Slashdot Mirror


NASA says Columbia Rescue was Possible

nuke-alwin writes "Apparently NASA is saying that a rescue mission may have been possible for the Columbia crew. I first saw this on TV, but Chicago Sun-Times is also reporting the story. The risks would have been great, and may have endangered more astronaut's lives."

70 of 236 comments (clear)

  1. Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda by DarkHand · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda. Lets work on improving our space program instead of sulking over things we COULD have done better.

    1. Re:Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda by smoondog · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think the point is that if a situation like this arises again, NASA can be better prepared to face it and potentially save lives.

      -Sean

    2. Re:Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda by arth1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Forgive me if this is too obvious, but how about a policy change where a space walk exterior inspection is done before a re-entry is attempted?
      The astronauts already complain that few of them get to do space walks, and a visual inspection could be a good opportunity for allowing this.

      What NASA does NOT need at this time is more "overseeing" bureaucrats collecting more data they don't understand, handing it back and forth to avoid personal responsibility and accountability, while not accomplishing more than extra red tape and stacks of meaningless paperwork.
      That's what's going to happen, though.

  2. Hrmm by acehole · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I wonder if push came to shove, how long it would take them to prep an emergency launch for a rescue?

    They could have kept the shuttle up there for 30 days, would that have been enough time to launch a rescue mission?

    --
    Be you Admins? nay, we are but lusers!
    1. Re:Hrmm by Grieveq · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It said on the news last night that Atlantis was already being prepped for a future launch and it would have taken two weeks to finish up the launch procedures.

      Two shuttles in orbit would have been amazing stuff.

    2. Re:Hrmm by harlows_monkeys · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I wonder if push came to shove, how long it would take them to prep an emergency launch for a rescue?

      Better would be not to rush a rescue, but rather rush finding a way to resupply Columbia so it could stay up long enough to wait for a non-rushed rescue.

      With all the military launch capacity, plus various other country's space programs, it would probably not take too long to get something up that could deliver food/water/oxygen and whatever else is needed to keep things going.

    3. Re:Hrmm by amabbi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You forget that the space shuttle is not equipped for such an in-orbit resupply. Sure you can bring up more food, water, oxygen canisters, CO2 scrubbers and what-not, but how about propellant for the maneuvering thrusters? What happens when the fuel cells are bled dry? I doubt those could be easily recharged in orbit, at least without poisoning the crew...

    4. Re:Hrmm by SagSaw · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Which brings up another question: Is NASA's infrastructure even capable of supporting to shuttles flying at once?

      --
      Come test your mettle in the world of Alter Aeon!
    5. Re:Hrmm by Amazing+Quantum+Man · · Score: 2, Funny

      Of course it is! Didn't you see Armageddon?

      --
      Fascism starts when the efficiency of the government becomes more important than the rights of the people.
    6. Re:Hrmm by Magic5Ball · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I understand that they are NOT set up for 2 missions at a time. MC (I've heard) can only handle ONE flight at a time.

      I would hope that they have a redundant mission control facility at some geograpically-different location (in case the active one is rendered unusable), which could serve a second shuttle if necessary.

      --
      There are 1.1... kinds of people.
    7. Re:Hrmm by Joel_in_nola · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Redundant mission control isn't the point. They consider the Russia Space Agencie's mission control to be redundant for the ISS, and they have a few places in the US with LIMITED capabilities to support a shuttle in orbit, but, that's not where the limitation lies. Its all in the telemetry limitations. They don't have the full facilities to support full telemetry from two active shuttles and the ISS. This was initially planned in the original space exploration plan as laid out when the ISS was originally conceived and proposed, but, the evil budget monster chewed lots of this up. So, now, they can support two full feeds, ISS and shuttle, and several partial feeds (stuff like hubble, the Soyuz capsules, launch and repositioning telemtry for various smaller missions) but can't fully support two shuttles and the ISS. Now, this isn't to say that this would have stopped them from flying the mission. If Columbia had been in hibernation mode to keep as much resources for the life support systems and essential systems, it wouldn't have been broadcasting as much telemetry, nor would it all have been needed. You would, however, need every last bit of it from the undermanned rescue vehicle. IMHO, NASA could have pulled off a ship to ship rescue, but, it would have been horribly expensive, risky, and could have potentially resulted in the loss of both ships. Atlantis would have required a night launch with the same kind of external fuel tank in similar launch conditions. The rendevous would have to have been done manually as there would not have been time to build an automated routine for it. Re-entry would have been dicey as at least two of the astronauts would have had to improvise seating arrangements for the trip back, unless they intended to attempt to save Columbia by having two volunteers bring it back in with field repairs.

  3. Whats done is done... by Warthog9 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well NASA at the time didn't think the problem was all that big of a deal to send up a rescue crew, so they didn't.

    And before people start yammering about sending them to the ISS, someone give them a physics book, they couldn't have.

    I hope that NASA learns something (when something falls off a vessle it usually isn't a good sign!!!) and to be a bit more catious in the future. BUT I think they should get right back up on the horse so to speak and keep going. To quote "Enterprise" (and one of their better episodes recently) "If we are ever going to explore deep space we are going to need to take a few risks" and thats the truth of the matter.

    -- It's harder to fly into the sun than out of the galaxy, go figure --

    1. Re:Whats done is done... by carambola5 · · Score: 2, Informative
      And before people start yammering about sending them to the ISS, someone give them a physics book, they couldn't have.

      Well, kind of. A physics book wouldn't do much good, but an Astrodynamics book would. Hell, a geometry book would do better than a straight-up physics book. And here's why:

      Even though the inclination (angle between flight path and equator when passing the equator) and semi-major axis (fancy-talk for altitude under circular orbits) were nearly the same for the Shuttle and the ISS, it is the right ascension of the ascending node (RAAN, or capital Omega) that made this impossible. In layman's terms, this value indicates the longitude (in ECI coordinates...they're similar to your typical longitude, but they don't change with the spinning of the Earth) of when the craft makes its upward pass through the Equator. For the Shuttle and the ISS, these were almost 180 degrees apart. Not exactly ideal for a rendezvous.

