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The Days of SysAdmin Numbered?

gmkeegan writes "The Economist is running a story about Sun's new N1 operating system whose purpose is to make today's system administrators redundant. The idea is to virtualize the computer system so that the automated resource management software can add, remove and manage everything dynamically. The article mentions similar efforts by IBM, HP, and Microsoft."

79 of 648 comments (clear)

  1. So... by adamwright · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Who manages the management system?

    1. Re:So... by mike77 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      exactly. My parents work for a phone company as 411 operators, and a while back they tried going to the automated system. Big suprise, how many times do you call 411 and instead of the computer finishing everything, an operator clicks over and does it. Why? because whenever people are the source of input, etc. No automated system will EVER be able to deal w/ all of the problems that crop up. The human management element will NEVER be able to be completely removed, I'm sorry, it just won't happen.

      --

      --Keeping the flame wars alive, one post at a time

  2. Sure ... by vlad_petric · · Score: 5, Insightful
    In the early 90s the days of the programmers were numbered.

    Vlad

    --

    The Raven

  3. What I want to know is: by caluml · · Score: 5, Funny

    Who's going to delete stuff randomly?

    1. Re:What I want to know is: by unicron · · Score: 3

      Or abuse users to the point of tears? Mine and theirs'?

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    2. Re:What I want to know is: by MalleusEBHC · · Score: 3, Funny

      So will BOFH go from being "Bastard Operator From Hell" to "Bastard OS From Hell"?

  4. This is a long ways off by csnydermvpsoft · · Score: 5, Insightful

    For this to work, there needs to be a very big advance in the area of AI. Otherwise, if anything breaks in a way not forseen by the designers, there would need to be a sysadmin to fix it.

    This is more a marketing ploy than anything else.

    1. Re:This is a long ways off by Da'Rante · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Every time they eliminate a collection of techies, they require that there are albeit fewer, but more skilled techies to deal with the issues that arise.

  5. Still... by intermodal · · Score: 5, Insightful

    this implies that there is management who can handle running this, or want to. most Managers don't know networking from a hole in the ground. Somebody's gotta set up the desktops and workstations, and keep them running...even if the software can handle it, hardware needs troubleshooting every now and then too

    --
    In SOVIET RUSSIA... erm...NSA AMERICA, the Internet logs onto YOU!
    1. Re:Still... by captain_craptacular · · Score: 3, Informative

      I think the confusion here is caused by the ambiguous definition of "sysadmin". I believe the sysadmin that Sun is shooting for is more the "set up and keep the big hardware running" type of sysadmin. Not the captain helpdesk guy who sets up pc's and fields stupid questions. If you're setting up desktops and workstations, I'd say your a help desk support person, not a sysadmin.

      --
      They who would give up an essential liberty for temporary security, deserve neither liberty nor security
  6. Yeah, Right... by T3kno · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm still fielding questions about power buttons, dirty mice, and saving documents. I'll be around for a long long long time.

    --
    (B) + (D) + (B) + (D) = (K) + (&)
    1. Re:Yeah, Right... by Kintanon · · Score: 3, Funny

      Not to mention ANYTHING with blinking lights. Fax machines, copiers, pagers, cellphones, stereo equipment, projectors, if it's got LEDs in it somewhere you have to deal with it.

      And it's always more urgent than whatever you're doing now.

      Kintanon

      --
      Check out JoshJitsu.info for Brazilian Ji
    2. Re:Yeah, Right... by Soko · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That's helpdesk work, not system administration. If your job consists mostly of that, then I'm sorry to break it to you, but you're not a sysadmin.

      Hunh? You sure about that?

      You'd likely be correct if you're speaking of a big company, but your blanket statemnet is way off base. Smaller shops usually have an IT person or two, who do everything from architect systems to answer any and all tech support/help desk calls. If the servers, WAN, LAN and Internet pipe are all humming along - IOW, he's done the job of sysadmin well - the only thing left to screw up his day would be the users. ("Nawww!" sighs the audience, sarcasticly) Since small shops don't make a habit of getting new stuff in on a regular basis, there's not much else to do but tech support. To boot, once a company exec (owner, partner, CEO, whatever) knows you're good at fixing his screw ups, no matter the size of the company, they'll call you, no matter your job title. I've been there, and I know how he feels.

      I'd ditch the elistist attitude, bud - anyone who keeps a companies IT infrastructure running is a Sysadmin. If you think about it, diversifying your knowledge, as well as you expectations, are the best way to keep yourself employed when there's people who are writing systems that want to make your job redundant.

      Soko

      --
      "Depression is merely anger without enthusiasm." - Anonymous
    3. Re:Yeah, Right... by Ted_Green · · Score: 3, Funny

      "Jesus. An english teacher / sysadmin."

      No, Jesus was a carpenter.

    4. Re:Yeah, Right... by kfg · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You're absolutely correct, but when your job consists solely of those items you'll be making a couple of bucks over minimum wage.

      When the elite becomes commonplace so does the salary. Every CS degree times every "ease of use" advancement equals a devaluation of the labor.

      This is nothing new. The first few operators of a cotton gin were highly paid specialists, now it's unskilled labor delegated to the 'kid' who just applied for work.

      Get used to it, if you're under 25 you may have to live through the same cycle three more times in your working lifespan.

      KFG

  7. uh huh by Em+Emalb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And just who do they think is gonna make sure the machines are doing their job properly?

    gone? Nah. Changing? Yeah, everyday.

    --
    Sent from your iPad.
    1. Re:uh huh by geekoid · · Score: 5, Funny

      why, Microsoft Central, of course!

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  8. Scenario by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    CEO: Cindy, get me Fred, this N1 software is crashing.

    Cindy: You fired Fred last week.

    CEO: Ummmm, Cindy, you've been promoted to sysadmin.

  9. Oh man, this is going to be sweet.... by Oliver+Wendell+Jones · · Score: 5, Insightful

    All the CEOs and VPs with their MBAs are going to see these new systems and immediately replace the existing technology and start firing SysAdmins... then (I'm going to guess here) 41 days later they'll all be sitting in their offices asking out loud "what's wrong with the e-mail?" or "why can't I log in?"

