Slashdot Mirror


Rocket Science vs. Barry Bonds

Ray Radlein writes "How about a good old-fashioned Sports story? With its multitude of different statistical measures, baseball has always had the highest Geek Quotient of any major sport. Alpha Geeks of Baseball have included former relief pitcher Rob Murphy, who put his Computer Science degree to good use writing software to evaluate thoroughbred race horses, and Boston Red Sox ace and probable future Hall of Famer Curt Schilling, who not only runs a company that makes hex-based war games, but once got embroiled in an on-field feud due to Everquest. However, Baseball Geeks have a new hero to look up to: Jason Szuminski, who on Sunday became the first MIT graduate to pitch in a major league baseball game. His degree in Aerospace Engineering must have stood him in good stead as he observed the ballistic trajectory of a Barry Bonds fly ball which just barely stayed inside the Padres' new stadium."

67 of 285 comments (clear)

  1. Well... by TheKidWho · · Score: 5, Funny

    All this talk about projectile motion is making me itch to play a game of grand theft auto

    1. Re:Well... by DarkBlackFox · · Score: 2, Funny

      Screw that, give me Qbasic Gorrilas!

    2. Re:Well... by raider_red · · Score: 4, Funny

      Forget the games. I'm going to the shooting range.

      --
      It's good to use your head, but not as a battering ram.
  2. MIT Grads by jazman_777 · · Score: 4, Funny
    ...His degree in Aerospace Engineering must have stood him in good stead as he observed the ballistic trajectory of a Barry Bonds fly ball...

    He's only doing a case study.

    --
    Slashdot: Failed Car Analogies. Amateur Lawyering. Anecdote Battles.
  3. Gravity by PepsiProgrammer · · Score: 4, Funny

    One might say Bonds fought he law, and the law won.

    --
    "The United States has no right, no desire, and no intention to impose our form of government on anyone else." - Bush 05
    1. Re:Gravity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's simple. Everyone's unique Passport ID is 666. That's what makes them so unique. And Bill Gates is an anagram for "Gill Beast", which I think means he can breathe underwater. Global warming reference perhaps?

      Can't argue with the facts.

  4. What? You want a Prada? by mikeophile · · Score: 4, Funny
    For the last few seasons, the Padres reliever with the least experience has to carry a pink Barbie backpack filled with candy, sunflower seeds and whatever else relievers like to have during games. The low man carries it out to the bullpen.

    "But what's the bag going to look like?" Szuminski asked.

    Methinks this guy has been watching a little too much Queer Eye for the Straight Guy.

    Oh well, at least he's a pitcher and not a catcher.

  5. sequence by name773 · · Score: 5, Funny

    1. get killed by your friend in everquest
    2. get back at him by hitting two home runs
    3. take down the espn servers by linking it to slashdot
    4. ???
    5. profit!

    1. Re:sequence by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 5, Interesting

      You've got to be kidding me.
      Go.com is the 21st most trafficked site on the web. (Over half of that is for ESPN.)

      Slashdot is 1000+

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
    2. Re:sequence by aridhol · · Score: 4, Informative

      But Alexa determines rank by the installation of spyware. Most slashdotters know enough about spyware to not have Alexa installed.

      --
      I can't say that I don't give a fuck. I've just run out of fuck to give.
    3. Re:sequence by Ryan+Amos · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, but ESPN is the place sports nuts go to get their news. It's like the Slashdot of sports, only there are a lot more sports nuts than tech geeks. I'm actually surprised espn.com isn't in the top 5.

    4. Re:sequence by anon*127.0.0.1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually, sports nuts get their news and stuff from TV, or the newspaper. Sure, a sizeable number get their news online, but it's probably a much smaller percentage the the number of geeks who get their news from /.

      --
      I am NOT a man!
      I am a free number!
    5. Re:sequence by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 2, Funny

      Good point. I'm installing Alexa.

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
  6. There is a future in Baseball for Geeks by Pave+Low · · Score: 5, Informative
    and it's not on the field. It's in the front office.

