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Request for Cosmic Collision Insurance

HobbySpacer writes "According to this article a group of distinguished citizens has sent an open letter to Congress, the President, and other world leaders to request that they begin a serious program to protect the planet from the possible impact of a comet or asteroid. The petitioners include Freeman Dyson, Apollo 17 astronaut Harrison Schmitt, Neil Tyson (Director of the Hayden Planetarium) and others. They say that for "the first time in human history, we have the potential to protect ourselves from a catastrophe of truly cosmic proportions." A three phase program is urged that includes detection, exploration, and contingency planning. See the full letter at www.CongressNEOaction.org"

68 comments

  1. Cosmic Collision Insurance? by Randolpho · · Score: 1

    Imagine the premiums!

    --
    "Times have not become more violent. They have just become more televised."
    -Marilyn Manson
    1. Re:Cosmic Collision Insurance? by wolf- · · Score: 0

      Shoot.

      Thanks to terrorism, my 1 million dollar liability policy went from $170 a year to $700 a year. Yeah, my risk of messing up someones computers increased because a couple of airplanes crashed.

      The best part is, I'm NOT liable for delays caused by 3rd parties. Its in the contracts. I'm not liable for damages caused by 3rd parties.

      Oh, yeah, my auto insurance went up. I got older, didnt have an accident, but my premium went up. Why? Because allstate wants to recoup losses from other divisions and underwritings.

      Oh yeah, and the uninsured motorist premium went up. Hell yeah! Now I'm paying MORE to cover those that ARENT paying. Uninsured and you hit me, welcome to indentured servitude I say. You, your children, your momma. I need a maid and a gardner for free.

      And now a few eggheads are worried about a rock killing us all. Jeez. They should be more worried about stepping off the curb and getting hit by a bus. Where is MY "dont get hit by a bus insurance"??? That $1 million a year could feed a lot of hungry americans. Wait, that $1 million a year could be used for someone elses pork barrel project.

      --
      ----- LoboSoft specializes in Digital Language Lab
    2. Re:Cosmic Collision Insurance? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      I was with you right up until the last paragraph. "Eggheads"? It's because of "eggheads" that you have cars, computers, and airplanes (and, incidentally, because of "pork-barrel projects" costing considerably more than $1 million, that these things are useful tools instead of interesting toys). Until you learn not to slur people based on their intelligence, don't expect intelligent people to take seriously anything you have to say.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    3. Re:Cosmic Collision Insurance? by WTFmonkey · · Score: 1, Funny

      Easy there, egghead.

  2. Harrumph... by jo42 · · Score: 0
    What makes them think that humanity is worth preserving from a cosmic event?

    Just look at the addle-brained mung-heads killing themselves in the middle east - for what?

    Or the buttwipe driving his SUV down the highway at 100 MPH, flapping his gums on a cell phone?

    There are many, many more examples of the uselessness of the human race in general.

    Pffht.

    1. Re:Harrumph... by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      Yeah, the human race doesn't deserve to survive! All those scum-sucking greedy gasbags who -

      ??

      Oh...

      Wait...

      What'd you say? That includes me?

      Well, um...in that case....

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    2. Re:Harrumph... by Patrik_AKA_RedX · · Score: 1

      If humanity is so useless, why wasting a perfectly good astroid on it? No serieus, give this species some time to mature. They are still in a early fase of social evolution and in perhaps a few centuries, they might grow up.

    3. Re:Harrumph... by HBI · · Score: 1

      Or how about the people who make value judgements based on their own personal biases and extend that to invalidate the entire human experience, except for themselves?

      Definitely useless and not worth preserving.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
    4. Re:Harrumph... by Wolfrider · · Score: 1

      --I'll give you an AMEN to that, bro. Too many a--holes in the world.

      --
      .
      == WolfriderV6 == I'm willing to admit that *I just might* be wrong... Are you??
  3. Affordable coverage, available today! by JUSTONEMORELATTE · · Score: 4, Funny

    For a one-time premium of only US$1,000, I will grant a US$1.5Million policy to anyone who wants one -- NOBODY TURNED DOWN!!
    The policy will pay out, in full, to anyone whose species becomes extinct as a result of catastrophic collision with any celestial body.
    Some of my competitors will only cover comets, excluding asteroids. Others may cover alien invasions, but exclude comets. I cover any celestial catastrophic event that causes the extinction of your species, and I pay cash!

    --

    1. Re:Affordable coverage, available today! by wolf- · · Score: 1

      I wish I had mod points today.
      That was truly funny.

