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Vista to Create 50,000 Jobs in Europe

prostoalex writes "A Microsoft-sponsored study found that Vista will be a boon to European economy, as it 'will create more than 50,000 technology jobs in six large European countries and will lead to a flood of economic benefits for companies there,' News.com reports. Europe will see a total of 1.2 mln paychecks thanks to the new operating system: 'In the six countries studied, more than 150,000 IT companies will produce, sell or distribute products or services running on Windows Vista in 2007 and will employ 400,000 people, IDC said. Another 650,000 will be employed in the IT departments of businesses that rely on Vista.'"

52 of 270 comments (clear)

  1. Well, in that case by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Business will not be "upgrading" if it requires even more staff to admin Vista!

    1. Re:Well, in that case by tomhudson · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Another 650,000 will be employed in the IT departments of businesses that rely on Vista

      No, no ... you've got it wrong. Its a feature, not a bug. Since every day will have to be "patch Tuesday", IT departments will be able to better integrate patching into their routine ... by hiring staff dedicated to it.

      Actually, the nubmers from the article are total bullshit. Those 650,000 staff would be employed whether the business used Vista or not.

    2. Re:Well, in that case by ibbo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It stinks of real smelly excrement.

      Obviously been sponsored by Microsoft and said companies future in Europe been in the balance I would jump to the conclusion thats its just MS rhetoric hintng that vista will create 50k jobs in Europe as a means for Europe to stop attacking MS's mode of operations.

      I dont think the EU will fall for yet another blatent attempt by MS to pull its own strings in Europe.

      They hould stick to the US for that coz we aint playing.

      --
      Linux user #349545 (GNU/Linux)iD8DBQBAzWjX+MZAIjBWXGURAmflAKCntuBbuKC WenpmXoA7LNydllVQOwCfdjyzXscd
  2. This is great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Gives a whole new meaning to the "Broken Windows" fallacy of economics.

    1. Re:This is great by d3matt · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You sir, beat me to that punchline... Why the A/C?

      --
      I am d3matt
    2. Re:This is great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      In case folks don't see why this is funny:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken _window/

    3. Re:This is great by kfg · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Gives a whole new meaning to the "Broken Windows" fallacy of economics.

      It's hardly new. 90% of the "economic boom" of the modern computer industry has been due to the Broken Windows Fallacy for the past decade or so. Mere money is being passed around like crazy, spent on little more than flushing wealth down the toilet, not to mention far too much of my irreplacable time, which I could better spend than fixing stuff that needn't be broken in the first place.

      KFG

    4. Re:This is great by ThePhilips · · Score: 4, Insightful
      90% of the "economic boom" of the modern computer industry has been due to the Broken Windows Fallacy for the past decade or so.

      You are so wrong. You just need to be asked to run small company with all bureaucracy done on paper with typewriter. Absolutely w/o computers. You would understand why the boom happened really: computer market stabilized, became commodity and business at large went from paper-based work flow to computer-based one. In fact, computers now allow small companies to increase business volumes: only because bureaucracy is magnitude cheaper now. Many small/private businesses were often running into NOT limit of productivity - but inability to book all orders properly. Now they can. Computers made that easy.

      Though I hardly expect the average underage offsprings of computer era - which are made majority of /. readers /posters - to really understand what really computer and data networks did for small/middle/big companies. We already take all the goods for granted.

      Just to give one example, especially important to USA with its large populace of public companies. Before computers came, public companies were really run by few people close to board of directors who have had slight majority of shares. For most of little/private investors it didn't made much of a reason to fly across continent just to participate in meeting/voting regarding some current maters. Now, with advent of computers networks, anyone with no matter how small share of company, can participate in voting - remotely & cheaply. That meant to the public companies whole a lot. Exec officers are now under more scrutiny, since large number of small investors really play role: sum of their votes often is large enough to influence decision making. The sum, to calculate before computers came, was impossible.

