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Crunching the Numbers on a Hydrogen Economy

mattnyc99 writes "In its new cover story, 'The Truth About Hydrogen,' Popular Mechanics magazine takes a close look at how close the United States is to powering its homes, cars and economy with hydrogen — including a calculation of where all the hydrogen would come from to meet President Bush's demands. Interesting that they break down the future of hydropower not by its advantages but by its challenges: production, storage, distribution and use."

396 comments

  1. Electricity + Water by dsginter · · Score: 5, Interesting

    With all the problems that hydrogen has, a good stop gap would come with the advent of an affordable fuel cell. With a fuel cell in each house, you could essentially generate hydrogen from water and electricity at night when the power plants are idling in inefficient speeds. During the day, you could do the opposite and generate electricity from the hydrogen generated the previous night. This would work well for shaving energy consumption during peak levels. With discounts for off-peak electricity, this sort of system could pay for itself while providing backup generator services as a side effect.

    Then again, so would a huge flywheel or a bunch of batteries.

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    1. Re:Electricity + Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      With a fuel cell in each house, you could essentially generate hydrogen from water and electricity at night when the power plants are idling in inefficient speeds. During the day, you could do the opposite and generate electricity from the hydrogen generated the previous night.

      Or you could do what most people do when they want hydrogen, heat a hydrocarbon with steam. It is a hell of a lot cheaper than electrolysis! In fact, most fuel cells use some sort of hydrocarbon reforming to get their hydrogen. Unless you store hydrogen as a liquid, its energy density is just too low for any reasonable fuel tank.

    2. Re:Electricity + Water by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2, Insightful

      At night, the actual load is much less than the peak capacity. Fine. Why make hydrogen at home? Make it at the powerplant to save the 15% line loss and make 15% more H2.

      --
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    3. Re:Electricity + Water by Gramie2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Interesting that you should mention fuel cells. My local paper mentions that a local fuel cell tech company just closed their doors yesterday, after something like 10 years of development and nothing to show for it.

    4. Re:Electricity + Water by dsginter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why make hydrogen at home?

      There aer many strategies - I guess that I just picked one that doesn't put a bunch of hydrogen in one spot. I was located in an area affected by the blackout of 2003 so putting all of the eggs in one basket just never seems like a good idea to me anymore.

      I suppose it would be a good idea to build a power plant on an empty natural gas formation and store all of the generated hydrogen in there. It would certainly help meet the needs during the day and do so with a smaller footprint of a conventional power plant.

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    5. Re:Electricity + Water by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

      Just as I posted I realized that the 15% will be lost when the H2 is used to generate electricity at the plant, the same line loss. So the line loss idea is really a wash.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    6. Re:Electricity + Water by AceJohnny · · Score: 3, Informative

      Maybe I'm taking you too literally here, but remember that no fuel cell system aimed at the mass market take pure hydrogen as an input, mainly because of it's inherent danger (think Hindenburg).
      Instead, they take some other compound, like ammonia or hydrides, from which they extract the hydrogen to power the fuel cell. The advantage is that at no point do you have a large enough quantity of hydrogen to cause an explosion.

      So my point is, generating the appropriate "fuel" for a fuel cell isn't as easy as electrolysing water to get it's hydrogen. You'll then want to combine that hydrogen with a carrier, which is what will be injected into your fuel cell. That's the complicated part.

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    7. Re:Electricity + Water by spectrokid · · Score: 2, Informative

      Everybody building up his own little electricity depot can never be as efficient as a large-scale approach. An advantage of this scenario would however be that these depots would release heat both during charging and decharging. If you use them during the winter and heat up your house as a side effect, there might be a case. During the summer, forget it. Hydrogen is such a complex energy form it can only be profitable in places where you need to take your energy with you, e.g. your car.

      --

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    8. Re:Electricity + Water by Ihlosi · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Everybody building up his own little electricity depot can never be as efficient as a large-scale approach.



      Ultimately, this depends on population density and the efficiency advantage of the large-scale approach.



      For any generation method limited by Carnot cycle efficiency, this is true. But fuel cells do not have this limit, and their efficiency does not increase very much with their size. Also, given that most homes already have some sort of chemical energy (natural gas or oil) delivered for heating, they could use the same stuff, reform it and generate their own electricity, which would eliminate line losses.

    9. Re:Electricity + Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry but this won't work because you'll lose energy every time. I.E. The energy you get from the fuel cell will be far less that the energy you have spent to fuel it up.

    10. Re:Electricity + Water by tezbobobo · · Score: 1

      In addition, regardless of the efficiency, I would point to the social gains to be made by such a system. This could be very valuable, even if inefficient, in small communities and poor communities, even individuals homes. It would provide a more accessible fuel for less developed countries.

    11. Re:Electricity + Water by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I've often wondered about this exact same thing. Generaly, one of the biggest hold backs to alternative energy is the economics of scale. You cannot product an amount of energy for one house as cheaply as you could by buying it from someone making it for everyone in the area.

      So what if it was a block of people. Most alternative energy systems produce more then what is needed durring peak production times as well as off times when the household demand is just low. So instead of develpoment of windmills and such for one house, I'm wondering if it would be more in line of it was produced for 10 houses. The only real difference might be that a meter might be neccesary as well as isolating the 10=20 houses of the block. Excess gets sold back to the electric company/grid like normal, demand from the electric/grip company gets curtailed plus we have the added benefit of scale and size to help keep the costs/unit of energy produced under control.

    12. Re:Electricity + Water by orzetto · · Score: 4, Informative
      no fuel cell system aimed at the mass market take pure hydrogen as an input, mainly because of it's inherent danger (think Hindenburg).

      That's because there are no fuel cells aimed at the mass market yet, except alcohol testers, which are anyway not a power source. Hydrogen is not more dangerous than gasoline; it does not concentrate on the ground but escapes high to the sky. You can neither be soaked in hydrogen. It does however have a lower threshold for ignition, but putting things together it is not especially dangerous. Thinking Hindenburg, less than half of crew and passengers actually died. Try find that number in any plane crash with an equivalent amount of flames.

      Instead, they take some other compound, like ammonia or hydrides, from which they extract the hydrogen to power the fuel cell. The advantage is that at no point do you have a large enough quantity of hydrogen to cause an explosion.

      Wish it were like that, but if they contain the energy, hydrides, ammonia or whatever else can also burn. The idea is mostly to increase volumetric energy density, as hydrogen is very light and going around with a 70-MPa cylinder is somewhat unpractical (though not impossible).

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    13. Re:Electricity + Water by maxume · · Score: 1

      The Hindenburg burned and fell out of the sky. It didn't really explode. Lots of people managed to survive. Hydrogen burns pretty easily, but the explosion risk is, pretty much anyway, overblown.

      Current fuel cells take other stuff as input because it is easier to move around and has a higher energy density.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    14. Re:Electricity + Water by Single+GNU+Theory · · Score: 1
      at night when the power plants are idling in inefficient speeds


      Baseload plants are too expensive to idle at night: they keep right on running. Power companies that have extra nighttime capacity sell the power to neighboring power companies at a reduced rate.

      I worked at a nuclear power plant. The cooling reservior was connected through a hydro power plant and spillway to a river. The reactor was run at 100% all day long, since it's a baseload plant. To cover periods of high demand during the day, some of the reservior was drained to provide hydro power (and to cover critically high demand, there was a set of combustion turbines nearby). At night, the hydro power plant was run backwards to re-fill the reservoir. This takes about twice as much power as you get out of it during the day, but this extra power was bought cheaply from another power company in the region.

      Pretty spiffy plan, if you ask me!
      --
      Little Debian: America's #1 Snack Distro!
    15. Re:Electricity + Water by radl33t · · Score: 0

      Hydrogen isn't dangerous, except when it ruptures from a pipeline, catches fire, and burns an invisible flame. I wouldn't want to walk into an invisible flame and melt my arm off. Anyway, there are ways to avoid this. I think it is well documented that the fire hazard in the hindenburg was the Al particles in the paint. They really wanted to oxidize and the hydrogen went along for the ride.. I don't have much respect for Popular Mechanics anymore. Too much emphasis on sensationalism. Sadly typical.

    16. Re:Electricity + Water by be951 · · Score: 1
      ...remember that no fuel cell system aimed at the mass market take pure hydrogen as an input, mainly because of it's inherent danger (think Hindenburg).

      Why think Hindenburg? Seems like it would be much better to store the hydrogen in modern pressurized tanks than fabric treated with flammable doping compounds. A more likely danger is the extremely high pressure (10,000 psi) at which the hydrogen needs to be stored to give a reasonable energy density.

    17. Re:Electricity + Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, this is tech-less.

      The reason why you don't want to use hydrogen gas as your main fuel source isn't because of any inherent danger. H2(g) is /very/ light and will diffuse/disperse in a relatively quick fashion. The problem with other gaseous sources is their relative weight and ability to pool, causing a serious hazard (think natural gas, gas fumes, etc). You don't have these problems with such an energetic compound, and IIRC, the Hindenberg wasn't a tragedy because of the hydrogen, but because of the laquer they used on the canvas.

      Regardless, using a carrier (like a metal hydride/palladium/chemical) is based off of pure scientific efficiency. To wit: you can only physically compress a gas so far. As it stands, you can fit 2-3(+++, depending on the molecule) hyrogen atoms into a single molecule at ambient. This gives you a greater density of energy per cm3, and creates a far better engineering problem than trying to lug around liquid hydrogen in the back of your car.

    18. Re:Electricity + Water by lemaymd · · Score: 1

      Edison's original plan was to have a large number of small power producers distributed throughout the country, rather than a few massive producers as we have now. Putting fuel cells, solar panels, microturbines, etc. in homes and businesses is one step back towards this goal. In fact, your idea about placing fuel cells in each home is encoded in the Energy Policy Act of 2005 as a tax break for those homes that actually do this.

    19. Re:Electricity + Water by Dzonatas · · Score: 0

      ....(think Hindenburg). The ignition of the Hindenburg fire was caused by the paint. The metal in the paint reacted. The outer material was on fire before the hydrogen caught on fire. If you ignite pure hydrogen into open air you get a self-contained fire because it quickly turns into steam and puts itself out. This is proven by the few hyrodrogen rigs that have caught on fire. The flame is typically only a meter in length from the punctured incident. Drivers survived.

    20. Re:Electricity + Water by cnelzie · · Score: 0

      [blockquote]Maybe I'm taking you too literally here, but remember that no fuel cell system aimed at the mass market take pure hydrogen as an input, mainly because of it's inherent danger (think Hindenburg). [/blockquote]

          Seriously, how long have you been posting to Slashdot? How long have you called yourself a "Geek/Nerd"?

          The Hindenburg didn't ignite because of the Hydrogen. The outter skin of that skyship was made of the exact same material that is used as the fuel in SOLID ROCKET BOOSTERS. That's why the Hindenburg went up as it did and this fact is mentioned EVERY single time there is a Hydrogen Power story on Slashdot.

          Hydrogen is far safer a fuel source than gasoline is.

      --
      If you ignore the other uses of a tool, does that make the tool less useful, or you less useful?
    21. Re:Electricity + Water by Arawak · · Score: 1

      Maybe I'm taking you too literally here, but remember that no fuel cell system aimed at the mass market take pure hydrogen as an input, mainly because of it's inherent danger (think Hindenburg).

      IIRC, the Ballard fuel cells take low pressure hydrogen gas as a fuel source. Dunno that hydrogen gas is really any more dangerous than gasoline, or natural gas.

    22. Re:Electricity + Water by The_Wilschon · · Score: 2, Informative

      According to the wikipedia article that you cite, the hydrogen used for buoyancy was not the main contributor to the flames, but rather a compound used to dope the fabric that formed the skin on the zeppelin.

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    23. Re:Electricity + Water by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      Or you could do what most people do when they want hydrogen, heat a hydrocarbon with steam. It is a hell of a lot cheaper than electrolysis!

      Only problem with that is CO2 is still released.

      I seem to recall some group was going to use a nuclear power plant for both electricity and hydrogen generation. Heat the steam until it is higher than currently used in power plants, and it then uses a lot less energy to use electrolysis to seperate out the hydrogen.

      --
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    24. Re:Electricity + Water by AceJohnny · · Score: 1

      I indeed didn't point out the economically more important reason against using pure hydrogen, that of energy density:
      A gallon of liquid hydrogen, the highest attainable compression of hydrogen, has about 33% less energy than a gallon of gasoline. Granted, I don't have the energy efficiencies of each engine on-hand to compare*. Then we have all the practical problems of handling the cold cold stuff.
      Nevertheless, this has motivated the pursuit of the "hydrogen carriers" mentioned. Ammonia and hydrides are just two examples of hydrogen carriers, each with their own defects.

      Nevertheless, lower energy density, combined with the dangers of manipulating pure hydrogen (which can be mitigated in the derivatives), not to mention overhauling the entire distribution network to handle it, keep pure hydrogen from ever being in large-scale use.

      *I wonder how heating the habitacle in cold environments affects this, since it's a "free" (ok no, just energy lost through heat) side effect of gasoline vehicles but requires a dedicated heating circuit in fuel-cell vehicles.

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    25. Re:Electricity + Water by vertinox · · Score: 1

      Maybe I'm taking you too literally here, but remember that no fuel cell system aimed at the mass market take pure hydrogen as an input, mainly because of it's inherent danger (think Hindenburg).

      Gasoline is more dangerous than hydrogen gas due to fact when gasoline spills it doesn't evaporate as fast as hydrogen.

      --
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    26. Re:Electricity + Water by RealBothersome · · Score: 1

      Personally, I don't think a hydrogen economy will ever come to be. Because there are so many hurdles to overcome to make it so. The only thing we need for an electically powered economy is better battery technology. To store the electrical energy directly and then used from longer lasting batteries. The CO2 and other pollution problems can then be worked out from the electricity providers.
      I was amazed at how simple electric powered golf cars (carts) are built. 6 batteries last about 6 hours on the course. They only need to be recharged over about 3 to 6 hours (depending on the charger) to go another 6 hours. This is the type of technology we need to get around town.
      Someone needs to manufacture *cheap* battery powered cars for the masses to just get around town. Something to haul the groceries back and take the kids to school. Something to get me to work and back. It doesn't have to have a range of 100 miles. 20 miles for one day will be fine. I'll keep my petrolium powered car for the longer and other trips when needed.
      The car needs to have a retail price of less than $10,000 too. It doesn't have to have the luxuries of a full car. Just street legal, and keep the weather off me. Simple as that.

    27. Re:Electricity + Water by Eivind · · Score: 1
      That's problematic for a few other reasons too.

      First, conversion to hydrogen, and then back to electric power is a lossy process. Atleast half of your energy would get wasted as heat in the process. Thus the power-price would need to be less than *half* in the nigth from what it is daytime for this to even make sense, even then you'd need to finance the storage, the electrolysys and the hydrogen fuel-cell (or other generator). Very very doubtful.

      Secondly, many powerstations do not, infact, "idle at inefficient speeds" at nigth. That is true for some plants -- once you've paid for the construction of a nuclear powerplant for example, it may just as well run at 100% 24/7. (because the fuel-expenditure is a tiny fraction of the capital-expenditure). But for example hydropower from magazines run efficiently at any rate, and furthermore their total production is limited by rainfall, so they really can shut down at nigth, and produce double at day.

      Third, each conversion costs energy. It's rather silly to do the following:

      • Coal.
      • Heat.
      • Electricity.
      • Hydrogen.
      • Electricity.

      It'd be hugely more efficient to produce the hydrogen directly from coal, if that was the point. The extra roundtrip back to chemical storage and then back into electricity will cost you a large fraction of the energy.

      There's *much* better ways of storing power, if that's all you want to acomplish. Probably the simplest is to run a hydropower-plant in reverse at nigth. So that at day it produces energy from energy in high-lieing reservoirs, and at nigth it stores energy from plants that can't efficiently idle by pumping water up to the reservoir.

      For that matter, the flywheel you mention is probably going to beat hydrogen for this purpose too. Certainly the losses would be a lot smaller.

    28. Re:Electricity + Water by Znork · · Score: 1

      "That's the complicated part."

      Not particularly. Ammonia is readily produced from hydrogen and nitrogen with the haber process (dump them both in a chamber, apply pressure and heat in essence), and the nitrogen itself is easily extracted from the air.

      Ammonia also has the slight advantage of the already existent vast infrastructure aimed at farming...

    29. Re:Electricity + Water by PorkNutz · · Score: 1
      I'm amazed that this got modded interesting. I wish we had a mod for stupid, 'cause that's what it is. Using electricity to generate hydrogen to generate electricity. Why bother.... this is an extremely lossy way to do things. You will lose energy converting the electrictity into hydrogen, and again when you convert the hydrogen back to electricity.

      Hydrogen is NOT the answer to our energy problems. Producing, storing, and distributing hydrogen, will cost more energy in the long run, making the energy crisis even worse.

    30. Re:Electricity + Water by voidptr · · Score: 5, Funny

      You know what makes a good hydrogen carrier?

      Carbon. Link 8 carbons or so in a chain, and populate the remaining bonds with Hydrogen. It forms a stable, energy dense, easily transportable liquid. As an added bonus, you don't need to do any additional processing to use it in that state, just burn it in your existing internal combustion engine.

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    31. Re:Electricity + Water by vhogemann · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yeah, but with fossil fuels you're releasing NEW CO2 on the atmosphere... For fuel cells you're using Methanol, that can be obtained from sugar-cane. So any CO2 released was once at the atmosphere anyway.

      The real problem here is the space required by sugar-cane plantations. To be able to supply enougth methanol the plantations would have to grow over lands ocuppied today by other cultures (we still need food!), or the few preserved wild forrests that we have. Yes, I know we can harvest methanol from beats and other vegetables, but AFAIK sugar-cane is the most efficient.

      --
      ---- You know how some doctors have the Messiah complex - they need to save the world? You've got the "Rubik's" complex
    32. Re:Electricity + Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was a documentary on PBS just last week about some guy from NASA who did tests on some of the Hindenburge fabric still remaining and found that it was doped with a substance that is extremely flammable, to the point that it is actually used as a rocket fuel for the space shuttle. The hydrogen contributed, but a buildup of electricity from fyling through the atmosphere triggered the reaction in the skin of the aircraft and pretty much the skin mostly burned off before the hydrogen did. Better aircraft design could have prevented the Hindenburg disaster.

    33. Re:Electricity + Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You may have missed the first law of the first law of thermo dynamics and the principle of Enthalpy. But each conversion loses more that you gain by the storage.

    34. Re:Electricity + Water by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 1

      Edison's original plan worked, for the scale of electricity distribution that was around then.

      The economics of power plant construction and operation (construction and operating expenses grew less quickly than plant size. Double the output for less than double the cost) drove us to the current scheme with large, centralized electricity generating plants servicing nearby metropolitan areas.

    35. Re:Electricity + Water by robertjw · · Score: 1

      Nice comment - was just thinking that myself. We've now come full circle.

    36. Re:Electricity + Water by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 1

      My car has killed noone. Directly injured noone. My wife's car? same. My previous cars? same.

    37. Re:Electricity + Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, remember now. The Hindenburg was found in the last few years to have been covered up. It was not the hydrogen that caused the disaster, it was the doping chemicals used on the outer surface of the Zeppelin. Hydrogen was blamed in order to distract from the fact that the engineers had basically coated the thing with the mother of all flammable protectants. They did this in a desparate attempt to minimize liability. Worse, they PROMOTED the false idea of hydrogen being so bad because the idea stuck.

      Hydrogen is flammable but is less dangerous than propane, which is distributed to the public all the time. It does not explode. It burns, and what is more leaked hydrogen rises and escapes quickly instead of sinking and pooling, like, oh say gasoline.

      Much safer in truth, but you were taught differently because of a German company that wouldn't face up to its own mistake.

    38. Re:Electricity + Water by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 1

      And a significant combustible ingredient in the dope was... aluminum powder. Used to reflect sunlight. Sunlight would heat the gas in the gas bags, increasing pressure and losses. Was the powder a good idea or no? Think... thermite.

    39. Re:Electricity + Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thermite is aluminum powder and iron oxide with an igniter, like magnesium metal. Aluminum dust is flammible enough on it's own though.

    40. Re:Electricity + Water by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 0

      That fuel was aluminum powder. The same fuel as in a thermite reaction.

      The Hindenberg ignited from a static electric spark; at least, that's the explanation I heard. Then the skin fabric, with its powdered aluminum paint, burned (any bright flames in the movie are from the skin fabric burning; hydrogen burns with an invisible flame). Then the gas bags ignited, and fed the flames all over.

    41. Re:Electricity + Water by jelle · · Score: 1

      "Only problem with that is CO2 is still released."

      It is, but google tells me "Steam Methane Reformation can achieve 65 - 75% efficiency." and "an automobile engine's efficiency is typically 30%". When using SMR, you have to add the fuel cell efficiency, but based on those numbers if it's over 40% it's better than what we are using today. The only way I've seen the fuel-cell pessimists 'calculate' lower efficiencies than 40% is if they that at a low 40% for the fuel-cell and then start adding in system losses to get an 'efficiency to the wheel' while comparing to gasoline/diesel engine-only efficiencies (convenienly forgetting that you should add-in quite a lot of transmission losses there too).

      I'd say SMR is a start, because it allows us to start building an infrastructure which in the end (at the same time) will open up the possibility of using wind and solar to generate hydrogen. Neither gas, nor diesel, nor ethanol allow that.

      (And if you ask me, nuclear is not the holy grail, unless they get fusion going).

      --
      --- Hindsight is 20/20, but walking backwards is not the answer.
    42. Re:Electricity + Water by cnelzie · · Score: 0

      When the gas bags ignited, the flames shot straight up, just like all other hydrogen fires. The spreading flame that went to the sides was the ignited Rocket Fuel Paint Exterior, not Hydrogen fueled fires.

      --
      If you ignore the other uses of a tool, does that make the tool less useful, or you less useful?
    43. Re:Electricity + Water by budgenator · · Score: 1

      With a fuel cell in each house, you could essentially generate hydrogen from water and electricity at night when the power plants are idling in inefficient speeds There is very little idling power plants, the demand is predictable enough that plants come online and go offline very effiecently. We have a peaking plant that can go from a cold-start to online in a half an hour! Besides, with everone generating H2 off-peak, ther wouldn't be any more off-peak.

      --
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    44. Re:Electricity + Water by rmcastor · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Funny story, Hydrogen costs more energy to produce than you get from combusting it, or using it in a fuel cell. Where does the energy come from to produce hydrogen? well, usually it comes from petroleum. A hydrogen economy is impractical. Do I have a solution to the energy problems we face, of course not. But unless you can magically mine hydrogen from space somewhere, then a hydrogen economy won't work. Energy has to come from somewhere, and last I checked hydrogen doesn't grow on trees. It is important to note, that ethanol can be made from trees though, an ethanol economy would be much more practical. Yes, it still takes energy to make methanol, but not even a measurable fraction of the energy it takes to produce hydrogen.

    45. Re:Electricity + Water by Lagged2Death · · Score: 1

      This sort of demand-spreading doesn't require high tech, like hydrogen and fuel cells. It can be done (and has been done) with flywheel batteries, ultracapacitors, compressed air systems, etc.

    46. Re:Electricity + Water by Civil_Disobedient · · Score: 1

      But fuel cells do not have this limit, and their efficiency does not increase very much with their size.

      It's going to be cheaper to build one really big plant than thousands home-sized generators. Don't forget manufacturing inefficiencies.

    47. Re:Electricity + Water by jridley · · Score: 1

      There's a much more efficient method of storing electricity than using it to electrolyze water. It's called batteries. They're still more efficient than hydrogen, last I checked.
      Many people believe that the only reason hydrogen is being pushed is that it allows the people who own infrastructure for transporting oil and gas to still have something to transport.

    48. Re:Electricity + Water by Rei · · Score: 1

      One problem with efficiency numbers (and I don't know if this is the case here or not) is that you can be talking about % of maximum thermodynamic efficiency or % of maximum carnot efficiency at the working temperature.

      --
      You're treating a symptom while the disease rages on. The fish rots from the head. Why not cut off the head?
    49. Re:Electricity + Water by hitmark · · Score: 1
      --
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    50. Re:Electricity + Water by Rei · · Score: 1
      --
      You're treating a symptom while the disease rages on. The fish rots from the head. Why not cut off the head?
    51. Re:Electricity + Water by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I took economics with a couple of power station operators from Detroit Edison Co. weird business power generation, the only industry that considers labor a fixed cost! Thirty people can make nothing or 3 people can make 1000MW!

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    52. Re:Electricity + Water by orzetto · · Score: 1
      A gallon of liquid hydrogen, the highest attainable compression of hydrogen, has about 33% less energy than a gallon of gasoline. Granted, I don't have the energy efficiencies of each engine on-hand to compare.

