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NASA Hoping To Create Super X-Prizes

Rei writes "NASA is attempting to use a strategy of handing out contracts as prizes, akin to the Ansari X-Prize, instead of the contractor-preferred method of bidding and having payment before work is completed. They are hoping to have prizes worth as much as one billion dollars. The only hitch? Congress won't let them."

60 of 268 comments (clear)

  1. I wonder why? by neoform · · Score: 2, Interesting

    a billion dollars as a prize seems somewhat of a NASA style expenditure.. why would they do that?

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    MABASPLOOM!
    1. Re:I wonder why? by Charcharodon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Easy they wouldn't be able to control which team "wins" since the best product would win rather than the winner being picked by the current "political process" of lowest bidder/cost overruns.

    2. Re:I wonder why? by ceejayoz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      RTFA... hell, read the bloody summary!

      They'd do it because they'd only pay for delivered results - no more paying for billion dollar Lockheed projects to have them go "oops, we messed up and you'll have to pay us another four billion to get it working..."

    3. Re:I wonder why? by jdray · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Precisely. Congress won't vote to dramatically increase NASA's ability to award prizes, because they lose control over the ability to grab pork for their constituencies. Even if prizes are restricted to Americans (likely, since they don't want to be awarding multi-million dollar prizes to foreign economies), the chances are essentially n/300 million, where n is the number of people in any particular Congressman's district, that a prize will be awarded where that Congressman wants it to be. Now, for a state like Texas, with about 8 percent of the nation's population, a one-in-twelve roll of the dice might be okay, but it probably still doesn't compete with their average take on contracts, which I (without any evidence) seem to think is higher.

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      Updated 6/28/2011
    4. Re:I wonder why? by the_2nd_coming · · Score: 2, Interesting

      but why worry about pork when this prize competition could spark more industry in more places than a single awarded contract could. when you have 5-10 teams, each building with their own cash, they are in more disperse places, and they do it more cost effectively because they want to maximize profit.

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      I am the Alpha and the Omega-3
    5. Re:I wonder why? by Mycroft_VIII · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because it's not reality that gets congressmen elected. It's the perceptions.
      Also the special interest don't CARE about the overal picture in a congressional distict or state, the only care about thier specific picture. Why would they back a congressman that would make them actually compete, rather than just hand out contracts to the highest bidders (donations to political campain, not contract bids).
      I'm not saying what you said makes no sense, I'm saying it makes to much sense.

      Mycroft

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  2. Good thing by Darthmalt · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This could turn out to be a good thing, Developer handles all of the R&D costs doesnt get a dime unless work is satisfactorily completed and cant go over budget.

    only down side I see is it could also scare off buisnesses not willing to take the risk of spending all that money and then not getting the contract.

    1. Re:Good thing by Israfels · · Score: 3, Interesting

      This is similar to how the F-117 got it's funding. As I recal there were a couple designs from other aerospace comanies.

    2. Re:Good thing by hengist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It could scare off the big companies, but that would allow smaller companies to get a foothold in the industry. Sounds like a good thing to me.

    3. Re:Good thing by Darthmalt · · Score: 2, Informative

      IIRC the standard is to accept designs and proposals from companies and then decide who gets the contract without any actual work being done on an actual craft that works.

      I know thats how the contract for the new space shuttle was awarded.

    4. Re:Good thing by TheKidWho · · Score: 2, Informative

      For the Air Force, Working models have to be built before they can be accepted.

      For example, the F16, F15, F22, all had competitors built and they were tested against their competitors and the better plane won.

    5. Re:Good thing by Charcharodon · · Score: 4, Interesting
      This would not work for whole projects, but would be quite effective for components.

      For example Boeing put their entire company at risk by creating the 747 especially after it was the losser in the C-5 Air Force cargo aircraft bid. They managed to make it work quite well fortunately. Many companies aren't willing to take that kind of risk.