      --
      All hope abandon ye who enter here.
    5. Re:This is great by kfg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You just need to be asked to run small company with all bureaucracy done on paper with typewriter. . . Though I hardly expect the average underage offsprings of computer era - which are made majority of /. readers /posters - to really understand what really computer and data networks did for small/middle/big companies.

      I've been running small businesses since well before the MITS Altair was introduced. I've hand wired vacuum tube bistable multivibrators. As a child I learned to type on a Salvation Army Remington. I'm no disco era baby.

      Since I not only run small businesses, but often do so as a sole propriator (or on a bonus basis when running someone else's) I see the money flowing out of my pocket. I know where it goes and I know what it buys me.

      That's why I'm running Linux on a six year old box (which I will continue to run until it physically dies beyond repair) and will not be "buying" Vista.

      God bless the personal computer and its many peripherals, but the fact that computers can be a financial advantage is not the same thing as saying that all money spent on computers confers such an advantage.

      KFG

    6. Re:This is great by the+web · · Score: 2, Insightful

      HAHA, I was thinking the same. This is an absurd conclusion. The money spent internally by companies trying to make the new version of windows work could be spent externally on money making pursuits. And actually grow the company, raise profits, benefit employees. Instead they are mired in an economic stalemate.

      --
      __
      Thou hast besquirted me, O leotarded one.
    7. Re:This is great by brianthesmurf · · Score: 2, Insightful

      To be explicit: In the Broken Window fallacy wealth is destroyed because the window is broken. In the "Vista fallacy" wealth is destroyed because peoples' (users', sys admins') knowledge of their OS is broken.

      You've gotta admire the spin though.

    8. Re:This is great by KlomDark · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What? You all gone communist? Are you saying you don't get paid anymore? Or am I not following your meaning?

    9. Re:This is great by ThePhilips · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You would also then note that M$ doesn't really play important role in OS business per se. M$ really doesn't understand where from its fortune came from.

      M$ was earning money making early very different PCs behaving similarly. Or in other words, all those fancy "white boxes" have had all the same interface with the same DOS based OS. M$ power was in control of hardware companies - not in its OS. DOS & Windows was a tool of such control. (Thief's knife has little value unless put against someone's throat.) Billg executed that power perfectly to extort as much money as possible. (Well, as you might notice, M$Office cash cow is just pure bonus to the OS charade.)

      In evolutionary current of events, thanks to mono-OS environment, PCs become standardized - all thanks to M$. When I open *any* system in my company I find pretty normal ATX system - w/o any proprietary cruft all the earlier white boxes are so infamous for.

      Now M$ try to live up to its image of OS vendor - and it is failing. Just like everybody said before it would. 3rd party applications are the only reasons why people keep M$Windows around. OSs from M$ has little value now - since it has lost it's control over Intel and OEMs. We already have choice of OSs: Linux kernel and *BSD made entry to OS market damn cheap for anybody. But M$ seems yet to understand that the thief's knife itself has little value.

      Of course they would roll the OS ball as long as they can - but they just not used to open competition. M$Server 2003 is fine solid product - but why would anyone pay for it all the moneys when they can get all the same from Linux for much less/no money?

      Vista comes precisely in the time when it starts to make more and more sense for M$ to release its OS for free (free as in "free beer") as it was suggested by many journalists and observers some time ago. And start making money from its server products (Outlook, Exchange, SQL Server) and M$Office. But yet they used to disregard such the opportunities, since they still believe that they are OS company... :-(

      --
      All hope abandon ye who enter here.
  3. That's like saying... by Saven+Marek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A Microsoft-sponsored study found that Vista will be a boon to European economy, as it 'will create more than 50,000 technology jobs in six large European countries and will lead to a flood of economic benefits for companies there

    That's like saying hurricane Katrina was a boon to the New Orleans economy, as it instantly created thousands of search & rescue, demolition, rebuilding and emergency management jobs.

    You can spin anything any way you like.