      Why, I do remember a few numbers (and yes, IAAFCR—I am a fuel-cell researcher): current car engines range from about 30% in lab conditions to something above or around 10% in less than ideal conditions (traffic jams, stop-and-go's, and so on), performing better on highways. Fuel cells (though most studies are about FCs in labs, not in cars) have about 50% efficiency, and the nice thing is they do not have a maximum efficiency at high torque, but at minimum power output (you are most of the time closer to the latter than the former when driving).

      I am not saying that ammonia, methanol, ethanol or other chemical carriers are doomed, but I do not see them in (small) cars: the reason is that it takes a chemical plant to convert them back to hydrogen, and that is added weight, control, and power consumption; it also increases complexity and reduces reliability and dynamic performance. I see these more in trucks and small ships rather than motorcycles. Hydrides have the problem that hydrogen adsorption is easy, but desorption usually requires temperatures beyond 100C, and most fuel cells cannot deliver them; they are still looking for a mixture that will work well with lower temperatures. As for heating the cars, don't worry—fuel cells do produce quite some usable heat for that.

      Nevertheless, lower energy density, combined with the dangers of manipulating pure hydrogen (which can be mitigated in the derivatives), not to mention overhauling the entire distribution network to handle it, keep pure hydrogen from ever being in large-scale use.

      I do not believe that hydrogen is more dangerous than gasoline, as I stated before (mostly because people are so used to gasoline they do not realise how dangerous that actually is), but you are right that the distribution network is a major challenge. However, given the complexity of the current oil network, this has been done before and can be done again, so I would not say never.

      --
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    53. Re:Electricity + Water by jafac · · Score: 1

      The whole point of decentralized generation is;

      Some jackass in Texas or Saudi Arabia can't rig the supply market to fuck you.

      You get your solar cells, the sun shines, you drive to work. No wars, no oil spills, and no global warming. It's really a simple idea based on free market principles (the freest market there is; sunshine).

      Is decentralized power generation less efficient? Yes. Even solar (because your collectors can be positioned where it's sunny all day, and collected generation means you've got a 24x7 maintenance staff keeping things working. - though you get transmission losses) - but relying on energy cartels and smarmy market manipulators is hella-inefficient too. And deadly.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    54. Re:Electricity + Water by Ironsides · · Score: 2, Informative

      (And if you ask me, nuclear is not the holy grail, unless they get fusion going).

      The main problem with Nuclear today is the absence of recycling the material after it has been in the reacotr. Once we get breeder reactors and a recycling program going, nuclear gets a lot cleaner.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    55. Re:Electricity + Water by P_11 · · Score: 1

      Most people don't keep reactors that might explode in their basements. Making hydrogen is inherently dangerous and storing it is only slightly less so. It really only makes sense if it can be obtained cheaply and consumed immediately to generate heat and electricity, both of which are more readily stored and distributed than hydrogen. The only hydrogen generation processes that don't consume so much energy that they are infeasible are photo-catalytic decomposition of water (using sunlight - not yet viable) and microbial decomposition of biomass - usually with other by-products. As a fuel for vehicles, it is really not realistic. Either you need a ton of hydride forming metal in a tank - doubling the weight of a vehicle or you need a pressure vessel - also heavy and a real danger in a collision. What we need to have is a good battery/flywheel or the like that can be charged in a short time. Trucks and busses could recharge at bus loops or warehouses/truck inspection stations etc. Any long hauls should be limited to trains and ships. Passenger vehicles should be similarly handled. The current limitations would prohibit using them for travel more than about 100 km before recharge, but that could change with improvements in technology. If we are going to spend billions on technology, let's spend it on improving what uses our current infrastructure, not on the wasteful conversion to hydrogen for driving.

    56. Re:Electricity + Water by tacocat · · Score: 1

      So both of these posts basically do the same thing. Use lots of hydrocarbon fuel to generate the hydrogen gas necessary to become a nation that isn't entirely dependent on hydrocarbon fuels and the single largest consumer of hydrocarbon energy in the world.

      Works for me!

    57. Re:Electricity + Water by tacocat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you used BioDiesel as a fuel you wouldn't have to rely on the technology curve.

      It's over 100 years old, proven, affordable, reliable, and can be ported from homes to cars with a MUCH higher factor of safety than hydrogen gas.

      It's already has a distribution system infrastructure.

      You can create BioDiesel from a wide range of plants that grow in all but one or two agricultural zones.

    58. Re:Electricity + Water by inKubus · · Score: 1

      Nowadays the problem is the time and expense of running wires. There are permits, and forget about new towers--people expect big kickbacks if you put a pole/easement on their property. A major prerequisite to building a new development is the cost of running power to it, which is not always absorbed by the public utility.

      --
      Cool! Amazing Toys.
    59. Re:Electricity + Water by sumdumass · · Score: 1
      Is decentralized power generation less efficient? Yes. Even solar (because your collectors can be positioned where it's sunny all day, and collected generation means you've got a 24x7 maintenance staff keeping things working. - though you get transmission losses) - but relying on energy cartels and smarmy market manipulators is hella-inefficient too. And deadly.
      Well, It comes down to econimics of scale. One benifit of generating power for multiple homes instead of just one, is that you don't have to generate the maximum amount a household needs for everyhouse in the market. The averages of everyone needing the most possible amounts of energy at the same time, is low and if it does happen, they just do rooling blackouts.

      Now with a singly residential system, You have to either account for the maximum power usage expected or suppliment your power from the cartels. With a co-op type block system, you can leverage the expectation that not everyone will need the power all at once. This will cut costs in generating (building, upkeep and maintinance) as well as the overal equiptment needed. It will also let you break away from traditional hot spots that effect your cost like you said.

      I wouldn't mind being personaly energy independent, However, I don't like the idea of paying for my power usage over the next 10 years all at once because of start up costs in alternative energy. Spreading this out over 10 or 20 homes should reduce the costs a bit and maybe even make it cheaper then regular energy providers. I wouldn't find it too disapointing if my break from tradition electric companies and possibly living in a healthier enviroment involves 10 other houses breaking away too.
    60. Re:Electricity + Water by tcgroat · · Score: 1
      With discounts for off-peak electricity, this sort of system could pay for itself while providing backup generator services as a side effect. Then again, so would...a bunch of batteries.


      It takes a big peak-power premium to offset the price of the batteries and system losses. For example, consider a 12V 100 Ahr deep-cycle, flooded cell lead acid battery (the most economical choice, so we'll accept its maintenance requirements, weight, etc.). You can get perhaps 400 deep cycles out of it, or about 1000 cycles to 50% discharge. 12V x 100Ahr x 50% x 1000 cycles = 600kWhr lifetime energy capacity. With a 95% efficient charge and discharge system and 85% efficiency for the battery itself you'll pay for an extra 140kWhr over the life of the battery, so at $0.07/kWhr (off peak) add another $10.00 to the purchase price. If you can get a good battery for $60, that's $70 extra you paid for the 600 kWhr: close to $0.12 per kWhr premium. If the utility's peak price premium is less than that, you're losing money even before amortizing all the other equipment you'll need. Store power for emergency backup, store power when it's not available from the utility--but don't expect to save money in the process. It's the same as electric car economics: it's not the cost of the electricity, the challenges lie in storing it in a portable, affordable, safe way.

    61. Re:Electricity + Water by emilper · · Score: 1

      the parent should be modded "insightful" ...

    62. Re:Electricity + Water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Growing sugar cane creates massive amounts of water polution.

  2. You keep using that word. by tdemark · · Score: 5, Informative

    Interesting that they break down the future of hydropower not by its advantages

    I do not think it means what you think it means.

    1. Re:You keep using that word. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      inconceivable!

      Sorry, I had to.

    2. Re:You keep using that word. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only those people who are truly interested in actually succeeding in a project take the time to identify and examine all the obstacles that will be encountered on their way to success. Advantages have been seen for more than two decades: failure to address the formidable challenges are the reason you use gasoline today.

    3. Re:You keep using that word. by noigmn · · Score: 1

      Would these be obstacles like finding out that hydropower means power created with water rather than power created with hydrogen?

      --
      Slashdot is powered by your submission.
  3. Hydro... power? by Aladrin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I thought we were talking about Hydrogen Power, not HydroPower. (water power) Or is this another Bushism?

    Nope, looks like the submitter just has no idea what it means. Only reference to that in the article is an link to another article that does indeed talk about water power.

    As far as 'where to get it'... I've always wondered where they thought they'd get unlimited amounts of any limited resource. We can't destroy the oceans for it, and we can't scoop it out of the sun. (At least, I think we can't.) The article talks about nuclear and fossil fuels... That's the problem we already have... How is this a solution?

    We're going to have to sit down and decide to be responsible about the environment some day. We can't keep putting it off forever.

    --
    "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    1. Re:Hydro... power? by Moby+Cock · · Score: 2, Interesting
      We're going to have to sit down and decide to be responsible about the environment some day. We can't keep putting it off forever.
      I wish that were true. I see us as more like the alocoholic who drinks himself to death. He knows he's being destructive but he won't change.
    2. Re:Hydro... power? by Ullteppe · · Score: 1
      I guess you could strip Jupiter. However, the transport issues are interesting, to say the least. I think the medium-term solution would be to move energy-hungry industries to the moon, and use solar power to power the factories.

      It's interesting how little time is spent thinking about long-term energy challenges. Rotten dinosaurs aren't going to last forever!

    3. Re:Hydro... power? by ronanbear · · Score: 1
      An alcoholic can give up alcohol. Power usage is a more complex problem more akin to someone who eats too much. You're shortening your life-span and risking ill-health. You can't stop eating though. You can stop eating fast food and still eat unhealthily. The solution requires a lot more effort and the effort is constant.

      For some addictions stopping the destructive behaviour altoghether is easier than constant moderation every day for the rest of your life.

      --
      the more they over-think the plumbing the easier it is to stop up the pipe
    4. Re:Hydro... power? by phlipped · · Score: 2, Insightful
      We can't destroy the oceans for it
      You're right, we can't destroy the oceans for it.

      By which I mean, we wouldn't possibly be able to destroy the oceans via electrolysis in order to obtain hydrogen, even if wanted to. I don't think we'd be able to get enough energy - the ocean(s) is(are) just too big. If you thought your rich uncle's new swimming pool was big, think again - the ocean is heaps bigger. And in addition to the energy requirements of the electrolysis, we'd need somewhere to store all the hydrogen we'd have created long before there was a detectable change in the ocean. Not to mention all the oxygen we'd either have to store or release to the atmosphere (which would probably cause bushfires to run rampant through all the world's forests).

      But I forget my own main point, which was meant to be that ...

      Using water as a source of hydrogen for the purpose of using the hydrogen as a fuel does not "use up" water, at least not in the long term. Eventually the hydrogen and oxygen will be recombined to release energy, which also creates water (exactly as much as was used in the first place). So once we have siphoned off a (tiny) buffer of water that we can continually split and recombine, we won't need the ocean's water anyway. And any water accidentally or intentiaonally released to the atmosphere will end up precipitating out (probably). The one exception here is that hydrogen gas, being so light, tends to float up to the edge of the atmosphere where it can escape the Earth's gravity and fly off into space. But this would only be significant if we enefficiently leak hydrogen into the air wherever we handle it, and for some reason I reckon we can work out ways for that to NOT happen.
    5. Re:Hydro... power? by odourpreventer · · Score: 1
      unlimited amounts of any limited resource.

      Depends how you define "limited". Extracting H from the oceans would not affect them in any way, because there's just so much water (yes, there's a very limited amount of fresh water, but that's an other thing entirely). Plus when burned it is returned to the oceans.

      Whether this is feasible is a different question. It is an infrastructure thing entirely. I am having this sci-fi fantasy where the entire Sahara is covered with solar panels, and the hydrogen is distributed using (hydrogen-powered) tankers.

    6. Re:Hydro... power? by RsG · · Score: 1

      Earth orbit makes more sense than the moon. For one thing, the travel time to just get into orbit is shorter than the travel time get from orbit to the moon. For another going to the moon involves entering and exiting a gravity well at both ends. Plus there are industries that would benefit from free-fall, and we'd be able to use solar power 24/7 instead of having to wait out the two weeks of lunar night.

      As for the "where do we get the hydrogen" debate, I'm amazed that people actually think the hydrogen is used up when we burn it in a fuel cell. Burning hydrogen produces water. Every liter of water we electrolysize on earth to get hydrogen becomes a liter of water vapour when the fuel cell uses the hydrogen. The "fuel" is unlimited; it's the energy to extract it from water that's the challenge.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    7. Re:Hydro... power? by Ullteppe · · Score: 1
      Well, on the moon you have raw materials. Silicon in the lunar sand would be great for making semiconductors, for instance.

      Sorry for the Jupiter slip, I was thinking about hydrogen for fusion (perhaps the next step after using hydrogen for fuel cells)?

    8. Re:Hydro... power? by RsG · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's true about the moon, but if we want raw materials, I think the asteroid belt makes as much sense. That still gives us the advantage of free-fall, constant sunlight sans lunar night, and no gravity well to climb out of on the other end.

      It's worth remembering also that we'd have to ship up an enormous amount of hardware to make any commercial space exploration possible, so getting raw materials locally might not be a particular advantage. I'm not sure at what stage sending mining and refining equiptment to the moon beats out sending proccessed materials into orbit for industrial work. OTOH, mining is a dirty job to begin with, so if the goal is to move polluting industries off-world, then it makes a little more sense (though I'd still go for the belt first).

      As for fusion, we don't have to leave earth for that. Deuterium is in abundance here already, and if we really want to go elsewhere for fuel, there's helium-3 under the lunar surface (He3+D fusion is the easiest neutron free reaction to generate). In fact, fusion fuel is one of the stronger arguements for lunar mining, since we don't have much helium-3 here - most of the helium on earth is helium-4.

      I don't know what isotopes are available, or easily accessable, in Jupiter's atmosphere, but if its mostly got He4 and H1, then it doesn't do us a lot of good (the most common kinds of hydrogen and helium make poor fusion fuels).

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    9. Re:Hydro... power? by mark-t · · Score: 1

      We can't destroy the oceans for it...

      Actually, we can...

      Because when you burn hydrogen, it produces water vapour, which will eventually fall back down to earth as clean rain.

      The only loss in the equation is the energy that it took to extract the hydrogen from the water in the first place, which requires a surplus of another form of energy. Rather than pushing the problem down one level, this does, in fact, represent a significant progress towards a viable solution, as centralized energy facilities could always be used which may be more cost efficient than smaller scale solutions. Geothermal, wind, and hydro are three clean energy sources that I can think of right off the top of my head that work quite well, but of course those only exist in surplus in certain areas of the world. Nevertheless, such clean energy sources should be utilized wherever they are found in abundance.

      Nuclear power wouldn't necessarily be the worst thing to use either.... it's far cleaner than burning coal or oil, and although not perpetual like the clean energy sources I mentioned earlier, would still be easily capable of meeting the energy needs of the planet. Ultimately, however, I believe a blend of of many different energy solutions is likely to be the most useful.

    10. Re:Hydro... power? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I thought we were talking about Hydrogen Power, not HydroPower. (water power) Or is this another Bushism?


      Our alliance with the fish has finally yeilded positive results!!
    11. Re:Hydro... power? by spvo · · Score: 1
      The one exception here is that hydrogen gas, being so light, tends to float up to the edge of the atmosphere where it can escape the Earth's gravity and fly off into space.

      Hydrogen is reactive enough that very little would ever make it out of the atmosphere. Realistically I think its only the very light nonreactive gasses, like helium, that you have to worry about escaping.

  4. Re:A wise man once said.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    replace element with compound and you have the same arguement for Petrol and Diesel.

    easier to make a bomb with Diesel then hydrogen

  5. RE: by doobie22 · · Score: 1

    Ohh the humanity.

  6. Re:A wise man once said.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gasoline is so safe you can light it on fire and it won't explode.

  7. Re:A wise man once said.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny
    Know how dumb the average person is?
    dumb enough not to know the difference between the average and the median?
  8. Well... by durin · · Score: 2, Funny

    Stupidity IS more abundant than hydrogen after all...

    --
    Why, yes! I AM new here.
  9. What about Iceland? by dcw · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Not a single mention of Iceland in the article, I guess it is only an option if it is a 'Made In The USA' thing.

    --
    "All those, moments will be lost, in time, like tears, in rain. Time to die." Roy Batty
    1. Re:What about Iceland? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is so special about Iceland?

    2. Re:What about Iceland? by McWilde · · Score: 2, Interesting

      So now there is a single mention of Iceland; it doesn't mean anything to me. Please elaborate. How far along is Iceland in converting to a hydrogen economy? Seriously, I'd like to know?

      --
      Maybe
    3. Re:What about Iceland? by MightyYar · · Score: 2, Insightful

      More likely is that it's just not relevant. Iceland gets much of their energy from geothermal sources - the US (and most other countries) do not have that luxury except in certain localities.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    4. Re:What about Iceland? by tonicblue · · Score: 5, Informative
      http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/2973885.st m
      http://www.hydro.com/en/press_room/news/archive/20 03_04/hydrogen_island_en.html
      http://business.guardian.co.uk/story/0,3604,943132 ,00.html

      They don't just use hydrogen.
      Some cities, such as Reykjavik, already use hydrogen to power buses. But Iceland gets some electricity and over 80% of its heating and hot water from geothermal energy sources, and can produce the hydrogen emission-free. Other countries need to find ways to produce the hydrogen sustainably.

      http://www.newscientist.com/channel/earth/energy-f uels/dn9984

      They are lucky they live where they do. It's a hot bed of free energy.
      --
      $ cat /home/tonic/sig
      cat: /home/tonic/sig: No such file or directory
    5. Re:What about Iceland? by rubicon7 · · Score: 1

      It's a hot bed of free energy.

      Literally!

      --
      --- We are not in the 8th dimension. We are over New Jersey.
    6. Re:What about Iceland? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there are some draw back with icelands "green" power, from cia.gov:
      Fallout from the Askja volcano of 1875 devastated the Icelandic economy and caused widespread famine. Over the next quarter century, 20% of the island's population emigrated, mostly to Canada and the US.

    7. Re:What about Iceland? by RexRhino · · Score: 1

      Maybe because the population of Iceland is about 1/5th the population of Manhattan Island. Iceland on the world scale is slightly less significant than East Harlem.

  10. Re:A wise man once said.. by The_Mr_Flibble · · Score: 1

    Having hydrogen piped to your house would be, well really really fun. a few old weather balloons and a bow and arrow with a flaming end.

  11. Coal to oil by suntac · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well at least they are looking at it..... right?

    With oil running out in +/- 43 years we are already started very late to start working on good solutions. I think that we, in the end will be working with the coal liquefaction solutions. Creating oil from coal is already done on large scale in South Africa.

    We will not be able to change all current diesel driven machines to a other power source so I think this will become to gap closer until we find a better solution. I really wonder what the governments around the world are doing on this subject? Can some people please comment on this to give some insight?

    --
    Regards, Johan Louwers.
    1. Re:Coal to oil by rkcallaghan · · Score: 4, Funny
      suntac wrote:
      With oil running out in +/- 43 years ...
      For us unenlightened folks, could you explain the "-43 years" part of that estimate?

      ~Rebecca
    2. Re:Coal to oil by nelsonal · · Score: 4, Funny

      Didn't you get the memo? The oil ran out in 1963, the fuel you put in your car and petrol you think is coming from the ground is all the product of a conspiracy that ExxonMobil cooked up with the Rand Corporation and Carslyle Group (under the auspices of the Trilateral Commission and Council on Foreign Relations).

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    3. Re:Coal to oil by suntac · · Score: 2, Informative

      Aspo The organization who is doing research on when the oil consumption will peak and the available quantity has a new figure of the world running completely out of oil in 2050.

      http://www.peakoil.ie/newsletters/47/

      Other organizations and institutes a re backing those figures and they agree with this. Meaning that if the figures are correct we will run out in 2050, but as supplies start running out the price of oil will skyrocket.

      If they skyrocket this high the price will be to high to, for example, power combines for the harvest of food supplies. This is not a scenario for third world countries, this is a scenario we can expect to have in the US and Europe for example in 20 till 30 years. This is to say if we do not take quick action.

      There are solutions to extract fuel from coal, this is done by Germany in world war II when they had almost zero access to oil supplies but where in need of powering a war machine. The solution is today used in South Africa where they have a 28% fuel supply from coal liquefaction.

      Even do we are aware of the problem and even do we have a solution in place there is not very much initiative at this moment. We might run out of time. At least that is what I am worried about.

      --
      Regards, Johan Louwers.
    4. Re:Coal to oil by McWilde · · Score: 1

      What conspiracy? Are you implying that soylent fuel is people?!

      --
      Maybe
    5. Re:Coal to oil by Ingolfke · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry but I have trouble trusting an organization whose Chairman's name is Chicken Little.

    6. Re:Coal to oil by twiddlingbits · · Score: 1

      Oil has been running out in 40 yrs for 40 yrs. It's the mantra of the any fuel but oil crowd. We know that there are untapped massive oil fields off the East Coast of the USA, the Artic, off Florida and in deep-water Gulf of Mexico. The oil sands in Alberta alone have a decade of oil stored in them (it's another discussion on if it is a break-even process to get it out). Technology is allowing older fields new production. We will eventually run out of oil but try a 75 yr horizon and not 40. By the way, the Nazi's invented the oil from coal process (Fischer-Tropsch) and used it in later stages of WWII. That's where SA got the idea when the embargo was imposed in the 1970's and 1980's due to Apartheid. It's pretty easy to convert a diesel or gasoline engine to run on Natural Gas of which there is a 100+ yrs supply, not to mention Methane can be made from bio-sources. And then is also fuel alcohol that can be made from bio materials. And there are pilot plants to make oil from chicken/turkey processing wastes. So, there are things going on. Hydrogen is not THE answer, it is part of the answer but it's not going to be cheap, easy or soon as you think.

    7. Re:Coal to oil by BVis · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you can explain something to me.

      Why is it, whenever someone mentions Peak Oil in a (mostly) rational discussion of alternative fuels, there's always someone who needs to belittle the concept and imply that Peak Oil is groundless hysteria?

      Why is it so difficult to believe that eventually we will run out of fossil fuels that are usable by current (and near-term) means? We use it at a far greater rate than it's being generated. Fossil fuels take millions of years to form, and the fact of the matter is we're using it at a far greater (and ever-accellerating) rate. Simple mathematics tells us that it's not sustainable and we WILL run out (or at the very least reach a point at which we can't meet the demand due to dwindling supplies.) Even if the entire planet were made of oil we'd still use it all eventually!

      Your attitude is non-constructive at best, and irresponsible at worst. Are you so afraid of change that you have to disparage those who are seeking to prevent economic and environmental catastrophe? Would the world end if you needed to drive a more fuel efficient car? Or one that ran on vegetable oil? Or put solar panels on your roof?

      Wesley Snipes said it best: "Some motherfuckers are always trying to ice-skate uphill."

      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    8. Re:Coal to oil by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      Shh, everyone's going to want to eat it if the word gets out.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    9. Re:Coal to oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      43 years?
      Please.
      lib dem much?

    10. Re:Coal to oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the larger problem isn't that there's a Peak Oil number; it's that this number can't be trusted. Humans are still discovering oil reserves around the world. So I'd be curious what their margin of error is for when the made their assumption on how much oil is available. Conversely, human consumption is neither stable nor linear. Again, what is their margin for error in this regard?

      The problem is these questions can't be easily answered, if they can be at all. For a group to pick a date that we will all run out oil is suspect when there are so many variables in the analysis.

    11. Re:Coal to oil by Clujo · · Score: 1

      Forgot the mention the Elders of Zion.

    12. Re:Coal to oil by corbettw · · Score: 1

      We use it at a far greater rate than it's being generated.

      If that were even remotely true, we would have no reserves whatsoever. Also, gas prices wouldn't have dropped through the floor in the last few weeks.

      By the time we start to seriously run low on oil, we'll be able to send robot ships to Titan and start bleeding it dry, instead.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    13. Re:Coal to oil by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      If that were even remotely true, we would have no reserves whatsoever. Also, gas prices wouldn't have dropped through the floor in the last few weeks.

      Removing it from the ground is not "generating" it. It's extracting a finite resource.

      Gas prices dropped through the floor because the summer driving season ended and because the Gulf didn't get creamed by hurricanes this year. The price was also artificially high for current production/demand. That doesn't change the fact that most of the oil exporting countries are in production decline, and the ones that aren't will be soon, at which point things will start getting really nasty.

    14. Re:Coal to oil by zoomzit · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, we ran out of oil a long time ago, I personal drive a go-cart, powered by my own sense of self-satisfaction.