    The generation of Moneyball General Managers is here. Billy Beane, John DePodesta (Harvard), Theo Epstein (Yale) are paving the way for seamheads who know baseball and use statistical analysis to build their teams.

    Now, there's hope for geeks with math and statistics degrees who want to break into baseball.

    --
    SIG:Slashdot: indymedia for nerds.
    1. Re:There is a future in Baseball for Geeks by Aardpig · · Score: 4, Funny

      Now, there's hope for geeks with math and statistics degrees who want to break into baseball.

      Let's face it, however, they still won't get laid.

      --
      Tubal-Cain smokes the white owl.
  7. Most Geek Sport - I think not by spindizzy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "With its multitude of different statistical measures, baseball has always had the highest Geek Quotient of any major sport."
    You might want to check out cricket, www.cricinfo.org and Wisden for some serious stats.
    Not to mention that with all the offshoring to India there's a huge cricket loving geek population there. Baseball's only a fairly minor sport in world terms.

    --
    Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur
    1. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by Speed+Racer · · Score: 3, Funny

      Baseball's only a fairly minor sport in world terms.

      Quick, name the countries that have won Olympic gold medals in cricket.

      --
      Free Mac Mini. Yes, I'm
    2. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by spindizzy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So curling is a major world sport by that metric? Ice dancing too? See how many people tuned into the last Cricket World Cup final and compare it with the 'World' Series.

      --
      Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur
    3. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by Speed+Racer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So curling is a major world sport by that metric? Ice dancing too?

      Come on now, that's the Winter Olympics. Additionally, since cricket and baseball are at least similar, it's a relevant comparison, unlike yours.

      --
      Free Mac Mini. Yes, I'm
    4. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by Speed+Racer · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And there have been, what, three summer Olympics where baseball was a medal sport and not exhibition?

      Well, it will be 4 in a few months, assuming the Greeks can pull things together. Also, it would have become a medal sport back in 1940 during the scheduled games in Japan but there was this World War going on at the time and it kind of got lost in the shuffle.

      --
      Free Mac Mini. Yes, I'm
    5. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by Speed+Racer · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well, there are only two countries where the teams actually are based but Major League Baseball players have been born in the following countries: United States, Australia, Bahamas, Canada, Colombia, Cuba, Curacao, Dominican Republic, England, France, Germany, Holland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Nicaragua, Puerto Rico, Panama, Scotland, South Korea, Virgin Islands, Venezuela, W.Germany, Norway, Wales, Sweden, Afghanistan, Spain , Greece , Taiwan, Philippines, Russia, Ukraine, Czechoslovakia, Jamaica, Poland, Aruba, Okinawa , Russia , South Vietnam, Denmark, Switzerland, Singapore, China, Austria, Belgium, British Honduras, Finland, Spain, Netherlands , American Samoa, Honduras,

      --
      Free Mac Mini. Yes, I'm
    6. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by rm007 · · Score: 3, Informative

      I don't know why I am responding to an AC, but for the record, and to clear this up once and for all, the World Series is not named so as to imply global significance, its orginal sponsor was a newspaper called the New York World.

      --


      I've finally got around to changing my sig
    7. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by rgmoore · · Score: 5, Insightful
      You might want to check out cricket, www.cricinfo.org and Wisden for some serious stats.

      Perhaps it is you who needs to be enlightened. A brief look at the stats glossary at Baseball Prospectus might show you just how far out the geekier baseball fans are willing to go. Some other sites of interest include Baseball Reference, which contains complete statistics for every player ever to appear in a major league game, and Retrosheet, an organization attempting to gather historical play-by-play information on every game in MLB history. The detail put into these things is frightening.

      --

      There's no point in questioning authority if you aren't going to listen to the answers.

    8. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Baseball's only a fairly minor sport in world terms.

      In "world terms", there are only two major sports: soccer and basketball.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    9. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by rgmoore · · Score: 2, Insightful
      In "world terms", there are only two major sports: soccer and basketball.

