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China Overtakes US as Supplier of IT Goods

Ant writes "CNET News.com is reporting that 'after almost a decade of explosive growth in its electronics sector, China has overtaken the United States as the world's biggest supplier of Information Technology goods, according to a report by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.' From the article: "The most spectacular demonstration of China's ambition to become a consumer electronics heavyweight came in May this year when Lenovo, the Chinese computer maker, paid $1.75 billion to buy IBM's personal computer unit."

64 of 365 comments (clear)

  1. I for one by daliman · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... welcome our new chinese overlords. Better than the old ones...

    1. Re:I for one by TheBismarck · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Red Dragon awakens...

  2. if only by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    if only their government didn't suck ass, they could be so great. they have immense cultural momentum, a well reasoned and disciplined populace, and a penchant for churning out intelligent people.

    1. Re:if only by m50d · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You've never considered that maybe the reason they're doing so well economically is that their government has absolute control and can do unpopular things that it thinks are necessary? Don't get me wrong, I certainly prefer living in a democracy, but it would be a mistake to think a democratic government is the best in every respect.

      --
      I am trolling
    2. Re:if only by Pieroxy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually, it's quite the opposite. A totalitarian government such as China's is their greatest chance - economically speaking at least. They don't have to wait for a hard-to-boost democracy to vote stuff up, they can just do it. And they've perfectly understood the game of modern economics as played by capitalism.

      Now from all other standpoints, the picture is different.

    3. Re:if only by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Indeed, it is very much the case that China's recent success is due largely to economic liberalization rather than a well planned authoritarian economing base. Under Deng Xiaopeng a number of "special economic zones" were open. Within these zones, exclusively near the coast and mostly (save for one) far from Beijing, the government allowed foreign investment and something of a free market in exchange for high tax rates. Beijing has been using the revenue from these cities to try to improve the interior, where rebellion traditionally begin. Most of the interior remains destitute, despite their economic successes on the coastline.

      One question I have about this article is whether it is counting Taiwan as part of China. Taiwans technicle infrastructure would make a huge difference in such numbers. The Nationalists (although there is a Taiwanese nationalist movement, though anytime Taiwan talks too much about independence the Chinese start target practice on neighboring islands) and the CCP still believe there is only one China, and there's only one China in the UN.

      ~Joshua Powell

    4. Re:if only by Total_Wimp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This was correctly modded insightful. Assuming the government acted only as a hinderance to the current progress is ignoring the obvious. Ther government has done quite a lot positive to thet things to the point they are today.

      The Chinese government has some very big problems, but it also has two really important things going for it.

      1)The Chinese government has shown itself to be adaptable. The level of free enterprise that exists today in China was unthinkable 50 years ago. The level of general freedom as well. The government correctly saw that the country could not compete economically without change, so it changed.

      2) Change is coming relatively slowly. This has allowed the Chinese people to become comfortable with their new rights and responsiblities and therefore use them more wisely. In the Soviet Union, where change came quickly, the people and government could not effectively make use of their newfound freedoms. The countries suffered as a result. Perhaps if they had had more time things might have turned out differently for them.

      More change must come to China. My guess is that it will come, but it will take a few more decades to get close enough to the west that we feel comfortatble.

      TW

    5. Re:if only by Golias · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ...err, how long was it before anyone dared point out the gee-dub-yah had nothing to go into iraq with?

      Nonsense. He had the most powerful army in the world to go into Iraq with.

      The few that did were branded as anti-american: so, why do you hate america?

      Still waiting on that answer. ...and anyways, it seems to me that we're making pretty quick with the give-up-the-freedoms-for-security gig right now and we could be just half a step away from losing large chunks of freedom, and being no better off than the chinese...

      Apart from the freedom to get on a plane without first taking my shoes off, I'm at a loss to think of any freedoms I've given up lately.

      Yes, because of the PATRIOT Act the gub'ment (see, I can type with a stupid dialect while pretending to mimic your side, too) can now tap my phone if they tell a judge that I might be a terrorist.

      Before PATRIOT, they would have had to tell the judge that I might be a mobster, and tap my phone under the RICO statutes.

      Not a good state of affairs, but hardly a shocking change from what eight years of Clinton/Gore brought down on us.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

  3. Is it unexpected? by jkrise · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The day IBM sold it's PC business, this was only to be expected...

    In other news, India overtakes the US as the leading Supplier of Software Services... not too long either.

