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Unemployed? How Long Until You Find That Next Job

An anonymous reader writes "If you're unemployed like me, you probably want to know how long it will last. Well, someone decided to see if they couldn't stastistically predict how long they would be unemployed by polling others - the results page is up for a variety of industries and it's interesting. Clearly the more data put in, the better the results, so while your at it, submit your own information."

74 of 394 comments (clear)

  1. I18n by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    How hard would it have been to make this international ?

  2. He won't find a job in statistics by KDan · · Score: 5, Informative

    Well, he sure won't find a job in a department that's involved in any kind of statistical work, that's for sure. The main thing which comes out of his tables is that there is little no correlation between salary and unemployment length. The only remotely useful table in there is the unemployment by industry, but there the sample is far too small to derive any conclusions...

    There's nothing wrong with not finding correlation per se, but the author of the site presents the tables as if they had some meaning, without mentioning the fact that their only meaning is that they have no meaning... He should certainly make a note about it, and that page would certainly gain from having the Pearson correlation coefficient calculated for each table (and having only two data columns in each table).

    Daniel

    --
    Carpe Diem
    1. Re:He won't find a job in statistics by DZign · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's just the other way around ?

      If you want to make $25000 (or have the skills/age/.. for this wage) you're going to be unemployed for 4 months on average.

      However if you're more experenced, older, ...
      and apply for jobs where you'd make $85000,
      it'll take you a month more before you find
      a job like this..

  3. Make sense to anyone? by evilviper · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Now why link to the site? It has practically no data so far, and that is all it's good for... There is no verification of the data, and the data is input by random visitors.

    A /. poll asking the same question would be many times more accurate.

    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    1. Re:Make sense to anyone? by I+Love+Soup · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And of course IT is going to the lead the rest of the categories, since unemployed IT people are more likely spending their (abundant) free-time surfing on the webnet.

      --
      - Soup is really good.
  4. US Only ? by JTunny · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Asks you to enter a state and salary in dollars Any chance of including UK ppl somehow ?

    1. Re:US Only ? by PhillC · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I was going to post something similar. With such a globalised marketplace and options such as "telecommuting" relevant for many, it would be useful to gather information from around the world. Surely a programmer in the US could potentially take on contract work from UK based employers? This is true for other professions as well, such as journalism and graphic design.

      I think it would also be helpful to poll people who were recently unemployed, not just those currently out of work. For example, I was without a job between mid-October 2002 and late February 2003. Surely knowing that it recently took someone a little over 4 months to find another job could be useful in predicting current inductry norms?

      --
      Brought to you by the author of such childrens' classics as "Some Kittens can Fly!" and "All Dogs go to Hell."
  5. the average will be wrong by jakedata · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I went 12 weeks without a nibble, then had three offers in February. Then nothing.

    Screw the unemployment checks, I took the job.

    -j

  6. unemployment by prmths · · Score: 5, Informative

    I've been unemployed since January of 2002. Thats about 28 months so far
    but anyways.. I've noticed that things look like cr*p lately and it'll be a while before they improve. So i've decided that i'm going back to school to get my master's. I've wanted to do it anyways... Hopefully that'll put me in a higher standing than I am now..

    On a side note; I'm not sure if this has anything to do with the times or not, but a friend of mine told me that even if someone has a ton of experience, and then they graduate college with a bachelor's or masters or whatever... Some employers tend to ignore all work experience prior to graduating. does anyone know if this is true? if it is, i think it's the most retarded HR practice i've EVER heard of. Can someone PLEASE enlighten me on the subject.

  7. Re:Unemployment! by Zakabog · · Score: 4, Informative

    They'll stop sending you that check when you don't look for a job. Or when you miss out on 2 interviews with the unemployment officers. My friend was unemployed, it sounds nice, $400 a week for doing absolutely nothing but there's alot of work involved.

  8. I've been unemployed since January of 2002 by goldcd · · Score: 4, Funny

    That[']s about 28 months so far - anybody fancy offering this maths/english wiz a job?

    1. Re:I've been unemployed since January of 2002 by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Don't worry, I've been unemployed since 10/2001 and sure I've had a few interviews (even had one scheduled at Microsoft that got pulled out from under me 3 days before I was set to go (because a prior candidate got the job, nothing to do with me)), but now that the unemployments gone I've gotten used to the idea that I'll--

      1) Be in debt (unemployment really did help, but unfortunately I still had to hit up the credit cards because it just wasn't making ends meet) for the foreseeable future.
      2) Be making slightly above minimum wage doing "light industrial" until the economy stops felching it's own ass.

      And yeah, for anyone who thinks "he didn't look hard enough" or some other holier-than-thou bullshit, I assure you, I looked real god damned hard, and I lowered my salary expectations considerably (going from $70,000+/yr to having salary expectations of only $30,000/yr I would hope qualifies).

      To anyone who says it's not that bad-- you're clueless, or you're terribly lucky.

      On a personal note, I want to thank the US Congress/Senate for finally passing that Unemployment Extension in January when they got back from their Christmas break-- too bad it didn't extend ANYTHING, it just extended the TEUC and TEUC-X programs to those who would have been cut off, for everyone else who had already exhausted both their TEUC and TEUC-X benefits, they basically gave us the finger. Way to go guys. (Read: The TEUC extension provided for 13 weeks of federally funded extensions, and the TEUC-X extension provided for an additional 13 weeks for states with high unemployment (mine, Washington, qualified easily) for a total of 26 weeks. The "extension" passed in January didn't add any additional weeks, it only extended the program for those who were just starting to use TEUC and/or TEUC-X, and added language that made it possible for someone starting on it late in the game to be able to claim their total balance, rather than being cut off on some arbitrary date).

