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NASA Holds Competition to Develop Space Vehicles

BlueCup writes to tell us that the US space agency is holding a competition to develop space vehicles NASA doesn't have the time or resources to develop. The winning companies will get $500 million and NASA will merely lease them as the need arises. From the article: "NASA hopes the private-sector vehicles can bridge an expected gap between when the space shuttle fleet is grounded in 2010 and the crew exploration vehicle is flying in 2014. A thriving commercial space transportation industry also can offer researchers, and others, opportunities to send payloads into space without relying on NASA's crowded space shuttle schedule or worrying 'that the government will decide next month or next year not to launch,' Griffin said."

227 comments

  1. How about the Russians? by Bob+Cat+-+NYMPHS · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They have a reliable and well tested system, why doesn't NASA use that?

    1. Re:How about the Russians? by Eightyford · · Score: 2, Insightful
      They have a reliable and well tested system, why doesn't NASA use that?
      Does lining the pockets of a currupt foreign government with american tax dollars seem like a good idea to you?
    2. Re:How about the Russians? by QuantumG · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As opposed to lining the pockets of a corrupt domestic government?

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    3. Re:How about the Russians? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) russia already makes plenty of money from its oil & gas resources.
      2) they already have the nasty WMDs and weapons, so they obviously won't be spending their money on trying to develop any.
      3) the russian people seem to not mind loss of some freedoms, if they get more money.*

      * - this statement lacks data to back it up.

    4. Re:How about the Russians? by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      They have a reliable and well tested system, why doesn't NASA use that?

      Because we really do need more than a crew of 3 for any real science or construction work. Not to mention that it'd be nice to have something we can leave up on the ISS for more than, what is it, 6 months at at time?

    5. Re:How about the Russians? by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Interesting

      First, We currently do. But we need to have more systems. If we can get several commercial systems to take hold here, then over the next decade or two, we will see real commercialization of local space.

      Second, these systems are SMALL. The one being developed by Space Dev, is simply a scaled down derivation of soemthing that NASA funded. And it will be bigger than all the others. It will be able to take 2 pilots and 4 crew (with very little cargo) into LEO. Will it get us to the moon? Not even close. And if not moon, then mars is obviously out of the question.

      Third, the system by NASA will go places that none have been able to since what was developed by kennedy's admin. And yes, that includes the Russian system.

      BTW, while the current Russian launch system is mature, it takes them MANY years to get it there on all their systems(for example MIR). They have their fair share of issues with the older versions. When Russia does the klipper, it will be interesting to see how they do.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:How about the Russians? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe that the main reason is that NASA is prohibited by federal law from buying services from any other country.

    7. Re:How about the Russians? by alshithead · · Score: 3, Interesting

      But I see the future as being beyond LEO. There's a lot of crap up there already. Hell, almost anyone can launch to LEO if they have some money either by developing their own launch capability or using someone elses. Commercialization of local space is not space development. It's becoming sprawl. The GP was talking about pushing towards the "future". To me, that is not LEO.

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    8. Re:How about the Russians? by Keebler71 · · Score: 1

      We are... we currently buy both Progress and Soyuz missions to meet our requirements. We can't continue to do this because there is a law on the book that says we can't. It is called the Iran and Syria Nonproliferation Act. Relief has been extended but it prohibits us from dealing with countries that share technology with Iran and Syria. After 2011, it will be illegal to buy Soyuz and Progress flights.

      --
      "It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your own ignorance." - Thomas Sowell
    9. Re:How about the Russians? by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is about competition to get into space. IOW, to do what russia currently does (and we currently buy from). And yes, we do need to go beyond leo. But LEO can be profitable and is a great first step. Basically, just developing ships to carry passengers to the ISS (or to bigelows SS) will more than be profitable for a few companies. Once that is going, then a company can shoot for the moon. Of course, keep in mind, that NASA is developing a system that can shoot for the moon/mars. Ideally, it will allow a small base camp to be set-up. And the cost of it will probably be more than 20 billions when done. Few small companies can afford that. Even now, Gates and Buffet are getting ready to take their accumulated billions (which they are in the few who could evelop this) and spread it around which means that they will not be able to do this. So how many other companies can do it? well, for a perspective, it cost intel or ibm 1 billion dollars to develop a new manufactuering plant. And that cost is spread over 10 years. 20 billion is beyond large companies, let alone small ones.

      Finally, the GP (bob-cat mymphs) does not have the word future in their posting. And there was nothing to indicate that they were thinking about that.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:How about the Russians? by eviltypeguy · · Score: 2, Funny

      At least the money stays here then -- remember, buy corrupt, buy American (only half-joking).

    11. Re:How about the Russians? by alshithead · · Score: 1

      Respectfully, LEO IS profitable and any ship that can carry cargo can also carry passengers. At this point the goal should be exploiting resources beyond LEO. We are already using LEO very well. I love my GPS :) I know we need a consistently reproducible launch system in order to exploit resources beyond LEO. That is the key. I just don't see any current government or corporation expending the resources to develop that and I wish there was a private entity that had the resources to do so. 500 million dollars means nothing for that endeavor. I think we as a species are very shortsighted most of the time and those of us who try to think big and further into the future are a minority. You also obviously see the bigger picture but how can we promote that?

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    12. Re:How about the Russians? by alshithead · · Score: 1

      And the corruption in the US government is a better idea?

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    13. Re:How about the Russians? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One of the best shot just died tonight with buffet's announcement. It is possible that over the next decade or two, somebody else will accumulate that much money (that is, == to gates and buffet). It will probably be a chinese business person. At that time, hopefully they will have the foresight to invest into such ventures as building a maglev or better yet, sending a small mining colony to mars.

      What is sad about this, is that more could have been done for society and charities by starting a number of small businesses that then have to give one percent back to charity forever. Once we get back to think long term about our fellow man and our nation (something that we seem to have forgotten over the last 20 years), then we will see progress.

      Of course, another good one would be paul Allen. Paul is very interested in long-term rather than short-term returns. Seeing as how he was the main money behind Rutan, perhaps he will invest into getting us to mars/moon.

    14. Re:How about the Russians? by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 4, Informative

      I already read about this in Popular Sciencea long time ago. It's actually a very good thing I believe. They set timelines and requirements in each plan with each tech company to design new spacecraft tech. They get so much money each step of the way after they've demonstrated their ideas and product, often through actual testing. This is a good way to not only prevent overspending but it also encourages private sector innovation from a variety of sources, very well qualified people. The startup companies work like hell to get their idea to work, and they pay for the early stages of work in the hopes that NASA will accept their design or someone else will. I like that NASA is staying ahead of the game on this. It's a great strategy.

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    15. Re:How about the Russians? by Brigadier · · Score: 0, Flamebait



      If you think for a second that that the US government is any less corrupt than that of Russia you have made a horrible mistake. I'm guessing you really believe bush went into Iraq to promote democracy also. Dont' be fooled my friend.

    16. Re:How about the Russians? by Eightyford · · Score: 1
      If you think for a second that that the US government is any less corrupt than that of Russia you have made a horrible mistake. I'm guessing you really believe bush went into Iraq to promote democracy also. Dont' be fooled my friend.
      America is pretty fucked up, sure, but Russia is still a hell of a lot worse.
    17. Re:How about the Russians? by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Informative

      As opposed to the current form of NASA spending: whicher congressman has the most "pull" gets the contract for his buddy who happens to live in his district, who then overcharges up wazoo.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    18. Re:How about the Russians? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      No. As opposed to creating a non-government industry focused on building vehicles to get us to space.

      In my own opinion, it's much better than lining anyone's pockets. Although rather than a $500 million prize to a single company, I would rather they guarantee 100 seats a year on any company able to get people there alive and ok.

      Part of the problem before for private industry is there was no reward to create a private method to do it. With this, there's only a single reward for the first company.

    19. Re:How about the Russians? by CRCulver · · Score: 1

      If you think for a second that that the US government is any less corrupt than that of Russia you have made a horrible mistake.

      At least in the modern era US regional officials don't pay skinheads to beat the crap out of people who were here first just for having concerts in their own language, and deny exit visas to people trying to travel abroad.

      For a really horrifying view of the treatment of minorities in an ostensibly democratic nation, see Rein Taagepera's The Finno-Ugric Republics and the Russian State (Routledge, 1999). Being a Navajo or Zuni right now is infinitely preferable to being a member of an indigenous population in Russia. So yes, the U.S. is less corrupt in this respect.

    20. Re:How about the Russians? by flinkgutt · · Score: 1

      Does lining the pockets of a currupt foreign government with american tax dollars seem like a good idea to you? Never stopped you before? ;-)

    21. Re:How about the Russians? by wulfhound · · Score: 1

      I disagree. If the likes of the Gates foundation can go some way to fixing the problems of the developing world (not to mention the US school system), in the long term that will do more for the space programme than investing $billions in todays' rocket scientists. Right now, a lack of realistic breakthrough ideas is holding space exploration up more than a lack of funds. If humanity really is to go places in space, we need to be thinking about the problems of long-duration interstellar travel, not blowing vast sums on touch-and-go men-on-Mars projects. If we want to move forward, we need to get the other 9/10ths of humanity (you know, the ones without clean water or schools) involved. Right now there's a hell of a lot of untapped potential out in the world.. to keep things moving forward, we're going to need it. It's a long way off, but imagine today's developing world producing scientific discoveries at the same rate per-capita that the US, Japan and NW Europe do today.

    22. Re:How about the Russians? by andrewman327 · · Score: 1

      The Russian system is getting a bit old, and it will be nice to see some brand new technology out there. Besides, it still costs money to haul your expensive brand new sat all the way to Russia and not damage its sensetive equipment.

      --
      Information wants a fueled airplane waiting at the hangar and no one gets hurt.
    23. Re:How about the Russians? by gnum · · Score: 1

      Yeah right. And all this really stops US from buying space tech from Russia...

    24. Re:How about the Russians? by Bob+Cat+-+NYMPHS · · Score: 1

      IS there a resource to indicate what the most reliable launch systems have historically been? Apollo makes a pretty small sample.

  2. Why develop the CEV at all? by Eric+Smith · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If private industry can come up with a spacecraft that can meet the needs from 2010 to 2014, why shouldn't it meet the needs from 2014 forward?

    1. Re:Why develop the CEV at all? by jmichaelg · · Score: 1

      Seems to me Griffin is hedging with a 2-pronged approach. He's saying he'll try this approach but keep CEV going in case this approach fails. General Groves did the same thing during the Manhattan project - he had three different uranium enrichment technologies developed at the same time because he couldn't see which one would win out.

  3. X-prize? by jollyroger1210 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Isn't this ust a reiteration of the X-Prize?

    (by a different entity)

    --
    Purple, because ice cream has no bones.
    1. Re:X-prize? by plover · · Score: 3, Insightful
      It may be, but the Ansari X-Prize didn't come with a time frame. Don't they think it's a little late to start asking industry to come up with a solution for 2010? Three and a half years may seem like a long time to get a project off the ground (so to speak,) but to design and build an entire orbit-achieving spaceship, it seems pretty short to me.

      This isn't just a reworked White Knight we're talking about here. The White Knight was specifically designed to win the X-prize. Van said all along that it was a suborbital design from the get go, and was specifically not designed as a first-stage-to-orbit kind of ship.

      My guess is that one of the booster makers (like Boeing or Lockheed) is going to paste a passenger capsule on top of an existing rocket. The technology of lifting is already done.

      --
      John
    2. Re:X-prize? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No... the X-Prize was a contest. The first player to meet the objectives won the money. This is a package of incentives to encourage commercial companies to develop a spacecraft. As they hit various milestones.. they get small payments. If they demonstrate the full capability, they (potentially) get a contract.

    3. Re:X-prize? by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      SPACE SHIP ONE DID NOT ACHIEVE ORBIT!

      Well this has been going on a long time now, contrary to the article just coming out now. They wouldn't do this if there wasn't enough time for some useful research and development to take place.

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    4. Re:X-prize? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The technology of lifting is already done.

      Yes but does it run Linux?

      The fact that they are offering a more open design process (contest)... open source the space program? If it could be more open with perhaps thousands of minds working together (a collective?), then perhaps we could see shorter development times.

      Nah it won't happen to many government bribes... er contracts to make $s off of.

  4. The year was 1987 by Audent · · Score: 4, Interesting

    And Nasa launched the last of its deep space probes...

    Sadly, I worry that might well be true.

    Why not simply turn over access to "deep space" to private enterprise? Asteroid belt mining is a staple of SF - is there a real commercial incentive today or do we have to wait till ol' Mother Earth runs out of diggable dirt-based useful stuff first?

    And wasn't there a story about the moon being made not of cheese but of some kind of minable ... helium? Something like that...

    (wanders off to google for a bit)

    --
    I am a leaf on the wind
    1. Re:The year was 1987 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Asteroid belt mining is a staple of SF - is there a real commercial incentive today or do we have to wait till ol' Mother Earth runs out of diggable dirt-based useful stuff first?

      Probably the latter. Chairmen who have to answer to shareholders will choose short-term small profits over long-term huge profits everytime. And asteroid belt mining really is a long-term deal. Besides, weren't Larry Niven's belters all crazy aloof separatists? I don't think any corporation wants its miners to declare independence from headquarters.

      FWIW, Michael Flynn in his future history starting with Firestar has the human race mining asteroids that come near Earth's orbit first. Slimmer pickings, perhaps, but they are easy to get to, and if you're keeping track of local asteroids for profit, you also have a better early-warning system for one coming close enough to possibly impact the Earth.

    2. Re:The year was 1987 by BenJeremy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, we should exploit deep space as soon as possible for any number of reasons, but the most compelling is economic... Isn't nickel (required for stainless steel) getting rather rare these days? Yet it's plentiful in the asteroid belt. While the harsh environment of deep space forces some new processes to extract minerals, it also provides more efficiencies in other areas.

      The simplest approach to mining would be to fabricate simple ablative heat shields and automated re-entry mechanisms for loads of metals and drop them into the desert (every continent has desert areas to use for recovery of these materials), where they could be easily recovered.

      The unstated part of the problem, of course, lies in the fact that as the process becomes more routine, the price of rare metals goes down drastically, since the supply becomes far more plentiful.

      Still, the bounty of mining our belt for raw materials that are being depleted (or where mining of such material is restricted for environmental concerns) could provide us incentive to enter a true "space age".

    3. Re:The year was 1987 by cyclone96 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why not simply turn over access to "deep space" to private enterprise? Asteroid belt mining is a staple of SF - is there a real commercial incentive today or do we have to wait till ol' Mother Earth runs out of diggable dirt-based useful stuff first?