      But on the other hand if say NASA said after looking around at off the shelf equipment and not finding what they needed for say a new manuevering thruster then they could post a prize (contract)

      10 million for one that fits the minimum specs

      and then throw in bonus awards

      1 million if it is 50% smaller than specs
      100k for each 10% thrust strength above specs
      15k for each 1% reduction in weight below specs
      500k for each 10% gain in efficiency

      Now I can see many companies being interested in this since they can compete on multiple levels or work with other companies to claim portions of a multi-award prize.

      The problem is not that companies don't have the capabilities to advance space technology, Scaled Composites proved that, it's just that there is little interest and fewer opportunities for smaller companies that are not associated with the big boys of aviation to get involved.

      I see these prizes as very effective means of streamlining the component aquisition portion of space flight, and who knows maybe one of these days companies will make space ships the way companies crank out airplanes.

  3. Congress by jeffkjo1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Congress won't let them

    So, I'm supposed to be disappointed that Congress is actually looking out for my money... at least to some extent?

    1. Re:Congress by Zocalo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I guess it depends on how much significance you attach to that "up to" and how NASA handles determining just how much a given "prize" should be. Suppose NASA has a requirement for 10 satellites and its own staff estimate an R&D cost of $250m and further production cost of $50m per unit - $750m total. I don't see a problem with NASA offering an "X-Prize" for designing a $50m/unit satellite of $300m plus a minimum contract of 10 units, or $800m in total. Assuming the contestant meets the budgets then the "profit" value of the prize is $50m plus any savings made in R&D and production costs. Meanwhile, NASA gets what it wants while effectively capping budget overruns at $50m - and we all know how those NASA budgets like to overrun...

      --
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    2. Re:Congress by Charcharodon · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Actually the old method does not insure that the money is spent well, but that it's spent in their consituants home town.

      This space station will cost only 3 billion dollars

      5billion...
      10 billion...
      15 billion...
      20 billion...
      30 billion...
      and going and going.....

      verses

      NASA would like to propose a new space station modual that has X characteristics and they'll give the first team that creates one that fullfills that need for 1 billion dollars and won't pay out a penny for those that don't

      It's called being a smart shopper you do it every day (hopefully) why shouldn't they?

    3. Re:Congress by Slack3r78 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So rewarding open ended contracts, often leading to billions of dollars wasted on dead end projects is being more careful with your money than making companies produce results *BEFORE* they're paid?

      That's an interesting take on this, IMO.

    4. Re:Congress by melted · · Score: 2

      Yeah, right, they've saved you a billion bucks on NASA while at the same time blowing hundreds of billions on Iraq. That's what I call "looking out for my money".

  4. Ahem... by rice_web · · Score: 3, Insightful

    $$$ is expensive, and I don't know if you've noticed, but the federal government isn't exactly bathing in money, what with the largest federal deficit and all.

    --
    The Political Programmer
    1. Re:Ahem... by Brandybuck · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If there were a superpower around that the US could hide behind while pretending it only needs a small army, then of course you would be right. But while the current military budget is way too large, IMHO, a budget of only one billion is absurdly low. Other countries can get away with tiny armies because there's a friendly superpower out there that will protect them if they get invaded. It's called the $400 billion military budget USA! Iraq only got screwed because Hussein was a dick.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    2. Re:Ahem... by shirai · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Money is expensive is not in conflict with the program. In fact, this is the point:
      1. Under the old system, you pay before you get results.
      2. Under a prize system, you only pay if and when you receive results.
      3. Under both systems you still pay but under the latter system, you are guaranteed results. In the cases where results are not generated, the prize system is cheaper.
      4. Since multiple companies may fight for the same prize at the same time, you encourage growth in the aerospace industry, even for those companies that did not win the prize.
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    3. Re:Ahem... by .milfox · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Funny me, but I thought that my cell phone worked because of ground based towers, which are tied into the land line system. Unless someone upgraded me to an iridium phone and didn't tell me.

      And you know something? Satellites arent' the only tool used to predict weather. In fact, it's only one of an assortment, including things such as NOAA weather bouys, automated towers, and even old fashioned observations from ships.

