Slashdot Mirror


Cities Built on Fertile Lands Affect Climate

Devar writes "While cities provide vital habitat for human beings to thrive, it appears U.S. cities have been built on the most fertile soils, lessening contributions of these lands to Earth's food web and human agriculture, according to a study by NASA researchers and others. Though cities account for just 3 percent of continental U.S. land area, the food and fiber that could be grown there rivals current production on all U.S. agricultural lands, which cover 29 percent of the country. Studies like this one may lead to smarter urban-growth strategies in the future."

99 comments

  1. Well, duh! by Rick+the+Red · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Cities grow up where people first settle, and people first settle where the land is fertile.

    --
    If all this should have a reason, we would be the last to know.
    1. Re:Well, duh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep. I thought that everyone knew this, and that the best farmland was now paved over...

    2. Re:Well, duh! by MonkeysKickAss · · Score: 0

      Actually thats not true because people will first settle near the coast and land near the coast isn't very fertile because of all the salt. Cities develop when there is a central area that is densley populated like where the first 13 colonies were set up and they really didn't know how to grow their own food until the Native Americans taught them how to. Then once you have established the central communites, then people wil move to the central community and that is how citties are made and then suburbs grow up near them. Or if they don't develop along the coast then they will be near another body of water such as a river, but they do not usually form on fertile land.

      --
      MonkeysKickAss
  2. I'll second that.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    My little town is build on a diver delta in the Pacific Northwest - it's some of the most fertile soil I've ever seen, and the fact that's it's low in elevation makes for great growing seasons.

    Out 20x10' kitchen garden could produce almost enough colories for two people to live on for a quarter of a year. The potato yeilds are just nuts - and we're not even trying hard.

    1. Re:I'll second that.. by Scrameustache · · Score: 3, Funny

      The potato yeilds are just nuts - and we're not even trying hard.

      I'll say! If you plant potatos and reap nuts, you must be doing this really half-assed!

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

  3. There goes the civilization by lambent · · Score: 3, Funny

    But Civilization has tought us that the best tactic is to build your cities on fertile ground, thus assuring a free bonus to food production.

    Maybe NASA should investigate the effects of granary production, and in-city irrigation.

    1. Re:There goes the civilization by jameskojiro · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah but that will cause funds to be diverted from the Apollo Project and they citizens will revolt!

      --
      Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
    2. Re:There goes the civilization by jameskojiro · · Score: 1

      Why is this Offtopic???? It was in response to something that was already off topic!!!

      --
      Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
  4. More study is needed by fatcat1111 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Of course, this research is of no consequence. Governments are not going to moderate their behavior in response to this knowledge when it's much easier to maintain the status quo and drag out that old line, "More study is needed."

    --
    How Politicians Lie: http://www.factcheck.org/
  5. Blame Kubla Khan by IainHere · · Score: 4, Funny

    This has been known for a long time, in the early 19th century, Coleridge published a poem about Xanadu - see the following snippets:

    In Xanadu did Kubla Khan
    A stately pleasure-dome decree
    Where Alph, the sacred river, ran
    Through caverns measureless to man
    Down to a sunless sea.
    So twice five miles of fertile ground
    With walls and towers were girdled round
    And there were gardens bright with sinuous rills,
    Where blossomed many an incense-bearing tree,
    And here were forests ancient as the hills,
    Enfolding sunny spots of greenery.

    So, we see early in the poem, beautiful, fertile ground. Later in the same poem, we read that:

    It was a miracle of rare device, A sunny pleasure-dome with caves of ice !

    So, this research is not novel, such climate change has been known for almost two centuries :-)

  6. Smarter Urban-Growth? by cornice · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Studies like this one may lead to smarter urban-growth strategies in the future.

    Right. In most places people know about smarter growth strategies. Rarely does growth hinge on anything but the perceived path toward the greatest short term wealth growth for the land owner. I'm guessing that maximization of soil production will be secondary to air quality, traffic, and many other concerns.

    1. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by Rick+the+Red · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Near where I live is a fertile valley, which is now mostly paved over with a sea of warehouses. Meanwhile, the hills on either side of the valley are largely undeveloped. Why? Because it's cheaper to build in the valley and ship in food from elsewhere than it is to build in the hills and grow food locally.

      Recently, the last agricultural business in the area -- a dairy -- was shut down because cow poop was getting into the river. Never mind the oil and gasoline run-off from the sea of asphault all around the dairy.

      Oh, and where does our food come from? South America and the irrigated deserts of California. Los Angeles can't get enough drinking water; they're draining the Colorado River dry before it reaches the sea, and still they can't get enough water. Yet they grow rice in the desert!

      And we wonder why the rest of the world thinks we're idiots.

      --
      If all this should have a reason, we would be the last to know.
    2. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Los Angeles can't get enough drinking water; they're draining the Colorado River dry before it reaches the sea
      Not that it's particularly good drinking water. The amount of salt in it makes it inadvisable for some people (e.g. hypertensives) to drink, and this same salt requires measures to defend against salination when used for irrigation.
      and still they can't get enough water.
      Never mind that the sunlight falling on Los Angeles would probably be sufficient to desalinate all the fresh water they'd really need. I can't think of any reason why toilets can't be flushed with saltwater and lawns and plants watered with reclaimed graywater, can you?
      Yet they grow rice in the desert!
      All paid for by Federal irrigation projects, meaning taxpayers nationwide.

      If California had to pay for all of this itself, much of the state would dry up and blow away overnight. And it ought to.

      And we wonder why the rest of the world thinks we're idiots.
      Including this native-born American. It is just one more example of how subsidies create destructive incentives.

      FWIW, I think the ~$2/gallon subsidy we give oil via our defense spending is just as insane; if we charged the cost of defending ourselves and the Middle East against oil-financed extremism via fuel taxes, we would not have had an SUV craze. At $3.50 or more per gallon, there would not be enough of a market for Escalades, Hummers, Excursions and monster pickups to create the variety of models which lures people to use them as image statements (other than "I have more money than sense"), and we would be safer and richer (with a much healthier balance of payments) than we are with our hidden oil subsidies.

    3. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If California had to pay for all of this itself, much of the state would dry up and blow away overnight. And it ought to.

      FYI...California is a donor state. That means we contribute more money to the Federal Government than we get back. Not that I think irrigating a desert is particularly intelligent (or draining a mono lake and building a 500 mile aqueduct, for that matter.) But complaining about Federal monies spent in California rings hollow, especially given the enormous budget deficit facing California that the Federal Government has shown no intrest in helping out with.

    4. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by Tailhook · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I can't think of any reason why toilets can't be flushed with saltwater and lawns and plants watered with reclaimed graywater, can you?

      Perhaps because a parallel plumbing and reclamation system would be necessary to keep the saltwater and freshwater separate? Is that really contributing a net gain or just shifting the damage? Another possible reason is that most fresh water is consumed in agriculture, not toilets, by a margin of about 15 to 1.

      And we wonder why the rest of the world thinks we're idiots.

      No, we don't, because we're increasingly immune to BAF bullshit and discount it automatically. The rest of the world is doing it's level best to emulate us in every conceivable manner and has been for the past century, regardless of what the worlds activists happen to be saying. Why are they flattering idiots?

      Including this native-born American. It is just one more example of how subsidies create destructive incentives.