      If there was a commercial incentive, it would be done. There is no "access" to deep space to turn over to free enterprise - they are free to launch stuff into deep space and mine the asteroids all they want if they choose to. Sure, a license is required, but licensing is essentially demonstrating to the government that you won't endanger the public or cause an international incident. Governments appear to have a monopoly on deep space launches only because there is currently no profit to be made, so they're the only ones doing it.

      --
      Worst...sig...ever!
    4. Re:The year was 1987 by Qzukk · · Score: 4, Interesting

      is there a real commercial incentive today or do we have to wait till ol' Mother Earth runs out of diggable dirt-based useful stuff first?

      We'll have to wait well beyond then. First we'll have to wait until whats on Earth has been used up. We could go earlier, but the cost-benefit analysis says that it'll cost a lot and if they don't do it, then major corporations will benefit hugely by selling less metal for more money.

      Once what we've got is all "gone", we'll have to wait some more... see, like idiots the people of the future kept saying "oh theres plenty it'll last for decades, and once it's gone we'll figure something else out!" Only now that it's gone, they're discovering that they really needed that metal to "figure something else out". So now "other" major companies (the mining companies went bankrupt when they ran out of metal to mine, all the miners were laid off, and the top brass assembled a new company, exactly the same as the old, but with cheaper workers since all of the freshly unemployed weren't exactly in a good bargaining position). These companies will recycle the used metal.

      Except! It would be a terrible shame if these companies spent billions figuring out how to recycle all the rare metals and then lost their market to fresh space-ore. So they patent the process of retrieving ore from orbit, and proceed to sit on it for the duration of the patent. Meanwhile, they start spreading FUD about how much more expensive it would be to get ore from space and now that they can recycle nickel and other metals, they don't need it anyway. Metal is plentiful again, and people quit caring about space.

      Problem solved, assuming that we manage to pull off a miracle and find a replacement for oil before it runs out, and not after the last part needed for the oil replacement equipment gets stranded in the middle of the desert because the truck it was on ran out of gas. Maybe companies will figure out a stopgap recycling solution for oil too... soylent oil anyone?

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    5. Re:The year was 1987 by HermanAB · · Score: 1

      The space mining conundrum: If there was a belt of gold a foot thick circling the earth at a height that a spacecraft can reach, it would not be worth it - and you want to go to the asteroid belt? What can possibly be that valuable?

      --
      Oh well, what the hell...
    6. Re:The year was 1987 by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 1
      Isn't nickel (required for stainless steel) getting rather rare these days? Yet it's plentiful in the asteroid belt.

      I agree, and the concept was a thought-starter. Here's an idea -- it feels a bit trollish, but I hope it's not taken that way:

      Imagine for a moment what would happen if an asteroid of nearly pure gold that was not quite a dinosaur killer, yet capable of some considerable ecospheric shock, was found to be on a collision course for Earth?

      What would the matrix of political pressures look like?

      --
      Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    7. Re:The year was 1987 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So doesn't this say to us that the corporate model just isn't working (as far as deep space exploration/exploitation is concerned) and we really need another approach...

      namely one that's not driven solely by the commercial model.

      Back to govts? Hey, Bill and Melissa have billions to spare - would they like to fund it?

    8. Re:The year was 1987 by alshithead · · Score: 0, Troll

      You're not far off. Helium is a limited natural resource that we will run out of in the not too far future. I agree about private enterprise but as I said in previous post I don't see that as being allowed by any major government. Private enterprise is best able to start and promote exploitation of resources outside of LEO if they are allowed the opportunity and they see it as a long term profit. Maybe Buffet and the Gates' will see it as a goal...

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    9. Re:The year was 1987 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Not everyone in SF gets a license first: Salvage 1 for example.

      Freelancing though probably will come about once there are one or more corporate space stations. There are a few reasons for this:

      1. The big money is in the lift vehicles, controlled drop vehicles and the station itself. Asteroid hopping vehicles will be relatively inexpensive to build and operate.

      2. The corporations don't have to take responsibility for the independant operators. The operators can either be miners or just finders or both. Corporations will only pay for delivery not for unproductive time.

      3. Space stations will become the new corporate towns with the new corporate stores and Tennesee Ernie Williams music will see a revival in popularity.

      Will stop there as I don't want to completely outline a new science fiction novel for someone or a new future business model. On second thought maybe I should on the latter and patent it.

    10. Re:The year was 1987 by Eightyford · · Score: 1

      Why so pessimistic? We have hydrogen (nuclear) to replace oil, and there's still a quadrillion metric assloads of metal left on the earth. Shit, what do you think the earth is made out of?

    11. Re:The year was 1987 by jeffsenter · · Score: 1

      A big reason no major companies like GE are thinking about mining asteroids is it does not make commercial sense right now, at all. The economics do not work.

      It is very expensive to send stuff into low-earth-orbit. It is substantially more expensive to send stuff into geosynchronus higher orbits. Getting to an asteroid and then getting back is unbelievably expensive. It is not clear that there are any substances or elements in existence used on a large scale (large demand) that would be worth a trip to an asteroid and back with cargo. If an asteroid in the asteroid belt was made of pure platinum that might not even be worth it.

      30 years from now with commercial space ventures steadily lowering the cost of space travel, companies may reexamine the economics of asteroid mining. Mining Mars would be cheaper (due in part to homegrown return fuel of methane) and would probably come before asteroids, but don't expect that any time soon either.

    12. Re:The year was 1987 by drsquare · · Score: 1
      Probably the latter. Chairmen who have to answer to shareholders will choose short-term small profits over long-term huge profits everytime.


      In this case, they're choosing short-term profits over long-term complete loss of money. There is no money to be made in asteroid mining.
    13. Re:The year was 1987 by JonathanR · · Score: 1

      I don't think Nickel is getting rare, so much as energy is getting expensive. Thus the lower grade and Nickel deposits and alternative Nickel mineralisations are becoming more expensive to extract and process.
      I'd say you'd get quite a bit of conventional Nickel for your space program-sized budget

  5. Re:Joke... by alshithead · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    If you mean what you say in your sig...you'll never subscribe. Typo's are a defining trait of Slashdut.

    --
    I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
  6. I have a winner by DoubleRing · · Score: 5, Funny

    Oooh! I have a design I've been working on in the weekends, not that I'm an engineer or anything. If anyone had a link to where we can submit our designs...I'm sure I would win. Umm, they're not asking for a working prototype are they? So, when can I expect my 500 million?

    --
    Before you die, you see DoubleRing...
    1. Re:I have a winner by CrazyJim1 · · Score: 1

      Your design wouldn't happen to involve 'warp drives' would it? Because thats just science fiction. And besides I'd have to sue you for taking my design idea.

    2. Re:I have a winner by nihaopaul · · Score: 1

      well i've been working on my submission, i've made it out of 6 kits i've collected over the years, it has some big wheels of rubber to make sure it doesn't get a puncher, it is controlled by 3 6volt moters, can be repaired onsite depending on availbility of these weightless pieces and i'm sure if i get the lego remote kit i can have it controlable from a distance, only thing i dont know about is how lego stands up in those conditions, i left some outside in the rain before and after a bit of washing its exactly how it was.

      oh wait this is slashdot.. n/m

    3. Re:I have a winner by heptapod · · Score: 2, Funny

      Oh no, I saw the plans myself and it's just a surplus submarine fitted with a Dean drive!

      It works! Honest! Newton's Fourth Law or something!!!

  7. Great for a one shot vehicle... by alshithead · · Score: 4, Insightful

    500 million isn't enough to develop a long term, repeatable, economical vehicle for launches. 500 million gets you one vehicle that MAY launch successfully...once.

    --
    I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    1. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by CRCulver · · Score: 4, Insightful

      500 million isn't enough to develop a long term, repeatable, economical vehicle for launches. 500 million gets you one vehicle that MAY launch successfully...once.

      The X-Prize folks seem to be doing just fine so far with a much smaller budget.

    2. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by QuantumG · · Score: 4, Funny

      I know it's hard for people to understand this, but spacecraft are not monolithic. You can design a space capsule and then launch it on any launcher that has a standard profile. Kinda like being about to run an application on any operating system, oh wait, no, hang on. Kinda like being able to use any razorblade in your razor. Ok, not a good example either. I know, kinda like being able to use any kind of tires on your car! Yes, that'll do.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    3. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by alshithead · · Score: 1

      Good for them...and they have how many contracts for launching satellites or research projects?

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    4. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by node+3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A two-man sub-orbital vehicle that barely breaches the boundary of space is a far cry from an orbital vehicle capable of carrying an actual crew and/or supplies and stay in orbit for days on end.

    5. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by alshithead · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yup, those 15 inch tires fit great on 17 inch rims...

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    6. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by Alfred,+Lord+Tennyso · · Score: 2, Informative

      In addition to what node3 said, there's also the whole trick about bringing it back. SpaceShipOne never got above 1km/s. LEO is nearly an order of magnitude greater (7.8km/s). Energy goes by the square of the velocity, so LEO requires 60 times as much energy.

      And then you have to shed most of that velocity to get it back; that's equivalent to absorbing and re-radiating all the fuel you burned putting it up.

      It's a long, long way from the X-Prize to commercial orbital vehicles.

    7. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it did the same thing that the X-15 did in .... wait for it... 1963

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_American_X-15

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    8. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by CRCulver · · Score: 1

      The X-15 didn't meet the requirements of rapid turnaround that the X-Prize set.

    9. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      ok you got me, they probably could have done that in another year or two so consider it 1964 or 1965 :)

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    10. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      > 500 million isn't enough to develop a long term, repeatable, economical vehicle for launches.

      The $500 million is basically seed funding. In fact, each of the 6 finalists has stated that even if they didn't get the money, they would still develop their vehicles, albeit on a lengthened schedule. They forsee a large commercial market for orbital transportation.

    11. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      500 million isn't enough to develop a long term, repeatable, economical vehicle for launches. 500 million gets you one vehicle that MAY launch successfully...once.

      The X-Prize folks seem to be doing just fine so far with a much smaller budget.

      Let's put it this way: The X-Prize vehicles are skateboards. What NASA needs is a minivan.
       
      Which do you think will be cheaper?
       
      (And the technology gap between the two vehicles is just about that large too...)
    12. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by MikShapi · · Score: 1

      None, actually.

      Throwing up a rock[et] that will reach the edge of space is one thing. That's roughly what the X-Prize did.

      The problem is that the first thing it does once it gets there is fall right back down like .. well .. a rock.

      To get it to *stay* up there, you not only need to get it up there, but to also give it a horizontal speed of ~30,000km/hr.

      No 30,000km/hr? No satellite contracts for you.

      --
      -
    13. Re:Great for a one shot vehicle... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, the space shuttle sure as hell isn't a mini-van. It's more like one of those cars that you can convert into a light aircraft by bolting wings and a propellor onto it. A crap car, and a crap plane. A badly-engineered solution, badly in need of replacement.

      You snark at the X-Prize. Ok, it may not have led to cheap travel to LEO for everyone within six months of finishing, but it was never realistically going to do that. What it *has* done, is spur at least a billion, possibly two billion in public and private investment in vehicle development by at least a half-dozen firms and spaceport construction, at Upham, Burns Flat, Ras-Al-Khaimah, Singapore and elsewhere. Not bad for a measly $10mil.

  8. All I have to say is... by Xiroth · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Frickin' finally. This is possibly the best possibly future for the public space agencies - fund research and development through a combination of grants and prizes, and not actually work on the problems themselves. They've done good work in the past, but they've simply become too large and inefficient, and that's exactly what privitisation is best at combating. This is very good news for people looking towards the future of space exploration, exploitation and colonisation

    1. Re:All I have to say is... by alshithead · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I respectfully disagree. At anytime you could have the entirety of your work taken away for "state security" reasons. The US government will NEVER allow a completely private entity to control space to a greater degree than the government. I'll mention it again...Robert Heinlein's "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" is the example that government will follow. If you control space to any degree you can throw "rocks" at the planet. The rocks can be anything where some mass will survive reentry and be able to be aimed at a target. The US government has contingency plans for "aliens from outer space". Why would they allow a domestic threat of the same magnitude?

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    2. Re:All I have to say is... by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      If you control space to any degree you can throw "rocks" at the planet.

      Yes, and that's why there's the US Space Command. To come and nuke your space outpost back into a lifeless unhabitable stretch of vacum.

    3. Re:All I have to say is... by alshithead · · Score: 1

      What US Space Command? They're going to ask Russia or China to send up a nuke to take out a privately held vessel or station? Even if they could do that (space is BIG) they wouldn't. Hell, I could cut a deal with China or Russia in second if I'm saying I'll fuck up the US and side with them. Or...I say instead of throwing shit at the US I'll throw it at you...doesn't China have a REALLY big dam that they'd be really unhappy about a catastrophic failure due to meteor? Russia has the same kind of weak points.

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    4. Re:All I have to say is... by node+3 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      they've [NASA] simply become too large and inefficient
      They've always been large and inefficient. That's the only way certain things can be accomplished.

      and that's exactly what privitisation is best at combating
      Almost. Privatization is best at "optimizing for profit", and only that. It just so happens that in a great majority of endeavors, that leads to increased productivity, freedom and quality-of-life.

      However, some things do not benefit from privatization. These things tend to be public services, utilities, life-and-death services, very difficult/expensive endeavors with inadequate profit potential, and things that don't get done otherwise. In the case of NASA, we are stuck with "very difficult, expensive, and lack of sufficient profit motive".

      That said, properly executed partnerships with private corporations (as is done with the shuttle, and I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't also the case with Apollo), can let the private sector do what it does best and large governmental organizations do what they do best. The biggest problem with just throwing it out there for the private sector (as it sounds is the case here), is that:

      1. The private sector will only do it if they believe there's profit in it.
      2. The private sector may fail to provide anything.

      The drawback with #1 is that the private sector won't necessarily provide the best vehicle, but the most profitable vehicle. That's not to say that a government agency will necessarily do the best (after all, the Air Force's interests altered the shuttle into a substantially inferior craft). Still, removing the profit motive removes a major potential conflict of interest. Additionally, the profit will have to come from NASA anyway, so what's the difference for NASA to just design the craft and contract out construction anyway?

      The potential drawback of #2 is even more severe. A hobbled craft is superior, at least in the short-term, to no craft at all (poorly executed, a hobbled craft could set the space program backwards (as some have claimed the shuttle has done), but at least we've got something to get us into space). What are NASA's plans if the private sector fails to deliver a product (note: the private sector has never delivered a complete orbital human-flight spacecraft, so what makes NASA think they will manage to do so so quickly?)? Do we just bow out of space for the interim? Do we hitchhike aboard Soyuz? Extend the shuttle program? (According to TFA, sadly, it appears that the answer is this is only to go to ISS, so, aside from missions there, we effectively will be bowing out of non-ISS-related human spaceflight for four years. F**K! Someone, please, prove me wrong!)