      --
      ----- LoboSoft specializes in Digital Language Lab
    2. Re:Affordable coverage, available today! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      huzzaz! I'll take two!

    3. Re:Affordable coverage, available today! by soft_guy · · Score: 1

      I've got power of attorney for several animals on the endangered species list that live in areas often hit by small meteors.

      Where can I sign up?

      --
      Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
  4. I read th letter and ... by Arthaed · · Score: 5, Funny

    I think they are implying that the US plan of having a group of oil rig drillers ready to go, won't save us ...

    --
    Unique signatures are rare.
    1. Re:I read th letter and ... by RedWolves2 · · Score: 1

      Yeah Bruce Willis is getting old and Ben Afflec is with Jenny and she probably won't let him go any farther then the block.

  5. Unlikely to Happen by Raghead · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Humans seem to be unable to comprehend the need for action in this kind of low probability/extremely devasting situation. Nobody living has seen anything like this kind of catastrophe, so the public won't relate to it even if they hear about it. Our leaders don't grasp that a very low probability just means that given a long enough timeframe, the event will still likely occur.

    1. Re:Unlikely to Happen by 74Carlton · · Score: 1

      Um, gosh, I thought that was the US rational for going into Iraq the way they did. Low probability/massive destruction. They sold it to the public that time....

  6. Insurance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We need insurance from him first and foremost. Everything else can wait!

  7. Why stop there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And without delay we should start thinking about insurance against the sun blowing up. .. ah wait, who the beneficiaries would be.

    1. Re:Why stop there by kramer2718 · · Score: 1

      Actually, we can start working on that "insurance" right now by researching space travel as much as we can so that when the sun does die, we can move on to another star system.

      Sure it seems far fetched, but that will be millions of years from now.

  8. Dept. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From the Do-They-Know-Something-We-Don't Dept.

  9. the sky is falling!? the sky is falling?! by flowerbear · · Score: 2, Interesting

    about 20 years ago i read a blurb in the newspaper where this man slipped on his front poarch and fell into his rosebush and somehow a branch went into his throat and he choaked to death. a very unusual occurence to say the least. but i think this is more likely(no i did not crunch the numbers) than someone or vast numbers being killed by outerspace junk crashing to earth and causing wide spread destruction. i think we should spend our resourses on things like aides in africa. dealing with lost nuclear weapons or stupid politicians going to war and invading sovereign nations wasting billions of dollars and causing vast destruction for some asinine reason that no one understands. it seems to me when 5000 kids die everyday from diarrhea for lack of clean water and a couple of dollars worth of antibiotics then should we really spend a lot of resources on a possible cataclysm from space? let us face it--a million years from now the human race will be extinct--whether any life in existence then is our ancestors or not doesn't concern me very much. let us pass this ecosphere onto our children in better shape than we inherited it from our partents and let chicken little worry about the sky falling!

    --
    flowerbear adrift on a sea of confusion since 1958 flowerbear@phreaker.net FORTRAN programers don't eat quiche!!
    1. Re:the sky is falling!? the sky is falling?! by isorox · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      I dont care if 5000 kids in africa die. I dont care if 5000 kids in america die. I do care if 6,300,000,000 people die. The entire acomlishments of mankind, gone in an instant.

      Asteroid defence will have similar benefits as when they designed a computer network to survive a nuclear war, well, it should have anyway. Bush has just given Billions of american taxpayers dollars to help Africa, but ultimatly, Africa is what Africa does, it's overpopulated, full of warlords that spend 10%+ of their GDP on the military (by comparrison the U.S. spends 3%, slightly above average for the world), and isnt a great place to live. While they keep bringing 10 kids into a country where theres plenty of food, but no way to distribute it because of the lack of security, the problems will continue. Money doesnt solve everything, and the only quick fix solution to africa's problems would be the U.S (or a western alliance) taking over pretty much the entire continent. The only mid-term solution to Africa is golbalisation, but you probably dont like that either.

      Saying "dont spend a penny on space until we fix things down here" is a stupid, short sighted and down-right ignorant as certain groups saying "dont give oversea's aid, spend it on social security instead".

    2. Re:the sky is falling!? the sky is falling?! by xagon7 · · Score: 1

      Damn straight.

    3. Re:the sky is falling!? the sky is falling?! by hondo77 · · Score: 1

      If an asteroid falls in the woods and nothing is alive afterwards, did it make a noise?

      Sorry. Stress at home...