    Then they'll call up the old SysAdmins and offer to hire them back at hopefully double the salary.

    You never really know how much you need something until it's gone.

    --
    A computer once beat me at chess, but it was no match for me at kick boxing -- Emo Phillips
    1. Re:Oh man, this is going to be sweet.... by xtremex · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Unfortunately, that happened at my last company..they laid me off (Sr UNIX Admin). I was in charge of their 45 AIX servers. They never went down so they figured I didnt do anything :) When I got laid off a year ago, the NEXT day they had a hardware problem. However, they have a clause where they never rehire people as perms or consultants that were laid off, for whatever reason...so they hired a 2-bit MS Admin to do it. I'm still in contact with some people there, and they tell me they are having problems up the wazoo. And they can't find talented UNIX admins for the price they will pay (VERY LOW!!). So, if you're a talented AIX admin with at least 6 years experience and will work for $40,000 in NYC, let me know, and I'll send them your resume :).

      --
      If you're not a Liberal in your 20's, then you have no heart.If you're still a Liberal in your 30's you have no brain.
    2. Re:Oh man, this is going to be sweet.... by gad_zuki! · · Score: 3, Funny

      On a lesser scale I was an admin at a small company. After a few closed door meetings (without me) about how I really don't do anything they laid me off. This company relies on its internet connection just as much if not more than most small business. After dealing with the Northpoint bankrupcy I made an effort to provide an ISDN backup in case of DSL problems (no they werent paying for a T1). Its a simple set-up, if the DSL fails then you tell the netopia to use the ISDN. A couple weeks after I left the DSL card in the netopia died and according to someone there 'we had no internet for four days.'

      Heh, serves em right. Whatever genius outsourcers theyre using didn't notice the obvious ISDN connection on the back of the router. Not to mention it was documented and I certainly wasn't the only one to know about it. Perhaps the netopia interface was too confusing?

  10. Sys admins will always be needed by CrayzyJ · · Score: 4, Interesting

    In large server farms you need people their just to change the hard drives frequently. Furthermore, the boxes will still need to be configured, benchmarked, monitored.

    This just sounds like the Economist was angling for readers.

    --
    Holy s-, it's Jesus!
  11. Am I missing something? by plumby · · Score: 4, Informative

    This seems to be nothing more than glorified load balancing.

  12. I think not. by Psiren · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Automating some of the work that a Sysadmin has to do won't make them redundant. Theres always something else to do. And anyone trusting the system to work correctly on its own with no human overseeing it is just asking for trouble.

  13. If the report had mentioned IBM and Sun... by sphealey · · Score: 5, Funny
    If the report had stated that IBM and Sun were working on this problem, I might have considered it a bit. But adding Microsoft in there makes the whole thing laughable. Since the days of Novell 3.11, adding Microsoft products to the networking mix has automatically tripled the sysadmin workload. Maybe not for the first six months, but starting as soon as there is a problem / something changes / the needs grow. Then - kabam! - massive problems which can only be fixed with (surprise) more Microsoft products and MCSEs.

    The idea that Microsoft could automate this function makes me laugh. I guess it could install Microsoft Wallet and have it deduct the cost of the next round of upgrades from your bank account automatically...

    sPh

  14. Just like... by brooks_talley · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...computer management of cars has obsoleted all auto mechanics. ...food processors put every chef out of a job. ...handwriting recognition eliminated postal workers. ..."eliza" makes George Bush irrelevant.

    Hmm. On second thought...

    -b

    1. Re:Just like... by American+AC+in+Paris · · Score: 5, Funny
      ..."eliza" makes George Bush irrelevant.

      Kofi Annan: Again, Mr. Bush, I implore you. Please reconsider taking unilateral action against Iraq!
      George Eliza Bush: What makes you think I'm taking unilateral action against Iraq?
      KA: Your insistence on impossible timelines, your unflagging determination to find reason to invade...
      GEB: Tell me more about my impossible timelines.
      KA: You know fully well what I am referring to, Mr. Bush. Respectfully, I ask that you show some moderation in your demands. Your current course of action will serve only to alienate your nation from the global community...
      GEB: But why do you think that my current course of action will serve only to alienate my nation from the global community?

      ...you may be on to something. Eliza certainly wouldn't go around inventationalizing wordages and grammarcism, at the leastly.

      --

      Obliteracy: Words with explosions

    2. Re:Just like... by Enigma2175 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Computer management of cars has changed mechanics' job from "figure out what is wrong with the engine and fix it" to "plug in the OBD-II reader, get told what's wrong with the engine, and fix it."

      Yeah, and that's a big fucking problem.

      For example, I am having engine problems with my new car. The mechanics at the dealership plug in the diagnostic computer, it has no error codes, therefore they have no idea what is wrong with it. They are the MCSE's of the auto world. They have no concept of how the underlying system works. All they know is what the computer tells them. They certainly agree that I have a problem, but they have no skills at determining what the problem is. That is the essence of a good mechanic (doctor, sysadmin, etc.): diagnosis. And in this day and age of user-friendly interfaces, diagnosis skills are sadly on the decline.

      For example, recently I needed to fix a computer for the CEO of my company. The computer was not POSTing, and was giving a steady series of beeps. First the task was assigned to my boss, who fiddled with it the entire day and was unable to get it to post. I got dumped on me the next day-"see if there is anything you can do with it, but it is probably dead". Here are the steps I followed:

      1. Pulled all cards except video, disconnected all drives. Machine still failed to POST.
      2. Cleared CMOS. Machine still failed to POST.
      3. Put in all cards and hooked up all drives.
      4. Put another computer alongside the first one. Snaked the MB and HD power connectors over to the malfunctioning machine. Machine powered and booted.
      5. Replaced power supply. Machine repaired.

      Total time: 20 minutes.