      What does this mean? It means that the orbits only intersect at the equator. And the angle of intersection, IIRC, was greater than 85 degrees. The change in velocity for this type of rendezvous is approximately equal to the amount needed to get into orbit. And that's not an amount of fuel you like to keep on a shuttle "just in case."
      --
      IWARS.
      People, in general, disappoint me. Politicians even more so.
  4. WWKD? by Fortyseven · · Score: 5, Funny

    What would Kirk do?

    1. Re:WWKD? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      beam the crew down to the planet? Then kick back and have a couple mai-tai's with some green bitch.

      Man, that guy had it made.

    2. Re:WWKD? by DarkBlackFox · · Score: 2, Funny

      WWKD?

      Get in with some foxy alien chick and forget his crew.

      On a serious note, in light of such tragedy, it's best to learn from mistakes, not dwell on them, and continue to move forward in space exploration. The resources used to determine that a rescue was possible should have been used to aid in getting the space program airborne again.

    3. Re:WWKD? by Chicane-UK · · Score: 5, Funny

      He'd make a plan and he'd follow through.. thats what James T Kirk would do.

      Kaaaahhhhhn!!!!!!

      Sorry :)

      --
      "Hey! Unless this is a nude love-in, get the hell off my property!!"
    4. Re:WWKD? by Happy+go+Lucky · · Score: 2, Funny
      What would Kirk do?

      You! Must not! Watch! South Park! He! Would ask! What! Would! Brian Boitano Do!

      And then! Send! Some extras! In red shirts! Who don't even! appear! in the! closing! credits!

  5. Junk the Shuttle -- and ISS while you're at it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm sure many will disagree, but the cost of the shuttle program is horrendous, and NASA's insistence on using it has led to some cataclysmically stupid decisions. One example: the ISS (which is an utter joke compared to Skylab or Mir) was placed into a rapidly-decaying orbit not because that was a good idea (it isn't) but because the shuttle could get there.

    Most of the satellites that are "launched" by the shuttle suffer from the design constraint that they have to fit into the friggin' bay AND have room for the accompanying boosters that will put them into their real orbit once the shuttle lets them out. Again, the shuttle can't go high enough for real deployment.

    The idea of capturing and reparing satellites is inherently absurd; most aren't where the shuttle can get 'em and the total cost of the program utterly dwarfs the expense that would have been incurred had they said of the Hubble "Well, we screwed it up...build another one and get it right this time."

    The safety record sucks. After Challenger Richard Feynman put the probability of a fatal accident at one in fifty. So far, NASA's on the money and the nature of the shuttle is such that if someone dies, everybody dies.

    Lest I be misunderstood, I understand the romantic and scientific appeal of manned space flight, of the visceral sense of satisfaction we can have as a species when we look up to the skies and say "We live there." I'm a strong proponent of that. I also recognize the complaints that the money spent on that is money not spent on (feeding the hungry, housing the homeless, inoculating the sick, fill in your pet cause). The manned space program is hellishly uneconomical and a great deal of that can be laid at the feet of the shuttle program.

    It's a white elephant without a mission, a bastard child of a spacecraft and an airplane which like most gadgets that try to do two fundamentally different things does neither well. Its payload capacity compared to heavy-lift rockets is a joke, it's barely capable of crawling out of the atmosphere, it's presented a tremendous constraint to the rest of the space program by forcing many missions to be less than they could have been in order to be shuttle-doable, and it bears repeating that every fifty flights it kills everyone on board.

    It's time to ground the shuttle fleet permanently. Space isn't going anywhere. Stop pouring the hundreds of millions of dollars into the shuttle program and pour them into a new design effort. Scrap the silly "space-plane" concept and develop a family of lifters and craft that _can_ be used for many things but don't back NASA into a corner that forces them to use it for all missions. Make crew safety an inherent feature (recognizing that there are tradeoffs and that getting out of the gravity well is a fundamentally dangerous activity). Stop throwing good money after bad on that trinity dies ISS as well, and use the collective resources of the two programs to start over. It's not true that the second design is always better than the first (see again ISS and Mir/Skylab) but you're wise to play those odds.

    Let's do it over. And do it right.

    1. Re:Junk the Shuttle -- and ISS while you're at it. by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 5, Informative

      Satellites are no longer launched by Shuttle.

      Before Challenger they were, Hubble and KH-12 have similar chasis for Shuttle launches, but after the delay from Challenger NRO/NSA/DMA switched to Titan for KH and Lacrosse.

      Commerical sat launches were outlawed by Congress after Challenger and while some recce birds were launched by Shuttle after Challenger, it was due to problems with Delta/Titan which have been fixed and so for the last decade they do the launching.

      Everything now is launched by the Russians, Chinese, Delta, Ariane, Titan, Sealaunch now.

      Nor does Shuttle capture and repair anything anymore but Hubble.

    2. Re:Junk the Shuttle -- and ISS while you're at it. by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The idea of capturing and reparing satellites is inherently absurd

      Yes, it's a rare, rare satellite that would be worth a launch to repair. However, on the off chance a Hubble-situation happened, you don't even need a Shuttle to fix it. It's also possible to spacewalk from an ELV. A nice Titan IV rocket (or whatever improved version we could've made if ELV research wasn't cancelled in favor of the Shuttle) could handle a fine repair crew for 25% the cost of a Shuttle flight. (And with a safer re-entry, too)

    3. Re:Junk the Shuttle -- and ISS while you're at it. by s20451 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      One example: the ISS (which is an utter joke compared to Skylab or Mir) was placed into a rapidly-decaying orbit not because that was a good idea (it isn't) but because the shuttle could get there.

      Skylab was intended for exactly three missions, with no intention of resupply or re-use. The vehicle itself had severe problems -- one solar panel tore off at launch -- which limited its usefulness (the first mission ended up being largely wasted on rescuing the station). Mir was no picnic, either -- there was a major fire, and the collission with a resupply ship. The ISS has, so far, been comparatively problem-free.

