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More on the Orbital Space Plane

AP has a decent piece looking at NASA's orbital space plane program, and describing it as a sedan compared to a tractor-trailer. National polls show that public support for the space program continues to be very strong.

317 comments

  1. Why settle for a sedan? by mdvolm · · Score: 5, Funny

    I, for one, would rather see NASA go with the "overpowered sports-car" model (AKA Ferrari). Those pictures of the "sedan" models aren't nearly sleek enough.

    Let's build a Star Wars style ship and paint it Empire black! Yeah! Now that would increase the support for the space program. It's all about marketing...

    1. Re:Why settle for a sedan? by grub · · Score: 5, Funny


      They only have to be sleek for entering atmosphere. I'd like to see a real Borg-like cube with the NASA logo on the side.

      --
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    2. Re:Why settle for a sedan? by Sivaram_Velauthapill · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I'm going to get flamed for this but anyway :) ...

      USA has been cloacking its imperialism all this time and you want to make it more obvious? I don't think you are going to get any job with the CIA any time soon...

      Sivaram Velauthapillai

      --
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    3. Re:Why settle for a sedan? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And as soon as all the /. nerdettes are old enough to vote, I'm sure NASA will do just that. Until then, form follows function...

    4. Re:Why settle for a sedan? by Behrooz · · Score: 1

      ...and I'd like to see that Borg-Cube heading off into deep space at some nice high tau-factor carrying with it John Ashcroft, Larry Ellison, FOX News, the Religious Right, the RIAA/MPAA, Ken Lay, and anyone else who feels the need to 'get all up in my bidness'.

      --
      "We have to go forth and crush every world view that doesn't believe in tolerance and free speech." - David Brin
  2. Seems like a good plan for travel.... by rokzy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    and remote control is good.

    "The space plane will have only two missions: to carry people up and down from the space station, and to act as a standby lifeboat, parked at the space station for the evacuation of astronauts if there is an emergency."

    But what about when the shuttle repaired Hubble? will this kind of mission be no longer possible?

    1. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by CheechBG · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Rockets, my man, rockets. Shoot Hubble II into orbit with a rocket, and if a EVA is necessary to "assemble" it, then put the space plane on station and get it done. No hauling needed.

      Granted, though, I'm not entirely certain that this 2 step process would be entirely cost effective. It's cheaper to shoot a rocket than it is to fire up the current Shuttle system, and I would imagine the proposed Space Plane system would have a significantly lower cost-per-flight, given the much reduced weight, but will both of those factors mitigate the cost of the single Shuttle flight? Only time will tell.

    2. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I think they should probably be thinking about a spaceworthy-only boat that ferries stuff from the ISS to other destinations in orbit. They'd have to bring fuel up to the ISS for it, and so on, though of course this is also an ideal application for nuclear propulsion. Maybe if you were really creative you could come up with some kind of nice power storage system and just use solar, and ion drives, and just charge it all the time :)

      --
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    3. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by LooseChanj · · Score: 1

      "Hubble 2" is already on the board, and it's called the James Webb Space Telescope. It's going to be inaccessable to manned vehicles.

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    4. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by Have+Blue · · Score: 1

      If the Hubble II doesn't have a flaw in the first place, it's *very* cost-effective :)

    5. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by Guppy06 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "Rockets, my man, rockets. Shoot Hubble II into orbit with a rocket, and if a EVA is necessary to "assemble" it, then put the space plane on station and get it done."

      Except that the shuttle cargo bay isn't just to haul cargo but also functions as a drydock. Working on something within the bay gives the astronauts numerous convenient tie-down points to reach all the important parts of the satellite. If you can no longer assume that all your manned missions are going to bring along their own enclosed structure to work in, you'll need to seriously reconsider your design philosophy and hope you've covered all the bases.

    6. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
      The shuttle has serviced exactly one satellite since being put into use: the hubble space telescope. And even then it was to fix up the fuckups that the prime contractor (PE) did, such as "we don't feel we need to test our equipment before it goes into space".

      Most satellites are much higher in orbit than the shuttle can go. The shuttle cannot get to them without moving the satellite.

      The shuttle was touted as the orbiting drydock, but it has never functioned as such. I doubt anybody is designing their satellites with the concept that it can be serviced by the shuttle.

    7. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by uncoveror · · Score: 1
      "Smith said the space plane initially will be launched by either Atlas or Delta boosters."

      But as soon as it is built and tested, the space plane will be hurled skyward with the X-4000 Launch Aparatus.

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    8. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by shess · · Score: 1

      Except that the shuttle cargo bay isn't just to haul cargo but also functions as a drydock.

      Ships go to drydocks, not vice versa - because you need to get them out of water. In this case, it's just silly. Why not just cart along some scaffolding and line it with something light and flexible - tyvek, maybe. Tie stuff down to the scaffolding (actually, tie the scaffolding to whatever you're working on :-), while the tyvek prevents wrenches and stuff from shooting off into new orbits.

    9. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by Ealienation · · Score: 1

      It sounds like you're talking about the solar orbit transfer vehicle (currently on $$ hold, I think):

      http://www.boeing.com/ids/flash.html (products a to z)

    10. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      One clarification: The shuttle also repaired a Canadian Comsat when they were showing it off before Challenger.

      Even more than the fact the shuttle can't reach most satellites, it is cheaper to de-orbit a malfunctioning satellite and replace it using an expendable rocket (often several times) than it is to send the shuttle with a manned crew.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    11. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      There is no high-power nuclear propulsion system available with current technology. We can produce tons of electricity for decades, but propulsion still requires a propellent of some sort.

      An Ion drive is the most promising, but it's output is miniscule compared to a chemical rocket. It still has an expendible, the Xenon. It simply uses electricity to fire it off at high speed.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    12. Re:Seems like a good plan for travel.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Ships go to drydocks, not vice versa
      Au contraire.
  3. I like this... by chrisgeleven · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This new spacecraft NASA is working on actually sounds like something that will work. Seems like they are trying to keep it as close as possible to the K.I.S.S. (Keep It Simple, Stupid) principle.

    The cheaper and more reliable something is, the better off we are.

    1. Re:I like this... by LooseChanj · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So did the shuttle 30 years ago.

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    2. Re:I like this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This new spacecraft NASA is working on actually sounds like something that will work. Seems like they are trying to keep it as close as possible to the K.I.S.S. (Keep It Simple, Stupid) principle.

      I halfway agree with you, it sounds good, and at one time maybe NASA could pull it off, but remember... This is not your father's NASA, "simple" is no longer in their dictionary.

  4. We shouldn't depend on Government by meckardt · · Score: 4, Insightful

    NASA did a great job getting us to the moon during the cold war, but it has since turned into a bureaucratic machine, as highlighted in the Columbia post mortem report. I doubt this will change in the future, regardless of any efforts to do so, because bureaucracy is the nature of such agencies.

    It would be MUCH better if the Government provided incentives to the various companies who are attemping to build space transportation systems. Those folks will be in it for profit, and their isn't any profit in destroying your launch systems to meet a schedule.

    1. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      A human loss is financially more sound than an equipment loss. Do you really think privatizing our national space program is going to put an end to exploratory tragedies?

    2. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by jhoegl · · Score: 1

      In reality both will happen. Apollo 8 and Apollo 13 happened due to the "need" to get to the moon faster. People died because oversites were made. As it went along, the cheap NASA (basicly what one might see with a privitized group), gave us the two latest space shuttle disasters. Challenger and Columbia.

    3. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by pizen · · Score: 2, Informative

      Don't you mean Apollo 1? Apollo 8 was the first trip to the moon whereas Apollo 1 ended with a fire on the launchpad during a test, killing all 3 astronauts.

    4. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by fredrik70 · · Score: 1

      noone died on Apollo 13. Contrary to the shuttle program I do think Apollo was a marvelous successful example of the KISS paradigm. if something like what happened to 13 happened to a shuttle, the shuttle would be toast, 13 made it down in one piece.

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    5. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by jhoegl · · Score: 1

      Actually apollo 12 went to the moon. Unless you mean apollo 8 circled the moon?

    6. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by Gaijinator · · Score: 1

      While government agencies are generally bureaucratic, corporations are also notoriously short-sighted. Excluding all the information satellites and the like, there isn't a whole lot (to my knowledge) that will make space profitable until we cut the cost (not in dollars, but in resources) to actually get into space. Mining asteroids might be feasible, but I doubt even that would be profitable in the very near future.

      If, as you suggest, the government provides incentives for these companies, they'll become no better than NASA, since they'll be leeching off the government's funds, doing nothing more than "putting a guy in space".

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    7. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by ebassi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      noone died on Apollo 13. Contrary to the shuttle program I do think Apollo was a marvelous successful example of the KISS paradigm.

      Even though the Apollo was simplier than the Shuttle, it was far from being simple. BTW, listening to the astronauts that flown with the Apollo, it was nearly a miracle it didn't kill more.

      if something like what happened to 13 happened to a shuttle, the shuttle would be toast, 13 made it down in one piece.

      The Apollo ship has flown less than 20 times in space. The first model even took fire without lifting-off. This means that the Apollo had a failure ration of 2/17 (roughly 12%), whereas the Shuttle had 2 incidents in ~100 flies, that is a failure ratio of 2%.

      So, even though I wouldn't like to fly with the shuttle, I'd never want to set foot on the Apollo, sorry.

      --
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    8. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by Captain+Nitpick · · Score: 4, Informative
      Actually apollo 12 went to the moon. Unless you mean apollo 8 circled the moon?

      Just to set things straight:

      • Apollo 1 - preflight test that killed Gus Grissom, Ed White, Roger Chaffee.
      • Apollo 7 - circled the Earth
      • Apollo 8 - first trip to the Moon, no lunar landing
      • Apollo 9 - tested the full Apollo system in Earth orbit
      • Apollo 10 - orbited Moon, lunar module descended to 14 km, did not land
      • Apollo 11 - first manned landing on the Moon
      • Apollo 12 - picked up portions of the Surveyor III probe
      • Apollo 13 - we've all seen the movie
      • Apollo 14 - Alan Shephard golfing
      • Apollo 15 - first use of the lunar rover
      • Apollo 16 - a "routine" mission
      • Apollo 17 - Eugene Cernan becomes the last man to walk on the Moon
      --
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    9. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Government provided incentives

      If there is any real enefit in space, then surely no government sponsored handout is needed. Govt sponsorship destroys your whole argument. As soon as there is some overnment-set goal to meet to get the sponsorship, then other profit oriented goals go out of the window.

      --
      Engineering is the art of compromise.
    10. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by Nerull · · Score: 1

      8 did circle the moon, and was the first to do so...and while 12 did land, it wasn't the first, 11 was.

    11. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by GileadGreene · · Score: 1
      Apollo 12 did indeed go to the moon. But only after Apollo 11 had landed there first :-)

      Apollo 8 was the mission that first entered lunar orbit (but did not land).

    12. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by GileadGreene · · Score: 3, Insightful
      While government agencies are generally bureaucratic, corporations are also notoriously short-sighted. Excluding all the information satellites and the like, there isn't a whole lot (to my knowledge) that will make space profitable until we cut the cost (not in dollars, but in resources) to actually get into space. Mining asteroids might be feasible, but I doubt even that would be profitable in the very near future..

      Yeah, that might explain why Surrey Satellites in the UK is making so much off of stuff other than comsats. And why there are several groups racing to win the X-prize. And why there several companies desperately trying to be the first to market with a cheap smallsat launcher. And why the Russians are able to make $20M a pop for launching rich tourists into space. And why the EU is considering charging for subscriptions to the precision version of Galileo (their answer to GPS). And that's only what I can think of off the top of my head. Nope, no money to be made in space at all.

      Seriously, the problem isn't that there aren't opprtunities to do profitable stuff in space, it's that US companies are hamstrung by the government. There's a reason that most of the most innovative space stuff is happening outside of the US these days.

    13. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by fredrik70 · · Score: 1

      However, the first model (apollo 1) used pure oxygen as atmosphere rather than normal air, which caused the fire to be uncontrollable. NASA did learn from this and swithed to air in the later apollos, I do see apollo 1 more as a beta version of the 'true' apollos, mind you, that just my point of view. Also thanks to apollo using a heat shield rather than a winged approach as the shuttle made it possible for the austronauts in apolla 13 to make it back alive. Wings has nothing to do on a spacecraft IMHO.

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    14. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by fredrik70 · · Score: 1

      ahem, you can read it all on nasa's site: http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/lunar/apollo1 info.html
      THe rest of the apollo program used a nitrogen-oxygen mixture after the apollo 1 incident.

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    15. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by eroberts00 · · Score: 1

      > It would be MUCH better if the Government
      > provided incentives to the various companies who
      > are attemping to build space transportation
      > systems. Those folks will be in it for profit, and
      > their isn't any profit in destroying your launch
      > systems to meet a schedule.

      Exactly! Government incentives for commercially developed space transportation is definitely the way to go. I mean, what could go wrong?

    16. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by steveha · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If there is any real enefit in space, then surely no government sponsored handout is needed.

      True. But a government handout would provide an incentive that would get us to space sooner. Giving more money to NASA will not get us into space; giving a prize to the first people to build a real spacecraft would get us into space. Those of us in favor of the idea believe that the benefits would be worth a fairly big prize, and note that the prize would not be awarded for anything but working hardware. (Money to NASA will be spent on bureaucrats and studies.)

      As a libertarian, I don't think government should be subsidising businesses. However, a real libertarian society would have many fewer taxes, regulations, and general red tape; given that we don't live in such a libertarian society and real companies do have to deal with the red tape, I'm willing to see government prize money for the space program. (And a few other generally beneficial innovations I can think of: a working hydrogen fusion power plant, a cure for cancer, etc.)

      I'm only in favor of a prize for meeting a specific goal, with no other strings attached to the prize. For example, a big prize for the first ship to fly to orbit with a 1,000 kilogram payload, and then do it again within the next two weeks, landing safely both times. (And a smaller prize for second place, even, so it won't be "winner take all".)

      steveha

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    17. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by terrymr · · Score: 2, Interesting

      With all the NASA bashing going on after the loss of columbia, it should be remembered that while NASA makes the go/no-go decisions. Day to day shuttle maintenance and operation was contracted out (at congress' insistance no doubt) to the United Space Alliance (Boeing and Lockheed Martin). In not sure how the blame for recent events falls between these parties.

    18. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by amabbi · · Score: 2, Informative
      It would be MUCH better if the Government provided incentives to the various companies who are attemping to build space transportation systems. Those folks will be in it for profit, and their isn't any profit in destroying your launch systems to meet a schedule.

      isn't that what the X-33 project was? NASA gave lockheed close to US$1B to design and build a new SSTO technology, giving lockheed the permission to use this new technology in a commercial version called the venturestar. lockheed took the money and never managed to get a workable model before NASA finally pulled the plug in 2001.

    19. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      nitrogen-oxygen != air.

      Pure oxygen would have been fine was it not pumped up to the high pressure required for sea-level testing.

      Several thousand more square inches of flammable velcro than was allowed was installed by the contractor.

    20. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by R.Caley · · Score: 1
      [It would be MUCH better if the Government provided incentives]

      isn't that what the X-33 project was? NASA gave lockheed close to US$1B to design and build a new SSTO...

      The reason this isn't an example is highlighted by your choice of the word `gave'. Incentives are earned.

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    21. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by i'm+guessing · · Score: 1
      It was Boeing that said the foam had no effect on the shuttle. It was Boeing that had, in the name of profit, eliminated personnel actually qualified to determine debris hazards. It was Boeing, not NASA that had a profit riding on future Shuttle missions. Sad for Boeing, their bad recommendation cost them profit!

      I'm guessing your parents were big believers in the self-esteem movement.

    22. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by fredrik70 · · Score: 1

      ok, true. Also that they did a redesign of the interior of the capsule, removing flammable materials, hence I see apollo 1 as more of a beta version of the apollos

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    23. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Oooh, wow, making money *launching satellites*. Yeah, that's a real accomplishment. Whoopee. Frankly, I don't give a damn about launching sats into orbit... if it was up to corps, we'd have never have launched the Apollo missions, let alone Pathfinder or any of the other interplanetary scientific missions. Why? Because there's no money in sending missions outside of Earth, hence no commercial impedence to do so. Thus, this kind of work will always need government funding until, as the grandparent poster mentioned, interplanetary space flight is commercially profitable.

    24. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      If space transport is such a "hot" prospect, than it doesn't NEED government investment. The market will handle it just fine.

      There is nothing more annoying than lazai-faire capitalists begging for public funding.

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    25. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      The most promising technology for making space cost-feasible (worth going there) is the space elevator. The project would enable a space prescense without the use of super-volatile explosives and fireball descents.

      Mining asteroids will NEVER bee feasible. All the ore you need is right here on planet earth. Mining the moon may be feasible, but only for things built on the moon. You would NEVER send any of it home as it's much cheaper to mine it right here at home.

      My novel concept is gas-mining the neptune and producing fuel ... or providing mars with a descent atmoshpere over centuries sometime far in the future. Whats the point in living there if you can't breath the air. You'd might as well colonize an active volcano.

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    26. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      Well, the counts right. He's got two oscars in that nutsack, which is a lot more than you've got in yours.

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    27. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      The "simple" hatch on Apollo 1 had no handle to allow the astronauts to exit in case of emergency. Not that it mattered. The "simple" atmospheric system was pure oxygen and turned everything on board to kindling. The spark burned 3 astronauts alive.

      KISS is good. But too much KISS is unsafe and stupid.

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    28. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by plsander · · Score: 1

      The Apollo spacecraft (both the Command Module (CM) and the LEM) were designed to use pure Oxygen but at ~5 psi. This is the same partial pressure of O2 that we breath at sea-level (at ~15 psi, 20% O2), but reduces the need for a beefy structure by using a lower pressure. It also eliminates the need to carry a 'filler' gas like Nitrogen or Helium.

      Apollo 1, being a ground level test run was using needed to be run at sea-level pressure, otherwise the CM would have been crushed. Unfortunatly they chose to use pure O2 at ~15 psi to do this test - materials that are flame resistant at 20% partial pressure of O2 are not necessarily flame resistant at 100% partial pressure O2.

      In the reviews after the fire in Apollo 1, all of the material within the CM and the LEM were evaluated for their inflammability and replaced with non-infalammable materials. Also subsequent ground tests were run with ordinary air instead of pure O2.

      The Shuttle uses air at ~15 psi -- one downside to this is that any astronauts going outside (EVA) need to breath pure O2 for a while to remove their nitrogen load before going outside. If they did not pre-breath the oxygen, they would get the bends (Decompression Illness) from the nitrogen bubbling in their blood.

    29. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by juhaz · · Score: 1

      There is real benefit, but it is very long term benefit.

      Current business trend won't have anything to do with that, you must reap money right from the beginning, not 20 years from now.

      Goverments sponsorships could provide little incentive to start doing it now so the long-term benefits might actually be there someday (they obviously won't if nobody starts developing tech, and financing stuff etc.)

    30. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by mfrank · · Score: 1

      Wasn't Apollo 1 only named after (and because of) the accident?

    31. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by fredrik70 · · Score: 1

      hmmm, actually, thinking about it, nitogen-oxygen *IS* pretty much the same as air!

