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The Future of SysAdmins' Positions

prostoalex writes "With automated upgrade tools and self-updating software, will sysadmins be in such high demand that they enjoy today? Lisa Valentine from NewsFactor provides the answer - and it's a definitive yes. Wireless systems and GPS devices are the new area where sysadmins are expected to have some expertise, although lately companies have been upping their demands for more hands-on experience. This opinion seems to corroborate US Department of Labor forecast on system administrator and computer support specialist employment."

47 of 460 comments (clear)

  1. Thriving Profession by mfh · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Where sysadmins will always thrive is in the ability to connect people who simply don't have time for all the details involved. It's not The Oldest Profession, but it's going to be the longest running profession someday, methinks.

    --
    The dangers of knowledge trigger emotional distress in human beings.
    1. Re:Thriving Profession by cuzality · · Score: 5, Funny
      ...it's going to be the longest running profession someday, methinks...
      The prostitutes aren't going to be happy to hear that...
    2. Re:Thriving Profession by lukewarmfusion · · Score: 5, Funny

      "It's not The Oldest Profession..."

      Long hours, weekends/holidays, on-call, bad pay... I sure feel like a corporate whore.

    3. Re:Thriving Profession by Wun+Hung+Lo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There will always be positions for competent sysadmins. All the paper MCSE's running around out there might have a problem though. I don't have any respect for a (so-called) sysadmin who pees his pants if you show him a command line.

    4. Re:Thriving Profession by Hiro+Antagonist · · Score: 5, Funny

      I'd mod you up had I points, but I don't so I'll try and post an informative response instead.

      The 'oldest profession' is actually the shaman, or witch-doctor; prostitutes didn't really come around we stopped wandering around so much, and started staying in one place long enough for commerce and property to become tangible things. The witch doctor, like many sysadmins[1], was often insane, but he helped people to make sense of the world around them, by relating things they couldn't understand to things they could -- he was their interface to the unknown.

      Witch-doctors explained disease, thunder, life, death, although they never got the hang of taxes. They were often wrong, not having the tools of science, but their explanations were at least sometimes useful, oftentimes imparted sage advise, and almost always provided comfort to those who sought him for counsel.

      As the world has progressed, so has the witch-doctor; in time, they became 'natural philosophers' and scientists. Today, we call them engineers, doctors, teachers, chemists, and programmers; they are the people that help all of the other people manipulate and comprehend the world.

      They're also called 'sysadmins'; and I'm happy to consider myself a member. *shakes whale-bone and begins chanting*

      [1] Yes, I am one.

      --

      --
      I Hit the Karma Cap, and All I Got Was This Lousy .sig.
    5. Re:Thriving Profession by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 4, Funny
      I'm sure you'll be disheartened to know that Nevada prostitutes in whore houses get paid about $1000-$2000/hr, don't have to work many hours, and get paid to have lots of sex.

      Methinks many sysadmins would switch professions if only the whore houses would have them.

      --
      Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
    6. Re:Thriving Profession by gstoddart · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Oh, come on. Monkeys barter nookie for food.

      You can bet before we evolved language or shamans some neolithic honey with a single eyebrow and no capacity for language was swapping nookie for food and protection from one of our earliest ancestors.

      Sex goes way back and doesn't require a heck of a lot of cultural evolution to have occured.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    7. Re:Thriving Profession by the_mad_poster · · Score: 5, Funny

      I took an AP European History class in my senior year of High School. By the end of the year, we had concluded that the whole of European history could be summed up in two words:

      1. Men
      2. Farming

      This is not entirely innacurate either. It would seem that the catalyst for every major social, economic, or political change revolved around men wanting sex, men being chauvinists, food, or any combination of those three things.

      Unfortunately for the geeks, our profession has not embraced these driving mechanisms, or I'd get a hell of a lot more sex and I wouldn't be eaten these $1.00 frozen dinners from Swanson every night...

      --
      Alito: A vote for Alito is a punch in the eye to put that bitch back in her place!
    8. Re:Thriving Profession by Syntax+Heir · · Score: 5, Funny
      Yeah that "whore" thing with all that fancy sex stuff sounds great on the surface but then you have to balance out all the late nights they spend studying to keep up with their ever changing industry.