      You'd better restrict that to major team sports. I think that you'll find that many individual sports- like track and field, golf, tennis, etc.- are fairly important on an international scale. Some people also count auto racing as a sport, and it clearly has significant worldwide appeal.

      --

      There's no point in questioning authority if you aren't going to listen to the answers.

    10. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by AaronBS · · Score: 5, Informative
      World Series is not named so as to imply global significance, its orginal sponsor was a newspaper called the New York World.

      Actually a quick google search reveals otherwise.

    11. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by contradyction · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Quick, name the countries that have won Olympic gold medals in cricket.

      Great Britain. Idiot.

    12. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is why the olympics piss me off. Nothing without a clear metric should be an olympic sport. Ice dancing? Lame. Synchronized swimming? Until they're scoring it with motion capture, I'm not interested, and even then I'm only interested if they get some really skimpy suits and give me the underwater cam. In most olympic sports you're competing against the judges, not the other team, and I think that's dumb.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    13. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by jackbird · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah, and the damn Miss Universe pageant is rigged: Earth always wins.

    14. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by Moofie · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why are we having a pissing contest about the two most boring sports ever?

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    15. Re:Most Geek Sport - I think not by leviramsey · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I define sport as: "a [physically] athletic recreation where defense can be played."

      auto racing, chess, etc. lose on the first count.

      Golf, figure skating, weightlifting, most track and field events, etc. lose on the second.

  8. How embarrassing... by FrYGuY101 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Everquest players caught playing baseball... how tragic!

    --
    "If we let things terrify us, life will not be worth living."

    - Seneca
  9. Curt Schilling, -NOT- a HOF'er. by dameron · · Score: 2, Informative

    Not really even close. He's 37 and has 164 wins. Ain't gonna happen.

    -dameron

    1. Re:Curt Schilling, -NOT- a HOF'er. by syrinx · · Score: 2, Informative

      After he takes the Sox to the World Series and they win, he might. ;)

      --
      Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum sonatur.
    2. Re:Curt Schilling, -NOT- a HOF'er. by kalidasa · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Schilling is likely to make it to at least 40, at an average of 15 games per season if he stays healthy and plays with a winning team (he managed four 15 or more win seasons and one 14-win season in *Philadelphia* for heaven's sake), giving him about 209 wins over 20 seasons. I'd say he's on the cusp, given how poor some of those Philadelphia teams were, and how good his first two seasons with Arizona were.

    3. Re:Curt Schilling, -NOT- a HOF'er. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Naw dude, Schilling is a good player but he isn't hall of fame material. If you look at starters in the hall, there is only one guy with around 200 wins, and his name is Koufax. If Schilling goes nuts and wins 25 games the next two years, winning the title for the Red Sox then yeah, he's in. Otherwise he's gonna have to get around 275 wins to be considered.

    4. Re:Curt Schilling, -NOT- a HOF'er. by Ray+Radlein · · Score: 2, Informative

      Baseball Reference's Hall of Fame Monitor has him at 127 points already; no eligible pitcher of the modern era with more than 130 points is not in the Hall of Fame (well, Lee Smith, with 136 points, isn't in yet, but it's a fair bet that he'll get in before his eligibility is up, and he's a reliever anyway).

      His score of 33 on the Black Ink Test puts him in the company of Juan Marichal (34), Three Finger Brown (35) and Old Hoss Radbourn (35); once again, every eligible pitcher of the modern era with a Black Ink score of 33 or higher is in the Hall (heck, if it weren't for Sudden Sam McDowell at 32, and Ron Guidry at 29, we could run that number all the way down to Hippo Vaughn and Dolph Luque at 27).

      The Gray Ink Test isn't quite as kind to him, mainly because it is kinder to a lot of other pitchers (interestingly, it's the only one of the tests that puts Maddux ahead of Clemens, so I automatically like it). The Gray Ink Test has him at 168, down amongst a lot of weaker Hall of Famers such as Dazzy Vance (171) and Red Faber (161), and a lot of good non-HoFers like Claude Passeau (170) and Allie Reynolds (161). On the other hand, it's a lot easier to pick up additional points on the Gray Ink Test, so it's virtually certain that he'll move up on that list.