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    32. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by lommer · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that might explain why Surrey Satellites in the UK is making so much off of stuff other than comsats.

      I don't know what surrey sattelites does, please enlighten me.

      And why there are several groups racing to win the X-prize.

      The X-prize is a philanthropic donation made by a bunch of really rich guys. This kind of money will help us achieve certain milestones, but once they've been achieved it will vanish. Unless we can find buisiness in space, it won't work as it did with airplanes because people don't NEED to go to space, nor does much mail need delivering.

      And why there several companies desperately trying to be the first to market with a cheap smallsat launcher.

      These companies are aiming to serve the comsat community, which isn't doing anything really spectacular when you think of it. I agree that the technology and achievement is cool, but they're not breaking any new ground.

      And why the Russians are able to make $20M a pop for launching rich tourists into space.

      They launched 1 guy, once. The other two potential customers (Lance Bass and that guy from South Africa) couldn't afford it and decided it wasn't worth the cost respectively. Given NASA's new failures, you're not going to see any new tourists in space any time soon. All this also neglects the fact that these tourists were riding on government funded infrastructure, and their costs only paid a fraction of a percent of the costs of the entire program.

      And why the EU is considering charging for subscriptions to the precision version of Galileo (their answer to GPS).

      They're still going to lose a bundle on developing and launching the system. This is done out of nationalistic neccesity, not to be a commercially viable competitor to GPS. And few private companies today could muster the resources to launch such a program, even if the returns were guaranteed and the risks of failure were much lower than they are now.

      And that's only what I can think of off the top of my head.

      Aside from the incredibly wishful-thinking and shortsighted mining-in-space group, You've pretty much covered it all, I think.

    33. Re:We shouldn't depend on Government by GileadGreene · · Score: 1
      I don't know what surrey sattelites does, please enlighten me.

      You can check out their website here. Most of their real money-making launches have been Earth imaging of one sort or another (e.g. their current big project - the Disaster Monitoring Constellation - is all about responsive Earth imaging). However, they've also flown several scientific and experimental payloads, they just landed a contract to do some of the prototype work on Galileo, and have a good business helping other countries get space programs up and running in a short amount of time.

      The X-prize is a philanthropic donation made by a bunch of really rich guys. This kind of money will help us achieve certain milestones, but once they've been achieved it will vanish. Unless we can find buisiness in space, it won't work as it did with airplanes because people don't NEED to go to space, nor does much mail need delivering.

      The X-prize is modeled after the prizes that kick-started aviation in the early decades of the 20th century. It's not intended to last forever, it's intended to provide the impetus for developing things that will be self-sustaining, but aren't self-starting. People don't NEED to go into the air either - but it gets them there faster. Cheap suborbital transportation could drastically reduce point-to-point travel times. In an age of global business and "just-in-time" everything, that seems like it could make some money. I'm sure Fedex would happily charge a premium for "same-hour, anywhere in the world" service too.

      These companies are aiming to serve the comsat community, which isn't doing anything really spectacular when you think of it. I agree that the technology and achievement is cool, but they're not breaking any new ground.

      Read my comment again. I said smallsat launcher. Smallsats are not usually used as comsats (with the possible exception of Orbcomm), since comsats need massive amounts of power that smallsats don't have. My point was that several companies believe that there is enough of a market for smallsat launches that they're trying hard to win that market. I don't know what the business plan of all those smallsat customers is, but I can tell you that cheap, responsive launches and rapidly built smallsats open up business possibilities that don't exist right now.

      They launched 1 guy, once. The other two potential customers (Lance Bass and that guy from South Africa) couldn't afford it and decided it wasn't worth the cost respectively. Given NASA's new failures, you're not going to see any new tourists in space any time soon. All this also neglects the fact that these tourists were riding on government funded infrastructure, and their costs only paid a fraction of a percent of the costs of the entire program.

      Two, actually. Mark Shuttleworth went up last year. Both Tito's and Shuttleworth's tickets more than covered the cost of their flights. Sure, two flights doesn't cover the cost of the program. But two flights doesn't cover the cost of a 747 either. It's all about volume. And NASA's shuttle woes won't do a whole lot to the Russian space program - the Soyuz is well known to be far more robust than the fickle shuttle.

      They're still going to lose a bundle on developing and launching the system. This is done out of nationalistic neccesity, not to be a commercially viable competitor to GPS. And few private companies today could muster the resources to launch such a program, even if the returns were guaranteed and the risks of failure were much lower than they are now.

      I wouldn't be so sure about the ROI on Galileo. Sure there won't be an immediate return, but I suspect they could pay for it over the long haul. Particularly if aircraft start getting into precision GPS approaches. That's a very large number of subscriptions right there. And there are lots of other businesses that would probably be willing

  5. Maybe NASA could... by Kotukunui · · Score: 5, Funny

    enter this design in the X-prize competition and win themselves $10 million.

    1. Re:Maybe NASA could... by Squareball · · Score: 3, Funny

      Or in other words "enough money for a new men's room toilet seat" in government dollars that is ;)

    2. Re:Maybe NASA could... by tftp · · Score: 2, Funny

      It will cost NASA $10 million just to file the paperwork :-(

    3. Re:Maybe NASA could... by LooseChanj · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The X prize specifically states you have to fly the same vehicle more than once within 2(?) weeks. Ain't now way anything NASA flies gonna do that.

      --
      Mix the failings of Usenet with the shortcomings of the World Wide Web and the result is slashdot.
    4. Re:Maybe NASA could... by MagPulse · · Score: 1

      Yeah but it would be a really cool toilet seat.

    5. Re:Maybe NASA could... by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      Thats before Al Gore led a task force to axe obvious stupid waste in high-ball contracts (after he invented the internet ;-)

      Bush II is doing even better. The occupation is costing us a mere 4 billion dollars a month. Private firm Halliburton is providing reconstruction services for a mere $500 million plus unlimited expenses.

      --
      -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
  6. Something to keep us busy by poptones · · Score: 1
    ...when the robots do everything else.

    Oh... wait... damn, they're gonna do that, too.

  7. Not a shuttle replacement by ruiner13 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    For those too lazy to read the article, this is only designed to be a commuter to the space station and back. It only would have a crew of 4, and would carry light cargo. It isn't meant as a do-everything satellite launcher/people mover like the current space shuttle. They plan on developing another vehicle to do the other chores of the space shuttle. Frankly, with the budget constraints NASA is under, I'm really surprised to read about them seriously developing more than one type of shuttle replacement, although I do think they are going in the right direction. We have several rockets designed to carry heavy payloads, I really don't see why they need to have the payload and crew all in one vehicle. What they should do is keep the rockets to lift the heavy payloads safely into space, then have the humans do what they need to do to the payload once it is in space (such as fine tuning, final preparation, and/or activation).

    --

    today is spelling optional day.

    1. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What they should do is spend the money they'd spend on a new cargo launch vehicle on space elevator development. the problem is that we still need to develop the cheap carbon nanotube construction methods in order to actually do it. Since they need an apparent success sooner than that in order to stay afloat, they're going to have to develop this light space plane, get the public back on their side, then take the time to develop a new heavy launch vehicle, and if THAT is then successful, they can start thinking about space elevators again. I mean, they're working on them now, but not in earnest.

      I really would love to see the government spend a big chunk of cash on space elevator development, and spend it wisely.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by dkf · · Score: 3, Funny
      What they should do is [...] have the humans do what they need to do to the payload once it is in space (such as [...] activation).
      Surely they could type the numbers in from the front of the printed manual before they launch the equipment into space? It's not exactly rocket science...
      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    3. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by rtaylor · · Score: 1

      Your comment:
      the problem is that we still need to develop the cheap carbon nanotube construction methods in order to actually do it.

      From the article:
      "The two biggest reasons that schedules slip and costs increase is that you change the requirements or you're counting on technology that didn't pan out," Smith said.

      It would seem that a space elevator is exactly the thing that Nasa needs to avoid at this time. Cheaper, Better, Faster doesn't work. Cheaper with specific (possibly far reaching but obtainable) goals at a reasonable speed is a good thing to try.

      --
      Rod Taylor
    4. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Uh yeah, read the rest of the comment, where I say that they need some successes before they go on to start on long-term products again. I think you need to work on your reading comprehension.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by stevelinton · · Score: 1

      As you say "we still need to develop the cheap carbon nanotube construction methods". These would have lots of applications beyond a Space Elevator, so its a pretty firm bet that people are already working hard on these in industry and academia all over the world. It makes no sense for NASA to commit to more than the odd design exercise for an elevator until this work is completed, and no sense for NASA to get into doing the work itself.

      Better cheaper expendables and a small spaceplane to manage the only really difficult part (getting humans and delicate cargo down again) seems like a very sensible strategy for the next 10-20 years.

    6. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by rtaylor · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and I still disagree and say that long-term single projects with uncontrollable components are causing problems at NASA.

      Long term goals with discrete steps are perfectly fine, but they should be known obtainable from the start without relying on advances in mostly unrelated fields like material sciences.

      Fund the unrelated fields with the goal of making current components cheaper (reduced weight, increased durability). Only once Nasa has 'it', should they consider alternative ways of using it.

      --
      Rod Taylor
    7. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Karma Whores that insult people should not get the benefit of their karma whoring.

      Screw you and the craptacular mods.

    8. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      It depends on how long it actually takes to develop the technology. Ostensibly once it is done it will only take us a couple of years (if we apply ourselves) to put up one or more space elevators.

      In other words, if we knew we could get the carbon nanotubes done in five years, then fuck reusable launch craft, let's see some development in materials sciences. Since we don't know how long it will take, we need some space planes (or something else) to make it cheaper to get into orbit until we do have the proper materials technology.

      Seriously though, the only thing that really makes long term sense is the space elevator. It brings costs down by amazing amounts, and it's clean, plus we could use it to solve problems like nuclear waste; just send it up the elevator, and either do something with it in space, or fire it into the sun, depending on what is going to serve us best in the long term. And you can power the whole thing from the top, where you can either get the best efficiency from a solar array, or use a nuclear power plant with minimal risk.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    9. Re:Not a shuttle replacement by tgrigsby · · Score: 1

      we still need to develop the cheap carbon nanotube construction methods

      I love it when I see references to the "space elevator". Don't you folks realize that the space elevator represents the greatest promise we'll never realize? The amount of material and effort involved in creating such a structure will be nothing compared to the expenditures that will have to be made to secure such a structure from attack. If you think the WTC was symbolic to enemies of the U.S.A., how symbolic will a space elevator be? How long will it be before someone tries to fly a Piper Cub loaded with explosives into the tower? In fact, I would dare to say that it might never complete construction. As of 9/11, our world changed forever, not just for those of us that find ourselves more vulnerable than we ever imagined in the face of such horrific determination to sacrifice oneself in order to kill others, but for those out there who saw the U.S. as untouchable and impenetrable. We are not safe, we are not untouchable, and any space elevator that reaches close enough to the ground for a terrorist to reach with a prop or jet propelled craft will be the #1 biggest and must coveted prize for those that would expend human lives to strike out at us.

      The shuttle was the Model T of reusable craft. Now we should expect NASA to begin generating a variety of craft for a variety of purposes. Smaller craft to transport people only, cargo-only craft, true "18 wheeler" craft capable of transporting extremely large loads, perhaps even other craft, in its cargo bay, etc. We should not sit around and wait for a space elevator to solve all our problems. It may never happen.

      --
      *** *** You're just jealous 'cause the voices talk to me... ***
  8. Re:oi veh by rokzy · · Score: 1

    er, no they actually said it well before 9/11, you insensitive retard

  9. yeah, great by spoonist · · Score: 3, Insightful
    " ... the space agency is rushing to design, build, test and fly..."

    Haven't they learned anything?

    I'm not certain they've done "Better, Cheaper, Faster" too well.

    1. Re:yeah, great by visgoth · · Score: 1
      "Better, Cheaper, Faster"

      They forgot that you can only choose 2 of the above.

      --
      My patience is infinite, my time is not.
    2. Re:yeah, great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Haven't they learned anything? No, they don't read Slashdot.

    3. Re:yeah, great by halo8 · · Score: 0

      +5 funny, nice post, great research

      --
      The More Knowledge you have the Luckier you Get- J.R. Ewing
    4. Re:yeah, great by kauschovar · · Score: 1

      It is, Smith admitted, "a very ambitiously rapid schedule." But he noted NASA pulled off such magic in the early days of the space program.

      "Mercury, Gemini and Apollo all did things faster than that," he said.

      Mercury, Gemini and Apollo all benifitted from Werner von Braun's genius. It is thanks to him that "NASA pulled off such magic in the early days of the space program," so I don't think that is a fair comparison to mondern-day NASA.

    5. Re:yeah, great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not certain they've done "Better, Cheaper, Faster" too well.

      That's Smaller, Cheaper, Faster.

  10. We need new technology... by Quaoar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...particularly in the field of self-diagnostics. The Columbia disaster would have been preventable had there been more ways to detect damage on the exterior of the shuttle other than a camera pinned to the ground. Perhaps an array of sensors along the heat shield could report about the integrity of the vessel. Even external cameras are a possibility. A solution as simple as these could keep the aging shuttles flying safely for several more years while a more advanced space solution is developed. I do not think the problem involves the size of the shuttle. Certainly, the exact same thing could happen on a smaller ship, and you sacrifice the huge carrying capacity of the shuttle by going smaller.

    --
    I'll form my OWN solar system! With blackjack! And hookers!
    1. Re:We need new technology... by timeOday · · Score: 1
      Perhaps an array of sensors along the heat shield could report about the integrity of the vessel. Even external cameras are a possibility. A solution as simple as these could keep the aging shuttles flying safely for several more years while a more advanced space solution is developed.
      Well, this "space jeep" isn't more advanced, it's less advanced. From the article:
      The key to the project, Smith said, is to keep the spacecraft simple and use technology that already has been developed. That also makes its cheap.
      So it's not about new technology, and doesn't replace the shuttle, leaving the way open for your suggestions to help keep the Shuttle program on life support forever and ever.

      But one wonders, if this program isn't about technological advance, why do it at NASA?

    2. Re:We need new technology... by SWTP_OS9 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actualy what help in the investigation was all of the test sensors still in the wings from the early days.

      The main problem is the limited number of ships, turnaround time and what do you do if the "perfect" heatshield is damage? If they had a real fleet not 4 but 10 to 12 of different configurations and could do different jobs would be better off. Esp if turnaround time was in the orginal 2 weeks timeframe. Would be better than strip it down and rebuild. In other words the shuttle is a jack of all trades but a master of none.

    3. Re:We need new technology... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Columbia disaster would have been preventable had there been more ways to detect damage on the exterior of the shuttle other than a camera pinned to the ground.


      How?? The damage was done. Even if they'd known it was there, what could they have done about it??
    4. Re:We need new technology... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      The Columbia disaster would have been preventable had there been more ways to detect damage on the exterior of the shuttle other than a camera pinned to the ground. Perhaps an array of sensors along the heat shield could report about the integrity of the vessel. Even external cameras are a possibility. A solution as simple as these could keep the aging shuttles flying safely for several more years
      Problem is... These *aren't simple solutions. Cameras add weight, and need to be shielded from the extreme enviroment the Shuttle operates in. They need to be powered, and integrated with existing data handling systems. They need to be maintained and reliable.

      Making all this happen, and on a budget, and without causing more problems than you solve is far from easy.
    5. Re:We need new technology... by ruiner13 · · Score: 1
      "Perhaps an array of sensors along the heat shield could report about the integrity of the vessel. Even external cameras are a possibility. A solution as simple as these could keep the aging shuttles flying safely for several more years while a more advanced space solution is developed."

      What good is that going to do, exactly? So you figure out that the shuttle has a big gaping hole in the underside of the wing. What then? Its not like the shuttle carries replacement parts or even the tools needed to replace those things. Plus, keeping replacement parts for every possible thing that could go wrong would add to the liftoff weight and reduce the amount of useful experiments they can carry. Ok, so they could launch a rescue shuttle? Um, no. The shuttle takes too long to prep for launch, is too sensitive to weather to be able to launch in a pinch, and the cost of having a shuttle on standby 24-7 during an orbital mission would GREATLY increase the cost of missions, which is exactly what NASA doesn't need to keep operating long into the 21st century.

      --

      today is spelling optional day.

    6. Re:We need new technology... by nutshell42 · · Score: 1
      Well, this "space jeep" isn't more advanced, it's less advanced.

      The goal is not to develop new technologies for this thing which doesn't mean they'll use stuff from the 70s.

      Despite different upgrades the basic space shuttle design is over 20 years old; the best and most expensive vcr from 20 years ago still won't come close to my $100 2001 model

      --
      Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
    7. Re:We need new technology... by Jamesie · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the crew wouldn't have died, they might have been able to stay on the ISS until the Russians sent up a capsule?
      As for the Shuttle, well I agree that there wouldn't be much they could do to repair it.

  11. Here we don't go again.... by Tangurena · · Score: 5, Insightful
    When the shuttle was originally planned, there were going to be several different models. The first would be a small capacity, pick up truck type. Followed by 2 larger models and 1 huge lifter. Due to politicking by the military, the first model to get built had a much larger model, and also had to glide back to the continental US in the event it was carrying some spy satellite (not even UK was trusted back then). The NRO decided not to use the shuttles for the KH series anyway.

    Because the shuttle had to be made far larger than the first one planned, too much new technology had to be invented to make it fly. If the planned progression happened as planned, the shuttles would have cost $200,000,000 rather than costing $2,200,000,000 each.

    I predict that the progression of craft will not happen.

    1. Re:Here we don't go again.... by ruiner13 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      "When the shuttle was originally planned, there were going to be several different models."

      Yeah, it was also supposed to be ready in time to push skylab back into a correct orbit before gravity had its way with it, and instead it was delayed and skylab made a big impact (har) in Australia. The shuttle was also supposed to only take a team of around 10 men about a month to service between missions. The heat resistant tiles ended up being waaaay to complex for that idea to work (each tile is uniquely cut for an exact position on the shuttle). Lets all hope NASA gets this one right... I don't think their congressional watchdogs want another hard to maintain super complex glider on their hands.

      --

      today is spelling optional day.

    2. Re:Here we don't go again.... by steveha · · Score: 1

      That's as may be. But the big problem with the Shuttle was that they didn't do incremental development: no prototypes, no test versions, just build version 1.0 and hope it works. The Great Leap Forward theory of spacecraft design.

      Before the Shuttle, everything NASA did was incremental, all the way back to the first rockets which were pretty much just tweaks to a proven missile design. What ever made them think they could crank out a perfect design without testing any part of it?

      steveha

      --
      lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
  12. 60% huh? by evil9000 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I guess people are more interested in creating things that will benefit mankind than bomb another nation in the OPEC region.

    1. Re:60% huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      I guess people are more interested in creating things that will benefit mankind than bomb another nation in the OPEC region.

      come on, now, be serious. there's no reason we can't do both.

    2. Re:60% huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. Think what damage we could do dropping pennies from orbit.

