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Can Microsoft Beat Google?

An anonymous reader writes "With all the hype surrounding the recent release of MSN Search, are the search engine wars heating up? There's an interesting article that states, "As the veteran Microsoft enters the already flooded search engine industry, and Google still being fresh and refreshing to most people, it begs the question: can the old supplant the new?""

103 of 603 comments (clear)

  1. Of course by blakestah · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It will be just like how Microsoft beat AOL at the ISP game.

    And just like Microsoft beat Sony in the game box market.

    1. Re:Of course by gilesjuk · · Score: 3, Insightful

      How has Microsoft beat Sony?

      Microsoft has only released one console. Sony has released the original PSX, the PS2, the PSone and soon the PSP.

      Therefore I would say Microsoft released one console that did fairy well, but you have to wait until you see the XBox 2 and other developments before you judge success. The fact that Nintendo are weakened shows that success is determined by longevity not the success of any one given product.

    2. Re:Of course by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      "Dude, are you being sarcastic?"
      "I don't even know any more!"

    3. Re:Of course by quanticle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Which is why Google has to start pushing Linux and other OSS software like Firefox. As long as Microsoft controls the gates leading to Google, Microsoft can at least threaten Google. But if Google releases its own OS (possibly a modified version of Linux), then it can simultaneously improve its integration onto the desktop and thumb its nose at M$.

      Of course, its no small undertaking to create your own distro of Linux...

      --
      We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    4. Re:Of course by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not quite the same. People have to make the choice to by an X-Box. People have to make the choice to register with MSN. When they buy a computer, Windows will be preinstalled with IE as the default browser and MSN search as the default search engine, tied into their basic search on the computer. They won't need to make a choice. They will use MSN search because: "is there any other way to search?"

    5. Re:Of course by flyingsquid · · Score: 2, Funny
      It kinda loses a little impact when you gotta explain the sarcasm.

      Oh, no, it really doesn't lose any impact at allwhen you have to explain the sarcasm.

      [OK, you see, I actually mean "it does lose impact" but, instead I say "it doesn't lose impact" and the contradiction between what I actually say and what I mean is sarcasm. Oh, never mind...]

    6. Re:Of course by flyingsquid · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Breaking even is not a success. If you invest 500 million into something (arbitrary figure) and get 500 million back over the lifetime of the product, it was a bad investment.

      Depends. If you crush the life out of your competition such that in the future you'll be able to get their market and prevent them from moving into yours, then it was a good investment. Giving away IE to suck the life out of Netscape, for instance.

    7. Re:Of course by Tenebrious1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Breaking even is not a success. If you invest 500 million into something (arbitrary figure) and get 500 million back over the lifetime of the product, it was a bad investment.

      It depends entirely on how you define "success". The Hubble telescope cost billions of dollars to build and maintain. It has given us back a big fat zero dollars in return. So is it a failure? Financially, yes, you could say it's a failure. However, you cannot put a figure on the data the Hubble has sent back to scientists. The knowledge gained is incalculable, and to many it's worth every penny and more, it has been the greatest success in the history of NASA. To those who just look at numbers, it's a flying heap of scrap and and a financial black hole.

      MS has broken even selling Xbox hardware. That in itself may not be a financial success. If you add in the revenue from each game they sell, licensing fees, then yes, it does become a financial success. If you consider other factors like the fact they forced their way into a highly competative market controlled by Sony and Nintendo and are holding their own, then yes, it is a huge success. Success is not always defined by revenue alone.

      --
      -- If god wanted me to have a sig, he'd have given me a sense of humor.
    8. Re:Of course by Pieroxy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While this might very well be true, I find that MSN Search (as well as MSN search) have much more pages indexed than Google. For a very specific search, where google would return a handful of results, Yahoo and MSN always display much more res, and they are relevant.

      What's going on at google?

    9. Re:Of course by Ucklak · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I was under the impression that the Xbox isn't doing that well. I know that they are only popular in the States whereas Nintendo and Sony are popular worldwide

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    10. Re:Of course by AstroDrabb · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Huh? Do you know how many billions of pages Google indexes vs how many MSN indexes? Here are the results of some searches you can try for your self.
      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 225,000,000 for Linux
      MSN: 1-7 of 98,551,576 containing Linux

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 289,000,000 for Windows
      MSN: 1-9 of 151,361,156 containing windows

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 7,770,000 for britney spears
      MSN: 1-9 of 5,434,239 containing britney spears

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 87,100,000 for Bush
      MSN: 1-10 of 39,266,547 containing Bush

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 10,900,000 for C#
      MSN: 1-9 of 2,319,704 containing C#

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 68,400,000 for Iraq
      MSN: 1-10 of 27,547,517 containing Iraq

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 1,860,000 for Toa
      MSN: 1-9 of 1,262,374 containing Toa

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 10,100,000 for abortion
      MSN: 1-10 of 6,810,987 containing abortion

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 225,000,000 for war
      MSN: 1-10 of 130,275,677 containing war

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 59,700 for CreateWindow
      MSN: 1-10 of 42,091 containing CreateWindow

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 17,900,000 for San Hill
      MSN: 1-10 of 6,227,729 containing San Hill

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 15,500,000 for SQL Server
      MSN: 1-10 of 13,248,838 containing SQL Server

      Goog: Results 1 - 10 of about 14,600 for windows 98 Registry ACLs
      MSN: 1-10 of 10,724 containing windows 98 Registry ACLs

      Goog: Searching 8,058,044,651 web pages (that is BILLONS of web pages!)
      MSN: Searching ??? web pages
      So Google clearly beats MSN in every search by a long-shot and Google clearly has indexed far more pages than MSN. So do you work for MS or did they pay you to post your FUD on /.?

      Can you please post a search string to back up your FUD?

      --
      If Tyranny and Oppression come to this land,
      it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy. -James Madison
  2. Marketing is the problem by chris09876 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have a friend who works on the MSN Search team as an intern. He said their marketing budget is massive. The article says that MS invested hundreds of millions of dollars, but I'm guessing most of that is for marketing - NOT the research and development that is needed to come up with a truly innovative search technology. If MS wants to win, they should focus on having a quality product, and not worry so much about promoting it. If they really do make something better, people will use it.

