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Evolution - Beyond the Popular Science

ny writes: "Patterns and Processes of Vertebrate Evolution is not popular science, but as a broad overview of the processes of evolutionary change it is reasonably accessible to non-specialists. I recommend it to anyone who has read Gould and Dawkins and Ridley and so forth and now wants something more substantial." This sounds like a book to interest anyone interested in current ideas in evolution -- read on below for Danny's complete review. Patterns and Processes of Vertebrate Evolution author Robert L. Carroll pages 448 publisher Cambridge University Press rating 9 reviewer Danny Yee ISBN 0-521-47809-X summary An uncompromising but accessable overview of modern evolutionary theory.

In Patterns and Processes of Vertebrate Evolution Carroll undertook an ambitious project - nothing less than to update George Gaylord Simpson's classic works from the 1940s and 50s, Tempo and Mode in Evolution and The Major Features of Evolution. The result is a "broad picture" overview of the processes of evolutionary change, centred on paleontology but attempting to integrate that with the rest of biology. Patterns and Processes is aimed at students of paleontology and specialists in that and related fields, but it should also be considered by general readers: while it goes into quite involved details, they are always used to illustrate broader ideas and there is solid motivation for persevering with them. It is especially recommended to those unhappy with the lack of substance in popular debates over the theory of punctuated equilibrium, which Carroll critically appraises. Patterns and Processes is effectively illustrated with line-drawings and figures and has a useful glossary.

Carroll begins with an overview of current problems in evolutionary theory and in particular of the "gap" between short- and long-term processes in evolution, and between paleontology and other disciplines. He also discusses the choice of the vertebrates as a testing ground (which is picked up at the end of the book in a brief comparison with invertebrate metazoa, prokaryotes, protists, and vascular plants). He then provides an overview of theories of evolution, at the level of populations and species, from Darwin through Dobzhansky and Mayr to Gould and Eldredge.

Two chapters present some essential background. The first looks at evolution in modern populations, in particular at rates of evolution among the Galapagos island finches, where significant directional change does occur and doesn't appear to be correlated with speciation. The second considers some of the limitations of fossil evidence, the irregularity of fossilization and other stratigraphic issues and problems with the dating of events and processes and the measurement of rates of evolution.

Next come two case studies. The rates and directions of change among late Cenozoic mammals are examined with an eye to testing theories of punctuated equilibrium and species selection. Many lineages exhibit stasis "of particular characters and character complexes," but in none is there stasis of all characters and phyletic evolution is common. And "no major trends involving a complex of character changes can be demonstrated as having resulted from species selection." In contrast, the rapid radiation of the cichlid fish of the East African Great Lakes provides some evidence for species level evolution, and a bridge between macroevolution and microevolution.

Four separate chapters focus on related disciplines, in an attempt to reunify different fields. Taxonomy influences our basic concepts of evolutionary patterns as well as providing tools for discovering them; phylogenetic systematics (cladistics) has been particular influential, offering "an objective way to compare patterns of large-scale evolution from group to group and within groups over time" and forcing reconsideration of traditional naming schemes in the vertebrates. With evolutionary genetics Carroll presents some basic models, focusing on quantitative traits; he touches on the enigma of low selection coefficients and on genetic constraints.

Turning to developmental biology, Carroll surveys heterochrony, homeobox and Hox genes, and the phylotypic stage. He then applies this to the origin of craniates and skull and axial skeleton development, but above all to tetrapod limbs, to their origins, developmental processes, morphogenesis, and evolution. He also considers the integration of developmental biology with the evolutionary synthesis and its possible connections with macroevolution. Other constraints are imposed by physics: Carroll considers vertebrate locomotion in water, in the air, and on land, and touches on membrane transport, heat transfer, and size scaling.

Three chapters then look at large scale structure and patterns in evolution. A chapter on "major transitions" focuses on movements between environments: the most detailed study is of the origin of birds, but others cover the origins of terrestrial vertebrates, mosasaurs, and whales. Critical periods saw rates of change exceeding those in ancestral and descendant groups, but not those observed in modern populations; more importantly, directions of change were sustained for long periods. Turning to radiations, Carroll treats at length the Cambrian explosion and the radiation of early Cenozoic mammals: occurring in intervals of 10 million years or less; these differ from other, slower radiations into already occupied environments and "can certainly be attributed to factors that were not considered by Darwin". At the largest scales, vertebrate evolution has been irregular, driven by "forces" that can't be extrapolated from those operating at the level of populations and species: among them sustained evolutionary trends, continental drift, and mass extinctions.

Among Carroll's overall conclusions:

"Evolutionary forces that can be studied in modern populations are sufficiently powerful to account for the amount and rate of morphological change throughout the entire course of vertebrate history."

and

"Transitions between environments governed by major differences in physical constraints do not necessarily require special evolutionary processes."

but at the same time

"Large-scale patterns of evolution cannot be fully explained by processes that are directly observable at the level of modern populations and species.

... the patterns, rates, and controlling forces of evolution are much more varied than had been conceived by either Darwin or Simpson."

And macroevolution is essentially historical, with each major event "unique and worthy of detailed study in its own right".

Patterns and Processes in Vertebrate Evolution combines clear exposition of details - and what appears to be an encyclopedic knowledge of vertebrate history - with a willingness to tackle big questions. Sometimes Carroll seems to take both sides of debates, but that is a reflection of respect for complexity, not of unengaged fence-sitting. The result is a useful overview for students or outsiders; it also seems to have established itself as a minor classic within the field.

You might want to purchase Patterns and Processes in Vertebrate Evolution from bn.com or read some of Danny's other evolution book reviews. Slashdot welcomes readers' book reviews -- to see your own review here, read the book review guidelines, then visit the submission page.

193 of 522 comments (clear)

  1. All things considered by Primotheproton · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yesterday I found out my boss is a devout 7-day creationist. I myself am an athiest, but I did not admit this to her for fear of my job :P Anyway we entered a heated discussion about the origins of the universe, and frankly I provided more evidence through the big bang theory and our information about human vs. ape genetics that she simply back into the "faith" arguement. This article will give me the fodder I need to lay her flat on her ass the next time discussion of such things comes up. Thanks slashdot!

    1. Re:All things considered by AyeRoxor! · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Dare I say it...
      "AMEN!" :-P

      Creationism, Evolution... They're both theories.

      Any scientist who says one "did" absolutely positively happen is practicing a faith, not science. In essence, they're both religions, with whacko irrational devotees on both sides.

    2. Re:All things considered by Cleon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Creationism, Evolution... They're both theories.

      Any scientist who says one "did" absolutely positively happen is practicing a faith, not science. In essence, they're both religions, with whacko irrational devotees on both sides.


      Evolution is like gravity, both fact and theory. The fact is that it does, has, and will continue to happen. The theory is how it happens. Darwin's contribution was not evolution's existence; this much was already known. His contribution was a mechanism for evolution to happen--descent with modification due to natural selection.

      Claiming that evolution and creation are both "just theories" shows an astounding ignorance of science. "Theories" are models used that best fit the available evidence. Putting both creation and evolution in this category would need several steps up just to get to "wrong." Where evolution is concerned, we have physical evidence, genetic evidence, laboratory evidence, and observation. Where creation is concerned, we have....A book that says it happened.

      --
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    3. Re:All things considered by alan_d_post · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Time to burn some karma. I've heard this so many times, and it always frustrates me greatly!

      Creationism, Evolution... They're both theories.

      Um... The first is based on faith, the second on careful observation of the natural world. Hardly equal terms, I'd say.

      Alternatively, taking your argument further:

      You may have a theory that the earth will continue to rotate for another 24 hours. Of course, it's just a theory, and all theories are equivalent. So I should not feel obligated to come up with ones that match reality. I have a new theory, that the earth will stop rotating in eight hours. Just try and prove me wrong *right* *now*!

    4. Re:All things considered by cp99 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      True, they are both theories, however, evolution has literally tons of experimental evidence behind it, whereas creationism (by this I mean "scientific creationism" - as in a young earth) has none (and in fact, plenty of evidence which just plain doens't fit with it.

      Therefore, in a scientific sense, evolution is by far the strongest theory.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    5. Re:All things considered by scotch · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Please. You make it sound like creationism and evolution are on equal scientific footing. This is simply not true. There is a mountain of evidence that supports evolution. For creationism, there is hardly even any definitive statement of what the "theory of creationism" is. Most evidence creationists cite is actually supposed evidence against evolution, not support for creationism. Just check the web - there are dozens of bad arguments out there - once they are introduced, they never die, arm chair "creation scientists" keep repeating them. My favorites are the onces involving the moon recession rates and the amount of dust on the moon - real gems.

      Calling evolution a religion is either dishonest or an exercise in destroying the meaning of "religion" and making the word so vague that you can call anything a religion. Take your pick.

      --
      XML causes global warming.
    6. Re:All things considered by LMCBoy · · Score: 3, Informative

      The concept of a species is an artificial classification scheme imposed upon a continuous reality. Therefore saying when a "speciation" occurs is entirely a matter of opinion. That said, there are plenty of examples of so-called macroevolution in the fossil record (hell, the entire fossil record is one big macroevolutionary record!); you have only to open your eyes and see it.

      Evolution is a fact. Things change.

      The "theory of evolution of biological species by natural selection" is a scientific theory to explain the observed variation and "relatedness" of biological organisms, and their change through time as observed in the fossil record.

      The "theory" of creationism is a load of pseudo-scientific mumbo-jumbo used to prop up some people's faith in the Almighty in the face of evidence that contradicts the primary literary source of their belief.

      Ergo, stating the belief that the theory of evolution and the theory of creationism are both scientific theories of equal merit demonstrates a profound lack of understanding of science and its rigid reliance on fact and observation. Q.E.D.

      --
      Liberal (adj.): Free from bigotry; open to progress; tolerant of others.
    7. Re:All things considered by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 2
      So we have witnessed one species become another?


      Yes, we have witnessed one species becoming two different species.

      Then am I wrong when I say it is called the Theory of Evolution?


      No. There is the Theory of Evolution. There is Einstein's Theory of General Relativity. There is no scientifically-viable Theory of Creation.

    8. Re:All things considered by cp99 · · Score: 2

      So we have witnessed one species become another?

      Yes.

      Where was I?

      Not on Faroe Island, where imported mice rapidly (over approx. 250 years) diverged from there orginal stock enough to no longer be of the same species.

      Rather, we have witnessed dogs get big, small, and get new colors, shorter tails, bigger eyes, But over thousands and thousands of years, they're still dogs.

      Could you please define what a dog is, and how much divergence is needed for you to consider a dog breed to be a different species?

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    9. Re:All things considered by snilloc · · Score: 2
      Could you please define what a dog is, and how much divergence is needed for you to consider a dog breed to be a different species?

      If I recall my 7th grade science class correctly, two organisms are considered to be the same species (at least among sexually reproductive species) if by mating the two you can produce fertile offspring. I seem to recall a story about a frog (or toad?) species with three subspecies. (Let's call them A, B, and C.) A and C could not mate successfully, but A and B could, and B and C could, so it was possible (through a couple of generations) that the A and C populations could share genetic material. Thus, by the existence of the B population, A, B, and C were all considered to be the same species.

      The existence of mutt dogs proves that most or all dog breeds are still the same species.

    10. Re:All things considered by Scaba · · Score: 3, Insightful

      OK, I'll take the troll bait....


      So we have witnessed one species become another? Where was I? Rather, we have witnessed dogs get big, small, and get new colors, shorter tails, bigger eyes, But over thousands and thousands of years, they're still dogs.

      I don't think you (or most people) really understand what evolution is. It's not one species suddenly becoming another, like monkeys turning into people, or a thing that happened once or twice in the distant past. It is a continous process of change, small or large, that is happening now. The example you cited about the dogs is actually an excellent example of biological evolution, even though the evolution in this case is artificially accelerated and forced down certain paths by man. Evolution is also happening right under your skin, as we speak. Our immune system is constatnly spawning new species (yes, species) of antibodies to fight foreign invaders. We end up with millions of species of antibodies by the time we die.


      Then am I wrong when I say it is called the Theory of Evolution?

      No, it is indeed called the theory of evolution, but gravity is also called the theory of gravity. ( So you shouldn't mind if I throw you from the roof of my building. You'll have about 4 or 5 seconds to fold your arms and explain how gravity is just a theory before you become part of the pavement on Market Street.) Don't confuse "theory" with "unproven idea". In fact, the scientific definiton of theory is nearly the opposite of "unproven idea". A theory, according to Dictionary.com is "[a] set of statements or principles devised to explain a group of facts or phenomena, especially one that has been repeatedly tested or is widely accepted and can be used to make predictions about natural phenomena." I would say Creationism hardly falls under that classification.


    11. Re:All things considered by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      So we have witnessed one species become another? Where was I? Rather, we have witnessed dogs get big, small, and get new colors, shorter tails, bigger eyes, But over thousands and thousands of years, they're still dogs.
      Right, and a robin and a sparrow are both birds, but they're still different species. In fact, if we were to discover animals in the wild as different as, say a Great Dane and a Chihuahua, any scientist in the world would classify them as different species. Indeed, they are so different that they are essentially unable to breed, one of the classic definitions of a species. We call them "breeds" of dog, not because they aren't different enough to qualify as species, but because they are the product of artificial selection--selective breeding--rather than natural selection.
    12. Re:All things considered by cp99 · · Score: 2

      As far as I know (and I aren't a biologist) is that you are mostly correct, but species is still a fuzzy concept. What you have described sounds a lot like a ring species (some Northern Hemisphere seagulls are about the only example that I could name), and these are a good indication of why the term species is fuzzy. Given that mating small dogs with huge dogs may lead to machanical differculties, it could well be said that dogs are on their way to becoming a ring species.

      The reason why I asked is that many creationists use the arguement "sure it's changed over time, but it's still a [insert whatever type of life form you so desire]", and unless they give a concreate defination of what defines that life form (many do not accept inability to successfully breed with fertile offspring), it really is impossible to say when it has evolved enough to meet their requirements.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    13. Re:All things considered by cp99 · · Score: 2

      Well, the moon recession rates and dust a famous straw man arguments. Arguing against them is easy and really only arguing against the straw man of the uneducated creationist.

      As long as some creationists are using them, then it's not a strawman to rebut them.

      To find out what thinking, educated creationists think, have a look at www.reasons.org. This organization is devoted to building a viable scientific theory of creation.

      I went their, and found the website hard to navigate. I was looking for a summary (with evidence) of what thinking, educated creationists think, but all that I could find where reasons for me to send them money. The few examples of science were pretty flawed (the deep sea vents article on their front page was extremely one sided, and lacked objectivity).

      Do you know of a good page on their site which relates what they believe, and what evidence there is to back up these beliefs?

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    14. Re:All things considered by scotch · · Score: 2

      I couldn't find anything good on that site, but it might because the site is hard to navigate. Can you give me a deep link?

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      XML causes global warming.
    15. Re:All things considered by cp99 · · Score: 2

      Changing the selection pressures on a population, will change the population.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    16. Re:All things considered by Yunzil · · Score: 2
      That still doesn't prove Macro evolution like in the big bang theory which states

      How did you pack so much misinformation in one sentence?
      • The Big Bang theory has nothing to do with the origin of life.
      • "Macro" and "micro" evolution are artificial labels and are practically meaningless.
      • Artifical or not, the classic example of "macro" evolution is speciation, which we have watched happen in the wild and in the lab.
      • What you asked for was proof of the fact of evolution. The term "evolution" just means that the genetic characteristics of a population change over time. This is easily demonstrated -- witness drug resistance diseases. Therefore, evolution is a fact, QED.

    17. Re:All things considered by Yunzil · · Score: 2

      So we have witnessed one species become another?

      Yes.

    18. Re:All things considered by dublin · · Score: 2

      The Earth-moon system problem has not been conclusively solved, despite what some people claim.

      A good, basic introduction to the problem can be found here, and an equations page showing the math behind the argument here.

      For more science-based reasons why believing in Evolution is not valid, check out Science Against Evolution.

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    19. Re:All things considered by Lemmy+Caution · · Score: 2
      Unfortunately, over forty percent of Americans are the sort of Christian that believes in 6-day creation. I think that by a slim margin that qualifies as the majority of Christians in the US. Only 39% of Americans believe, as you do, in theistically-guided evolution.

      In comparision, in England, only 5% of the population is creationist.

    20. Re:All things considered by scotch · · Score: 2
      I read the section on the receding moon. The creationist argument is basically that the earth-moon system can't be older than 2.3 billion years. Both the author and a critic acknoledge that there are many unkown factors that would affect this calculation. Yet that is only a factor of 2 off of the age of the earth as estimated by geologists.

      So the question is: what kind of argument for creationism is this? Not one at all. It's merely a very weak argument against a fact supported by modern science (upon which evolution rests) - that is that the earth is about 4.5 billion years old.

      The problem with creation science is that there's no theory and no support for that theory. Even if these caclculations were rock solid an all the variables were known, the only conclusion you can reach from this supposed creationist evidence is that the moon is less than 2.3 billion years old. That conclusion is barely damning to evolution, and in no way supports creationism, especially when the standard form asserts an age of the earth less than 10,000 years old. 2.3 billion is much closer to 4.5 billion than it is to 10,000.

      Again, no evidence, no theory, therefore, creation science ain't no science.

      --
      XML causes global warming.
    21. Re:All things considered by dismal+scientist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Quote: Don't confuse "theory" with "unproven idea".

      I think they are the same thing. Gravity is the description of an observed phenomenon. You can't prove gravity exists. It is "unproven". You can prove that two objects are attracted to each other, but you can't explain why. You also can't very well have a control and a test group.

      Evolutionism vs Creationism is facinating to me. Both are hampered by the fact that neither has been proven. Evolutionists have demonstrated that there seems to be a correlation in physiological features of organisms over time, but they can't prove the cause-effect relationship (where's the control and test groups?). Correlation does not prove causation. The entropy argument I think is valid. Why would order increase in organisms? If evolution is real, then every single attribute about every single origanism is the result of an increase in order (for one reason or another) over time, and multiple times. If any one attribute could be proven to not be the result of evolution over time, then there would be a problem.

      The creationists can only go on faith. They acknowledge the mountain of evidence for evolution but cannot accept the proposed explanation to be valid. This is not unusual. Do we only accept facts because we observe them? Do we accept all facts even if our direct observations show otherwise? Some creationists try to find some middle ground by trying to accept evolution but not deny the hand of God, which can result in either redefining creation, or redefining evolution. Creationists will never be able to prove creationism (well, unless...), so they are always on the definsive in the scientific community.

      I'd like to see some tests. Can we create a digital world and see what happens over time?

      I think the best logical argument against evolution is Microsoft (no, really!). I mean, given all the copies of Windows running around the world, how many of them have improved themselves or had their entropy decreased, excluding direct human input? Would there need to a minimum level of intelligence for the computers to start improving themselves? What is the reason for evolution?

    22. Re:All things considered by Luyseyal · · Score: 2

      I opt for vagueness. But then, I'm a philosophy student. :)

      -l

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    23. Re:All things considered by Scaba · · Score: 2

      Quote: Don't confuse "theory" with "unproven idea".

      I think they are the same thing. Gravity is the description of an observed phenomenon. You can't prove gravity exists. It is "unproven". You can prove that two objects are attracted to each other, but you can't explain why. You also can't very well have a control and a test group.

      Hmm. "Unproven idea" was probably a poor choice of words. Insert "unobserved phenomenon" in its place in my original post, and I think my point is still valid.

    24. Re:All things considered by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      You can prove that two objects are attracted to each other, but you can't explain why
      You can't even prove that. You can measure the forces on two objects in numerous specific instances, but you have no guarantee that the forces will still be there tomorrow. When you go from these individual observations to a generalization ("the objects are attracted to each other"), you are constructing a theory. No such generalization can ever be proved true. You can only prove it false, by finding an exception.
  2. Re:Troll. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hey, dude, if you honestly need to believe in a God that will sentence you to eternal torture in order to keep yourself from raping, stealing, and killing, then .. wow. Please, by all means, continue to believe. My personal concern is for the safety of my family, and if your beliefs will prevent you from harming them, then please hold on to them.

    Some of us have gotten past all of that and have realized that you don't need a vengeful deity holding a metaphorical shotgun to your head in order to behave in a moral and ethical matter. But if you're not there yet, then please do whatever it takes, dude.

  3. Define order, Define disorder by TibbonZero · · Score: 2

    With all of this talk about order and Disorder, perhaps someone should attempt to define order or disorder, without being circular in their definitions.

    --
    Tibbon
    tibbon.com
    1. Re:Define order, Define disorder by Fiver-rah · · Score: 5, Informative
      perhaps someone should attempt to define order or disorder, without being circular in their definitions.

      Someone did. His name was Boltzmann. The more ordered a system is, the fewer microstates available to it. What does that mean? Well, a macroscopic example is this: imagine you have a bunch of books you're putting on a shelf. There's only one way to put the books alphabetically (assuming you have no duplicate copies). But there's a really large number of ways to put them on if you put them every which way. So let's compare the order of two systems. Our first system is our books on the shelf, restricted to alphabetical ordering. The second is our books on the shelf. The first system has only one way it can be arranged; the second (assuming we have more than one book) has more. So the first system is more ordered.

      This is a little simplistic, but it gets the point across.

      Trust me, entropy really is a well-defined concept. Or don't trust me; read for yourself.

      --
      Read Bujold. Free (as in
    2. Re:Define order, Define disorder by PD · · Score: 2

      Actually, entropy is a thermodynamic concept and really doesn't have any meaning when you apply it to books or lists that are sorted/unsorted. It's really an easy mistake to make, so easy that these sorts of examples are actually used in the classroom.

      Believe me, the entropy of your bedroom is the unchanged regardless of how many socks and T-shirts you have lying on the floor vs. folded neatly in the dresser.

