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U.S. Dept. of Energy Takes A New Look At Cold Fusion

lhouk281 writes "Technology Review is reporting that the U.S. Department of Energy has decided that recent results justify a fresh look at cold fusion. According to Peter Hagelstein, associate professor of electrical engineering and computer science at MIT, experiments performed under properly controlled conditions reliably produce more heat than standard theory predicts, and nuclear products show up in about the right amounts to account for this excess heat. Maybe we'll get those atomic-powered automobiles after all ..."

116 of 554 comments (clear)

  1. OMFG, what if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    the same crackpots who brought you an Earth that orbits the Sun, an Earth that isn't flat, blackholes, gravity waves, etc turns out to be right about "cold" fusion - say it ain't so...

    1. Re:OMFG, what if by deglr6328 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah! And what if the same crackpots who brought you homeopathy, a flat earth, creationism, phlogiston theory, alchemy and vitalism turn out to be right about the existance of magical dragons?-say it ain't so!!

      To think that mere crackpottery is indicitive of actual evidence is a laughable lapse of judgement.

      They also laughed at Bozo the clown, to paraphrase Carl Sagan.

      --
      - "Hear that?! The percolations are imminent! Cease your ingress!"
    2. Re:OMFG, what if by Jonny+Ringo · · Score: 4, Funny

      I think they are trying for to much, they need to take baby steps and be realistic.

      Start with luke-warm fusion.

    3. Re:OMFG, what if by Dyolf+Knip · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, we can do _really_ cold fusion already, at around 3 K. You can use muons (sort of a very heavy electron) as a fusion catalyst and get fusion going. Problem is, muons are consumed in the process (even if they didn't decay in microseconds) and it takes about 5 times as much energy to produce them as you get from the reaction.

      --
      Dyolf Knip
  2. Why would you want Cold Fusion? by alnapp · · Score: 2, Funny

    Surely Heat might be more useful :-)

    1. Re:Why would you want Cold Fusion? by chegosaurus · · Score: 3, Funny

      They use it for refrigeration you fool!

  3. Not good enough by JudgeFurious · · Score: 4, Funny


    I want an atomic powered FLYING car. Until they get those babies off the ground I'm not interested.

    --
    Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    1. Re:Not good enough by Esion+Modnar · · Score: 5, Funny
      I want an atomic powered FLYING car.

      Yeah, it'll look great in your garage right next to your atomic powered flying pig.

      --

      They say the first thing to go is your penis. Well, it's either that or your brain. I forget which...
    2. Re:Not good enough by nkh · · Score: 2, Informative

      Watch this video from Kevin Smith to learn more about flying cars!

    3. Re:Not good enough by Adriax · · Score: 5, Funny

      atomic powered flying pig

      Mmmmm, pre-nuked bacon to go...

      --
      I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it!
  4. Well.. by rijrunner · · Score: 4, Funny


    But since it relies on dihydrogen monoxide, it'll never make it through congress

    1. Re:Well.. by Cerv · · Score: 3, Informative

      The parent was refering to a very old joke.

      --
      sig
  5. Bit late by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 5, Funny

    Haven't most people switched to PHP or ASP now?

    1. Re:Bit late by dasmegabyte · · Score: 2, Informative

      Not if they want a quick and easy way to abstract SQL datasets using a syntax that looks and feels like HTML (so as not to shock the linguistic sensibilities of your graphic artists). CFML is still tops at that.

      Though I've seen some JSP tag libraries that come close.

      --
      Hey freaks: now you're ju
  6. Where did I put that thing? by Total_Wimp · · Score: 3, Funny

    Does this mean we have to give Ponz and Fleishman their dignity back?

    1. Re:Where did I put that thing? by ed__ · · Score: 5, Informative

      no. P&F weren't reviled because they were wrong. they were reviled because they circumvented the whole publishing and peer review part of science and went directly to the 'make wild-ass claims to the press' part.

      that said, being wrong didn't help them either.

    2. Re:Where did I put that thing? by bplipschitz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      no. P&F weren't reviled because they were wrong. they were reviled because they circumvented the whole publishing and peer review part of science and went directly to the 'make wild-ass claims to the press' part.

      that said, being wrong didn't help them either.


      Mod parent up. P&F weren't *wrong*, however, they just made those WAC's that weren't supportable. There *is* something going on in these experiments [I've read some of the DOE and DOD papers on it], but it *ain't* cold fusion, and we really don't know what it is.

    3. Re:Where did I put that thing? by shawn(at)fsu · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Were they right in suggesting that it is possible or were the right in that they had the method to make it work?

      This isn't some 3rd grade math test. You need to show your work when making claims like this. Just because you have the right answer doesn't mean is wasn't a wild ass guess.

      --
      500 dollar reward for tip(s) leading to the arrest of the person(s) who stole my sig.
    4. Re:Where did I put that thing? by ed__ · · Score: 4, Insightful

      i'm not saying they were wrong.

      it went like this. they announced discovery. then the majority of people couldn't reproduce results and their theory was unsupported.

      ok pause there. everyone thought they were big dorks. why? i'm saying it wasn't because they were wrong (ie no one could reproduce the results), it was because they announced first, then peer review.

      the parent of my post then asked, now that P&F might have be "right" should we say P&F are ok guys and did the right thing?

      my answer is no. the reason they didn't do the right thing was because they skipped the peer review, which is still the case now.

    5. Re:Where did I put that thing? by shic · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I can't speak personally about Pons, but I was amazed at Fleishman's gung-ho attitude. I attended a lecture he gate to the "Royal Society" in Southampton UK about a year or so after the collapse of the original claims. To be honest, even my most half-hearted fabrication of results for high-school chemistry put his case to shame. The evidence was laughable, his recording pathetic and the almost obviously dishonest results he was theorising about had spurious order-of magnitude arithmetic errors on his hand-drawn slides. It was unbelievable!

      While academics at the event lambasted his unprofessional conduct - all I could say is that whatever Dr. Fleischman had been working on, it had no hope of supporting his highly unusual theories.

    6. Re:Where did I put that thing? by Degrees · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Worse, they announced their WAG just in time for grant-funding season.

      It was as crass as the infomercial's that tell you to "order now! time is limited! only ten minutes left!"

      Even if they had a good idea, they established all the credibility of the hawkers of weight-loss formulas.

      Ain't no gettin yer dignity back from that....

      --
      "The most sensible request of government we make is not, "Do something!" But "Quit it!"
    7. Re:Where did I put that thing? by carn1fex · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And an unfortunate sidenote is that P&F had planned for pier review. However, their university president thought Carnegie-Mellon had discovered the same thing and was going to beat them to the announcement, and put immense pressure on P&F to head straight to the press.

      --

      ---------

      No matter how thin you slice it, its still baloney.

  7. WMDs and cold fusion by britneys+9th+husband · · Score: 5, Funny

    You can't really criticize the government too much for doing this. We'll certainly have cold fusion before the Bush administration finds any WMDs.

    --
    Hear recorded Slashdot headlines on your phone! New service beta testing. Just call (248) 434-5508
    1. Re:WMDs and cold fusion by ThisIsFred · · Score: 5, Funny

      Excellent! That means we'll have cold fusion before November 2nd.

      --
      Fred

      "A fool and his freedom are soon parted"
      -RMS
  8. However... by Tuxedo+Jack · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That still doesn't solve the issue of cost-feasibility on a scale that would power a metropolitan/regional/national area.

    Unless it's an area like River Oaks in Houston or the MS campus in Redmond.

    --

    Striking fear in the authors of godawful fanfiction, I am here, appearing in darkness, Tuxedo Jack!
    1. Re:However... by Donny+Smith · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually in the article it does say since "the packaging" is tiny, CF target deployment would be homes and/or areas. There wouldn't be huge power plants based on the technology.