      Then of course there are the long weekends where they have to work round the clock to fix an emergency!

      Don't forget that everyone is going to expect them to fix problems at home too so their job is extened to the power of N where N = number of employees.

      ...

      HEY! ...

      What a minute! Oooohh.... FWORD!!!!

      --
      The greatest hindrance to success is a well-rationalized excuse
    9. Re:Thriving Profession by chris_mahan · · Score: 4, Funny

      She was married?

      --

      "Piter, too, is dead."

    10. Re:Thriving Profession by dk.r*nger · · Score: 4, Funny

      ...the whole of European history could be summed up in two words...

      And US history is much, much more complex than that? ;)

    11. Re:Thriving Profession by chris_mahan · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yeah, and have you ever navigated a GUI with voice commands only?

      I imagine 15 years from now the users will have desktops that look like todays videogames (because today's gamers will be wirking--most of them) and sysadmins will still be writing wicked scripts from the, you guessed it, command prompt.

      There's a reason why it's called the command prompt: it's where you issue commands. And that's what sysadmins do.

      As var as voice commands go: It'll only work when good AI is available. Imagine writing code with voice only: Oh, semicolon, no, backspace, ok, space, ah shit, no, backspace, colon, onpen paren, no, backspace, open squiggly, ok, quote, damn!, backspace, double-quote, good, a, comma, no, backspace, not "A comma", a, ok, then comman, b, ok, comma...
      I would imagine some people would map easy to remember words to often used keystroke commands:
      frig: delete line
      fuck: backspace
      cool: newline

      talk about needing privacy to program.

      --

      "Piter, too, is dead."

    12. Re:Thriving Profession by Syntax+Heir · · Score: 5, Interesting
      sysadmins end up with the "keys to the kingdom"

      Agreed

      they're basically janitorial staff

      That's just trolling and entirely unfair.

      I gave the engineering department local admin rights on their PCs before they even asked for it, all I insited on was a 10 minute workstation lockout policy since they love to wander away from their desks.

      However here is a story detailing the problem you mentioned:

      Role Fragmentation

      --
      The greatest hindrance to success is a well-rationalized excuse
    13. Re:Thriving Profession by dekemoose · · Score: 4, Insightful

      History is always told by the winner.

    14. Re:Thriving Profession by StormyMonday · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No.

      They may *bill* that much, but that's not what they take home.

      You might be surprised at what your company bills *your* time at.

      Also, there's a big difference between "having lots of sex" and "getting fucked a lot." Whores and sysadmins know a lot about the latter.

      --
      Welcome to the Turing Tarpit, where everything is possible but nothing interesting is easy.
    15. Re:Thriving Profession by ghostlibrary · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Great post. But still, shaman is the 3rd oldest profession.

      0th = (you) = hunter/gatherer
      1st = prostitute
      2nd = spying or politics
      3rd = shaman

      Sort of fits Maslow's pyramid of needs. First you need food, then sex, then safety, then intellectual pursuits. Hunter/gatherer, prostitute/mate, spy/politician, shaman.

      The debate on the 2nd is whether you prefer the Old Testament or Reagon as a source :)

      --
      A.
    16. Re:Thriving Profession by bonch · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't have any respect for a (so-called) sysadmin who pees his pants if you show him a command line.

      After all, being forced to type in paragraphs of complete gibberish is better than being able to click a checkbox. Your penis size, er, sysadmin skills depend on how many words you type a minute when you administer a network.

      Applying absolutist views to every situation is a copout.

    17. Re:Thriving Profession by Strange+Ranger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      > they fail to understand that developers are not just another category of end-users.

      [asbestos suit=ON]
      When it comes to securing the network, uptime for people in profit centers, due diligence on things like privacy, data retention, legal compliance, and the ability of the sales team to SELL STUFF for profit...

      developers ARE just another category of end user.