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    2. Re:I've been unemployed since January of 2002 by rppp01 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I hear you loud and clear on the job search. I lost my high paying job in Nov of 2001. I spent a few months looking for work, I even lowered my expectations of pay by 50%. My father suggested I take any job I could find- that is what he did when he was unemployed. So I did. I took a job that made less than I was getting on unemployment AND was treated like crap for it. I worked a helpdesk job that was taking advantage of the surpluss of IT guys in the market.

      I left that to find a data entry job that paid slightly better, but was only temporary. I then moved closer to family, (2 states away) and spent 3 months looking for work before I found this job. Think I'm going anywhere? I am making 40% of pay that I made at the job I lost in 2001. I am buried in debt, and don't know how I get by. I have no idea on earth how people can survive without a job in this current situation. Not without unemployment.

      And it is hard to swallow, going from 70+ a year to 8 an hour. I feel for everyone out there going through this.

      --
      They stuck me in an institution, said it was the only solution, to...protect me from the enemy, myself
  9. Do unemployed people read Slashdot??? by jkrise · · Score: 3, Interesting

    A poll on this topic should be interesting... my train of thought goes like this:

    Most Slashdotters have BIG ideals.
    Most Corporate types hate BIG ideals, (except as in BIG money!)
    Few idealists are moneyed, fewer can employ others.

    I guess it follows that most Slashdotters are not employed :-). There are many ways my assumptions could be wrong.. I'd like to hear some.

    --
    If you keep throwing chairs, one day you'll break windows....
  10. One good option by ciryon · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I was playing around in the "IT-bubble" for some years until eventually the company was almost dead. No sales = no profit. :)

    Then I decided to do the only good thing; go back to school. At the same time I run my own (very small scale system development/management) company to get some extra cash. So in some years I'll hopefully have graduated computer science when there are more jobs.

    Ciryon

  11. Re:Mod me down but... by NETHED · · Score: 4, Informative

    Excuse me, but have you read the FAQs of Slashdot? Click here if you have not

    --
    --sig fault--
  12. There are always exceptions... by Max+Romantschuk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don't know if this makes any sense or not... but I would stress that it is kind of pointless to use a tool like this, since you might be an exception yourself.

    Statistics often make sense on a demographical scale, but never on an individual scale.

    --
    .: Max Romantschuk :: http://max.romantschuk.fi/
    1. Re:There are always exceptions... by tmark · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Your argument does *not* make any sense, unless you believe ALL statistics are useless unless they make a prediction with 100% certainty. Are statistics relating smoking behavior and cancer rates useless, because there *are* exceptions ?

  13. Re:Unemployment! by mark_lybarger · · Score: 3, Informative

    insightfull indeed. to my knowledge, this isn't tax dollars. the unemployment system is a governement system, but it's funded by companies who pay into the system. i'd like to see the budget where the outpays comes from actual tax dollars. if employers didn't have to pay into the unemployment system, chances are (albeit quite low) they would pay their employees a little more who could save for such an event.

  14. A little Economics 101 by phusers · · Score: 5, Informative

    For the unemployed out there, I can only offer some economic view on what needs to happen. According to Okun's law, there needs to be a 2.5% growth in the GDP in order for unemployment to go down. The GDP figure was released last week and well, unemployment won't be going down for a while. Sorry guys, until the economy picks up somehow either through increase consumption spending, govt expenditures in the form of jobs, or increased business investment the economy will not grow to the required 2.5% and will not lower unemployment.

    1. Re:A little Economics 101 by freddyfred89 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Nice addition to the discussion. I think I can contribute here. First, the submission gives 2.5% as the minimum value of growth; economists refer to this as the "natural" rate of growth. It is the level of growth such that, if the economy grows above this value, the unemployment rate will decline.

      You can estimate this value. In the U. S., recent estimates are in the neighborhood of 3.3% (see Blanchard's Macroeconomics, 3rd ed., p. 183).

      I agree with the reviewer, though. The U. S. is nowhere near this rate of growth; therefore, unemployment rates will not decline anytime soon.

      There is also a subtle issue of delays in labor markets in response to booms and busts. In all likelihood, it will take around three quarters after any increase in output growth for the condition in labor markets to improve. I think we'll all need to remain patient for a while longer.

    2. Re:A little Economics 101 by mlknowle · · Score: 2

      I'm sorry, Christ, but you're wrong. Stimulus spending does not come from tax revenue; rather, it is finianced by borrowing (government deficit). Some economists belive there is a risk of crowding out (raised interest rates) because of this, but it is not as you describe it

    3. Re:A little Economics 101 by mlknowle · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes, but the money (in theory; in the last few decades we just seem to be borrowing and borrowing) is 'paid back' in taxes during boom times, when the government needs to slow the economy to prevent inflation (or so goes the idea of Keynsian stimulus.) The simple beuty of this idea is that the government borrows money to stimulate the economy when it needs it, and pays it back by slowing it down when needed. If everyone got together and spent or saved as needed, there would be no need for this - but you try convincing everyone to spend money at the same time... Tax cuts acheive a similar, but dilouted function- some of the rebate is saved, not spent.

  15. Why don't you start up on your own? by LinuxXPHybrid · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is not the first recession in our history; nor is the last one for sure. Unemployment does not sound too great and does affect your confidence and all, but it happens to everyone (which is to say, much of it depends on luck not so much your skill or personality). As a matter of fact, some of, what we call, successful business men experienced the same. Have you heard of this guy, Michael Bloomberg? Well, Solomon Smith Barney fired him almost 20 years ago. He ended up starting up on his own and he's a billionaire now.

    I can't say that you can be next Mike, but the point is, maybe it's a sign. Maybe success is calling you. Maybe you are not supposed to be employed (by anyone except for yourself).