    15. Re:Coal to oil by sholden · · Score: 1

      Because it's pretty obvious that rather than a catostrophic collapse of civilisation, oil prices will simply rise as supplies reduce (all sources are not going to expire simultaneously) and other energy sources which are now not competitive with oil will thus be price competitive, and the world will go on as normal.

    16. Re:Coal to oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In conjunction with the Saucer People, under the control of the Reverse Vampires...

      We're through the looking glass here people.

    17. Re:Coal to oil by budgenator · · Score: 1
      Look here's the way I see it You tell me coal is a fossile fuel made from decomposed bio-mass millions of years old it seems reasonable to me
      • coal has lots of amine compounds, biomass has lots of proteins, both are nitrogenous compunds
      • coal has lots of cyclic compounds as does biomasses, there different cyclics but the differences aren't huge
      • coal has the same kinds of trace minerals your likely to find in indiginous flora and funa
      • coal is found near the surface

      Petrolium on the other hand
      • composed predominately of straight-chain ashphaltic and parafinic hydrocarbons
      • amasingly clean, very little contaminating minerals other tha sulpher
      • found at depths boardering on near the surface to miles deep

      Therefore I have to conclude that petrolium isn't a fossile fuel at all, it found far deeper that deposition of biomass and covering with soil would allow unlike coal and very probably oil-shale and it's basic composition is to clean and neat to be biomass derived. I think it's far more likely that petrolium's originates from complex reactions of naturaly occuring carbon in the earth's core and hydrogen gas at extreme temperatures and presures which perculates upward through the rocks untill the gasses condence and accumulate in cavernous rock formations in the crust. This of course would make our petrolium supplies to a degree replenishing and the concept of Peak Oil rediculous.

      I know that this will stike most as a creationist rant, but even the village idiot can have an epiphany. If the conventional wisdom stated that petrolium was mineral rather than fossile, would the fossile fuel camp be able to argue against the status quo?
      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    18. Re:Coal to oil by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      You got the number of years totally wrong.

      When I was in grade school (about 1970 or so), I was told that there was a maximum of 10 years of oil left, and we were looking at a serious case of global cooling. Since these scientists couldn't be wrong (they were surely as accurate as the current croud), we've been out of oil for the last 25 years, and are suffering from much colder weather than normal.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    19. Re:Coal to oil by budgenator · · Score: 1

      It couldn't have anything to do with find a whole Saudi Arabia's worth of oil under the gulf of mexico could it?

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    20. Re:Coal to oil by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      Oil that can't start to be extracted until 2010, and not in full production until 2013. And that may or may not exceed a few hundred million barrels. Hardly.

  12. Re:Where to get this? by jackb_guppy · · Score: 1

    You are right. Hydrogen production takes energy to "make" and releases less energy when "consumed". You need another source of energy to supply the energy needed to Hydrogen will store. That brings us back to Fossil, Nuclear, Solor, Geothermial.

    The only advanage that Hydrogen really supplies in my mind, is that "making" will be ran 7x24 at near continous optimised loads, where the power that is being consumed is at or near maximum efficiency. Like Diesel-electric locomotives, that run the main 2-cycle engine at continous peak proformance, and use the electric switching to handle torque convertion.

  13. Storage as a "compound" by Dr.+Eggman · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I was fooling around learning about elements not too long ago when I learned something interesting about an element called Palladium. It has a strange ability to, at room temperature, absorb up to 900 times its own volume of hydrogen. It is not known if it really is a true chemical compound as PdH(2)or not. An interesting ability, but could it be used for storeage of hydrogen? When heated enough, the hydrogen diffused out of the palladium, so perhaps it could be used as a storeage medium. But I'm not a chemist; does anyone know how much palladium would be necessary to create a viable storage medium out of it? What kind of heat is needed to get the hydrogen? Palladium is a kind of expensive element, are there others with a similar property?

    --
    Demented But Determined.
    1. Re:Storage as a "compound" by contrapunctus · · Score: 1

      There is a big field of research for hydrogen storage materials with exactly your goals in mind. Doing a search for "hydrogen storage materials" will yeald several "scholarly" articles from google.

    2. Re:Storage as a "compound" by hcdejong · · Score: 3, Informative

      This is mentioned in TFA (second page, heading "SOLID-STATE"). IIRC there are more materials that can do this, collectively they're called metal hydrides. Metal hydride tanks are heavy and expensive: Mercedes built a car with a metal hydride fuel tank about 10 years ago, the tank alone cost $100k.
      The temperature needed to release the hydrogen is about 300 deg C.

    3. Re:Storage as a "compound" by ArikTheRed · · Score: 1

      Perfect! It can burn gas to reach those temperatures! And thus the problem was solved, once and for all.

    4. Re:Storage as a "compound" by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Palladium is EXPENSIVE because it's supply is very limited. It's produced mostly in Russia, BTW :)

      Actually, Palladium is so rare that it's viable to purify nuclear waste to get it (palladium is one of the fission products).

    5. Re:Storage as a "compound" by matt_kizerian · · Score: 1

      Palladium's affinity for hydrogen is actually used in many steam reformers today, but not as a storage medium (the metal hydrides others mentioned do a better job at this). It is used as a separator.

      A palladium/silver alloy lets pure H2 to diffuse through, leaving behind the CO2, CO, water, and other chemicals which are also products of steam reforming. This gets you better than 99.9975% pure hydrogen for the fuel cell. This is important because some chemicals, like carbon monoxide (CO), can really mess up fuel cells (at least the PEM fuel cells used in most concept cars and in systems which could be adapted for home use).

    6. Re:Storage as a "compound" by WhatDoIKnow · · Score: 1

      "900 times its own volume"? Hydrogen is a gas. How much hydrogen by mass?

      :wq

    7. Re:Storage as a "compound" by Dr.+Eggman · · Score: 1

      I think the site was refering to Palladium's volume. But Its possible I just copied the information wrong.

      --
      Demented But Determined.
    8. Re:Storage as a "compound" by Thomas+Henden · · Score: 1

      >This is mentioned in TFA (second page, heading "SOLID-STATE"). IIRC there are more materials that can do this, collectively they're called metal hydrides.
      >Metal hydride tanks are heavy and expensive: Mercedes built a car with a metal hydride fuel tank about 10 years ago, the tank alone cost $100k.
      >The temperature needed to release the hydrogen is about 300 deg C.

      Which means, you'd be better off by storing the energy in nickel metal hydride batteries, like the Toyota RAV4 EV has, no excessive heat, and several thousand charge cycles avilable depending on how well the computerized charging system protects the batteries from under (reversing) or overcharge. Almost none of the batteries in the Toyota RAV4 EV have had to be changed AFAIK. The Prius charge/discharge its pack just a little, so it will last, probably more than the lifetime of the car.
      The price for batteries is still usually high, but not extreme, like the cost of all those hydrogen components.
      Batteries are usually made of cheap and recyclable compounds, and yes, by mass production, it is fully feasible to get down the price to much lower than what it is now.
      Now even denser storage is possible, with zebra or litium batteries, so that a electric car a little over the average size, can drive as far as a petroleum car on one charge.

      The challenge will be to switch from gasoline stations, to efficient charging stations. Quick charging (even super fast) is theoretically no problem, for most battery types.
      One solution would be to have huge banks of supercapasitors on the charging stations, so that the wires from the grid don't have to be inconveniently thick (and utterly expencive)
      On the other hand, ususally one would only require quick charging when going for a longer trip, since an overnight charge at home, will take care of all the shorter daily trips, that most people do. Which means, there should be less need for quick charging stations, than there is a need for gasoline stations today!

      The REAL challenge will be, getting people to understand that this will work better than a "hydrogen powered" future, since producing, storing, transporting etc. hydrogen, is much more difficult and afflicted with much more energy losses than an 'electrical powered' future with electrical wires and batteries transferring and storing the energy.

      Hopefully, an increasing part of the electricity, will be produced cleanly, however shouldn't the sun shine, and the wind not blow, the nature will accept that we burn _some_ coal or crunch some atoms, also in the future.

  14. Innovation by s31523 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    FTA: " "You have to step back and ask, 'What is the point?'" says Joseph Romm, executive director of the Center for Energy & Climate Solutions.

    It is this type of closed mind thinking that prevents innovation. When Brazil started the initiative for a total E85 fuel infrastructure if people listened to people like Joseph Romm saying "Whats the point, we have a plentiful cheap resource already, gas!" they wouldn't be declaring energy independance today. What's the point? Isn't it obvious?

    1. Re:Innovation by kfg · · Score: 1

      What's the point? Isn't it obvious?

      No, that's the point.

      KFG

    2. Re:Innovation by nelsonal · · Score: 2, Informative

      They have energy independance because they found a bunch of oil off their coast. The E85 helped but contributes only a modest amount (just under 15% or so of oil use) to their overal fuel use. Also, corn is much less efficient at converting solar energy to ethanol, so the US would be relying on imported sugar or ethanol anyway. Brazil is only declaring energy independance because they also have a plentiful cheap resource today, namely petroleum.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    3. Re:Innovation by pubjames · · Score: 1

      Isn't it obvious?

      I don't think it is obvious to many people.

      I think we have to start promoting this type of thing in a different way. Rather than "it's about protecting the environment" we should be saying "it's about not being dependent upon the Middle East".

    4. Re:Innovation by kfg · · Score: 2, Informative

      Rather than "it's about protecting the environment" we should be saying "it's about not being dependent upon the Middle East".

      How about telling the truth, just to be different?

      KFG

    5. Re:Innovation by pubjames · · Score: 1

      ? Not following you - they are both valid and truthful reasons.

    6. Re:Innovation by s31523 · · Score: 1

      Precisely. Energy is going to be one of the most challenging aspects of increasing population and technology. My whole point was that if we listen to people who are just dismissing a form of technology because it is difficult to master with "what's the point?", then innovation can never happen. If all the innovators in time listened to this we would still be living in caves. I expect better from leaders in the energy community, that is all I am saying. Who knows if Hydrogen is a realistic energy source, but to just dismiss it with, hey we got oil whats the point, is short sighted and stupid.

    7. Re:Innovation by Alioth · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cellulose_ethanol

      No corn required. Not even fertilizer - just use weeds.

    8. Re:Innovation by kfg · · Score: 1

      They are both valid, but they are neither truthful.

      Make a test; go out in some vaguely natural environment and start producing some small amount of hydrogen without burning fossil fuels or disturbing said environment by some other means.

      KFG

    9. Re:Innovation by Smidge204 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Way to take a quote out of context!

      Immediately before that quote: Skeptics say that hydrogen promises to be a needlessly expensive solution for applications for which simpler, cheaper and cleaner alternatives already exist. (Emphasis mine)

      In other words, for many applications Hydrogen is the Rube Goldberg machine of energy management.
      =Smidge=

    10. Re:Innovation by xeno-cat · · Score: 1

      He is speaking like a true economist. Econ 101 is that if you have a resource and an infrastructure for utilizing that resource you should continue to use that resource until it is compleatly depleated. This is because economists have such tiny brains that they can only hold the simple arithmatic for their own specialization in their head. They then make long winded and solomn pronouncements about how things _are_ and make fanciful predictions about how things will turn out, which are rarely true.

      Kind Regards

      --
      "A few great minds are enough to endow humanity with monstrous power, but a few great hearts are not enough to make us w
    11. Re:Innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OR maybe, just maybe, we could grow sugar cane here. I know it's far fetched and sugar production has never been done here.... what? You're kidding, it really has? Wow....

      Fuck corn, don't use corn as an example, just because the oil-heads in office want to use it, for mainly the reasons you stated. It's a dumb proposition, much like this hydrogen bullshit they keep pushing.....

    12. Re:Innovation by VVrath · · Score: 1

      /me wanders off into the wilderness with a solar panel, two wires and a bucket of water... What was the point of your test again?

    13. Re:Innovation by kfg · · Score: 1

      me wanders off into the wilderness with a solar panel. . .

      Did you carve that solar panel out of deadfall or something?

      KFG

    14. Re:Innovation by kfg · · Score: 1

      Go try it and carefully track your fossil fuel use and how your environment fairs. The results may not be as you expect.

      KFG

    15. Re:Innovation by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      Sugar cane grows in two areas of the US reliably well, Hawaii and Florida. It probably wouldn't be grown as widely in those two areas, if it weren't for the import quotas that keep the US price for sugar about 50% above the world price. Brazil is energy independant due to a decent amount of production and very low energy use per person (the average American uses 5x the energy of the average Brazillian). To replace the same 15% of our energy needs that Brazil is getting from sugar cane we would need to be growing sugar cane on 400,000 sq km. or about 25% of our arable land (roughly the size of Montana). That and US domestic prodution would total a little more than 1/3 of our total oil usage.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    16. Re:Innovation by demigod · · Score: 1

      Also, corn is much less efficient at converting solar energy to ethanol, so the US would be relying on imported sugar or ethanol anyway.

      Corn is a bad choice for making ethanol. The only reason we do it now is we have some much corn we can't figure out what to do with it all.

      A much better choice (and much better than importing sugar) would be to convert some corn production to sweet sorghum. You get 2 to 3 times the ethanol yield and it's a crop not unfamiliar to American farmers. Let me stress however, we do not want or need a monocrop soloution.

      --
      "The last thing I want to do is deal with a bunch of people who want something."
      Major Major
    17. Re:Innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Around 90% of Brazil's "energy independence" is still domestic oil and the US doesn't have the right environment for sugar cane ethanol. Woops.

    18. Re:Innovation by mfrank · · Score: 1

      OK, how about this: I don't want to live naked on a savannah somewhere living on grubs and berries until I get too old to run away from hyenas. Which, in my case, would be, uh, about 8 years ago.

    19. Re:Innovation by shis-ka-bob · · Score: 1
      There are huge differences. People have been making alcohol from grain quite successfully since the beginning of civilization. Hydrogen is completely different. HYDROGEN IS NOT AN ENERGY SOURCE. Hydrogen is a storage and transportation medium. But hydrogen gas has the following problems
      1. It permiates through steel. You can use aluminum, but it is a PITA (just ask any welder) so you drive up the cost of building and maintaining both containment vessels and pipelines.
      2. It has a low energy per volume. It may have a reasonable (but by no means excellent) KJoule/Kg value, but who cares if the high pressure container weighs 20x more than the gas in it. So its hard to use hyrogen as a fuel in a vehicle. Forget about aircraft, they cannot affort to lift the weight of the tanks.
      3. It has a low energy per volume. So you have to make larger pipelines (or run them at higher pressure). Either tactic makes them more expensive.
      So at some point, you have to ask yourself why you are choosing such a low density fuel for transportation. This is Joseph Romm's question. If you can produce an excess of hydrogen, you might be better off having some competent Chem E's produce hydrocarbons and transport the hydrocarbons. You are still carbon neutral so this is still a zero net emmission solution.
      --
      Think global, act loco
    20. Re:Innovation by japhmi · · Score: 1

      How about a different test. Go into some vaguely natural enviroment and start producing some hydroden in a way that is less harmful to said enviroment than drilling and refining fossil fuels.

      --
      "Giving money and power to government is like giving whiskey and car keys to teenage boys" P. J. O'Rourke
    21. Re:Innovation by kfg · · Score: 1

      Well, burn some coal and oil then; although some exercise wouldn't hurt you.

      KFG

    22. Re:Innovation by kfg · · Score: 1

      Go for it.

      KFG

    23. Re:Innovation by dbIII · · Score: 1

      It was a good idea. If they produce a larger than usual amount of sugar one year they can't export it to a closed market like the USA so why not turn it into ethanol?

    24. Re:Innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Growing sugar cane in Flordia is the majpr source of water polution. We need to stop it now.

  15. *sigh* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Dr. Ulf Bossel, organizer of the Lucerne Fuel Cell Forum, about his announcement that hydrogen will no longer be a topic of conversation at the conference

    Please also note that because of the staggering loss of exergy, use of
    electrolysis for bulk hydrogen apps is a really, really dumb thing to do.
    It is the equivalent of exchanging two US dollars for one Mexican peso.

    "Hydrogen power will dramatically reduce greenhouse gas admissions"
    - Speaking on the topic of energy independence, Washington D.C., February 6, 2003 Or how about the mere announcement of spending "In 2003, President George Bush announced an $1.7bn investment to turn the US into the world leaders of hydrogen-powered automobiles."

    Now....who ya gonna believe....Don Lancaster (who has more geek cred than most /. readers), Dr. Ulf Bossel, or some hack writers at Popular Mechanics and President Bush?

    1. Re:*sigh* by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      electrolysis for bulk hydrogen apps is a really, really dumb thing to do. It is the equivalent of exchanging two US dollars for one Mexican peso.

      Hydrogen is not an energy source. The point of hydrogen in this context isn't to produce energy more efficiently - it's to store and distribute it more efficiently. Your statement is like saying "charging a battery is a really, really dumb thing to do. It's much more efficient to run straight from mains".

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
  16. Belief.... by wish+bot · · Score: 0
    I can't quite still believe people write things like this...
    When burned, these carbon-based fuels release millions of tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, where the gas traps heat and is believed to contribute to global warming.


    It's established beyond doubt that it does do this - there's no belief required. We're not discussing religion, it's not controversial - we're discussing thousands of real scientific studies. We don't have to believe anything - unlike religion it exists whether we believe in it or not. I mean, I don't have to believe that my powerbook is hot and heats up the table - it just fickin happens. When will these people wake up from their self induced delusions?

    --
    lemonade was a popular drink and it still is
    1. Re:Belief.... by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "It's established beyond doubt that it does do this - there's no belief required."

      Except that 'global warming' has so many meanings to different people that it's pretty much impossible to make any objective statement using the term. It's almost certain that increased CO2 is warming the planet to some extent, so to people who use the term to mean 'the planet is warming because of CO2 emissions', then you're right. But to those who use the term to mean 'oh my God! The sky is falling! We're all going to die if we don't give control of global industry to the commies^H^H^H^H^H^Hgreenies!', that's only a belief (and a false one at that).

    2. Re:Belief.... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Well, there's this belief defines reality crowd that range from new agers to people who beleive their God should do what he is told and the commandments are for other people who have not been "born again". I don't think they will wake up - they some of them can reconcile being a boy buggering bastard with their old testament beliefs.

  17. Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by mrdrivel · · Score: 5, Insightful
    From the article:
    But unlike oil and gas, hydrogen is not a fuel. It is a way of storing or transporting energy. You have to make it before you can use it -- generally by extracting hydrogen from fossil fuels, or by using electricity to split it from water.
    How is hydrogen not a fuel? I always thought fuel was a substance that when it goes through a chemical reaction releases energy. While many fuels are burned, the process of generating energy in a fuel cell is still a chemical reaction.

    Secondly, aren't there other fuels that have to be made before we can use them? Gasoline and diesel have to be refined -- it's not like we find them naturally in the ground.

    So hydrogen is just a way of "storing and transporting energy". I thought the use of fuels was a way to "store and transport energy".

    1. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The difference is that you don't have to spend energy to create oil.
      That's done for us over millions of years by mother nature.
      With hydrogen, you're creating the fuel, the actual energy stored in chemical bonds.

    2. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by kfg · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, hydrogen is a fuel, but it is not an energy source. It is a fuel you have to put the power into. The phrase "hydrogen economy" is an idiocy at best; a fraud at worst. The economy will be based on whatever source of energy is used to make the the hydrogen. Like, oooooooooooh, gas and coal.

      The more things change. . .

      Gasoline and diesel have to be refined -- it's not like we find them naturally in the ground.

      But the energy is already in the crude (stored solar) and it can be used to power its own refinement. There is a loss of available energy in the process, but a net gain nonetheless.

      There is nothing but net loss in hydrogen since any energy that can be extracted from it must be put in it the first place - and the Second Law wins. The current cheapest and quickest way to put energy into hydrogen is to . . .burn oil and coal. Using hydrogen as a fuel increases coal and oil use until the price of them rises above the cost of energizing hydrogen by other means.

      In other words, when hydrogen becomes really, really expensive itself.

      KFG

    3. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 3, Interesting

      OK, if you want to nitpick, H2 is not a primary fuel. You need some other energy source to create it. So it is more like electricity than crude oil. Of course, H2 will become a primary fuel the day we start mining Jupiter and Saturn for H2.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    4. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by RoboRay · · Score: 1

      If we're going to mine the gas giants, we'd be a lot better off going after Helium-3. The considerably lower escape velocities of Neptune and Uranus make them much more viable mining targets, as well, even considering the longer travel time.

      Of course, we need to get commercial fusion reactors going, but I digress...

    5. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Yes, hydrogen is a fuel, but it is not an energy source. It is a fuel you have to put the power into. The phrase "hydrogen economy" is an idiocy at best; a fraud at worst. The economy will be based on whatever source of energy is used to make the the hydrogen. Like, oooooooooooh, gas and coal.

      Try this instead: "The economy will be based on whatever source of energy is used to make the the hydrogen. Like, oooooooooooh, solar"?

      That makes ten thousand times more sense.

      The current cheapest and quickest way to put energy into hydrogen is to . . .burn oil and coal.

      I doubt it very much.

      You could try solar cells then electrolysis, but why go the extra step? The best approach would doubtless be Artificial Photosynthesis. Go straight from the solar to the hydrogen. Eliminate the steps in the middle.

      That has got to be by far the cheapest feasible method. Now all mankind has to do is find the catalyst, and the carrier to transport the hydrogen with. Instant hydrogen economy.

    6. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by smchris · · Score: 1

      There is nothing but net loss in hydrogen since any energy that can be extracted from it must be put in it the first place - and the Second Law wins.

      Yeah, but they'll make it up in quantity. When they build up the currently non-existent distribution network they've got it made. Sure, gasoline has the lead but does any other energy source like electricity have a distribution network? Oh, wait....

      Sure, it's one thing to come to /. and visualize the day when there is one linux computer for every person but even rooting for underdog technologies has its limits.

    7. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by RsG · · Score: 1
      Like, oooooooooooh, solar"?
      I don't think you quite grasp the amount of power we're talking about here. Solar isn't going to cut it. Nuclear might, but good luck selling the general public on that.

      The best approach would doubtless be Artificial Photosynthesis. Go straight from the solar to the hydrogen. Eliminate the steps in the middle.
      Got a link? I'm curious to see whether this "artificial photosynthesis" exists, and if so, what properties it has. I haven't heard of it, but if somebody has developed a process of using sunlight to produce hydrogen directly without electrolysis (which is horribly ineffecient), then I'm interested.

      Now all mankind has to do is find the catalyst, and the carrier to transport the hydrogen with. Instant hydrogen economy.
      You make it sound as if you think these things are trivial. They aren't.

      Storage is a problem, though a solvable one. Hydrogen atoms are tiny, and tend to leak out of just about anything. And hydrogen is a gas at any reasonable terrestrial temperature. We're on our way to solving this problem, but we're not there yet.

      Generating hydrogen in useful quantities is the bigger problem, at least if we want to maintain our current energy usage in the transportation sector. It isn't as simple as laying out solar panels and electrolysizing water - we can generate hydrogen that way, but the amount we'd need is far greater than the amount we could reasonably produce with such methods.

      What we'd really want first is cheap and clean (or cleaner) electricity in abundant quantities first. I know of no method for producing electricity that combines low price, low pollution and high output.
      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    8. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by kfg · · Score: 1

      I doubt it very much.

      You are, nonetheless, wrong.

      Go straight from the solar to the hydrogen. Eliminate the steps in the middle.

      We shall leave this as an exercise for the student.

      Now all mankind has to do is find the catalyst, and the carrier to transport the hydrogen with. Instant . . .

      Carrier and catalyst economy.

      KFG

    9. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by drew · · Score: 1
      Like, oooooooooooh, solar"?


      Sure, maybe 50 years in the future, when solar technology advances to the point where it can produce energy on the scale that we currently get by burning coal and gas. The poster you are responding to is talking about using hydrogen now, or at least in the immediate future, and is pointing out that most people take for granted that the power in 'hydrogen power' ultimately comes from somewhere else, primarily (in the US at least) coal. I've got a news flash for you. If solar power was in any way, shape, or form ready to replace coal as a primary power source, it would have happened by now, hydrogen or no.

      I doubt it very much.

      You must have missed the word 'current'.

      You could try solar cells then electrolysis, but why go the extra step? The best approach would doubtless be Artificial Photosynthesis. Go straight from the solar to the hydrogen. Eliminate the steps in the middle.

      That has got to be by far the cheapest feasible method. Now all mankind has to do is find the catalyst, and the carrier to transport the hydrogen with. Instant hydrogen economy.
      (emphasis mine)

      Well, shoot, that's it? While we're at it, why don't we hurry up and get all those fusion reactors working. I mean, all we have to do is figure out how to make the reaction sustainable without using up huge amounts of power on containment, and we're set. For that matter, the cheapest feasible method of power generation has got to be to find a way to directly tap into the background radiation of the universe. All we have to do is figure out how, and we have free energy for life.

