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yeah, that's a good point. The best time to challenge Microsoft was when many people still did not own computers. Unfortunately, so many people are used to using Windows (and let's be honest, they basically like it for the most part) that there's a lot of inertia against getting new people to use Linux at home. Unfortunately, the Linux GUI has only come into its own with good, stable versions of KDE and Gnome in the past 2-3 years, long after the Windows GUI became easy to use. Windows has its share of problems, but it was there first. History tells us that technical superiority, like Beta vs. VCR, isn't always acknowledged in the market.

  3. Alternative by Evanrude · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't think one of the primary goals of Linux should be to replace Windows on the Desktop, but rather to offer an alternative Operating System to individuals and corporations who can't (or don't want to) afford the licensing fees and the cost of upgrades.

    --

    ~.Evanrude
    1. Re:Alternative by SpookComix · · Score: 3, Informative
      I agree. As long as Linux continues to be a viable alternative OS, I believe that it's popularity will continue to rise.

      I use Windows when I have to, such as syncing my Sony Clie (pilot-xfer is working on supporting it), playing DirectX 8 games (Transgaming is working on supporting that), and running MS Office when absolutely necessary (otherwise, I'm loving StarOffice 6 and KOffice.)

      Linux has become an alternative for me, so I use it. Many others are discovering the same thing. It did replace Windows as my primary desktop, but only because I was willing to take the time to learn it, and willing to tolerate some of the lingering annoyances. It's getting better all the time, too.

      --SC

      --
      You read fiction? I write it! Lemme know what you th
    2. Re:Alternative by humphrm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I agree with you, but I have to point out that, at least in the enterprise, software licensing fees aren't usually the first thing companies think about. Sure, it's a great consumer benefit (for Linux) but in the enterprise, the more important expense is hardware investment and ongoing maintenance.

      This is where Linux is a big win in the server market, and why companies like Dell and (apparently) RH are targetting those markets. It's hard for Sun or HP to compete, when their low-end servers (up to 4 procs) are sometimes 4 times as costly to buy as a commodity x86 server.

      But on the other hand, the desktop market is already deeply steeped in cheap, commodity x86 boxes. What OS an enterprise chooses to put on it really boils down to support, since the few hundred bucks for a license doesn't really show up on the balance sheet after the first year. Maintenance, however, keeps going (and it's cost rising) as the box gets older.

      It's going to take a strong, stable company that can attract enterprise buyers and managers to sell the Linux desktop into the environment. So from what I see of this, RH is saying "Don't look at us just yet."

      Hmmm. Maybe IBM?

      --
      -- "In order to have power, I must be taken seriously." -Mojo Jojo
    3. Re:Alternative by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2

      That's why companies shouldn't be looking at replacing Windows desktops with Linux desktops. They should take a look at replacing Windows desktops with thin clients that connect to a Linux server.

      Key Largo has hundreds of these whatsits connected to one commodity Intel-based server. Instead of administering hundreds of PCs, they administer one server, and have a pile of disposable clients. Not only does this drastically reduce client license costs, but it also drastically reduces maintenance costs.

      Want to upgrade your client OS? You only have to touch one machine. Want to install a new application? You only have to touch one machine. Want to increase performance for a CPU intensive application? You guessed it, you only have to touch one machine.

      Throw in a Citrix box for legacy Windows applications, and you are set.

      RedHat has always been smart about understating their position. They didn't even talk about replacing commercial Unix until it became obvious that the industry was headed in that direction. Bob Young was simply pointing out that RedHat isn't dependent on Linux taking off on the desktop.

    4. Re:Alternative by 4of12 · · Score: 2

      to individuals and corporations who can't (or don't want to) afford the licensing fees and the cost of upgrades.

      Hmmm... as if any of our new potential users of Linux have much choice in the matter of upgrade. (Kind of like the choice Aunt Tilly has of just accepting IE that came with her PC, or downloading and installing Netscape over her 28k modem:)

      AFAICT, consumers consider an OS part of the computer and would no more want to muck around with the OS than they would want to change motherboards, another essential part of a PC. All they want is to make sure than whatever shrink-wrapped application they bought several years ago will run on their PC.

      Corporate users (don't you just hate the new word "prosumers") usually have even less choice about their desktop operating system. Corporate IT wants to keep costs down by enforcing uniformity and, despite the costs of MS OS's, are afraid of the fact that "everyone uses Word" and we can't make another choice.

      In almost every other venue where corporate purchasing decisions are made, there is some uneasiness about sole suppliers, or being restricted to a single vendor. But in the arena of PC operating systems for the desktop, this healthy attitude is somehow suspended.

      --
      "Provided by the management for your protection."
    5. Re:Alternative by Grape+Shasta · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Want to shut down your entire company? You only have to break one machine! :)

      --

      "I am a cipher, a cipher, wrapped in an enigma, smothered in secret sauce" -Jimmy James
    6. Re:Alternative by Ogerman · · Score: 2

      I don't think one of the primary goals of Linux should be to replace Windows on the Desktop, but rather to offer an alternative Operating System to individuals and corporations who can't (or don't want to) afford the licensing fees and the cost of upgrades.

      Where do you people get this lousy FUD? That's exactly what Microsoft wants us to believe so that Linux will stay a niche market and not truly threaten them. The only thing holding the Open Source movement back from 'total world domination' is that so many coders share this passive, wishy-washy, political viewpoint. Thank goodness there are intelligent people like ESR and RMS who have the balls to believe in themselves and the community, thereby actually getting something done.

    7. Re:Alternative by sessamoid · · Score: 2
      Key Largo has hundreds of these whatsits connected to one commodity Intel-based server.
      Actually it's the city of Largo in the Tampa Bay Area. Key Largo is an island off in the south Florida Keys, which is quite some distance away.
      --
      "No, no, no. Don't tug on that. You never know what it might be attached to."
    8. Re:Alternative by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2

      Ha, you could probably already do that by simply shutting down the main file server. Your PC would still work, but all your files would be gone.

      With the money you would save you could probably afford two Linux application servers. Set up your clients so that half of them point to one server and the other half point to the second server, and configure them to roll over to the alternate on failure. Your clients might lose 15 minutes of work if one of your server class machines failed, but this sort of a setup would almost certainly be more robust than relying on a pile of commodity desktop PCs running Windows.

    9. Re:Alternative by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2

      Err, oops. Yeah, I knew that :).

    10. Re:Alternative by SCHecklerX · · Score: 2
      I use Windows when I have to, such as syncing my Sony Clie (pilot-xfer is working on supporting it)

      Dude. Go to the pilot-link site, download the CVS build, and enjoy pilot-xfer syncing via USB. Not everything is done yet, but you can install databases and back them up. For calendar stuff, I'm stuck with lotus notes anyway.

    11. Re:Alternative by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2

      That's why I said legacy Windows applications. You would have to switch your users to StarOffice and another email package (Bynari has a nice one with all of the features of Exchange).

      The Citrix server would be for those documents that you might receive that don't work with Staroffice, or for old Windows applications that don't have a Linux replacement. Outlook, Word, Excel, and PowerPoint would be replaced.

      Which is why, right now, switching to Linux on the desktop is a tricky deal. However, I honestly think that the industry is going to move in this direction. Microsoft currently is planning on charging their larger customers for new versions of their software whether they upgrade or not, and StarOffice is getting pretty darn good.

      If the economy doesn't pick up soon, companies are going to seriously consider this stuff, and sooner rather than later.

      For now I am doing the same sorts of things that you are doing. I am using Linux as as server OS only. File and print with Samba, new development with Python and Zope, PostgreSQL for the database. All of these products interact well with MS Office while still paving the way for future movements to client side Free Software.

    12. Re:Alternative by Afrosheen · · Score: 2

      Why was this modded to insightful? This is about the same as a large mainframe in most big expensive corporations...if the mainframe is down, poof.

    13. Re:Alternative by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2

      Larry Ellison's thin client was received less than warmly because it didn't run hardly any software. A couple of years ago the only useful X Windows application was Netscape. That is no longer the case. OpenOffice (the new beta) is a very credible MS Office replacement, Evolution is a credible email client, Mozilla is finally shaping into something useable, and the list goes on and on.

      Trust me, the better the Linux desktop gets the more folks are going to decide that it is "good enough" and they are going to switch. The potential cost savings are simply too big to ignore. The fact that Microsoft is now charging companies whether they upgrade or not even removes the one other alternative that corporations had for cost-saving (not upgrading).

      I am not saying that it is going to happen overnight, but StarOffice and Linux use are going to grow in the same manner that MS Office replaced WordPerfect and Lotus 1-2-3 and Windows NT replaced Netware.

  4. Why replace it? simple... by Marx_Mrvelous · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Complacency leads to regression. If we aren't always striving to make things better, everything will deteriorate. With a strong Linux desktop push, the price of competing software (Windows and MacOS) will drop, features will increase, and everyone will be better off.

    --

    Moderation: Put your hand inside the puppet head!
    1. Re:Why replace it? simple... by Marx_Mrvelous · · Score: 2

      No, of course windows has improved. And so has Linux, and MacOS (as well as other developing OSes like qnx, Mac OSX, BeOS, etc).

      My point was that the "good enough" theory to development, ie "Why should we try to make Linux a desktop OS when Windows is Good Enough?" is a flawed question, not only one that shouldn't be answered, but one that shouldn't be asked.

      --

      Moderation: Put your hand inside the puppet head!
    2. Re:Why replace it? simple... by Darth_Burrito · · Score: 2, Insightful

      True enough, but forgetting about Linux for a sec, Windows 98's biggest competitor was Windows 95. Windows 2000's biggest competitor was NT (2000 was more about replacing NT than it was about replacing *nix). In order to keep a strong incomming revenue stream, any software vendor has to increase the feature set enough to attract people to a new release. As someone who's finally about to get rid of 98, I can say there's some steep competition from older version software (...of course maybe there wouldn't be with more competition, but who can say for sure).

    3. Re:Why replace it? simple... by Refrag · · Score: 2

      There won't be this form of competition once Microsoft implements its software subscription licensing. You'll need competition from other organizations.

      --
      I have a website. It's about Macs.
    4. Re:Why replace it? simple... by J.+J.+Ramsey · · Score: 2

      "There won't be this form of competition once Microsoft implements its software subscription licensing."

      That's *if* MS can get the software subscription thing off the ground. A lot of CIOs are just not buying into it.

  5. He sees what industry leaders see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Desktop is dead. Microsoft owns it and even they are seeing their sales growth slowing.

    The future is in the palm of our hands, literally. Small devices are going to be the key to explosive sales in the coming decade. And who is positioned well here?

    WindRiver (though talking to an engineer from a company who did business with them, they have LOUSY developer support)

    Redhat (it doesn't hurt to be the leading Linux provider in the world)

    FSMLabs (creators of RTLinux. Even if they aren't the integrators, they are poised to be exceptional support)

    Microsoft (you didn't think the giant was sleeping, did you?)

    1. Re:He sees what industry leaders see by MadAhab · · Score: 2
      Exactly. And when the small devices grow up to be powerful ones that are good as general-purpose computers, what OS will they be running? Will you have to provide DNA samples to get your license for the software you bought "activated"? Or will you be able to run mutt if you like?

      The only question is whether Microsoft will get themselves in there. They aren't doing so great if it's the handhelds that grow into the killer devices, but they don't seem to be doing so bad with Xbox. Be very worried.

      By the way, the author of this article is a liar and crazy if he thinks I'll believe his wife liked the car analogy. Who would marry him?

      --
      Expanding a vast wasteland since 1996.
    2. Re:He sees what industry leaders see by Christianfreak · · Score: 2

      While for the most part I agree with your statements Microsoft's growth in the desktop market is slowing because they simply have no one left to sell to. That doesn't mean that Linux couldn't make inroads if it can be proven better or if users know about it in the first place.

  6. not sure the movie... by Pengo · · Score: 4, Insightful


    Maybe it's the Life of Brian... Yeah, where the mobs of people where following him around, claiming that silly and sensible things he would say where completely something else, in the end not listening to reason? Well.. sounds like the linux community. :) Not that Bob Young is the un-reachable god-like leader, but I see some simularaties.

    hehe, RMS could play the guy who sits in the pit for silence. Well, at least with looks. :)

    1. Re:not sure the movie... by zangdesign · · Score: 3, Funny

      RMS could play the guy who sits in the pit for silence

      I, for one, wish he would.

      --
      To celebrate the occasion of my 1000th post, I will post no more forever on Slashdot. Goodbye.
    2. Re:not sure the movie... by AnalogBoy · · Score: 2

      RMS? Without being loudmouthed and opinionated? What kind of world do you live in? ( And whats the interest rate? I'd like to buy a house..)

    3. Re:not sure the movie... by ZaMoose · · Score: 2

      Life of Brian, it is.

      "Follow the gourd!" "No, no, follow his shoe!"
      ...
      "It's a miracle! Juniper berries!" "Of course they're juniper berries! They're juniper bushes!"

      --
      I wish I had a kryptonite cross, because then you could keep Dracula and Superman away.
    4. Re:not sure the movie... by ZaMoose · · Score: 2

      Brian: I'm not the Messiah! Will you please listen? I am not the Messiah, do you understand?! Honestly!

      Girl: Only the true Messiah denies His divinity.

      Brian: What?! Well, what sort of chance does that give me? All right! I am the Messiah!

      Followers: He is! He is the Messiah!

      Brian: Now, @#$% off!

      [silence]

      Arthur: How shall we @#$% off, O Lord?

      Heh.

      --
      I wish I had a kryptonite cross, because then you could keep Dracula and Superman away.
  7. Makes sense by .sig · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Contrary to popular belief (at least here), Linux is just not ready for the everyday person's desktop. While it's true that it is getting there, why not focus on it's strengths, and let Linux grow as an OS where it fits in and is accepted?

    Windows works. It may not be perfect, but it gets the job done, especially when the job is pure entertainment. That's why I have a computer at home, and I bet that's why a large majority of home computers are bought. I also have a linux partition on there, but I haven't booted into linux in over a year. I simply have no need for it, and everything I use my computer for can be done without problems under windows.

    --
    -Space for rent
    1. Re:Makes sense by jamesoutlaw · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You are right.

      Linux and Apple are in a similar situation. Both are "niche" players in the tech industry. Neither has to "conquor" MS in order to be successful. Many so-called "pundits" claim that Apple will never survive unless they start courting the enterprise market. Many among the legions of Apple fans believe the same thing, however, they overlook the fact that Apple is an extreamly successful company within their selected niche of the tech market.