      Profit centers, legal issues, company reputation, shareholders, etc, ALL come before the latest internal Java widget or database enhancement. Sorry, but unless you're developing your company's new flagship product, you'll need to get down off that high horse.
      [asbestos suit=OFF]

      --

      Operator, give me the number for 911!
    18. Re:Thriving Profession by muckdog · · Score: 5, Funny

      Althought I have absolutely no proof i think its very likely Oga the cave woman trade a little love'in for some skins and meat way before they ever figured out how to farm.

    19. Re:Thriving Profession by bonius_rex · · Score: 4, Informative
      Marriage is the highest form of prostitition. The progression goes something like this:

      Level 1: Crack Whore; is paid in drugs
      Level 2: Escort Service; is paid in cash, per client.
      Level 3: Wife; is paid in security, property, etc, but she also has a golden parachute plan! When she finds a better client, she takes at least 50% of all the shit you own! Sometimes, you still have to pay her a salary (spousal support), just so she can afford to continue her whoring with somebody else!

      Thank god Taco sold Slashdot BEFORE he got married... I can just imagine divorce attorneys arguing over the cash value of a first post...

      :-)

  2. oh yes, there's still a need by destinedforgreatness · · Score: 4, Funny

    without sysadmins, who'll deal with the "someone stole the post-it with my password on" queries?

  3. Yeah, but... by Mz6 · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Did anyone get the feeling the author still knows absolutely nothing about systems administrators after writing this?

    ala... this paragraph...:
    "Many large organizations silo the systems-administration skill set, explains Phillips, and systems administrators at these companies tend to remain focused on very specific systems-administration skills and job responsibilities."

    On a serious note though, I do have a question. The article mentioned that after a few years most college graduates have already achieved sysadmin status, but after that, where do you go from there? The article mentions that the salary tops out at the "mid- to upper-$60,000 range.", and that doesn't sound like a whole lot to me (especially this day in age). Of course there is always becoming a section head, manager, or director... but that often times requires a more downplayed "hand-on" experience as others below you would be doing most of the work. For someone that wants to remain on the technical side of things rather than the business side, where do you go?

    --
    Hmmm.
    1. Re:Yeah, but... by duffbeer703 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Nowhere.

      The notion that you career as a programmer or technical specialist is going to plateau before you hit your 30's is scary, but often true.

      You can make more money in sales, consulting or management. But there are tradeoffs. If you want to be a high-dollar consultant or salesman, the travel can really kill a marriage. If you become a management dork, you essentially abandon your technical career.

      The "where do you go?" question is something facing all middle-class people. Over the last 40 years, the purchasing power of the average person has eroded sharply.

      My grandfather raised a family of six on one blue-collar income, and managed to own a nice home in NYC, a summer house upstate, and always had two cars. Good luck doing that today.

      --
      Conformity is the jailer of freedom and enemy of growth. -JFK
    2. Re:Yeah, but... by raddan · · Score: 4, Informative
      For someone that wants to remain on the technical side of things rather than the business side, where do you go?

      Back to school, for ECE. It will kinda suck to be an undergrad all over again, but I'd like to think that I have a bit more focus this time around.

      Being a systems administrator is neat with regard to some things; there's a lot of equipment I wouldn't have ordinarily gotten my hands on, a lot of problems I wouldn't have ordinarily confronted. But there's not much thinking to the job and I feel a little starved for a challenge...

    3. Re:Yeah, but... by duffbeer703 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      That's not up to code anywhere.

      Not only is straw a fire hazard, but your home will be infested with rodents.

      How do you get an earth sheltered, passive solar home anyway?

      --
      Conformity is the jailer of freedom and enemy of growth. -JFK
  4. Re:Yes but... by eyegor · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not many I'd think. Most sysadmin types need to be able to lay hands on the systems they're supporting.

    Hard to add new hardware to a box if you can't touch it.

    --

    Don't anthropomorphize computers, they don't like it.
  5. Jobs by thebra · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There will always be jobs for persons in IT that are willing to learn new technology as it changes daily. There will always be a job for position "X" as it will change as technology changes.

  6. Salary estimates seem a bit low... by tcopeland · · Score: 4, Informative

    > An experienced systems administrator
    > can expect to earn a salary in the
    > US$50,000 to mid- to upper-$60,000 range.

