Google Goes Public at $85/share
adpowers writes "It is official. Google will have its IPO debut at $85 per share. To quote the article, 'At that price, the low end of its recently revised range, Google raised $1.67 billion, with $1.2 billion to go to the No. 1 Internet search engine and $473 million to Google executives and investors selling their shares.' Trading begins Thursday, August 19th." Got Google?
... how many google employees have become instant millionaires?
-- Bryan
I, for one, would be lost without it. However, I will be interested to see how it develops now it's under external influences.
Prosperity is only an instrument to be used, not a deity to be worshipped. Calvin Coolidge
At any rate, now I can get my one share framed! I like to keep all my favorite tech company's stock certificates on my computer lab wall. :)
Although to some pundits the lower price signals a weaker offering, some of this could be to GOOGs benefit.
The lower per share value was followed by a lowering of shares available. This could generate more interest in the shares, which will drive prices up (or keep them constant longer).
It does, however, mean the cap has gone down by over 25% (36B to 26B). Still bigger than my bank account, though.
I fear that for Google, going fully profit and opening to investors might in the long run have a negative impact... Will big Google shareholders be able to influence what appears in the Search Engine? Maybe right now this will be impossible, but who knows what might happen in the future... And what will be the consequences of it for the users?
Maybe the problem is the following: there is a way in which Google is perceived now that is fundamentally wrong. It is treated as a "service" for Internet Users, the One and Only Search Engine, while it is just Yet Another Company.
Monopolies (especially privately-owned and profit-making ones) are never good. Will Google become as Bad(TM) as Microsoft?
With an already profitable business, and lots of extra money in its pocket, can we expect Google to start a buyout spree? Some targets might include Vivisimo with their clustering technology, Girafa for visualizing search, or even some of the better Web APIs applications like Google Alert or the GoogleBrowser, as this Wired story suggests.
After all, the company offers only one basic product (albeit in a couple of incarnations).
Microsoft are starting to consider Google as competition. And competing with Microsoft has historically been a bad move - I can see Longhorn's search facilities integrating with MSN search such that the boundary between the Internet and the PC on your desk becoming blurred. Google are pretty much at the top, and it'll be almost impossible to maintain that long-term.
So you probably wouldn't buy this share for growth. How about income? Has Google publicised what it plans on offering in dividends? Even if it did, with no past record to go on, how can you have any idea what level of income to expect?
Even if you don't buy the share for growth, it's still an expensive share. It wouldn't take much for its value (and thus the value of the investment) to plummet.
Ultimately, I think this share is a bet that the rich might be prepared (and financially able) to take, but most would be well advised to steer clear of. The dot-com bubble burst a long time ago.
First, pick up and read a copy of The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham (commentary by Jason Zweig).
1) By all fundamental measures, this stock is dramatically overpriced. (Ask yourself how a search engine -- which could likely be replaced by next years' "next new thing" -- could be worth, on a per cap market basis, as much as McDonalds.)
2) IPOs usually only make one group of people rich: the boardroom execs. Don't be suckered by the initial rise in price -- IPOs are almost always followed by a dramatic downturn.
Here is what happens when an enlightened, nimble company like Google goes public:
1) The MBA are brought in.
2) MBA's fire all the original staff and programmers.
3) All developemnt and support is outsourced.
4) Business sinks
5) Business get bought by MS.
All the banks/brokerages I use are ready for it, the ISIN number has been assigned (US38259P5089).
The way that Google offered its shares, through a Dutch auction, guarantees that the price will go down. The way a traditional IPO is done is that the underwriters buy all the shares. Then they feel out the demand and sell the initial shares at a somewhat lower price to select investors. As soon as it starts trading, these lucky people flip the shares for an easy profit as the pent-up wider demand for the shares is met in the stock market. Using the auction process, they opened the bidding to the public at large and therefore anyone interested in really owning the stock would have already placed their bid. The demand is met by the IPO, not by the trading after the IPO in the aftermarket.
What with all those investors clicking away on any google ads that appear, gotta keep revenues up!
Think about it, you now own part of a search company who's money comes from clicked adverts. Regardless of interest wouldn't you click on the ads to ensure constant revenue???
The discount over the original predicted price of $105-135 is larger than what the $85 price suggest. The original plan was to offer twice as many shares in a dutch auction. In this type of auction the price is bid down instead of up until the entire lot of shares is sold.
If the original amount of shares had been offered to the public, bidding would have continued well down past $85 to a range of $50-65 per share or so. In other words, for all practical purposes Google went public at half the price they had predicted. Interestingly, at that price Google's valuation is more in line with its competitors (overture, yahoo).
Keep in mind that most companies that go public aim for a $10-20 per share initial price. This suggests that when the Google IPO process got started, Google was expecting to get a lot less per share than they got, so in the end they should be more than happy.
WTF is Google going to do with so much capital, anyway? What market will this money open up to them? It seemed like they were doing everything they wanted to do.
Telecomms and PR Expert Ben Silverman has a very interesting analysis on PR Fuel of Google's PR gaffs (and the resultant harsh media treatment) of the company around IPO time. Choice quotes:
Whether it was a questionable interview with Playboy by company founders that almost derailed the IPO or the failure to properly account for stock options, Google's missteps have been high-profile and surprisingly amateurish. Google's brand with consumers has not suffered as a result, but in the media, the company's respect level is at an all-time low.
--
The PR people at Google, I have no doubt, are well aware of the challenges they face in going from a privately-held company to a publicly-held company. Up until a few months ago, I had faith that the company could handle these challenges without much fanfare or problems. But in light of recent events, I'm more skeptical about how the company conducts itself with the media and public at-large. Perhaps Google was just too perfect for its own good.
---- scrm
Why would you doubt that ask? If I had google shares and no intention of selling them, there's no harm in naming an outlandish price, just in case some nutjob steps up to the plate & buys them.