    3. Re:60% huh? by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      Since oppressed Iraqis are part of mankind, free Iraqis are also part of mankind, and the technology and civilization to put a space program into practice requires the free flow of oil, bombing lunatic dictatorial OPEC nations is of great benefit to mankind.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    4. Re:60% huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When do you expect them to be free then?

    5. Re:60% huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not until Bush and his cronies have 100% control of all the oil in the Iraqi oil fields. Once that is guarenteed, then we will allow the iraqis to set up their own government
      What I find funny is that Afghanastan actually needed more hand holding to set up a decent government and we were able to get in and out rather quickly. With Iraq, we refuse to do the same. I wonder what is different?

  13. MOD PARENT DOWN! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is an obvious karma whore trying to get an easy 5, insighful! Please moderate down.

    --
    TALM, Trolls against lame moderators.

    1. Re:MOD PARENT DOWN! by jhoegl · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      start your own website then and stfu. jackass

    2. Re:Mod parent down! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At the rist of feeding a troll, there's a LOT of information out there. Selecting the right data and making connections with them is nothing to sneeze at. It's called research -- finding trends, finding precedents. The data may be there but the connections are not.

      You suggest that we should all be thinking actively about every slashdot story we've EVER read, and considered the implications that each story has on the current one?

  14. Good riddance to the space shuttle by n0nsensical · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The leading article of this week's Economist (subscriber-only unfortunately) is a great summary of why the space shuttle needs to be retired. The shuttle is too expensive, unsafe, and unnecessary to justify dumping more money into the program. The vast amount of money that NASA spends on the shuttle and space station could be much better spent elsewhere. The space station exists because of the need to give the shuttle a purpose and the shuttle program only continues because of the space station. NASA should ditch the shuttle, encourage private enterprise in the space business, and concentrate on developing new methods of space travel that might actually result in new exploration instead of simply traveling around the earth in circles.

    1. Re:Good riddance to the space shuttle by rokzy · · Score: 1

      "The space station exists because of the need to give the shuttle a purpose"

      lol

    2. Re:Good riddance to the space shuttle by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      encourage private enterprise in the space
      To do what?

      What makes think that if there was a buck to made in space the private enterprise would not be doing it already?
      concentrate on developing new methods of space travel that might actually result in new exploration instead of simply traveling around the earth in circles.
      If simply travelling in circles was what they were doing, you'd have a point. But they aren't.
    3. Re:Good riddance to the space shuttle by n0nsensical · · Score: 1

      To do what?

      What makes think that if there was a buck to made in space the private enterprise would not be doing it already?


      One problem is the high cost of getting into space in the first place. If NASA became a customer instead of a competitor to private space industry, they could provide the money necessary to jump start a space program that, once started, could fund itself by bringing laypeople with money into space. Few in private industry are willing at this point to risk such large amounts of money, but NASA could, and even if the program ended up failing, at least some new developments in space vehicle design could come out of it.

      If simply travelling in circles was what they were doing, you'd have a point. But they aren't.

      Well, as the Economist article says,
      going round and round in orbit--as the station does--does not explore any frontier. Indeed, because the station (and the shuttle) suck up most of NASA's budget, the agency has little cash to undertake science and exploration that would be truly path-breaking. The shuttle and the space station thus hold back scientific inquiry, rather than advancing it.

    4. Re:Good riddance to the space shuttle by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      One problem is the high cost of getting into space in the first place. If NASA became a customer instead of a competitor to private space industry, they could provide the money necessary to jump start a space program
      Guess what? Except for the Shuttle, (which is far from the only NASA launch program), NASA *is* a customer to private space industry. (Who do you think builds the Delta rockets?)
      started, could fund itself by bringing laypeople with money into space.,
      Of course, NASA isn't interested in the types of vehicles needed to take the layman into space. They don't fit it's missions.
      Few in private industry are willing at this point to risk such large amounts of money, but NASA could
      Why should NASA waste the taxpayers money to build something it doesn't need?
      Well, as the Economist article says, going round and round in orbit--as the station does--does not explore any frontier.
      Because the Economist confuses stunts with science and exploration. Real science is dull and time consuming.
    5. Re:Good riddance to the space shuttle by n0nsensical · · Score: 1

      Guess what? Except for the Shuttle, (which is far from the only NASA launch program), NASA *is* a customer to private space industry. (Who do you think builds the Delta rockets?)

      The "except for the Shuttle" part is what I'm saying NASA needs to change.

      Of course, NASA isn't interested in the types of vehicles needed to take the layman into space. They don't fit it's missions. Why should NASA waste the taxpayers money to build something it doesn't need?

      But NASA is interested in that type of vehicle. The same vehicle can be used for transporting astronauts and laypeople. One of the ways the shuttle is used currently is to ferry people between earth and the space station, yet the shuttle is very inefficient for that purpose. I would argue that NASA should indeed be funding the design of a ship that can provide cheap space travel for people, but not creating the actual design and ships. NASA is already wasting taxpayers' money on something it doesn't need, maintenance and operation of the shuttle program.

  15. Spaceship One? by eexlebots · · Score: 3, Interesting

    SpaceShip One has to be significantly cheaper than the 2.4 billion they're talking about for the simple ferry system NASA is talking about here. Couldn't they use some jacked version of SS1 (capable of reaching orbit) and save a lot of money/time/effort/etc?

    --
    ***
    1. Re:Spaceship One? by LooseChanj · · Score: 2, Informative

      Erm, no. SS1 will only reach speeds of around mach 5 or so, and altitudes of around 62 miles. And that's a much more benign mission profile than 17,500mph and ~300 miles up.

      --
      Mix the failings of Usenet with the shortcomings of the World Wide Web and the result is slashdot.
  16. MOD PARENT DOWN! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is a lame attempt to get an easy 5, insightful. A person who knows more than Clue 101 knows this crap is bullshit please mod down.

    TALM, Trolls against lame moderators.

  17. need new challenge by jr87 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    What the space program really needs is a lofty goal and a challenge. We should aim for something like Mars, or semi permenant lab on the moon. We need someone to compete against. (I heard the private sector is starting to get interested in space so maybe in time?) We need a challenge like JFK's challenge to get to the moon. We need to find the drive to continue exploration. The tech gap to get to Mars is far less than it was to the moon. I just think motivation and $$$ are all that is really needed.

    1. Re:need new challenge by demachina · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unfortunately George W. Bush is no John F. Kennedy. He generally hates big government unless its in the Defense, Justice, or Homeland Security departments. He is a complete zero when it comes to interest in science or space. He is 100% about making money for himself and his friends and at present none of them has pitched any business plan for space:

      1. Shoot rockets into space
      2. ?????
      3. Profit

      Its no accident George's appointment as head of NASA is an accountant, with no clue about engineering or space, whose main goal was/is to cut spending at NASA. What little space program there is primarily to transfer money to big aerospace/defense contractors. Not sure anyone cares if they actually do anything useful with the money before they pocket their cut.

      For the U.S. to have a space program that matters again there would need to be a visionary leader like JFK, a mission that matters (one beyond low earth orbit), a lead engineer like Kelly Johnson and a lean, mean organization like the Skunk Works of old.

      Having NASA design yet another space plane is just wasting billions of dollars, and another decade and when your done, if they even manage to finish it this time, you'll still just be going back and forth to LEO. We wont have moved a single step forward.

      A new space plane program has been started every couple of year at least since I worked there in the early 90's and everyone of them has been scraped after wasting money and time.

      --
      @de_machina
    2. Re:need new challenge by i'm+guessing · · Score: 1

      George Bush may not be a JFK, but I think he has a lot in common with Ham, our first chimponaut.

  18. other countries? by PaulGrimshaw · · Score: 1

    How does this compare with other countries forthcoming shuttles? (i.e. Japan). p.

  19. Even with their past... by josefcub · · Score: 1

    NASA might have big plans, and they might get changed or altered because of whatever factors cause it. But it still remains that even this inspires hope in those of us that still believe in the American space program.

    We did a great job in the 50s and 60s, and if this concept takes off (pun not intended) we might actually recover what we lost in the 70s, 80s, and 90s.

    ...just my $0.02
    Josef

    --
    Bleakness... Desolation... Plastic Forks...
  20. Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by Captain+Igloo · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Guess which design will be chosen? Do you really think, those in charge will drop the proposals that have too many bells and whistles, as written in the article?

    Of course, NASA will select the design with wings, probably the most expensive and error-prone variant, because it will be pushed through by the aerospace industry lobby.

    We will observe this agency bypass any principle of common sense and experiences from successful space programs, just to have a new shiny and politically pleasing toy. It's like re-inventing the wheel - this time not a round, but a square shaped one.

    What's so bad about winged designs?
    • Wings are useless during launch and in space, they just add to weight penalty.
    • Winged vehicles are unstable during re-entry and need a complex and error-prone automatic flight control system.
    • Wings are less fault tolerant and more vulnerable to damage.
    The worst idea is however to put a winged vehicle on top of a rocket! This concept has been repeatedly rejected due to very good reasons, the most important one being the high lateral and bending loads on the rocket!

    The good old ballistic capsule still holds all safety records in manned spaceflight - there are only very few lethal accidents, related to the large number of successful launches and returns. The Apollo capsule could land in an area of about 2 miles diameter so accuracy is not such a big concern. It could be further improved by using a parawing instead of parachutes.
    The only real problem with ballistic capsules is the high re-entry deceleration due to the low drag and therefore the late beginning of aerobraking. However, no astronaut was ever killed due to re-entry or landing impact deceleration and the problem could be dealt with by using additional inflatable structures to increase drag during the early re-entry phases.
    1. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by dfenstrate · · Score: 1

      Winged vehicles are unstable during re-entry and need a complex and error-prone automatic flight control system.

      There was a slashdot article some months ago, but shuttle code is about as perfect as it gets.

      Moreover, auto flight control for a shuttle-like vehicle is not substantially different from commercial aircraft (sure, sometimes it's firing rockets instead of moving aerlorons), and nobody has died from an autopilot error anytime in recent history. (A few have died because they flew in circumstances that the programmers didn't anticipate, and airbus makes the computer the final authority, instead of the pilot.)

      --
      Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
    2. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by Genady · · Score: 2, Interesting

      While I haven't looked at current proposals I do seem to remember that the USAF back in the '60's was actually rather close to developing an Aerospace plane, in fact you COULD call the X-15 perhaps the first of these. There is no need to make an Aerospace plane that rides into space atop some huge rocket. There's no reason you couldn't design some sort of hybrid air-breather/rocket that could get to altitude via an air-breathing system and then achieve orbit via a rocket system.

      --


      What if it is just turtles all the way down?
    3. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by GileadGreene · · Score: 1
      While I haven't looked at current proposals I do seem to remember that the USAF back in the '60's was actually rather close to developing an Aerospace plane, in fact you COULD call the X-15 perhaps the first of these. There is no need to make an Aerospace plane that rides into space atop some huge rocket.

      You are mostly likely thinking of the X-20 DynaSoar, which was considered the next step after the X-15 until it got cancelled in favor of Mercury/Gemini/Apollo. However, the X-20 concept did involve launching on top of a rocket - the OSP is very much a rehash of the old X-20 idea.

      There's no reason you couldn't design some sort of hybrid air-breather/rocket that could get to altitude via an air-breathing system and then achieve orbit via a rocket system.

      No reason aside from the fact that it requires a lot of technology development (i.e. money) to do a hybrid airbreather/rocket engine. OSP is intended to be a "quick and dirty" interrim solution, until a real next gen RLV can be developed. The argument is that it may not be the right "quick and dirty" solution (something more Apollo-like might be better in a lot of ways).

      A cheaper hybrid airbreather/rocket system (and perhaps this was what you were actually referring to) would be one that didn't combine both engines into one (ala the Pegasus launch vehicle). In fact, this is the approach that Burt Rutan is taking with his White Knight/SpaceShipOne X-prize entry. However, that design is, at least at this point, only good for suborbital hops. Is this really the best answer? I don't know. But I think that one of the nice things about the X-prize is that we get to see a bunch of different concepts actually perform, and from there we can pick the best ones. Much like the early evolution of aircraft design.

    4. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by Captain+Igloo · · Score: 1

      The successor to the X-15 was DynaSoar, a spaceplane sitting on top of a rocket. Guess why that design was dumped an no one ever picked it up again (although Europe was close with its stupit Hermes sitting on top of an Ariane 5).

    5. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The good old ballistic capsule still holds all safety records in manned spaceflight - there are only very few lethal accidents, related to the large number of successful launches and returns.
      Shuttle - 2 fatal accidents in 113 flights. (One launch one landing.) One ascent failure resulting in a mission being reflown.

      Soyuz - 2 fatal accidents on reentry, 2 launch accidents resulting in loss of vehicle, multiple landing accidents in 106 flights. (Not to mention multiple complete loss of mission accidents.) You can add in the 29 Mercury-ASTP flights, but they don't change the percentages much.

      The brutal fact is, capsules are *not* safer than the Shuttle, nor are they more reliable.
    6. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by Cyno · · Score: 1

      I was right. We are too stupid to go to space.

      Why can't we let our scientists and engineers build and test the system until they come back with the right way to do it?

      Because it will cost too much money.

      Just face it. We're lusers. Now don't be a sore luser and risk more lives by pretending you're still a winner. We gambled with their lives and very few of our dollars and lost. Put the rest of those dollars in the bank, or the military, or airlines or whatever. I don't care. I cared more about those lives. And I've lost faith in my people.

    7. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If the Soviet Union (notorious for the poor quality control of its industries), could build a capsule-based space system with a reliability matching the U.S. shuttle system, then that tells met that capsules are inherently far safer than a space plane. Also note that in contrast to the shuttle, the fatal accidents happened in the 60s and early 70s, and there have been no fatalities since that time.

    8. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Hmm, good example of mis-using statistics. Capsules have flown more than you show and over many more years. Also you are accounting failure of other parts of the vehicles into the mix. You could say the Shuttle never failed as it was other parts of STS that caused the accidents to happen.

      However, capsules are simpler and more resilient. They are also cheaper than shuttle's, and in the case of soyuz they have existing production lines. Improvements have been made over the years to fix previous flaws and make them more robust.

      There is also no where near enough examples to draw any serious conclusions on either side just by using accident statistics alone!

    9. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by Ealienation · · Score: 1

      What do you mean by an "error prone automatic flight control system"? The only errors with regards to entry FCS I can think of recently have been with a Soyuz CAPSULE this past Feb ..

      And as far as capsules go - for returning a few people they're ok - but your talking a pretty big capsule if you want to drop a crew of seven, their living quarters (for few a weeks) a sizable lab, and some payload back into the atmosphere. That's pretty much what the shuttle mission entails, and before you go extolling the virtues of capsules and lambasting NASA (not that they don't deserve it for other reasons) think a little bit about some of the problems of giant re-entry capsules: their shape (a cone? no the diameters too big, a sphere, a cylinder? don't think that's too stable), parachute scaling problems, payload bay locations, structural problems upon landing (shuttle landings are gentle, but I'd guess they are when compared to capsule landings), issues with science packages at impact, etc ..

      Granted, for the OSP mission, a capsule might be ok, but what if NASA wants to build on the OSP project, then they've taken a big expensive step in the wrong direction. Short Answer - Capsules are a dead end (and, hence boring).

      Maybe a Delta Clipper type design (but multi-stage) deserves a closer look? But personally I think wings are fine, and, in the long run, precisely what one wants in an atmosphere.

    10. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by huge · · Score: 1
      Networking truths refitted for Space program:
      • Wings
      • Safety
      • Price
      You can't have all, so choose any two.
      --
      -- Reality checks don't bounce.
    11. Re:Reinventing the wheel - a square shaped one by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      If the Soviet Union (notorious for the poor quality control of its industries), could build a capsule-based space system with a reliability matching the U.S. shuttle system, then that tells met that capsules are inherently far safer than a space plane.
      That's nonsense. If a capsule has a *far* greater (almost ten times greater) accident rate, then it's not inherently safer. The fUSSR and the Soviet Union have QA/QC problems, but not to the extent to offset a problem rate that high. (You might also study the American capsule programs, which had significant problems of their own.)
      Also note that in contrast to the shuttle, the fatal accidents happened in the 60s and early 70s, and there have been no fatalities since that time.
      There are accidents other than fatal ones, and there are accidents that are non fatal only through the grace of $DIETY. The fUSSR and Soviets have had accidents of both types fairly evenly spread across the whole life of the program.
  21. bit offtopic, but travel in space for FREE by lethalwp · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Now you can virtually travel in a 3D space environment, i've seen this news on newsforge, tried it out, and it was very interesting stuff :)

    You can go to the planet/star you want,at the time you want, travelling in a 3D/openGL system showing stars, comets, constellations, ... The software is called celestia
    Celestia link

    Also you can get a nice map of the stars using Skymap Link
    And it runs under wine :)

    Those are both great software you have to try out if you are interested in space/stars/...

  22. I can see it now... by jhoegl · · Score: 1

    "One time in space camp..." I dont know if I feel more like a nerd than a geek...

  23. Possible, but unlikely to be implemented by Iron+Sun · · Score: 1

    There is an interesting article here that discusses the use of either the OSP or a Soyuz capsule for Hubble maintenance. It would seem like a reasonable proposal, but it probably ain't gonna happen for political and "NASA cultural" reasons

  24. MOD PARENT DOWN! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Anybody who knows more than physics 101 knows that this is complete bullshit. Its just another buzzword using karma whore! Mod, -1, redundant!

    --
    TALM, trolls against lame moderators.

  25. Interesting article at SpaceDaily by tftp · · Score: 5, Informative

    Read this to find out what knowledgeable people think about the "Smaller Shuttle" idea.

    1. Re:Interesting article at SpaceDaily by steveha · · Score: 1

      The article made me blink three times in confusion.

      Apollo missions regularly landed within 2nm of the predicted point

      2 nanometers?!?

      I guess that's actually "nautical miles".

      steveha

      --
      lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
    2. Re:Interesting article at SpaceDaily by tftp · · Score: 1

      Nautical miles make sense, especially considering water landing :-)

    3. Re:Interesting article at SpaceDaily by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I read that article back when it came out, and it made perfect sense to me. Then by chance I stumbled across the entry for the cancelled Big Gemini project on astronautix.com.

      Seeing that kind of pissed me off. Way back in 1967 McDonnell Douglas had created a dirt cheap space taxi solution for up to 10 crew just by sticking an extension on a standard Gemini capsule. However, the focus on the Apollo missions and later the Space Shuttle pushed aside any non-glamorous low cost solutions such as this one. Now our government is planning to spend countless billions to build from scratch a new space system that will probably have less capability than what Big Gemini could have provided 35 years ago.

    4. Re:Interesting article at SpaceDaily by 0WaitState · · Score: 1

      Wow--fascinating stuff. Thanks for posting that.

      So, it looks like Nasa's as fucked up as any corporation, but unlike software where the failure cycles are measured in months and jobs lost, Nasa is measured in years and lives lost.

      --

      Remain calm! All is well!
    5. Re:Interesting article at SpaceDaily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nasa? What the fuck is that? Oh, NASA. Look's like you're as fucked up as any asshole around. Cluebat yourself.

  26. car anaologies by winkydink · · Score: 1
    AP has a decent piece looking at NASA's orbital space plane program, and describing it as a sedan compared to a tractor-trailer.