      --
      I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
  10. Colonisation is the way by Smartcowboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you want to make the humanity safe, the best way is the colonisation of another planet. This way, the destruction of one planet will not destroy humanity. In the long run, this is the only way. Sooner or later, an asteroid gonna fail on our heads. Colonisation protects humanity against most major threat.

    Of course, colonisation will not protect individual who will always face the same probability of asteroid, nuclear weapons, ect no matter how many planets we can colonise.

    1. Re:Colonisation is the way by dpilot · · Score: 1

      The real deal is that NEO Deflection and Colonization are not mutually exclusive, and actually help each other. Both call for advancements in launch capability and capacity, and increased orbital infrastructure. For that matter, since NEO Deflection is best done as far in advance as possible, one NEO system, with a little extra compute power, could give coverage to Earth, Moon, and Mars as well as followers of Gerard O'Neill.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    2. Re:Colonisation is the way by Beliskner · · Score: 1
      Of course, colonisation will not protect individual who will always face the same probability of asteroid, nuclear weapons, ect no matter how many planets we can colonise.
      And so we wish to spread ourselves to another planet, like the collective will of bacteria in an isolated petry dish. And yet we believe ourselves to be above amoeba; and amoeba believe themselves to be above plankton. Who will our vector be - a mechanical spacecraft?
      --
      A caveman dreams of being us, the incalculable power and riches. We dream of being Q, then what?
    3. Re:Colonisation is the way by kinnell · · Score: 1
      This way, the destruction of one planet will not destroy humanity

      Maybe not, but it'll destroy all my stuff. I say bring on the nuclear particle disintegration ray weapons.

      --
      If I seem short sighted, it is because I stand on the shoulders of midgets
    4. Re:Colonisation is the way by caquillo · · Score: 1

      What you're assuming is that the most dangerous thing to us is a comet or asteroid, while the slashdot poll that you link to clearly shows that .Net is a much bigger threat than any of those. Colonization of other planets may delay the spread of .Net, but like any virus, so long as there is traffic between the planets, .Net and it's descendants will always manage to infect the populous.

      --
      Nothing Dead Here.
    5. Re:Colonisation is the way by balloonhead · · Score: 1
      No, you've got your maths all wrong. If we colonise another planet, then we are twice as likely to get our planet hit by an asteroid.


      Obviously we need to colonise less planets. If we can limit ourselves to a fraction of a planet, or a really small moon, we will be much safer.


      Read it and weep, dipshit.

      --
      This idea was invented by Shampoo.
    6. Re:Colonisation is the way by mazarin5 · · Score: 1

      Although diversification is always a good policy, we can still protect ourselves here and now. Waiting until we colonize another planet is akin to the suggestion that to protect ourselves from a murderous thief, that we shouldn't lock the front door, we should just wait until we can afford the house next door and move half of the family there.

      --
      Fnord.
  11. sign of the times by mikecarrmikecarr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well, maybe i'm a cynic, but...

    Why can I see a project like this getting huge funding and support from the government (we're protecting the country, no, the PLANET from weapons of mass destruction!), while NASA has to fight to justify itself? Why will weapons research and detection get more funding, attention and support than space exploration?

    --

    ID-10-T is a way of life

    1. Re:sign of the times by paganizer · · Score: 1

      I hate to point this out, but...

      How do you think they would probably deflect this hurtling death asteroid?

      Could it, perhaps, involve a WEAPON?

      FREENET=FREESPEECH

      --
      Why, yes, I AM a Pagan Libertarian.
  12. Cosmic proportions by Xylocain · · Score: 4, Funny

    Really, am I the only one to think that even if our whole solar system would be devastated by a gigantic cosmic body (however unlikely that is) it would hardly qualify for cosmic proportions?

    Maybe if a galaxy cluster was destroyed it'd be of cosmic proportions, but a tiny planet?

    Nope, heh, talk about inflated self-importance. :-)

    1. Re:Cosmic proportions by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 1

      Maybe he's talking about the little rad-hard chip that used to be favored for space applications, and really meant "COSMAC proportions". Of course, that would be a pretty small disaster even for those big old dice.

    2. Re:Cosmic proportions by Swofx · · Score: 1

      It seems you are defining 'devastated' in human terms. In a more general view it is not said that a galactic collision - leading to just another state of i.e. a cluster - is a devastation. It's much more only a dramatic alteration.

  13. Insurance? by fehlschlag · · Score: 1

    Gosh, and here I thought I'd finally be able to get by that Act of God clause in the darned contract.

    I guess I'll start buying up cartons of cigarettes. That ought to be more valuable than cash in any extinction level event.