      In my opinion, I'd prefer Congress just fund NASA enough to do what they need to do, so long as it can be done within reason. After all, as I point out above, if the private sector does come up with a solution, NASA will still have to foot the bill anyway. If NASA really thinks this will work, it sounds like excessive faith in the free market. If NASA really knows the high improbability that this will succeed, it sounds more like an attempt to use the private sector as a scapegoat ("no one anticipated[*] the private sector would fail to provide a solution").

      [*] Three magical words which seem able to absolve the speaker from any personal responsibility or blame for any disaster or failure.
    5. Re:All I have to say is... by solitas · · Score: 2, Insightful
      And exactly what does the US Space Command have in its closet that can get off the ground as far as even the 'space station'; let alone with any kind of weapon attached?

      --
      "It's time to take life by the cans." ~ Bender ("Bendin' in the Wind", ep. 3-13)
    6. Re:All I have to say is... by Matt_R · · Score: 1

      It can't be too hard to modify an ICBM to hit a target in LEO.

    7. Re:All I have to say is... by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Frickin' finally. This is possibly the best possibly future for the public space agencies - fund research and development through a combination of grants and prizes, and not actually work on the problems themselves.

       
      Actually - this is the worst possible future. Prizes tend to generate point solutions to winning the prize - rather than general solutions.[1] Grants tend to generate solutions that go precisely to the bounds of the RFP - and no further.
       
      [1] The X-Prize is a perfect example of this - it was originally intended to provide technologies to jumpstart LEO acess. Instead, we got a craft utterly incapable of being scaled up to provide LEO acess - a craft that's a point solution.
    8. Re:All I have to say is... by ExoticMandibles · · Score: 1
      1. The private sector will only do it if they believe there's profit in it.
      2. The private sector may fail to provide anything.
      1. So, The Red Cross doesn't exist?

      2. Gosh, the public sector may also fail to provide anything, too.

      The private sector is good at providing what people want, or at least think they want. And, obviously, people want utilities and "life & death services". The private industry would provide these better and at lower cost than government. There would be competition, and innovation, and all manner of marvelous outcomes. Compare The Red Cross and The Salvation Army to The Department of Health & Human Services. Compare private retirement accounts to Social Security! Which do you prefer?

      But let's look at all your examples! When a company has a hell of a lot of money on its hand, it is often willing to invest in "very difficult/expensive endeavors with inadequate profit potential". Witness Microsoft plowing money into the XBox. Just because a project is large, or may not pay off handsomely, certainly does not mean that private industry will not attempt it. As for your last one, I'm not sure what you mean by "public services". If you mean "things that governments do", you're right, private industry tries not to provide those as a rule.


      larry

    9. Re:All I have to say is... by LenE · · Score: 1

      You miss the point of the X-Prize and the result of the winner.

      SpaceShip One may be a point solution, but it is the catalyst for two new enterprises, The SpaceShip Company and Virgin Galactic. These companies are taking the baby step of SpaceShip One, and turning it into a profit-generating new industry, that will fund further developments that will eventually get to LEO. A LOT of seats are already sold on SpaceShip Two, and this revenue will generate more R & D for the next step in the future.

      Do you think the space tourists of the next few years will be satisfied with brief excursions into space, or will they be clamoring for spending time in LEO? You can be sure that there will be a few companies that will be working towards that next step, at a price that will keep them in business. The X-Prize provided the initial incentive, market economies will take over from here.

      -- Len

    10. Re:All I have to say is... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      You miss the point of the X-Prize and the result of the winner.

      No - I understand the point more thoroughly than most. I've been following the X-prize for years, I'm not just a bandwagon jumper that started following it when it came down the wire.
       
       
      SpaceShip One may be a point solution, but it is the catalyst for two new enterprises, The SpaceShip Company and Virgin Galactic. These companies are taking the baby step of SpaceShip One, and turning it into a profit-generating new industry, that will fund further developments that will eventually get to LEO.
      That's the rationalization that's arisen since the Prize was won. It remains to see whether it will eventually reflect reality.
       
       
      A LOT of seats are already sold on SpaceShip Two,

      Not one single seat has been sold on SpaceShip Two. Not one. There's a resptectable number of reservations - but no seats have been bought, because none have been put up for sale.
       
       
      and this revenue will generate more R & D for the next step in the future.

      That's the theory - but there are an enourmous amount of unknowns between here and there.
    11. Re:All I have to say is... by solitas · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It can't be too hard to modify an ICBM to hit a target in LEO.

      Aren't ICBMs pretty much on suborbital trajectories to hit stationary ground targets?

      And the ISS (for example) is orbiting about 400 KM @ about 7.7 KM/sec?

      And the US is having a little bit of a hard time using purpose-built missiles to hit subsonic, in-atmosphere targets?

      Not even considering the politics involved, I think it can be pretty hard enough...

      --
      "It's time to take life by the cans." ~ Bender ("Bendin' in the Wind", ep. 3-13)
  9. Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by clragon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    are we seeing the forming of an equivilant of the Military-Industrial_Complex in the field of Space Exloration? Will the government contracts to private companies lead to massive spending in the field of space exloration like it did for the Millitary starting after WWII?

    1. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by Maelwryth · · Score: 1

      I doubt it. Reason one, the economy can't take it. Reason two, the 500 million will be awarded to a company in the existing Military Industrial Complex.

      --
      I reserve the write to mangle english.
    2. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by Lord+Satri · · Score: 1

      "forming of an equivilant of the Military-Industrial_Complex"

      Forming? Isn't military, industrial and space technology already having close ties? You're probacly right: the military and big corps may benefit (again) from NASA-money. I'm not sure if it's a bad thing or not. If it was just me, I'd considerably reduce military spending and put it in industry & space tech, but this has more to do with social values than how you try to foster innovation (such as promising prizes to out-source development and still get the benefits).

    3. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      like it did for the Millitary starting after WWII

      You're confusing the end of WWII with the beginning of the Cold War. The type of spending that was done for WWII (other than that which finally ended it for Japan) wasn't really aligned for staring down the Soviets. Of course, that new wave of R&D sure didn't hurt the space program.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    4. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      The real problem is that we already have that. Basically, the gov is in the process of approving the merger of LMart's and Boeings rocket division in the interest of saving money. But it will not. Basically this admin just moved our 2 biggest companies into a monopoly and is willing to grant them huge contracts. OTH, NASA's COTs approach will encourage multiple companies to develop rockets and space access. I suspect that COTs will be be divided with 250M going to one company, and then another of 150M and another ot 100M, so that we have 3 companies. In addition, I would not be surprised to see congress approve another go at it in hopes of getting another company funded (namely in their own district).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by ksheff · · Score: 1

      Sounds good to me. Just think of all the geeks that will be needed to do the work.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    6. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by alshithead · · Score: 1

      And...I'll bet everyone on congress owns shares of those companies regardless of which road is followed.

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    7. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by evilviper · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The type of spending that was done for WWII (other than that which finally ended it for Japan) wasn't really aligned for staring down the Soviets.

      Oh?

      Radar? B-2 bombers? Jet fighters? High-altitude spy planes? Tanks? Aircraft carriers? Navy destroyers?

      I think the parent is wrong about this becomming a new military industrial complex, through. You can justify regularly wasting billions of dollars when it's for "defense", but you just simply can't when it's for... well... absolutely anything else. Particularly "exploration".
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    8. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      Radar? B-2 bombers? Jet fighters? High-altitude spy planes? Tanks? Aircraft carriers? Navy destroyers?

      Lacking those things certainly would have made dealing with the Soviets and their proxies harder, of course. I was refering to the more "strategic" things that dominated military spending and development afterwards - nukes of all sorts (and delivery systems), high-end surveilance goodies, and so on. The more traditional military hardware was certainly needed in Korea and Vietnam, but the fancy stuff would certainly dominate as time went on.

      I'm certainly all for WAY more spending on basic space-related research. The only way to free up a lot of what's getting spent on military activities is to make their mission less important and demanding. And that means, just as it did with the Soviets, outlasting the forces against which they are arrayed.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    9. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realize that existing aerospace companies design and build critical components for NASA already.

      Let's go with a well known example from Grumman, like this.

    10. Re:Another "Military" Industrial Complex? by evilviper · · Score: 1
      nukes of all sorts (and delivery systems),

      There was only 1 nuke delivery system before the first ICBM and the ensuing space race, and that was the WWII B-29 bomber.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  10. Out of reach? by triskaidekaphile · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A curious thought here: if a corporation could launch a fleet of ships to outer space, wouldn't that put them out of government reach? Sure, seize their ground control, they'll just land in another country. (If not drop a bomb of their own!) Obviously we would need a way to destroy such a threat! Let's contract out for a solution!

    --
    @HbFyo0$k8 tH!$
    1. Re:Out of reach? by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 1

      Feh. Bombs? Hell, I'll drop a three mile diameter iron asteroid on your ass with the thrust from a Roman candle. Can you say "Extinction Event"??

      --
      No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
  11. Orwell updated.... by styryx · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "When deep space exploration ramps up, it'll be the corporations that name everything, the IBM Stellar Sphere, the Microsoft Galaxy, Planet Starbucks."
      - Fight Club ;)

    It's bad enough now with the Telco's thinking they own the internet. So NASA will lease them for some of the time, what about the rest of the time...? Does the company get to use it's own gear to put up satellites and what not?

    To be objective, I guess someone's got to pay for it. But space travel and the means to do so should not be patented away, preventing anyone else the means to get to space should they wish to build their own machine and get off this rock; perhaps assurances against something like this will be needed?

    (Toungue-in-cheek throughout.)

  12. No need for NASA then by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 4, Insightful
    NASA is not a scientific body, it is and **administration** which is why it takes so long and costs so much to do anything.

    If civvies can get into space, then there's surely no further need for a federal space program and embarrasments like the shuttle can be put behind us.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:No need for NASA then by alshithead · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Repeating myself from a prior post on the subject... Our elected representatives have "pork" projects that are funded from our space program. The federal funds get raped for any kind of "space" project that might be included in some local interest. Does your closest major city have a "science center". Try the Maryland Science Center at Baltimore, the Carnegie Science Center, the Arizona Science Center, or the Detroit Science Center. All of the elected government officials get a slice of the budget that supposedly promotes the space program. If our space program's budget wasn't siphoned off for bullshit projects we might be able to accomplish something substantial. That, and the fact that the whole system is management top heavy is what kills success.

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    2. Re:No need for NASA then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are too easy a mark for government. We have gotten a government like we chose women. The government is dumb, top heavy and that hand in your back pocket isn't fondling your behind.

    3. Re:No need for NASA then by alshithead · · Score: 1

      Your comments are on target...maybe. Do you have any suggestions as to how to fix things?

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    4. Re:No need for NASA then by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      Well a lot of scientists do work there and work for them (us).

      "If civvies can get into space"

      LOL. If you are referring to Space Ship One, it did get into space I suppose, but give me a break. It was a lightweight craft with only one passenger that didn't really make it out of the atmosphere. I'll take your comment more seriously when they are launching heavy payloads into space, maybe to the moon (and land on it... and return would be nice), maybe to bring up parts of a space station and attach them in space, or to repair a delicate space telescope etc etc etc. Oh yeah, and I guess they'll be using plenty of NASA tech or NASA funded tech (I don't think you realize this) to do it. Until then, I'm glad to pay for NASA, thanks.

      By the way, maybe you have heard of the X-15? it was a USAF/USN experimental rocket aircraft that did similar things to what Space Ship One did (even over 100km, same as the X-prize requirement), only that was in the 1960s!
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_American_X-15

      As you read about the X-15, you'll realize how ridiculous your argument is.

      Plus I don't consider the shuttle an embarrassment. I can't believe this was rated "insightful".

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    5. Re:No need for NASA then by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      From what I understand, A. Graham Bell's telephone didn't have voice mail and call waiting. By your standards his work was a waste of time.

    6. Re:No need for NASA then by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1

      Wow! A caustic and distorted view made with no proof and with obvious signs that poster doesn't have a clue about what he is posting gets a "5, Insightful"... Oh yea this is slashdot.

      While its true that NASA is saddled with a manned space program, NASA is more than manned space exploration. NASA has unmanned space exploration. NASA has Earth science programs. NASA has astronmical observatories. NASA has gamma-ray (and other spectra) science programs. Yes NASA has administrative overhead, and yes being a governmental entity makes it a target for earmarks (aka pork).

      We would not have any science available to us if it was strictly non-governmental in nature. I think people who think otherwise are niave fools. The private sector has a profit motive. So any science in the private sector would most likely be determined by how profitable it is. You would have corporate censoring of science (its bad enough we have politcal censoring) if scientific observations supported a hypothesis that contradicted the corporate mission.

      So on the subject of NASA, I think its a necessary agency and any moves that will free money from the manned program so it can be spent on its science program is a good thing.

      Oh yea, name a strictly civilian (Non-governmental) program that placed a human in orbit, and no I don't count launching a pilot to the 63 mile mark for a extremely short time. Seriously, I haven't heard of one and would like more info ;)

      As for using Russian spacecraft... I think it is very important that the United States develop its own space craft to ensure that we have a self-reliant method of maintaining our presence in space.

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    7. Re:No need for NASA then by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      You would be right except there was no telephone before he invented it (and that other guy invented it at the same time), bad analogy. Slashdot seems to be in constant "It's Analogy Time" mode.

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
  13. Yes it is... by Colin+Smith · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Finally...

    The only part of the government that should be in the business of building and flying space vehicles is the military.

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Yes it is... by alshithead · · Score: 1

      For successful, long term exploitation you might be right. IF, the funds are dedicated without pork projects killing the budget.

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
  14. Seed Money by Joebert · · Score: 1
    The U.S. space agency is sponsoring a competition in which winning companies will get $500 million (?397 million) in seed money to develop space vehicles that NASA will never design, build or own. Like a U-Haul truck rental, NASA instead will merely lease them on a per-trip basis for sending cargo and eventually crew to the international space station.

    This isn't a race to devolop products, this is a race to design an Intergalactic Business Model.

    Look at that, maybe IBM had it right all along.
    --
    Wanna fight ? Bend over, stick your head up your ass, and fight for air.
  15. Harry Broderick and Salvage-1 by BenJeremy · · Score: 1

    NASA should get a hold of him - his ship even made it to the moon, and was built using an old cement mixer!

    1. Re:Harry Broderick and Salvage-1 by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      There's a reference the kids won't get. I remember it well, though.

    2. Re:Harry Broderick and Salvage-1 by McBainLives · · Score: 1

      I have faint memories of that show- there was one episode with Bigfoot, and one episode with two Andy Griffiths...