    1. Re:Marketing is the problem by dtfinch · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If MS wants to win, they should focus on having a quality product, and not worry so much about promoting it.

      They didn't become the world's biggest software company by simply having the best quality product.

    2. Re:Marketing is the problem by Illserve · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm no great fan of Windows, I use it because I have to.

      But don't tar the entire MS line with the same brush. If MS Office is such shit, why is Open Office practically a feature by feature clone of it? (I'm sure I'll get roasted for that one but from what I've seen of it...)

      Face it, MS Office for all the times it makes you want to jump out a window because Excel chart font sizes are determined by a random number generator when you shift the window size, is a very solid suite. The ability to double click on a chart in a power point presentation, open up the underlying excel spreadsheet and fix problems, or just create a new chart, is absolutely fantastic.

      Even some academic journals are now allowing .doc submissions as an alternative to latex or pdf.

      Although really, of the big trio: Excel, Word and Powerpoint, Word is clearly the worst of them, and by a big margin.

      Again I'm not saying they don't have their quirks, but the office suite has certainly revolutionized (to a minor extent) the way many people do publishing and presentations.

      Irony: As I type this message praising MS software, the delete key has stopped working in this IE window.

    3. Re:Marketing is the problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      because the features are good.
      the implementation is SHIT.

      that is why.
      if MS did a good job at implementing half the crap they added, it wouldbe a good product.

      since they do a horrible job at most implementations, their product sucks.

      concept and implementation are two very different things.

    4. Re:Marketing is the problem by ssj_195 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      But don't tar the entire MS line with the same brush. If MS Office is such shit, why is Open Office practically a feature by feature clone of it? (I'm sure I'll get roasted for that one but from what I've seen of it...)
      1. OpenOffice developers may want to attract some users for the product it is developing.
      2. Said users will almost definitely have been exposed to MS Office.
      3. If said users view OpenOffice as having few of the features of MS Office, they are unlikely to switch - especially as changing from a familiar piece of software to an unfamiliar one is already a frightening prospect for many people.

      The same thing happens with Linux and its Desktop environments; if I suggest that someone checks out Linux, I am instantly hit with a litany of "Will it open Word docs? Can I do this [feature that Windows has?] Can I do that [other feature that Windows has?]". The result tends to be that this this and that is eventually included into Linux, regardless of its merit as a feature. An alternative to any Microsoft product has a huge disadvantage - it has to be able to do everything the MS product can do, plus more. This is at least part of the reason why MS is so oft-copied, in my opinion. Plus, admittedly, MS often beats people to the punch of coming up with the best way of doing something.
    5. Re:Marketing is the problem by AmberBlackCat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think it's important to note that Wordperfect was way more popular than Microsoft Office. Then they started making deals that caused Microsoft Office to be included with every computer sold at every major distributor. Being good had nothing to do with the popularity of Microsoft Office. Now some of the distributors give you a choice between Wordperfect and Microsoft Office but that's only after everyone's become dependent on Microsoft Office.

    6. Re:Marketing is the problem by Luthair · · Score: 2, Informative

      He could be posting from work where IE can be the only option approved for us.

  3. According to Googlefight ..... by Alranor · · Score: 3, Funny

    google
    (156 000 000 results)

    versus

    microsoft
    (188 000 000 results)

    The winner is: microsoft

    Damn! I guess they can...

    1. Re:According to Googlefight ..... by Chess_the_cat · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's apparent you have no idea what Googlefight is.

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      Support the First Amendment. Read at -1
  4. Too Late by TedCheshireAcad · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's too late. Google is already a verb.

    People will never say, "don't ask me, Microsoft it."

    1. Re:Too Late by Oscaro · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Words come and go. A few years ago everybody would have said "don't ask me, check on Yahoo". Then it was "check on Altavista". Then "google for it". Do someone really think this will last forever?

    2. Re:Too Late by UnknowingFool · · Score: 3, Funny
      People will never say, "don't ask me, Microsoft it."

      You may be right. Since most geeks are guys, they'll never use the terms "micro" and "soft" and "it" in the same sentence. Too much ego.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    3. Re:Too Late by Antonymous+Flower · · Score: 5, Funny

      Microsoft v. - to acquire with monopolistic intent SYNONYM: assimilate

    4. Re:Too Late by Chess_the_cat · · Score: 4, Informative
      Maybe not but I have heard MSN used as a verb in the context of instant messaging. "MSN me later." And since the name of the search engine is MSN Search I can definitely see people say MSN it. Conversely, I can see people use the word "google" to mean any type of online search which is precisely why Google fought to keep out of the dictionary. They saw that brands like Kleenex, Escalator, and Hoover became generic and have lost a lot of meaning. In fact, Escalator had to be given up by Otis Elevator because a judge ruled that it had entered the popular language and could no longer be protected as a trademark. So I can see 5 years from now people saying "google it" but heading to MSN Search or whatnot.

      Here's a great article about how worried Google is about their brand becoming a generic term.

      --
      Support the First Amendment. Read at -1
    5. Re:Too Late by That's+Unpossible! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Words come and go. A few years ago everybody would have said "don't ask me, check on Yahoo". Then it was "check on Altavista". Then "google for it". Do someone really think this will last forever?

      Hey buddy, shut your heretical mouth and pass me a kleenex.

      --
      Ironically, the word ironically is often used incorrectly.
    6. Re:Too Late by generic-man · · Score: 2

      "Google" as a verb is in the same lexicon as "metrosexual," "blog," "red state," etc. It's trendy.

      In five years when we're all using a different search engine, "Google It" will sound just as timely as "your on-ramp to the information superhighway."

