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Panel Challenges NASA Over Shuttle Safety

Uttini writes "NASA skipped some shuttle safety improvements as it tried to meet unrealistic launch dates for the first flight since the Columbia tragedy, some members of an oversight panel said in a scathing critique. Poor leadership also made shuttle Discovery's return to space more complicated, expensive and prolonged than it needed to be."

57 of 266 comments (clear)

  1. Hey by PunkOfLinux · · Score: 5, Insightful

    They need to keep people thinking that their program is deserving of taxpayers' money. The best way to do that is to launch the shuttle, especially after something like columbia.

    They did what they with what they had; the government keeps cutting nasa funding, and THAT is what lead to columbia -- too little money, too much to do.

    1. Re:Hey by Raelus · · Score: 3, Interesting

      NASA isn't a magic organization. They can't turn turds into space shuttles in a week. There's really no news here, we knew that NASA was underfunded and overpressured to get this done.

      --
      "It is the stillest words which bring the storm. Thoughts that come with doves' footsteps guide the world."
    2. Re:Hey by Mr2cents · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the government keeps cutting nasa funding, and THAT is what lead to columbia -- too little money, too much to do.

      That or the space shuttle is inherrently flawed. Let's scrap the shuttle and make something better, before the next crew dies.

      --
      "It's too bad that stupidity isn't painful." - Anton LaVey
    3. Re:Hey by Stonehand · · Score: 3, Informative

      Cutting NASA funding? No, it's been increasing -- if slowly.

      Graph on budget

      It is true, however, that priorities have been shifting away from the shuttle program.

      --
      Only the dead have seen the end of war.
    4. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 5, Insightful


      That or the space shuttle is inherrently flawed. Let's scrap the shuttle and make something better, before the next crew dies.

      The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous? Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer? If so, how much safer? Life is risky you know. Hell, we can hardly build a bridge or a skyscraper without SOMEONE dying.

      There is one thing that's not disputed, and that is that the shuttle flights are way too expensive. The shuttle IS set to be scrapped, but we have to complete the space station before that can happen. For the moment the shuttle serves a purpose that can't be quickly replaced.

      I think they should be doing exactly what they are, and that is get the damn ISS built, then scrap the shuttle since it's purpose will have been served.

      --
      AccountKiller
    5. Re:Hey by Monkelectric · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I doubt you are a engineer, let alone an aerospace engineer. I also doubt a single beam actually cost 600 million. However, whatever it did cost, I have one phrase for you "extreme material constraints".

      --

      Religion is a gateway psychosis. -- Dave Foley

    6. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      To get people in to space affordably I vote for either Kliper or CRX.

      The Russians just announced the Kliper launch targets, 2011 first unmanned flight and 2012 first manned flight. It will carry six so if it works its the best bet to actually fully man the ISS. It can't be over 3 people now due to the emergency lifeboat limit which is currently a Soyuz. At a 3 man crew very little research or manufacturing can be done.

      CRX is essentially Burt Rutan's LEO successor to SpaceShipOne in partnership with Transformational space and under a small contract from NASA. CRX is not as well known as CEV. Its intended to just get people to and from LEO and the Space Station reliably, safely and affordably. Its a leader, follower NASA contractor. If the leader, which is I think Transformational and Scale succeeds they stay the leader, if they fail the followers move up on the funding ladder. A real improvement in competition over NASA's usual approach which is just pick between Boeing, Lockheed or a consortium of the big names.

      As for the grandparent's assertion that NASA's problem is not enough money THAT is absurd. NASA has squandered $100 billion and heading for $160 billion on the ISS by 2010. The Shuttle averages over its life $1.3 billion a launch. Its the most expensive launcher in history.

      NASA's problem is waste not insufficient funding. If its budget is getting cut by the politicians its because they to waste much doing to little in their manned space program. Of course politicians in Florida, Texas, Utah and Mississippi, in particular, fan the flames by encouraging NASA to maintain bloated payrolls so they have lots of nice jobs in their states and districts. The Shuttle and ISS are great for a bloated payroll, jobs program. In that regard they will be missed. The danger is new programs like CEV will have to maintain the same bloated payroll to win political and budget support. If you keep the bloated payroll the bloated launch costs will live on.

      --
      @de_machina
    7. Re:Hey by Zen+Punk · · Score: 2

      They're working on it. The shuttle already has a set date for retirement, and there are plans for a next-generation vehicle. What do you expect them to do?

      Throw up their hands and say, "Yeah, we know that the last flight was succesful and we have tons of modules for the ISS completed and awaiting launch, but we feel like scrapping the only vehicle capable of installing them and just letting them rust. Gotta make sure that astronauts never die, and the only way to do that is to never fly."

      --
      Sleep is futile.
    8. Re:Hey by s0meguy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Try reading this for some provocative reasons why ity's a big waster of time: http://www.idlewords.com/2005/08/a_rocket_to_nowhe re.htm "In the thirty years since the last Moon flight, we have succeeded in creating a perfectly self-contained manned space program, in which the Shuttle goes up to save the Space Station (undermanned, incomplete, breaking down, filled with garbage, and dropping at a hundred meters per day), and the Space Station offers the Shuttle a mission and a destination. The Columbia accident has added a beautiful finishing symmetry - the Shuttle is now required to fly to the ISS, which will serve as an inspection station for the fragile thermal tiles, and a lifeboat in case something goes seriously wrong."