      Skylab's orbit was not that high -- roughly 270 miles -- in any case it was launched in 1973 and crashed to Earth only six years later, in 1979. The ISS's current altitude is 242 miles. I can't find any orbital data on Mir, but the space shuttle got there, too, and it didn't take more than a few years to crash back to Earth after maintenance ended.

      Most of the satellites that are "launched" by the shuttle suffer from the design constraint that they have to fit into the friggin' bay AND have room for the accompanying boosters that will put them into their real orbit once the shuttle lets them out. Again, the shuttle can't go high enough for real deployment.

      I don't know what you mean by "real orbit", but the shuttle deployed Hubble at an altitude of 368 miles and has visited it several times since. No current manned vehicle can go much higher than this; and none can reach geosynchronous orbit. Shuttle deployment is not a good idea for commercial satellites, but it makes sense for large, multi-billion-dollar one-shot spacecraft (like Hubble) because if something goes wrong there is an option to bring it back to Earth or do on-orbit repair.

      The safety record sucks.

      The claimed accident rate of one-in-400 is clearly off. The demonstrated accident rate of 2-in-113 is not atypical of comparable launch vehicles, such as Soyuz. It's even more impressive given that the shuttle system is intended to be reusable, while Soyuz is launched new each time.

      It's a white elephant without a mission

      Its mission has been and always will be to service the ISS.

      It's very tempting to look at any complicated system that has problems, and say, "Bah, this is useless, let's start over". The reality is that experience gained using the shuttle and the ISS is crucial to the continued exploitation of space.

      Space flight is a risky business and will continue to be so. There is no guarantee that a new system with untested hardware will be any safer.

      --
      Toronto-area transit rider? Rate your ride.
    4. Re:Junk the Shuttle -- and ISS while you're at it. by Cochonou · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Mir did not exactely "crash back to Earth after maintenance ended". It was intentionally put out of its orbit in order to accelerate the process, and control the re-entry trajectory.

  6. Do we really need to hear this? by Mononoke · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I want to hear what they are going to do next time. I sure as hell don't want to hear that they could have done it this time, but didn't.

    There are an infinite number of things we could have done. Why live in hindsight now?

    --
    NetInfo connection failed for server 127.0.0.1/local
    1. Re:Do we really need to hear this? by Planesdragon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I want to hear what they are going to do next time. I sure as hell don't want to hear that they could have done it this time, but didn't.

      What do you think that they're going to do next time a shuttle is up in space and has possible damage?

      Just about everything that they could have done for Columbia, plus whatever new stuff they change on account of looking at what NASA could have done for Columbia.

  7. They already tried rescues... by Bluesman · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...when Gregory Peck was in charge of NASA. It didn't really work out too well for the astronauts.

    --
    If moderation could change anything, it would be illegal.
  8. and everyone said I was a fool... by John+Harrison · · Score: 4, Interesting
    When the disaster happened I suggested exactly this scenario. Send up another shuttle and use a tether to go from ship to ship. I have worked on the shuttle program and in my experience there wouldn't be a single astronaut that wouldn't volunteer for such a mission, even knowing how dangerous it could be. Of course, everyone cited Ron Dittemore and said that I was wrong, since a rescue was "impossible".

    Administrators didn't want to admit the possiblity of a rescue becuase it makes the decision to not have the shuttle inspected using telescopes look even worse.

    1. Re:and everyone said I was a fool... by small_dick · · Score: 2, Insightful

      IMHO, NASA management went through the exact same stages of denial that they went through with the Challenger orings--with regard to both the foam issues and in the investigation of the foam impact in the days following the launch.

      NASA management knew the orings were charing before Challenger, and they knew falling foam was causing damage to the surface integrity before Columbia.

      The killing off of NASA's failure analysis group in California is also a problem. NASA saved lots of money killing that shop, but in return they got a horribly botched analysis from the inexperienced replacement group in Texas--an analysis that was exactly what management wanted to hear--"There is no problem".

      Accepting that analysis, management then decided no photos were necessary. How convenient. The risk appears low, so stop gathering data. That's some piss poor management. Hear no evil, speak no evil. If you close your eyes, it will all just go away.

      The engineers still have the spirit. In the emails they predicted everything almost exactly as it unfolded. If not for the bumbling management, I have no doubt they could have transformed this from a tragedy to a epic story of rescue.

      There are continuing, endemic, structural, non-trivial management failures at NASA. The US government continues to ignore them at their peril.

      --


      Treatment, not tyranny. End the drug war and free our American POWs.
      See my user info for links.
  9. Possible, but not likely. by SaturnTim · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes, in theory it was possible... But at what risk? How do you no the rescue ship wouldn't have had the same problem on launch? And we will never know if they spy satellites could have seen the damage on the wing...

    And what of the risk of sending a crew up on a mission with zero training for that specific mission? As I understand it, they practice space walks for months ahead of time... The suggest this space walk with no training at all. And rushing another space shuttle into orbit doesn't exactly sound safe.

    Sure, there is a chance they could have saved them. We could also have lost twice as many people.

    Really, this just sounds like a witch hunt, and someone laying the groundwork for lawsuits.

    --T

    --
    http://www.theMediaBunker.com
    1. Re:Possible, but not likely. by jerryasher · · Score: 4, Interesting

      As Admiral Gehman, head of the CAIB noted, we commonly send 120 soldiers in to rescue one downed pilot.

      First we had (on /. and fark) the just-say-go crowd telling us the astronauts sign up for missions, and that they're not heroes, and that because others would sign up for the same exact mission again we should not ground anything (just keep building shuttles I guess), and basically apologizing for NASA and Ron Dittemore.

      Now we have the "at what risk" crowd saying that it would have been too risky, and basically apologizing for NASA and Ron Dittemore.

      NASA and Ron Dittemore had 20 years and 102 flights of warning to think about tile problems, foam problems, tile repair kits, and rescue options.

      Me, I'm with the I love the space program, and I think the most courageous thing a leader at NASA would do, if they are as underfunded as we imagine they are, is to fucking resign, publically, and loudly. If Ron Dittemore, holder of One of the Most Prestigious Leadership Jobs in the World really thinks the shuttle is unsafe or underfunded, then it's his job to resign. If NASA management is such that it rewards employees and managers for saying yes to everything and to always do it with smaller budgets, well, THAT IS an accident waiting to happen and one WE need to fix before the shuttle flies again.