      Finally, the Hall of Fame Standards Test, calibrated to give an "average" Hall of Famer 50 points, has him way down on the list, at 37 (along with Mickey Lolich and Dennis Martinez). That's still higher than Hall of Famers such as Herb Pennock (36), Eppa Rixey (35), and Hal Newhouser (34); but it's lower than Luis Tiant (41), Carl Mays (41), and Babe Adams (39). Still, looking at that list, most of the players ahead of him are either (a) not eligible, (b) pre-lively ball, (c) in the Hall, or (d) ought to be in the Hall (i.e., Bert Blyleven at 50, Jim Kaat and Tommy John at 44).

      Of these indicators, the Hall of Fame Monitor numbers are probably the best known and most trusted, and those numbers say that he's already pretty much a lock. Give him a couple of pretty godd years with a pretty good team, and he'll be a sure thing.

  10. What? by greygent · · Score: 3, Funny

    What's the mathematical symbol for steroids and how would you represent it in your equation?

  11. Re:What contempt they have! by b0r0din · · Score: 2, Funny

    We should be putting our brains in jars, not celebrating our limitations in some meatspace "sport".

    I believe Ted Williams beat you to the punch when he had his head cryogenically frozen so he could later be cloned. And you say you can't apply science to baseball. ;)

  12. Like my father used to say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    There's no crying in math.

    1. Re:Like my father used to say by eupheric · · Score: 4, Funny

      John von Neumann was my Ph.D advisor, and he called me a talking pile of pigshit! And that was when my parents drove all the way down from Michigan to see me give my dissertation defense! And did I cry? NO! NO! And do you know why? BECAUSE THERE'S NO CRYING IN MATH!

  13. o_O by TechnologyX · · Score: 5, Funny

    Slashdot... sports? You do realize that would involve getting up and moving right?

    --
    Slashdot sucks
    1. Re:o_O by quantaman · · Score: 3, Funny

      Slashdot... sports? You do realize that would involve getting up and moving right?


      Baseball... moving? You do realize that most of baseball involves sitting still on a bench, or standing still in a field, right?

      (sorry baseball fans who will now start flaming me:)

      --
      I stole this Sig
  14. Yeah, Whatever by dupper · · Score: 2, Funny

    Call me when an MIT grad makes the NFL.

    1. Re:Yeah, Whatever by Em+Emalb · · Score: 2, Informative

      Harvard good enough for you?

      From Harvard's own website:

      Harvard football has seen a tremendous resurgence in the number of graduates who have gone onto the professional ranks. Over the past four years, seven Crimson players have been drafted or signed professional contracts and six remain active heading into the 2001 season. Among them is Matt Birk '98, the starting center for the Minnesota Vikings who was named to the NFL's 2000 All-Pro Team.

      This past April, Mike Clare 01, a First Team All-America at offensive tackle, signed a free agent contract with the NFL's Cleveland Browns. A year ago, linebacker Isaiah Kacyvenski '00 became Harvard's highest-ever draft pick when he was taken in the fourth round (119th overall selection) by the Seattle Seahawks. Shortly after the 2000 draft, tight end Chris Eitzmann '00 was signed by the New England Patriots and defensive end Mike Sands '00 agreed to terms with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Eitzmann appeared in several games last fall for the Patriots, while Sands remains property of the Steelers and played this spring for the Rhein Fire of NFL Europe.



      (Yeah, I know it was a joke, but there are plenty of smart jocks out there)

      --
      Sent from your iPad.
  15. But wait... by re-Verse · · Score: 4, Funny

    I thought that cricket had the highest geek quotient out of all the sports, since you need some kind of technical degree to understand WTF is going on in the game.

    1. Re:But wait... by GileadGreene · · Score: 2, Informative
      ...you have to knock the block off...

      "Bails", actually. But you have right idea.