    3. Re:Define order, Define disorder by Fiver-rah · · Score: 2
      I'm being more careful than you give me credit for. Entropy is a statement of volume of phase space. Now, in the example of the books above, I've picked a discretized space (book arrangements) with a finite number of positions. I claim that placing a restriction on where I can be in my phase space--namely, forcing me to be in only *one* position--means that I have reduced entropy. The important point to note in my above example is that I did *not* say that a disordered arrangement had more entropy than an alphabetical arrangement. A single disordered arrangement is still only one way to arrange the books. However, if you restrict your books to some ordered arrangements (like alphabetized or Dewey Decimal), you are decreasing the number of configurations available to it.

      Now consider arrangements of clothing. There is some number of ways that I can arrange all my clothes in my closet. But if I do not restrict my clothing to be in my closet, there are more ways to arrange it, because now not only do I have the arrangements of clothes in my closets accessible to me but I also have arrangements of clothing which includes the floor, the bathroom, hanging from a telephone wire, et cetera. So the fewer restrictions you have on the space available to you, the greater the entropy. So you can make the statement that a "clean" room is more ordered than a "messy" one, because the "clean" criteria places a greater restriction on the number of available arrangements.

      The subtle point to which you are alluding is that it doesn't really make a lot of sense to discuss the entropy of a point in phase space. Sure. But you can definitely talk about volumes. And it's incorrect to say that you can't apply it to macroscopic examples. You can.

      Specifically, I can say that a "clean" room--a room in which my clothes are restricted to my closet, my books to my bookshelf, and my laptop computer is nicely on a desk--has more entropy than a "messy" room where my books are on my floor, my clothes hanging over my chair, and I'm sitting on my bed with my laptop typing an e-mail about entropy.

      If you're still unhappy with applications to books, consider the following model. I have N distinguishable particles which I place on a 1 dimensional lattice of size N. To make it easy, let's say that all configurations have the same energy. Now the entropy of this system is just k_B ln W, where W=N!, the number of ways you can arrange N distinguishable particles. So S(unrestricted) = k_B ln N!

      Now imagine that we restrict ourselves to one of those orderings. Then S (restricted) = k_B ln W', where W' = 1, So S(restricted) = 0. As you expect, S(unrestricted) > S (restricted). In other words, the application of a constraint away from an equilibrium distribution reduces entropy.

      This is isomorphic to the ordering of books.

      --
      Read Bujold. Free (as in
    4. Re:Define order, Define disorder by PD · · Score: 2

      I didn't say any of that at all. What I said is that the word is overloaded, and informational entropy is only the same as thermodynamic entropy when one is careful to make the states of the information system correspond to the states of the thermodynamic system.

    5. Re: Define order, Define disorder by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2


      > > perhaps someone should attempt to define order or disorder, without being circular in their definitions.

      > Someone did. His name was Boltzmann. The more ordered a system is, the fewer microstates available to it. What does that mean? Well, a macroscopic example is this: imagine you have a bunch of books you're putting on a shelf. There's only one way to put the books alphabetically (assuming you have no duplicate copies). But there's a really large number of ways to put them on if you put them every which way. So let's compare the order of two systems. Our first system is our books on the shelf, restricted to alphabetical ordering. The second is our books on the shelf. The first system has only one way it can be arranged; the second (assuming we have more than one book) has more. So the first system is more ordered.

      Forgive my nit-picking, but your macroscopic example is apt to lead certain people (creationists) to faulty conclusions about what the second law of thermodynamics actually says, and I'd like to try to nip that in the bud, since I'm really tired of hearing bogus 2LoT arguments against the theory of evolution. (Other than that it's an excellent post - not least because it made me drag my physics book out.)

      Let's start with the conventional statement of the 2LoT:

      deltaS = deltaQ/T >= 0
      S is "entropy", I've used the formulation for a closed system, for simplicity, since the distinction between open and closed systems shouldn't enter into what I say in this post.)

      Notice that the units for deltaQ/T are J/K, Joules per Kelvin, units of heat and temperature respectively. (No intent to lecture you on something you probably know better than I, Fiver-rah; I'm just trying to make sure all the newbies are on board for what follows.) At any rate, these units may sound kind of odd if you try to visualize what J/K means, but ultimately there's no surprise at seeing those units in the 2LoT because it is, after all, a law of thermodynamics.

      Now correct me if I'm wrong, but at the bottom line the 2LoT is about limits on the ability to exploit the heat in a system to do work. In particular, it claims that non-reversible processes have a permanent cost to the theromodynamic "budget" of the universe. [Insert comments about open vs closed systems here, if needed.]

      Now look at Boltzman's analysis of S:
      S = k ln W
      Notice in passing that we're now talking about S rather than deltaS, so this is not a restatement of the 2LoT; it's a statement about one of the quantities that appears in the 2LoT.

      Now W is a measure of arrangements of state space, a count normalized into a probability, and thus a dimensionless number. Thus ln W is dimensionless as well. But k is Boltzman's constant, with units of - you guessed it - J/K. So Boltzman's analysis, though expressed in terms of "order", is still a statement about thermodynamics.

      And that's why I don't like your macroscopic example. (OK, it's good for understanding "order", and you admitted that it was a little simplistic, so I'm not so much faulting your post as pointing out the danger of using your example to gain an understanding of the 2LoT, which experience tells me some people will certainly try to do.)

      My point, framed as a question, is: what the heck does the ordering of the books have to do with J/K? Or with entropy at all, in the thermodynamic sense? Unless the individual books are at different temperatures, the amount of thermodynamic work you can extract from them doesn't depend on their alphabetic ordering at all. And if they are at different temperatures, any thermodynamic concerns will be based on their ordering w.r.t. the various books' temperatures, not on their ordering w.r.t. alphabetical considerations.

      You did mention microstates in your post, and that works fine. E.g., if you have a sealed room that is "ordered" in the sense that the air on one side is hot and the air on the other side is cold - a gross description of a very low-probability microstate of the air molecules - then it is easy for an agent in the room to exploit that ordering to do work. But if the air is at the same temperature throughout - a gross description of a very high-probability microstate of the air molecules - it is impossible to extract work from that "disordered" state. Moreover, in the "ordered" room, if the agent does exploit that "order" to get some work out of the system, it is only done at the cost of decreasing the "order", i.e. by converting part of that convenient heat arrangement to noise, AKA "waste heat", an increase in disorder of the thermal microstate. Finally, within the "ordered" room it is possible for certain irreversible processes to happen spontaneously, i.e. in the absence of any barricade the two halves of the room will settle down to a constant temperature throughout, without the help of any occupant of the room. (And ultimately, in spite of anything an occupant of the room could do about it, since the occupant would have to do work fighting the disorder, and merely add disorder of his own by doing that work.)

      But when you go from microstates to a macroscopic example you can get into trouble very quickly. I.e., if you treat the books as a system and all the books are the same temperature (as you would expect on a bookshelf, generally speaking), then you can't get any more thermodynamic work out of the ordered row of books than you could get out of the same books in a randomized order. Moreover, the "ordered" arrangement of books will never spontaneously rearrange itself into a disordered arrangement, the way the "ordered" gasses in the room would.

      This macroscopic ordering and any "entropy" calculated from it simply isn't the kind of thing the 2LoT is talking about. When reading about the 2LoT, always keep in mind that it's a law of thermodynamics, and it's ultimately about extracting work from heat sources. Otherwise you're likely to draw some incorrect conclusions about the way the universe works. Notice that I don't dogmatically say "there are no other applications"; I'm merely saying that you have to be careful about where you try to apply it. It's certainly safe to think of thermodynamic entropy in terms of the "ordering" of heat in some collection of molecules, but if you want to go beyond that you'd better be a physicist, or spend some quality time with some physics books before you stick your neck out.

      The key difference between the molecules in the room and the books on the shelf, as far as I can tell, is that the molecules are in Brownian (AKA "thermal") motion and can easily pass one another by, or transfer energy between each other via collisions, so that any "order" the the heat in the room gets spread out evenly (at the macroscopic level) spontaneously. But the books are not in motion on a macroscopic scale - certainly not enough to pass each other by on the shelf - so they can't spontaneously re-arrange themselves on the shelves. The laws of thermodynamics tell us lots of interesting stuff about the, well, thermodynamics of the molecules that the books are made of, but nothing at all about the conceptual ordering of the books on the shelf on the macroscopic scale.

      So unless I'm badly mistaken, Boltzman's expression should be taken as a statement about the distribution of heat in a system rather than about some abstract concept of "order".

      BTW, notice that Boltzman's analysis is what inspired the "entropy" that lies at the bottom of information theory:
      S = - \sum p_i log_2 p_i
      S is "entropy" again, but not at all the same thing as in thermodynamics. p_i ("p sub i") is the probability that the random variable under consideration is in state i, some index of all the possible states. Notice that Boltzman's constant is absent, and thus so are the units. However, when we use log_2 we say the units are bits, since in fact this information entropy, the negated sum over all the possible states i for the random variable under consideration, tells us how many bits, on average, are needed to describe the state the variable is in whenever it is observed. (Rarely you will see someone use the natural ln instead of log_2, in which case the units are variously described as "nats" or "nits", on analogy with "bits".)

      At any rate, notice that it is fair to start talking about the entropy of macroscopic states, such as rows of books, using this definition of "entropy", if you want to treat the ordering of the books as a random variable. But notice, very importantly, that although it shares the same name and a very similar formulation, it is not the same thing as thermodynamic entropy. This can be seen, very readily, by noticing that one has units of J/K and the other has units of bits, and there is not direct conversion between those two types of units. The information entropy in the books' ordering w.r.t. the alphabet is not affected by their temperature (unless of course you let them get hot enough to combust).

      So please, please, please, don't try to apply the 2LoT some non-thermodynamic concept of "order". Your room gets messy because you're a slob, not because of the 2LoT.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    6. Re: Define order, Define disorder by Fiver-rah · · Score: 2
      deltaS = deltaQ/T >= 0

      Two-fold reverse nitpick here. Number one: There ain't no such thing as "delta Q". Saying "delta Q" implies that you're comparing the heat for the initial and the final states. But heat is not a state function. Heat is associated with a path, not with a change in states.

      Number two. The entropy change of a process is not equal to q/T, unless the process occured reversibly.

      As for the rest, I'm completely baffled that other people seem to think there's no such thing as macroscopic entropy which can be associated with books. You can. Absolutely. One hundred percent. The only reason we haven't yet is that I haven't defined an energy associated with my model. In the case where all states have the same energy, temperature is irrelevant. For background, see a previous post where I map the books analogy onto a particle-like system. Once I define an energy for my system, I can determine exactly what the entropy is (assuming I'm sufficiently clever to solve the model, which I won't be unless I make it really simple).

      The connection you're missing is the Gibbs Entropy formula. This is going to look familiar to you:

      S = - k_B sum_i p_i ln p_i

      I can take any system I want, macroscopic or not. If I can figure out the energy associated with a state, I can use the Boltzmann distribution to determine its relative probability. I can write a partition function, and I can determine an entropy.

      Now you're right that rooms don't get messy because of the second law. Of course not. My room is not a closed system. This is because my room contains me, and I am most definitely not a closed system. So the second law of thermodynamics doesn't apply.

      However, one can use macroscopic examples such as messy rooms and disordered books to bolster our intuition. As long as we're counting states and being simplistic (or sufficiently careful) about the dynamic behaviour we're describing, we should be safe.

      --
      Read Bujold. Free (as in
  4. definitions of species by Alien54 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    There has been a lack of clarity and precision in the definition of individual species. For example, in certain bears, and other wide ranging creatures, you get variations that lead some scientists to classify two different animals as different species, when in fact they could crossbreed with viable young.

    As an example closer to home take a look at common dogs. I can bet that some biologist in the far future (say 100 million years from now) is going to find all of these dog fossils, especially in pet cemetaries, etc. and conclude that these were all different species of animal. A chihauhau vs a Saint Bernard? the same species? come on now.... ;-)

    This loose grey zone is probably part of the problem. and I can see them trying desperately trying to find the intermediate forms in the fossil record. They will have just "mysteriously appeared"

    --
    "It is a greater offense to steal men's labor, than their clothes"
    1. Re:definitions of species by kin_korn_karn · · Score: 2

      that's the problem that DNA solves - it provides a scientific approach to the data that creates the physical "composition" of life. Humans were breeding animals for different characteristics for thousands of years before they knew exactly what caused the characteristics to come out.

    2. Re:definitions of species by LMCBoy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The entire concept of a "species" is the problem; the "loose grey zone" is the reality.

      We classify organisms into species in order to make some sense of what we observe, but we should always keep in mind that the classification is artificially imposed, and somewhat arbitrary. The fossil record of any group of related organisms shows discrete snapshots of a continuous variation through time and geography (punctuated equilibrium does not refute this, it just says that the rate of evolution is not constant).

      The species model describes evolutionary change as "creatures evolving from species A to species B to species C", with the implicit understanding that these are just arbitrary markers along the continuous evolutionary path, not coincidentally placed where there are well-preserved examples in the (incomplete) fossil record.

      Unfortunately, this implicit understanding doesn't really get through to popular understanding of evolution; hence the many heated debates about speciation and how to tell when it occurs, when in fact speciation is not a real phenomenon at all, but a classification tool.

      --
      Liberal (adj.): Free from bigotry; open to progress; tolerant of others.
    3. Re:definitions of species by joss · · Score: 2

      But can a chihauhau interbreed with a saint bernard ? If the chihauhau was the bitch it would look like the saint bernard was playing with a hand[..] puppet. The other way round would look pretty darn silly too.. "take it all, bitch". Oh well, it's Friday...

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    4. Re:definitions of species by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 3, Informative

      That has never been the scientist's definition of species. The definition of species is not, "A group of animals that can interbreed and produce viable offspring."

      The definition of species is, and always has been, "A group of animals that can and do produce viable offspring."

      If this seems vague to you, good! The definition of species *is* vague. It has to be. "Species" is a concept that humans invented to help them describe the world around them. Very very often, it doesn't work. There's no way to change it so that it will work.

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
    5. Re:definitions of species by !splut · · Score: 4, Informative

      The delineation of species boundaries necessarily takes into consideration more than the ability to interbreed and produce viable offspring. Indeed, the taxonomic definition of the "species" classification is very plastic, and differs with the groups of organisms considered.

      The advent of the use of genetic markers for classification provides some greater degree of accuracy and standardization in the process, but it does not eliminate the inherant flexibility in the definition. (From a bioinformatic standpoint, there is a whole other set of problems with trying to accurately portray evolutionary distances from genetic variation.)

      Consider a group of animals with a continuous distribution over a very large area. All the members of this population are capable of interbreeding, and the uninterrupted distribution allows for genetic drift throughout the entire population. Individuals from different geographic regions will have subtly different physical characteristics, but the whole population is still considered a single species. This is a fairly classic situation. (The benefit of a large gene pool likely outweights the benifit of these subspecies differentiating into wholly different species, if you want to look at it that way.)

      Then, consider a group of animals with a discontinuous distributuion over a large range. Individual populations may be able to interbreed with one another, but there is no natural genetic exchange among these separate populations. Subtle differences between the groups may, in this case, warrent classification as separate species, because they represent different gene pools drifting in different directions.

      The complexity of the issue compounds when one looks outside the animal kingdom. For instance, essentially the entire family or orchids, with some 1000 genera and 20,000 species, exhibits a high degree of genetic plasticity, with species readily hybridizing across genera. And again, the definition of "species" must be reevaluated when one considers the bacterial world.

      Anyway, the point of all this is to show that the grey zone is there for a reason. The alternative is to explicity redefine taxonomic criteria for every different group of organisms, which defeats the entire purpose of a single classification system.

      --
      The angel in the oatmeal.
    6. Re:definitions of species by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 2

      Yes, true. I'm trying to say that species is a broken concept.

      Anyway. Humans isolated on an island for a long period of time, like several thousand years, would absolutely be considered a separate species by this definition. Of course, the second they're discovered, if they can still interbreed, they're no longer a separate species.

      Also, who says homosexuals don't breed? Three of my best friends have gay parents. It doesn't matter for the definition, though. People who don't breed aren't separate species, they're just unsuccessful members of their species.

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
    7. Re:definitions of species by Lars+T. · · Score: 2
      So you mean that these animals (like your different bears) are infact the same species, because they can crossbreed with viable young. While OTOH horses and donkeys are different species - that can have offspring but that will not be fertile. Well,guess again.
      "Since 1527 approximately 60 live births of foals to mules have been reported, in Europe, the USA, South America, North Africa and China."

      WHY ARE MULES USUALLY INFERTILE?
      Basically, because the chromosomes of horses and donkeys are different: "The donkey has 62 chromosomes (31 pairs), the horse 64 (32 pairs) and the mule and hinny each have 63 chromosomes - of which many pairs are unevenly matched. It is not just the number of chromosomes which is different in donkeys and horses, but their structure: they have developed slightly differently over evolutionary time....The donkey and horse chromosomes are almost completely unable to pair up."

      Of course this is all just a trick by either God or Satan.
      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    8. Re:definitions of species by Bazzargh · · Score: 2

      So the creationists are probably right when they say that all species arose 10,000 years ago... because it was about then that man started to classify animals ;)

      -Baz

  5. The Rise of Evolution Fraud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
    For an opposing viewpoint, I highly recommend The Rise of Evolution Fraud ISBN 095 0604224.

    Evolution is always promoted as being founded on scientific facts that were collected by Darwin, and this was why it gradually gained acceptance in the universities, schools etc. This book demonstrates that it was promoted for many years before Darwin, his Origin of Species only appearing at the right time.

    The ground work for the acceptance of evolution was laid by Charles Lyell in his Principles of Geology. He quickly befriended Darwin when he returned from the Beagle voyage and the circumstantial evidence is that it was he who suggested to Darwin he should write about evolution. Darwin had no thought of it before then.

    Throughout the famous Beagle voyage, Darwin was far more interested in geology than biology. He did NOT think of evolution whilst visiting the Galapagos and seeing the various beaks of the finches. This was pointed out to him by the ornithologist entrusted with his collection AFTER he had returned to England. He made many such (false) claims in his "biography" which he wrote late in his life.

    1. Re:The Rise of Evolution Fraud by Bunjo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Creationists seem to think that evolutionists in some way hold to Darwin. They do not. They care about the theory itself, not about the bearded fellow who came up with it. Don't think of Darwin as our Jebus.

  6. Re:Troll. by Turing+Machine · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No morals, no absolute truth; no right or wrong.

    Wrong. Morals are created by human beings.

    The moral code YOU apparently believe in was created by a band of savage goat herders in the Middle East thousands of years ago, not by some spook. The spook part is just to delude the ignorant.

    If you want to see the consequence of applying the moral code of savage Middle Eastern goat herders to the modern world, I direct you to Ground Zero, New York, New York.

    You think Christanity or Judaism are any better? Try actually READING your Bible, rather than thumping it. Start with Numbers Chapter 31.

    It may give you a whole different perspective on the presumed raping, killing, and murdering that you allege will be committed by nonbelievers.

    Your moral code sucks. It was designed for ignorant savages. If you adhere to it, that makes YOU an ignorant savage.

  7. No such thing, really by cje · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The concepts of "microevolution" and "macroevolution" are basically arbitrary distinctions invented by people who are forced to admit that biological evolution does, in fact, happen, but cannot accept that twin-nested hierarchies of evolutionary common descent are the source of the biodiversity on Earth.

    Let me give you an example. If I stand on one side of my living room and take tiny toe-to-heel steps, I will reach the other side of my living room within a minute or so. If I stand on one edge of my town and do the same thing, I'll reach the other side in a day or so. If I stand in New York and do the same thing, I'll reach Los Angeles in a few hundred years (just a guess, really.)

    The point is this: in each of the three examples, the results are increasingly visible and dramatic, but the process is exactly the same. You would not, I presume, suggest that I was "micro-walking" in my living room and "macro-walking" across America. Some people seem to think that evolution is some sort of directed Black Magik. It's not. Biological evolution is variation in the gene pool of a population over time. That's it. That's all it is. The fact that its results are more visible and dramatic over time should not be particularly surprising to anybody.

    --
    We're going down, in a spiral to the ground
    1. Re:No such thing, really by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 2

      Young-earth creationists have a problem: the appearance of history. It is quite possible that God did create the universe just 6,000 years ago, complete with the appearance of history. It is more provable that my Cat, Sidney, created the world, complete with the appearance of history, Last Thursday.

      The fossil record is no where near complete. Evolution lets us make predictions, though, that those arguing for a separate creation of individual species have a difficult time explaining. With Archaeopteryx sharing many skeletal characteristics of therapod dinosaurs and one characteristic of Birds (feathers), it was easy to predict that there would be more fossils found with more dinosaur-like features and fewere bird-like features, and vice versa. The recent finds of feathered dinosaurs in China confirms this prediction.

    2. Re:No such thing, really by LMCBoy · · Score: 2

      How about the fact that the oldest fossils are all microscopic organisms? The record is clear: for the first two billion years that there was life on Earth, life consisted only of single-celled organisms.

      It was only 500 million years ago that the first vertebrate animals lived (fish), and 400 million years ago that we see the earliest record of life on land (millipedes).

      Land-based, vertebrate life has existed only during the most recent 20% of the history of all life, so it just isn't possible that all species were created at the same time, "more or less as they are now".

      (source: Timeline of life on Earth)

      --
      Liberal (adj.): Free from bigotry; open to progress; tolerant of others.
    3. Re:No such thing, really by cje · · Score: 2

      .. who is to say that the 'inital' creation of animals wasn't simply a day where God seeded the world with animals in various stages of change?

      You could certainly say that (many creationists do) and it would be impossible to disprove. Now, this is not a very scientific theory, and there's a question about whether it makes sense or not, but if people choose to believe that, then that is their business.

      Are fossil records considered complete and accurate enough to 'prove' this was not the case?