  9. Where are the neutrons? by sphealey · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I remember I was at a nuclear power trade conference the week the Pons-Fleischman announcement was originally made. And my first thought when I heard about it then was, where are the neutrons? A nuclear process that produces that much excess energy should also produce enough neutrons to kill everyone in the building where it is being tested.

    So, I guess that is still my question. It always seemed to me that there was some sort of poorly understood reaction going on, but it was more likely a physical chemistry issue than a nuclear issue.

    sPh

    1. Re:Where are the neutrons? by ShieldWolf · · Score: 2, Informative

      RTFA

      "Experiments performed under properly controlled conditions reliably produce more heat than standard theory predicts. Nuclear products show up in about the right amounts to account for this excess heat."

      The energy found cannot be explained by chemical reactions, and nuclear products, namely HELIUM, _are_ found in the reactions.

      --
      just = (My)Opinion.toCents();
    2. Re:Where are the neutrons? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      It produces helium-4, 4 being the weight, 2 protons, 2 neutrons, deuterium, is heavy hydrogen, with 1 proton, and 1 neutron. 2+2=4.. at least in most math.

    3. Re:Where are the neutrons? by Myself · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Personally, I'm more concerned with the poorly understood reaction between the DoE and actual science.

      The way I see it, cold fusion is such a tremendously holy grail, and the Pons-Fleischman experiment was simple enough to replicate, it would've made more sense to throw some more experimental funding at it years ago. A handful of failed attempts to replicate the results are discouraging, yes, but the potential benefits should've justified a bit more tinkering back when it was announced.

      Maybe I'm missing it, maybe the threshhold of debunking was passed and everyone gave up on it as a fluke. Maybe it still is a fluke, albeit a somewhat more convincing one.

      Obviously not the whole scientific community gave up on the idea, or today's announcement never would've happened. What did these folks know that kept them working on it?

    4. Re:Where are the neutrons? by Concerned+Onlooker · · Score: 4, Insightful
      ...but it was more likely a physical chemistry issue than a nuclear issue.

      You may very well be correct. But even if it's not cold fusion they're possibly going to learn something new or startling or useful about chemical reactions. I'm sure the alchemists, in their desire to turn base metals into gold stumbled upon many interesting things.

      --
      http://www.rootstrikers.org/
    5. Re:Where are the neutrons? by sphealey · · Score: 4, Interesting
      The way I see it, cold fusion is such a tremendously holy grail, and the Pons-Fleischman experiment was simple enough to replicate, it would've made more sense to throw some more experimental funding at it years ago. A handful of failed attempts to replicate the results are discouraging, yes, but the potential benefits should've justified a bit more tinkering back when it was announced.
      What was then the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), a research consortium sponsored by North American electric utilities, and its counterpart in Japan continued to fund cold fusion research with significant dollars long after the "crank" label was applied to P-F.

      Believe me, whatever the mythical secret-suppressing automobile manufacturers/oil drillers don't want revealed, the the electic industry very much does want a new energy source. However, nothing was ever found and the work was de-funded after about 8 years.

      sPh

    6. Re:Where are the neutrons? by OECD · · Score: 2, Funny

      A handful of failed attempts to replicate the results are discouraging, yes, but the potential benefits should've justified a bit more tinkering back when it was announced.

      I'd like to announce that I've produced a fusion reaction in my sock drawer. I await further funding. Surely the potential benefits justify a bit more tinkering?

      --
      One man's -1 Flamebait is another man's +5 Funny.
    7. Re:Where are the neutrons? by AndroidCat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And why they didn't occur. :) They seem to be getting a better handle on why different Palladium rods give different results.

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
    8. Re:Where are the neutrons? by AJWM · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the Pons-Fleischman experiment was simple enough to replicate,

      Ah, but that was the catch. It sounded simple to replicate -- stick a palladium electrode electrolysis setup in some heavy water and run the whole thing in a calorimeter -- but the devil turned out to be in the details.

      For one, precise calorimetry at that level is actually pretty hard -- Pons & Fleischman were old hands at it but it's not something your typical physicist does much of.

      More significantly, it may be (judging by the replication attempts that seem to show results) that the setup is far more sensitive to uncontrolled variables like the manufacture method, exact composition (impurities, crystal structure etc) and the like of the electrode than P-F were aware.

      There have been a lot of interesting results with various setups reported over the years, just not in the premier journals. The whole field acquired a bit of a stigma after the P&F furor.

      --
      -- Alastair
    9. Re:Where are the neutrons? by Teancum · · Score: 5, Informative

      I was a physics student (undergrad Physics for Engineers course) of Dr. Steven Jones when this whole thing broke loose. About 3 weeks before the Pons & Fleischman announcement, he announced some interesting results that were very similar to the cold fusion announcement.

      At the time, Dr. Jones was a peer-referee for the article that Pons & Fleischman were writing, and it turned out that their research was following similar lines that he and other researchers at BYU were following. He asked for permission (and was granted) to break the confidentiality agreement with the publisher to share research information. (Details of this are well documented elsewhere, including things I saw on the PBS-TV show Nova about this episode.... I can confirm this so far as this is what Dr. Jones mentioned to our class prior to the whole fiasco breaking loose).

      Dr. Jones was following an earlier line of research where he was studying Muon-induced fusion (where a Muon would take the place of a normal electron and bring atomic nuclei closer together under certain conditions... potentially triggering a fusion reaction). He was also studying natural phenomina including a speculation that there might be some other process besides nuclear fission and meteoric landfall that causes volcanic hotspots around the earth. I'm not here suggesting that cold fusion causes Mauna Loa, but some isotopic measurements of gasses emitted by that volcano contained traces of Helium-3 and Helium-4 that could not otherwise be accounted for. The speculation was that perhaps a limited form of fusion might also be taking place.

      The key element of Dr. Jones' research was that he was indeed measuring emitted particles instead of measuring heat. Some graphs he showed to our class (after the big fiasco) included some very telling information about some of the particles being emmitted, but at levels so low that it seemed improbable that a calorimeter would be able to measure the effect.

      When all was said and done, the best that could be offered by the researchers I talked to afterward was that this research could be used to make a neutrino emmitter that could be turned on and off electronically. Now that does indeed have some interesting uses, but neutrino detectors are another problem. As a futuristic energy source, there were many other much more productive lines of research to consider.

      The other nice thing about cold fusion was that it didn't require huge laboratories to study the effects, which is convient to relatively underfunded universities for research activities (like BYU), it also brings out the weirdos, scammers and crooks. As a result, research discussions tend to have a very low S/N level. This makes finding information all that more difficult.

      It is also something to note that BYU is also where Philo Farsnworth did his final research on the Fusor technology. In fact, the cold fusion research was conducted in the very same laboratory (buried underground just south of the HBLL library). They were indeed worried about radiation damage, and chose to buy $20,000 worth of pennies to build a cheap radiation shield. I'm not sure if they ever put them back into circulation, but it was a sort of joke when walking into the lab and it looked more like the inside of a bank vault.

    10. Re:Where are the neutrons? by budgenator · · Score: 3, Informative

      I'm not a nuclear physicist, but I think the reaction is more like;
      2.0147 + 2.0147 = 4.00260324 + (0.02679676 * C^2).
      This is actualy a considerable amount of energy.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    11. Re:Where are the neutrons? by another_henry · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Helium alone isn't sufficient. Assuming there is no tritium in the reactants, the only possible reactions are deuterium-deuterium reactions and these must produce neutrons.