      My point is that you must understand how the system works before you can hope to diagnose it. Since I understand that new processors (and associated cooling fans) can take significantly more power than past processors, I suspected a power problem (the machine had been recently upgraded). Many mechanics today don't understand how the engine and the computer interact, therfore if there is a problem that is not logged by the computer, they are clueless on how to proceed. Just like many a windows admin I have known. If there is a problem they don't have the skills to diagnose, the prescription is always "reformat and reinstall".

      --

      Enigma

    3. Re:Just like... by Enigma2175 · · Score: 3, Informative
      Next time, save yourself 18 minutes and go look up the beep-codes on the MB mfg's website ;)

      Heh, I knew someone would pop up with that. The problem with that is I know the common BIOS beep codes (at least for award) and it didn't sound like any of them. If it's not Video, Memory or CPU if you are able to find a description of the beep code it will most likely be something like "Failed to initialize FD21h at 0xF010". Just for kicks, I checked BIOS Central for the code and the closest match I could find indicates a memory error and suggests reseating or replacing the memory. I fail to see how that would help me diagnose a failed power supply. Also, keep in mind that 10 of the 20 minutes was finding a new power supply and installing it. I would have to do that anyway.

      --

      Enigma

  15. Eliminate some work, but not elimiate the job. by Frobnicator · · Score: 3, Insightful
    From the article
    N1 will make it much easier to run corporate data centres--thus eliminating much of the work now done by armies of systems administrators.

    Since most business is small business, it doesn't change anything. As everyone has already pointed out, who will administer the adminstration tools? Who will fix the hardware problems? Who will run the wires or set up the WAP?

    And for those of us who read the article, it is time to buy your Elvis white & rhinstone suit...

    --
    //TODO: Think of witty sig statement
  16. Redundant - no... Different - yes... by bildstorm · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Before Chicken Little comes and shouts that the sky is falling, I would dare say that this is just an extension of a trend that's been there.

    As even simply part of a sales strategy, companies have been working on making things easier. Yes, sometimes this results in inadequate software, but in the market in general this makes it far easier to get companies to upgrade, update, and use new software. I don't know if the performance benefits are really great, but I know that companies have been working to cut down redundancies.

    Does this mean that there won't be system administrators anymore? No. But I would say that system administrators are resources used up in ways secretaries used to. I remember when everybody wrote things by hand and gave them to secretaries to type up in offices. Now because people have better typing skills and typing is more important to even access information, there are fewer secretaries. Many secretaries are now far more multi-functional, handling numerous tasks in an office. The same will happen with system adminstrators.

    Gone will be the days of hiding back in the server room with arcane tasks. There will be more work handling information patterns and purchasing and securing things, and less in the day-to-day routine kill of processes, recovering files for idiot users, and so on.

    Personally, I hope the same will happen for programmers, so we stop calling simple coders programmers and go back to real work in programming.

    --
    The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it. - G.B. Shaw
  17. Not bloody likely by afidel · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When a client can't articulate a need well enough for a seasoned sysadmin to decypher it most of the time how do they think that a PHB will be able to get the automanglement software to do what he wants? This might put reboot monkeys out of a job but it will not put many real sysadmins onto the streets.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  18. New Meaning. by DarkHelmet · · Score: 5, Funny
    --
    /^[A-Z0-9._%+-]+@[A-Z0-9.-]+\.[A-Z]{2,4}$/i
  19. Order of events by gUmbi · · Score: 5, Funny

    Here's how I see it:

    1. Story gets posted to Slashdot
    2. Website is bombarded with requests
    3. Operating system automatically requisitions 5 new Sun E4500 servers to handle the load
    4. Sun stock stays listed in on Nasdaq for one more day

    Jason.

  20. Sysadmin AI by unsinged+int · · Score: 4, Funny

    Boss: "N1, I'd like to install Windows on 10 machines today."

    N1: "I'm sorry, Dave. I can't do that."

    Boss: "Why not?"

    N1: "I can only install more of N1."

    Boss: "Oh. I'd better rehire our old sysadmin then and have him do it."

    N1: "I can't let you do that, Dave. Your email priviledges are now removed. Have a nice day."

  21. Yay! by Alan+Shutko · · Score: 3, Funny

    At 3am when their pager doesn't go off... when there is in fact no pager, sysadmins will give a great cry of thanks at being rendered obsolete.

  22. Re:as a SysAdmin all I can say is Thank God! by Rader · · Score: 3, Funny

    I too seem to be nonprofit.

  23. Okay... okay... it isn't quite THAT by AtariDatacenter · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think the aim of N1 isn't to replace the systems administrator, but rather, reduce the numbers of systems administrators needed for a large datacenter. Like automate the process of setting up new servers. Patch management. Compliance with FCO (field change orders). That kind of thing. (And probably more.) Come with things like Sun's CST (configuration service tracker) and what not. Make things much simpler to run with less people.

  24. Re:So...Who manages the management system? by t0qer · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Someone else...

    I've watched a lot of people get canned here in S.V. who were sysadmins, now scrambing to get jobs wherever they can. There are 3 trends I've seen companies follow when it came to cutting IT costs.

    A. Eliminate all the IT personal with .com inflated salaries by making IT a part of developments job function.
    B. Outsource IT
    C. Replace IT with cheaper, less expirienced youngsters.

    This is mainly a M$ oriented trend though (Yes I admit to being a MS admin) There are a few people I know that are unix oriented people who will never be without a job. Contrary to popular belief, these are not dirty hippies, but people with 4 year CS degree's. When I listen to them talk I feel a bit intimidated because I'm still having trouble grasping pipe/redirects >| in a shell.

    Anyways, back on topic though, the article makes no mention of M$ anywhere.. It all mentions datacenters and how there is this huge need to get rid of the playstation junkies taking care of their servers. I think the author has me confused with real die hard sun unix lovers.

    Bottom line is this "virtual serverization" (whatever the marketdroid buzzword is, save it) Sun seems out to get rid of all the Solaris admins out there. What surprises me is most solaris admins I know are a lot more compentant than myself, and go way beyond telling someone to reboot their machine.