      Well, that doesn't really matter since you could just say that God created the fossil record too. ;-)

      --
      We're going down, in a spiral to the ground
    4. Re:No such thing, really by overunderunderdone · · Score: 2

      The concepts of "microevolution" and "macroevolution" are basically arbitrary distinctions invented by people who are forced to admit that biological evolution does, in fact, happen,

      In all fairness to the original poster that simply is not so. To simplisticly say that species originate in the same way that varieties of breeds withing species originate only over more time is simply false and provably so. To assert it IS so when it is not simply makes a nice big straw man for creationists to knock over.

      Variation among different breeds or sub-species within a species is possible because of the genetic diversity that ALREADY EXISTS within the parent population. All of the genes to end up with either a chihuaua or a Saint Bernard were present in the earlier domesticated canine that was their common ancestor. And there are obvious limits to such breeding. You never get genetic information that the parents didn't have so your canine can never adapt in a gradual way to develop gills or wings to adapt to it's environment. As a matter of fact most of the really aggresively breeded types of dog are pretty much at the limit of variation such subdivision of original genetic information allows. Starting with a wolf and breeding for small size you can make dramatic changes in only a few generations. Starting with a chihuaua and breeding for small size and you can make only modest changes over many generations because you have already bred down to the smalles size dog possible with the genes available.

      On the "microevolutionary" scale natural selection does the breeding rather than the American Kennel society. But the genetic mechanism is the same - different breeds are bred by selecting a sub-set of genetic characteristics from a larger set of genetic characteristics present in the parent population. Genes for finches with various beak characteristics, or lighter or darker wings on moths are all microevolutionary changes achieved by genetic mechanisms that can never by themselves explain the origin of species.

      Unless you are positing that the earliest life was a single celled organism with a spectacular amount of genetic information sufficient to create by subdivision all of the genetic diversity we see in the species around us you need to add new information. Macroevolution needs mechanisms to add new genetic information to add new genetic information to the existing gene pool that natural selection is selecting from. Mutation (and other more exotic mechanisms like gene transfer) are the suggested mechanisms to turn microevolutiony varieties within a species into macroevolution which can breed species themselves. The argument is whether mutation and the other suggested mechanisms are sufficient to explain the existence of the species and the complexity of biological processes we see around us.

      To use your analogy: the microevolutionary changes we usually observe in nature like finch beaks and moth wings are like the tiny heel-to-toe steps you describe but limited by being chained to a peg in the ground. You can go pretty far at first but then you are stuck until someone (mutation) adds a link to the chain. As you can see this makes your trip to LA a great deal more arduous than you (and Darwin) originally thought.

    5. Re:No such thing, really by overunderunderdone · · Score: 2

      The gene pool is not static, nor is it limited to pre-existing information.

      No, but the changes we see in within species are from an essentially static gene pool. If you have blonde hair and both your parents were brunettes we generally assume you are blonde because of a recessive gene your parents had, not because of a mutation. The same is true in breeds of dogs, cats, finches and moths. Darwins finches did not vary because of mutation or because the gene pool was dynamic but because the genes for all of that diversity existed within the population. 99.99% of the changes from one generation to the next are the result of pre-existing genetic diversity not the addition of new genetic information to that diversity. Prexisting genetic diversity alone is what we see at work in the overwhelming majority of variations within speicies whether the agent selecting the subset of genes is selective breeding or natural selection.

      I did not say that macroevolution was impossible! I was simply pointing out that there is an obvious and valid distinction between microevolution and macroevolution. Microevolution is overwhelmingly the result of variation within an essentially static (in the timeframes in which we observe it) gene pool. Macroevolution is the result of the gradual change in that gene pool due to mutation.

      As you point out changes to a species due to mutation is a very slow process, yet microevolutionary changes caused by natural selection can be quite rapid by comparison. Just a few generations of natural selection can cause significant changes in a population but the genetic information was already there.

      Your basic problem is that you have trouble dealing with scales of probability. Because it takes a lot of successful mutations, and most mutations are lethal, you assume that it is not possible, or at least very unlikely, that mutations could add enough information to a gene pool to cause a new species to arise from another. Given the time scales involved, all you need is any non-zero probablity for it to work.

      I think it is still a fair question though to examine whether the numbers add up. Saying "well it's a long time" is as much a cop out as "well that's the way God made it" The time spans in which we see substantially different new species arise in the fossil record is finite and a known value. The rate of change to a gene pool over time due to mutation is something that can be extrapolated. Do the two add up? I don't know, even outspoken defenders of evolution like Gould found the Cambrian explosion problematic - recent findings suggest it was preceeded by an "evolutionary fuse" long enough for evolution to explain the phenomena. Nevertheless the question is valid and any scientist that resents the question or resorts to ad hominem attacks on the questioner is no more entitled to the name "scientist" than the most flat-earth, fundamentalist, short-creation day "creation scientist"

  8. Re:7 day creationism by spamtrap · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I guess the real problem is that science demands theories that can be tested for falsehood..

    Consider that I can substitue ANY imagined creature for God and end up in the same place.

    Faires created species.. is as valid as God.. or..Zeus.. No I can't show you a fairy.. Nor you show me God.. It's an impasse.

    What you end up with is what is sometimes called 'God in the cracks' That is, anything that we can't explain yet, is assumed to be the part that God did.

    As soon as we fill in that crack with science.. God must move to the next problem.

    Chuck

  9. Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by Tyrone+Slothrop · · Score: 4, Insightful
    They don't care about evolution but what it implies, which is, according to them, a weakening in the requirement to believe in god.

    Without god, there are no moral absolutes, goes the argument. And without moral absolutes, why, what's to prevent all sorts of immorality?

    Therefore, attempts to debate the theory of evolution with "christian" fundamentalists, or their fellow travelers, is pointless, because you are challenging their entire world view, not objectively evaluating competing scientific theories.

    FWIW, almost all thinking non-fundamentalist Christians, as do most educated people regardless of religious belief/nonbelief, realize evolution is a scientific reality.

    And we, the vast majority, further realize that evolution doesn't imply anything about morality, or the existence of god, one way or the other.

    And therefore there is no reason to waste time in high school science classes teaching theories like creationism that are neither theologically nor scientifically interesting.

    1. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by The+Asmodeus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      [quote] FWIW, almost all thinking non-fundamentalist Christians, as do most educated people regardless of religious belief/nonbelief, realize evolution is a scientific reality. [/quote]

      I know it's nitpicky but evolution is a scientific "possibility". It is still regarded as a theory after all. And I know this non-fundamental Christian believes God could have used evolution to create us.

      I would say it's the most likely theory. Ahead of the "we came from another world" theories for certain. But "scientific fact" which was actually "scientific theory" has been proven wrong so many times in the past. And we laugh at those "scientists" of the past and wonder HOW they could have been so stupid but yet we repeat that mistake ourselves.

    2. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by SN74S181 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's quite possible to believe that God created the universe that evolution is one part of.

      In fact, 'creationists' would build a stronger basis for their faith if they'd just acknowledge this truth. Clinging to their literal interpretation of scripture is vain, even blasphemous.

    3. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by jordanda · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You have to realize that undermining the Creation myth does undermine something that is fundamental to the Christian faith. If you toss out Adam and Eve then nobody ate the apple and there is no original sin. Without sin there is no need for Christ. Christians have to hold on to the creation myth in order to validate the doctrine of salvation, which is central to their religion.

    4. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by scrytch · · Score: 2

      I know it's nitpicky but evolution is a scientific "possibility". It is still regarded as a theory after all

      No it is not. Evolution is accepted as fact by any scientist who subscribes to the scientific method. There are mountains of evidence to back it, no counterexamples to it, and speciation has been directly observed through rigorous experiment. It's as much theory as the "germ theory of disease" or the "theory of relativity".

      I could post a link, but just google for talk.origins FAQ and do some reading.

      --
      I've finally had it: until slashdot gets article moderation, I am not coming back.
    5. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by PD · · Score: 3, Informative

      I know it's nitpicky but evolution is a scientific "possibility". It is still regarded as a theory after all.

      Evolution is a fact - it has been observed to happen, which cannot be disputed. HOW it happens is the theory of evolution by natural selection.

      BTW, a theory in science isn't anything like the commonplace notion of a theory. Theories aren't haphazard guesses, they are fully supported by fact and represent the most powerful explanation that we can devise.

      Example: The theory of gravity is "only" a theory, but does anyone go around saying that it's hardly proven to exist?

    6. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by cp99 · · Score: 2

      Given that many Christians believe in evolution, and not in the creation myth in a literal sense, it can't be that fundamental.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    7. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by rabidcow · · Score: 2

      Evolution as a process is a fact.
      Evolution as the origin of the species is a theory.

      This is because we can't go back in time and observe it directly, while we *can* observe the process itself today.

    8. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by PD · · Score: 2

      Speciation has been observed on several occasions, both in the lab and in nature, making it a fact.

    9. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by Tyrone+Slothrop · · Score: 5, Insightful
      "What bothers me most as a Christian is that the theory of evolution is presented as fact"

      Nonsense.

      What bothers you most as a christian is that you believe that somehow evolution implies something about the truth of your beliefs. Otherwise, it's such an esoteric and complicated theory you wouldn't waste your time coming up with examples.

      For example, it is rare indeed to see a statement such as "what bothers me as a christian about the infectious theory of disease is..." or "what bothers me as a christian about the theory of musical harmony.."

      Just like disease theories and musical theories, evolution implies nothing about either your religion or about how to behave and discussing the theories is totally irrelevant.

      Therefore, attempts to argue the truth of evolution with someone arguing "as a christian" is pointless. Again, it has nothing whatsoever to do with christianity as most people understand the religion.

      However, what IS germane is to point out, over and over again, is that the argument for creationism is really about the effort to force a particular, and IMO very ugly, moral agenda into public schools. An agenda which, again, squares not at all with the moral agenda of most practicing religious people.

    10. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by Zathrus · · Score: 2

      Ok, first off I'm an atheist, but I was raised a Catholic.

      The Catholic Church is one of the few that buys the whole "original sin" concept. Many of the protestant churches threw it out as a matter of course when they split from the Church during the Reformation or later.

      Christ did not come to redeem Original Sin alone, even in the Catholic Church (although in it that aspect is heavily pushed, as do any religions that say an unbaptized child goes to Limbo/Purgatory/etc).

      The creation myth and the coming of Christ are not irretrievably linked. Attempting to state that they are shows a deep misunderstanding of Christian beliefs and belittles the issue.

    11. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by Zathrus · · Score: 2

      Ah, but (to play devil's advocate), just because speciation has been observed in other creatures doesn't make human evolution from chimpanzees a fact. Until there is definitive proof that we evolved from chimps it remains a theory.

      Now, that said, believing that speciation does occur and then stating that it didn't occur to us is a pretty silly argument. It places humans in a special case scenario, which is pretty freaking unlikely. And since (to me at least), the belief in God presumes a special-case argument then dissolving the other special cases starts eating away at the fundamental one -- that there's a God personally interested in you.

      All the same, macro-evolution isn't a fact quite yet, although there's one hell of a lot of evidence supporting the theory. But until there is observed evolution from one genus to another, one family to another, all the way to kingdoms, it can't be called a fact.

    12. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by dvdeug · · Score: 3

      ever raising religion as an argument. (Which is not to imply that it's not a vaild one...)

      Why is it a valid argument? It presumes the answer, and you either take it on faith or not. There's no argument part to it.

      The best site I've found on this topic is Science Against Evolution

      Which has a section "Christianity versus Evolution". That's not science; it's about as believable as the cigarette companies claiming smoking doesn't cause cancer.

      the one about the insurmountable difficulties of reptilian-to-mammal evolution. If you believe that one happened, I've got a bridge to sell you...)

      And yet you believe that some being could just wish this world into existence in one piece? In any way the world was created, extraordinary things happened.

      The Science Against Evolution site is written and managed by "Do-while Jones" a nom de plume for David Pogge, who in 1990 was given the considerable honor of being made a Fellow at the US Naval Weapons Center at China Lake. He is one of the world's most accomplished programmers

      What does a programmer know about biology? Would you let him diagnose your illness? History is ripe with smart people speaking nonsense outside their field of knowledge.

    13. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by edremy · · Score: 2

      Until there is definitive proof that we evolved from chimps it remains a theory.

      Nitpick. We didn't evolve from chimps anymore than I came from my sister. Chimps and humans had common ancestors.

      All the same, macro-evolution isn't a fact quite yet, although there's one hell of a lot of evidence supporting the theory. But until there is observed evolution from one genus to another, one family to another, all the way to kingdoms, it can't be called a fact.

      Well, there's a fossil record that shows macroevolution quite clearly. No, we didn't watch it happen, but we can't/don't watch lots of things we believe in. If I find a fallen tree laying in the woods I don't assume that it's some wierd tree that grows sideways: I assume it grew like all the others and then fell over. I *might* even hazard a guess that a beaver did it if I see gnawing marks on the stump, even if I didn't see a beaver. Indeed, even if I had never seen a beaver or knew they existed I'd probably take a guess that it was eaten by an animal and I'd have a pretty good idea of how big it was and what its teeth and claws looked like. Palentologists are pretty good at that sort of reasoning which is why the fossil record is such strong evidence- most of it fits, although there's still lots to argue about.

      We'll never see evolution of new kingdoms: we won't be around long enough.

      --
      "Seven Deadly Sins? I thought it was a to-do list!"
    14. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by dublin · · Score: 2

      Any competent sceintist or engineer trained in scientific method is more than qulified enough to point out some of the deplorable "science" that's propping up evolutionary theory these days.

      For example, take Donald Johanson's ridiculous claims that the Laetoli footprints are those of A. Afaensis ("Lucy") despite the fact that no footbones were found with Lucy, the footprints are miles away, and that in order to keep his argument from being recognized for the fraud it is, he fabricated "a composite foot, made from fossil bones belonging to Homo from nearby Olduvai Gorge combined with Hadar toe bones, has been shown to fit the Laetoli prints." (This is a direct quote from Johanson himself, from his book Ancestors, 1994, Villard Books, pages 66-67.)

      This is the sort of "science" that butresses modern evolutionary theory. That's not science, that's bullcrap! And neither I nor Pogge needs to be a biologist, anthropologist, or any other kind of -ist in order to validly point that out.

      Evolution is, in fact, losing credibility as people begin to look at it critically. Witness the fac that the journal Natural History, hardly a bastion of creationist thought, recognized the validity of Intelligent Design enough to give three ID proponents (Michael J. Behe, William A. Dembski, and Jonathan Wells) an unprecedented page and a half each to present thier arguments in favor of ID in the April 2002 issue.

      Intelligent Design is not something that can be written off as lightly as you might like, a tendency, I might add, that's more driven by your worldview and urgency to deny a Creator than it can be by any scientific fact.

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    15. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      Without god, there are no moral absolutes, goes the argument. And without moral absolutes, why, what's to prevent all sorts of immorality?

      In practice a belief in God(s) does not make somebody behave better. The percent of athiests in Jail is no higher, and perhaps lower, then the general population. (I heard such a stat, but never verified it myself.)

      Thus, (! God_belief == Chaos) does not stand up to actual events and human behavior patterns.

    16. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by dublin · · Score: 2

      Which has a section "Christianity versus Evolution". That's not science; it's about as believable as the cigarette companies claiming smoking doesn't cause cancer.

      Funny, I'm pretty familiar with the site, having been reading it for years, and niether I nor Google can find the "section" you mention. There is a standard ratings system employed for all references, so the direction and degree of bias (in either direction) are clear and documented. This should be a good thing in any fair and balanced discussion.

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    17. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by rabidcow · · Score: 2

      Origin of *the* species, as in how we got here. Speciation in the present is still just the process.

      Observing that a process can produce a result does not mean that that result must have been produced by that process. Saying that it must is inductive reasoning, thus theory.

    18. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by dvdeug · · Score: 2

      Evolution is, in fact, losing credibility as people begin to look at it critically.

      Young-earth creationism lost all credibility over a century ago. Whatever happens to evolution, young-earth creationism has been established to be wrong. If evolution is also wrong, then we need a good alternate theory - which may be the eternal existance of life in an eternal universe, for example. The fact that none of the anti-evolution people picked that as a theory makes me suspicious of their motives.

    19. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by PD · · Score: 2

      Well, that's not really an argument at all!

      Others have posted the link to the relevant information on talkorigins, you should probably check it. Denying that speciation occurs and has been observed is like denying that the Earth rotates on its axis.

    20. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by rabidcow · · Score: 2

      Eh? I'm not *trying* to make an argument, and I'm not denying that speciation has been observed. Whose posts are you reading?

    21. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by junkgrep · · Score: 2

      ---This definition of evolution pushes it outside the realm of natural science so it is fundamentally different from what theory of evolution actually claims.---

      Well, not exactly. It certainly adds things that no scientific theory mandates. But that doesn't necessarily take anything away or undermine the theory itself: it simply adds elements that are otherwise extraneous and unnecessary.

    22. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by junkgrep · · Score: 2

      Ooo oooo! Can I have the chance to yet again realize that a reversed burden of proof can explain away anything! All you would have to do is suggest that it is possible to reconcile some interpretation of any passage with observable fact. Against that sort of backwards burden of proof, anyone could defend the accuracy of just about anything.

    23. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by PD · · Score: 2

      You make me so sad. You clearly don't understand, yet you claim that you do. When your mind is closed, there is no hope. The only person who can be taught is the one who wants to be taught. You see other's faults, but ignore the stick in your own eye. So sad. It is impossible to reason someone out of a position that they didn't reason themselves into.

    24. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by PD · · Score: 2

      If you want to debate the issues, then do it. Your condecending attitude though tells me that you haven't a clue as to what you are talking about and would rather attack me as a person.

      You've already done that to me. You called me closed minded, when in fact I am the most open minded person that you'll probably communicate with today.

      So please stop your pathetic "so sad" rhetoric before your head explodes from self worth.

      What is the source of your anger?

      Now, you are stating evolution as fact, I'm saying it's a theory that has yet to be proven.

      Definitions and evidence have all been covered in this thread in other messages. No need to repeat myself. Read the evidence and ask me a question that is pertinent, or come up with an argument.

      Evolution's a fact, and I'm still waiting for something from you.

      Until then, I'm sad that your education is lacking, and I'm sad that you have so much anger towards me.

    25. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by PD · · Score: 2

      It wasn't an attack at all. It was a lament.

      Anyway to address your points one by one:

      1) Yes, you said that. And you are wrong.
      2) Yes, I said that, and I am right. The citation is given by myself and others elsewhere in the thread.
      3) Yes, I said that, and I am right.
      4) Yes you said that, and you are wrong. That point has also been addressed in great detail in this thread.
      5) Yes that's what I did, and I am still sad for you.

    26. Re:Why Fundamentalist "Christians" Care by PD · · Score: 2

      You've completely ignored my entire message. This is why it is difficult to talk to you. For each point where there was a longer response required, I pointed out that I have either already answered the question fully, or someone else has already answered the question fully. As I said before, I'm not going to repeat myself to someone who can't bother to RTFM, as it were.

  10. Darwin's contribution. by AlecC · · Score: 2, Informative

    Darwin certainly did not claim to have discovered evolution. The evidence for evolution of some sort was accepted by a large number (though far from all) scientists and interested people for some time before Darwin - amongst them, Darwin's Grandfather, Josiah Wedgewood, so the idea was far from new.

    What Darwin did was find an explanation for evolution - a mechanism by which it occurred. Undoubtedly Lyell believed in, and pointed out to Darwin, the operation of evolution. And the ornithologist certainly pointed that all the finches he had brought back (and carelessly jumbled up) appeared to be descended from a singel ancestor. His book is titled "On The Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection, or The Preservation of Favoured Races in the Struggle for Life", and it is the "Means of natural Selection" bit that is original.

    To assert that Darwin claimed to have discovered Evolution is like claiming that Columbus discovered the Atlantic. Columbnus dicovered how to cross the atlantic, and Darwin discovered hopw to explain Evolution.

    --
    Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
  11. Re:7 day creationism by J.+J.+Ramsey · · Score: 2

    Well, part of the reason the idea of a billion-year old Earth came about was that explanations of how the geological record fit with a young (7,000-10,000 year old) earth became increasingly clumsy and klugy, like trying to fit 80 pounds of lard in a five-pound can. So a very literal 7-day creationism, which, from the info from the Genesis geneologies would require an earth about 7,000-10,000 year old, wouldn't stand up.

    A 7-day creationism that allows for a creation "day" to be longer than 24 hours has a better chance, but one would still have to account for things like dinosaurs, which don't quite fit even in a stretched-out biblical creation timeline. Also, while the Hebrew word for "day," yom ,can refer to a period longer that 24 hours, it is questionable whether an ancient Hebrew reading Genesis would have naturally read "yom" as some long time period, rather than the default interpretation of "yom" as a regular old day.

    Offhand, I'd say that 7-day creationism doesn't quite square with the current evidence.

  12. read Not By Chance! by RussP · · Score: 3, Interesting

    For all you fools out there who think evolution is a proven fact, please read a book called Not By Chance! by Lee Spetner, an information theorist from MIT who has studied evolution on the side since the 1960's. He proves rigorously that Neo-Carwinian evolution could not have happened -- or rather is about as unlikely as tossing 10,000,000 coins at random and having them all come up heads (yes, that is "possible", I guess).

    On second thought, don't bother. Your mind is made up and you wouldn't want to be confused with the facts. And Spetner offers no religious alternative, so you cannot attack him as a religious fanatic, so what strawman argument will you fall back on instead?

    Just for the record, I do not personally believe in "creation science", nor do I think that science can explain how "creation" occurred, but I am amazed at how completely fooled Slashdot readers are by the completely discredited neo-Darwinian theory of evolution. If Darwin were here, I think he'd slap you all upside the head.