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    7. Re:Too Late by ad0gg · · Score: 4, Informative

      Umm... 3 years ago google was responsible for 70% of all searches on the internet. Last stat I saw, they are now at 47% and that was before the launch of Microsofts new search engine. Inktomi(yahoo) was been rising and now makes up 27% of all searches.

      --

      Have you ever been to a turkish prison?

  5. It might if you keep advertizing it ever y day by Arcturax · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Seriously, I think 90% of the hype has been here on /.

    As for overtaking, I don't think it will. They just aren't adding enough new value to make it worth breaking a 5 year long habit of typing google.com

    --

    --Won't that be grand? Computers and the programs will start thinking and the people will stop. - Dr. Walter Gibbs
    1. Re:It might if you keep advertizing it ever y day by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 4, Insightful
      They just aren't adding enough new value to make it worth breaking a 5 year long habit of typing google.com
      That's the key point, I think. I just read about a study that showed most people are loyal to their current search engine to an almost unreasonable degree. Bear in mind that 'most people' does not mean technofreaks like the regular Slashdot reader, but just your average computer user. And even I (technofreak) took a long long time to switch from Altavista to Google, even when Google's advantages became apparent.

      Microsofts engine will have to be phenominally good in order to get people to switch. Google (and Altavista in an earlier stage) could beat the competition by having a really simple and quick-loading interface, along with a good, attractive format to display results in. They could have beaten the competition even if their search results were on par with competing systems (they were better). It will be quite hard to beat Google on either the user experience or search engine.

      Here's one of those nice little features of Google: try searching for "5 cc to cubic inches". Google gives you the answer right away... and it also works for converting, say, furlongs to lightyears.
      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    2. Re:It might if you keep advertizing it ever y day by Bert64 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They dont need to, many users will just use whatever is the default on the os/browser that came by default.. MS has never competed by adding value when it's easier to do so by harassing users until they capitulate.

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  6. Drawing Parallels by American+AC+in+Paris · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Before we get too much into the IE vs. Netscape comparisons here, I want to point out one of the major differences between the Browser War and whatever Search Engine War may or may not be brewing:

    IE didn't win the browser war as much as Netscape lost the browser war.

    Simply put, Netscape sat on their laurels and watched as Microsoft yanked the rug out from under them. Yes, there was underhandedness involved, but at root, Netscape shoulders most of the blame for having lost the browser war.

    Thus far, I don't see any indication that Google is going to repeat Netscape's mistakes. Google continues to run a service that is fast, reliable, and modern. They're aggressively broadening their service base, they've attained the pinnacle of name recognition, and they're not showing any signs of letting up.

    Whatever comes, this will not be a simple rehash of Netscape vs. IE.

    --

    Obliteracy: Words with explosions

    1. Re:Drawing Parallels by will_die · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The better comparision would be DEC's Altavista fight againt Google.
      People forget that back in the mid to late 90s that Altavista was the google of the time.
      If ms can do something in the search arena then google people will drift over.

    2. Re:Drawing Parallels by Mr_Silver · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Simply put, Netscape sat on their laurels and watched as Microsoft yanked the rug out from under them. Yes, there was underhandedness involved, but at root, Netscape shoulders most of the blame for having lost the browser war.

      Exactly. Let us not forget that a very large number of geeks actually moved from Netscape to IE not because it came bundled but because IE 3 (or 4, I can't remember) was actually better than Netscape 4.

      I moved from IE to Firefox for the same reason.

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    3. Re:Drawing Parallels by Everleet · · Score: 2, Funny
      The user interface for search is a text box with a submit button. Google did not invent it, and Google cannot lay claim to having "innovated it."

      Aha! But Google has two submit buttons!

      --
      It's tragic. Laugh.
  7. Microsoft's big problem by deanj · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Microsoft's in an interesting position. They can't really take advantage of their OS they way they did to wipe out Netscape.

    I wouldn't be surprised to see a web search added to the regular Windows search. Yes, I know they have a beta of desktop search too. I just don't think they'll be able to effectively pull it off.

  8. I'll probably still use google. by kevinx · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I like google because I don't like to be bombarded with crap until after I push the search button.

    1. Re:I'll probably still use google. by ggvaidya · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Think about this. Google has to bombard you with ads, because that's its business.

      Microsoft can wave a magic wand and make its search engine completely advertising free. Only one of the many advantages of being the biggest - and richest - players in the house.

      Remember MS's core technique: embrace and extend. Once Microsoft search can do everything Google can do, it's going to start doing even more. And that's when Google is going to be in hot water.

  9. Re:Well by JamesD_UK · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The power and information google has and will continue to imporve upon is scary.

    Surely whoever beats Google is likely to have more power and information (or gain it later) than Google themselves? That would really solve your problem.

  10. Evolution... by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Evolution calls for competing protagonists to adapt, to evolve, to change their characteristics to suit either the changing environment or their competition.

    Google has a head-start, and are presently unencumbered by the bonehead marketers that have ensured that Microsoft produces such sloppy software.

    In order to out-take Google, Microsoft would have to adopt it's strictly logical, scientific modus operandi.

  11. uh .. by savuporo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Google frontpage: ~4KB HTML
    MSN frontpage: umbteen kilobytes of clutter, flash, and totally irrelevant BS.

    guess which one im gonna pull up for a simple web search.

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    1. Re:uh .. by gUmbi · · Score: 2, Informative


      MSN frontpage: umbteen kilobytes of clutter, flash, and totally irrelevant BS.


      The Microsoft Search engine is not actually pretty clean - it's not the same as the MSN home page: http://search.msn.com/

    2. Re:uh .. by SenFo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Uhm... are you using msn.com or search.msn.com?

      Google and search.msn are pretty much the same size. But you make a good point, most people are as stupid as you, and will go to msn.com instead of the proper page.
      I too was unaware that search.msn.com even existed. But google.com is so much easier to type.

      Second, I think your choice of the word "stupid" was quite abusive. A much better word would be "uninformed".

    3. Re:uh .. by Jugalator · · Score: 3, Informative

      guess which one im gonna pull up for a simple web search.