      Would that include subsidies to car manufacturers to develop and market low-emission vehicles and power trains that run on renewables? It could be you're thinking of grant funded research that produces results similar as those we see here. Perhaps you are referring to subsidizing alternative energy sources for electricity, including offsetting operating costs. Or maybe you mean ITER or NIF... Is it really subsidies in general or just the subsidies you, in all your righteous genius, don't happen to think are proper, as you sit there well-fed in your heated dwelling writing messages in your spare time for distribution on a network initially developed using federal defense subsidies?

      if we charged the cost of defending ourselves and the Middle East against oil-financed extremism via fuel taxes, we would not have had an SUV craze. At $3.50 or more per gallon...

      You want to pay for defending ourselves against oil financed extremism by charging ~$2 a gallon more in taxes to end the SUV craze. I have a better idea; let's stop causing the market to buy vehicles based on truck chassis by allowing manufactures to build sufficiently sized vehicles based on passenger car chassis. I believe a small relaxation of CAFE and EPA standards on passenger cars would allow vehicle fleets to meet the expectations of the American market, but that the fleet average regulations prevent building appealing cars. Split the difference between 27.5mpg (cars) and 20.5mpg ("light" trucks) and we can start making cars again. The entire SUV episode the fault of these regulations because the market has been forced to choose between a car that's a couple hundred pounds too small/light (say, the difference between 3.4k and 4k lbs) and a truck that's a couple thousand pounds too heavy.

      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    5. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by cubicledrone · · Score: 2, Funny

      Haven't been to California much, eh?

      Here you need about 80,000 pages of committee reviewed studies to mow the lawn.

      --
      Business isn't willing to pay for products, innovation and careers, so we get brands, mortgage commercials and layoffs.
    6. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by Mr12inch(Powerbook) · · Score: 1

      I am calling BS on your SUV theory. If the auto-manufacturers had some sense of reason or ethics, they would never have produced these monsters. The VAST MAJORITY of SUV drivers DO NOT NEED a vehicle that large. Pay attention to who is driving these beasts and you'll notice it is usually single occupants. Often soccer moms who don't know how to drive the fsckin thing anyway. Not only are the modern giant SUV's horrible for the environment, they are way more dangerous than cars. The only thing the Auto-Makers ever talk about are front-end, head-on collision tests. SUV's do fairly well in these tests, because of how they reinforce the front-end. However, how often do people ACTUALLY run into a brick wall at 60 mph? Almost never. In real world-testing, side-impact, motor vehicle to motor vehicle, these things are atrocious. They will flip at the drop of a hat and since the tops are not reinforced AT ALL and they weigh thousands of pounds, guess what? Smushed occupants. In car to car tests, they destroy other cars, often launching off the car as if it were a now-flattened make shift ramp and flipping itself over. Wonder why you never hear about this? Because you are watching news paid for by corporations who are paid by ignorant people with vast inferiority complexes who feel the need to compensate for this by buying the biggest most expensive trendy vehicle they can find. Makes them feel more manly and powerful. But they still have small penises.

      --
      every time a republican dies a queer angel gets his wings
    7. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by trixillion · · Score: 1

      I'lll add another reason salt water plumbing cannot work. One word... corrosion. Can you imagine how frequently the system would have to be repaired.

    8. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by scorp1us · · Score: 1

      Everseen the parking lot at the EPA? Nearly all SUVs.

      --
      Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
    9. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by Tailhook · · Score: 1

      I am calling BS on your SUV theory.

      It's not a theory. All one need do is examine the history of the passenger car/light truck market in the US. Soccer moms used to buy station wagons based on passenger car chassis. Men used to by sedans. CAFE is the reason that changed. Simple as that.

      The VAST MAJORITY of SUV drivers DO NOT NEED a vehicle that large.

      Absolutely 100% correct. It is also true that the vast majority of SUV drivers do not want a passenger car that small.

      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    10. Re:Smarter Urban-Growth? by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      Not only are the modern giant SUV's horrible for the environment, they are way more dangerous than cars.

      Then Darwin wins out in the end.

      I didn't buy a truck for my current vehicle. I bought a Camaro. Do I need the power? No. Do I need the look? No. Do I like what I bought? Hell, yes, even when faced with rising gasoline prices that push a 14-gallon fill-up towards the $40 mark because I use premium in my 20mpg car and live in California. I knew I would face such issues when I bought it.

      Because you are watching news paid for by corporations who are paid by ignorant people with vast inferiority complexes who feel the need to compensate for this by buying the biggest most expensive trendy vehicle they can find. Makes them feel more manly and powerful. But they still have small penises.

      And you were actually on a bit of a roll with real arguments (sans any links to evidence, of course) until you had to get personal about things. Tsk, tsk.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  7. Who cares ? by andy666 · · Score: 2, Funny

    After we exterminate the native Martion population we will have plenty room to grow all of the steakfruit we can eat.

  8. This is the entire concept behind Urban Harvest by MarkusH · · Score: 3, Informative

    Their Mission Statement:

    We help build communities from the ground up by promoting sustainable urban land and horticultural practices to grow food and reduce hunger. We carry out our mission by working with volunteers and community groups building community gardens and orchards.

    Their website.

    1. Re:This is the entire concept behind Urban Harvest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can lead a horticulture, but you can't make her think.

  9. Isn't this common sense? by Peapod · · Score: 2, Insightful

    One would think that this would be something that it doesn't really necessitate a study to prove. Obviously cities are going to be built on fertile ground because in order for a city to grow, it must have food. It hasn't really been until this century until people could move places where there was no abundant source of food, or especially water.

    Also, no one really ever sets out to build a big city, they just grown from smaller cities that grew from smaller settlements.

    1. Re:Isn't this common sense? by Prior+Restraint · · Score: 3, Insightful

      One always needs a study to prove the "obvious." To a lot people, it's obvious that violent movies and videogames induce violent behavior in children, or that seeing an exposed breast on television is traumatic.

      "Common sense" is the name we give to our personal prejudices.

    2. Re:Isn't this common sense? by spitefulcrow · · Score: 1

      It seems obvious to everyone who just takes a step back and look at it, but the government (or big business) won't do anything without evidence that the subject has been researched and the statement proven.

      --
      Sorry, my karma just ran over your dogma.
  10. To quote Sam Kinison... by DesScorp · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "We have deserts, we just don't live there. You wanna eat? MOVE TO WHERE THE FOOD IS!"

    So, in light of this study, what should we do? Tear down existing cities and rebuild them where things don't grow? What about that minor issue of water supply?

    Never mind that every year, we manage to increase our crop yeilds on the same amount of land because of superior agricultural technology and methods.

    Sorry, but I see another scaremongering study to push one interest groups agenda here. Anti-growth, more than likely. And the notion that because our cities sit on fertile land we're contributing to world hunger when we outproduce just about everybody, well, that's just horseshit. We export quite a bid of food already. So what, are we still not doing our part? That's the tone I get from the article.

    --
    Life is hard, and the world is cruel
    1. Re:To quote Sam Kinison... by DamnRogue · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Furthermore, the world as a whole alrady produces more than enough food for everyone to eat well. The real issue is food transportation and storage. It doesn't matter if you can grow billions upon billion tons of wheat in the Ukraine if you can't get it to the hungry people in Africa. There are a whole host of blockages in the way: physical difficulties of getting perishable goods to remote locations, the inability of people in said locations to pay market price, political trade limitations, regional warlords, etc, etc.