    1. Re:Why don't you start up on your own? by evilviper · · Score: 2, Funny
      maybe it's a sign. [...] Maybe you are not supposed to be employed

      Strangely enough, some hobo on the subway was saying that exact same thing to me the other day. ;-)
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  16. What ever happened to this guys tax problems? by Jason+Mark · · Score: 2, Informative

    Odd Tood (the site this is hosted on has some of the funniest Flash animations I've ever seen. Esp. his first one "Laid Off"... but didn't he get busted because he made some damn good money in his "tip jar" and never reported it to the IRS? Anyone have the skinny on this? PS: watch the videos. You'll laugh. www.oddtodd.com.

  17. Well it depends on what you do while unemployed. by jellomizer · · Score: 2, Informative

    The Tech boom is gone. And will probably not happen again. The days of $100k a year for using front page is over. So no longer expect management to treat you like gods. You are like everyone else in a tough echonomy. That being said you will have to find ways to be more adaptive in your skills and you may have to do some things you may not want to do. Including working with Microsoft Stuff, accecpting payrole of around 40k a year (depending on your locataion).
    Also you can nolonger expect people to be looking for you. You will need to be proactive. Look for companies from all different types of areas. And post your resume even if they dont have any job openings, write a coversheet for the company. Then if you dont get a responce withing a week give the company a telephone call and ask them if they got the resume.
    So it really depends how long it takes for you to get a job offer. If you just sit their with your resume posted on the web and mabey e-mail a resume to a couple of places asking for a 100k job it may take a years until inflation rises. But if you are really active then you can get a job within a couple of weeks.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  18. Re:Well it depends on what you do while unemployed by captainclever · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "The Tech boom is gone, And will probably not happen again."

    Not so! It may be gone for now, but mark my words the next tech boom is the semantic web. Companies will want their services exposed via webservices so that intelligent agents can search for goods and services automatically. This will mark a new era in terms of data accessibility, much like the internet boom in the 90's.

    That's my reckoning anyway :P

    --
    Last.fm - join the social music revolution
  19. Re:Unemployment! by iggy2k · · Score: 2, Insightful

    HELLLLLLOOO nazis. i take it yuve never been out of work then, any idea how humiliating it is just to have to pay for food with stamps? and that idea....neighbours, hushed voices 'where are they going?' 'oh, he lost his job, so there being carted off to the institution' get real

  20. Re:Unemployment! by jhunsake · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It is an unemployment tax. Just because it's not what you think of as being a common tax (income, sales, etc) doesn't mean it's not a tax. In fact, in my state, it's called exactly that.

    Oh, and when is the last time the welfare system came out ahead? If you don't think that some money from the general fund doesn't go there, you're delusional.

  21. Re:Unemployment! by mark_lybarger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    i'm not sure which state you're from and their procedure, but here in Ohio we were suppose to keep a journal of our employment search activities. a list of the two jobs we persued during the week. i called in my biweekly reportings and there was an automated question asking "did you activly seek employment from at least two jobs during the week you're claiming?" or some such. press one for yes, two for no. nobody EVER asked to see a journal or for actual copies of the employment applications, etc. of course i was seeking a job the entire time, but i had a neighbor who was a daycare worker who lost her job. she NEVER had any intention of finding work and was going to start a home daycare business. she rode the thing to the end, using all possible extensions available thanks to GWB.

  22. Re:Mod me down but... by Skiboo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think the point is, that non-US data will muck up the survey. Different countries have different amounts of unemployment, better/worse economies, so if you're trying to figure out how long it takes to get a job, you're better off with localised data.

  23. Re:Unemployment! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Regarding your last paragraph:

    Sounds like a poorhouse to me. Sounds like imprisoning people for their debts. Sounds like something we don't do any longer.

    But if you want to bring back the old ways who am I to argue?

    Just keep in mind some of us might like brigandry, highway robbery, banditry, just plain thieving and other old timey ways of earning one's keep as well as or better than the new fangled ways the educated folks is always tellin' us 'r better'n the old tried an' true ways.

    Put that in yer pipe an' smoke it mister PhysicsExpert.

  24. Re:Unemployment! by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 4, Informative

    The requirements and benefits vary (sometimes wildly) from state to state. The variables can be--

    1) Number of weeks you can get benefits (some states offer as little as *one* month of benefits, while others offer up to 6 months of benefits (not counting federal extensions which can push that over a year right now)).
    2) Maximum amount benefits can be each week (I've seen numbers as low as $380 quoted, and I guess one state gives a maximum of $560 a week-- in Washington state, the maximum is $496/week, and naturally every state has their own set of formulas and work periods they use to calculate what YOUR unemployment will be).
    3) Work search requirements (again, can vary greatly from state to state-- in Washington, you have to apply for a minimum of three jobs a week and keep these in a log which you can randomly be required to show and have authenticated; if you go on Extended Benefits (EB, something seperate from TEUC/TEUC-X, but still federally subsidized) you have to apply for four jobs a week (or, as they define it, 'job contacts')).

    I mistakenly made the assumption that every state was identical, but they're not. Unemployment is, as I understand it, mostly funded by each state through taxes on businesses or other fund collection methods. As far as the federal extensions go, the Department of Labor gives out the cash but gives states the choice on how to implement it (legislation language not withstanding, of course, but generally the language is such that each state can easily integrate the extensions into their own state-funded plans easily).

    --
    All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  25. Jobs are one thing... by not-quite-rite · · Score: 4, Funny

    I personally would like to know when i will next get sex.

    I was hoping to use to statistics coupled with the data gleaned from slashdot....

    oh.

    silly me

    1. Re:Jobs are one thing... by markov_chain · · Score: 2, Funny

      I tried to calculate the answer to your question, but all I got are these division by zero errors. Go figure.