    Hm, the _average_ in the SAGE survey in 2002 was $67,600. But I guess that's more or less in the ballpark.

  7. I thought by Prince+Vegeta+SSJ4 · · Score: 4, Funny
    that with pay cuts, job cutbacks, the dot-bomb, and outsourcing.

    Admins have been forced to "Assume the position" for quite some time.

  8. Experience by the+Man+in+Black · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Wireless systems and GPS devices are the new area where sysadmins are expected to have some expertise, although lately companies have been upping their demands for more hands-on experience.

    Which is fine for currently employed sysadmins, or more specifically currently employed sysadmins that have the rare opportunity to do research and put their hands on new technologies in addition to their day-to-day tasks. However, the majority of us (my experience, no empirical evidence) is that most of us are hired to do a specific task, or hired to handle a certain area. Then 90% of our time is eating up just keeping the walls from falling down, making it difficult to get up to speed on new technologies.

    How are we supposed to get this high-demand experience if we're either busy doing our jobs or still looking (or both)? They don't exactly teach sysadmin in school, you know.

    1. Re:Experience by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Then 90% of our time is eating up just keeping the walls from falling down"

      If 90% of your time is spent fighting fires, there's something fundamentally wrong with the way the systems are set up or you're chronically understaffed. Now, I can scale *myself* from 100 to 1000 systems with little additional effort on my behalf once they are set up.

      "They don't exactly teach sysadmin in school, you know."

      True, you have to teach yourself. http://www.infrastructures.org/

      --
      Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
  9. Sysadmins shouldn't be required at all. by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah. Until something breaks that is.

    In general I see my job to automate everything I can. Repetitive work is what computers are good at, get them to do it for you. The sysadmin will still be required to oversee it.

    --
    Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
  10. MBA by BoomerSooner · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You get an MBA, you move into management and become the CIO/CTO. Happens all the time.

    I wish there were a day I didn't have to be the sysadmin at my jobs. Unfortunately I am the default admin because I have the most experience and it's also why I got hired (as a systems developer).

    I admin my own machines as well and the primary reason I like OS X over Linux and Windows is the Software Update. I am evaluating migrating my Linux servers running qmail/oracle/tomcat-apache to OS X Server with postfix/sybase/tomcat-apache.

  11. Definitely yes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    There is no system that can provide the level of personally tailored abuse that I offer users on our network. Most users are masochists -- they don't just want to be told they're doing something stupid, they want their intelligence to be abuse for it. Honestly. At least that's always been my philosophy...

  12. If for no other reason - the corporate scapegoat by 59Bassman · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Somebody's got to be to blame. There seem to be folks in every organization who only exist in case something goes wrong in order to take the beating. If you didn't have a sysadmin, who do you scream at if the e-mail server goes down? Who do you accuse of being inefficient when backups hang up a system for an hour or so? Technology continues to get easier to use, but corporations still need someone with responsibility for that technology.

  13. interesting, and right for the wrong reasons by conJunk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    it's an interesting article, and it's dead-on about predections, but i think for the wrong reasons

    sure, a lot of what we used to do is automated (as the article points out, software installs, etc.), but a lot of what we do is purely psychological

    i doubt there is PHB anywhere that is so braindead to think that his human sys admin slave (who can receive a page at 3 am) can be replaced by a machine

    nobody is so daft as to imagine that our work is anything but intellectual... they watch as at work, at front of the machine, and they know that what we are doing is no different that auto mechanics or detectiving or archaelogy... analytic problem solving employing a specific skill-set, and there's no machine that can do that, and upper management (thank god) knows it

    until they invent a computer that can drive down to the co-lo in the wee hours and apply critical thought to packet-sniffer, humans will always be sys admins, and the article doesn't touch this part of it

  14. I've been hearing this for 10 years by spidergoat2 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not trying to Microsoft bash, but as long as Microsoft controls the desktop and server market, and as long as there are software vendors that ignore programming guidelines, there will always be a need for admins. I get calls all the time from users trying to figure out how things are supposed to work. I find most problems easy, yet the users are baffled. That, combined with the constant threat of virus, hacker and spyware attacks, makes me confidant I'll be employed for a long time to come. Unless I waste too much time on /.

