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Wing Seals Blamed in Columbia's Demise

MoonFacedAssassin writes "MSNBC has this article stating that a 'seal from Columbia's left wing was apparently the mystery object that floated away in orbit, and it was almost certainly struck by something - like a chunk of foam - before it came off, accident investigators said Tuesday.' The article also quoted Navy Rear Admiral Stephen Turcotte, a CAIB member, as having a confidence level 'up there near the 70s and 80s percent' about the T-seal."

252 comments

  1. It must be the T Seal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "we just can't find that thing anywhere..."

  2. It was our mistake? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    Well, I guess I have no right to be upset anymore now that we know the real reason. I'll have to cancel my shipment of shotguns to fend off the alien invaders.

    1. Re:It was our mistake? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      anyone else read this as "winged seals" instead of wing seals.....i need to lay off the weed.

  3. Amazing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    These shuttle disasters keep proving how important seals are in our lives, no matter how mundane or simple they appear to be.

    The widespread practice of clubbing them, especially the baby ones, has got to stop.

    1. Re:Amazing... by GigsVT · · Score: 4, Funny

      Don't worry, the recently passed RAVE act will put an end to all clubbing.

      --
      I've had enough abrasive sigs. Kittens are cute and fuzzy.
    2. Re:Amazing... by EpsCylonB · · Score: 1

      it was a seal that caused the challenger mishap as well.

    3. Re:Amazing... by Deathlizard · · Score: 1

      If Wing seals were the problem, Shouldn't we be clubbing them instead of letting them cause more accidents?

    4. Re:Amazing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We know, idiot. That's why he said "shuttle disasters," not "Columbia disaster."

    5. Re:Amazing... by meepsz · · Score: 1

      What I want to know is: are blown seals allowed to sue for sexual harrasment?

  4. Seals, eh? by MrFredBloggs · · Score: 1, Funny

    That'll give those tree-hugging hippies something to think about. Maybe we oughta kill all the whales too, just to be safe?

    1. Re:Seals, eh? by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      Oil? No, there's no oil in Wales. Just lots of coal.

    2. Re:Seals, eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and sheep, lots of sheep...

    3. Re:Seals, eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Looks like you need a healthy dose of this to keep your bestial urges channelled to something safe, you raving pervert!

  5. A flying seal!? by 91degrees · · Score: 2, Funny

    What was it doing up there? Shouldn't it be in the arctic headbutting clubs or something like that?

    1. Re:A flying seal!? by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      ..obvious response:

      nasa is using ufo high-tech, namely the improbability drive.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  6. I read... by crevette · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... Winged Seals responsible for Columbia's desmise.

    You know, with all the flying pigs we've seen lately...

    1. Re:I read... by ackthpt · · Score: 4, Funny
      ... Winged Seals responsible for Columbia's desmise.

      You know, with all the flying pigs we've seen lately...

      and all the cow manure out of Washington lately, but that's beside the point. O-Rings, now T-Seals. There's an alphabetic trend here. I wonder if it was C-Foam.

      Ever get the idea these things are built like models?

      "Insert Seal (T) in Wing Assembly (A)"

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    2. Re:I read... by leshert · · Score: 1

      Wow... I thought I was the only one, and I was about to post the same thing. My first thought was that it was a link to The Onion...

    3. Re:I read... by Bob+McCown · · Score: 1
      O-Rings, now T-Seals. There's an alphabetic trend here. I wonder if it was C-Foam.

      Or K-Y Jelly!

    4. Re:I read... by Jonboy+X · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I read it the same way. Man, if you thought flying monkies were bad...

      --

      "In a 32-bit world, you're a 2-bit user. You've got your own newsgroup, alt.total.loser." -Weird Al
    5. Re:I read... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good observation! I mean, the 'K' looks a bit like a couple of ass cheeks pulled apart and the 'Y' like the minge and cunt of a lady!

    6. Re:I read... by 0x00000dcc · · Score: 1
      ... Winged Seals responsible for Columbia's desmise.

      Knew they shoulda sent the Rangers instead ...

      --

      -- (Score:i, Imaginary)

    7. Re:I read... by cainem · · Score: 1

      Let me guess, you use lynx, right?

  7. Let me get this straight: by burgburgburg · · Score: 0, Redundant

    If we had only clubbed those wing seals when they were young, we would never have had this problem in the first place?

  8. Careful reading that one. by Civil_Disobedient · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Seals, as in something that prevents leaks. Wing, as in the shuttle's wing.

    Not flying aquatic finned-feet mammals that balance red balls on their noses and make funny "Orr Orr!" noises.

  9. Confidence Level by therecaller · · Score: 5, Funny

    So, if it's not 100%, they just give it another arbitrary number to feed to the media?

    1. Re:Confidence Level by GuyMannDude · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So, if it's not 100%, they just give it another arbitrary number to feed to the media?

      Yeah, that was my reaction on reading the summary as well (god forbid I read the article). Just for once I'd love to see some members of the media really hold NASA's feet to the fire and ask some really tough questions in the press conference. Like "How did you come at that confidence value?" And if the NASA spokesperson hims and haws and doesn't give a solid reason, then the reporter ought to point out that if there is so much uncertainty in the accuracy of the confidence, maybe the answer itself isn't really 70-80% accurate.

      The problem is that the media has settled in to a nice, comfortable role of transcribing press conferences mindlessly and reporting them verbatim to an equally mindless public. Where the hell has investigative reporting gone? Surely the cause of the disaster is beyond the ability of most news outlets to investigate for themselves but they should certainly be able to ask some tough questions and pass NASA's explanation through a sanity check.

      I realize I'm going a bit off topic here, but I'm really getting sick of the crap in the media. The 'authorities' are just throwing out random numbers knowing that no one is going to bother to question them. The sad thing is that once those numbers are 'out there', they become accepted simply due to their familiarity.

      GMD

    2. Re:Confidence Level by DickBreath · · Score: 1

      Why is this modded Funny instead of Informative?

      --

      I'll see your senator, and I'll raise you two judges.
    3. Re:Confidence Level by sigep_ohio · · Score: 1

      Most investigative reporting seems to be going on in finding out who is sleeping with whom in Hollywood and Washington.

      --
      Beer Die is the game of champions Learning To walk my own path.
    4. Re:Confidence Level by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because I was out of Mod points and some other idiot did it......

      Why yes I am a Troll...how did you guess I was from Norway and why should my ethnic backround be of interest?

    5. Re:Confidence Level by shdragon · · Score: 1

      probably b/c there's no "Ain't that the truth!" modifier. ;)

      --
      "...we dont care about the economics; we just want to be able to hack great stuff."
    6. Re:Confidence Level by Doppler00 · · Score: 1

      Knowing NASA, they probably have some complicated mathematical formula for calculating the confidence level. I wouldn't be suprised if they spent a couple hours coming up with that answer.

      Or they could be just guessing.

    7. Re:Confidence Level by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      It's a guesstimate. You can't say how you arrive at a guesstimate, otherwise it wouldn't be a guesstimate. I mean, come on, what are the exact criteria for arriving at a "how confident are you" figure? There aren't any.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    8. Re:Confidence Level by meepsz · · Score: 1

      Wrong... I've watched all of the CAIB (Columbia Accident Investigation Board) briefings, and there ARE lots of tough questions being asked. BUt I really think there's one question that hasn't been asked: WHAY HAS NASA, AND THE US GOVERNMENT IN GENERAL, FAILED TO REKINDLE THE DRIVE FOR SERIOUS SPACE EXPLORATION LIKE WE HAD IN THE SIXTIES?!?!?!?

    9. Re:Confidence Level by Social+Cynic · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, I would have to say a lack of faith in reporting, let alone the system, is justified. Today reporting is no longer a calling, but a high stress job. Reporters go for shock teatment to grab attention and sell stories, and in this blind rush, often invetagation is forgoten. As a result, the often complacent masses who read these articals become inspired and decide to protest and raise Kane. Yet only having half the information, those who take the time to protest without proper investagation become fanatics, but I degress. Those in power benifit from this sort of disinformation and often will not even try to stop it. This distraction through such missuse of our rights distracts us form any affairs other than our own imagined needs. Those precious few who do ask the important questions often are overshadowed and lost in the mayhem that is the system, and their voices become but a wisper. The key is listening to those few in addition to the fanatics of both poles of an issue and finding your own way.

    10. Re:Confidence Level by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Confidence levels have very specific statistical meanings.

      A confidence level is most certainly not a guesstimate.

    11. Re:Confidence Level by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There wasn't a serious drive for space exploration in the 60s either, just a temporarily serious drive for a politically motivated stunt.

      Don't make the mistake of thinking Apollo was either a normal situation, or particuarly desirable.

  10. Ridiculous by unterderbrucke · · Score: 0, Troll

    That T-seal was manufactured under the strictest of environments following guidelines!

    Or was it...

  11. What a suprise by (54)T-Dub · · Score: 4, Insightful

    From the begining they said that at least two pieces of debris hit the wing during launch. It seemed pretty obvious to me that this caused the problem. I guess they didn't want to admit that they had been wrong when they gave the go ahead to re-enter.

    --

    "I can not bring myself to believe that if knowledge presents danger, the solution is ignorance" - Isaac Asimov
    1. Re:What a suprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      That's not what they don't want to admit. The big f*ck up was when they decided not to look and see if anything was wrong. The dumb sh1t who said, "Well we can't fix it anyway." should be shot, IMHO! So now they keep hoping it wasn't a problem the could have seen by looking. Keep praying guys, your days are numbered.

      What if people had died on the ground? This could have been criminal negligance.

    2. Re:What a suprise by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "I guess they didn't want to admit that they had been wrong when they gave the go ahead to re-enter."

      There was no other option than to re-enter.

      On Columbia's mission there was no abort to ISS. Once it was up there, the only way for those astronauts to come home was to re-enter.

    3. Re:What a suprise by Exedore · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Well, I don't think that's exactly being fair to NASA. The foam hitting the wing on liftoff was a leading theory all along. What would you have them do? Declare from day one that the foam incident caused the disaster and then lose another shuttle down the road because they were wrong? No, I think the methodic approach is best in the long wrong.

      Another point: regardless of what the exact cause is, something obviously went wrong and NASA would have to own up to it no matter what it is. So I don't think the pace of the investigation had anything to do with an attempt to dodge culpability.

      --

      I take drugs seriously.

    4. Re:What a suprise by Fastolfe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Based on the information they had at the time, the risk that there would be catastrophic damage from the foam hitting the wing was not significant.

      If you are 99% positive about something 100 times, you will be wrong once. Sometimes margins of error and lack of data lead you to an incorrect conclusion.

      They could not have foreseen the damage and based on their extensive knowledge of the orbiter and the nature of the foam and impact, determined that any damage was unlikely to pose a re-entry risk.

      This may seen "obvious" to you and all of the other armchair NASA administrators out there, but they had to investigate to be sure, and to understand precisely what happened and how it happened so that when similar situations come up in the future, they can make a more educated analysis of what form of damage is likely and what that damage is capable of. It would be just as irresponsible for them to claim this was the problem and close the book on the case in the first week.

      Please give the guys at NASA a little more credit.

    5. Re:What a suprise by iabervon · · Score: 1

      Well, it was common for something to hit some part of the shuttle during launch. There was more work needed to determine exactly what failed due to being hit by the debris, since the shuttle is supposed to survive a bit of an impact. They also needed to know what to check in the future in case they don't see an impact that could endanger the shuttle. And they want to know what they need to check, fix, and recheck if they see an impact. It's not like they could just leave the shuttle in orbit forever.

    6. Re:What a suprise by syle · · Score: 1
      It seemed pretty obvious to me that this caused the problem.
      Of course it's obvious in retrospect. If it was obvious at the time, then a roomful of NASA engineers, who are much smarter than you or I, would have noticed it and done all they could to fix it.

      It has nothing to do with them not wanting to admit they were wrong and everything to do with the fact that 99.99% sure means wrong 1 in 10,000 times.

      You're at the height of both arrogance and ignorance to stand up on a forum like this and point out how much smarter you are than NASA. Does NASA have a record of wasting human lives because they won't ADMIT that they're wrong? Of course not, and how dare you imply otherwise?

      After every tragedy, there's always some idiot willing to stand up and say, "I saw that coming." Let someone else be that idiot, this time. It's not about placating your own ego; it's about making sure this never happens again.

      --

      /syle

    7. Re:What a suprise by fenix+down · · Score: 1

      Does that actually make sense? I know the article says the foam did it (presumtively, really, the admiral doesn't even mention foam), but it says the seal "floated away" while it was in orbit. I haven't really been paying enough attention (all that international chaos stuff is distracting) so I don't know much about the mystery object situation. But, if the shuttle's in orbit, it can't be doing much in the way of manuvering, at least not anything that's going to approach the forces of the launch, so unless there's some kind of cooling going on with the wing tiles that could pop it out, it seems kind of bizzare that a collision during this insanely violent launch sequence isn't going to have any effect until the shuttle's just sitting there doing basically nothing.

      I'm certaintly not qualified to speculate here, but that seems like hitting a pothole and then having your muffler fall off an hour after you parked in the garage.

    8. Re:What a suprise by enkidu · · Score: 1
      Based on the information they had at the time, the risk that there would be catastrophic damage from the foam hitting the wing was not significant. ...

      They could not have foreseen the damage and based on their extensive knowledge of the orbiter and the nature of the foam and impact, determined that any damage was unlikely to pose a re-entry risk.