    2. Re:To quote Sam Kinison... by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      MOVE TO WHERE THE FOOD IS!"

      But the guy at the restaurant said I was't allowed to sleep there anymore! : (

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

  11. That's it!! by Glog · · Score: 1

    I have had it with stupid city growth - I will now promptly proceed to rip off the pavement on my street and move it to Greenland. Hmm, ironically, why is it called Greenland?

    1. Re:That's it!! by Rick+the+Red · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It's called Greenland so the Europeans would go there, instead of Iceland. Those Icelanders are pretty damn smart.

      By the way, this place where I live is called "poison water" -- yeah, that's it, "poison water."

      --
      If all this should have a reason, we would be the last to know.
  12. Paulo Soleri by AtariAmarok · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Check into Paul Soleri. He proposed high-density small-footprint city-buildings called "arcologies". His books even show how little room a city like L.A. would take if it were built as an arcology.

    It does not seem feasible at this time: the one in the link above is very small and is being built at a snail's pace. Arcologies of the scale Soleri has envisioned have only appeared in the fiction Larry Niven has done in collaboration with other authors. ("Oath of Fealty" and the Dream Park novels)

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
    1. Re:Paulo Soleri by Dachannien · · Score: 4, Interesting

      ...And in the movie Blade Runner. And in the game SimCity 2000. And in the Shadowrun RPG.

      I really do wish that arcologies would catch on. The environmental impact of having the day commutes of tens of thousands of people reduced to a ride in an electric-powered mass transit shuttle - which people would have to use because there would be no room for cars inside the building - would be tremendous, especially when multiplied by a few hundred arcologies.

      The only thing to consider is whether the fertile lands mentioned in the above article are reclaimable, or whether enough environmental damage has been done to them to make them no longer very fertile.

    2. Re:Paulo Soleri by DAldredge · · Score: 1

      And well call those things targets...

    3. Re:Paulo Soleri by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not take it one step further like they've done in Bangkok, where entire families live in tiny one-room apartments with 4-foot high ceilings? Or even better, you could stack people like cordwood, and then just plug a feed line into one end and a waste line into the other, and, oh, maybe immerse them in some sort of virtual world....

    4. Re:Paulo Soleri by SomeGuyFromCA · · Score: 1

      > Check into Paul Soleri. He proposed high-density small-footprint city-buildings called "arcologies". His books even show how little room a city like L.A. would take if it were built as an arcology.

      Yeah, but build too many of them and LA launches ... off... into... space... HMM...

      Yeah! Good idea!

      --
      if the answer isn't violence, neither is your silence / freedom of expression doesn't make it alright
  13. Disappearing Farms by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    I know that here in NYC we used to have loads Long Island potatoes in the stores. Now we don't have any. I am not talking about 50 years ago, I am talking about 15 or 20.

    Maybe the potatoes in in the store are from Long Island just not labeled as such. Maybe they have been out competed because of cheap transportation costs but mostly I think it is because as you drive out on I-495 (The Long Island Expressway) you see miles and miles of suburbs most of which used to be farms.

    The lack of urban planning in America has been a major irritation to me since I moved temporarily outside of New York City. I lived in the Tidewater area of Virginia for a few years and in Stutgart Germany for a half a year.

    Stutgart was laid out as little clumps of Urban areas mixed into farm, woodlots and vinyards. There were vinyards in the middle of the city. Plus you could walk or bike ride for miles on trails from one part of town to the other and there were trains everywhere.

    New York City is very dense. The whole world should not be like that, but it definitely should not be like the miles and miles, 50+ miles of suburb that surround it. The worst is places like Raleigh Triangle that has no city, just urban sprawl alon highways. I haven't been to California, but I get the impression that large sections of it are like that also.

    1. Re:Disappearing Farms by shlomo · · Score: 1

      There's an article on NYtimes: about this very subject.

      --
      sorry officer, left my sig in my other computer.
  14. Garden alchemy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    "The potato yeilds are just nuts"

    If you can get the pigs to lay eggs, you might have something here!

  15. irrational hope by ajagci · · Score: 1

    Studies like this one may lead to smarter urban-growth strategies in the future.

    I really doubt it. There are much bigger, more immediate problems with our "urban-growth strategies" than that (pollution, traffic, etc.), problems whose solution would result in enormous and immediate benefits to every resident. Since we don't manage to solve those, something as abstract and without direct impact as the use of fertile land to build cities on will lead to anything.

  16. RoofTop Gardens by theslashdude · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Cities and food production don't have to be mutually exclusive. We can live or work and grow food in the same place with RoofTop Gardens.

  17. Who cares... by Dr.+Bent · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The last time I checked, the US government still pays people NOT to grow food because we have more than we need. When farm subsidies disappear, then I'll start worrying about urban sprawl affecting crop production.

    The problem of world hunger cannot simply be solved by producing more food. You have to get that food to whoever needs it, before it spoils, and in a way that is cost effective. That's a much more difficult problem than just growing more corn.

    1. Re:Who cares... by 2marcus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The US government's agricultural subsidies actually significantly distort the entire market. If we got rid of them, we might actually see fertile land become more valuable. We don't let other countries dump steel on us, why should we dump agricultural goods on them? Of course, I would also argue that this problem is actually much more severe in other countries. To use anecdotal evidence, Egypt has a very narrow fertile corridor (called the land next to the Nile). But it is busy building on all of its arable lands because people want to live next to where everyone else lives. If they had just a little bit of urban planning, they could shift new settlements out a couple miles into the desert (same climate, almost same location, but very different soil, and you have to pipe some water a little further), and thereby save their domestic agriculture market. But as long as the US dumps food on them, they have little incentive to have domestic farms.

  18. Duh, yourself by fm6 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I don't know whether to say "Kneejerk response" or "RTFA."

    Let's do the second thing first. The point of the article is not that people build on fertile land. The point is that in doing so, they affect the environment and the food supply.

    Second, it's not as simple as saying, "that's where people want to live, too bad." Silicon Valley is built on the best farmland in California, possibly in North America. The early electronic factories didn't come here for easy access to food -- they came here to be near Stanford and the Moffett Naval Air Station. Later high-tech companies came here to be near existing high-tech companies, and to tap the labor pool. There were urban centers they could have built in, but farmland was cheaper.

    The huge growth that followed was inevitable, and even desireable. But it could have been a lot better managed. Swathes of orchards could have been set aside, which would have made the Valley a nicer place to live, helped recharge the water table (lots of droughts here) and fought smog (trees suck up a lot of air polution). Instead of building willy-nilly, housing could have been concentrated in logical locations connected by heavy-duty transit corridors, including mass transit (the traffic jams are horrendous, and even if there were money for more freeways, there's no place to put them).

    Back in the 60s and 70s, when things started to ramp up, the County government tried to do something like the above. But county-wide planning would have eliminated the huge profits of real-estate developers. So they persuaded various little towns, some of them little more than railroad stops, to annex huge patches of land, exempting them from county planning.

    There's a street that runs on a rise at the side end of the valley, called Blossom Hill Road. The name comes from the fact that driving their in the spring brought you face to face with a shocking amount of floral color. Now all you see is urban sprawl. I never go there.

    1. Re:Duh, yourself by Phaid · · Score: 4, Funny

      Second, it's not as simple as saying, "that's where people want to live, too bad." Silicon Valley is built on the best farmland in California, possibly in North America. The early electronic factories didn't come here for easy access to food -- they came here to be near Stanford and the Moffett Naval Air Station.

      Yes, I remember tales of the pioneers of the 1800s hitching up the Conestoga and braving the crossing of the great plains in their brave quest to live near Stanford and Moffett Field, visions of higher learning and F-14s dancing in their heads as they struggled to ford streams with their teams of oxen...