  15. Why do you need Admins? by Pollux · · Score: 4, Insightful

    With automated upgrade tools and self-updating software, will sysadmins be in such high demand that they enjoy today"

    Oh brother. Alright, let's look at the history of cars:

    Before ~1970: cars had: engine, manual transmission, radiator, distributor, carborator, master cylinder.

    Everything was mechanical (excluding battery / ignition system). So, you took your car to a garage, the person who worked on the viechle was a mechanic. These guys were skilled at knowing how moving parts all worked together to make your car go.

    After ~1990: cars have: engine, auto transmission, radiator, automatic distribution system, fuel injection, anti-lock breaking system, power steering...there's a lot more things that are electronically controled and regulated. But guess what? These things still break. We still have mechanics, because there are still a lot of things that are mechanical, but there are also "technicians" (and most mechanics have to be technicians as well) that know how to fix electronics. Even if the "systems" are more reliable than before, they still break. But at the same time, my radiator worked exactly like radiators 50 years ago.

    Add more "systems" to computers, it's just more "systems" that admins have to administer to when they break.

  16. Re:Yes but... by johnlcallaway · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I have supported many remote sites. If I needed to add hardware, I called the vendor. For one company, I never had to visit the remote sites at all. Local talent was contracted to do network stuff, and HP did the hardware end.

    For the other (Sun systems), I did all the network stuff, and visited the remote site about once every 3-6 months. It was a new system, and we occasionaly re-worked the network for the first couple of years. We also did a couple of hardware swaps ourselves because we were able to, there would have been no reason not to have Sun do it.

    There is no reason why a skilled admin in the United States, India, China, Brazil, or wherever cannot maintain a remote site anywhere in the world with the appropriate support structure. 99% of what a sys admin does has nothing to do with hardware itself.

    If you find that you are having to constantly touch hardware, then I would look at whatever hardware vendor you are using and get a different one.

    Or get a girlfriend.....

    --
    I rarely read replies, it's my opinion and if you thought about your opinion a little more, I'm OK with that.
  17. Who needs sysadmins? by EmagGeek · · Score: 4, Funny

    We got rid of all of our sysa&%$#IU@Hm years ago... we have no$&Y@U problems to speak of in our net84(*#&$@.. .NO CARRIER

    CONNECT

    sure there's a glithIUEY#$ now and again, but for the most part, things run very smoot83Y(*$@Y#$NO CARRIER

  18. where is this booming trade? by RabidMonkey · · Score: 4, Informative

    As a systems admin with 5 years experience currently working on a helpdesk to make ends meet, I'd like to ask, where is this glut of jobs that the poster implies is out there? I know in the Toronto area, there are quite a few out of work sys admins and any job I find gets 100's of applications.

    Things aren't so peachy keen here in sys admin land ...

    --
    We emerge from our mother's womb an unformatted diskette; our culture formats us. - Douglas Coupland
  19. Oh... I'm a Sysadmin and I'm Okay! by jdfox · · Score: 4, Funny

    [spoken]
    I never really wanted to be a scientist.
    I wanted to be...a...a SYSADMIN!

    [system engineer choir and shift supervisor enter, music strikes up]

    Oh, I'm a sysadmin and I'm OK,
    I grep all night and I chown all day.

    [choir]
    He's a sysadmin and he's OK,
    He greps all night and he chowns all day.

    I ping the nodes, I do PM,
    I awk and perl and sed.
    I've got a Star Wars lunchbox,
    And Tron sheets on my bed!

    [choir]
    He pings the nodes, he does PM,
    He awks and perls and seds.
    He's got a Star Wars lunchbox,
    And Tron sheets on his bed!

    I ping the nodes, I change the rates,
    I fork the processes.
    I wish that all my lusers
    would catch some rare disease!

    [choir, growing slightly uncomfortable]
    He pings the nodes, he changes rates,
    He forks the processes.
    He wishes all his lusers
    would catch some rare disease!

    [choir brightens as they repeat chorus]

    I ping the nodes, I lock the /home partition and umount.
    I post .gifs of my boss's daughter from his own account!