      I don't want to explain to my kids again how NASA management decisions and leadership failed and another shuttle has uh, "had a bad day" (god what a sick euphemism that ran throughout NASA).

  10. Why send another shuttle ? by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 2, Redundant

    I don't know much about space engineering, but wouldn't it have been possible to send one of these russian Soyuz pods they use to supply the ISS ? if I remember correctly, there's also one of these things attached permanently to the space station as an escape pod that can be used if the crew needs to bail out. And even if hatches aren't compatible between a Soyuz and a space shuttle, maybe the crew can spacewalk to it ? surely it's less dicey than docking two shuttles together and risking the lives of two crews instead of just one. Oh and yes, launching a Soyuz is a fraction of the price of a shuttle launch, but that's hardly a consideration in this case.

    --
    "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    1. Re:Why send another shuttle ? by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 2, Informative

      Um, many problems. Primarily, the Columbia had 7 people (and a shuttle can hold more), while a Soyuz just carries 3 (including the pilot who brought it up).

      So it would've taken 4 Soyuz to evacuate the Columbia crew, risking 4 individual pilots. As opposed to the two pilots who could bring a shuttle up (maybe even just one could do it, but NASA'd never try that).

  11. Non news by Evro · · Score: 4, Funny

    "If we had known the thing was going to blow up, we could have sent somebody up to get them."

    Uh, duh?

    --
    rooooar
    1. Re:Non news by dubbreak · · Score: 5, Funny

      Man that reminds me of a classmate in a high school math class:

      teacher: "Now if you turn to page 165.."
      student: "Ah man too bad it wasn't page 163, I turned right to it!!!"

      Geez, and if I knew i was going to be dumped i could have dumped the girl first.. oh wait I read /. I guess i did know it was coming...

      --
      "If you are going through hell, keep going." - Winston Churchill
  12. Pointless Speculation by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 2, Troll

    This sort of thing is easy to do monthes later when we can say, "yea there was a hole and it made the wing fail".

    But at the time there was only evidence of foam falling. NASA could have had a recon sat take a look at Shuttle during an orbit but what if the damage was too small to spot? They couldn't spacewalk out there and examine that point on the Columbia.

    They couldn't have said "Well there might be a hole, stop everything, we'll rush another Shuttle up there and try to do a risky space transfer that's never been done and then leave a 110 ton uncontrolled craft up there to tumble back to earth on it's own."

    What if they'd rushed a second one up and there was a problem because of that rush and two were lost?

    It's tragic, and the energy needs to be spent on fixing the problems with the remaining three and getting replacements.

  13. Risk by moehoward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think I could handle the risking of the lives to attempt the rescue.

    But sadly, and honestly, I would have disagreed with this approach due to the risk to the manned space program. Had both shuttles not returned (which was rather likely, I believe), I don't think we would have returned to space for at least a decade.

    I guess that is a rather confusing/conflicting point of view.

    In general, I'm still rather angry about things like the spy agencies not giving satellite time. This is where the root of the problem lies in our space program (by "our", I mean "man's", not the US's).

    --
    "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
  14. Okkkkay... by TyrranzzX · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So, they are taking heat for the failure, and now we've got the idiots yelling "You COULD have saved them!!!!"...

    This isn't like someone making a huge error, it's a small error. Nasa designs their parts to be probability-tolerent. IE, they build a part, test it 1000 times, figure out how many times it will fail then improve on it. They get their parts down to a 99% fault tolerency and then they put 8 or 9 of them on the shuttle to lessen the chance of them breaking.

    It isn't like the crew didn't know about it and didn't take a look at the damage before re-entry and figure it was minor. Sometimes accidents just happen, miscalculators lead to deaths and we aren't perfect. But you're an idiot for saying that these people are a bunch of dumbnuts for not sending up a shuttle for every little incident.

    The problem with Nasa is that they are low on funding and are run (as in, leaded by, not as in the people donig the work) by a bunch of idiots. This wouldn't have happened if they weren't going up in a 20 year old rickety tin can, and they probably do have the funding to build new shuttles they just waste so much that they don't have the recources to do so.

    Buerocracy is a bitch.

  15. Associated Press leaves out the best bits by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 5, Informative

    The Washington Post gives more details on two plans. The first would involve a launch of Atlantis with a four man skeleton crew to an orbit within 20-30 meters of Columbia and a transfer of the stranded astronauts using spare spacesuits. The second would have two astronauts "don the two space suits aboard their craft and attempt to patch a hole in the left wing using odds and ends, including stainless steel parts, insulation, soft tiles ripped from the side of the shuttle, an ice pack and heat resistant tape."

    1. Re:Associated Press leaves out the best bits by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 4, Funny

      patch a hole in the left wing using odds and ends, including stainless steel parts, insulation, soft tiles ripped from the side of the shuttle, an ice pack and heat resistant tape.

      two or three rolls of duct-tape and it would've been as good as new.

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
  16. WARNING - MATRIX SPOILER!!! by Talisman · · Score: 4, Funny

    DO NOT READ the second to last line of the last paragraph. He snuck in a Matrix spoiler.

    Dirty BASTARD! I HAVEN'T SEEN THE FILM YET!!!!

    Talisman

    --

    "Study your math, kids. Key to the universe." -The Archangel Gabriel
  17. Nice troll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    I have worked on the shuttle program

    as what, a janitor ? since you read slashdot, methink you weren't in the top decisional sphere ...

    1. Re:Nice troll by John+Harrison · · Score: 2, Funny

      I wish I could troll that well. You certainly have trolled me haven't you? I wasn't a janitor and I wasn't a top decision maker either. OK, actually I was a janitor part time since Crip made us clean our own workspaces. You can click on my user page to see some of my qualifications, troll.

  18. Not possible. by AzrealAO · · Score: 5, Informative

    A) Soyuz Capsules have a maximum crew capacity of 3.