    RussP.org

    --
    I watch Brit Hume on Fox News
    1. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 5, Interesting
      He proves rigorously that Neo-Carwinian evolution could not have happened -- or rather is about as unlikely as tossing 10,000,000 coins at random and having them all come up heads (yes, that is "possible", I guess).


      Let's say I toss 10,000,000 coins, and make a careful record of the sequence of heads and tails. Now, I calculate the probability of that exact sequence, and discover that it is exactly as low as the probability of having them all come up heads. Have I proved that the coins are weighted? Or influenced by God? No, because every sequence of coins has exactly the same very low probability, but nevertheless one of them has to come up. This is the falacy of calcuating probabilities backwards. Every attempt I've seen to calculate the probability of evolution falls into that same basic error.



      Remember, also, that natural selection is not a random process, even though it has random elements. For example, it is possible to use an evolutionary simulation to solve an equation, even when there is only one possible solution--and it is far more efficient than trying to guess the answer randomly.

    2. Re:read Not By Chance! by PD · · Score: 2

      But evolution is a fact. It has been observed both in nature and in the laboratory. There really is no question about it.

      Also, you're getting the algorithm wrong for how evolution works. It's not random like flipping a coin at all. Think of how you play the game mastermind - you don't make random plays until you get it, you keep what's good and change what's wrong. A good player can win the game in a very low number of moves.

    3. Re:read Not By Chance! by Shelled · · Score: 2

      If I shake a bag of magnets, is the the Force of the Divine Creator that breaks the odd by attaching north poles to south? No, the physics of magnets pre-disposes them to attach in this manner, as the physics of molecules pre-disposes them to attached in certain defined and limited manners (see crystals for example.) Coin flipping and complete randomness have nothing to do with it.

    4. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Whether we're talking about 10,000,000 heads coming up or some other combination is beside the point. The point is that the odds are vanishingly small of any pre-specified combination coming up (where the result for each coin is specified independently). The odds in this case are very easy to compute: 1/2 raised to the 10,000,000 power.
      Precisely. And the key lies in the meaning of "prespecified." The outcome of evolution is not "prespecified" because we already know the outcome, just as I already knew the outcome of my series of coin tosses. Both are "post-specified" after the fact. And that makes that sort of probabilistic calculation invalid.
      And of course natural selection is not a random process, but natural selection cannot work until reproduction is established, hence it cannot help produce the first living cell.
      So what? Natural selection is not even hypothesized as being the origin of the first replicating organism, so that is a straw man. The origin of life is a completely different question from the evolution of living organisms. And since nobody has any real knowledge of what the first replicating organism was like, there is no meaningful way of calculating its probability.
    5. Re:read Not By Chance! by PD · · Score: 2

      There's no difference between micro and macro. Small changes over time can add up. It takes no imagination at all to understand how that works.

      if you think it has been observed in the lab your are borderline delusional.

      http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/faq-speciation.h tm l

      And why do you feel the need to call people names?

    6. Re:read Not By Chance! by PD · · Score: 2

      Evolution is the change in the frequency of genes over time. If the moths changed their colors, then the frequency of the genes controlling those colors changed. By definition, it's evolution.

    7. Re:read Not By Chance! by Zathrus · · Score: 2

      I believe evolution did have a part in creation. Just not human creation.


      So what makes humans so special?

    8. Re: read Not By Chance! by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2


      > For all you fools out there who think evolution is a proven fact, please read a book called Not By Chance! by Lee Spetner, an information theorist from MIT who has studied evolution on the side since the 1960's. He proves rigorously that Neo-Carwinian evolution could not have happened -- or rather is about as unlikely as tossing 10,000,000 coins at random and having them all come up heads (yes, that is "possible", I guess).

      I haven't read Spetner, but I recently read a review that says he used a dishonest bait-and-switch in his "proof", namely using one definition of information in his first example but then switching to another for his second example, where his original definition of information patently wouldn't support his claim.

      Have you read the book carefully enough to comment on that charge?

      > I am amazed at how completely fooled Slashdot readers are by the completely discredited neo-Darwinian theory of evolution.

      If it has been discredited, someone needs to bring that to the attention of the people who actually study it.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    9. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      You have got to be kidding. Evolution doesn't try to explain the origin of life?
      Nope. Evolution is a theory of how life has changed, not how it formed in the first place. The question of the origin of life is a very different, and much more controversial question. There are numerous hypotheses as to how life may have originated, but none that is generally accepted. There is not even general agreement on whether the first life form was protein, nucleic acid, or something completely different (one hypothesis suggests clay). And while there is overwhelming evidence to support evolution, there is very little in the way of solid data that bears on the origin of life.
    10. Re:read Not By Chance! by PenguiN42 · · Score: 2

      The problem is, pretty much anyone who calculates that "Evolution is this improbable!" makes this pre vs post-specification fallacy that was brought up. That's the point of the people you are arguing with.

      I have not read that book either. Maybe you could summarize how Spetner calculates the probability of evolution and explain why it's not subject to this fallacy?

      --
      The following sentence is true. The preceding sentence was false.
    11. Re:read Not By Chance! by PenguiN42 · · Score: 2

      What influences natural selection? The environment, i'd say -- If you survive in the environment and are able to pass on your genes, you're selected. That's not a random function, and also doesn't seem to require some sort of higher "intent."

      I think the assumption that anything without "intent" must be random is fallacious...

      --
      The following sentence is true. The preceding sentence was false.
    12. Re:read Not By Chance! by canadian_right · · Score: 2
      Evolution is not a random process. Mutation is a random process. The 'bad' mutations are quickly weeded out by evolution because they DIE, or fail to breed.

      Evolution is the process by which a few succesful mutations are choosen to be passed on to the organisms offspring, out of the myraid mutations that are not improving the organisms chances of breeding.

      The argument that the chances of Evolution creating eyes is too low to happen is only made by people who do not understand how evolution works, how statistics work, or have a bias against evolution for personal reasons.

      A better comparison would be to decide ahead of time that I am going to stop tossing coins when I get 100 heads in row (a small useful mutaiton), 1000 times (a bunch of good mutations). This may take a while, but it will happen.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    13. Re:read Not By Chance! by joss · · Score: 2

      I don't know what argument you are trying to defeat with your first paragraph, but it's certainly not related to the post you were replying to. It's a Johnnie Cochran style argument [demonstrate some unrelated argument is ridiculous].

      > Remember, also, that natural selection is not a random process

      Yes, yes, yes, everybody understand that. The point is that, although not random, evolution is supposed to be based upon natural selection coupled with randomness. I have used genetic algorithms extensively to solve real world problems, and sure - it is better than random search. However, GaS are not nearly as good as they would need to be to solve the problem they have supposedly solved. The survival of the fittest/sexiest, mutation and cross selection mechanism that is supposed to account for evolution falls far of the mark. Working with GAs, you get a feel for the complexity of problem that can be solved, with a given population in a given number of generations. The commonly excepted theory of how evolution works is just plain fucking wrong. There is something much more interesting going on. I'm not saying it's God, just that we have no idea what the mechanism really is.

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    14. Re:read Not By Chance! by joss · · Score: 2

      > The argument that the chances of Evolution creating eyes is too low to happen is only made by people who do not understand how evolution works, how statistics work, or have a bias against evolution for personal reasons.

      I understand statistics fine thanks. I used to completely buy evolution as a theory. What changed my mind was working for two solid years with genetic algorithms. [I was solving a scheduling problem for a large aluminum factory]GAs work a lot better than random search, for many problems they are the best algorithm currently known. For some problems simulated annealing, or regular optimization techniques work better. GAs are not *anything* like as good at solving problems as people [especially darwinists] suppose. I suggest you try solving some simple design problems with GAs yourself. It's not that difficult to get started with. Depending on the efficiency of your encoding and the complexity of your domain ymmv. However, after finding it took 2000 generations with a population of 200,000 to find a good solution to a 2000bit[genome] problem I began to seriously doubt that apes could evolve into humans given the population/generations/bit length [genome]. I know there is only a 2% difference in DNA, but given the size of the problem - that is huge.

      Anyway, don't assume that everybody who doubts evolution simply has an inferior understanding to yours. I'm not saying god is involved, simply that proposed mechanism is insufficient, there is something crucial that we don't understand yet.

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    15. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      I don't know what argument you are trying to defeat with your first paragraph, but it's certainly not related to the post you were replying to
      Well, let me see if I can phrase it more simply: It is next to impossible to calculate the probability of something that has already occurred. Some statisticians will insist that it is inappropriate even to try, since the probability of an event that has already occurred is by definition 1.0. If you decide to attempt it anyway, there are numerous subtle biases and fallacies, most of which tend to greatly reduce the apparent probability. Just to give you an example, here are some possible causes of error.

      We do not live on a random planet, we live upon a planet on which life is present. Perhaps, if we could "reset" the universe and run the "experiment" again, life would not have formed on this planet at all, but would have formed somewhere else very far away. Thus, it is incorrect to attempt to calculate the probability that it could have formed by chance here. This is exactly equivalent to trying to the error calculate the probability of a particular long series of heads or tails after you have thrown it. So the appropriate calculation would be the probability that life would have formed anywhere in the universe. This requires accurate knowledge of the number of planets in the universe suitable for life, which we do not have. It is even possible that the universe is infinite, containing an infinite number of planets. Note that in an infinite universe, the overall probability of life forming somewhere is 1.0, no matter how small the probablilty is on a per planet basis (so long as it is nonzero).

      It is also incorrect to try to calculate the liklihood of random formation of DNA sequence comparable to even the simplest modern organisms. One part of the error is fairly obvious: the first form of life was doubtless much simpler than any modern life form. How much simpler? Nobody knows; we don't even know what the first form of life was made of--so there is no basis for such a calculation. But even if you make a guess at that figure, you would not be able to make such a calculation. Again, this is like the coin error. If we were to reset the universe, would we get the same form of life, or one that is completely different? So to do this calculation, you must know every way in which matter can be organized to produce a living organism. Obviously, nobody has this knowledge.

      I have used genetic algorithms extensively to solve real world problems, and sure - it is better than random search. However, GaS are not nearly as good as they would need to be to solve the problem they have supposedly solved.
      The only thing we can state with any certainty is that genetic algorithms are much better than random search. How much better they can be, I don't think anybody is in a position to know. I don't think a quantitative comparison can be made between genetic algorithms set up to solve the sort of "baby" problems that are feasible with modern computers, and organisms whose very genetic organization clearly reflects selection that has favored those organisms best able to evolve. However, one thing is clear--all genetic differences between species are consistent with mutation and selection.
    16. Re:read Not By Chance! by dublin · · Score: 2

      You have got to be kidding. Evolution doesn't try to explain the origin of life?

      Nope. Evolution is a theory of how life has changed, not how it formed in the first place. The question of the origin of life is a very different, and much more controversial question.


      Evolutionists are increasingly using this tactic to back away from their positoin because they know it is untenable. Evolution as generall regarded and promoted (by Gould, Dawkins, etc.) very definitely *does* attempt to explain the origin of life. It has to, because to do otherwise might be to admit God's toe in the door, and thay can't deal with that. Nice try, but if you can't explain the origin of life, you're not even in the game.

      Not to mention that if such an evolutionary supposition were true, it would require that original living thing to posess, but not express, all genes for every living thing that has ever followed, an argument I've not yet heard even the wackiest evolutionist make. If not, you're back to having to explain origins again... Catch 22.

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    17. Re:read Not By Chance! by Llywelyn · · Score: 2

      "Now, I calculate the probability of that exact sequence, and discover that it is exactly as low as the probability of having them all come up heads."

      Proof by mathematical impossibility.

      2^(10^7) is an enormous hurdle to overcome.

      "Have I proved that the coins are weighted? Or influenced by God?"

      Nope. If that sequence comes up though, you can be fairly certain that something other than chance is present.

      Otherwise, the probability of us being here is *nil*. It implies we do not understand what is going on.

      "No, because every sequence of coins has exactly the same very low probability"

      Someone who doesn't understand probability, I see.

      *cough* P(X = x; n, p) = (n! / x!(n-x)!) * p^x * (1-p)^(n-x) *cough*.

      The probability of a precise sequence may be in question, but the probability of a given number of heads in that sequence is not. Coin tosses can be modeled as a binomial distribution where we check the number of heads and term those "successes" versus the number of tails and term those "failures".

      So when we talk about that many heads in a row, we are not talking about the given sequence but the number of heads in a set of size n.

      " Every attempt I've seen to calculate the probability of evolution falls into that same basic error."

      Look up Robert Shapiro's work regarding abiogenesis.

      Regardless of that, however, the odds *are* stacked against abiogenesis occuring and against the formation and distribution of novel genes in a population. *Severely*.

      "For example, it is possible to use an evolutionary simulation to solve an equation, even when there is only one possible solution--and it is far more efficient than trying to guess the answer randomly."

      Except if my fitness function changes then nothing interesting is going to happen. In evolution, the fitness function is constantly changing. Another poster has covered this, however, so I'll let it lie.

      Actually work with GA before you try to use it in an example.

      --
      Integrate Keynote and LaTeX
    18. Re:read Not By Chance! by dublin · · Score: 2

      Spetner is certainly not the only one to do this, alhtough his analysis of 1997 is one of the more recent ones.

      Many others have performed the same excercise, including Sir Fred Hoyle, the man who named the Big Bang and with Prof. Chandra Wickramasinghe (both atheists, by the way) calculated the chance of life arising spontaneously (even given insamely optimistic assumptions as no better than 1 in 10e40000! That's a number so incredibly large that it's unfathomable. It is a chance that is zero. As Hoyle himself pointed out, the chances of a tornado passing through a junkyard and leaving a perfectly assembled, functioning, and gleamingly polished 747 in its wake are far better than the chances of life arising even once anywhere in a universe of 100 billion galaxies over a 20 billion year period. ( 20 billion years was his outside estimate as to the absolute maximum age of the universe according to his big bang theory.)

      Have you noticed that everytime a scientist says somthing like this, he is immediately shouted down as "incompetent" to be performing such analyses, even though he does so for a living and is otherwise well-respected by his peers.

      Hoyles'own refusal to accept the simple and obvious implication of his work has led him to propose the asinine and silly idea of panspermia, which conveniently removes the origin of life from its development, making what is manifestly imposssible *seem* possible through shifting the action elsewhere and elsewhen. The fundamental problem remains, though, no matter how much he tries to hide it...

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    19. Re:read Not By Chance! by dublin · · Score: 2

      It's not random like flipping a coin at all. Think of how you play the game mastermind - you don't make random plays until you get it, you keep what's good and change what's wrong. A good player can win the game in a very low number of moves.

      An argument for intelligent design if I ever heard one...

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    20. Re:read Not By Chance! by Henry+V+.009 · · Score: 2
      You say:
      Evolutionists are increasingly using this tactic to back away from their positoin because they know it is untenable. Evolution as generall regarded and promoted (by Gould, Dawkins, etc.) very definitely *does* attempt to explain the origin of life. It has to, because to do otherwise might be to admit God's toe in the door, and thay can't deal with that. Nice try, but if you can't explain the origin of life, you're not even in the game.
      Because of my charity (Christian!, I dare say), you no longer need to be a dumbass.

      To quote Darwin:
      There is grandeur in this view of life, with its several powers, having been originally breathed by the Creator into a few forms or into one; and that, whilst this planet has gone cycling on according to the fixed law of gravity, from so simple a beginning endless forms most beautiful and most wonderful have been, and are being evolved.

      NEWSFLASH: Darwin's theory of evolution contains no explanation for the origin of life! In fact, he suggests a Creator as a possible cause in The Origin of the Species!

      You say:
      Not to mention that if such an evolutionary supposition were true, it would require that original living thing to posess, but not express, all genes for every living thing that has ever followed, an argument I've not yet heard even the wackiest evolutionist make. If not, you're back to having to explain origins again... Catch 22.
      For example, let us imagine that species A has imaginary gene GTAAT. Species B has imaginary gene GTAAG. B can't be evolved from A, can it?

      WRONG, you dumbass. I can't believe you even thought that. Wash your brain out with soap.

      One word: Mutation.

      All it takes is a single cosmic ray impacting on a sperm or an egg, and the wrong chemical gets put in place (this has been verified in the lab.) GTAAT + Mutation = GTAAG

      Now, multiply by a trillion, and select for beneficial mutations.
    21. Re:read Not By Chance! by PD · · Score: 2

      Not at all. The selection occurs naturally, hence the name natural selection. The selection is not directed, but it is also not random.

    22. Re:read Not By Chance! by dublin · · Score: 2

      There's no difference between micro and macro. Small changes over time can add up. It takes no imagination at all to understand how that works.

      There's all the difference in the world. No creationist denies the validity of selection for genes *within* a kind. That's microevolution - the rearragement (either natural or human-directed) of genes that are *already present*. Dog breeding works this way, as do finch beaks and foot feathers in pigeons.

      Macroevolution is another kettle o' fish entirely, because for it to happen you have to somehow use random processes to *create* highly ordered, specific additional genetic information. Mutations do not do this. Evolutionary biologists have calculated the chances against such things happening as effectively zero. We reliably expect the laws of thermo to hold in all areas of life *except* macroevolutionary development? What utter hogwash. No natural process has ever been observed to create excess information. That's not becuaue it's rare, it's because it doesn't happen. We have every scientifically valid reason to know this to be true, it's just that acknowledging that would also tacitly acknowledge that a Creator could exist, something that at least evolutionary science will not allow.

      Ultimately it's *all* about worldview, as the starting premise of modern evolutionary scientists is that God must be denied at all costs, even the cost of the truth and logical consistency.

      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
    23. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      Evolutionists are increasingly using this tactic to back away from their positoin because they know it is untenable. Evolution as generall regarded and promoted (by Gould, Dawkins, etc.) very definitely *does* attempt to explain the origin of life. It has to, because to do otherwise might be to admit God's toe in the door, and thay can't deal with that. Nice try, but if you can't explain the origin of life, you're not even in the game.
      Wrong. It is more correct to say that Creationists, in the face of overwhelming evidence in support of evolution, have retreated into trying to somehow lump the origin of life--a question on which there is no scientific consensus--in with evolution. Go back to Darwin. You will discover that Darwin's theory of natural selection presupposes life.

      Of course, most evolutionary biologists--and indeed, virtually all scientists--presume that the the origin of life will eventually be explained in terms of natural processes. But that does not make it part of the theory of evolution. It is merely what it means to be a scientist--to have the courage to reject the easy explanation that "God did it."

      Not to mention that if such an evolutionary supposition were true, it would require that original living thing to posess, but not express, all genes for every living thing that has ever followed, an argument I've not yet heard even the wackiest evolutionist make.
      I would hope not, because it makes no sense. There are well-established genetic mechanisms for the creation of new genes.
    24. Re:read Not By Chance! by PD · · Score: 2

      No creationist denies the validity of selection for genes *within* a kind.

      Define "kind". There's no such thing. All life exists along a continuum. There is no barrier of "kind" that actually exists that would prevent small changes from accumulating over time to create large changes in how an animal looks, even to turn a dinosaur into a sparrow.

      Ultimately it's *all* about worldview, as the starting premise of modern evolutionary scientists is that God must be denied at all costs, even the cost of the truth and logical consistency.

      What does god have to do with anything?

    25. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      If it's not a random process, what influences it?
      That's the selection part. Selection reflects how the organism interacts with its environment, and the environment is decidedly nonrandom. As is readily demonstrated in computer simulation, random variation in the presence of selection yields non-random results
    26. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      The probability of a precise sequence may be in question, but the probability of a given number of heads in that sequence is not. Coin tosses can be modeled as a binomial distribution where we check the number of heads and term those "successes" versus the number of tails and term those "failures".


      No. the probability of a precise sequence is not in question. It is exactly 2^-(10^7). For every exact sequence. That's as true for "HTHHTHTTTH..." as it is for "HHHHHHHHH...."



      So to judge retroactively, the liklihood of a series of throws, you need two critical pieces of information:

      1) How many other sequences are "like" this sequence according to the criteria in question? Is this the only way the coins could have fallen that would have seemed "special"? In the case of life, the question reduces to "How many organizations of matter yield an 'organism' capable of replicating and evolving?" Nobody has an answer to this question. Most scientists likely agree that the probability of life developing exactly as it has on earth is probably very low...perhaps as low as the probability of any random sequence of 10^7 heads or tails. But that is not the question--the question is: what is the probability of some form of life developing? And that may be high--perhaps even as high as the probability that 10^7 throws will yield some sequence of heads and tails.



      2) How many times did you throw the coins before getting that sequence? A probability of 2^-(10^7) for all heads doesn't seem nearly so low, if you discover that those 10^7 coins were thrown 10^70 times. In the context of life, we can ask, "How many places in the universe could life have formed?" After all, there is nothing all that obviously special about the earth. What if there are 10^70--or 10^700--planets like our earth in the universe? Then even if the probability of life was as low as you imagine, it would happen somewhere. Again, this is a crucial piece of information. Unless you know how many planets exist, you cannot make any calculation of the probability of life. And nobody has a good idea of this number



      So we don't need to know the details of a particular crackpot calculation of the probability of life--because we already have know that the critical information required to make such a calculation does not exist!

    27. Re:read Not By Chance! by PD · · Score: 2

      Evolution is a change in the frequency of genes in a species, and that's exactly what we saw in the moths. The dark moth gene was drastically increased in frequency in the species. The example stands quite firm as an example of evolution.

    28. Re:read Not By Chance! by Llywelyn · · Score: 2

      "No. the probability of a precise sequence is not in question. It is exactly 2^-(10^7). For every exact sequence. That's as true for "HTHHTHTTTH..." as it is for "HHHHHHHHH....""

      Incorrect.

      The probabilities are dramatically different.

      The probability of HHHTTT is the same as HTHTHT, the probability is NOT the same as HHHHHH.