    I'm waiting for the pickup truck with a gun rack.

    --

    "I'd rather be a lightning rod than a seismometer." -Ken Kesey

  27. Pardon me while I stifle a yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://vesuvius.jsc.nasa.gov/er/seh/know18.html The Russians had a spaceplane in the works years ago. If anyone at NASA had a clue they'd just dig up whatever info is available about this proven design and use it. Instead they'll waste billions developing somthing that'll do exactly the same damn thing.

    1. Re:Pardon me while I stifle a yawn by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      What I heard about this was that it was built, flown once without humans, and abandoned. The reason? It was far more cost-effective to just use the simple and cheap Soyuz disposable craft.

  28. What about support for the other unknowns... by Microsofts+slave · · Score: 1
    What about support for the other place where "no man has gone before" ? The ocean is a place that we have seen less than 2 percent of. Why arent we investigating this place, where new life forms are nearly guaranteed. These new life forms could possible provide answers and cures.

    But the public support for space program is many times greater than public support for studying our oceans.

    "who cares, its just a bunch a water!"

    --

    Tragek

    1. Re:What about support for the other unknowns... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stop me if I'm wrong, but doesn't NASA spend a very large amount of time and money analyzing the deep ocean, since that the most inhospitable environment they can find on planet Earth? Has someone got links up their sleeves?

  29. "Stubby Wings" description from the article by TWX · · Score: 3, Insightful

    At one point, the reporter describes the craft has having stubby wings. The thing is, these craft look to have lifting body or partial lifting body designs, so they're essentially _all_ wing (at least the non-capsule ones are). The design at the top left side is especially so.

    I hope that one of these designs pans out. It would make a lot of sense to have something cheap and small for human transport. By the look of the Space Shuttle, if it's going to be practical for people, the entire cargo bay would need to be converted a'la bus, which just doesn't seem like a very good idea.

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  30. There can be only One by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I think that the 'space plane' should seat one person. Not atleast two. Not atleast one. One.

    The reason is that that means that they would have to launch much more often to launch the same number of people. This means that for compared with the Space Shuttle that seated 7, the cost is almost halved; just from having to launch more.

    In addition the planes would be cheaper in absolute terms because they are smaller. (It turns out that smaller rockets are about the same cost as big rockets per kg of payload- everything else being equal; which it seldom is at the moment; for example Pegasus is a small vehicle, but that's a solid vehicle with numerous stages, and it turns out to be very expensive, a liquid fuelled rocket with less stages would be cheaper if launched reasonably often).

    This means, in turn that they would have to make proportionately more planes. That in turn gives economies of scale- each time you double the production run, the cost per item goes down by 15%.

    It turns out that economies of scale are the most powerful known way to reduce costs- more powerful than reusability or using hydrogen fuel, or anything else.

    Of course seating one person has it's problems- we probably don't have a rocket that small anymore, so you have to build a smaller rocket. There are also problems with the smaller size making it harder to fit a person in. But these are mainly difficulties not insoluble problems- pretty much it's much cheaper in the long run to seat one. That means that America might be able to capture space tourism market share from the Ruskies; at the moment the Shuttle is ridiculously more expensive for launching people into space.

    --

    -WolfWithoutAClause

    "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    1. Re:There can be only One by tftp · · Score: 1
      I think that the 'space plane' should seat one person. Not atleast two. Not atleast one. One. The reason is that that means that they would have to launch much more often to launch the same number of people. This means that for compared with the Space Shuttle that seated 7, the cost is almost halved; just from having to launch more.

      However you will suffer four times as many failures, unless you push the reliability of the design further into 9's. But if you do that then the cost rises... See, there is an optimal design which minimizes the cost and risk, given your priorities. And one-seater is not it. Read more detailed analysis of this issue.

      Of course seating one person has it's problems- we probably don't have a rocket that small anymore, so you have to build a smaller rocket.

      This is not quite correct. The size of the vehicle depends largely on features such as life support, avionics, engines etc. You can not fly to LEO in a telephone booth (unless you are The Doctor :-)

    2. Re:There can be only One by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 1
      However you will suffer four times as many failures, unless you push the reliability of the design further into 9's.

      No, that's wrong. I think the safety and reliability improves as you launch more.

      Sure, you'd get more failures per decade, but the death rate would be lower- you'd kill less people.

      The real point is that you would be able to fix the bugs in the launch system before more people die. With the Shuttle 7 people die before you even know you have a problem; so the death rate is going to be 7x worse than launching one at a time.

      The size of the vehicle depends largely on features such as life support, avionics, engines etc.

      All of which scale down well with the number of passengers (except avionics, but that is microelectronics and has made great strides in the past few decades anyway.)

      Incidentally, the link that you gave does not support the case that a launch vehicle scaled for one isn't the optimum, although the author doesn't appear to like it. The subtle point you and he has missed is that launching fuel and water and food and stuff is cheaper for a small vehicle too, and for the same reasons.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    3. Re:There can be only One by tftp · · Score: 1
      I have only few comments on simple things:

      I think the safety and reliability improves as you launch more.

      Actually, the reliability does not depend on number of launches. It depends on number of bugs found and fixed. Since this work costs money, it translates into improved reliability after all, as advertised :-)

      With rare, risky launches you just take your chances without investing into a more reliable system - and get the same number of failures per tons/persons launched.

      In the long run it is beneficial to invest into a reliable vehicle. However "long run" is hard to define, because the vehicle may become obsolete exactly when it reaches its peak (having consumed decades of development and enhancements.) So it can be argued either way.

      But indeed, with smaller vehicle your failures will be smaller as well, though more frequent until the system is improved. It's just statistics.

    4. Re:There can be only One by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 1
      Actually, the reliability does not depend on number of launches. It depends on number of bugs found and fixed. Since this work costs money, it translates into improved reliability after all, as advertised :-)

      Excellent point so you're making less money per flight and the outgoings are higher; unfortunate, but you do end up with more reliability. Of course in theory you don't have to fix the problems straight away in some cases; in practice there would be huge pressure to fix them right away.

      On the other side of the coin there's also the other points that if you launch more often then you can actually measure the real accident rate. For example, the measured failure rate of the Shuttle is about 2%. Possibly the real failure rate is more like 1% right now- the Challenger accident should not recur. But because we have only launched 115 times or whatever, there's no proof. If you actually launch 400x or something, you'd pretty much know the real rate.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
  31. MOD PARENT DOWN! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Lets see
    • Non linked URL to make life harder for non X 11 based users (Obviously a fat gentoo zealot)
    • Soviet russia reference
    • Kneejerk reaction
    Total, 5 insightful! Please moderate down, stop the abuse of karma! -- TALM, Trolls against lame moderation!
  32. $2.4 Billion LIFEBOAT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The space plane will have only two missions: [...] and to act as a standby lifeboat, parked at the space station for the evacuation of astronauts if there is an emergency.

    This strikes me as a complete waste of money, if that's one of it's uses.

    Come on people! Use a bloody Soyuz for that! They're a hell of a lot cheaper than $2.4 Billion Dollars! It's a freakin' lifeboat!

    Okay, I understand that we would be limited to six people instead of seven. I don't have a problem with that, personally. We might have to be build another docking area. Fine. I think a Soyuz and a second docking area would be a hell of a lot cheaper than $2.4 billion dollars!

    Don't get me wrong, I think the space-plane is a wise idea. Flying the shuttle is an expensive way to get people up to the space station (unless it's delivering parts, too). I could also see having one docked there if we were going to use Space Station personnel as a "fix-it" crew (if the Hubble has problems, send up the parts and use the "sedan" to drive over and fix it).

    But leaving one of these expensive things docked there just to get astronauts back to the ground in the event of a catastrophe? Why not just use a Soyuz capsule which does the same thing at possibly a quarter of the cost?

    1. Re:$2.4 Billion LIFEBOAT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please, gentle poster, allow me to educate you on the use of the $ sign. When a number preceded with that sign is read (and thus, typed as well), the $ means "dollars." Therefore, using the $ sign and then adding "dollars" after your number is redundant. 2.4 billion dollars dollars, indeed!

    2. Re:$2.4 Billion LIFEBOAT? by SWTP_OS9 · · Score: 1

      Actualy they use one now as a lifeboat. Thats the reason why they have amax of 3 { 2 now } people aboard ISS.

    3. Re:$2.4 Billion LIFEBOAT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's why he said that 6 (instead of 7 people could be on the ISS) if we had another Soyuz docking module.

    4. Re:$2.4 Billion LIFEBOAT? by NOLAChief · · Score: 2, Informative
      Come on people! Use a bloody Soyuz for that! They're a hell of a lot cheaper than $2.4 Billion Dollars! It's a freakin' lifeboat!

      NASA is already relying on Russia for the Soyuz capsules for the lifeboats. Two problems: the Soyuz capsules have a 6 month max lifetime and thus have to be replaced. Also, the Russians are barely able to keep up their commitments to manufacture new Soyuz TMA's and Progress supply capsules. I think NASA's idea is to ensure the continued operation of the station with a reusable vehicle and not having to worry about the Russians going bankrupt.

      Don't get me wrong, I think the space-plane is a wise idea. Flying the shuttle is an expensive way to get people up to the space station (unless it's delivering parts, too). I could also see having one docked there if we were going to use Space Station personnel as a "fix-it" crew (if the Hubble has problems, send up the parts and use the "sedan" to drive over and fix it).

      You're trying to make the same argument that people were making when they asked why Columbia couldn't have made the station and used it as a sanctuary. The ISS and Hubble (and most everything else in orbit) have very different orbits. It takes fuel to get from one orbit to another and back again. So it is much more cost effective to send the shuttle to fix Hubble than it is to send the parts and the extra fuel needed by way of the space station in order to fix it with an OSP.

    5. Re:$2.4 Billion LIFEBOAT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      So what does it cost to make the Soyuz last a bit longer in orbit?

      Don't you need them for return vehicles anyhow? Take one up, ride the old one back? Am I missing something?

      As for money, don't you think part of that $2.4 billion would cure that problem? What are partners for if you can't help one another?

    6. Re:$2.4 Billion LIFEBOAT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      why do people assume that the soyuz is any better or safer than the shuttle? it has a poorer safety record than the shuttle.

    7. Re:$2.4 Billion LIFEBOAT? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      There are two costs that you try to prevent via safety - human cost and material cost. Safety prevents accidents which reduce these.

      I'm not aware of any loss of life associated with Soyuz craft thus far. They've had plenty of stuff go wrong, but the ship has a much better overall design than the shuttle (it is inherently stable and suited for space travle rather than unstable and suited for gliding, for starters). When stuff goes wrong, people have less of a tendency to die. As long as the crew gets home safely, material cost is a non-issue. Is it worth spending 2 billion instead of 0.5 billion to prevent a 1/50 chance of losing the ship only in favor of a 1/100 chance? That's like spending an extra $100k on a car that lasts 10 years longer.

  33. Not a shuttle replacement - not yet by gad_zuki! · · Score: 3, Insightful

    >It only would have a crew of 4, and would carry light cargo.

    Also, the article mentions NASA would also have to build a different heavy lifter, thus seperating the two technologies. The cheap taxpayer part of me is asking why we don't just use cheap Soyuz tech and rockets for some/most launches.

    I wonder if the new heavy launcher that will eventually replace the shuttle will just be a simple rocket like the Europeans and Russians use, not another manned shuttle. If the spaceplane flies there will be no need for a manned huge shuttle/lifter.

    The downside is that the science done on the shuttle would be down on a station, for the most part. I don't know if this is a big deal or not or if the space planes cargo section will make this a non-issue.

    I like the idea that a spaceplane means that there will have to be a space station of some kind because there wont be enough real estate on the spaceplane to do much. Also, the optimist in me sees this as a logical step towards a permanent moon base.

    I don't understand the current obsession with Mars when a moonbase could do so much more, but I'm sure that's a sticking point for many and not something I want to argue. Both would be amazing human accomplishments.

  34. Not very smart by Edmund+Blackadder · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There was a previous article posted on slashdot regarding this that made a lot of sense. Unfortunately i do not remember the authors name and cannot do a search. If anyone remembers pelase post a link.

    The article made a lot of sense. It basicly said the following things:

    building spaceplanes is stupid. They are expensive and dangerous. And what is even worse most of the expense and danger on spaceplanes does not have to do with space exploration at all, but with take off and landing ... something that can be done relatively simply and reliably using balistic capsules.

    A simple ballistic capsule with a parachute is many times simpler, safer and cheaper than a space plane. Every other space agency has figured this out a long time ago, but apparently NASA has too many Billions to burn through in order to have this simple revalation.

    Saying the thing is projected to cost only 2.3 billion (or whatever they said) is completely meaningless, because if anyone pays attantion to the history of these projects they would know that this is guaranteed to go over budget.

    Making the craft smaller will not bring much savings in development. The greatest development costs of a space plane that carries people will go in engineering and testing to ensure safety. The level of safety required is the same for four or seven people.

    Well these are not my points they are from the article i mentioned. But I think they are good points.

    I am for space exploration, but lets face it projects like these are clearly wastes of money.

    Nasa should develop a simple safe ballistic craft, (something like the soyuz) and use the big bucks for actual space exploration.

    It is completely mindbogglig that we are wasting money and lives because nasa insists on exotic ways of going into and out of orbit.

    1. Re:Not very smart by Birger+Johansson · · Score: 2, Interesting

      -As a matter of fact, the chinese have already done what you suggest, and built a modified version of Soyuz for their own manned space program. This is a very obvious, cost-effective and safe way to go, but national pride will rule out this option.
      Let us however assume logic prevails. In that case, a slightly upgraded russian R-7 (Soyuz) launcher could carry an upgraded Souyz derivative with capacity for four persons. The current version of R-7 is from 1967 and uses kerosene/LOX in all stages.
      A bigger derivative of the old US Centaur stage (with hydrogen and LOX) as the last R-7 stage should be able to carry four astronauts to ISS and to Hubble servicing missions at a fraction of the cost of launching the shuttle. Nearly all the stuff would be off-the-shelf.

      BTW, the french are building a launch pad at Kourou for the R-7 since they like its low cost and reliability. If you launch from an equatorial site (instead from Russia) an ordinary R-7/ordinary Soyuz combination could be used for servicing Hubble -without modifications !

    2. Re:Not very smart by Cyno · · Score: 1

      Personally I think we should all forget about space until we're rich. Maybe then we can forget about the money and do it right.

    3. Re:Not very smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That was an idiotic post.

      "Oh, I remember an article, I don't know where, or by who. I don't what it said. I think it said this. And I'm going to cite it as my higher authority."

      Oh, BS, your article was BS and you're full of BS. Jeez, maybe you're looking for www.highlights.com. Screw stupid posts and dumber moderators. Insightful, feh.

  35. KH-11 and other CIA Sats by Genady · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Okay, if we do decide to go with an orbital space plane what is going to ferry the huge Hubble sized spy sattelites into orbit? I've got to thing that the KH series of sattelites is at least in part the reason we still have a shuttle.

    --


    What if it is just turtles all the way down?
    1. Re:KH-11 and other CIA Sats by Gaijinator · · Score: 1

      If you read the article, you would note that this craft is not replacing the space shuttle. It is providing a cheaper way to transport "people and light cargo". NASA has plans to build a new cargo ship to replace the space shuttle, but that's a later project.

      --
      "For success, it is essential you have Thunderball Fists." "I can have such a thing?" "That's right. Thunderball Fists."
    2. Re:KH-11 and other CIA Sats by tftp · · Score: 1
      what is going to ferry the huge Hubble sized spy sattelites into orbit?

      Rockets, man, rockets. That's what most satellites are launched on, all over the world, reliably and safely.

    3. Re:KH-11 and other CIA Sats by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Informative
      I've got to thing that the KH series of sattelites is at least in part the reason we still have a shuttle.
      Nope. The USAF uses Titans to launch the big spy sats and always has. The last non-civilian flight of the Shuttle was in 1989.
  36. obligatory comment by McAddress · · Score: 1

    In Soviet Russia, the space program supports the public.

  37. NIce dress by annisette · · Score: 1

    I get it a fashon show, not to take a different direction but it seems directors are lost in the woods. Look out, no not that, LOOK OUT!! Space exploration is thataway and we won't get there by going in circles. Break the goddamn orbit and take point b away frim point a. Get it?

    --
    I eat my grapes at room temperature, cuz the cold ones hurt my teeth
  38. Maybe they are suffering from penis envy.... by LordChaos · · Score: 4, Funny

    From the article:

    "We're doing everything we can to get it up by 2008"

    Have they tried viagra??

    1. Re:Maybe they are suffering from penis envy.... by error502 · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps a mango?

  39. *News Alert* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    CowboyNeal's "white ring" discovered off the coast of Antarctica.

    Story Here

  40. Rockets? Ummm, no by DesScorp · · Score: 1, Informative

    While I'd like to see more use of disposable, cheaper rockets, it's near impossible to launch something like Hubble into orbit with them. Have you actually SEEN how big Hubble is? Things like Delta or Titan rockets couldn't do it. If we still had the Saturn V, MAYBE that could do it. But we've had nothing like the Saturn for decades now, and the costs to develop an equivilant to it wouldn't make it truly cost effective. There are some missions where we simply need a big 'ole space truck like the shuttle. Don't get me wrong. I'd LOVE for us to bring someting like the Saturn back, but don't bet on it.

    --
    Life is hard, and the world is cruel
    1. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There are some missions where we simply need a big 'ole space truck like the shuttle"

      Other than hauling parts of the ISS into orbit name ONE. The ISS is the only reason for the Shuttle to exist at this point.

      Hubble is being EOL'd in 2010 when the JWST is properly positioned.

    2. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by cmowire · · Score: 4, Informative

      You haven't been keeping up. The Delta IV Large, which is the current largest available production booster, has a 5 m diamater fairing and can lift 25,800 kg to LEO. The Hubble Space Telescope is a mere 10,863 kg. At that rate, even the Delta IV Medium could lift it.

    3. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Combining humans and cargo in one vehicle is not such a good idea. Humans require extra safety margins, less G loads and abort options that cargo does not. All of those requirements add weight to the vehicle which in turn increases fuel loads and that then in turn increases strucutral requirements ... Also a lot of cargo is dangerous to humans, so when loaded on a manned craft more protections must be taken.

      To build the best human->LEO transport system you want to keep it small/simple/safe and single purposed. I have reservations about even building a "plane" like vehicle. What does it do for you? When going up to orbit, it's dead weight, worse it's increased drag. On return it only gives you marginal cross range capabilities, and with the high landing speeds the number of landing sites are limited. Plus there is the problem of the landing gear compromising the integrity if the heat sheilding. Capsule design is simpler and most likely safer. Are there not *more* landing opportunities with a capsule anyway?

      I suppose I am a bit radical in my thinking, but don't we already have a partner that has what we need? Why not just use the Russian vehicles. We could spend the money on something else, like getting going on building an international moon base. Using advanced robotics and tele-presence to get things going would seem to me to be a good approach. We sure could use the technology developed from that to help us here on Earth. What technological benefit will we get from building another space plane or capsule. We already know how to. Is it not time to pass that along to the private sector?