      Linux does not have to conquor the desktop in order to be successful, as has been demonstrated over the past few years by the number of companies that are using it as a Server operating system. It (an I am using the word it to describe the body of developers that contribute to and maintain all of the Linux code) simply has to focus on what it's doing right- providing a good alternative to Windows & Unix servers, and to continue to improve in that market.

    2. Re:Makes sense by Hostile17 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Contrary to popular belief (at least here), Linux is just not ready for the everyday person's desktop.

      I disagree, Windows has only one advantage over Linux and that is games. This may be a problem on the home desktop, but on the business desktop, it is not relevant. In every other area Linux has an free or nearly free alternative. Email, web browsing and content creation all have usable and in some cases outstanding programs. Even Exchange Server can be replaced, to include shared calenders (easy to implement with Apache/PHP) and address books (LDAP). I have helped a few small businesses convert to a Linux Based desktop for all employees, some do complain for a little while, but then they get back to doing whatever it is they get paid to do, especially when the CEO pointed out, it was either convert to Linux or face other budget cuts and possibly layoffs. I have yet to see anyone not be able to figure out how to use StarOffice. Frankly, someone who can't figure out StarOffice is probably not someone you want working for you anyway. With the sole exception of games, Linux is ready for the desktop. As a side note, I am just the opposite of you, I have a Windows partition on my system, but I haven't booted into it since I did the install, about 8 month ago. I am thinking about killing it and using the space for something useful.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism, since it is the merger of state and corporate power - Benito Mussoli
    3. Re:Makes sense by Greyfox · · Score: 2
      And you'd claim that Windows is?

      I'd have to disagree with you, strongly, every time my room mate installs a game that fucks over something in Windows and *I* have to spend 4 hours fixing the goddamn thing.

      I used to think it was just because I hadn't done Windows in a while and was out of touch. So I told her to get her help elsewhere. The next time it happened she recruited some folks she knows who do Windows support for a living. 2 weeks later, she got her computer back...

      Linux has no shortage of applications and Wine is actually robust enough to run Lotus Notes and a growing number of games now (I like that the Wine solution is actually slightly painful, as the better the Windows emulation is, the less incentive developers will have to target the native platform.)

      The current drawbacks are political ones, not technical.

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    4. Re:Makes sense by Captn+Pepe · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not to contribute to the me-too-ism on this thread, but I haven't felt the need to boot into the windows partition on my computer in a couple of years. Admittedly, I'm mostly using tools that have never been the traditional domain of MS -- data analysis, math stuff, writing papers in LaTeX. I've never had to embed a spreadsheet in a slideshow presentation in a word-processor document, and can't imagine why I would.

      That said, I've built a few web/email/writing letters to grannie machines for various people, and not only was the result pretty much indistinguishable from what said people were expecting (NOT exactly like Win, mind you -- far more usable; have someone who's used to using Macs show you how to configure the Gnome UI sometime), but the whole experience was less of a headache for me than MS would have been. 15 minutes to install a base system, pop in a CD and let apt figure out how to install the 10 or so packages the user will really need, get a sandwhich and spend another 10 minutes tweaking configs and its done.

      --

      Quantum mechanics: the dreams that stuff is made of.
    5. Re:Makes sense by reaper20 · · Score: 2

      You could say the same thing about Windows shareware software - 95% of it is crippleware, nagware, spyware, or just plain sucks too.

      Neither operating system has a monopoly on crappy end-user software.

    6. Re:Makes sense by Jason+Earl · · Score: 4, Redundant

      Tell that to Oracle. They are replacing their big Sparc boxes with commodity Intel-based servers running Linux.

      If Oracle can do it, you can bet that you can too. In fact, you can bet that if you don't use a combination of commodity Intel-based servers and commodity Free Software to lower your costs your competitor will, and his overhead will be that much lower than yours.

      The days where big-iron Unix users could afford to laugh at Linux are over.

    7. Re:Makes sense by Hostile17 · · Score: 2

      Windows has at least more than one advantage over Linux. In Windows you are able to cut and pate from basically any application to another. In linux you cannot.

      HMM strange, I don't have any problems cutting/coping and pasting between all my major applications

      In order to "take over" the desktop, this basic requirement must be met.

      No in order for Linux to "Take Over" the Microsoft Monopoly strangle hold on OEM computer manufacters must be broken.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism, since it is the merger of state and corporate power - Benito Mussoli
    8. Re:Makes sense by MrEfficient · · Score: 2

      If you haven't booted into linux in over a year, then you're not qualified to say it isn't ready for the desktop. Linux is ready for the desktop, just not everyone's desktop. But that's ok, it's about the freedom to choose. You choose Windows, I choose Linux. Windows can't do everything I want it to do, that's why I picked up Linux in the first place.

      --
      Check out AbiWord.
    9. Re:Makes sense by Nailer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I disagree, Windows has only one advantage over Linux and that is games. This may be a problem on the home desktop, but on the business desktop, it is not relevant.

      Okay, here's a couple:
      * I launch an app. For whatever reason, it fails to start. Smart apps like Galeon and Evolution provide this functionality (Xine, for example), but most other will simply not start with absolutely no explanation why. Lack of feedback is incredibly frustrating for users.

      * I'd like to install a program. Witch a clever app like urpmi or APT, I can easily type the name of the app I want and downlaod / install it. its a great way to find Linux software. But to do that, I had to learn that `update' meant refesh the list of avaliable software, as opposed to `upgrade' which meant to upgrade my system. And that `rpm' handles queries of what's installed, but I should use a seperate program called `apt' to fetch and install stuff. New users shouldn't have to learn things like that. Where's our equivalent, of, say, the QNX installer? Something that has a bug button called `refresh list of available software', integrated help, that has clear labels and handles everything you need toi install apps, whether local or from repositories, in one app, as well as allowing end users to simply *browse* what's available. Synaptic can sort of do that, but it does a very poor job. I haven't looked at the other APT frontends but Synaptic supposed to be the best.

      * And...
      - My hard drive can be melting but Linux won't tell me.
      - My system could be slowing to a crawl because of a scheduled task and Linux won't tell me. -
      - My system administrator could be telling me to get the hell of the network as he's about to bring our server down for maintenance but Linux won't tell me

      This is because KDE, Gnome, Blackbox, FVWM and every other user environment won't tell you the things you NEED to know unless you're running xconsole all the time. No messages, no `hdc is melting', no talk, nothing. The end result is that horrible things can happen behind users backs with generally no explanation from the interface. This is *really, *really* poor.

      * Lack of understanding of basic user needs, especially for command line apps. `Hi, there's no man page for this, you need the info page'. Well then show me the fucking info page, you're a computer, its not that hard. People still write apps which say `you need to be root to run this'. How about talking to some generic library that can work out if I'm allowed to su to another account with the permissions (typically root, hopefully not), and *ask me* to enter in the damned password. You know I want to run the tool, you know I can run the tool, so let me run the fucking tool.

      Anyway, that's my morning rant over and done with. Hopefully someone with the requisite skills is listening (I'm more of a sysadmin and I make a pretty poor programmer). If anybody ever changes anything based on this I'd be uber grateful, and if you're wondering, I'm slowly workign to changing it myself.

    10. Re:Makes sense by hondo77 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In every other area Linux has an free or nearly free alternative. Email, web browsing and content creation all have usable and in some cases outstanding programs.

      If "usable" is the best thing you can say about an alternative then it is not much of an alternative.

      I have helped a few small businesses convert to a Linux Based desktop for all employees, some do complain for a little while, but then they get back to doing whatever it is they get paid to do, especially when the CEO pointed out, it was either convert to Linux or face other budget cuts and possibly layoffs.

      Another great endorsement :-(. 'People like Linux on the desktop once they realize it's either that or be laid off.'

      I have yet to see anyone not be able to figure out how to use StarOffice. Frankly, someone who can't figure out StarOffice is probably not someone you want working for you anyway.

      Figuring out StarOffice is one thing, liking it is another. StarOffice is about the worst piece of software ever written and the thing is, everybody knows it. Does anybody actually like StarOffice? I mean if Word was open sourced would people still like StarOffice? StarOffice is an alternative, like riding a unicycle with a flat tire is an alternative to driving a car.

      Another point I would like to make is that the attitude in "someone who can't figure out StarOffice" is exactly the kind of attitude that will continue to prevent mass acceptance of Linux on the desktop. There are a lot more people who can't figure out StarOffice than can and it is those people that Microsoft and Apple keep in mind and the Open Source community tends to forget. Unless software is written for those people, it will just be niche software. That is why OS X is taking off and Linux on the desktop will stay where it is.

      --
      I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
    11. Re:Makes sense by Alex+Belits · · Score: 2

      Contrary to popular belief, Windows is not "ready" for everyday person's desktop either -- in fact the usability of Windows-base desktop sucks at the extent of being ridiculous. It's just there because Microsoft placed it on every desktop computer.

      I have used Linux on my desktops exclusively for eight years, and have not encountered any problem that is worse than ones that "everyday person" encounters while using Windows.

      --
      Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
    12. Re:Makes sense by SCHecklerX · · Score: 2
      Tell that to my g/f who is now happily plugging away on a linux box that I set up for her over xmas. I even took the time to customize /etc/skel so adding new users (her son and daughter) was a snap. They both love it too, and we don't have the problems they did on windoze98.

      Here's what I set up for them:

      • Window Manager = windowmaker
      • Filer & desktop Icons = Rox
      • WIndowmaker + Rox are integrated with Windowmaker's root menu using a couple of simple perl scripts I wrote. Same goes for icons indicating status of certain things (new mail for example...just a short script running in the background watching the spool file)
      • Gave them some nice dock apps...cpu monitor, clock, PPP Dialer, etc.
      • Most used apps on the desktop (web, mail, irc, aim, jpilot)
      • All apps configured in a /usr/local/share/Apps directory so they don't accidentally get changed or deleted (ROX Apps are simply directories with a specific icon/script in them)
      • Icons on desktop for floppy, cdrom, printer. Printer just runs a script to either show status if nothing dragged to it, or prints via cups if dragged.
      • All the gnome games are in a "games" fly-out on the Windowmaker menu
      • Apps I set up for them and gave them on the desktop or in the menus: Sylpheed, Everybuddy, Mozilla, XChat, Gnumeric, Abiword, ROX-Filer
      • I run sshd with RSA authentication on that box, along with a dyndns updater. If they have problems, or want anything else installed, I just ssh in and do it for them remotely(until g/f feels she wants to be a linux admin :)

      Yes, this took some effort on my part, but there's nothing stopping anybody from making a distro with this easy setup. I literally dropped the machine off at her house, plugged it in, and it just WORKED. Her and her children couldn't be happier, as the machine is stable, consistent, and really easy to use and customize.

      They like it much better than their windoze setup on the same box, and don't even boot the windoze partition anymore. They LOVE that when one logs off and another logs in, they no longer have the headache of having to redial the ISP, as PPP just keeps running, if wanted.

      Did I mention this is all running on an old Pentium 233 with 128MB Ram?

    13. Re:Makes sense by Hostile17 · · Score: 2


      I am not even going to touch your statements, because it is flamebait pure and simple. I however apologize for the "someone who can't figure out StarOffice" crack, I did not think it would offended anyone on such a personal level.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism, since it is the merger of state and corporate power - Benito Mussoli
    14. Re:Makes sense by Afrosheen · · Score: 2

      Hmm, I've never seen windows or macos tell anyone that their hd is failing, it's just a big surprise when their box won't boot. Many times there is flaky hardware barely running in windows that can lead to hd corruption and other nasty things, or bad ram, and linux will be sensitive to it (i.e. crash X, won't initialize the bad hardware). I'd rather have a piece of hardware not work rather than work hobbled and take out my entire partition.

      Linux will tell you if the admin of the server you're on is about to reboot. Have you ever typed halt and watched the broadcast across all the current connections? Probably not.

      Think before you rant, it helps with the consistency of your argument.

    15. Re:Makes sense by Hostile17 · · Score: 2

      This is my day for the flame retardant pants. All the issues you mentioned are easily solved. The reason the GUI doesn't report anything, is because its not its job. All system messages are reported in the syslogs, and these logs are far more detailed then your average BSOD. As for system updates, RedHats up2date and Ximian redcarpet are as easy to use as it gets, point, click and drool, while it downloads. chmod +s /path/to/program will solve most of your "have to be root" problems, though for security reasons I don't recomend it. As for the man pages, I am sure a short shell script to check for a man page, info page or something in /usr/doc, would solve this problem straight away.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism, since it is the merger of state and corporate power - Benito Mussoli
    16. Re:Makes sense by Doomdark · · Score: 2
      Well, you can reverse your statement and it would still be about as true. See, for me it IS the reverse. I do have a windows-partition, but I simply have no need for it, and everything I use my computer for can be done without problems under Linux.

      Same can of course be said about Windows or even MacOS. There are certainly advantages and disadvantages (for example, Windows does shine in games, linux on wide variety of free server software etc. etc), but usually things can be done on any of the mainstream platforms; and I do include Linux in that category at this point.

      As to "not ready for every day user", that is just simply an urban legend. The only major obstacle is that it's not usually pre-installed; and installing any OS is an alien thing to do for many people, no matter how simple and painless it is (which it usually is for all mainstream OSes). If it was, your every day user could just start up Linux, log in and start clicking away. Email, web browsing, office (StarOffice et al)... that's easy as anywhere else.

      Just out of curiosity... do you have some specific examples on why "Linux is just not ready for..."? Or are you just repeating the common conception of the state of Linux?

      --
      I like paying taxes. With them I buy civilization -- Oliver Wendell Holmes
    17. Re:Makes sense by Nailer · · Score: 2

      Linux will tell you if the admin of the server you're on is about to reboot.

      No it won't for 99% of desktop users, who will be in X, where every single desktop environment doesn't bother telling users about these messages. They can get around this by running xconsole in perpetuity, but how many people do this? And why doesn't Linux have the brains to do it for them if they need to?

      Have you ever typed halt and watched the broadcast across all the current connections? Probably not.

      Of course I have. Its broadcast to a console. In an office with forty staff using Linux desktops, I've watched the broadcast hit VT 1-6 and be ignored by every staff member who runs comfortably in X, like almost all desktop users do.

      And since we *are* talking about desktops, then I think its you who seems to be missing something.

    18. Re:Makes sense by Nailer · · Score: 3, Interesting

      All the issues you mentioned are easily solved.

      That's true. My complaint is that they shouldn't exist in the first place.