      " In the case of life, the question reduces to "How many organizations of matter yield an 'organism' capable of replicating and evolving?" "

      Actually there are several far more comlicated questions involved. The answer tends to come out as "very to impossibly small given current knowledge" though.

      "How many times did you throw the coins before getting that sequence?"

      This is a variant with the monkies with typewriters. It is alo complete nonsense once you realize what that power symbol means.

      The number of *atoms in the universe* is 10^80. Even if all of those were interacting every day and could create the right combination, it still wouldn't raise the probability to where it is reasonable.

      --
      Integrate Keynote and LaTeX
    29. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      To me (and no I'm not a Christian), it seems to be an indication of intent behind life (or something along those lines anyway). Anyone have any insight or links?


      Actually, if you really study the biology, the idea of a single designer starts to look ridiculous. When examined closely, organisms don't bear the hallmark of a single designer with a unified master plan. Rather, they look like version 19.1 of a software program, patched and repatched (but unfortunately, not commented) by generations of different programmers.



      But this begs the question, because that is still the product of intelligent design of a sort. People tend to go from the resemblance of living things to designed products to the conclusion that there must be a designer. But an equally valid hypothesis is that the internal workings of our brains may in some way resemble evolution. This seems very likely. There is plenty of evidence for competition at the neuronal level. So our very thoughts may be the product of a kind of randomization and selection process.

    30. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      The probability of HHHTTT is the same as HTHTHT, the probability is NOT the same as HHHHHH.
      Wrong. The probabilities of those three exact sequences are identical. 1 in 2^6. Perhaps you are thinking of the probability of "all heads," rather than the probability of those specific sequences. But after the fact, almost any sequence can seem special. For example, the probability of "all heads for the first half of the sequence, and all tails for the last half of the sequence" is exactly the same as "all heads". This is the danger of calculating probabilities after the fact.
      Actually there are several far more comlicated questions involved. The answer tends to come out as "very to impossibly small given current knowledge" though.
      Or more accurately, "impossibly small if one makes certain assumptions specifically designed to make the probability impossibly small." Nobody has more than a vague idea of what the first form of life was like. Make a different set of assumptions (see for example, Stuart Kaufman's The Origins of Order) and it becomes not merely likely, but virtually necessary! An honest person will admit that no such calculation can be made with any degree of confidence.
      The number of *atoms in the universe* is 10^80. Even if all of those were interacting every day and could create the right combination, it still wouldn't raise the probability to where it is reasonable.
      Sorry, we don't know the number of atoms in the universe. We don't even know whether it is finite. The number you cite is probably derived from an estimate of the number of atoms in what is sometimes called the "accessible" universe. This does not necessarily represent the entire universe--only that part that it would be possible to reach from here, given the speed of light. But there is no requirement that life evolve within a certain distance of here. If the total universe is infinite, then the liklihood of life appearing somewhere becomes 1.0.
    31. Re:read Not By Chance! by kmellis · · Score: 2
      "No, because every sequence of coins has exactly the same very low probability" Someone who doesn't understand probability, I see.
      It's you who doesn't understand probability. Or English. Every particular sequence of coins in a coin toss is as likely as any other, including all heads or all tails. That's basic probability. The only difference between "all heads/tails" and pretty much everything else is that we attach a significance to that all heads/tails sequence that it doesn't inherently have.

      A royal flush is no less likely a poker hand than any other.

    32. Re:read Not By Chance! by kmellis · · Score: 2
      And why do you feel the need to call people names?
      Because when one is really, really, really sure that one is Right and Correct when one, in truth, isn't....the world is a very, very frustrating place. This is why insanity is so unpleasant. Be nice to him.
    33. Re:read Not By Chance! by kmellis · · Score: 2
      Nah, he'd be running around going "Guys, guys, I was all wrong! Seriously! God does exist! Guys! Guys? Hello? Hello??? Hell----"
      I must have missed the part his book where Darwin claimed that there is no God. What page was that on?
    34. Re:read Not By Chance! by Llywelyn · · Score: 2

      Ah, I see the misunderstanding now.

      "Wrong. The probabilities of those three exact sequences are identical. 1"

      Only if you consider that *exact sequence* the only possible success. Which is not what the original author meant. The author was also not comparing coin flips to genetic code--he was using it as a reference on probability and, as such, HHHTTT and HTHTHT are identical probabilities, HHHHHH is not the same.

      Why? Because we are not considering the single pattern the success, we are considering the count of heads the number of successes.

      --
      Integrate Keynote and LaTeX
    35. Re:read Not By Chance! by Llywelyn · · Score: 2

      "It's you who doesn't understand probability."

      Funny, I tutor the subject and have made a living working with it before.

      "Every particular sequence of coins in a coin toss is as likely as any other, including all heads or all tails. "

      Except the count of heads and tails is *not* as likely. Others have covered this.

      "A royal flush is no less likely a poker hand than any other."

      But a *straight* is much more likely than a *straight flush* is much more likely than a &royal flush*.

      You are misrepresenting the point.

      --
      Integrate Keynote and LaTeX
    36. Re:read Not By Chance! by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      Because we are not considering the single pattern the success, we are considering the count of heads the number of successes.
      However, one choice is no more reasonable than the other. I could just as well say, "first half of the sequence heads, last half of the sequence tails," and that would be just as improbable as all heads. For any sequence, one could probably come up after the fact with some way of describing it that makes it sound special. Is it a prime number, expressed in binary? A power of a prime number? A number in the fibonacci sequence? A line from the Bible in ASCII code?

      And let us not forget the original context. The genetic sequence is not all the same nucleotide, or all the same amino acid, so the "all heads" analogy does not apply. I've seen a bunch of these bogus "probability of life" calculations. Typically, they assume that some particular sequence (of amino acids, or nucleotides, or whatever) is critical for life, and then calculate the probability of that happening by random chance. And of course, they get a very, very low number. This is *exactly* equivalent to flipping a bunch of coins and then calculating the probability of that specific sequence--and concluding that the probabililty is so low that the coins must be weighted. But in the case of the coins, while the probability of any specific sequence is very tiny, the probability of some sequence is 1. Similarly, the probability of life forming in any particular way might be very low, but the probability of it forming in some way could still be quite high. To know the actual probability of life, you have to sum over, not just how life actually formed, but also of all the possible ways life could have formed, but didn't. And nobody has even a clue of what those are, much less how many there are.

    37. Re:read Not By Chance! by kmellis · · Score: 2
      You are misrepresenting the point.

      No, I don't think that I am. As the other gentleman has tried to point out, calculating the significance of the particular sequence of genetic events that got us from there to here is entirely about quantifying, in this context, the exact sort of thing that is different between a straight and a straight flush.

      What is being objected to is, metaphorically, that someone has been dealt a hand, they've calculated the odds of being dealt that particular hand, and then they assert that it can't have been randomly dealt since there's only a 1 in 2.5 million chance that that particular hand would have been dealt.

      I'll repeat the original quote:

      tgibbs wrote: "No, because every sequence of coins has exactly the same very low probability"

      ...to which you directly responded:

      "Someone who doesn't understand probability, I see."

      That's pretty unambiguous. Every sequence of coins (of the same length -- and what the hell else would we be talking about?) does have exactly the same probability of occurance as any other.

      When your response is that tgibbs "doesn't understand probability", you can only be asserting that his statement was false. It is not. The only possible conclusions, then, are that either you don't understand probability, you are a sloppy reader or writer, or you aren't entirely honest. These are not mutually exclusive.

      Wait, hold on... Hmm. Well, looking at your post, I see:

      "The probability of HHHTTT is the same as HTHTHT, the probability is NOT the same as HHHHHH."

      ...which seems to conclusively demonstrate that you don't, in fact, understand probability. I hope that no one paid you for your tutelage.

      Really, you're quite confused about something fundamental. Do you think you're doing some binomial distribution exercize? In this context, sequence matters. "HTHTHT" is not the same "thing" as "HHHTTT". "HTHTHT" and "HHHTTT" and "HHHHHH" and "TTTTTT" and "THHTTT" are all particular, exact sequences; and all are equally likely.

    38. Re:read Not By Chance! by kmellis · · Score: 2
      I should have answered this in my other post. You wrote:
      Except the count of heads and tails is *not* as likely. Others have covered this.
      ...which is true. But tgibbs wasn't talking about that.

      That every possible sequence of coin tosses of, say, 100 coins is equally likely is not inconsistent with the fact that all counts of heads and tails within that sequence are not equally likely. It is far more unlikely to get all heads, say, than it is to get 50 heads and 50 tails.

      You may think -- and you may claim -- that you were objecting to tgibbs and other people asserting that 100 heads is just as likely as every other distribution of heads and tails. But tgibbs nor anyone else asserted such a thing.

      But, again, you directly contradicted the first of those two correct assertions above; and that was an egregious error on your part. It's no excuse to claim that you were correcting an error that was not explicitly made -- especially when what was explicitly and quite simply asserted is true on an elementary level, and where there's no evidence but your own prejudice that there was an implicit error (the mentioned in the previous paragraph) on tgibbs's part.

      When you say to me that I'm "misrepresenting the point", I can only guess that you mean that everyone here knows that the argument is really all about (metaphorically) that distribution of heads and tails -- not the likliehood of a particular sequence -- and that your argument is that evolution shows (metaphorically) 100 heads, which is pretty unlikely compared to the expected 50 heads and 50 tails....and so that is evidence of a creator.

      But it's not clear to me that everyone here knows that any signficance to be found would be in the distriubtion of heads and tails, and not the exact sequence. This isn't obvious to me because from the beginning, tgibbs and others have pointed out that you'd have to be able to quantify in some way what the other distributions are likely to be. Firstly, the distribution isn't random -- unlike coin tosses, future genetic states are dependent upon past genetic states. In that sense, you can eliminate almost every other exact sequence of genetic changes because they're not possible. So you can't compare "this" one (the one that we're arguing about, the only one we have as an example) to those.

      Secondly, well, hell....this is really stupid thing to be arguing about anyway. One thing that's very true, if carefully understood, is that you can't calculate a probability for a past event. The probability for a past event is 1. It's certain.

      This sort of exercize is sophistry, or madness, or both. That you feel that it proves anything, and that you can claim that "HTHTHT" is more likely than "HHHHHH" as a sequence of coin tosses, is just, well, depressing.

    39. Re: read Not By Chance! by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2


      > > > You have got to be kidding. Evolution doesn't try to explain the origin of life?

      > > Nope. Evolution is a theory of how life has changed, not how it formed in the first place. The question of the origin of life is a very different, and much more controversial question.

      > Evolutionists are increasingly using this tactic to back away from their positoin because they know it is untenable. Evolution as generall regarded and promoted (by Gould, Dawkins, etc.) very definitely *does* attempt to explain the origin of life. It has to, because to do otherwise might be to admit God's toe in the door, and thay can't deal with that. Nice try, but if you can't explain the origin of life, you're not even in the game.

      You, sir, are blinded by your religious fanaticism. You will never understand what the theory of evolution says until you quit viewing it as a rival to your religious sect. It is simply an attempt to understand some otherwise bizarre things we observe in nature: no more; no less. That it conflicts with your particular sect's mythology is mere historical happenstance. Scientists are going to keep trying to understand what they see regardless of what fairytales you or anyone else happens to believe, and you flatter yourself excessively when you believe that they only say things to hold you at bay.

      And since the theory of evolution isn't a sectarian rival, it doesn't need to cover the same bases your sect professes to cover. It doesn't try to explain the origin of life (abiogenesis) any more than it tries to explain the origin of the universe (cosmology) or the origin of English (historical linguistics).

      Most scientists do think that abiogenesis was a purely natural event, but that's because everything else we understand about the universe is the result of purely natural events, and we don't have any reason to suppose that abiogenesis will be any different in that regard. It has nothing to do with rivalry with a belief system that was already falsified over half a century before Darwin wrote his famous book.

      > Not to mention that if such an evolutionary supposition were true, it would require that original living thing to posess, but not express, all genes for every living thing that has ever followed, an argument I've not yet heard even the wackiest evolutionist make.

      It would indeed be a whacky scientist who made such a claim. In fact, I have only ever heard it from creationists, offering it as part of their "theory" of creation!

      But the explanation is simple, and lies at the heart of the neo-Darwinian synthesis: mutations. Yessir, new genetic material is created by mutations. And genetics will often let us track the natural history of certain mutations, such as one famous one pertaining to the processing of vitamins in humans and closely related species.

      Do take a bit of trouble to learn what the theory of evolution says before you blast it in public. It makes you look... well, someone else has already called you 'dumbass' in another reply, so I don't suppose there's any need in mincing words now. Your spew of ignorance in the threads under this story ranks you as one of the worst purveyers of bullshit I have ever seen on Slashdot.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    40. Re:read Not By Chance! by dublin · · Score: 2
      In the interest of time (mine) I'll just paste in an excerpt from this month's Science Against Evolution (which was not yet posted when this thread started) about the pitiful argument Scientific American tried to use w.r.t. mutations recently. It pretty much summarizes the bankruptcy of the Evolutionist position on this issue. The entire article can be found here in two parts: Part 1, and Part 2.

      There are no Creative Mutations

      [Sciam says:]
      ---
      10. Mutations are essential to evolution theory, but mutations can only eliminate traits. They cannot produce new features.

      On the contrary, biology has catalogued many traits produced by point mutations (changes at precise positions in an organism's DNA)--bacterial resistance to antibiotics, for example. [Footnote deleted. See Part 2 link above for original source.]
      ---


      Not the bacteria nonsense, again! We've already dealt with that in our October, 2001, essay on The PBS Evolution Series. [See http://www.scienceagainstevolution.org/v6i1t.htm#t b .]

      --- SciAm quotes this reference:
      Mutations that arise in the homeobox (Hox) family of development-regulating genes in animals can also have complex effects. Hox genes direct where legs, wings, antennae and body segments should grow. In fruit flies, for instance, the mutation called Antennapedia causes legs to sprout where antennae should grow. These abnormal limbs are not functional, but their existence demonstrates that genetic mistakes can produce complex structures, which natural selection can then test for possible uses. [Footnote deleted. See Part 2 link above for original source.]
      ---

      The genetic mistake did not produce a new complex structure. It just made an existing complex structure appear in a place where it would not work. We want to see a Hox gene make functional legs or wings appear on a worm. Is that a "frustrating request" or "an unreasonable burden"? What makes it unreasonable? It is unreasonable because everybody knows it can't possibly happen. But, for the theory of evolution to be true, it has to happen often. Reptiles had to grow breasts to become mammals, didn't they? Every internal organ of every living creature is a complex structure that had to be produced by a genetic mistake, if the theory of evolution is true.


      I would add, that if evolution is true, then such errors (required for speciation) must be rather more common than uncommon (take for example all that evolution of all those different types of eyes.)

      The implications of this, if taken to thier logical conclusion, would be rather alarming to the environmental movement: Clearly, extinction is NOT a problem despite the fact that human history has seen countless species vainish and not a single one evolve to fill a vacated niche. Since evolution is true, we need not worry about extiction or endangered species at all - in fact, putting such species under pressure should, by this logic, just grab the natural selection knob and "crank it up a notch" as Emeril Legasse might say. If evolution does work, then new species should certainly arise, and be well-"adapted" to the new conditions.

      That this doesn't happen (and more importantly perhaps, that we recognize intuitively that it CANNOT happen) is a significant indicator (clue stick: Whack!) that Evolution is little more than a fairy tale created by those who for thier own personal reasons find it necessary to deny the existence of a Creator and a God.

      Interstingly, many Evolutionists even admit as much, when pressed on the issue: Sir Julian Huxley, once the world's leading Evolutionist and head of UNESCO, said he believed that the reason so many scientists, himself included, embraced the idea of evolution was "because the idea of God interfered with our sexual mores." Arthur Keith, author of twenty books defending evolution, wrote: "Evolution is unproved and unproveable. We believe it because the only alternative is special creation, and that is unthinkable."

      Perhaps, to an open and rational mind, it should not be so unthinkable after all...
      --
      "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
  13. Re:stupid, stupid, stupid by LMCBoy · · Score: 2

    Order cannot happen without disorder, beings can't just become more orderly beings by themself

    That's not true! Why just the other day, I cleaned my apartment. Bingo, order from disorder.

    Seriously, you have a pretty bad grasp of the 2nd theory of thermodynamics there. Entropy must increase only for a closed thermodynamic system. Earth is not such a system, because we have a constant influx of energy in the form of light and heat from the Sun. Perhaps you've heard that the Sun is the source of all energy used by life on Earth; it is this energy that allows the order of complex life to arise from chaos of the proverbial primordial ooze.

    --
    Liberal (adj.): Free from bigotry; open to progress; tolerant of others.
  14. why can't order come from disorder? by sevinkey · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This seems like a good forum to get responses to a theory I've had in my head for about a year now.

    Given a mass of matter, floating in space, its atoms interacting with one another making random combinations. Eventually, over billions or even trillions of years, every possible combination of molecular structures will be created from these random interactions.

    What if one of these random structures coming out of this process naturally attempts to create copies of itself, using the resources around it? What if this structure doesn't make perfect copies, but creates copies that are the closest it can come to an exact copy with the resources around it? Exactly at what point does this molecular compound become life?

    I'm not looking for flames, just good arguments why this can't happen. It's the most reasonable explaination of the source of life that I have come up with.

    1. Re:why can't order come from disorder? by Fweeky · · Score: 2
      Eventually, over billions or even trillions of years, every possible combination of molecular structures will be created from these random interactions.

      Don't underestimate the total possible combinations.

      A good example is your display; say you use a mere 64*64 pixels, and it's only 2 colour. You have a total of 2 ** (64 * 64) possible combinations, which is 4.383 * 10^1234. That's 4383[... another 1231 digits ...].

      Let's say you can do a trillion permutations a second, it'll take you 3.311 * 10^1214 years to exhaust them. You'd either have to be incredibly lucky or there'd have to be a huge number of potential "good" permutations for you to find one before the universe could no longer power your 64*64*2 display randomizer.

      You have a whole extra dimension, more than one type of atom, and a lot more space than a mere 64*64 grid.

      Still think a trillion years is enough? :)
  15. You ignorant savage... by Dale+Dunn · · Score: 2
    Why don't YOU try reading it? The Old Testament Law given through Moses is pretty easily summed up by the golden rule. Be nice to each other. This even extended to animals in places.

    If you do actually study The Bible, you'll see that the Isrealites never commited genocide without a direct order from God, as punishment on a completely corrupted race.

    Apart from obedience to a direct order from God to carry out His judgement, the Isrealites could not have accomplished these military conquests within the bounds of the Moral Law. To do so would have VIOLATED their morality by presuming to pass judgement in God's place.

    As for the events of 9-11-01, what makes you think those attacks were compatable with Hebrew morality? Don't assess a morality by those who don't adhere to it. The same goes for the Crusades. That whole series of atrocities may have happened in the "name" of Christianity, but not within any Christian morality or obedience to God. Don't mistake the Pope for God.

  16. Theory != Some vague possibility by FreeUser · · Score: 5, Informative
    I know it's nitpicky but evolution is a scientific "possibility". It is still regarded as a theory after all.

    All things short of a methematical 'proof' in science is theory, including gravitation and even cause-and-effect itself. The word 'theory' in science has an entirely different connotation to what it has in common parlence, and in particular to the way you use it here.

    In the American vernacular, "theory" often means "imperfect fact" - part of a hierarchy of confidence running downhill from fact to theory to hypothesis to guess.

    Well evolution is a theory. It is also a fact. And facts and theories are different things, not rungs in a hierarchy of increasing certainty. Facts are the world's data. Theories are structures of ideas that explain and interpret facts. Facts don't go away when scientists debate rival theories to explain them. Einstein's theory of gravitation replaced Newton's in this century, but apples didn't suspend themselves in midair, pending the outcome. And humans evolved from ape-like ancestors whether they did so by Darwin's proposed mechanism or by some other yet to be discovered.

    In science "fact" can only mean "confirmed to such a degree that it would be perverse to withhold provisional consent." I suppose that apples might start to rise tomorrow, but the possibility does not merit equal time in physics classrooms.

    Evolutionists have been very clear about this distinction of fact and theory from the very beginning, if only because we have always acknowledged how far we are from completely understanding the mechanisms (theory) by which evolution (fact) occurred.

    -- Stephen J. Gould, "Evolution as Fact and Theory"; Discover, May 1981

    What you are equating evolution with is a hypothesis, not a theory, and the two are very different. Or, put another way,

    A few words need to be said about the "theory of evolution," which most people take to mean the proposition that organisms have evolved from common ancestors. In everyday speech, "theory" often means a hypothesis or even a mere speculation. But in science, "theory" means "a statement of what are held to be the general laws, principles, or causes of something known or observed", as the Oxford English Dictionary defines it.
    [-- Douglas J. Futuyma]

    The theory is not did evolution happen. We already know evolution did and does happen, there is a mountain of factual data underscoring that point. What is theoretical and debated (by scientists) is what the mechanism is by which primates became human and dinasaurs became birds. The fact that it happened is denied only by those with a religious agenda, whose fragile beliefs are challenged by the factual data collected by thousands of researches all over the face of the planet.

    And I know this non-fundamental Christian believes God could have used evolution to create us.

    And I know this Athiest believes aliens could have seeded the Earth with proto-human life, but until I see some sensible evidence indicating that such might be the case, I'm not going to pay the notion much heed.
    --
    The Future of Human Evolution: Autonomy
    1. Re:Theory != Some vague possibility by Tsar+Ivan+IV · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Excellent post. Would mod up if I had any points right now!

      This fundamental misunderstanding of the word "theory" in a scientific context, and really science in general, is what annoys me most about those who call evolution "just a theory."

      After all, Newton's "laws" of physics were later disproven. They were pretty good estimates but not actually correct. Every scientific explanation is "just a theory" until some better explanation comes along.