      --
      Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
  26. JobStats.co.uk by benjiboo · · Score: 4, Informative

    Hope this is relevant. JobStats.co.uk is an interesting compilation of stats about the UK job market, e.g. average earnings by skill, region etc.

    --
    Vacancy for signature. Apply within.
  27. Re:Well it depends on what you do while unemployed by mark_lybarger · · Score: 5, Insightful

    there's a big difference between what you're describing and what the internet boom of 96-00 experienced.

    in a web services world it will be companies that have a solid business plan, and compines that think things trough. in the Iboom, it was anybody and everybody putting up a web site that provided nothing. there was also the fact that there was this Y2K issue that many many of companies spent millions of dollars for legal reasons to change 5 lines of code in their software systems and spend enourmous hours testing said changes across the board and saving every test log file and going through various levels of audits of the testing. basically y2k projects coupled with the internet boom kept a lot of people employed and brought in a lot of others.

    exposing webservices will let a few good people work for a while.

  28. Re:Unemployment! by tcr · · Score: 2, Funny

    Where did you park your Victorian time machine?!

    --


    Information wants to be beer.
  29. Other problems in analysis by MyNameIsFred · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I agree the sample size is too small. For most of the industries his sample size is 1, 2 or 3. He can't take meaningful conclusions from such small samples.

    But I have other problems with the analysis. For example, he lumps all restaurant jobs together. This apparently includes a wide-variety of specialties (e.g., manager, cook, waiter) under a wide-variety of skill-levels (e.g., McDonalds and a Five-Star Restaurant). Similar comments could be made for Engineering. I might expect a difference in say Civil Engineers (the construction industry is doing well) and Electrical Engineers. He also doesn't consider years of experience directly. For those jobs requiring a college degree, he doesn't consider degree level. The list goes on...

  30. Re:Mod me down but... by anshil · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Mod me as flamebait if you want.

    The US and the US citizens generally don't care too much about the rest of the world. After all they are the greatest country in the world, or at last they believe this by heart.

    If it's true or not, at least it is the opinoun most of the europeans have formed the last years. And FAQ's like seem only to second that.

    --

    --
    Karma 50, and all I got was this lousy T-Shirt.
  31. Re:Unemployment! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is UNEMPLOYMENT we are talking about here, not welfare. We (In the US) pay unemployment insurance ourselves when we are working, then get the money back when we need it. Just like (in theory) Social Security.

  32. Too much time on their hands by ATAMAH · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Whilst i am waiting for the page to open (and by the looks of things it has been slashdotted into oblivion) it struck me that an unemployed person is a lot likelier to make up a page like this than someone with a job :)

  33. Do it yourself by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Never mind waiting for someone to "give" you a job.
    If you want something to do, start doing it.

    Instead of selling a lot of your time away to big corporations (unless you really want to, of course) and such, start your own little company. It's not that hard.

    The most important thing is that you do something that you want to do and that gives you satisfaction. Don't wait for someone else to "employ" you. Take control of you own life. In the end, that's what counts for most of us.
    And it's usually more fun.

    (Oh, btw. don't buy into pyramid-schemes, Get Rich Quick-stuff or MLM. If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.)

  34. Re:Unemployment! by MattBurke · · Score: 2, Interesting

    > I've seen numbers as low as $380 quoted

    Wow! Here in the UK you get £43/week apparently...

    I say apparently, because I applied for JobSeeker's Allowance a few months ago and got turned down because I didn't pay enough National Insurance [~12% tax on your income] 4 years ago when I was a student!

    Since then, I have paid well over £10,000 in NI yet they still won't give me £43/week.

  35. Re:Unemployment! by Genom · · Score: 4, Informative

    Aye, same deal in MA. I think we can do the reporting over the phone as well, but I always just sent in the card they'd send me every two weeks. 3 yes/no questions:

    Did you look for work?
    Were you able and available to work?
    Did you work?

    That's it. If you did work, there were some salary questions as well. If you didn't, it was just those three questions, a signature, and a stamp.

    According to the materials I was sent when I signed up, a "journal" of sorts is required here too. I did this, although I was never asked by anyone for it (it's not like it takes that long to record who you apply to, speak to, etc.. if you're actually looking!). I can see how it would be *very* easy for someone to exploit the system and never look for work at all.

    Up a bit north from here, in NH, the process is a bit different. AFAICT, claimants need to actually meet physically with an Unemployment Office employee every week or two, produce proof that they actually *did* actively look for work, and basically justify their claim.

    IMHO, the NH system seems the better of the two. I'm sure there are loopholes, etc... but it definitely would cut down on claimants looking for a 26-week vacation after being laid off.

  36. Re:Unemployment! by craigeyb · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If you think unemployment is a lot of work, then what is your opinion of employment!

    I was unemployed in TX about a year ago for 4 months, and my impression was that the unemployment offices are so overloaded these days that they're flat out incapable of checking up on most people. The net result for me was that I had to make a single phone call maybe once each week into an automated system verifying that I was still looking for work.

    Mind you, I'm not complaining here. The last thing most people need when unemployed is to waste additional time putting up with The Man.

    --

    Social Contract? I don't remember signing any Social Contract!

  37. Re:Unemployment! by Discopete · · Score: 2, Informative

    I look at unemployment as salary my previous employer didn't pay me.

    Of course here in Arizona I can only get a max of $205 a week (after working for 2.36 years making $600+ a week).

    I also no longer have medical insurance, as the cut-off level for state medical insurance is less than what I get from unemployment.

    So its either starve and get med ins. or eat and dont.