    2. Re:Duh, yourself by stevew · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm not sure I'm willing to accept this claim at face value because it's a bit contrary to some simple facts. What I was taught back in elementary school (CA in the 60's) was that the California central valley was the best farm land in the country because it is essentially a vast flood plain like the Nile. (Then we have the entire Mississippi flood plain to talk about as well.)

      Sacramento is not THAT big when compared to the rest of the valley, and the population density in the valley is quite low.

      The vast majority of California's population is actually in desert areas (LA and San Diego) that can only exist there because of imported water. This isn't prime agricultural land without the water which "man" would have to bring there anyway -

      So I just don't believe the conclusions being reached here concerning the magnitude of the loss.

      --
      Have you compiled your kernel today??
    3. Re:Duh, yourself by qvatch · · Score: 0

      Actually, according to recent studies (as mentioned by my hydrology prof) People are now finding urban areas Recharge ground water. Something about watering lawns, and leaking pipes.

  19. Urban growth not the problem by b-baggins · · Score: 2, Interesting

    People in the world aren't hungry because evil Americans build cities on fertile land. People in the world are hungry because they live under the thumb of brutal dictators. You want to feed the world? Promote freedom and capitalism around the world.

    --
    You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    1. Re:Urban growth not the problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was rather stunned that after the defeat of the Taliban, there were reports that millions of people would go starving. How did so many millions of people in such a backwards country end up being able to survive in the first place? It's freakin' mountains. Shouldn't be so many people there in the first place!

    2. Re:Urban growth not the problem by 2marcus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually, counterintuitively, some people are hungry because the US produces _too much_ food, at too low a price. Thereby outcompeting farmers in developing nations, thereby driving them out of business.

      Oh - and in the process of heavily subsidizing agriculture, we effectively make fertile land worth less, which means it is easier for other activities to outcompete farming for the land. This is true both in the US and in developing countries.

      (btw, I don't disagree with the statement that the spread of freedom and capitalism are also likely to help reduce hunger, as long as they are implemented along with the appropriate governmental/societal institutions. Read Globalization and Its Discontents to see how not to spread capitalism...)

      http://www.bread.org/media/articles/2003/presbyt er ian_apr_15_hunger_report.html
      http://www.overpopu lation.com/articles/2001/000049 .html

    3. Re:Urban growth not the problem by AlecC · · Score: 1

      (em>People in the world aren't hungry because evil Americans build cities on fertile land. People in the world are hungry because they live under the thumb of brutal dictators. You want to feed the world? Promote freedom and capitalism around the world.

      I beg to differ. People in the world are hungry because they have overpopulated their environment and outstripped its capacity to support them. It's a harsh truth, but still a truth: If we (humans) don't manage our fertility, natural forces will manage our mortality.very with war and strongly with misgovenment. Not only do warlords and dictators steal the foor for their own purposes, they destroy infrastructure, and dispirited farmers don't try again because they know it will be stolen.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    4. Re:Urban growth not the problem by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      Hong Kong has the highest population density in the world. No famine there. Japan has the second highest population density in the world and is self-sufficient in foodstuffs.

      ------
      You are entitled to your own opinions, not your own facts.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    5. Re:Urban growth not the problem by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      OK. Explain to me exactly how cheap food causes people to be hungry? Is there some law of nature I'm not aware of that causes starvation if a person can't eat food grown by a local farmer?

      This is not a difficult premise to check. Look where hunger is most rampant in the world. Now look at the types of governments those nations have. You will find, without exception, that dictatorships, communists and extreme socialist nations are nations where famine is rampant.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    6. Re:Urban growth not the problem by 2marcus · · Score: 1

      Ever heard "give someone a fish, feed him for a day, teach him to fish, feed him for a lifetime"?

      By flooding developing countries with cheap food and causing them to be dependent on imports, you make them vulnerable to disruptions in the supply chain. You also make it much more difficult for these countries to develop strong local economies, since they are dependent on labor-intensive industries like food production. Reduced income in rural areas makes it difficult for those people to acquire food even though it is cheap.

      btw: "Without exception"? Are you saying that there is no communist country without famine (wrong - Cuba, modern China), or that there are no democratic nations without famine (wrong: see India, Bangladesh, Ethiopia)? Or that transition from communism to capitalism will always improve matters (wrong: see Russia post-collapse of the USSR)?

      Again, I restate from my previous post "I don't disagree with the statement that the spread of freedom and capitalism are also likely to help reduce hunger, as long as they are implemented along with the appropriate governmental/societal institutions". All other things being equal, capitalism is probably going to do a better job of food distribution than communism, democracies will probably be better than dictatorships. But democratic capitalism is not a magic wand: you also need good institutions, a check on corruption, and the ability to create local industry.

      For an interesting discussion on this topic, you can look at:
      http://folk.uio.no/danbanik/NYTarticle2003.ht m

  20. You call it urban planning, I call it economics. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The essential problem on Long Island is that farmers cant afford to grow there, or the incentives for them to sell their farms is just too great. Say you have a 20-30 acre farm in the middle of LI. Your taxes are going to be extremely high, and you are growing potatoes or corn or whatever on it, most likely just eeking out a living. Bob the builder comes along and says he will give you $100,000/acre for your farm. Are YOU going to say no? 2 mil at 5% interest still nets you 100k/ year.

    Urban planning policies in this instance would have to give the farmer pretty hefty incentives to stay a farmer. My area (36 miles from NYC near the nassau/suffolk border) had a few farms around it and a bit of undeveloped land when we moved here about 8 years ago. Now there are houses everywhere, with one farm left standing. The change is remarkable. Property values have skyrocketed, but the cozy charm the area once had is quickly diminishing, and traffic has increased noticeably. In 20-30 years im fairly certain that you wont be able to live w/in commuting distance of manhattan for less than a million dollars.

  21. Urban growth not the problem by FlyingOrca · · Score: 1

    People in the world aren't hungry because evil Americans build cities on fertile land. People in the world are hungry because they live under the thumb of brutal dictators. You want to feed the world? Promote freedom and capitalism around the world.

    I beg to differ. People in the world are hungry because they have overpopulated their environment and outstripped its capacity to support them. It's a harsh truth, but still a truth: If we (humans) don't manage our fertility, natural forces will manage our mortality.

    --
    Corruptissima re publica plurimae leges.
  22. Re:Duh, back at you by SpaceLifeForm · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Screw the 60s and 70s, the entire point goes back 100-200 years when the US was settled. RTFA yourself.

    "Urbanization follows agriculture -- it's a natural and important human process," said Imhoff.Throughout history, highly productive agricultural land brought food, wealth and trade to an area, all of which fostered settlements.

    This has little to do with Silicon Valley. In fact, the entire concept is a no-brainer to any civilization that ever settled anywhere on the planet.

    In fact, I wonder why NASA wasted money on this study in the first place.

    --
    You are being MICROattacked, from various angles, in a SOFT manner.
  23. Thanks for clarification by AtariAmarok · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Thanks for listing some additional sources. I did not mean that Arcologies appeared only in Niven.

    One major weakness with arcologies is vulerability to terror/war or such catastrophe.

    In the 1950s, Clifford D. Simak wrote his "City" stories after being inspired by the vulnerability of cities to nuclear attack. Turn the city into an arcology, and the problem (such as it is) increases.

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
    1. Re:Thanks for clarification by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      But on the other hand, it would become somewhat easier to defend since the target would be that much smaller.