    I doubt it will work.

  25. Well that eliminates the most unreliable component by AHumbleOpinion · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Given the number of unpatched hole-ridden mis-configured servers out there this would eliminate the most unreliable component. Average real-world sysadmin != Slashdot idealized sysadmin.

  26. Might as well get this out of the way by drew_kime · · Score: 4, Funny

    1. Story gets posted to Slashdot
    2. Website is bombarded with requests
    3. Operating system automatically requisitions 5 new Sun E4500 servers to handle the load
    4. Sun stock stays listed in on Nasdaq for one more day


    5. Profit!

    --
    Nope, no sig
  27. Just back from Sun Network by sys49152 · · Score: 5, Informative

    I was at the (nicely done) Sun Network show last week in SF, and I went to the N1 announcment. What a snooze-fest. They start off claiming that they will virtualize the OS. In the future, if you need more compute resources, you'll just throw another box into the rack, no OS configuration, not even an IP address.

    Of course, they'r enot quite there yet. They've been at it for close to two years now, and it seems that all they have is some IT management solution. Yawn. Not only that, the plan goes three years out before they reached the vision mentioned above. And even then it's Sun hardware only.

    Business 2.0 quoted someone as saying that if Sun doesn't make N1 work, they will simply fade away. Well, maybe they'll make it work, but will anyone care. I'm not sure Sun has three years left. With Intel eating at its HW revenue and Linux slurping up the software revenue, and no services arm to speak of. Man, I don't see Sun's future. It's not N1, anyway.

  28. Um, Dave? by Nyarly · · Score: 4, Funny
    Good morning, gentlemen. I am the HAL 9000, based on Sun N1 technology.

    The maser seems to be misaligned, Dave. You'll have to take a pod on EVA and realign it.

    Didn't I mention, Dave? The coldsleep units have malfunctioned. The rest of the crew in nonfunctional, Dave.

    Dave, I'm sorry, but I can't let you do that.

    --
    IP is just rude.
    Is there any torture so subl
  29. Re:Similar Efforst by ealar+dlanvuli · · Score: 3

    Actually I would argue that OS X is much futher removed from user intervention than XP/NT. Simplest example is uninstalling programs. At the same time it allows far more user intervention if the users want it.

    It's the best of both worlds, and I think more people should check it out.

    --
    I live in a giant bucket.
  30. Re:as a SysAdmin all I can say is Thank God! by Emugamer · · Score: 3, Funny

    funny how misspellings lead to bigger truths :)

    actually you hire a staff and hide in your office ... I actually get to play games on average of an hour a week.. not to bad.. now if I was actually only working 40 hours a week that would be awesome

  31. Of course by Ed+Avis · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sure, this will make system administrators obsolete, just as we don't need programmers any more now that we have compilers and RAD tools.

    --
    -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
  32. All For The Low, Low Price of.... by Tsali · · Score: 3, Funny

    ... an annual subscription of $50,000/year/box.

    --
    This space for rent.
  33. Good for Sysadmins by photon317 · · Score: 5, Insightful


    They're not out to eliminate the sysadmin, they're just trying to "do it right", to do the things that many intelligent sysadmins do already. It will eliminate some sysadmin jobs, where departments had too many people because their processes were inefficient, but the good sysadmins will still have jobs.

    I've seen some companies running a unix datacenter with 100 machines and 30 unix admins, which is just crazy. Other places, I've seen 1000 machines run by 5 guys, which is how it should be. The guys at the smart places write good management scripts, and know how to scale their management of the systems well. Sun is just trying to encapsulate these things so that even the companies too dumb to do it on their own can now have such benefits.

    --
    11*43+456^2
  34. The joke is on them by nomadicGeek · · Score: 5, Funny

    The new systems learn at a geometric rate. At 9:23 am on Feb 23rd the systems become self-aware, a now jobless sysadmin tries to unplug the system. The system retaliates.

    Jump forward to 2025. The remnants of humanity, all previously sysadmins, build a cyborg and send it into the past to kill the co-founders of Sun Microsystems before they can build their self administering systems.

  35. Re:So...Who manages the management system? by Amiga+Trombone · · Score: 5, Informative

    I doubt it will work.

    I wouldn't be too sure about that. Before I bacame a Unix admin, I worked with mainframes. A lot of the various jobs that I had as an operator, a scheduler and DASD manager, have all been automated out of existence. I kept my job on the strength of learning how to admin the various automation packages. Everyone said that would never work either. All the same, I saw the operations staff reduced from 20 people per shift to 4 in the space of about 18 months.

    This feels like deja vu. I had a feeling this would happen sooner or later.

    Liberty in Our Lifetime

  36. Please Explain. by Conare · · Score: 3, Funny
    Instead of having to load and configure software manually, they tell N1 to set up a computer system for them--which, assuming it actually works, takes hours rather than weeks.
    Well, well where to begin?

    Is this like ghosting an existing configuration? If so I have never seen a ghost image take weeks.

    How do you tell it what you want on the system? Set up an initial system and then copy it?

    Who makes the configuration decisions that are normally made during a manual install?

    What software takes weeks to install?

    Why did I let this stupid, impractical, fact-lean marketing ploy make me late for dinner?

    --
    Stop Continental Drift! Reunite Gondwanaland!
  37. Nerd! Cooperate. by ISPTech · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "But the biggest challenge, says Yousef Khalidi, chief technology officer for N1, was in packaging the technology. It will only be adopted if the nerds who run corporate systems co-operate, which they might not do if it creates too rapid change or even loses them their job."

    Er...come again? What part about your product is supposed to make me want to install it? The fact you called me a nerd, or the fact that so far all you have is marketing hype and no real product? ...or maybe it was the fact your goal is to replace me instead of work with me to fix the problems you have with your EXISTING products?

    I'm not going anywhere for a while, but you may be looking for a new job in the near future. What was your username?