    --
    If you keep throwing chairs, one day you'll break windows....
    1. Re:Is it unexpected? by Tim+C · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Each country has roughly 3 - 4 times the number of citizens that the US has. On sheer numbers alone, you'd expect them to overtake eventually.

    2. Re:Is it unexpected? by ceeam · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Pakistan has roughly the same population as Japan. I've never seen a Pakistan-made car, or TV-set, or camera...

    3. Re:Is it unexpected? by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Even there, they lag behind. The Japanese were flying planes into ships in WW2.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    4. Re:Is it unexpected? by The+Cydonian · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The British mostly abandoned Pakistan after WWII (around 1947, IIRC) which left India (and Pakistan) to mostly fend for themselves, while post-war Japan for the most part had domestic policy dictated by the United States, which only lead to further modernization.
      Which still doesn't explain why Suzuki built one of its largest car-plants in India.

      Sorry, but there's no reason to blame the British for one's own policy failings.

    5. Re:Is it unexpected? by metlin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      At the time of independence, both India and Pakistan had identical economic situations. If anything, Pakistan had an advantage - India had to tackle a wide range of diversity as well as a much larger area and population.

      The need for change has to come from within. India chose to be a secular democracy and made an effort to better their infrastructure, to educate their population and improve the economy.

      Pakistan on the other hand decided that religion and military were more important and they got what they deserved.

      Despite being surrounded by two hostile neighbors (Islamic dictatorship Pakistan on the North and Communist dictatoriship China on the East), India still has done well. She's still a democracy and in a nation of more than a billion people, majority of whom are Hindus, India has a Muslim rocket scientist President (who happens to be a vegetarian!), a Sikh economist professor as a Prime Minister and a caucasian Roman Catholic female Ruling Party President -- and her economy is doing extremely well.

      Pakistan on the other hand has had a hard time even maintaining democracy for any amount of time, and has a military general dictator and is an Islamic fundamentalist nation.

      It's not like the US had great resources when they started out. In fact, Japan did not have any great of an economy after WW-2, which was about the same time that Pakistan got its independence.

      To quote Neal Stephenson, gold (and money) is the corpse of value. Real value is in people, in their hearts, heads and their hands.

      So, while it might be nice to compare Japan and Pakistan, the need for change has to come from within. Pakistan has made a choice of putting religion about science, of putting military conquests above infrastructure and putting the people and their betterment below everything else.

      India made an effort and deserves what she's getting. It's always a choice that people make.

    6. Re:Is it unexpected? by Thomas+Miconi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I've never seen a Pakistan-made car, or TV-set, or camera...

      No, but you've definitely seen some Pakistan-made clothes. Now what was the main export of the Asian "Dragons" in the early phase of their development, and what is the main export of China today ? (tick.. tick.. tick..)

      Of course, Pakistan is an unstable dictatorship with about a quarter of its territory living under State-subsidised anarchy (they call that "tribal zones"). Factor in rampant fundamentalism and you get remarkably un-ideal conditions for succesful development.

      Thomas-

    7. Re:Is it unexpected? by gordo3000 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      of course not. I mean, why blame the group that ruthlessly gutted a country of all its natural resources for years and upon leaving, took everything they could of any value and left nothing in place. Of course India should have been able to industrialize as fast as Japan. I mean, there are only minor differences when compared to the US policy of pumping money and supplies into the Japanese economy and attempting to speed development.

  4. How can that be? by bit01 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    China has nowhere near as many IP lawyers protecting their "valuable intellectual property" as the USA.

    1. Re:How can that be? by Ahnteis · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Funny or dead-on? I see someone else agrees with me that the US is fast becoming the international leader in lawsuits and nothing else. =(

      We're (and by we I mean the folks making the laws -- and yes, I did vote) so busy with things like the DMCA, broadcast flags, and creating new and more invasive DRM that we're quickly falling behind in other areas of innovation.

  5. Hmm by jav1231 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Frankly, after the shootings the other day in China I wish we'd stop doing business with them. Our relationship with China is nothing to be proud of.

    1. Re:Hmm by Narc · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Where I see your point, I don't agree with it.

      You can't judge a people by their govt and their ideology, especially such an oppresive one. It's like judging America by Bush. Refusing to do business with them or have any sort of relationship with them isn't quite as simple as "I don't like that cheerleader, she's a prissy cow and ignores me". On a international level, this hurts the people already being screwed over by their govt in the long run more so.