    9. Re:Hey by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous? Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer? If so, how much safer?

      A lot of people tend to assume that space travel is inherently dangerous, but that isn't necessarily true. Just look at the Russian Soyuz, which hasn't had a fatality since 1971.

      The shuttle IS set to be scrapped, but we have to complete the space station before that can happen.

      Why? There's no way that the benefit we'll get from the ISS will be worth the cost. Although it's been great for pork-barrel politics, the benefits of the ISS to science and exploration are rather dubious:

      http://www.thespacereview.com/article/391/2

      If the main concern is keeping the promises we've made to our international partners, I'm fairly certain that we can offer them other things which will cost us far less than completing the ISS with the shuttle.

    10. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm not sure how much science the ISS really is going to produce, but if we're going to do manned space exploration to Mars, we're going to have to tackle long duration space flight. To do that you need a place to study long duration spaceflight. Currently (and for the long term future) the only place to do is the ISS.

      It may not be perfect, but it's what we've got. The shuttle certainly isn't perfect, but it's what we've got right now. It's not like the political climate that produced these imperfect beasts has changed much, so ditching the ISS and starting over would likely lead to the same thing.

      I will say this though, if the only goal of NASA were science they should absolutely ditch the ISS and the shuttle. That's not the only goal of NASA however. You can argue about what the goals should be, but be clear about what you're arguing for. A waste of time is different depending upon what you value.

      --
      AccountKiller
    11. Re:Hey by Col+Bat+Guano · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The shuttle may be "flawed" as you put it. Or maybe spaceflight is just dangerous? Do we really have reason to believe the next generation craft is going to be safer?

      Yes it can be dangerous, just like airflight is dangerous. Airflight is a lot safer and spaceflight can be made similarly safe as well.
      One solution is to simply use Russian rockets for people, and dumb cargo rockets for everything else.

    12. Re:Hey by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The shuttle IS flawed. The side-by-side configuration is dangerous. Much more dangerous than the shuttle-on-top configuration.

      No amount of money is going to change the fact that anything going wrong with any part of the shuttle is going to cascade and damage something else that is sitting right next to it.

      We don't have to complete the space station either. We can let it fall into the ocean. The world won't end if that happens, and we can get on to REAL exploration instead. Or, we could finish it with different technology. The Shuttle can't lift any more weight than an itty-bitty Delta, so it's a crappy vehicle to lift the space station to orbit.

      The Shuttle-B next gen spacecraft is the way to go. We could launch the ISS in a handful of flights instead of the dozens that it's taken.

      Scrap the shuttle NOW. Spaceflight is dangerous, but don't fool yourself. The shuttle isn't helping at all.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    13. Re:Hey by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Informative


      Just look at the Russian Soyuz, which hasn't had a fatality since 1971.

      And the Soyuz program has had about 60 manned launches compared to a little more than 100 shuttle launches. The shuttle has been lost twice, and Soyuz once. Sounds like about the same safety record to me. (which is completely igoring the fact that Soyuz has been redesigned a couple times during that period, so we have even less data on it).

      --
      AccountKiller
    14. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Don't you mean the CXV?"

      Yes, thanks. Acronym fatigue.

      "It includes photos and video of their recent full-scale capsule drop test and water landing:"

      Thats the thing I like about Rutan most. He bends metal and tries stuff instead of producing endless studies, artists conceptions and expendive half hour animations like NASA and its behemoth contractors. If you watch NASA TV they seem to have a penchant for expensive CG videos about how cool it would be if they did all this stuff. They aren't going to actually get around to bending metal and actually doing it, but aren't our animations cool? I suspect NASA needs to fire everyone who produces these animations and hit them with a clue stick, bend metal and stop the mental masturbation producing animation.

      I also like the fact Rutan exploits available, simple, proven technology instead of relying on stuff that is high risk, going to cost a fortune and take forever to develop.

      --
      @de_machina
    15. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 5, Informative

      Mike Griffin summed this up pretty well in his congressional testimony before he became administrator. Back then he only really supported Shuttle and ISS if Congress would give NASA buckets of money to do it and fast track CEV, and unless they redirect all the money being squandered on Iraq, its unlikely NASA will get buckets of money to do both. Maybe now that he is administrator he has to be more diplomatic and support the Shuttle and ISS more.

      "But the more important question is whether the return to be obtained from the use of ISS to support exploration objectives is worth the money yet to be invested in its completion. The nation, through the NASA budget, plans to allocate $32 B to ISS (including ISS transport) through 2016, and another $28 B to shuttle operations through 2011. This total of $60 B is significantly higher than NASA's current allocation for human lunar return. It is beyond reason to believe that ISS can help to fulfill any objective, or set of objectives, for space exploration that would be worth the $60 B remaining to be invested in the program."