  38. Unemployed because of no openings by LinuxGeek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have traveled to three other states besides my own looking for work. It has been just over a year since I was 'downsized' and things are very tight. Friends that know my capabilities have recommended me to their companies and they have need for more people, but not one is hiring to fill the need. My contact at the unemployment office told me last week that he may be job hunting soon, they are going to have to cut back too.

    I am capable and willing to work, even starting a business of my own. Then I got to watch my savings burn up while every single business I did work for waited months to pay me. If it were just withholding payment for services, that wouldn't have been so bad, but I paid for hardware that they were using. It took me four months to get paid for a couple of large jobs and that was my limit. I closed the business and went job hunting.

    Now I am in the trap of being way over qualified for the advertised openings like roofing labor and convience store clerk. They either don't want someone they know will be gone as soon as the first decent job is offered or they don't want to hire someone that has much more managment experience than they have. Some quirk about not hiring their own successor, go figure. Thanks for letting me know that my previous employer was just providing me with income because of my good looks and not because I was the highest paid technical employee they had.

    --

    Kindness is the language which the deaf can hear and the blind can see. - Mark Twain
  39. Re:Mod me down but... by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I guess I just don't get your problem here.. it's a US-centric website, and this is explained in the FAQ, but you have a problem when a US-centric story is posted and it's not billed as such?

    Where's the logic in bitching about that?

    --
    All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  40. Re:Well it depends on what you do while unemployed by MSBob · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Why does this textbook babble get moderated as "Insightful"? You've just told them what every fucking web job board out there keeps telling people. Improve your skills... blah, blah... take a lower paying job blah, blah... be proactive blah, blah..

    Guess what moron, 100% of those unemployed already do that. And they stand no fucking chance in hell, let me tell you.

    Here's the key to job hunting: "networking"... And not the type involving NICs. My wife couldn't find a job as an accountant for over a year. Until I winced to an influential friend of ours. He made a few calls and the next week the phone started ringing.

    The moral of this is: Rather than learn the next pile of buzzwords, you stand a better chance of getting employed if you play lots of golf. I'm not being nasty just telling you that as a friend.

    --
    Your pizza just the way you ought to have it.
  41. Re:Unemployment! by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 4, Informative

    Yeah, the medical insurance thing to me was a joke. Let's see.. I got that CORBA/COBRA (whatever stupid acronym it is) paperwork that says my medical insurance will be costing me hundreds of dollars a month, obviously not something I can pay on zero income, even with unemployment checks. So then we go check out the state-run medical coverage system (in Washington state, this would be 'Basic Health'), and whee, wouldn't you know it, unemployment counts as income for purposes of eligibility determinations, and I easily surpass the highest program they offer! As you say, eat, or get to see a doctor, but not both.

    And it gets even better. In *every* state, unemployment compensation is taxable, so at the end of the year you owe taxes on any unemployment you were paid (most/all states will deduct 10% of your unemployment for you from each check, but sometimes this is not the default, so you can be stuck with a nice hefty bill come April 15th). Why unemployment is taxable is beyond me, as one elected official once put it, it's like kicking people when they're down, and it's just plain wrong.

    --
    All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  42. Re:Well it depends on what you do while unemployed by nomadic · · Score: 2, Informative

    Irrelevant. It's not just tech jobs that are hard to find, it's ALL jobs. People are fighting over retail jobs at this point. A 40k job working with Windows would be heaven; but even those jobs are insanely hard to find. And every opening will result in HUNDREDS of applications.

  43. Re:Forever unemployed? by Hellkitty · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why is an entry level job like support desk considered aiming lower for a college grad? Sure, it isn't glamorous work, but not so long ago, that's what many college grads had to do - work crap helpdesk jobs for a couple of months to prove themselves. It's not like you came from a $100k+ a year job with 10 years of experience or anything. In a year, maybe it'll be aiming lower. For a recent grad, it's called paying your dues.

  44. Network. by Alioth · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Lots of tech people are long-term unemployed. But some are obviously succeeding.

    When times are tough you have to (and I hate this phrase) "re-invent yourself". During the boom it was sufficient to be a surly technology prima-donna with the social skills of Spock in Star Trek: The Motion Picture.

    Competition is much harder now. Where I live, 18 months ago, there was at least one tech job in the weekly paper each week of the C++/Java type. Currently, there's about one every three months. Our entire national population is only 78,000 so you can imagine that we don't have exactly masses of tech jobs to start with.

    The last two jobs I got weren't advertised. In fact, the jobs didn't even exist - the positions were created.

    What was the secret to my success in getting employers to create a new job for me? Networking. Not the type you do with a NIC and a reel of cat5e (although it ultimately involved quite a bit of that) but going out and socializing, and meeting people who ran businesses or were in charge of IT departments.

    In the current climate you can't sit at home and surf the web/newspaper/have an agency pimp your {CV|resume} - the advertised positions just aren't there. (One agency told me they hadn't seen a tech position in 9 months). You have to go out of the house and get to know people. If you have an interest that many people who run businesses share, that's even better - I'm into flying and I've met many valuable business contacts through the flying club.

    1. Re:Network. by Ranger · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Networking works when you have friends who are employed. If they are out of work too it's kind of difficult to network.

      FYI. I was out of work for 15 months. And now I'm stuck at a call center job. It sucks being chained to a desk, but it's better than living in a cardboard box.

      --
      "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  45. Stop complaining, whiny geeks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    As a *brick and mortar* architect (I read /. because I am conscripted into IT "manager" postition here), I can tell you that other professions have it far worse. We make half the money and are laid off en masse far more regularly than programmers et al. Welcome to the real world.

  46. Re:got an interview today by KDan · · Score: 3, Funny

    You're going for the sysadmin job too? You bastard! You live in the states, right? I'm coming for you from across the pond. That job is for me. You can have one of the two toilet cleaner jobs.