    B) Soyuz Capsules have such a severe reentry and landing profile that each crewmember must have a specially designed seat liner to avoid serious injury on landing. ISS Crews take their seat liners up with them on the Shuttle incase they have to use the Soyuz docked there to escape.

    C) Soyuz Capsules don't have an Airlock, they have a simple hatch. So they would have had to depressurize and repressurize the capsule multiple times for the crew transfer. No idea how many repressurizations a Soyuz capsule is rated for, nor if enough consumables are available onboard for multiple repressurizations.

    D) Russia can barely build enough Soyuz capsules to fulfill their current committments. Firing off one (they would have needed 4 due to the 7 member crew and the requirement for at least 1 cosmonaut in each one) would have been technically and physically impossible under the time constraints they were operating under. Even if they DID Have 4 spare Soyuz capsules lying around, it's doubtful they would have had 4 launch vehicles available and able to be prepped and launched in rapid succession.

    Inshort, completely impossible.

  19. Oh no, it may have endangered more astronauts! by Cecil · · Score: 4, Insightful

    People really need to get a grip. These people signed up for this shit. What's with this joy of deciding FOR people "It's dangerous for you, you can't do it" instead of giving them a choice.

    Ask the other astronauts, "We're looking for someone to go up to try and rescue these guys." I doubt one of them would say no, regardless of the danger. They would hope that those other astronauts would do the same for them if the tables were reversed, eh? It's part of the job. Hell, it's part of the human spirit.

    It's not just the space program that they like to enforce "safety" upon, but that's been the clearest indicator recently. All the "oh no it's dangerous can't do it" anal-retentives of the world need to loosen up. Little of the research that has gotten us this far could be classified as "safe". So stop making decisions for others based on their safety.

    There are stupid risks, and then there are just risks. Leave it up to the people whose lives are on the line to decide. Except, of course, if the risk is clearly a very stupid one, you might not want to waste an orbiter on it. That's fair. But to go up to save astronauts from certain death? Yeah, that's worth an orbiter.

    Regardless, other posts are correct -- this is all 20/20 hindsight now. Time to move on. I just wish the lesson learned from this wasn't "Space travel is dangerous, we'd better be much more careful to the point of making everything we're trying to do only marginally useful at best", while all the people who are willing to take risks utterly blow them out of the water.

    1. Re:Oh no, it may have endangered more astronauts! by bethanie · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's all well and good -- I see your point. But it's not just the astronauts' lives and some equipment that will be sacrificed. It's hundreds and hundreds of hours of training and dollars invested in these people. Dollars that come largely from taxpayers. Not to mention public buy-in (both financial and political) to the value of the program

      Here's some pure speculation for you: If every available astronaut would be willing to lay his life on the line to go up in attempt to rescue the others, what level of sacrifice do you think the doomed astronauts would have been willing to make to ensure that the space program would survive a [potential] disaster? Would they have wanted a rescue attempt, given the potential for failure and subsequent [we can assume] abandonment of the space program? Would they really be willing to risk their colleagues' lives in a rescue attempt?

      I would never assume to have the answer to this question, but given the dedication of astronauts to the "cause" of space exploration, it's enough to give me pause to think.

      ....Bethanie....

  20. RTFA by phillymjs · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If the Columbia crew had adopted some serious resource-conservation procedures PDQ, NASA could've had Atlantis prepped and ready to go in time to get them out alive (theoretically, anyway, since a shuttle-to-shuttle rescue is unprecedented).

    However, Atlantis had already entered preparations for its scheduled March 1 launch-- if that had not been the case, Columbia and its crew would in all likelihood have been SOL. Prepping a shuttle for a launch is a tremendous, time-consuming undertaking, and it's not something you can cut corners on even if there is a "gotta get it up there quick" type situation. Perhaps they could institute round-the-clock operations via multiple shifts, but I don't know if they have enough qualified workers to be able to handle something like that.

    Also keep in mind that hastily laying on a rescue launch increases the chance of something going catastrophically wrong on that mission. If NASA lost a second shuttle while trying to save the crew of a stuck-in-orbit first shuttle that would then be destroyed on re-entry, confidence in the space program would plummet. Congress would yank even more funding from NASA, and they might as well just deorbit the ISS a few days later-- maybe we could all get a free taco out of it this time.

    ~Philly

    1. Re:RTFA by mlyle · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Several US ICBM systems are ready for "combat orbital" missions of various kinds. With several tries, they could be used to bring up consumables of various kinds (CO2 scrubbing canisters, food, water, blankets)...

      When the fuel cells on the Shuttle run out, large amounts of the shuttle's equipment would be destroyed by the cold. The inside of the shuttle would likely settle down to -20 or -30 degrees.. but it would be possible to stretch things a couple more weeks while a rescue plan was developed.

      There is also the possibility that the shuttle could have survived if additional measures were taken. "cold soaking" the bottom of the shuttle (changing orientation so that the bottom and leading edges dissipate their heat, instead of being pre-warmed by the sun) could delay peak heating by a couple of minutes.. and getting rid of weight of all forms lowers the amount of kinetic and potential energy to dissipate. It's possible such measures could have gotten Columbia down to a safe bailout altitude.

      The conclusion? NASA has major cultural issues that prevented risks from being properly assessed-- similar to the cultural issues that prevented the concerns of Thiokol engineers from preventing the Challenger disaster. If imagery had been acquired and had shown that Columbia was mortally wounded, I think there's a 70-80% chance that the Columbia astronauts could have been rescued.

      The whole attitude of "well, that wasn't how it was designed to work, but we got away with it once so it's safe" has gotta stop. Safety in a complex system like a manned space vehicle comes from a high level of vigilance and not tolerating any deviations from spec without a TON of analysis and understanding.

  21. Everyone assumed too much by fname · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I never bought that a rescue mission wasn't possible. If they knew that Columbia would burn up, they would've found a solution. 1,000,000 engineers across the country, including all 10,000+ Aerospace engineers in this country would have been working on solutions. We would've figured it out, and it would have been much more clever than the limited scenario they have reightfully been exploring.