      "Equally important is the delay in pursuing the President's vision. Respecting present budget constraints, we return to the moon in 2020, thus accomplishing in 16 years what it required eight years to achieve in the 1960s. This is not because the task is so much more difficult, or because we are today so much less capable than our predecessors, but because we do not actually begin work on the task until 2011. I do not need to point out to this body the political pitfalls endemic to such a plan."

      "I, and others, have elsewhere advocated that the shuttle should be returned to flight and the ISS brought to completion, if only because the program's two-decade advocacy by the United States and commitment to its international partners should not be cavalierly abandoned. But, if there is no additional money to be allocated to space exploration, this position becomes increasingly difficult to justify. It is worth asking whether our international partners might judge the issue similarly."

      --
      @de_machina
    16. Re:Hey by ptbarnett · · Score: 4, Informative
      No, the L1 point is where the forces between the Earth and the Sun are balanced. We have a number of spacecraft there... ACE, SOHO, WIND, etc...

      L1 is a point between two massive bodies orbiting around a common center of mass. There is one between the Earth and the Sun. There is also one between the Earth and the Moon.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lagrange_point

    17. Re:Hey by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "The foam has fallen off on all 200 some flights"

      I think its more like 114 flights.

      Do you work for NASA? They said the same thing and used it to rationalize doing nothing about it until Columbia. They were really panicky about it when they saw tile damage in all the early launches, but hey they landed OK. After a while since they kept getting away with it they made the assumption it was OK. They were wrong. There is a scathing indictment of your attitude by Feynman.

      Basically NASA was shooting craps with the foam because its always been dangerous and on Columbia they rolled snake eyes.

      Space flight IS dangerous but that is no reason to let fixable problems that heighten that danger go unfixed. The only contradiction to this point is the foam and tile damage may not be fixable. They may be a fundamental design flaw which means you either abandon the design or keep shooting craps.

      --
      @de_machina
    18. Re:Hey by tuomoks · · Score: 2, Insightful

      First time I miss that I don't have any points to give ( 5 already but anyway.. ). This is life - and life is risky - after you didn't slip in bathroom try to walk over a street and so on.. I fully agree - let's first do the tasks in hand but not forget to plan for next things to do. This subject is very common - we are just now ( one week from delivery ) stuck with requirements that the management refused even to to think six months ago - go figure ?? Doesn't this sound familiar to all ( most ) developers - space, computers, whatever ??

    19. Re:Hey by toddbu · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I also doubt a single beam actually cost 600 million.

      http://www.spacedaily.com/news/shuttle-02d.html

      I doubt you are a engineer, let alone an aerospace engineer.

      I'm not an aerospace engineer, but I am an engineer. I'm an engineer who believes in redundant systems and simple solutions over "space hardened" systems. There are lots of examples of guys building working systems on shoestring budgets that last well beyond their engineered lifetimes. Check out http://www.hypocrites.com/article2897.html for just one example. I also cite a story from the Apollo days when Joe Shea vetoed a crazy design for measuring the remaining fuel in the fuel tanks of Apollo spacecraft. Instead of using a nuclear detector to measure fuel in a weightless environment (page 8), he chose a design based on one found in his Karman Ghia. They installed reserve fuel tanks capable of getting the crew home, and always made sure that they were within their limits.

      I find it interesting that NASA always talks about how they fly the most complex systems in the world, yet somehow its the Russians with their 40 year old designs that have the most reliable systems.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
  2. Teleporter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    All these spacecraft seem like such an awkward and impractical way of transporting things through space. Wouldn't it be much easier to develop teleporter technology like you see in the science fiction shows and just send objects and astronauts to other planets that way?

    You can get all sorts of things over the wireless internet these days, music, movies, all kinds of software. Since dna is just information too, it seems to me that it shouldn't be too hard to figure out how to broadcast people and things from one place to another. NASA should get to work on this instead of silly space shuttles.

    1. Re:Teleporter? by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 4, Funny

      Something tells me there was a carrier loss when they transmitted your DNA...

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
  3. Re:NASA needs a shake-up by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Suits are always pinheaded and defensive. That's why they call them PHBs.

    I was contracting for a Rockwell division the day the Challenger blew up, and 20 minutes after it went down, we had an office pool going: "How long will it take them to figure out that it was caused by some middle-manager (somewhere in the supply chain) screaming "Whaddaya mean I can't ship on schedule??!!??""

    --
    No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
  4. Routine is not necessarily so great... by thc69 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If we simply are 100% as perfectly careful as possible, fearing to tread anywhere but our exact previous footsteps, taking forever to inspect and re-inspect, we will never learn how to do it differently.

    It is through our mistakes that we learn. Anybody willing to go up in a space shuttle knows they run a strong risk of death. Personally, I'd be excited to have the chance to risk my life in that noble work. Instead, for the sake of those who love me (okay, and for lack of ability or opportunity), I toil with my daily work, contributing my bit to the economy, so indirectly supporting the space program.