      The reason the GUI doesn't report anything, is because its not its job.

      So its the console's job to print these messages, but not Xs? Why is that so? What is it about desktop users (who almost invariably use X) that makes them not need to know that hdc hasn't been reponding for the last five minutes?

      As for system updates, RedHats up2date and Ximian redcarpet are as easy to use as it gets, point, click and drool, while it downloads.

      up2date doesn't handle installing packages off one's hard disk, cdrom or any local source. Its only repository is Red Hat updates. So I'll discount that as an option. Up2date is a maintenance tool, not a general multi-purpose software installer, which is sorely needed.

      Red Carpet OTOH is great, but unforunately I can't find a way of creating my own Red Carpet repositories like I can with APT. If you can provide me with a link to such information, I'd be very grateful.

      chmod +s /path/to/program will solve most of your "have to be root" problems, though for security reasons I don't recomend it.

      Exactly. I don't want everyone to be able to run the program I just want people who can run the program be asked for the relevant passwords rather than having a nasty `Kpackage needs to run as ROOT!' message thrown at them. Its not necessary and confusing for end users. Again. smart tools like the aforementioned Red Carpet and all RHs setup tools do this, but many don't.

      As for the man pages, I am sure a short shell script to check for a man page, info page or something in /usr/doc, would solve this problem straight away.

      Exactly. Lets call it `help', and ship it with every Linux distro. Unfortunately that's not currently the case, which is my point.

      Doing small things like this makes a big difference to end user experience. But thanks for your post - you've been a lot more polite than the other fellow who responded.

      Mike

    19. Re:Makes sense by Afrosheen · · Score: 2

      Great, what about the hd meltdown you mentioned? Funny how that was conveniently missing from your heated response.

    20. Re:Makes sense by Nailer · · Score: 2

      Same as the adminsitrator message - unless you're not using X, or running Xconsole all the time, you won't see the message. I'd have thought that was obvious. If you want a Windows comparison, a current version of Windows (last two years) will alert you to a device not responding in the GUI, same as a Linux VT will.

      If my response was heated, its because you accused me of not thinking after not seeming to have understood the point of my message.

    21. Re:Makes sense by Nailer · · Score: 2

      Yes, I used to run Red Carpet on most of the machine's at my office. Its truly a very nice system to use. Unfortunately there seems to be no way of creating my own channel to deploy software with unless one pays for Red Carpet express. A reasonable tradeoff I guess, but I'd like to be able to add my own packages to the mix and deploy my own local software with a free tool.APT does that, but not very friendlyish. I see your point, its just a pity I couldn't do this with a $free system.

      Thanks for the info about kwrited - I stand corrected here. This is excellent and something I've been waiting for ages - every graphical Unix environment should do this (and I think I've submitted bug reports about this before). Viva KDE, and thanks for telling me about it. I hope other desktops follow suit.

      /me smiles :)

    22. Re:Makes sense by AnalogBoy · · Score: 2

      Well, this big-iron Unix admin still laughs at Linux in most cases. And with several years and several certifications behind me, I feel completely justified in doing so. (Yes, Virgina, education and certifications matter in the real world, using linux on your PC since you were 14 usually doesn't)

      The reason I dislike Linux is partially based in technical reasons, but mainly, its the user base. Every linux "admin" i've met is an egotistical, arrogant, biased, letting-RMS-think-for-him zealot who wants to replace every desktop in an organization with Linux and StarOffice. In other words, all the admins i've met are out of touch with reality.

      Ellison probably caused major coronary fluctuations in his sysadmin staff when he announced that. Remember that not all that Ellison says rings true - Remember.. "Oracle is Unbreakable!". And larry is also at the mercy, more or less, of his stockholders.

      I find the trolls more entertaining nowadays. I probably should stop coming to slashdot. After all, I am the equivalent of one who has lost the faith due to the preacher. An atheist in a baptist church, so to speak.

      (Please cram any arrogant comments)

    23. Re:Makes sense by Hostile17 · · Score: 2

      This seems to be the major argument everyone seems to have against Linux on the Desktop. If Windows works for you then great, if some paticular application you need is not available under Linux, there is nothing I can do about that. However this does not invalidate Linux as a viable Desktop OS. Millions of other people use Linux for thier Desktop everyday for both business and personal use, that alone should be proof enough.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism, since it is the merger of state and corporate power - Benito Mussoli
    24. Re:Makes sense by Hostile17 · · Score: 2

      In your last paragraph you implied that Microsoft and Apple users are too dumb to use StarOffice

      I implied no such thing, what I said was, if I had an employee who could not learn how to use StarOffice, or any other tool required for thier job, I would have to question that persons ability to do thier job. No where in any of my posts in this thread do you see me bashing MS, Apple or people who use thier products. The question at hand is not "Does Windows/Office suck.", But "Is Linux viable Desktop OS ?" and the answer to that question is yes. But that does not mean it is for everyone nor does it mean Linux will or should take over, it simply means we have a choice.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism, since it is the merger of state and corporate power - Benito Mussoli
    25. Re:Makes sense by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2

      It strikes me as funny that someone that uses the monniker "AnalogBoy" would assume that I am some untrained Linux fanboy.

      It also strikes me as funny that someone who uses big-iron Unix can't see the writing on the wall. Linux is being used in mission-critical applications by some very large corporations. The reason that they are using Linux has nothing to do with RMS, the FSF, or Mr. Torvalds and has everything to do with names like IBM, HP, and Compaq (and now Oracle). Big-iron Unix users are finding out that they can migrate their applications from commercial Unix to Linux on commodity Intel-based hardware and "save a bundle."

      My advice to you is that if you don't like the Linux zealots on /., hang out with the Linux zealots (wearing suits and ties) at IBM.

      As for replacing desktops with StarOffice, I would personally love to replace my Windows desktops with X terminals connected to a Linux server, as this would make my life much easier, but Linux isn't quite there yet.

      Linux is perfectly capable of replacing my expensive Unix servers, however, which is what we were talking about.

    26. Re:Makes sense by J.+J.+Ramsey · · Score: 2

      "I disagree, Windows has only one advantage over Linux and that is games."

      That's not Windows' *only* advantage. Linux (or free Unices in general) still require technical knowledge to support things like drawing tablets, like the Wacom Intuos.

      How do I install the driver for the tablet in Windows? Mostly just a matter of point-and-click.

      How do I install the driver for the tablet in a free Unix? I have to edit the XF86Config-4 file manually; the configuration GUIs for X don't cover things like tablets, just mice.

      Installing fonts is also something that requires some command line know-how on a free Unix, but is fairly trivial on Windows.

      The GUIs for Linux generally don't deal with more obscure cases, while in Windows, most everything a user *needs* to do is point-and-click.

    27. Re:Makes sense by Hostile17 · · Score: 2

      I use a Wacom pad, the instructions for installing them is pretty straight forward. All you need to do is open an X based text editor and do a copy/paste action into your XF86Config-4, then restart X. Also there are several font packs availble in both rpm and deb formats, there is also a shell script running around, which dowloads MS fonts and installs them for you. Even if these things are mildly difficult to do, it does not invalidate Linux as a desktop OS. Most people, when they goto work, sit down in front of a system that has been preconfigured for them, for most people (not all) Linux would do just fine.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism, since it is the merger of state and corporate power - Benito Mussoli
    28. Re:Makes sense by Nailer · · Score: 2

      I understood your point. I also understand that there are tools in the GUI world that will monitor the computers health. I'm not going to tell you what they are or where they are or how to find them.

      You seem to have missed my point: its about having safe defaults, aprt of the reason people be Unixsysadmins inthe first place. A distro which installs and starts Telnet and a whole bunch of WU services listening externally can be easily patched too - its still shoddy engineering, and dangerous for that one time people forget - things can and will slip through the cracks.

      You, after all, are the hot shot sysadmin.
      Don't put works into my mouth.

      If you don't appreciate the reasons behind having safe defaults, go back to NT and stay there. Actually, maybe just keep your head up your arse while I kick you down a flight of Escher stairs. :)

  8. ok, an opinion he has by Em+Emalb · · Score: 2

    But I have one too. Everyone thinks different things for Linux. *I* don't think that one person has any say in what should be done.

    --
    Sent from your iPad.
    1. Re:ok, an opinion he has by Em+Emalb · · Score: 2

      Yes, I know who he is. My point was it will be whatever the majority of the people want it to be. The majority rules.... bye now.

      --
      Sent from your iPad.
    2. Re:ok, an opinion he has by Em+Emalb · · Score: 2

      thank you, you made my point better than I did.

      --
      Sent from your iPad.
  9. The problem is inertia by The_Pey · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The problem that any number of underdog OS's have these days is overcoming consumer inertia. What I mean by that statement is this: once a set of products has hit a certain point and gains consumer acceptance, it is very hard to change the direction that that market is going. Microsoft has done this again and again with both its operating systems and its application suites, both of which are very closely tied together and tend to pull each other along.


    What Young is doing is trying to get Red Hat into those markets where there either isn't consumer inertia toward a product or where the market is unsettled. If he can gain acceptance, then his end goal (making money through pushing Linux) is achieved. All in all it is a pretty smart move.


    What Linux needs in general is a robust set of applications that consumers can use transparently with Microsoft products. If attractively priced, this could conceivably pull users to the OS, especially in light of Microsofts new licensing trends.



    2 more cents down the drain...

    --
    Hmmm...
    1. Re:The problem is inertia by Paradoxish · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What Linux needs in general is a robust set of applications that consumers can use transparently with Microsoft products. If attractively priced, this could conceivably pull users to the OS, especially in light of Microsofts new licensing trends. It's funny. A few weeks ago I might have said that Microsoft's new licensing is really only hurting big businesses, who normally follow the software license anyway. But lately I've been noticing that a lot of people I know (some of them even being computer illiterate types) are complaining because they can't install Windows XP on their computer and their kids computer as well. I know a lot of people are saying that the licensing scheme isn't a particularly big deal, but I stand by the argument that M$ is really alienating a lot of their customers...

      --
      If you need to interpret my post, then you don't get it.
    2. Re:The problem is inertia by Ogerman · · Score: 2

      What Young is doing is trying to get Red Hat into those markets where there either isn't consumer inertia toward a product or where the market is unsettled. If he can gain acceptance, then his end goal (making money through pushing Linux) is achieved. All in all it is a pretty smart move.

      If that is the case, he should have stated so more clearly. Instead of saying "Linux will never rule the desktop" (which is not true), he should have said, "RedHat is focusing primarily on the server and UNIX workstation markets." IMO, what he said is almost a means of trying to make RedHat look better by cutting down Linux overall.

      Of course this isn't really about Linux anyhow. It's about desktop environments that run on Linux. I don't think the hard-working KDE folk would share his pessimism.

  10. Why must the desktop have a monopoly? by dmorin · · Score: 2
    I don't understand why it has to be Microsoft or Linux ruling the desktop, personally. Imagine that tomorrow, Microsoft ceases to exist, and all desktops run Linux. 99% of the world aren't programmers. They are dependent on what Linux brings to the table, so the whole "if it doesn't exist, build it yourself" argument doesn't fly for them.

    And one of them raises his hand and says "But, I just don't like this. can I have something different?"

    The answer would be no, wouldn't it? Wouldn't that suck as much as the current microsoftopoly?

    I don't care if my officemates or my parents or my wife runs Linux. I want the choice to run Linux (and continue to interact with them). I want Linux to be allowed by Microsoft to generate a reasonable enough market share that software vendors work with us, produce drivers, etc.. That's it. I'm not interested in replacing one monopoly with another one.

    1. Re:Why must the desktop have a monopoly? by Znork · · Score: 2

      Why? The answer is simple. Microsoft does not accept coexistence. It's their way or no way. They control a buisness or they wont be in it.

      Of course, naive people think they can stay in the server market and make money there. Or that they will be allowed to exist there. Dream on. Servers running non-MS OS's isnt in Microsoft buisness plan, and as long as they control the desktop... well, whatcha gonna do when MS extends the basic networking protocols so they dont work with Linux, Young? Reverse engineer them? Oops, they just laid down a patent minefield in your way...

      If there is no competition for the desktop the whole computer industry will be killed off. You work for MS or you dont work. And anyone using computers at all will be paying their monthly MS tax. That is Microsofts vision and there is no compromise or middle way for them. At all. Ever.

      We can be all reasonable and nice, but ask a few of the roadkill where that got them. Ask Mr Jean-Louis 'BeOS is not in competition with MS' Gasse about how well it worked out for him. You can run whatever you want as far as I'm concerned, but as far as Microsoft is concerned you will be watching MS created media on equipment running with MS operating systems, delivered by MS servers, all delivered via MSN.

      Or you can move to a hut in the woods.

    2. Re:Why must the desktop have a monopoly? by cyber-vandal · · Score: 2

      If there is no competition for the desktop the whole computer industry will be killed off.


      Not so. Microsoft don't want to own the whole software industry, just the underlying parts. In this interest it created Office, IE and Windows Media, in order to remove, or at least sideline, cross-platform competition in important areas.


      I agree with you, though, that a viable competitor to Windows on the x86 desktop is required to prevent more of the above, and that Bob Young should recognise that, at least in terms of safeguarding his newly-profitable company's expanding marketshare.

  11. People shouldn't create linux desktops by Ukab+the+Great · · Score: 2

    They should create desktops that "just happen" to use a linux kernel.

  12. where's the real vision? by markj02 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Young will have to do better than "Linux will replace UNIX" as a long-term strategy for a $300M business. Linux is already replacing UNIX, widely. The question is: what is next?

    Linux is a fine desktop replacement, no worse than Windows or MacOSX. If someone wanted to take on those systems, they needed figure out how to bundle Linux with hardware, attract more developers, and market it. But that isn't even the question.

    The real question is: after companies like RedHat have extracted much of the value of Linux and other open source software, where are they going to go? What is their vision for the future? "Replacing X with open source software that magically appears" isn't the answer.

    In fact, I doubt that in another 10-20 years, we will even have desktops in the traditional sense, and embedded devices will look very different as well. What kind of vision does Young have for that? Not much, it seems.

  13. Thanks, Bob. by Enahs · · Score: 2

    Of course, free upgrades for Free software isn't an issue, either. I mean, nobody else does it.

    --
    Stating on Slashdot that I like cheese since 1997.
  14. Desktop. by saintlupus · · Score: 4, Flamebait

    Linux won't rule the desktop

    Gee, I don't know how anyone can say that. Between the consistent user interface, the ease of setting up printing, and the huge game library, Linux is a cinch to take over the desktop computers of the world.