    1. Re:That's like saying... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I wonder what those 50000 are doing at the moment? Wandering the fields, looking at trees? Maybe, just _maybe_ they're supporting XP? Well, in that case, I say that 50000 jobs will be lost when Microsoft ships Vista, because of the decreased need for XP support.

    2. Re:That's like saying... by Pflipp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Only goes to show that "economy" as an indicator of public benefit has had its best years...

      --
      "We can confirm that Debian does *not* ship the version with the trojan horse. Our version predates it." [CA-2002-28]
    3. Re:That's like saying... by udippel · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Ooops, how can this be Insightful ?? And then even to an AC; I wonder ...

      Here it looks like another fallacy:

      If they were (supporting XP), and Vista needs another extra (and this is what MS says) 50.000 people, you can make a good prediction on the quality that Micosoft expects from her own product. Vista.
      No good reason to talk about 50.000 jobs lost except Vista needs less support. Which still I fail to believe.

  4. On the downside ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Vista to destroy 50,000 jobs in Europe

    Due to the cessation of Windows XP, hordes of people employed to manage, fix and repair systems based around Windows XP will lose their jobs.

    Luckily they are mostly expected to get jobs managing, fixing and repairing Windows Vista systems.

  5. Thats it? by Lordpidey · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's a Microsoft sponsored study, I'm suprised that they didn't say it would create 20 billion new jobs, cure aids, end world hunger, capture osama bin laden, find WMD in Iraq and still be simple enough for someone as stupid as Bush to use (ok, that last one might be stretching it)

    --
    Some people encrypt by using rot-13 twice. I prefer the more secure method of using rot-1 a total of twenty six times.
    1. Re:Thats it? by samurphy21 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If that were the case, it would be a boon to India's economy, not Europe's.

  6. in other news... by 192939495969798999 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Microsoft placates to populous to try to pressure EU to stop suing them for monopolistic practices. Could this read any more like a spin piece to deflect from the EU lawsuit stuff?

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    stuff |
  7. But how does announcing this help their business? by hakubi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Or is it just an attempt to derail any European plans to charge them with more anti-trust violations since MS is helping their economy? I just don't see the point here.

  8. Too complicated by fractalus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Businesses are already overwhelmed by the costs of administering Windows, and the sad thing is, Microsoft makes Windows admins re-learn everything every few years because they change the One True Way to manage a network. They say they're trying to make things better, but it's the same problem with developing for MS platforms: everything changes every few years.

    Vista is so complex that it's going to be a nightmare to try to get a handle on it. These new jobs are glaziers making glass for windows broken by boys throwing rocks. False industry, and a burden on resources. These people could be doing something productive but instead they'll be put to work holding Vista together.

    --
    People are never as simple as their stereotypes. This applies equally to Christians, Muslims, and Emacs-lovers.
  9. Obviously bollocks by Proud+like+a+god · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Clearly these "companies [that] will produce, sell or distribute products or services running on Windows Vista" are ones that would have been doing the same with XP.

    Same goes for those that "will be employed in the IT departments of businesses that rely on Vista." Because previously they were using XP.

    Vista brings nothing to Europe, but this is just about the EU actually making a stand against Microsoft's illegal actions.

    1. Re:Obviously bollocks by nwbvt · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not necessarily. If it is harder to develop applications for or maintain Vista than XP, then jobs will be created. Of course, generally you want your new product to increase worker efficiency, not decrease it...

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
  10. Broken window falacy of economic activity by Realistic_Dragon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Having 650,000 people chasing around doing things that do not need to be done is *not* good for the economy unless the end result is that production is greater (over the whole economy) than the gain that could be made of the alternative use of their time.

    Now while I could probably be convinced that Windows Vista has _some_ productivity benefits over current systems I doubt it's really that large. In many cases the net contribution of these 650k people is going to be in fact negative as their disruption and need to prove their own continued usefullness actually decreases productivity of society as a whole - fixing things that aren't broken for example.

    --
    Beep beep.
  11. Sure it will. by SharpFang · · Score: 3, Funny

    Huge boom in independent services of user support, helpdesk, troubleshooting etc. Lots of jobs for getting failed critical systems back online. And a huge boom in disaster recovery sector.