    --
    Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
  5. Re:What if there had been no foam loss? by furiousgeorge · · Score: 4, Insightful

    >>> What if that one chunk hadn't fallen off
    >>>right in view of the camera?

    Dude.... they are using HUNDREDS of cameras now.

    It didn't fall right in view of '*the* camera'. They just relesed the best view to show what happened.

    >>The return-to-flight mission would have been
    >>declared an outstanding success. Regular
    >>launches would have resumed. We would be back
    >>on track again.

    So if you don't see the problem it doesn't exist? Sounds like you're NASA material!

  6. $1 Billion and No Solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Did anyone notice that NASA spent $1 billion to fix the foam problem that caused the destruction of the Columbia shuttle? Yet, after spending $1 billion, the foam problem manifested itself again during the launch of Discovery.

    The failure of Columbia was not a failure of engineering. Successful rocket launches occur often in Japan, Europe, and Florida.

    The failure of Columbia was a failure of management. Managers wanting to show results to their superiors ignored the "grunt" engineers when they warned of a potential problem with tragic consequences for Columbia. The warnings became reality.

    1. Re:$1 Billion and No Solution by MrFlannel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      ROCKET launches. And thats it. We too can launch ROCKETS. The shuttle is NOT a rocket.

      Even the most advanced cargo rockets we have now cannot carry something as large as the shuttle. Let alone people AND cargo.

      Someone else mentioned that russia hasnt had a fatality since 1971, but all the soyuz missions do is launch people (or supplies), they dont launch both, with a nice big arm, and a huge bay for storing large things that simply will not fit anywhere else.

      Get a clue people, the shuttle has no suitable replacement as far as other space programs go.

      --
      Clones are people two.
    2. Re:$1 Billion and No Solution by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Did anyone notice that NASA spent $1 billion to fix the foam problem that caused the destruction of the Columbia shuttle? Yet, after spending $1 billion, the foam problem manifested itself again during the launch of Discovery.
      False. The chunk of foam that had everyone concerned came from an area that has not been observed to shed foam since 1982. None of the areas that were fixed shed any foam.
      The failure of Columbia was not a failure of engineering. Successful rocket launches occur often in Japan, Europe, and Florida.
      False. Sucessful launches elsewhere have utterly no bearing on whether or not the Shuttle is an engineering failure.
      The failure of Columbia was a failure of management. Managers wanting to show results to their superiors ignored the "grunt" engineers when they warned of a potential problem with tragic consequences for Columbia. The warnings became reality.
      False. Despite the popular mythology of perfidious managment, there's not a shred of evidence that your fantasy resembles reality in any way, shape, or form. The overwheliming evidence that the *engineers* concluded that the foam was a maintenance (of the tiles) issue and that managment concurred in the assesment.
    3. Re:$1 Billion and No Solution by silentbozo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Someone else mentioned that russia hasnt had a fatality since 1971, but all the soyuz missions do is launch people (or supplies), they dont launch both, with a nice big arm, and a huge bay for storing large things that simply will not fit anywhere else

      Could it be they're doing something right, that we aren't? Is it absolutely necessary to have a man-rated launch AND reentry vehicle, with live astronauts on board, just to deliver supplies, and bring back garbage? Couldn't we just double the number of Soyuz craft docked at the station, and maintain a larger crew, and just send up supplies using multiple big dumb boosters? That way, if we lose a supply run, big deal, just light up the next one. Right now, we have problems with the shuttle, and the astronauts stuck on the ISS have to start counting calories and oxygen generators...

  7. Let NASA make up their own minds about risk by ip_freely_2000 · · Score: 4, Insightful


    People seem to forget that space travel is freaking dangerous. The whole concept of a lit rocket attached to your ass is probably never going to be as safe as walking to the store.

    At some point, NASA will do as much as can be reasonably be expected and allow a volunteer to climb in the shuttle and hope for the best.

    People who can, do. People who can't, sit on committees and complain.

    Those people need to get out of the way and let NASA do their job.

  8. *Grumble* by Y-Crate · · Score: 3, Insightful

    To think, the inherent problems with the shuttle have finally snowballed to the point where launching is next-to-impossible now that they are finally trying to hurry up and get something done (ISS).

    Kinda makes you even angrier about the countless, 600 million dollar "We're growing some more fucking crystals, dammit" missions we've had for the past 20 years. Talk about time wasted. Let's not even get started on how the constant redesigns of the ISS have left it borderline useless (and how the costs of the redesigns and the station we have now equal the cost of the original proposal)

  9. Old vehicles are trouble no matter what type! by GecKo213 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How many of you drive old cars, trucks, vans, or SUV's that say they are a joy to drive and run like the day they were brand new? No one would say that. Why NASA is using a shuttle that is 20 years old is beyond me. When I was 16 my parents gave me the old family '81 Datsun 310. I was grateful and even a bit excited to have it. I even thought I was "the man" because I had a car and most of my friends didn't, but it was a 13 year old car by the time I got it and had plenty of quirks. It had more than 300K miles on it when I got it. It ran pretty well and didn't cause me any major malfunctions, (Other than a clutch) but as soon as I could afford it I got a newer car! The car made it a year or two for my brother before giving up. I think it finally died in '97 with well over 400K miles on it. Those Damn shuttles have TONS more miles on them than that stupid car. Plus they are in a tad more hostile condition than the local freeways and roads. It baffles me that they are still willing to send astronauts up in them? Beyond that, I'm just as perplexed by the fact that there are astronauts blinded by the "I'm going to be in a text book one day" mentality that they are willing to ride up in the damn thing! Just plain stupidity if you asked me. It's time to produce something new with new seals, gaskets, and gap filler, and maybe a satelite dish. (Weather shouldn't affect their picture up there being so close to the satelites themselves.) If they plan on putting a man on Mars they've got a long way to go with those shitty shuttles they're still nursing along.