      Built an ancology and bristle the outside with Phalanx batteries. No missile or unauthorized plane would get within a mile of the place! (literally)
      =Smidge=

    2. Re:Thanks for clarification by jnicholson · · Score: 1
      No missile or unauthorized plane would get within a mile of the place! (literally)
      And this would help with external attack. It wouldn't stop a determined individual terrorist from outside, with a passable excuse for entry. It also wouldn't stop internal terrorism - is there a shortage of idiots willing to die for a cause?
      --
      "Do not drill any holes in your cat - it will not like it."
      -- Nick Davies
    3. Re:Thanks for clarification by dunedan · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think you are forgetting a major problem with arcologies. People don't want to live in them. If they did there would be a big expensive one in Aspen Colorado where all the rich people go on vacation.

      I agree with you on all technical, environmental, and economical points but you will have a very hard time convincing people to give up their yards and cars and shrubbery and sunlight all day long to live in what they will inevitably percieve as a large box

    4. Re:Thanks for clarification by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      There's no real defence for that now, persay. So in that respect little has changed.

      Though I supopose you couls always face a few of those guns inward...
      =Smidge=

    5. Re:Thanks for clarification by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      ...persay...

      Hot button alert! It's per se. It means in, of, or by itself; intrinsically.

      Never use a word you've only heard and never read.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    6. Re:Thanks for clarification by Anztac · · Score: 1

      As opposed to a small isolated box. On a block where you don't know your neighbors, except by what type of car they have, how much better or worse their lawn is then yours, or whether or not their house is enviable. In a city whose schools indoctrinate your children into paradigms 50 years old, trying to turn them into good little robots, leaving imprints at fertile ages up to teachers you may never know. Yes I agree that the rich people you talk about probably won't ever want to live in an arcology. I think really, they're meant for communities of tight knit people. I'm biased though, I want to create such a community some day...

      --
      ~Anztac
  24. Water by Quill_28 · · Score: 1

    Most cities are built near water. Where there is water fertile land is usually nearby.

    Most people don't want to live in the desert. Unless, you like to gamble of course.

    Problem isn't fertile land as much making good use of the land.

    1. Re:Water by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      Most cities are built near water. Where there is water fertile land is usually nearby.

      Irrigation is not the biggest reason why cities show up near rivers, commerce is: Rivers move merchandise well.

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    2. Re:Water by Quill_28 · · Score: 1

      Tell that to Indianapolis. :-)

  25. Re:You call it urban planning, I call it economics by Quill_28 · · Score: 1

    It's not just New York.

    I live in TN, land used to be $1000 an acre, but now it is closer to $10,000 an acre. And rising. I suspect that $10,000/acre is darn cheap compared to another places.

  26. Biofuels... by 2marcus · · Score: 1

    In other comments in this thread, I've talked about the problem being EU/US agricultural subsidies.

    But here I want to hypothesize that the one situation in which the world would no longer produce enough food is if there is a large shift to biofuels. The amount of corn that would need to be grown for ethanol or biodiesel if we shift to a biofuel fleet would be staggering (whether for global warming reasons, or for oil depletion reasons). And then we might regret having built over the most fertile land we own.

    But otherwise, you are right, we do grow more food than we need. Though perhaps we could grow it more cheaply if we had developed our urban areas differently...

  27. Subsidy accounting by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Whether or not California is truly a donor state depends where the cost of running Glen Canyon Dam and Hoover Dam is put. If they are charged to Arizona or Nevada (next to the dams) rather than the places the water goes, you will not get an accurate picture of how the subsidies flow.

    (Not saying that they are, I have no expertise in this matter; I'm just saying that this is one way in which the truth could be obscured.)

    But complaining about Federal monies spent in California rings hollow, especially given the enormous budget deficit facing California
    To the extent that those deficits come from a bunch of amateurs (politicians) playing the energy markets with the taxpayer's money under rules written and approved by the legislature, those problems are entirely home-grown and do not deserve a bailout. The huge spending run-up during the dot-bomb era does not justify a bailout either.
  28. Was the land fertile before the city was there? by nunya_biznez · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Here's an interesting thought... Was the land fertile prior to settlement? Or has it become more fertile since the development and habitation.

    If you think about all the refuse and biological waste that winds up on the ground every day, wouldn't this contribute to the fertility?

    I don't think that even if we could convince all the people to move to a less fertile area that the ground would produce all that much. Because with all that humans drop, we also pollute. So even if we could farm it, I seriously doubt that it could produce as much as they are saying it would.

  29. Soylent Green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you count all the Human and vermin that are raised and grow in those areas as live stock, I bet they do better then if you just used them as farms, and after all it is a fair comparison because soylent green is people.

  30. Putting on my ObviousMan cape and shorts by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 2, Informative
    ... like where the first 13 colonies were set up and they really didn't know how to grow their own food until the Native Americans taught them how to.
    Yeah, like the natives had wheat, and rye, and oats, and apple trees, and all those other crops unknown to Westerners. <insert DUH with red circle and bar sinister here>

    Actually it was the reverse. With minor exceptions western agriculture out-produced the native American crops and techniques by large margins (until western crop-breeding practices produced things like modern maize)... and if you actually care about the facts, here is a good introduction which explains why this was, among many other important factors.

  31. And well it should not by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 1

    There are many bad laws which might never have been passed if government had just commissioned some proper research on the matters in question and then acted in accordance with the results. There are many more bad laws which should be revoked based on research which has disproven their basis.

  32. You don't know the half of it by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 1
    ... one situation in which the world would no longer produce enough food is if there is a large shift to biofuels. The amount of corn that would need to be grown for ethanol or biodiesel if we shift to a biofuel fleet would be staggering...
    Then multiply by a large factor again. If the Chippewa Valley ethanol plant in 1996 is typical of current technology, the situation would be downright dismal; that year the plant consumed 1 gallon-equivalent (gasoline) of fossil fuels to produce a mere 1.2 gallons-equivalent of ethanol. Of 6 gallons of output, you'd have to feed 5 gallons back into the process to keep it going. Even in 2002 they report 33421 BTU of gas consumption per anhydrous gallon of ethanol. Given that ethanol has about 75% of the energy content of gasoline and gasoline is about 123,000 BTU/gallon, each gallon of ethanol requires something like 33% of its delivered energy as an input of gas. Then you have the energy demands for cultivation, nitrogen fertilizers and pesticides.

    Ethanol right now is IMHO one of the least ecological fuels you can use in a vehicle, because of the way it is produced and the distorting subsidies which promote this production. #include <std_subsidy_rant.h>

    1. Re:You don't know the half of it by sjames · · Score: 1

      In order for those figures to be truly meaningful, they must be compared to the fuel expendature for fossil fuel production. That should include the resources to produce those oil rigs in the North Sea, the supertankers, the tanker trucks (and the fuel they consume), refining, etc.

      Further, to compare the viability of switching to biofuels, economy of scale hasto be considered. What would the biofuels cost when produced at the scale required for use as a primary fuel? That ould reduce the costs considerably, or it could actually increase them by driving demand (and price) for farmland and supplies.

      Then, political costs have to be factored in. Those include the indirect costs associated with supplying the middle east and parts of africa with enough money to buy modern millitary hardware and ultimately draw us into war. Additionally, there's the cost of dependance (Think oil embargo). Any honest asessment would chalk these up as subsidies for fossil fuel production.