  14. Whats needed by isorox · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Before asteroid deflection reaqlly becomes in the public eye we need a nice small asteroid to take out a city. 10,000,000 people wiped off the Earth is nothing in the long run, but it would wake up the world's governments.

    Assuming they dont think it's the first strike of a nuclear war.

    Would a city-buster hit in a field be enough? Tungasta wasn't was it?

    Chances are the next asteroid to hit Earth will land in the Ocean, probably the Pacific. Would a city-buster cause enough of a tidal wave to knock a few coastal cities off? Anyoen got any predictions of devestation? Perhaps a computer model where you specify impact speed, mass and location and you get a rough idea of numbers killed and where?

    1. Re:Whats needed by tqft · · Score: 1

      A few months back jpl? some california university types? published on the net an impact tidal wave application (java? - maybe just the video) on the net - did not tell you how many would be killed but when California, Hawaii and maybe a fair chunk of Japan go for a swim it won't be pretty.

      --
      The Singularity is closer than you think
      Quant
  15. NASA Isn't The Only Path To Space by reallocate · · Score: 1

    >> hy will weapons research and detection get more funding, attention and support than space exploration?

    Because you can't do research if you're dead.

    NASA isn't synonomous with space exploration. If we're going to get off the planet in a serious fashion, we need better propulsion, bigger vehicles, better life support, and better managers than NASA has ever provided. NASA has not enhanced our capability to travel in space since the launch of the first Shuttle. If fear of asteroid hits sparks a lot of money to DoD to fund engineering and space operations, I'm all for it.

    --
    -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
  16. One more advantage by BoomerSooner · · Score: 1

    of living in the middle of nowhere.

    Oklahoma, a great place to avoid tidal waves. Just ignore the rednecks and tornados (which hit every year).

    Midwestern living, it cannot be beat.

  17. There are already people watching by jwdg · · Score: 1
    NASA spends about $3m per year(according to a FAQ on the UK-government-sponsored NEO watch site) and has a page listing NEOs with some (mainly technical) information.

    My favourite FAQ from the UK site is:

    Are we going to die?

    Yes. We are all going to die some time. It is, however, very unlikely that the collision of a Near Earth Object will be responsible.

  18. thats not much money by Blitzshlag · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Forget Congress. They're asking for an increase of less than 17 million/year! Come on, how many Slashdot readers are there ... we could almost pull off that much money ourselves.
    You'd think out of the 7 billion on the planet, at least 17 million of us (less than half a percent) would care enough to pitch in a dollar a year. I'm in for my buck.

  19. Why should this concern us? by Embedded+Geek · · Score: 2, Funny
    After all, no one else in the past has ever seen this as a credible threat. Not previous U.S. administrations, not the British Empire, not the Romans, not the Dinosaurs...

    Er, then again, maybe we should have a contingency plan.

    --

    "Prepare for the worst - hope for the best."

    1. Re:Why should this concern us? by 3waygeek · · Score: 1

      Actually, the dinosaurs may well have -- they apparently opted for the colonization solution.

  20. Top 10 Ways to Avoid Nasty Planet Collisions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    10. Spend days and days destroying planets in the arcade game "Mad Planets". Surely this skill will be useful somehow when the time comes.

    9. The "Space 1999" lesson: blow up a nuclear waste dump, and we escape orbit. Wacky hijinks with Barbara Bain will ensue.

    8. Make a deal with the dolphins ("So long, and thanks for all the fish")

    7. Bet your life savings that worlds will collide. A sure way to make sure it never happens

    6. Increase funding to "Star Wars"/ SDI by thousands and thousands of percent. Sure, it will then cost $34,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 by then, but won't it be worth it?

    5. Rent the Death Star, park it in near-earth orbit, with laser point aimed outwards, with "Go ahead, make my day" painted on the side.

    4. Board the "B Ark" with the telephone sanitizers, SCO attorneys, actuary adjustment agents, and the rest of the useless people.

    3. Hide under an umbrella and close your eyes.

    2. Send Bruce Willis into space.

    1. Join the Flat Earth society. Sail off the edge of the earth and avoid any collision problems.

  21. Right.. by Danse · · Score: 1

    I know that I always research better insterstellar drives long before I worry about planetary shields. Expansion is the key to galactic conquest, even complete n00bs figure this out pretty quick. Of course we are talking about Congress here, so I guess they might take a bit longer.