    Basically, all the engineers did their jobs, but they were making assumptions about how others would do their jobs, and what the options were.

    One team analyzed the foam impact. They didn't think it would be serious, but there was some uncertainty. In general, rocket engineers, especially those working for NASA and the Air Force, are paid to make conservative analyses and decisions. So, if they were operating in a vacuum, the engineers would likely have requested better test data on foam impact of different parts, and better assessment of the damage.

    Now, these engineers believed that getting better foam impact test data was unlikely. So they didn't ask for it. They had already made the 1st assessment that it was OK (based on un-wetted foam hitting tiles), even though they probably knew this wasn't a conservative analysis. So they asked for photos, to improve their assessment. Someone at NASA decided photos were not necessary since the intial analysis made it look like Columbia was OK. Plus, these managers assumed that the photographs would not be helpful, but that was based on 1) capabilities of a few years ago, and 2) probably what was unclassified; could an NRO spy satellite have taken pictures? Plus, the NASA manager has it in his head that a rescue is impossible anyways, so why push the issue?

    I also wonder whether the foam-impact engineers knew about the piece that detached? Probably not. I'm sure someone had all the info, but it probably sounded like, "The foam impact analysis said there was no problem. Therefore this object is probably just ice."

    And the point CAIB keeps hitting on, NASA got comfortable with risks b/c they turned out to be OK. But when you aim for 99.9% reliability, it should preclude using flight history to clear anomalies until the anomaly has occured 1000 times. NASA should've always been looking at objects neat STS.

    All in all, it's a tough nut to crack. It took a lot to bring down Columbia, a sequence of events that took over 2 weeks to play out. Like Apollo 1, the biggest failure was probably a lack of imagination, and not realizing what our capabilities really are. The Shuttle is a true engineering marvel, on par with the great construction projects, and light-years ahead of any Stealth bomber (which cost almost as much as a shuttle!), aircraft carrier, dumb booster or any race car. The shuttle is a global asset, and the improvements we make to it will reep rewards for decades to come.

  22. Nice for a movie plot, but... by bethanie · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Do you really think there's someone at a high enough level at NASA (or anywhere, for that matter) who would have had the brass cajones (that's "brass balls" for you gringos) to take accountability for approving such a rescue mission? If a rescue were successful, he'd have to answer to the bean counters and outrage over having risked *two* crews. And if it weren't....

    ...Bethanie....

  23. CYA, etc by Alien54 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Looks like a lot of the attitude in senior Nasa management is CYA, very fractionalized, and subject to infighting. This inherently leads to less of a team spirit, and less of a commitment to the guys in the sky.

    The right stuff and can-do attitude of the early days has been replaced by bureaucrats. Which, as you seen, can cost people their lives. As you can see here, shuttle rescues used to be part of the nasa planning process.

    Of courser there is this question as well

    • The part they and other safety experts were most concerned about is a rushed launch of Atlantis, especially given the fact that it would have to fly with the known problem that foam debris from the external tank dealt a severe blow to Columbia's heat shield.

      "What's to stop you from having the same damage to Atlantis? You're basically throwing the dice," Thagard said.

    --
    "It is a greater offense to steal men's labor, than their clothes"
  24. exploration vs. media hype by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Would have, could have, should have .... come on ... going out into space means that from time to time things may go wrong. It's exploration of space, what do you expect? That it is easy? That everyone will always return home safely? Mankind has hardly taken any step 'out there' and if every accident results in such a media hype and discussions about funding and stuff, you may ask yourself where the exploring attitude of your ancestors has gone. Do the best you can possibly do to avoid accidents, you want your people to return to tell the story, but if something goes all wrong, accept that this is the price you sometimes have to pay and learn from it. It's about exploration, not about 'handling the media'. Are the media really able to understand what exploration is about in the first place?

  25. Stop Blaming NASA by Zerbey · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I keep seeing posts and news reports blaming NASA for not sending out a rescue. Read the articles people, get informed! If NASA had known the problem really was as bad as it turned out you can bet they would have put every person they could find on getting that crew home alive. Remember Apollo 13? It would have been the same scenario.

  26. Could have been Much Worse. by rodney+dill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ... AND we could have had two damaged shuttles in the air at one time because at the time we didn't have a clue as to what went wrong with the first one.


    Though, the risk taker in me says we should've tried it if we had time to make a rescue attempt.

    I'm also on board with the group that says, lets make improvements and move forward. I wish they had made the decision to take long range pictures, even if they couldn't have saved the Columbia. That information could've provided the needed piece to save future shuttle crews. Though it would've torn up the American public to know we had a shuttle that was lost before the fact.

    --

    Use your head, can't you, use your head,
    You're on earth, there's no cure for that
    - S. Beckett
  27. Missing a key step by inbox · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think a key step is being overlooked here. Before a rescue mission is considered and planned, you have to have something to rescue. Remember, nobody at the time knew for a fact that there was a problem.

    From what I understood, even if the foam issue had been investigated, no damage would have been seen. Missing tiles could not have been seen by a telescope or any other long-range imaging mechanism.

    The *only* way they could have determined there was a problem was with a space walk and that wasn't possible because they didn't have the equipment.

    We're now talking about sending an entire shuttle up just to *check* to see if some foam hit the wing, not to rescue a shuttle with a known problem.

    Is there really any doubt that yes, *something* could have been done if the outcome we now are aware of was known? Of course NASA would have tried to prevent it. But the fact remains that there was no known problem. We shouldn't be worried about whether a rescue mission could have been created, we should be worried about how could the actual damage have been more accurately assessed!

  28. Risks Schmisks by thelizman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    An overwhelming majority of US astronauts are ex-military types. To talk about risks...these guys would gladly bear the likelyhood of their own death if it meant the possibility of saving another. I know guys who risked their lives in combat to recover corpses - dead bodies - simply because the hunk of unrecognizable flesh they were dragging back was a fellow solider/marine/airman. If a rescue mission had been organized, and volunteers asked for, you would have had no shortage of schmoes ready to hang it out on the line.