      As far as fusion with Helium isotopes? :P First build me a working reactor that is past the breakeven point, then we'll think about the sources for fueling it, m'kay?

  5. and congress is correct not to allow it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nasa should set standards for the work they want completed, and have it done in a safe manner

    They are trying to cut corners by shifting the RISK of death off their own astronaughts and test pilots to those of outside contractors many of whom in the case of the original X- Prise were working on the super cheap and therefore were much more dangerous than should be tolerated..

    Even the winner who HAD decent backing had a few moments without complete control in EACH of their flights -

    I think folks would have reacted very differently to the winning vehicle had it tumbled back into the atmosphere and burned up killing the pilot.. which was a not unlikely outcome

    Worker saftey and standards are somthing that shouldnt be shoved aside in the quest for scientific advancement on the cheap...

    2 cents

    1. Re:and congress is correct not to allow it... by Coryoth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Worker saftey and standards are somthing that shouldnt be shoved aside in the quest for scientific advancement on the cheap...

      If people are willing to take the risk, why not let them. Certainly when worker safety is being compromised through exploitation it might be worth worrying about, but I fail to believe that the test pilots for SpaceShipOne didn't have every option to decline to fly. They were being paid plenty of money to voluntarily take a risk. If they choose to take the risk let them.

      Jedidiah.

    2. Re:and congress is correct not to allow it... by Iainuki · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're probably a troll. Congratulations. Why does Congress, or you, have the right to determine the risks that others will take for science? Living is dangerous. Even though thousands of humans are killed every year in car accidents, people still drive. Taking on that "ordinary" risk is acceptable, and yet taking on greater risk for the possibility of greater rewards isn't? Are legislators better at determining at determining what risks individuals should take than the individuals themselves? We're not talking about sweatshops where children are locked into virtual slavery: the engineers, pilots, and entrepreneurs who create and run small aerospace corporations are educated, experienced, and capable both of finding less risky positions and making informed decisions about their own safety. Who gave Congress, or you, the authority to make decisions for them?

    3. Re:and congress is correct not to allow it... by danila · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Should it be legal for people to climb mountains, to paraglide, to skate aggressively, to drink alcohol, etc? Should it be legal for them to tinker with high-power engines, dangerous chemicals and sharp knifes in their garages, as long as they don't violate local regulations and don't endanger their neighbours? And if yes, why it should be illegal to start a company that would send a human to Moon in a risky way, as long as they don't violate existing labour safety and other laws and everyone working there understands and accepts the risk?

      There is nothing wrong with people risking their lives as long as they know what they are doing and do it voluntarily.

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    4. Re:and congress is correct not to allow it... by FleaPlus · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I would love to hear from an American astronaut what they think about increased risk.

      From here:

      Cunningham [an astronaut on Apollo 7] departed from most current critics of NASA in criticizing the agency for becoming too risk-averse -- like our society, he opined. NASA is more afraid of failures than it's interested in attaining success in its missions. Abandonment of Hubble servicing was given as an example, and he criticized NASA's rationale for taking this action because of "higher risks" in placing a crew in the Hubble orbit by noting that NASA has put crews in that or similar orbits on no fewer than 90 prior occasions.

      When astronauts place themselves in harm's way to accomplish such a mission, they do so with foreknowledge and willingly accept the risk, he said. Cunningham termed abandonment of the Hubble particularly galling because of its popularity with the public. He observed that since we reached the Moon, only two things that NASA has done have stirred public imagination: the Hubble and the Mars rovers.

  6. Re:Did anyone else think of... by StaticShock · · Score: 2, Insightful

    well, of course not, because it's "One Million Dollars" --Dr. Evil.

  7. Of course Congress won't let them... by Anita+Coney · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Congress doesn't care if a contractor gets actual results. All they care about is milking the various contractors for re-election contributions. Those who give the most get the contracts. That is so obvious that even a rocket-scientist should be able to figure it out.