      And you know this how? The leading edges and the protective tiles were never designed for ANY impact. Do you want me to repeat that. The leading edge Carbon-Carbon structures and the protective tiles were never designed for any impact. The fact that the orbiter had survived previous impacts did not negate the fact that they were now operating the shuttle under conditions it was not designed for and which they did not understand. The same type of decision making led to the Challenger disaster.

      "O-rings are experiencing blow-by". "Oh, is that good?" "No, the O-rings were never designed for blow-by" "But it's been working so far, can you prove that it will fail?" "No, but we can't prove that it's won't either." "Well, it's been working so far, I don't see why we should scrap a 10 billion dollar project just because you're a bad engineer."

      And for the Columbia FUBAR: "The foam on the shuttle is falling off and hitting the Shuttle". "Oh, is that good?" "No, the shuttle was never designed to take impacts during launch, especially the tiles and the leading edge" "But it's been working so far and we've survived impacts before, can you explain why it's still working?" "No, but it might fail. We can't prove that it's safe " "Well, it's been working so far, I don't see why we should scrap a 10 billion dollar project ..."

      Please give the guys at NASA a little more credit.

      I give credit where credit is due. And the credit for the fuck-ups that led to this disaster lie squarely at the feet of NASA, who, despite the fact that systemic and organizational errors which led to the Challenger disaster were exposed, continued to flaunt their disregard for basic engineering principles. They didn't learn that just because something "worked" doesn't mean that it's safe. Especially when equipment is experiencing conditions it was never designed for.

      --

      There is no trap so deadly as the trap you set for yourself
      -Raymond Chandler, The Long Goodbye
    9. Re:What a suprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There has always been a contingency plan to send another shuttle, or another type of manned craft (emergency call to Russia) and transfer the astronauts over.

      The chance of success is not 100%, but then the chance of landing a seriously damaged orbiter is close to zero.

      DJ

    10. Re:What a suprise by Fastolfe · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And you know this how?

      Because they said it? Repeatedly? Because this is what all of the published information about the conversations, e-mails that went between researchers, managers, etc.? The event and review have undergone a tremendous amount of scrutiny, and most of that was as transparent as I've ever seen.

      The leading edges and the protective tiles were never designed for ANY impact.

      So? I have a picture frame that wasn't intended to withstand an impact. If I throw a ball at it, though, I can pretty accurately estimate whether or not that frame will be damaged based on the nature of the ball, the speed I throw it, and where the impact occurs.

      Do you want me to repeat that.

      If it makes you feel better..

      he leading edge Carbon-Carbon structures and the protective tiles were never designed for any impact.

      Do you feel better?

      under conditions it was not designed for and which they did not understand.

      I don't guess you're in charge of many missions to space, so I'll try to explain this in layman's terms. Operating an orbiting spacecraft is a high-risk endeavor. You very much do take into account potential unexpected hazards when you design and build one of these crafts. You take certain economical measures to ensure that things like micrometeroid impacts don't threaten the life of your crew, and try to plan contingencies to handle unexpected events. Just because someone didn't "rate" the craft's hull for a certain type of impact doesn't mean impacts of that type were completely ignored or unplanned for, or that the craft will be unable to withstand them.

      Again, go look at the immense volume of information published during this investigation. This wasn't a cursory ho-hum "it doesn't matter" check, nor was it a "holy crap, it wasn't designed for this, they're going to die, but let's not tell anyone" type of thing. The experts there (of which you are not one) examined the data at their disposal (which you do not possess) and consulted their own education and experience with the program (which you do not have) and made a determination (which you are not qualified to do) that the risk to the orbiter was low. This is proving to be incorrect. That doesn't mean they "fucked up". They had no way of knowing any better. Again, if you're 99% right 100 times, you'll be wrong once. It happens. Deal with it.

      If you're going to ignore the advice of the experts, just because that advice very infrequently ends up being wrong, you are going to end up wrong far more often than not, much to the detriment of the space program and the lives of those depending on you.

      Especially when equipment is experiencing conditions it was never designed for.

      If you can design a spacecraft that's perfectly safe, and designed to withstand any and all forms of abuse and unexpected events that the existing orbiter could potentially experience, and do that at a cost less than 100 times what the existing orbiter costs, you will be rich.

      Again, sending people into orbit is a highly risky activity. You have to spend money to be prepared for certain types of events, but when the likelyhood of those events is low and the cost to mitigate them is high, you have to make a decision and frequently a compromise. If you don't understand this, or have issues with it, feel free to make them known, but I applaud our astronauts for being willing to take these risks on our behalf, and I applaud NASA for making the achievents they do with the funding they have. I wouldn't have it any other way.

      continued to flaunt their disregard for basic engineering principles.

      Whoa there, this is a pretty loaded statement. In what ways does NASA continue to "flaunt their disregard for basic engineering principles"? Care to give us some examples? Or are you just throwing out unsubstantiated, emotional statements because you're pissed off at something?

      Do we continue to have Slashdot readers that think they can do a better job than the guys with the PhD's and decades of experience? Maybe you should start up your own space exploration company.

    11. Re:What a suprise by hpulley · · Score: 1

      What would I have them do? Use resources available to them. The piece floating away (from heating and/or regular orbiting maneuvers) was logged during the mission but not noticed until after the fact -- why? Engineers wanted to take a look with spy satellites but higher ups turned them down -- why? The 'simulation' on the foam hit has been called nothing more than a spreadsheet and woefully inadequate and yet the Boeing contractors were believed and no one asked to double check their numbers -- why?

      Were there other good options other than just bringing them home with your fingers crossed? Maybe not but the point is they didn't do the right analysis while they were up there and didn't even try to come up with something.

      If you ask me, the space shuttle is fatally flawed and has been from the start. NASA has had its head in the sand about it for a long time and continues to be that way. Will they just 'use' up the rest of the shuttles? Only time will tell.

      --
      $#!^ happens, but why does it always have to happen to me???
    12. Re:What a suprise by CommieLib · · Score: 1

      Well, there was no contingency plan. The Soyuz on the ISS has enough fuel for a complete deorbital burn; would that be enough to drop to LEO and the shuttle, and then reascend? I honestly don't know. But I imagine if you abandon the idea of a deorbital burn on the shuttle and instead use the fuel to get to a higher orbit (and presumably mothball it until it could be repaired and refueled in orbit, if ever), it could have been accomplished.

      I don't know if you could squeeze all seven astronauts into a three person capsule either. Maybe multiple trips would have been required. Can the shuttle and the Soyuz even dock? That might have required EVA's...in any event, I think that with all of those resources in orbit, something could have been worked out if NASA had committed to a solution.

      This may all seem pointless, but it's not: at some point, we will encounter this situation again in some form. "Orbit to ISS" is not part of the any shuttle mission profile; perhaps it should be from now on.

      --
      If your bitterest enemies are people who hack the heads off civilians, then I would say you're doing something right.
    13. Re:What a suprise by CommieLib · · Score: 1

      That should have been "Abort to ISS".

      --
      If your bitterest enemies are people who hack the heads off civilians, then I would say you're doing something right.
    14. Re:What a suprise by RatBastard · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There was not enough fuel on the Shuttle to match orbits with the ISS. It's not just a difference in altitude, but in direction and velocity. They simply didn't have the means to get there. And it would not mattered if they did. There was no docking collar on the shuttle. And an emergency rescue launch was laso out of the question. It takes a minimum of 3 months to prep a shuttle for launch and there were no shuttles anywhere near launch status.

      The bottom line with teh shuttle program is that if something goes wrong the astronaughts are screwed. But that has been true since the days of Project Mercury.

      --
      Boobies never hurt anyone. - Sherry Glaser.
    15. Re:What a suprise by Soft · · Score: 4, Informative
      Well, there was no contingency plan. The Soyuz on the ISS has enough fuel for a complete deorbital burn; would that be enough to drop to LEO and the shuttle, and then reascend?

      No. The ISS is in LEO (400km altitude; neither shuttle nor Soyuz can get much higher), it's a question of orbital inclination, which takes as much fuel to change as it took to get the spacecraft in orbit in the first place. (Well, roughly; I had calculated that 120-160tonnes were needed, the external tank at launch holds 2000, and the Soyuz less than1...)

      But I imagine if you abandon the idea of a deorbital burn on the shuttle and instead use the fuel to get to a higher orbit

      Not even close, I'm afraid.

      I don't know if you could squeeze all seven astronauts into a three person capsule either.

      Not for a return to Earth (the seats are form-fitting and the landing quite hard), otherwise possibly, but the more people aboard, the more fuel is required to get anywhere...

      Maybe multiple trips would have been required. Can the shuttle and the Soyuz even dock?

      No. And they don't use the same docking ports on the ISS either.

      That might have required EVA's...in any event, I think that with all of those resources in orbit, something could have been worked out if NASA had committed to a solution.

      No. The best bet, provided that the danger were known at the beginning of Columbia's mission, was to conserve power so as to last maybe an extra week or two in orbit, and rush Atlantis through launch preparations, bypassing a number of safety regulations to have it ready in less than a month. And only because it happend to be already sitting on the pad.

      Sorry to sound rude like that, but I hear this kind of misconceptions so often...

      This may all seem pointless, but it's not: at some point, we will encounter this situation again in some form. "Orbit to ISS" is not part of the any shuttle mission profile; perhaps it should be from now on.

      It is said to be in the cards. Not that it would help (the ISS can't hold that many people for long), but no mission was planned elsewhere except for the last Hubble repair before its planned end of life, and all interesting places to go are out of the shuttle's reach anyway.

    16. Re:What a suprise by CommieLib · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I realize that the shuttle couldn't make ISS orbit. I'm suggesting that it could have met a Soyuz module halfway. The orbital rendezvous would have been a bitch.

      --
      If your bitterest enemies are people who hack the heads off civilians, then I would say you're doing something right.
    17. Re:What a suprise by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      1. Columbia can be fitted with the ISS docking adapter (Orbiter Docking System). But didn't have it on this mission. Columbia never went to ISS, but was going to later in 2003.

      2. Even if Columbia had the docking adapter thier orbits were very far apart. Columbia launched to a 39 degree inclination. ISS is at a 51.6 degree inclination.

      3. Once in orbit, the main engines are without any fuel. Only the OMS and RCS engines are available, and their capability is roughly 1250 feet per second, or about 1400 km/h speed change (delta v). If you need one quarter of the 28,000 km/h speed to change orbital inclination, it means is 7000 km/h. So the shuttle has nowhere near what is needed to perform a orbital plane change of 12 degrees.

      But if we bend the rules of physics, and get Columbia to ISS, and somehow get 7 people across the void with 4 space suits which each have a limited amount of consumables, we have to support 10 people on a station with supplies and O2 for 3 people. And CO2 needs to be scrubbed.

    18. Re:What a suprise by benna · · Score: 1

      Yeah this was even practiced once.

      --
      "It is not how things are in the world that is mystical, but that it exists." -Ludwig Wittgenstein
    19. Re:What a suprise by enkidu · · Score: 1
      If you're going to ignore the advice of the experts, just because that advice very infrequently ends up being wrong, you are going to end up wrong far more often than not, much to the detriment of the space program and the lives of those depending on you.
      Just because one is an expert on "tile design" or "carbon-carbon structures" doesn't mean one is an expert on risk analysis and engineering analysis. And you don't need to use layman's terms for me. I can look stuff up just as well as you can.
      If you can design a spacecraft that's perfectly safe, and designed to withstand any and all forms of abuse and unexpected events that the existing orbiter could potentially experience, and do that at a cost less than 100 times what the existing orbiter costs, you will be rich.
      Yes I would be. Of course such a project is not feasible. But if I design a ship, and it begins to experience phenomena it was not designed for, the design needs to be changed. To leave the design as-is is to subject yourself to a risk you have not accounted for. Risks exist everywhere and designs should take those risks into accout. However when you observe phenomena that you haven't accounted for, that means your risk analysis is no longer valid until you can account for the new phenomena properly. The fact that the orbiter was being struck was a failure in itself. It just didn't result in a total failure until the failure of Columbia. If your car's winshield flapped open occasionally, but never caused a crash, would you consider it a "safe design?".

      I never claimed that space travel isn't risky. The risk is the very reason that people involved should be doubly paranoid and stringent about identifying and eliminating potential risks. The fact is that foam impacts were happening and little was done about it. The fact is that a LARGE foam impact happened and only ONE analysis was done based on haphazard guessing as to the foam impact area and with damage extrapolated from incomplete historical data. The fact is that requests for more information was denied. These facts lead me to believe that NASA lacks the engineering culture to properly implement a robust manned space program.