      BTW, it is possible to be called for a "wide" bowl in cricket, and the lines for that are almost as imaginary as the ones in baseball. That said, I'll take a good limited-overs cricket match (which does not experience a Halting Problem) over a baseball game any day.

  16. Re:What a load of rot. by Em+Emalb · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I call bullshit.

    Perhaps you get excited over clean code, or something else equally geeky, but let me tell you, there is very much a passion for a lot of us geeks out here in the sports arena.

    As far as baseball players being unable to understand the rules, or even having seen a rule book, provide a link.

    I can provide quite a few (search ESPN.com, or, even better, actually WATCH the game you profess so much loathing for) links for your reading pleasure. I'd rather you educated yourself though.

    Of course, that was your opinion, this is mine, yada yada yada.

    --
    Sent from your iPad.
  17. I love baseball.. by erick99 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    ..it's the only sport I followed and it was my favorite sport as a child. It's true that it is a sport that creates a statistic for every possible activity. I think that it gives the announcers something to talk about between pitches, which can be interminable in some games. It also makes for great baseball card collecting. For a game that seems to move only in fits and starts there is an amazing amount of strategy. I love watching someone who doesn't know much about the game watch a manager purposely load the bases so that there can be an "out" at any plate. It seems crazy to folks who don't follow the game. Or, how about the "infield fly rule?" What other sport could have a rule as seemingly convoluted as that?

    Happy Trails!

    Erick

    --
    http://www.busyweather.com/
    1. Re:I love baseball.. by Omerna · · Score: 2, Informative

      Just FYI, if you think about it the infield fly rule makes perfect sense... it was developed because before it was institued EVERY pop fly in the infield resulted in a double play (in the situations in which it applies). This is because the base runners never knew if the infielders would catch the ball or let it drop. No matter what happened-- whether the ball was caught and a runner doubled up or the ball wasn't caught and there would be an easy double play-- there WOULD BE a double play. Now you only get one (automatic) out unless the runners are incredibly stupid.

      --


      No sig for you.
  18. Doug Glanville is THE alpha baseball geek by UVABlows · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The guy that Schilling played everquest with, Doug Glanville has got to be the reigning baseball alpha geek. Check out the articles he wrote for espn.com. I am sure they are going to hire him when he decides to hang up cleats. Stark loves to interview him.

    Trip to africa - http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=173085 1
    Astronomy club - http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=177197 8

    --

    <high-level position here>
    <name of stupid small company here>

  19. Depends on how you define geek quotient.... by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 2

    baseball has always had the highest Geek Quotient of any major sport.

    I'd say auto racing, with it's high degree of computerization, engineers/designers or mechanics, and use of the grand-daddy of geekdom - radios, would rate as high or higher.

    --
    I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
  20. ROGER MARIS USES STEROIDS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative
    Waah Waah Waah.

    Read this for a better perspective on Bond's possible steroid use.

    Roger Maris's HR totals go like this:

    14, 28, 16, 39, 61, 33, 23, 26, 8, 13, 9, 5

    Thanks to baseball-reference.com.

    Oh, yeah, 1961 was an expansion year. Nothing like a journeyman whacking away at diluted pitching to break Ruth's single-season HR record...

    PS - Barry Bonds is about the same size and weight as Brett Favre...

  21. Oh, Cricket is easy by dupper · · Score: 3, Funny

    You simply must hit the williard into some cilium with your fracaman. And remeber: it doesn't matter who wins. It matters who wins three times in a row. Tally ho!

  22. Re:What a load of rot. by flabbergast · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Baseball is a game played by a bunch of drunken, tobacco chewing goons, illiterates from third world countries, and other assorted misfits who make their living playing a kid's game.

    Gee, this is only moderately offending.

    not one single player had ever SEEN a rulebook let alone OWNED one, and none of them cared to even investigate rule changes.