      Also insn't there a world wide surplus of launch capacity now? Should we be thinking about using some of that to ferry supplies to the space station and beyond? If it were me I would be offloading things from STS as quickly as possible. Again the Russians have progress, should we not leverage that vehicle? If we truly want to be good partners we should learn to use one another's capabilities to the best advantage of all involved.

    4. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by saider · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I suppose I am a bit radical in my thinking, but don't we already have a partner that has what we need? Why not just use the Russian vehicles.


      The article mentioned that the Russian vehicles do not have the capacity for a space minivan. NASA wants the thing to carry 7 people, instead of three.


      But I otherwise agree. So much money is spent on making things reuseable, that it is just plain cheaper to use disposable (and simpler) rockets. Until we can fly to orbit, stick with the simple stuff.

      --


      Remember, You are unique...just like everyone else.
    5. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Hubble II" is more properly called the James Webb Space Telescope. It will not be in LEO, but rather will be orbiting the (Sun-Earth-Moon) Lagrange L2 point, which is 1.5 million km out.

    6. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1
      NASA wants the thing to carry 7 people, instead of three.
      Why? To economise on funeral costs? Yes, 7 burials for the price of 3, that's a smart cost saving measure.

      What NASA wants should be the least important consideration. NASA wants a space plane 'cos it's the dream of all those pilots playing at astronauts they're stuck with.

      Real spacecraft don't have wings.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    7. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by jxliv7 · · Score: 1
      Burials? what burials?

      real space pioneers get cremated on reentry...

    8. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      Yes, but as you know launching satellites on unmanned rockets is simpler. It also doesn't involved the risk of human life from complex spacewalks.

      Hence, an orbital telescope launched from a rocket wouldn't get near the ratings as the really cool pictures of people pushing around orbital cargo with jet packs. ;-)

      --
      -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    9. Re:Rockets? Ummm, no by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      Isn't that where the SOHO satellite is for observing the Sun. Does that mean we get to blow up SOHO before setting up shop ;-)

      --
      -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
  41. The Orlando Sentinel is a Florida paper? by Basehart · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I guess only Floridians could take a poll among Floridians and assume it reflects the will of the American people, and it's also not surprising that 60% of Floridians polled think the space program is cool seeing as most of NASA is based there! I actually agree with them but c'mon Florida, you don't exactly have your finger on the pulse of the Nation!

    1. Re:The Orlando Sentinel is a Florida paper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, and the 'Slant-inel' is not noted for "fair and balanced" reporting, either. Still, Florida's population is from everywhere *but* Florida, so they are more representative of the US as a whole than you might think.

      Now if they'd all go back where they came from . . . and take Jeb with 'em. Out-of-staters, that is. The immigrants from off-shore are generally great.

      Oh, yeah --- let's fund the shit out of NASA and get the politicians out of the deciusion making process. This ass in charge of NASA now was sent by Georgie Bush to slash-and-burn NASA's budget and mission, until the Columbia breakup bit 'em in the ass. Hypocritical bastard. It was those policies --- rape the funding, demand more launches, we don't want to hear why you can't do it --- that led to the disaster. NASA has screamed loud and long they couldn't sustain a vigorous, safe program on a shoestring budget, but no one wanted to hear it. So decisions get made as much on a political basis as otherwise, leading to avoidable losses.

      By the way, where did y'all get the idea that space exploration was a low-risk endeavor, anyway? It's not. But the cowards never started, and the weaklings died along the way. Ask you ancestors.

      Best,
      Mal the Elder
      (An actual Florida native
      and stone space-freak)

    2. Re:The Orlando Sentinel is a Florida paper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      that 60% of Floridians polled think the space program is cool seeing as most of NASA is based there!

      I know, you're being sarcastic. NASA funds a lot more than just space.

      that digital camera you use? It was developed with NASA's assitance.

      NASA funds research in all areas, It's just the most PR potent ones are at Cape Canaveral, FL, US.

      You can subscribe to NASA Tech Briefs here.


      It really surprises me how many Doctors, Engineers, Biologists, etc. don't know about this.

  42. If we wait for NASA to get us to Mars... by voss · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Our grandchildren will be dead and buried.

    Its time to accept that NASA was good to start us off, but its time to break away from mommy, and start to walk on our own. One of the great myths of the last 20 years was that government created the internet.

    The government created DARPA and it successor, a network whos users still numbered in the thousands as of 1990. It was when the government opened up that network and was used by university students for non-academic work (piracy) and businesses that the internet(porn) that it started to boom. Porn and Piracy and some naive librarians with some utopian scheme called hypertext got the internet up and running.

    Now what will sell space...sex. More people will pay $100,000 to have zero-g sex in space for an hour or two than to take photographs in space or do other dorky things noone cares about.

    What else will sell in space? Hotels. Whatever you can say about space its one hell of a view. There are tens maybe hundreds of thousands of people who will pay $100,000 for a weekend(or a honeymoon) in space.

    What further service? Sameday transpacific delivery service.

    How do we get there from here...the people who build the spacecraft need to be taken off the government tit and design craft that can be run inexpensively and operated efficiently. If the spacecraft industry had progressed at the same rate as the airline industry, space travel would be routine and cheap.

    What is the difference? NASA pays contractors to build stuff for them, and then operates the stuff itself. There is no competition because NASA provides service below cost to the customer.

    In 1930s the post office had an actual need(air mail) and then contracted with private enterprise to provide that service and didnt pay unless the service is rendered on time and on schedule. Now these airlines had room for passengers so carried passengers in addition to the government contract.

    Lets build a spacecraft that takes passengers up to a space hotel/hub then goes back down to a diffeent port with their packages and their passengers.

    1. Re:If we wait for NASA to get us to Mars... by SWTP_OS9 · · Score: 1

      There are some groups that are think of the tourist aspect. Take the fuel tank up to orbit with internal mod and string a few together. Zip you have very large tourst destination. And using minum fuel could send it around the moom like a cruse ship. Makes a lot more sense than the concept than the ISS as its in place now. Plenty of room etc. Maybe riskey but so is crossing the street.

      The secret to juggling is not doing it once but multiple times.

      You can tell from the History Channel show "Failure is not an Option" that those guys that did Mission Control back in the 60's and 70's had the drive and passion to do it but do it right! They gave a darn.

      Could today group had said stop, have problem, lets get them back? After Apollo 1 failure they literly started from scratch fix the whole buggy mes and when 8 flew it was textbook. When 12 had the lighting hit and 13 a major problem they fought it and one. Look how much resources were use in saving them. Its not uncommon to have people injured or even die trying to rescue some one.

      Its better to go down swinging than to do nothing. If they found out and work on solving it and still failed they would have been a report of lets get it fixed but also everthing was done that could be done but instead the record read NASA faild and did not give a darn.

    2. Re:If we wait for NASA to get us to Mars... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      In 1930s the post office had an actual need(air mail) and then contracted with private enterprise to provide that service and didnt pay unless the service is rendered on time and on schedule. Now these airlines had room for passengers so carried passengers in addition to the government contract.

      The air mail was carried as cargo on passenger planes. And then when the contractors wanted a large fee increase for carrying the mail, the Post Office refused, at first, and for about six months airmail was carried by the U.S. Army, either Air Corps. or Signal Corps., I forget which.

      Aviation in the Army took this route: Signal Corps.-> Air Corps. -> Army Air Force -> Air Force.

      While "mail planes" were designed and built, they were small and could carry only 4-6 passengers - without mail cargo. About a one thousand pound weight limit. They also had only one pilot.

      Think "regional air transport".

  43. seems stupid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why develop something with capabilities so similar to Soyuz, when you can just pay the russians to provide backup support while the shuttle is brought back into service?

    In the interim develop a real shuttle replacement. Something that can be heavy lifted to altitude, then launched horizontally, or take off from the ground.

    Whatever they design should have some kind of dual role...making it sellable to the commercial aircraft companies at some point as a base platform for cargo or passengers.

    NASA just doesn't seem to be anything like the organization that did the moon landings. Ignores warnings, does incredibly stupid things, kills people in the process.

    Maybe NASA should be gutted and have the best remaining parts put under USAF and DARPA control?

    Look how fast lockheed and the military built the SR-71, B2 and F-117 once they had the green light and the money to do so. All of these aircraft do things that were unthinkable before they were revealed to the public.

    Yes, I think this is a better approach. Let the USAF and Lockheed develop some kind of "space capable bomber" and get the f*cking job done. Even if they never build anything past test aircraft, they can license the resulting design to Boeing and let them make a true spaceplane, usable for either passengers or cargo.

    NASA no longer has what it takes to do the job, IMHO. Put a stake in it and move on.

    1. Re:seems stupid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um. The B2 was years late and some tens of billions over budget. The procurement was cut back by a third. As far as I recall it was made by Northrop (now part of Lockheed-martin anyway). Not, perhaps, the best example?

  44. Foreign Sedan: Japanese Precursor to Space Plane by reporter · · Score: 3, Informative
    The Japanese government has been conducting research on a space plane but has no plans to actually build one at the moment. Please read "Operation Status of High Speed Flight Demonstration (HSFD) Program" to see some color pictures of a scaled-down model of a future space plane. The Japanese space agency, NASDA, has been using this model to conduct flight tests.





    ... from the desk of the reporter

  45. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  46. capsuls can't control their landing by maynard · · Score: 5, Interesting
    What's so bad about winged designs?
    • Wings are useless during launch and in space, they just add to weight penalty.
    • Winged vehicles are unstable during re-entry and need a complex and error-prone automatic flight control system.
    • Wings are less fault tolerant and more vulnerable to damage.

    The worst idea is however to put a winged vehicle on top of a rocket!
    I'm not going to disagree with your points against winged shuttles, only that you misunderstand the design goals of the shuttle, and why they were valid goals.

    The Shuttle, and any next generation craft, is an attempt at creating not just a reusable vehicle, but also one which offers control at landing at a specific place; in this case a runway. Unlike a reentry capsule, which decends to some semi-random location by parachute, the Shuttle can glide toward a specific spot and land. This is a definite step up from previous capsuls in terms of technology and space readiness. And NASA wanted to do even better with their nextgen shuttle, the X-33 design goals were 'single stage to orbit', and would have allowed for a launch and land system without the costly solid fuel rockets. Also a reasonable design goal. Too bad the materials science for the hydrogen tanks isn't quite ready yet, nor are funds available to continue R&D.

    NASA is failing because of two primary problems:

    a) They lack funding from Congress, and as such are unable to both meet their launch goals and provide the necessary R&D for nextgen launch vehicles.

    b) They have foolishly cut safety funding in order to meet those same launch goals, as demanded by Congress. They should have either said straight - we can't meet your goals with the funding alloted, or dumped the Shuttle program and moved to traditional rockets (as you stated in your previous post).

    But to say that their R&D toward an orbital space plane was misplaced goes against the very grain of space exploration. At some point we're going to need vehicles that can operate in both space and the atmosphere. NASA obviously committed themselves toward the goal of creating such ships. Space will go nowhere if we only launch rockets into LEO and land in capsules by parachute. You can argue that our materials technology isn't ready yet for the challenges creating real land to space ships, but you can't argue that such a technology is the end goal for any space faring society.

    This is JMO, coming from someone who isn't either an aerospace engineer or involved with NASA - and as such has simply a semi-informed opinion to offer.

    Best,
    Maynard
    1. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by Captain+Igloo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The winged design of the shuttle is far from having shown any improvement in space readiness - the higher complexity and the intention to re-use the vehicle have dramatically increased turnaround times. By the way, the idea of returning damaged satellites, repairing them on the ground and sending them back into space has never been successfully exploited.

      For several reasons, the X-33 was dead from arrival, a fatally flawed design with the additional lack of capacity to carry people. At least with chemical, pure rocket propulsion, SSTO vehicles are neither feasible nor economically sound.

      In contrary to frequent misconceptions, materials technology does not follow Moore's law - heat and stress resistance DO NOT double every 18 months!

      It is easy to cry for more money, but as the OSP is likely to fail due to skyrocketing costs and technical problems (unless the capsule design is chosen), NASA will lack positive results, and without positive results, there is no funding. NASA would be better off to choose the technically best solution based on the available funds and be honest to the public about what is possible and what not.

    2. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why can't a capsule control it's landing? Previous capsules had steering thrusters and parachutes, but why could they not add other control mechanisms? Paraglider? Steering "petals" to control lateral and downrange movement? Perhaps even pop out rotors? Helicopters seem to do fine on emergency landings... How precise does the "spot" on the earth need to be anyway?

      I like the idea of a solid "firewall" heat shield, it's simpler and the materials are stronger. I don't care if they get thrown away each time or not, I don't reuse the tires on my car when they wear out... The requrements for this craft are utility driven and not reasearch based.

      I agree that one day it would be nice to fly into and out of space, landing and taking off when and where we want. That takes a lot of energy, so I think we need some fundamental change in propulsion techology for that. I would like to see the money spent on that vs. building another vehicle that essentially does the same job that we can already do with Russian craft. Personally I think NASA should be doing more of the "pure" research and exploration and leave the ISS taxi service to others.

    3. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      ...reusable...

      Why is this a good thing? We tried reusable, and it's fucking expensive. Go back to the cheap, throw-away rockets.

      What's more, if a craft is reusable, you build 4 or 6 of them then shut down the production line. Entropy sets in, and the inevitable budget cuts take their toll. When one craft blows up (and it will) and a replacement is needed -- oops, now where are those blueprints again? Whaddya mean we can no longer get this part?

      Shuttle can glide toward a specific spot and land.

      Well big deal. Buy a bunch of land out in the Great Plains and have NASA land their shit there, just like the Russians landing in Kazakhstan.

      ...technology...
      ...space readiness...
      ...'single stage to orbit'

      I don't see the word 'safety' in there anywhere. What are our priorities, again?

      without the costly solid fuel rockets.

      Solid rockets can't be throttled or shut off. They DO NOT BELONG on a man-rated spacecraft.

      At some point we're going to need vehicles that can operate in both space and the atmosphere.

      Yes, and at some point we're going to need a vessel to escape the Sun's evolution into a red giant. NASA's first priority should be to create a rock-solid, SAFE, manned spaceflight system based on capsules...THEN we can talk about the successor to the Shuttle, SSTOs, SCRAMjets, yadda yadda yadda.

    4. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For several reasons, the X-33 was dead from arrival, a fatally flawed design with the additional lack of capacity to carry people.

      First, the fatal flaw in the X-33 was that it tried to do too much at once; i.e., aerospike engines, conformal fuel tanks and a new heat shield design. All of which deserve their own X project. Second, it was an experimental project, experimental projects don't have a payload requirement.

      At least with chemical, pure rocket propulsion, SSTO vehicles are neither feasible nor economically sound.

      Third, nobody knows if SSTO vehicles are feasible or economically sound (ha, like the shuttle is economically sound, right), because nobody has even bothered trying. The X-33 was suppose to test the feasibility, but the Lockmart VentureStar proposal was fatally flawed from the start.

    5. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by R.Caley · · Score: 1
      The Shuttle, and any next generation craft, is an attempt at creating not just a reusable vehicle, but also one which offers control at landing at a specific place

      Of course, having this as a goal presupposes that it is a huge advantage. ISTM that countries like the US and Russia with ``uge great... tracks of land'' can set asside quite big areas to drop a capsule into. Yes it's more expensive to go get a capsule than to have a space plane come to you, but lan transport is quite cheap and so I doubt such costs come close to the costs of launching the wings into space, let alone the other costs of the space-plane designs.

      But to say that their R&D toward an orbital space plane was misplaced goes against the very grain of space exploration.

      It is not the R&D which is the problem, but the attempt to use what should have been an R&D test bed as a production vehicle.

      If NASA had built one space plane, better than the shuttle because it wouldn't have needed the design compromises included to try and turn it into a day to day service, and had in parallel developed lauch systems using up to date but stable technology, everyone would have won, except a few beurocrats and politicians.

      We might even have a workable space plane by now, since there could have been real R&D on the prototype using some of the money not spent on trying to keep the shuttle going.

      BTW, The Economist has a reasonable article about the scuttle this week. I think you need to be a subscriber to get the online version, so if you're interested go buy some dead tree or hit a library.

      --
      _O_
      .|<
      The named which can be named is not the true named
    6. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by jerryasher · · Score: 1

      X-38

    7. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by maynard · · Score: 1
      The Shuttle, and any next generation craft, is an attempt at creating not just a reusable vehicle, but also one which offers control at landing at a specific place

      Of course, having this as a goal presupposes that it is a huge advantage.
      Yes. Although in fairness I note that this advantage wasn't predetermined by me, but by NASA officials and Congress some thirty years previously. You can argue that it's a worthless goal today, and you may be able to make valid engineering points in favor of your argument, but it doesn't negate the point that folks at NASA thought it was a good idea back then.

      If NASA had built one space plane, better than the shuttle because it wouldn't have needed the design compromises included to try and turn it into a day to day service, and had in parallel developed lauch systems using up to date but stable technology, everyone would have won, except a few beurocrats and politicians.
      Agreed. There's no doubt the Shuttle suffered from a thousand paper-dollar cuts from its original inception as an idea to the final design and execution. NASA has not been funded properly to do that which Congress has tasked for them, and as a result we've experienced both loss of life and lost science (faster, cheaper, better - not).

      BTW: I read the Economist article yesterday afternoon while at a cafe. Good article, and one which was in the back of my mind when I originally replied.

      Cheers,
      Maynard
    8. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is this a good thing? We tried reusable, and it's fucking expensive.

      The shuttle is reusable only in the broadest sense of the word. An airliner is reusable, the shuttle is re-manufacturable. And yes, "re-manufacturable" is fucking expensive, but that's NASA for you.

    9. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by maynard · · Score: 1

      Many people have misunderstood my point. I did not write my original post in support of wings as the default spacecraft design NASA should take, but that NASA and Congress chose a winged shuttle for valid policy R&D reasons. You're mixing desired policy with engineering here.

      I don't in any way dispute that a capule is cheaper to launch and return and safer for the astronauts, I only pointed out that the use of a winged reusable vehicle has a rationale which isn't stupid or worthless, one which meets future R&D goals toward a space craft which operates in both terrestrial and space realms.

      That was the goal, and the Shuttle was the execution of that goal (whatever you may think of the quality of their execution).

      We may lack the materials technology, improperly fund the goal, subvert other cheaper and more reliable technologies in the process, and in general reduce the viability of NASA in pursuit of that goal. But I belive it was a worthy goal at the time, and still think it's worth pursuing today. That's JMO. And, like I said, an opinion from someone who doesn't work in the industry.

      Cheers,
      Maynard

    10. Re:capsuls can't control their landing by cheesybagel · · Score: 1
      Spot on. What does it matter to land in the right place to not spend time doing capsule recovery, if the bloody thing takes months to inspect and refurbish to launch again?

      Recovering a capsule with a chopper will take a day or two tops, what is the big deal? Landing in an airstrip is overrated.

      Not to mention a capsule can safely land in more places, while if the shuttle misses the runway you are essentially doomed.

  47. Methinks that public opion poll is useless. by Meowing · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In chatting with some friends (ordinary people, plain old working stiffs) around the time Columbia went missing, most of them were shocked when I mentioned that nobody's even set foot on the moon in 30 years, or that there was supposed to be a bunch of in-orbit infrastructure a lot more ambitious than the new Mir clone that was never built, or that the current equipment wouldn't get people out of orbit if we wanted it to.