      A final factor that may be of importance is CO2. Biofuels are free in terms of CO2 production since any CO2 released when the fuel is burned will at most equal the amount absorbed when the plants were grown.

      Personally, my suspicion is that we cannot totally convert to biofuels. However, a combination of biofuel for mobile power production (that is, vehicles) and nuclear (standardized modern nuclear not the series of one-off plants like the U.S currently has) for stationary production (power plants) might be quite attractive. Ultimately, hydrogen as an energy storage system for mobile uses might be even better, but biofuels will be a good interem solution since they can work within the existing infrastructure.

    2. Re:You don't know the half of it by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 1
      In order for those figures to be truly meaningful, they must be compared to the fuel expendature for fossil fuel production. That should include the resources to produce those oil rigs in the North Sea, the supertankers...
      All of that is included in the cost of crude delivered to the refinery.
      ... the tanker trucks (and the fuel they consume), refining, etc.
      Every BTU of energy that comes out of the pump is a BTU of energy that came from crude in the first place.

      In the case of ethanol from corn, that is not true. As of 1996, there were some 5 BTU of non-renewable inputs to get 6 BTU of ethanol out of the distillery, and it does not get better from there. Even the tanker trucks which move the product gasohol are powered by petroleum diesel, not ethanol. Yet a 10% ethanol blend, representing 1/10 of 1/6 = 1/60 renewable energy, is eligible for a complete abatement of the federal gasoline tax. This is 60 * 19 cents = $11.40/gallon subsidy. It is one of the most wasteful subsidies I know. Liquefying coal or using wind power to charge electric vehicles would give us many more miles per subsidy dollar.

      Further, to compare the viability of switching to biofuels, economy of scale hasto be considered. What would the biofuels cost when produced at the scale required for use as a primary fuel?
      Good point. Here's another: if the current system for production of biofuels depends on fossil fuels which are becoming more costly, aren't we painting ourselves into a corner by trying to expand production of those biofuels without also changing the production methods? We used about 38 quadrillion BTU of oil in 2002, roughly half of it for motor gasoline. We also used about 23 quads of natural gas. If we tried to make 18 quads of fuel ethanol using current technology, we would need another 6 quads of natural gas just for distilling. That is more than a 25% increase over current consumption. Where would that gas come from, and how high would prices be driven?
      Biofuels are free in terms of CO2 production since any CO2 released when the fuel is burned will at most equal the amount absorbed when the plants were grown.
      That's assuming that the cultivation does not result in a change in e.g. soil carbon inventory. If you convert land from lumber forest to pulpwood forest, kenaf or annual crops this is probably not the case.
      Personally, my suspicion is that we cannot totally convert to biofuels.
      I believe this is correct as current biofuels are currently made. However, if we develop techniques such as hydrogen from green algae and bioreactors which convert hydrogen and carbon dioxide to liquids such as methanol, the net productivity could be high enough to change a lot of that.
    3. Re:You don't know the half of it by sjames · · Score: 1

      Every BTU of energy that comes out of the pump is a BTU of energy that came from crude in the first place. In the case of ethanol from corn, that is not true. As of 1996, there were some 5 BTU of non-renewable inputs to get 6 BTU of ethanol out of the distillery, and it does not get better from there.

      In the 'worst case' That is, total conversion to biofuel, that 5 BTU would come from more biofuel and/or crop waste. It is also likely that we would develop more effecient production methods. Distilleries could be made a lot more efficient as well. From what I have seen, currently there is no effort made at most distilleries to recapture the heat of condensation from the produced ethanol. Other distillation costs are the result of jumping through hoops to avoid paying sin taxes for consumable alcohol. Presumably in a biofuel conversion, the delivery tucks would be run on biodiesel.

      The subsidies cannot be seen to make sense until you look at a larger picture. I believe the real purpose of the subsidies is national security. They are meant to maintain reserve food production capacity in the U.S. much like paying farmers to NOT grow crops, but more productive. That capacity parallels our strategic oil reserves. If food could be stored indefinitely, we would just maintain strategic food reserves.

      In a worst case economic disaster, hyperinflation is driven by dependence on imports. A self contained economy would never even feel hyperinflation.

      WRT carbon budget, there is a one time CO2 cost of conversion if forested land is converted to fuel production, but the fuel cycle itself remains balanced. OTOH, if urban brownfields are converted, there is a net reduction in CO2 (really, just an offset of the CO2 released when the land was cleared during urban development).

      I certainly agree that improved production methods can make biofuels a lot more attractive.

    4. Re:You don't know the half of it by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 1

      In the 'worst case' That is, total conversion to biofuel, that 5 BTU would come from more biofuel and/or crop waste.

      It better come from crop waste, because if it all comes from the product fuel the total productivity falls by a huge amount (83% for that 1996 example; it would probably be somewhat better now, but I'll wager it's still more than 2/3).

      The use of crop waste isn't quite free either. In current harvesting techniques the corn is shelled on the combine and the stalks and ears are shredded and put back on the soil. This adds organic matter and helps control erosion. If you take it away for fuel, what other inputs are you going to need to hold the soil down and maintain its quality?

      Distilleries could be made a lot more efficient as well. From what I have seen, currently there is no effort made at most distilleries to recapture the heat of condensation from the produced ethanol.

      Distillation of seawater often uses multiple-effect stills, but salt does not have the problematic quality of vaporizing easily. This limits the temperatures and pressures you can use for effective separation of ethanol/water mixtures, and cuts the ability to recycle heat through common techniques such as using the condenser of a high-pressure stage to heat the boiler of a low-pressure stage.

      This does not excuse the distillers for failing to use techniques which are known to work, such as solar flat-panel collectors for heating stills. The temperatures are under 100 C, which works just fine with solar. If they used a concentrating "power tower" it would be feasible to generate electricity as well as process steam to run the stills.

      I believe the real purpose of the subsidies is national security. They are meant to maintain reserve food production capacity in the U.S. much like paying farmers to NOT grow crops, but more productive. That capacity parallels our strategic oil reserves. If food could be stored indefinitely, we would just maintain strategic food reserves.

      It may surprise you to learn that the US once DID maintain food reserves, only their avowed purpose was to stabilize prices (buying in rich years, selling in lean years) rather than any strategic goal. Farmers were paid to idle land which would otherwise flood the system with surplus food. It worked, until someone got greedy and made a big sale to Russia when stocks were low. (According to the Cato Institute, that someone was the chairman of ADM.)

      If food could be stored indefinitely, we would just maintain strategic food reserves.

      You don't need to store food indefinitely, you just need to cycle it through storage fast enough that it doesn't go bad. In the case of grain, this can be a matter of years if I'm not mistaken. How many years of backup do you really need?

      In a worst case economic disaster, hyperinflation is driven by dependence on imports.

      That's the point I was making; the entire "biofuel" system as currently constructed is highly dependent upon imports, and will fare just as badly as everything else if they were to be restricted. To be a real source of security it has to be independent.

      This need not be overly difficult. For instance, if we got the "hydrogen from green algae" trick working on an industrial scale and 5% efficiency, the hydrogen could fix the nitrogen required for crop production without any fossil inputs (as might recycling of the fermentation solids as animal feed, the manure handled as input to a methane digester for further fuel production, and finally the digester effluent used as liquid fertilizer). For the distillation step solar heat would do, or byproduct steam from a steam-cycle powerplant. This would eliminate the dependence of any part of the ethanol process on imported fuels, and free much of it from fossil fuels.