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    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    1. Re:Sure it will. by trash+eighty · · Score: 4, Funny

      and counselling for IT personnel who have had nervous breakdowns

  12. Decline? by njen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Does the study state the decline in jobs for XP related positions? I think it evens itself out in the end...

  13. On the other hand ... by LaughingCoder · · Score: 3, Insightful

    According to the article, from what I could tell the jobs were all just about upgrading hardware and software. There was no discussion about unique capabilities of Vista spawning whole new industries or applications.

    If I were an IT decision-maker in Europe I might read this differently. Hmmm, 50,000 jobs is a lot of Euros. What exactly are we getting for that huge expenditure? Maybe we should think a little more carefully about doing this upgrade and consider the alternatives.

    --
    The more you regulate a company, the worse its products become.
  14. Of course... by c0l0 · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...the study did not explicitly mention that about 40.000 of those were actually psychotherapists.

    --
    :%s/Open Source/Free Software/g

    YTARY!
  15. Steve Gibson was right by sphealey · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Back around 1992(?) Steve Gibson[1] wrote a column in which he predicted that by the year 2000 50% of the world's population would be employed supporting Windows for the other 50%. At this point I don't think he was far wrong.

    sPh

    [1] The old SpinRite guy who wrote a lot of good utilities in the DOS era.

    1. Re:Steve Gibson was right by Big+Nemo+'60 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Hey! Steve Gibson is still around and very busy!

      Check his website Gibson Research Corporation

      --
      In the long run we are all dead. - John Maynard Keynes (1883 - 1946)
  16. Solution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Sweet jesus, they're bragging about what a maintenance and support nightmare they're creating?
    They probably could fix overpopulation too if they'd ship cyanide capsules with the installation media.

  17. =="Vista to cost European companies $3bn/year" by gjuk · · Score: 2, Interesting

    50,000 jobs at, say, $60,000 each = $3bn. That's $3bn on top of license fees. That's $3bn just to do what you can do already. That's not good. Of course, moving to Linux is hardly cheap on support, but there's no license fee. Seems to me that this would be an ideal time to switch (not that big companies will). Still - it's hilarious that papers will carry this sort of PR puffery from Microsoft without question.

  18. Too bad... by Firehed · · Score: 2, Funny

    Unfortunately, each and every one of those 50,000 is a beta tester. Sounds like they won't be selling as many copies as they'd hoped. I wonder how many new "jobs" it'll create worldwide...

    --
    How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
  19. that's economics for you by oohshiny · · Score: 4, Informative

    Sadly, that's how economist think and work. The Exxon Valdez disaster, for example, was a boon to the US economy according to standard models of economics, because it created lots of jobs.

    The reason for such silly conclusions is that large, unquantifiable costs are ignored. In the case of Vista, it will probably create lots of jobs (because it will be a lot of work to install and maintain), but those jobs will not be productive jobs--they don't contribute to what the companies using Vista actually are supposed to do.

    In different words, a company producing widgets will still be producing widgets pretty much the same way after Vista has been installed, they'll just have sunk a boatload of money into migrating, retraining, licensing, and hardware upgrades. Furthermore, the computer specialists doing all that work are kept from doing something actually productive. As a result, the cost of widgets has gone up and the economy is worse off overall.

    1. Re:that's economics for you by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They are an orginisation attempting to make money with content including copyrighted material, which the copyright holders are legally entitled to recompense. But their business model is more like the modern day equivalent of a tv station, so they should be paying in a similar way to how tv stations pay for their use of copyrighted material.

      I think you've confused marketeers with economists. Economists (at least the smart ones) ask a fundemnetal question:

      This activity occurs at the expense of what?

      Evert transaction occurs at the expense of another - if I buy a sweater then I don't buy a TV. You can't just look at any one action but need to look at the impact of that action.