      The possible reactions are listed below:

      D+D -> T (1.01 MeV) + p (3.02 MeV) (50%)
      -> He3 (0.82 MeV) + n (2.45 MeV) (50%) <- most abundant fuel
      -> He4 + about 20 MeV of gamma rays (about 0.0001%; depends somewhat on temperature.)

      Note that there is no way to control which of these reactions occurs, so half the fusions should produce neutrons. The other half produce protons which are also relatively easily detected, usually with a kind of silicon diode.

      Furthermore if enough fusion is occuring to give a measureable temperature increase then the thing will be really roasting with neutrons and protons. It should make a geiger counter go nuts from activation products alone.

      As nice as cold fusion would be, it doesn't work. And wishing it did won't help any.


      N.B. I am omitting hydrogen-hydrogen reactions as those take place so slowly that it's not feasible. Also they'd be easy to check for simply by using non-deuterated water or acetone.

      --
      "Studies have shown that people who eat peanuts live longer than those who do not eat."
    12. Re:Where are the neutrons? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 3, Funny

      Alchemists accidentally stumbled into modern chemistry.

      -B

    13. Re:Where are the neutrons? by Skjellifetti · · Score: 2, Informative

      Note that there is no way to control which of these reactions occurs, so half the fusions should produce neutrons. The other half produce protons which are also relatively easily detected, usually with a kind of silicon diode.

      RTFA:

      Experiments that produce excess heat also have yielded helium-4, one potential product of the fusion of two deuterium nuclei, in amounts that correlate with the excess heat. Theory predicts that the fusion reaction should generate 24 million electron volts (MeV) of energy per helium-4 nucleus. An analysis by Michael McKubre of SRI International detected energy of 31 MeV-- a match within the experimental uncertainty of plus or minus 13 MeV. Skeptics had doubted the reaction was possible, but Hagelstein says McKubre's analysis of the experiments, reported at last year's cold fusion meeting, shows that fusion of two deuterium to yield helium-4 "is not as nutty as it initially seemed."

      Seems they are producing all He4 (your 3rd possibility which current theory says should be produced at about 0.0001% of byproducts of D+D fusion).

    14. Re:Where are the neutrons? by Crispy+Critters · · Score: 3, Interesting
      "precise calorimetry at that level is actually pretty hard...the setup is far more sensitive to uncontrolled variables...than P-F were aware."

      Along with this, measurements of reaction products like alphas, neutrons, and tritium can be very difficult to perform reliably at low levels.

      I heard a talk by someone who did some recent work, and he talked about one gap in how physicists see the problem. He said that a lot of what is done to prepare containers and catalysts for some reactions in normal chemistry is practically voodoo. Some samples just do not work, for no known reason. Things have to be baked under vacuum ten times longer than what should be required to clean them. The truth is that some things are not as reproducible as they are expected to be, and the absence of easy reproducibility does not mean the original results were erroneous. Chemists understand this, but most physicists do not. If this applies to normal chemistry, it may apply equally to cold fusion experiments.

      "There have been a lot of interesting results with various setups reported over the years"

      Unfortunately, there has also been a lot of garbage touted as interesting results. I once read through a few reports suggested by CF advocates as some of the best evidence, and they did not meet the standards of a high school science project. Most scientists will not take CF seriously until the CF community polices itself. When lousy scientific work recieves acclaim because it shows the desired result, credibility is demolished. (I would never claim the CF is the only place this happens, but that is not an excuse.) When the CF community separates the serious work from the chaff itself, offering only solid experimental results to the world, then other scientists can start to pay attention.

  10. Just say "no" by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 4, Funny

    That extra heat is coming from an exogenous source: the bowl of the researcher's crack pipe.

    1. Re:Just say "no" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's appropriate to demand a high level of evidence for extraordinary claims.

      It's appropriate to ridicule ridiculous claims & bad science; it helps keep fraud and chasing wild ducks (or whatever that idiom is) under control.

      But RTFA. When experiments consistently produce results that can't be explained, it's the people pooh-poohing investigating those results that are on crack.

  11. Atomic Laptops: by Upaut · · Score: 5, Funny

    An atomic reaction small enough to be contained within a laptop, providing months of continual power. Really gives "BLUE SCREEN OF DEATH" a whole new meaning...

    --
    3 degrees of separation from Vladimir Putin
    1. Re:Atomic Laptops: by s.d. · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yeah, really what I want to come from a device that sits on my lap is radiation. That'll be great...

    2. Re:Atomic Laptops: by DigiShaman · · Score: 3, Funny

      An error in reaction.dll has occurred. Please toss your laptop like a hot potato. Meltdown will commence in 5...4...3.........

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
  12. Re:It's all a conspiracy! by DaRat · · Score: 4, Insightful
    " The US government has had this technology for 50 years, they've simply been sitting on it. Why? Because oil is big money! ..."

    The difficult thing about a comment like that is that you're never sure if someone is trying to be funny or just a typical conspiracy theory nut.

  13. From the article by alnapp · · Score: 3, Funny

    "Over the past 15 years, enthusiasts have generated some 3,000 manuscripts on cold fusion, but very few were ever published in scientific journals.

    Really?

    I can't think why

    1. Re:From the article by beldraen · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Just because people are not published does not mean they are wrong. There have been plenty of cases where people have been refused publication because of political views--the world revolving around the sun being one of them that comes to mind. What impressed me the report is they targeted the issue of why it appears there is such a discrepancy in the results, not that there was one. It appears we have a lack of understanding of how to cause the deuterium to bind in sufficient amounts to palladium. Even if Cold Fusion remains a simple curiosity, at a minimum we now know that not all catalytic bindings are the same. It makes me wonder if catalytic converts for cars could be made substantially better with these understandings.

      --
      Bel, the mostly sane.. "Of course I can't see anything! I'm standing on the shoulders of idiots." -- Me
    2. Re:From the article by Kenja · · Score: 2, Funny

      Its for the same reason they refuse to publish my theory that FDR was a time traveling robot from the year 2620. They're just afraid of the truth.

      --

      "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
  14. Poly water by goombah99 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Anyone remember the discovery of polywater. It was massively redidistlled water that developed weird almost homeopathing memory and strange viscosity.

    Although it was considered unexplainable, repeated tests showed that the one and only thing inside the glass beaker was infact water. So it had to be a new form of water. A kind of ice-9 but for real.

    It was eventually found to be accumulated soluble silica products from the glassware. Which of course was the one chemical that could not be tested for inside a glass beaker. Got people exited like cold fusion for a while, since like cold fusion is was not utterly implausible.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:Poly water by NearlyHeadless · · Score: 4, Funny
      Anyone remember the discovery of polywater. It was massively redidistlled water that developed weird almost homeopathing memory and strange viscosity.

      Although it was considered unexplainable, repeated tests showed that the one and only thing inside the glass beaker was infact water. So it had to be a new form of water. A kind of ice-9 but for real.

      It was eventually found to be accumulated soluble silica products from the glassware. Which of course was the one chemical that could not be tested for inside a glass beaker. Got people exited like cold fusion for a while, since like cold fusion is was not utterly implausible.

      I remember that; I was a grad student in a chemistry lab.
      One day I was going to south to visit my gal.
      But I had to stay and keep watch over the equipment.
      My Sal she is a spunky gal,
      But I was on polywater duty all day.
    2. Re:Poly water by Hal-9001 · · Score: 3, Informative
      A kind of ice-9 but for real.
      There actually are a number of different solid phases of water, which are known as ice-one, ice-two, etc., all the way up to ice-twelve. So there is in fact an ice-nine, but fortunately it has none of the properties attributed to ice-nine by Kurt Vonnegut. See this link for more information about the different solid phases of water.
      --
      "It take 9 months to bear a child, no matter how many women you assign to the job."
  15. war will result if true by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If this research turns out to be true, it can result in all-out war with every kind of weapon available. Power structures around oil are so entrenched, the oil producing countries and corporations will never allow their revenue to disappear.