    5. Re:You don't know the half of it by sjames · · Score: 1

      I certainly agree that using biofuel to fuel biofuel production would have terrible effect on production. Crop waste could be used somewhat creatively (agreed, not for free). For example, reletivly mild heating of most plant waste will yield a watery mixture of methanol and tars. The nitrogen content is left intact as well as the fiberous structure. That part could be scattered in the fields while the distilates provide a low grade fuel that could be used to power a still (or suppliment solar power for the still).

      Certainly, the condenser stage of an ethanol still can't be effectively fed back to the boiler stage, but it can power other processes in the distillery. If stirling engines were produced in significant quantities, they would be effective way to capture the waste heat to provide electricity for everything from pumps and lighting to forklift batteries. The waste heat might also be a fine way to warm the fermentation tanks.

      I certainly agree that the current production using imported fossil fuels is shamefully gaming the system at the public's expense. Biofuels aren't a silver bullet, but the current production makes them look a lot worse than they actually are. As long as big oil is running the Whitehouse, we can expect no changes there.

  33. Re:You call it urban planning, I call it economics by N3Bruce · · Score: 1

    I live in an agricultural area about 15 miles from the Baltimore Beltway where the farmland is rapidly disappearing. I am also currently building a nice, but fairly modest house on a 5 acre piece of land that used to be part of my grandfather's dairy farm, which I plan to keep mostly agricultural. The county I live in is trying to preserve the remaining farmland around here by a combination of an (inadequately funded) program of buying development rights, and draconian zoning laws which restrict the ability to subdivide land parcels and require huge lot sizes in order to build anything at all.

    Despite these restrictions, the "invisible hand" has been hard at work converting unprofitable farm land into green lawns for oversized McMansions. When houses with any substantial amount of land around them become available on the market, no matter how rundown or small they command a premium price. The real value of a farm is how many building lots can be carved off of it, rather than how fertile the farmland is or how nice the farmhouse. The price for a couple of acres is approaching the price of a modest house on a city lot. The clientele for these large building lots are not farmers, but people who can afford to build a 6,000 square foot house, have multiple SUVs in the 4 car garage, and maintain a 5 acre lawn. 30 years ago, a person moving out here would build a 1500 - 2000 square foot house, and take only an acre or so for their lawn.

    This has changed the character of the area noticeably. The old timers would help each other with chores, repairs, and so on, and ignore minor trangressions of zoning laws, such as junked vehicles or unpermitted sheds. The new breed forms homeowners associations to oppose these people, and pressures the remaining old timers to sell out. One of the new breed is a developer who owns a neighboring parcel to mine, which was also once part of the farm. He witheld a simple easement for tapping electical service from a pole which sat on the edge of his property, unless I paid him a substantial "ransom". I love it around here, but if the people who move into the houses he will build are like him, I may sell out too.

  34. Re:Duh, back at you by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

    I wonder why NASA wasted money on this study in the first place.

    Saving money is punished, wasting money is rewarded.
    If you don't spend this year's budget, it gets cut next year.

    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  35. your nick by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why does it have an '1111' in it? That damn number has been following me for 20 years! (I'm serious)

    1. Re:your nick by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its the date my wife and I were born. (seriously)

  36. Well, MY city... by dustinbarbour · · Score: 2, Funny

    ..just so happens to be build in the middle of the freakin' desert! Not exactly fertile.. So, though this may hold true for a lot of cities, there are many exceptions.

  37. Idiots by KewlPC · · Score: 2, Insightful

    While we can always hope for smarter urban growth strategies, their widespread adoption isn't likely, at least not in the near term.

    Every year, all throughout the Southeastern United States, there are people who live in a town built on the Mississippi River flood plain who, when the river floods (as it does every year), instead of moving to a better place, decide to try to control the river's flooding by building levies. The levies, of course, are preventing the Mississippi from carrying as much silt as it used to, which is causing erosion. Never mind that the land is more useful for irrigation farming.

    There are people in the midwest who, despite living on land so unbelievably flat that you can't see a single hill or Mountain, and despite the area being known as "Tornado Alley", act surprised and heartbroken when their towns are ripped apart by tornadoes year after year.

    All throughout American history, people just built their towns on the first, most immediately convenient place they came across, with little or no regard as to whether or not it was actually a good place for a town. A great many years later, despite the technology for advanced climatological and ecological studies being available (that would tell these cities' current inhabitants that their town is situated in the worst possible place), people continue to live in these places. After each disaster, people keep coming back.

    Idiots.

    1. Re:Idiots by MemoryAid · · Score: 1
      When I was growing up, I lived in the Midwest and wondered about all the people in California living with mudslides, earthquakes and wildfires. While I was still living there, a tornado destroyed a few houses about six miles away from my home. (No direct effect on me)

      Now I live in California, and there have been a few earthquakes, wildfires and mudslides. I wouldn't be suprised if everyone (with American television) had heard about them recently. I have been directly affected only by having seen the fires from the safety of an airplane, and having felt one earthquake.

      Anyway, the news of (any) disaster makes it sound pretty bad, but each disaster only affects a small percentage of the population. (That's small when compared with the number of people who hear about it.) What I don't get is why people would want to deal with bad traffic every day, which is like a minor disaster they can count on experiencing. That seems like the real reason not to live in places where everyone else lives.

      For what it's worth, I live way out in the desert.

      --
      Language students: Don't try to learn English here. This ain't it.
    2. Re:Idiots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not as if they can just pick up their town and move it to a better place. This kind of stuff would just keep new towns from being built in such places.

  38. So ? by Mr+Europe · · Score: 1

    And now we'll move NY to Rocky Mountains ?

    When placing a city (town) there are many a lot faster affecting reasons for the optimal position than the climate. And old cities wont be moved.

  39. Re:Duh, back at you by misterpies · · Score: 2, Interesting


    Two comments:

    Firstly, there are large swathes of the US where fertile land is neither urbanised nor farmed, but simply left to grow back into forest. I'm thinking of New England. Outside the main cities (and often surprisingly close to them) there are acres and acres of new-growth forest that used to be farmland. What happened was local farmers were priced out of business by big midwestern producers, and the land was just left fallow. (if you've ever been to Walden Pond -- where Thoreau went off to retreat from the world -- you'll notice it's surrounded by dense forest. But when Thoreau lived there it was all farmland.)

    Secondly, it may be a no-brainer that cities tend to grow around fertile land, but it doesn't mean it's a good idea. (Indeed it's the sort of idea only someone with no brain would consider good.) Especially since once that fertile land is concreted over, it's gone for good.

    --
    The author of this post asserts his moral rights.
  40. Hong Kong and Japan by FlyingOrca · · Score: 1

    Hong Kong would be starving without food imports. As for Japan being self-sufficient in foodstuffs, I'd love to see a citation on that. Seems to me they import a lot of food from my country, anyway. The inescapable truth is that nearly every global problem facing humanity today is either directly caused or exacerbated by our growing numbers. For more information, I highly recommend Lindsay Grant's excellent book _Juggernaut_.

    --
    Corruptissima re publica plurimae leges.
  41. Agriculuture uses UP land. by gurps_npc · · Score: 1, Insightful
    So the more you use it, the less fertile it becomes. (I.E. Dustbowl, and crop rotation.)

    But one of the reasons why city land is so fertile is that it has been a city for so long. If we used moved and used the old city as farm land for 10 years, it would suddenly stop being the most fertile land and the new city we built would become the most fertile land.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  42. Emulating wealth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > The rest of the world is doing it's level best to emulate us in every conceivable manner

    Untrue - you seem to be confusing wanting what you _have_ with wanting to be how you _are_.