      Politicians and marketeers trumpet job creation - those pork barrel projects - they create jobs and pump taxes back into the economy (which I will use to buy more votes) - forget what the original taxpayer might have done with the nmoney had we not taken it in taxes; spent some percent running the government (a deadweight load of sorts) and actually put less back in then we took out.

      If Vista makes companies more productive then they can create more jobs - if not then teh net effect is zero (or less because of switching costs)

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    2. Re:that's economics for you by carpeweb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If Vista makes companies more productive then they can create more jobs

      I was going to take it a step further: shouldn't the more productive companies be able to cut jobs because they can produce the same output with fewer people? (Yeah, ok, I know this is a stretch for something like Vista, but it was someone else's fantasy to start ...) That kind of job-cutting could fit in the Creative Destruction model of economics, which is a bit different from the parable of the broken window, I think.

      Still, I'm sure M$ would not have paid for a study that produced the headline "Vista to Cost 50,000 Jobs in Yerp".

  20. How many more jobs would be created if ... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 4, Funny
    If I am selling software, and my next release is going to require my clients to hire 50,000 more people install and minister it, I would keep it quite confidential.

    If this is how one creates jobs, one can create even more jobs if Europe switches to CP/M or IBM 370/155 or Cyber 170 NOS.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  21. So basically it's an economic disaster by gelfling · · Score: 4, Insightful

    for the companies that buy it.

  22. Mod Parent Up Informative by carpeweb · · Score: 3, Informative

    The / at the end of your link makes it broken, at least in my browser. I removed the / and found the article. Worth the effort; thanks!

    1. Re:Mod Parent Up Informative by jZnat · · Score: 2, Informative

      Out of the kindness of his own heart, some dude named Vinsci created a redirect so that people don't have to worry about the broken link.

      --
      'Yes, firefox is indeed greater than women. Can women block pops up for you? No. Can Firefox show you naked women? Yes.'
    2. Re:Mod Parent Up Informative by ichigo+2.0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually it works now, as someone set up a redirect from the 'Parable of the broken window/' article to the 'Parable of the broken window' article on wikipedia. Sometimes the wiki software is a bit too pedantic.

  23. Re:EU by jimicus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I do assume, if the study is true, that European copies of Vista won't be including Windows Media Player.

    You assume wrong.

    The Media Player thing didn't result in Microsoft being forced to flog XP without Media Player in the EU. However, they are obliged to make a version without Media Player available. Nobody else, however is obliged to buy it.

    OEMs, not much liking the idea of customers complaining that "Joe down the road just bought a new PC from (some other major OEM), and HE got media player!" for the sake of saving approximately zero, have stayed away in droves.

    I supsect this is what the "15 different versions of Vista!" is probably about. Not just to fragment the market so people who are prepared to pay more do so, but also so that if they are taken to court again, they can stand up and say "Your honour, in the current version of our operating system thare are various options available with significant variations on what software is bundled. It's hardly our fault if every OEM on the planet is only selling one or two."

  24. Re:TCO? by SirCyn · · Score: 2, Funny

    Eep! I should have known better than to post at 8:05 am.
    Where's the edit button.....

  25. Vista will cost 2.5 Billion dollars? by nuggz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So Vista will cost companies 2.5 billion Euros (50k employers at 50k Euro/each)
    How is spending an additional 2.5 Billion Euro a good thing?
    Or did they do this to draw away from the 5 Billion (100k new jobs) later in the article.

    That 5 Billion is money that can't be spent on other things, is it really a good idea to flaunt how much vista is going to cost us?

  26. That's a Fairy Tail with M$. by twitter · · Score: 3, Informative

    You just need to be asked to run small company with all bureaucracy done on paper with typewriter. Absolutely w/o computers. You would understand why the boom happened really: computer market stabilized, became commodity and business at large went from paper-based work flow to computer-based one. In fact, computers now allow small companies to increase business volumes: only because bureaucracy is magnitude cheaper now.