    Daniel

    --
    Carpe Diem
  47. Selection bias by Idarubicin · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Wow, what a useless source of stastistical information. Aside from being Slashdotted at the moment, there is a nasty selection bias associated with these data. Like phone-in polls, this is not a random sample.

    The question we can try to answer is: do people who spend long periods unemployed do so because they waste their time filling out on-line surveys?

    --
    ~Idarubicin
  48. 11 months. by Sonicboom · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Dec 1, 2001 (saturday afternoon) receive FedEx package from employer - I'm laid off. One month of severance.
    Jan 1, 2001 - started collecting unemployment.
    June-August, 2001 - spent EVERY DAY at the beach!
    September 2001 - started looking for a new job - unemployment ran out - started working as a bartender and doorman at local rock club.
    November, 2002 - started new job.

    But over these 11 months I was using Dice, monster, flipdog, etc. to send out resumes - I sent hundreds and hundreds (into the thousands) out - and only recieved a handful of interviews - and fewer job offers. I declined most until I found what I was looking for.

    I think alot of it depends on one's financial situation, and whether or not they have wives and kids - as mouths to feed tend to make one find jobs quicker and make the job seeker a bit less picky.

    --
    [Connection closed by foreign host]
  49. standard deviation is the key by sacrilicious · · Score: 3, Informative
    Statistics often make sense on a demographical scale, but never on an individual scale.

    Untrue.

    If 1000 polled people all indicate that it took them precisely one year (365 days) to find a job, then - assuming good random selection of the sampling pool - there is a statistically strong case that an individual will need one year to find a job. On the other hand if 1000 people indicate it took them on average one year, but their individual times were uniformly distributed between 0 days and 730 days (2x365), then there is a strong case that an individual's experience will be unpredictable... despite the average time being the same.

    The likelihood of a group statistical inference being representative of an individual's experience is encapsulated in the standard deviation. A wide standard deviation indicates low individual correlation, while a narrow std dev suggests that an individual experience would correlate well to the group statistic.

    --
    - First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then ???, then profit.
  50. From the creator of the site. by cosimo · · Score: 4, Informative

    There's been a lot of slamming going on here about this page, what its good for, etc. First off, the url ends in oddtodd just because the idea actually started on the oddtodd forums. Beyond that, it's completely seperate. Yes, I realize the report pages offer little information statistically - at least at this point - I know that comparing one's unemployment and salary There's been some criticism that I don't say that the tables don't mean jack (yet). A few things in my defense - I sent the link to a few yahoo groups. In each of those cases, I pointed that out. It also says so in the help, and up until recently it said so on the main page. I also figured that people have a brain and can figure out that if you are comparing yourself to 7 people.... Anyway, the site's mostly for fun with some statistical stuff being pulled out. IT's a general audience site. Someone here suggested I just list correlation coefficients. Common, would anyone understand it? Finally, it's much harder to calculate correlation coefficients on the fly - simple everyday "I can understand what that means" figures like averages and maximums are much easier and people actually know what they are. Does that mean that I won't try to use the questions for some "real" stats? No, I do plan to, but I'm not able to run SPSS regressions on the fly - mostly cause I wouldn't know where to start to make it work. Anyway, thats it. Comments / thoughts welcome.

  51. Re:anyone can get a job by zzyzx · · Score: 2, Informative

    $9/hr won't pay a lot of people's mortages. Moreover working there takes away your time that you can use to find a better job. Taking Unemployment isn't laziness. It's something you earned by working.

  52. Re:Unemployment! by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 2, Informative

    Something I read recently from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a pretty good arguement (I think) for extending the current unemployment extension for another 3-6 months--

    Looking Back and Looking Forward:
    An Assessment of the Temporary Federal Unemployment Benefits
    Program and the Needs of the Long-term Unemployed

    http://www.cbpp.org/3-5-03ui.htm
    http://www.cbpp.org/3-5-03ui.pdf - Direct link to PDF article

    Basically, comparisons are made between the current extension and previous extensions (the previous ones being the recession of 1991/1992, and the one prior to that in the early 1980's), ranging from how they were implemented to the length of the extensions provided. It shows a history of shorter and shorter unemployment extensions, and that with this latest recession, instead of tieing the end of the extension benefits to the decrease of unemployment figures, they've been hardcoded to specific dates (the 1991/1992 extension, it seems, was legislated such that it would be valid until unemployment percentages dropped back to a specific point).

    Another thing to keep in mind is that there's an entire federal fund set aside for emergency unemployment, and while some might not believe the current situation qualifies, I personally believe it does. There's billions of dollars sitting in this trust/account that can only be used for unemployment extensions, but this Congress/Senate refuses to act on the issue and provide the aid that more and more people (myself included) need to get by. And what makes it worse in my eyes is that instead of helping people out in the short term while providing long term growth, this Congress and Administration seems bent on only implementing tax cuts, and resisting any attempts to extend unemployment.

    What really irks me though, is that they pushed through an extension of unemployment benefits for airline industry workers. Yeah the airlines took a beating after 9/11, but so did a lot of other people. It seems wrong to extend it just for people who were working in profession X but ignore everyone else.

    Anyways, just some food for thought on unemployment, the benefits it can have, and maybe why it should be extended further for those who have run out of options.

    --
    All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  53. Becoming a student (again) by BlueStreak · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I lost my job on Sept 11, 2001 of all days... After almost a year of unemployment, in which I couldn't find a bloody thing, I decided to cut my losses and return to school. I have an electronics diploma (I'm an Electronic Technologist - which is inbetween a technician and an engineer). I'm now doing my comp sci degree.