      You have to build some form of relationship, positive ones more often than not are better, regardless of your opinion of someone. Positive relations are more effective at bringing about change.

    2. Re:Hmm by martinmcc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      yeah, They should learn that they should only do bad things to people after flying them to a different country, or if they report things they don't like, or have oil or stuff.

      I really don't think America can take the moral high ground on anything atm.

    3. Re:Hmm by Kev_Stewart · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you'd spent any time in China you probably wouldn't say that. Or maybe YOU would.

    4. Re:Hmm by modernbob · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Unfortunately this idea seems to make sense with the exception of the fact that we are not a democracy or a republic. The only people offered up for election are rich people and the pawns of those rich people. When someone does manage to gain some national attention that doesn't fit in the power group they are ignored by the press and often times made to be non-competitive. An example of this is in national debates where lessor known candidates are not allowed to compete. Perhaps this national debate would be their opportunity to show they are a better leader, we will never know. Our country has become complacent and lazy. We have had to much for to long and it shows in our culture and in our leaders. We should not be surprised when another culture whips our ass because they understand what went wrong in the past and endeavor not to do those things in the future.

    5. Re:Hmm by Newton's+Alchemy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You have to build some form of relationship, positive ones more often than not are better, regardless of your opinion of someone. Positive relations are more effective at bringing about change.

      Unless the country doesn't have nuclear weapons, then you're of course free to invade.

      The "helping the people not the government" argument is utter bullshit. It helps US Corporations to do business in China, period. THAT's why we still do business with them and not in places like North Korea. It has NOTHING to do with helping the average Chinese.

  6. This surprised me... Pentium II ? by vistic · · Score: 3, Funny
    "Leading integrated circuit manufacturers, however, have avoided setting up fabrication facilities in China in order to protect their chip designs and manufacturing technology. This means that China is still heavily dependent on imports of advanced chips it needs to assemble electronic products. [...] Also, Tsinghua University has produced a microprocessor that matches Intel's Pentium II."


    Wow... a Pentium II? I suppose that's pretty advanced, but I honestly thought they would be able to produce something better on their own.
    1. Re:This surprised me... Pentium II ? by jonnythan · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "Just imagine how much cheaper servers could be if companies didn't have to pay a huge processor cost"

      Not that much, really. A quick quote on a Dell PowerEdge 2850 with a pair of dual-core Xeons, 4GB of RAM, a pair of 73GB 10K SCSI drives, and SUSE presinstalled, reveals that the processors only represent approximately 8% of the up-front system cost, and that's at retail prices for the processors, obviously ignoring whatever sweetheart deal Dell has with Intel.

      Cutting the cost of the processors from $250/each to $100/each saves you $300 off a $6,000 system. Hardly meaningful in any way.

  7. "impose its own technology standards"? by sczimme · · Score: 4, Insightful


    From the article:

    Also, China's efforts to impose its own technology standards across a range of consumer products, including mobile phones, digital photography and wireless networks, are widely interpreted as a strategy to dominate the global market for information technology goods.

    That approach will probably serve them quite well within their own borders, but I don't see how they can hope to impose their own standards on the rest of the world. There are already standards (e.g. 3G) in place across the globe, accompanied by hardware produced by manufacturers in several countries. The Chinese standards would have to displace the incumbents (so to speak) and become widely adopted by those same former incumbents. It sounds like a very difficult - if not insurmountable - obstacle.

    --
    I want to drag this out as long as possible. Bring me my protractor.
    1. Re:"impose its own technology standards"? by BananaPeel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      1. Move your IP standard to match those in the US 2. Patent you new stuff based on your standards at home and abroad 3. Supply your new equipment at cost into new markets 4. Dominate the market 5. Up your prices fractionally 6. Profit until some other country does the same to you The US IP laws are really a rod for their own backs. IP people just don't seem to get that they can be totally out competed and then have their own IP laws used against them by foriegn companies to exclude them from their own domestic markets..or am I missing something?

    2. Re:"impose its own technology standards"? by Laura_DilDio · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sounds like they've simply taken a page from Microsoft's playbook.

  8. Only the beginning by Markvs · · Score: 5, Insightful

    JP Morgan and some other firms are now outsourcing finance positions to India for the first time. If the US doesn't wake up and go for FAIR trade, FREE trade will cut all of our collective throats.