    I mean, how many of you would really rather be sitting at say a 20 year old computer right now versus the one you're on reading /. on at this moment? I mean c'mon, be honest with yourself!



    -- My Rant is now over, we'll return you to your regularly scheduled blah.
    --
    Generation Trance: What generation are you?
  10. Re:There is alot of politics in nasa by tivoKlr · · Score: 2, Informative
    Washington Post article discussing this very thing.

    "he is willing to oust as many as 50 senior managers in a housecleaning rivaling the purge after the 1986 Challenger explosion."

    Pretty harsh...

    --
    Ocean is land, covered with water.
  11. New tank design? by pin_gween · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I am not oa rocket scientist but, looking at the present external tankdesign, it doesn't appear to be vacuum insulated.

    I know it would add weight, but couldn't they have inner chambers to hold the fuel that are separated from the outer wall by a vacuum layer (like a thermos bottle)?

    I think the weight difference would be offset by a safety factor -- namely less ice build up on the foam.

    --
    Ignorance is not a crime; neither should it be a way of life

    Congress control $ = inmates run the asylum
  12. Re:Jump On The Bandwagon... by toddbu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I heard a news report that said that gap fillers had been known to come loose in the past and no one worried about it too much. We're now hyper-sensitive to any damage to the tile system, probably way beyond what we should be. The fact that it took them so long to decide whether to go out and fix the problem shows that the associated risk was low, especially when compared to the risk of screwing something up if they accidentally pulled off a tile during the repair.

    --
    If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
  13. First off, these people ARE NASA... by jd · · Score: 3, Insightful
    ...and second, NASA stated prior to the mission that (a) the foam problem had been fixed to the point where no large fragments would fall off, and (b) that fragments larger than a certain size could cause a catastrophic disaster.


    In light of that, I can see no reason for NASA's own safety panel to NOT issue these kinds of complaints. That is what they are paid to do - look at what is going wrong and SAY something. They looked, and they spoke.


    Now, as for anyone else - you've a point. Outsiders don't have the information needed to make the kinds of observations needed. Well, to an extent. There were several teams that had offered NASA solutions that would have guaranteed zero foam loss, but received no feedback from NASA. Those teams went public and I can understand that. Again, that's their area of expertise.


    Now, do I think NASA should have chosen those solutions? I don't know. The safety panel didn't mention them, so maybe there were good reasons for declining. On the other hand, as a public organization, NASA might help themselves (and us) a lot by saying WHY those solutions were declined.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  14. There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by mbkennel · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unavoidable risk: a rocket is an enormous explosive just barely controlled by exotic, expensive and difficult technology.

    Avoidable risk: doing stupid things in your design to endanger lives.

    The laws of physics, and many realities of engineering, are exactly the same today as they were in 1960.

    For instance: what is the right place to locate the humans?

    On the very top, because then they are the furthest away from the really dangerous bits. And delicate stuff needed for re-entry can be shielded and be far away from the immensely violent launch and debris and whatever is coming out of the ground and shaken off the rocket.

    Corollary: where do you put the fuel tanks? On the rear end, dummy.

    There's lots of reasons the Saturn V looked like it does. And how it looks like a whole lot of other rockets, except the shuttle. Ain't a coincidence.

    These problems were known and solved, and the shuttle un-solved them.

    Obviously, we need some more Nazi rocket scientists.

    So a plane which can fly back is supposed to be 'cost effective'. But why does it have to be so big? You generally take big fat cargos up and then work on them. So take them in a big fucking can, which sits UNDER your small, human sized space plane which re-enters and holds the people, tools and control bits. You throw away the can. And under the cargo, you put the fat ass rockets.

    You make them as cheap as possible, with metal-wrangling shipbuilding level technology, not ultra-high tech fancy pants stuff. That stuff is use 'once or twice', if it's still OK when you get it back off the ocean. Only the engines are the big monetary per-launch loss, but even now they have big solid rocket boosters which are one-use only.

    They should make a big Saturn V style launcher with cheap ass solids strapped around the bottom for the initial heavy lift, like the Soyuz, then a cheap ass liquid booster module. Then a cargo can, and on top, the orbital and re-entry vehicle.

    And also put that doohickey on the very top like with the Saturn V. What's it for? It's a little escape pod rocket and parachute to get the people the fuck away from the big explosive bits if something really bad happens.