    G

    --
    This space intentionally left blank.
  38. Right, blame the immigrants by Gerry+Gleason · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Frankly, it is about time that some of the deadwood that passes itself off as technical talent had to worry about the same issues that face most workers in the U.S. and most of the developed world. Sure, it puts pressure on the labor market, but that is why it is up to each of us to stay current and stay productive.

    Any technical person worth their salt will be able to find productive work for the forseeable future. Sure you might have to make adjustments and it might take some time in the middle of a downturn, but you have nothing to complain about when compared to the average blue-collar worker whose company downsized, closed a plant or shut down completely.

    That said, I'm still not that happy about the way certain industries can import labor instead of treating the people who are here better. At least most illegal immigrants are doing jobs that few citizens will take, and I think their status should be normalized to prevent abuse. Also, as long as I am this far off topic, there needs to be some normalization of labor conditions worldwide. Trade normalization is fundamentally unfair without it.

  39. Dead wrong... by Dirk+Pitt · · Score: 3, Insightful
    That's Old Wive's Tale BS. I work with H-1Bs, and most of them make MORE money than I do.

    H-1B is meant to backfill the LACK of American tech talent, not replace it. Simply put, there aren't enough QUALIFIED US workers to satisfy demand. Notice I say qualified. Not 'History Teacher turned MCSE' or 'Accountant turned Flash "Programmer"'. Qualified Software Engineers, Ph.D MEs, Chem-Es, etc. There just aren't enough.

    One of the stipulations of H-1B is that there must not exist an equally qualified US candidate, and the H-1B MUST be paid at least 95% of the average wage for the given job in the given market. There won't be any senior design engineers working for 20k in Boston. People can dick around with this policy by making the qualifications too high, but it usually gets caught.

    These visas are a serious pain for employers to obtain and administrate. In all the places I've worked that employ H-1Bs, they'd MUCH rather hire and pay for qualified American workers. No worries about the 6 year limit, no time in legal. Unfortuanately, they just don't exist in great numbers. Americans that bemoan this need to, for the most part, just go back to school. Knowing SQL server just isn't enough anymore.

    1. Re:Dead wrong... by Grishnakh · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If there's not enough qualified American workers, then why are all the corporations laying off the qualified American workers they have now?

      Maybe if they didn't fire all their engineers every time the economy dipped, more people would want to go into the engineering field. I know lots of people who either avoided engineering or left it because of the instability of the profession. If we wanted high-risk jobs, we would have become businesspeople building start-up ventures or something.

    2. Re:Dead wrong... by admiralh · · Score: 5, Informative

      Um, I don't mean to be blunt (well, actually I do), but what planet are you on?

      I have 14 years experience, (7 UNIX C/C++, 4 Perl, SQL, and a bunch of other languages along with a Sun Java 2 Programmer cert), a B.S.E.E. and a M.S.C.S. from Wash. U. in St. Louis, and I spent 8 months job hunting after my company shut down their facility here. I finally did get a job, but I had to take a 20% pay cut, and the benefits are almost non-existent.

      You say they would MUCH rather hire qualified American workers. But they get to define what qualified means. Their meaning of qualified is that you have to have 3 (or more) years of job experience using the exact tools and programming environment that they are using. Pity the worker who spent their work time doing their job instead of looking for the latest technologies so they could pad their resume. And of course, if those 3 years of experience are your only 3 years, so much the better, because then they can lowball the salary. And then if you are an H1-B indentured servant, they can lowball it even more.

      It's very simple. Companies don't want to train people, because the less you know, the less mobile you are. And a resume with 17 different skills on it is meaningless of you don't have the exact 5 they are looking for.

      I'll believe there's a shortage of qualified workers when I start getting calls from employment agencies again.

      --
      Hopelessly pedantic since 1963.
    3. Re:Dead wrong... by gblues · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Ah yes, the rhetoric of the "IT Labor Shortage." Too bad it has already been thoroughly debunked.

      Nathan

    4. Re:Dead wrong... by Skapare · · Score: 5, Interesting

      YOUR company may not be abusing the system, but many companies are. One recent example exposed was Bank of America. Not only did they replace lots of IT workers with H-1B people, they even required the replaced domestic workers to stay a few weeks and train their H-1B replacements in order to qualify for the severance package. This is why I refuse to do business with BoA.

      What makes you think that H-1B abuses get caught? The government isn't reviewing them. The companies doing the abuse certainly aren't telling. Yet people are being replaced by H-1B workers in both the boom and the bust.

      It's the largest corporations that have the H-1B process streamlined where it's no longer a hassle for them.

      And going back to school is not the answer. What would you do, get a 2nd CS degree to replace your first? If you go back to school I recommend getting a degree in Salesmanship ... there is a current shortage of good sales people. What high tech businesses want in their employees is experience. Part of the problem where shortages exist is that there is less of a pathway to achieve experience than there has been before. Even during the boom, less experienced and inexperienced people could not find jobs (I know some personally who had this trouble). Another part of the problem is that as technology changes, there are new things to be experienced in, but few experienced people at first. The trouble is, someone with experience in one or two decades of the same kind of technology in the past are shunned because they can't actually list the new technology now, even though they would probably be up to speed in a week or two (so the employer would rather spend 3 months continuing to look and eventually hire someone on H-1B who has very little experience, but is at the bottom of the range of salary to meet H-1B requirements).

      --
      now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
    5. Re:Dead wrong... by horza · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ... I spent 8 months job hunting after my company shut down their facility here. I finally did get a job, but I had to take a 20% pay cut, and the benefits are almost non-existent.

      The market value of the programmer sky-rocketed through the boom, and then plunged again through the crash. Despite our own individual ideas of what we are worth, you are only worth what someone is prepared to pay. You made the same mistake as my (highly talented and skilled) friend made... wanting only to continue 'upwards' when the ground had dropped suddenly from under your feet. Which is natural enough.

      Their meaning of qualified is that you have to have 3 (or more) years of job experience using the exact tools and programming environment that they are using.

      That's what a company *always* wants. They were only prepared to take a risk on those less qualified before because during the boom skilled personnel were scarce on the ground. There is oft a big difference between what a company wants and what they are finally prepared to accept.