      Whoa there, this is a pretty loaded statement. In what ways does NASA continue to "flaunt their disregard for basic engineering principles"? Care to give us some examples? Or are you just throwing out unsubstantiated, emotional statements because you're pissed off at something?
      By continuing to operate an incredibly complex and well designed project under conditions it wasn't designed for. O-rings were not designed for ANY blow-by. The C-C edge and tiles were not designed for ANY impact by foam. I spent two months in college going over the culture, engineering and decisions which led to the Challenger failure. To see the same thing happen again does piss me off.
      Do we continue to have Slashdot readers that think they can do a better job than the guys with the PhD's and decades of experience? Maybe you should start up your own space exploration company.
      Give me the money and I will. I do have an engineering degree and I do have a graduate degree in engineering risk analysis. The same decision making muddle behind the Challenger disaster is behind the Columbia disaster. Just because the people doing the muddle have "experience" and graduate degrees doesn't make the muddle any less of a mess. The problem lies not in the people, but in the social structure and the culture. NASA continues to fool itself into thinking that design flaws were safe, even though engineering analysis never supported that conclusion. And twice we've all had to pay for their mistakes. You can fool yourself, but you can't fool nature.
      --

      There is no trap so deadly as the trap you set for yourself
      -Raymond Chandler, The Long Goodbye
    20. Re:What a suprise by enkidu · · Score: 1
      Again, go look at the immense volume of information published during this investigation. This wasn't a cursory ho-hum "it doesn't matter" check, nor was it a "holy crap, it wasn't designed for this, they're going to die, but let's not tell anyone" type of thing. The experts there (of which you are not one) examined the data at their disposal (which you do not possess) and consulted their own education and experience with the program (which you do not have) and made a determination (which you are not qualified to do) that the risk to the orbiter was low. This is proving to be incorrect. That doesn't mean they "fucked up". They had no way of knowing any better. Again, if you're 99% right 100 times, you'll be wrong once. It happens. Deal with it.
      But the analysis was flawed from the beginning (and yes, I have read the report). They assumed (with a VERY wide margin of error) that the foam had struck the tiles only. They extrapolated the damage from the impact based on empirical results many magnitudes smaller. And they disregarded the results of one of their own analsis tools. And their conclusion stated that there was NO RISK to the orbiter. The very uncertainty of the data they were working with should have made such a conclusion impossible. That is bad engineering and bad analysis. If bad engineering leads to good results 99 out of 100 times, it's still bad engineering. Just because all of the Comets didn't blow up doesn't mean that the ones that didn't blow up were safe.
      --

      There is no trap so deadly as the trap you set for yourself
      -Raymond Chandler, The Long Goodbye
    21. Re:What a suprise by (54)T-Dub · · Score: 1

      Jesus, some people really took my comment the wrong way. I wasn't trying to say that it was obvious to me when the shuttle was still in orbit. I was just trying to say that after the burn up on re-entry, it seemed pretty clear that the debris incident upon launch was the cause. But I seem to remember people swearing up and down that the debris had nothing to do with the accident.

      Now, I love the space program. My grandfather was administrator of nasa from 68-70, i've been to space camp and i've always wanted to be an astronaut. Does that make me an expert? NO. Am i more intelligent than the NASA scientists? NO. Does this mean that I'm not allowed to form my own opinions about what NASA has done and should do? NO.

      --

      "I can not bring myself to believe that if knowledge presents danger, the solution is ignorance" - Isaac Asimov
    22. Re:What a suprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wouldn't have worked. The Soyuz is in the same basic boat as the shuttle - only enough fuel to deorbit, not make any sort of complex inclination changes.

      Also, pulling the Soyuz away from ISS endangers the two guys left behind on the station (after all, somebody has to fly the capsule).

    23. Re:What a suprise by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      It is said to be in the cards. Not that it would help (the ISS can't hold that many people for long), but no mission was planned elsewhere except for the last Hubble repair before its planned end of life, and all interesting places to go are out of the shuttle's reach anyway.

      How about just parking some booster rockets in permanent orbit for use if the occasion should arrive?

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    24. Re:What a suprise by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      The bottom line with teh shuttle program is that if something goes wrong the astronaughts are screwed. But that has been true since the days of Project Mercury.

      Dude, go rent Apollo 13. :)

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    25. Re:What a suprise by Soft · · Score: 1
      How about just parking some booster rockets in permanent orbit for use if the occasion should arrive?

      I don't understand. Do you mean something like systematically launching to a space station, where boosters--or, more easily, fuel--would be stored, and changing orbit from there?

      It's an option if you want to go further than the shuttle can in a single launch; actually, you could keep spaceships there and use shuttles only for Earth-space ferry. (No, the ISS does not fit the bill for that kind of refueling station: its orbital inclination is too high, which reduces the payload a given launcher can haul up there.)

      However, if it is to be used for "exceptional" LEO missions, then it would be much more expensive, since you'd have to keep the station supplied: think, for each mission to another orbit, you'd have to launch several shuttles' worth of fuel in advance. It makes more sense to just launch into the right orbit from the beginning.

    26. Re:What a suprise by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      I don't understand. Do you mean something like systematically launching to a space station, where boosters--or, more easily, fuel--would be stored, and changing orbit from there?

      Let me try to explain better. There's a usual range of orbits the shuttles get into, to service satellites, and such, right? The ISS is not in that typical range, hence the short-term survival problem.

      So, my though was to park some booster rockets in an orbit the shuttles can easily get to if necessary, for emergency use. If there's a reentry-preventing problem, they can get to that orbit, and with an EVA bolt the booster rockets to the shuttle (appropriate fittings required, of course). The boosters can tranfer them to a proper orbit for docking with the ISS. Assuming they carry ISS docking collars as a standard item, of course.

      The hope would be the rockets would sit in orbit unused until the Shuttles are out of service, then just deorbit them. But if there was a problem, they could be pressed into service (and, of course, replentished before the next launch).

      Basically a really-big satellite full of solid rocket fuel/oxidizer. I assume it would have to be launched by a shuttle being that big, so it would be volume limited to the size of the shuttle's cargo bay. Of course, I'm ignorant of the relevant energy densities/energy necessary for orbital changes.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    27. Re:What a suprise by Soft · · Score: 2, Informative
      Let me try to explain better. There's a usual range of orbits the shuttles get into, to service satellites, and such, right? The ISS is not in that typical range, hence the short-term survival problem.

      Now I see what you meant. But there is something you missed: the orbits which can be reached by the shuttle are not at all the same as those orbits which it can reach after being launched into a different orbit.

      Imagine you are making a trip with a car, and a bike inside the car. Assume that no gas stations are available, and that you want to consume the car's whole tank and then ride around with the bike. You can go a few hundred km with the car, say either from Paris to Geneva or from Paris to Brussels. But once you have arrived in Brussels, you can't change your mind and use the bike to get back to Geneva.

      It's the same with the shuttle: it can go to the ISS, but you have to decide on it before launch. Afterwards, your fuel is gone, it's too late.

      So the problem with your idea is that you would have to park and maintain boosters or fuel tanks at every possible orbit that the shuttle might want to reach, which makes a lot of them.

      Basically a really-big satellite full of solid rocket fuel/oxidizer. I assume it would have to be launched by a shuttle being that big, so it would be volume limited to the size of the shuttle's cargo bay. Of course, I'm ignorant of the relevant energy densities/energy necessary for orbital changes.

      A shuttle can launch 20-30tonnes of payload to low Earth orbit depending on the orbital inclination (the higher the more difficult except below the latitude of Cape Canaveral, which is impossible when launching from there). Last winter's event would have required 120-160tonnes of fuel to get to the ISS--with a moderate-efficiency engine such as the OMS or a kerosene-oxygen one; solid motors are not as good. But you could station a full tank every few degrees and use several of them, each getting you to the next one.

      Expensive but not impossible--that could be interesting once we develop a space-based infrastructure, with materials and fuel coming from nearby asteroids or maybe the Moon or even Mars.

      And, of course, this doesn't solve the problem of keeping everybody alive more than a few days at the ISS.

    28. Re:What a suprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Regime change starts at home!

      Yes. In this case, regime change was demanded by the 105th Congress, in the Iraq Liberation Act. This was signed into law by then-President Clinton on October 31, 1998. Since he has now been replaced, regime change did indeed start at home - with President Bush's election.

    29. Re:What a suprise by Fastolfe · · Score: 1

      To leave the design as-is is to subject yourself to a risk you have not accounted for.

      Unless you study the risks and determine that the existing design is capable of handling it.

      I do have an engineering degree and I do have a graduate degree in engineering risk analysis.

      So basically, you're saying that you're smarter than the guys running things at NASA and you think you can do things better than they can, right? I just want to be sure that's what you're trying to get off your chest here.

      I really hope you realize how unlikely that is, but if you don't: http://www.nasajobs.nasa.gov/

      Stop posting on Slashdot and start using your clearly superior education and engineering abilities to fix NASA.

    30. Re:What a suprise by enkidu · · Score: 1
      Unless you study the risks and determine that the existing design is capable of handling it.
      Which was NOT DONE, in this case.
      So basically, you're saying that you're smarter than the guys running things at NASA and you think you can do things better than they can, right? I just want to be sure that's what you're trying to get off your chest here.
      No, I'm not smarter than the guys running things at NASA. But I feel I do have more training with regard to engineering analysis and risk analysis than the members in management, especially considering some of the remarks made by Dittemore and company during the first weeks of the investigation. Go look them up if you'd like. The analysis of the foam impact was extremely poor (As an undergraduate risk analysis paper, it deserved a failing grade) as I've already pointed out. These questionable results were never questioned by those in charge and were used to discredit any challenges by other engineers and analysts.

      Hey, I'm not saying that the people over at NASA aren't doing their best. What I've beeen saying is that the culture of NASA has evolved to become one that is incapable of dealing properly with complexity of operating the space shuttle. Despite the fact that this was pointed out after the Challenger disaster, they havfe slipped back to their old faults.

      Thanks for the job offer, but I'm quite happy where I am. One of the reasons I wouldn't want to work for NASA is the fear that I am unwilling to take on the immense responsibility such a position. Also the same reason I rejected medicine as a career choice. However, that doesn't mean that I shouldn't criticize doctors who perform bad medicine. And it also doesn't mean that I shouldn't criticize engineers who support/condone bad engineering.

      --

      There is no trap so deadly as the trap you set for yourself
      -Raymond Chandler, The Long Goodbye
    31. Re:What a suprise by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      From the begining they said that at least two pieces of debris hit the wing during launch. It seemed pretty obvious to me that this caused the problem.
      Yes, the foam caused the problem, but which problem? That's the question that the CAIB is trying to answer. Without understanding what the problem is, it's possible to fix the wrong problem. They've got to make sure the failure was initiated by the foam, as opposed to exacerbated by the foam.
    32. Re:What a suprise by hpulley · · Score: 1

      Not true. Atlantis was already on its launch pad in preparation for its March launch. It probably could have been moved up so as to be launchable in 2 weeks. If Columbia had gone to a minimal use state it probably could have lasted until it got up there. Not sure how well it would have worked to transfer them with just a couple of space suits so it was a real long shot, but it was not impossible as you say.

      --
      $#!^ happens, but why does it always have to happen to me???
    33. Re:What a suprise by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      So the problem with your idea is that you would have to park and maintain boosters or fuel tanks at every possible orbit that the shuttle might want to reach, which makes a lot of them.

      Do the shuttle's on-board engines/fuel provide any capability for changing orbits? I'm assuming it can all be used up since the orbiter is going to be scrapped.

      Since I've got the ear of someone who understands orbital mechanics, I have to ask the awful question: could the ISS not be deorbited to meet up with the shuttle? Theoretically speaking - I understand how many billions of dollars per astronaut the proposition costs. I've read it contains station-keeping thrusters and it would be working towards the Earth's gravity well, presumably costing significantly less than working against it.

      Oh, and thanks for your responses, they've been very educational.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    34. Re:What a suprise by Soft · · Score: 1
      Do the shuttle's on-board engines/fuel provide any capability for changing orbits? I'm assuming it can all be used up since the orbiter is going to be scrapped.

      Yes, as long as it stays in the same orbital plane. That is, if the initial orbit is a circle around the Earth, the shuttle can widen or shrink or elongate the circle (altitudes could range 200-600km, maybe 800-1000 if all the fuel is used), but not warp it or incline it significantly (perhaps a couple of degrees).

      The ISS was going in a circle roughly the same size, but in a different plane, which is why Columbia could not have gone there.

      Since I've got the ear of someone who understands orbital mechanics,

      Ah, I would have turned you over to Google, but I can't seem to find an appropriate FAQ... <g>

      I have to ask the awful question: could the ISS not be deorbited to meet up with the shuttle? Theoretically speaking

      First, it's not a question of going "up" or "down", which is easy enough, but "sideways". To take another example, imagine you are sliding down a pole; it is easy to speed up or slow down, but even if you let go of it, you can't reach far from the pole itself.

      Second, the ISS has even less maneuvering capability than the shuttle. More mass, smaller engines, not that much more reserve fuel. So, theoretically speaking, yes, if you can send a few hundred tonnes of fuel there first.

      I've read it contains station-keeping thrusters and it would be working towards the Earth's gravity well, presumably costing significantly less than working against it.

      I'm afraid it doesn't work like that; the orbit is already a free-fall trajectory, which just happens not to pass through the atmosphere or the Earth. The only way not to work against gravity is to keep that orbit.

      By the way, notice that the shuttle has to use the atmosphere to shed all its velocity (28,000km/h to 0) before it can land. If there was no air, it would have to slow down the same way it accelerated: with a whole ET's worth of hydrogen and oxygen. And if that fuel was available, reentry would be safer, since the shuttle could go in much more slowly--witness Scaled's SpaceShipOne, which has little thermal protection if any; although it will reach comparable altitudes, it won't go anywhere as fast as a satellite nor undergo the same kind of stress.

    35. Re:What a suprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bad user!!! You don't comment on people's sigs!

  12. That's the Bush Administration for you... by Interrobang · · Score: 3, Funny

    They always use the media to blame everything on the left wing!!