    If the Challenger worked like that, the crew might have been able to walk away, depending on circumstances.

    1. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "But why does it have to be so big?"

      I know this is rhetorical, but it ended up so big because of DOD requirements to win their approval and participation. They need a big cargo capability AND worse they demanded a 1000+ mile cross range landing capability to launch from Vandenburgh, do 1 polar orbit and land back at Vandenburgh. To do this the Shuttle wings had to be dramatically enlarged, which led to the whole thing getting much bigger. Since the $6 billion launch pad at Vandenburgh was abandoned after Challenger, in fact the DOD largely abandoned the Shuttle at this point, the irony is this cross range capability was never really needed.

      "And also put that doohickey on the very top like with the Saturn V. What's it for? It's a little escape pod rocket and parachute to get the people the fuck away from the big explosive bits if something really bad happens."

      Transformational and Burt Rutan's CRX design has a good point on this. They are proposing an air launch at 25,000 ft. The advantage is if there is a problem when lighting the first stage its easy to get the capsule away in any direction and there is plenty of time to open parachutes to soft land the capsule or even have the crew bail out of the capsule if there is a problem with the capsule chutes.

      Its actually pretty challenging to safely get the capsule clear from booster if there is major failure on a launch pad, and get it high enough for the parachutes to safely deploy.

      The problem with CRX is it takes a BIG plane, 747 class, to carry an LEO capable launch stack to 25,000 feet. On the plus side the mother ship saves 10-25% of the fuel needed to get to orbit versus a ground launch

      The CRX URL above is a great read because its short, concise, innovative but more importantly you can see they are totally focused on safety, simplicity, low cost and reliability which is the antithesis of Shuttle thinking for the last 30 years.

      "Only the engines are the big monetary per-launch loss,"

      If you air launch at high altitude you can build a much cheaper engine. The Falcon/CRX VAPAK concept heats and presssurizes the Propane fuel so it pushes itself out of the tank. Couple this with high altitude and you don't need expensive turbopumps to pressurize the fuel. This dramatically simplifies and lowers cost of the booster. You can't do this with from a launch pad because the atmospheric pressure makes it harder to get the fuel out of the tank.

      --
      @de_machina
    2. Re:There's Dumb Risk versus Unavoidable Risk. by AJWM · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'd mod you up if I hadn't already posted. Even though I think re-usable vehicles are the way to go rather than expendables, I agree totally with you that the Shuttle is just Designed Wrong -- and isn't very reusable anyway.

      As for "make a big Saturn V style launcher with cheap ass solids strapped around the bottom for the initial heavy lift", there's no need for the solids. A Saturn V could put the equivalent of four full Shuttle payloads into LEO (Low Earth Orbit) in one shot, or a complete Shuttle Orbiter. Or, for that matter, Skylab. Or a fully fueled S-IVB stage, LM, and CSM, all set for a trip to the Moon. That thing (the SV) had 7.5 million pounds of liftoff thrust, the Shuttle has about 5.

      The original plan was only for Shuttle to replace medium-lift launchers, retaining the Delta at the low end and Saturn V at the high end. NASA quickly scrapped that plan (along with the Saturn V stacking capability in the VAB and the Saturn V launch towers) when they realized that the existance of a working manned and heavy lift capability (Apollo-Saturn) meant it would be politically easy to cancel Shuttle if (when) that hit budget overruns.

      --
      -- Alastair
  15. Is environmentally-friendly foam flawed? by geoffrobinson · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I keep hearing that if they used environmentally unfriendly foam (CFC's I would suppose). Does anyone know the veracity of this or shed any light on the situation with the foam?

    --
    Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    1. Re:Is environmentally-friendly foam flawed? by AJWM · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's a pretty minor factor, actually. They saw some foam shedding (popcorning) with the old foam, and didn't think anything of it.

      Anyway, apparently the hand-applied foam -- in the areas where we've seen big chunks coming off -- still uses the old CFC formula. The enviro-friendly foam is only used in the automated application on the large smooth areas of the tank.

      --
      -- Alastair
  16. Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by THotze · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Alright, I've got a question that I haven't seen addressed, at all, anywhere.

    We've spent God knows how many hundreds of millions of dollars trying to make the shuttle safe enough for human spaceflight. Maybe that just isn't going to happen. Not with the shuttle, not with the fact that we're looking at band-aids and not limb replacement solutions here.

    So, what would it take to make the shuttle run on autopilot? Rockets fly to space all the time, Russian Progress vehicles even dock with the space station, although I'm not sure if they do it alone or via teleoperation.

    Either way, why not invest a certain amount of money in an autopilot (or teleoperation) system so the shuttle could fly up, dock with the station, and then could be entered by ISS crew who could use the shuttle's robotic arm, etc., to set up the next component of the station. If manpower's an issue (and with 2 on board the station, it probably is) you could do it when there was a crew change and there were more people at the station, or you could really, really hurry with the CEV and wait until you could have enough people at the station to do the job.

    Or, for that matter, you could just HOLD on station construction until the CEV was ready and you could squeeze enough people into the station to make this work.