    Just my first thought

    1. Re:war will result if true by kalidasa · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't worry, there are other important uses for petroleum besides burning it.

    2. Re:war will result if true by stwrtpj · · Score: 2, Insightful
      If this research turns out to be true, it can result in all-out war with every kind of weapon available. Power structures around oil are so entrenched, the oil producing countries and corporations will never allow their revenue to disappear.

      Sigh. And this gets modded +4 interesting. Way to go, mods.

      Take off your tin-foil hat. No war is going to result from oil being displaced as an energy source, and there are two main reasons for this.

      The first reason is that having less a dependency on oil will mean that nations like the US won't have to give a shit about the unrest in the Middle East. Reducing the need for oil for power generation means the world could do without the Middle East oil. Oil from non-Middle East countries would suffice, obviating the need to be directly involved in Middle Eastern affairs. This would remove a huge thorn in the side of US foreign policy, for example.

      The second reason is that we will still need a fair amount of petroleum products for the forseeable future. The reason? Plastics. Petroleum products are used in the production of many forms of plastic, and the industrial world uses a hell of a lot of plastic.

      At least you didn't mention the auto industry, or perhaps that was an oversight. Auto manufacturers are already investing in alternate energy sources for cars, so this would simply continue the trend.

      --
      Karma: Frotzed (mostly due to the Frobozz Magic Karma Company)
  16. Solve the world's problems by pubjames · · Score: 3, Insightful


    If reliable (and not too costly) cold fusion could become a reality, it really could solve many of the world's problems.

    Imagine - oil would no longer have much value, and so the Middle East would no longer be a constant battleground. We would no longer have to worry about global warming because CO2 production would go right down. And increasingly resource hungry emerging economies like China and India would no longer be such a threat to "our" oil resources.

    If the USA spent 10% of it's military budget on alternative energy sources then this nut could be cracked quickly...

    Too much to hope for I guess...

    1. Re:Solve the world's problems by Dun+Malg · · Score: 5, Insightful
      If the USA spent 10% of it's military budget on alternative energy sources then this nut could be cracked quickly

      You think the reason alternative energy projects are moving slowly is lack of money? Please.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    2. Re:Solve the world's problems by Anixamander · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Imagine - oil would no longer have much value, and so the Middle East would no longer be a constant battleground.

      While it would indeed solve the worlod's energy problems, I have to disagree on the above point. The Middle East was a battleground long before oil meant anything. Perhaps what you meant was it would no longer be a battleground that the US cared about. Without oil, it would be more like Rwanda...bad shit would still happen there, but the developed world would not care.

      --
      Do not taunt Happy Fun Ball(TM)
    3. Re:Solve the world's problems by Thud457 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Yeah, but if they didn't have the money that profitably selling oil gives them, they would all be regional problems.

      Then we could just ignore them. Like Africa.

      --

      the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    4. Re:Solve the world's problems by aminorex · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You would have to pump a *lot* of deuterium through
      a palladium cell at quite a high efficiency for quite a long time in order to pay for the mass of palladium. While it has been obvious to me that cold fusion was real, on the basis of the published papers, since 1990, it seems equally obvious that it is not a sufficient basis for a commercially viable power technology, without substantial further innovation.

      Leave alone the cost of palladium, which is probably going to exceed that of gold in the near future, any effect that is so sensitive to uncontrolled conditions as to allow the James Randis of the world this much freedom to make fools of themselves is not likely to be commercially useful except in the construction of magic eightball devices.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    5. Re:Solve the world's problems by Paulrothrock · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I was not aware that cold fusion also produced plastics.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    6. Re:Solve the world's problems by argStyopa · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If the USA spent 10% of it's military budget on alternative energy sources then this nut could be cracked quickly...

      So the reason Cold Fusion doesn't work is now ALSO the USA's fault?

      You people are amazing.

      --
      -Styopa
    7. Re:Solve the world's problems by Paulrothrock · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Middle East will be a battle ground until terrorism is wiped out, not terrorists. Terrorism is a weed; the only way to get rid of it is to get rid of its roots: Hopelessness, poverty, and despair. The US is the target because it is supporting despotic regimes in the Middle East, including Israel, Iraq (until recently), Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and, a while ago, Iran.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    8. Re:Solve the world's problems by swb · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The Rwanda tragedy was in great part caused by "developed" countries interventions (mostly from France and Belgium) during the colonial era and more recent events.

      So how, exactly, did French and Belgian colonial actions of 30-plus years ago *cause* a bunch of Rwandans to massacre each other? Did they put a gun to their heads and say "kill each other"? Were the Rwandans once peaceful people for whom war and killing were completely foreign?

      I'm all for a certain amount of historical blame, but at a certain point I have to ask myself if the people in these places (Rwanda, Zaire/Congo, Liberia, Angola, and so on) aren't actually victims of their own sociocultural problems inherent to their own cultures, and that they should be held accountable for them as well.

    9. Re:Solve the world's problems by Dun+Malg · · Score: 4, Insightful
      You think the reason alternative energy projects are moving slowly is lack of money? Please.

      Well, when JFK said he would put a man on the moon by the end of the decade, he did it.

      "go to the moon" was a problem with a clear path to the desired result. In the R&D department it required a whole lot more D than R. We already knew we were going to stick those guys on a rocket full of life support and guidance equipment-- it was just a matter of designing and testing the rockets and equipment.

      The problem of "find an alternative energy source" is mostly a question of research, and research is usually pretty open-ended. Once they find a usable non-dilute source of energy, then it will be comparable to the JFK/moon thing. At present, we have no idea what the suitable alternative will be, much less how we'll deploy it.

      Perhaps it's not just lack of money but lack of the vision and determination to try hard enough.

      Determination isn't the issue. We have to discover the path to the goal first. Until that's done, no amount of urging people to run faster will get us closer to the goal. True, no progress can be made with no funding, but beyond a very basic minimum level of necessary manpower and equipment, the timetable of discovery can't be halved by doubling the funding.

      As for "vision", yeah, I suppose you could say there's a lack of vision, but that assumes there's something to "see" that nobody's looking at, and all we're lacking is enough people with this "vision" skill to see it. Even if you try to brute-force the problem by hiring every scientist in the world to think about it all day, there's no guarantee of success because the goal is too dependent on advances in secondary technology to even be within reach. You could hire every scientist in the 18th century to work on it, but none of them would have the "vision" to see the technological path to a fission reactor.

      Basically, elapsed time till results doesn't scale to money spent when it comes to research.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    10. Re:Solve the world's problems by Dun+Malg · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You think the reason alternative energy projects are moving slowly is lack of money? Please.

      Please what?

      "Please" as in "please don't confuse research with development". The pace of development scales almost directly with money spent. Research is, by its very nature, unknown. Saying that research will magically produce results if only we put 10% of the defense budget into it completely fails to understand the nature of research.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  17. USDOE Likes It? by geomon · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Remember that this is the department who lost a classified hard drive. Not exactly a group packed to the ceiling with critical thinkers.

    A colleague of mine walked into our DOE monitor's office one day to deliver a milestone report. That report was hand delivered to the DOE employee. The DOE employee sets the report down, engages my colleague in a bit of small talk, and then asks if he has the report ready for delivery.

    DOE is a bureaucracy. It has some very bright and engaging people working in it's ranks. On the other hand, it has some "lifers" who haven't a clue. These poor souls are in a position to not only accidentily make policy decisions (see: a million monkeys), but they are also in a position to ignore good advice and strong scientific evidence.