    /me ducks and exeunt chortling

  13. Repeat? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought this was a repeat of something previous that was stated like two days ago. I cant find it though...oh well.

    Hopefully they can get the shuttle project going again.

    I dont think i would want to be on the next shuttle that goes up though.

  14. A chunk of foam?! by gpinzone · · Score: 3, Funny

    They really gotta start building these shuttles a lot stronger. I mean, even the wimpiest kid doesn't flinch from getting hit in the head with a nerf ball.

    1. Re:A chunk of foam?! by yndrd · · Score: 1

      He would if the Nerf ball was frozen solid.

      No, really. Try it some time. It's a fun experiment.

    2. Re:A chunk of foam?! by MentlFlos · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Yes, but make that foam the size of a basketball, soak it in water and freeze it solid. Then drop it many stories onto said kid and see how the flinch goes.

    3. Re:A chunk of foam?! by ralico · · Score: 1

      And then the Nerf ball was lobbed at him from a funnelator

      --

      SCO to Hell
    4. Re:A chunk of foam?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Simple, he wouldn't flinch because he wouldn't be aware of it until he was a hole in the ground.

    5. Re:A chunk of foam?! by jmb-d · · Score: 1
      Reminds me of a badge I own that states:

      A cat will almost always blink when hit with a hammer.
      --
      In walking, just walk. In sitting, just sit. Above all, don't wobble.
      -- Yun-Men
    6. Re:A chunk of foam?! by IIRCAFAIKIANAL · · Score: 1

      wouldn't the nerf ball have to be full of water when it was frozen? Foam would have h2o, but a nerf ball wouldn't, afaik.

      --
      Robots are everywhere, and they eat old people's medicine for fuel.
    7. Re:A chunk of foam?! by athakur999 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The foam is quite a bit more rigid than nerf ball material :) It's more like hard foam some bicycle helmets and knee pads have in them... I used to intern at the place that makes the external tanks and had a chunk of the foam at my desk.

      --
      "People that quote themselves in their signatures bother me" - athakur999
    8. Re:A chunk of foam?! by AssFace · · Score: 1

      did it make you flinch?

      --

      There are some odd things afoot now, in the Villa Straylight.
    9. Re:A chunk of foam?! by AKnightCowboy · · Score: 2, Funny
      I used to intern at the place that makes the external tanks and had a chunk of the foam at my desk.

      See? That shit is falling off left and right. Maybe they should find some better material.

    10. Re:A chunk of foam?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Ever been hit in the head with a soaked Nerf ball fastball at the pool?

      Try it at 800 mph.

      DJ

    11. Re:A chunk of foam?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I flinch when someone tossed a nerf ball full of ice!

    12. Re:A chunk of foam?! by mfrank · · Score: 1

      You forgot that the kid has to be accelerating upwards at 4 gees to meet the ball. And the wind has to be blowing downward at hundreds of miles an hour.

    13. Re:A chunk of foam?! by starman97 · · Score: 1

      2 lb foam moving at 500mph...
      Kinetic Energy is Mass * Velocity ^2

      so...

      it's roughly equivalent to hitting a 200lb object at 50MPH. Think of what hitting a deer will do to your car. Then remember the shuttle wing is made out of aluminum covered with brittle refractory bricks.
      Of course a deer doesnt shatter when you hit it like the foam did, but the initial impact is still going to be pretty hard.

      --
      Starman97@Gmail.com (bring it on spammers)
    14. Re:A chunk of foam?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Let's see that kid try to take a nerf ball on the head, when the nerf ball has a mach number greater than one :)

  15. next problem by ih8apple · · Score: 4, Funny

    First it was the O-Ring in 1985
    Then it was the T-Seal in 2003


    Logically, the next problem will be with the Y-Tube in 2011.
    Science and Logic Prevail!

    1. Re:next problem by ih8apple · · Score: 2, Funny

      ...except for the fact that I can't do Math....
      that should be 2021

    2. Re:next problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The next number in the sequence 1985, 2003, ... is 2021, not 2011. By that time, the shuttle program will almost certainly be replaced by some new fangled space vehicle.

      Nice try though, thank you for playing.

    3. Re:next problem by T-Kir · · Score: 1

      How about the U-Bend? :)

      --
      Are you local? There's nothing for you here!
    4. Re:next problem by John+Harrison · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I realize your post was made in jest, but there are some serious differences that this brings up.

      Remember how quickly and how harshly politicians jump on Thiokol after Challenger? They wanted to move all shuttle work to a different company. Now that some of the big boys might be at fault with Columbia nobody is up in arms. Why do you think that is?

    5. Re:next problem by coldmist · · Score: 1

      Shouldn't that be the Jeffries tube in a few centuries, following a logorithmic scale? ;)

      --
      Don't steal. The government hates competition.
    6. Re:next problem by Exatron · · Score: 1

      Actually, it should be 2020. The two accidents were 17 years apart, not 18.

      --
      "I think so, Brain, but 'instant karma' always gets so lumpy." - Pinky
      "Decepticons FOREVER!!!" - Ravage
    7. Re:next problem by FTL · · Score: 2, Insightful
      > Remember how quickly and how harshly politicians jump on Thiokol after Challenger? They wanted to move all shuttle work to a different company. Now that some of the big boys might be at fault with Columbia nobody is up in arms. Why do you think that is?

      Challenger was a disaster waiting to happen. There were engineers at Thiokol who knew the shuttle was probably going to blow up (though they thought it would happen before it cleared the tower). There was clear blame in Challenger's case: management wouldn't listen.

      Contrast with Columbia. It's been two months and we've finally figured out the sequence of what happened, but to date we still haven't figured out why it happened. We don't know yet whom to blame: the manufacturers of the external tank, the manufacturers of the heat shield, the original designers of the shuttle, the people who drew up mission contingency rules, the managers who signed off on some key decisions. Only once we know why Columbia was lost can we start thinking about blame.

      I commend the media and the politicians for not scape-goating someone for this. Instead they've let the investigators methodically get to the bottom of things. It is an unexpected level of maturity I respect.

      --
      Slashdot monitor for your Mozilla sidebar or Active Desktop.
    8. Re:next problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, except the first number should be 1986.

      Let me guess: most of the readers don't remember 1986.

    9. Re:next problem by ketamineX · · Score: 1

      Wasn't the political pressure from the Reagan cabinet the final straw in pushing for launch on that morning? I think the nerds were overridden that day (even though there were plenty of indication of blow by on that ring in previous launches). The columbia is a bit different.

    10. Re:next problem by hpulley · · Score: 1

      Was it that different? Seems to me the nerds were pretty worried about the re-entry but the message didn't make its way up the chain.

      --
      $#!^ happens, but why does it always have to happen to me???
    11. Re:next problem by John+Harrison · · Score: 1

      My point is that flaws in the main tank were understood, foam has fallen off before. Defects in the application of the ceramic tiles (using spit to speed the process?) are also well know. However the companies responsible for these task are larger and not as easy to push around politcally as Thiokol (then Morton-Thiokol, now part of Alliant, right?) was.

    12. Re:next problem by Ryan+Amos · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We Americans are too quick to assign blame. Hell, we didn't even know anything was wrong, so how can it be anyone's fault? Yes, some horrible consequences can result even if everyone involves carries the very noblest intentions and has no real hand in the matter. So the most we can really do from them is learn from them so they don't happen again. There is nowhere to blame here, which seems to be scaring some people. Get over it, it was an accident. More people die in car accidents in a day, and probably suffer a lot more than these people, whose bodies were incinerated in about .5 seconds anyway, but they were already dead because the rapid depressurization of the cabin caused their blood to look like a can of Coke. Death really doesn't come more instant and painless than that. Blame nobody and look to the future.

    13. Re:next problem by John+Harrison · · Score: 1

      I am not saying that blame should (or should not) be assigned. I am simply pointing out how politics plays a part in whether it is assigned. It certainly was assigned last time. And yes, there were people who did know that things were wrong. NASA was aware of foam falling off the old style external tanks on previous flights.

    14. Re:next problem by Obfuscant · · Score: 1
      It's obvious you don't work for Microsoft. If you read the article about moving Mount Fuji, you'd know that the next letter in the sequence O T is actually T.

      And as for them damn seals, I say club'em when they are babies and you don't have no problems with them when they grow up to be adult wing seals.

  16. And this is going to effect NASA how? by confused+philosopher · · Score: 4, Interesting


    There aren't going to be any great changes from this finding. We are still going to use the Shuttles. Only thing now is that we are going to "cross our legs and hope to fly," in the words of a great Canadian Prime Minister spoof.

    --
    Why slashdot? Why not?
    1. Re:And this is going to effect NASA how? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nasa's inspection of the space shuttles wings has always been if it doesnt look broke on the surface dont check the underside. Basically the mounting for the leading edge protective seals had failed due to corrosion. In order to check all remaining shuttles wings leading edge means completely tearing down the wings covering and manufacturing everything anew. However if they find that the wings have been corroded then they must rebuild the wings. If they cant do that then they must scrap the shuttle. Nasa does not want to do anything of the above except fly each shuttle carrying as many modules and cargo up to the space station to finish it off to core complete. It does not matter if they lose another shuttle. There is nothing to replace the shuttle. It took 10 years to design and build the first shuttle. Nasa has failed to produce a viable replacement in 20 years. Nasa will fail in their next attempt because they have to put all their money into the shuttle as it is. Nothing will change. Nasa will lose another shuttle and crew and there still will not be a replacement.

  17. more info by pjgeer · · Score: 5, Informative

    New Scientist also has the latest.

  18. As Buzz would say... by Red+Warrior · · Score: 0, Redundant

    seal from Columbia's left wing

    Buzz: "Why can't those left wingers from Columbia U. leave innocent seals out of thier nefarious plots?!"

    --
    "If, therefore, any be unhappy, let him remember that he is unhappy by reason of himself alone."
    ~Epictetus
  19. Safety Record by rf0 · · Score: 0

    Looking at this is very sad that this has all happened but I'm sure that compared to driving a car, or prehaps even flying in a plane space travel seems to be very safe. Heres hoping that space travel carries on for many more years with no more casulties

    Rus

    1. Re:Safety Record by taschuk · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A catastrophic failure rate of ~1% is not comparable to any other form of travel that I am aware of. Space travel is not a safe occupation. That being said, it is an important task and should be continued. I also hope we don't see any more fatalities, but this seems an unreasonable expectation in a young field.

    2. Re:Safety Record by SoCalChris · · Score: 1

      Say there have been 100 space shuttle flights (That's just a wild guess). Out of those 100, two of those have blown up. That means that on average, 1 out of every 50 flights will blow up and kill everyone on board.

      Would you get in a car if you knew that statistically, you had a 1 in 50 chance of the car blowing up and killing you? I guarantee that you'd be walking or riding a bike instead.

      I do think that space flight is worth the risk though, and given the chance I would fly up on the very next shuttle flight.

    3. Re:Safety Record by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure what you are basing 1% on. Non-fatality flights? Insurance companies tend to base deaths on miles traveled. Airlines tend to do the same, even multiplying by the number of passengers to make it appear even safer. I'd say the shuttles rate is pretty good in those terms. That said, you'd have to pay me pretty good to get me on one.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    4. Re:Safety Record by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Actually, it depends on how you measure it. If you go on a 10-day shuttle mission, you orbits traverse somewhere around 6.4 million miles. Driving a car that far would certainly carry a greater than 1% risk of a fatality.

      But you have to ask: is it worth taking on the risk of traveling around the earth 160 times just so that you can tend to a zero-g ant farm?

    5. Re:Safety Record by WegianWarrior · · Score: 1

      And could you train them to sort small screws? And what about that carbon rod?

      --
      Everything in the world is controlled by a small, evil group to which, unfortunately, no one you know belongs.
    6. Re:Safety Record by NoahsMyBro · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Jeezus!?!?!?!? Really?

      I'd pay any amount I could manage to fly on one! I'd sell off prized possessions, lose the car and walk/bike/public transit to work, go without sex (Oh wait, I'm married, that would be redundant), sever internet access, etc.... if it allowed me to ride the shuttle into space.

      I think that would be the most fascinating thing I could ever do, and I simply can't fathom not wanting to go.

      Of course, while I still think the shuttle is a pretty neat vehicle, I'd also be perfectly willing to go on any other vehicle that would send me into space.

      Coming back safely would be nice too, but given the current state of the technology I'd accept the inherent risks.

    7. Re:Safety Record by NeuroManson · · Score: 1

      "Would you get in a car if you knew that statistically, you had a 1 in 50 chance of the car blowing up and killing you? I guarantee that you'd be walking or riding a bike instead."

      Oh come now, people have been driving Ford Pintos for over 20 years now, and yet somehow 99% of them are still here.

      --
      Just because you can mod me down, doesn't mean you're right. Shoes for industry!
    8. Re:Safety Record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only if you measure accident frequency, but that's not really meaningful, considering that there are several orders of magnitude less space flights than the other mentioned forms of transportation.

      A more meaningful number would be the number of accidents per number of flights, in which case space travel is far more dangerous.

      Another more meaningful number would be the ratio of number of people traveling without incident to those experiencing accidents. Once again, space travel is the most dangerous.

    9. Re:Safety Record by sacrilicious · · Score: 1
      Would you get in a car if you knew that statistically, you had a 1 in 50 chance of the car blowing up and killing you?