    Are you trying to tell me that the average M$ shop is paperless? Hold on a second. ... OK, now I'm back from laughing and crying. Large companies have some rudiments of paper replacement. Small companies have simply been throwing their records away or still have paper files. The M$ monopoly has cost us all lots and lots of money.

    At fortune 500 companies, pdf and tiff may indeed have replaced paper records, but M$ had nothing to do with it and the actual work is still done one paper. If the company is highly regulated, like a nuclear power plant, they might have called in IBM to make a document serving and saving system and that has marginally decreased total costs. IT costs, as a portion of the total budget did not change at all! Employees loath and distrust their M$ workstations to the point that they carry their actual work on floppies or USB fobs. The M$ "file servers" are even worse about keeping data. All of the work in progress is printed out and done with pen and paper. The results are laboriously typeset with M$ Word. This is not the office of the future.

    Small businesses have it even worse. In one way they have an advantage, a lack of legacy systems to draw them down. The problem is that they do not trust the local IT people they can afford to move them into the future with free Unix derivatives. They could do it all with free software but M$ spends billions of dollars a year in FUD to keep them from doing that.

    I'm old enough to have seen it all happen and am bitterly disappointed by the slow pace of change. Family members helped computerize medical records at a large regional hospital back in the 70s. They hooked up a terminal in his house back in the day Ma Bell rented people their phones. My first "real" computer was an IBM clone. I hooked a typewriter to it and used it to print my papers, mail and CAD in the 80s. That is the model still used by most companies. 25 years later all correspondence, records keeping, even scratch work, should be electronic but it's not.

    The overriding problems for large and small businesses using M$ are poor GUI and poor reliability issues. A lack of virtual desktops forces printing of all real work in progress. If you can't spread it out on your computer, you have to spread it out on your desk. M$'s notorious lack of stability and "complex" file formats rules out their use for real records keeping. Even if the business is bright enough to waste money on Acrobat distiller, so that formatting issues go away, the underlying OS and file system lacks reliability. As noted, only large companies have spent the big bucks on document archive systems people believe in. I've written elsewhere about the way the combination of poor GUI and reliability ruins place keeping and wastes employee time on reboots every day. All of these issues are solved in free software.

    The cost of all of this intentional waste may indeed produce hundreds of thousands of jobs. How else would Bill Gates have all his billions? The problem is that every penny spent is waste and we would all be better off if those people were making things that people want and need instead of endlessly running circles around broken equipment which has failed to deliver on it's promise for decades.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    1. Re:That's a Fairy Tail with M$. by Keith+Russell · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I just had an epiphany.

      Twitter is astroturfing.

      Not intentionally, mind you. He wouldn't take Microsoft's filthy lucre, nor do I think he's trying reverse psychology to promote them. But every time he posts something like this, his good intentions just end up so much proverbial paving material.

      Simple cause and effect should tell you that his worst-case-scenario form of "advocacy" is a blight on this forum. Initial posts are characterized by name calling, long-disproven talking points, unqualified assertions, and in some cases pride in ignorance of the subject matter. When held accountable for his actions, he turns to non sequiturs, more name calling, the occasional gross distortion of others' posting histories, but never with proof of his original assertions.

      Is this the first impression you want to give a potential switcher?

      The next time you see a Twitter post, and think "You know, he's got a point.", please look for other posts that make the same point fairly and respectfully. That's the kind of advocacy we need, not the hate-filled zealotry of the likes of Twitter.

      --
      This sig intentionally left blank.
  27. 50.000 jobs? by squizzz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Vista to Create 50,000 Jobs in Europe

    Sounds like an army of IT workers supposed to assist Europe's migration to GNU/Linux...

  28. Crack Business by Blackbird_Highway · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Selling crack also generates thousands of "jobs", but that doesn't mean it's a good thing, does it.

    --
    By the perception of illusion, we experience reality
  29. Yup, that's it. by theolein · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If I was in the Bush family, I could pass nuclear physics by pissing out the window in the morning, or are you trying to claim that the Shrub got where he has without the help of family and friends in high places?