      Heck, creationism was the best "theory" until Darwin came up with a better one.

      Science is basically impossible without the realization that every explanation is incomplete. A committment to any idea is irrational, because a better idea is just around the corner.

      Most creationists seem to think that "science" views the world in the same blind faith way that they they do, either accepting or discarding ideas wholesale. In fact those who accept "science" would be ready to drop evolution, relativity, quantum theory etc. should better explanations come along.

    2. Re:Theory != Some vague possibility by barawn · · Score: 2

      The theory/hypothesis statements were perfect - the last statement is a bit over the top.

      And I know this Athiest believes aliens could have seeded the Earth with proto-human life, but until I see some sensible evidence indicating that such might be the case, I'm not going to pay the notion much heed.

      Equating that statement with the previous statement is really quite weak - one is falsifiable (aliens), one is not (God). One statement is specific (aliens seeding Earth) one is not (God isn't even defined...).

      Or, put slightly differently, one is philosophical (God) and one is scientific (aliens). You can argue against aliens in a rigorous manner, but you can't argue against God in any rigorous manner. In fact, I can make it so that it is specifically impossible to disprove that God created the Universe - by defining God as "that which created the Universe."

      All I'm really saying is that equating that statement with aliens seeding Earth is a little counterproductive: the question of whether or not a God exists does not belong to the same science as how life on Earth was created (one is theology, the other is something like anthropology/paleontology). The fact that some Christian fundamentalist idiots do equate it doesn't mean that you should.

    3. Re:Theory != Some vague possibility by FreeUser · · Score: 2

      The theory/hypothesis statements were perfect - the last statement is a bit over the top.

      And I know this Athiest believes aliens could have seeded the Earth with proto-human life, but until I see some sensible evidence indicating that such might be the case, I'm not going to pay the notion much heed.

      Equating that statement with the previous statement is really quite weak - one is falsifiable (aliens), one is not (God). One statement is specific (aliens seeding Earth) one is not (God isn't even defined...).


      Well, that less sentence was intended to be tounge in cheeck. I could phrase it so that it is non-falsifiable if you prefer (an athiests faith-based notion, if you will):

      "Invisible aliens have had a hand in directing our development from a dimension beyond our ken. They have been with us since the primordial soup, they will continue their subtle interventions until we cease to be."

      No matter how little evidence there is for my 'aliens', their existence cannot be disproven, any more than the existence of God can be disproven.

      I do think you give me a little too much credit when you say

      Or, put slightly differently, one is philosophical (God) and one is scientific (aliens). You can argue against aliens in a rigorous manner, but you can't argue against God in any rigorous manner.

      My definition (and contention) of aliens is no more scientific than another's definition and contention of God ... indeed the latter is often equated with the former in several fringe religions, and sometimes even by theologens affiliated with mainstream religions. Go figure.

      As you point out, the ability to argue against the existence of God depends on your definition (most definitions include more than just "that which created the universe", such as sapience and quite frequently omiscience and omnipotence, for example, and in the case of most of Christianity a male gender and IIRC in the case of some sects, including the Mormons, a humanoid physique). While I cannot argue sensibly against any arbitrary definition of God (indeed, no one can argue sensibly against any arbitrary definition of anything) I can, and frequently do, argue very sensibly against the specific definitions offered by the world's three major monotheistic religions (Judaism, Christianity, and Islam).

      Be that as it may, evolution (the observed fact) and evolution (the scientific theory) are orthogonal to the existence of some sort of God. All it does is disprove one aspect of Christian Myth (the liternal interpretation of Genesis), it makes no statement pro or con on the existence of divinity itself.

      However, as with my aliens, until I see some sensible evidence that divinity does exist, I will continue to pay the notion little heed.

      --
      The Future of Human Evolution: Autonomy
    4. Re:Theory != Some vague possibility by Llywelyn · · Score: 2

      "The theory is not did evolution happen. We already know evolution did and does happen, there is a mountain of factual data underscoring that point."

      Clarification:

      There is a great deal of evidence pointing to allele frequency shifts and how Microevolution does happen.

      Macroevolution, however, I would love to see the evidence for. There is no phenomena which we are aware of that can account for the handwavium that is often used to explain evolutionary theory: "this and this look similar, therefore they likely have a common cause", "of course they had a photoreceptor, things could obviously sense light because they needed it in the past".

      Neither of these is a falsifiable statement.

      There is an order of magnitude shift between the beneficial point mutations we see in bacteria and the evolution of complex novel genes. The first has been demonstrated, the later has yet to be shown (if you can provide peer-reviewed journal citations, I will be happy to look them up).

      Evolution--using our current theories of how it happens--is far, far from a fact.

      --
      Integrate Keynote and LaTeX
    5. Re:Theory != Some vague possibility by barawn · · Score: 2

      Well, that less sentence was intended to be tounge in cheeck. I could phrase it so that it is non-falsifiable if you prefer (an athiests faith-based notion, if you will):

      Yah, but if you phrased it that way, it's identical to the previous one. It's answering "who", not "how". Before you kindof implied a "how", using "seeded". Now you just said that they did it. You can disprove a how. It's not so easy to disprove a "who" when the who is outside of this Universe.

      My definition (and contention) of aliens is no more scientific than another's definition and contention of God ... indeed the latter is often equated with the former in several fringe religions, and sometimes even by theologens affiliated with mainstream religions. Go figure.

      I wasn't arguing with the definition of aliens (as I alluded to just before) but more with the explanation given (re: seeding bit) - that is, the "how", not the "who". The previous poster said "God used evolution" - well, the "how" there is evolution, which (presumedly) you agree with. You just don't agree with the "who". If you had said "Yah, I could say that aliens from another dimension had guided our evolution as well, but..." that'd be functionally identical to the previous statement re: God. It'd also be just as impossible to prove or disprove, as well.

      And to be honest, though - there are just as many crackpot scientists as there are theologians. Personally I wish theology was more scientific and rigorous - you may not be able to prove anything, but you can certainly disprove quite a bit. I don't see why it can't be - most fringe religions aren't even self-consistent, so they'd fall apart quite rapidly.

      The simple definition that I gave is the most basic starting point for a deity - sapience and omniscience can be mostly inferred from this (although sapience is damn tough, since even we don't know what it is). Omnipotence is actually poorly given to a deity if you ascribe it: how can you "change" the Universe? That's superscribing time on top of time. Anyway, I didn't give an arbitrary definition - I gave one with very little details - that's vague, not arbitrary. :)

      Also, it's really quite sad that most critics of religion use the worst examples of it to criticize it: it would be like a person criticizing physics using Pons & Fleischmann, or Podkletnov as examples. There's no way that Christianity ascribes a human gender to a deity - that's directly refuted by several statements from the Pope, if memory serves. As per the Mormons, (canonically) they don't believe in a God fitting my definition - actually, they believe in a creator inside this Universe. A dangerous position, considering it's both physically falsifiable and logically falsifiable - it makes it more like a cultural belief rather than a religion. Man. That could get me into a lot of trouble in places. Maybe that's the reason that religion isn't categorized and rigorously treated. :) There are quite a few rigorous treatises which really clarify exactly "what" God is not in Christianity, at least (outside of time, lacking in gender).

      Anyway, I won't disagree on the last point. It's a "how" explanation rather than a "who" explanation. It doesn't even really disprove anything - at worst it disproves the literal interpretation of an English translation of a Hebrew document written after (thousands of?) years of oral tradition. The fact that anyone ever believed that (actually, they selectively believed literal interpretations, which is even worse. Most sections of the Bible they interpret figuratively - the way they were intended, as specifics probably didn't exist in languages then) continues to amaze me.

    6. Re:Theory != Some vague possibility by Llywelyn · · Score: 2

      "you must have been out of the loop for at least 60 years"

      Not especially. I have read that site in detail, it does not account for a damned thing I said.

      This is what is called a "knee jerk reaction". Quick! He is talking about Macroevoution! Throw This-Website-Which-Doesn't-Relate at him!

      Yes, it talks about evidence for macroevolution, however, it doesn't cover my main points and does incorperate several logical flaws (these things look alike, therefore they are alike--we have no genetic evidence to that point, &c)

      For instance, it doesn't even mentin hox genes.

      --
      Integrate Keynote and LaTeX
    7. Re:Theory != Some vague possibility by Yunzil · · Score: 2

      The difference between the 2 arguments though is in saying that humans evolved from apes.

      Good thing that's not what the theory says then. :) Humans didn't evolve from apes. Humans and apes evolved from a common ancestor. In other words, and some point there was a population of creatures that weren't human, and weren't an ape. Part of that population evolved in one direction and became the apes (and further divided into the gorillas, the orangs, etc), and another part evolved in another direction and became humans.

    8. Re:Theory != Some vague possibility by Yunzil · · Score: 2

      Macroevolution, however, I would love to see the evidence for.

      As I and others have posted, "macro" and "micro" are meaningless. How do you define where one ends and another begins?

      But disregarding that, let me pose this question: Given enough time, what's to prevent 'micro'evolution from becoming 'macro'evolution?

      Let's imagine a group of organisms. Due to tectonic forces over millions of years, a mountain range grows in their habitat. Some of the creatures stay there, and some migrate to a nearby lake or sea. The ones in the mountains gradually evolve a thick layer of fat, white hair to hide in the snow, a more efficient cardiovascular system to handle thinner air, a long nose to look for food under the snow, and the ability to slow their metabolism (hibernate). The ones near the water slowly grow thinner and sleeker, develop webbed feet, a wide tail, and their nostils move to the top of their nose.

      Now nothing in this scenario involves more than a small 'micro'evolutionary changes, but after millions, maybe even just thousands, of years, you will have two different species that look nothing alike and have totally different body structures. In other words, you have 'macro'evolution.

  17. Re:ok, I'll 'bite' by Dale+Dunn · · Score: 2
    Their descendants were not punished (for that sin), but they did live with the consequenses of that sin. The sinners will be punished in the afterlife, if you're not satisfied with what happened in this life. The fact that sin can have unpleasant consequences on others is one of the things that makes it bad.

    Next you'll ask why God allows us to hurt each other by sinning. Briefly, because this is a necessary component of the creation of creatures with free will. We have the free will to make choices. Those choices can impact the world around us. Also, there is a reason why we are given free will.

  18. Re:7 day creationism by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 2

    The problem that the day-age people have is that the order is all wrong. Fruit trees before fish. Plants before the sun.

  19. Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by teetam · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I have been reading these arguments about evolution for quite some time on /. and other such fora. It is interesting to note that these discussions often descend into Evolution as a science versus Christianity as a religion.

    That is kinda strange as all religions believe in creationism. However, people of most other religions seem to realize the distinction between faith-based religious beliefs and scientific facts like evolution. Also, this debate seems to be the hottest in America alone. Why is that?

    I don't want to hurt anyone's sensibilities, but history is filled with instances of the Christian church condemning the scientific world and trying to regulate what the scientists say.

    I am interested in knowing the views of all you calm people out there as to why evolution is so vigorously attacked by America's religious Christians alone and not so much by other religions/countries?

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    1. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by teetam · · Score: 2
      You are quite right. I had also pointed out that ALL religions believe in creationism.

      But I do know for a fact that in India and even many other Muslim countries, evolution is taught as a fact in schools without any controversy.

      Creationism stays in mosques and temples - where it belongs; a faith-based religious belief. Evolution is taught in schools, because in schools is where scientific facts belong.

      I was merely pointing that out - NOT trying to offend any religion. Thanks.

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    2. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by teetam · · Score: 2
      What evidence do you have that this is true? Do you know for a fact there are fewer creationists among Muslims, Jews, and Hindus than among Christians? It might be true, or it might just be a stereotype. I don't know.

      I do. I can confirm that in India (a very religious country, mind you!), evolution is taught as a fact in schools. The reason is simple - evolution is a scientific fact. Religion trying to dictate what should (or should not) be taught in schools is like scientists deciding what should be said in a church sermon.

      If you are from America, you might believe that this issue is hotly debated all over the world. That is far from true. Most people recognize that faith and scientific facts belong in different places. Neither is an argument against the other.

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    3. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by J.+J.+Ramsey · · Score: 2

      Actually, Muslims in Turkey were opposed to the teaching of evolution, and one of the reasons Kennewick Man, a Caucasoid skeleton found on the coast of Maine, caused such an uproar is that its presence conflicted with some of the local Native American creation stories. Fundamentalist Christians are merely the most vocal, in the U.S. at least.

      Also, it is not so much true that "all religions believe in creationism." For religions where the historicity of the beliefs is considered important, such as Judaism, Christianity, and Islam, evolution as an theory of origin is a direct challenge. For religions where the truth of the myth is not considered important so much as what the myth teaches, such as Buddhism, evolution is not so much an issue.

    4. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by Debillitatus · · Score: 3
      I am interested in knowing the views of all you calm people out there as to why evolution is so vigorously attacked by America's religious Christians alone and not so much by other religions/countries?

      This is an interesting question. First, though, I would like to point out that it is not only Christians, and not only in America, that evolution is attacked by religious fundamentalists on religious grounds. This does happen in many countries, and typically by many religions. That being said, your point is well taken, that it is mostly Christians, and definitely mostly in the United States, where religious attacks on evolution are prevalent.

      One factor which contributes to this, in my mind, is America's notion of egalitarianism. (Ironically, possibly) There is a notion which I have only seen held by Americans which goes something along the lines of "Everyone's opinion is as good as anyone else's, so to hell with the experts, our opinion needs to be part of the debate". So what's the connection? I think the connection is that a lot of Americans, no matter what their level of education, feel competent to speak on scientific matters. As one might imagine, this typically leads to a lot of expressed opinions which are, to say the least, ill-informed. This is in contrast to other countries, where this attitude of "everyone's opinion is equal" seems much less prevalent. (I grant that I don't have much data to back up the above, so you can fairly categorize it as anecdotal.) What this leads to is that people ignore the experts' opinions on (say) evolution, and think that whatever they feel is a convincing argument for (say) creationism is as good as what the scientific community thinks. This is, IMHO, a specifically American trait, and this is why you see this manifested so much in the US.

      ----Now, don't get me wrong. As an American, I think that usually, this egalitarianism is a great thing. It leads us to have what is probably the closest thing to a meritocracy as is possible in 2002, and I think that is a Good Thing. Just sometimes, it causes a little trouble.----

      Another thing which I think contributes is that Americans are more distrustful of centralized authority than any group of people I can think of. Americans don't believe anything the government says. Conspiracy theories are a staple of American culture. Now, there are other countries which have a CT subculture (France and India do come to mind), but in the US, CT is completely mainstream. I'm reminded of this article just recently on /. Anyway, I think that this massive distrust of authority leads to more belief in creationism (and further many other types of pseudoscience). Anything which the Scientific Establishment tells us, but is obvious wrong just by common sense, must be wrong, right?

      A third factor is that many people of my parents' generation (just pre-Baby Boom), and most people of my grandparents' generation, were taught creationism in school. Neither of my parents were taught anything but lip-service concerning evolution, and were explicitly told by their science teachers that evolution was wrong. (I have in my mind's eye a teacher saying "Well, the damnyankees made us put this in the book, but...") Ok, perhaps this is in the South and not over the rest of the country, but this definitely plays a role. I mean, I admit that I have trouble thinking of Kazakhstan as a country (or, hell, even Germany) because it wasn't around when I was in grammar school. I mean, I'm up to date only on the things which I do. Certainly nonscientists will not hear anything about the evolution vs. creationism debate after they finish their eduction, so whatever they heard as kids sticks. Now, I don't have any idea what kids in other countries were taught 40 years ago, so this may or may not be a factor. It will also be interesting to see whether or not these people will be common in my age group in 30 years or so.

      All in all, I could be completely wrong and none of the above plays a role, but it does sound right. And it is an intruiging question: Why American Christians have this one issue, and rarely any other type of religous person makes a big deal out of it. For myself, I am both a practicing religious person and a working mathematician, and I see no conflict between my faith and the scientific method.

      Another very interesting question which I have posed many times in my life, but never found a reasonable answer to is, essentially, Why do people find a conflict between their faith and science? In the context of this discussion, why do creationists feel a need to discredit the scientific community on the subject of evolution? This is something which seems like a complete waste of energy to me.

      One who has faith could say

      1. I believe that there is no conflict between faith and science,
      2. I believe (say) in the Bible literally, and all of this science is crap, so to hell with you scientists, or even
      3. science is ok when it comes to engineering and rocketships, but I don't believe it has anything useful to say about the origins of man, so I will ignore science and listen to the Bible on this score.
      All of these positions seem reasonable (at least philosophically) to me, even though I strongly disagree with the last two. But another alternative, which I have seen a lot and completely bewilders me, is that creationists try to debunk evolution, typically using a combination of both scientific and biblical arguments, and sometimes just scientific. This is analogous to the people who try to use archaeology to "prove" that Noah had an ark with all of these animals in it. First, this proposition strikes me as philosophically absurd, but more importantly, completely useless. Let's say that you prove that there really was a dude named Noah, he really did have an Ark, and it had all these animals on it. So what? Will that make me believe more in the Ten Commandments, or the Five Pillars of Islam, or whatever? I can't imagine that it would, and I can't understand people who think it would. For example, let's say that someone convinces me that the scientists are all wrong on evolution. This will cause me to believe in Jesus?

      I have just never understood this fourth position, since it seems like a complete waste of time. It's also philosophically sort of weird, since people are trying to use scientific arguments to prove the Bible is truth word-for-word. This seems, at least, ironic.

      Well, anyway, just my 2 cents, and I hope the content justified the length.

      --

      Come on, give it up, that's

    5. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by teetam · · Score: 2
      So, if my religion taught me that the earth is flat and that the sun revolves around the earth, I can demand that schools not teach my kids otherwise? No, I am not making an arbitrary point here - both these were hotly debated issues not so long ago (remember Galileo?). Teaching a recognized scientific fact is not anti-religion.

      My point is - it is irrelevant what my beliefs are - a science teacher in school should teach whatever is accepted as a fact by the scientific community at large. As I said before, scientists should not try and protest about "anti-scientific" preachings in the church and vice versa.

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    6. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by teetam · · Score: 2

      Thanks. It was exactly this kind of discussion that I was hoping for. I am sorry that some others merely glanced at my post and started attacking me.

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    7. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by teetam · · Score: 2
      I am sorry - but I don't flame.

      May be you didn't read my post or maybe I didn't make my point clear. Let me spell it out again. You are welcome to respond (as long as it is not a flame)

      • Religious beliefs should be taught in religious places. Scientists should not try and dictate what should be preached in churches.
      • Scientific beliefs (defined as the beliefs agreed upon by most of the scientific community) should taught in schools. People should not object to this based on their religious beliefs. Science grows and improves on questions and disagreements - hence the emphasis on most. This is unlike religion which is faith-based.

      BTW, there are half-man, half-ape fossils.

      Also, three centuries ago, everyone knew that obviously the sun goes around the earth! There is plenty of proof for evolution. You won't see a fish change into a horse before your eyes. Yet, this is the kind of proof that many demand. In fact, if such a thing happened, it would disprove evolution.

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    8. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by gillbates · · Score: 2
      The problem with evolution, as it currently stands, is that:
      • Evolution is a family of theories, many of which cannot be proven/disproven. Because of this, they aren't valid scientific theories. And it is certainly not a fact - not even the scientific community at large supports this claim.
      • The core idea behind evolution, that a species adapts to its environment by its weaker members being killed off before they can reproduce is logically suspect. If nature did indeed work this way, evolution would favor the most prolific breeders as opposed to those most suited to their environment. Compared to their evolutionary ancestors, time to maturity and gestation periods have increased for all of the advanced species - which is exactly the opposite of what should happen according to evolutionary theory.
      • The can of peaches argument. In a can of peaches, you will find all of the elements essential for life - a good food supply, amino acids, cell structures, DNA, etc... Yet, apart from contamination from the outside world, no life starts growing in a can of peaches. Why? If life really did begin as a cosmic accident where all of the ingredients came together under the right conditions, we should be able to reproduce this event with modern lab equipment. Yet we can't. In fact, if this theory were true, we should see new life forms springing up in every canned good. It just doesn't make sense that something as complex as modern life forms simply came about by random interaction between chemicals.
      • Entropy - life forms are the only part of the universe to demonstrate negative entropy; according to the theory of evolution, life forms become more complex as time goes on; in the rest of the sciences, however, complex systems tend to break down into simpler ones. This again illustrates that these theories are flawed, because they contradict the soundly established laws of physical science. (Yes, entropy is not a law, but equilibrium is - and the point still holds)
      • Fundamentalist Christianity aside, the Bible says very little about how life came about, and more about who started it. Microevolution doesn't conflict with Christianity per se, but just as any science cannot be apolitical, many humanist authors have (mis)used the theories of evolution to attack Christian belief. Macroevolution is in direct contrast with Christianity, however, and most Christians do not distinguish between the two.

      Evolution is either 1.) against someone's belief, or 2.) not a scientific fact. Regardless of whether one believes in science or Christ, believing in evolution makes no sense. From a Christian perspective, God created life. From a scientific perspective, evolution is still nothing more than a family of theories, many of which cannot be proven, and all of which have not been proven.

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    9. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by RussP · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What's happening today is that roles of science and the church have essentially reversed. Now it is science that wields the authority, not the church. And with regard to evolution, science is doing exactly what the church once did: repressing and ridiculing dissenters. Ever noticed that most of the scholarly oppositioin to evolution comes from retired biologists or scientists in other fields. That's because a biologist seriously jeopardizes his or her career by coming out prominently against (Neo-Darwinian) evolution. Yet many of those same biologists attend church regularly. They obviously don't subscribe to Dawkins hard-core atheistic position.

      --
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    10. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by Debillitatus · · Score: 2

      Yeah... unfortunately, the problem with /. is that since that wasn't one of the first 20 posts, noone will ever see it. Oh well...