      I do like the analogy, but just want to point out the missing time dilation that's present for space travel. I use a car five times a day; space travel happens (according to your guess) about five times a year. That puts the time-weighted likelihood of space death at one flight every ten years, but for a car once every ten days. The analogy is a powerful one, but to a degree it is misleading.

      --
      - First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then ???, then profit.
  20. And then... by Eric_Cartman_South_P · · Score: 1
    ...the KY-Tube in 2069.

  21. You mean there are seals that live on... by kahei · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...oh, wait, I just realized that every other bored person on the entire face of the planet must be making the same joke.

    --
    Whence? Hence. Whither? Thither.
  22. Another argument against animal cruelty... by RLiegh · · Score: 0, Redundant

    ...if they had used regular wings, instead of trained seals; this all could have been averted.

    [what do you mean 'rtfa'..? this is /. for gawd's sake!]

  23. We can thank the environmentalists for this one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    NASA used to use a different process to attach the foam to the tank. Foam never came off in huge chunks using the old process, but due to extreme pressure from environmental groups, NASA stopped using the old process because it made use of Freon. A new process was put in place that didn't use Freon, but now the foam wasn't adhering as well.

    I wonder if the enviro-nuts ever bothered to compare Freon emissions from NASA with the vast emissions of the very same stuff from faulty HVAC systems and such all over the world. I'm sure it was worth the lives of seven astronauts and a few billion dollars worth of hardware, yessirree.

    1. Re:We can thank the environmentalists for this one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, do shut up.

      The environmentalists aren't to blame -- NASA is to blame for badly manufacturing the seal.

      As for it being 'worth' the lives of seven astronauts, are you implying that their lives are somehow more important than your average human being? 'Cause that's nonsense. People die all the time -- get used to it.

    2. Re:We can thank the environmentalists for this one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, do put a sock in it.

      If the environmentalist movement pressured NASA to adopt an unsafe coating procedure that resulted in the destruction of the shuttle and the death of seven astronauts, they're damn well culpable in this. NASA is culpable, too, for caving in to the enviro-nuts.

      As for it being 'worth' the lives of seven astronauts, are you implying that their lives are somehow more important than your average human being? 'Cause that's nonsense. People die all the time -- get used to it.

      What planet do you come from? How could you possibly draw such a stupid conclusion from my statement? No, they weren't worth any more than anyone else, but were the goals of the enviro-nuts worth the lives of these seven people? Absolutely not.

      As for people dying all the time...go drink a nice, tall glass of "DUH!" and shut the hell up.

  24. Grey seal or Fur seal? by jm91509 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Didn't think seals had the required aerodynamic properties to go into space.

    Well, I suppose if you pay fish you get ...

    (No offence intended :)

  25. Long Live the Shuttle ... now lets move on. by Jedi+Holocron · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The Shuttle is a wonderful experimental spacecraft. Let's all keep that in mind. Designed in the 1960's, built in the 1970's, finally flown in the 1980's on 20 year old technology. The world's first partially reusable launch vehicle. Kewl!

    Okay, let's move on. Oh wait, we didn't. We floundered with National Space Plane projects. The X-33 was sacked. The Delta Skipper was sacked.

    Hey, let's continue to rely soley on an outdated experimental concept vehicle can continue to stick roman candles up our kiesters as a way to get into "space". We'll live with the limited altitude (no micrometeorioid protection), limted power, limited duration, etc... etc...

    Okay, sorry for the slight rant there. The shuttle rocked but it is time to move on. Why haven't we? If NASA had a budget that was maybe, at the least, equal to the increase in defense spending for 2003 we might be able to do this.

    We are not. Maybe we just haven't found the reason to really want to go to space. I dunno. it is frustrating.

    My graditude to everyone that has ever dared to travel to space. My thanks to those that have lost their lives in the endeavour.

    1. Re:Long Live the Shuttle ... now lets move on. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Small correction: Delta Clipper, not Delta Skipper.

    2. Re:Long Live the Shuttle ... now lets move on. by Jedi+Holocron · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the correction. I thought it sounded wrong but failed to verify.

      Folks might like to check this out as well:

      http://www.space.com/businesstechnology/technolo gy /rutan_scaled_0304187.html

    3. Re:Long Live the Shuttle ... now lets move on. by Soft · · Score: 1
      Okay, sorry for the slight rant there. The shuttle rocked but it is time to move on. Why haven't we? If NASA had a budget that was maybe, at the least, equal to the increase in defense spending for 2003 we might be able to do this.

      An appealing idea, but a good number of people happen to think that:

      1. NASA is at the point that a significant budget increase is unlikely to result in a comparable increase in results, because they tend to inflate costs;
      2. if costs remain high, then only huge government agencies can afford anything involving space, hampering a real space conquest where many people actually get to go;
      3. since NASA's survival appears to be linked to 2, then 1 seems to be in their best interests.
    4. Re:Long Live the Shuttle ... now lets move on. by RedWizzard · · Score: 1
      Folks might like to check this out as well:

      http://www.space.com/businesstechnology/technology /rutan_scaled_0304187.html

      You might also want to check out this analysis of some of the images of Rutan's vehicles from his website. The images have been manipulated and it appears that Rutan is deceiving the public about how advanced the program is. That's dodgy and if he where soliciting for investments or donations it would border on fraud. That sort of deliberate dishonesty throws the whole thing into doubt IMHO.
    5. Re:Long Live the Shuttle ... now lets move on. by jimhill · · Score: 1

      I'm awestruck by the moderation. Perhaps I should have put a smiley and a hyperlink to the shuttle Endeavour. I mean..."troll"? Whisky Tango Foxtrot, over?

      --
      Learn to spell: nickel, missile, lose, solely, amendment, speech, kernel, probably, ridiculous, deity, hierarchy, versus
  26. obvious? by dioscaido · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Once again, something even CNN knew BEFORE RE-ENTRY! I want to be a NASA expert and get paid to twiddle my thumbs.

    1. Re:obvious? by Mononoke · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Once again, something even CNN knew BEFORE RE-ENTRY! I want to be a NASA expert and get paid to twiddle my thumbs.
      Yes, but then you'll be the one called upon to give the astronauts their final choices:
      1. Risk dying upon reentry if the calculated damage figures are correct.
      2. Meet the certain fate of freezing to death staying out in space while committees decide if they can bring you home.
      I don't want any warning before I die. My affairs are in order. So were the affairs of the astronauts.

      --
      NetInfo connection failed for server 127.0.0.1/local
  27. brilliant way to disagree... by Goose+Bump · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Physicist James Hallock, another board member, said he does not believe a missing seal alone could have created a big enough hole for the kind of heat damage experienced by Columbia. As the plumes of hot gas entered the long, narrow gap, it probably chipped or broke away at the adjoining wing panels and created an even bigger breach -- enough to lead to the ship's destruction, he said.


    Isn't this kind of like saying the bullet isn't what killed him, it was the hole it left behind?

    1. Re:brilliant way to disagree... by WegianWarrior · · Score: 4, Interesting

      He is an expert. He is expected to say this sort of things, in fact, it is what he is paid for. And in some ways, it make a lot of sence; if the hole / gash hadn't opened up further, the ingress of hot gas may not have caused enought damage to the structure to cause a failure.

      To take another example I know more intimatly; We (the RNoAF) lost a F-16AM during Operation Enduring Freedom this winter, when both main landing gear tensionstuts collaped on landing. Now, at the surface, we lost it because the struts broke. Dvelving deeper into it however, showed us that the struts broke because the jetjockey slammed a fully loaded, newly refuled (from a tanker aircraft) into the runway with a sinkspeed three times the limit.

      Sometimes what you think causes the failuer is but the start in the chain of events, sometimes it is the last bit of it.

      --
      Everything in the world is controlled by a small, evil group to which, unfortunately, no one you know belongs.
    2. Re:brilliant way to disagree... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It wan't the bullet. The hole left behind killed him because it allowed all the important stuff to leak out.

      He's saying that, by itself, the lost T-seal doesn't account for all the damage. There has to have been additional erosion (which was obviously allowed by the missing seal)

  28. wrong species of seal by John+Macdonald · · Score: 1
    To all the myriad people who think that wing seals are a member of the aquatic seal family, forget it. That joke has gotten very very old, in a very short time.


    Besides, you should all know that Wing Seals are the Air Force's answer to Navy Seals.

  29. Whose YOUR favorite CAIB Member? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It has to be said: mine is Steven Wallace.

  30. transfer of kinetic energy by lazira · · Score: 4, Funny
    It had to be the result of some blunt-force trauma, the transfer of kinetic energy, somehow
    I gotta remember that term. Like: "how about I transfer you some kinetic energy" or "Ouch! That transfer of kinetic energy was uncalled-for."
    1. Re:transfer of kinetic energy by Matt · · Score: 1
      An even better one I remember was from a launch failure a few years ago. One of the launch vehicle's solid rocket engines detonated 11 seconds after liftoff, showering the area with burning hunks of aluminum and solid rocket fuel.

      A report I read said the payload (a GPS satellite) survived the explosion intact, but was destroyed by "decelleration trauma".

      In other words: crashing into the ground

  31. Blown gaskets are killers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Its amazing how something as simple (to a layperson) as a blown gasket can be a root cause of a catastrophic failure.

  32. Don't you mean... by BlackGriffen · · Score: 2, Funny

    The U-Vent?

    Then they can finally move on to the X-Window, and finally the Y-Zipper!

    BlackGriffen

    1. Re:Don't you mean... by crisco · · Score: 1

      Isn't the X-Window already obsolete and suffering from a fork?

      --

      Bleh!

  33. Blown seal joke by GuyMannDude · · Score: 1
    Reminds me of a joke I heard:

    This penguin is driving his car in the desert and it breaks down. After walking down the highway for miles, he's able to find a gas station that will tow his car in and fix it up. The mechanic warns Mr. Penguin (maybe it's Tux?) that it'll take awhile.

    Penguin is dying of thirst. After all, he doesn't like being in the desert in the first place, let alone walking for miles. He finds an ice cream shop and orders a big bowl of vanilla ice cream. Man is it good. He's just gobbling it up like crazy -- getting it all over his face and everything. He finishes up his desert and goes back to the shop, still looking a mess.

    The mechanic looks up from the car, sees the penguin and says "Looks like you blew a seal."

    Penguin points to his mouth and says "No, no, this is just ice cream!"

    That's the joke! Laugh, damn you!

    GMD

  34. When I read this title by dlakelan · · Score: 3, Funny

    The title of the story made me think:

    Seals? With wings?

    Time to take that bong away from the aerospace engineers.

    --
    ((lambda (x) (x x)) (lambda (x) (x x))) http://www.endpointcomputing.com a scientific approach to custom computing.
    1. Re:When I read this title by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I first saw the headline kind of half-hidden behind another window...

      I swear to God it said "Winged seals banned from Columbia"...

  35. I know that a shuttle is different in many ways... by WegianWarrior · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...from a fighter aircraft, but;

    "he seals are made of reinforced carbon composite and fit between pairs of panels made of the same material that are designed to withstand temperatures of up to 3,000 degrees during re-entry. These seals and panels wrap around the leading edge of each wing." sure sounds like a badly thought out design to my ears.

    At mach 2+, the airpreasure is high enought to rip an aircrafts structure apart - thus we make sure that no edges stick out of the airframe, and that no holes excist or can appear in such things as the leading edges of the wings, stabs or tail. At the speeds the shuttle has on reentry, this is even more important - even if you don't factor in the heatpulse. A design which, if it breaks, opens a gash into the interior structure is thus a flawed design - even if the designer didn't think it would ever fail! And remember fellow /.ers, NASA did more or less the same error when it came to the O-rings in the solid rocket boosters; the design was flawed from the start, but they choose to belive it wouldn't fail.

    As far as I recall, the shuttle does not have leading egde flaps. Thus it shouldn't be a reason for a 'split' design like the article describes, a solid leading edge panel made of reinforced carbon should be both possible and perhapes even less expencive. It is certainly among the things NASA should consider to lessen the possibility of another disaster. Oh, and make sure the foam sticks to the tank as well, or at least find a better way to test it for flaws.

    --
    Everything in the world is controlled by a small, evil group to which, unfortunately, no one you know belongs.
  36. Proud To Be An American!!: +1, Patriotic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is that North American, South American, Central
    American, or are these bumper sticker owners so
    illiterate and innumerate that they are unable to
    identify The United States of America on a map of the world?

    Thanks in advance,
    W00t

    Get Your War On 23

  37. I agree with comments about X-33. Good investment by zymano · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Would also create jobs! The x-33 is needed or something like a inexpenive hybrid rocket engine(rubber/nox or lox)with a new improved shuttle on the top.

    Why wasn't Nasa demanding the government replace these flying Edsels' ? They didn't and there's your catastrophe.

    Time to push for a new future nasa. Either go with more expensive x-33 or something more affordable. Just do it.

  38. Now by Cyno · · Score: 0, Troll

    If only we cared to know this level of detail about the 3000 deaths caused by the WTC and Pentagon attacks.

    It amazes me how shocked and horrified a nation of idiots gets over a handful of people who die while on an extremely dangerous mission. We all know the dangers of space exploration. Like the other posters are saying... get over it. We MUST explore. It is our nature.

    First let's figure out what is REALLY going on.

    Then let's make sure we stop thinking about money long enough to prevent anything like this ever happening again. Think humanitarian. Think locks on the doors of commercial airliners. Think wings that don't require seals that can fall off. Think!