    --
    If someone says he and his monkey have nothing to hide, they almost certainly do.
  8. I'd like to have seen that proposal by BitwizeGHC · · Score: 5, Funny

    Head of NASA: Mr. Senator, in light of the recent (airquotes) "X-Prize" I'd like for NASA to receive funding to sponsor contract prizes of its own, in amounts up to..... (pinky to corner of mouth) ONE BILLION DOLLARS.

    --
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  9. Why They Meed Difficulty in Congress by Space_Soldier · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The article states the problem NASA is facing: "Under the agency's old way of doing business, officials decided what they wanted built, asked private companies to bid on building it, then awarded a contract to the lower acceptable bidder - who often was located in an important Congressional district." I hope that there is still an honest man in Congress that would push for them to pass a bill to allow NASA to do this.

  10. First Order of Business: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    NASA needs to create a $10 million X-Prize going to the congressman that can secure them the most funding.

  11. Man hours by kaleco · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The prizes model seems to be very labour intesive since it involves many autonomous groups working towards the same goal. If they are all working on the same thing, but not cooperating, then they are all working to overcome the same problems and only one group will get paid for it (the prize money).

    This seems to me like potentially a very wasteful way of accomplishing a goal since many people will contribute a lot of work and never see any money for it.

    To overcome this, perhaps NASA could consider breaking the prize money down to make sure that the most efficient way gets acknowleged as well as the quickest way.

    --
    Prosperity is only an instrument to be used, not a deity to be worshipped. Calvin Coolidge
  12. NASA's doing that? Me too! by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 3, Funny

    They are hoping to have prizes worth as much as one billion dollars. The only hitch? Congress won't let them.

    I'm hoping to blow a billion dollars on stuff too. The only hitch? My bank manager won't let me.

    --

    "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
  13. Points to Ponder by amigoro · · Score: 2, Interesting
    N.B. Everything in italics is from TFA. 1. Despite all the buzz about X-Prize, the X-prize was only for sub-orbital flights. No private entrepreneur has come up with a privately funded spacecraft that can do a full orbit around the earth.
    2. The NASA contract awarding process is flawed as is. There's rampant corruption and favouritism. These factors directly contributed to the Challenge disaster, as the Faynmen report outlined. The Super X-Prize is not going to solve that.
    3. Winners will be determined by actual achievements, not proposals, So they need money to build it in the first place. But prize competitors will have to produce some results first before NASA will fork out any cash. So unless you have a co-founder of M$ backing you to the hilt, you ain't gonna reach orbital velocity buddy!


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    1. Re:Points to Ponder by Coryoth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So you are objecting to the principle of NASA paying for actually getting results instead of drawing up attractive proposals? Yes people will need backing to be able to produce results to claim the prize, but there is a big payoff if it works: the prize money. The benefit for NASA is they get to pay for proven results. Considering the amount of money they've spent on the past on "proposals" (for instance they spent over a hundred million on reusable suborbital craft that never made it off the drawing board) paying for results instead seems like a pretty good idea.

      The real reason Congress is objecting is because there's no control over to whom the money gets awarded, so they can't trade pork for getting it done in their congressional district.

      Jedidiah.

  14. A billion dollars is chump change by tjstork · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Would you rather have NASA get another 5 billion a year or the FAA spend the same on a computer upgrade that doesn't work. Come to think of it, which would rather have: NASA, or another aircraft carrier battle group.

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    1. Re:A billion dollars is chump change by Aussie · · Score: 2, Funny

      What, me personally ? I would prefer the aircraft carrier battle group :).

  15. Don't make it a prize then by dj245 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    According to the article it seems the only reason they can't do it is because they can't award prizes larger than a quarter million dollars. So instead they should make it a contract, open to any "contracter" with the expectation that the design has a working scale model that has already completed full-scale "testing".

    Nasa usually does their own testing on most of their stuff.

    --
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  16. A Kings Ransom? by thogard · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It turns out that big rewards to solve real problems does seem to work and I think the US Gov't should go way out with the rewards for the hard problems.

    For example give a billion dollars to the person(s) and not the company the comes up with a cure for aids. If someone does win the prize, then look at the cost savings over the long run. In the case of aids, a billion dollar one off payment is cheap.