    [choir]
    He pings the nodes, he locks the /home partition and umounts??

    [shift supervisor, in tears]
    Oh Bevis! And I thought you were so dedicated.

    (quoted from Martin Martin "I wish to register a complaint about this system" Booda)

  20. It's the business... by Chagatai · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I work for the food industry as a systems administrator. My systems help in abbatoirs to turn happy cows into happy steaks, happy pigs into happy bacon, etc. Our systems are relatively complex with miles and miles of customized code.

    Recently, I had a conversation with my boss about my job and the jobs of my peers. He admitted something--technically, even though our systems are so complex, all of our jobs could be outsourced to India. He said this unabashedly, without blinking an eye. "But," he said, "the value and knowledge you have about our industry and knowing how to leverage our systems to generate revenue is worth more to us than shipping your jobs overseas to cut costs."

    Yes, many sysadmin positions could be sent to Banaglore at the drop of a hat, but the truth is that in many environments the additional day-to-day knowledge of how a business works will keep jobs around. Like a fellow poster also mentioned, there is a certain degree of laying on hands that some companies will never lose, which will also keep sysadmins around.

    ...then again, trying to convince a bunch of Hindus to run systems that help kill cows is a bit of a challenge...

    --
    --Chag
  21. Where you go next by Wingchild · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Try the government and/or the military.

    No, really; as an independant contractor.

    One of the interesting things about working as a defense contrator is that there is work everywhere in the world at present; doesn't matter where, we've got an investment, and that investment involves computers somewhere along the line. (Yes, even in Kuala Lumpor - even when it's disguised as France.)

    Where there are computers there will be admins - there must always be admins - if only for the same reasons that there are doctors, lawyers, mechanics, and others of our ilk. On the whole it's stuff that reasonable people could figure out and generally take care of on their own. Sometimes they'd need a specialist for a particularly hairy problem. However, one of the defining traits of life is that people don't have time to be generalists -- we're a highly specialized society (even if some of those specialties are along the lines of the service industries). Admins exist to take care of what people can't or won't, and in theory to do a better job than they could without training.

    This is doubly or triply true for the government and military. More amusing still is if you're doing defense work that requires a clearance. If you can find someone to sponsor you, and if you can pass the investigation (takes a semi boring life, or lots of honesty), by all means do. Most people who go for a clearance won't get one - or will eventually have it revoked.

    Law of supply and demand, friends:

    High demand + automatically limited supply = higher cost for the goods in question. (i.e., higher salary.)

    Get your Top Secret and you've basically written your meal ticket for life; just lay off committing felony crimes and you're probably good to go. :)

  22. Market forces and the labor pool... by GPLDAN · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I've read all the 3+ posts here. So far, nobody has mentioned a really important fact.

    because the skillsets in demand are always shifting, and because HR people really want to check off boxes in their application interviews, you get obsolete very fast. As you move into your 30s and 40s and beyond, your skill set is NOT like a lawyer's or doctor's. Their experiences over time make them stronger and stronger, and more valuable to society. You become LESS so. While a lawyer needs to learn about new laws and changes to the system, the rate of change doesn't invalidate what they already know.

    Our company just laid off 10 people who were 50-ish COBOL programmers and IBM sysadmins. These people were very good at what they did, but they were no longer needed. They now start sliding DOWN the chain, taking jobs in their fields for LESS money. No matter how smart you think you are, there are college grads who will fight you for your job and take half your pay.

    A previous poster compared sysadmins to auto mechanics. That was a good analogy, but he didn't follow it through. What happened to the mechanic industry in the 80s and 90s? They stagnated or dropped, as existing mechanics found it harder and harder to adapt to all the new technology, the demographic shift in average mechanic age fell.

    I don't mean to be doom and gloom here, but for those who won't go into management or strike out and become busines owners, the future is this: you MUST stay on top of all emerging technologies and keep certifying and run along the treadmill, or you WILL get replaced by somebody younger. Whatever guru status you think you enjoy, and however many times your manager calls you his "goto guy", that status changes OVERNIGHT.