    Right, baseball players don't know what's going on. Obviously you've never heard of Questec and baseball's infinite wisdom to install these cameras to monitor umpires. And Curt Schilling and the Braves didn't like it. So, don't tell me that baseball players don't know know what's going and and aren't going to do something about it.

  23. Not likely. by glrotate · · Score: 2, Funny

    I tutor statistics and calc at a big university (think Final Four) and at the 95% confidence level I reject the null hypothesis that IQfb > IQbb.

  24. A geek attempts to interpret baseball by SnappingTurtle · · Score: 5, Funny
    Bonds remained on hold with 659 homers
    Oh, like that episode of the Simpsons where the hammock makes clones of Homer?

    after failing to connect for the fifth straight game
    Then get a new dial-up service!

    although he was intentionally walked
    They're taking that Petco thing too far.

    and scored in the five-run eighth inning
    Look, let's keep that kinda thing private... but scored with who?

    "I'd like to do it at home," said Bonds
    <butt-head>heh-heh heh-heh, he said "do it"</butt-head>

    got Bonds to fly out to left
    Cool! Like what the flying chair everybody thought the Segway was going to be?

    San Diego's bullpen fell apart in the eighth
    They obviously didn't engineer that structure very well.

    San Diego manager Bruce Bochy had his only lefty reliever
    Sounds like my adolescence.

    --
    I've found that my posts don't format quite right w/o a sig.
  25. Re:Curt Schilling, -NOT- a HOF'er - YET by JordanH · · Score: 3, Insightful
    • And Schilling's a much better pitcher than Ryan.
    I disagree. Ryan is better than Schilling lifetime in many important statistics like ERA and SO. I could see a claim that Schilling at his best was as good as Ryan at his best (although Ryan's 1.69 ERA season of '81 is hard to beat), but you can't credibly claim that Schilling is a much better pitcher than Ryan.

    Of course, these statistics aside, Ryan's No Hitter record combined with his longevity near the top make him a shoe-in for the HOF, things that Schilling will find hard to match. Ryan was a shoe-in, though, so Schilling could get in, too.

  26. "How about a good old-fashioned Sports story? by brianc · · Score: 4, Funny

    What is this Sports of which you speak?

    --


    SIGLOST && SIGUNUSED && SIGQUIT
  27. What about Curt? by SuperBanana · · Score: 3, Informative
    The guy that Schilling played everquest with, Doug Glanville has got to be the reigning baseball alpha geek

    How about Curt Schilling himself, who carries a powerbook on the road and has quicktime clips and a database of hundreds of batters?

    Reportedly he also spent time on a famous red sox chat board the night before he signed with the sox, trying to make up his mind whether he should sign...and convince everyone he really was Curt Schilling(he managed to, after instantly returning questions on his career stats that, according to friends, would have taken a "good baseball researcher" at least 5-10 minutes to find).

    He finished up VERY late that night(well, morning) by saying essentially "Thanks, I've decided to sign with the sox, I've always heard red sox fans were the most knowledgeable, you guys have proved it". A few hours later(heh) at the press conference, John Henry(who also logged in at one point) joked(along the lines of) "and in Curt's contract is a clause prohibiting him from staying up past midnight talking on internet chat boards the day before a game."

    1. Re:What about Curt? by MJN222 · · Score: 2, Informative

      That board is Sons of Sam Horn.

      Bill Simmons wrote about that night on SOSH in one of his columns on Page 2.

      It's pretty amusing for a player of Schlling's caliber to be up late at night posting on boards that I frequent :-)

      --
      ---- Yay! I have a sig!
  28. It ain't just the players. by endquotedotcom · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The Seattle Weekly just did cover story on amateur baseball stats geeks who claim to know more than MLB:
    "It is a wonderful thing to know you are right and the rest of the world is wrong." Bill James wrote those words nearly 20 years ago in one of his groundbreaking series of annual Baseball Abstract books. The founding father of the objective performance analysis movement came to realize that baseball is the one game in which virtually every aspect of performance can be measured and value-weighted through the compilation and analysis of statistics, in much the same way a business can use data about sales and revenue, weigh them against market-force indicators, and make quarterly projections about expected future performance. He found that the statistics can be used to predict, with reasonable accuracy, what teams will win and which players will be effective. James also found, to his surprise, that the people who ran Major League Baseball organizations didn't much give a shit.
    1. Re:It ain't just the players. by abmurray · · Score: 2, Informative

      Didn't read the linked article, but you seem to have missed an important point.