      Well, doh, their web search engine page maybe?

      google.com (in my locale)

      Size of main page: 1237 bytes
      Size of inline elements: 12748 bytes

      search.msn.com

      Size of main page: 1368 bytes
      Size of inline elements: 29201 bytes

      --
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  12. A lot of people forget by adzoox · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Microsoft dominating Apple in the operating system market wasn't really a David and Goliath Battle.

    Apple was essentially the Google of the early 80's to late 80's.

    Google overcame many GREAT & Powerful names - the main being Yahoo and Lycos to come out on top.

    Apple overcame Compaq/HP/IBM (for a while) and was at the 50% of all computers sold for a certain period of time and far greater % in education.

    Microsoft has the muscle now and has always had the brute force or dominating power to overcome anyone they set their minds on.

    That said, I think Google has the name - MSN Search just doesn't roll off the tongue.

    --
    Yell & scream & rant & rave... it's no use... you need a shaaaave ~ Bugs Bunny
  13. it begs the question by Threni · · Score: 4, Funny

    No, it raises the question.

    1. Re:it begs the question by Loco3KGT · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Might as well give up. It absolutely amazes me that the guys behind this site and ArsTechnica and countless other sites, where college degrees are everywhere (hell, Ars has people getting their Doctorates).. and they still have no fucking clue what "begs the question" really means.

      --
      Blessed be he who reads this post, Cursed be he who tells my boss.
  14. Who Will Win. by jetkust · · Score: 2

    There is a lot of room for improvement in today's search engines. Whoever helps people find the stuff they are looking for best, people will use them. That is how google won in the first place. I'm thinking the next step will be more along the lines of artificial intelligence moreso than pure number crunching.

  15. Google is now a verb meaning "to search" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    search.msn.com is not a verb.
    Put that in your pipe and Swiff(tm) it.

  16. Hardly by M3rk1n_Muffl3y · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Google is attracting the talent M$ can only dream of. Somehow I doubt that they will manage to find any hardcore search geeks to develop new search apps for them. As far as search goes M$ are n00bs not the veterans and they won't be catching up. Their so called "new" search produces less relavant results than Yahoo and on top of that they are very vulnerable to manupulation by SEOs.

    nice try, but no cigar.

    --
    This is not the sig you are looking for...
    1. Re:Hardly by Iphtashu+Fitz · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Microsoft has always managed to get the highly talented people that they want. 20 years ago when I was fresh out of college I worked at a company in the Boston area that had a highly talented engineer working for them. Microsoft decided they wanted this guy. He turned down all sorts of offers for huge amounts of money, mainly because he & his wife were both from the New England area, they had young kids, and the kids grandparents were all in the New England area.

      Microsoft wouldn't take 'no' for an answer. They kept offering him more and more money. When they realized why he kept saying no then they sweetened the offer with a number of first class airplane tickets EACH YEAR for a number of years so that his entire family could come back to Boston to visit family multiple times each year. They also tossed in a pretty nice sailboat as a signing bonus since he was also an avid sailor. He finally broke down & said yes. From what I understand he was one of the key architects for Excel and/or some of the other Office products.

    2. Re:Hardly by clamatius · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are incorrect. For example, a friend of mine (and an ex-boss), very smart guy and pretty well respected in the search community is already working for them.

      Microsoft's usual product pattern is (IMHO):

      1.0: Pretty useless and not in the same class as the market leader.
      2.0: Not as good as the market leader but you could use it in a pinch.
      3.0: About as good as the market leader.
      4.0: Market leader fell down stairs or something and mysteriously MS is ahead now.

      I would say that MSN search is up to about 2.0 right now.

  17. Why I dislike MSN search already... by jmcmunn · · Score: 5, Interesting


    Because they feel the need to crawl web pages roughly 5 times as much as Google does. I swear their spider has nothing better to do with it's like than to visit my web page for some reason. I only have a few pages, and I get better than 50 hits a day just from the MS spider. Google seems to only hit each page once a day at most. I could see how that could get out of hand if you had a large site, with tons of pages.

    Don't get me wrong, I am not worried about bandwidth because of the spider or anything, I just think they could tone down a little. Obviously if I were worried I could do something about it (maybe, depending on how nice it is).

  18. Begs the question by Catskul · · Score: 4, Informative

    No damn it. It doesnt beg the question. Begging the question is a logical falacy.

    --

    Im not here now... Im out KILLING pepperoni
  19. Re:Well by rrhal · · Score: 2, Funny

    Well to beat google M$ would have to leverage its monopoly on the desk top to gain a competitive advantage. They wouldn't do that; that's illegal.

    Google is the next Alta Vista.

    --
    All generalizations are false, including this one. Mark Twain
  20. Google only stands one chance by codepunk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Google only stands one chance or their lifespan is
    limited to a year or two at best. They have to get
    as much stuff on the desktop as they can because MS will integrate their search into the OS. They have got to push firefox now, they need to find a way to own a spot on everbodies desktop and right now firefox is the way to do that.

    --


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    1. Re:Google only stands one chance by bluemustard · · Score: 2, Interesting

      so true, with IE on the majority of desktops all one has to do is type some crap in the url and you are swept away to msn search. Your search now looks like google and is just as good so why go to the effort to click on google to search. People are lazy and the less buttons to push the better. I use Firefox for its little google search window to save time, once IE adds that game over for google.

    2. Re:Google only stands one chance by theonetruekeebler · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I ever so seriously doubt that. If the MS engine tries to knock Google off its mountain, it will go the way of the XFL.

      Microsoft has had an Internet search engine for some time now, and IE has used it as its default and only search engine that whole time, yet Google is the world's #1 search engine.

      Sometimes the Right Thing wins: Compare the success of .NET with the success of Java. Compare the success of IIS with the success of Apache.

      Google didn't get to be a verb by sucking, and a search engine being subsidized by a monopoly will not cause Google to suck or go away or lose any meaningful part of its market share.