      --
      I came, I saw, I left. It looked better in the brochure.
  16. Ouch! the truth hurts... by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 2, Insightful
    See you got modded flamebait, but now interesting.

    Too right. If NASA + contractors can't build something that works reliably aand cost effectively then why should they be protected? Let market forces dominate and offshore the whole lot!

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Ouch! the truth hurts... by Scrameustache · · Score: 5, Insightful

      why should they be protected? Let market forces dominate and offshore the whole lot!

      Why?
      Well, because you don't want the whole lot offshored... because then it's someone else's space program, and you're ancient history.

      Damn, I can't belive I'm defending the military-industrial complex! I feel dirty.

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    2. Re:Ouch! the truth hurts... by russellh · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Too right. If NASA + contractors can't build something that works reliably aand cost effectively then why should they be protected? Let market forces dominate and offshore the whole lot!
      They should be protected when they are doing what they exist for doing - air and space stuff that is in the national interest. That's a pretty gray area, but capitalists are far too short term focused to do much of it, for better or worse. If market forces had dominated, we would never have been in space at all. Billions and billions of dollars and 50 years of development up front with no clear path to making money? sign me up.
      --
      must... stay... awake...
    3. Re:Ouch! the truth hurts... by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      am I missing something? Surely it's the people who decide what missions they're going to fly that have "ownership" of the "program". Who cares where the vehicles are made.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    4. Re:Ouch! the truth hurts... by elrous0 · · Score: 0, Troll
      and you're ancient history

      I know this will get me modded down. But, frankly, NASA already *IS* ancient history.

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    5. Re:Ouch! the truth hurts... by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1

      I hope your not serious.... You are?

      The suppliers of the vehicles are the ultimate controllers of who gets into space.

      As an American, I believe it is in the United States best interests to have a US made vehicle.

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    6. Re:Ouch! the truth hurts... by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      frankly, NASA already *IS* ancient history.

      Nah, it's history when it's done.
      The moribond last throes don't count :)

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    7. Re:Ouch! the truth hurts... by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      Okay, how about we just call this NASA's sad denoumont?

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    8. Re:Ouch! the truth hurts... by crazyeddie740 · · Score: 1

      Because space technology has military applications. The Space Race started as a way for the USSR to show off its shinny new ICBMs. I think Larry Niven once said something to the effect that anything worth doing in space could be used as a weapon. As many people have pointed out above, you don't want this technology falling into the wrong hands, and in some cases "the wrong hands" even includes close allies. If space technology is off-shored, it could always be nationalized by the host government. You don't "own" anything until you can put a scared 18-year-old-with-a-rifle on it. With an offshored industry, you're just leasing it, even if you do pay the bills. Offshoring might make economic sense, but it's a matter of national security to ensure that we have at least some ability to do for ourselves. Plus, I see no reason why our taxpayer dollars should go to stimulating somebody else's private sector instead of ours. If other nations want space capabilities, let them do their own investing (which they are...).

  17. Because the FAA will non-nasa one unsafe. by arthurpaliden · · Score: 1

    Because the FAA will declare the non-governmental one unsafe.

  18. They might be corrupt . . . by 246o1 · · Score: 1

    But they're our Friends! (this is the motto that has let the US (and many other governments) give weapons/money/support/etc. to such friendly faces as Saddam Hussein, S. Vietnam, the Saudi dynasty, the Contras, etc. etc.)

    Since we're already supporters of Mr. KGB and his new Tsarist state, we might as well get something out of it, like a crutch for our limping space program.

    --
    Although the moon is smaller than the earth, it is farther away.
  19. NO, It's NOT the X-prize? by twiddlingbits · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The X-prize has been won. SpaceShipOne achieved its most spectacular flight yet, climbing to an altitude of 377591 feet (71 1/2 miles) to win the $10 million Ansari X Prize back in Oct 2005. This is a MUCH bigger and much tougher contest, however knowing NASA they'll drag this thing out 2-3-5 years and then all these companies will either be gone or have commercialized the systems on thier own and won't need the NASA $$$. Or NASA could split the prize money 2 or 3 ways and none of the winners would get adequate funding. NASA should give the money to a private foundation (like maybe Ansara???) who then makes the awards.

  20. Probably a naive thought but... by bgfay · · Score: 2, Interesting

    wouldn't this make a fantastic project for science departments in universities? It seems like it would be a great connection for some venture capitalist and NASA to create several design centers that would share all information and create a plan that would have as its goal to be inexpensive, creative, and efficient. It's probably a pipe-dream, but it would be an incredible way to invigorate science work in this country at all levels, to engage funding in educational institutions, and likely earn an incredible profit down the road.

    --
    Yeah, I'm as old as my UID would suggest.
  21. Why not just privatise NASA? by duncan+bayne · · Score: 1

    Why not just privatise NASA altogether, and stop wasting billions of dollars of taxpayers money? The X-Prize has shown that the future of space travel is clearly private - IMO, this venture shows that NASA realises it too, and is trying to delay the inevitable.

    1. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by Eightyford · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Why not just privatise NASA altogether, and stop wasting billions of dollars of taxpayers money? The X-Prize has shown that the future of space travel is clearly private - IMO, this venture shows that NASA realises it too, and is trying to delay the inevitable.
      There's a big difference between real scientific research and getting a few thrill seekers into "space". Orbit is much harder to reach than what Rutan's creation achieved. Real space travel isn't going to be possible for a real long time anyways. We need a destination first, and until then we'll just have expensive space-cruises for a small group of rich people. That wont pay for a new Hubble. There's no private market for space telescopes.
    2. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by duncan+bayne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > There's no private market for space telescopes.

      Which means ... you want space telescopes, & think other people should be made to pay for them?

    3. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by Eightyford · · Score: 1
      Which means ... you want space telescopes, & think other people should be made to pay for them?
      Yes, and that plays a small role in what political parties and individuals I elect and support. You want (public transportation, police, fire services, public schools...) and you think other people should have to pay for them? That's what governments are for. Of you don't like it, vote for someone else or move.
    4. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by duncan+bayne · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Why stop there, with healthcare and roading? Why not have other people pay for your gaming console? Your car? Your bottle of single malt Scotch?

    5. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by Eightyford · · Score: 1
      Interesting. Why stop there, with healthcare and roading? Why not have other people pay for your gaming console? Your car? Your bottle of single malt Scotch?
      Because I like to live in a free country that whose government spends a little of my money on social programs and research, but not in a communist country.
    6. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by duncan+bayne · · Score: 1

      Sure, but I'm looking for a principle here, not your personal preference. If you say it's okay to demand people pay for a telescope you want, what's to stop you demanding people pay for your health insurance? Or to renovate your house? Or to build your house in the first place?

    7. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by Eightyford · · Score: 1

      Politics! Hopefully you live in a country is run by people that will listen to you and if not, people that you can vote out of office.

    8. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      It's a tiny investment for just one of the zillion reasons that we benefit from NASA. The one reason I give as an example is protection from homo sapiens killing asteroids. They keep their eyes open and if not them, then who?

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    9. Re:Why not just privatise NASA? by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      Why not just set up a big bullseye for evil space aliens or the occasional homo sapiens killing asteroid.

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
  22. Resurrect Apollo by SourceVisigoth · · Score: 3, Interesting

    NASA already has an extremely well-tested and effective vehicle. The Space Shuttle is a weak and complex design that replaced a great and simple design.

    For less than $500 million NASA could replace the Apollo program 1960's computers (on board and ground control) and develop a new hatch to allow the Apollo command module to connect to the Space Station. Beyond that, just mass produce Saturn 5's and Command/Lander modules.

    This new competition is a Feel Good(TM) program that hands out money to the contractors, when NASA has already done the job.

    1. Re:Resurrect Apollo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      the apollo capsule could not attach to ISS for the exact same reason that the shuttle could not attach to skylab. Different pressures.

      Apollo - 5 PSI pure oxygen
      Skylab - 5 PSI pure oxygen
      Space Shuttle - 12-15 PSI oxygen nitrogen mixture
      International Space Station - 12-15 PSI oxygen nitrogen mixture

      despite what you think, they are not so dumb at NASA.

    2. Re:Resurrect Apollo by wonkobeeblebrox · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't think anyone (even NASA) still has the full blueprints for the Saturn V rockets anymore. As I recall, Apollo 17 went up and then the rockets for 18 and 19 were still in the launch pipeline when the moon program was canceled.

      Now, over 3 decades later, you are looking at military contractors which have gone bankrupt or merged or been acquired or who-knows-what-else. Beyond that, the "people knowledge" of those who designed and built the Saturn 5's is long gone by now, and I'm willing to bet that in something as complex as a Saturn V, there is at least one piece of now-undocumented design information, waiting to spoil someone's day...

      In short: the two remaining Saturn V's that are still around (Johnson and Kennedy Space Flight centers, serial numbers SA-514 and SA-515) are the only two to exist for the foreseeable future. When we, as a nation, decide to go to the moon again, we'll have to build a new rocket from scratch.

    3. Re:Resurrect Apollo by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      You do realize that (in today's dollars) the Saturn 5 cost over $2.4 billion per launch, right? Saying that NASA should resurrect the Saturn 5 to perform the same space station servicing role that they're hoping this $500 million (spread over 4 years) program will accomplish is just silly.

    4. Re:Resurrect Apollo by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful
      NASA already has an extremely well-tested and effective vehicle. The Space Shuttle is a weak and complex design that replaced a great and simple design.

      Apollo wasn't well tested, nor effective (for LEO work), nor simple. Apollo flew only around 20 flights - not even remotely enough for any reasonable testing program. Apollo is far too heavy for LEO work, as it's heatshield and engines are sized for cislunar work. Lastly, even by today's standards, the Apollo CSM is an extremely complicated beast with hundreds of subsystems and hundreds of thousands of components.
       
       
      For less than $500 million NASA could replace the Apollo program 1960's computers (on board and ground control) and develop a new hatch to allow the Apollo command module to connect to the Space Station.

      And what about the guidance systems? The heatshield? The electronics? The dozens of other components and systems that are either no longer manufactured or not safe by modern standards? The best estimates by people who know the field (and aren't in NASA's employ) is that it would cost more to rebuild Apollo/Saturn than it would be to start with a blank sheet.
       
       
      Beyond that, just mass produce Saturn 5's and Command/Lander modules.

      Mass production won't reduce the per unit price much - because the real expense is in the man hours needed to build them and then prepare them for launch. (I.E. 'mass production' isn't a spell you can just intone - it takes real work, a lot of it, to make something as large and complex as Apollo/Saturn mass producible.) You'd need to redesign them for automated manufacture and reduced man hours in both production and preperation. Your $500 million dollar budget would cover about the first year of this five to ten year effort.
    5. Re:Resurrect Apollo by tekrat · · Score: 1

      Wasn't Apollo redesigned AFTER THE FIRE of Apollo 1 to not use a pure O2 environment? If I recall correctly, pure O2 was used for Mercury and Gemini and only for Apollo 1. Only then did NASA realize that they'd simply been getting lucky those past flights, and start to build in safety equipment.

      Besides, it's not too difficult to rebuild Apollo to use 12-15psi and have the appropriate docking module. The Russians did it with Souyez. You'd have to redesign the entire capsule and service module anyhow to take advantage of better materials technology/smaller computers/fly by wire/"glass cockpit" and other modern technologies available today that were not in 1967.

      --
      If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    6. Re:Resurrect Apollo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no, it was not redesigned to not use a pure O2 environment, it was redesigned to sit on the ground with a natural environment and then bleed off to a pure O2 environment as it was being launched.

    7. Re:Resurrect Apollo by Suidae · · Score: 1

      Besides the missing knowledge building more Saturn V's from the original plans would ignore what I suppose is a fairly substantial body of knowledge about rocket building that has been gained since the time that the Saturn V was designed. Also the manufacturing capabilities available now are probably different enough from the time of the Saturn V that a redesign would result in a rocket that is some combination of safer, cheaper and more powerful.

  23. The Private Sector by cryfreedomlove · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think its great giving free enterprise a shot at this. This kind of thing would be impossible in the Marxist societies I have been seeing advocated all weekend on Slashdot.

    1. Re:The Private Sector by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      You're joking, right? Let's see number of people put into space by free enterprise: 0.66 (X-Prize did not make it to LEO)
      Number of people put into space by Marxist governments: One metric fuckton

    2. Re:The Private Sector by alshithead · · Score: 2, Funny

      Please, could you convert metric fucktons to English fucktons?

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    3. Re:The Private Sector by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I think its great giving free enterprise a shot at this. This kind of thing would be impossible in the Marxist societies I have been seeing advocated all weekend on Slashdot.
      Wow! +5 Insightful for knocking down a strawman, you moderators are really on crack.
    4. Re:The Private Sector by stud9920 · · Score: 1

      We're talking aerospace here, you mean Nautical fucktons

  24. really? by mnemonic_ · · Score: 4, Informative

    Name it. The Buran? Nope, not well-tested and uses 70s technology. Soyuz? Yes, it's undergone upgrades throughout the years but might an original design in the 21st century be better? The Soyuz is as conventional as any other rocket system. Yes, it works, but it is hardly the best. It's good current technology; NASA wants something that pushes towards the future. Note that all of the finalist companies are start-ups.

    And I can't believe a post got modded +3 without listing a single specific. Oh well, who needs evidence to be "insightful"? Evidently, not the mods.

    1. Re:really? by Memnos · · Score: 1

      I hate to agree with anyone on Slashdot, it makes me feel like I've spent my time poorly here and will be denigrated by my Slashdot peers, but I do agree with the parent insofar as he/she goes. Also, there are better technologies available now, both more simple and more complex. For specifics, I was impressed with the H2O2 and "shredded tires" fuel of Spaceship One, for the fact that it is easy to handle and can be turned off with a switch (or as close to it as you can get when you fly a controlled bomb.) I am both a fan of NASA and a harsh critic. I think that their mandate should be separated into different parts, I'm not yet sure what. But NASA should focus on the big research goals, and some other organizations should focus on the big accomplishments vis-a-vis expoloration and commerce.

      --
      I don't trust atoms -- they make up stuff.
    2. Re:really? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      but might an original design in the 21st century be better

      Last time I checked the laws of Physics hadn't changed.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    3. Re:really? by mobby_6kl · · Score: 1
      Last time I checked the laws of Physics hadn't changed.

      No, but our understanding has.
    4. Re:really? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      In the case of rocketry there is absolutely no evidence of that.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    5. Re:really? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      You are mixing up systems. ss1 used HTPB (the shredded tires) and nitrous oxide(N2O) as the oxidizer. While space has tested engines based on H2O2, it was not used. H2O2 is very difficult to work with as it must be extremely pure. In fact, a little bit of impurity can cause an explosion.