    I would put DOE's support for Cold Fusion down as one of those brain farts that they occasionally pull (much like the CIA's $200M experiment in remote viewing).

    --
    "Rocky Rococo, at your cervix!"
  18. Bubble fusion produces neutrons by PIPBoy3000 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Well, if "bubble fusion" can produce neutrons, I'm willing to give them the opportunity to explain themselves.

  19. Is there a physicist in the house? by Len · · Score: 5, Interesting
    According to Peter Hagelstein, associate professor of electrical engineering and computer science at MIT...
    Once again, cold fusion is championed by someone who's not a nuclear physicist.

    I'll believe it when I see it running my car. Actually, I probably won't believe it even then.

    1. Re:Is there a physicist in the house? by TigerNut · · Score: 5, Insightful
      There are lots of people in the nuclear physics field that are plugging away at cold fusion, though, and they wouldn't be doing that if it was proven to be a crackpot science. Historically, a lot of ground-breaking discoveries have been made by people from outside the established group of experts in the field.

      The facts are that a lot of people are seeing unexplained excess heat generation when they do these experiments. Whether it's fusion or not, unexplained results eventually lead to fundamental theoretical insights, and that's all to the good.

      --

      Less is more.

    2. Re:Is there a physicist in the house? by krysith · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Speaking as a physicist who ~has~ paid attention, I have to ask:

      Pray tell how much heat is "unexplained excess heat" when the experimenter cannot tell how much energy went into binding the deuterium into the palladium matrix in the first place? You do realize that usually the deuterium is put into the palladium matrix under rather high pressure. Like, high enough pressure to rupture metal. When you have a gas being pressurized, and then later, excess energy appears, don't you think it's appropriate to wonder how much energy was used pressurizing the gas? If you'll note from the above referenced article:

      "McKubre has also found that the seeming inconsistency in experimental heat production arose from differences in the amount of deuterium packed into the palladium electrode. Whenever the number of deuterium atoms loaded into the metal matched or exceeded the number of palladium atoms, excess heat was generated. Palladium loaded with slightly less deuterium produced inconsistent results, and if the deuterium level was reduced by a great amount, then no excess heat at all was produced. Deuterium loading was hard to control and limited by the strength of the metal. Unfortunately, palladium strength is difficult to predict or control, and is not improved by purification; indeed, the purest palladium ruptured at lower loadings, and the highest strength was seen only in one impure batch."

      I used to lurk on sci.physics.fusion, back in the day when Dick Blue, Deiter Britz and Stephen Jones used to wrangle it out (names are from 12 years old memory, could be incorrect). The real issue is not that the scientific community refuses to look at the cold fusion community's data (they do refuse, and I'm not defending them) but rather that the cold fusion community refuses to meaningfully communicate with themselves. It's been understood for a while that deuterium binding theory is not well understood. This is a huge missing variable in the "excess energy" they are always talking about. They are exploring the amount of energy involved in deuterium binding, but at the same time they are ignoring it! The cold fusion community puts tremendous effort into proving that cold fusion is a nuclear effect, but cannot answer the simple question - how much energy did you store in your deuterium?

  20. Bah... US Dept of Energy only needs 3 people! by Le'BottomEh · · Score: 4, Funny

    1. A naive female scientist who writes her formula on post-it notes
    2. A Russian scientist who is forced to decipher the formula on said post-it notes
    3. An international spy that uses names of saints as a disguise

    Don't believe me? Here's proof!

  21. periodical for cold fusion... by wherley · · Score: 4, Informative

    Infinite Energy has been asking for continued investigation of cold fusion for a long time. See Their press release on this story.
    There are many more CF and LENR resources at their web site.

  22. maybe... by rogabean · · Score: 2, Funny

    i'm either too geeky or not geeky enough...but it took me 4 times reading the article to figure out they were not talking about Cold Fusion development tools... /smack!

    I kept trying to figure out what the dept of energy wanted with Cold Fusion Tools... /shrug

    --
    "why don't you just slip into something more comfortable...like a coma!"
  23. Bob Park Said it Best by narcolepticjim · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ... in his What's New column on April 2:

    1. COLD FUSION: TRUE BELIEVERS SEE DOE REVIEW AS "VINDICATION."
    There hasn't been much to celebrate in the 15 years since the University of Utah held a press conference in Salt Lake City to announce the discovery of "cold fusion." Although a brave little band of true believers continued to trumpet cold fusion, the band leader was publishing "Infinite Energy Magazine." That made it pretty hard to take this stuff seriously. Although there was no press release or announcement, DOE has apparently agreed to take a second look. That's not really too surprising; not since the Reagan administration has unbridled technological optimism so dominated Washington decision making: missile defense, hydrogen cars, hafnium bombs, manned missions to Mars. How are these other ventures doing? ...
  24. Links on Polywater by goombah99 · · Score: 5, Informative
    here are some links:

    here and links to more links

    it was called polywater because it was thought to be polymerized water. Because it had a much different freezing point polywater was the inspiration for the cat's cradle story. (ice9). It took a long time to figure out the problem because it was hard to reproduce and only minute amounts could be generated at a time.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  25. Feels safer than nuclear by MrNybbles · · Score: 3, Insightful

    A Cold Fusion Power Plant would not have the bad reputation that Nuclear Power Plants do (thank you Three Mile Island). With a new source of cheap and safe electricity people in the US can finally buy economical electric cars and use electric heating and begin to break the US dependancies on forign oil.

    This of course assumes many things like Cold Fusion being practical, safe, and nobody screwing things up enough to create a Cold Fusion Three Mile Island or Chernobyl.

    --
    Losing faith in humanity one person at a time.
  26. What the fark??? by WwWonka · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...and nuclear products show up in about the right amounts

    About? About?

    Is that the kind of "precise" measurement that will lead to three eyed fish and babys with 12 toes in twenty years?

    Man, I would give a volkswagon worth of dollars to have a more precise way of measuring nuclear by-products! ;-)

  27. What will we make fun of now? by CatGrep · · Score: 2, Funny

    You mean we've been making fun of cold fusion for nothing all these years? What'll we make fun of now?

  28. Other Alternatives by perdelucena · · Score: 2, Funny

    I think instead of Cold Fusion they should consider using Perl, PHP or J2EE. Why US governement still insists on using those proprietary formats?

    ----
    >> SELECT SIG FROM USER WHERE ID='15607317'
    NO ROWS RETURNED

  29. In SovietRussia by Lispy · · Score: 2, Funny

    the Fusion cools you.

    Omg, i can't believe I just did that...

  30. On par with Bush administration science by dwhitman · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Cold fusion was seductive when first announced, but hasn't panned out. It has all the hallmarks of Langmuir's "pathological science".

    I guess that's what would make it attractive to the Bush administration, whose science policy has been called into question. Backing bogus research allows them to point at support of alternative energy sources without taking a risk of actually finding something that might threaten their oil company bedmates.

    1. Re:On par with Bush administration science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      please, no more mod points for this drivel.

      honestly, the whole 'cold fusion' debacle needs to be looked at without a single, narrow link. there is something there, to be sure, but noone is entirely sure what. the stigma that came from the original announcement is still there, and that stigma won't die anytime soon.

      but really, turning all of it into *yet another* Bush-Bash is just fucking sad. honestly, grow up. the current Administration is bad, but you slashbots would have the world believe that its the worst thing to ever happen, ever ever ever ever ever.

      and that's just tired and petty.

      moreover, tell me that you wouldn't be sitting there whining if a different Administration was still making bad decisions. Americans do one thing well, bitch (this is why lawyers and politicians hold all the cards). everything else that Americans want done, they'll get the rest of the world to do for them, because the rest of the world will do it without demanding wages to fufil a pie-in-the-sky lifestyle preached 24/7 through print, radio and televised media.

      that was a real rant.