  17. well by utopianfiat · · Score: 2, Informative

    the real issue here is the budget being much tighter than anyone can imagine. I mean 1 billion didn't sound like so much back when we had the surplus. Now, according to this site, we're losing more than $1 billion per day. http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/

    --
    +5, Truth
  18. I'm so there, dude! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Is there, like, a trillion-dollar prize for building the first Dyson sphere?

  19. Of course Congress won't let NASA do this... by PainBreak · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Big Corporation won't like it, because it'll take money out of their pocket, and the congressmen have to look out for corporations. For the people, my ass. It's all about who's putting food on the other's table, and if you think congressmen aren't in Lockheed and others' pocketbooks, well, have I got a tin foil hat with your name on it.

  20. More Centennial Challenge info by MagPulse · · Score: 2, Informative
    Here's a story with an interesting quote about NASA's hopes for senate approval:
    "There is some interest in maybe trying to pass something, either as a stand-alone bill or some other vehicle, during the lame-duck session," Sponberg said during an industry day in Washington Nov. 15. "Even if that doesn't happen, I would anticipate that when the new Congress comes in early next year, we [will] probably move out pretty quickly to try to get that authorization for those larger prizes."

    Here's the video for the Centennial Challenge presentation and the PDF slides.

  21. There's a reason for that by lifebouy · · Score: 3, Informative

    Beyond any real reasons why Congress won't let them, there is the fact that there are polititions who have made their name by actively combatting anything that furthers space exploration. Or, at least, used such lunacy (no pun intended) to help them advance.

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  22. no way by sumdumass · · Score: 2, Insightful

    NASA should not do anyhting of the sort here. For one, who is to say they won't overpay for something? I mean even if they offered a prize somewere more reasonable like around 10 million dollars, what if the first company to "make it work" could do it for 3 million. That means nasa has just waisted 7 million dollars that could have went to another project.

    Also, if the prize isn't large enough, some of the major players capable of making things happen might stay away form competing because of not having enough money to compete or because the return on investment is too low.

    Now ask yourself, If you was the CEO of a large publicaly traded company, how many times would your investor/board of directors let you compete in good faith When after spending X amount of money to acomplish goals X and Z, your bigest competitor beats you to the punch and your out X amount of dollars and little hope of recycleing the research that went into it.

    The X-prize worked for what it was intended for because that was the sum of money to make it attractive for other buisinesses to get into the market and that money wasn't competing with any other projects. (IE.. There wasn't any other projects needing the money like an international space station of a space shuttle overhaul to make it safer.) Also the money for the Xprize was colected by donation were people gladly risked thier money with little chance of return outside a market being developed. With NASA the moneys are colected from taxes and sometimes comercial missions, you need to justify what is being spent if you expect to get it and you have to qualify/spend the budget in order to get it again the next year.

    Eventualy this will echo with claims of a $200 toilet seat or a $1200 step ladder and every new congressman trying to get re-elected will jump on the waist in an attemp to "clean up washington" so they can get re-elected. I don't think we want NASA to become a political venture so congressmen make a name for themselves. NOBODY really likes paying taxes and would soon see this as a reason to cut NASA's funding. They would have a fit when some bitter company that was competing started telling the newspapers they could build a simular product for millions less in an effort to get congress to award them a contract.

    If NASA way of doing buisiness nedds reform, this is definatly not the way to do it. And anyone that thinks this is a way for the little guy to get thier foot into the door should reconsider the situation. IT favors the large guy with tons of money and a research base alrwady in existance form ealier contracts.

    1. Re:no way by Headw1nd · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Ok, I can't imagine that you know much about the way gov't contracts are run.
      For one, who is to say they won't overpay for something? I mean even if they offered a prize somewere more reasonable like around 10 million dollars, what if the first company to "make it work" could do it for 3 million. That means nasa has just waisted 7 million dollars that could have went to another project

      So let's say the idea is 10 mil to get a man into orbit. OK, so they do it for 3 million. So they find a more cost effective way of doing things, which can be used in future spaceflight technology, and leads to greater savings in the long run.