    *crickets*

    --saint
    (I'm just bitter -- still trying to set up CUPS.)

  15. Well he would say that, wouldn't he? by pubjames · · Score: 2

    Come on, what do you expect him to say?

    "Hey, Microsoft, over here! Point all your fire power at us!! We're trying to steal your cash cow!"

    I would like to be able to quote an ancient Chinese saying at this point, but I can't remember any, so I'll make one up: "The stupid young stag challenges the dominant male at every opportunity, and gets his young antlers broken. The wise young stag waits until his antlers are strong, and knows he can win." Whatever.

  16. frustrating by jchristopher · · Score: 2, Informative
    I find his comments incredibly frustrating. The fact is Linux could be a viable competitor on the desktop, but the usability work has not been done!

    Despite the progress made by people like Ximian, there is just way to much stuff in the way of new users trying to get familiar with Linux.

    Even in something very recent (RH 7.2) I still find the following problems:

    • External USB FAT32 hard drive not recognized. Even after reading man pages, loading and unloading modules, no luck.
    • No way to get system to find, name, and automount all available partitions with read/write/execute access for a user. Must learn about, then edit /etc/fstab.
    • Must know the exact location of a modem (tty1 or whatver) in order to setup the internet dialer, rather than the system finding it. It's in a slot, right? Why doesn't the OS know where it is?
    • No consistent installer scheme for new programs - sometimes you download an RPM then launch 'kpackage' (why isn't that called 'software installer'? Hmmm....), sometimes you download source and attempt to compile, sometimes you download a shell script that does it for you.
    • No way to decompress files in Ximian Gnome from the GUI is setup by default. Command line must be used.

    And let me clarify, I don't mean that it is not possible for Linux to do these things, only that it is not intuitive for a new user to do so.


    Now there are certainly those who would argue that they prefer the system not do so much on their behalf, I agree, which is why there should be a toggle - both the new and advanced user can be satisfied! Right now, they are not.

    1. Re:frustrating by Enahs · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I'd just like to point out that Windows isn't intuitive to a hardcore MacOS user. And vice-versa.



      Of course, learning is hard, and choice is bad. My mistake. The current party line is "Free Software will never rule the desktop." I stand corrected, Ye Mighty Slashdot Gods.



      And besides, Bob's affiliated with a company that decided to abandon the desktop as soon as the stock market went bust. Thanks for developing GNOME, guys; however, we just don't think you'll ever amount to anything. Thanks for playing anyway.



      Bah. RH used to be good for the world of Linux. I'm not so sure anymore.

      --
      Stating on Slashdot that I like cheese since 1997.
    2. Re:frustrating by duffbeer703 · · Score: 2

      That may suck, but it's true.

      Except for some hokey city in Florida that used to be a HP-UX shop for some reason, a few cheapo small businesses and some enthusiasts, nobody runs Linux as a desktop.

      Bob Young's job is to make his company make money. He cannot do that by pitching a half-assed desktop operating system. He does it by pitching a high quality server system & embedded developent enviroment.

      The biggest threat to Linux today is the Linux crowd. The outright poor development of the 2.4 kernel and refusal by the kernel maintainer to accept patches from well-known developers is the beginning of the end. Linux will cease to be one thing and turn into an overforked patchwork, just like OSF in the early 90's.

      --
      Conformity is the jailer of freedom and enemy of growth. -JFK
  17. Why does it have to be 'answered'? by SlashChick · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No, Bob is absolutely right. I will say this again and again and again, but no one seems to be listening:

    The desktop wars are over. Move on to the next thing.

    So Microsoft has won the "desktop" wars. So what? Do you really think that in 5-10 years, people are still going to be using bulky beige boxes to connect to the Internet? No, they are going to be using everything from home entertainment consoles to cell phones to PDAs.

    Some of you may remember the days when a "personal" computer was a joke. "Computers" were those giant hulking things that took up an entire room and required their own cooling system. As Bob says, "Microsoft did not convince people to unplug VMS from their Digital VAX systems in 1979. They took advantage of a major shift in technology toward the PC, and they became the de facto standard on the new technology model, being the PC."

    The shift in technology now is smaller, faster, wireless, and pervasive. The idea of 'turning on' a computer to 'use the Internet' will become old-fashioned more quickly than you can imagine. By the time a majority of people think that Linux will be ready to rule the PC world, PCs will be the passe way to connect to the Internet. Microsoft is already expanding in this field with the XBox and the tablet PC (which, IMHO, is a natural evolution of the computer.) Anything that is wireless is huge right now.

    This whole desktop war is silly. Linux is its best when people don't even know or care what OS their products are running. Look at TiVo. Do I care that it runs Linux? Nope, because it works flawlessly and doesn't require me to know arcane command line tools. TiVo rocks not because it's Linux, but because it does its job and does it well. That's the problem I have with Linux zealots -- they want Linux regardless of whether Linux fits the job or not.

    Why is it necessary to force people to relearn something? Instead of parroting Microsoft, let's be innovative. Let's put Linux into the greatest, coolest new devices (TiVo, PDAs, cellphones.) Let's look at where the market will be in 5 years instead of being hyper-focused on beating Microsoft today. Otherwise, Microsoft and the rest of the world will move on, and Linux will be left behind.

    (More about this in my journal.)

    1. Re:Why does it have to be 'answered'? by GSloop · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree that MS has basically won the Desktop war. But, where you and I may disagree, is that MS will take it's win in the desktop environ, and leverage it to win in other markets.

      Do any of you remember, Paradox was the best DOS & Windows PC database around. Then MS got access and office 4.3 and 95 out the door. They got the OEM's to ship the software "free" (leverage) and MS Office became the defacto standard. (By the way, there are lots of other stories just like this one, I just offer this up for example.) Paradox disappeared! Sure, the WP/Novell/Corel/Borland disaster didn't help things, but the DB never disappeard, it was always available. In fact, the language behind Paradox (follow-on to PAL) has to be the most sophisticated scripting/programming language I've ever seen in a desktop DB. It's still light-years ahead of Access. [But I digress...]

      We have to challange MS in some fashion that will prevent it from leveraging it's stanglehold elsewhere. How to do that, I am not sure. We must be sure not to fight the last war, and loose.

      The PC isn't going away, sure there will be lots of specific use devices, and breaking the MS monopoly there is VERY important, but we have to also respond on the Desktop too.

      As to not "being hyper-focused on beating Microsoft today" - I agree. I could really care less about MS. All I really want is decent competition. If RH/Linux (I'm sure that made RMS's skin crawl!) becomes the next standard, and they have no competition, it's be as sad as MS is now. But, beating MS is a means to and end. By beating MS, there is a window opened that allows many options to actually become options. That's the point.

      Anyway, good post, I do agree with most of the points. To reiterate, we have to break the monopoly to be able to really offer a competitive alternative. To do so, I think will have to be challenged on the desktop. It might not be a direct challange, but it will have to even out the playing field. Is that Linux, or some other alternative? I don't know, I just know that there's going to have to be some decent, realistic, and viable alternative otherwise, we'll be saddled with MS for a LONG time to come.

      Cheers!

    2. Re:Why does it have to be 'answered'? by ftobin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think you're forgetting one fundamental feature of the desktop that sets it apart from all other computer implementations out there. The fact is, the desktop computer is our best general purpose computer.

      All of the next-generation devices you mention are all specific-purpose machines. The desktop, on the other hand, has proven to be extremely extensible and flexible, capable of doing so much more than any of the piddly devices you talk about. The general purpose computer is what lets things like Gnutella and other exotic technologies develop, flourish, and become of our accepted culture.

      Without the general purpose computer we become locked into the device, along with its limitations and controls. We can hack the general purpose computer to get around artificial limitations. We can't do that with appliance-computers.

      For this reason, we cannot forget the desktop. Until another solution comes along and gives us at least the same power the general purpose computer does, we will keep on using them, because they can do so much, uninhibited by the machinery underlying them.

      It is because of the general-purpose desktop computer that we have the information freedom we do today. General purpose computing, I strongly believe, is the driving force that we need to concentrate on.

    3. Re:Why does it have to be 'answered'? by markj02 · · Score: 2
      The desktop wars are over and we won't be using a Windows-like desktop in 10-20 years. But we won't be doing all our computing on TiVo's and PDA's either. There is a need for something where people can do knowledge-work: data analysis, writing, programming, etc. The question is: what is that platform going to look like?

      Microsoft is trying in their usual, bumbling way. If RedHat wants to be part of the future, they need something a little more visionary than "replace UNIX" and "don't replace the desktop".

    4. Re:Why does it have to be 'answered'? by BlueGecko · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You know what's funny? I've been saying that the desktop was doomed, that it was going to be replaced by specialty devices, for a long time now--far longer than I'm willing to admit. I've now become convinced that we're just not going to see it--entirely. What I think you'll see instead is something not at all far from Apple's digital hub strategy. In 10-20 years, we'll probably use PDAs for many of our documents and our scheduling, we'll use digital cameras for photos, specialized players for audio and possibly movies, consoles for video games, and so on. But you have to make those all talk together some way. This is the whole point of Apple's newer computers, the reason why they're spending so much time on i* software. That's where Linux ought to be headed. And for that, the desktop is still very important.

      As for embedded devices, I'd actually really rather not see Linux there. I'd rather see a kernel better geared to embedded devices. Something extremely small, modular and effect, similar to 3DO's now defunct M2: extremely compact, fully reentrant kernel, a unique memory design where applications could read memory everywhere but write only in their own space, a file system similar to the Newton's, etc. Then let Linux be the digital hub. Hell, Linux already makes a good server, and is that not what we're looking at it becoming in the future? Imagine a world where your house is wirelessly networked, and the job of the desktop is essentially to keep everything syncrhonized. That's a server job. It's also one where you still need good desktop software. Sounds like an ideal place for Linux to me.

      So the desktop wars may be in some sense over, but we'll still be using desktops for a long time to come, and I think that if Linux wants to compete, it needs to ensure it can go there.

    5. Re:Why does it have to be 'answered'? by bfree · · Score: 2

      The Internet is his key (and yours) but if MS control the current standard Internet connection method AND offer a console AND offer handheld solutions they can use .NET across the platforms to lock out Linux! What DRM technology will be needed on an installed OS to access .NET, will you be able to see the source and will you be able to monitor your system to find out what it is doing (or even your network to see what it is saying)? Will you be able to stop it crashing, will you be able to run it on any hardware with enough power?

      The reason it is neccessary to challenge MS on the desktop is the same as the reasons why QNX, Palm and Sony have to challenge in the spheres they can hit. If MS is allowed to lock everyone out of it's .NET (come on, is the name not a giveaway) and 90% of the world's PC's use it, 40% of the worlds handhelds and 15% of the worlds game consoles, how long until those figures are all 90% and we have multiple global "public" networks (and perhaps only one big one).

      RedHat/GNU/Linux/FreeSoftware/OpenSource/etc may not defeat MS on the desktop, but if it can hold it in check (e.g. controlling a huge chunk of web servers thereby stopping MS from taking over the "web", and providing Sun with an Office Suite that may get enough PHBs to bite and make MS not bee too naughty) we might just be around to play on the next generation of hardware. If we ignore the desktop we make it that much easier for MS to end up deciding how the digital era progresses. Times are tough, but if we stick to our real guns (we want to participate equally and be allowed to follow our rules) across the board without cenceeding any areas (and especially not the front-end) then we might just make it work, if we concede anything it will be a wedge used technically, legally and emotionally to drive us out. MS don't want a platform, they want to grow, we have to stop them every way we can until they can no longer threaten us.

      --

      Never underestimate the dark side of the Source

  18. Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Think about that for a minute before you answer. Think about where desktop computing is and where it's going before you answer.

    Today's desktops are stressing ease of use and wide application arrays more than anything else. Stability is in there somewhere, but MS has gotten pretty darn good with Win2K and XP, especially if you stick to their office suites.

    Linux is NOT easy to use. Sure, it may be easy for US to use, but imagine a secretary, an HR guy, or (God forbid) the boss trying to use it on a daily basis. Give them XWindows and they'll be somewhat happy, but even the best XWindows setup pales in comparison the features and eye candy you'll find on Win2k and XP. And before you belittle that, remember who the end user is. You and I may not care for it, but the vast unwashed masses out there DO. They will demand it, and they don't give two damns about how configurable your window manager is. They want a box that's pretty and functional. Linux does not currently fit that mold very well.

    What does Linux do well? It's an awesome server. It stays up longer than Ron Jeremy and Peter North combined, and a competent admin can tweak and tune it all over the place for practically anything. Trying to force that into the desktop market is the classical definition of fitting a nice, sleek roung peg into a very square hole.

    I've said it before and I'll say it again: Linux may one day dominate the desktop, but it will not much resemble the Linux we know today. Do we really want that? I'd love to see Linux succeed and trounce MS, but I don't want it to compromise the core principals that make it so good today.

    --
    In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    1. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by kin_korn_karn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Linux affects Intel more than Microsoft. Linux made Intel's hardware viable for more than just desktop doc-bashing and mild number-crunching.
      Microsoft is who they are and honestly, could probably care less about Linux now. They realized that some users valued stability over style, and are working on that.

      I bought WinXP (Home, upgrade). Mainly because I expected it to be a POS and I wanted to be a participant in a class-action suit against MS. However, MS did it right. I have some programs that wreck under XP, but I've never had the entire OS go flaky or unstable. I've had that happen on EVERY previous version of Windows, including NT4 and 2000. The interface does the job of getting all the hardware config crap out of my way, since I don't want to have to deal with that stuff at home (I deal with highly technical stuff for 8 hours a day) but I could tweak it further if I wanted to. It's just as wide open as NT under the hood. Sure, I can't recompile it, but thank %DIETY% I don't have to.

      MS wins when you just want it to work. That's 99% of the people in the world. Linux hackers are an extreme minority and

      I also have a Red Hat box on my network doing SMB for file and print sharing and for those rare times when I want to program at home. It's 7.2 and installed without a hitch, supporting all my hardware. If this was still the slackware days when I had to roll my own kernel after booting from a boot/root floppy combo I wouldn't have even bothered.

    2. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by praedor · · Score: 2

      All that is well and good except...M$ doesn't play well with others and Gates has a real megalomania problem. He isn't satisfied with making more money than the gods, he must CONTROL everything.


      There would be no problems is M$ would simply stick to making their OS good enough for Joe Idiot but they insist on illegally killing off any and all rivals, even if they are not HUGE and seriously dangerous rivals.