    This would solve the main issue: that the shuttle isn't safe for humans due primarily to reentry problems. In the future, you could even have the CEV dock with an in-space, unmanned shuttle and complete shuttle missions, such as a Hubble servicing mission, then undock, let the shuttle make its way home (or, in an unfortunate, but no longer life-threatening event, crash) and the CEV, with crew, would return to earth safely (as I can't recall a SINGLE EVENT where a capsule has burned up and people have died in reentry.)

    Anybody know why this hasn't been suggested, at all? I think it may be cheaper and faster, certainly if we'd done this after the Columbia disaster, but even fi its not, it allows us to keep on using the shuttle for YEARS relatively cheaply.

    Tim

    1. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by patdabiker · · Score: 2, Informative

      See this article: http://www.floridatoday.com/columbia/columbiastory 2N1124AFTERSHUT.htm It says exactly that. I haven't heard any more recently though.

    2. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by EvanED · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm not criticizing the overall message (except that I think the proper response is a complete replacement), but I do have a couple comments:

      or, in an unfortunate, but no longer life-threatening event, crash

      It'd still be life-threatening to people on the ground. Not much, and not any more than a manned entry, but there would be a tiny risk.

      I can't recall a SINGLE EVENT where a capsule has burned up and people have died in reentry

      The Soviets had a capsule decompression on reentry. Not burning up, but the three cosmonauts did die.

    3. Re:Can the Shuttle Fly Itself? by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The one obstacle I seem to remember, and Feynman refers to is the Shuttle computers are short on memory. One of the main roles of the humans on board is about 4 times a mission to load the next part of the mission in to the computers from tape, punch a button and make it go.

      Now maybe you could load one profile in for launch and then the ISS crew could load another to reenter. If the mission has to abort before it docks with the ISS you would need to insure the computers have the program for the abort and reentry without human intervention.

      A big hurdle is I don't think the shuttle is designed to auto dock with the ISS, though I could be wrong. The Russians are lot fonder of auto docking than the Americans. If it can't do it now it would take a lot of R&D and a pretty dangerous first test flight.

      The Shuttle does let the human take over for the vary last part of the landing but that is really totally to indulge the ego's of the pilots on board. I wager a computer could do it better and more consistently than the humans barring equipment failure. Some humans do it better than others.

      A question is why would you want to fly it unmanned other than to not risk lives. You still don't want another catastrophic failure of a Shuttle because that would probably devastate the program even if it was unmanned. If you lost a shuttle with a key ISS component in it during launch that would devastate completion of the ISS too. Loss of life of astronauts is a bit overrated. They know its dangerous and they will still do it. No point in needlessly risking their lives but its a bit silly to stop them flying all together too.

      --
      @de_machina
  17. Anything with tits or wheels by HermanAB · · Score: 3, Funny

    sooner or later gives you shit... ;-)

    --
    Oh well, what the hell...
  18. My dream job... by Ingolfke · · Score: 3, Funny

    is to sit on a panel and bitch and complain and nitpick and attack people who actually do work.

  19. Just Go Back to the Pre-1999 foam formula by DumbSwede · · Score: 2, Informative
    It was the switch to foam that isn't manufactured with freon in 1999 that led to the Columbia tragedy. NASA knew that the new foam shed more than the old foam but ignored the problem.

    So what the hell have they been doing for the last 2 1/2 years? They're still using the non-freon based foam for environmental reasons even though they have an EPA exclusion to use freon. They should have just gone back to the old foam formula and been back up to flight status in 6 to 12 months. As it is they essentially did nothing to improve the problem in 2 1/2 years because for some reason I can't fathom they won't go back the formula they know works, but instead slap on a bunch of other remediation fixes that didn't work.

    Seriously someone should loose their job over this, someone high up that should have known to go back to the old formula which they've know since 1999 worked better.

    Am I missing something? It would seem like a no brainer to go back to the freon formula. Especially since they fleet is on the fast track to be retired anyway -- then no more freon anyway.

    1. Re:Just Go Back to the Pre-1999 foam formula by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It was the switch to foam that isn't manufactured with freon in 1999 that led to the Columbia tragedy. NASA knew that the new foam shed more than the old foam but ignored the problem
      Please, do a little research.
      Learn the difference between BX-250 and BX-265. Discover for yourself what foam compound was used for ET-93.
      Here. Maybe this will help...

  20. Well, What Do We Need? by nate+nice · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Many is the excuse that NASA simply isn't getting enough money. They need passionate scientists that can construct the program as something taxpayers are interested in and demanding more support. It doesn't start with money, it starts with a vision.