    --
    46. The Hobo smiles, his eyes glaze over, and he burps. "Beware the man who has lived longer than the Wasteland."
    1. Re:Only the beginning by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Shipping is a very small cost, especially for small, lightweight goods like mp3 players.

      At the moment China is a lot cheaper because their cost base is so very much lower. As people become wealthier there, so things will go up in price - housing, food etc. And they will become less competitive (unless they are wise and spend money on educating even more Chinese to compete with the world).

      The problem for many parts of the world (like the EU and USA) is that they are doing exactly the wrong thing. Government (by will of the people) are creating more and more tax breaks/programs to ensure that their people maintain an improving wage structure, instead of letting costs slide and getting closer to being competitive with China. The longer that you do so (and run up larger and larger debts), the worst the eventual slide is going to be.

  9. Re:Why this is by Malenfrant · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Because the companies can no more survive without employees than they can without customers, giving the employees a powerful bargaining position. This is the reason labour rights have progressed over the last century or so. As we (the workers) are not prepared to accept peanuts for our labour, the only way to keep industry in western nationa is to impose minimum labour standards on all companies we do business with

  10. The Peoples Tivo by Soporific · · Score: 4, Funny

    I wonder what selections the party has made for my viewing pleasure today?

    ~S

  11. Another sign of the US switching by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    From a manufacturing base with huge exports of cars, military goods, computers, electronics and so on, to a services based economy.

    Companies like GM, Ford, boeing are all being overtaken by European and Asian counterparts such as Airbus, Mercedes (who of course, recently took over Chrysler), Toyota and so on. Traditional industrial areas such as Arms manufacturing have been undercut by the European weapons giants FN and Heckler and koch, (the designers and makers of the next gen US army replacement rifle that will soon be replacing the M16.

    IBM going to China, Chrysler going to Germany, Ford and GM opening plants in Mexico and Canada. America does not actually make that much stuff anymore (Germany remains the number one exporter in the world with China a close second).

    But does that matter, is it no longer profitable for companies like IBM or GM to make product in America? Is the real money in IP, like with Microsoft, or with American Pharma giants like Pfizer? Or how does that explain companies like toyota opening up manufacturing plants in America? How does a service based economy provide the jobs necessary for 300 million people?

    1. Re:Another sign of the US switching by CyricZ · · Score: 4, Informative

      Ford and GM have had plants in Canada for decades. In fact, Ford is even closing some of their plants in Ontario. I have relatives over there who fear the effect that will have, considering the plants employ many people in their communities.

      --
      Cyric Zndovzny at your service.
  12. Re:Why this is by capt.Hij · · Score: 5, Funny
    Absolutely right. It is the poor, poor, executives that make the sacrifices here in the US while the over fed, over indulgent, over rich workers make out like bandits. If it were not for the unions those poor robber barrons would have kept our standard of living comparable to China's where it belongs.

    </irony>

  13. Ain't what it used to be by IAstudent · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sadly, Lenovo now having IBM's computing line is making me look at ordering an old Thinkpad off Ebay rather than a brand-new shiny silver one (yes, they no longer come in just matte black, unfortunately)

    It's not because a Chinese company is building this computer line, and we've all heard the cliches and stereotypes of Asian-quality products so I won't go further into that. It's the fact that IBM gave all the work on their Thinkpads and Thinkcenters to someone else, period. I know it was part of their big paradigm shift or whatever buzzword it is, but they made the choice for themselves. I'm all for China's economy and tech economy improving, but IBM selling out leads me to question the quality of their future products.

    1. Re:Ain't what it used to be by Chris+Bradshaw · · Score: 4, Informative
      They really weren't "selling out", Lenovo had the business all along, the products were just branded differently. I am an avid Thinkpad user (Linux support was and is killer). I just recieved my brand-new Thinkpad T43p in the mail from Lenovo, and I can honestly say that they have made significant improvments (quality wise) since the name change (since the T42 even). I currently own 4 thinkpads (two old x300's, a T23, and now a T43p) and I am really impressed with this particular model. I say they improved the T43 over the T42 by putting titanium composite on the bottom now along with the usual lid.

      I think Lenovo would be slaying the proverbial Golden Goose if they mucked with the formula. I hate to sound like a troll, but I can't stand by and watch my favorite laptop manufacturer get bashed for something they are not guilty of...