      All would be well if the final judgement against them prevents Gates and Co from using their monopoly to continue to lockin or tie into other areas where they seek monopoly. If the judgement required certain APIs and protocols to be released for ALL, PERIOD, then all would be well. M$ could STILL dominate the flat desktop market, with most people still using it, but there would be nothing to prevent me, you, Joe-or-Jane Shmo from using linux (or other) if they wished and STILL be able to properly interact with their coworkers and family.


      Most people, out of inertia, would not jump ship but those that did would still find themselves on the same ocean and still able to communicate with other ships.

      --
      In Bushworld, they struggle to keep church and state separate in Iraq as they increasingly merge the two in America.
    3. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The whole "until it achieves ease-of-use" is a damned lie. As Joseph Goebbels said, "A lie repeated often enough becomes the truth" Nice company...

      I sincerely hope you do not actually belive what you just stated. Anyone who believes that setting up a Linux box is easier than setting up a Windows box (for the average human being, not a supergeek) obviously hasn't done so in a while. While I don't like Microsoft's products that much, they have gone out of their way to try and make the setup and use of their product as easy as possible for the end user. My gripe is that in doing so they've frequently made life HARDER for folks who DO know what they're doing, or they've larded it down with features that I'll never, ever use. But you cannot deny they've done quite a lot to make their product appealing and easy to use. Mac folks would disagree, of course, but let's not get into that right now.

      Linux, on the other hand, has held onto its roots of the command line. For servers, this is just fine, but this simply will not do for the desktop. CLI's are not a good interface for secretaries, bosses, and the average computer user. Never forget that in the average company, I.T. is outnumbered by 10 to 1 or 20 to 1. The vast majority WANT the features that you scoff at, and their buying power is substantial. You and I may not like it that way, but we cannot change this reality.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    4. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by Lumpy · · Score: 2

      Sure, it may be easy for US to use, but imagine a secretary, an HR guy, or (God forbid) the boss trying to use it on a daily basis.

      no problem, I see it done every day. and thousands of people do the same every day. Linux is not hard to use, I dont know why you think that or are compelled to feel that way. but If the sales people here can log in (same as windows) read and send email (same as windows, but without the virus capabilties) connect to the web (same as windows) use productivity software that allows them to make files that anyone on the planet can open and read (advantage over windows) and use the 1-2 vertical apps we have here (under wine but still one click launching) and then tell me 2 weeks after deploying the ximian desktops that their computers have never been so reliable and easy to use, then I have to say that you are dead wrong. They use it, the receptionist uses it, the sales people use it (the same mential power as a small salad bar collectively) and the HR people happily use it.

      I'd say it's a sucess and is easy to use. it took 5 days to get people to quit whining about things that weren't real (where's network neighborhood! do you need it? no, well shut up) and realize that now we can replace their entire pc in 10 minutes and they didn't lose anything (gotta love terminal servers) not even little jessie's barmitspha photos on the desktop...

      I'd say it's a smashing sucess on the desktop... it just takes sysadmins and IT people with balls and management that will back them up... 2 things that are ultra rare in today's world.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    5. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 2

      no problem, I see it done every day. and thousands of people do the same every day

      Think about your statement for a moment. Thousands of people do it every day. Millions of people boot up Windows every day. Worldwide it's probably more than one hundred million Windows desktop users versus perhaps a few thousand or hundred thousand daily Linux desktop users. If you remove developers from the mix, the ratio only gets more lopsided. Face the facts: Windows has been adopted for the desktop because businesses found it easy to do so. Do you think for one moment that businesses LIKE spending hundreds of millions of dollars on MS licensing fees? THEY DON'T. If Linux were a drop-in replacement that was just as good, just as stable (the GUI, not the OS), had just as many apps, and was as easy to use and manage, corporations would have migrated en masse a few years ago. The problem is Linux performs poorly in the above listed areas. That is not necessarily a bad thing, and is why I gave my post the subject that I did.

      Trying to be all things to all people results in being mediocre at everything. Linux does a damn good job where it's strong right now. I would rather it remain a kick-butt server OS than see someone water it down and bloat it up with the stuff it would need to compete with MS on the desktop. Linux should continue to improve, and perhaps branch to address the desktop, but the server OS should remain server centric and not try to be everything.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    6. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by weinerdog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Linux is NOT easy to use. Sure, it may be easy for US to use, but imagine a secretary, an HR guy, or (God forbid) the boss trying to use it on a daily basis. Give them XWindows and they'll be somewhat happy, but even the best XWindows setup pales in comparison the features and eye candy you'll find on Win2k and XP.

      This is a harmful myth that we tend to perpetuate. In the first place, remember that Linux is an operating system. Most users will not interact directly with the operating system; their use will be mediated, typically by a shell for expert users and a GUI for expert and novice alike. Moreover, the novice especially will tend to limit his or her shell/GUI interaction to launching applications. The application interface is the primary interface that most users interact with. Bash presents a very difficult interface to novices. X presents a difficult interface to novices. But so does Windows.

      Basic Win32 functions like copying files, launching programs, and locating files are more difficult to many novices than it might at first seem -- just watch a novice or even a moderately experienced person use windows and see how they typically use rote memory to start up their applications, with which they are typically far more comfortable. Watch what features they never use, even when it would improve speed or help keep their computer running longer. How often do they run scandisk? Back up the registry? Customize the start menu to put commonly used programs on the main menu, rather than having to cascade down two or three levels? See what happens when you change the default load/save directory in Word -- many users are not able to find their files if you start them off in a different directory.

      Given this, it is far more critical that the application present a good interface than the underling OS or shell/GUI. In point of fact, most applications written for Linux have interfaces that are not well-suited to novices. Applications like MS Office are better, but they still suffer from menuitis and featuritis. I believe that, if you could overcome the natural resistance most people have to trying something new once they have managed to learn how to coax some marginal productivity out of their current applications, there would be a tremendous market for a simpler, more straightforward version of Office that implemented all of the important features in a transparent and intuitive way, while eliminating or at least hiding many of the more marginal or downright dangerous features (like the ability to easily, often accidentally, add footers, borders, and other formatting that can't be equally easily removed, without knowing what they are and how they got added in the first place).

      Whether this suite ran under X or XP would probably make little difference to the average user. As long as you set it up for them, show them how to turn it on, turn it off, and start the apps they need, the underlying OS or GUI really doesn't matter all that much.

      Most people don't use Windows either; they use applications that happen to run on Windows. While Linux may be a hard sell on the desktop, it could succeed simply by being invisible and letting the user concentrate on the applicaiton. If Linux had a killer desktop app, it might stand a chance on the desktop.

      --
      There's no such thing as Scotchtoberfest!
    7. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by perplex79 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The fact that you had problems with Win2k doesn't make Linux easier to use. If you want to install a new display/scanner/printer driver in Win2k, you insert the cd or click on a link on the manufacturer's website, and the driver gets installed. There is no unified driver architecture for Linux, which makes every manufacturer go his own way (if there are official linux drivers at all). Without some basic OS and editing knowledge you're lost when you want to install software or drivers on linux. For the average user who's happy to know the difference between directories and files that's a bit too much to ask for.

    8. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by q-soe · · Score: 2

      I have read this case study before and its an excellent one but it does not prove anything about open source or debunk myths. As the writer posits the company was already running a lot of open source and made the decision to go to it fully and replace all closed source software. Also bearing in mind that they are a software company the level of basic user knowledge is higher than say a law firm.

      Let apply this point to my firm - 15000 staff worldwide running a mixed environment (win 2k AB Global Domain, Exchange Mail, Linux Firewall and SCO for SAP, Win 2k Desktops - now would you care to count the cost of replacing it all at the same time (and we would have to as suddenly we would run into major issues with docuements and spreadsheets etc. My company is driven by fee earning staff and these guys are on average almost totally computer illiterate, with win2k they logon and open outlook and they can work, they can cope with explorer to find a file (its logical and graphical) and they can surf the web, they dont care aboout anything else.

      The company discusse i this email has one office and is medium sized - i expect a couple of hundred staff - so a big difference

      I dont want to be seen as putting linux down on the desktop i simply point out that if you are going to use this argument to prove linux on the corporate desktop then find a corporate implementation - NOT a medium company - show me a major company on a global basis that does this and i will listen.

      Show me arguments on a TCO, Retraining, Infrastructure and systems replacement and repogramming, Desktop Rollout etc, give me some costs on what it costs me to hire the right staff to do this properly and how i cope with 2 enviroments while it happens.

      I think linux has a place, i have said it before - i also said ive stopped using it and i have - only because IMHO its not ready for the desktop yet and all the evangelical singing and dancing wont make it so and neither will comments based on Bill Gates Megalomania or ms evil intentions (you cannot say anything about Bill Gates personality with certainty unless you have met him - the rest is bias an supposition)

      This article doesnt debunk anything as the writer has a clear and plain PRO linux bias - give us some stuff written by independant parties and we will then be able to make our own decisions - PS we in corporate IT are'nt the fools and stooges you guys make us out to be - most of us are very skilled and many of us started out like me on UNIX - HINT we also dont like being treated like morons by people who see themselves as superior.

      Linux isnt winning anything - this should not be a war its software- the minute you make it so you lose as companies like MS can and will eat you alive.

      --
      I refuse to argue with Anonymous Cowards - if you want a discussion get an account....
    9. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 2

      You are quite correct in that the user will usually interact with an interface, not an OS, but after that I'm going to have to disagree with you. Linux being "hard to use" is not a myth if you look outside the technical community. Many novices can't even understand how to partition a disk in Disk Druid, much less comprehend what's going on after the install. With training and curiosity anyone can overcome these deficiencies, but not everyone has the time (or money) for training and even fewer seem to have curiosity these days.

      Does Windows have a learning curve? Only for folks who haven't owned a computer before -- ever. Anyone who's owned or worked on a PC in the last ten years is likely to have done so on a Windows-based machine. The interface paradigms are similar between all iterations of Windows. This is the primary strength of Windows, more so that most other factors. People are used to it. Call it familiarity, usability, whatever, but it is a very, very well known quantity. Businesses and home users like that quantity, that's why they've bypassed more technologically sound OS's (OS/2, Linux, BeOS, and to a certain extent MacOS) in favor of a mediocre one like Windows.

      And your statements concerning the viability of X are somewhat narrow in perspective. Video card driver support for Linux is pretty much optional for manufacturers these days. Some do, some don't. Sure, open source coders can usually make a driver, but what about support? And don't say "newsgroups are great". Try pitching that to a VP of I.T. and you'll find it doesn't get far. And for ease of use, how do you think our hypothetical non-geek home user would fare hacking their way through the XFree86 config file? Deciphering /etc/rc.d/init.d? Figuring out how to install widget-i686.rpm when it conflicts with glibc-2.24-i386.rpm? At a business you might have a support team, but at home that poor person is on his/her own. RedHat support isn't much help, and "Linux for Dummies" is at once too deep and too shallow for most newbies. Acres upon acres of books, pamphlets and what-have-you exist for Windows. Why? Because Windows desktop users outnumber Linux users more than 10 to 1, that's why. Remove developers from the mix and I bet that figure would climb to 50 to 1.

      I love my Linux, and I always have, but reality is reality. Linux is not easy for just anyone to start using. It requires patience, curiosity, intelligence, and technical aptitude to make Linux shine. Those are skills that 80% of the corporate workforce and perhaps 95% of home users don't possess. The users will not come to Linux, Linux is going to have to come to them if Linux wants them. I personally don't think it's worth it at this juncture.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    10. Re:Should Linux even try to dominate the destkop? by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 2

      You end up with users that know absolutely nothing about thier systems and can't adjust at all if anything goes wrong

      This is where most techies go wrong. I've done it myself, but a little time and experience has shown me why this is such folly.

      Would it be nice if every user in every company understood the magical little beige boxes that sit on their desks? Sure. We'd have a helluva easier time if we didn't have to clean Outlook virii, "Elf Bowling" trojans, MS Golf, or cleaning Coke and Maxwell House Columbian Blend out of a keyboard. But that's a very techie-centric view of the world, and it's wrong.

      The secretary doesn't, shouldn't need ot know these things in order to do her job. Her skills are clerical, not techical. Same goes for HR, or any other non-technical business field. Knowing how their boxes function is not essential to their job function. If a worker had an option to spend 40 hours improving their primary work knowledge or spending 40 hours boning up on Linux, the average company would benefit far more in the former case. It's the truth. It isn't what you or I want to hear, but it's the truth.

      Think outside your own perspective and you'll see the truth of this. Just because something is easy for you does not mean it is so for anyone else in this world. Other people have other priorities, other duties, and other likes/dislikes. I know lots of users who despise their computers and want as little to do with them as possible. I can't even get my mother to let me buy her a computer because she says she has enough of the one at her office all day. If I were to hand her a Mandrake CD she'd just about be able to figure out how to put it in the CD-ROM drive, but I'm not so naive to even dream of her actually properly installing it and using it. I can hear it now "what is this root thing and what does it do?", or "what does dev hda mean?". My God, can you begin to imagine her creating cronjobs? Compiling the kernel? Installing a new device driver?

      This is the user that contends Linux is hard to use. You will be unable to convince them otherwise, regardless of how easy it is for you. They will not have your appreciation for technological asthetics, nor your curiosity that helped you to enjoying learning Linux when YOU first got started. They want something that does most of the thinking for them, is difficult to screw up, and is easy for them to get support for. Windows is far, far away from being perfect, but at the moment it's closer to the objective than Linux is.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
  19. Lies... by bflong · · Score: 5, Informative

    I hate it when journalists do this crap.

    Bob Young says:
    So our opportunity is not to replace Microsoft on the PC.

    ZDNet reporter Matthew Broersma says:
    Red Hat chairman Bob Young says Windows will continue to rule the desktop!

    What a crock! That is NOT what Bob Young said. He said that they have an opportunity to expand their business in new directions. Directions that will be of more benifit to RedHat and their customers then "the desktop".

    --
    Why is it so hot? Where am I going? What am I doing in this handbasket?
    1. Re:Lies... by bfree · · Score: 2
      And /. says
      Bob Young says Linux won't rule the desktop
      --

      Never underestimate the dark side of the Source

  20. Bob Young continues to impress by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Bob Young continues to demonstrate a good grasp of the market, and the position linux can best dominate in it. Red Hat has been distinguished by better management (from what we can see) than the other linux companies so far, and Young's ability to move to the market instead of the hype is setting Red Hat apart.