      But far more important that that, there's no way for the project like this to go overbuget. Look at the history of the shuttle, and you'll see a project that far exceeded it's initial cost estimate. Once you've sunk a few billion, though, it's a hard to back out and lose everything to save a billion or two. Especially when you've made promises to everyone and their mother to get the funding in the first place. This is what really saves you money.

      As for the idea that companies wouldn't take the financial risks if uncertain of a reward, it's demonstrably untrue. This happens in the world of defense contracts all the time. Most large defense contractors, especially in areospace, have lost large sums of money developing prototypes, in failed bids to secure larger contracts.

      As a final note, there are already congressmen who have made careers out of attacking NASA's budget. They point to the billions invested in space flight, and the lack of any visible progress. I can't imagine a program that guarantees results would make that any easier.

    2. Re:no way by gilroy · · Score: 4, Informative
      Wow. I've been reading slashdot for a long time now but rarely have I seen a poster get it so entirely wrong.

      For one, who is to say they won't overpay for something?
      OK, we'll leave aside the economic tautology that the proper price of something is what someone's willing to pay for it. Let's just look at this important fact: Until the project produces, no money changes hands. This contrasts with the current system, when NASA makes a wishlist, a corporation purports to fulfill it, and then everyone walks away with the cash whether or not the project actually comes to fruition. At least in the new model, no money is "wasted" until there is an actual product.

      But wait. What if NASA says "Space Probe Frobozz is worth $10M to us" but company X can build space probe Frobozz for only $3M? Aren't we "wasting" $7M? No. NASA paid what it thought was reasonable. Company X made $7M -- which is a good incentive to get into the business. If you only pay companies for the cost of materials, they're not gonna line up to service your mission. The idea here is to tap the very powerful profit motive (perhaps you've heard of it?) so eminently a part of the American experience.

      Also, if the prize isn't large enough, some of the major players capable of making things happen might stay away form competing because of not having enough money to compete or because the return on investment is too low.

      Let's leave aside that this completely subverts your first argument. Are you saying that "major players" will be scared away by a return on investment that is too low, so we should pad it? Obviously, companies will want to make a healthy profit; if NASA sets the prize too low for space probe Frobozz, then no one will step up to make it. The solution of course would be to then raise the prize money. At some point, one of two things will happen: (a) The prize gets high enough to entice companies to compete for it or (b) The price gets high enough to exceed NASA's estimate of the value of space probe Frobozz, so the contest never yields Frobozz. Either of these are valid and proper economic outcomes. You want Frobozz so bad? Cough up for it.

      Now ask yourself, If you was [sic] the CEO of a large publicaly traded company, how many times would your investor/board of directors let you compete in good faith[?]

      Well, if I were the CEO of a large publicly-traded company, I would hope I understand basic economics, including the fact that risk underlies all economic activity. I'd know that competing in good faith is about all my company does, every day, and is something to be neither feared nor ashamed of.

      When after spending X amount of money to acomplish goals X and Z, your bigest competitor beats you to the punch and your out X amount of dollars and little hope of recycleing the research that went into it.

      Again, that's how it goes, except of course it hardly ever goes that way. Your biggest competitor seems to have stolen a march on you, but then, that means you're not economically viable. But most likely the research you've done will be "recyclable", because you've learned a lot about whatever was being pursued. Ah, competition continues, to the good of the American public. If the odds were high that your competitor would beat you, you'd probably not invest the effort. But it's that element of risk that makes the market work.

      The X-prize worked for what it was intended for because that was the sum of money to make it attractive for other buisinesses to get into the market and that money wasn't competing with any other projects.

      I suggest that you take an economics class and learn the concept of "opportunity cost". There is never a time when money spent on one thing has no other

  23. Re:Congress? by tarunthegreat2 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ahh Congress-Shmongress. All they gotta do is order a toilet for $50 and then start claiming a few cost overruns here and there. That should do the trick!