      --

      Come on, give it up, that's

    11. Re:Is it just Evolution Vs. Christianity by Debillitatus · · Score: 2
      Microevolution doesn't conflict with Christianity per se, but just as any science cannot be apolitical, many humanist authors have (mis)used the theories of evolution to attack Christian belief. Macroevolution is in direct contrast with Christianity, however, and most Christians do not distinguish between the two.

      Ok, I'm not going to give a detailed rebuttal of exactly where and why you're wrong in your science in the above post, since 1] other people will surely do so, and 2] you won't listen anyway. Let me suffice by saying that you don't have a good understanding of current scientific theory (e.g. the 2nd Law of Thermo) and you don't understand the scientific method.

      What I would like to talk about is your last point, about how humanist authors have used evolution to attack Christianity. What you say is to some degree true. Some people are going to attack Christianity no matter what (many of the people here on /. qualify), because they're atheists, or they have a chip on their shoulder, or whatever. Unfortunately, though, the reason they have so much ammunition to do so is mostly the Christians' fault.

      Evolution is a scientific theory. We can debate its merits scientifically, but it is not inherently anti-Christian. If you think it is, ask the majority of Christians (many Catholics, many types of Protestants), even in the US, who accept the theory of evolution. The real problem, and the reason that creationists look like fools, is that some Christians believe that they must attack the scientific theory of evolution on religious grounds. This is a prospect which has no chance of success. I mean, the people you'll convince with religious arguments are already on your side, and the others will ignore you. These creationists believe so strongly that they should attack evolution that a lot of (at best) ill-informed and ignorant things come out of their mouth. That's what gives the humanists more ammunition.

      Look, trust me, as a man who is pro-religion in this modern day, you guys are hurting the cause. Whenever you post something like the above, you convince some people that all believers are anti-scientific nutcases. Do you think that helps atheism or hurts it?

      --

      Come on, give it up, that's

  20. an interesting discussion by cindy · · Score: 2

    Of all the topics that come up regularly on Slashdot, this is certainly the least productive. I doubt that anyone is interested in hearing anything other than their own comfortable beliefs. For those that don't mind being challenged, here is a discussion from a radio program called The White Horse Inn entitled "How Can I Believe in Creation when Evolution is a Scientific Fact?" I expect it should make everyone unhappy, but perhaps it will make some on this forum rethink their positions - at least about Christians if not on the evolution/creation debate.

    For those who might be interested in the differences between the various creation theories in the Christian community, there is also part 1 and part 2 of a debate on the subject.

    All three are RealAudio, about 25 minutes long.

  21. Re:Troll. by cp99 · · Score: 2

    Was everyone who was killed corrupt?

    Even the infants?

    Or do you believe that genocide can be considered justice?

    --
    Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
  22. Re:Non-Zero Probability by RussP · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yes, of course it happened. The question is not whether it happened or not, but how it happened. You seem to be assuming that the mere fact that it happened proves that it happened without any intelligent design. In other words, you are confusing your premise with your conclusion. That's alright, evolutionists do it all the time.

    --
    I watch Brit Hume on Fox News
  23. Macro vs Micro evolution by LowellPorter · · Score: 2
    I think the two are different and one does not prove the other.


    Macro evolution as described in the big bang theory says simple cell or single cell organisms evolved gradually over billions of years into the animals and people we have today.


    Micro evolution is like the finches that are so often discussed. They were move from one part of the world to some island. Their beaks changed shapes and there were other changes. Another type is the mice that were moved that they say have developed into a "different species".


    I have no problem with micro evolution. Animals (and probably people) will change biologically to some extent if given the proper conditions. This is no proof for macro evolution. The finches are still birds and the mice are still mice. Since they are not breeding with a large a gene pool as before, they change over time. They will have LESS genetic information. Which is a loss (duh). Macro evolution states things go from least complex to more complex. Single cell to animals we have today. It can't be proven that the changes in the finces prove this aspect of Macro evolutoin.

    1. Re:Macro vs Micro evolution by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      I think the two are different and one does not prove the other.
      The notion that a meaningful distinction can be drawn between "macro" and "micro" evolution has pretty much fallen by the wayside now that we are able to read the actual genetic codes of organisms, and we know for certain that differences between species are just an accumulation the same kinds of mutational variations that are observed within a population.

      Today, the notion of "macroevolution" is preserved by Creationists, who use it as a fallback, each time evolution of a species is demonstrated in nature or in the lab, insisting, "OK, you can get that much evolution, but no more--anything bigger has to be done by God!"

    2. Re:Macro vs Micro evolution by tgibbs · · Score: 2
      there still is no proof that the advanced animals of today evolved from single celled organisms which some evolutionists believe
      No, proof belongs to mathematics, not science. In science, nothing is ever proved. There is no proof of gravity. Or relativity. Theories can only be disproved. The closest you can get to proof is to confirm a prediction. And with evolution, we find one of the most amazing confirmations in all of science. Remember, the theory of natural selection predates knowledge of the genetic code. Yet from the theory, it was possible to predict the existence of genetic mutations, the patterns of relationships betwen different species, and the fact that those differences are identical to the mutational changes that occur spontaneously. All of these were strong preditions--that is, if any one of them had turned out not to be true, the theory would have been disproved. This is, of course, the hallmark of a good theory--it makes strong predictions. The reason Creationism does not qualify as a scientific prediction is that it makes no strong predictions. For example, there is no reason why a God would need to make the differences betwen species look exactly like mutations. He wouldn't even need to give them all the same genetic code. But a Creationist can always say, "He's God, so He can do anything He wants. He must have done this for some mysterious reason of His Own."

      I see no experiments or proof where a new KIND was made by evolution Different Kinds can't interbreed
      In science, there is no such thing as different "KINDs". Creationists have invented this term, now that there are examples of new species evolving. Apparently, the Creatinist definition of "KIND" is "a difference greater than science has observed to date."
  24. Missing Macroevolution by PineHall · · Score: 2
    And "no major trends involving a complex of character changes can be demonstrated as having resulted from species selection." In contrast, the rapid radiation of the cichlid fish of the East African Great Lakes provides some evidence for species level evolution, and a bridge between macroevolution and microevolution.

    It seems like evidence for macroevolution on the changing species level is what is missing. The cichlid fish is an interesting case study but from my minimal research on the matter it does not seem to provide that needed "bridge". It still seems to be firmly in the realm of microevolution.

  25. Creationism vs. Evolution Aside . . . by llywrch · · Score: 2

    I wish this review has discussed how this book compares to other books written on this topic, say A.S. Romer's _The Vertebrate Story_ (4th. ed., Chicago, 1959) or the well-known works of Stephen S. Gould.

    If nothing else, a suggestion for future reviews.

    Geoff

    --
    I think I see a trend here. Maybe for them it really would be easier to muzzle the entire internet than to produce p
  26. Raising a good question: introductory texts? by hyacinthus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I hate to intrude into the creationism vs. evolution debates which seem to be dominating this discussion, but I actually have a _different_ question. We all know that high school and perhaps introductory college texts on general biology have often become seriously watered down and error-ridden. Stephen Jay Gould wrote one amusing essay on how a particular error (something to do with _Eohippus_, which isn't named _Eohippus_ anymore I guess, but I like the old name) has propagated itself, unchecked, from text to text.

    Frankly I don't trust many high school or freshman level textbooks in _any_ subject. So I'd like to know: can anyone recommend a scholarly, well-referenced textbook, aimed about about the twelfth-grade level, in biology, in particular one which does a good job of covering evolution? Any particular authors and titles stand out? Any good resources to reviews and critiques of popular science textbooks?

    The popular works have their place, but they're all deficient in some way. Gould is too scattershot--he's an essayist, really--and Dawkins is too polemical (frankly I think Dawkins has become an unmitigated jackass in recent years, and I'm not a creationist.)

    hyacinthus.

  27. Re:7 day creationism by barawn · · Score: 2

    It's always possible, for instance, to claim that the Universe just sprang into being, and has been evolving as it is supposed to ever since. Sure. There's no problem with that, it's perfectly consistent, and impossible to disprove. It's also a meaningless statement, from a logic point of view.

    Let me put it this way: what's the fundamental difference between instantaneous creation and subsequent evolution and evolution straight from the beginning? The difference is whether or not the ten billion years that it took for the Universe to get to this point actually happened. However, from our point of view, this doesn't matter - the atoms in our body and everything else move just as if the Universe had been here for 10 billion years, and so whether or not it "actually happened" is a statement without a heck of a lot of merit. To us, it did happen: we evolve, and live, as if the Universe is 10 billion years old, and Earth is 5 billion years old, and the Sun is 6 billion years old. Asking whether or not it "actually happened" is not a question for man, science, or anyone in this Universe, because whether or not it "actually happened" is only answerable by something outside this Universe.

    So, the basic answer is: of course it is possible. The problem is that there's no reason to believe it - it's not important for the Universe whether or not it was "created" five seconds ago, or ten billion years ago. If you want to believe that, sure, go ahead. Ask God when you die.

    But most importantly, don't argue against the "created 10 billion years ago" theory. That's being arrogant - it's claiming that you know something that only God could know.

  28. Re:-1 wrong by PD · · Score: 2

    Shannon entropy is not the same as thermodynamic entropy. As I said before, it's common to confuse the two.

    Even Maxwell's demon example shows this. The demon sits in a box, decreasing entropy. But what work does the demon do to decrease that entropy? None, from a thermodynamic perspective. Any information work that the demon does has no correspondance to work in the thermodynamic system.

  29. Re:-1 wrong by Fiver-rah · · Score: 2
    Shannon entropy is not the same as thermodynamic entropy.

    Talk to Jaynes.

    --
    Read Bujold. Free (as in
  30. Re:-1 wrong by PD · · Score: 2

    Maybe Jaynes and Lambert should arm wrestle to find out who wins!

  31. Re: Troll. by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2


    > I bet it's easy to go through life thinking you're a biological mistake. No morals, no absolute truth; no right or wrong. It's all random chemical interactions in your brain. Rape, steal, kill. No reason not to if this is all there is.

    And how is divine creation any different? In a divinely created universe it's perfectly OK to commit genocide against a tribe competing with yours for the possession of a land you think your god promised to your people, or to fly a passenger plane into a building, if that's what you think your god wants you to do.

    There is no morality in religion, just self-justification. I'll take my chances in a secular universe.

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  32. Re: Non-Zero Probability by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2


    > Yes, of course it happened. The question is not whether it happened or not, but how it happened.

    FYI, scientists aren't keen on "random chance" as an explanation of anything either. The whole history of science can be understood as an investigation of why lots of really interesting stuff doesn't happen by "random chance".

    In a universe ruled by randomness there wouldn't be any regularity to which direction something moves when you drop it; the theory of gravity explains why you get a result contrary to "random chance".

    In a universe ruled by randomness there wouldn't be any regularity to what happens when you mix two chemicals in a beaker; the atomic theory explains why you get a result contrary to "random chance".

    In a universe ruled by randomness there wouldn't be any pattern in the fossil record; the theory of evolution explains why we see a pattern contrary to "random chance".

    In a universe ruled by randomness there wouldn't be any relationship between the genomes of different species, families, orders, etc; the theory of evolution explains why we see a relationship contrary to "random chance".

    Scientists know darn well that things are very surprising if you consider them to be the result of "random chance". The difference between scientists and creationists is that scientists want to know why things are the way they are rather than a random smear of matter-energy.

    The whole probability argument is a red herring that serves no purpose other than to excuse not looking for an explanation. You can't disprove biology with a probability argument any more than you can disprove physics, chemistry, astronomy, or any other branch of science with it. Arguments involving probability and information are, as they say, "not even wrong".

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  33. Re:-1 wrong by Fiver-rah · · Score: 2
    Dude, Jaynes is dead. He'd lose.

    Nevertheless, entropy is a statement of volume of phase space. If you can define your system well enough to understand what your phase space is, you can define an entropy. Once you do that, you can come up with analogues to temperature. An article in (fer cryin out loud) the Journal of Chemical Education which has only hand-wavy refutation of some things which have been defined and explained in a careful, logical, scientific and mathematical fashion is singularly unconvincing.

    --
    Read Bujold. Free (as in
  34. Re:-1 wrong by PD · · Score: 2

    I think we're violently agreeing now.

    If you can define your system well enough to understand what your phase space is, you can define an entropy.

    That's the exception that I mentioned above. The information system has to match the thermodynamic system. My original objection was to the generalized idea that informational entropy was exactly the same as thermodynamic entropy. In the case of dirty room vs. clean room it's not, unless you properly define the states of dirty and clean, which you did.

  35. Re: How did evolution even start? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2


    > Maybe I am coming at this the wrong way, but can someone explain how evolution would even get off the ground? If we start near the beginning (if there is such a thing) where we have a single-celled organism (how that organism came about we can leave to another discussion), how did it become multi-cellular?

    I am not very expert on this, but I know that there are unicellular organisms in the world now that group themselves into "multicellular" colonies, somewhat blurring the distinction between unicellular and multicellular. And things like sponges are only a short step beyond that.

    > With the little biology I know, single-celled organisms reproduce by creating an exact copy of themselves. Without sexual reproduction, then there is no change in the next creature that comes out. That leaves us to random mutations to somehow create more complex living multi-cellular organisms.

    I think that's correct. Notice also that even sexually reproducing species would simply reshuffle existing genetic material, if there were no mutations. So evolution ultimately depends on mutations, regardless of species' erotic habits.

    > Now I may be wrong, but if I remember from my biology book, mutations are most of the time harmful (if not always -- especially dealing at this level of simplicity, mess with anything and it will probably die).

    Actually, I think most mutations are neutral. Regardless of that, the relevant point is that some are "good", and that natural selection leverages them by giving them preference in the construction of the next generation. Think of natural selection as a filter, and remember that there can be a lot of qualitative difference between a filtered substance and the unfiltered substance it was derived from. (Think of all the rock that comes out of a diamond mine, vs the little bag of raw diamonds at the end of the process.)

    At any rate, genetic algorithms demonstrate very clearly that random mutations can contribute to evolutionary "progress". I have seen a plot somewhere on the Web where someone had an A/B comparison between running a GA with mutations turned on and then running it again with mutations turned off, and there was an astonishing difference in the performance of the two runs.

    The key to understanding evolution is not to focus on the mutations, but to focus on the process that exploits those mutations. To paraphrase the US Marines' recruitment slogan, "All we need is a few good mutations."

    Remember, Darwin published the basic theory while Mendel was still playing gardner, and we didn't have any clue about genetic mutations. But the process of leveraging variation was still discernable in nature.

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  36. What Spetner's book says, and how science works by alienmole · · Score: 2
    Spetner suggests that environmental factors cause non-random mutation. IANAES (Evolutionary Scientist), but that could be an important insight, if he's correct. He's not the first to suggest it - theories of this kind go back a hundred years or more. Claiming that this "completely discredits neo-Darwinian theory" betrays a fundamental lack of understanding of how science works.

    While we're recommending books to each other, you might want to try Thomas Kuhn's "Structure of Scientific Revolutions" for some info on the subject of how science works - it's not the last word, but it serves as a good intro. I'll give you the ten-cent synopsis: just because someone comes along with a possibly plausible-sounding hypothesis, doesn't mean it's correct.

    If Spetner does turn out to have a point, evolution would be changed fairly dramatically, but it is not really replaced, since crucial basic aspects of the theory remain unchanged. Saying that you are "amazed at how completely fooled Slashdot readers are" is a little like saying that you're amazed at how completely fooled people were by Newton's theory of gravity, right around the time Einstein first published his papers on General Relativity.

    Slashdot readers are wise to reserve judgement on hypotheses like this one, until the affected discipline has had a chance to properly debate, test, and possibly assimilate the ideas.

    Spatner's statistics often remind me of the statistics used to determine the probability of alien life in the universe: the results are all over the map, depending on who's doing the calculating and what their assumptions are. You could accept almost all of Spatner's logic and simply change a few assumptions, and come to a completely different conclusion.

    An additional and unfortunate problem with Spetner's work is that the nature of the hypothesis is such that almost every crackpot religious group seems to have jumped on it as proof that "evolution can't be right", despite the fact that if anything, the hypothesis might in fact help to produce a more sophisticated theory of evolution. Blind religious crackpottery doesn't help in having a reasoned debate on the topic.

    1. Re:What Spetner's book says, and how science works by alienmole · · Score: 2

      P.S. I should have mentioned that Spetner also does propose that intelligent design would be required to produce the observed results. This is a huge and unscientific leap which his book doesn't do anything to justify, especially not his probabilistic arguments.

  37. Re:stupid, stupid, stupid by LMCBoy · · Score: 2

    "Order cannot come without disorder. Period."

    Well, that statement is true, but it's a rather sloppy way of putting it. How about: "For a closed system, the total amount of entropy must increase or stay the same".

    When you consider the Earth as a thermodynamic system, it is not closed. It has a vast energy input from the Sun, and a waste energy output in the form of heat re-radiated into space. Thus, it is trivially easy to increase the amount of order locally on Earth. No, really, you can try it yourself! Empty your pocket change onto your desk. Now separate the dimes from the nickels and quarters. Voila! You have increased Order locally. Congratulations.

    Again, this is no thermodynamic paradox; you had to exert energy to rearrange the coins; some of this energy was wasted as heat, such that the total entropy of the entire system increased. It's the same principle that allows crystals to grow spontaneously from liquid, and trees from acorns, and any other apparent local reversals of Entropy. All you need is energy. It's easy.

    I'm sorry if that's too complicated; I don't know how to explain it in simpler terms. Just because something is complex, however, does not make it untrue.

    --
    Liberal (adj.): Free from bigotry; open to progress; tolerant of others.
  38. Re: How did evolution even start? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2


    > But even a single cell is ridiculously complex; even a small strand of DNA is amazinglycomplicated. How did these form in the first place?

    That's not the question I was answering, but the answer is probably essentially the same: bootstrapped from simpler precursors.

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  39. Re:stupid, stupid, stupid by canadian_right · · Score: 2

    So how do you explain all the living, ordered, things on the Earth?

    --
    Anarchists never rule
  40. Re:Understanding evolution by Scaba · · Score: 2
    The implied assumption in your statement is that you do! - such hurbis is often a clear indication of ignorance.

    I wasn't trying to sound arrogant or all-knowing. Often I hear people talk (or write in forums) about biological evolution as if it were a single event of distinct speciation, that maybe happened once or twice some millions of years ago, when the monkeys turned into people, when in fact it is nothing more than "...a change in the genetic characteristics of a population over time." (http://www.talkorigins.org/origins/faqs-qa.html). I was just trying to make the point that evolution is an ongoing and observable phenomenon, not a single event that turns species A into species B (though this may happen occasionally, according to some) or some wild speculation by a bunch of heathen scientists to disprove the existence of <favorite higher power>. I'll admit I'm not a evolutionary biologist, but I am extremely fascinated by evolution, so I tend to read a lot of the current literature, and have what is best called a well-informed layperson's understanding, so I try to at least make sure we are all talking about the real theory of evolution as we understand it today, not some uninformed assumptions about what it is, as the original poster was trying to do. If someone wanted to discuss with you that they thought computers were evil because they are powered by little demons inside (please refrain from Wintel jokes), before continuing the discussion you'd probably want to bring them around to see that computers are mostly just a bunch of tiny electronic switches and wires.


    However, the fossil record fails to show the progressive transformation of any living organism into a distinctly different kind of organism. The fossil record is "punctuated" by new fully formed organism. Is it not this observation that is the prime mover behind the concept of the "hopeful monster" or punctuated equilibrum.

    As an analogy, I think we are still living in the comparable ara of newtonian physics and still waiting for relativity.


    I agree. We only know what we know, and we'll probably never know everything, but that shouldn't stop us from accepting today what we know as true today, until something proves it false, or not so much false, but maybe as less-encompassing. Newtonian physics is as valid today as it was in 1700 or so. Gravity didn't stop working when Einstein put forth his realtivity theories, but we now know that classic Newtonian physics only explains a subset of the universe. However, if you want to plot the course of a rocket, you still only need to know what Newtown knew.

  41. Dawkins by Llywelyn · · Score: 2

    "frankly I think Dawkins has become an unmitigated jackass in recent years, and I'm not a creationist"

    Agreed and true of me as well.

    Dawkin's recent popular examples and computer models have been so flawed in their basic assumptions that I just have to shake my head. Yet he, and many others, seem to treat even a basic critique of such models as "Creationist Propaganda".

    --
    Integrate Keynote and LaTeX
  42. re: Behe by Tablizer · · Score: 2

    Evolution is, in fact, losing credibility as people begin to look at it critically. Witness the fac that the journal Natural History, hardly a bastion of creationist thought, recognized the validity of Intelligent Design enough to give three ID proponents (Michael J. Behe, William A. Dembski, and Jonathan Wells) an unprecedented page and a half each to present thier arguments in favor of ID in the April 2002 issue.

    The Behe argument is really nothing more than a complaint that knowledge of biochemical evolution is not well understood so far. A typical "Gaps equal God" argument.

    He suggests that because nobody knows what the intermediate (simpler) versions of complex biochemical processes are, that intermediate versions likely are impossible, and thus they must have appeared as-is in their full, complex forms.

    This of course is silly. Often "good enough" simple chemical processes are later replaced by more complex processes section by section (WRT "chain"). Just because we don't know what these earlier simpler forms are right now does NOT mean that they *cannot* exist.

    Behe confuses "don't know" with "cannot".

    If we did not have the Flying Squirrel as a living example, the evolution of bat flight might be harder to imagine, for example.

  43. Re: Behe by dublin · · Score: 2

    The Behe argument is really nothing more than a complaint that knowledge of biochemical evolution is not well understood so far. A typical "Gaps equal God" argument.

    He suggests that because nobody knows what the intermediate (simpler) versions of complex biochemical processes are, that intermediate versions likely are impossible, and thus they must have appeared as-is in their full, complex forms.