      --
      Get your Windows Malicious Software Removal Tool Here for FREE! - http://fedora.redhat.com
  14. Free trade is fair trade by Colin+Smith · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What we have at the moment couldn't remotely be called free trade.

    --
    Deleted
  15. Really? Are you sure about that? by sczimme · · Score: 4, Insightful


    our new chinese overlords. Better than the old ones...

    I'm not so sure.

    --
    I want to drag this out as long as possible. Bring me my protractor.
  16. PATENTS & IP by NigelJohnstone · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I guess giving patents to everyone for everything, lengthening copyright to forever and a day, and criminalizing minor infringements didn't work. Which is funny given that the proponents of this IP regime argue that this is what the USA can make money selling.

    Now if only the EU isn't so dumb as to fall for the same rubbish....

  17. The great red planet??? by dbleoslow · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When I was growing up in the 80's, there was a big anti-communist thing going on (Most notibly, the great war epic Red Dawn). There was also a big "buy American" movement due to a strong Japanese economy. Now we have a communist economic powerhouse and noone seems to be raising a stink. Why is that? My only thought on this is that with China, US executives are still making money. The Japanese kept everything from manufacturing to management in-house. China just does the manufacturing and leaves the US management to their big salaries. I think you will only see the "Made in China" issue come to the forefront when they start managing everything, thereby screwing the US upper management.

    1. Re:The great red planet??? by antifoidulus · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's just scary to realize how similiar the Chinese economy is to the Japanese economy of 20 years ago, and how China is pretty much guarenteed to hit the wall within the next decade, just like Japan did. Remember, Japan started off the same way as China did, with a fixed currency, starting with the "low hanging fruit" so to speak of labor intensive manufacturing, had a central government that plays a huge role in the economy(Japan's government, at least pre-Koizumi, was democratic in name only pretty much), as well as growth that seems focused soley on exports and constructing stuff to export more. Hell, you even have at first a blatant disregard for the environment at first until some major events really wake you up(in Japan events like the mecury poisining in Kagoshima, in China the Haribin chemical spill). Hell, they even have the same demographic issues, China is just about 20 years later than Japan. However, Japan hit the wall when it turned out they couldn't export any more than they were already exporting. Now Japan is finally posting above 1% growth for the first time in about 15 years, but even then exports to places such as China play a large role. Japan's consumer spending is still depressed compared to places like the richer EU countries(everyone's spending is depressed compared to US consumers) I foresee China hitting such a wall as well. Already there are more factories than there is demand for their products, and signs of speculation are increasing rapidly.
      Of course the big difference is China has 10x the population and nukes....

    2. Re:The great red planet??? by greg_barton · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's just scary to realize how similiar the Chinese economy is to the Japanese economy of 20 years ago, and how China is pretty much guarenteed to hit the wall within the next decade, just like Japan did.

      Yes, and the difference now is that the Chinese economy is propping up the American government, both by financing our massive debt/deficit and providing our consumer based economy with cheap goods, fueling our economy and tax base. What happens when the Chinese economy hits a wall and that support goes away, eh?

  18. In a way, it's overstated by bobdotorg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm typing this on a 12" Apple PowerBook. Made in China. It's currently charging my 'Assembled in China' iPod. These would be tallied into the Chinese total, though they are clearly 'American' products and the bulk of their profits go to the (shareholders of the) American company.

    While the advances in the Chinese IT industry are nothing less than phenomenal, I suspect that it will be at least a few decades before The States is knocked from the #1 position in IT.

    In an oblique way, TFA says the same thing:

    It is foreigners who have driven much of the growth, with heavy investment from global giants like Intel, Nokia, Motorola, Microsoft and Cisco Systems. Figures from the Chinese Ministry of Commerce show that companies that had received overseas investment accounted for almost 90 percent of 2004 exports of high technology products.

    Oh yeah - and this OECD study only measures exports, not production. With Americans also leading the world in resource hoggery, American production may still lead Chinese production.

    --
    __ Someday, but not this morning, I'll finally learn to use the preview button.
  19. Re:Really? Are you sure about that? by metricmusic · · Score: 3, Informative

    They are doing something about it.

    http://www.voanews.com/english/2005-12-11-voa20.cf m

    --
    http://www.livejournal.com/users/metricmusic
  20. Wait, we were #1? by Caspian · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm surprised we were even #1!

    I've NEVER seen ANY piece of computer equipment say "Made in the USA" in the past few years. In fact, I can't even recall any that said "Assembled in the USA". Ditto for Canada (our 51st state, eh?).