  29. Put a second crew in jeopardy? by John3 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Wouldn't NASA wait to determine the cause of the problem before launching a second crew into space? What if Atlantis gets up there and discovers "Hey, same thing happened to us...can you send ANOTHER rescue ship?". It took several weeks just to start narrowing down the cause from all the theories, and even now that they have plenty of info NASA still isn't sending shuttles up into space.

    --
    "We make our world significant by the courage of our questions and by the depth of our answers." Carl Sagan
    1. Re:Put a second crew in jeopardy? by Horny+Smurf · · Score: 3, Informative
      I think NASA is saying, "we do/did have the capability to send a rescue mission". IF they had realized the wing was damaged due to debris/loose tiles/etc on day 1, it wouldn't be hard to avoid repeating the situation.

      As it was, they didn't realize the wing was damaged (or the severity of the damage) until it was too late, and the accident investigation is still continuing.

  30. Soyuz as emergency vehicle by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 2, Interesting

    That's where it would be handy to have a traditional space capsule on standby. Of course, given the fact they can only fit three people max, it would require three launches, or a single launch vehicle with three capsules. The capsules would then be able to dock with the shuttle to let everyone out and would then return to Earth as the Soyuz does. This is a knee jerk idea, so there are probably limiting factors that I have not taken into account.

    BTW does anyone know what the minimum crew required to fly a shuttle?

    --
    Jumpstart the tartan drive.
  31. Re:How stupid. by Dosco+Jones · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Basic orbital mechanics: 1. Soyuz can't reach the orbit Columbia was in. 2. Columbia didn't have enough fuel to make it to the ISS. The only possible rescue solution was Atlantis.

  32. NASA did *worse* than not even try by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting
    They just read one assessment that concluded "probably nothing happened."

    Then they proactively squashed any attempts to get actual pictures of the shuttle after the debris hit on launch.

    I sure hope to hell we find out the name of the official who prevented the taking of photos of Columbia - because it's not enough for that dolt to have to live with tha decision the rest of his life. Everyone on the planet needs to know that he was such a fucking moron that he didn't even want to look and therefore doomed seven people to certain death.

    That's the crime here - people at NASA undertook active efforts to keep themselves in the dark. That's utterly inexcusable.

    1. Re:NASA did *worse* than not even try by nlinecomputers · · Score: 4, Insightful

      True but to not even try was irresponsible and according to reports an attemp to do so was asked for and then called off. I do not understand the logic of THAT at all. They gave the excuse that "we tried to use those assests before and failed to get good results" Sorry that line is bogus. During the Joh Glenn mission they tried and didn't get good results but during the first mission of Columbia they got good photos and her last mission's orbit was simular to this one if I recall correctly so the same assets could have been used on this mission.

      Who killed the attempt at photos and why? That is the question I have been asking for 3 months.

      Also the board has now allready recommeded to NASA that ALL shuttles be photographed as SOP from now on. If it so lousy a method why bother to require it?

      --
      Slashdot, home of supporters of free software, free music, and free speech.Except for Moderators that disagree with you.
  33. Re:I know they were volunteers, but... by Warin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Thats just brilliant!

    You are making the assumption that NASA knew the shuttle was going to suffer a catastrophic failure on re-entry. Other than some speculation by some NASA engineers, I havent seen any definitive proof that NASA was negligent.

    Space travel is dangerous and accidents happen. I am not saying that should exclude people from taking responsibility, but it also means that we cant suggest letting people take baseball bats to men and women who lost their friends in an accident because we assume they played fast and loose with facts.

  34. In related news..... by Darth_brooks · · Score: 3, Insightful

    thousands may have survived the sinking of the Titanic if only the outcome had been different.....

    Really now. Let's all play the "what if" game. What if they'd sent another shuttle? What if they'd looked at spy sat. images? What if a race of friendly aliens repaired the shuttle the erased the memories of those aboard? What if we could have sent Bruce Willis up there with a team of loveable hacks? You know what? None of that happened, and Columbia is still sitting in pieces. Deal with it. Establish what went wrong, do your best to ensure it doesn't happen again, and move on with the space program.

    I'm just glad we've got experts in the media that can press home the fact that they're smarter than those in charge. "Hey, let's make NASA acknolwedge the fact that there was a super slim chance of possibly rescuing those poor, departed ratings....er...heros"

    --
    There are some people that if they don't know, you can't tell 'em.
  35. Re:Learning from Star Wars by jussikin · · Score: 3, Informative

    The camera idea is neat. Just toss 10 or more of those spycameras sold on so many spam mails out shutles porthole. Turn shutle around and watch from TV-set if there is tiles missing or some other damage. Cheap solution preventing this kind of disaster happening un-noticed again.

    --
    jk
  36. That is assuming they knew... by sllim · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Someone said 'Whats done is done'.
    I agree with that sentiment. We are in the 'Find problem, fix it and move on' stage and backtracking does nothing.

    However since the subject was brought up, I have the thought of how could they have known?

    Okay we have said that technicaly it was feasible to rescue.

    Let's say we get into a time machine and go back to Janurary and try to convince NASA that something is very, very wrong and they need to start prepping Atlantis.
    Even if you could show those officials your time machine and convince them you are who you say you are they are still not going to do it without absolute proof that Columbia is in a bad, bad way.

    Did we have a system available to us in Janurary to assess the damage properly?

    Having an astronaut do an EVA with one of those jet packs they got is a serious step. It is very possible it would end up with the astronaut doing that 'dying' thing that they all try to avoid.
    So you can't simply throw that out. Once again you have to have serious suspicions that you can back up before you go that step. I would say that is the last step before prepping Atlantis.

    I remember this as a huge debate directly after the crash. I remember being thoroughly unsold on if we could have figured it out.

  37. Re:Yep, resupply was possible. by SEWilco · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I also noticed that the rescue plans seem to not include Russian and ISS resources, only NASA resources.

    The Progress which was sent to ISS could have reached Columbia. Columbia was in a lower orbit, and I'm sure the Progress launch rocket was not built for a specific orbit and could have been reprogrammed for the Columbia orbit. I don't know how easily the payload could have been replaced, but if Columbia was waiting in orbit for a month there should have been time to change Progress payloads. A Progress is not built for reentry, so could only carry supplies -- although perhaps also repair parts.