      The nice thing about the HTPB/N2O combo is the cost and the switchablity. It is basically a solid fuel approach but allows multiple start-ups. Of course, the downfall is that it is not a strong engine, but for orbiting engines, it is a good set-up. I wonder if spacedev will use it for the manuevering thrusters.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:really? by RocketGeek · · Score: 2, Informative
      > For specifics, I was impressed with the H2O2 and
      > "shredded tires" fuel of Spaceship One

      Just as a factoid, SpaceShip One doesn't use H2O2 (which is Hydrogen Peroxide) as oxidiser, it uses Nitrous Oxide, also known as "laughing gas".

      Nitrous Oxide is self pressurising, which is where it scores over other oxidisers (although you take a performance hit because the specific impulse when using Nitrous Oxide is lower than with say Liquid Oxygen). With Hydrogen Peroxide as the oxidiser, you'd need to use a pressurisation tank, most likely of Nitrogen. You still need a pressurisation tank on very large Nitrous oxide powered hybrids, because the pressure drop during the motor burn becomes significant for a large motor, but for smaller hybrid motors, it's less of an issue.

      Also, the shredded tires is a media over simplification. The actual fuel is a rubber-like compound, most likely HTPB (which is Hydroxyl Terminated Poly Buta-diene), hence the fact the media probably just call it rubber, because it is such a mouthful!

      I've got some more information on hybrid rocket motors and how they work, which I'm slowly building up at:

      http://www.ukrocketman.com/rocketry/hybridscience. shtml

      If you're interested in hybrid rocket motors (and they are incredibly simple, as well as chaper and safer than solid rocket motors and liquid rocket engines), then hopefully it may be informative :-)

    7. Re:really? by RocketGeek · · Score: 1
      > While space has tested engines based on H2O2, it was not used.
      > H2O2 is very difficult to work with as it must be extremely pure.
      > In fact, a little bit of impurity can cause an explosion.

      H2O2 has had a bit of a bum rap. It's not actually any worse to work with than a cryogenic oxidiser such as Liquid Oxygen. In fact I have a large drum of H2O2 in the shed for a little pet liquid bi-prop motor project :-)

      It is reactive, no doubt about it, and the experience of the Germans in using it in the ME-163 Komet rocket plane in WW2, showed how dangerous it could be if precautions were not taken, or if residual H2O2 sloshed around on landing the rocket plane. However, it worked perfectly well as the oxidiser (with kerosene as the fuel), in Britain's only orbital launcher, the Black Arrow, as well as another British Rocket that predated the Black Arrow, namely the Black Knight suborbital rocket.

      No doubt impurities can cause dangerous reactions with H2O2, and the stronger the concentration the better obviously, but you clean the feed lines for it in a similar manner to Liquid Oxygen, and given the widespread use of Liquid Oxygen, then it need not be different for H2O2. However, the FUD that has grown up around H2O2 has meant that it is given a wider berth than it really needs.

      > The nice thing about the HTPB/N2O combo is the cost and
      > the switchablity. It is basically a solid fuel approach
      > but allows multiple start-ups.

      HTPB/N2O doesn't actually easily allow multiple start ups. Believe me, I've tried. It can be done with electronic ignition, but is very difficult to achieve reliably. There are means to do it, but the complexity certainly outweighs the benefits in small hybrid rocket motors.

      It is however easy to shut down. You literally just close the oxidiser flow valve, and the motor stops.

    8. Re:really? by Memnos · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I was just typing stream-of-consciousness. I realize after some research that it is Nitrous Oxide as the oxidizer and not Hydrogen Peroxide -- perhaps I was on the former when I posted? And the the shredded tires comment was more a metaphor, I'm aware of how HTPD comopunds work -- if not at all aware of how they are made. But I think my point, and yours, still stand.

      --
      I don't trust atoms -- they make up stuff.
    9. Re:really? by Memnos · · Score: 1

      You're right, I screwed up my chemicals. My bad, mea culpa and all that shit. If you forgive that error, your points and mine are pretty much the same.

      --
      I don't trust atoms -- they make up stuff.
    10. Re:really? by Memnos · · Score: 1

      Can you elaborate on the problems with restart? Are they inherent in the rocket design? Is it something that can be resolved over time, into a solution that does not involve the "many parts" problem?

      --
      I don't trust atoms -- they make up stuff.
    11. Re:really? by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      The Soyuz is as conventional as any other rocket system. Yes, it works, but it is hardly the best.

      How many decades now without a single accident or significant failure? Seems like a pretty damn good candidate for "the best" to me.

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    12. Re:really? by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1

      While, in your opinion, rocket science may not advance. The demands that we require of the rocket vehicles themselves has.

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    13. Re:really? by RocketGeek · · Score: 1
      > I realize after some research that it is Nitrous Oxide
      > as the oxidizer and not Hydrogen Peroxide -- perhaps
      > I was on the former when I posted?

      You'd notice the difference I'm sure :-) I know I'd rather be on the former :-)

      > But I think my point, and yours, still stand.

      Absolutely :-)

    14. Re:really? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Shoots; Nothing to forgive (I get tired of all these ppl who get upset about minor mistakes). The net has changed from the 80's, where it took a lot to cause flamewars.

      And yes, you are right on the mark. BTW, check out spacedev and their dream chaser. Hopefully it makes the cut.

      As to the break apart of NASA, that will happen. NASA has always been doing what private enterprise would(could?) not do. Now, that space is close to being afordable, many companies will come on line. You did notice that nearly all of the small start-ups are not doing any real research, but using NASA's (and others before NASA such as the Germans and Chinese) research. Once we have several companies going into leo, it will be within a decade that we will see them head to the moon/mars. At that point, NASA will be a pure science venture with perhaps a future star ship.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    15. Re:really? by RocketGeek · · Score: 1
      > Can you elaborate on the problems with restart?
      > Are they inherent in the rocket design?
      > Is it something that can be resolved over time,
      > into a solution that does not involve the
      > "many parts" problem?

      The advantage of Nitrous Oxide is it's safety because it requires a fair bit of energy to light. The disadvantage of Nitrous Oxide is that for re-ignition, it requires a fair bit of energy to light :-)

      See the problem ?

      With H2O2, or Liquid Oxygen, you can squirt in a catalyst to relight it. With Nitrous Oxide hybrid rockets, you usually either use a 1-shot pyro grain (as used in SpaceShip-1) and many amateur hybrid rockets, or, another trick with amateur hybrids, is to flood the combustion chamber with Gaseous Oxygen and use either high current or high voltage ignition - again, generally 1-shot devices.

      So lighting them is straightforward enough. Shutting them down if you have a flow valve, is easy enough, but relighting them when your igniter is now on the ground, several miles below, is somewhat problematic :-) It is inherently a design issue.

      It is possible, that a solution could be rigged together using an onboard spark plug based system, possibly with a small GOX tank for reflooding the chamber following a shutdown, however the extra weight could well kill the mass fraction - which is already more of an issue for hybrids than for solids and liquids anyway. In summary, it's not easy, and it's not clear if it is beneficial on a small scale system, although it may well be more solvable with larger commercial hybrid motors.

  25. Speaking of.... by frostoftheblack · · Score: 1

    Where's George Lucas when you need him?

    --
    Do not mark in this space. For official office use only.
  26. NIH syndrome by HermanAB · · Score: 1

    Not Invented Here...

    --
    Oh well, what the hell...
  27. NASA should... by kahrytan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What NASA should be doing is developing a workable business model that will make itself self-sufficient.

    NASA SHOULD BE OFFERING commercial services to American Civilians.

    1. Suborbital Flights.
    2. Cremation Services with Partial ashes launched into space.
    3. For Fee Licensing of Patents resulting from NASA Research.
    4. And any other compettiive services Comercial companies plan to offer.

    And those who think government shouldn't be making money, you should be reminded of United States Postal Service. USPS is a self-sufficient government agency. They rarely ask for federal money.

    --
    \
    1. Re:NASA should... by bhima · · Score: 1

      They already have a technology sharing program.

      Once I got into it I found much of it not really worth the mountain of paperwork required.

      But it is there and it can be used.

      --
      Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
  28. Not made here syndrome by Chris+Deegan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The sad thing is that for 20 mill a pop, you can contract Energia to fly soyuz/progress. Much cheaper, safer and reliable. But politics just get in the way of good science. If I were NASA I would buy the design and rights to manufacture it, but they never would because it aint made in the US.

    1. Re:Not made here syndrome by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      The sad thing is that for 20 mill a pop, you can contract Energia to fly soyuz/progress.

      No. For 20 million you can rent a single seat (out of three) to go to someplace the Soyuz was going anyhow.
       
       
      Much cheaper, safer and reliable.

      Sure, it's cheaper - but a skateboard is always cheaper than a minivan. But a skateboard can't replace a minivan. So far as safety goes - Soyuz is right in the same ballpark as Shuttle. (The difference is mathematically insignificant.)
    2. Re:Not made here syndrome by Chris+Deegan · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I should have added the qualifier 'per person'. I guess what I am getting at is that if NASA were to fund Energia (which they won't do for political reasons) the US could maintain 1 or 2 crew on the ISS for the period 2010 to 2014. This is something the soyuz is doing flawlessly atm.

      With regard to the skateboard/minivan comparison, I can tell you right now that with this new comp, NASA is looking for a skateboard and not a minivan, so its a moot point. There is no way $500 mill and 4 years is going to get you any form of heavy lift. With regards to that, it is worth noting the issue with putting ISS components up there is that a lot of the future components were designed for the shuttle, something that is not easy to work around. Energia have heavy lift capability (zarya etc) but of course payloads must be designed with the booster in mind. This would apply to any lifter/component combination.

      Lastly, safety. The important thing to note here is that you can say that the numbers ie individual deaths per person flown are similar - ie similar death rates, but you have to look at the developmental stages of the vehicles involved - half of the shuttle deaths have occured in the last 3 years and the rest in the last 20. Soyuz have not experienced a fatality for _35_ years. They ironed the bugs out. It is solid Russian engineering - 'built like a brick shithouse' (australian slang). Many space experts (and many amateurs like myself) know that the shuttle is an experimental/developmental vehicle. One that fell far short of its original design and engineering criteria due to funding/politicing. Yes it's awesome, it is fantastic - but I would fly the Soyuz 50 times before I ever hopped on a shuttle :P

      How this relates to the parent: the simple and obvious answer is if it aint broke don't fix it. Yes, the shuttle is broke. The Soyuz is not. My point is that rather than just fund Energia to do what it does best, pride and politics would get in the way and the US would ignore the stable foundations that Soyuz has built. It all comes down to purpose - and that's where the spin comes into it: if the objective is to keep the ISS operational and Americans in space from 2010 to 2014, then you would be slightly lazy to suggest anything other than to continue flying Soyuz. If however, as we are lead to believe, that the objective is to stimulate private space enterprise, then there are many more prerequisites than a $500 mil. lottery with no foreseeable viable industry capable of sustaining itself. To truely invigorate private space enterprise, there are many fundamental things that need to change - such as having a viable business model whereby space is actually profitable.

      Don't get me wrong, I wish to see space travel boom in my life time! I can't wait to buy my ticket on Virgin Galactic :P I follow Scaled Composites and Armadillo religously. I have read every book I can find on spaceflight. I wanted to be an astronaut/fireman. I just can't help but look at announcements like this with a grain of cycnicism with history in mind. Read 'Lost In Space' by Greg Klerkx...it gave me a much different view.

    3. Re:Not made here syndrome by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Lastly, safety. The important thing to note here is that you can say that the numbers ie individual deaths per person flown are similar - ie similar death rates, but you have to look at the developmental stages of the vehicles involved - half of the shuttle deaths have occured in the last 3 years and the rest in the last 20. Soyuz have not experienced a fatality for _35_ years.

      From a mathematical standpoint - it doesn't matter when the deaths occured, only that they did occur. Yours is an emotional argument, not an engineering one.
       
       
      They ironed the bugs out. It is solid Russian engineering - 'built like a brick shithouse' (australian slang).

      That's just the thing - they haven't ironed all the bugs out. In the 80 odd flights to date, there is a continuing pattern of problems and failures. There have been at *least* four extremely near misses. (Read this report on landing accidents for example. Then consider that none of the launch accidents or on orbit accidents are covered.) Then consider this: Between Challenger and Columbia - the Shuttle flew more flights than Soyuz has in it's entire history. There have been eight flights of the latest (TMA) mark of Soyuz - four of which have had significant safety problems.
       
      Or, in short; Soyuz has a long history of problems, problems equal to or greater than the ignored warnings from the O-rings or the foam. Anyone who believes that Soyuz is significantly safer than Shuttle is deluding themselves.
       
      Re: 'Lost in Space'. I've skimmed it, it's mostly bullshit. His facts are correct - but the assumptions going in are utter fantasy and the conclusions drawn are thus rendered nonsense. Among other things; he makes the common fanboy mistake of assuming 'NASA had vision during Apollo and lost it'. NASA, in the Apollo era, did just what it's doing today - executing the will of the Administration. Which, oddly enough, is exactly what it's supposed to do as a branch of the goverment.
       
      Don't get wrong - I'm with you when it comes to space travel. I just choose not to delude myself with the 'NASA is evil and the cause of all our woes' meme.
  29. Govt should paty money to Co's instead of NASA by ABeowulfCluster · · Score: 0

    That way, they can cut out the middleman.

  30. spinners in space by Cr0t · · Score: 2, Funny

    I started to laugh so hard after I read the title. The first thing that came me was some weird looking space mobile with spinners, hydraulics and the aliens from mars keep on yelling turn down the bass bro!

  31. My Personal Titan1 missle Star Wars Defense Progie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Off the exit on I-75 near Warner Robins Airforce base on the Way to Macon, GA, stands (vertically) in a Krystal parking lot, a Titan I missle, erected by the Confederate Airforce (whats that, what? the Confederacy has an airforce? one they lost, two.. airplanes weren't even invented yet) on a plot of ground 10ft by 10ft.

    Here's my proposal. NASA dumps a cool 10 million on me (a bargain).... me and my slashdot hacker buddies with get that bird flying again and lob that bitch into space with a monkey on board (any polititians willing to volunteer? lots of free publicity)

    I'm going to need several trucks full of highly explosive LOX, a case load of AMD Dualcore X2 boxs to setup mission control in the trailer behind my house, and an armful of Kryon spraypaint from Walmart and some hippies to paint it with plenty of Vietnam era peace logos and flowers. Also, several 1960's era Volkswagen buses for field vehicles.