  48. how sad by tloh · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This initiative has been a long time coming. As it has already been pointed out by many posters, a smaller shuttle would have been seriously considered and perhaps even realized during the inception of the current shuttle if it hadn't been for political and bureaucratic wrangling (especially on behalf of the US defense force). I would like to be excited about this announcement, I really would. But I find the most proper reaction to be a simple yawn, as in "here we go again".

    The fundamental ideas behind this announcement has been around for a really, really long time, and it was not an isolated development. The Europeans were putting serious effort into a program called "Hermes" with nearly the identical objectives for years before abandoning it 10 years ago. Similarly, Japan - with a space budget of a tenth that of NASA's - continues to pursue their own mini-shuttle dubbed "HOPE-X".

    With these events in plain sight, one has to wonder why on earth it is so difficult to do the right thing. The ISS, despite being somewhat of a white elephant, is still a pretty decent lightning rod for stimulating international cooperation. Isn't it reasonable to assert that pooling resourced from all 3 nations who've already dreamed of mini-shuttles (US, Euro, Japan) in addition to anyone else who might want to participate (Russia, China, India) might actually get an astronaut-ferry built with decent price/performance/safty perameters? With the resources of international partners, we can reduce not just develope costs by leveraging the R&D others have already put into it, but also distribute the manufacturing responsibilities and perhaps even operational costs. Additionally, what can be learned from the work already put into the X-prize by various participants. Think of the possibilities if space faring for the forseable future is "standardized" on one vehicle by several nations which helps to build it. Economy of scale means production up, cost down, and in the end, science and exploration wins - everyone happy!

    --
    Stay sentient. Don't drink bad milk.
    1. Re:how sad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good suggestions except that it would not work with US involvement. The current administration prevents the US from engaging in any meaningful international cooperation, especially when the defense establishment is involved. In addition, NASA has become largely a tool for funneling R&D dollars to the American Aerospace industry with no obligation to deliver results. Is there any reason to think that international consortium led by the Americans would be any different? Would the Americans join such a consortium if they were not in charge?

    2. Re:how sad by tloh · · Score: 1

      You've hit the nail on the head. I was trying to say there is obviously an attractive option that no one seem to take seriously. Why not? Politics. A skewed sense of priorities mauled the US shuttle program during conception. I'm suggesting that history will repeat itself, but this time on the international stage. Consider the fact the Japanese prototype last year already completed it's first successful test flight. In contrast, American efforts will nearly start from scratch. The only thing I can think of that comes close to serving as a technical foundation or springboard to the current effort is the experimental lift-body designs that were used to test atmospheric dynamics in test which concluded many decades ago. This is great in that it gives US aerospace contractors more work to bid on, but it is hardly benificial to the final goal of having a cheap reliable space transport as soon as possible.

      As long as the space transport efforts remain isolated from each other, the process does not benifit from the power of market forces. Guys like Boeing and Lockheed Martin have no incentive to put out if their work is protected from Japanese success. But if the formation of a government lead consortium (not necessarily led by the US) allows outside efforts to cut into their piece of the pie, they would likely be more willing to get serious and cooperate.

      But alas, no such thing will come to pass. We will benifit from no such dedication to space travel/science/exploration. Which is why it is sad.

      --
      Stay sentient. Don't drink bad milk.
    3. Re:how sad by Mr+Bubble · · Score: 0, Troll

      I am afraid I am going to have to report you to general Ashcroft.

      That kind of multilateral, thinkin don't fly around here mister. We're trying to fight a war on terrorism here.

      The last thing we need is a bunch of Frenchies, China men, and god knows what else telling us how to build rockets and where we can fly them and so forth.

      If we start cooperating with the world, and learn how to work together, why then, the terrorists have won.

      --
      "The world is a construct of forceful imagination. Those who don't know walk around in the reailties of those who do"
  49. Moron, -1 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    RTFA. It's not a space plane, it's a capsule larger than that of soyuz that will be mounted on existing rockets.

    Fucking Chimp.

  50. Bubba Says Highly Innaccurate by Arbogast_II · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Anyone who doubts NASA is in its glory age right now, needs to scribble out a Perl Script (or your language of choice), and download all these NASA Pictures of the Day. NASA in the 90's and this decade is accomplishing FAR MORE than the NASA of the Apollo Era.

    http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/archivepix.html

    This Space Plane is an excellent solution to a pressing problem.

    The NASA program that holds the most incredible promise is Project Prometheus. This program should have an incredible impact on the future of mankind, yet is barely known. It is the coolest thing America is doing today. It is highly inaccurate to suggest NASA is idle or unsuccessful. Remember, the Space Shuttle is an important, highly visible PR project as much as a serious project. Much of the real scientific and engineering achievement occurs beneath the publics radar by computer controlled machines.

    http://www.nuclearspace.com/a_project_prometheus3. htm

    --


    HenryJamesFeltus.com
    1. Re:Bubba Says Highly Innaccurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NASA's mission is not to take pretty space pictures to post on its web site.

  51. From the... by BDew · · Score: 0

    ...Michael's a Jackass department.

    --
    "Fifty million Americans can't be wrong," said Rep. Billy Tauzin. Gore - 50,999,897 Bush - 50,456,002
  52. would that help? by bluGill · · Score: 1

    Would it help to spend all efforts on that task? Eventially you reach a point where adding more bodies to a project doesn't make it faster. A common problem in programing, but I suspect it will apply here too. Adding more people just means more people covering the same ground.

  53. Solution = Common Sense (yet again) by quinkin · · Score: 1
    Hrm, so NASA is now focussing on designs that are "simple, flexible, durable, dependable and relatively cheap."

    Perhaps they should have thought of that back in the 70's when the original Space Missile (er shuttle) was designed. (Designed top-down, but that is a whinge for another day).

    Q.

    --
    Insert Signature Here
    1. Re:Solution = Common Sense (yet again) by cmowire · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In retrospect, yes, NASA shouldn't have bothered developing the shuttle and should have just kept with Saturn-derived boosters.

      But, at that point, the only way that NASA could fund any sort of manned space flight program was to promise that it would be reusable and would dramatically decrease the cost of all launchers. Also, given that the Saturn V line needed to be shut down, it had to be capable of assembling a space station out of parts, instead of being one or two Saturn launches. And everything piled on from there, with the NASA chiefs going on with blinders on hoping that everything would work its way out in the end.

    2. Re:Solution = Common Sense (yet again) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, given that the Saturn V line needed to be shut down, it had to be capable of assembling a space station out of parts, instead of being one or two Saturn launches.

      Note that we had at least one fight-ready Saturn V and the backup flight-ready Skylab to go on top of it, but NASA turned them into lawn ornaments.

    3. Re:Solution = Common Sense (yet again) by cmowire · · Score: 1

      Not just lawn ornaments.... Some of them had the joy of proper preservation, and the ignomy of being cut up as museum pieces, too. ;)

      I will admit that them doing that was dumb then and now. Except they figured that:
      a) they'd have the shuttle to reboost Skylab I
      b) they'd have the new station that was better up soon enough anyway.

      The larger problem is that they needed to keep around one last Apollo for rescue purposes, just in case. So they needed an Apollo capsule and a Saturn IB handy, just in case.

      I mean, they were just *screwed* in general. Von Braun wanted to take the route that would give us pre-exsting infrastructure for future projects but the Apollo way of doing things was slightly faster and more likely to succeed. Then NASA gets told that it's either a limited number of future Apollo shots or the space transportation system because we already beat the damn commies to the moon.

      The problem was that NASA couldn't make the shuttle happen cheap enough. So the Space Transportation System lost the space-tug portion, the military got involved and changed a bunch of the requirements.

      And the one thing that NASA should have really done, they didn't.

  54. There is a reason NASA enjoys strong support... by Snarfangel · · Score: 1

    It isn't that the public particularly enjoys a government-sponsored bureaucracy or that we get TANG and Velcro out of the deal (though space spin-offs are nice), but because our history and culture is based on exploration and we are descended from those with an active imagination and restless feet. With Apollo, we could see our future with every footstep on the moon, and while robotic explorers are nice -- and certainly more cost effective -- there is something about seeing a human demonstrate both bravery and intelligence in a place no person has ever been before that really stirs the emotions.

    Does NASA waste money? Well, I doubt it spends it as efficiently as it could, and there definitely needs to be a change in its management. Still, I'm prouder of it's accomplishments than just about any other government agency.

    --
    This tagline is copyrighted material. Please send $10 for an affordable replacement.
  55. Unlinking people from cargo is long overdue by tjstork · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Seems like OSP is a winner all the way around. Have a cheap way to get people in space, use existing booster technology, means, more manned space flight.

    The shuttle costs, according to FY2000, 759 million dollars to launch. By comparison Atlas V and Delta IV are in the range of 100M to launch.

    The expendable vehicles have a better turnaround time, are cheaper to operate. Fundamentally, exendable vehicles don't have to solve a lot of the complexity a reusable vehicle does. They don't have to deal with re-entry. They don't have to have reusable engines. They don't have to reusable fuel tanks.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:Unlinking people from cargo is long overdue by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      I agree with your assessments.

      What we really need is the following:

      1. Develop the Orbital Space Plane so it can lift up to six astronauts (or its equivalent in cargo) to LEO. Because the OSP deletes the huge cargo area and the big main engines of the Space Shuttle, the vehicle can be very small and could be launched on top of an uprated Lockheed Altas V booster or possibly an uprated Ariane 4 booster.

      2. Make the Shuttle-C vehicle a reality. This way, the Space Shuttle launch facilities can still be used, and we have a launch vehicle capable to lifting as much as 90,000 lbs. into LEO.

      What's interesting is that the Soviets came very close to developing a true spaceplane that could be launched on top of a Proton rocket. Maybe these old Soviet plans should be dusted off and developed further with American aerospace know-how and turned into small spaceplane that could be lifted by the Atlas V booster?

  56. No claims to the contrary by maynard · · Score: 1

    In contrary to frequent misconceptions, materials technology does not follow Moore's law - heat and stress resistance DO NOT double every 18 months!

    Agreed that materials science does not follow Moore's "Law". That doesn't negate the very real value behind research which leads toward reusable terrestrial to space and controlled landing vehicles.

    Your argument boils down to: traditional rocketry is more efficient in energy expended / per kilo launched than our current crop of reusable vehicles, so we shouldn't bother with researching new means for easily entering and exiting space beyond our current needs of launching individuals and satellite. Which is undoubtedly true, but very shortsighted. Reusable vehicles offer certain advantages, with costs in terms of energy expended to orbit that may be greater than traditional rocketry, but advantages that rocketry also lacks. This costs money in both development and use per launch - it's an overhead cost.

    The Shuttle, and newer nextgen technologies, offer new features such as controlled decent and landing. This is a real value which previous systems lacked! If NASA and Congress want to set that as a critical design goal in the hopes of creating a new generation space fleet, then I'm all for it. JMO. But please, spend the necessary money to do it right!

    I think you're mixing todays engineering realities with tomorrows design goals. The two don't necessarily meet. The question to answer is, is the research toward a totally reusable system, one which leads to aerospace to space and back systems, worth pursuing? Is it worth the money?

    That's a question for Congress and us constituents to answer, not the engineers.

    JMO,
    Maynard

  57. Re:Energia and the buran... by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Funny
    What about the USSRs Energia and Buran Launch and orbital system??
    Niether one is in service, or ever was in service. Neither one was developed completely. Both were abandoned over a decade ago. They are ex-parrots.
  58. De-orbit the ISS NOW while you still can by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Seriously. There's NO good science going on at the ISS. It's cost billions of dollars to provide a space mobile home. Instead of trying to come up with an emergency quick-fix to get up and down to Boondoggle-1 they should just ditch the ISS and come up with a better reason to work in space.

    I'm not saying that space research isn't good, or isn't useful. I'm saying that the ISS has turned into a colossal waste of resources better spent on other things (Mars). Jesus we could have made a moon base for what we wasted paying the russians to hold up their end of the ISS construction.

    Thanks for fabulous short-minded thinking, the ISS can't exist in orbit for very long without the occasional push from a space-tug to keep it from becoming a nice fireball. It would be good to attach some rockets to it to tug it out to a very distant orbit, and abandon it. Then NASA et al have time to come up with a good reason to go back to using it.

    1. Re:De-orbit the ISS NOW while you still can by Basehart · · Score: 1

      " I'm saying that the ISS has turned into a colossal waste of resources better spent on other things (Mars)" Quite a bit of what's going on in the ISS is preparing for a manned trip to Mars actually.

    2. Re:De-orbit the ISS NOW while you still can by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Making tables out of duct tape, starting fires, posing for the tv camera, fucking up scientists' experiments, getting married in space, and looking out the window is considered preparing for a trip to Mars? Let's hurry up and nuke ourselves out of existence now before we leave evidence we existed on other planets then.

  59. Buran had remote control by tjstork · · Score: 2, Informative

    The russians had working remote control on their shuttle effort. I actually have the priviledge of working with one of the guys that did it.

    --
    This is my sig.
  60. And can you name those PRIVATE... by maynard · · Score: 1

    ...companies which are conducting R&D toward launch systems outside of US shores? I seem to see only governments doing such research. Governments like Russia, China, France, and Brazil (poorly). Upfront capitalization costs for space exploration make private R&D vastly too expensive for most private corporations. That some are attempting to win the X-prize of $10 Million is no reason to assume that commercial space flight is just around the corner. We'll need government subsidization of the industry for many years yet before it turns profitable, and many years beyond that before it becomes a common means of travel throughout our solar system (never mind the stars). We're not even at the state when Christopher Columbus begged for the necessary funds to search for an alternative route to India (and thus "discovered" America). Who funded that operation? --M

    1. Re:And can you name those PRIVATE... by maynard · · Score: 1

      Ah, I see that you did name one. Whoops. My bad. I feel sheepish now. :) --M

  61. Just because expendables are cheaper than Shuttle by putaro · · Score: 1

    doesn't mean they're cheap. Let's get realistic here, USD 100M to launch a rocket? Imagine where we'd be if it cost 100M dollars to fly a 747 across the Pacific. We're not going anywhere with those kind of costs. NASA needs to start contracting out for space access the way the Post Office did and let smart people take some risks to get us all a payoff.

  62. We already built this. It was called the DCX-10 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Single-stage to orbit, vertical takeoff and landing. It flew once, just a test-flight, then a landing strut failed and it fell over. Bah, a solvable problem.

    1. Re:We already built this. It was called the DCX-10 by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Which lead to the X-33 being funded. The engine design on it were based on simple engineering which almost certainly would have less failures. The heat shields design was impressive (in fact, they should be used on the shuttle). The airframe was all done and was looking pretty good. The only thing left on it was the composite tanks which were the disaster area.

      Had Bush not killed the X-33, the X-33 would have already made it into orbit and we could have started with the scaling up of its design.
      Just as politics killed the X-33 (no, NASA did not want it killed, just a few ppl with their own agenda), I suspect that we will get bogged down in the next program unless it is started at the begining of an 8 year administration.
      I only hope that W's admin did not really dismember this spacecraft. I would even be happy to suddenly see an X-64 show up in the airforce and promoted as the brainchild of W's admin.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:We already built this. It was called the DCX-10 by amabbi · · Score: 1

      politics killed the X-33? NASA was unhappy to have the X-33 cancelled? first off, the bush administration could not by its own right have "killed" the X-33. space.com article. the program was already years behind schedule, hundreds of millions of dollars over budget and would have required huge expenditures in additional research funds to get anywhere near an operational testcraft. no one who had put in over a billion dollars into the X-33 wanted to keep funding it. not NASA, not lockheed. the air force laughed off the suggestion that they step in with the funds to keep the project rolling. the project was an absolute failure. but why let facts get in the way of a good GWB bashing?

    3. Re:We already built this. It was called the DCX-10 by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Obviously, you are not reading the article, nor have you gone through the NASA site.
      When concieved X-33 was to cost 1.5 billion with 1 billion from NASA and .5 from LMart. Per your link, NASA contributed .912 Billion and LMart did 356 Million (int the end, IIRC, the feds spent 1.1 B).
      The engines were built and undergoing testing at stennis Likewise, the airframe was basicaly competed.
      The only real issue were the fuel tanks.
      Those had been changed from composite to metal which forced a slightly slower speed. Not enough to change any charartistic.
      The X-33 would have been ready this year for final testing
      As to overruns, it was at 10% overrun, of which almost all military and NASA operations suffer incurable overrun of 100-1000%. Had this gotten done in 60% overrun (in fact, it was on tract for 30-40%), then it would have been impressive considering what it was doing.

      But no sense letting real facts get in the way of more GWB campaigning.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:We already built this. It was called the DCX-10 by amabbi · · Score: 1

      which part of the article didn't i read? "The decision to terminate both X-33 and X-34 were made internally by NASA and were not a White House decision, [Director of NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center Arthur] Stephenson said."

    5. Re:We already built this. It was called the DCX-10 by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      WASHINGTON -- Dealing with a $4 billion International Space Station budget overrun is the centerpiece of U.S. President George W. Bush's 2002 spending blueprint for NASA released today.
      ...
      Space station program management would also shift from Johnson Space Center, Houston to NASA Headquarters in Washington under Bush's plan.
      This change follows the Feb. 23 ouster of George Abbey as Johnson's director.
      Bush's blueprint -- the clearest indication to date of his priorities for the space agency -- stress the administration's commitment to "permanent human presence in space, world-class research in space and accommodation of the international partner elements."
      The above was from Feb. The prior was March after the NASA admins were being threatened with job loses. It sucked to work in the agency at that time.
      Bush killed it, not NASA.
      Many inside of NASA wanted it finished, due to so many projects being killed at admin changes.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:We already built this. It was called the DCX-10 by Jonathan_S · · Score: 1

      Actually the DC-X flew a number of times under the original McDonnell-Douglas / Airforce program. It was a subscale demonstrator designed to show that a rockets could be controlled safely during takeoff and landing using only it rocket's thrust (no parachute, no wings, etc).

      It also demonstrated that it could perform the "swoop of death" turn over that the full sized vehicle would perform on re-entry.
      The vehicle would reenter the atmosphere nose first, then after slowing down flip over and land tail first.

      Once the airforce program finished playing with it they turned it over to NASA who promptly crashed it, as mentioned in the parent post.

      Of course when NASA had to decide on a SSTO vehicle to fund the chose the X-33 Venture Star because it contained more untried and experimental technology. In other words NASA wanted to run a research program instead of building a SSTO vehicle. The X-33 required developing a new type of engine, new fuel tanks, a new thermal system, and a relativly untested body design. While it is interesting to work on developing these technologies, the place to do it is not in a program whose stated purpose is to build a working vehicle.

  63. And thats only the U.S. hardware by reality-bytes · · Score: 3, Informative

    Lets not forget the Ariane 5V system in service since 2001 which can launch a 5.4m wide 80,000kg payload to GTO

    Then there's always talk of foreign investment breathing life back into the dormant Russian Energia lauch system which was designed to inject up to 200,000Kg of payload into LEO which has already been tested in a 110,000Kg payload configuration for launching the cancelled Buran Orbiter

    It makes the shuttle's maximum payload to LEO of 28,803Kg look rather small.