      More seriously, has anyone (with an appropriate scientific background) ever proposed this as even a theoretical model, much less suggested an actual mechanism by which it might work? Because if you can show me some actual research into that, I'd love to see it.
      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
    10. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by kfg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      . . .does any other energy source like electricity have a distribution network?

      Where are the electricity mines/farms?

      Electric current is the result of work being done. Unless you push 'em electrons are prone to just sit there minding their own business, like getting annoyed at being anthropomorphised.

      It's the Sun that makes the world go around.

      KFG

    11. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by be951 · · Score: 1
      Yes, hydrogen is a fuel, but it is not an energy source. It is a fuel you have to put the power into.

      Very true.

      The phrase "hydrogen economy" is an idiocy at best; a fraud at worst.

      This, I don't agree with so much. There are a couple of advantages to hydrogen. First, as you point out, anything can be used to generate power: nuclear, solar, wind, "clean" coal (hey, it could happen), cold fusion (okay, maybe not). This gives us the flexibility to make our distributed power use (i.e. vehicles) cleaner in a variety of ways such as using cleaner technologies to begin with, or trapping harmful emissions better (and in one place). Plus, it allows for the possibility of reducing U.S. dependence on foreign oil (by substituting more coal and natural gas in the short term, other options indicated above over the longer term). Electricity does the same, but until battery (or capacitor, whatever) technology improves, it has the inherent disadvantage of range issues and long refueling time (personally, I think electric vehicles (EVs) would be better in the short term with hybrids/plug-in hybrids filling the aforementioned gaps). The other advantage of hydrogen (or electricity) is that emissions are concentrated in drastically fewer locations: i.e. power plants and/or generation stations rather than every vehicle on the road.

      On the whole, I think EVs, hybrids, and biofuels (there has been some promising development on biofuels from agricultural and consumer waste) are more likely alternatives than hydrogen. But hydrogen is not quite as pie-in-the-sky as you imply. What we will most likely see is all of these technologies developing small niches in the market over time until one (or perhaps a combination, e.g. biofuel hybrid electrics) becomes dominant.

    12. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by mark-t · · Score: 1
      I know of no method for producing electricity that combines low price, low pollution and high output.
      What about nuclear? The startup costs might be a little steep, but nuclear has relatively low running costs compared to most other methods. Not exactly zero pollution, either, but orders of magnitude lower than burning coal or oil (meltdowns notwithstanding, which are preventable if one accepts some inefficiency in production).
    13. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by RsG · · Score: 1

      Perhaps I should have added "and is acceptable to the general public" to that list. Clean is a relative measure - the perception of nuclear power as dirty is a more important barrier to building nuke plants than the actual cost of the waste. That's not to say there isn't also a signifigant cost associated with reproccessing and/or disposing of the waste products, but the larger issue is nuclear's bad reputation.

      Additionally, I'm not so sure it fits the criteria for cheap. Remember that what we're talking about here is generating power for the purpose of making hydrogen. The energy required to replace gasoline is enormous. Nuclear power is an effecient choice for hydrogen production, since you can use high temperature electrolysis, but the cost per unit of hydrogen produced may still be prohibitive.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    14. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by be951 · · Score: 1
      I don't think you quite grasp the amount of power we're talking about here. Solar isn't going to cut it.

      The amount of energy coming from the sun is not a problem. And converting it to something usable isn't really a problem either. The issues are doing it cost effectively and scaling up. If you're going to go to all that trouble, though, it would be more efficient to just use electricity directly. Unless you go directly to hydrogen. See below.

      Got a link? I'm curious to see whether this "artificial photosynthesis" exists...

      Perhaps he meant something like this, which, as you can see, may or may not quite be there yet from an economic standpoint. Interesting, though.

      Regards

    15. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by RsG · · Score: 1
      The amount of energy coming from the sun is not a problem. And converting it to something usable isn't really a problem either.
      Which was kinda my point. Perhaps I should have been clearer when I said "solar" - I didn't mean the sun wasn't going to cut it, I meant commercial solar power generation wasn't going to cut it.

      Perhaps he meant something like this, which, as you can see, may or may not quite be there yet from an economic standpoint. Interesting, though.
      Ah cool. I'd never run into that before. I'll have to go find some more info on it. Thanks for the link :-)
      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    16. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by be951 · · Score: 1
      Which was kinda my point. Perhaps I should have been clearer when I said "solar" - I didn't mean the sun wasn't going to cut it, I meant commercial solar power generation wasn't going to cut it.

      Fair enough. And I didn't really convey my meaning fully either. I agree that today solar is not cost competitive for most applications. But sooner or later, either due to rising market prices or improvements in solar (most likely both) -- or maybe massive government grants to push hydrogen -- solar will get close enough in cost to start getting wider, more mainstream adoption.

    17. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by kfg · · Score: 1

      There are a couple of advantages to hydrogen.

      Of course there are, but what does that have to do with the economy? Your entire argument is off the point.

      No one is ever going to go to war for hydrogen, the stuff's all over. They're going to go to war for the stuff needed to put the energy in the hydrogen and/or the stuff to get it out. The hydrogen is just a vessel. A gas can; battery, whatever.

      We aren't in Iraq to insure our supply of gas cans.

      KFG

    18. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      Sure, maybe 50 years in the future, when solar technology advances to the point where it can produce energy on the scale that we currently get by burning coal and gas.



      But that's merely a matter of investment. Solar is more expensive than coal/gas in the old economic terms, but not less viable technically. To make solar work, we just have to invest enough to build and maintain it. Coal and gas are not a viable energy source into the future because we cannot afford to keep burning it - by burning it we are crippling our agricultural production/fisheries and those things are more important than having an electric light on and paying nothing. You will need to adjust your thinking for the new economics.



      I've got a news flash for you. If solar power was in any way, shape, or form ready to replace coal as a primary power source, it would have happened by now, hydrogen or no.



      What do you base that on? Surely you realise that there is capital investment in coal power stations, in the infrastructure that maintains them (eg railways, coal mines) and that the primary reason for wanting to keep them is that coal producers (like Australia) want to sell coal and employ coal miners, and those with coal burning power stations are reluctant to spend the money to build solar/nuclear/other power stations instead. But on the scale of climate change, those considerations aren't important.

    19. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by be951 · · Score: 1
      Of course there are, but what does that have to do with the economy? Your entire argument is off the point.

      Perhaps you're considering the word "economy" too literally. This word does not imply that using hydrogen as fuel is less costly (in direct, present value terms) than fossil fuels. "Hydrogen economy" simply refers to a hypothetical energy system (or "economy") in which hydrogen is the primary consumer-level fuel. The idea that oil will eventually be unreasonably costly is only one reason for all the talk about switching to a hydrogen economy.

      The hydrogen is just a vessel.

      We aren't in Iraq to insure our supply of gas cans.

      That's a key aspect of the "hydrogen economy" idea. Having the flexibility to use something besides oil for a major portion of our energy consumption (transportation) means we can substitute in biofuels, solar, nuclear, or what have you for the generation side with minimal aspect to the consumer fuel side as the other alternatives become available/competitive. And of course, it can be mix and match, deflating the (weak) argument that always comes up about how much it would cost (in dollars, land, manpower, whatever) to "switch the whole country over to X".

    20. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by kfg · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you're considering the word "economy" too literally.

      I am considering it in exactly the same way we consider ourselves as having a petroleum economy now.

      Having the flexibility to use something besides oil for a major portion of our energy consumption (transportation) means we can substitute in biofuels, solar, nuclear, or what have you for the generation side. . .

      And that stuff is what our economy will be based on. Nobody gives a damn about the battery and you'd be considered silly for suggesting a "Duracell economy." They care about the energy.

      You are using the term economy so loosely as to lose it's meaning. That will make you easy to manipulate by the people who manipulate the economy.

      Follow the money.

      KFG

    21. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel? by drew · · Score: 1
      Ah... Right. The new economy. let me know when it gets here.

      What do you base that on? Surely you realise that there is capital investment in coal power stations, in the infrastructure that maintains them (eg railways, coal mines) and that the primary reason for wanting to keep them is that coal producers (like Australia) want to sell coal and employ coal miners, and those with coal burning power stations are reluctant to spend the money to build solar/nuclear/other power stations instead.


      From the NIST Advanced Technology Program:
      At an average price of $5.23 per watt, worldwide sales of terrestrial photovoltaic modules totaled over $400 million in 1996. General industry consensus is that when the price per watt drops to $3.00 or below, PV will be competitive with conventional power generation.


      From a site promoting PV panels for people's houses:
      Around 59% of world solar product sales installed the last five years were in applications that are tied to the electricity grid. Solar Energy prices in these applications are 5-20 times more expensive than the cheapest source of conventional electricity generation, although they may only be 3-5 times the electricity tariff that utility customers pay. By contrast, PV can be fully cost competitive on economic grounds in remote (off-grid) industrial and habitational applications.


      Keep in mind that these are from organizations promoting solar power. As for being less viable technically, well, yes it is. Not less viable in theory, but certainly less viable with current technology, and for some time to come. See that number above? Total yearly sales of terrestrial photovoltaic modules. We'd be lucky if all of the PV panels produced in an entire year could replace 2 or 3 large coal plants. Manufacturing PV panels with current technology requires a large investment in both power and materials, an investment that currently they may never pay back during their useful life.

      Now don't get me wrong, I'm a huge fan of solar power. My wife is very much into solar power and sustainable technologies because of her work, and a good friend from my work just went back to grad school to study solar power generation. I've been following it for a while, and I would love to see it become totally ubiquitous. But I also know its limitations, and I know that all the hopeful wishing in the world won't change them. And while I don't doubt that the so-called hydrogen economy will someday be powered by solar power, when it first gets here, and for some time after that, we're still going to be getting the vast majority of our power from coal, gas, and nuclear sources.
      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
  18. USA thinks about it, Iceland takes action by muttoj · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Synopsis For years, people laughed at Bragi Arnason - a pudgy Icelandic Professor who had a dream of society powered by hydrogen. Now they're feting him as a visionary, as Iceland embarks on a radical plan to get rid of all fossil fuels in the country in the next fifty years. Europe Correspondent Geoff Hutchison explores the stunning vistas of Iceland, a remote island high in the North Atlantic, and home to one of Europe's last pristine wildernesses. Settled by Norwegian Vikings in the 900s, it's a land of glaciers and arctic deserts, and - most importantly - rivers and volcanoes. Iceland has no fossil fuels of its own, and in the oil crisis of the 1970s, the fiercely independent Icelanders realised that their high standard of living could not be sustained so long as all fuel had to be imported. But abundant supplies of water means cheap, clean electricity, and it's here that the clue to the hydrogen economy lies. Thirty years ago, a plan was hatched to heat the capital, Reykjavik, with steam-powered turbines using Iceland's huge reservoirs of hot underground water. It worked, and today, hot water from Reykjavik is piped all over the country. But it was a massive step from geo-thermal power, to cars running on water. Now, that's about to happen. And it's all down to Professor Hydrogen, as Bragi Arnason is known today. In the 1970s, Arnason was living on top of a glacier and mapping Iceland's underground water reservoirs as part of his doctoral thesis in chemistry. The reservoirs were no secret, in a land where people have been known to cook by burying boxes of bread in the ground. But the professor was the first to map the extent of Iceland's geothermic energy reserves. He began to wonder why, if Iceland could heat its houses, it couldn't fuel its cars - and thus the idea of the hydrogen economy was born. He spent the next few decades trying to convince his colleagues, and the government, that his vision could work, but it wasn't until 1999, when Daimler-Chrysler arrived in town to set up a joint venture with the Icelandic government, that the sceptics were finally silenced. In a couple of months, Iceland's first hydrogen-powered buses will be on the streets, filling up at the world's first hydrogen filling station. "This is a new energy resource coming into the market, and we as an energy company want to be involved in the future," a Shell representative tells Geoff. The key to producing power from H2Ois to zap it with electricity. This splits the hydrogen from the oxygen. The hydrogen is then passed through a fuel cell that powers an electric motor. There are no pollutants, just steam. Iceland currently owns more cars per head than almost any other nation on earth, and is the largest per capita producer of carbon dioxide and other greenhouses gases, due to its huge fishing fleet and metal smelting industry, so the benefits of a switch to hydrogen power will be global. Not only that - Icelanders are hoping that they can serve as a laboratory for the rest of the world. "If it comes together in a positive way we can show the rest of the world that it's possible to have an entire society based on a new kind of energy," President Olafur Ragnar Grimmson tells Geoff. "Energy that doesn't threaten the life on earth, doesn't threaten the climate and is friendly to the future of mankind." Of course there are still many hurdles to overcome - at the moment it costs twice to three times as much to produce hydrogen as the equivalent amount of oil, and the buses cost around six times as much to manufacture as their conventional counterparts. The cost of replacing an entire infrastructure based around oil will also be huge. Shell Hydrogen estimates it would take at least $US19 billion to build hydrogen fuel stations in the US. But because Iceland is so small, the cost will be millions rather than billions - making it the ideal location for a grand experiment. It's also a nation accustomed to being in front - famous for its innovation, and the imagination of its people. It seems that once more, Iceland is ahead of the rest of world. "I will see the first steps," says Professor Arnason. "My children will watch the transformation, and my grandchildren will live in this new energy economy.'

  19. Re:A wise man once said.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    God help us if they ever get access to oxygen.

  20. Crisis is in Transportation sector. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Informative
    We should recognize that there are two distinct energy sectors, and one is in crisis and the other one has some breathing space for a smooth landing.

    The fixed or stationary energy use, at homes, offices, and factories is not in as much of a crisis as the transportation sector. For electricity generation, there are alternatives like coal (yeah, it is dirty), or nuclear (yeah, most people fear it) or tar sands (yeah, it is expensive to recover) or wind (yeah, it has some problems), solar (yes, it needs high investment). There are problems, but USA is self suffiicient in them, and we wont be held hostage by foreign powers. There is breathing space to develop really good alternatives.

    On the other hand, in the transportation sector is in crisis already. So much of personal transportation depends on gasoline and freight depends on diesel and air transportation depends on kerosene. No serious alternatives are emerging and the time is running out on those sectors. Most predictions of peak oil is around now or 2010. Even the most optimistic estimates about the Hydrogen powered cars or biodiesel driven trucks talk about widespread adaptation around 2020.

    America is particularly vulnerable to this energy crisis. It is not as densely populated like Europe or Urban India and China. It is not easy to switch USA to use electricity driven public transportation. So much of the economy depends on the high home values of the sprawled cities and the humongous fleets of trucks delivering goods. So much of the infrastructure is built around the idea it is very cheap to transport goods over 100s of miles. And America is not self sufficient in this energy sector. This is a grave crisis.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by pete.com · · Score: 1

      Amazing how the "Peak Oil" time keeps slipping into the future. I guess the new discovery http://money.cnn.com/2006/09/05/news/companies/che vron_gulf/index.htm of oil in the Gulf of Mexico might push this back another few years.

    2. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by suntac · · Score: 1

      Correct correct the oil consumption is likely to peak in 2010 however there will still be oil to power cars and truck,..... However we will only have a couple of years to switch from this to a other power source.

      In my opinion the solution can be found in coal liquefactions during the transition face. However more and more research needs to be done and we should already have started this years ago. However it looks like this is not a topic that a lot of people are interested in.

      --
      Regards, Johan Louwers.
    3. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by nelsonal · · Score: 4, Informative

      From my understanding throughout the 20th century we've always had about 40 years of production in known reserves. The only valid arguement for peak oil is that the Saudis have been lying through their teeth about their reserves (the Matt Simmons arguement). He makes a good case, and certainly knows more about oil extraction than most of us.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    4. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by suntac · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It is calculated that, lets take the most promising figures available, the newly found oil fields will hold around a 4 month supply in the year 2020. Meaning we will be able to run only 4 months on these fields according to the oil demand in 2020.

      And this is only the case if there is what they predict there will be.

      --
      Regards, Johan Louwers.
    5. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by pete.com · · Score: 1

      Key word there is calculated.

    6. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but USA is self suffiicient in them, and we wont be held hostage by foreign powers.
      You what?! You won't be held hostage by foreign powers... hmmm. You mean people won't charge you what they like (in a loverly free econoimy. You know the type you love), for THEIR resourses. AHAHAGAHAGAHAGAH!!!!!! God I'm going nuts now. You, You , you .... oh whats the fucking point, you blind moron.

      So much of the infrastructure is built around the idea it is very cheap to transport goods over 100s of miles. Its alright. There'll be no infrastructure after few more hurricanes four or five times the size of Katrina.... Or after some nation you think is 'evil' (* read has oil/coal and a smaller army than yours) gets a bomb without you knowing it, and kerpowy! No need to drive anywhere. Your destination is now uninhabitable due to fallout. Wake up and smell the coffee. Hydrogen is a short sited solution to a very long term problem that is fast aproaching. For those in Iraq, its already here. And the bad news didn't take long to travel to London.

      I know, I know Off Topic -1 right? Or Better still Troll/Flamebait. Well keep telling yourself that, and see how relevant it is in ten years time. I'll be digging my bunker under my wind generator.

      On a constructive note, how long before dairies make a comeback in family homes (sheltered stone rooms, low in the house). Or horse power! Gingans used to crush corn(a century ago), were I grew up. Why not have them generate power. They could easily power the house hold essentials. Oh thats just crazy right? Loony lefty liberal comy madness right? Well just go and find another country "holding you to ransom" and blow the shit out of it then. It'll be fine.

    7. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by suntac · · Score: 1

      "I'll be digging my bunker under my wind generator." Mmm some words of advice,... it might be quite a lot easier to first build your bunker and than build on top of that you wind turbine. Just a thought.

      But yes, I have to agree on some points with you even do your way of saying is somewhat poor in my opinion.

      The US is suppressing other countries for there oil. And yes I have the opinion that if there was no oil in Iraq Bush would never started the war.

      --
      Regards, Johan Louwers.
    8. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know I could have worded myself better, but bloody hell I'm sick of this shit. Really I am. Fossil fuels will still be the only way to power the current US infrastructure. SO CHANGE IT. Production is still the unsolved problem. we are just a couple of years from fuel cell / battery tech capable of dealing with the necessities of public transport. We are not short of tech capable of transporting energy. We are short of energy! And no, the US is not capable of sustaining its current 'stationary' needs. Which are growing. Not without dealing with the PRODUCTION problem. I'm actually shouting here.

      I know you think I'm badly worded, and I agree, but "The US is suppressing other countries for there oil." ??

      These euphemisms are KILLING PEOPLE. kids, grannies, men and women. They're dying right now. Every day. They're having the equiverlent of a 9/11 every fortnight. For years... And Iran will be next.

      And IF you (Parent post) don't care about that then what the hell do you care about? hmmm..? Your 'right' to drive what you like? America's devine right to 'lead the world'? Then you are a cancer on this earth. Seriously I've lost it now. I'm not going to comment any more, its making me to mad to make sense. Wake up America! Wake up and realize that the world is a lot smaller than you think. Iran, Iraq, ... they're not a different worlds, with wierd aliens living on them. They're just countries like yours. Yes they could do with a better political system, but so could you. They have predjudiced, theocratic tendancies. So do you (wheather you can see it or not). Blowing the hell out of them was never going to improve things. And guess what, it hasn't. China has tons of coal, and no money. They'll hold you to randsom. So what will you do then..?

      STOP USING SO MUCH F@:#ing power! Start producing as much renewable power as possible. Think what could have been achieved with the money spent so far on the war. Hmmm? Do it. Do it Do it!!!!

      grrrr. >: {

    9. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by RKBA · · Score: 1

      "And yes I have the opinion that if there was no oil in Iraq Bush would never started the war"

      Robert Newman's video The History of Oil asserts that the main reason for attacking Iraq was that they were trading oil in Euros rather than US Dollars. Anyone know how to verify this?

    10. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not expert, but over the last 40 years, oil extraction techniques have improved by leaps and bounds.

      The only serious downside to those technological improvements is that, using the new techniques, oil fields tend to get tapped out rather abruptly compared to the gradual petering out of days past.

      You also have to consider that the amount of 'proven' oil reserves is dependant on the price consumers are willing to pay. @ $3 a gallon, hundreds of small, backyard oil pumps in the U.S. were started up for the first time in a decade or two. 20 years ago, nobody considered Canada's tar sands an economically viable source of oil. Etc etc etc...

    11. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by painandgreed · · Score: 1
      For electricity generation, there are alternatives like coal (yeah, it is dirty), or nuclear (yeah, most people fear it) or tar sands (yeah, it is expensive to recover) or wind (yeah, it has some problems), solar (yes, it needs high investment).

      Well, coal is not an alternative, it's the current main fuel in the US for electricity at 51% last I checked. You forgot hydro which is about 20% of US electricity. Oil actually has very little to do with generating electricy, running about 2%. Natural gas runs a few more %, more than oil, IIRC. So you are correct, but it's not like we are using oil right now in that sector for energy generation. The electrical generation sector is not heading to a landing with the loss of oil, but rather has never got off the ground.

    12. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by kabocox · · Score: 1

      So much of the infrastructure is built around the idea it is very cheap to transport goods over 100s of miles.

      I've long thought why haven't come up with some/any means of using all those 1000s of miles of roads to produce energy. If we just ran water with anti-freeze through pipes in our roadways, how much heat energy could be collected from that resource? Roads are outside in light and maintained why can't we give them an additional use and make energy collectors out of them as well? The first company that comes up with a solar panel coating/spray process that you can apply to the tops of our interstates and still drive safely will eliminate most our energy problems.

    13. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by zoomzit · · Score: 1
      The only valid arguement for peak oil is that the Saudis have been lying through their teeth about their reserves
      I don't buy this because if they Saudis had a low supply, they then haven't been working in their own best economic interest. In general, the Saudis serve as the moderating force on OPEC. Usually, they are the ones pushing for increased oil production (translating in lower cost per barrel). The question is, why do the Saudis do this?

      Ultimately it is in the Saudis best interest to keep the world economies dependant on oil so as to maintain a long-term demand for their product. The Saudis don't like oil price spikes, such as we have seen over the past few years, because it changes consumer patterns and pushes them away from oil consumption (i.e. americans selling their SUVs for hybrids) and thus hurts their long-term profits. The Saudis wouldn't have this long-term goal of keeping demand up, unless they had a long-term supply.

      In contrast to this, if the Saudis had a short supply, then it would be in the Saudis best interest to raise the price to $100 a barrel, disregard long-term consumer patters (as they wouldn't have enough supply to meet it anyway) and get as much as they could while the getting is good.

      In short, the actions of the Saudis to create a relatively low price and abundant supply to met world demand points to a large supply of Saudi reserves.

    14. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      I think you are thinking as an absolute dictator who owns the resource fully. The House of Saud mostly holds onto power because of the US backing (because they have the oil). This has been the case since WWII, FDR worked out the original deals. If the US stops needing Saudi oil, the house of Saud falls hard and fast (remember Osama's original goal was to remove them and the infidel troops from Saudi Arabia). Most people who want to hold on to power keep their protectors happy.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    15. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by Instine · · Score: 1

      I want to thnk you for pointing to this vid. It is a glorious effort! Seriously thank you. Funny, informative, clever, and to the point. It deserves as many prizes as can be given. Think it might even go on my sig.

      --
      Because you can - or because you should?
    16. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The only valid arguement for peak oil is that [...]

      How about: it just passed, and you can look at the numbers to see for yourself?

      No more increasing capacity = peak oil. It's as simple as that. We now have nine and a half months of "rearview mirror" action to look back and see that world oil production has retreated from its all-time high of just over 85 million barrels a day (m/b/d) achieved in December 2005 (just as geologist Kenneth Deffeyes of Princeton had predicted). For 2006, production has remained in the 84 m/b/d range every month reported so far, while demand has exceeded that. (Source)

      I was suspicious, so I tried to look for some numbers to back it up. This site has numbers and graphs that show that oil peaked in September of last year for OPEC nations; for non-OPEC nations, 4 months earlier.

      While I don't want to take one site as authoritative, I can't find any evidence that world oil production is measurably more than it was in the middle of last year: it seems to be pretty consistently 84-85 mbd, depending on the source and the phase of the moon.

      Most sites tracking oil production seem to have switched from predicting when peak oil will occur, to trying to figure out exactly which month of 2005 it did occur. To all the peak oil disbelievers, I ask: do you have any evidence that it hasn't already occurred?
    17. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by evilviper · · Score: 1
      So much of personal transportation depends on gasoline and freight depends on diesel [...] No serious alternatives are emerging and the time is running out on those sectors.

      Ethanol and Biodiesel are very serious alternatives. Or at least a MAJOR suppliment. Those decrying them apparently believe American farmers don't know how to grow anything other than corn...