  21. Linux != Red Hat Linux by 4im · · Score: 3, Troll

    Yeah, sure, I don't see Red Hat Linux ruling the desktop. I installed one not so long ago as a development platform, simply because that's the standard in that company. But truth is, for the desktop, it's crap wehen you compare directly to SuSE. Mandrake is supposedly also excellent on the desktop, just as some of the other distros. My SuSE 7.3 rocks for the desktop, and it's way easier to install than, say, W2K.

    Don't go saying Linux is not ready for the desktop when you just know Red Hat or Debian or LFS or so. There are distros out there that _are_ ready. Just go and test them.

    N.b. I'm not debunking Debian etc - I love those, but not for the desktop. (Running SuSE, Debian, Red Hat, have tried Mandrake and others.)

  22. Focus? You must be kidding. by mindstrm · · Score: 3, Funny

    Linux does not, and probably will never, focus on anything.. that's what makes it interesting.

  23. Re:Makes sense in a lazy thinking way... by jchristopher · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Actually it is ready now.

    No.

    Example: install Ximian Gnome, which supposedly represents the 'friendliest' Linux GUI.

    Now try right-clicking on a compressed .tar or .tgz file. You'll notice there is no option to decompress such files.

    These are very common in Linux land, you'll need to decompress them all the time.

    If you use Ximian Gnome and need to decompress that file, you'll need to hop out to the command line and issue a command. If you're new, you'll also have to read the help to learn the appropriate arguments.

    That is not user friendly.

  24. The headline is misleading by rana · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Bob Young doesn't say Linux won't be on the desktop, he just says that it won't directly displace Windows. I believe the jist of his argument is that Linux will become more important and Windows will become less relevant as users move away from the traditional desktop and towards the internet... Providing that .NET doesn't win. If .NET wins, then the battle is over, and user choice and value will be the losers.

  25. Two points by Kismet · · Score: 2

    1) The desktop war is only won when everybody has stopped fighting it. Prior to that time, claims of victory from any side is premature.

    2) When Windows becomes so proprietary and expensive to develop for, deploy and own, and when Linux remains cheap and open, we might find a critical shift in applications development.

    Right now the factor is who is willing to buy commercial software for Linux. It already has an edge in development, but lacks some necessary catalysts to start the transition.

    So while I agree that Linux may not rule the desktop any time in the near future, I wouldn't say that it still isn't a possibility for the long term.

    1. Re:Two points by haruharaharu · · Score: 2

      The desktop war is only won when everybody has stopped fighting it

      By that logic, World War 2 lasted until the lates 50's when the last Japanese soldiers stopped fighting it

      --
      Reboot macht Frei.
    2. Re:Two points by Kismet · · Score: 2

      I guess by your logic the war in Palestine ended when Arafat and Sharon declared a cease fire.

      My analogy was made for Linux, not WWII.

      The leadership of Japan stopped fighting the war and surrendered. There was was consensus on both sides that the fighting was over. For those last Japanese fighters, the war went on.

      There has been no surrender of Linux on the desktop; only by those not involved in it. I haven't seen KDE or Gnome throw in the towel yet. Or Enlightnement, or Blackbox, or Sawfish, or Afterstep.

      In our case, it's the "soldiers" who speak for Linux. Just because some CEO says the war is over doesn't mean that the war is over. Unlike commercial software, Linux isn't directed by a single central authority. Linux enthusiasts keep saying that, but they themselves don't believe it; they keep getting suckered by presumptious CEOs.

  26. This is why Red Hat is just an average desktop by lessthan0 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Red Hat has given up on the desktop.

    That may be smart business, and it may be a lost cause. It is certainly the reason Red Hat is just an average desktop among Linux distributions.

    SuSE is better, Mandrake is better, the new desktop focused Lycoris and Elx are better.

    I like what Red Hat has done for Linux, and if they want to stay in the server space, I wish them luck.

    Someone else will fight on the desktop and I'll be fighting with them.

  27. I use Linux on the desktop. by Sludge · · Score: 2
    I use Linux on the desktop at work and at home. It's my primary OS. I spent a ton of time learning and configuring Slackware when I was in highschool, but now I don't want to use anything else but a nicely configured WindowMaker desktop. Using Windows feels very much like I'm missing the most efficient tools I've ever used.

    At work, I wouldn't have access to Excel or Photoshop without hassling management for licenses, either. As a programmer who deals with the web, minor needs for software that fulfills these tasks come up.

    Bob Young wasn't talking about me. Let's not confuse having the best software possible with market dominance.

  28. Re:Makes sense in a lazy thinking way... by markmoss · · Score: 2

    Does Windows XP come with a a zip program pre-installed? I know 98SE and NT don't -- I've got to download one from somewhere and install it before I do diddly-squat with a compressed .zip file. And I've got to do that all the time...

    Yes, I do think compress/decompress should be built right into the OS. Compressed folders should be transparent to file-management tools -- that is, when you download a zip or tarball containing multiple compressed files to your hard drive, it should look like a directory, the files contained should be listed just like a directory, and the same commands should move files in and out. But no OS that I know of is actually there yet, and if Linux distros include a command-line program that decompresses standard compressed files, that's better than Windows.

    OTOH, I can download (nearly) free GUI compress/decompress tools for Windows, even if the OS integration is not as good as I could imagine. Do such tools exist for Linux? And if they do exist, why in hell aren't they in the standard distros?

  29. Re:Makes sense in a lazy thinking way... by jd142 · · Score: 2
    Example: install Ximian Gnome, which supposedly represents the 'friendliest' Linux GUI.

    Now try right-clicking on a compressed .tar or .tgz file. You'll notice there is no option to decompress such files.


    Well, I'm not sure Gnome qualifies as the friendliest. There are a number of things KDE does better, and this is one of them. In konq, you can right click on a compressed file and either uncompress it right there or open it in Archiver and uncompress it anywhere you want.



    And yes, XP does now have unzip capabilities built in, as well as the cd burning software.



    Not to get to OT, but another problem I had with Nautilus was that if you opened up a directory with a lot of pictures in it, it would eventually throw up its hands and say there were too many files to read. KDE never did that.

  30. Re:Way to go Bob by blkros · · Score: 2

    I know you're a troll, but.... Is the Linux community so shallow that when someone speaks what they believe is the truth, they would shun them? I thought the OS movement was about what is true and just, but from what I've seen on /. lately I'm beginning to doubt it.

    --
    Damnit, Jim, I'm an anarchist, not a F@#$!^& doctor!
  31. Do we really want it to? by p7 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I personally like Linux the way it is. To rule the desktop it would have to appeal to the lowest common denominator. It would need to have a standardized interface. This defeats the reasons we run linux. We don't all want a vanilla operating system with Internet Explorer integrated when we are running Netscape or whatever. To beat Microsoft the Linux community would have to change in ways that would not be good for the community as a whole.

  32. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  33. Linux won't replace MS unless... by clandaith · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Linux is made user friendly.

    Where do people go to get support for Linux? The user forums? Those are all populated with two types of people: the newbies trying to get help, and the uber-geeks that look down at the newbs and loose interest half way through a fix to a problem.

    How can people find out what is installed and where is it on their computer? There are ways to do this, but no one has made it easy.

    What about uninstalling those programs?

    Until the ease of use issue is dealt with, Linux won't rule the desktop.

  34. Why is this so complicated? by MythoBeast · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Time to throw a little karma to the wind.

    I don't understand why everyone complicates this so much. If you want to capture the desktop market, then you have to cater to what the desktop market wants. That can be summed up in three words: Easy To Use. Here are a few examples of things that aren't easy to use:

    - So many configuration options that you don't know where to start, and need a year's education to finish
    - A selection of desktop environments, each with a corp of zealots telling you that theirs is better
    - A broad base of information that you have to (a) go out and find on the internet, and (b)search through to find your answers.
    - Installations with prerequisites that you have to figure out how to find and install yourself
    - User account management
    - Video, sound, and network card installations that require you to know the model of your card.

    If you're attempting to create an operating system with a broad selection of options, you should remember to include the option to not have to mess with these little details.

    Unfortunately, this requires the programmers to figure a few things out for the user, and most of us just don't want to do that. Somehow we're always surprised to find out that the user doesn't want to do our work for us.

    Mythological Beast

    --
    Wake up - the future is arriving faster than you think.
    1. Re:Why is this so complicated? by MythoBeast · · Score: 2

      You remind me of a friend of mine who, while living in Chicago, kept asking me to come visit from St. Louis. He said "just hop on I-55 and, like, you're there."

      I installed RedHat 7.2 a couple of weeks ago, and it got both my network card and my mouse wrong the first time through. For some reason it assumed that a Logitec Wheelman mouse has to be installed in the USB port. The installation program gave me a long list of options for video, audio, network, mouse, keyboard, and monitor, and insisted that I confirm if its guess were correct. How is the typical user supposed to know this kind of thing?

      (FYI, I installed Windows on a different machine at the same time. It was much easier, simply because Windows installs are all virtually identical, while Linux installs vary greatly from one distribution to the next)

      Also, I definitely wouldn't call "on the Internet" to be "at my disposal." Finding information on the Internet is easy. Finding information that is both correct and easy for a non-geek to understand is HAAARD.

      When was the last time you saw a standard installation of Linux even mention single-user mode? Yes, it exists. No, it ain't easy to get to.

      The only package I've every seen for Windows that has dependancies are those that require the latest and greatest ActiveX. Not so for Linux - those rarely come packaged with their dependancies. Compare installing Quicken to installing GnuCash some time.

      --
      Wake up - the future is arriving faster than you think.
  35. Meanwhile, somewhere in space... by Cally · · Score: 2

    ...the International Space Station drifts helplessly, out of communication with the ground, with power draining away - because the computers crashed. Some so-called 'desktop' uses really are mission critical.

    --
    "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
  36. PC's are NOT dying by asv108 · · Score: 2
    I agree with almost everything you said execept for:
    Do you really think that in 5-10 years, people are still going to be using bulky beige boxes to connect to the Internet?

    How many times have we heard the "PC is dying" routine?" For the past 10 years, we have seen multiple occasions where the PC was on it's deathbed, but yet it still exists today. Hell, by now I was suppose to be running a network computer, using office via my web browser, and getting all my content from "PUSH technology." I do agree that there will be many different ways to connect to the Internet, but the PC is here to stay. The more Internet devices we acquire, the more we will need a PC to manage these devices.

  37. Good value by javilon · · Score: 3, Informative

    Remember the old quotation from Ghandy...

    First they ignore you.
    Then they laugh at you.
    Then they fight you.
    Then you win.

    On the server side of things they are on the "they fight at you" stage.

    On the client, they are at the "They laugh at you", but that is _second_ stage. Considering that focus on the desktop came after focus on the server that is good enough for me. Actually, the relevance of this arguments about the linux desktop is that MS is starting to see scenarios where they stop laughing and start fighting coming closer. Otherwise it wouldn't be news.

    I was running Windows as my primary desktop and Linux as my secondary until three months ago. Now it is the opposite. I have got vcl (www.videolan.org) for dvd viewing and xine (xine.sourceforge.net) for all the other video formats. Mozilla for the web. Kmail for mail. Open Office for those nasty MS office files you get sent. And I play wolfenstein (my preferred game) and all of Id games and a lot of free ones on Linux. I use kinkatta and jabber fot instant messaging.

    The packaging systems are improving, so I only have to use urpmi against a ftp server everytime I need something.

    And kde is getting better and better.

    So basically, Linux can do almost all that Windows will do and I get control, and source code, and no crappy restrictions on things like givving applications to my friends, activation, content rights management, etc.

    In fact, it is much better value. And I think a lot of people thinks the same way.

    That from a home user point of view. If you look at goverment needs, where they can save so many $$$ by not having to pay and audit licences, and use open data formats, Linux has a lot of scope there as well (see korean, chinese, german, french and UK goverments at different stages of linux use on the desktop).

    --


    When his defense asked, "Which computer has Jon Johansen trespassed upon?" the answer was: "His own."
    1. Re:Good value by msouth · · Score: 2

      I like the Gandhi quote, and I think it indicates one possible outcome. But consider pets.com--first they fund you, then they laugh at you, then the bubble bursts, then you lose. I mean, just because something is in the "laugh at you" stage doesn't mean it's going to get to the "win" stage, that's all I'm saying. Here's hoping that Linux, or at least something, does get rid of Windows. I wouldn't be sad at all if it was OSX.

      But, hey, the real problem with Windows is the people that buy it. When we can get _that_ fixed I'll stand up and cheer.

      Hmmm. I suspect a moderator is going to want a "-1, rambling" on this one...

      Anyway, I really hope you're right.

      --
      Liberty uber alles.
  38. Car Example by Jeff+Knox · · Score: 2

    That car example is a blatant rip off of the opening paragraph on my paper on Intellectual Property in schools. I wonder if he read the paper, or we just think alike :) I wrote this paper 3 years ago. http://www.thestuph.com/ip.html. The paper has over 40 errors (grammatical and otherwise) that have been pointed out that I have yet to fix. I apologize :)

    --
    Jeff Knox
  39. You are fooling yourself guy. by hackus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The battle is won, but not the war by any means.

    You are obviously not aware of the poor bastards in our faultering economy that have to deal with the license or upgrade taxes from Microsoft.

    IT managers had a taste this year of a slow economy, and when things are bad, the Microsoft tax treadmill on say, 200-300 desktops is a significant piece of money employers would like to use to pay raises, bonuses, health insurance and business opportunities to expand upon. Which, I would like to note, their competitors can't if they have to ship that money to Microsoft.

    My entire company in fact, BETS that my competitors will buy into .Net and Microsoft. As long as I know my competitors are sending money to Redmond, I know when times get bad, thier customers...

    WILL BE MY CUSTOMERS.

    The desktop battle, was won by Microsoft, true, but anyone who says the war is over has never worked in a all IT Microsoft shop in a bad business climate.

    The server room battle is now going on, and Linux is winning this battle. Once Linux is firmly entrenched in the enterprise server room...

    THEN we will turn our expertise and knowledge and better value all around, towards the desktop.

    Uncle Bill and Stevey boy are going to wake up one day and find themselves in a world dominated by Java virtual machines that run everywhere and typically more than not, servers, pda's, cell phones, etc are also running some form of Linux underneath them.

    It is already happening.

    Those companies that refuse to follow suit will not be able to stay in business against those companies who adopt open source technologies and processes.

    Ultimately the new business model for IT is based around people and not hardware or software like it has been for the past 10 years. That is what open source is about.