    Everything you buy seems to be made somewhere in Asia. Usually China, sometimes (for slightly higher-quality stuff) Taiwan, or (for the GOOD stuff) Japan. Occasionally Korea, Malaysia, etc.

    --
    With spending like this, exactly what are "conservatives" conserving?
    1. Re:Wait, we were #1? by CyricZ · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The only reason America was better off the latter half of the 20th century was because it wasn't devastated by severe war during the first half.

      Remember, significant portions (including the populations) of France, Germany, the Netherlands and Belgium was destroyed twice during the first two world wars. The western Soviet Union took quite a beating, too. Of course, Greece, the Balkans, Eastern Europe, North Africa, Japan, China, Korea, and many Pacific islands were also quite devastated by conflict.

      It's no wonder that those who were able to progress, rather than rebuild, took the lead.

      --
      Cyric Zndovzny at your service.
  21. Re:Why this is by penguinoid · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Don't forget that having a minimum wage can result in less jobs in some areas. It can also cause some jobs to disappear entirely, as the cost would be too high. The obvious solution is to allow illegal immigrants to work at illegal wages :-). On the other hand, higher wages (and less jobs) tend to motivate people to learn more (so they can compete, but also because the pay is better), and to replace dull jobs with robots whenever possible (robots are only as valuable as the equivalent human labor).

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
  22. subtle paranoia by digitaldc · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "China is quickly becoming an innovator and, as we know, it has the money to turn those ideas into weapons," he said.

    Why is it that commentators and news writers are always paranoid about China becoming a dangerous military superpower, yet apparently noone has a problem investing billions of dollars in the country as well as freely using their cheap labor to manufacture goods? Wal-Mart says about 60% of their goods are manufactured in China. Why all the paranoia if we are so willing and able to use them to make a profit?

    --
    He who knows best knows how little he knows. - Thomas Jefferson
  23. Re:Why this is by damsa · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Unions are specifically exempt from anti trust law by statute. So are the Major League Baseball Association and insurance companies.

  24. Not imposing standards: dodging royalties by The+Famous+Brett+Wat · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think the idea that they are attempting to impose standards is misplaced. I suspect that their main motivation is the desire to have standards that don't involve royalty payments -- at least, not external ones. It's a massive drain on profitability to be paying per-unit license fees on all these things.

    Another thing to note about standards is that they are primarily a matter of ubiquity. You really don't have to care what encoding your digital mobile phone uses, or your video disc uses, etc., so long as its quality is "good enough" and you don't run into compatibility issues. Microsoft knows this, and uses their dominance of the desktop as leverage: if they want something to be a de facto standard, they just include it in the next Windows service pack. So long as enough goods are manufactured which support a particular protocol, that protocol becomes a de facto standard.

    --
    proof, n. A demonstration that a conclusion is implied by certain premises and axioms.
  25. well by Dr+Floppy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    We still lead the world in developing new technology. And China has some serious growing problems that they wont be able to alleviate for many years. There is a serious inequality in the number of women for men, there are going to be a lot of lonely men in China. The gobi desert is growing rapidly in the western border of the country and the Chinese government is throwing billions to try and stop the spread. The US and our allies still hold the material cards, as China despite its vastness has to import a lot of material just like Japan does to sustain its manufacturing based economy. China is a growing force to be reckoned with but they are not the juggernaut that the US has been since WWII

  26. Services moving overseas, too by EmagGeek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I've read a lot of posts about how the US is becoming a services-based economy. I have news for you, the services are being offshored as well. I went to my doctor for my annual physical last month, and while there was a nurse in the office performing the physical, the doctor was on an LCD screen from his office in, you guessed it, India.

    Did you also know that there are law schools in India now that teach AMERICAN law and not Indian law? I'm guessing that paralegals and other support functions in Law will shortly be available for cheap offshoring.

    I used to think that Medicine and Law would be the last things to go, but it seems I was wrong about that. As I scramble to find a safer profession than Engineering, I'm not even sure where to go. I thought of teaching, and then realized that there are movements afoot to move this overseas, too, with a cheap security guard in the classroom to maintain order and a cheap teacher overseas in front of a camera.

    So, while it's not so untrue that America is becoming a services based economy, I think it would be more accurate to say that it is becoming an UNSKILLED or lesser-skilled services economy.