    This is not at all true, and pretty much proves you've not read what he's written. Behe's entire point is that there *is* such a thing as irreducible complexity, meaning that there cannot be any "intermediate versions" to find, for the simple reason that they cannot exist, since any partial or intermediate state would result in a non-functioning organism that could not survive. Some things simply had to be created all at once, whether you like the worldview implications of that or not...

    If we did not have the Flying Squirrel as a living example, the evolution of bat flight might be harder to imagine, for example.

    And if this doesn't illustrate the shallowness of evolutionist argument, I don't know what does. I'm pretty darn sure that no evolutionary scientist is willing to stand up and say that bats evolved from flying squirrels. Perhaps they evolved from flying snakes instead? :-)

    (Valid question: if evolution is as strong as it must be to support your argument, why would you argue against bats evolving from snakes? The reason is that even evolutionists recognize that the transition from reptile to mammal is effectively impossible, so they take pains to paint it as happening only once. See Stoneage Mutant Mammal Turtles for more on this topic...)

    --
    "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
  44. Re:7 day creationism by barawn · · Score: 2

    OK: you're assuming that astrophysicists are accurate to 50%? You have a lot of faith - usually if I ever got within a factor of 2, I'm happy. Being perfectly serious, though, I usually use 10 billion years because that's the order of magnitude that it is. With regard to the other two ages, blah, should've said 4 and 5.

    Anyway, your last statement amused me: if we ever found evidence that the Universe was really created just recently, would God pop out of existence like in Hitchhiker's Guide? Heh.

  45. Re: Behe by dvdeug · · Score: 2

    Some things simply had to be created all at once

    For someone flaming evolutionists for making unsupported statements, that's a pretty big claim. What had to be created all at once? How do we know that? A long time example was the eye, but that's pretty much been shattered.

    If we did not have the Flying Squirrel as a living example, the evolution of bat flight might be harder to imagine, for example.

    And if this doesn't illustrate the shallowness of evolutionist argument, I don't know what does.

    Wha? Read what was written. Flying squirrels were given as an example of similiarity, not evolution. An example of an intermdiate step.

    See Stoneage Mutant Mammal Turtles for more on this topic...)

    Which asks questions like:

    How did a reptile with one vagina, that reproduces by expelling hard-shelled eggs, become a marsupial?

    There are snakes that give live birth, so the concept of a group of reptiles developing live birth isn't at all implausible. Bifurcated/multiple vaginas is also a common mutation, even in humans.

  46. Re: Behe by Tablizer · · Score: 2

    Behe's entire point is that there *is* such a thing as irreducible complexity, meaning that there cannot be any "intermediate versions" to find, for the simple reason that they cannot exist, since any partial or intermediate state would result in a non-functioning organism that could not survive.

    He has not *proven* that there cannot be an intermediate form. He is simply removing links from the current chain instead of testing all posible substitutions. IOW, he is doing only DELETE in his tests and not REPLACE.

    He has not invalidated all possible combinations, but JUST the ones that he personally tested.

    And if this doesn't illustrate the shallowness of evolutionist argument, I don't know what does. I'm pretty darn sure that no evolutionary scientist is willing to stand up and say that bats evolved from flying squirrels.

    I am talking about the flight *mechanism* and NOT the species itself. You missed my point entirely. I could have used birds as an example, but they are too different from mammals to easy visualize a similar transformation.

  47. Re: Non-Zero Probability by RussP · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The Neo-Darwinian theory of evolution says that all life evolved as the result of random mutations combined with natural selection. The driving force is therefore random mutation. Natural selection can do nothing except select the random mutations that happen to occur. The point is that no intelligent design is necessary, according to the theory. Spetner argues conclusively that this model does not cut it. RTFB.

    Oh, I know. It's an unfair debating tactic to simply refer you to the book. OK, fine. RTFB.

    --
    I watch Brit Hume on Fox News
  48. Re:7 day creationism by kmellis · · Score: 2
    The whole basis for Christianity is in the first few chapters of Genesis.
    That's a pretty startling claim. I would have thought that, er, Christ would make up the biggest part of the basis of Christianity. I don't even see Judaism really picking up speed until Moses shows up. The whole creation of the world thing is pretty generic.
  49. Re:7 day creationism by kmellis · · Score: 2
    I went to an unsual school were we do two years of Attic and Homeric Greek and dabble in Koine. No Hebrew, though, so I can't really comment on "Old Testament" stuff. I will say that I was a little surprised and a little dismayed to discover that even my limited education allowed me to translate portions of the "New Testament" (easily!) and discover some pretty serious errors in the King James translation. Really, though, that's not their fault; as the Liddell and Scott at my right hand represents a far more complete scholarship of Greek than the KJ tanslators had.

    Anyway, I wrote "dismayed" in the above paragraph because so many Christians I've known accept the King James as just as much the "perfect" inspired "word of God" as the works it was translated from.

    My sister, who's now a minister and missionary, about six years ago when she was in with a more, shall we say, "unlearned" crowd, tried to convince me that "logos" meant primarily and exclusively "Word of God". I tried to explain to her that logos was a very, very important word in Greek; and it had several related meanings. She didn't really believe me. This is the problem with religion-based teaching -- it's very narrow but goes to pains to disguise its narrowness so the the student has a tendency both to think they know more than they do, and to misapply what they know.

    And this describes so-called "creation science" pretty accurately.

  50. Re:I have two problems with evolution by Yunzil · · Score: 2

    Quick answers:

    Basically, our copy of the record seems to be missing millions of species.

    Fossilization is very rare. But since the fossil record is the weakest evidence for evolution, it's not that important.

    The second problem I have with the theory is the lack of evidence for mutations increasing the amount of information in a gene pool.

    1) Why do you think there has to be "increasing information".
    2) What do you mean by "information" anyway?

  51. Re: Non-Zero Probability by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2



    > The Neo-Darwinian theory of evolution says that all life evolved as the result of random mutations combined with natural selection. The driving force is therefore random mutation. Natural selection can do nothing except select the random mutations that happen to occur.

    Yep, that's pretty much it, though a biologist would probably insist on a footnote about genetic drift, sexual selection, and maybe symbiosis. But in general I think the mutations are critical, since otherwise there would never be any new material to work with.

    > The point is that no intelligent design is necessary, according to the theory.

    Yep. It's also what we see with genetic algorithms: mutation and natural selection have amazing powers.

    > Spetner argues conclusively that this model does not cut it. RTFB. Oh, I know. It's an unfair debating tactic to simply refer you to the book. OK, fine. RTFB.

    Unfortunately, creationist arguments have such a dismal track record that I have to be motivated before I invest the time it takes to read one of their books. (You wouldn't expect me to read a book on astrology without some solid motivation, would you?)

    As I mentioned in another post, I have recently read a review that claims that Spetner used a bait-and-switch tactic when it came to the rub in his book. I was wondering whether any of the creationists pushing his book in this thread have actually read it and understood it well enough to give me a summary of his main argument, and to defend it if I think I see a defect in the summary. Maybe you? I'll undertake to read the book if I see a summary of the main argument that's both concrete and error-free.

    In lieu of that, I'll stick with what the review says, based on nothing more than past experience with creationist arguments. For that matter, it's not at all uncommon to hear a creationist push this or that source of "proof" for something, and then discover that the creationist in question hasn't even read it, or didn't understand the subject matter if he did read it.

    Forgive my cynicism toward your cause, but I've heard hundreds of creationists give thousands of arguments, but I've never seen one that would stand up. Most can be discarded due to logical fallacies, before you ever get to the biology. Can you convince me that Spetner is different from, say, Walter ReMine? [Lurkers, please visit the talk.origins newsgroup, find the thread with initial subject line "Weasel program", trace it down to where ReMine joins in and changes the subject line, and read the rest of the thread from there. Pay particular attention to his "I didn't say that" assertions, and then ask yourself why I might be just a wee bit skeptical about the claims of creationist authors posing as subject matter experts. Then come back and tell everyone what you found in the thread.]

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  52. Re: I have two problems with evolution by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2


    > The first problem I have is the small number of species in the fossil record. Evolution predicts the past existence of millions of species and we've only got thousands of different fossils.

    First, I suspect you underestimate the number of fossils we have by several orders of magnitude. Second, there's nothing in the ToE that predicts that fossils will be preserved.

    Question: How many people lived in the Roman Empire in 31 BCE? Question: How many of those people's bones could you find if you spent the rest of your life looking for them? Question: How many would alien archaeologists be able to find if they started looking 100,000,000 years from now? Question: How much harder would it be to find the fossilized remains of an organism that died on a mountainside, in a jungle, swamp, or shallow sea, and was left to be scavenged and/or rot without a protective burial like so many Roman citizens benefitted from?

    The sparsity of the fossil record is completely unsurprising. In fact we can explain many of the gaps by examining the evidence that tells us what the environment was like at certain places and times where gaps exist.

    But focusing on the gaps is a red herring. What paleontologists need is an explanation for the astonishing fossil evidence that we do have, and that is completely incompatible with all pre-scientific notions of the world's history. The theory of evolution was conceived, in part, to meet that requirement.

    > The second problem I have with the theory is the lack of evidence for mutations increasing the amount of information in a gene pool.

    I see this argument a lot, but I've never seen it presented by anyone who offered a definition of "information" to go along with it. You can't make arguments about constraints on the increase or decrease of some quantity that you can't measure, and you can't measure a quantity that hasn't even been defined.

    The best I can do with this handwavy argument is assume that you are talking about Shannon information. It turns out that there are several ways of applying Shannon information to biology, though AFAIK none of them tell us very much useful.

    Possibly of more concern to evolution deniers is the fact that it can't be taken for granted that Shannon information does increase during evolution. Shannon information boils down to predictability, with "more predictable" being associated with "less information". The maladaptive genetic meltdown that creationists predict as the result of mutations would actually be an increase in Shannon information!

    Sorry, but handwavy arguments are useless for refuting theories - let alone for understanding the universe.

    > In contrast, mutation doesn't have any real world examples (again, that I know) of increasing the information of a gene pool over time. Basically, I'm saying that it is not sufficient to say that randomness 'just works'. At least show me how it works or, failing that, at least provide an actual working experiment showing randomness adding information to a system.

    Have you tried this?

    > Sorry for the long winded response but I really think there are some fatal flaws in the present theory. Anyone who knows better, please feel free correct this post.

    Hopefully I've done so with as little flamebait as I can manage on a tetchy topic. The important thing to realize is that biology, like geology, meteorology, chemistry, physics, astronomy, etc., has gone far beyond the naive intuitions that bronze age mythology was founded on, and unfortunately it's now really difficult for amateurs (including myself, BTW) to offer cogent criticisms of the various theories, because there's just so damn much you need to know before you can even comment on them intelligently.

    Sadly, the hail of criticisms of the theory of evolution is politically motivated, and I suspect that the majority of critics understand that they're completely incompetent to criticise the theories of other fields. With few exceptions it's loyalty to their religion that makes them forget to think when it comes to evolution. But don't mistake the political controversy surrounding the ToE for a scientific controversy. That issue was settled well over a century ago. Those who continue to hurl poorly framed arguments against it need to realize that vehement ignorance can never invalidate a scientific theory. Those few better informed parties who spend their time rallying the masses with bad arguments need to pray that there isn't a place in hell for liars.

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  53. Just one point. by gillbates · · Score: 2
    For more than 2000 years, the best scientific minds on earth believed that the Earth was the center of the universe. Evolution as a theory is less than 200 years old. Why should I accept as true something said by a group that has made such large blunders before?

    I will grant you that there is much data concerning evolution. What I disagree with is the interpretation of that data. Most evolutionary theory ideas do not hold up to simple logical scrutiny, much less scientific scrutiny. Yes, science will eventually straighten itself out in this regard, but in the meantime, many, many people will believe things that will later be shown to be false. Imagine the shock when some 25th century Galileo shows that evolution couldn't possibly be true!

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  54. Re:The Universe is Not billions of years old by Kymermosst · · Score: 2

    As a Christian who Actually Thinks (TM) I am going to take issue with several of your arguments:

    The Bible teaches that: God created the universe approximately 6000 years ago, ex nihilo (out of nothing) in six literal, twenty-four hour days.

    That's one interpretation. The other is that God took six days to reveal the creation to Moses (who wrote Genesis) and took the seventh day off, more to let Moses rest and deal with the magnitude of information he had received, than to rest himself (Why does an omnipotent being need rest???) ... waters rushed off the rising mountains into the new ocean basins. This rapid-erosion through still-soft, unprotected sediments formed the topography we still see today, in places like the Grand Canyon.

    That fails to explain (1) Dinosaur footprints on some of the layers. The flood took 40 days and nights, right? Well, there was a lot more walking on the sands than 40 days and nights would allow. In addition, there is no evidence of trapped water in most of the layers in that area, and there are also periods of organic development. It can be shown that most of the layers of sands were deposited in a dry climate, not a soaking wet one. In addition, the entire structure of the sand layers in Utah and Arizona is counter to an overwhelming flood. (The Paradox layer, composed of salt, is one.) I argue that the sands got there after any great flooding.

    The 0.5 inch layer of cosmic dust on the moon indicates the moon has not been accumulating dust for billions of years. (2, p. 26; 3, p. 22; 4, p. 15; 6, p. 35; 7; 9, p. 25) *Insufficient evidence to be positive (almost all estimates before the lunar landing anticipated great quantities of dust.)

    You are completely ignoring newer observations of the moon. I suppose you don't know that the moon has a very extremely thin atmosphere, do you? It does, and it's composed of lunar dust that gets kicked up from rocks pelting the surface. Some of that dust escapes into space. Larger inpacts have happened that were perfectly capable of ejecting LOTS of material into space.

    You also ignore the fact that the moon has had great lava flows, before it finished cooling, and that would, of course, have covered up previous layers of dust.

    At the rate many star clusters are expanding, they could not have been traveling for billions of years.

    Conveniently leaving out the idea that the stars clusters aren't necessarily that old.

    Saturn?s rings are still unstable, indicating they are not billions of years old.

    Nobody has ever suggested that Saturn's rings must be billions of years old. All it would take is for the right comet/asteroid/whatever getting stuck there and being crushed by tidal forces.

    The decaying magnetic field limits earth?s age to less than billions.

    Not if the core is composed of fissionable materials. You are not paying kind to modern theories.

    Since you are just pointing out speculations and things that ignore other associated circumstances, I'll pick and choose the ones I know most about:

    The largest stalactites and flowstone formations in the world could have easily formed in about 4400 years.

    How long did it take to make the cave? Don't forget eartquakes. Also, the same process that makes stalactites can easily take them away when more water goes through them. Many caves don't have stalactite/stalagmite structures at all.

    The oceans are getting saltier. If they were billions of years old, they would be much saltier than they are now.

    There is also evidence that this is cyclical and related to climate cycling and oceanic conveyors.

    Ice cores at the south pole and Greenland have a maximum depth of 10-14,000 feet. The aircraft that crash-landed in Greenland in 1942 and excavated in 1990 were under 263 feet of ice after only 48 years. This indicates all of the ice could have accumulated in 4400 years. (7)

    If it never melted in the meantime, and if deposit rates were consistent, and if the material of the airplane didn't tend to absorb more solar heat and therefore melt the ice around it and sink.

    The current population of earth (5.5 billion souls) could easily be generated from eight people (survivors of the Flood) in less than 4000 years. (1, p. 167; 3, p. 27; 6, p. 41; 7)

    If people always reproduced at their current (alarming) rate, and there were no war or plague.

    The oldest known historical records are less than 6000 years old. (1, p. 160)

    Not necessarily correct. In addition, you forget that Homo spp. existed without keeping records before then, and many modern-era cultures still hadn't developed written communications on their own when Columbus stubled on America.

    That's about it for me. I think I've refuted enough of the claims you took from obviously extremely biased sources.

    You give Christians like me a bad name, and are of the same band that goes out on the street corners and tell people that we need to kill homosexuals because the law God gave to Hebrews said we should. I, like most Christians, am not a Hebrew, and am not bound to their law. I'm bound to Jesus' law.

    Thanks for playing.

    --
    "Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives" should be a convenience store, not a government agency.
  55. Re: Non-Zero Probability by MrCreosote · · Score: 2

    Are you exactly the same as your siblings? No, because you are the product of random mutations in your parents zygotes, which combined to produce you, a unique individual. Lather, rinse, repeat, over the course of the next million years. Will your decendants be exactly the same as you? Will they be taller, smarter, thinner? Short, fat and uglier? Who knows? Maybe only those with mutated immune systems, with built in immunities to HIV, malaria, small pox, ebola and carcinogens will be here to see it.

    --
    MrCreosote Meow!Thump!Meow!Thump!Meow!Thump! "You're right! There isn't enough room to swing a cat in here!"
  56. Re:The Universe is Not billions of years old by Kymermosst · · Score: 2

    I'm getting really sick of this.

    Well, I'm a theistic evolutionist.

    The main point I am arguing is, if it looks like a banana, smells like a banana, and tastes like a banana, it's likely a banana.

    One thing is, the process of Creation isn't core to a Christian's belief. The Creation, as described in Genesis, is pretty much irrelevant. If it had been eliminated when the Bible was put together, you'd never have noticed. It's not a central issue, and questioning or invalidating the Creation doesn't destroy Christianity. Don't feel so threatened.

    Remember, that the translations into English are not always accurate as they are in the original language, and in the original Hebrew, it is possible to interpret the description of the Creation in a way that indicates that it took six days for God to reveal the Creation to Moses, not that it took six days for God to do it.

    But this really is about interpretation, ien't it? Keep in mind that many so-called Christians interpret the bible in very interesting ways.

    --
    "Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives" should be a convenience store, not a government agency.
  57. Re: Behe by dublin · · Score: 2

    A long time example was the eye, but that's pretty much been shattered.

    Don't be ridiculous, NO ONE has proposed a reasonable explanation for how an eye might even hypothetically develop, even assuming that beneficial mutations that create new genetic information exist, a crucial prerequisite for which there is no evidence at all.

    Please explain to me, for instance, how a unique structure like the optic nreve unconnected to either the retina (that's not there yet, because it's still waiting to evolve rods and cones), or the brain (that has no visual cortex for processing any signals it might send) might stand even a snowball's chance in Hell of being selected as a beneficial mutation, and carried along as excess baggage for the geologic eras required for the rest of the mechanism to fall into place. To get around this problem, you need to have thousands of such impossibilities all resolve themselves simultaneously in order to produce an eye that might confer some advantage in natural selection.

    You make a brash claim, one that I have yet to see any actual scientist claiming to be an evolutionist want to make in public. That's because it is totally indefensible.

    --
    "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post
  58. Re: Behe by dvdeug · · Score: 2

    You make a brash claim, one that I have yet to see any actual scientist claiming to be an evolutionist want to make in public.

    Dawkins claims to explain the evolution of the eye in several of his books.

    a unique structure like the optic nreve [..] or the brain (that has no visual cortex for processing any signals it might send)

    Nerves run everywhere in the body, and all lead to the brain. The brain is fairly adaptable - if one nerve starts giving different information, it can handle that through non-evolutionary (intra-creature) adaptation. Yes, as the eyes develop over geological time, the optic nerve is going to get larger, as is the part of brain it hooks up to, but that's exactly what evolution claims.

  59. Re:The Universe is Not billions of years old by Kymermosst · · Score: 2

    Just one question: Why did God create the universe so that all scientific applications and measurments make it *look* like it's billions of years old? The methodology is not broken, if the universe's basic mechanism is unchanged, e.g. the speed of light has always been the same.

    If He created it looking that way, than for all scientific intents and purposes, this is exactly how it is. Billions of years old.

    If I bring up the point that light that is millions of years old is reaching the Earth right now, you only have two ways to counter that statement.

    1. The speed of light is not constant. This is not likely since the universe has to work within the rules that were set for it.

    2. God created the light in-flight and made it appear that old. Scientifically, this makes the light *that old* even if, under God's frame of reference, it is newer.
    So, explain?

    Furthermore, on your literal view of creation and tying it in to the death and ressurection of Jesus, I will point out that nobody saw the Creation happen, but thousands of people witnessed the events in the New Testament, that's why it can be taken as literal.

    You want to argue with Jesus? Jesus didn't have to read Genesis to know about creation; He was there! He is part of the Tri-Unity of Father, Son, and Spirit. John 1:1 says: In the beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God.

    That has no bearing on this. Jesus didn't touch on the topic of the Creation at all. Just like he didn't talk much about masturbation.

    You must know the Bible, my friend. The best commentary and study aid of the Bible is the Bible itself. If you interpret the Bible through the worldview of Bible-haters, you are bound to end up with some "very interesting" interpretations

    Actually, I used to be a fundamental creationist, too, and then I realized that fretting about how the world got here is really not worth it. Focusing on how we got here is really irrelevant, what's important is *why* we are here.

    So tell me, do you think we should kill all the homosexuals in the world, or carry on God's command to destroy the infidels in the promised land?
    -- or --
    Do you think we should carry out Jesus' command against putting anyone to death as a punishment? ("He who has no sin cast the first stone.")

    --
    "Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives" should be a convenience store, not a government agency.
  60. Re:The Universe is Not billions of years old by Kymermosst · · Score: 2

    Kymermosst, I hope I haven't misrepresented your position, but I'm concerned about your lack of faith.

    I don't think I have a lack of faith. The reason I haven't asked the mountain to throw itself into the sea is, because I'm afraid it'll happen, and that scares me.
    Just remember, we're on he same side, and I'm not out to convert people away from creationism, really. I just think that God made science, and also made a universe of laws, and that He makes those laws consistent.

    The universe could only be 6000 years old, but it still *looks* billions of years old to science, and I don't think God would have it any other way. He made us to conquer the stars, and the better we understand them, the better our chances are at doing it.

    --
    "Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives" should be a convenience store, not a government agency.