    There's no time to lose. North Korea is about to lob one of their protype nukes at us, we must make a display of force as a country lest the rest of the world realizes the US is really the puffed up pansies we really are. We didn't use a single nuke in Iraq, but yet like complete idiots hurled depleted uranium around the battlefield which did nothing but cause horrible mutations for the next 2000 years in any child born in the area. What kind of country is that. We have to show them we're boss again, like when we dropped those nukes on those slat eyed civilian cities in World War II. Boy them were the good old days. Damn any transplanted American children or women living in either Hiroshima or Nagasaki, they should of been back in Kansas where they belonged.

    All geeks who want to volunteer to be flight engineers, techie hackers, ground support personell, PR people, mission control specialists, here's your chance. Email me at root@rootpassword.com and lets get the avionics upraded on this multiton flying chunk of rusty steal to the latest linux kernel. I want webcams from every angle on this bird to broadcast live footage across the web to Belarus and every other ruskie state.

    Einstein
    http://rootpassword.com/

  32. NASA? by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 3, Funny

    What's NASA? Some kind of lottery agency? Prizes for this. Prizes for that. Are they based in Vegas?

    --
    Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
  33. unrealistic by Gary+W.+Longsine · · Score: 1

    Private industry can't solve NASA's transportation gap with a trickle of funding which dries up in 2014 because NASA will be back to doing their own thing.

    Although the article was sparse on details, it's already clear that the economic incentives in the proposal are almost certainly unrealistic. Like everything else they have done, this is likely to fail. This time, however, a couple lucky winners are likely to suck a bunch of venture capital into the unrealistic programs and go down in a dot-com style flame with no vehicle and no customers, probably torpedoing investment in this industry for a decade to follow.

    --
    If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
    1. Re:unrealistic by Gary+W.+Longsine · · Score: 1

      Ooops... a cut and past error. I *meant* to say:

      Like the endless serious of paper-studies and cancelled test flight vehicles that NASA have done since building the Space Shuttle, this is likely to fail.

      --
      If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
  34. Griffin said it. by Baldrson · · Score: 2, Informative
    "It is well past time for NASA to do everything it can to stimulate commercial space transportation ... and I'm trying to do that."

    Right on, Mr. Griffin.

    Introduction

    Americans need a frontier, not a program.

    Incentives open frontiers, not plans.

    If this Subcommittee hears no other message through the barrage of studies, projections and policy recommendations, it must hear this message. A reformed space policy focused on opening the space frontier through commercial incentives will make all the difference to our future as a world, a nation and as individuals.

  35. Re: Revised Proposal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ok, I just re-watched Ron Howards Apollo 13, the Right Stuff, and Alien with Ripley Scott, old Battlestar Galacticas, and Armagedon, and I realize, what we don't need is any more monkeys in space. Instead, what the Conferation of Planet Earth needs but is sorely lacking is some kind of, any kind of, planetary defense against alien invastion.

    We are absolutly a fat, sitting blue green target brightly shining like a Christmas ornament hanging in space. There is no telling how many burned out, hungry and strapped for resources from their own exhausted planets, aliens out there on warships just looking for a virgin juicy planet with lots of lush vegetation, and topaz tropical beaches, to rape, like a black convict fresh out of prison with a switchblade in a dark alley going after some white wiminz. If that don't raise the hair on any god fearing Republican's neck, then by gawd John Wayne isn't the Duke.

    So I hearby organize and found the Interstellar Earth Planetary Defense Command (IEPDC) under my emergency leadership, for the confederated defense and protection of planet Earth and all its vested interests.

    We ask for an initial minimum of 10 billion, to be contributed to by all nations of the Earth, for its common protection, in direct correlation to its relative ability to contribute (gross nation product, etc).

    Initial investments will go into heated brainstorming and research sessions, to develop potentially feasible technical proposals as to the best and most effective and expedient way the planet can be geared up and protected against alien invasions, as well as exploring how these scenarios would ensue, what countermeasures could be taken, and how these threats are to be monitored for with long range surveilance of the skys.

    Time is of the essense to pass this through immediatly, because gentlemen, we have been complacent our our little blue green planet too long, living like a baby sucking on its mama's teat oblivious of the frighteningly dangerous and real universe we are living in. There is no time to waste. The time for preparing for the inevitable war is now.

    Initially the first commitee will explore, whethere conventioanal intercontinental ballistic missle performance can be enhanced and flight controls modified and expanded, for launch at inbound targets far out headed on an intercept path with Earth. How these weapnos could be protected, until they reach their targets (inbound enemy space craft) and a centralized planetary defense mission control warroom to coordinate this defense.

  36. Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 4, Informative

    If you're interested in what John Carmack is doing these days, he's made a bunch of interesting posts on the aRocket list, specifically about developing an OTRAG modular rocket engine vehicle. He recently made this post (he has specifically given premission to reprint his words in the past, BTW). Exciting stuff. Carmack is the only one who I have any confidence in that will be able to go to orbit cheaply.

    ---------------------
    Peter Fairbrother wrote:

    > >> First, $100 million isn't enough, several people have tried
    > >> and failed at $100 million projects.
    > >
    > > Failure has not been limited to $100 million projects. I suspect the
    > > failures you speak of are where people tried to build $1 billion
    > > vehicles for $100 million price tags.
    >
    >Yes - and a reasonable LEO launch system needs a half-billion-dollar
    >vehicle. You can't really do it more cheaply. Reread the minimum mass to
    >orbit thread, and then remember we need a decent payload as well.

    We have been discussing the modular OTRAG designs for a reason --
    they offer an incremental, scaleable, low cost development path to
    inexpensive access to LEO.

    I'm completely confident that "per-tube" costs can be under $10k, and
    they might get below $5k. You should be able to get 10 - 20 pounds
    of payload to LEO per-tube, depending on final Isp and mass ratios.

    The size, scope, and complexity of the individual modules is lower
    than the work we are currently doing at Armadillo, so development and
    tooling expenses are modest. Module design and production can be
    improved incrementally to decrease costs, like any mass produced item.

    A few screw ups on the way to orbit are probably inevitable, so you
    might need to produce several hundred tubes before entering revenue
    service, but it still looks like it could be done in the low tens of
    millions of dollars, even being rather pessimistic. You could even
    buy a few pacific islands for yourself if you really needed to. That
    is a long way from half a billion, let alone ten billion.

    A system like this won't get to $100 / lb to LEO, but it will
    outperform a conventional expendable upper stage on a hypersonic
    booster, even disregarding development costs, plus it scales to a
    wider range of payloads.

    The real point though, is that billion dollar reusable space booster
    developments are just fantasy projects at this point. You might as
    well posit that you will develop anti-gravity in your garage. If you
    were to say something like "The next generation of space vehicles
    will prove out an elastic market for space launch, at which point my
    ten billion dollar project will look like a sure thing to the smart
    money investors" it might be a little more credible, and only have
    more standard business and technical arguments against it, instead of
    being just nuts.

    --
    Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    1. Re:Armadillo by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Carmack is the only one who I have any confidence in that will be able to go to orbit cheaply.

      Why? Let's face it - he's piddled away most of what he has spent to date on dead ends. (Or more accurately, on things he's given up on when the going gets tough.) He's a dilettante who talks a great game - bur jumps from plan to scheme to gizmo like a frog in a frying pan. (And he's not an engineer - so far as costing etc... goes his comments you quote above are about as valid as those of the average slashdot poster. I.E. not very.)
    2. Re:Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      Why? Let's face it - he's piddled away most of what he has spent to date on dead ends. (Or more accurately, on things he's given up on when the going gets tough.)

      What you call "piddled away", I call "research". Do you think other companies that have tried to do something that has never been done before (in this case, cheap access to space) never run into dead ends? Do you think the Wright Brothers went from metal bars to airplanes in one step without any dead ends?

      The reason Carmack appears to have so many dead ends is because he lets us see them, unlike other companies who don't have that kind of confidence in themselves, and I give Carmack all the respect in the world for it.

      He's a dilettante who talks a great game - bur jumps from plan to scheme to gizmo like a frog in a frying pan.

      That's EXACTLY what Carmack isn't -- a talker. The world is FULL of rocket people who are all talk, but don't build a damn thing. Have you seen the video on this update? The rocket goes up and down perfectly, like it's on a rail. That is not easy. That's a full-blown world-class guidance system. Note that rocket was a perfect demonstration of an OTRAG module.

      (And he's not an engineer - so far as costing etc... goes his comments you quote above are about as valid as those of the average slashdot poster. I.E. not very.)

      Yes, and the Wright Bros were "just bicycle mechanics". Carmack may not have a piece of paper, but he's already built -- with his own hands -- more rocket engines and guidance systems than 98% of all supposed rocket engineers. If you follow his posts, it's obvious he's studied the subject and knows what he's talking about.

      But don't take my word for it. In this post, Carmack talks about Lutz Kayser, the principle behind the OTRAG project, visiting his shop and talking to Carmack. Not only that, he left some of OTRAG's proprietary hardware for them to look at. He's met with a lot of the principals who are doing good work. You may not take Carmack seriously, but they do.

      Apparently you didn't like his post, but he was absolutely right. There is so much talk about "billion dollar this" and "just give 10 billion for that", and it's ALL bullshit. The only other one I give any credit to who actually has built something that flew is Burt Rutan, but I don't trust him because everything looks like an airplane to him. But it's possible he might get to orbit.

      Carmack definitely will, and he'll do it for peanuts. The more I watch his process, the more impressed I get.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    3. Re:Armadillo by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Why? Let's face it - he's piddled away most of what he has spent to date on dead ends. (Or more accurately, on things he's given up on when the going gets tough.)

      What you call "piddled away", I call "research". Do you think other companies that have tried to do something that has never been done before (in this case, cheap access to space) never run into dead ends? Do you think the Wright Brothers went from metal bars to airplanes in one step without any dead ends?

      If Carmack was in the position of the Wright Brothers - I.E. doing basic research on an utterly unexplored field, you'd have a point. But he isn't. He's spent most of his time just doing whatever caught his eye and reinventing the wheel. It impresses the hell out of the fanboys - but if you actually know whats been going, and what the state of the art is - it's not very impressive.

      The reason Carmack appears to have so many dead ends is because he lets us see them, unlike other companies who don't have that kind of confidence in themselves, and I give Carmack all the respect in the world for it.

      No, the reason he appears to have so many dead ends is because he *has* had so many dead ends. The fact that others don't show you the dead ends doesn't change that one bit.

      He's a dilettante who talks a great game - bur jumps from plan to scheme to gizmo like a frog in a frying pan.

      That's EXACTLY what Carmack isn't -- a talker. The world is FULL of rocket people who are all talk, but don't build a damn thing. Have you seen the video on this update? The rocket goes up and down perfectly, like it's on a rail. That is not easy. That's a full-blown world-class guidance system. Note that rocket was a perfect demonstration of an OTRAG module.

      Yah - I've seen the update. I also know that the DC-X did that a decade ago. I also know that guidance systems/actuators/etc have been available off the shelf for just about that long capable of performing a flight like that. but Carmack's DIY tinkerer attitude (impressive to the fanboys) forces him to reinvent the wheel every time. He talks a great game - but he never talks about what that.

      Yes, and the Wright Bros were "just bicycle mechanics". Carmack may not have a piece of paper, but he's already built -- with his own hands -- more rocket engines and guidance systems than 98% of all supposed rocket engineers. If you follow his posts, it's obvious he's studied the subject and knows what he's talking about.

      If you know the field *and* follow his posts - it's obvious how little he has studied and how unfamiliar he is with the subject.

      But don't take my word for it. In this post, Carmack talks about Lutz Kayser, the principle behind the OTRAG project, visiting his shop and talking to Carmack. Not only that, he left some of OTRAG's proprietary hardware for them to look at. He's met with a lot of the principals who are doing good work. You may not take Carmack seriously, but they do.

      Kayser has been recently been shopping OTRAG around to anyone who will listen. He's visited a *lot* of shops and offices. (But Carmack won't tell you that - because it dims the legend of Carmack.) That he found Carmack a willing audience and fanboy doesn't really mean much.

      Apparently you didn't like his post, but he was absolutely right. There is so much talk about "billion dollar this" and "just give 10 billion for that", and it's ALL bullshit.

      That's just it - it's not bullshit, Carmack doesn't have the experience or knowledge to know that it's not. But fanboys, utterly unfamiliar with the full picture and the real history eat up his words.

    4. Re:Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      Yah - I've seen the update. I also know that the DC-X did that a decade ago.

      And how much did the DC-X cost to develop?

      also know that guidance systems/actuators/etc have been available off the shelf for just about that long capable of performing a flight like that. but Carmack's DIY tinkerer attitude (impressive to the fanboys) forces him to reinvent the wheel every time.

      Give me a link to an off-the-shelf VTVL control system. I highly doubt you can, otherwise we'd see a lot more flights like that, not to mention the concerns that you could bolt one onto a big rocket and get an instant ICBM.

      That's just it - it's not bullshit, Carmack doesn't have the experience or knowledge to know that it's not. But fanboys, utterly unfamiliar with the full picture and the real history eat up his words.

      You know, I read all sorts comments exactly like that for the X-prize -- that it was IMPOSSIBLE to build a suborbital craft for less than hundreds of millions of dollars. Now that it was done, those same people roll their eyes that it was a nothing accomplishment. (not that I disagree -- I think suborbital flight isn't real spaceflight, but it shows the attitude when "real rocket engineers" are threatened by people who try and do things cheaply).

      Reading comments like this, I'm reminded of the old saying, "those that say it can't be done should never interrupt the person who is doing it."

      Anyway, we'll know in five or ten years if Carmack is the real thing or a pretender.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    5. Re:Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      I also know that guidance systems/actuators/etc have been available off the shelf for just about that long capable of performing a flight like that. but Carmack's DIY tinkerer attitude (impressive to the fanboys) forces him to reinvent the wheel every time. He talks a great game - but he never talks about what that.

      Actually, I should've said something else about this. Carmack has posted in the past about various parts that are available off-the-shelf, but at an insane cost. Sure, that guidance system may be available from one of the big rocket companies, but you're going to pay ten million dollars for it. Carmack developed one from scratch for a fraction of that price -- in a garage, in his spare time -- and learned a hell of lot in the process.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    6. Re:Armadillo by LenE · · Score: 1
      The only other one I give any credit to who actually has built something that flew is Burt Rutan, but I don't trust him because everything looks like an airplane to him. But it's possible he might get to orbit.

      You obviously don't understand Burt's system, nor the reason it "looks like an airplane". By using a carrier vehicle to take the space vehicle to very high altitudes, his solution doesn't need as much rocket fuel to accelerate the rocket from 0 through a thick atmosphere. Less fuel means less weight, which requires less fuel, lowering the cost. Also, by starting the space launch from gliding, it uses aerodynamic forces to it's advantage, where a conventional rocket only has the aerodynamic force of drag.