    --
    It's not enough to bash in heads, you've got to bash in minds. - Captain Hammer
  22. SUV's? Get over it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Or the buttwipe driving his SUV down the highway at 100 MPH"

    If you don't like SUV's, don't drive one. Problem solved.

    1. Re:SUV's? Get over it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My not driving an SUV doesn't stop the fact that I can't see around all the ones other people are driving.

  23. Did anyone ELSE... by I+Like+Swords!!! · · Score: 1

    ...have flashes of Armageddon or any of those other asteroid/meteor type movies pop into your head?

    Frankly, I doubt, with all the global instability about war and terrorism, the US can make any kind of strategic defense against such a threat without the other nations of the world thinking "They're making Weapons of Mass Destruction!!!" And what nation would believe the US is building weapons as a defense against potential celestial bodies that are approaching and not just arming itself for invasion... Britain maybe.

    True, we need some kind of defense, but one wrong move and WW3 here we come. Forget about some asteroid or comet striking the earth, we'd all be dead by then if things don't cool off.

    --
    .unsigged
    1. Re:Did anyone ELSE... by sketerpot · · Score: 1

      Speaking of weapons, do you remember the idea to redirect an asteroid to fall on Telford, obliterating a large chunk of Great Britain? There are even pictures!

  24. Good for U.S. by AtariAmarok · · Score: 1

    "And what nation would believe the US is building weapons as a defense against potential celestial bodies that are approaching and not just arming itself for invasion.

    The only countries that would have to worry about such an invasion would be the Hitlerian dictatorships. Let 'em worry. That is not a bad thing.

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
    1. Re:Good for U.S. by I+Like+Swords!!! · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah... what was I thinking?

      Though, we'd be viewed as quasi-hypocri.... wait, that's already true too. Nevermind.

      --
      .unsigged
  25. Star Wars anyone? by jeffkjo1 · · Score: 3, Funny

    for "the first time in human history, we have the potential to protect ourselves from a catastrophe of truly cosmic proportions." A three phase program is urged that includes detection, exploration, and contingency planning.
    This plan sounds suspiciously like an excuse to put lasers in space.... I can see it now,
    "My fellow citizens, in the name of securing ourselves from evil celestial bodies hurtling towards the earth and thousands of miles per hour, we are beginning an expansive program to protect each and every citizen on this great planet. These lasers will be used for peaceful purposes... we wouldn't even think of aiming them at certain nations that have restarted nuclear programs or anything like that... noooooo."

  26. a cheaper way by AssFace · · Score: 1

    if we all just walk up on our tiptoes and flail our arms around while swining our right legs out in big sweeping arcs, then we turn invisible.

    seriously, try this out at the mall and suddenly it is like you aren't even there, people won't notice or look at you at all. and if you are there with anyone, they too will suddenly not see you anymore.

    nothing can collide with you if it can't see you.

    seriously - perfect logic.
    fear me.

    --

    There are some odd things afoot now, in the Villa Straylight.
  27. Other threats by hondo77 · · Score: 2, Funny
    Yeah, asteroids and comets are one type of threat but what about others that we aren't expecting?:
    • Black holes
    • Vogons
    • The Spanish Inquisition
    --
    I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
    1. Re:Other threats by TychoBrahe · · Score: 1

      We have evidence that Earth has been hit by asteroids before with devastating consequences. Furthermore, we know of numerous asteroids in the solar system. Therefore, the threat of asteroid impact is credible. We can be fairly sure that black holes exist, but the chances of encountering a solar-massed black hole is about the same as the chance of encountering a solar-massed star. We have no evidence for the existence of hostile aliens. Therefore, neither black holes nor Vogons are a credible threat.

      At least in America, the First Amendment is there to stop another Spanish Inquisition.

    2. Re:Other threats by Lairdsville · · Score: 1

      and we all know: Nobody expects the Spanish Inquisition!

  28. Maybe he has a point by xtal · · Score: 1

    If we can't get our act together to get 17000 kilobucks together, then maybe we're really not worth preserving. It's something to think about.

    --
    ..don't panic
    1. Re:Maybe he has a point by sketerpot · · Score: 1
      In the proper spirit of the metric system, I believe that should be "17 megabucks".

      Of course, conversion is trivial, but 17 megabucks is more proper and nicer sounding.

    2. Re:Maybe he has a point by Stephen+Samuel · · Score: 1

      Like failing to prevent an extinction-level event is gonna get someone tossed out of office? It may toss his office off the planet, but most reps are not going to be in a state to complain about it post-impact.