    --
    Ripping an new rectum in the fabric of spacetime.
    1. Re:And thats only the U.S. hardware by cmowire · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm not sure where they got the figure for the Ariane 5V, that sounds a tad heavy.

      I wouldn't bank on the return of the Energia. It's big and requires cooperation between the Ukraine and Russia, which doesn't happen so easily. Right now, there's some good potential for heavy lift boosters via straightforward structural modifications of the Delta and Atlas boosters (to allow them to support a heavier payload) clustered in various configurations -- they don't have to stop at three boosters. It's theoretically possible, and I'm wagering that the people who designed the Delta and Atlas probably had that in mind for future development, because satelites keep getting bigger.

      See, the interesting part, and the thing that makes it impossible for NASA to get a shuttle replacement together, is that you generally don't need to get even 28,000kg to a useful orbit. If you could get 5,000 kg to a useful orbit cheaply, you'd send up your satelite in 5,000 kg chunks and put it together while up there. But in order to do that you either need spacesuits that don't require prebreathing and extended preperations, an inflatable, presurized drydock, or really good robotics. And you'd need to fly it on a regular schedule.

      The problem is that we need to keep the shuttle around until we're at least done building the space station because none of the exsisting modules would fit on it and would require a LOT of modification in order to be launched on a Delta or an Atlas booster, and might require some booster modifications to boot. And NASA really didn't want to give up their existing abilities, so they kept trying to avoid this.

      I think that part of the drive for the OSP by NASA is because they realize that they are eventually going to be forced to give up the shuttle. The timings might be such that the shuttle is canceled shortly after all of the completed station modules are sent up. So the OSP is insurance that they will be able to stay in the manned spaceflight business after that happens, even if it takes a while before a true shuttle replacement shows up. They are going to railroad it through congress and hope that they can get it built and operational before they have to give up the shuttle.

      And the railroading of the OSP is probably a good thing. Part of the problem with the X-30 and X-33 projects was that they took far too long to produce anything even mildly useful with them, so people would try to get a nice career as a middle manager, instead of designing and building the fscking thing. Remember that the most impressive aircraft of the cold war (U-2, SR-71, F-117) were build in the Skunk Works using an astonishingly small number of people in an incredibly short time span.

  64. Ultimate Russian KISS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The ultimate example of simplicity would be to do a technology transfer from Russia.

    Of course, the extreme US nationalism would never allow such a move. They'll rather spend billions on another dangerous and unreliable design, than use tried and tested Russian technology...

  65. Re:capsules can't control their landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But one strong argument, I think, for winged vehicles, is the skyramp. A maglev track several miles long, that arcs up into a 45 degree angle. A winged vehicle mounted on a rocket sled on this ramp (perhaps with air-breathing engines), could reach the speeds necessary for SSTO. Here's a link for one idea, but I know it's been floated around elsewhere:

    http://www.g2mil.com/SRT.htm

    Don't get me wrong, I like capsules, too, for the cheap and easy route. But a winged vehicle would be able to later take the skyramp when it is ready. A capsule would have no such option.

  66. They even landed the thing. by anonymous+cupboard · · Score: 1
    Buran flew once (properly, and into space). The vehicle was still being tested and life-support was incomplete. The thing is that when they landed the thing, they did it in cross-winds that are considered out operational parameters for the shuttle. NASA was, despite everything, quite impressed.

    What I liked, is that you didn't need a ferry for Buran. You strapped on some gas turbines and it could transport itself from A to B. That really impressed a lot of people.

  67. 80,000kg to GTO? No way... by eroberts00 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Better recheck your numbers, this is WAY off! It is more like 10,000kg at present

    1. Re:80,000kg to GTO? No way... by reality-bytes · · Score: 1

      Only by a multiple of 10 ;) oops

      --
      Ripping an new rectum in the fabric of spacetime.
  68. Absolutely agree by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 1
    The purpose of the crew of ISS is to maintain ISS. The research initiatives that seemed interesting in the 80s are now simulated on the ground. Its a mutli-billion dollar hotel.

    Not since Star Wars has one mlitary contractor siphoned os much taxpayer money and not return anything of relevance in return.

    1. Re:Absolutely agree by hplasm · · Score: 1
      Not since Star Wars has one mlitary contractor siphoned os much taxpayer money and not return anything of relevance in return.

      Come on now, Hutt Space Enterprises Inc did deliver One and One-Half functioning Death Stars - for an undisclosed sum...

      --
      ...and he grinned, like a fox eating shit out of a wire brush.
  69. Hilarious and sad by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 1

    Unfortunately your post does sum up the extent of activity on the ISS.

  70. Space travel isn't feasible by Animats · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Space travel isn't really feasible. There just isn't enough energy in chemical fuels to propel much of anything into orbit. Only with hacks like throwing away parts of the spacecraft is it possible at all.

    It's just barely possible to overcome this limitation. But the costs are enormous. Desperate efforts to reduce weight are needed to make it work at all. The result is spacecraft that are both incredibly expensive and fragile.

    That's where it's been for thirty years. And it's not getting any better. In fact, it's getting worse. The Saturn V had the best cost per unit weight to orbit ever. The Shuttle costs far more, and the latest disaster runs up the cost per unit weight even more. All of NASA's attempts to design replacements for the Shuttle have been flops. There have been three major attempts. This latest one is doomed for the same reasons - adding wings pushes up the weight and cuts the payload to the point of uselessness.

    Heavy-payload spaceflight is an ego trip for superpowers, not a useful technology. Commercial small boosters have been built and launched successfully, but that's the limit of commercial interest. Single stage to orbit remains a fantasy. (Roton looked promising, but a bit of weight growth made the thing; it was that marginal.) The spaceplane idea goes back to the USAF's Dyna-Soar in the 1960s, but still hasn't worked.

    We either have to go to nuclear propulsion or give it up. Those are the options.

  71. Before praising NASA, check this out by Hufschmid_Eric · · Score: 1
    Those of you who are praising NASA and boasting about Apollo should first understand why the earth's sky is blue during daylight, and then check out this document:

    2.3mb PDF file on Apollo

    Especially check out pages 15 and 16.

    Science Question
    What would the moon's sky look like to an Apollo astronaut during daylight? Would it be:

    a) Black and full of bright stars.
    b) So full of sunlight reflected from the moon's surface and from the earth that no stars can be seen.
    c) Black, but the stars would be too dim for the astronauts to see thru their tinted helmets.
    d) None of the above.

    NASA claims the correct answer is b, which is why the astronauts never talked about the stars. Is NASA correct? Or is the PDF file correct? Can you figure it out?

    If you have trouble getting the PDF file, you can also get it here:

    Conspiracy Party

  72. What were Apollo 2 thru 6 ??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What were Apollo 2 thru 6? Or did they just skip fromn 1 to 7, and if so, was that the origin of so many computer software versions jumping to 7.x just to artificially make them appear more mature?

    1. Re:What were Apollo 2 thru 6 ??? by Siergen · · Score: 1

      I'm just guessingg, but I think Apollo 2 thru 6 were unmanned tests. Unlike the Shuttle, Apollo could be flown unmanned.

    2. Re:What were Apollo 2 thru 6 ??? by Captain+Nitpick · · Score: 4, Informative
      What were Apollo 2 thru 6? Or did they just skip fromn 1 to 7, and if so, was that the origin of so many computer software versions jumping to 7.x just to artificially make them appear more mature?

      I knew I should have looked that up. Here goes:

      • Apollo 4 - First unmanned test of the full Apollo system (although the Lunar Module was a mockup)
      • Apollo 5 - Unmanned, tested the Lunar Module
      • Apollo 6 - Intended to simulate Command Module reentry at the speed it would have been travelling at on return from the Moon. Unmanned for obvious reasons. Numerous engine problems meant that it failed to achieve the required speeds.

      As for Apollos 2 and 3, they didn't exist. Before the missions that tested the operations of the actual Apollo spacecraft, there were a series of missions for testing the Saturn V launch stack and the reentry heat shield, designated AS-201, AS-202, AS-203, and AS-204. AS-204 was intended to be the first manned Apollo mission, and was the one Ed White, Gus Grissom, and Roger Chaffee were preparing for when the disastrous fire happened.

      After the fire, AS-204 was renamed Apollo 1 as a retroactive memorial. Then it gets a little weird. The NASA Project Designation Committee decided that the first full Apollo test mission would be named Apollo 4, and that the remaining 3 AS-20x missions would not be renamed. Why they did this seems to be a bit of a mystery.

      Thus, the lack of an Apollo 2 or Apollo 3 can be blamed on a committee. It seems somehow appropriate.

      And just to add some symmetry on the other end, there were 3 missions that were to be Apollos 18-20. These were cancelled to free up Saturn V launchers for Skylab, and funds for...wait for it...the space shuttle.

      Only one of the Saturn V's set aside for Skylab was actually used. The other two are on display, one each at Johnson Space Center, and Kennedy Space Center (the specifics of which pieces of what rockets are where is a bit complicated, and not terribly interesting). A full-scale test version is on display at the Space and Rocket Center in Huntsville, Alabama, but it was not built to actually fly.

      --
      But then again, I could be wrong.
    3. Re:What were Apollo 2 thru 6 ??? by persicom · · Score: 1

      Speaking of the Saturns on display, does anyone want to confirm/refute the story I heard (who knows where) that Saturn was reconsidered a few years back, but all the plans had vanished (pre-CD days) and they had engineers crawling around inside these display Saturns taking measurements to see if it was feasible to build a Saturn V again?

    4. Re:What were Apollo 2 thru 6 ??? by TomV · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Apollo 18 mission gets almost as confusing as the 'whatever happened to Apollos 2-6'.

      The Apollo 13 problems led to a rethink/cutback and the cancellation of the originally scheduled Apollos 18-20. Apollo 18 *would* have been to Copernicus, crewed by Richard Gordon, Vance Brand and Harrison Schmidt, if they had stuck to the existing schedule of 'backup crew on mission X becomes primary crew for Mission X+3'.

      Then NASA recycled the 'Apollo 18' designation (not unreasonable, as this was an Apollo mission subsequent to Apollo 17) for their part of the July 1975 Apollo-Soyuz linkup, using a Saturn 1B launcher, captained by Vance Brand.

      To make things even more confusing, there were also three Apollo-Saturn1B missions in 1973 which were designated Skylab 2,3, 4 (Skylab 1 was the Lab launch itself), between Apollos 17 and 18.

      In a sane world Apollo 18 would be Apollo 21, probably.

      TomV

  73. Break Up NASA by jfmiller · · Score: 1
    In times past I looked favorably on breaking up MicroSoft. I now see a simular solution for NASA. I would like to see NASA divided like this:

    • Human Space Program: Takes over the space shuttle for the moment and rapidly develops a usable space plain. Also takes charge of the ISS operations. The resurch being done on with the shuttle is shifted to the ISS as soon as both it and the new space plain can handle the load. Long term goal--a manned mission to mars
    • Orbital Delivery Systems Program: Purpose to put stuff in orbit. Takes ovcr the opperation of Atlas and Delta Rockets. Responsible for constructing and supplyinf ISS. May contract out to HSP to use the space shuttle short turm. Long term goal--Low earth orbit for USD1000/KG or less
    • Remote Space Investigation Program: Takes over hubble, Pathfinder, etc... Contracts with ODSP for lanches. Responcible for all non-human space research. Long term goal--detailed remot exploration of mars and Jovian moons Io and Europa.


    • Each program should have an independent budget and managment system. This would ensure that Congress could cut or increase funding more spesifically and insulate each probram from desasters in the other.

      I know this is not politically realistic but one can dream.

      JFMILLER
    --
    Strive to make your client happy, not necessarly give them what they ask for
    1. Re:Break Up NASA by Felix+The+Cat · · Score: 1

      Sounds good to me, but remember, it's the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. NASA is a huge player in the field of aeronautics, touching areas such as aerodynamics and flight safety reporting. Any talk of splitting up NASA has to keep this in mind.

      --
      Windows is the Acme of computing -- in the Wile E. Coyote sense.
    2. Re:Break Up NASA by jfmiller · · Score: 1

      You are correct.

      For the most part I see this as the perview of the unmaned research division. This is the place for pure reasearch where the hastles of maintaining a maned space program or orbital lanch capibilities can give way to the interests of further technological and scientific development.

      Idealy the maned space program will live a couple iterations behind the research in the "Safe Zone" while the Orbitla flight folks will be back one or two more in the "Economy Zone." At the moment NASA must always play in the "Save Zone" because of there primary (self made) commitment to manned space flight.

      JFMILLER

      --
      Strive to make your client happy, not necessarly give them what they ask for
  74. Mercury Program had it right by codepunk · · Score: 1

    Just as the article suggests winged spacecraft is a terribly costly and inefficent design with none to little benefit to the mission. Consider the following points.


    1. Winged spacecraft add too much weight.
    2. Increased Vehicle Complexity
    3. Huge Support Costs
    4. Safetly Risk


    Think about it why does the craft have to have wings. What is the matter with a capsule that can land in the ocean and be lifted aboard a aircraft carrier or be pulled back to port with a tug boat. Transport it to a factility and replace the tile bottom and stick it on another rocket for launch. Think about all of the flight control junk you do not need to carry. Hell just the stupid landing gear on the shuttle has got to be a huge weight penalty and for what?

    Space travel and lifting things into space is a expensive proposition. A good hard look needs to be taken at the economics and the benefit of even placing a man into orbit when robotics can do a better job.

    --


    Got Code?
  75. Re:Slashdotted, Text by EverDense · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    "He said they are resisting unnecessary bells and whistles and not holding out for "some
    material like 'unattainium' that isn't in existence."


    Oh yes it does! It was invented by Dr. Ed Brazzelton

    --
    http://jesus.everdense.com/
  76. "Hey Chuck ..." by bigsteve@dstc · · Score: 2, Funny
    (With no humans aboard, the craft could be used to haul light cargo to the orbiting lab.)

    " ... its your turn to ring down for a Pizza!"

  77. Haven't they learned anything from TV and movies? by foniksonik · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Seriously, even in Star Trek they only used heavy rockets in the beginning... later they used 'light shuttles' to carry people and light supplies into orbit where they would dock with a much larger space only ship.

    Physics and human biology make logical arguments for using small ships for people and large rockets for cargo. When you do them both at the same time you're purposes contradict each other... getting people up safely and getting cargo up efficiently. We all know that safety and efficiency are typically exclusive of each other, why fight it?

    --
    A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
  78. And overlooking the incredibly obvious! by reality-bytes · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You've already got a system capable of delivering probably 60-65 tons or so to LEO right under your nose!

    Take the exisiting SRB+Fuel tank combination that launches the shuttle and design a payload-sled based around the shuttles existing motors without the fancy cargo-bay, wings, avionics, cabin, life-support etc. Hey-presto you have a heavy unmanned launcher based around existing technology.

    You may even get better than 65tons payload because you won't need the fancy 'throttled' ascents (no need to avoid aerodynamic loading on wings).

    Now why didn't I think about that before?

    --
    Ripping an new rectum in the fabric of spacetime.
    1. Re:And overlooking the incredibly obvious! by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 2, Informative
      Where should I start...

      Designing a new cargo sled for the shuttle would be more complex than simply designing a new rocket. The SRB's were a nasty hack to get the shuttle off the ground, and have a lot of problems. No two (including the ones installed at the time) produce the exact same thrust. Once you light the SRB it will burn until it runs out of fuel.

      The foam and external tank issue is another problem. The foam keeps splitting off and hitting the spacecraft.

      FWIW you would really be better off bringing back the Saturn V.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    2. Re:And overlooking the incredibly obvious! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You mean, like the Shuttle C project?

    3. Re:And overlooking the incredibly obvious! by cmowire · · Score: 1

      That's been studied to death.

      The problem is that you'd most likely want different engines. Because the SSME's are very reusable, they are also very expensive.

      It probably wouldn't be particularly hard to do, except that nobody wants it badly enough to pay for the startup costs. Most of the projects it would be useful for (launching missions to mars, large space stations, solar power sats, etc.) haven't been getting especially large amounts of funding.

      The closest we came was the Space Station C proposal, which would have been interesting, but there were some very good reasons why it was not chosen.

    4. Re:And overlooking the incredibly obvious! by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      " Designing a new cargo sled for the shuttle would be more complex than simply designing a new rocket. The SRB's were a nasty hack to get the shuttle off the ground, and have a lot of problems. No two (including the ones installed at the time) produce the exact same thrust. Once you light the SRB it will burn until it runs out of fuel. "
      He mentions keeping the existing "orbiter" engines. One could even get away with compromises there, since it's no longer meant to be reusable.

      "The foam and external tank issue is another problem. The foam keeps splitting off and hitting the spacecraft. "

      Who cares? Since this "truck" he proposes is not designed for re-entry, it is irrelevant if the shielding is damaged like Columbia's RCC panels were. In fact, it's no longer needed to use highly heat-resistant (but very impact-weak) panels if reentry is no longer a goal.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
  79. No new tech? by combinatorics · · Score: 2, Insightful


    The main reason I love NASA is for the technologies they develop. This project is deliberately designed not to create new technologies. Don't get me wrong, I think they'll come up with great combinations of existing technologies, but this really re-characterizes NASA as an engineering entity rather than a scientific one.

    I guess, they've developed enough for the military at this point, and they now have to wait for the funding/need to fuel the scientific advancement aspect of there organization.

    --
    Dada ended art.
  80. MOD PARENT HORIZONTAL ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  81. As far as I understand your point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Somewhere out there is a real Enefit. That Enefit has overthrown an overnment that sets goals to meet the sponsorship of the Govt.

    In doing so, he has proven to us, ./ readers, that no government handouts will be needed any more.

  82. X-15, better idea by tekrat · · Score: 1

    Nasa is so freaking stupid. They had a "spaceplane" in the 60's and abandoned the program, even though it was the most successful "X" program ever. For next to nothing, North American avaiation could build a slightly bigger and better X-15 style craft. It could hold 2 people, and using the more modern engines made for the shuttle, go much further on the existing fuel supply.

    Being small, they could build it from titanium, which would negate the need for tiles. And best of all, you would use a B-52 as a launch platform, *NOT* sticking it vertically on a rocket, which is a stupid, stupid idea.

    The X-15 reached space -- that has been confirmed over and over. A slightly better, more modern X-15 could reach LEO.

    Just ask Pete Knight, and he'll tell you. The X-15 was the shuttle we should have built the first time around. (incedentally, the shuttle is based on the X-20 DynaSoar program, also from the 60's)...

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:X-15, better idea by im+a+fucking+coward · · Score: 1

      Thank god! Somebody else understands that putting loads into space without leveraging the atmosphere via flight dynamics is wasteful to the point of insanity.

      The expressed 'space plane' idea is nearly identical in it's lack of ingenuity due to achieving lift with brute force rather than intelligently using a more graduated lifting sequence. Why is NASA super glued to this horribly dangerous and expensive mechanism? Is there something I don't understand about physics? Does the inverse sqaure drop off of gravitation not work at low enough altitude to allow a jet carrying exponentially smaller rockets to reach break away speed (17K mph)? If not, why was the X15 reaching beyond the atmosphere during apogee?