    What I quickly discovered was that, as a normal unemployed person I was of little interest to companies. Once I became a student I was in high demand! It didn't take me long to find work (regardless of the season though there are distinct hiring times) and I could choose from really good jobs! The reasons why I found work so easily were :
    1) I was much more skilled then the average student (I've got almost 5 years of solid SW development experience).
    2) More importantly: as a student under 25 (I think the max age was raised to 28 now), I could fall under the federal government programs here in Canada where the government would subsidize my salary (it's an incentive for companies to hire students). I don't have to apply for it; my employer handles that.
    3) The Canadian Federal government has a good website to connect students with jobs in the government. Anyone that applies for funding gets their job posted on their website (real jobs! holy @#%$#!). They also have a special program called FSWEP that helps students find jobs in the federal government. What's really cool about it is that they don't want to know what level of experience you have, only the basic skills. When a hiring manager wants to find somebody the program randomly pulls 4-6 names of people that have the basic skills require (i.e. knows MS office, speaks French, knows C++, etc) and they have to hire one of those people. With that program I got 4 calls - many of them for web development. Looking back I should have taken one of those jobs, a part time job, as the websites in question were really big and complex - it would have been interesting (I'm a C/C++ hacker at heart).
    4) I was available for part time working during the school year. Lots of part time jobs during the year! The disadvantage is that it severly effects the time I have to study; I take the minimum amount of courses to be full time. As such, it'll take me 4 years to get my (honours) degree (if I took a full course load I could be done in 2.5-3 years, even less if I took summer courses).

    The work has always been interesting and in my general field. The first place I worked at, a charity, I was writing custom video conferencing software using this nice SDK and accompanying hardware (it was very interesting work). I now work in an IT team in the Federal government, on a project to migrate from Win98 to XP.

    As for pay, there are definite advantages to being a student. First off, since I fall under those government programs, there are guaranteed minimum levels of salary. At the moment I make $15.61 CND per hour ($10.71 US). Next year I can expect to make around $18/hour if I continue in the federal government. The other advantage is that by being in these organizations, I have the proverbial foot in the door (i.e. where I work now I can apply for any internal job postings).

    I think that the biggest advantage of being a student, aside from that fact that I will get the degree I've been desiring for many years (actually I care more about the education then the degree), is that I pay virtually no tax. What I do pay, I will get (virtually) all of it back at tax time!

    I know this isn't an option for everyone but in my case I really wanted to get my degree - everything worked out well. Life is good at the moment.

    BTW, slightly offtopic but one of the HUGE advantages of being unemployed here in Canada is healthcare: it doesn't cost a cent (well, you do pay for drugs but generics are common & cheap). My wife made extensive use of the healthcase system here (got quickly treated by uber-experts for what, at first, appeared to be cancer). If we had to pay anything at all for the treatment she recieved for 3 months (i.e. even 10%), we'd be completely broke and living with my parents. The parking at the hospital, by itself, burnt a significant hole in my pocket!

  54. Re:Unemployment! by hpavc · · Score: 2, Insightful

    he is getting the money that he put into his unemployment fund (aka unemployment insurence). if he works more than a few years he will over contribute to it and he loses that money. (turn your passion toward where that money goes -- all the dollars that employeed people over pay into the system)

    when bush 'extended' the coverage (which is normally done in any recession) the government does shell out cash from taxes into the fund without repayment as some gift. the unemployment fund will repay it if need be.

    that money is there also for people who get their wages reduces. if you were making $50k and then you got reduced to $35k you could get money from your unemployment fund to help out during your changes to assist you.

    --
    members are seeing something, your seeing an ad
  55. masters degree Warning by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Masters? Nahhhh don't do it. I have a Masters and consider myself unemployed since 10/1997.

    Indeed. More education may actually count *against* you because they think you will expect too much in terms of a "challenge" and salary. "Overqualified" is a common expression in this economy. Further, I have heard studies that show that although higher degrees (masters, PhD) make your average earnings a bit higher, they do *not* decrese the amount of time you are unemployed. (Further, the computer industry is different from say chemistry, which does not change as fast. So considering all disciplines may not give full answers for IT people.)

    Maybe get a MBA or something to help make you "one of them", or at least think like them. Making yourself more geeky with a masters in IT will not help your employment situation, I am sorry to say.

  56. yet even more suggestions by KKBaSS · · Score: 2

    Have you tried any of the following yet? (i am sure you have, but it never hurts to check)

    Go check out http://www.jobomagic.com (no this is not spam to some worthless jobsite). It is a huge listing of job websites, just start down the list & setup your profile/agent at each site (then setup your mail filters :P). It is not just a list of US sites, there are UK/HK/CH/etc sites on there, and if you run across other sites that are not listed, submit them. You would not only be helping yourself, you would be helping many others too.

    Make sure your coverletter (which is important, most people dont care for an email with the only thing included is a resume as an attatchment) is up to snuff, & start posting it & your resume site by site. You could even go through the local gold/platinum reseller list from Novell.com, maybe even give microsoft's local reseller list a shot, citrix, etc...just email/hand deliver a copy of your coverletter/resume even if they dont have job openings. At least you would already be on their list when they do decide to start looking for someone new.

    You may even look into becoming a dba (doing business as, like $10 to start), or LLC. Perhaps find some other unemployed IT people in your area that would compliment your skillsets & start a business together, or subcontract to them. Snag a local non-profit & help them, get them going as your company's demo case with all the latest slickest stuff out there and as a show of what you can do. Given time you could have your own consulting business. www.giftsinkind.orghas a great Novell product donation policy, & www.techsoup.org has some other good stuff too.