      The most dangerous time of a conventional rocket flight (or airplane flight for that matter) is in the takeoff phase, where maximum power is used while the vehicle has minimum velocity (and momentum). Gravity is a big force in this stage and can wreck havoc. Control systems can only do so much if you have a mechanical mishap, as from the ground there is very little time for a control system detect the problem and to effect a fix. The Scaled Composites (Burt's company) solution gets rid of this safety problem by launching the vehicle with an initial velocity, well away from the ground. If something happens, the rocket is killed and the ship coasts to landing.

      -- Len
    7. Re:Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      By using a carrier vehicle to take the space vehicle to very high altitudes, his solution doesn't need as much rocket fuel to accelerate the rocket from 0 through a thick atmosphere.

      It's the carrier vehicle I'm concerned about so much as the main vehicle itself.

      The Scaled Composites (Burt's company) solution gets rid of this safety problem by launching the vehicle with an initial velocity, well away from the ground. If something happens, the rocket is killed and the ship coasts to landing.

      That's certainly an advantage of horizontal landing vehicles, but as I alluded to in another post, I don't consider suborbital "real" space flight. To me, it's orbital or it's not space flight, and in my humble opinion, the real problems with space vehicles that look like airplanes really manifest themselves in orbital flight. I'm not sure Burt Rutan is prepared to make an orbital vehicle that isn't an airplane.

      But the capsule versus airframe argument is an old one. He certainly can get there; I'm just not sure that he will. But he's a smart guy, so we'll see.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    8. Re:Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      Oops, I meant to say that it's NOT the carrier vehicle I'm concerned about so much as the main vehicle itself.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    9. Re:Armadillo by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Yah - I've seen the update. I also know that the DC-X did that a decade ago.

      And how much did the DC-X cost to develop?

      Doesn't matter how much the DC-X costs - I need merely demonstrated the fallacy of the Carmack's claim that he's done something special and unique, or your belief that he's doing basic research. The DC-X by existence proof does both of these things.
       
       
      Give me a link to an off-the-shelf VTVL control system. I highly doubt you can, otherwise we'd see a lot more flights like that, not to mention the concerns that you could bolt one onto a big rocket and get an instant ICBM.

      Not everything is on the web son. Not by a long shot. (Note that Elon Musk buys his controls and guidance system off the open market.) The only part that's not really available off the shelf is the engine.
       
      The reason that there are not a lot more flights like that is that the number of people willing to invest significant money in what is (generously) an extremely speculative market is vanishingly small. It's the whole chicken-and-egg problem that plagues the alt.space/CATS movement. (That and the persistent and wrongheaded belief that some unspecified 'research' or 'technology' is needed to dramatically lower costs.)
       
      That's just it - it's not bullshit, Carmack doesn't have the experience or knowledge to know that it's not. But fanboys, utterly unfamiliar with the full picture and the real history eat up his words.

      You know, I read all sorts comments exactly like that for the X-prize -- that it was IMPOSSIBLE to build a suborbital craft for less than hundreds of millions of dollars.

      Not from me you didn't - nor from anyone else conversant with the field.
       
       
      Reading comments like this, I'm reminded of the old saying, "those that say it can't be done should never interrupt the person who is doing it."

      You comments remind me of the old saying "none are so blind as those will not see".
       
       
      Anyway, we'll know in five or ten years if Carmack is the real thing or a pretender.

      I'll be pleased as punch to see Carmack suceed - don't get me wrong on that. But his track record and persistent naivete don't give me much hope.
    10. Re:Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      Doesn't matter how much the DC-X costs - I need merely demonstrated the fallacy of the Carmack's claim that he's done something special and unique, or your belief that he's doing basic research. The DC-X by existence proof does both of these things.

      Where did Carmack claim he'd done something special and unique?

      And my claim on basic research wasn't that his technology was unique, but that his incremental, cheap approach was. His goal is CHEAP Access To Space, not access to space. The latter has been done, the former has not, and the former is what makes his work interesting. He's a smart guy willing to learn from others (as his posts indicate), with his own money, and a successful BUSINESS track record. Those three things in combination puts him ahead of a lot of others who do a lot of talking, but precious little building.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    11. Re:Armadillo by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Actually, I should've said something else about this. Carmack has posted in the past about various parts that are available off-the-shelf, but at an insane cost. Sure, that guidance system may be available from one of the big rocket companies, but you're going to pay ten million dollars for it.

      If he claims ten million - he's bullshitting you. The last time I looked, by combining parts from LockMart, Sunstrand, and a few companies you've never heard of - the total cost was under a million dollars. (The specialized parts market for aerospace is much like any other, there's a lot of companies that never make the front pages of Fortune, if they ever get mentioned at all - but they are where the real action is at.)
       
       
      Carmack developed one from scratch for a fraction of that price -- in a garage, in his spare time -- and learned a hell of lot in the process.
      It will be interesting to see what happens when (if ever) he actually tries to make a commercial grade booster. Folks with million or multi million dollar payloads are rarely impressed with garage built prototype grade systems. They want insurance, the Feds want insurance - and insurance companies want numbers and quality assurance. And numbers and quality assurance costs real money. Carmack is building the Wright Flyer - but commercial operators will want a 737. His error lies in thinking that you can build a 737 on a Flyer budget.
    12. Re:Armadillo by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      And my claim on basic research wasn't that his technology was unique, but that his incremental, cheap approach was.

      My point is that his incremental cheap approach hasn't produced anything but an endless stream of models, prototypes, and projects abandoned mid-stream. It *looks* impressive as hell to the amateurs because he's actually Building Something. professional observers look at what he's building - note it's irrelevance, and move on.
       
       
      He's a smart guy willing to learn from others (as his posts indicate), with his own money, and a successful BUSINESS track record. Those three things in combination puts him ahead of a lot of others who do a lot of talking, but precious little building.

      He's destroyed several prototypes because he skipped the 'unneeded' step of testing the engine first, or not halting the test when indications were dodgy (which is far from a best practice), and in every way learning the hard way lessons I could have taught him - and I've never built or flown anything[1]. That, in my book, is not worthy of respect, it's a clear sign of a dilettante and an amatuer. The only reason he gets away with it - is because he has his own money. (And any student of business history can tell you that sucess in one field - especially one as limited as Carmack's, is little indicator or proficiency at another. Especially when they are so utterly different.)
       
      [1] Though I did operate missiles for the USN, and have studied the aerospace field for decades.
    13. Re:Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      If he claims ten million - he's bullshitting you. The last time I looked, by combining parts from LockMart, Sunstrand, and a few companies you've never heard of - the total cost was under a million dollars.

      That was me making up a big number, not him. Oh, but it's only a million dollars? Boy, what a deal for about $20-30K worth of parts (I think that's about what Carmack said it cost, but I can't recall exactly. Definitely less than $50K).

      Carmack is building the Wright Flyer - but commercial operators will want a 737. His error lies in thinking that you can build a 737 on a Flyer budget.

      We don't disagree that everyone wants a commercial-grade cheap rocket, but given that, by your own admission, he's reduced the cost of a guidance system 20 to 1 (at least), he at least has some success to use as a counter-argument to the idea that everything has to be expensive.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    14. Re:Armadillo by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      and in every way learning the hard way lessons I could have taught him

      And professionals have never destroyed a rocket? The question isn't whether Carmack makes mistakes, it's whether he learns from them. And I submit that it's your attitude that makes space expensive -- plan for every contingency, generate millions of dollars worth of reports, and launch a rocket once a year (if you're lucky and don't run over budget, or out of money, or...).

      I think it's better to launch a lot of rockets in a year, with the clear knowledge that something WILL go wrong, learn from mistakes and failure, and build another one with improvements over the last one.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    15. Re:Armadillo by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      We don't disagree that everyone wants a commercial-grade cheap rocket, but given that, by your own admission, he's reduced the cost of a guidance system 20 to 1 (at least), he at least has some success to use as a counter-argument to the idea that everything has to be expensive.

      He's reduced the cost of a *hobbiest grade prototype* guidance system. It's very much an open question whether he can produce a *commercial grade system* for those costs. That's where Carmack and I part ways - I believe his estimates are over optimistic and he refuses to adress the issue at all.
    16. Re:Armadillo by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      and in every way learning the hard way lessons I could have taught him

      And professionals have never destroyed a rocket?

      I never said they hadn't. Carmack's error (in my view) lies not in that he has destroyed a number of rockets - but that he has needlessly done so, and then created the impression that he 'learned' from those losses.
       
       
      The question isn't whether Carmack makes mistakes, it's whether he learns from them.

      No, the question is whether he needs to make them in the first place. He lost several early prototype engines because he didn't believe that his wiring harnesses had to built to anything even approaching standard best practices. After all, "having vibration proof connectors and temperature resistant insulation was what the 'dinosaurs' did" - and he wasn't a dinosaur. (That's not a direct quote, but it's the sense of it.) I.E. he knew full well what the best practices were - and he went ahead and violated them anyhow. All his rockets today are built with (at least low end) aerospace grade connectors and insulation.
       
      This leave the casual reader of his updates believing that he's learning something and making progress - which in a fashion he is, and builds the Carmack Mythos. (He's far and above the most shameless ego promoter of the bunch.) But it obscures the fact what he's doing is re-inventing the wheel.
       
       
      And I submit that it's your attitude that makes space expensive -- plan for every contingency, generate millions of dollars worth of reports, and launch a rocket once a year (if you're lucky and don't run over budget, or out of money, or...).

      That attitude is a creation of your own mind - because I've never asked for such plans, or advocated such reports. I advocate building on the work of others - not duplicating it.
       
       
      I think it's better to launch a lot of rockets in a year, with the clear knowledge that something WILL go wrong, learn from mistakes and failure, and build another one with improvements over the last one.

      I agree 110%. where I part ways with Carmack is that I believe in standing on the shoulders of giants - not on those of midgets.
  37. How to fix NASA by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Instead of being an administration, by administrators, for administrators, with political goals, perhaps it would be better if NASA was replaced by an organisation run by scientists for scientists, with scientific goals. If the scientists saw the money as research funds they'd probably treat it with more respect and make sure they (1) attacked scientific goals and (2) got their money's worth.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:How to fix NASA by alshithead · · Score: 1

      Would they respect the research funds or look for some way to extend the funding for as long as possible to keep their jobs secure for as long as possible? Just playing devil's advocate... Even scientists can have selfish goals. Find me an altruistic manager for the program and I'll be glad to donate.

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    2. Re:How to fix NASA by Pranjal · · Score: 1

      the administration has to be there. Otherwise who will be responsible for finances, operations etc. The scientists are least bothered to do all of that. There has be a body to administer such a huge organization

  38. NASA always goes with the lowest bidder by Orion+Blastar · · Score: 2, Informative

    that is why space shuttles are always having problems, they are design flaws. I wonder what it would have been like if they went for the best quality instead of the lowest price?

    All I can think of was a Sci Fi TV show called "Salvage 1" where some Junkyard turned junk into a space ship and went to the Moon to salvage the equipment that NASA left there. That is when I think of NASA asking anyone to build a space ship.

    --
    Remember, Slashdot does not have a -1 disagree moderation, and no, troll, flamebait, and overrated are not substitutes.
  39. Open the Competition to All Western Companies by reporter · · Score: 2, Interesting
    In order to maximally accelerate the commercialization of space, NASA should open up the competition to all companies located in Western nations that qualify as America's top military allies. The qualification of "top military ally" is needed to ensure that the developed technology does not fall into the hands of the wrong government: e.g., Beijing. Qualifying allies would include Japan, Australia, Great Britain, and other NATO countries.

    The need for competition is best exemplified by the American automobile industry. The Ford Mustang of 2006 (after nearly 26 years of intense competition with Japanese automobiles like the Honda Prelude) is vastly superior in quality to the Ford Mustang of 1980.

    Based on the 26 years of quality improvements in American automobiles due to Japanese competition, we can surmise that opening the NASA contracts to non-American Western companies will likely accelerate space-vehicle development to such an extent that, by 2032 (i.e., 26 years later), the Western allies will launch the first intersellar starship, powered by warp drive and armed with phase cannons. From 2032, the Western alliance has 31 years before first contact in 2063 -- with the Vulcans.

    1. Re:Open the Competition to All Western Companies by TrueKonrads · · Score: 1

      +1 Free Market
      +1 Correct

      --
      Lone Gunmen crew.
    2. Re:Open the Competition to All Western Companies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The need for competition is best exemplified by the American automobile industry. The Ford Mustang of 2006 (after nearly 26 years of intense competition with Japanese automobiles like the Honda Prelude) is vastly superior in quality to the Ford Mustang of 1980.
      That's a start, I suppose. It's just too bad that the Ford Mustang of 2006 still isn't the match of the Honda Prelude of 1980.
  40. Warp drive isn't here yet, but... by Myself · · Score: 1

    Science fiction is a fun place to go fishing for ideas. It's fiction now, but at one point, so were organ transplants and personal communicators.

  41. Forget about the Russians... how about China? by rmckeethen · · Score: 1

    Think about it... China wants to be the world's next space power. They've sucessfully launched three men into space so far, and the next two manned missions will test spacewalks and docking with a laboratory module. The last mission in the series, Shenzhou 10, should be complete by 2010, *exactly* when NASA needs this new vehicle. China already has a reputation for manufacturing low-cost products for Walmart; I see no reason why a federal agency like NASA shouldn't benefit from dirt-cheap Chinese labor. Also, you have to imagine that $500 million would go a lot further in China than it would in the US, the EU or in Russia. Hell -- for half-a-billion in cash, the Chinese could probably build NASA a new ship *and* throw in a complete space station too. NASA working with the Chinese seems to me, if you'll pardon the pun, like a match made in heaven.

    1. Re:Forget about the Russians... how about China? by grimwell · · Score: 1

      China already has a reputation for manufacturing low-cost products for Walmart

      At the Qin Shi factory, thousands of women work 98 hours a week making Kathie Lee handbags that retail for $8.76 at Wal-Mart. They are paid less than $22 a week. In air thick with dust and chemical solvents, workers handle toxic glues without gloves alongside machines that roar like express trains. The whole production line must often remain at work unpaid for an extra three to four hours, until the inhuman daily quotas are met.

      The workers Corpwatch interviewed there "were very upset that they had no idea how their wages were calculated and that they varied so much from month to month."

      At the end of typical 18-hour workdays, the Wal-Mart slaves are marched single-file to dorm rooms crammed with 16 metal bunks--and locked in. Armed company security guards are allowed to keep 30% of any fines they levy against the workers.

      I see no reason why a federal agency like NASA shouldn't benefit from dirt-cheap Chinese labor.

      Because it is just wrong.