      Both can immediately be added to petrolum-based fuels.

      Ethanol currently makes up 10-20% of gasoline, but all cars made in the past decade must be able to accept 30% blends. Increasing the percentage to more than 30% ethanol will still only have minor negative consequences on current (unmodified) vehicles.

      Biodiesel is generally accepted to work everywhere at 20% blends. Biodiesel's only issue is its higher freezing point than petroleum diesel. A small starting tank of diesel, or an insulated (and perhaps electrically heated) fuel tank is the only required modification for current vehicles to accept higher blends of biodiesel.

      Fully electric cars, such as the Zap Xebra, are becomming quite practical. http://www.zapworld.com/ZAPWorld.aspx?id=188
      The only thing really required is a company that can invest enough money for a larger, heavier, 4-wheeled model to go through NHTSA certification process.

      Any of the above makes for both short-term, and long term solutions to the energy crisis. The problem is that the focus on hydrogen, more oil exploration, etc., has steered efforts in other directions, that aren't practical or sustainable. The focus on cellulose ethanol has helped to bolster corn farmers, rather than convincing them to grow crops that can currently be turned into ethanol at a real profit.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    18. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by cr0sh · · Score: 1

      People have tried to come up with solutions - I remember one inventor who tested (in San Diego, I think) a series of small wind generators driven by the wind whipped up as cars passed by on the freeway. I don't know what the results were (obviously not as good as the inventor hoped - that, or so good that various interests had him "disappeared" - heh)...

      --
      Reason is the Path to God - Anon
    19. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Saudis can't be hiding anything unless its regarding just-found oil fields. Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure was setup and owned by Americans for several decades, so I think at least the Americans have a very good idea of how much oil Saudi has. Last I read about it was in an official report within the kingdom, there was something like 3 trillion cubic something-or-others. In short, a lot. The question is, will they release the oil in a timely fashion or will they hold it back to make the price of oil go up further? They really have the USA by the balls because they have the best oil there is; light, sweet. THe oil the USA gets from Mexico, Canada and Venezuela is a bit of light sweet but mostly heavy oil which is harder to refine, and so OPEC has to offer discounts on it to get rid of it.

    20. Re:Crisis is in Transportation sector. by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      The crux of the matter is we set it all up, but they've been running it for about 30 years. A simple model of an oilfield is a slurpee (only you want the juice and when it's just ice it's all gone). If you suck too hard on the straw your juice in the local area is gone and all you have is dry ice. You can't stir and replunging your straw in a new area costs about $10 million. One way to deal with this is sending hot steam down near your well to loosen things up and allow more oil to flow. Simmons went through all the data publicly available and came to the conclusion that the Saudi's have done a lot more of pressurized extraction than they admit to and they have lower reserves than they are telling everyone that they have (and no one exept those who run the Saudi oil company know if he is right or wrong). Probably only time will tell if he was correct or incorrect.
      Also, the Saudi's more recently added production has all been heavy sour crude (and it also trades at a sharp discount to Indonesian, WTI and Brent light sweet crudes). You are correct that there has been a substantial widening of the spread between the grades.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
  21. Re:A wise man once said.. by indifferent+children · · Score: 2, Funny

    Oh yeah! The recent Darwin Awards just haven't had that same 'sparkle' that they used to.

    --
    Censorship is telling a man he can't have a steak just because a baby can't chew it. --Mark Twain
  22. Holy broken keyboards, Batman! by The+Mighty+Buzzard · · Score: 1

    Penguin stole his enter/return key so nobody could read his comment and we'd slip deeper into global warming and bring about the inevitable next ice age!

    --
    Violence is like duct tape. If it doesn't solve the problem, you didn't use enough.
    1. Re:Holy broken keyboards, Batman! by Porchroof · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Nah. He has an enter/return key on his keyboard. It's just that SlashDot's "Post Comment" ignores it. At the end of each of the sentences above I pressed my return key twice. (And here also.) When is SlashDot gonna fix it?

      --
      Fata viam invenient.
    2. Re:Holy broken keyboards, Batman! by bloobloo · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Select "Plain Old Text" instead of "HTML Formatted"

    3. Re:Holy broken keyboards, Batman! by RoboRay · · Score: 1

      Plain text should be the default setting. I mean, really, how often does the average person use HTML on forums for anything other than bold tags or hyperlinks (which any decent forum software will automagically detect and convert to a link anyway).

    4. Re:Holy broken keyboards, Batman! by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      99% of slashdot

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
  23. Two sides to every issue by rsd-17 · · Score: 1

    This is "reporter speak". There are two sides to every issue and they have equal validity...at least thet's the way the mantra goes. We shouldn't ever cloud the issue with facts.

  24. The myth of peak oil by krell · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "With oil running out in +/- 43 years we are already started very late to start working on good solutions"

    I've seen this prediction-of-doom vary from 10 years to 50 years.... projected at various points over the last 30 years. Chances are, you'll be able to see some headline in 2070: "Oil Running Out in 20 Years!!!"

    --
    Where were you when the voynix came?
    1. Re:The myth of peak oil by suntac · · Score: 1

      I admit, I do not really live by this year of 2050. It is a prediction and they will recalculate this again and again and they will readjust this a couple of times but someday in the near future it will run out. It could be 2050 it also could be 2070 in could also be 2100. However one day it will run out and that day is not far ahead.

      So lets start preparing for that day and lets do it very very quickly. Do you have any idea how long it will take to change the entire supply change? No you don't and neither do I. Nobody knows because it is never done before.

      It is time to take action and start changing those things and this is not written by some environmentalist freak, it is written by someone who is simply worrying about the fact that there are so many people saying not to worry and denying the problem.

      --
      Regards, Johan Louwers.
    2. Re:The myth of peak oil by Planesdragon · · Score: 4, Informative

      I've seen this prediction-of-doom vary from 10 years to 50 years.... projected at various points over the last 30 years. Chances are, you'll be able to see some headline in 2070: "Oil Running Out in 20 Years!!!"

      Amazing how you don't graps what "Peak Oil" really is.

      At a certain point, production stops increasing, and in fact starts to decline, because not enough new fields can be found to replace the spent ones. (When's the last time you saw a field of Oil pumps in PA?) The price of oil goes up, as the supply goes down -- making currently non-profitable oil reserves and energy sources, theoretically, more profitable.

      We will likely never run out of oil, although it will eventually (50 years? 500?) reach the point where it's simply too expensive to get the stuff out of the ground, and we only use biomass-made oil or some other alternative fuel source.

    3. Re:The myth of peak oil by orasio · · Score: 1

      100 years ago, oil was not that important. Then, the world changed.
      If it runs out in 70 years, it will probably not be that important, because the world didn't cease to change.
      For example, nuclear fission is a good source, with its only downside being security or military issues. Environmental issues are non important, specially when they could substitute plants that really harm the environment.

      Fusion will most probably happen in less than 50 years but take a bit longer to be economically substainable.

      With electricity to spare, we can use whatever we want to power our cars.

      Oil was good, and convenient, we just need something better, and we will get it.

    4. Re:The myth of peak oil by suntac · · Score: 1

      Thank you :-)

      "We will likely never run out of oil, although it will eventually (50 years? 500?) reach the point where it's simply too expensive to get the stuff out of the ground, and we only use biomass-made oil or some other alternative fuel source."

      And yes, than the question is will we be ready? Will we have that alternative fuel source? And will it be available to all of us or only to a happy few? Is it not time to start researching and starting to adopt those new technologies?

      As far as I am able to find it there are only a couple of people and companies that are really starting to work on those alternatives. In my opinion this should be a mass concern and there should be a much larger number of people be working on.

      Is it just me or......

      --
      Regards, Johan Louwers.
    5. Re:The myth of peak oil by suntac · · Score: 1

      "Oil was good, and convenient, we just need something better, and we will get it."

      Very nice, than my question is when? Will be it be on time? Will it be enough?

      --
      Regards, Johan Louwers.
    6. Re:The myth of peak oil by jcr · · Score: 1

      As far as I am able to find it there are only a couple of people and companies that are really starting to work on those alternatives,

      Hundreds of companies, thousands of people. The long and short of it is, oil is still cheaper than the alternatives in most cases. Once the price curves cross, then we'll move to other sources of energy. It's just an engineering problem.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    7. Re:The myth of peak oil by ArikTheRed · · Score: 1
      Once the price curves cross, then we'll move to other sources of energy.
      OK, so you're arguing that its an economic problem.

      It's just an engineering problem.
      Oh... what?
    8. Re:The myth of peak oil by UbuntuDupe · · Score: 1

      Do you apply the same reasoning to all products?

      People are responding to market signals all the time. You just don't hear about it. You don't hear about all the people aiming to profit from the expense of energy, BOTH today and tomorrow. The futures market indicates how likey it is to run out in the near future, and those future uses are reflected in prices today. If everyone falls behind in energy research, we'll know at least 20 years in advance.

      I wonder if people have adequately allocated enough cabbage-growing land for future needs...

    9. Re:The myth of peak oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just imagine if it is real.. and we had something like this available:
      http://www.keelynet.com/energy/teslcar.htm

      We need another eccentric genius! :P

    10. Re:The myth of peak oil by inviolet · · Score: 1
      Will [nuclear power] be on time? Will it be enough?

      It necessarily will, by the very nature of markets. With ten thousand different oil fields around the world, oil will not suddenly run out at 3pm on October 8th, 2050. The price will gradually rise, and so the demand for alternatives will gradually rise too.

      We could throw up a nuclear reactor in a year if we really needed one. China has already got an off-the-shelf design and has 13 under construction. It won't be long before they're selling turn-key reactor solutions to the world. Swipe your national credit card, and wait six to eight weeks for your reactor to arrive on giant barges.

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    11. Re:The myth of peak oil by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      Actually, I don't believe in peak oil for a number of reasons:

      1) We've barely tapped into the oil found in the Gulf of Mexico.

      2) There are huge amounts of oil in the continental shelf of almost every continent waiting to be tapped.

      3) Contrary to what people think, the OPEC producers in the Middle East have not really tapped their reserves. They have surprisingly few oil rigs active per hectare compared to what is done in the USA. In fact, if we use the very latest oil extraction techniques all over the Middle East they could probably up their reserves by 8 to 10 times (maybe even more!).

      4) The former USSR has massively huge oil reserves waiting to be tapped, now possible thanks to the experience from operating oil production platforms in the Alaska North Slope.

      5) Recent breakthroughs in in situ oil extraction could make it possible to get crude oil from oil tar sands and oil shale without having to expensively mine out the tar sands or shale rock. Suddenly, Alberta province in Canada and the states of Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming could end up being huge oil producers.

      Most of these peak oil doomsayers assume current oil production technology, not factoring in improved means of oil extraction by steam injection, improved means to extract oil from the deep ocean or the new in situ extraction from tar sands and oil shale.

    12. Re:The myth of peak oil by leuk_he · · Score: 1

      Actually some alternatives for generating energy are already cheaper than oil at it's current prices. However since th oil price can drop it is not a safe investment to invest in those technology just yet.

    13. Re:The myth of peak oil by swillden · · Score: 1

      You seem to imply that it can't be both an engineering problem and an economic problem. In actual fact, nearly all engineering problems *are* economic problems. Engineering is all about making tradeoffs among various constraints in an effort to find a workable solution. There are precious few cases where one of the key constraints isn't economic.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    14. Re:The myth of peak oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly.

      And for reference, you can just check your history books for the dramatic effects of panic and disruption when we reached Peak Whale Oil, Peak Tallow Candle, and Peak Coal Gas for Street Lights.

      The problem with "peak oil" isn't the obvious conclusion that for any resource, some point will be the point peak production. The problem is all the doomsayers turning this obvious point into some sort of inevitable Road Warrior destiny.

  25. Re:A wise man once said.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh yeah, cos absolutely no one has access to something as dangerous as, say, natural gas, or even electricity.

  26. Quite easy to make a bomb with Diesel by krell · · Score: 4, Funny

    "easier to make a bomb with Diesel"

    After XXX, Riddick and A Man Apart, Hollywood knows how easy it is.

    --
    Where were you when the voynix came?
  27. Hydrogen will be the energy source of the future - by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
    - as soon as we get all the intricacies of fusion reactors (hot, cold, or on the rocks) figured out. (there is a big jackpot to be won here by the first nation (or group of nations) to work this out)



    Until then, it is just a problematic way of storing energy. If we're going to synthesize it as fuel for cars and planes, we might as well look into synthesizing something that is easier to store (preferably liquid at room temperature and atmospheric pressure, but if it doesn't diffuse through almost any material, that would be a start). Yes, this might mean that there is carbon in our synthesized fuel, but if we take it out of the atmosphere (technically or biologically) instead out of underground deposits, it is just as CO2 neutral as hydrogen.

  28. That was the paint... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    burning, mostly.

  29. So, our cars won't move anymore. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like every other article on Hidrogen vs. Petrol, it fails to point one little detail: the auto industry isn't the only one directly connected to petrol production. It's the raw source, in majority, for the chemistry industry. Without it, forget about plastics and medicine.

    1. Re:So, our cars won't move anymore. by suntac · · Score: 1

      "forget about plastics and medicine" replacing oil for those area's will take very long and intense research. The question now is do we have this time.

      We could "buy" some time be switching away from oil for transportation and keeping the oil that is left for other applications like the production of for example Plastics and medicine. In my opinion we should start buying time as fast as possible.

      However, it looks like the majority of the public is not interested in this subject and they are only interested in powering their cars with the currently cheap oil. In the long run this will be a wrong decision I think. By betting on oil to power your cars at this moment we throw away valuable years in the near future when we really start to understand that there is a end to the oil reserves.

      --
      Regards, Johan Louwers.
    2. Re:So, our cars won't move anymore. by EraserMouseMan · · Score: 1

      How is fossil fuel used in medicine?

    3. Re:So, our cars won't move anymore. by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      Ever used vaseline?

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
  30. Re:USA thinks about it, Iceland takes action by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1

    Well hooray for Iceland. Too bad the article did not mention the LOW EFFICIENCY of making hydrogen by electrolysis, or the difficulties in storing and transporting huge quantities of the stuff. I hope some Icelandic economist gets a Nobel Prize for pointing out the true costs of oil versus hydrogen. A little more sanity is needed if we're going to survive.

  31. Re:Hydrogen will be the energy source of the futur by freedom_india · · Score: 1

    Transporting it will be the main issue.
    Distribution of hydrogen like Petroleum is what is needed. Its a classic case of chicken and the egg.
    Our Govt. could step in pump in its own money to build the necessary infrastructure (or subsidize it with our tax money) so that companies can solve the chicken-egg problem.
    Instead of wasting money in Iraq (which is a dead-beat case), we could spend the 1 billion at home every month to fund distribution pipelines for Hydrogen, build processing,routing plants, build initial nuke plants which would break down Natural Gas or water into hydrogen.
    But then our Prez is well known for his mouth in a*s approach to this, and instead will continue to expect insurgency in Iraq will end so that Texmaco and BP can pump cheap oil (it ain't cheap)...
    For once we should vote against this as*shole and tell him we should not waste anymore lives for oil when we can use that money to build an economy of Hydrogen...

    --
    "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
  32. Oops! Missed the most likely method of production. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The most likely method of production of hydrogen (as a useable fuel for cars, etc) is probably via a process similar to photosynthesis.

        Sunlight energy + water (with catalyst present) ==> hydrogen + oxygen

    You let the oxygen escape to the atmosphere (just like the plants do). You keep and store the hydrogen (possibly using nanostructures as a carrier).

    In a vehicle, inside a fuel cell you release the hydrogen, let it react with oxygen from the atmosphere. This would balance the oxygen you released into the atmosphere in the earlier "photosynthesis" step.

        oxygen + hydrogen ==> water + electrical energy

    This way, your deserts can become resources. Vast areas of former desert given over to hydrogen fuel farms. You just pipe water in (possibly from a nearby ocean), add sunlight in the presence of your catalyst, and you make your fuel.

    You make your fuel using a resource that was previously a wasteland. You supplement the natural action of forests (phootosynthesis). You collect fuel for the cost of maintenance & transportation. Your fuel is pollution free, and 100% renewable.

    This is the basis of a hydrogen economy. Despite the naysayers, it should be quite achieveable.

  33. A better approach by hey! · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Leaving aside the various technical problems with the "hydrogen economy", the biggest hurdle I see is that there may be no incremental way to make it work. You need the distribution system to exist to make developing the technologies for generating and using it practically and vice versa. To transition to a hydrogen economy would take the kind of concerted national effort we haven't seen here in the US in sixty years.

    Hydrogen is not an energy source, it is transmission medium. We already have a highly effective transmission medium: electricity. Improvements in our electricity generation and distribution systems would be a simple, incremental means towards a more diverse energy generation portfolio.

    The main problems are battery technology for mobile applications, and long distance transmission. The inability to ship electricity across the continent divides our nation into geographic markets; it is not possible to harvest wind energy in North Dakota and sell it in California. In my state of Massachusetts there is a huge brouhaha over a massive ocean based wind farm right off the coast of our prime tourist area. This farm would be unnecessary if we could buy wind power from distant land based wind farms.

    The answer would be a national superconducting electricity grid.

    One advantage of a national super grid would be that it would create a superior storage medium for renewable but variable sources, such as solar voltaic, wind and tidal power, by converting them to natural gas and diesel fuel reserves with near perfect effiency.

    Huh?

    It's simple: we have already natural gas and diesel plants that burn fossil fuels and supply a major fraction of our electricity. If they don't burn as much fuel because a distant, renewable source is providing power to the local grid, the difference in fuel is saved. From a national viewpoint, if that renewable energy had been magically converted into diesel oil, tbe practical result wouldn't be any different, on the "penny saved is a penny earned" theory.

    A superconducting grid may also be the missing incremental step towards increased hydrogen use. The superconducting transmission lines would have to be cooled. If liquid hydrogen were used as a coolant, then it would provide an alternative (but less efficient) form of energy storage to saved fossil fuels. The producers would provide a mix of hydrogen and electricity and inject them into the transimission line. On the receiving end, the hydrogen would be gasified and converted into electricity at a rate sufficient to maintain cooling in the transmission line.

    This would provide a local source of liquid or gasified hydrogen that could be piped or tankered to power hydrogen fleet vehicles at the outset. An example might be post office delivery vehicles, for whom a daily range of a couple of hundred miles is acceptable; or possibly some mass transit buses that take many short distance trips and could be refuled during the day. If there were other local uses for the hydrogen, then the local terminal would request more and the producers would alter their electricty/hydrogen mix. However if hydrogen is outstripped by battery technology, then the basic infrastructure is still useful.

    The best part of this is that it could be done much faster than a fossil fuel to hydrogen transition.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    1. Re:A better approach by rohar · · Score: 1

      Improving the electrical grid is a good idea and for all of Canada and the northern US, more energy is used by an average family for home heating than personal transportation and home heating can be easily and relatively cheaply converted to electric (electric forced air, radiant heat, etc).
      A indirect solar electrical system that is location independent and generating the electricity as close as possible to the market is a much more viable approach and decentrallization of the power generation and grid applies much of the same distributed ideas as the Internet to power generation from a military perspective.

    2. Re:A better approach by FellowConspirator · · Score: 1

      "Hydrogen is not an energy source"? It is an energy source, the same way sunlight and gasoline are. That is to say that you can take it and produce work.

      Saying that it's a "transmission medium" is a semantic game. Sunlight requires fusion of hydrogen (and some heavier atoms) to produce heat and light. The light falls on plants, that utilize energetic photons to power proton pumps to fixate inorganic carbon, the products of which are compressed under megatons of pressure, heated, and become oil, which is then pumped out of reservoirs, cracked, refined, and sold as various petrochemical distillates like gasoline.

      There are three kinds of energy available to us: fission, exothermic chemistry (Na+H20, etc.), and stored solar energy (such as wind, hydropower, petrochemicals, and biomass). Fission and exothermic chemical sources are basically stored stellar fusion products too.

      Otherwise, the point is well-taken. Electricity is, by far, a better medium for power distribution. First, it's potentially easier to distribute (I say potentially, because out current electrical grid would never be able to handle the demand and a superconducting grid is not likely to be feasible based on current limitations of the materials and the availability of the ingredients), other energy forms are easily converted to it, there's lots of technology that can already be adapted to it, and centralized distribution makes upgrading and environmental controls easier to implement.

      However, all-electricty has some issues: the infrastructure to support it won't be cheaper to build than competitors like hydrogen, and the energy density of electrical storage is still too low to make things like aircraft possible (you could probably use the electrically powered biomass conversion facilities to produce jet fuel though).

    3. Re:A better approach by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What an idea, liquid hydrogen cooled super conducting grid. What happens when the line is severed? Sparks fly? Liquid hydrogen everywhere..... Do you see a problem here?

      What happens if the line is slighly overloaded and suddenly the resistence of the line begins to increase exponetially? All of a suddon, the line is going to cook next to liquid hydrogen...not a good combination.

      I think I would choose a coolant that is a little more stable.

    4. Re:A better approach by matt_kizerian · · Score: 1
      A superconducting grid may also be the missing incremental step towards increased hydrogen use. The superconducting transmission lines would have to be cooled. If liquid hydrogen were used as a coolant, then it would provide an alternative (but less efficient) form of energy storage to saved fossil fuels. The producers would provide a mix of hydrogen and electricity and inject them into the transimission line. On the receiving end, the hydrogen would be gasified and converted into electricity at a rate sufficient to maintain cooling in the transmission line.

      Ummmm...hydrogen has to be kept below -253 C to be maintained as a liquid. Even under pressure, hydrogen is usually stored as a gas (as opposed to the propane in your BBQ). Nitrogen only has to be kept below a relatively balmy -196 C, which is why most current semiconductor research, and all 'practical' semiconductor technology, uses liquid nitrogen as the coolant.

      I don't see transmission lines ever being cooled with liquid hydrogen. The heat losses over the distances we're talking about would be so great, you would use all of your available electricity to run the refrigeration units necessary just to keep the hydrogen cool.
    5. Re:A better approach by mako1138 · · Score: 1

      I was wandering through the library one day and came across a Rand report on superconducting electric transmission lines. Indeed, liquid H cooling is wasteful, and there's really no reason to, as current superconductors run at liquid N temperatures. It seems that superconducting lines are being targeted for power distribution hubs that simply don't have enough physical space for running copper, such as densely populated urban areas undergoing an increase in demand.

  34. Ideas for Solar Hydrogen Production by rohar · · Score: 1
    This pilot project is being built in Regina, Canada and will use a Dry Fuel Reformation solar process to crack hydrogen from landfill methane.
    This project is a new concept for indirect solar power generation system with a focus on on-farm electrical power generation and the system will store large amounts of thermal energy which could be used to create large methane bioreactors. Another idea is to reduce the fossil fuel inputs in agriculture by growing smaller plants that have a shorter growing season and can be more readily adapted to being farmed with a system that is completely electrically powered. Once the fossil fuel dependency is lowered in agriculture, clean energy products (ethanol, biodiesel, methane, hydrogen) can be produced on a large scale without the high fossil fuel input.

    It's still easier and more efficient to transport hydrogen with carbon as in ethanol. If ethanol or biodiesel can be produced with renewable energy, they are carbon neutral and much easier to handle than pure hydrogen.

    1. Re:Ideas for Solar Hydrogen Production by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Isn't methane easier to handle than hydrogen and already usable in converted diesel engines?

    2. Re:Ideas for Solar Hydrogen Production by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Regina!?!? Regina is so flat that if your dog ran away from home you could still see it for three days.

  35. Re:A wise man once said.. by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Know how dumb the average person is?

    dumb enough not to know the difference between the average and the median?


    Smart enough to not post as Anonymous Coward? From dictionary.com:
    Average - typical; common; ordinary: The average secretary couldn't handle such a workload. His grades were nothing special, only average.

    Seems to me that "average" is correct. If this crap got 5 points for being "funny" although wrong, I should get 5 points for being right.

  36. EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by guidryp · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Hydrogen is nothing but an energy storage medium. There will be an energy loss converting to hydrogen, an energy loss converting from hydrogen. A whole infrastructure to build for conversion/delivery. Storage issues in cars....

    Wouldn't a better battery be a much better solution. We already have the distribution network(electric grid). EEStor ultra capacitors seem to be that better battery if they deliver on promises, but there are also advanced flywheels (composite wheels in a vacuum, superconducting magnetic bearings, turning neark 100k rpm). These can be charged or discharge quickly and should last the life of the vehicle.

    http://tyler.blogware.com/blog/_archives/2006/1/19 /1715549.html (ultracaps)
    http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/8.05/flywheel.h tml (advanced flywheels)

    Fuel cells don't solve any energy creation issues and as a deliver mechanism, it doesn't seem so hot, I would much prefer to stick with mechanisms we aleady have like the electric grid.