    You seem to be under the impression that the rest of the world is thinking something along the lines of:

    1) I want to be rich.
    2) Americans are rich.
    3) Thus, I want to be like Americans.

    This is false. Our thought processes are more like:

    1) I want to be rich.
    2) Americans are rich.
    3) Maybe I can become rich selling Americans tacky knick-knacks.

    Don't confuse wanting your amount of money with wanting to be like you - we sure don't. :)

  43. Hindsight is 20/20 by sanctimonius+hypocrt · · Score: 1

    But it could have been a lot better managed...

    Yes, it probably could have been, with enough wisdom and foresight, and some luck. Our governments have had plenty of the third, and not much of the first two. This was at least as true one hundred years ago.

    At the end of the nineteenth century, the responsible, right-thinking enviornmentalists were draining swamps to stop the spread of disease; Now, we're trying to restore wetlands.

    What should we be planning for now? Planners are often wrong, rarely uncertain


  44. Thermodynamics is the half you don't know by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 1
    Certainly, the condenser stage of an ethanol still can't be effectively fed back to the boiler stage, but it can power other processes in the distillery.
    No it can't. There is not enough delta-T to run a worthwhile heat engine.
    If stirling engines were produced in significant quantities, they would be effective way to capture the waste heat to provide electricity for everything from pumps and lighting to forklift batteries.
    You may have heard of thermodynamics, but you obviously have not studied it or you would not have made that statement.

    A Stirling engine is not a magic device. Its limit is the Carnot efficiency, which no real engine can actually reach. According to the first Google hit I got, ethanol boils at 78.3 C at sea-level pressure; in a vacuum still such as you would need to get more than 95% purity, the temperature would be even lower. At 50 C still condenser temperature and 30 C outside temperature you have precious little delta-T just to move the heat flow. Even if you could get lossless heat transfer the Carnot efficiency of an engine running on that heat flow would be (323-303)/323=6.2%. In practice, it would be stupid to try; you can make toy Stirling engines which run on minuscule temperature differences, but they do not produce useful amounts of work.

    Once you've sent the heat to the still (maximum temperature 100 C), you can forget the idea of recovering work from it. The place in the cycle where this is practical is at the high-temperature end, where you can generate steam at 200-500 C and drop it through a turbine to low temperature and pressure. The exhaust steam can heat the still. If you are really smart you will heat the steam boiler with the exhaust from a gas turbine operating at 1000 C or so, and skim useful work out of the heat flow not once but twice.

    The waste heat might also be a fine way to warm the fermentation tanks.
    That is about all it might be good for. Other uses which spring to mind are heating of methane digesters (if the ethanol plant is integrated with a feedlot to employ the fermentation solids and the manure is processed for fuel gas) and winter heating of greenhouses for off-season vegetables.
    For example, reletivly mild heating of most plant waste will yield a watery mixture of methanol and tars. The nitrogen content is left intact as well as the fiberous structure.
    After finding so many obvious misconceptions in the rest of your post, I'd like you to point me to some documentation for this claim. Not that I disbelieve it (thermal depolymerization has been in the news enough to take it very seriously), but I would rather have facts without you filtering them.
    1. Re:Thermodynamics is the half you don't know by sjames · · Score: 1

      Pardon me, I thought we were brainstorming here. I guess you thought it was a pissing match.

      For one, there is no actual need for greater than 95% purity for fuel alcohol. Any moonshiner can tell you white lightning will run great in a conventional gasoline engine (I assure you, moonshiners do NOT use vacuum stills).

      That brings us to more like 13.7%. It's not great, but it does represent recovered WASTE HEAT. The only real question will be the total lifetime energy recovered vs. the cost of the engine at a reasonable scale of production.

      After finding so many obvious misconceptions in the rest of your post, I'd like you to point me to some documentation for this claim.

      Talk to an 8th grade science teacher (where I learned it decades ago). Or better yet, just heat some plant matter until it smolders. That 'smoke' is the mixture of tar and methanol, ready to burn at the slightest provocation.

      Note that even ash from burned plant matter is a decent fertilizer componant.

      In other words, that's not news at all, it's old hat.

    2. Re:Thermodynamics is the half you don't know by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 1

      I guess you thought it was a pissing match.

      Brainstorm turns into brain-fart as soon as it leaves the bounds of reality.

      This is one of my pet peeves. Too many people have no concept of what's actually possible within the laws of physics, and this ignorance of (or refusal to face) reality extends to their planning and even politics. Guess what happens when you plan on something that's impossible to achieve, or support a political platform which demands it? It can get very, very ugly.

      Less visibly ugly but perhaps more damaging in the long run is the amount of thought wasted thinking about and communicating impossible or otherwise useless schemes. Ponder the number of real problems in the world and the amount of mental and physical effort wasted due to faulty understandings of what has to be done to solve them. Such waste can devastate entire societies. Native Americans conducted elaborate ceremonies to bring about the return of the buffalo, and look how far it got them. For more recent examples, see the pyramid schemes which bankrupted many people in the former Soviet Republics.

      For one, there is no actual need for greater than 95% purity for fuel alcohol.

      Only if you aren't planning on blending it with gasoline. If you are, you have to remove almost all the water or the mix will separate into an emulsion of distinct phases. Emulsified fuel was a serious problem for the designers of flex-fuel vehicles when I last followed that stuff, and I doubt it has become all that much easier since.

      That brings us to more like 13.7%.

      Reality check: a Carnot-cycle engine operating at ~1000 F (1460 R) high-side temperature and ~40 F (500 R) low-side temperature would have a theoretical efficiency of 960/1460=66%. In reality, a steam turbine operating around those parameters for the superheater temperature and the condenser temperature is about 33% efficient. Mechanical losses come off your net rather than your gross, so your 13.7% probably falls to the region of 2-3% if you're lucky.

      If you could spend the same amount on hardware to get 33% or 3%, what would you spend it on?

      It's not great, but it does represent recovered WASTE HEAT.

      You can recover metal from aluminized gum wrappers, but it's not worth it. There are better ways to squeeze more out of the heat being used to run the stills, starting with integrating them with powerplants which are already dumping waste heat at nearly the necessary temperature anyway (and burning domestically-produced fuel to do it). Buying that steam would be a lot cheaper and vastly more efficient than buying natural gas; if the efficiency of the plant is reduced from 33% to 32% by the higher turbine-outlet pressure, you are talking about an increase of 323 BTU/KWH in the plant's heat rate. At 60% heat rejection out the turbine (a guess, assuming 8% up the stack) you would get your 33,000 BTU of steam for the distillery for a mere 1667 BTU in extra fuel. (My calculation: at 60% rejection as turbine exhaust steam, the 33,000 BTU of steam requires 55,000 BTU of fuel to produce it and the 32% efficient plant makes 17,600 BTU of electricity in the bargain. At 33% efficiency, the same amount of electricity requires 53,333 BTU of fuel.)

      Historical heat rates for US electric powerplants are here.

      Talk to an 8th grade science teacher (where I learned it decades ago). Or better yet, just heat some plant matter until it smolders. That 'smoke' is the mixture of tar and methanol, ready to burn at the slightest provocation.

      I know it's flammable, I'm questioning your claims about composition and "mild heating". Anything that isn't methanol is a tar? What happens to the nitrogen, does it become nitrate, ammonia or something else? What kinds of temperatures do I need, and under wha