    The astronauts were wearing their emergency spacesuits, so everyone did have a suit. I don't know how long those can be used for EVA. Someone would have had to go look at the damage. Someone would have had to get the first batch of supplies from Progress. That first batch could include supplies for more suit time (I assume not a full EVA suit and thruster pack), so the rest of the supplies could be retrieved. Whether the supplies would have replenishment or repair equipment depends upon what was found to be needed and could fit.

    ISS was too far for Columbia to reach. I'm sure Progress could not carry enough fuel to push Columbia toward ISS (whether by using Progress as a tug or refueling Columbia -- and I doubt the fuel tanks were designed for fueling in space). ISS did have its "lifeboat" Soyuz. Perhaps that lifeboat could have reached Columbia. A Soyuz probably does not have enough fuel to quickly alter orbit to Columbia, but there would have been a month to loop around the Earth and/or Moon to change orbits with minimal fuel. Another possibility would have been to have Progress bring Soyuz fuel to ISS so Soyuz could reach Columbia.

    The Progress on ISS was full of trash. It could have been refilled, but probably could not reach Columbia anyway.

    A Soyuz is designed for 3 people, and 7 were aboard Columbia. I'm sure if Columbia were known to be fatally damaged, all the people who could fit in a Soyuz would try to return. If a Soyuz reached Columbia, although it definitely could rescue three people I suspect that any three would prefer to risk themselves in trying to rescue others than to go in safety.

    • The April Soyuz could carry 3, or could have been modified before launch with seats for however many would try.
      Maybe the Soyuz which was launched in April could have been launched with one of the world's rockets. Maybe the scheduled Russian launcher, maybe welded to something else.
    • The ISS lifeboat Soyuz perhaps could have reached Columbia.
      If the onboard fuel could not reach Columbia, perhaps the Progress could have brought fuel and an extra seat for an attempt at rescuing the other 4.

    There are riskier possibilities which would be less likely to succeed.

    • Soyuz Tugboats. Push the ISS Soyuz with other craft. I think ISS had its previous Progress attached during the Columbia flight, so two Progress vehicles could have been near ISS. If the lifeboat Soyuz could not carry enough fuel to reach Columbia, perhaps it could first be pushed by one or both Progress (particularly if the second Progress was modified on the ground to carry more fuel). There are other craft in orbit, but probably few could change orbit enough to help. Perhaps there were satellite launch vehicles on the ground which could be tossed up in proper orbits to help push (a satellite with a geosync booster has a lot of push in it).

    Columbia Tugboats. Columbia is heavy. The only place where it could be pushed for rescue would be ISS, which was in a higher and different orbit. Maybe geosync boosters could have helped, but I doubt there are enough available. I don't think pushing Columbia so the ISS lifeboat could reach is possible nor would it make sense, as pushing the lifeboat is easier.

    Tether tricks. If there is something like a rope on Columbia, put someone on the end of it. Spin Columbia. Release to toss them toward ISS. Catch

  38. Re:Learning from Star Wars by RetiredMidn · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Lifeboats. Why doesn't the shuttle have them?

    Two reasons (off the top of my head):

    - Parasitic cost vs. benefit; such an escape system would consume a lot of weight and space and compromise every mission, against the chance that they MIGHT be needed.

    - Effectiveness: they would only be useful in an emergency where the crew knew there was a problem and had enough time to get the shuttle into a configuration where they might work.

    Why don't airliners carry an escape pod for every passenger?

  39. The Right Stuff by BCW2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    After reading most of the comments below I have to say it. If a rescue had been attempted, NASA would have needed guards to keep the Astronauts in line to apply for it. The military ones have a code of honor about not leaving anyone behind. The article stated that they would have been knocking down the doors to get the job, "and it's true". Men like John Young and Robert Crippen are still around. I met them both when the shuttle landed at White Sands, NM. I think it was the third suttle flight. They are retired but that caliber of person is still around throughout the Astronaut Corps.

    --
    Professional Politicians are not the solution, they ARE the problem.
  40. Re:Yep, resupply was possible. by Joel_in_nola · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I also believe that Columbia hade VERY limited rendezvous capabilities on its own. No EVA suits and no arm. The only other possibilities for getting things to columbia were in an arian rocket that was in the early to mid stages of prep work for a launch (though, I think that is was suffering from some sort of budgetary hangup). Japan had the capability of launching a light payload in about two weeks notice. Russia is in no position to change what their progress or soyuz were going to do. China, though quite secretive, is believed to have the capability of putting a medium weight payload in Columbia's vicinity in a three week window, though, that's largely speculation. We do know fer certain that they are pressing hard for their own manned space program. It would have been a massive coup for them to have mounted a resupply mission with their first space flight. About the only other possibilities were classified military assets, but the airforce doesn't use their own facility much and likely didn't have anything prepped. I also believe that Boeing and its partners have a prototype ready to go for a test launch for their commercial program, but, it is virtually mothballed due to the global economy. Also, I believe that it is the sea launched system that I read about a while back and would have taken almost a month to get into position. In the end, there just isn't a whole lot out there to help these guys out aside from a drastic crash course in re-outfitting an ICBM, and that's just plain crazy talk.

  41. Re:safe bailout altitude by mlyle · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yah, and the descent rate is very high because the "wings" don't provide a very good Cl/Cd at the speeds and angles of attack that the shuttle flies.

    Still, bailout at 10,000 feet is conceivable with the systems as they exist. The main reason for a bailout as opposed to a controlled landing is it's likely that the landing gear would fail to deploy; and at the landing speeds and loads the shuttle experiences, lacking a gear on landing would definitely be LOCV (loss of crew and vehicle).

    It's too bad that there are a few things that lack computer control in the shuttle, like the landing gear (ostensibly for safety reasons). Sure, the computer flying all the way to the ground is probably a little less reliable than a human pilot; but t makes the bailout call a lot easier to make, if you know that the vehicle will try and land itself with a high probability of success.