      --
      This is not my sandwich.
  21. The old does not have to supplant the new by Timesprout · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just provide a viable alternative to google as hopefully others such as Yahoo will also do. It's really not in our interests for Google to monopolize searching.

    --
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  22. Untrue. by cybersaga · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If they really do make something better, people will use it.

    Not true. Marketing is everything these days. Why is Britney Spears popular? Quality product? hehe...
    Marketing will get them their users, but users that don't know any better. For the tech crowd, yes, Microsoft will have to come up with a better product, though I find that just as amusing as Britney Spears selling records.

    1. Re:Untrue. by chris09876 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think in something like search engines, the tech crowd dictates what people use. It's easy to switch your homepage. If there's a new better browser out there, tech people will use it, and inform their non-tech friends about it too. How much does google spend on marketing?? When's the last time you saw a google TV ad?

    2. Re:Untrue. by Ubergrendle · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Google has been very successful at using 'soft' marketing to establish their brand, especially early in their corporate history. Everyone KNOWS that gmail is ready for public launch, but having private invites gives it a cachet. Clever advertising for job postings gets it additional media coverage. Clever IPO process gets it additional media coverage. But sooner or later Google will have to compete in the 'real' marketing space -- traditional media, to reach a wider audience.

      As for tech crowd dictating what's good and what isn't, lets think about this, shall we?

      1. Beta vs VHS?
      2. Original Mac vis IBM PC/XT/AT?
      3. Wagons/Hatchbacks vs SUVs? (same storage capacity, better fuel economy)
      4. .ogg vs .mp3 or .wmv?
      5. Extended warranties from Best Buy?!?!

      Marketing is for the suckers...and that's where the money is.

      --
      John Maynard Keynes: "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do?"
    3. Re:Untrue. by Henk+Poley · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Everyone KNOWS that gmail is ready for public launch, but having private invites gives it a cachet.

      Btw, this is not all about marketing, it's also a bit about manageability. Say foobar@gmail.com turns into a spam address? Better check the one that send him an invite, and also those who he got into GMail. An invite is basicly saying "I think this person will use this service correctly".

      Invite = Vote; sounds like Google, doesn't it?

    4. Re:Untrue. by sahonen · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's Friday night. Go out to a bar and listen to some real music, please. There are far more talented people than Britney playing for peanuts just down the road from you.

      --
      Make me a friend and I'll mod you up
    5. Re:Untrue. by HuguesT · · Score: 5, Informative

      1. Beta had a better image but with VHS you could record more than 60 minutes at a time. Everyone forgets this little point BTW. Case closed.

      2. Mac vs IBM. Cost as soon as clones came in. Still the same issue BTW by and large. IBMs had IBM behind it, and that's why it became a success with business, thanks to Lotus as well). Who cares about the OS, it's all about the applications, even today.

      3. Cars are status symbols and a lot of irrational issue surround them. Few people buy cars on technical terms, otherwise no one would have ever bought an Alfa Romeo for instance.

      4. Ogg originally required a floating point unit, and so wouldn't run on low-end players. MP3 was first to market. Few people can actually hear the difference between MP3 and Ogg and most don't care. The quality of either is much much better than either FM radio or tapes.

      5. Extended warranties are popular with many products such as Apple computers for instance, where it does make sense because after 3 years the computer is still worth something.

      Marketing works to some extent but are not the be-all and end-all of everything. Perhaps you've heard of the term "hype" ?

  23. Mr. Softee can't get it up... by William_Lee · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I personally think it is unlikely that M$ will ever dominate Google no matter how much money they throw at it for a number of reasons.

    #1) Google has been branded into people's consciousness as THE way to search the net. While the landscape of search engines is littered with now fallen former champs ala altavista, Google has a ton of momentum behind it as a brand.

    As long as they continue to innovate and return the most relevant results, it is very unlikely MSN search will achieve much penetration of this market. Why would people switch otherwise?

    #2) M$ has rarely been an innovator in ANYTHING. In the world of search engines, being one step behind just isn't going to cut it. Google has consistently shown themselves to have a bold, creative overall vision. M$ has always lacked one and still does.

    #3) Google is now flush with cash after a very successful IPO. Earnings are going gangbusters and look like they will do so for the forseeable future. They are going to be in a financial position to execute on their game plan. M$ may also have a cash hoarde, but Google's stock price and cash give them the tools necessary to challenge M$ on their own turf if so desired.

    Momentum is a powerful force, look at Ebay's domination of the auction market. As long as Google continues to lead, and M$ flails along behind, Mr. Softee will remain flaccid in the search engine market.

  24. They already are using it... by PornMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Seriously, why do you think it's worth it for Microsoft to bother getting into search? It's not because billg's interested in the technology, it's because they have millions of eyeballs anyway because MSN is set as the default homepage in millions of browsers.

    They are using their own search with their own advertising system to monetize that advantage. They don't have to be better than Google for that to work, just not completely suck donkeys.

  25. Microsoft Doesn't Understand by SenFo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sure, hits are probably the most important aspect to a search engine; but, Microsoft just doesn't understand what makes Google what it is.

    I use Google because it gives me accurate search results without all the added crap. I am emphatically uninterested in having an ad for the latest version of Office display when it's totally unrelated to my search material.

    Unless Microsoft can think about something other than money for a change, it's not going to happen for them. You and I both know this will never happen.

  26. duh by erikharrison · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Supplanting Google isn't even hard, relatively speaking. Just be better - total cost of migrating from Google to another search engine approaches nill.

    The question, of course, is can MS supplant Google? I doubt it. The reasons:

    * Microsoft can't pull a MS Works or similar trick - namely they can't undersell on a poorer product until it hits market saturation

    * They can't use proprietary API's or file formats for lock in

    * They can't bundle it with their OS

    * They can bundle it with their other web services, but when Google trashed Yahoo! many moons ago, it was made clear that superior search engine beats stack of web services.

    * MS has no skill making a successful web service. Hotmail and MSNBC are strategic grabs of other services or content (anyone have a counterexample?).

