Human-Computer Interfaces From 2003 to 2012

Roland Piquepaille writes "My favorite forecaster, Gartner, is back with a new series of predictions about the way we'll interact with our computing devices. Here is the introduction. 'Human-computer interfaces will rapidly improve during the next decade. The wide availability of cheaper display technologies will be one of the most transformational events in the IT industry.' Not exactly a scoop, isn't? But wait, here is a real prediction. 'Computer screens will become ubiquitous in the everyday environment.' Ready for another prediction? 'Through 2012, more than 95 percent (by volume in gigabytes) of human-to-computer information input will remain keyboard- and mouse-based.' Check this column for a summary."

Comments

HID!!

[Neck_of_the_Woods]

Is there a HID with a the robocop spike on the horizon?

Predictions?

[.sig]

So he's predicting that things will pretty much stay the same, with just the usual slow progress.

Pretty wild ideas there, I hope he doesn't try to patent the keyboard and mouse or something.....

Re:Predictions?

[goon america]

Shh don't give Jeff Bezos any ideas. Next thing you know Amazon will try to patent books.

Re:Predictions?

[goon america]

Amazon.com Application for Patent #12183,23,343,232

Synopsis: Method by which information from reading a book enters the mind.

Improves upon existing patents #1289,3,2432.23: Books (Amazon.com, 1999); #123,34342,24545b: Eyes (Amazon.com, 1998)

eh, I already wrote about this. here, too.

This just in!

[Drakonian]

Many Slashdot readers don't like Microsoft!

It is estimated that this will not change by the year 2012.

Re:This just in!

[Anonymous Coward]

In 2012, you will have to pay Microsoft for moving your mouse: 3 cents per foot. This is in addition to 2 cents for each keystroke (modifier keys are free.. but don't even think about writing a "Control-key morse-code input device" that'll get you slapped with the DMCA2).

Don't complain though, you get 5 free DVD-ROM ejections and insertions per month, after that it's only $0.99 .. what a deal!

I love microsoft! They sell me Freedom(tm)!

Re:This just in!

[The Notorious ASP]

In case y'all haven't read the news...

Oh darn.

[m_chan]

Through 2012, more than 95 percent (by volume in gigabytes) of human-to-computer information input will remain keyboard- and mouse-based (0.6 probability).

I guess robot love dolls won't be on the market until 2013. (99.4 probability)

Re:Oh darn.

[Waab]

I guess robot love dolls won't be on the market until 2013.

Oh, they'll be on the market by 2006, but they'll be strictly Windows-based. It won't be until 2013 that they go open source. At that point they'll come into more common use as BSOD-related personal injuries become far less common.

Re:Oh darn.

[cmeans]

Ah...but you'll be paying for these devices to "go down", so Windows is a natural :)

Volume

[SavingPrivateNawak]

by volume in Gigabytes

And what about in MB or KB?
The same??
Ok, that was just to use a buzzword, I understand better now!

Re:Volume

[unicron]

I was never comfortable using the word petabyte. Just imagine some day if you have a 1,000 terrabyte file. Will it be a petafile?

I'll change my interface device...

[trentfoley]

...when you pry my qwerty keyboard from my cold, dead, carpal-tunneled hands.

Re:I'll change my interface device...

[sczimme]

That won't be too hard: individuals with CTS and tendonitis can't grip things too tightly.

Of course, neither can dead people. Never mind.

Interfaces?

[grub]

.. but will these new interfaces work with my flying car?

no need to wait till 2008

[mark_lybarger]

By 2008, retinal imaging and augmented reality will become available in mobile devices (0.6 probability).

i've been on the mobile subway devices of NYC and D.C., and let me tell you... the reality there is extremely augmented. normally, i've found peak augmentation to occur around 4:20 in the afternoon for some reason.

Re:Quick! Everyone come up with silly predictions!

[9Numbernine9]

Alright. I predict that by 2013, Slashdotters will still be making "In Soviet Russia..." jokes.

Re:Gartner is useless

[goon america]

(If it's a percentage, then why does the unit matter?)

To come up with their predictions, analysts sit around and huff paint thinner until they lose consciousness. Once in a full state of dementia, fully developed predictions appear in rounded pod form from the brilliant, corpulent, snake-like ether of the true ultrafied space-time ribbons, at which point the analyst must delicately pluck them from the mind-hive before they can be sold to the public. Sometimes it comes out in both percents and gigabytes.

It's not a perfect system.

My Predictions

[sawilson]

As an esteemed predictionaire of sorts, with full
backing of the predictionationization society, here
are my predictions for the next decade:

#1 Algebra won't be hard someday

#2 Grass will mow itself

#3 The Aliens people have encountered will be
revealed to be the "geek" or "dork" aliens. The
Jock aliens stay back on marklar and get laid and
drink. They are much bigger and stronger.

#4 Trendy computer users will start doing
"case piercing" and the truly EXTREME will try
out hard drive piercings. They will be made of
steel at first, but aluminum will become the rage.

#5 Wireless wires will be invented to replace the
wired wires.

#6 The "tornado in a can" will become "the can"
in your bathroom. Flushing dead goldfish will
never be boring again.

#7 Top ten lists will transmogrifimorphicate into
top 7 lists.

Dave

[inerte]

Input interfaces will enable computers to sense their environment and the identity of their users, and personalize interactions appropriately.

PC: Dave, I feel so cold. Did you let the windows open?

Dave: Ohhh... poor boy... here, I will get a blanket for you.

PC: Dave, no... do like you did last time, overclock my AMD...

Re:Displays

[dmorin]

In almost all consumer electronic devices, know what the most expensive component usually is?

The Windows license?

:)!

Re:Interface Idea

[sbowles]

If I could set this up in my car, I could honk my horn by extending my middle finger.

However, people who habitually pick their nose would have to be careful about what shortcuts they setup.

Star Trek Terminals

[SkewlD00d]

So where are the Star Trek terminals? What's the instruction cycle length on those suckers? How come they don't have to reboot their computers every 10us? Damn TV technology: 99% bullshit, 1% interesting concepts.

oh great!

[PyroX_Pro]

"hearing the text of his or her e-mail read aloud while riding in a car"

This is just what I need, as if road rage isn't already a problem...

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