    --
    "If you are a dreamer, a wisher, a liar, A hope-er, a pray-er, a magic bean buyer ..."
  21. This is a shake up by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Most of this work was under O'Keefe. Griffin will take a while to get hold of all this and change it, but the shake up is occuring. Thank God. O'Keefe was a disaster as he appointed a bunch of managers/politicians (read PHBs) under him rather than engineers.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  22. As A Matter Of Fact I Did Google by DumbSwede · · Score: 2, Informative
    So why do so many News sites report exactly what I am saying? here is the Google News I used

    http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&ned=us&q=freon+s huttle+foam+nasa&btnG=Search+News

    From the first site returned (and similar to several others)
    http://www.spiked-online.com/Articles/0000000CAD09 .htm

    ...If we are not prepared to take bold, calculated risks, this brings hazards of its own. For example, the detachment of a lump of insulation foam that imperilled Discovery's latest mission has been connected to the fact that NASA has changed its foam formula, in order to comply with environmental guidelines. Under pressure from the Environmental Protection Agency, NASA reduced the use of the refrigerant freon because of its role in ozone depletion - even though the replacement foam formula is known to be less effective at adhering to fuel tanks. Of the four large pieces of foam shed by Discovery, at least two were applied using the new formula (5).

    If I'm misinformed, I'm not alone. Regardless of which exactly which formulas were used on which flights, we know that there are better formulas and we choose not to use them despite knowing how critical this is to a safe mission. Your facts have the stench of butt-covering and obviscation trying to deflect from the core fact that freon based foams should have been used when it was known they had suppior characteristics.

    1. Re:As A Matter Of Fact I Did Google by virtual_mps · · Score: 3, Insightful
      So why do so many News sites report exactly what I am saying?

      1. Because most "news sites" simply regurgitate (or flat-out copy) stories from other "news sites". The amount of real investigative journalism is approaching zero; rumor and hearsay become self-perpetuating.

      2. Because there is a major ideological incentive for environmental controls to be "the cause" of the Columbia disaster. There is a large consumer population that is eager to hear confirmation of what they already knew--that the big bad EPA causes more problems than it solves. Providing that population with the product they're looking for sells more papers and leads to a satisfied "told you so" and a happy consumer.
  23. Re:Can the government spin it off. by quarkscat · · Score: 2, Informative

    "I'd think private industry probably has a better system of checks&balances than most government agencies these days."

    Oh, really?

    Let's take a look at the methodology used by the FAA AND the aircraft industry to weigh the need for new safety systems.

    A commercial aircraft crashes. The FAA and the aircraft manufacturer determine that a new safety device will be required that costs $100 Million USD in R&D, $5 Million USD per commercial aircraft installed, and $1 Million USD per aircraft for lifecycle maintenence -- for a total cost of (WAG) $2,000 Million USD. But the statisticians determine that the odds of the very same accident occuring again are 1 in 1x10^6, while the industry-wide accepted liability is figured at $2.5 Million USD per life lost. The break-even point for justifying the expense of the new safety device requires odds of 5 in 1x10^6, so the device never gets installed.

    The commercial interests have weighed the cost (better safety) versus benefit (reduced liability exposure) and determined that this particular new safety device, which would save lives, really is not needed after all. Manned travel into space is a risky business, as it essentially puts the human body into a completely hostile environment with safety reliant upon 5 million components from 10,000 vendors who won their contracts by being the lowest bidders. That being said - I would still rather risk a flight on the STS (shuttle) to the ISS than on a commercial aircraft cross-country.

  24. Lets blame illegitimate wars by unlabeledchick · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If you look at how small the budget is, compared to the (illegitimate) war in Iraq is costing and how much it will cost in the future. I reckon that an 'economy' based on how Earth runs in StarTrek would be great. I know that managers would be bored, coz everyone else would tell them to get stuffed :D

  25. In soviet russia. by miffo.swe · · Score: 2, Funny

    It must be pretty irritating for NASA to watch the reds sending their old heap of scrap up into space without a glitch since 1971. The Souyz is like an old truck while the shuttle is like a Ferrari, great tech but very delicate and error prone.

    --
    HTTP/1.1 400
  26. Re:You ignore facts by virtual_mps · · Score: 2, Insightful
    1. Because most "news sites" simply regurgitate (or flat-out copy) stories from other "news sites". The amount of real investigative journalism is approaching zero; rumor and hearsay become self-perpetuating.

    That's an utterly useless generalization that in no way contradicts or otherwise addresses any of the points you're attempting to refute. It's merely an attempt to change the subject with a non-sequitor.

    No, it isn't. It's a direct reply to your question, which was, "why do so many news sources report the theory". That's the question I replied to, not the question about the foam. The fact that something is written up in a news story doesn't make it true.

    [snip further rant]

    You obviously still haven't read the CAIB report. I didn't bother to respond to your original message because it would be a waste of time until you've read the authoritative source already linked in a previous post. The issue of whether changes to the foam composition somehow made worse foam is completely moot, as you'll see if you ever actually read the CAIB report, because the foam that fell off columbia's ET was attached prior to the reformulation. The question of bad foam is worth studying, but it has absolutely nothing to do with the Columbia disaster. Tying the two together is nothing but junk science.

    Your post is a rant about the evil EPA that makes a lot of assertions utterly without regard to the facts of the case. You ask leading questions like "do we have to bow to the...incentives to never find that environmental controls...do have negative...effects" which are pointless (the answer is obviously no) but which are intended to cast doubt on any conclusion that the columbia tragedy simply doesn't fall into that category.