    * MS does not seem to have a corporate philosophy that would easily lend itself to Google type ads, which are the only search engine ads I have ever been lulled by. How will MS make a profit?

    Of course one has to wonder why they entered the search engine market anyway. I suspect it is simply because it's cool, and much though you may loath them you've got to get MS that. They go where it's cool, even if it's not profitable all the time - they can afford it. Of course, once they are king of a market, they are ruthless about squeezing the rock for all it's water . . .

    1. Re:duh by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Or in short, all Google has to do to win is keep being Google, and in order for M$ to win, they have to become a whole different company inside and out.

      --
      Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
  27. Alternative viewpoint. by Faust7 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Google continues to run a service that is fast, reliable, and modern. They're aggressively broadening their service base, they've attained the pinnacle of name recognition, and they're not showing any signs of letting up.

    That's one way of looking at it. Another way of looking at it would be that Google is trying to do too much, too fast. What in the world does trying to be a domain registrar have to do with increasing their search capabilities? Plus, Google's research into search AI is not at the level of Microsoft's. (Never, ever underestimate the power of Microsoft Research.) There are some indications that Google may indeed "sit on their laurels" and let Microsoft pass them by.

    You have to realize that Microsoft is a very big, very powerful company with an enormous R&D department and a gigantic marketing machine. Google has won both market share and mind share, but both can be taken. Microsoft is in a position to do it. One underestimates at one's own risk.

    1. Re:Alternative viewpoint. by KillerDeathRobot · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What in the world does trying to be a domain registrar have to do with increasing their search capabilities?

      A good bit actually. Google isn't planning to sell domain names, supposedly, but instead use the information that is afforded to registrars. For instance, when someone lets a domain expire, Google can look at that and perhaps take that domain out of the search rankings.

      --
      Thinkin' Lincoln - a web comic of presidential proportions
    2. Re:Alternative viewpoint. by agurkan · · Score: 4, Insightful
      What in the world does trying to be a domain registrar have to do with increasing their search capabilities?

      If they have access to information of who registered what domain name, they can weed out link farmers much more easily.

      --
      ato
  28. Precedents... by catdevnull · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Let's take a look into the recent past:

    How did MS's IE beat Netscape? By integrating IE it into Windows. Don't you think that the MS plans to make this search technology 'hard wired' into future (or even current) Windows releases to circumvent users's access or choice in using Google?

    Netscape also had some serious quality control issues which was the final nail into its coffin. I suspect, however, that Google is in a much better position to compete than Netscape ever was. But, they're going to have a serious fight on their hands--it's not about quality, it's all about quantity to Microsoft. The more drones out there who start using MS's search engines because the next Windows iteration pushes Google aside will start to erode at Google's profitability and they will play a long hard war of attrition.

    --

    I might know what I'm talkin' about, but then again, this is Slashdot...
  29. Googling by fsck! · · Score: 2

    I prefer to be believe that Microsoft will put a bunch of money at into it, then throw a fit and give up. Their following will never grow much beyond the MSN customers that don't know any better.

    If people are now treating google as a verb, bringing us tantalizingly close to a content-addressable web, how can Microsoft possibly usurp that kind of common recognition? Microsoft is already a verb, too; to do something expensively wrong (perhaps not in as common use as googling).

    If all this 'fan-fare' isn't just Microsoft's own manufactured hype, which I believe it is, this will have a polarizing effect on the search industry. Expect AOL and Yahoo to publicly bring in (or restore) one search technology or the other, leaving people like Inktomi in the cold.

  30. And by Safety+Cap · · Score: 4, Funny
    Like how Microsoft beat the hell out of Apple in the portable music player market.

    WMP r00lz, AAC teh suck!

    --
    Yeah, right.
  31. Microsoft has to, gulp, innovate to win by saddino · · Score: 5, Insightful
    1) The UI problem. As many have noticed, MSN Search is a near copy of Google's interface: even the "Settings" look identical. At best, making Google "switchers" comfortable will aid in driving traffic, but at worst it's an admission that "Google has done it right, and it can't be done better."
    • Innovation: Microsoft should research how to make the UI
    • better than Google. If it's possible, they should do it. It'll pay off even if people have to learn a new paradigm (ugh, hate that word).

    2) The domain problem. For those few who do not have a Google bookmark (or have a built-in window a la Safari and Firefox), they can likely type "google.com" into their browser faster than...(they're already typing in their query). "search.msn.com" is just, for lack of a better word, ugly.

    • Innovation: Microsoft should buy a simple domain as a home for their search. Which brings us to...

    3) The branding problem. For a company has huge and rich as Microsoft, they are strangely conservative about protecting the amazingly well-entrenched brand "Windows" (whether that's a valid trademark is an other issue). It's almost as if Microsoft has given up on branding and just "wings it" (Windows Movie Maker? Windows Media 9?). Face it, just adding "Windows" or "Microsoft" or "msn" (ooh, that rolls of the tongue) breaks all the rules of branding. Google is a verb because it is fanciful.
    • Innovation: Come up with a new name for your search technology, advertise the hell out of it (and per 2 above buy a single word domain for it) and then Google will be worried. If you build it, they will come.
    1. Re:Microsoft has to, gulp, innovate to win by cpghost · · Score: 4, Interesting

      For those few who do not have a Google bookmark (or have a built-in window a la Safari and Firefox), they can likely type "google.com" into their browser faster than...(they're already typing in their query). "search.msn.com" is just, for lack of a better word, ugly.

      Who says that users must type search.msn.com in their URL text entry field? Microsoft could modify the apps so that everything that doesn't look like a URL will be automatically redirected towards search.msn.com. It would be actually even easier for users to search stuff: just type in what you need and voila, MSN search spits out a page of results.

      That's the "beauty" of desktop dominance.

      --
      cpghost at Cordula's Web.
  32. Re:Differences by shird · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Another point: Using the fisher-price colours and theme of Windows XP was a clever choice by MS.

    A lot more people are going to trust and use the ms search because it looks like it is part of the OS and "official" in terms of looking like the OS portal to the rest of the Internet. Pretty wise move.