    Fuk!

    1. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This level of detail was not needed with the twin towers. I think it was pretty obvious what brought them down.

    2. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you are referring to the airplanes that crashed into them you would be incorrect.

      The way in which the towers crumbled had all the hallmarks of a controlled demolition -- demolition experts agree that this is the most likely explanation and the planes were just a symbolic gesture designed to rouse attention.

    3. Re:Now by Cyno · · Score: 1

      I think it was pretty obvious what brought them down.
      Really?

      You were saying?

    4. Re:Now by Cyno · · Score: 1

      Troll?

      What about this?

      Hell go look for 9/11, norad, conspiracy, whatever in google and you'll find a dozen websites talking about the same things, asking the same questions. I'm not stating an opinion here.. Something is seriously wrong with the way the WTC was investigated and I think these investigations are certainly related to the shuttle disaster.

      I mean why is it that we make the shuttle a front page report, along with Iraq, for months and months while the 9/11 attack was only front page long enough to get support to attack Afghanistan?

      Since i don't moderate would anyone else mind moderating my parent post up to something readable? If you think its relevant at all..

    5. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is ridiclous. The engineering side of 9/11 has been studied in great detail and is being studied in great deatil.

      The conclusions are pretty much that you can't do much about fuel-laden planes crashing into skyscrapers. Like, duh.

      Now, I suspect you want a political investigation that exposes the "truth" about the trilateral commission or whomever. Well, people are still arguing about the politics behind Apollo 1, so good luck.

    6. Re:Now by Cyno · · Score: 1

      Did you ever see the place crash into the pentagon? Did you see pieces of it?

      The whole time I was watching all this happen I never thought it could have been possible for the pentagon to have never been attacked by an airplane. But now that I think back about it. I never once saw anything resembling an airplane or any video showing an airplane smash into the pentagon. The damage done to the pentagon was very similar to a bomb, the grass in front of it was undamaged and only the first floor was really damaged, the rest just collapsed.

      I don't want an investigation that exposes the "truth". I want to know the truth. I also want to know why we spent more money investigating the shuttle than we did the World Trade Center. Is it more important to us to know what happens in a car crash than a national disaster? That's the way it looks to me. Americans like you are prefectly satisfied that some brown people flew our planes into our own buildings without any motive. So we bomb them in relatiation and revenge and kill twice as many brown people. They may not have been the same brown people and most of them may have been innocent, but at least we got our revenge! Right? Is that how you feel?

  39. Re:I agree with comments about X-33. Good investme by Jedi+Holocron · · Score: 1

    I don't think all the blame goes to NASA specifically. You need to look a little higher up the food chain at the folks that give NASA the money to develop things like the X-33 or whatnot...

    Like the PTB's in D.C....

  40. seals considered harmful by wfmcwalter · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I remember reading a thing about Adm. Hyman Rickover, the father of the US nuclear submarine program. He was considering the means by which motive power would be extracted from the nuclear reactors. The scheme had turbine blades inside the reactor vessel, turning a shaft that (eventually) turned the boat's screws. This mean the shaft had to pass through the wall of the reactor vessel. He was worried that the seals around this opening wouldn't be perfectly reliable, and naturally if they ever failed this would allow radioactive fluid into the boat's compartments, irradiating the crew. The seal manufacturers assured him they could make a seal that was perfect, that would withstand all that could be thrown at it. Rickover wasn't sure, wondering if a magnetic interlock (where the reactor vessel is intact, and magnets on either side cause one shaft to move its counterpart).

    Rickover took the seal guys aside, and asked them - if your son was on this boat, would you still want seals, or would you opt for the magnetic method? The seal guys thought for a while, and sheepishly replied that they'd go with the magnets. To this day, all US naval reactors have magnetic interlocks, not seals.

    Fact is - seals are hard. Hard to make, hard to maintain, and hard to check. They're almost always the first thing to fail, and rarely gracefully.

    So, rather than the next gen spaceplane being some slicko streamline hitech composite fibre whatnot, it should be a windowless monocoque made from thick polymerised concrete. The astronauts will need a stihlsaw to go EVA, but then a concrete spaceship needs no maintainance, so they won't have to.

    --
    ## W.Finlay McWalter ## http://www.mcwalter.org ##
    1. Re:seals considered harmful by seanmeister · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Where did you read that?? Last time I was in a naval reactor plant (1991, USS Theodore Roosevelt), the reactors heated water that was then circulated through a steam generator which created steam that was then carried outside of the reactor compartment to (among other things) turn a steam turbine that turned a main engine that moved the ship. That's pretty much how naval reactors work.

    2. Re:seals considered harmful by colonwq · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A really amazing story. The last time I was on a nuclar boat was in '94. The reactor was in the reactor compartment. It made steam that left the RC in big pipe and turned the tubins in the engin room.
      The shaft going out the back of the boat did not use a magnetic seal of any kind but use a mechnical seal.

      Rickover was nothing but consertive in a lot of the designs.

      Maybe you should look at a Jane's Fighting Ships instead of a Jane's Comic Book. :wq

      --
      -- Phase 1: Collect under pants Phase 2: ? Phase 3: Profit
    3. Re:seals considered harmful by waferbuster · · Score: 1
      I suspect the bit about Hiram and the reactor vessel seals is talking about how to move the Control Rod Drive Mechanisms (ya know... the control rods that absorb neutrons to determine reactor temperature...) without getting leakage past the seals. The nuclear industry uses a fully welded seal for this, with magnetic coupling between the motor windings (outside the pressure boundary) and the mechanical portions of the motor (inside the pressure boundary).


      Now the main shaft seals for the propeller, those start to leak like sieves very shortly after installation. Clever design, but in a very harsh environment which trashes them. It's difficult to make a reliable seal for a rotating cylinder 3 feet in diameter with a thousand psi of differential pressure seawater. The close tolerances involved pretty much prevent the required freedom of motion between the moving parts.

      --
      I'm an individual! Just like everyone else!
    4. Re:seals considered harmful by colonwq · · Score: 1

      Yep that is true. At least we do not have to lift the rods any more to attach the motors to them.

      I watched TRF replace the seals on time. It was bad enough replacing them on a 1/2" pump shaft. It looked like hell for a shaft large enough to walk on as it spins.

      :wq

      --
      -- Phase 1: Collect under pants Phase 2: ? Phase 3: Profit
    5. Re:seals considered harmful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      huh huh.... monocoque... heheh...

  41. In poor taste... by Yoda2 · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...Then the mechanic said, "Looks like you blew a seal." "No, no", the Eskimo replied, "that's just mayonnaise!"

  42. Hate crimes by lightspawn · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I suppose this will get some people so angry they'll just go out and club the first baby seal they see.

  43. Dreams of Space by Mark+Dentari · · Score: 1

    Keep getting further and further away. I look up at the night sky and like everyone else see stars as specks of light, pretty but ultimately useless... I assure you that I didn't think this way when I was a kid.

  44. Support for Space by JASP2 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Yo... latest polls show that 86% of Amercans feel the human risk is worth continuting Space exploration. That's pretty cool. I wonder why Politicians are so scared of approving NASA's budget ?

    THe problem with the budget is not so much the small ammount they get, but the fact that the budget/mission changes every 2 years due to new officials in the house and senate and oval office. We need politicians to lock in a 15 year plan and write in riders to ensure the budget can't be changed. Then Nasa can focus on a long-term mission without worrying about next years budget cuts.

    just my two-pence... and I work at the University of Colorado's Aerospace Department.

    1. Re:Support for Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Yo... latest polls show that 86% of Amercans feel the human risk is worth continuting Space exploration

      And 99.9% of Americans agree as long as the life being risked is not theirs

    2. Re:Support for Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too much money currently earmarked for blowing up other countries to have any left over for frivolties like space exploration. And a sharp decrease in said revenues coming soon, thanks to insane tax cuts that couldn't be more ill-timed. Don't hold your breath.

    3. Re:Support for Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because that rest of 14% got bigger mouth or louder voices.

      Let your regional representatives know that you support space program.Remember, they are not psychic.

  45. Re:How many Columbia articles do we need? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I agree. This whole Columbia thing is boring. And they ought to remember that a large portion of readers don't even come from the US and therefore could not give a shit about some space shuttle blowing up, or whatever.

  46. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by lindsayt · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This is almost exactly the same point that Richard Feynman made in regard to the first shuttle accident: they calculate failure statistics wrong and don't properly reinforce to guarantee against disaster. I believe his example went something like this:

    If a suspension bridge is expected to handle 40,000 pounds of traffic on a daily basis without failing, but small cracks begin to appear after a month of usage at that weight, the bridge has failed. It is architecturally flawed, regardless of the fact that the bridge has not collapsed. If an O-ring is 1 inch thick and cracks 0.25 inches thick routinely appear in said O-ring, there is not a 75% margin of error; the O-ring has failed. A disaster has not occured, but the structural integrity has been compromised, even if it is well below the point of a catastrophic failure.

    His point was that NASA had virtually ignored all non-catastrophic failures, instead seeing how far they were from being catastrophic and calling that difference the margin of error. The problem is, the design had failed, since those non-catastrophic failures were not supposed to have happened. Hence, depending upon a device which has already shown a tendency for non-catastrophic failures is no margin of error at all.

    I'm probably doing injustice to his argument since he was a genius and I'm merely a Systems Administrator, but I think it's relevant.

    --
    I did not design this game/I did not name the stakes/I just happen to like apples/And I am not afraid of snakes-AniD
  47. Re:I agree with comments about X-33. Good investme by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Jobs? So what about jobs?

    A job is just a method of someone getting money off someone else. It is often used to describe employment, but also finds usage in criminal circles -- a famous example being the film 'The Italian Job', about a gold-filled truck heist in Italy.

    You don't have to just sit around waiting for some company to open up in your area to provide you with potential jobs. Make your own! There are plenty of ways to get money off other people, which is as I said earlier, the essence of a 'job'.

  48. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 1

    I've wondered why they don't make the silica surface out of larger pieces as opposed to the smaller tiles. The answer I got was:

    1. Smaller tiles are more fault-tolerant (to a degree). You can lose a few small tiles with no serious effects (depending upon location and the number of lost tiles), whereas losing a large tile would be uniformly catastrophic.

    2. Thermal expansion. Smaller tiles have room to expand without moving around too much. Larger tiles would exert more stress on the attachment points when the tile heats up during re-entry.

    3. Maintenance. It's unavoidable that tiles will be damaged during a mission, mostly due to ice strikes during liftoff. It's easier to replace a few smaller damaged tiles than one larger damaged tile.

    --
    In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
  49. 4 Km/s... yeh it floated away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    4 Km/s... yeh it floated away

    The object "floating" away from the space shuttle was moving at 4 Km/s. That indicates it absorbed momentum from a meteorite. The shuttle is susceptible to meteorites from 1-10 cm. Foam is being blamed because we can control the foam. The real story is that the 1-10cm meteorites are a risk we cannot control. Unfortunately, we will never be told what the probability of a meteorite hit will be.

    1. Re:4 Km/s... yeh it floated away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but the shuttle had just made a manuever. Everything in space sounds like it moves fast. That's just the nature of the business; and, part of the reason it's so dangerous.

    2. Re:4 Km/s... yeh it floated away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's the numbers:

      http://www.nap.edu/html/shuttle/index.html#not

      1/200

      "But probably more than 95 percent of the objects that could cause critical damage to the orbiter are not cataloged because they are too small to be reliably detected by SSN sensors."

      1997 recommendation: "NASA should also reconsider conducting on-orbit surveys to detect exterior impact damage and repair it as necessary."

  50. The same way every statistic is created at NASA... by devphil · · Score: 2, Interesting


    ...pulled out of the management's ass.

    After Richard Feynman was asked to investigate the Challenger accident, he wrote up his experiences. They're published as the second half of his second autobiography.

    He was stupified by the amount of fudge-factoring that went on at NASA. The MTBF for a component would be listed at 300 flight hours, and when he asked how they arrived at such a nice round figure, managers would retroactively come up with a listing where each sub-component had MTBFs listed to decimal places, 34.8712 hours, 29.1109 hours, ... and they all conveniently added up to exactly 300 hours.

    Engineers were going nuts, but managers kept overriding the decisions. It was a fantastic "it looks nice on paper, therefore it works this way in real life, and fuck the laws of physics" mindset.

    --
    You cannot apply a technological solution to a sociological problem. (Edwards' Law)
  51. Serious question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    My understanding is even if we had known the shuttle was doomed there was nothing we could do about it. Does this mean we would have been forced to watch the crew starve/asphyxiate in space? And given that, is it beyond reason to think they didn't even bother looking because of it?

    1. Re:Serious question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would have made an excellent 'reality TV' show.

      The plight and suffering of a dying space crew, for real, beamed directly to your TV screen. Sounds good to me!

  52. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First, the Columbia and Challenger accidents are very different. The SRB's are built in several pieces for many reasons including the obvious one that they have to be transported and there is some length that is reasonable for that travel. The properties of the o-ring rubber at low temperatures was not widely known and they were burned by that ignorance. Anyway, by your logic, every structure we build should be a single piece of material. This is just not a valid solution.

    Second, the leading edge of the shuttle's wing is a very large single carbon-carbon structure. The leading edge is attached to the main wing and this is where the now-famous T-seals are used. The leading edge is a separate material and structure because it sees a stagnation point on reentry while the rest of the wing is set at such an angle that it sees less energy than the leading edge, and therefore is of a different design.