    1. Re:Services moving overseas, too by vidarh · · Score: 3, Interesting
      All of this is just temporary and here is why: Each time these countries start eating into a new segment of Western economies, they move towards equalising salary levels.

      Engineers in Bangalore for instance have seen their salaries skyrocket over the last 5 years, and as a result they are becoming less competitive and companies are increasingly looking at other parts of India to outsource to, and to cheaper countries.

      But it has also meant that many companies that might have considered offshoring at the prices 5 years ago don't see that high an incentive any more.

      Eventually there will be an equilibrium. These kinds of positions simply aren't comparable to minimum wage manufacturing jobs that require little to no training and can be done by anyone, and so they contribute to massively drive up salary levels in the areas companies outsource to.

      The trickle down effects may even get sufficient to start driving up overall prices in these countries - it certainly has driven up prices for housing for instance in many outsourcing hotspots.

      The net result is that while I can understand that some people are concerned for their jobs, this won't cause an implosion of the job market for engineers in industrialised countries - for that the cost of engineers in the main outsourcing locations is rising too fast, and most alternatives have "problems" such as lack of people with sufficient skills in English.

      Ultimately, for the right people this is also an opportunity: While the Indian software industry is still mostly offshoring based, for instance, the growing IT sector in India also means the opportunities for Indian based software houses are increasing. Ultimately we'll be seeing increasing amounts software exports from companies that will need people to work on site with customers in the west - there's always work that can't be done remotely.

  27. Had to happen...here's why: by ErichTheRed · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The Chinese have a lot of advantages. The first is sheer numbers...a higher number of people can be educated and work in the technology field. All other offshoring destinations (India, etc.) have this same advantage. The second is control; the Chinese government can still crack down and force people to do things that may otherwise be unpopular. The Soviet Union was famous for this when they forced the industrialization of Russia in a very short period of time. The third is an educational advantage. The only way to get ahead in Chinese society is education, and it seems from the numbers that parents drum this into their kids' heads right from the start.

    I think that one of the things we could do to reverse the trend is to find a way to graduate more students in math/science/engineering. They're being scared off because they think that the only jobs left in this country will be in management. I can't say I blame them either.

    1. Re:Had to happen...here's why: by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Government control is no guarantee of long-term success. Soviet dictators turned Russia into a great power, but look at it now. China's iron hand can squash just as easy as it pushes. Frankly, I don't think China can maintain its current groth as a totalitarian country.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
  28. Dont forget the other reasons they are scared off by gentimjs · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Dont forget that our entire society is setup to mock intelligence, and tries to teach children that intelligence/education are somehow "bad" .. kids hear jokes about school as if to suggest not being there is the desired state of being, and smart people are always portrayed as nerds with thick glasses while football stars are portrayed as heros of virtue (rather than rapists and drug abusers... ahem ...).... I was involved with schoolboard in my local town and while we have a great program for disadvantaged students ("special education"), that special-ed program only covers kids who have a -dis-advantage rather than gifted students... Also consider that our town buys each kid on the football team $1500 in equipment NEW every year, but the kids on the chess club have to buy thier own chess sets and there is no funding for a computer team. I live in New Hampshire, in one of the more conservative towns, so its not a matter of the rich town giving football a budget, its a matter of where they put the priority.... Given how hard our society tries to actively discourage education and intelligence, can we be suprised in the slightest?

  29. So? No country can by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Doesn't it crack anyone up that germany of all countries has the gall to tell the rest of the world what is right or not? For that matter japan? Yet both want a seat on the security council. Lets see, we have had two world wars both started by the germans. How about eh. NO.

    Application denied forever. Comeback in a thousand years and maybe we lets you back.

    England? Read up on their empire and it is their politics that led to the whole mess in the middle east with how the formation of Israel was handled, they should have created a palistine at the same time or at least given Israel better borders (the whole golan heights issue is because it gives syria a very easy front to attack from and a very difficult for Israel to defend). Oh and who created the situation between India and Pakistan.

    So the axis nations are out. Maybe france? Can you say vietnam? No thanks and that leaves out the US as well. China is out for obvious reasons. Russia? Oh boy no.

    Maybe a small country like say my own the netherlands? Nope, indonesia and our other former colonies show that we are just hitlers on a miniature scale and anyway our behaviour during WW2 was appaling.

    The belgians? Please they got a goverment so corrupt that it makes the italians look capable.