  31. Oil company nukes by RogL · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yeah, it's a shame we ever allowed the oil companies to develop nuclear weapons. They've kept the American auto industry away from building cheap fusion-powered flying cars, ever since they nuked Honda & Toyota back to the Stone Age. And what can we do, except stay away from Canada (those Canucks with their straw-to-ethanol enzymes; you know they're getting blasted into atoms any day now! What were they thinking?!)

    Damn oil-company overlords... I'll never welcome them! Never!

    Got to go - I hear the medication cart coming down the hall.

  32. *Sounds* like cold fusion by novakane007 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Here is another article about cold fusion experiments. It uses sound cavitation to collapse acetone vapor. It sounds quite promising. I'm personally fond of the idea of using sound as a controlling force for the reaction. The experiments were funded in part by DARPA.
    "The research team used a standing ultrasonic wave to help form and then implode the cavitation bubbles of deuterated acetone vapor. The oscillating sound waves caused the bubbles to expand and then violently collapse, creating strong compression shock waves around and inside the bubbles. Moving at about the speed of sound, the internal shock waves impacted at the center of the bubbles causing very high compression and accompanying temperatures of about 100 million Kelvin."

    --

    WURD!!
  33. Obligatory Mr. Fusion™ Post by Compulawyer · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'll believe it when my Mr. Fusion(TM) is using beer cans and banana peels to power the Flux Capacitor(TM) on my DeLorean(TM).

    --

    Laws affecting technology will always be bad until enough techies become lawyers.

  34. The second biggest mistake P&F made. . . by bplipschitz · · Score: 4, Informative

    was calling it 'Cold Fusion.' If you read the DOE or DOD papers on the subject, there *is* excess heat and nuclear material being generated, but it is eensy weensy amounts. Not enough to fuse the gum to the bottom of your chair, let alone H-->He.

    It produces infintesimal amounts of excess energy.

    At this point, it is a scientific curiosity that in need of an explanation, but not something that is going to produce enough energy to blow your nose.

    I don't know if it will ever lead to anything practical or even useful, but it does beg explaining.

    1. Re:The second biggest mistake P&F made. . . by Antaeus+Feldspar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But it has the potential to achieve one of the most important breakthroughs possible in science, which is to prove existing assumptions wrong.

      Yes, you're right, that there is not a huge amount of energy being produced over and above what theory predicts. That pales in significance, though, next to the fact that extra energy is being created over and above what theory predicts, and the reasons why -- well, until we know the reasons why, we don't know what else is possible that our current state of theory cannot account for.

      As pointed out in the article, the difference may be that in the actual experiments, where we're seeing extra heat production, the interaction between particles is taking place inside a lattice, whereas theory assumes that it makes no difference whether it's in a lattice or a vacuum -- that the atomic forces from the lattice need not be taken into account.

      Now if this assumption is wrong -- well, let me put it this way. If our current knowledge of chemistry was based on the presumption that only those substances transformed during a chemical reaction were relevant to the reaction -- if we had no knowledge or concept of catalysts -- what things that we take for granted today would actually be unknown to us? What would be out there, overlooked, waiting for us to discover it?

      To say this is trivial just because there is not a lot of extra heat production is like saying to Alexander Fleming that he's making too big a deal out of that petri dish where he can't get the cultures to grow -- after all, it's just one dish.

      --
      If people are to respect the law, perhaps the law should begin by respecting the people.
  35. It's funny to watch people react here.. by xtal · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Look, everyone seems all full of their intelligence here - so why not approach things with a neutral opinion until proven one way or the other? This guy is not selling you anything. He has an experimental apparatus and theory behind analmous heat production and can reproduce it; Ergo, either something is going on or he made a mistake. This can be determined on the basis of his experiment.

    When experiment and existing theory produce different results, you need a new theory. That's how science works. The universe is never wrong. If you want to critique this guy, then go show me how smart you are and pick apart his experiments or apparatus, or maybe propose a theory that could explain the results another way - and devise an experiment to test that theory.

    People mocked astronomy, planes, cars, space travel, quantum physics, the atomic bomb, television, computers, you name it - as the work of the devil, impossible, blah blah blah.

    Yes, he could be wrong, but that's for replicable experiments to decide. I applaud these guys for trying and more importantly publishing their results. Nothing like the herd mentality, though. :sigh:

    --
    ..don't panic
    1. Re: It's funny to watch people react here.. by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2, Insightful


      > Nothing like the herd mentality, though.

      Yeah, how could people possibly be skeptical about the possibility of getting something for nothing?

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    2. Re:It's funny to watch people react here.. by Minwee · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Carl Sagan put it best: "They laughed at Columbus, they laughed at Fulton, they laughed at the Wright brothers. But they also laughed at Bozo the Clown."

      Being persecuted for your beliefs doesn't make them right. Sometimes, it just means that you really are a crackpot and that the other children are right to laugh at you.

    3. Re:It's funny to watch people react here.. by shiftless · · Score: 2, Funny

      so why not approach things with a neutral opinion until proven one way or the other? ...

      If you want to critique this guy, then go show me how smart you are and pick apart his experiments or apparatus, or maybe propose a theory that could explain the results another way - and devise an experiment to test that theory.


      You're new around here, aren't you?

    4. Re: It's funny to watch people react here.. by pongo000 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, how could people possibly be skeptical about the possibility of getting something for nothing?

      Or even instantaneous communications between two sub-atomic particles? What fools!

    5. Re:It's funny to watch people react here.. by Noren · · Score: 2, Insightful
      or maybe propose a theory that could explain the results another way
      Okay, one explanation for why more heat energy might be given off in the deuterium case over the hydronium case is a well-known chemical phenomenon- an isotope effect. Here's an example of how a reasonable scientist might study an initially inexplicable temperature anomaly which was found when using different isotopes in the same chemical environment.

      Instead of saying 'we don't yet fully understand the isotopic effects of hydrogen in a palladium lattice' the "Cold Fusion" crowd is begging the question and assuming any energy they don't immediately understand the source of must be caused by cold fusion, and when they find "extra" energy they proclaim their preconceived supposition of fusion as fact.

      I hope DOE doesn't squander any of its limited research budget on these quacks.

  36. Global Warming would get worse... by Shivetya · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If energy becomes cheap how do we discard the byproduct of it use which is mostly heat?

    One of the paths that Arthur C. Clarke went down exposed this issue with cheap and nearly unlimited energy.

    CO2 would go down, but do we really know enough about how the enviroment works to say that that is the only cause or the biggest?

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  37. Physics Today article by apirkle · · Score: 2, Informative

    There's another article on the subject in this month's issue of Physics Today: DOE Warms to Cold Fusion

  38. Back in the 20th century by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    We had these flying machines called Zeplins. They were big, full of hydrogen, and generally were most spiffy except once and a while they blew up.

    1. Re:Back in the 20th century by Cybrr · · Score: 2, Informative

      Don't coat them with rocket fuel then.

      --
      Why did GEAR crush RDP?
  39. Believe it when it's peer-reviewed by DanTheLewis · · Score: 2, Interesting

    My weak little mind is still smarting from the Over-Unity engine story a couple weeks back. I was suckered.

    But in a world with uranium-eating bacteria, I suspect there are a few surprises left for scientists and the rest of us. I for one will be happy if these experiments pan out and I can read about it in Science.

    --

    Q: What did the comedian say to the crowd?
    A: If I knew, this joke would be funny.
  40. Don't need neutrons if you have a third object. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A nuclear process that produces that much excess energy should also produce enough neutrons to kill everyone in the building where it is being tested.