    People/technology not a gadget or a widget.

    It is comming, be ready for it.

    -hack

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
  40. the problem with all the linux hardware vendors by gonar · · Score: 2

    The problem that I saw with all the linux hardware vendors, is that they failed to take advantage of Linux' primary competitive advantage over Windows: Cost.

    every vendor I looked at (VA, Penguin etc..) tried to break in to the market with high end preconfigured with everything under the sun systems.

    what they should have done, is build bottom of the market systems aimed at newbies, with the cheapest possible hardware spec (think packard bell, or compaq presario) and load them up with a cleanly configured kde or gnome desktop,

    but - dont put EVERY PIECE OF FREE SOFTWARE IN THE WORLD (tm) on them, but instead cherry-pick, put the best e-mail (but only one) the best browser (but only one) the best office suite (but only one) etc etc, and have them configured properly.

    then sell this machine, equivalent in hw & sw to a presario with xp, office, a games pack and an applications bundle, and visualStudio FOR A LOT LESS THAN THE EQUIVALENT MICROSOFT LOADED COMPUTER.

    selling high end pre-configured linux boxes is not the way to go, because the people who want one of those, would rather build their own.

    --
    The difference between Theory and Practice is greater in Practice than in Theory.
  41. Selling Windows by WildBeast · · Score: 2

    Have you seen the XP ads? I noticed that Windows is advertised more as an entertainment OS where you can view pics, copy digial pictures, play games, record and play movies, listen to music, scan pics, chat and have fun.

    Once a Linux distribution can easily do those things without extra installation/configuration; it'll win the desktop.

  42. Or... by Wntrmute · · Score: 2

    You could just buy hot swappable hardware, and test software patches on an identical copy of the machine first, like anyone who's ever worked in IT maintaining mission-critical systems already knows.

    Two big servers and a ton of thin clients is still cheaper to buy (except perhaps for small companies) and cheaper to support than hundreds of Windows desktops.

  43. Each user a SysAdmin by leandrod · · Score: 2

    Red Hat won't probably ever be in the desktop, because it is hard to manage with its rpm system. But once it's ready with a nice installer and a good selection of polished packages, with a manageable system there's no reason why IT departments wouldn't love to deploy GNU/Linux... and once people get used to it in the work, the home market is a given.

    --
    Leandro Guimarães Faria Corcete DUTRA
    DA, DBA, SysAdmin, Data Modeller
    GNU Project, Debian GNU/Lin
    1. Re:Each user a SysAdmin by leandrod · · Score: 2

      I'm the troll but you are the AC.

      Apt is the backend... the desktop user has gnome-apt.

      I haven't said Debian is already here for the end user, but it has the right foundations -- dpkg, apt and sane policies. The rest is (necessary, already late, but in development) window dressing.

      --
      Leandro Guimarães Faria Corcete DUTRA
      DA, DBA, SysAdmin, Data Modeller
      GNU Project, Debian GNU/Lin
  44. you must not have used win2k by Trepidity · · Score: 2

    It's clearly far superior to win95. Unless you don't count "doesn't crash" as a usability improvement.

  45. Re:Makes sense in a lazy thinking way... by Medievalist · · Score: 2

    /.
    Funny, my Ximian Gnome installation unzips files with no problem. I'm not aware of having done anything special with it, but it handles zip, bzip2, gzip, and tarred gzip - the last three MSwindows doesn't, of course. Are you sure your problem is not in your choice of installation options? I find the default installation of Windows, for example, to be lacking things I use constantly - so I do the "custom install" just like I do on any other OS.

    As for "user friendliness", well, I've never seen a user friendly graphical environment - they all restrict the user and cause physical distress to the body. How exactly is "mouser's elbow" to be considered "friendly"? Not that carpal tunnel is any improvement... chord keyboards mounted on the sides of the seat might be worth trying.

    Also, I'm curious as to why you think Ximian is any better than any other X environment... Ximian is primarily a laudable but unfinished attempt to co-opt the MSwindows "look and feel".

    --Charlie

    PS: Miguel rules.
    --C

  46. The real place for Unix on the desktop by ACK!! · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The real place Linux needs to be on the desktop is in organizations that revolve around Unix.

    I am not talking about the secretaries and the suits. Too many times I have seen programmers and even sysadmins fire up Windoze and then spend the rest of the day inside of a telnet window.

    Linux distro folks are missing out on selling Linux to the world of Unix hacks whose organizations simply cannot afford a fleet of Unix workstations. Yes, I know the Sunblades are only $999 but Sun seems uninterested in advertising this fact and most IT orgs already have plenty of PCs so the cost of conversion is nothing.

    The last place I worked the corporate IT side told engineering after much bitchin' and moaning that they could use Linux but they would get no support. All the folks programming for the web stuff and the complete systems engineering group went to RedHat.

    Right now, I work for an organization about to move both software and systems engineering to SuSE linux the hold up being corporate buy-in.

    You might not think this market is that large but think really hard about it. There are many IT groups that use Unix as their primary Server OS. Within those organizations they have many developers and admins who work primarily in those *Nix environments. If there was no market for these groups then companies like Exceed would have died years ago.

    ________________________________________________ __

    --
    ACK /ak/ interj. 2. [from the comic strip "Bloom County"] An exclamation of surprised disgust, esp. i
  47. Some Legacy UNIX Applications ARE Desktop by GroundBounce · · Score: 2

    They certainly don't comprise the majority of UNIX installations, but there are many cases where UNIX is used on the desktop to run "workstation" desktop apps. Examples include many engineering environments (particularly IC design, which is where I work), 3D animation for movies, many scientific and research environments, some high-end CAD environments, etc.

    Linux is finally starting to move into some of these areas as older UNIX workstation hardware becomes obsolete and in need of replacement. In IC design, for example, many industry leading front-end tools are now available for Linux. Some of these areas, like 3D movie effects, have generated a fair amount of press recently.

    Linux may never rule the traditional PC desktop, but it will gain a foothold in the handful of desktop environments currently occupied by legacy UNIX.

  48. Linux on the Desktop by TheFlu · · Score: 2
    Here's what has to happen:


    1) Microsoft Operating Systems and products must have copy protection schemes that prevent them from being pirated (heading that way with the release of XP)

    2) Microsoft products and Operating Systems can't have "must-have" features that Linux and Open Source alteratives don't offer. I can get by today without ever using Windows and Windows software, as long as that trend continues the possibility of replacing Windows with Linux on everyone's desktop is alive and well (I've already replaced Windows on my desktop)

    3) OEM can't continue to ship copies of Microsoft Operating Systems and products with their PC's. This is probably the hardest one to overcome, and I dare say is almost impossible to overcome. Even with some companies offering Linux as an installed option, it is dreadfully difficult to have an average user ask for Linux over Windows when 96% of the PC's they see have Windows on them

    4) Microsoft shooting themselves in the foot. I'll give them credit that they have great marketing and a strong hold on the market. The one thing that will truely help Linux is Microsoft hurting themselves.

  49. Lack of graphics apps is what's keeping me off by Perianwyr+Stormcrow · · Score: 2

    I do wish it had some decent ones- I tried the Corel suite and found it endlessly irritating (damn unstable.)

    But Blackbox is beautiful. I mean, I do things. They happen. I don't use the whole heavy-ass GNOME/KDE lumps, just the bits I need for applications. (though I did have an Enlightenment thing going on for a while.) It's the most responsive desktop I've ever used (except for Be, gods rest its soul.)

    Just wish I could do more with it, graphics-wise.

    Well, that and lack of Ultima Online. But I can really reboot for that.

    --

    What we call folk wisdom is often no more than a kind of expedient stupidity.-Edward Abbey

  50. ready for the desktop by kpeerless · · Score: 2, Interesting

    A week ago I installed Mandrake 8.1 on the computer of a friend of mine and his wife. They are complete newbies as far as computers are concerned. After showing them where the browser and the mail program was and setting up their ISP account I turned them loose. They have been happily pointing and clicking with NO problems ever since. They agree that Linux is the best thing since the invention of beer.

    Whovever says we're not ready for the desktop has their head stuck where the sun don't shine.

  51. Timeline by zurab · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Well, I don't think the word "replace" has a deep meaning; if you make a product competing against another product then you are looking to replace that product with yours in the marketplace by definition.

    Here's a timeline:
    • Mid-nineties: critics - Linux will never succeed in the marketplace server or desktop, it will only be used by hackers;
    • Mid-nineties: Linus - we are pushing mainly for server functinality right now;
    Result: late nineties: Linux starts to replace where Netwares and NTs have ruled before becoming the fastest growing server OS still only second to NT market share; also displaces different Unices, gets IBM support and is on the way to gain foothold on mainframes.
    • Late nineties and afterwards: ctirics - Linux is a viable server platform, but it won't be able to do any damage on the desktop
    • Late nineties and afterwards: Linus - the OS is "good enough" for server for now, we'll push desktop
    Result: [enter your prediction based on the precedent]
  52. Perhaps.. by Junta · · Score: 2

    It's true that Linux will likely never dominate the desktop market. I see a lot of responses varying from this sort of reality would mean the end of Linux, or otherwise, if we accept it, then why bother with desktop oriented packages (i.e. Gnome and KDE).

    However, for my, as well as a lot of computer savvy people, not so much the common users, purposes, Gnome and KDE have a lot to offer for us. *Our* desktops can be Linux based and we want our desktop OS to be just as functional. Just because it will never be able to offer the same market that MS can offer, doesn't mean that the desktop market is pointless. Take for example the process of building your our computer. The average person wouldn't touch this with a ten foot pole, they would rather go down and get the whole package ready to go. However, some people recognize they can get better deals/better control by building it themselves, carefully examining and selecting each component for just the right end result. There are businesses that thrive by catering to this minority. Linux is in the same sort of category. Though never quite dominant, there is still enough of an interested market to support enough companies on the desktop to provide the most interesting features. And what companies refuse to bring, open source developers will eventually provide, even if it is slow, simply to make their system nicer.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
  53. Re:What a consumer sees by cyber-vandal · · Score: 2

    And you believe that .NET will allow you to do this on anything but a win32/64 platform? Some .NET functionality may exist on other platforms, but the API will be closed and only available to Windows (and possibly Mac) users, and therefore no more cross-platform than win32.


    The reason Microsoft is doing this is to allow quicker migration from older platforms, to avoid the fiasco of trying to merge the Win9x/NT codebases, which is a good thing from the point of view of Microsoft and their users, but is largely irrelevant to those of us that don't want to use Windows for whatever reason.


    Java already fills the niche for cross-platform apps, .NET is just a way for Microsoft to more quickly abandon its mistakes without having to lose compatibility. And before the many Java-haters start banging on about Java being slow, do you think a .NET app would be any faster? Only marginally at best.

  54. Don't let the doorknob hit you in the ass RH... by Uttles · · Score: 2

    OK, so maybe RH for the home user isn't on the way out like the articly implies, but personally I'm not sad to see it go. Mandrake is a much more home user oriented system, and if you install it in expert mode it's just as configurable as any distro. It also comes with recent versions of most of the packages, and if you tell it not to install something IT JUST DOESN'T (can you tell I've had problems with the Red Hat install?) The best thing: Mandrake's LILO. Try it out, it kicks ass. For those of us who are still bound to M$ unwillingly, Mandrake's LILO makes having a dual boot system extremely easy. Anyway, I think it's great that RH is pushing Linux to one day be dominant "on the internet," but I still think that home users will like the idea of totally free and customizable software, and it's my opinion that Mandrake is leading the way in that market.

    --

    ~ now you know
  55. Re:Makes sense in a lazy thinking way... by HoaryCripple · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ok, i've said it a few times on slashdot already, and i'll say it again. Get the right tools for the right job. if you're griping about a file manager that allows you to right click on a file with an extension and then perform an operation on it, then download the best filemanager ever, emelfm. You can do everything with this that you can do with explorer and so much more. Christ, stop comparing functions in linux to those in windows, if you have not spent a couple of minutes searching for the tools.

    I hated the lobotomized Windows explorer when I actually had Win installed on one of my boxes, and had to replace it with some third party software that I cannot remember the name of now because it was so long ago -- maybe powerdesk or something like that.

    Anyway, the point is, that linux can be as friendly as or as esoteric as *you* want it to be. Not like that shite windows, where everything is made for the lowest common denominator -- the dumbass.

    And you make it sound as though dropping into a shell is a bad thing. What's wrong with the shell? Don't you want your kids to learn to type fast? And with word completion in almost all of the shells typing commands is downright simple!

    edit your profile with the following:
    alias packup "tar -czvf"
    alias unpack "tar -xzvf"

  56. Look outside our own small borders why don't you? by FreeUser · · Score: 2

    Except for some hokey city in Florida that used to be a HP-UX shop for some reason, a few cheapo small businesses and some enthusiasts, nobody runs Linux as a desktop.

    Noboday, huh? Not, say, Brazil? Or China? Or numerous other countries that happen to not be The One Great America(tm)? Guess again.

    Either your head has been in the sand the last year and a half, or you are incredibly ethnocentric. Either way, as an American I find your comments emberrassing to say the least.

    --
    The Future of Human Evolution: Autonomy
  57. "If" implies assumption... by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 2
    If you've got a perfectly good working PC, why you would go through the angst of replacing it?"
    I dunno....
    • Maybe you're sick of rebooting frequently.
    • Maybe you're sick of the upgrade cycle.
    • Maybe you're sick of the EULA BS.
    • Maybe you're sick of paying for the privelege of not owning your software.
    • In short, maybe it's not, in fact, "pefectly good".
    Yeah, it's a bit of a pain to switch over, and yeah, there's a bit of a learning curve. But my next PC will definitely be running a free/Free OS of some sort. To hell with MSFT (unless they suddenly decide to develop their own distro, but probably not even then).
    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  58. Do what works by ChaoticCoyote · · Score: 3, Interesting

    One aspect of freedom is choice -- in this case, a choice of applications, a choice of tools, a choice of where your money goes. And just because Linux works well for many applications -- even on the desktop -- does not mean that Windows is *never* a good choice.

    I'll lay out some cases in point from my own collection of computers.