      Students of James' philosphy, if not his exact methodology, run the Oakland A's (Billy Beane), Los Angeles Dodgers (Paul DePodesta), Toronto Blue Jays (J.P. Ricciardi), and Boston Red Sox (Theo Epstein), to name a few.

      The "not giving a shit" you quote from the article is true: 20 years ago the teams didn't care. But anyone who follows the game today would be hard pressed to argue against the influence Bill James and sabermetrics in general have had on the game.

      As a huge baseball fan in general, and an A's fan in particular, I recommend Moneyball. An earlier post mentioned it, I think. It examines pretty much everything that I've covered in this post.

      A really fascinating read, even for non-fans.

  29. Re:WHAT AN IDIOT by Omerna · · Score: 3, Informative

    It was invented to keep the team in the field from getting two outs whenever the bases were loaded or there were men on 1st and 2nd and the batter popped up in the infield (or shallow outfield, umpire's disgression).

    The reasoning was: the runners had no chance to get out of a double play. The fielder could choose to catch the ball (and double up the runner) or drop the ball (and make an easy double play). The runner was damned if he ran to break up the DP or damned if stayed on base to keep from getting doubled up. Now the team in the field just gets one (automatic) out.

    But I guess you probably weren't serious.

    --


    No sig for you.
  30. Re:Yeah by k_187 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually that was Raphael, with the red mask.

    --
    11 was a racehorse
    12 was 12
    1111 Race
    12112
  31. Re:Baseball may have highest Geek Quotient, but... by Ray+Radlein · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I certainly agree that football involves a lot more thinking and planning than people usually credit.

    If you're up at, like, 3:00 AM or so during football season, ESPN has a show called Edge NFL Matchup, hosted by Suzy Kolber, Ron Jaworski, and, er, some other guy whose name has just flown out of my head. A lot of the show is stock football stuff, but every so often they will break down not just the execution of plays, but their design -- and it can be quite fascinating.

    I remember watching them explain one play where they went over every last bit of it for like five minutes or so, explaining what every player on offense was doing, and what the expected defensive reactions would be; and the upshot of it was a play where, basically, every last player was involved in some specific set of actions designed solely for the purpose of getting the right cornerback to turn his hips slightly towards the inside of the field at just the wrong moment, so that the receiver could break off his move. It was so intricate, so meticulously planned, and so well explained, that I can't imagine any True Geek not getting a rush out of it. Their explanation, with the film, and the diagrams and arrows they superimposed, was like single-stepping through an elegant piece of code in a good debugging environment, watching all the variables change just so as everything falls into place.

  32. I played at MIT as well... by alouts · · Score: 2, Interesting
    ... I graduated the spring before he got there, and I've got to say, *everything* he says about the field and the team is dead on. The fence really was made of this orange vinyl road fencing, the outfield was torn all to hell, and we had to literally chase people off our field multiple times at every home game. We had two old guys who would show up to every game, and aside from the occasional girlfriend in the stands, and that was it.

    Better yet, there were no restrictions on who could play - anyone could make the team if they just showed up. My senior year, two guys on the team had *never* played before. Mix that in with a few good players and you have a really weird dynamic for the season. After being part of a really strong high school program, and garnering a decent amount of scouting attention, I absolutely know what he means by "playing down" to the level of your surroundings. It was sort of a letdown when I got there, but not really all that shocking - I didn't go there to make a career pitching.

    I had a great time, but it definitely wasn't a place you go to nurture your athletic skills. I'm glad to see that someone stayed focused enough to make it though, if only so that I can live through him vicariously!