    1. Re:EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Fuel cells don't solve any energy creation issues

      True. By themselves, fuel cells don't solve anything.

      Artificial photosynthesis coupled with fuel cells in vehicles, however, is a hydrogen fuel/solar energy energy collection method that gives us a pollution free renewable "fuel" as a part of the cycle that can be used in cars/trains/ships ... possibly even planes.

      Most of the existing infrastructure (roads, bridges, all our buildings even down to the carparks) would still be useful. The only bit that needs replacing, really, is the petrocarbon fuel.

    2. Re:EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by dusanv · · Score: 1

      Good info. Too bad I don't have any mod points.

    3. Re:EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by guidryp · · Score: 1

      "Artificial photosynthesis coupled with fuel cells in vehicles, however, is a hydrogen fuel/solar energy energy collection method that gives us a pollution free renewable "fuel" as a part of the cycle that can be used in cars/trains/ships ... possibly even planes."

      If this is actually more efficient that solar energy with photovoltaics or heat concentrators, well and good, but I doubt it.

      Even so, once we switch to electricity as a main driver. Anything can be put in a fuel as the back end, to produce the electricity. It can be clean as windpower or it can be hydrogen, nuclear, coal, whatever is available. We shouldn't need to reinvent the distribution system everytime we find a better source of energy.

    4. Re:EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by algaeman · · Score: 1

      The real problem with using electricity as a transportation fuel is in energy delivery. There is simply no way to provide the energy needed to move a vehicle hundreds of miles through a household plug. The energy density in hydrocarbon fuels is quite huge (nearly 50 MJ/kg in gasoline). While it is not a problem to deliver a few hundred million joules of energy in 5 minutes through a gas pump, this would be a dangerous proposition with an electrical outlet. A replacement for gasoline needs to meet all the requirements we have of our current fuel, without the nasty side effects.

    5. Re:EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by kasparov · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, but that just isn't the case. Some of the newer EVs have a range of 300 miles, and they are charged overnight from a wall socket. Also, if you have a more efficient drive than an IC engine, you don't need the energy density of hydrocarbon fuels either.

      --
      There's no place I can be, since I found Serenity.
    6. Re:EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by yaminb · · Score: 1

      Going away from the strict definition of what is a 'fuel' versus a 'battery', ultimately they're all just way of storing energy and then extracting it.

      You want a better battery? From a black box approach, isn't that what a fuel cell is? A portable device that can release electricity. Put in an electrolysis machine and seal the thing completely, and you've got a rechargeable battery :)

      Personally, I'm all about the compressed air car (http://www.theaircar.com/) :) Seems like a pretty good way to store energy (safe and reliable). It won't go far, but you can attach a generator to it.

      But yeah, we definitely need better batteries.

    7. Re:EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by algaeman · · Score: 1

      I have one vehicle in my household. I have been known to take a road trip to a location that is more than 150 miles away from my home, where there is not a socket poking up out of the ground. What is the likelihood that I will buy a car with a 150 mile rope attached to the back of it?

    8. Re:EEstor or advanced flywheels seem better. by kasparov · · Score: 1

      But how often is the trip more than 300 miles? But even in that case, you still have the option with some cars they have designed to have a generator trailer which essentially turns the EV into a hybrid if you need to take a really long trip. Right now I'm a big fan of the plug-in hybrid technology which essentially gives you a completely zero-emission electric vehicle for the first 50 miles or so (90% of the population's commute falls in this range), and otherwise operates as a normal hybrid. A pure electric car (without investment in the infrastructure for rapid charging stations across the country) may not be the best solution for everyone--just 80-90% of everyone. ;-)

      --
      There's no place I can be, since I found Serenity.
  37. Re:A wise man once said.. by hcob$ · · Score: 1
    easier to make a bomb with Diesel then hydrogen Ahem... Diesel is non-explosive unless put under high pressure. So if you wan't to make a bomb, generally you mix with other chemicals to make it explosive.

    Last I checked you just had to have a container and a heat source to make a nice boom with hydrogen.
    --
    Cliff Claven
    K.E.G. Party Chairman
    Founding Leader of: Koncerned for Egalitarin Governance
  38. Hydrogen form Solar == artifical photosynthesis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  39. Re:A wise man once said.. by miro+f · · Score: 1

    not particularly. The point the GP was attempting to make was that not half of the world are below average, because average doesn't mean median.

    So while average is correct in the sense of "think how many people are average", it's not strictly correct in terms of "half of them are dumber than that"

    of course, while average is a general term referring to one of the three averages (mean, median, mode), in general, when none is specified median is assumed to be the "average" that we are talking about.

    So in reality, the GP was just being a smartarse and there was no problem with the OP ;)

    --
    being vague is almost as cool as doing that other thing...
  40. When is 19 billion dollars a big sum for Shell? by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    19 Billion dollars is just chump change for Shell and other oil companies. In the last run up of gas prices to 3.50$ a gallon, they made 10 billion dollars in profit per quarter. Come on. Get real.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:When is 19 billion dollars a big sum for Shell? by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
      Sorry to reply to myself. Forgot to add the links.

      Exxon mobile sold 350 Billion dollars of gas and made 40 Billion in profits.

      Shell sold 311 billion dollars and got a profit of 27 Billion Dollars.

      If it it only cost 19B$ to build a H2 infrastructure in USA, it is chump change for them.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  41. What's the advantage of that by wiredog · · Score: 1

    over lead/acid batteries? Because that's what you've just described. A battery charger.

  42. And that is a bad idea. by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Copper is cheap to run to homes. Pipes that carry natural gas are so-so in costs. Pipes that carry H2 are EXPENSIVE and silly (a million/mile according to the article). Instead, use the piping to go to distributed storage stations. Locate a fill-up stations AND large fuel cell there (perhaps one per neighborhood or one square mile). The advantage of this, is that a site could store several days worth of H2 for doing generation. Even if the main grid is taken down, these might provide power for the local area. Nice in a disaster such as storms, earthquakes, or even just losing the entire eastern grid again.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  43. Re:A wise man once said.. by jank1887 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    dictionary.com:
    median
    noun
    3. Arithmetic, Statistics. the middle number in a given sequence of numbers, taken as the average of the two middle numbers when the sequence has an even number of numbers: 4 is the median of 1, 3, 4, 8, 9.

    average:
    3. Statistics. see arithmetic mean.

    arithmetic mean
    Statistics. the mean obtained by adding several quantities together and dividing the sum by the number of quantities: the arithmetic mean of 1, 5, 2, and 8 is 4.
    (Also called average)

    Since the OP is attempting to be humorous with the mathematical usage of the word average, it would be nice if it was at least correct. it was not. Unless you could demonstrate that in a large enough population the mean and median approach the same value, then it would be correct.

    You should get 5 points for being right WHEN you are right. But you aren't. so can it.

  44. Hydrogen transportation by Forge · · Score: 1

    Hydrogen transportation dose not make sense. 18 weal tankers loaded with the stuff going from plant to Gas stations? Pipelines? Nope.

    What I envision is small scale (relatively speaking) Hydrogen production plants for gas stations. Simply a box to which you connect an electric line and a watter pipe. On the other side you get out Hydrogen which can be stored in underground tanks and pumped into cars. You also get oxygen which can be pumped into the air or sold to hospitals and welders for less than they pay now.

    With research and competitive engineering the amount of electricity required to produce a litre of Hydrogen will come close to the amount of electricity required to propel an electric car of similar capabilities as far as a hydrogen car will go on a liter.

    The other gunk in tap watter can be pumped directly into the sewers where it belongs.

    The biggest obstacle is once you get to the point of manufacturing hydrogen from two established and well distributed commodities (electricity and watter) on a small scale (like what would be needed at rural gas stations), The none commercial fuel pump becomes more common. It will start with large companies and government agencies.

    I don't suspect the Oil companies are oblivious to this so look out for a fight.

    --
    --= Isn't it surprising how badly I spell ?
    1. Re:Hydrogen transportation by ResidntGeek · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      You really think that'll work, don't you? I think you really think you can get more energy out of hydrogen than it took to electrolyse water to make it.

      --
      ResidntGeek
    2. Re:Hydrogen transportation by voidptr · · Score: 1

      You also get oxygen which can be pumped into the air or sold to hospitals and welders for less than they pay now.

      The process to make medical and welding oxygen is well refined. You basically filter and compress air and cool it until it liquifies, and then do fractional distillation to separate the elements apart, and sell them seprately. It's actually quite cheap. Medical grade costs more mostly due to extra paperwork that comes along with it.

      You'd have to do more or less the same process with the electrolosis byproducts. Even if you wrote all the energy cost for the first step into the price of the hydrogen and counted the oxygen as free, it'd still cost as much to process and sell as the way it's done today.

      --
      This .sig for unofficial government use only. Official use subject to $500 fine.
    3. Re:Hydrogen transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He said nothing of the sort. He is saying that it is cheaper to transport energy as electricity to gas stations and synthesize hydrogen there, as opposed to synthesizing hydrogen centrally and transporting it to gas stations. The variables for the first method are energy efficiencies in generating electricity, transporting electricity and synthesizing hydrogen on-site; for the second method. energy efficiencies in generating hydrogen (including electricity generation efficiency if electrolysis is used) and in transporting hydrogen to gas stations. It is not at all obvious which method is more efficient--large-scale production of hydrogen may be more efficient, but transporting elemental hydrogen may well be so costly that it offsets that advantage.

    4. Re:Hydrogen transportation by ResidntGeek · · Score: 1

      Production of hydrogen from water will never be efficient. It doesn't matter how it's transported. Are you suggesting we take the hydrogen that Bush will magically find in a mine somewhere, burn it for power, transport the power, and use it to manufacture hydrogen at the gas stations? There's no way that could be made to work profitably. A hydrogen economy won't work, hydrogen is only good for storage. Give up, people.

      --
      ResidntGeek
    5. Re:Hydrogen transportation by CreatureComfort · · Score: 1


      Not really, since you can entirely eliminate the fractional distillation process, which is most of the cost of current methods. Of course, oxygen from water seperation is still going to be far more expensive than the current oxygen production methods. How do I know this? Because if it was cheaper, then that is how the current oxygen suppliers would be making it. Of course, there may be economies of scale, and as essentially waste gas, the oxygen produced at the hydrogen stations could be sold at a loss rather than just venting it. On the other hand, I imagine that the demand for pure oxygen is a rather fixed, or at least stable, quantity. I would bet that the waste oxygen from even 30%-50% of our hydrogen economy needs would more than supply all of the pure oxygen requirements, so we still end up venting a lot of it.

      --
      "Unheard of means only it's undreamed of yet,
      Impossible means not yet done." ~~ Julia Ecklar
    6. Re:Hydrogen transportation by nessus42 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      A hydrogen economy won't work, hydrogen is only good for storage. Give up, people.
      That's quite a strawman you're propping up there! Proponents of a hydrogen economy propose using hydrogen as a means of storing energy produced in a variety of manners, including wind, solar, geothermal, hydrodynamic, etc. Did you even read the article?

      The posting that you are responding to claims that we shouldn't generate the hyrdrogen at the source of the energy production, but rather convert it to electricity and then use the electricity to generate hydrogen at the gas station, or whatever. I'd beg to differ on that point myself, but that's hardly an argument against a viable hydrogen economy!

      |>oug

    7. Re:Hydrogen transportation by Forge · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Ahh... You get my point. A little anecdote.

      Jamaica produces Sugar from cane and sells it at a loss (weird Jamaican politics that I won't get into). However Appleton estate is profitable, unlike the rest. Why? they grow sugarcane to make rum. That rum attracts premium prices.

      Rum is technically byproduct of the waste from sugar production. Just like Molasses and Bagas (wood substitute). Since these goys figured out how to cover the total cost off a single byproduct any money made from selling the other stuff is pure profit.

      Same concept in my post.

      --
      --= Isn't it surprising how badly I spell ?
  45. Re:USA thinks about it, Iceland takes action by danpsmith · · Score: 1
    The cost of replacing an entire infrastructure based around oil will also be huge. Shell Hydrogen estimates it would take at least $US19 billion to build hydrogen fuel stations in the US.

    Yeah, wow, that is a lot to invest in the future when you take into account that: http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article12 393.htm The cost of the Iraq war could surpass $1 trillion. But who needs new fuel when you can cause civil wars in countries instead.

    --
    Judges and senates have been bought for gold; Esteem and love were never to be sold.
  46. Re:A wise man once said.. by kokojie · · Score: 1, Insightful

    um no, average=mean, and when we talk about average, we are talking about the mean, not the median.

    From wiki article:
    the average in ordinary English, which is also called the arithmetic mean (and is distinguished from the geometric mean or harmonic mean). The average is also called sample mean.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean

  47. 2 words by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    natural selection.

  48. Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Morgaine · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's not as clearcut as you make out. Try reading some actual scientific papers on the topic, instead of just listening to the media and politicians with an agenda. Scientists make a distinction between their actual scientific correlations and their preferred personal interpretation --- the latter is not Science.

    Climatology is full of uncertainties, and the general agreement among scientists goes only so far. The most important area of agreement is that CO2 operates as a greenhouse gas, but the extent of its contribution within the overall system is commonly misrepresented.

    CO2 is not the most important greenhouse gas, by a long chalk. Water vapour is the primary greenhouse gas on Earth, directly responsible for 95% of the global warming that keeps the planet from freezing solid to a dreadful -19 C or so. Global warming is essential.

    Climate modellers who want to highlight CO2 choose not to make that known to the man in the street, and the way they treat water vapour as a "feedback" in the GCM models instead of as a key mechanism of "forcing" tends to brush the importance of water vapour under the carpet. It's a somewhat questionable scientific approach because pure feedbacks should really be invariant linear amplifiers and not highly variant in their own right (as is water vapour), but what's worse is that this creates a hugely inaccurate public perception.

    The simple fact is that we live on an ice, water, and water-vapour covered globe moving in a somewhat complex way around a somewhat variant Sun, and that is the PRIMARY driver of climate, with water as its main agent of heat distribution and with just enough natural global warming to make it liveable, in between ice ages. CO2? Yes, it's relevant and it does have an effect, but it's not even close to being a primary player, and reducing our CO2 emissions will not have a significant effect in anybody's realistic scenario.

    And that's not under dispute by any scientist --- they know the maximum extent of possible direct warming per ppm of CO2, and they also know the maximim warming amplified through water vapour feedback in a cloudless atmosphere. But they're not even close to understanding well the magnitude of interactions in the upper atmosphere nor being able to model cloud formation well enough to determine what the real effect of 2X or 3X CO2 would be. To claim that anything in that area of climate forecasting is "established without doubt" is a total distortion of the truth.

    What's more, the natural variation in temperature across glaciation cycles totally swamps the changes calculated by any existing climate model, which just shows how we know very little in the larger context. We're right at the "natural" end of the current 18,000-year inter-glacial period, so expect a massive drop in temperature any century now. Can the GCMs predict that? Of course not.

    The uncertainties in this area are LARGE. They will be worked out. In the meantime, only non-scientists claim clearcut knowledge.

    --
    "The question of whether machines can think is no more interesting than [] whether submarines can swim" - Dijkstra
    1. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Great post, where where you the other week with the Gloabal warming posts? I get hammered as "ignorant". I used to work on this stuff, you could even go as far as saying that long term staments of cause and effect in the atmosphere are close to untestable. Nonlinear and all that.

      Well if this wasn't drifting a little OT I would hope your post would get modded up. But alas I doubt it. \. seems to just go with the popular media flow.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    2. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by rapierian · · Score: 1

      Not to mention it doesn't support the popular viewpoint that the Earth is heating up to what will next month be catastrophic levels entirely due to BusHitler's failure to sign Kyoto, and anyone who says otherwise, whether or not they're a supporter of the Bush administration, is either mallevelantly evil, or stupid, or most likely, both.

      By the way, by taking the position you did, you might be facing Nuremburg style trials in the future:
      http://gristmill.grist.org/print/2006/9/19/11408/1 106?show_comments=no

      And also, Bush is also responsible for the earthquake in Hawaii:
      http://www.dailykos.com/comments/2006/10/15/194929 /14/23#c23

    3. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by markmier · · Score: 1

      You are totally leaving out the atmospheric retention time of the greenhouse gases. Yes, water vapor is a very important factor, but its concentration in the atmosphere is relatively constant (unlike CO2 which is rising quite precipitously), and humans have very little control over the hydrologic cycle. Water has an atmospheric retention time of a few days or weeks (yes, I'm pulling that number right out of my butt). CO2 has an atmospheric retention time of centuries (again, pulling that number out of my butt).

      Humans DO have some control over CO2 emissions, and CO2 sticks around in the atmosphere for a long time, so it stands to reason that if global warming is something to be worried about (which I think it is), that humans should seek to control those aspects of the global climate system that we can (i.e. CO2 emissions, methane emissions), and ignore those aspects that we cannot control (i.e. water vapor).

    4. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by gatesvp · · Score: 1

      Ah ha, this is wonderful. It's good to hear informed dissenting opinions (even though the average person would be completely lost in your post :). Personally, I'm your side with this one.

      On a small scale, we have an immensely complex eco-system and we're making predictions based on 1% changes. We have no way of knowing if the eco-system can correctly handle the changes. Your concept of feedback is really important here, b/c not only are we assuming that the system has only one feedback mechanism, we're assuming that this feedback would result in global warming (that's two big assumptions).

      On a larger scale though, you're really fighting something very fundamental: fear of change. There is a very large camp of people who want the entire eco-system to remain static. Read a National Geographic article on animal migrations (zebra mussels catching a ride in ship ballasts) and you'll see this attitude throughout. There is an intense fear of species extinction and fiscal costs and rise of generalist species (e.g.: rats) without any real insight on the impact within the entire system.

      It's like we don't want species to die out now that we're watching them. It's almost like we forget that nature's systems have their own feedback mechanisms (it can "fix itself"). The rainforest is commonly praised for having so many species of trees that you will only find one of each species within a one-mile radius. But why is this better than a forest filled with 6 different species? Maybe it's great for research, but what does it really afford the human populace? What is the optimum number of different species of trees in a given region?

      The examples go on, but let's face it. Most humans exhibit a deep-rooted fear of change. In particular, we are afraid of unregulated change. Fighting the fight about "Global Warming" goes beyond logic and science, it's also about fear.

    5. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While what you say is true, remember that the point he was trying to make is that the contribution of CO2 emissions to the general warming trend of the last 150 years is not as obvious as the grandparent poster and Time magazine make it out to be. Yes it is definitely prudent to be concerned about it, but how much effort is prudence and how much is paranoia? Esepecially considering there are other factors that influence the climate.

      For example, solar dimming due to particulate pollution (from manmade and other sources...taken into account in most reputable climate models) and solar irradiance (not taken into account and I'm not aware of any method of determining that factor beyond the last 50 years). For example, you may have heard some global warming opponents note that the polar ice caps on Mars have been observed to be shrinking over the last couple of decades. Additionally, I recently read a report on a series of studies finding that cosmic rays affect cloud formation and furthermore, the magnitude of the effect of variation in cloud cover on temperature predicted by the studies is roughly equal to the observed temperature trends.

    6. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's just a shame that it's wrong though. But, it's still kind of reassuring to here someone say that 'no matter what we do to the CO2 levels, we'll be fine, because it doesn't actually affect much anyway, and hey - scientists already know the upper limit of temperature change that increased levels of CO2 can cause'. It's just a pity that it's all bullshit. What's even more a pity is that he got modded to +5 all because of a cute and reassuring tone of voice.

    7. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Scientists are rational and analytic, and they don't take sides when they are wearing their "Scientist" hats. And they are happy to admit lack of understanding and presence of uncertainty. The poster did say that they're working on the uncertainties.

      In contrast, you seem to regard as heresy anything that doesn't match your interpretation based on pure belief. Well, that's the difference between a scientist and a moron.

    8. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, you have a fairly ideal view of "scientists." We're people, too; I've seen scientists use their data to promote an agenda, and refuse to back down when faced with conflicting results. Whose experiment failed to take X into account, or who misinterpreted the spectra? There's a big human side of science, which we hope cancels out in the long run (i.e. the lifetime of a scientist).

    9. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >> Yes, water vapor is a very important factor, but its concentration in the atmosphere is relatively constant

      Far from being relatively constant, the concentration of water vapour in the atmosphere undergoes continual variation and on a very short timescale, through condensation into clouds, precipitation, and replenishment through evaporation. It's one of the most dynamic and chaotic systems in existence. The modelling literature is riddled with disclaimers that effectively say "We have no idea how to model this so we won't even try." Things are improving, but very slowly.

      >> You are totally leaving out the atmospheric retention time of the greenhouse gases.

      No, no, just the opposite: retention time is the key reason why it is safe to say that reducing CO2 emissions will have almost no discernible effect, especially over human timescales: CO2 is retained for many hundreds of years, so any effect from existing CO2 influx will continue to exert its effect for a millennium or more.

      And on top of the "lag" created by CO2 retention times, the current melting of Greenland ice and elsewhere is utterly unstoppable too, so clearly huge forces are at work which we could not affect even if we tried.

      That's not to say that we shouldn't do what we can to avoid pushing the climate into unknown territory --- that's perfectly sensible. But it is wholly accurate to state that changing our emissions now will have no effect that we can discern, except with millennial hindsight. The small magnitude of the effect and the long retention time make that unavoidable, and natural chaotic variation introduces huge uncertainty.

    10. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > It's not as clearcut as you make out.

      Sorry, he's right. And I am quite sure that at least some of the slashdot
      crowd is able to figure out who is right just with a little bit of critial
      thinking. For starters: Why is the wrong terminology (global warming !=
      greenhouse effect) in the following sentence intentionally misleading?

      > Water vapour is the primary greenhouse gas on Earth, directly responsible
      > for 95% of the global warming that keeps the planet from freezing solid
      > to a dreadful -19 C or so."

    11. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've lately seen alot of focusing on the models missing issue 'x', I'm supposing this is because the data discussion is pretty much closed and unfightable by now. Temperatures are rising and areas are melting that haven't melted perhaps ever in this interglacial period. After the best of efforts the only good correlation/causation link to be found is CO2 rises, there are other factors, but taking them all into account you still fall far short of the actual result we see now, not to mention ofcourse that the current situation does not match historical patterns at all.

      Also while the models are cutting corners, tests using them on past data have showen that no models that can reproduce past events ever predict cooling, instead they all predict warming. An odd coincidence perhaps, but I'm guessing that the major issues that push global temperature shifts are perhaps then already caught to a reasonable degree within the models and issues not in them yet, while unfortunate are perhaps not absolutely essential to atleast make a rough guess. If you also look at the error margins for the models you see they are very large, so they honestly admit the large uncertainty, but even taking the optimistic lower limits, show a marked warming these days. (Unlike in the past when the lower limit allowed for cooling still)

    12. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Why is the wrong terminology (global warming != greenhouse effect) in the following sentence intentionally misleading?
      >
      >> Water vapour is the primary greenhouse gas on Earth, directly responsible
      >> for 95% of the global warming that keeps the planet from freezing solid
      >> to a dreadful -19 C or so."


      How can accuracy be misleading? Unlike the handwaving statements that non-scientific advocates make, the sentence that you quote was phrased with absolute precision.

      There are many greenhouse gasses: water vapour is one, CO2 is another. Greenhouse gasses have a greenhouse effect (that's a tautology). The greenhouse effect produces global warming by non-uniform absorption at different wavelengths, or in other words by letting in more solar radiation than it lets back out as heat. And that global warming has been going on forever, since the creation of the planet, and it's currently keeping us some 33 C warmer than if global warming was absent. It is responsible for our existence and survival.

      What the fuss is all about isn't global warming or the greenhouse effect or greenhouse gasses. The fuss is about *additional* global warming (less than one degree more, compared to the 33 degrees of natural global warming), resulting from the *additional* greenhouse effect produced by *additional* CO2 introduced by Man in recent times. And that is a very valid concern.

      But you have to view man-made CO2 in context. About 186 billion tons of CO2 enter the atmosphere each year; of that, about 90 bn is released from the oceans, another 90 bn is the product of volcanos and plant decay, and only 6 bn is introduced by Man. That puts our contribution in perspective. Yes, it is a concern, because one should never disturb an equilibrium that one does not understand. But one should also not exaggerate the extent of one's impact on a very large system.

      Real scientists deal in numbers, not in agit prop. And they don't claim certain knowledge where all they see is one possibility among many in a system abounding in uncertainties and huge natural chaotic variation. The mass hysteria is created by people with agendas, not by scientists. Scientists simply want to understand all this better.

    13. Re:Climatology is full of scientific uncertainties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >> I've seen scientists use their data to promote an agenda

      And so have I. But the clothing you wear does not determine what you are.