    As I understand it, the reason plasma-based fusion reactions tend to produce neutrons is that you need to dump the excess energy from the reaction product for the fused neucleus to "settle down" in the lower-energy bound state, and that means you need to spit out an additionl particle to dump the energy as momentum. Thus D+D -> T+n, or D+T -> He+n.

    In "cold fusion" the reaction is taking place in a dense metal matrix - at a deuterium density far too low for the "normal" two-particle fusion rate to be significant. This implies that, if there is significant fusion going on, it's because of some interaction with the surrounding metal, or with other hydrogen neuclei. This implies that some of the normal D+D->He->D+D might stop at He by dumping the excess energy as a recoil off another D or the surrounding matrix of electrons and metal neuclei.

    I want to see this experiment retried:
    - In a large single-crystal.
    - In a large single-crystal with a tiny trace of impurities.
    - In a polycrystal of a very few, very large crystals (in case the reaction occurs at crystal boundaries and is enhanced by the size of the crystal).
    - With the magnetic field tightly controlled - and varied in both strengh and directon with respect to the crystal lattice.
    - With the electric field similarly controlled.
    - With controlled electric currents through the metal in various directions.
    - With sudden strong pulses of electric and/or magnetic fields once the metal has been "loaded" with deuterium.
    - With small bombardments of various charged particles at assorted energies (in case some component of bacground or cosmic radiation is a trigger of a short chain-reaction).

    When thinking about hypothetical cold-fusion mechanisms I'm constantly bothered by the similarity of the system to early point-contact diodes, and how quickly the junction transistor, and then the rest of semiconductor technology, fell out of the development of a physical model for the long-range, room-temperature, quanum-mechanical phenomena underlying electrical conduction within a highly-ordered, slightly impure crystal.

    Pumping deuterons into a dense and potentially crystaline metal by electrical pressure seems to me to be just begging for the deuterons' wave functions to be stretched out and overlapped in a similar way to those of the electrons, resulting in lots of potential for interactions that would not be observed in the disordered environment of a plasma or liquid.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:Don't need neutrons if you have a third object. by forgetful · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And you, Sir, have hit-bullseye on the real question. During the Pons-Fleischman flap I had a conversation with my Physics PhD buddy, and I was astounded that he refused to consider quantum possibilities of cold fusion. The Canadian-led Triumf group has reported >10^2 fusions catalyzed per muon, employing muonic-hydrogen: http://www.triumf.ca/welcome/h-fusion.html If you could plug these rates into the theoretical muon production currents for superconductive linacs, you end up with energy output THREE TIMES BREAK-EVEN compared to supply line power. The problem is the muon flux in the best linacs is too tiny for significant power production. Still, the important issues are that the muon-hydrogen fusion works at super cold temperatures, at tuned energy resonances, and it can be considered as a quantum blurring of the deuterium and tritium nuclei within the muon cloud. I've wondered what might happen in a Bose-Einstein condensate of fusionable materials. But I'm no physicist.

      --
      "...while history is usually explicable it is often irrational" --Roger Spiller
  41. Re:Cold Fusion possibly already achieved! by SquadBoy · · Score: 3, Informative

    I was at the U of U about 15 years ago. Pons and Fleischman worked for the Chem dept. I took quite a few physics courses and basically all the physics profs thought they were nuts. And no they could not reproduce the results. They were sore of let go.

    --

    Cypherpunks: Civil Liberty Through Complex Mathematics. Those who live by the sword die by the arrow.
  42. Re:ARE YOU MAD?! by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Interesting

    A B-25 smacked into the Empire State Building in 1945, and the damage to the building wasn't too severe. I doubt an SUV-sized vehicle with a few kilos of deuterium (enmeshed in palladium) could do anything close to even what that did.

    --
    You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  43. New Physics? by earthforce_1 · · Score: 4, Insightful


    In the very early days of radio, it was common for hobbyists to use a geranium "cat's whisker" to demodulate signals. Nobody was sure how it worked at the time, so it was more of an art than a science. You would simply fiddle with the cat's whisker contact until you got the best signal possible. It wasn't until well after WW2 with the invention of the transistor that semiconductor physics were understood from a theoretical basis.

    *IF* cold fusion is real, it may be much like that. They may have stumbed onto something, but the results are not reproducible, becuase we don't really understand what we are doing from even a theoretical, let alone an engineering basis. It is as if somebody had reported high temperature superconductivity before we had any theory explaining how may work, but couldn't reproduce it, since they didn't really know how to manufacture a high temperature superconductor, they just got lucky in the process.

    Penicillin was discovered totally by accident, (contamination of a bacteria culture by a very rare strain of mould) but at least we could grow more of it to reproduce the results. Imagine how the results would have been laughed at if the original penicillin strain had died, and they tried to reproduce the result with other moulds.

    --
    My rights don't need management.
  44. Thoughts from a physicist by Rotiahn · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Alright, for the moment I'm going to give this article a little benefit of the the doubt, and see what comes out of it:

    Standard physics says cold fusion shouldn't work because photon exchanges result in nuclei repelling each other.

    However, they think it works here because they think that the palladium atoms are aborbing all the photons which would normally result in the nuclei repelling each other. As a result the nuclei don't exchange photons, so arn't repelled by each other, so they can collide and combine into He.

    So, they've somehow developed a lattice who's quantum structure results in creating a barrier between the two nuclei which repels photons, but allows the nuclei to pass through. The nuclei effectivly can't "see" each other until they've already collided.

    I found it really interesting that they said they got better results with the impure samples. I did a quick search and discovered that Palladium Ore contains Platinum Certain isotopes of which are radioactive and produce alpha particles (alpha particles = helium).

    So, if their impure samples are the ones that are producing the most helium and heat, its possible that it is simply the platinum in the palladium ore which is providing alpha decays, and that is skewing their results.

    Its hard to guess if this is really the case though without knowing what kinds of numbers they are getting. How many helium atoms from how much palladium and how much deuterium.

    1. Re:Thoughts from a physicist by PsibrII · · Score: 2, Informative

      You'll find more info under "New Hydrogen Energy", but not that much more. Asian countries have been toying with it a little bit. If you have the right latice structure you can get an excess heat reaction, but too much heat and the latice deforms, and the reation dies out. If I remember right, there was some hit and miss results with nickel, better thermal tolerances, but almost impossible to get the alloy right in the first place.

      Sounds almost as bad as the hot fusion guys and their trying to get the right hydrogen pellet configuration for the lasers to ignite.

      Maybe all in all a good thing that noone has gotten one or the other to go. Look at the trouble coal and oil have gotten the world into so far. If people are drunk on energy that's this cheap, what sort of mess will you have when you have fusion to play with ?

  45. Didn't you read the article? by Beardo+the+Bearded · · Score: 3, Informative

    Second page, about halfway down:

    "Theory predicts that the fusion reaction should generate 24 million electron volts (MeV) of energy per helium-4 nucleus. An analysis by Michael McKubre of SRI International detected energy of 31 MeV-- a match within the experimental uncertainty of plus or minus 13 MeV."

    From what I understand, they have seen energy readings consistent with trace amounts of Helium. Perhaps they can't read the Helium directly because they don't have the money for the equipment. ;)

    I'm always skeptical about free, infinite energy as well. There's something compelling about the Laws of Thermodynamics.

    --

    ---
    ECHELON is a government program to find words like bomb, jihad, plutonium, assassinate, and anarchy.
    1. Re:Didn't you read the article? by radtea · · Score: 2, Interesting

      So, as other posters have asked, where are the neutrons? I've had the opportunity to as Fleishmann himself that question, and watched others ask it as well. He didn't have an answer, and didn't even understand import of the question.