    You should look at the sysadmin field like playing MLB in your 20s and early 30s. It's great to make it there, and it helps you make money you wouldn't have otherwise made - but eventually you will be replaced by somebody better and faster and cheaper. You need a plan to do something outside the field after 40.

    Quick aside, I looked at some job ads in the last few weeks. I think HR people haven't figured out that some of these ads are stupid, and the economy is picking up and they can't cherry pick quite so much. I saw an ad that the company wanted you to have 10+ of systems integration experience, consulting experience, have technical certifications like RHCE and know shell, programming in C++, Java and be a certified disaster recovery specialist - AND - you know, in your spare time, ALSO be a CPA. That's right, a CPA!

    Now maybe I just don't know enough smart people, but so far I have yet to meet a CPA that is also a programmer, much less a highly experienced sysadmin. I don't even know any that can SPELL UNIX. I would REALLY love to meet the applicant that gets that job.

  23. What the Future Holds... by ErichTheRed · · Score: 4, Informative

    Sysadmin jobs for smart people who know a wide range of systems will still be around. However, expect some changes, including the following:

    • Very few sysadmins can afford to be the geek hiding behind the server racks. You'll be expected to interact with users, understand their needs and generally function as part of the business. If you're the _one guy_ who knows absolutely everything about the main system that your company uses to make its money, then you're the exception. Otherwise, those social skills are going to come in handy!
    • The outsourcing thing is going to hurt for the forseeable future. If your job doesn't get sent overseas, it's pretty likely that permanent IT staff positions will be transferred to third parties. This leads to wage compression as the outsourcer tries to squeeze every last profit dollar out of their deals.
    • Knowing one OS isn't going to cut it anymore. I'm a Windows sysadmin by trade, but know Linux relatively well (the problem is getting into a Linux shop after working in Microsoft shops...I swear I must have a big red "M" tattooed to my forehead. :-)
    • The days of the paper MCSE are numbered, and it's a small number. Lots of Microsoft sysadmins aren't bothering to learn things like scripting, task automation, etc. that are essential on every other platform in the world. That's what separates the paper MCSE from the qualified windows admins.
    • There's very little opportunity to "break in" like there was in the 90s. IT employers are becoming much more impatient with new hire ramp-up time, and it's getting harder to find entry-level IT work that doesn't involve fixing computers at Best Buy.

    Back in the day, systems were extremely complex and needed an army of people to look after the basic functionality. Now that's changing...sysadmins will be around, but adaptation is required.

    The other thing that I see happening is formation of a common set of procedures. Civil engineers rarely design faulty bridges, airports, train stations, etc. The reason is that they use tested methods, and "new cool stuff" goes through complete peer review before becoming generally accepted. Systems people, OTOH, build stuff that routinely crashes and fails to work as advertised. Once companies get out of the "outsource everything and pay the absolute minimum for the work" phase, I think it will be time to form a real governing body similar to the professional engineering organizations.

  24. Economic statistics in the US resemble the USSR by wintermute42 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Increasingly we are seeing the executive branch (e.g., the departments that report to the President) either not publish statistics or publish misleading or partial statistics. This is true for many departments that previously prided themselves on non-partisanship.

    The job forecasts and market outlook for programmers and software engineers did not mention anything about outsourcing. Could this be because outsourcing is a senstive political topic that the current administration is vulnerable on? I found it odd reading that job growth for programmers would be about the same as job growth overall, without any mention of why such tepid job prospects were being forecast. In fact, I found nothing about low wage competition for "knowledge worker" jobs.

    Then there is the issue of job catagories. Apparently the job prospects for "software engineers" were bright, while those for programmers were mediocre.

    I have never worked in an environment where someone did design and someone else implemented this design in software. Yes I've had customers provide a broad outline of what they wanted, sometimes in terms of system components, but the engineering of large software systems is closely tied to their implementation. So as far as I'm concerned the division between "programmer" and "software engineer" does not exist. In fact some of the problems encountered in offshore outsourcing involve the attempt to separate software engineering from programming. Those contracting for low wage programming must provide detailed documentation that describes exactly what they want and how they want it done. Even then sometimes the software that is delivered is not adequate.