    But again, the url is crap. You can "google" a search term. "just google it" etc. But you can't do the same with msn.search.

    --
    I.O.U One Sig.
  33. er... by keiferb · · Score: 2, Funny

    This is a trick question, right?

  34. the way MS can beat google by musikit · · Score: 2, Funny

    HANDLE ResolveAddress(LPSTR lpstrAddress)
    {
    if( strcmp(lpstrAddress,"www.google.com") == 0)
    {
    strcpy(lpstrAddress,"www.msn.com");
    }
    return ResolveToIPAddress(lpstrAddress);
    }

  35. it's not a zero-sum game anymore... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The internet did change some things, and one of them is that in a sense the net does not play by some traditional economic rules. We're not in a zero-sum game any longer. There's no reason why google and MSN search cannot both thrive, despite what the binary thinkers here feel. In a sense, there's no google vs. ms argument because users do not need to commit to one or another. I use both every day.

    That's why it's not the same as the browser wars: people do not use two browsers simultaneously. But they can easily use two search engines in two different windows.

  36. Microsoft need one more little change by FluffyPanda · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The main thing that will keep stopping me from using MSN search is the size of the page that the search box is hosted on.

    I don't want to load a web portal or a news website, I just want a search box with a "go" button.

    Microsoft needs to register www.microsearch.com or something and put a minimalist, google style interface up there.

  37. Neat google trick... by shird · · Score: 5, Funny

    Go to Google Suggest and type the words "msn search" in the search box and nothing more...

    Take a look at the bottom suggestion....

    --
    I.O.U One Sig.
  38. But IE7 might by prandal · · Score: 2, Interesting

    When will we see an IE7 with a "Search" button which uses MSN search by default with no alternatives or requires several obscure registry keys to be hacked to use an alternative search engine?

  39. Absolutely not... by Imposter_of_myself · · Score: 2, Funny

    Imposter says MS can't beat Google (as he types at his Commodore 64, looks at his spiffy Edsel and drinks his Moxie). Imposter chimes, "Google has the headstart. No one can catch up."

  40. When MSN search becomes part of Windows by Silver+Sloth · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They could use the same tactics they used so that IE beat Netscape. OK so they would lose a court case but they're prepared to pay a few bucks on the way to global domination.

    --
    init 11 - for when you need that edge.
  41. Who wins? by scolby · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How about the consumer? With all these companies vying for our attention, there's bound to be a few really great innovations along the way.

  42. This is not a desktop application by betelgeuse68 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It is possible to beat Microsoft.

    A perfect example of this is Intuit. They've managed to keep Microsoft at bay despite fierce competition. Those flames were fanned when an acquisition of Intuit fell through therefore strengthening Microsoft's resolve.

    Nevertheless Intuit is still with unlike lots of MS road kill that comes to mind.

    This question to some degree seems pointless. It assumes that somehow Microsoft's desktop monopoly will mean that people will stop using a web application (search) with a brand that has become incredibly powerful.

    This seems like a variation on all the claims that Apple was on its death bed eight years ago. In fact I remember seeing NBC News running a story that seemed to echo this industry consensus.

    And despite Microsoft's desktop domination, it seems most Microsoft employees (much to the chagrin of MS management) are opting to patronize Apple with its latest creation, the iPod. The story in Wired was featured in Slashdot just recently.

    Google is incredibly entrenched in people's minds. It has become a powerful brand. Evidence of this is the fact that people readily use its name as a verb.

    Microsoft setting its search engine as the default for whatever future browser they release will *not* cause people to stop using Google.

    -M

  43. "They can't bundle it with their OS" by Catullus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Actually, they can to a certain extent - at least, they can integrate MSN search into their desktop search tool, and all their apps. "It looks like you're searching for something. Would you like to use MSN to search the Internet?".

    Also, I personally think that they don't really want to be in the search engine market - they just don't want to risk Google's brand becoming predominant over theirs...

  44. "Microsoft" is already a verb by artemis67 · · Score: 5, Funny

    First Guy: "Dood, what happened to your server?"
    Second Guy: "Oh, that. It Microsofted last night."

    First Guy: "Hey, I thought you said your files were secure!"
    Second Guy: "Well, somebody Microsofted me over the internet."

    First Guy: "You look awful! What the hell happened?"
    Second Guy: "I was walking down this dark alley and a couple of punks Microsofted me."

  45. Ugh. by i41Overlord · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hello passengers- we've reached our cruising altitude of 35,000 feet. I am going to switch the seat belt sign off in a moment so feel free to stretch and move about the cabin. Those of you on the right can look out the windows and see the Grand Canyon, while those of you on the left can look up and see the OP's comments, passing harmlessly above the heads of the unsuspecting.

  46. Name recognition? by SethS · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Google automatically starts out ahead in the game: The percentage of people out there that have favorable thoughts associated with the name "Google" is higher (probably on the order of a few magnitude) than those who think positive thoughts of "Microsoft".

    Simply because I strongly dislike Microsoft (and thus everything associated with them), I will continue to use Google.

    Microsoft would have to seriously surpass Google in order for me to switch, and I suspect the same goes for many others.

    --
    If you're not outraged, you're not paying attention!
  47. Msn-bombing is already started. by VDM · · Score: 2, Informative

    Regarding search quality, MSN bombing is already starting, without involving Google searches. If you search for 'merda' (italian word for feces, unpolite), the first result is a Vatican City congregation.
    E.g., http://search.msn.it/results.aspx?q=merda.

  48. Too many people are forgetting by Bloke+in+a+box · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Too many people are forgetting that although 99.99% of people on here are proper computer geeks, we make up about 0.001% of all the people that use computers and the internet.

    The majority of computer users know of no reason why they should hate Microsoft, when you consider how many people still don't even know what spy/mal/parasiteware is, or the amount of people who don't know what a firewall is or have an up to date virus checker etc.