  24. Re:This won't work by ceejayoz · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It's too much of a risk. $10 million for X-Prize is fine because that's doable for a corporation, but $100 million - $1 billion + is just way too far out there.

    Microsoft is sitting on $40 billion in cash. I'm sure there are a number of companies with visionaries at the helm who'd love to throw cash at the problem - Richard Bransom of Virgin, for example.

  25. Might work for some projects, not all. by skoda · · Score: 2, Informative

    The concept is interesting. And it could work for some projects -- most of the possible projects have a high "sex" appeal. Others, particulary the smaller ones, could be done as part of graduate studies and thesis work.

    However, this is not a panacea. Not all projects can be done successfully with this build and NASA might pay concept.

    Consider the next-generation space telescope, JWST. Design work began several years ago. With a plan selected and funding secured from the federal government, the bid process was begun. During the proposal phase, NASA-funded study projects were conducted by several competitors, to determine who would fabricate the primary mirrors -- these are next-generation products.

    Three major teams made proposals. The winning propsal is for about $700M. It is sponsored by NASA Goddard. The winning team is composed of TRW, part of Northrop Grumman, as prime and Kodak C&GS, now ITT SSD, and Ball Aerospace. Various subcontractors are involved, including Tinsley, Axsys, and 4D Technologies. It is about a six year project requiring facilities unique to all these companies. The telescope will be assembled at a Government owned facility, with preliminary proof-of-concept testing taking place at Goddard.

    Finally, if any of these companies causes the project to fail -- another Hubble -- they will see their NASA business evaporate and their reputation in the community will be damaged, if not destroyed.

    There is no way a project of this scope, risk, and complexity, and cost could be done independently, with payment only a hope.

  26. Isnt this how the JSF worked? by doormat · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If the documentary i saw on the discovery channel is to believed, Boeing and Lockeed-Martin built fighters, and then the army, navy, etc, picked the best performing unit (it ending up being the Lockeed-Martin one). If the army can do it, why cant NASA?

    --
    The Doormat

    If you're not outraged, then you're not paying attention.
  27. no, a control move by SuperBanana · · Score: 3, Insightful
    They are trying to cut corners by shifting the RISK of death off their own astronaughts and test pilots to those of outside contractors many of whom in the case of the original X- Prise were working on the super cheap and therefore were much more dangerous than should be tolerated

    Not quite. NASA is trying desperately to remain relevant, as well as retain control over space exploration. The whole space exploration thing has been a wonderful bit of PR for NASA's military research.

    Let's face it- for forty years NASA has told everyone that space flight is risky, only perfect, super-smart people can travel into space, and that there's only one way to do it- the Orbiter. During those forty years they've putzed around space, done lots of experiments, lots of simulations and calculations, quietly helped develop a lot of military technology...and come up with various designs for alternatives to the Orbiter and dismissed all of them, probably because they like the status quo, but also because they've been obsessed with making one vehicle do everything, instead of just accepting that you use cargo rockets for cargo, and people ships for people; NASA is like a Soccer Mom, convinced they need a giant hulking vehicle just to toodle to the supermarket and pick up the dry cleaning.

    NASA is, as far as technical knowledge is concerned, one of the best equipped organizations to develop something like a new space vehicle. But they were not the ones who ultimately succeeded. Scaled Composites showed up with a nice, small, sexy craft that looks very much this-decade. It uses a pair of jet engines and a single main rocket, and the whole thing could probably fit inside the Orbiter bay several times over, but still carries the same # of people, roughly. NASA is embarassed out of their minds.

    Yes, NASA's efforts over the last 40 years have made it possible, but the agency that should have been in the best position, it turns out, was in the worst- and distracted with military projects (do you really think a mach 10+ mini-plane is for peace, love, and understanding? Phbt. It's for delivering tactical nukes very, very quickly from across the globe to better project US military strength).

    It's a very typical power move you see in corporations and the public sector all the time. If the other guy's ideas start to endanger you, suddenly embrace his ideas and position yourself as the ideal candidate to manage that guy.