    Thanks & good luck with the hunt

  57. Re:Fuck Computer Science by Vagary · · Score: 2, Interesting

    According to the media in Canada, business admin degrees are even worse off than technical people. Or at least all the BBAs and Bachelor of Commerce degree holders are finding themselves competing with MBAs. Maybe companies are finally realising that it's better to have employees with actual knowledge...

  58. Re: Interviews with Marvin! by nomadic · · Score: 2, Funny

    You interview with MARVIN -- Michigan Automated Response Voice Interactive Network (or something like that). You dial a 1-800 phone number on a specific day, and a computer asks you the questions an interviewer would ask.

    "I've been ordered to interview you about unemployment insurance. Here I am, brain the size of a planet and they ask me to interview you about unemployment insurance. Call that job satisfaction? 'Cos I don't."

    "Life, loathe it or ignore it, you can't like it."

  59. How can one pay for school? by truthsearch · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I've been considering going back to school full time for my masters also, but there's one big problem: cost. I live in the US and I don't know how I'd be able to afford a masters program with little to no income. Of course I would go after scholarships and such, but they're hard to come by. Financial loans (at least for the schools in my area) can't completely cover tuition for the masters programs. I suppose they're hoping you're working part time. So the question becomes: go for scholarships and financial aid with the risk there won't be a job available after graduation? Plus come out with a huge debt? I don't know...

  60. Re:Unemployment! by JCholewa · · Score: 3, Insightful

    > Try going from $1200/week to only $400/week without losing your home,
    > car, savings, and everything else you've worked your entire life for.

    Wow. I ... wow.

    I know that you have to fund your family, but I've been working for something like a decade and a half (though only half of that has been in my chosen profession), and I'm feeling mildly put out that the unemployment rates being reported by posters seem to be in excess of my salary.

    Damn. I mean, I wish you the best of luck in keeping your family safe and getting back on track, but ... damn.

    -JC

  61. Social Security by luzrek · · Score: 2, Informative
    Actually Social Security Benefits were designed to get people to stop working when jobs were scarce (therefore creating new job openings). Because most working class people didn't have sufficient retirement savings in the 1930's, and jobs were hard to find, the 65+ set wasn't leaving jobs, therefore the 20-40 set couldn't get jobs. By taxing everyone that was working and giving benefits to the 65+ set to stop working jobs were created for the 20-40 set. Social Security is much more like a bribe to your grandfather to get him to give you his job (in theory). Social Security is supposed to be a perimnate lifestyle change.

    The problem with Social Security will occur when the Baby Boom generation retires (unless they seriously raise the minimum age for retirment benefits, to 75 or so). This is because the number of people working vs the number of people drawing benefits will be something like 5 to 1 (or less).

    In contrast unemployment insurance is supposed to be a (very) stopgap measure, and is funded much more through a "banking" type mechanism. Additionally, unemployement insurance (as well as other emergency entitlements) is really aimed at low income people. Wealthier people (persumeably anyone who is maxing out what Unemployement insurance will give you) are supposed to have sufficient savings, and enough "fat" in their lifestyle, so that through some thrift they can make it through a dry spell. Unfortunately, I don't think that many people in late 90's IT industry (or other "boom" markets) saved enough money and the demands on the local economies near the "boom" centers drove the costs of living through the roof so these people never felt rich.

    --

    Galium Arsenide is the material of the future, and always will be.

  62. Re:Unemployment! by DrMaurer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'd say a decent salary would be about 30,000. This is heavily dependant on where you live, of course.

    I live in the Rockford, IL, area. The industrial based economy around here is notoriously sensitive to economic issues around the country. I've had machinist friends laid off, I've been laid off, teachers have been laid off, graphic designers have been laid off, etc. etc. My skill base is wide and relatively in depth, but still, places can name their price, and demand excessive qualifications for miniscule salaries. Examples? See FuckthatJob.com for a few in preferred line of work (web/graphic design). I have a degree, etc. etc., and a decent amount of experience for someone who recently graduated (actually about 2 years ago now).

    I am currently underemployed as a line operator for a nationally known food maker/distributer. (Trust me, you've probably eaten their products before.) I make a little under 20,000 a year, without overtime. I've worked up to 20 hours extra (making about 60 a week) just to make ends meet. Now, because of the fiscal year's imminent demise, earnings at my plant, as all other places it seems, are being inflated by line shut-downs, lay-offs, etc. etc. Not only has my overtime been discontinued, but my line has been closed as well.

    I've been without income for a couple weeks. Luckily, these weeks are the ones without the bills coming in. I think. I've applied for unemployment, but I honestly don't think I qualify. I still send out resumes and applications and so on, and I've gotten two interviews in six months since I've started at my current employer, and those are for internal positions at my plant. I have looked near Chicago and Madison,(WI) and even thought about heading back to school, but my grades the first time around were . . . explainably inconsistant. :-) I had an epiphany, where I suddenly found out that it was important to have a good time with the papers I had to write, and my grades improved, too. Law school was the thought, until I couldn't even afford to take the LSAT.

    I'm glad I have a job, considering, but I haven't been able to pay rent regularly in months, it's been as much as I can for a while. This month doesn't look good either.

    A decent salary is heavily dependant on where you live. There are jobs, yes, but some of them are appalling (telemarketing) or the employers are wanting way overqualified applicants for low-paying jobs because those applicants are desparate. Even after 60 hours a week, I was thinking of getting a second job. My wife won't work because because she wants to stay home with our first child. Obviously, this decision is something I'm against, but I can't force her to get a job.

    In any case, the economy sucks. Tax Cuts might help for now, but who knows in a few years . . . fundimental changes are needed, and the longer I go underemployed, the more radical my politics become about the economy and large corporations. I know I'm not the only one that this is happening to. Being treated like a resource instead of a human is disheartening.

    --
    Dan