      Being a "Scientist" is a formal role, and an extremely well defined one.

      Yes, I agree that it is also the label of a profession or a paying occupation, and it can also be just a meaningless word on a business card. But when people do things that are not consistent with the role of "Scientist", then they are NOT A SCIENTIST, period.

      Being human, we often fail even when we try hard to be proper Scientists, and sometimes we even "fail on purpose". But that doesn't in any way place a black mark on the formal role of "Scientist", but merely on human ethics, conceit, and fallibility.

      A good scientist at least tries to keep the two things separate in his mind so that he can recognise his own failures (at least privately). It's a measure of professional integrity and basic honesty towards oneself.

  49. Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by wowbagger · · Score: 4, Informative

    The Hindenburg fire was NOT caused by hydrogen, but rather by a new exterior covering that the Zeppelin company was trying out - a butyl rubber fabric coated with iron oxide and powered aluminum - in other words, a formulation very close to what the Space Shuttle Solid Rocket Boosters use for fuel.

    In addition, the skin panels were not electrically bonded to the superstructure of the ship and formed a series of capacitors which were highly charged - when the ship was grounded by the mooring lines, the panels discharged, some through the wet cords binding them to the ship, some by arcing (and thus setting themselves on fire).

    1. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Indeed, the Zeppelin company did a secret report on the Hindenberg tragedy and noted that the canvas covering was extremely flammable, to say the least. I believe on the Graf Zeppelin II (which did fly for a few years before World War II) they went to a less-flammable covering and also changed some of the canvas covering hooks to bronze, which did not transmit electrical discharges like steel ones do.

    2. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by Jerim · · Score: 1

      Okay, hydrogen may not have been the cause of the fire, but it certainly accelerated the fire. It doesn't matter to me what causes the fire. If fire gets anyone near the hydrogen you have the potential for a big explosion and some very rapid burning. Same difference.

    3. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by shmlco · · Score: 1

      If someone were to begin promoting gasoline today as a new fuel alternative I expect many like yourself would rail against its dangers, flammability, and potential for "big" explosions.

      But relatively unskilled people seem to handle it safely every day...

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    4. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by Patrick+Russell · · Score: 1
      That's a very good summation of Addison Bain's Incendiary Paint Theory, but the fact of the matter is that theory has been thoroughly debunked.

      The combined work of Professor Alexander Dessler, Donald Overs, and William Appleby (which can be viewed at http://spot.colorado.edu/~dziadeck/zf/LZ129fire.ht m ) has shone light into the many holes in the Bain theory, not the least of which is the fact that the cover of the Hindenburg burned far, far too slowly to have been the primary accelerant in the fire.

      Having done many years of historical research into the Hindenburg disaster, I can say without reservation that Addison Bain was very selective in the evidence that he chose to use to support his theory. He used portions of eyewitness testimony, for example, from a Hindenburg crewman named Helmut Lau who was in the lower fin looking up when the fire broke out.

      To read Bain's take on Lau's subsequent testimony to the Board of Inquiry, Lau saw above and in front of him the reflection of a fire that was burning aft of his position (since Bain's theory maintains that the fire originated aft of the fins on the starboard side of the tail cone where, conveniently, no cameras happened to be pointed.)

      However, having read the full, unedited version of Lau's BOI testimony, I can tell you that Lau was very clear about the fact that the fire that he saw was forward and above his position, up between gas cells 4 and 5. He reiterated this point several times in his testimony.

      What Bain did was to seize upon the word "reflection" in the transcript and use it as evidence that the fire was somewhere behind Lau. The problem with that, of course, is that the word "reflection" was used numerous times throughout the investigation by the German translators in a context which indicates that they meant "glow". Not just in Lau's testimony, but in the testimony of others too. Remember, few of the Hindenburg crew spoke enough English to testify in English. Virtually all of the English transcripts were of the words of the translators and not of the crew members themselves.

      But since these testimony transcripts (Lau's included) have yet to ever be published in full, they have been read and examined in their unedited state by only a comparative handful of researchers. Those who initially flogged the sabotage theory several decades ago made their case by selectively quoting Lau's testimony, and unfortunately Addison Bain did the exact same thing in support of his own theory.

      Another bit of "evidence" to which Bain pointed was the fact that the forward section of the Hindenburg "bounced" when it first leveled out on the ground. Bain's contention is that this proved that the hydrogen in the forward section had not yet burned, because why else would the ship rebound into the air?

      The fact of the matter is, when you read the testimonies of the various members of the command crew, you see that many of them (including the senior officers aboard) waited at the windows of the control car until the ship had rebounded into the air before they jumped. In other words, it seems very clear that they EXPECTED the ship to bounce back some distance off of its landing wheel, or else they all would have leapt clear of the ship on its initial descent, because absent the expectation of the ship rebounding they would have assumed that the framework would collapse over the control car and trap them.

      But again, that doesn't support the theory that Bain was trying to put forth, and so this fact is conveniently left out.

      The fact is, the Hindenburg burned from the inside out, and not from the outside in. Two of the three surviving crewmen from the bow section subsequently stated that they felt the ship shake violently, and then looked above them and saw fire propagating forward along the axial girder that tunneled through the middle of the gas cells a split second BEFORE they felt the stern of the ship f

    5. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by Dzonatas · · Score: 1

      "40 hours" compared to "32-34 seconds"... that is an either/or situation, but in this situation after the ignition we have both.

      "Glow" compared to "reflection"... I see no facts but mere opinions that try to judge what one thinks even though there is no scientific proof that one can read minds especially long after death.

      The "bounce"... at least by the way you reported it made it sound like the event was predetermined with prior knowledge how the ship would move under fire.

      Those that have studied fuel cells know that metallic surfaces act as the catalyst. The paint reacted with the hydrogen. Electricity created through the fuel cell process. Zepplin ignited under static electricity immediately built up.

      Also, pure hydrogen being burnt in open air is self-contained, which prooves the ship besides the hydrogen had to burn also in order to keep the hydrogen in flames.

      Just because you can disproove Incendiary Paint Theory still doesn't mean such disproof will proove the paint wasn't a catalyst that further ignited the hydrogen.

    6. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by Patrick+Russell · · Score: 1

      "Glow" compared to "reflection"... I see no facts but mere opinions that try to judge what one thinks even though there is no scientific proof that one can read minds especially long after death.

      It's called reading for context, as opposed to simply taking one sentence or sentence fragment and interpreting it in whichever way you want to. Even reading Lau's unedited testimony by itself (though the same use of "reflection" in the context of "glow" occurs in other people's testimonies as well), the context quickly becomes clear, and he is absolutely NOT talking about a literal "reflection". He repeatedly, throughout the rest of his testimony, comes back to the fact that he saw actual fire, which spread out from the first point at which he'd seen it.

      I will gladly cut and paste the entire transcript here if you like, though I don't think a lot of folks would appreciate my dumping 14 pages of text on them. Here is the section, however, where Lau describes the genesis of the fire. He's standing on a narrow catwalk along the port side of the lower fin about ten feet from the bottom edge, he's just helped a crewman in the hull above unhook a rope that had jammed between two wires, and he's looking up and to port to make sure that the rope is running clear...

      I heard over me a muffled detonation and looked up and saw from the starboard side down inside the gas cell a bright reflection on the front bulkhead of cell No. 4. The gas cell was approximately at the line that I have indicated on Exhibit 10.

      I therefore could see from there to the point that I am indicating. I could see from my position at this point to approximately the position indicated. Here and here I saw no fire at first. I saw it on the front side of cell 4. The bright reflection in the cell was inside. I saw it through the cell. It was at first red and yellow and there was smoke in it. The cell did not burst on the lower side. The cell suddenly disappeared by the heat.

      The fire proceeded further down and then it got air. The flame became very bright and the fire rose up to the side, more to the starboard side, as I remember seeing it, and I saw that with the flame aluminum parts and fabric parts were thrown up.

      In that same moment the forward cell and the back cell of cell 4 also caught fire, cell 3 and cell 5. At that time parts of girders, molten aluminum and fabric parts started to tumble down from the top. The whole thing only lasted a fraction of a second.

      And then a little further on, as Lau is marking up a diagram of the ship to illustrate what he saw...

      I could see the angle which I am marking on the plan. This was the angle of sight which I had at the time when the explosion occurred above my head. The first fire I saw in cell No. 4 towards the front bulkhead of the cell, inside the cell.

      And still further along as he continues to mark up the diagram...

      Q: Would you indicate the smallest part of a fire that you saw and its exact location, the very smallest part? Do that with a red pencil.

      A: I did not see the absolute center of origin of the fire, because it must have been further up, since I saw the reflection of the fire through the cell wall.

      Q: Show the point with a red pencil where you first saw the reflection.

      A: Approximately where I have now indicated on this plan. It was further up at first, but then it came down.

      And again...

      Q: Will you take the red pencil and on the stern view of the ship place the location of the fire?

      A: I first need a black pencil to show the location of the cell. The cell was approximately at the line that I have just indicated. The red reflection which I saw first must have come down approximately as I am indicating with the red pencil. The first moment I saw it, rushing out to the top, was here where I have ind

    7. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by Patrick+Russell · · Score: 2, Informative

      Just because you can disproove Incendiary Paint Theory still doesn't mean such disproof will proove the paint wasn't a catalyst that further ignited the hydrogen.

      Ah, but the whole basis of Bain's theory (especially as it is used to counter the Hindenburg objection when discussing hydrogen's potential as a fuel) is that the hydrogen was incidental to the fire, and that it was the cover and not the hydrogen which was the fire's primary accelerant.

      Bain tried to claim that the Hindenburg would have burnt just the same had it been filled with helium, and therefore hydrogen was not to blame for the Hindenburg disaster. Of course, Bain's claims seem to have changed as more and more of his theory was debunked (last I heard he was apparently claiming that it was engine exhaust which somehow wafted up to the top of the ship and caused the fire, so consider the source here) but when his theory was still new and unchallenged, he was trying to say that the outer cover was SO flammable that an airship filled with non-flammable helium would have burned exactly the way the Hindenburg burned. Hence, the inevitable conclusion would go, hydrogen is safe to use as a fuel.

      Now, I believe hydrogen IS safe to use as a fuel, at least given the fact that we regularly use a combustible fuel like gasoline and consider it safe. Don't misunderstand me... I am a big proponent of the development of alternative fuel sources. I'm not arguing against Bain's theory for the sake of attacking alternative fuels.

      However... Dessler, Overs, and Appleby have proven (by an easily replicated burn test) that the Hindenburg's outer cover, on its own, would have taken 40 hours to burn. A helium airship with this same covering under the same conditions would NOT have burned in 32-34 seconds as the Hindenburg did.

      Could the outer cover have been the initial source of a small, slow-burning fire that ignited the ship's hydrogen and led to the disaster? Possibly. However, I have yet to see Bain actually replicate the ignition of the cover using the same static discharge that would have been present atop the Hindenburg. In various documentaries on the matter, I've seen him light fabric samples using an open flame, and using a high-voltage charge from a Jacob's Ladder, neither of which are remotely the same thing as the type of static discharge that would have ignited the Hindenburg.

      A far more likely possibility as far as the fabric helping to generate a static discharge that would have ignited the hydrogen is this: The outer cover was isolated from the ship's framework by wooden shims up to a centimeter thick which had been glued along the longitudinal frames in a number of places (especially in the stern of the ship) to help tighten the outer cover (which was noted to be unusually loose during the ship's early flights.) Now you've got a gap between cover and framework across which static can arc, and in which loose hydrogen could easily be present if we're talking about the very top longitudinal girders atop the ship.

      And this really comes back to the theory that Dr. Eckener had in 1937, and which he held for the rest of his life... free hydrogen was ignited by a spark between the outer cover and the ship's framework.

      But again, either way, it was the hydrogen which was the real problem there. Had the Hindenburg been filled with helium, it simply would not have burned the way it did, even if the cover HAD somehow started on fire atop the ship. They'd have had plenty of time to get the ship landed and the passengers disembarked, and then you'd have probably seen riggers and mechanics climbing up inside the hull with fire extinguishers to douse the fire. The ship wouldn't have sailed back to Germany that night as intended, of course, but they'd have almost certainly saved it and repaired it.

      And, of course, if the Hindenburg fire wasn't anything to do with any cover fire, if the whole thing was just as Eckener theorized, free hydrogen being ignited d

    8. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by Dzonatas · · Score: 1

      We can almost conclude that fire seen, either by reflection or by direct glow, moved pretty fast. It was obvious at that time the hydrogen was already ignited. They have the possible area of ignition. However, the actual spot cannot be determined.

      This is whats leads us to the possibilities of how the ignitition occurred. What I see is an argument that it either was the hydrogen first or the paint.

      * I find neither. *

      Throw out Bain's theory and rule out the hydrogen driven explosion. If it was just a fire by the outer shell, it would have taken longer to burn. If it was just the hydrogen, it would happen much faster than 30 seconds! There would be an immediate combustion and decomposition between excited hydrogen and the immediate reaction to open air -- anotherwords an implosion would follow.

      There was no implosion. There was the continued burn of the outershell and the obvious fire from the hydrogen. The hydrogen was obviously much more excited than expected.

      What slowed it down? The reaction to open air gave it oxygen. Normally oxygen will just feed the fire more, but in the case of hydrogen we see a reaction where it creates steam. There wasn't enough volumetric pressure from the hydrogen to force it all into open air to create anything like a bucket of water from the reaction. There was enough to slow the burn of the ship from an immediate reaction. Remove the outershell, anotherwords, and we would have a reaction that would take less than a few seconds.

      One may ask how would it happen even if there is a gap? Hydrogen leaks! The main reason why we don't have a hydrogen economy today is because of the storage issue. Only when in the last few years have they been able to design a storage tank that would fit in a car and be consider safe even with known hydrogen leaks. There isn't anything that we pratically can make at this time that can completely stop hydrogen leaks for storage. We can make thick crystalized walls or alloys that slow the process down.

      I would not claim it was static electricity, but that it was the basics of proton exchange that excited the hydrogen. Once that hydrogen leaks between that gap (and consider the material it is very likely!) there will be a proton exchange once it touches a metallic surface.

      Proton exchange process is like the plasma balls if the hydrogen is already excited. You probably won't see all the nifty sparks and jumps that a plasma ball makes, but you'll see that the excited hydrogen ignite from within the ship and not just the outershell. That hydrogen that touches the paint acts like a wire of current. The direction of the flow of particles is chaotic, and the hydrogen was excited throughout the inside by the flow.

      Once the hydrogen is excited enough, a spark could happen anywhere inside. A little bit of oxygen trapped inside could have started it. Once it starts there is force for it to continue as the reaction itself releases more energy.

      Why would they be so selective and ignore the catalyst effect?

    9. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by Patrick+Russell · · Score: 1

      Throw out Bain's theory and rule out the hydrogen driven explosion. If it was just a fire by the outer shell, it would have taken longer to burn. If it was just the hydrogen, it would happen much faster than 30 seconds! There would be an immediate combustion and decomposition between excited hydrogen and the immediate reaction to open air -- anotherwords an implosion would follow.

      There was no implosion. There was the continued burn of the outershell and the obvious fire from the hydrogen. The hydrogen was obviously much more excited than expected.

      Actually there was an implosion at the very outset of the fire. This can clearly be seen in the initial fire photo where the Hindenburg appears to be on an even keel. The framework and outer cover are collapsed very visibly inward from the stern to a point almost amidships.

      Also, the burn rate of the entire ship (32-34 seconds) was entirely consistent with every description of a hydrogen airship fire I've ever read. When the British R-101 crashed and caught fire in France in 1930, the ship burned in roughly the same amount of time that the Hindenburg burned... the few survivors aboard had time to realize what was happening, but barely enough time to escape, as was the case with the Hindenburg. World War I zeppelins, when shot down, would hang there briefly as the fire took hold, and then they'd be fireballs in the sky within half a minute or so. And this was, of course, without being painted with the specific doping compound that covered the Hindenburg.

      Also, you ask why the hydrogen didn't simply ignite all at once in the Hindenburg. "What slowed it down"? Simple... the hydrogen in the Hindenburg was contained in sixteen separate gas cells. The hydrogen didn't all roam free inside the outer cover as it would in a balloon or a blimp. It was essentially a duralumin cage with 16 balloons inside it, each in their own separate bay. While a rigid airship like the Hindenburg would burn very quickly (again, half a minute is pretty consistent) it was still a progressive burning. The Germans kept their hydrogen at the highest purity level possible (as close to 98% as they could manage) which further explains why the hydrogen in the Hindenburg didn't all immediately and violently ignite.

      And that's another thing... the Hindenburg did not "explode". It burned. The purity level in the ship's gas cells was entirely too high for them to literally "explode".

      Helmut Lau, in the few seconds he watched the early stages of the fire, saw exactly the progressive burning process that one would expect. He initially saw fire at a point above and forward of his position, partway up the front side of cell 4 and, of course, from his vantage point he was looking at the BOTTOM of cell 4 from below and aft, so he saw the glow of the fire through the gas cell material itself ("at first red and yellow and there was smoke in it" as Lau stated) Then cell 4 was quickly consumed by fire and as this occurred Lau saw cells 3 and 5 (those immediately aft and immediately forward of cell 4) ignite before he ducked for cover at the bottom of the lower fin.

      No, the hydrogen didn't all ignite simultaneously because the way the ship was designed it simply wouldn't have.

      You seem to be suggesting that the hydrogen inside the ship reacted with the paint outside the ship and this somehow excited the hydrogen so that it became flammable. Am I reading you correctly? Not that the contact between the paint and the hydrogen directly started the fire, but that the contact between them excited the hydrogen molecules? You're introducing an unnecessary step here... loose hydrogen that's leaked from the gas cells would immediately mix with oxygen from the air within the ship, and be highly flammable almost immediately. No catalyst effect was needed.

      You then further state that "once the hydrogen is excited enough, a spark could happen anywhere inside." This is not entirely true. Static discharge from outside the

    10. Re:Hindenburg explosion not H2 but FeO3&Al by Dzonatas · · Score: 1

      On your note about: "No catalyst effect was needed." However, this does not mean that it should not be accounted for within scope of the event.

      Back up to: "Actually there was an implosion at the very outset of the fire." Although, there is an assumption of where the fire started an even if it was a fire or just a glow of chaotic electricity. We know that Helmut Lau saw something to the effect before there was any combustion, explosion, or implosion. This is where the facts are weak to make a determination.

      You pointed out that there actually was more space for air inside since the hydrogen was in cells.

      I'm not convinced that they understood how easily hydrogen leaks.

      Yes, I used "could happen." I'm not convinced if there was a spark. I'm convinced there was excited hydrogen, and that the storage technology used did not prevent it.

      Back to: "You're introducing an unnecessary step here... loose hydrogen that's leaked from the gas cells would immediately mix with oxygen from the air within the ship, and be highly flammable almost immediately." Thought I was clear that the hydrogen would be flammable before it even reacted with air. Hydrogen that is already burning that subsequently reacts with open air will self-contain itself. Hence, the reaction with open air slows the initial burn. This is seen by hydrogen storage rigs that get punctured and ignited -- mist instead of smoke. The flame is minimized. No further explosion is experienced as one would expect with other substances -- even oxygen itself and yet worse with gasoline.

      Anybody that figures out how to suspend hydrogen away from metal and open air will make the bookoo bucks.

  50. Why is our hydrogen under their ice? by muellerr1 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Great. Does this mean we'll have to invade Iceland for their hydrogen now? It will be tough to do it under the cover of 'regime change' this time--I don't think Iceland even has a government, let alone a dictator (liberate Iceland!). Maybe we can claim that they're ignoring UN inspections or something. I mean, when was the last time the UN got to inspect Iceland? They could be doing anything up there with all that 'hydrogen' power. You don't know.

  51. Nuclear vs. Coal H2 production? by mr.bri · · Score: 1
    The last page of the article has a chart showing where all of the H2 could come from.

    Granted, they say that H2 will be produced via electrolysis from the heat of the nuclear reactor (rather than from the electricity produced by the NR), but they show that there will need to be 2000 600MW nuclear plants, as opposed to 1000 275MW coal plants.

    With 1200GW nuclear vs. 275GW coal, couldn't they just use the surplus electricity to electrolysize the water, and cut WAY back on the number of nuclear plants required? If they figure it will only take 275GW of electricity (based on the coal estimate), then why not just build the ~460 600MW nuclear plants required, and use both the heat and electricity to make the H2? That brings the costs & nuclear fuel requirements WAY down for nuclear, and no CO2 emitted.

    That's 1/4 the original nuclear estimate, bring the cost down below coal for "Price per GGE", as well as dropping the total cost FAR below anything else.

    Was this a typo? Oversight? Study backed by coal? (how is the "Price per GGE" SO little (minimum: about half) for coal when the "Total Cost" for the plans are relatively close?)

    1. Re:Nuclear vs. Coal H2 production? by CagedBear · · Score: 1
      why not just build the ~460 600MW nuclear plants required, and use both the heat and electricity to make the H2?
      I was wondering this also. But is it possible to perform electrolysis with heat?

      I'm thinking maybe they meant use the heat from Nuclear to convert natural gas to hydrogen. In which case the heat isn't being converted directly into hydrogen, just being used to make one of the other options a little more effecient. Plus CO2 is still being emitted.
    2. Re:Nuclear vs. Coal H2 production? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The most energy efficient way to get hydrogen is not by splitting water. For the sources listing fossil fuels, they are talking about splitting hydrogen from the hydro-carbons. For wind and nuclear and hydro electric sources, they have to use electicity (or in the case of the next-gen nuclear reactors, direct heat) to split water. Much less efficient, but it does not have the negative consequence of CO2 that hydrocarbon sources have.

    3. Re:Nuclear vs. Coal H2 production? by dbIII · · Score: 1
      then why not just build the ~460 600MW nuclear plants required

      Where does all that fuel come from?

      Why not build bigger units and less of them - you need really big units to improve the cost effectiveness if you are going to consider nuclear.

      How many decades are you going to spend training enough people to build these new plants, develop a design that is good enough to be worth it and then build the units? It takes years just to get a turbine which can be used in any large thermal power station without considering specialised gear in a nuclear boiler.

      As for price comparisons - coal is currently the dirt cheap power option unless you have a lot of snow and somewhere to put a dam and the way to get the power out of the steam is identical to nuclear plants. Coal obviously has a variety of problems but nuclear still has more and huge capital costs - any nuclear design has to be as good as possible becuase you'll still be trying to get every cent you can out of it in fifty years to offset the construction costs and initial fuel costs.

  52. dependence on Middle East by RunningGeek84 · · Score: 1

    I read through the Popular Mechanics article and one thing it didn't mention was that if the U.S. was to use solar, wind, and/or nuclear power to create hydrogen to use in cars the dependence on Middle East oil would be greatly reduced; the article said cars accounted for 2/3 of the oil usage in the U.S. This would have many benefits besides just purely economic. After all, many of the terrorist's financers made their money in oil (practically the only Middle East export of value).

  53. The myth of Engineering Problems by abb3w · · Score: 1

    It's just an engineering problem.

    In that sense, so is the mass market flying car that I'm STILL waiting for.

    --
    //Information does not want to be free; it wants to breed.
    1. Re:The myth of Engineering Problems by RsG · · Score: 1

      I beleive that device is called a "helicopter". You may have seen such high tech marvels yourself :-)

      Seriously, the flying car thing is a red herring. Flying cars, or homescale nuclear power, or moon colonies were never just engineering problems, even in the 50s and 60s. They were never realized for reasons that had far more to do with politics, practicalities, and economics.

      What we can do with technology, and what we choose to do, are not the same thing.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    2. Re:The myth of Engineering Problems by abb3w · · Score: 1

      Flying cars, or homescale nuclear power, or moon colonies were never just engineering problems, even in the 50s and 60s. They were never realized for reasons that had far more to do with politics, practicalities, and economics.

      EXACTLY. I now point back to the post I commented on...

      --
      //Information does not want to be free; it wants to breed.
  54. bmw and honda... by zogger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ..already have such stations built and operating. BMW's uses mains power and makes hydrogen onsite, and honda uses solar power at an R and D place for their hydrogen research. There's more too. Here is the hydrogen station current overview

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_station

  55. Gradualy, Earth will lose hydrosphere by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We better raise our voices against it now, before we have "out of frying pan into the fire" situation.

    First of all, we need to obtain strong and abundant sources of energy before we get to solving the problem of transportation methods. This (these) source(s) must also provide additional energy needed for "terrareforming" (restoring environmental balance) of Earth.