    To address a previous post, the large piece of foam that fell from the tank was about 2.5lbs and travelling ~500mph. That will do damage to anything, especially some very porous glass tiles.

    The whole issue is moot anyway because these are brass being interviewed and the scientists involved in this do not believe that the T-seal is where the problem began.

  53. Re:*BSD is dying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're 11 years too late

    Death of BSD

  54. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He wasn't a 'genius', he just knew his shit about physics. Big deal, most people can do that with the years of training he had.

  55. This is even worse... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    .. than the way the military uses dolphins to find floating mines. How can we condone sending innocent seals up into space (and then blaming *them* when they fail to perform their tasks on the outside of the shuttle during reentry)?

  56. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by WegianWarrior · · Score: 1

    No, thats not what I was trying to say at all Coward. Like lindsayt so clearly said, a design which allows for a catastrophic failure is flawed, and a design which fails 25% don't have a 75% safetymargin - it has failed, period.

    The troubles with the O-rings were well know. On several previous missions the inner O-ring had been burned, and on at least one occation the outer O-ring had started to melt as well. While the cold and water made the problem more acute as it altered the elastisity of the material, but the design would have failed sooner or later anyway. And for that matter, the use of solid rocket boosters are not good design in the first place. Cheap, yes, but unable to throttle, unable to shut down.

    There are better, if more expencive and fiddly, ways to seal a joint than a T-seal. You could for instance take an inverted T-seal. If that seal fails, the sealingstrip stays where it is, blocking to a certain degree the ingress of hot air.

    And no, the Colombia and Challenger accidents wern't that different. In both causes seven astronauts lost their lifes, and in both causes it looks like the reason for this can be traced to a faulty design.

    --
    Everything in the world is controlled by a small, evil group to which, unfortunately, no one you know belongs.
  57. So where'd you go to school? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I haven't heard of anywhere but Colby that did beer die.

    1. Re:So where'd you go to school? by sigep_ohio · · Score: 1

      beer die is the best game ever. my friends and I have branched out from Cleveland to Lexington to New York. We keep stats, but i forgot the url.

      It is a game requiring true athletic and drinking skills. A good partner helps too.

      --
      Beer Die is the game of champions Learning To walk my own path.
  58. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The loss of seven lives here is practically irrelevant. What they should be more concerned about is the dent to the reputations of NASA and the USA for making flawed decisions in the first place.

    To analogise; seven ants have died (insignificant), but the repercussions have affected the entire colony (significant).

  59. The seals are at it again by Pedrito · · Score: 1

    You know, it seems only a few years back, some crazy animal huggers were complaining about the clubbing of baby seals. See what happens when you let 'em grow up? I say we go back to clubbing the baby wing seals.

  60. launch derbis common by peter303 · · Score: 1

    NASA said launch derbis hitting the shuttle happened several times before. this time it may have been heavier from ice. Or it may have hit a weakened part of an aging shuttle.

  61. Winged Seals by spun · · Score: 1

    No, it's only the kind that have wings that we need to protect. Wingless seals eat all our salmon and do nothing for us except look cute. The winged seals are the useful ones. I hear the Airforce is training them to carry bombs.

    --
    - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
  62. Why did it stay on during launch by HermanZA · · Score: 3, Insightful

    and come off in space? There is a lot of shear forces and vibration during launch and almost nothing of that in space, so why did it come off when it did?

  63. Re:Amazing...Hitting below the belt. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "If Wing seals were the problem, Shouldn't we be clubbing them instead of letting them cause more accidents?"

    In that case. I'm glad it wasn't wing-nuts.

  64. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They have to have smaller panels with a gap because the thing heats up so much that the expansion would tear the leading edge off otherwise. The gap between each RCC panel is like 1" (2.5 cm) to give you perspective on how much expansion they expected. The seal covers this necessary gap.

  65. Upside Down? by pz · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There's probably a really good reason, but from a naive viewpoint, the proximal cause for any chunks of foam coming off the main fuel tank being able to damage the shuttle is that during primary burn, the shuttle is slung below the tank. If the vehicle were lifted to orbit in shuttle-above-tank configuration (rotated 180 degrees along the longitudinal axis from the standard configuration), the Columbia accident might not have happened.

    Anyone know why the current method (shuttle-below-tank) is used?

    --

    Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
    1. Re:Upside Down? by ashitaka · · Score: 2, Informative

      Communications. If the shuttle is on top the tank would block transmissions to and from the shuttle.

      --
      If you don't want to repeat the past, stop living in it.
    2. Re:Upside Down? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      There's probably a really good reason, but from a naive viewpoint, the proximal cause for any chunks of foam coming off the main fuel tank being able to damage the shuttle is that during primary burn, the shuttle is slung below the tank. If the vehicle were lifted to orbit in shuttle-above-tank configuration (rotated 180 degrees along the longitudinal axis from the standard configuration), the Columbia accident might not have happened.
      The path of the foam is because of the flow of air over the tank and orbiter. Gravity plays very little part if any.
    3. Re:Upside Down? by Naito · · Score: 1

      actually, it's somewhat a combination of the two and a third, most important factor: stress; keeping the shuttle upside down is apparently the configuration that induces the least stress on the structure.

  66. Wrong units! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That would be 4 m/s, not 4 km/s (source: http://www.io.com/~o_m/columbia_loss_faq_s5.html). That's consistent with a loose piece being shaken loose while the orbiter manuevered. It's not consistent with an impact with space debris or meteoroids (-oids, not -ites). Check out the CAIB archives for NASA's documentation on the probability of a debris hit - it's there.

    1. Re:Wrong units! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No it was km/s...
      From: http://www.cnn.com/2003/TECH/space/02/09/sprj.colu .wrap/index.html

      5 miles per second = 8.046 km/s

      Seriously if you have any information on "documentation on the probability of a debris hit" - please help me find it!

      meteorite noun: Fallen meteor; fragment of rock or metal from outer space.

      meteoroid noun: A solid body, moving in space, that is smaller than an asteroid and at least as large as a speck of dust.

      got me there...

  67. Did anyone read that by Loosewire · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And think "Winged seals - i didnt know there were any species of flying seals" ;-)

    --
    Slashdot - The one stop shop for procrastination
  68. Re:The same way every statistic is created at NASA by Dastardly · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The MTBF for a component would be listed at 300 flight hours, and when he asked how they arrived at such a nice round figure, managers would retroactively come up with a listing where each sub-component had MTBFs listed to decimal places, 34.8712 hours, 29.1109 hours, ... and they all conveniently added up to exactly 300 hours.

    Is this as bad as looks with lower MTBF numbers adding up to a higher MTBF number?

    Dastardly

  69. Murphy's Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Murphy's law states that when something that can't go wrong goes wrong, it will go wrong at the worst possible time.

    If the piece fell off during launch, the force of impact would not have been that great. Therefore, that is not the worst possible time for this to happen.

    The worst possible time for the foam to fall off is when it actually did happen-- when the speed is high enough and there's apparently still enough air density to "catch" the falling piece (from the perspective of the shuttle) and slam it into the wing.

  70. Yes. . . (OT and feeding the troll) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah. . .they do. Whale oil was used for lamps, soap and other items. Reading is good for you

  71. Foam is really dangerous? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    One time I threw a foam Nerf ball, hit a moving car. it spun out of control and EXPLODED. Because foam is very tough and hard and can inflict a lot of damage.

    1. Re:Foam is really dangerous? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      On the other hand, the depleted uranium slug fired from an M1A1 Abrams bounced harmlessly off your neutronium-density skull.

      The foam is closer in density to styrofoam like in a bicycle helmet, and came off the tank at 300mph relative to the shuttle's wing. I'd love to see you taking a bicycle helmet in the face at 300mph. Or a Nerf football for that matter. Or best yet, the M1A1 tank round.

  72. BZZZT WRONG! by ashitaka · · Score: 2, Informative

    Shoulda checked before posting, although that was my recollection.

    The shuttle turns over so the crew can see the horizon and have a visual frame of reference if they needed to take over manual control without instrumentation in case of an abort. Sitting on top of the external tank they wouldn't know where they were.

    --
    If you don't want to repeat the past, stop living in it.
    1. Re:BZZZT WRONG! by pz · · Score: 1

      Thanks -- that makes more sense than the communications issue (which, presumably, could have been solved at design time by putting antennae in the wings). I recall that the shuttle executes a 90 degree roll once clear the launch tower to verify positive control of attitude ... but until recently hadn't thought about the upside down issue. Is there some good source for this info (eg, web site, book, etc.)?

      I wonder if the current approach will be re-visited as part of the post-Columbia re-engineering.

      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
  73. Number of expected failures by sjbe · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm going from memory here but there are about 20 mission critical parts on the shuttle. If any one of these fails, there is no backup and a disaster will occur. Now remember, the shuttle is designed to a cost and the parts have something like 0.9999 reliability. Designing in more reliability would mean more cost so that wasn't going to happen. That means there is a roughly a 2% chance of catastrophic failure on any given mission. There have been 113 mission so the number of expected failures we should see is 2.26 (=(1-0.9999)* 113)).

    This doesn't mean any given mission will fail, but we can be quite sure that we will lose one regularly no matter how careful NASA is. Thus because the shuttle was designed for a given level of reliability, we should expect to lose one roughly every 50 flights. Challenger was mission STS-51. Losing the Columbia should not surprise anyone. We should have expected to lose a shuttle around this time. Tragic but not surprising.

    1. Re:Number of expected failures by sjbe · · Score: 1

      Oops. Minor math error.

      2.26 = (1-0.9999)* 20 * 113

    2. Re:Number of expected failures by Dirtside · · Score: 1

      Just because the expected number of failures is 2.26 per 113 doesn't mean that every 50th flight will be a failure (i.e. 49 ok flights, 1 disaster, 49 ok flights, 1 disaster, etc.). 2 out of 100 will fail, but it could be the first two, the last two, the fifteenth and forty-eighth, etc. Nobody "should have expected to lose a shuttle around this time". This is also known as the gambler's fallacy.

      At least, from what you wrote, it sounds like you're making this mistake. I could be misunderstanding what you mean.

      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
    3. Re:Number of expected failures by sjbe · · Score: 1


      At least, from what you wrote, it sounds like you're making this mistake. I could be misunderstanding what you mean.


      You're misunderstanding what I mean, or rather you are reinforcing what I was trying (perhaps badly) to say. You're absolutely correct that this doesn't mean that every fiftieth shuttle will blow up. The chance of any given shuttle blowing up remains around 2%. The fiftieth crew has just as good a chance of surviving as the first. But on average we should expect to lose roughly 1 out of every 50 shuttles we send up.

      This could mean that we lose the next 5 shuttles too. Unlikely but possible. A gambler's fallacy is assuming that the next shuttle will blow up because it is "due". I wasn't saying anything of the sort. I was saying that the shuttle is merely operating at close to its designed reliability. The fact that we lost one around this time should not be entirely surprising. The good folks at NASA work really hard to make sure that the crews are safe but even NASA can't escape the laws of probability in the long run.

    4. Re:Number of expected failures by Dirtside · · Score: 1
      A gambler's fallacy is assuming that the next shuttle will blow up because it is "due". I wasn't saying anything of the sort.
      Okay, but you keep saying things that sound like this, like in the next sentence:
      The fact that we lost one around this time should not be entirely surprising.
      This sounds equivalent to, "The fact that we lost one around this time should be entirely surprising, but if we had lost one at some other time, that *would* be surprising." Maybe the fact that we lost one at all should not be entirely surprising, but the lack of surprise has nothing to do with it being "around this time."

      I believe you that you say you don't intend to commit the gambler's fallacy, but then I have to wonder why you keep saying things that make it sound like you do. :) I'm guessing we're just mincing words at this point, though.

      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
  74. Re:Gag. by SamSpectre · · Score: 1

    Maybe there was nothing that could be done. But they didn't even try and address the problem while the shuttle was orbiting. An offer to view the shuttle using a military satellite before re-entry was dismissed. If they'd been able to see the problem they MIGHT have been able to remedy it (especially if enough experts realized that the flaw might be catastrophic).

  75. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by squid_wrangler · · Score: 2, Informative
    "A design which, if it breaks, opens a gash into the interior structure is thus a flawed design"

    "As far as I recall, the shuttle does not have leading egde flaps. Thus it shouldn't be a reason for a 'split' design like the article describes, a solid leading edge panel made of reinforced carbon should be both possible and perhapes even less expensive"

    You sound uninformed and are speculating without even attempting to research the subject. The RCC (Reinforced Carbon-Carbon) panels have gaps between them for a reason. The panels are mounted on floating joints to reduce the loads placed on them due to wing deflections. This also helps reduce the effects of mismatched thermal expansion coefficients between the aluminum wing structure and the carbon composite material they are made of. You can read more about the RCC panels and their attachment to the wing structure at:

    http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/shuttle/technology/sts -newsref/sts_sys.html#sts-rcc

    Your comment that a design that causes a breach to the interior structure in case of failure is a flawed one doesn't make too much sense either. The TPS (Thermal Protection System) design is there specifically to protect the orbiter structures that cannot withstand the heat of reentry. Therefore, by design, if the TPS was not there, the structure would be breached. You should look for flaws in the design based on a lack of anticipation of possible external damage modes and not in that it was a very critical system whose loss results in an overall failure of the orbiter.