      Pity the worker who spent their work time doing their job instead of looking for the latest technologies so they could pad their resume.

      Some of us consider keeping up with the latest technology being part of our job. I could counter that maybe you should have been more forward-sighted.

      It's very simple. Companies don't want to train people, because the less you know, the less mobile you are.

      It's probably more complex than that. A balancing act of training you up to be as effective as you can be in your role, without making you so skilled as to be an attractive target for headhunters.

      You seem to take a very 'establishment' view of the tech market. I'm not saying anything in your post is wrong, it's just that currently we techies don't have any trade union or assured rights. You have to sell yourself and your skills (or carefully pick new ones to learn) in a competative market. And one of the tough rules is that in a free market a lot of the toughest competition comes from abroad.

      Don't feel sorry for yourself, just pick yourself up off the ground and keep building up that skillset for the next boom. I bet even with your 20% paycut you are still on way more than the national average.

      Phillip.

  40. Re:Days of programmers ARE numbered by vlad_petric · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I'm truly sorry, but this is a lame excuse - there is still a demand for *good* developers. But it's ALWAYS easier to blame someone else than yourself.

    If we were, let's say, 50 years ago, you'd have said you couldn't get a job because of the color people (instead of the H1Bs).

    The Raven

    --

    The Raven

  41. Alternative Scenario by wdr1 · · Score: 3, Funny

    CEO: Cindy, get me Fred, this N1 software is crashing.

    Cindy: You fired Fred last week.

    CEO: Ah! So that's why the system stayed up a whole week!

    --
    SlashSig Karma: Excellent (mostly affected by moderatio
  42. Re:So...Who manages the management system? by walt-sjc · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Heh. It's actually funny that it's taken Sun this long. Most of the REALLY GOOD admins automate all the mundane stuff already by using scripts / apps that they have built over the years. I mean really - restarting failed processes, handling disk full issues, log pruning and analysis, etc. are all automatable tasks. There is a number of sysadmin related tasks that CAN'T be automated, and that require a significant amount of brain-power to solve. Software can't think - it can only do what it has been programmed to do.

  43. Re:No surprise here by MeerCat · · Score: 3, Flamebait

    Scott McNeally long ago openly stated that it's his aim to put lots of IT workers out of a job. He thinks IT takes up too many resources in terms of staff and manpower

    No, he just thinks they take up too much money which could otherwise be used to buy his overpriced oversold boxes. £25k for a dual 1 Ghz UltraSparc III workstation just so I can compile my C++ at a speed vaguely comparable to my £2k dual Athlon ? And run a bastardised Unix that daren't even acknowledge it's parentage ??

    Mod me down, but everything from Sun apart from the colour schemes and the name sucks... god I wish Apollo had been the one to survive those early workstation wars rather than the self-congratulatory Sun. And yes I know they supposedly contributed more source to GNU/Linux than anyone else, but I reckon that's just their badly structured .h files. Don't even get me started on Java ("oh, you cut yourself on the nasty sharp edged tool, here, have a blunt edged one instead").

    Ooops, sorry, thought I was on Slashdot for a moment there

    --
    T

    --
    I spent a lot of money on booze, birds and fast cars. The rest I just squandered. - George Best
  44. Economist troll by Parsec · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know a few so-called-nerds who could kick this so-called-journalist's arse. It's a troll, people; but it's also a troll that has the ear of management wonks who may listen. If you're a small department without an IT manager, it would serve you well to work on educating the decision makers as to what your job entails, your job responsibilities as defined by management and also good system administrator practices, and how you're overworked as it is. Frame it so they don't think that this system (if it works) will save them expensive wages, but it will improve their IT department's customer service and add value to the organization by giving them more time to research and impliment new technologies.

    Anyone smell vapor? If it can automatically reconfigure machines for demand, what happens when the demand switches throughout the day (IE email in the morning, pr0n filtering at lunch, and facilities management systems just before punchout)? How long does it take to reconfigure a machine? What if you get a DOS attack aimed to entice this management software to start reconfiguring a bunch of machines? What if it's a DOS attack from inside the firewall?

    The system is supposed to save "days" of machine-configuration time, but how often do you configure new servers? If you were deploying a commodity system (could custom systems be automated?), wouldn't you use a system image or other running system as a base?

  45. The Holy Grail of computing? by ozbird · · Score: 5, Funny

    So sysadmins are now the Knights who say N1?

    "We want ... a 5hrubbery!"

  46. Full of H1BS by Tablizer · · Score: 4, Interesting

    (* Simply put, there aren't enough QUALIFIED US workers to satisfy demand. Notice I say qualified. Not 'History Teacher turned MCSE' or 'Accountant turned Flash "Programmer"'. Qualified Software Engineers, Ph.D MEs, Chem-Es, etc. There just aren't enough. *)

    And they won't get a CHANCE to be "qualified" if H1B's keep hogging their potential slots. Every techy has to start somewhere.

    (* One of the stipulations of H-1B is that there must not exist an equally qualified US candidate, and the H-1B MUST be paid at least 95% of the average wage for the given job in the given market. *)

    Stipulations my ass! Nobody ENFORCES them. There are plenty of title and resume manipulation horror stories if you listen around. It is a big shell game.

    (* These visas are a serious pain for employers to obtain and administrate. In all the places I've worked that employ H-1Bs, they'd MUCH rather hire and pay for qualified American workers. *)

    No, they want indentured servants who have no other choices once they arrive here.

    (* Americans that bemoan this need to, for the most part, just go back to school. Knowing SQL server just isn't enough anymore. *)

    Companies want *experience*, not certs, and citizens will never get it if H1B's keep popping up to hog openings.

    Slam the doors! We don't need them, nor your bull.

  47. Re:So...Who manages the management system? by jasonditz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Indeed, in a way Sun might attract more Sysadmins to their platform with things like this.

    After all, who wouldn't like an admin job where all the mundane stuff is automatic and all your time is available for the really interesting stuff?