    1. Re:no, a control move by NCraig · · Score: 2
      Scaled Composites showed up with a nice, small, sexy craft that looks very much this-decade. It uses a pair of jet engines and a single main rocket, and the whole thing could probably fit inside the Orbiter bay several times over, but still carries the same # of people, roughly. NASA is embarassed out of their minds.
      SpaceShipOne is designed to take three people into space so they can look out the windows and be amazed for a few minutes. The shuttle is bigger because it needs to hold a lot more stuff (scientifically speaking). I don't see how you can compare the two.

      If NASA is a soccer mom then SpaceShipOne is a flashy blond with fake tits and nothing happening on the inside.
  28. And we all know that... by frickenhell · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... the opposite of progress is congress.

  29. And if Haliburton won a contest? by Picass0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Damn that congress for getting in the way of awarding an X-Prize!

    --Later---

    Damn that congress! NASA gave another technology contact to Microsoft!

    So what would people say if NASA asked for a new technology and the best entry was from a company with ties to the sitting president? Or a company with a bad reputation, such as SCO?

    A NASA X-Prize could become a magnet very for political charges of contract favoritism. NASA has managed to remain a government agency without the stigma of being partisan to one party. That changes the moment people think NASA is offering sweetheart contracts to companies with friends in high places.

    1. Re:And if Haliburton won a contest? by Coryoth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So what would people say if NASA asked for a new technology and the best entry was from a company with ties to the sitting president? Or a company with a bad reputation, such as SCO?

      As opposed to now, where the contracts get awarded based on proposals, and seem to have a habit of showing up in appropriate congressional districts? There's plenty enough pork now, I don't see how this will make it worse.

      The money goes to whoever comes up with a working prototype first, so I don't see how claims of favouritism can come into it. If Microsoft or SCO manage to be the first to build a cheap reusable orbital vehicle, I won't be crying over it, I'll be cheering.

      Claims of favouritism and pork come from contracts going to companies that fail to deliver (like, say EDS over in England). The fundamental basis of these prizes is that you have to deliver the results before you get the money. If someone proves that they can do the job, do it well, and do it first, I don't see any problem with awarding them the cash for doing so. You'd have to be deluded to claim favouritism in that case.

      Jedidiah.

  30. Re:That didn't work, so create a fake market by Anubis350 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    what costs, NASA is one of the least funded us agencies. Every time more money is needed for something else their budget is slashed becuase they are the least politically valuable to congress. This is just another example of such a move. Just goes to show, politics and science dont mix well together

    --
    "goodbye and hello, as always" ~Prince Corwin, from Zelazny's Amber series
  31. Re:This won't work by SwornPacifist · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually, Jon Stewart asked him a question similar to this when he interviewed the billionaire on The Daily Show. He asked him if he'd be willing to put up money in an X-prize style competition to replace the internal-combustion engine, and Branson asked the audience and Jon Stewart if they'd be willing to contribute -- so Branson basically said no.

  32. Re:One Caveat: China by Gentlewhisper · · Score: 2, Informative

    The Chinese are realists and believe in the superiority of the Han people. If given the chance, they WILL dominate the planet. They are no better than the NAZI's.

    The Nazis are Germans who are in turn Europeans.

    Where the hell do you reckon the first Amerikans come from? It's all the same people.. all the same!

  33. Re:Bad thing? by Mycroft_VIII · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sub contracting helps in this though. The big companies often sub-contract out parts of the whole to little companies, especially niche players.
    Sub contracting even aplies amoung the big companies. Once when Lockheed looked like it was going to loose a contract bid for some project or rather in the late 80's or early 90's my dad asked my uncle (who works for LM on some military project as a design engineer) if he was worried about it. He basically said "no I'll still get to work on it, it doesn't matter as much which of us (big areospace companies) gets it, the other two will still get alot of the work as subcontractors, just won't get the biggest piece of the pie". Though in quotes it's not an exact quote, just a paraphrase.
    And that's pretty much what I expect would happen here, the big companies get the lions share, and the smaller companies get a healthy load of work as subcontractors.

    Mycroft

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