      --
      Free Software: Like love, it grows best when given away.
  29. Ridiculous picture by Frans+Faase · · Score: 1
    The picture that they show one the site, and which I have seen being used before, is totally out of proportions. There is really no way we could ever defend us against an objects the size of a thousand kilometers. Even some moons around some of the planets are smaller. It is very unlikely that Earth will be hit with a object of that size in the coming million years.

    However, people are unaware of the effects that even a much smaller object could have on our economy, depending on where it hits.

  30. Ever play civilization? by caquillo · · Score: 1

    Ever played any of the civilization games, or for that matter any 4x game will a decent tech system? Lets take for example aplha centauri, beause it is such a clearcut example. All the techs are in one of 4 types or a combination there of. Explore, Discover, Build, Destroy(I can't remember what the last one was actually called, but it's the military one.) People like me stress the Discover ones, just as I go for writing as quickly as possible in Civilization games and generally always try for the most science related techs. On the other hand, one of my friends who used to play the game more than any living person should would always select technologies based on thier ability to help him wage war. We had very different styles. I would build a peacefull, technologically advanced nation with a stanglehold on technologies so that the other nations must do my bidding or be killed by the ones who pleased me and got advanced technology. He on the other hand starts attacking his enemies from the beginning of the game, keeping them weak, and organized thier conquest at the first opportunity. Now, what you have to ask ourselves is, what kind of techs is our nation choosing?

    --
    Nothing Dead Here.
  31. lies, damned lies and statistics by Stephen+Samuel · · Score: 1
    i read a blurb in the newspaper where this man slipped on his front poarch and fell into his rosebush and somehow a branch went into his throat and he choaked to death. a very unusual occurence to say the least. but i think this is more likely

    You're more likely to get killed by an asteroid than hit by Lightning... That's because each year, N dozen people get hit by lightning that gives a probability in the range of 1/100million. An extinction-level meteor strike happens about every 60 million years -- thus a probability of 1/60million because it would be expected to kill everybody if it hit.

    A metor impact program would be a good excuse for near-earth observations and might also allow us to prevent non-extinction large impacts but it's not that likely to make a big difference in my life either for god or bad.

    --
    Free Software: Like love, it grows best when given away.
    1. Re:lies, damned lies and statistics by flowerbear · · Score: 1

      there is no evidence that any human has ever been killed by anything falling from outerspace. what may happen over the course of millions of years does not impact humans! as i said less than a million years from now whatever life is on this planet will not he humans. it may be our ancestors or not! about 5 billion years from now when the sun goes through its red giant phase the earth will be "eaten" of course long before then life may be extinct here anyway. i just think it important to worry about what is killing things today and in the not too distant future(less than 10,000 years or so?)

      let us end with a quote...
      "we shall not cease from exploration.
      and the end of all our exploring.
      will be to return to the place we started
      and know it for the first time"
      ts elliot

      --
      flowerbear adrift on a sea of confusion since 1958 flowerbear@phreaker.net FORTRAN programers don't eat quiche!!
    2. Re:lies, damned lies and statistics by Stephen+Samuel · · Score: 1
      There is no evidence that any human has ever been killed by anything falling from outerspace. what may happen over the course of millions of years does not impact humans!

      It may happen in 4 million years, or it may happen in 4 weeks. It's kinda like drunk driving, but with longer odds and bigger costs in the odd possibility that something really does happen. You can drive drunk a hundred times, but that doesn't mean that you won't get yourself killed the hundred and first. The chances are about 1 in 600,000 that humanity will get wiped out this century.

      You can either bet your life on the odds, or you can amortize the value of all humanity over the probability of a killer strike and put that money into a counter-asteroid slush fund. The nice thing about a NEA observation team is that they might also be able to mitigate the possibility of a sub-extinction event (i.e. something that would just take out one or two cities/counties/countries) Those kinds of events are more common than an extinction event -- possibly as high as one in thousand or more).

      Buying accident insurance doesn't mean that you intend/expect to get into an accident. It just gives you something to fall back on if the unwanted/unexpected does happen. Insurers bet on the fact that you're willing to pay enough that the amortized probablities * costs over millions of people are less than the premiums + interest.

      --
      Free Software: Like love, it grows best when given away.
  32. The perfect WMD by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

    Seriously. With todays technology, I don't see how hard it would be to attach a retro-rocket to an astroid. From there, you do your math calculations and fire that puppy off to full burn. If your calculations are correct, you can take out a city of your choice and no one would be the wiser. Of course, this would be a good way to melt the ice on mars too. Just lug a few rocks to that planet while your at it.

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    Life is not for the lazy.