      --
      If the govt becomes a lawbreaker, it breeds contempt for law, it invites man to become his own law, it invites anarchy
  42. Mod parent down - element troll! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The parent poster claims the Moon is made out of Helium, when in fact it is made up mostly of Oxygen, Magnesium, and Silicon. Sure, the atmosphere is 25% Helium, but how much will you pay for a quarters of the air on the moon? He's a shill from the Hydrogen Industry, who claims that there is "lots and lots of Helium in the universe! oh yeah! We'll get some in by next week!" are clearly false. I will not let them get away with this blatent slashvertising.

  43. Prizes are good, but what about the risk? by knopf · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In general the idea of competition and prizes is good, however, as the number of 'challenges', 'races', and 'prizes' increase, I don't see a similar increase in traditional funding of basic research.

    As a person working in research at a university, who will be paying my expenses for material and labor (=graduate student and tuition fees, I'm not counting my summer). There are two ways for me:

    1) I take the full risk and hope to win the prize or
    2) I screw a funding agency and use some of their grant money to compete here as well.

    Clearly 2) is the way to go. Moreover, I even have to rip them off even more, since I won't win the prize each time I seriously compete and have to compensate these losses.

    Again, don't get me wrong. Competition is good, prizes and challenges are good, however, not at the expense of traditionally funded basic research. Unfortunately, that's what's happening, since it moves the risk from the sponsor to the researcher and that just looks good in the public.

    1. Re:Prizes are good, but what about the risk? by grozzie2 · · Score: 1

      If you are already sucking the funding teat by living on grants, this program is not meant to keep you working. It's for risk takers, not for folks sitting back suckling on the welfare of the grant system. If you aren't up to taking the risk, then dont worry about the prizes, you wont be winning any of them. If you dont have the resources to take the risk without screwing over your benefactors, then, you dont belong in the program. If you are willing to screw over your benefactors to get involved, then you belong in jail, it's called fraud.

  44. Apply this idea to Alternative Energy by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

    They should do this same thing to get some better alternative energy cars or what have you out there. Get some people out there working on this that don't have the conflict of interest with oil.

    --
    simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
  45. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  46. Can't wait. by Oopsallberries · · Score: 1

    I can't wait to see an Oscar Meiyer Rover.

  47. Also, SS1 is a lot cheaper... by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I totally agree SS1 is mainly a modern X-15. But that in itself is something. SS1 is a lot simpler and a lot cheaper, both to develop and to run.

    It's a step. But there is still a long way to go. SS1's shuttlecock system of landing won't work at LEO reentry speeds.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
    1. Re:Also, SS1 is a lot cheaper... by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      Yeah it is something, I agree. I just wanted to show that with public funding they managed to do great things at least 40 years, probably more, earlier than they otherwise would have been accomplished. That is a good thing for us.

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
  48. Simple: Space planes by capnez · · Score: 1

    I propose the tried and proven design of the Douglas DC-8.

  49. Crew exploration vehicle? by ms1234 · · Score: 1

    Sounds like an anal probe to me...

  50. One thing missing: anti-gravity by Flying+pig · · Score: 1
    To all the people who fantasise about mining asteroids and the commercial exploitation of the rest of the Solar System I have only one comment to make: Gravity well. You can pour all Gates's or Buffet's billions into the gravity well and nothing significant will float to the surface. All this Libertarian crap about corporations being the way to exploit space is just that: fantasy.

    Any credible plan to, for instance, acquire a nickel bearing asteroid into a useful Earth orbit (somehow avoiding an accidental mass extinction event) is going to require vast amounts of investment in systems development with a payoff perhaps around 2050 (based on the actual timescales for lunar and proposed Martian landings.) Can you imagine any group of shareholders that would invest billions in that idea, given that historically and over the longer recent term the price of metal commodities has actually declined? Where would you find the executives, given that modern corporate managers work to timescales measured in quarters rather than even single digit years?

    Corporatisation has turned us all into short termists with blinkers, looking for risk-free strategies to maximise the income from incentive schemes. Sadly perhaps, only in some government departments do you get any long term strategic planning - and then they get accused of bureaucracy and inefficiency because they cannot turn things around in three months.

    If the Government is handing over the exploitation of space to corporations, that is surely a sign that the government sees no strategic or long term value in space exploration. The longest term is for a successful politician or administrator in his 40s to want to do something for which he can get credit in his 60s. That's a 20 year timeframe, roughly.

    --
    Pining for the fjords
  51. Apollo vs. Shuttle by Foerstner · · Score: 1

    The manned Apollo program resulted in fifteen manned launches. (Apollo-Soyuz, three Skylabs, and Apollo 7-17) and one manned launchpad test that is counted as part of the program. That early pre-flight test claimed the lives of three astronauts. One manned mission suffered an in-flight emergency that, while ultimately non-fatal, certainly caused some concern over the survival of those aboard. That gives a 5.8% fatality rate for crewmembers.

    In contrast, the Shuttle has recorded 114 flights, with two fatal emergencies, and a 2% fatality rate for crew.

    Those numbers don't tell the whole story, of course, but I hope they will illustrate the danger of comparing two very different programs with very different goals.

      Apollo met and exceeded its design goals (beat the Russians to the moon) whereas the Shuttle arguably failed to fulfill its design goals (make space travel as cheap and safe as air travel.) But it would be foolish to expect that a resurrected Apollo would fulfill the Shuttle's design goals. Both Apollo and the Shuttle have lessons to teach spacecraft designers, and it would be wise of NASA to learn from its mistakes and successes.

    --
    The US free market: two halves of a government-granted duopoly are free to set the market price.
  52. Nah by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 2, Informative

    Probably the latter. Chairmen who have to answer to shareholders will choose short-term small profits over long-term huge profits everytime.

    The problem isn't long term over short term profits, people everywhere make 30-year investments all the time. Its called buying property, and no one is saying thats a bad idea (unless you're in a bubble area). In fact with decent initial investments, everyone can make a good living while the space mining program gets off the ground (nyuck nyuck). The big problem is reliability of that investment. No one can say for sure if all that money isn't going to go spiralling down the drain, and the reason for that is cost to orbit. It doesn't matter how much value you are returning, when the cost to get up there reduces that value below current prices. Remove cost to orbit issues, and space is wide open.

    But the wealth is up there, insane treasures beyond the dreams of Midas. Lets take for example the relatively close Amun Asteroid, about $20 trillion dollars worth of useable materials. I recall one geologist said it was something like three times the total amount of metals mined in the history of the human race. And that is just one SINGLE asteroid. How many million or billion more are there, in our system alone? The first to economically tap into that reservoir will revloutionise human existence, to the extent that our current economic issues would become moot. What price can you put on a car or a computer if they are manufactured in orbit for pennies by robots?

  53. Remember VentureStar? by smilindog2000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Count on NASA to screw this project up, too.

    In the late 90's Lockheed Martin wanted to build a single-state-to-orbit (SSTO) replacement for the space shuttle. They were so confident in their design, all they asked for to build it was $100M. They would fund the rest themselves, and recoup their expenses selling the ship commercially.

    NASA killed it in stages. The first stage was to take over program management of the project, which they did simply by funding it to $500M, rather than the $100M Lockheed asked for. Then, they spread development of various pieces of VentureStar to several companies, some of whom have a proven track record of failure. Finally, as various companies failed to develop their piece, they turned on the project, claiming it could never work and was a bad idea in the first place. The end result was much additional funding from Congress to continue backing NASA's stupid shuttle program.

    The legacy of VentureStar was quite interesting, and seems to go back to secret SkunkWorks projects. A previous SkunkWorks director, Ben Rich, who presided over the development of the stealth fighter, wrote a book called SkunkWorks. In it, he denied that the hyper-sonic plane (referred to on the net as Aurora) exists, and further claimed that it could not be built. The skin would get too hot, and the hydrogen/oxygen engines were impractical. Not three years after publishing this book, however, Lockheed was asking for a mere $100M to build VentureStar, using technologies never publicly seen before - linear spiking hydrogen/oxygen engines, and a special metallic skin that could take the heat of reentry. Hmm....

    So, Lockheed is still sitting on it's VentureStar plans. Boeing has finally built the linear spiking engines, and just to show how NASA was trying to kill the project, Lockheed's VentureStar crew built a successful fuel tank for free (NASA killed the project after another company failed in this portion of the effort).

    Another cool project NASA killed was the DC-X, as well as other related SSTO vertical takeoff and landing craft. The cool thing about this rocket was how cheap it was to fly. They demonstrated on their reduced-scale prototype that they could land on gravel, run out a fuel truck, and launch again. Even though the prototype was clearly successful, NASA killed this project after the prototype fell over due to a simple hydraulic malfunction on one of it's three legs and exploded. One of the reasons stated by NASA for killing the DC-X was to focus funds on the higher performance VentureStar project!

    A multi-pronged approach may have been better than NASA's single-minded shuttle focus. A DC-X technology based rocket could cheaply lift satellites and building materials for the ISS to LEO (or even lower). Focusing on low-cost, rather than reliability would greatly reduce the cost per-pound of getting stuff in orbit, but would not be suitable for human flight. Space-tugs, using ion-drive (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ion_propulsion) could be used to haul the loads from low orbits to higher orbit, and part of the load would be additional fuel for the ion-drive. It would take weeks to months for such a space-tug trip, but that's not long for space borne projects. A separate project like VentureStar or any of the other advanced next-generation designs could be used for human flight.

    Oh, well... NASA has a long history of funding and then killing good space concepts. I think this will be no different. It's probably $500M wasted. In the mean-time, thank God for the Russian rockets!

    --
    Beer is proof that God loves us, and wants us to be happy.
    1. Re:Remember VentureStar? by necro81 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I don't deny that VentureStar had a number of other problems going against it, some technological, many beaurocractic. But, I think one of the real problems that killed VentureStar and the DC-X was the simple fact that attempting single-stage-to-orbit is really ambitious. We've done very well in space flight by realizing that we don't need to carry everything up into orbit and back. That is the primary reason why rockets have stages, why there was a separate command and lunar module during Apollo, and why the shuttle uses booster rockets. By dropping stages along the way (reusable or otherwise), we reduce the amount of energy we need to reach orbit. Compared to a conventional rocket, an SSTO craft has a smaller percentage of its launch weight as payload.

      I think the approach used by Scaled Composites for SpaceShipOne is right on the money - use a heavy lift aircraft to bring the spacecraft up to launch altitude. Doing so has several advantages: an aircraft tends to be simpler to develop and maintain, it can use jet fuel and breath atmosphere rather than hauling a more exotic fuel with an oxidizer, and the several miles of altitude that the spacecraft gets lifted to are the hardest ones of a space launch. Although the SS1 concept hasn't reached orbit, one could scale up their scenario and see that they'd have a significantly higher percentage of their launch weight as payload.

    2. Re:Remember VentureStar? by smilindog2000 · · Score: 1

      Yes, I agree completely. SSTO is quite ambitious, probably one of the reasons NASA decided to push it. More practical rockets just aren't sexy. I have to say I like the ideas behind OTRAG as well (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OTRAG).

      So, we need cheap (and not necessarily reliable) disposable rockets for putting most of the stuff up there, with a focus of getting the cost per pound down. Then, we need something like SpaceShipOne, but grown up a bit to put people up there.

      I am yet again allowing myself to be somewhat hopeful in thinking that there is a chance that NASA wont screw this up... but I've been doing that for decades, and I'm usually disappointed. My prediction: the companies that get funded by NASA will bulk up from the money, stop innovating because they'll spend too much time sucking up to NASA and doing the required paper-work, and then disappear once the money dries up. NASA will once again blame the companies themselves for the mess.

      Having NASA fund projects designed to compete with NASA's core competency is just dumb. Why politicians continue to screw this up is just beyond me. This program should exist, but it should be funded through a client who just wants satellites, like the Air Force. The win for the Air Force would be more and better satellites for their money. For NASA, saving money means cutting budgets and slimming down... it's a lose.

      --
      Beer is proof that God loves us, and wants us to be happy.
  54. Well hell by mgabrys_sf · · Score: 2, Funny

    Just have it featured on Monster Garage and we'll be back in space in no time... ..with chrome headers, multi-pipes, and air scoops that serve no purpose in orbit.

    The science may not be the deepest, but hey - we'd have the most bitchin' ride this side of
    the solar system.

    Now where's my fuzzy dice...

  55. It's never that simple. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Firstly, if you want to actually make something, you need engineering not scientific skills. Science is 'How does that work?', engineering is 'How am I going to make that work with this stuff?'.

    Secondly, if you did leave it all up to scientists and engineers, you'd probably never have anything on time. The excessive optimism and perfectionism mean that they will see a slightly better way of doing it part way through the implementation, and therefore never get anything finished.

    You also need people skilled in politics to protect the projects. That's the same in any sufficiently large endevour.

  56. NASA's "competitions" by MikeyToo · · Score: 1

    NASA has held these "competitions" since the earliest days of the space program, always with the same hoopla. Then, after it's over, they say "Thank you, but we'll use our own in-house design". Look at the GE Apollo designs. The Soviets snatched up the idea and out came Soyuz. You really get the feeling that there is a "Not Invented Here" mentality at NASA.

    --
    "Well Ranger Brad, I'm a scientist. I don't believe in anything." - Dr. Roger Fleming
  57. crutches aren't good in the long term by maddogsparky · · Score: 1
    "we might as well get something out of it, like a crutch for our limping space program."

    Sure, crutches can help a person get around when they are in the early stages of healing from an injury. But as any physical therapist will tell you, there comes a point when reliance on crutches prevents further recovery/development. Government-sponsored corporate welfare doled out to the large defense contractors has been a crutch in the aerospace industry for the last 30 years.

    It's well past time to get rid of the crutch and spur some real growth. I'm more hopeful now than I've been in years, with the involvement of successful individuals like Elon Musk (Paypal founder), Robert Bigelow (Budget Suites), and Burt Routan (many successful aircraft designs).

    --
    science is a religion
  58. Still lingering in the cold war ?? by Blu-Ray · · Score: 1

    China is the biggest investor in the US (or at least the second biggest) I believe, why would they want to destroy their own property? ;)

    For Russia the US is one of the biggest export markets ..

    wake up, this is the 21st century..

  59. Re:really? + Question by Memnos · · Score: 1

    RocketMan (Sorry, RocketGeek), Is there any forum that you know of where people can discuss technical issues like this without degenerating into polemics? I'm thinking of a sort of meritocracy of ideas and talent, where no question is too stupid and no answer is accepted as dogmatic without a reasoned argument. Faint hope, I know, but if you know of such, let me know. (Call Guiness, I used the word "know" three times in one sentence.) Regards

    --
    I don't trust atoms -- they make up stuff.