    My home has more computers than people now -- and in terms of installations, Linux is running about even with Windows. Of my three machines, two are Linux boxes (including my dual-processor IBM workstation and the Toshiba laptop), while the third is a high-end Windows 2000 box. I use the Linux workstations for software development, research, newsgroups, and simulation work, with my e-mail, word processing, and gaming on the Win2K system. It works beautifully; I don't have any hassles when clients and family send me Word files or PowerPoint presentations; why go through the effort of making such things work under Linux when I can have a Windows box at hand? On the flipside, the Linux workstation has vastly improved my coding environment, giving me scientific and exploratory applications Windows can't match. As for the laptop -- well, it ended up running Linux for strange reasons, and I now find it useful to have a portable penguin system.

    My wife runs Windows 2K on her rather basic system. She spends her life in e-mail with organizations and companies that are Windows-only; if the Red Cross sends her a disaster plan as a Powerpoint presentation, she can just run it using... uh, Powerpoint. She also games like the rest of the family. I never was fond of emulators (including Wine) -- if you need Windows, why not just use Windows? Good lord, that's like doing all your "Linux" development under Cygwin... (no insult to Cygwin, of course; great product, but not a "real" Unix).

    As for my daughters -- the 6 and 11 year-olds share a Windows 98 Pentium 133 that does nothing but play their education titles. No point to Linux there.

    The eldest daughter runs a dual-boot system, playing games and learning Photoshop and 3DStudio under Windows while experimenting with Python, Gimp, and 3D rendering with Linux.

    Okay, I understand and sympathize with the desire to rid the world of Windows; some days, the Microsoft monopoly makes me want to wipe Windows from all of my systems. I've howled invectives in the direction of Redmond... but then again, I taught my kids some new language this week while trying to get a damned onboard SCSI card working with the latest Linux kernels. Damned aic7xxx driver...

    Nothing is perfect; nothing is absolute. Religious zealotry -- of the RMS variety -- turns me off, because I know that brains turn off when beliefs take precedence over rationality. It's not that I disagree with RMS so much as I find his attitude grating and disturbing. Free and open software is taking over my home without excessive conflict; we're doing it when and where it works, and not to win some ideological war.

    Freedom is about choice -- if the Linux advocates truly believe in choice, they'll stop attacking those who choose Windows. Make Linux the best it can be, and stop worrying about what Microsoft is doing.

  59. Perhaps, but where will the desktop be? by evilpenguin · · Score: 2

    I use Linux for my desktop (all of my desktops) every day, day in and day out. Will that be the norm anytime soon? Perhaps not. Microsoft has done a very good job of locking competition out of the OEM and reseller sector.

    But I would ask the question of where will the "desktop" be in a few years? I'm not sure most of us will be using desktops per se. I think computing is going to go more and more "into the walls."

    Aside: The only reason the "netPC" didn't happen is the PC became the netPC (by getting below the $500 price point for a reasonable machine).

    If Young's prediction is borne out, it will be because of marketing, not because of merit. People are now mistaking "familiar" for "good." He's probably right that that will continue...

  60. Not surprising coming from Young by trenton · · Score: 2
    Young has been on a steadly downcline since Red Hat's ipo. He's had to sell Linux, and himself, short in order to make a profit.

    At this point, I don't doubt he'll say anything, wether he believes it or not, to make Red Hat's position look stronger.

    So much for a once great guy with a great OS.

    --
    Too big to fail? Does that make me to small to succeed?
  61. But Linux IS user-friendly! by gatesh8r · · Score: 2, Funny

    It's just picky about its friends

    --
    Karma whorin' since 1999
    1. Re:But Linux IS user-friendly! by Tony-A · · Score: 2

      What about AOLinux?

      I think the killer app for Linux on the desktop may be the ability to run the latest worm/virus/whatever with impunity on an unpatched system.

  62. Windows will rule the desktop by 2000+Britneys · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As long as there is no main stream applications for Linux OS the windows will rule

    by mainstream apps I don't mean word processors, spreadsheets, presentation etc

    What I mean is accounting applications for small business, proprietary database applications

    I work in a small accounting office and would like to make the change however spreadsheets, word processors just don't cut it

    I need Accounting apps (Accpac, Simply Accounting, Quick Books etc.), I need information databases (CCH, Carswells) I need tax apps (Taxprep, Taxbyte) and many many more that are only made for proprietary OSes

    Till those are available on the store shelves from all the major vendors Linux will never take off in small businesses

  63. A few reasons to switch from MS to Linux: by Futurepower(tm) · · Score: 3, Interesting


    You would switch away from Windows for these reasons:

    1) You don't want to be on the upgrade treadmill, in which you pay money to Microsoft every year, and continue to get software that needs more upgrades. One upgrade at $180 may be acceptable, but $180 per year amounts to $1,800 in ten years.

    2) You don't want an operating system with a single point of failure: the registry. The registry is a primitive database that is, in practice, not maintainable. If something goes wrong, the suggested fix (from Microsoft) has been to re-load the operating system and all your programs and configurations and driver upgrades.

    3) You are worried that some of the security risks of Windows were deliberately put there for surveillance, by order of the U.S. government. It puzzles you that the United States Department of Justice case is being settled with little or no penalty to Microsoft. Would the U.S. government do something this sneaky? Here are links to 600 pages of articles that say yes: What should be the Response to Violence?

    4) You want the flexibility that comes from owning the source code. You may never use the source code, but if you have a big company, and you find some kind of problem, having the source code may be the answer. For example, if there is a bug in a driver for 1,000 pieces of equipment you own, and the manufacturer won't fix it soon enough for you, you can fix it yourself.

    5) You want to avoid invasions of business privacy forced on you by Microsoft. Microsoft is requiring that the location and owner of each copy of its XP operating system be disclosed to Microsoft.

    --
    Bush's education improvements were
  64. Bob Young needs to learn how not to create bad PR by Alex+Belits · · Score: 2

    He is saying something that 1. isn't exactly what he is doing, 2. what can be interpreted by journalists and PHBs (certainly was interpreted by Slashdot editors and hordes of local trolls) in a way that he is not expecting Linux to be used on a desktop at all. If he wants to clearly explain that he sees desktop as a "territory" that a system has to hold to keep Microsoft from taking over everything else, he MUST SAY SO EXACTLY IN THOSE WORDS. If he want to say that he does not want to play "monopoly takes all" game on a desktop he should better just keep this to himself because the mentality of the public who learned to look at Microsoft with dollar-sign shaped eyes is not ready to accept such an idea yet.

    --
    Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
  65. Isn't the point that nobody will rule the desktop? by PenguinX · · Score: 2

    Personally, I dispise Microsoft - and have a general loathing for Windows. However - "one desktop to rule them all" isn't a good idea no matter who is ruling it. If Linux was king of the desktop, some things would be different - but there would still be problems. Being that Microsoft will have to slow down core development (lest they kill the market entirely) Linux, MacOS, and all the boys will be able to reverse engineer the technology to their own needs. My hope is that nobody ever rule over the desktop entirely - but that they invent separately - so that all would benefit.

    Oh well

  66. Geee Duh...Ask the consumer! by 3seas · · Score: 2

    I'm really tired of people that claim they are some sort of expert or
    another telling me what I want or don't want.

    I want linux on the Desk top and as far as I can tell it got a hell of
    a better user and use base going on than any other OS right now. Imagine
    when Linux finally makes it to the desk top (in the way people think it
    should - beside MS cronnies that can't ever see it as a viable desk top
    OS)... When linux does make it to the desk top it wil be in a position
    with such a broad standard in application or usage that it will be far
    more solid than any other OS.

    Then Again, If the Hurd group ever figures out the "Solid Core" and
    automate user production of custom servers... There will already be the
    GNU software base most preceive as Linux (Linux is just the kernel!!!)

    So yeah!, Maybe Linux won't make it to the Desk top as others preceive.

    BUT GNU WILL MAKE IT, One way or the other!!!

    MS cronnies are out in force! Aren't they!?

  67. Re:Makes sense in a lazy thinking way... by jelle · · Score: 2

    "Now try right-clicking on a compressed .tar or .tgz file. You'll notice there is no option to decompress such files."

    Hmm, I just opened a standard filemanager window of Gnome (FYI: the program is called Nautilus), right-clicked, and it gave me the option to open it in 'guiTAR', which shows me the contents, allows to extract, etc, with simple clicks. That's just about the same thing that WinZIP gives you on Windows after you first find, download, install, and pay for it.

    And when I don't like guiTAR, and select "Other Viewer", it tells me I can set viewers system-wide in the Gnome Control Center under the "File Types and Programs" section. And wo and behold, the Gnome Control Center is not hidden under a "Start" button, but directly under the "Settings" menu on the top panel.

    Direct, intuitive, aka user friendly, and leaving me all choices if I want.

    Maybe your Linux install is incomplete. I'm just using the gnome that came with standard Debian Woody, nothing special.

    --
    --- Hindsight is 20/20, but walking backwards is not the answer.
  68. That's not what he said by SurfsUp · · Score: 2

    What he said was:

    I used to stand up in front of Linux crowds and say, "Linux will never be successful on the desktop," and of course I'd get booed off the stage. And I finally realized the mistake I was making. Linux will not be successful on the PC replacing Windows OS. But we absolutely will be successful on the desktop as a geographic location.

    An entirely different thing. Read. Think.

    Anyway, I don't think he's right about not replacing Windows on the PC. He didn't count on the monumental greed of Billg. Microsoft's latest license fee grab will drive - is already driving - PC desktop users to Linux in droves.

    --
    Life's a bitch but somebody's gotta do it.
  69. Linux doesnt need to rule anything by HanzoSan · · Score: 2



    Linux needs to be an alternative to Windows. It needs to be an alternative. Thats the point of Linux.

    It needs to be better than Windows, Linux if its better, will be used by millions of people. Ruling the desktop is not what Linux should aim for.

    In fact Linux shouldnt aim for ruling anything right now. And everyone involved with Linux shouldnt bee involved with it so it can dominate and become a monopoly. We dont need Linux to ever dominate anything, the fact that its THERE, that millions of people will use it, this is the reason.

    Linux will be very successful on the Desktop, on the Server market, etc. Linux will be a better Desktop solution than Windows at some point, and when it is, people will finally have a choice, Linux or Windows on their desktop.

    We want to give choice. Not rule the world.

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
  70. Everyone makes ignorant claims like this by HanzoSan · · Score: 2



    And it only gives people more reason to think Linux is a joke and not useful for anything. Afterall unless something absolutely rules in a specific area its worthless.

    Linux doesnt rule the Server market, but its competitingg with WindowsNT.

    Linux doesnt Rule the Desktop, but in 5 years Linux will be competition for Windows.

    In other countries where not everyone has a computer Linux will be very successful, in the USA Linux will get millions of people to switch from Windows.

    While most people dont want to learn a new system, theres alot of people, especially younger people who dont mind learning, people who seriously use their computer for a career, and theres millions of them, also people who are just young and want to learn.

    What this author is assuming is everyone who has a computer, is an old guy who just uses their computer to check their email and go on AOL.

    While about 30-40 million people use AOL, 200 million people in the USA alone have computers, and maybe a billion in the world have computers or are going to get a computer soon.

    This means the market is underestimated by far.

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
  71. People dont care what OS is on their computer. by HanzoSan · · Score: 2



    Thats as simple as it can get. On your VCR do people care what OS it uses? Hell no. On your video game system do you care about the OS? Hell no.

    Do you care about the OS on any of your electronics? Hell no. Computer makers start putting Linux on all computers and people will use it, they will learn the linux system well enough to use it, which would take most people 5 minutes because its not really that difficult.

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
  72. Exactly by HanzoSan · · Score: 2



    And really in my opinion, people dont care what OS is used to click on their mozilla ICON and browse the web, check their email, and look at stock quotes.

    Will people notice they arent in windows? Nope i doubt it, the only thing they will notice is lack of Microsoft logos.

    Honestly the OS doesnt matter when it comes to what peoeple want to learn, what they know and dont know, what matters is the applications they are using. IF the applications are the same or similar, people wont know the diffrence. The people who know Windows well enough to know the diffrence are also the type of people to learn Linux

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
  73. CUPS issues. (Offtopic) by saintlupus · · Score: 2

    What distro are you running?

    OpenBSD.

    And yes why CUPS?

    Because it supports my godawfully cheap Deskjet, which Mac OS X won't touch. I've been trying to set up a print server rather than dole out the cash for an unnecessary printer upgrade.

    But this is way outside the scope of this thread.

    --saint

  74. Re:Makes sense in a lazy thinking way... by markmoss · · Score: 2

    So there really is a GUI tool for tarballs in Linux with KDE. That's good. What's not so good is that most Linux gurus will still attempt to teach the command-line tools to newbies, never mentioning the easy way...

  75. Re:Look outside our own small borders why don't yo by duffbeer703 · · Score: 2

    I'm sure that sure that everyone in China & Portugal is using an English-based operating system that is primarilly command-line... yeah.

    Most people overseas use the copy of Windows that came with their computer or a pirated copy in their national lanuage.

    Have you ever been outside of the United States? In China you can buy DVD's with every product that Microsoft makes for $15. If one spoke good Mandarin it probaly would be more like $3. When I was in Egypt copies of Windows were to be had for a couple of bucks in the street.

    My head may be in the sand -- but yours is in the clouds. Linux is just as tedious for desktop use in China as it is in the US.

    --
    Conformity is the jailer of freedom and enemy of growth. -JFK
  76. Redmond Linux by cascadefx · · Score: 2

    Redmond Linux, now Lycoris, is aiming itself as a desktop only system. I was quite impressed with its focus. Built off of Caldera, it takes a simple install program (allowing the user to play games during it) and then works to make the desktop as easy to use as Windows.

    It is not completely there, yet. But my Dad, who hasn't used a computer in 10 years, wouldn't be able to tell the difference. To him it would just work.

    If you look at the screenshots, you'll immediately realize what the company is aiming for. They have done something with this distribution that no other Linux company has been willing to do. They have made some decisions for the user. They have decided what is installed and how it will look once finished. They understand their target market and realize that their users don't necessarily care about choice. They just want the thing to be semi-intuitive and work.

    The Linux kernel has the work part down, and Lycoris has taken upon itself the task of making it semi-intuitive.

    One final note. Any desktop Linux company would do well to take a page from Lycoris' playbook. Take a look at their website. It is clean and non-technical. It is decidedly geared towards the end user and doesn't try to bowl people over with technical data. In essence, it is a marketing tool... and a pretty good one in my opinion

  77. Re:Makes sense in a lazy thinking way... by jelle · · Score: 2

    Come to think of it, maybe they should.

    Just somehow make sure they don't select the 'expert' option when they install (dselect...).

    And make a bootable ISO available for woody.

    --
    --- Hindsight is 20/20, but walking backwards is not the answer.