    Australians? Maybe after they do somthing to right the wrong committed against the natives.

    It doesn't exactly leave anyone? Sooner or later pretty much every country has done stuff in the last century that shows that if a country/society/ethnic group has a change they will murder rape and slaughter those they think of as less important.

    The only reason some countries at the moment behave is because they would get their asses kicked if they didn't. Nazi sympathy in germany is still sky high but the russians would never tolerate them getting in a position of power to the power that be in germany sit on it at the moment but still refuse to deport war criminals or lock them up.

    No kiddo, no country can take the moral highground. Wich isn't going to stop anyone of course because rule one of real life. It ain't bad if it is you doing it.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:So? No country can by guanxi · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Whoopee! We're better than Saddam Hussein! I'm so proud.

      Seriously, try thinking for yourself and not parrotting the party line.

      Anyone who says we shouldn't have gone to war is saying that Iraq was better off with Sadam.

      It's fun to put words in other people's mouths, but that's not really what anyone says. For example, I think it was a bad idea because,
      1. It undermined the international system that managed conflict without war: Look at the international conflicts before the post war institutions (UN, Geneva conventions, etc) and after. Not many countries invading each other since 1945 relative to before then. It's better for all concerned: People die in wars, the survivors' lives and cities are ruined, their societies are in ashes and take a generation to rebuild. Some never recover. Lots of money is spent. Nobody with experience in war recommends it as a solution to any problem, just a last desperate resort.
      2. Undermining that international system will lead to more net suffering: Now others will say pre-emtive war as justified, even when only supported by weak intelligence and loose conjecture.
      3. It will also increase costs to the US: We have many interests worldwide; we can't afford to invade someone every time we don't like them. The old system provided a way to manage those issues much less expensively.
      4. It may not have been worth the cost to the US: Much as I'm happy to see Hussein gone, I saw a mother ask, 'what did my son die for'? Well, what? Are you sure it's worth it? And if so, why Iraq? There is far more suffering in the Congo, Sudan and other places. Should we invade all these countries? Would you raise taxes to pay for it?


      The Iraqi people are greatful

      Says who? Grateful for what? In every survey I've seen, Iraqis say they dislike the U.S. occupation.

      we're doing far more good than is ever being publicized.

      Out of curiosity, if it's not publicized, how do you know about it?
  30. Yeah but... by infinite9 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yeah but have you ever seen a japanese-run minimart?

    --
    Disconnect your television. Do your own research. Draw your own conclusions. They're probably lying. Don't be a sheep.
  31. Re:China is not Japan by Hiro+Antagonist · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes, but Japan has also had a very large influx of Japanese-speaking Koreans and Chinese over the past twenty years; there's a reason that Japan Town in San Fransisco has more signs in Korean than in Japanese.

    The Japanese 'labor shortage' was never a problem; what fucked the Japanese, as the parent poster noted, was that they lost their currency edge, and then the inefficency of Japanese business practices caught up with them. The yuan is currently at an 8:1 ratio with U.S. dollars, much the same as the Yen was back during the early 70s, and the situation is indeed quite similar.

    The difference on the U.S. side is that we still had an edge on the Japanese back during the 80s -- IT. Japan may have been making the cars and appliances more cheaply, but we were turning out engineers at a very brisk pace, and managed to build one hell of a computer software industry.

    Unfortunately, we've by-and-large sold this out, crippled our educational system in a number of ways, and have made it almost impossible to start a company in the same way one would in the 1970s, because of all the new IP laws designed to protect big business.

    Of course, time will tell one way or the other, but I'm happy that I'll be near-fluent in both German and Japanese by the time I get done with school, because I sure as hell don't want to limit my work options to the U.S. alone.

    --

    --
    I Hit the Karma Cap, and All I Got Was This Lousy .sig.
  32. Re:Really? Are you sure about that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As do american police; and your point was?

    You are a complete asshat. The American police routinely shoot protesters? America has its problems, but to compare its treatment of citizens to China only demonstrates that you are an ignorant fool.

  33. Re:Why this is by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Absolutely right. It is the poor, poor, executives that make the sacrifices here in the US while the over fed, over indulgent, over rich workers make out like bandits.

    Actually that is the way it was before unions caught on. You had super rich and super poor in the US. Unions equalized things for about 60 years. Now the wealth differences (as measured by ratios) are growing again. I hope you like the 1890-1920's because we are headed there again.