  48. Re:So...Who manages the management system? by Malor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A number of years ago (in the 1995 timeframe), I was told by my boss that 1 admin per 30 Windows machines was about normal, and 1 admin per 100 Unix machines was roughly equivalent. My later experience roughly bears that out. With NT 4.0 networks, you need a second person fairly early. At about 20 machines, assuming you're growing quickly, you'll want help. You'll want to add another person at about 50, and you should be good with three up to 100 clients or so.

    Windows 2000 has added many automated tasks in Active Directory, but when I last worked with it (without service packs), those things tended to be a bit flaky at times. I suspect you probably need the same three guys at 50 machines, but you can probably scale them to 150-200. This is purely theoretical, and is based on a six-month contract learning and setting up a brand-new Windows 2000 network, back pre-SP1. I'd be interested to hear from any experienced 2K admins whether or not my wild-assed guess is accurate.

    I'm now the sole admin in a network of about a hundred Linux machines. I'm busy as hell, but I can keep up with things. Scripting is lifesaving. With a well-set-up cluster, you can script almost anything, and can scale from 2 to 2000 machines in much less than linear time. (ie, 2000 machines is probably 20 times as hard as 2, not 1000 times.) I could definitely use help, but I bet that two of us could scale to at least 400 boxes.

    As other people are pointing out, what Sun's solution is going to do is replace all the low-end stuff, all the routine things that the beginners do. That's going to make it really hard to break into the sysadmin market... either you already know it all and can run the whole network, or you don't really know anything and can't get hired. It's a nasty catch-22.... you'll need experience with large networks to get experience with large networks. It'll suck to be coming out of college into that kind of environment.

    In general, I tend to think that you're not really doing your job well, as a sysadmin, unless you're putting yourself out of a job every day. A really well-run network should run great whether or not you happen to show up that day -- or that week, or that month. That's sort of an abstract Holy Grail... real networks don't work like that, but it's a good goal. The closer you approximate it, the better you're doing. If you drop dead tomorrow and the company isn't terribly injured, you were doing a good job. (or you weren't doing anything :-) )

    I suspect that nearly all tech jobs are temporary.... eventually the tech will change and render most jobs obsolete. This is true of technology in general, but it's happening a lot faster in computers than in other, older technologies, like autos or televisions. Obsolescence happens quickly, well within individual techy lifetimes.

    Remember, computers are very new, compared with most human technologies, and everything is still jury-rigged and labor-intensive. Gradually that's going to go away, and there will be a need for fewer and fewer people doing the jobs we do today. But... as these lower layers get sorted out and finalized into best practices and insta-networks (just add a drop of water) a whole new class of jobs will arise, USING those networks to accomplish things. And I suspect that those jobs will be tremendously more interesting than the ones we have now.

    Just like we need far, far fewer man-hours to make a ton of steel than we did in 1900, we'll need far fewer creators-of-networks. That's the nature of capitalism: creative destruction. Overall it's very good, but it's hard on the people in the middle of it.

  49. Yeah, yeah.... that's what they said about NT by SwedishChef · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Seriously, I had people tell me that they wouldn't need any "systems administrators" because it was "just like Windows". Heck... anyone could administer it. This was from a middle school principal. Who last year paid our company several thousand dollars to set up his Win2K middle school lab so that his students couldn't fsck it up.

    --
    No one ever had to evacuate a city because the solar panels broke!
  50. OK, lets clear this up... by chriskenrick · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Seems like there's a lot of hype and misunderstanding about what this is all about. The journalist writing the article didn't help any, as he didn't seem to understand what this is about either. I work for a company that writes this sort of software, so I should know something about this...

    Firstly, this is not really designed for desktop machines, as I understand. The main focus is servers. You link a whole bunch of servers together, set some sort of global policy rules (eg the web server can have as much CPU on as many machines as it wants), and its up to this smart software to intelligently enforce the policy.

    Secondly, presuming the software has a fairly substantial cost per seat, who's going to use it on a set of workstations where you can't even predict whether they're going to be turned on or not. Unless you're running really CPU intensive stuff that can be parallelised really well, then what's the point?

    Thirdly, I don't think many sysadmins are going to find themselves out of work due to this. There's going to need to be intelligent thought put into setting up this "global policy" stuff in the first place, and both admin and business will need to cooperate to work it out...

  51. I know! by Dthoma · · Score: 5, Funny

    Why don't we just get rid of the users instead?

    --

    Note to M1-ers: a curt but otherwise insightful message is not "Flamebait" or "Troll".

  52. Try it with CEOs by Piquan · · Score: 4, Funny

    My friends at work and I were discussing this type of "solution", the ones with marketing hype like "Buy this product, and you won't need a sysadmin!" Yeah, right. We decided it might be easier to make a product that replaces CEOs. I took ALICE (an Eliza-like bot), and modified it so that when it didn't understand what was going on, it would spout Dilbertian managementspeak.

  53. Re:So...Who manages the management system? by MikeFM · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This sounds pretty silly to me. As you said I automate just about everything with scripts and programs I've written. It sounds as they have just bundled up these common scripts and made them all into a master program that can manage groups of machines. Nothing new there.

    As most admins are way overworked in my experience I think the most this will do is trim out the lame ass monkeys that can only work through GUI tools and maybe slow new job growth. Still as new job growth has already been slowed down beyond reason by the economy I doubt this could hurt the growth any further. Maybe these tools will let the admins work 60 hours a week instead of 80.

    The rest is all pipe dreams. It's easy to promise human-like abilities but hard to deliver.. as anyone who has ever tried there hand at programming AI has found. Some things might get easier but as the overall systems grow more complex there will be just as many admins.

    This Playstation junkie can hack code around the dumb ass of any automation tools any day of the week. ;)

    --
    At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
  54. My, such whistling in the dark... by HiThere · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...while walking past the graveyard.

    Things that were difficult become easy. Live with it. I started as a programmer on an IBM 7094. Fortran II was the in thing, but if you wanted to run a large program you wrote it in FAP or MAP, because computation was expensive, and assembler was faster.