    2. Re:X-15, better idea by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Relax. The X prize will guarentee that this will happen.
      Scaled composite(Burt Rutan's group) is doing just that. I suspect, that Burt will not only win the X prize but will probably have a scaled up project waiting in the wings. In fact, If I were NASA, I would simply use RSA's stuff for ISS for the time being and concentrate on building a new heavy lifter.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:X-15, better idea by rv8 · · Score: 1

      "The X-15 reached space -- that has been confirmed over and over. A slightly better, more modern X-15 could reach LEO"

      The X-15 reached space for a few minutes at a time in a ballistic parabola. It's a big leap from a sub-orbital lob to going into orbit.

      Sure, a super X-15 derivative might be able to reach LEO, but getting back would be a trick. Titanium isn't going to cut it due to greatly increased energy to be dissipated.

      Pete Knight reached a top speed of about 4520 mph in X-15 #2 and there was enough structural damage from the heat that it never flew again. Orbital velocity is about 17,500 mph, or about 15 times the kinetic energy as 4520 mph.

      --
      Kevin Horton
    4. Re:X-15, better idea by Sergeant+Beavis · · Score: 1

      Correct, even the X-15s that went into space or set world speed records needed a heat sheild. The X-15s had to painted with a white ablative coating that peeled off as the X-15 went though the extremes of it's flight path.

      However the idea of launching a future OSP from high altitude is a sound one. It's the reason Rutan's group is doing it with Spaceship One and White Knight.

      --
      There is nothing inherently safe about liberty. That's why so many people died protecting it.
  83. Re:Not a shuttle replacement - not yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The downside is that the science done on the shuttle would be down on a station, for the most part. I don't know if this is a big deal or not or if the space planes cargo section will make this a non-issue.


    It's a non-issue. The science done on the space shuttle is done in micro-gravity, just like on the space station. If the space plane can't lift it, it could be lifted via an unmanned cargo flight.

    Most of the interesting experiments are limited by the shuttles short duration. The shuttle needs to land to get more food, fuel and air.

  84. ESA is not EU by Hittite+Creosote · · Score: 2, Informative

    One thing to point out - the European Space Agency is not the EU. The 15 Member States of ESA are Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom.
    Norway and Switzerland are not members of the EU. Greece and Luxembourg, which are EU members. are not in ESA.

  85. Re:Rockets? Ummm, yes by AlecC · · Score: 1

    The replacement for Hubble, the James Webb Space Telescope, is scheduled to be launched by Ariane 5. It is arguable that the existance of Shuttle made the designers of Hubble lazy: they started from the payload of the Shuttle and worked backwards. But technology has moved on a lot.

    Again, one of the things that ISS is supposed to give us is space assembly capability, both in terms of knowhow and having people in orbit to do/supervize assembly. Lob it up to ISS orbit, assemble it there, then use high-efficiency ion drives to transfer it to wherever it needs to live. If you have enough thrust, bring it back to LEO for repairs and refuelling (you take your car to be fixed rather than have a mechanic come round, don't you?).

    The successor to the James Webb, still very much on the drawing board, is currently planned to do the same interferometry thing optically as the radio astronomers do for their very long baseline interferometry. Several small satellites will fly in formation very accurately, giving a mirror with an effective aperture of hundreds of meters. But each satellite can be launched separately.

    --
    Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
  86. Small point by MikShapi · · Score: 1

    Some people think this is about NASA. That this organization is the goal. So they think about what NASA needs, and what would be good and bad for its image, etc.

    Other people think that getting in space and making money is the goal, and that NASA is a means. Not even THE means, A means.

    >> "Cheaper, Better, Faster doesn't work."
    You'd be surprised.

    MANY industries will gain a lot of money from elevators. Pharmaceutics, Comms, what not. Instead of trying to milk a few more dimes for NASA from the taxpayer's money to sustain nasa a decade or two longer by showing US taxpayers pretty space planes (that, on elevator scale, do next to zlip other than get americans kids proud), people who really want to get to space should be running powerpoint presentations before Fortune0.5K executives who have fat VC checkbooks, vision, and either the desire to make big money or the understanding that not hopping on this train in time will cost them much more of it, even if it's a long-term investment. Cell-Phone companies (which will presumably replaced by sat-phones) come to mind.

    Personally, I'd like to think that more people are investing in nanotube R&D behind closed doors than we (or at least most of us) are aware of. And quite likely some of them are not americans.

    --
    -
  87. Re:capsules can't control their landing by Tap-Sa · · Score: 1

    You better hope for pretty rigid wings and sturdy G-suit since zero to mach one in two miles requires more than 20Gs of acceleration.

  88. Space plane? ha! by adeyadey · · Score: 2, Informative

    Space plane? Tsk, we in the UK have this vastly superior modern technology for lifts in VLEO..

    --
    "You lied to me! There is a Swansea!"
    1. Re:Space plane? ha! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the next ting will be a huge soccer ball you can step into and then thread over the ocean from england to america ... aka bubbleboy.

  89. Re:Energia and the buran... by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 1

    There was one that might have been useable, but the hanger it was stored in collapsed on it.

    --
    Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
  90. Well.... by reality-bytes · · Score: 1

    Like I said, use the shuttles engine system for the cargo sled: its an 'available' design.

    You can still have 'control surfaces' for launch stability but you don't need expensive aircraft type load-bearing wings for a landing.

    As for bits of foam falling off, who cares? as long as the thing is tough enough to make orbit; even if it doesn't, there's nobody on board to worry about. (Just make sure the downrange area is clear). You don't have to recover any of the vehicle if it is made largely of the composites that the russians developed for the 'Fregat' shrouds which vaporise on re-entry.

    As for the motor system, you could provide that with a ceramic heatshield and recovery parachutes so that bit could be re-used. (Although you don't have to) Not forgetting the added bonus of a lower propellant mass than the shuttle uses as after the sled's shrouds and payload have gone, there is much less mass to de-orbit.

    I'm taking an educated guess that the costs of developing a 'sled' which behaves like the shuttle on the back of the SRB/LOX combination would be considerably cheaper than re-tooling the Saturn launch system.

    As for getting astronauts on/off orbit, 3 options:

    1) Develop NASAs 'minibus' spaceplane

    2) Pay the Russians to fly them with the proven Soyuz system.

    3) Get NASA to develop a capsule launch system simmilar to Soyuz

    Its likely that option 2 would be the most cost effective (Soyuz is incredibly cheap per launch) but is also the most unlikely as America doesn't want to loose face.

    --
    Ripping an new rectum in the fabric of spacetime.
    1. Re:Well.... by Catbeller · · Score: 1

      The thing is, the engineering work for using the Shuttle's components as a Heavy Lift Vehicle was done ... THIRTY years ago!

      The space colonization and the solar power satellite people both wanted a HLV. NASA wanted an HLV. Hell, you could launch a whole industrial complex to the moon with one shot.

      Yes, it is far more cost effective to build a Heavy Lift Vehicle from existing components than to retool Saturn V or reconstitute the Energia program.

      What we do need, of course, is what the NASA people have wanted since the sixties. A small reusable spaceplane. An option taken from them by politics and the Air Force back in '72.

      NASA wanted both the HLV and a small newer spaceplane. Aerospace companies wanted a supershuttle. Aerospace won, and now we have nothing.

    2. Re:Well.... by reality-bytes · · Score: 1

      So a good bet is to develop the small personell spaceplane (or capsule) and develop a HLV with existing components from the shuttle system perhaps.

      --
      Ripping an new rectum in the fabric of spacetime.
    3. Re:Well.... by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      NASA wanted both the HLV and a small newer spaceplane. Aerospace companies wanted a supershuttle. Aerospace won, and now we have nothing.


      Not true. We have a REALLY expensive space station that we boost into orbit and then land periodically. It also looks like a "real" spaceship like in Star Trek, so therefore it's "cool".

      Too bad they let the cheap space station (spacelab) fall out of orbit ;-)

      --
      -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
  91. Re:Energia and the buran... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    While the russians improved on our design (stolen from our "secure" government during the mid 80s), it is still the same design. The shuttle was based on late 60's technology, which means that Energia/Buran is as well. It has many of the same flaws that the current shuttle has.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  92. re-usable main rocket engine, please! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    okay my network is up and running ...
    first post:

    ariane looks like a rivet (german: "niete").

    it's cool there is support in the general public for
    a space program!!!

    maybe NASA should think about getting a series of
    small, medium and XXL rockets that are 99.9% reliable,
    before thinking about a new shuttle-typ spaceship?

    also 60-what-years into rocket-science and still need
    those SUPER-dangerous solid rocket boostes (SRB)?

    how about a re-usable main rocket engine? we could add fins/wings
    on the first stage with the re-usable engine that flip
    out on re-entry getting the first stage to spin on vertical
    axis slowing it before droping into the ocean?
    i think the seed of the mable-tree do this when they fall
    from the maple three?
    -more-
    just a few meters before entry in to ocean we fold
    the fins back and use the rotational moment generated from
    descent to power a "water-splitting" device in the first stage
    to like refill 20 % of the hydrogen tank when it's in the ocean? something like that.

  93. Re:capsules can't control their landing by ereuter · · Score: 1

    The speed of sound in air at sea level is about 340 m/s. Two miles is about 3219 meters. One gee is about 9.8 m/s^2.

    dist = x = integral( v(t) dt ) = integral( a t dt ) = 0.5 a t^2

    v = a t --> t = v / a

    x = 0.5 a ( v / a )^2 = 0.5 v^2 / a

    a = 0.5 v^2 / x = 0.5 v^2 / 3219 = v^2 / 6438

    gees = ( s * 340 )^2 / 6438 / 9.8
    = s^2 * 1.83

    speed__gees
    (mach)_(std grav)
    1______1.83
    2______7.32
    3_____16.47
    3.4_ __21.16

    So, your statement is a bit off. Zero to MACH 3.4 in 2 miles requires more than 20 gee's. But Zero to MACH 1 in 2 miles only requires 1.8 gee's.

  94. Or another idea.. by adeyadey · · Score: 1

    Or just give guys like these 1/100th of the money..

    --
    "You lied to me! There is a Swansea!"
  95. CAIB Report describes the reason for wings by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 1
    "The Department of Defense wanted the Shuttle to carry a 40,000-pound payload in a 60-foot-long payload bay and, on some missions, launch and return to a West Coast launch site after a single polar orbit. Since the Earth's surface including the runway on which the Shuttle was to land would rotate during that orbit, the Shuttle would need to maneuver 1,100 miles to the east during re-entry. This cross-range requirement meant the Orbiter required large delta-shaped wings and a more robust thermal protection system to shield it from the heat of re-entry." -- CAIB report PDF, page 22
    The wings aren't there to help it land at a designated place, they are there to allow it to land in the same place from which it launched - an operational requirement long ao shelved. Capsule landings can be accurate, they just can't glide cross-country. The destination has to be roughly under the flight path.
  96. Sedan? by El · · Score: 1

    Yes, but does it have built-in anchors for a child safety seat in the back?

    --

    "Freedom means freedom for everybody" -- Dick Cheney

  97. Appropriate technology by El · · Score: 0, Redundant
    "We're doing everything we can to get it up by 2008."

    Have they tried Viagra?

    --

    "Freedom means freedom for everybody" -- Dick Cheney

  98. Re:capsules can't control their landing by Tap-Sa · · Score: 1
    You are absolutely right. My quick calculus had a hole big enough to send Chinese military navy into orbit. (mach 1 ~1200km/h somehow managed to turn into 1200m/s). Well, I'd still qualify into NASA mars-probe team!

    But still, all that complex trouble to get to just mach 1 seems wasteful. For pure rocket-based design such initial speed wont make much difference. If the ramp exit speed is increased a lot, the ramp must be must much longer and exit point should at some high mountain peak to reduce aerodynamic stress. NASA would have to rent ... Kilimanjaro?

    One good thing about ramp assisted launch (versus horisontal take-off) is that the landing gear needs to support empty returning plane only, allowing quite a lot mass reductions. If air-breathing engines are present (preferably some form of rocket-based combined cycle) the ramp can be used to give the initial speed needed for ramjet/scramjet. But practical scramjet won't be here for several years and RBCC is gonna take even longer so until then the atmosphere is just a nuisance during early stages of lift-off. For that, vertical take-off with brute force is not that bad.

  99. Shuttle-Derived Vehicles by applemasker · · Score: 1
    Somewhere in the scrap-heap of paper circulated 15+ years ago as part of the Rogers Commission investigating Challenger, is something called a "Shuttle-C" - and an unmanned, wingless, throwaway cargo module with an orbiter's aft fuselage.

    Since it's not coming back, no need for a heat sheild or those pesky tiles.

    Since it's unmanned, no need for life support.

    All of that weight saved is a commesurate increase in cargo capacity, who knows, maybe it could even go beyond LEO. Bolted to an external tank and SRBs, it is a Saturn V/Energia-class heavy-lift vehicle. It would compliment an OSP for crew transfers rather nicely. Keep the remaining orbiters in the shed unless we need them for something specific like servicing HST or ISS construction, just a thought.

    --
    Bush Lies On the Record.
  100. Russian Space Plane by CooCooCaChoo · · Score: 1

    Why hasn't NASA talked to the Russian Space agency in regards to Buran, the Russian version of the space shuttle? I know NASA is on a tight budget and may this would be a more cost effective way of them being able to get something to tie them over until they can get a even more cost effective space-mobile.

    --

    "The difference between pornography and erotica is the lighting" - Woody Allen

    1. Re:Russian Space Plane by Edmund+Blackadder · · Score: 1

      The problem with this plan is that there is very little oppurtinity for Boeing to make money in such a deal.

  101. nuclear pollution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good news

    Premliminary estimations indicate that it's
    unlikely that the crafts nuclear engine will
    ever detonate and pollute the atmosphere.

  102. Expendible Launch Vehicles by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

    I think that the US government should sponsor an ELV initiative that would create an entire class of small, medium, and large ELVs that share components and thus have lowered maintenance/manufacturing costs. Large and ones would carry space lab types of components, and the small ones would be extremely mission-critical because they would carry the crew.

    Technology certainly exists to dock things by remote control. Thus, we can first shoot up all the parts the astronauts are supposed to work on first. After we have confirmed mating, we could have the crew dock with the parts module(s) and work. And then everything everyone would crawl into the return crew vehicle and they would splash down in the water somewhere.

    To recover space parts, we could have a parachute/reentry module hook up and mate with it, preferably using the same standard dock the crew hatch would lock onto. Then the reentry module could initiate reentry and then use parachutes to slow everything down to a safe rate of descent.

    This would have lowered launch costs, because we could scale the rockets depending on cargo. The crew vehicles could be over-engineered because they would be re-usable. And everything would be cheaper because a ELV costs around $100 million a shot while the Shuttle costs ~$700 million per. Finally, we could have many launches taking place all over the world. Basically, we could open-source the launchers and let everyone into space.

    Also, this entire concept would take place really fast. We don't need another reusable space plane. We could just land on water. It's something we've conquered forty years ago and there seems to be no overwhelming need to step aside. If something like this takes effect, the need for the ISS would decline, but space exploration would start to move into deep space. LEO has to be conquered first, and I think this would be a nice first step.

    --
    A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
  103. Park the shuttle by leery · · Score: 1

    Park one or more shuttles in orbit for those types of missions. When needed, fly a crew over on a spaceplane. If a shuttle needs extensive overhaul or modification, fly it down, or drive it to spacedock and shoot up the necessary parts and crew.

    --
    "This is not a sig." -- R.
  104. Re:Slashdotted, Text by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How is that off-topic, you fucken moron?

  105. Excellent history of US space policy by chrisatslashdot · · Score: 1

    For an excellent read on the history of NASA and US space policy check out MIT's 16.891j's OpenCourseware lecture notes.

    --


    Simple people talk of people, better people talk of events, great people talk of ideas.
  106. Re:Energia and the buran... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
    There was one that might have been useable, but the hanger it was stored in collapsed on it.
    For large values of 'might', you are correct. It had been stored, unmaintained, for over a decade. With many billions of dollars it *might* have been useable as a test craft.

    Energia and Buran *were not operational vehicles*, period.
  107. re-entry question. by LifesABeach · · Score: 0

    just my thoughts about shuttle re-entry.

    what is the impact of design of a re-entry vechicle, if the re-entry time of the first 30 minutes was extended to lets say 120 minutes?

    my thinking is the shuttle external temperture becomes about 6,000 degrees. not to many things can handle that kind of energy.

    couldn't using some kind of braking, or reverse thrust be used until there is enough air so that some kind of gliding could occur?

    i believe that the argument of 'that would increase weight' would at this time be a little thoughtless of those who died from the application of this type of logic.

    1. Re:re-entry question. by cmowire · · Score: 1

      I'm not an expert, but I don't think it would work out so well.

      The shuttle is already using a more gentle trajectory than a capsule for braking. It also happens to be quite If it gets too much more gentle of a trajectory, it's going to skip off the atmosphere like a rock. That's the problem -- the trajectory is already the gentlest they could get away with, so there's no room for degraded performance.

      Now, as for deaccelerating more before landing, that's certainly feasable. You'd need a completely new vehicle to make it work because you'd need to carry signifigantly more propellant. The reason why there's so much heating on re-entry is not a matter of inherent need, it's a matter of it being the easiest way to get something from mach 25 to a 200 knots landing speed. In fact, given the shuttle, you probably wouldn't have any room for payload with enough propellant to make much of a difference.

      The problem is not necessarily the re-entry itself, it's more that you have constraints that weren't followed. If you flew an airliner with a substantial hole in the front of the wing, that wouldn't be safe either. If you flew a SR-71, which is on the limits of how fast you can go with a metallic skin, with a hole in the front of the wing, it would probably crash.

      Of course, all of this would have been mildly simpler if the shuttle was heads-up instead of heads-down at takeoff. But there's some constraints there and they'd have to completely rearange the trajectory, which is not a simple or safe task.

  108. Re:Foreign Sedan: Japanese Precursor to Space Plan by dublin · · Score: 1

    It's worth pointing out that NASA is once again getting everything bass-ackwards and will once again try to use the highest (and therefore most expensive and unproven) technology possible to build it's future reusable spacecraft.

    NASA has proven time and time again that it is unworthy of being entrusted with the US space effort and the enormous piles of taxpayer dollars it wastes through poor management and paralytic decision-making. (And yes, I've actually worked at JSC in Houston, so I speak with some insight.)

    If space is really commercially viable (and that's a big if), there is a far better alternative that needs to be used, namely, the "Rocket a Day" approach. This was outlined by AutoCAD author John Walker in his paper titled "A Rocket a Day - Keeps the High Costs Away ten years ago now.

    If you are even a little interested in an alternative way of looking at space travel, READ THIS PAPER, and pay special attention to the accomplishments of the Germans sixty years ago, which prove the argument.

    A great read, and a direction that we should seriously investigate to replace the hopelessly outdated NASA juggernaut of waste, corruption, and buck-passing.

    --
    "The future's good and the present is nothing to sneeze at." - Roblimo's last ./ post