  76. Re:I know that a shuttle is different in many ways by brokenbeaker · · Score: 1

    If you read Feynmen's writing, and what's been written about him, you will see that he was quite special, in how he thought and behaved.

    Just to point out, not most people can do what he can - for example, win the Nobel prize.

  77. Reviving a joke from 1986 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    .

    What do NASA, Tupperware, and an old walrus have in common?

    .

    .

    They're all looking for a tight seal.

  78. Need to make a decision... by Goonie · · Score: 1
    There was an interesting article in Popular Science about potential Shuttle replacements. According to the article, one of the problems is that NASA has extremely ambitious cost and safety goals for a next-generation launcher, which they haven't been able to achieve with the designs examined so far. Hence, they've decided to stick with what they have and keep researching various advanced technologies until they can build the wonder vehicle they want.

    However, there comes a time when NASA should probably just bite the bullet and build a new vehicle, and accept the factor of two or three improvements in cost and safety it can realistically achieve rather than the hundredfold cost improvements it seeks in the longer term.

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
  79. Looking through the top postings I wonder.... by ihatewinXP · · Score: 3, Funny

    At a quick glance I see six top level postings as +5 Funny.

    I wonder how many funny comments you can squeeze out of a space shuttle blowing up? And maybe who should I be more ashamed of, the people posting or the people moderating them all up?

    --
    ---- The real Slashdot is still here. You just have to browse at -1 to read the comments.
    1. Re:Looking through the top postings I wonder.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And some asshole moderator moderated the above (serious comment) as funny. God help slashdot.

  80. I didn't think anyone died in the Endeavour??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I didn't think anyone died in the Endeavour???

  81. Math and science education by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful


    Math and science education to all is meant to prevent such bogus "statistics" from being taken at a face value. These subjects are not taught because someone say so; math and science have values such that people can think and evaluate what he/she is heard and form one's own conclusion.

    We forgot that simple point. Now math and science are merely the subjects you just have to pass to graduate schools. Few really cares (even some so-called scientists are that way).

    So ask yourself a question: are we any smarter than people were in 16th century?

    We may be not.

    1. Re:Math and science education by GnarlyNome · · Score: 0

      Except for Kimball Kennison you mean Whaddya mean we cain't get that planet past the speed of light?

      --
      Diplomacy is the art of saying "Nice doggie" until you can find a rock. Will Rogers
  82. Re:The same way every statistic is created at NASA by datan · · Score: 1

    um...shouldn't the MTBF of the component be the MIMUMUM of all the MTBFs of each subcomponent? the chain is as strong as its weakest link and all that?

  83. LOL by dodgyville · · Score: 1

    The experts there (of which you are not one) examined the data at their disposal (which you do not possess) and consulted their own education and experience with the program (which you do not have) and made a determination (which you are not qualified to do) that the risk ... was low.

    (snip)

    If you're going to ignore the advice of the experts, just because that advice very infrequently ends up being wrong, you are going to end up wrong far more often than not, much to the detriment of the ... program and the lives of those depending on you.

    ---

    I thought the same thing about Bush and the UN Weapon Inspectors :)

    --
    apt-get install deathstar && deathstar alderaan && echo "You're far too trusting"
  84. Flying Fish by jellyfish_green · · Score: 1

    I've heard of ships being struck by flying fish, but never winged seals.

  85. Shuttle never accelerates at more than 3g's. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
    The foam is closer in density to styrofoam like in a bicycle helmet, and came off the tank at 300mph relative to the shuttle's wing. I'd love to see you taking a bicycle helmet in the face at 300mph. Or a Nerf football for that matter. Or best yet, the M1A1 tank round.

    Wow. That almost sounds reasonable. Is this your own invention, or is this the stuff NASA is selling these days? I'm rather amazed that such 'plausible' stuff can actually be spun into a product people will buy! --But then, somebody found that encasing chicken feces in plastic key ring holders made poultry bio-refuse a viable commodity. Wonders never cease.

    First off, the foam wasn't moving at anywhere near 300mph relative to the wing, (despite what NASA may have been telling people). Until the moment it fell and bounced off the wing, the foam had been flying at the same speed as the rest of the rocket, which never experiences an acceleration of more than 3G's during any point of its flight. --Assuming that the rocket was accelerating at its fastest, and the foam took about one second to travel from where it became separated to where it bounced off the wing, (and not taking air resistance, etc. into account), you're looking at a relative speed of around 22-23 Mph. I've been hit with a Nerf football at speeds much greater than that and it's called, 'Play'.

    Consider ice. --Ice due to condensation often falls off liquid fuel rocket engines and strikes against vehicle superstructure, and it would do so at about the same relative speed as that piece of foam, (at between 1-3 G's acceleration). Ice is denser than foam, but ice doesn't cause rockets to blow up. If it did, then it would be a sign of very poor engineering. --Engineers must take these sorts of impacts into account, and certainly do to tolerances much higher than what can be expected from pieces of foam; bird impacts must be survivable, as well as ice crystals up to a certain size, (while ice can be avoided upon launch, it cannot be guaranteed absent upon re-entry). --Objects which, when they impact, are for all intents and purposes considered stationary relative to the vehicle.

    NASA is grasping at straws because it knows the real reason their craft exploded, and it certainly hasn't got anything to do with foam.


    -Fantastic Lad

    1. Re:Shuttle never accelerates at more than 3g's. by Naito · · Score: 1

      you're KIDDING right...? EM weapons/aliens/NWO??? what the hell are you on?

    2. Re:Shuttle never accelerates at more than 3g's. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
      Just doing my research beyond the accepted parameters of what the talking heads on TV and my fine government sponsored teachers and text books had to tell me while I was growing up with a fertile and malleable mind!

      The knowledge is all out there, and yes, it seems quite nuts at first. But then you start to realize just how programmed people have been. Your response for instance, I would be willing to bet, doesn't come from any actual knowledge you went out and found/verified for yourself, but simply from your going along with the flow of society. Society doesn't know much of anything. (They 70-80% believe in 'foam', for instance.) --But lambs to the slaughter, and all. . .

      Though you're still young (??) and have not yet been jerked awake. I find it quite amazing that the current world events unfolding around us these days aren't a dead give-away. Time is short, my friend!

      Take care!


      -Fantastic Lad

    3. Re:Shuttle never accelerates at more than 3g's. by Naito · · Score: 1

      while I agree with you that society in general is used to being led around by the nose and the government hides far more than it should, I think in this case there was no conspiracy. What reason would they have to cover this up? As for information I've found/not found for myself, I'll admit that all of the information regarding this I've seen through media publications, but it's more than a little difficult to go straight to the source. The closest to the source I've been able to get is watching NASA TV and analyzing the CAIB's timelines. If you know some place I can get more direct information please let me know.

    4. Re:Shuttle never accelerates at more than 3g's. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
      Hmm. . .

      I wonder. Not everybody can deal, since it requires several levels of fighting through concepts which most people find frightening, and often which are themselves corrupted. . . Still it makes for interesting reading/thinking.

      here.

      That session was from 1994. There are a couple hundred others up 'till today. This particular rabbit hole goes very deep. Interesting part is that in retrospect, one can see the patterns. Neat stuff. Freaky stuff.

      You were warned.


      -Fantastisc Lad

  86. Shuttle never accelerates at more than 3g's. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
    The foam is closer in density to styrofoam like in a bicycle helmet, and came off the tank at 300mph relative to the shuttle's wing. I'd love to see you taking a bicycle helmet in the face at 300mph. Or a Nerf football for that matter. Or best yet, the M1A1 tank round.

    Wow. That almost sounds reasonable. Is this your own invention, or is this the stuff NASA is selling these days? I'm rather amazed that such 'plausible' stuff can actually be spun into a product people will buy! --But then, somebody found that encasing chicken feces in plastic key ring holders made poultry bio-refuse a viable commodity. Wonders never cease.

    First off, the foam wasn't moving at anywhere near 300mph relative to the wing, (despite what NASA may have been telling people). Until the moment it fell and bounced off the wing, the foam had been flying at the same speed as the rest of the rocket, which never experiences an acceleration of more than 3G's during any point of its flight. --Assuming that the rocket was accelerating at its fastest, and the foam took about one second to travel from where it became separated to where it bounced off the wing, (and not taking air resistance, etc. into account), you're looking at a relative speed of around 22-23 Mph. I've been hit with a Nerf football at speeds much greater than that and it's called, 'Play'.

    Consider ice. --Ice due to condensation often falls off liquid fuel rocket engines and strikes against vehicle superstructure, and it would do so at about the same relative speed as that piece of foam, (at between 1-3 G's acceleration). Ice is denser than foam, but ice doesn't cause rockets to blow up. If it did, then it would be a sign of very poor engineering. --Engineers must take these sorts of impacts into account, and certainly do to tolerances much higher than what can be expected from pieces of foam; bird impacts must be survivable, as well as ice crystals up to a certain size, (while ice can be avoided upon launch, it cannot be guaranteed absent upon re-entry). --Objects which, when they impact, are for all intents and purposes considered stationary relative to the vehicle.

    NASA is grasping at straws because it knows the real reason their craft exploded, (look up EM weapons, aliens and NWO,) and it certainly hasn't got anything to do with foam.


    -Fantastic Lad

  87. Don't believe me, read what REAL experts say by enkidu · · Score: 1

    here Or just look throught articles on yahoo's full coverage section. I just call them like I see them.

    --

    There is no trap so deadly as the trap you set for yourself
    -Raymond Chandler, The Long Goodbye
    1. Re:Don't believe me, read what REAL experts say by Fastolfe · · Score: 1

      Yah, because, you know, the media is unbiased and devoted to understanding the truth and the circumstances surrounding it, right? They wouldn't cater to the public's lust for blame. Certainly not.

      I find it amusing that you're pointing us at the media's take on the events and not the real reports and interviews.

      Hindsight is 20/20. Always remember that.

      Until you actually work in a high-risk position like this, I don't think you will ever understand what it's like to have a small army of experts dealing with issues like this every day and determining levels of acceptable risk. I'm quite frankly getting a little disgusted at this lust for blood here.

      Clearly the shuttle wasn't "designed" for these types of impacts. And if you read the article, it says the shuttle is routinely impacted 50-100 times during each mission by small debris. When it was discovered that the shuttle does get impacted, what would you have rather done? Scrap the design and start anew? Or examine the design and construction and determine whether or not those impacts actually posed a danger? They did the latter, and determined they did not. Over a hundred missions later without a hiccup, and then a larger-than-normal impact in a more-sensitive-than-normal place and it's all over. Hindsight is 20/20, but at the time, the risk from both a potential impact of this kind was acceptable, and the likelyhood for damage after investigating this impact was determined to be acceptable.

      Design or no design, impacts were very much investigated and the experts determined that the risk would be acceptable. This goes back to my picture frame example. Not designed for an impact, but small impacts are perfectly safe. To redesign a picture frame to withstand impacts at a certain rating would be cost-prohibitive and unnecessary.

      If this is indeed what brought the shuttle down, clearly that determination was in error. But I'm frankly getting a little sick of people calling for resignations and blood. Again, if you think you can do a better job of risk assessment, NASA NEEDS YOU. Stop posting on Slashdot and actually do something about the problem. It's easy to criticize others (founded or not), but you're not helping the situation.

    2. Re:Don't believe me, read what REAL experts say by enkidu · · Score: 1
      Hey, you're still there :-). I don't recall calling for anybody in management's blood (although I do think the guys who did the foam impact analysis should be fired for incompetence). I said I believed that they were all doing their best. But, being a manager for such a complex and sophisticated project does not mean that you should simply trust everything that you are told. It means questioning reports by asking alternate opinions. It means being able to read the summaries of reports with your BS meter always turned on. Yes, hindsight is 20/20, but that doesn't mean that all problems are only visible after they manifest themselves. Both the O-ring and the foam shedding problem gave ample warning that something was amiss.

      You seem to view the report from Boeing as the be all and end all of investigations and reports. What you don't mention is the limited amount of questioning that report received from management and the large number of engineers who were uncomfortable with that analysis and wanted more information. What concerns me is that the NASA management were content to use that report as the justification to end further discussion and investigation, without ever questioning the methodology of the report and the sparseness of the data that it was based on. The foam impact on the SS what not just another "small impact". It was a 1kg+ object travelling at ~800kph (think of the kinetic (not explosive) energy of a mortar being launched).

      Did you read the quotes? Did you know that NASA (after the Columbia accident) had to ask for a copy of a report on tile damage risk analysis they had commissioned from the authors, because they couldn't find their copy? Did you read Dr. Diane Vaughan's comments? Let me quote Robert Thompson, who headed the SS program during the 70's. "Thompson likened NASA's attitude about foam damage to that of a person who narrowly escapes several gunshots and then assumes future gunshots pose no danger. ''Would you like me to continue to shoot at you?'' Thompson said." I don't think that you can attribute these facts to biased journalism.

      I want NASA to succeed. And for it to succeed, they need to change their culture to eliminate the kind of "creeping risk acceptance" which seems to have contributed significantly to both the Columbia and Challenger failures. And if that requires people to be fired, then so be it. Given the dedication of the people involved, it probably doesn't. But it is clear that proper and rigorous risk analysis is severely lacking in NASA's current decision making process. The culture does need to be changed. Or we'll be picking up the pieces from the next disaster and the one after that with distressing regularity.

      --

      There is no trap so deadly as the trap you set for yourself
      -Raymond Chandler, The Long Goodbye