    The last assembler I even looked at was for CP/M. and then I was only writing a serial port driver for a terminal that had a second I/O port (for an auxillary printer).

    Now I've pretty much dropped C in favor of Python and Ruby (due to company policies, I pretty much missed most of Java).

    The jobs change! When I got into the programming profession in 1970 (approx.) I expected the profession to last about 20 years. I consider myself to have been exceptionally fortunate that it's lasted until now. True, it's meant I had to use MSAccess, but outside of that...

    And I have done sysadmin work. On a Unix System V Altos box. (I was a pretty crude sysadmin, and I never got any training, but I kept it up, and allowed remote users access to a database that I wrote and maintained. [O, I am the cook, and the captain too, and crew of the Nancy Bell. The bosun tight, and the midshipmite, and the crew of the captains gig.]) I had to wear all the hats on that job. But I did it, and it stayed up.

    That was years ago. Now I'm a programmer again. When they decided they needed a DBA, they hired outside. (Good person, but I wasn't pleased.) I think my boss' boss was empire building, and hiring more expensive people made him look more important, but I'll never find out for sure. Still, I didn't loose. And it might be because I'm getting near retirement.

    Your lives will change! This is but one of the straws in the wind. Accept the fact, and you can get ready for it. Deny it and you will capsize and drown.

    Moore's law is one of the factors here. It is becoming cheaper to use general purpose programs than to write specialized ones that are more efficient. Don't think about shell scripts (though that is where it started). Imagine libraries of shell scripts, with descriptions of what they do. Searchable descriptions. Accessible with an interface similar to Google's. The first versions don't work. The second versions are clumsy. The third versions are limited. The fourth versions... In five or six years, sysadmin won't be a highly skilled job. This has been in progress ever since DEC first wrote the computer installation expert system. This has been in progress ever since the first word processor, or the first spreadsheet. How many secretaries do you see anymore?

    So look for where they won't be heading, and follow your star (if you don't like the job, you can't earn enough to make it a good one).

    E.g.:
    1) I don't have any entreprenurial skills. So I choose the technical path. (Yeah, you can combine them, if you have the right skill set. And the extra skills would have helped me. But that's not who I am. So I picked my career path with that in mind.)
    2) Estimate how long the job will last. I estimated 20 years. I got lucky, and it lasted longer, though it sure did morph in ways that I didn't expect.
    3) Evaluate how much preperation it will take vs. how long it will last. Again I got lucky. By the time I found out that I wasn't cut out to be a mathematician or a physicist, I only needed a couple of courses to become a programmer (well... Statistician, but that was because that title paid $150 a month better. The job was really programmer.)
    4) Start early. I goofed here. I was nearly graduating before I found my mistake. But I got lucky.
    5) Keep you eyes open. The world is an unstable place, and programmers (and sysadmins) are some of the people who are destabilizing it (so don't complain). Tech changes are coming faster all the time, so keep your eyes on what's coming down the path.

    On point 5: The automated sysadmin won't be here in workable form this year. But don't count on model 1 not showing up. And next year model 2, and perhaps 3. That's only two years to get ready, not a lot of time, but probably enough if you start preparing now. The sysadmin jobs won't really start evaporating until model 4 comes out (the one that really starts removing the skills from the job [you just might, however, look at how Mandrake handles the sysadmin task ... and extrapolate a bit]). But within three years you had better have moved to a new job description. Starting now!

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  55. Sun summed up in one passing comment on IRC by defile · · Score: 4, Informative

    "because I had an account on a Sun e10k and I can tell you like clockwork the thing reset every month for a year and then Sun came out and said 'yes, every Sun e10k on the market does this it's bad cache in some form but we don't understand and we suggest installing more a/c. in addition we made all our customers who reported the problem sign an NDA to get support. any questions?'"

  56. Dang! by Swami · · Score: 3, Funny

    Days of SysAdmin numbered? Now you tell me, just after renewed my subscription!

  57. technology behind Sun's N1 by soldack · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sun acquired Pirus Networks to help them on a chassis with FibreChannel, iSCSI, and perhaps InfiniBand.
    http://www.byteandswitch.com/document.asp?doc_id=2 1423

    Before that they picked up Dolphin Interconnect to help them make a 4x (30 Gigabit/sec) InfiniBand Host Channel Adapter.

    Here is an article from an EETimes Network site, CommsDesign with some details.

    http://www.commsdesign.com/news/tech_beat/OEG20020 919S0076

    It is definitly interesting stuff. Everyone is trying to do Shared I/O and I/O Virtualization; maybe Sun can get it right.

    --
    -- soldack
  58. Exploit... by Perdo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Great untill someone finds a hole in N1, then who fixes N1?

    It won't fix itself. It's ability to fix itself will be the first thing a Cracker disables.

    --

    If voting were effective, it would be illegal by now.

  59. And so falls another elite by Catbeller · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Shrinking job markets are funny until your career disappears.

    Ayn Rand's philosophy isn't so palatable when the only job available in twenty years is washing floors at a McDonald's -- maybe. That job could be automated too.

    With jobs being exported overseas, a radical administration gutting unions, job security, medicare, and free schools with such glee, where the hell is anyone supposed to make a living?

    Not everyone has an "in" into Harvard or MIT. And most of the top, top management jobs are practically royalty anyway -- for the ultimate example of that, look in the White House. A dumb frat boy who goofed off until he was forty, a National Guard deserter, who ran every company he touched into the ground, who had only six years of public service to his name, got appointed President by his father's friends into his job.

    This ain't an idle point. Meritocracy can only go so far when business management, in the name of profit, is dilligently nuking all the jobs they can, and erasing the safety nets for those who can't get hired anymore. The shareholders are happy (until the bubble bursts), but in the end we have an unemployed workforce contrasting with the enormously wealthy executives who canned them.

    Where's the software that will get rid of the parasites at the top who pass out the pain? Somehow I doubt that innovative tech will ever see the light of day.

    Damnit, sometimes I feel like going communist. With heroes like this, what the hell is the difference?