      It goes like this: if I give any light nucleus more than a few MeV in a metal lattice, it's going to knock neutrons loose left and right. It doesn't matter if it's a proton, a deuteron, tritium, 4He, whatever. And it doesn't matter if I give it that energy via fission or fusion or waving a magic wand. No matter what I do, such a particle will produce neutrons. This is as close to a certainy as anything in this life can be.

      Hand-waving plausibility arguments regarding lattice recoil won't do. Either show me the neutrons, or show me a way of dumping 20-odd MeV into a light nucleus in a metal lattice and NOT producing neutrons. Cold fusion advocates have done neither.

      --Tom

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  46. Not impossible but improbable by Mr_Blank · · Score: 2, Informative

    These cold fusion stories always tickle my imagination with visions of electricity too cheap to meter, a ctrl-alt-del on the world's economy, and awesome new industries that today are not feasible because of the expense of power. But its all fairy tales. This Economist article sums up how fusion is improbable, and throwing good money after it makes no sense until there is a real break through. It also gives overviews of some of the other big efforts to make fusion a commercial reality.

    This space for rent.

  47. Re:Cold Fusion possibly already achieved! by DuckDuckBOOM! · · Score: 5, Insightful
    But does it not seem coincidental that one of the two suddenly owns an island and the other vanished?
    Yep, the secret vanished, to the same place where hides the 100 MPG carburetor, the Dean Drive, and the rest. Just for the record, let me point out the teeny flaw in reasoning common to this class of conspiracy theories:

    Scenario 1:

    1. Pons and Fleischmann discover a source of effectively unlimited energy that is relatively safe and easy to manufacture, and portable in the bargain!
    2. Exxon and Ford investigate, and discover that the process works and is commercially viable.
    3. E & F decide that this incredible discovery must be suppressed for the sake of their businesses. They buy off Pons for an island and $whatever, on condition that he become a permanent recluse. Fleischmann refuses to cooperate, and "vanishes".
    4. Exxon's profits sag as OPEC jacks up the price of crude yet again. Ford ups its factory rebates to hang on to its market share.

    Scenario 2:

    1. Pons and Fleischmann discover a source of effectively unlimited energy that is relatively safe and easy to manufacture, and portable in the bargain!
    2. Exxon and Ford investigate, and discover that the process works and is commercially viable.
    3. Exxon and Ford gain exclusive licenses for the process from P & F for a few US$billion each. Pocket change for them.
    4. Exxon builds huge CF generators to pump hydrogen and electricity into the grid at one third of current prices, and its net profit jumps by a factor of 20 as Westinghouse, GE, BP/Amoco, and OPEC go bankrupt. U.S. pollution and CO2 emissions drop 30%. CEO honored at Sierra Club's annual convention.
    5. Ford immediately retrofits entire product line for CF power at 30% above current sticker prices. New Expedition gets 11,400 miles per gallon of heavy water with zero emissions and near-zero maintenance (grease the suspension and empty the tritium cup every now & then). Ford's market share increases to 90% in three years. US pollution and CO2 emissions drop another 40%. Members of employee stock purchase program retire and buy yachts, CF-powered of course. Ford CEO honored at Greenpeace's annual convention.
    6. Pons and Fleischmann are multi-billionaires and Nobel Prize winners. Forever after revered in history books as saviors of mankind.

    Flippancy aside, which scenario do you consider more plausible?

    --
    Life is like surrealism: if you have to have it explained to you, you can't afford it.
  48. Re:It's all a conspiracy! by Syberghost · · Score: 2, Informative

    Enjoy your car, why not buy another which burns even more petrol? Theese are the last years of cheap oil.

    I remember when I was first told that. 1976, I think it was. I recall they taught us in school that it'd all be gone by 2000.

    My father laughed about hearing it last in the '50s, when gas prices (adjusted for inflation) were higher than they are now.

  49. Re:same nutbags who brought us CIA ESP research by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Uh, I hate to break this to you, Mr. "Scientist", but abstinence is proven to be very nearly 100% effective in preventing AIDS, a conclusion that in no way flies in the face of science, but instead, simply stands to reason.

    That's astounding, since abstinence is only about 20% successful in teenagers. See, 80% of the time, abstainers will get horny and screw anyway.

    African countries are now pushing abstinence because *it works*, and if they don't, most of their population will be dead in 20 years.

    Of course, if it does work, then 100% of the population will be dead in 60-80 years.

    --
    "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
  50. Re:same nutbags who brought us CIA ESP research by Skjellifetti · · Score: 3, Informative

    Be very careful here. Conservatives tend to preach abstinence as a solution because they believe it is the morally correct thing to do. It is nice that it has the side effect of reducing STD incidence, but above all, they proclaim, abstinence is morally correct. Condoms, on the other hand, are immoral because they promote sex even though condoms reduce STD incidence as well.

    Uganda slashed AIDS infections because the women got together and pulled a Lysistrata - The Aristophanes play where the women of Athens stop having sex with the men until the men stop fighting the Peloponesian war. In this case, the women said no sex until the men stopped having extra-marital sex and started using condoms. Abstinence was a temporary ploy used to get the men's attention and force some behavioral changes. It had zero to do with abstinence as the moral choice that conservatives have tried to foist on the world. And it worked in large part because the campaign also included a large dose of sex education (something conservatives don't like either) which empowered the women by letting them understand the choices they could make along with the consequences of those choices.

    Merely stating that abstinence works is too simple. It is like proclaiming cold fusion exists in the absence of a theory that can predict the experimental results.

  51. misrepresentation by Crispy+Critters · · Score: 3, Informative
    I have to say that the article does not improve my already low opinion of Tech Review (it used to be so much better).
    But building a fusion reactor that can convert that tremendous heat into useful energy has posed an immense challenge. After decades of research, the conditions needed for fusion still can be attained only briefly, and these experimental fusion reactions produce less energy than is needed to ignite them.
    The conditions needed for "hot" fusion can be easily attained. They are just expensive. No facility in the world currently exists that can handle the radiation that would be generated by a device like a tokamak running above break-even (where generated fusion power exceeds input power plus change in energy stored in the plasma). This was nearly achieved on the JET tokamak. Why don't they keep trying this? Because the facility cannot handle the radiation. Human beings have to be able to work on the experiment to do maintenance, so the equipment cannot be allowed to become too radioactive. In fact, no similar experiment consistently uses the mixture of deuterium and tritium most likely to be used in fusion reactors. No large hot fusion experiments achieve break-even because none of them are trying to achieve break-even.
  52. If proven... by GooberToo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...to actually be working, does this place cold-fusion in a scientifically more advanced state the hot-fusion? After all, hot-fusion has a theory and little scientific proof that it can actually work and be sustained. On the other hand, if it's proven to be for real, cold fusion is proven to work and is simply lacking strong theory to explain everything.

    Seems to me, the more viable and truly scientific work is going on with cold-fusion.

    On one camp, we have tons and tons of money and theory and no experiment shown to support that theory (AFAIK; correct me as needed). On spite of this, hot-fusion is thought of as accepted and proven science.

    In the other camp, we can scientists performing experiments which are roughly meeting or exceeding expectations and simply lacking in some portions of theory which might explain everything that is going on. In spite of this, cold-fusion is ignored and rejected.

    Which is real science? Science finding new things it doesn't understand and attempts to explain or science failing to prove which it hopes might work, one day, given enough funding. Seems to me, hot-fusion is looking more like snake-oil than cold-fusion ever did. Cold-fusion, during the early days of just plain fraud, was quickly shown for what it is. The fact that two guys were invalidated hardly invalidates a whole field of study. My point? Would seem that many "scientists" and failing to look beyond their ego to do real science. If it's being peer reviewed and being replicated, that's science.