    People are quite happy to use whatever tool is first there (why else would they download so many spyware toolbars?), many millions of people in this world have MSN as their homepage either because they don't know how to change it or they actually use the search functions on there.

    Yes Google is very very well known, as is Microsoft and MSN. While the marketing ploy wont work with us geeks, I'll quite happily bet it'll affect large numbers of 'ordinary' computer users.

    I love the slick, clean and crisp design of Google but it's amazing the amount of people who prefer a site such as MSN because it's got pretty flashing lights, lots of colour and all the rest of the shit on it.

    Just because we're geeks doesn't mean that everyone else thinks like us.

  49. Boo hoo by $mooth · · Score: 2, Informative

    "The power and information google has and will continue to imporve upon is scary." Here's a crazy idea: if you don't like Google's business practices, don't use it. I don't remember anyone holding a gun to my head if I wanted to use yahoo's search

  50. Depends on what you think of Britney Spears... by P-Frank · · Score: 5, Interesting

    What is the product? The music? Of course not. One argument is that the product is herself. Britney's body. Britney's voice. Britney's sugary production. Britney's image. It's a total package.

    Then we have the "Britney as medium" argument that I quite like. Britney has become a medium for content delivery unto her own. She delivers a musical production. She delivers the lyrics of others. She is the box that the product comes in, the item inside the box and the marketing splash on the front of the box (Yes, I do enjoy talking about Britney's box, thanks for asking).

    Then we get to Windows as portal. Let us assume that the non-intuitive nature of Windows is ingrained so much into us that it has become intuitive. It is transparent and no longer about using windows, it is about what it brings to us. Movies. Music. Word Processors. The Internet. Now MSN Search is a way to frame the Internet by Microsoft, which is quite ingenius. Google has already begun doing this, GMail, blogger, froogle, answers. The search page has become a way to deliver their product (Much like Windows delivers Microsoft product).

  51. Economics not quality will determine what happens by robertdfeinman · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The motivation for entering the search market is selling ads on the results page. Google has just reported high income because of bidding wars on ad words.

    Other players would like to take some of this revenue. The inclusion of indexing of pages that don't buy ads is just the necessary come-on to entice viewers to use the search engine when doing product-oriented lookups.

    If Microsoft can undermine Google and Yahoo in the ad word business it will cut off their "air supply" and they will no longer be able to afford to provide such extensive free indexing services.

    I wonder how hard it would be to create a little applicaton which does a GET on all the paid ads in a search results page and causes the click-through payment model to fail?

    The new ad blocking features in Firefox have already altered the interest in banner and popup ads.

    --
    -- Robert D Feinman Landscapes, Panoramas, Photoshop Tips and Musings on Society
  52. Ugh... MSN is too slow! by dep01 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    People (A9.com, MSN search, etc) don't seem to understand that the reason why most people use Google is because of it's lightning-fast interface. It's simple... It's quick... The second I hit MSN's search page, i though, "Ugh... Look at all the CRAP that has to load every time I want to go here."

    --
    "hey, could you pass me a paper towel? er.. I mean... DEPLOY ABSORBTION PANEL!"
  53. Re:Huh? by CrackedButter · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Shows how much you know even with a 5 digit slashdot account! The original mac had colour and shipped with at least 1 game, had some upgradebility. It also had a GUI, something which no other computer had at the time. Call yourself a geek? :p

  54. I hope someone does it soon by faust2097 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Google is a good search engine but they've been completely owned by 'optimizers' [I have a slightly less polite term for them] for years now. Google really needs to radically change Pagerank soon, the worse their results get the more vulnerable they are to a competitor with better technology. It happened to us when I worked at AltaVista, we tried adding a bunch of features instead of improving core search results and we got completely killed by Google which had almost no features, just better results.

  55. How many wars can Microsoft fight at once? by Shag · · Score: 2, Informative
    Microsoft's got tons of money, so it can have a presence in a lot of different market spaces, but bog-standard Windows clients and Office are still its cash cows. It's had mixed results trying to leverage its strength on the desktop into other segments.

    Windows server: Sure, some folks buy it, but plenty don't. So far, Microsoft only has about one third of this space, and Linux is nipping at its heels. They knifed Windows for Itanium, to the disappointment of both Itanium users.

    Server appications: IIS has lost market share to Apache in recent years, and Exchange isn't ubiquitous yet either. SQL server enjoys showing the web its limits.

    Windows CE/Mobile/Tablet/whatever: Still no monopoly, and since sales of PDAs are shrinking and tablet PC's haven't really caught on, even if MS did take over this market...

    Game Consoles: XBox did just have its first profitable quarter. Ever. But it doesn't seem to sell so well overseas, and Nintendo and Sony haven't been persuaded to go away yet.

    Media: Media Center PC's aren't selling so well, and in a world with iTuneszilla stomping around, Windows Media suddenly seems less likely to rule the universe than it did a few years ago, even with "PlaysForSure."

    Internet Services: Even with its added features, MSN Messenger doesn't seem to be destroying AIM or Yahoo Messenger. MSN doesn't seem to be destroying anybody in general, even if Verizon throws it in free with DSL, and even if MSN is the homepage for Internet Explorer. Now Microsoft wants to go after Google, too.

    It's pretty interesting to consider that Windows Client and Office are so frickin' profitable that Microsoft can afford to throw gobs of money at their unprofitable products and divisions (which are pretty much everything but Windows Client and Office) and still have huge heaps of cash left over.

    (Oh, and I left off Apple, because if 95% of the world abruptly switched to Apple, Microsoft is second only to Apple itself in Mac software development, and would still be one of the most profitable companies out there, on sales of Office for Mac, VirtualPC, etc. Also, because as long as Apple is out there, and isn't owned by Microsoft, Microsoft can point at it and say "look, there are other choices, we're not that much of a monopoly!" :)

    --
    Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
  56. Re:Gmail is ready for public launch by zootm · · Score: 2

    There was a time when I would agree with you, but now I find myself frustrated, yelling at my IMAP server to support a "labels" system. It's a more logical mapping of categorisation to a mail system.