    Second, using and handling pure, unbound hydrogen for energy transportation is plain wrong. You can never handle a substance as volatile, leaky and so light that it fast gets to the top of atmosphere, on massively large scale without using tons or hundreds of tons of it each year. When free hydrogen is released to atmosphere it is soon gone from it for good. CO2 may be a problem that plants and photosynthesis may cure, but losing hydrogen and lifting oxygen level on a planetary scale is much more environmentaly dangerous. From present perspective it may look like just a theoretical drawback but so it seemed about carbon based fuel burning, back then at the dawn of industrial revolution.

    Hydrogen is mostly safely tucked in in compounds it makes and it should stay that way if we don't want to lose it (and its compounds we need for life).

    What we really need as energy transmition means is not another, harder to handle, kryogenic or high pressure kind of synthetic fuel, but drop in synthetic replacement for heavy fuels we use today, obtained by extracting CO2 and H20 out of environment and combining it thru addition of energy (be it a photosynthesis or some new, yet to be discovered industrial method) in effect reversing all adverse consequences of burning it.

    We have the excess CO2 in atmosphere and if we don't make an economical incentive on pulling CO2 out of it, by making this extraction part of the solution, it is going to float around for quite some time and may cause more trouble.

    Storing CO2 underground is unefficient. It will leak and difuse into air. Storing pure carbon or heavy molecules of hydrocarbons is much more space-efficient (yes, I do propose pumping oil, or even better, heavy tar, or coal(soot) suspension back underground).

    I believe someone powerful has a plan to make us all "jump hoops" and upgrade everything we use today just to solve...nothing... and fill own pockets on selling "new, modern" versions of what we have today. Throw your vehicles and machines on junkyard and get yourself hydrogen powered ones. I bet the same trust of corporations already have whole tech covered with their patents and all our migration expenses will be their net gain.

    This hydrogen-as-fuel idea is simply... too raw, something an elementary school kid would think is good, before learning the realities of physical world.

    1. Re:Gradualy, Earth will lose hydrosphere by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Second, using and handling pure, unbound hydrogen for energy transportation is plain wrong.

      Agreed. That is why you wouldn't do it that way. You would instead choose one of these: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_Storage

      While we are at Wikipedia, we may as well read up a bit on the topic, to get away from the misinformation here on Slashdot.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_technologies

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_production

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_economy

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_photosynth esis

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biological_hydrogen_p roduction_(Algae)

      There. Isn't that so much better researched than the original article?

    2. Re:Gradualy, Earth will lose hydrosphere by emurphy42 · · Score: 1
      yes, I do propose pumping oil, or even better, heavy tar, or coal(soot) suspension back underground
      You're not the first.
  56. Re:A wise man once said.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    dumb enough not to know the difference between the average and the median?

    In a large enough sample, the median is the average. (When the probability distribution is symmetric, which it generally is for functions we care about.)

  57. In Engineering, Challenges = Cost by mstrcat · · Score: 1

    Just to point out the obvious, Popular Mechanics is right to talk about the challenges posed by the so called hydrogen economy. To an Engineer, challenges = cost. A hydrogen economy isn't impossible, just more costly (and inconvienent) than society is currently willing to pay.

    For my two cents, methane will likely be our next major transportation fuel. It's nearly as energy dense as diesel/gas, is highly renewable (generated by the tons in landfills and commercial farms), and only demands minor changes in standard combustion engines to burn. There are already companies out there that can take waste gas from landfills and produce LNG (basically liquified methane). See http://www.prometheus-energy.com/

    It's disavantages are: crygenic liquid requiring special handling, and it still produces CO2 when it burns. The good news is that on a per therm basis, the CO2 produced from methane is much less than gas or diesel. It's not a absolute solution to the energy crisis, but a good middle step.

    1. Re:In Engineering, Challenges = Cost by UnknowingFool · · Score: 1
      A hydrogen economy isn't impossible, just more costly (and inconvienent) than society is currently willing to pay.

      I don't most people realize the hydrogen isn't being proposed as the solution to our energy problems. Hydrogen is being proposed as the solution to our pollution problems. Politicians and the media are confusing the two issues. I think that there is a hidden agenda behind the administration's stance on hydrogen. Given our current technology, the best source of hydrogen will be fossil fuels which benefits big oil. Instead of refining crude oil to gasoline, oil will companies will make hydrogen which will be more expensive without transportation and storage costs to consider. That means bigger profits for them.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
  58. Why is this cost considered high? by archdetector · · Score: 1

    Less than $600 billion to build a biomass infrastructure that will reduce the cost of transportation fuel by a third, eliminate net CO2 emissions for autos, strengthen our agricultural sector (putting an end to farming subsidies), and end our dependency on the Middle East. We'll probably spend that much on the Gulf War alone. Sounds like a no brainer to me.

    1. Re:Why is this cost considered high? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh dear you're boned

    2. Re:Why is this cost considered high? by deevnil · · Score: 1

      How long will it take us to burn through all our topsoil?

  59. Re:A wise man once said.. by suman28 · · Score: 1

    Besides, that is what Darwin's theory really needs to apply, anyway. Let the lot of them blow up. The world needs more clever people anyway.

  60. Re:USA thinks about it, Iceland takes action by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

    But here's the thing about Iceland though: they can tap into easily-available geothermal power (thanks to Iceland being one of the world's most active volcanic regions) to generate the large amounts of electricity necessary to produce hydrogen on a fairly large scale. Also, due to the relatively low population of Iceland, they don't really need to make that much hydrogen to support local energy needs.

    Here in the USA, a potentially better solution is to develop better means of electric power storage to take advantage of wind power and solar power across the USA. Thanks to that recent breakthrough announced by MIT earlier this year of a new type of nanotube-based supercapacitor to store electric energy on a relatively small unit, that opens the door for true distributed power generation where every home has a solar panel to generate power, a means to store all that power generated, and to even distribute the excess power generated to other users.

  61. Re:Where to get this? by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

    The primary advantage of Hydrogen is efficiency: even using natural gas as feedstock, it is more efficient to convert it into hydrogen (70% efficient) and then use a fuel cell (up to 90% efficient) - the maximum efficiency is 63% (although with current commercial fuel cells the efficiency is lower, about 40% or so from gas to electricity)

    The secondary advantage of Hydrogen is that it is an energy transport, not an energy source. That means that is doesn't matter where the original energy comes from - which means that as technology develops, the source can go from natural gas, to wind/solar, to nuclear, and to fusion. (Basically, we don't have to all go out and buy new cars every time someone comes up with a cheap energy source.)

    Sometimes working towards a solution means first creating something equivalent, but a little more flexible first. Come on, you guys are programmers, right? Don't you do that yourselves?

    --
    while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
  62. leaving out pollution islands/ the real benefit by zogger · · Score: 1

    The main point of trying for hydrogen or something else for transportation is from pollution islands that exist in heavily populated urban and suburban "metro" areas from burning fossil fuels for transportation there. It is a huge problem, has actual economic cost, physical cost to humans who get ill from it, environmental cost, etc. We need to somehow let people move around freely like they do now, using their cars and trucks, etc, yet not dump massive amounts of toxic and corrosive gasses that get trapped in those heat islands which most urban areas are. This is a critical factor in why they are trying to figure out a way to use hydrogen, it is just clean, really really clean. So far, the more practical efforts are not with fuel cells, but just with normal ICE engines that can use hydrogen. BMW has a new car that uses both, two tanks and a switch, so the driver can choose, in town, burn clean hydrogen, out of town on the open road, switch to gasoline (or eventually ethanol or biodiesel or whatever). You have to look at all the costs, not just the energy conversion costs. Leaving out the health costs-which are considerable- and you are ignoring a lot of the realities and data there.

  63. Re:Oops! Missed the most likely method of producti by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    And the best part is that the mysterious, unnamed catalyst can be ANYTHING! Cheese! Rat Droppings! Magic!

    I'm not saying there is no such catalyst, because I haven't looked into it myself, but if your going to put forth this amazing solution, YOU had better be able to say what it is. The only such substance that I know of is chlorophyl, and that only works within the environment of living plant cells -- which incidentally, consume the resulting chemical energy all by themselves, without even offering to share.

    Ever heard of the Law of the Excluded Middle, sometimes known as the Law of Underpants Gnomes? Without Step Two, (identifying and supplying the mystery catalyst), your whole plan is worthless.

  64. HYDRO = water by fortunatus · · Score: 1
    To be off topic, and to deliver a hit to my reasonably good karma, I must point out that the poster has used the term "hydropower" inappropriately:

    Hydro = water; gen = precursor ("from which something comes"); hydrogen = precursor to water; hydropower = "water-power", not "hydrogen-power".

    And while I do recognize that common usage in chemistry vernacular of "hydro-" (for instance in "hydrocarbon") does in fact refer to hydrogen and not to water, I must also point out that common usage of "hydropower" certainly refers to power generated from water and not from hydrogen!! ;>

  65. Re:Electricity + Water (Re: Your .sig) by drew · · Score: 1
    Victims of WTC attacks:

    It's really far more than five times as dangerous if you consider that the WTC attacks were a one-time event and that there have been no similarly deadly attacks since then. Put another way, at 16,000/year (which is lower than I remembered, but whatever) over 80,000 Americans have been killed by car accidents since 9/11, while the number of Americans killed in terrorist attacks in the last 5 years and change is still right around 3,000.
    --
    If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
  66. Mangling the Numbers on a Hydrogen Economy by 4181 · · Score: 1
    The table "Where Will the Hydrogen Come From?" on page 3 states:
    Here's what it would take to reach that goal [150 million tons of hydrogen anually[sic] to replacing fossil fuels used in passenger cars by 2040]


    15.9 million cu. ft. of natural gas -- only a fraction of current U.S. annual consumption

    More likely 15.9 million MMcf, or 15.9 million million cu. ft, a large fraction of current U.S. annual consumption (21.9 million MMcf in 2005). An average home consumes 6 Mcf (thousand cubic feet) in a month, and the gas consumed by 2500 homes in a month will not power the nation's cars for a year.

    Additionally, solar and wind densities do not compare to absolute amounts of coal and biomass required annually.
    Don't tell me:

    Solar: 2500 kilowatt-hours of sun per square meter per year
    Tell me how many acres of solar panels.


    Don't tell me:

    Wind: 7 meters per second average wind speed
    Tell me how many wind towers.


    Does anyone care about number anymore, or are they just sprinkled about haphazardly to imbue the article with a sense of authority?

    1. Re:Mangling the Numbers on a Hydrogen Economy by rohar · · Score: 1

      The only scalable method of producing renewable and transportable energy products is from agriculturally produced renewable sources. The whole deal lies in removing the fossil fuel dependency in agriculture. Once that is done, renewable and carbon neutral fuels can be produced in the required scale to lower the mobile fossil fuel dependency.

  67. Damn Hindenburg by PaulModz · · Score: 1

    The Hindenburg might be a good metaphor for the Bush administration ('rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic' isn't a strong enough metaphor anymore), but in a country where over half the population doesn't even believe in evolution, that 70 year old footage in the hands of the fossil fuel lobby might be enough to stop the H2 economy.

    I don't think the volatility of pure H2 is a deal breaker. We run our cars on liquid explosives, and we power the rest of our gadgets with an energy source that moonlights as a form of capital punishment. Concentrated energy is dangerous. The cool thing about H2 is that, unlike electricty, it can be stored and transported without losing any punch. When the Very High Temperature Reactors come online, couldn't we could make huge farms of them in unpopulated areas and move the H2 to the population centers?

    One thing the article didn't mention was the role that Platimum group metals will play. Each fuel cell needs a few ounces of these metals, and they are very rare on the Earth. Some estimates claim that the environmental impact of mining and refining the amount needed for a full-blown H2 economy might be worse than sticking with fossil fuels. Of course, they are abundant in space, maybe even on the Moon.

    FYI, the Hindenburg's canvas skin was painting with a doping compound that was mostly powdered aluminum and iron oxide, which is basically rocket fuel! Ever notice how amazingly quickly the skin burns off in the footage?

  68. The original story is here... by denjin · · Score: 1

    I hear citing where you get something is a good idea...

    http://www.abc.net.au/foreign/stories/s949324.htm

    Page is off for the moment, but was online earlier.

  69. How does this not make sense for them? by zogger · · Score: 1

    They have *zero* oil but a lot of "hot" and available water. Oil stuff they have to purchase on the open market with hard currency,let's call this expensive, whereas with hydrogen from geothermal and elctrolysis they can produce what they need internally and keep the icelandic buck at home. Let's call that not nearly as expensive and as time goes on gets even better. How is this not economical for them?

    Now other areas besides cold northern iceland can do very similar, turn it around to an incredibly hot place, some mideast desert nation with access to the ocean. You can get a lot of cheap hot with solar thermal concentrators, just for instance, then do roughly the same process the icelanders are doing. And even if they have oil, that is what they export right now for cash, that's their main income right now,so they can use some of their profits to setup an internal "good to go" for the next few hundred years power infrastructure by doing that. It still looks economical if you take the longer view.

    Even saudi arabia is going to run out of oil some day, it already takes a lot more barrels of energy in to get barrels of energy out of their fields than it did in the 50s and 60s. A whole of fields now require pumping in water, or co2 just to squeeze the oil out, whereas in the beginning it just "gushed" out. That just isn't the case anymore most areas. And should you as a society wait to runout,wait to instigate your mitigation efforts, then start actually deploying alternatives, or do a smooth transition into it while the oil resources are still cheap enough and abundant enough so it isn't a huge tax on the economy in general terms?

    Now to me, it seems like a smoother move to start your transition while it is still quite affordable, knowing you will have to one way or the other sometime. That part is debaterable of course on what you personally consider affordable or not and is a variable, but just in general terms, right now, IMO, is a nice place in time to start doing the actual work. The quicker we as humans actually build this stuff, the quicker it will get really better and more economical. Like most folks here, I was a somewhat earlier adopter of computer tech, and it took all of us enthusiasts, hobbiests, business techies, and manufacturing concerns etc, dropping serious cash on what are now antique pieces of low powered junk-yet we did it, because we saw the long range benefits of getting the show on the road with computing beyond huge expensive mainframes.

      Alternative energy in all its forms is exactly the same. I started using solar PV as part of my electrical needs going on 8 years ago now, because I really like the tech and want it to get better, and don't regret one penny I dropped on it so far, exactly the same as with the various computers I have bought over the years, because the industries involved need the interest, need the enthusiasm and need the cash.

        It's that simple really. No investments=no returns. Just talk and waiting for the future doesn't accomplish a dang thing, stuff has to be built and used to get any better. some will suck, some will be mediocre, some will be outstanding, but we won't really know which is which until we *do it*.

        That's the real "bottom line" simple basic economic science.

    1. Re:How does this not make sense for them? by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
      >They have *zero* oil but a lot of "hot" and available water. Oil stuff they have to purchase on the open market with hard currency,let's call this expensive, whereas with hydrogen from geothermal and elctrolysis they can produce what they need internally and keep the icelandic buck at home. Let's call that not nearly as expensive and as time goes on gets even better. How is this not economical for them?

      Well since you asked: There's this thing called "trade", whereby you sell something you have a lot of, and thereby cheap, to someone that has little or none of it, and thereby expensive to them.

      And they do the same thing in exchange.

      And voila! You're BOTH happy and better off.

      Very basic, but often overlooked.

      In contrast, if you take something that has some value, and do something inefficient with it, like throw 70% to 90% of its value away in transforming it into something that has to be stored in 10,000 psi-proof containers, then you are going to be a lot less happy.

      And "keeping money at home" is a super crowd-riler-upper for demagogues, but according to economists is a very stupid idea. Examples of countries that have "kept money at home": Old USSR, Albania, Libya, Egypt, old China, North Korea, Cuba, Brazil, Argentina, old India. Examples of countries that have bled trillions of $ to other countries: USA, Canada, Germany, Japan. Which countries are doing okay?

    2. Re:How does this not make sense for them? by zogger · · Score: 1

      well drat, I forgot. I'll go out and help them boys out and pick me up a new icelandic car...err, wait. New cellphone from them....hmm, don't seem to see one at the phone store here....I'm looking...there's a can of whale meat and a bjork video......

    3. Re:How does this not make sense for them? by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
      >well drat, I forgot. I'll go out and help them boys out and pick me up a new icelandic car...err, wait. New cellphone from them....hmm, don't seem to see one at the phone store here....I'm looking...there's a can of whale meat and a bjork video......

      :) !

      Yep, that is a problem! Places that are poor in natural resources have a harder time of it at first-- they have to sell something intangible, like knowledge or art, or first import stuff they can work on and add value and then sell it. Japan and Korea have gotten very good at this. No word yet from Iceland.

  70. Popular Mechanics by Philip+K+Dickhead · · Score: 0

    Is an industry tool. Their main job is to peddle industrial porn to the less-than-brightest.

    Consume this new scooter! The television of the future! Petrochemicals will produce better farming! 9-11 is not a conspiracy! Look what tomorrows SuperCops can do today!

    It is shocking how Scientific American is rapidly becoming PopMech, with equations.

    --
    "Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
    1. Re:Popular Mechanics by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 1

      Scientific American has equations? I hadn't noticed...

    2. Re:Popular Mechanics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They should rename it "Military Tech Pornography"

    3. Re:Popular Mechanics by jafac · · Score: 1

      Agreed.

      This change happened in 2000, when they changed owners, (and lost the Gardner article to boot!).

      I canceled my subscription after 15 years.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    4. Re:Popular Mechanics by CommandNotFound · · Score: 1

      I disagree. They only have occassional "fawning tech-toys" articles once in a while, unlike almost all computer magazines, as well as Popular Science. They do have a "what's new" listing each month which is useful for those of use who are interested in such, and if one waits, most of those items which are useful will be reviewed in depth at some point in the future.

      Consume this new scooter! The television of the future! Petrochemicals will produce better farming! 9-11 is not a conspiracy! Look what tomorrows SuperCops can do today!

      Um, so the Segway or Razor is not worth reporting on? Are you saying it's wrong to purchase one of these, or to want to purchase one of these? Are you saying that I should just trust the box at Wal-mart instead of having a fairly neutral reviewer advise me on his/her findings? I don't understand your point.

      The television of the future? I can only assume you're referring to HDTV. The same HDTV that supposedly will replace current NTSC television, a 50+ year engineering standard? Why the heck would this not be featured by an engineering/technology magazine?

      Petrochemicals DO produce better crops, and have done so since the early 1900's when Harbor/Bosch (sp?) and other German chemists discovered how to make affordable synthetic fertilizers. These fertilizers allow billions of people to eat. There are of course many downsides to using these, but if we return to using dead fish and manure only for fertilizer, prepare to pay much more than a dollar or two for a loaf of bread.

      PM's extended article refuting the 9-11 conspiracy freaks should have been done many times over by CNN, Fox, BBC, etc. It was an excellent article that unlike the nutjob web sites had solid research, INCLUDED FULL NAMES, and for crying out loud didn't use cheezy music and propaganda videos.

      The SuperCops article got torn apart by the readers who wrote in. To PMs continual credit, they are not afraid to publish letters that do so.

      I don't read Scientific American, so I can't speak to that point. I am an engineer who tries not to waste money on useless tech toys and USB gadgets, but I do like to read about a broad range of engineering topics in a compact format, and PM fufills that, or at least will inform me enough so I can further research a topic. They also include lots of 'guy' things like cars reviews/specs, home repair, and Jay Leno features. I'm sure they would like to return to their roots and include plans on how to build a camper trailer, but very few people have the skills, tools, space, or desire to build those projects, so they instead feature buildable wooden items like sheds that can still be peformed fairly quickly.

  71. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  72. Iceland by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

    They are lucky they live where they do.

    While it's true that they get basically free energy, it comes at the cost of the island that they're living on, tearing itself apart.

    In some (geologically) short span of time, Iceland is going to separate into a variety of parts and probably recede underwater. There is a fault line running not far from Reykjavik that grows apart a few inches a year.

    In the short term, though, it's great.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  73. Why not Methanol? by mspohr · · Score: 1
    I don't understand all of the hype about hydrogen when it is so difficult to manufacture, transport, store, and use. Also, most hydrogen now is derived from hydrocarbons and hence releases CO2.

    I think that methanol would be much better. First, it is a liquid which makes it much easier to store and transport. It can be used in most combustion processes with minor adjustments. Significantly, it can be created from existing agricultural waste and other processes which take up CO2 from the atmosphere so there is no net increase in CO2 from it's use. It does have it's issues but overall the technical issues are more easily addressed than those of hydrogen. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methanol_economy

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    1. Re:Why not Methanol? by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Methanol absorbs water, so it is actually very difficult to transport compared with gasoline or oil. It generally cannot be sent over pipeline, for instance.

      So hydrogen as a gas is actually easier to transport by pipeline than methanol as a fluid.

    2. Re:Why not Methanol? by mspohr · · Score: 1
      I believe that ethanol has the same issues with absorbing water and technical solutions are available.

      From Wikipedia

      Ethanol is not typically transported by pipeline for three reasons. Current production levels will not support a dedicated pipeline. The costs of building and maintaining a pipeline from Midwestern United States to either coast are prohibitive. Any water which penetrates the pipeline will be absorbed by the ethanol, diluting the mixture.[12]
      For the ethanol to be usable as a fuel, water must be removed. Most of the water is removed by distillation, but the purity is limited to 95-96% due to the formation of a low-boiling water-ethanol azeotrope... For blending with gasoline, purity of 99.5 to 99.9% is required, depending on temperature, to avoid separation. Currently, the most widely used purification method is a physical absorption process using molecular sieves. Another method, azeotropic distillation, is achieved by adding the hydrocarbon benzene which also denatures the ethanol (so no extra methanol/petrol/etc. is needed to render it undrinkable for duty purposes). However, benzene is a powerful carcinogen and so will probably be illegal for this purpose soon.
      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    3. Re:Why not Methanol? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...but does the process necessarily release CO2 into the atmosphere? For just a bit more, the gas can be isolated and packaged.

      A new source of clean CO2 for our burgeoning car-bo-na-ted so-da industry!

      Have a Coke® and a smile, dammit!

      (Yes, I am a coward.)

  74. Increase in price is the problem by Kadin2048 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    We will likely never run out of oil, although it will eventually (50 years? 500?) reach the point where it's simply too expensive to get the stuff out of the ground, and we only use biomass-made oil or some other alternative fuel source.

    This is a true statement. However, what you're not really discussing -- and what really lies behind the worries of people discussing Peak Oil -- is what the social consequences of that increase in cost will be.

    As energy becomes more expensive, the lifestyles that we currently have (particularly in the United States) become untenable. This could be particularly catastrophic if the run-up in prices occurs quickly, rather than gradually. The increase in energy prices could also trigger hyperinflation, lower real purchasing power, and decrease the quality of living of millions of people.

    In short, even if the world doesn't run out of energy -- even if the lights don't suddenly go out, without proper planning ahead of time, it might become too expensive for most people to keep them on.

    The threat is not that there won't be any energy, the threat is that it'll be so expensive, only a very few people will be able to afford it.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  75. You know what else is dangerous? by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1

    Maybe I'm taking you too literally here, but remember that no fuel cell system aimed at the mass market take pure hydrogen as an input, mainly because of it's inherent danger (think Hindenburg).

    I can name another substance which is also seriously dangerous. Flammable, volatile, explosive, and has additives that cause cancer. Can also spontaneously combust in the presence of some common chemicals, like Drano.

    Gasoline.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
  76. Re:Hydrogen will be the energy source of the futur by QuantumPion · · Score: 1
    - as soon as we get all the intricacies of fusion reactors (hot, cold, or on the rocks) figured out. (there is a big jackpot to be won here by the first nation (or group of nations) to work this out)

    I think fusion power is overrated. It is too complicated and expensive to be commercially viable within the next 50 years. By contrast, you could make more fission power plants using proven designs which just shovel dirt into the reactor (cheap natural uranium or thorium, which are plentiful and come from the US, Canada, Australia, etc). Use a breeder reactor and reprocessing, and you have essentially unlimited fuel. It's just a matter of capital costs to build more plants.

    What I'm trying to say is that it is a misconception to think that fusion power will somehow immediately cure all of the world's energy needs. You still would have to build and feed the plants. In practice they would function much the same as fission plants do now, they would have higher capital costs but lower fuel costs, just like the difference between coal and fission plants do today.

  77. MOD PARENT UP! by businessnerd · · Score: 1

    Anyone out there with mod points, please use them here. The grandparent quote was clearly taken out of context. The point is to make a cleaner fuel, hydrogen isn't necessarilly cleaner because of how you make it, so presumably the question is..."What's the point?"

    --
    "It's not whether you win or lose, it's how drunk you get." -- H. J. Simpson
  78. Re:Electricity + Water (Re: Your .sig) by corbettw · · Score: 1

    ...if you consider that the WTC attacks were a one-time event...

    And yet in that one moment, they still managed to kill as many people as would've died in car wrecks over the course of roughly 1/5th of a year, using the same numbers provided above....

    --
    God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
  79. SI units, please by shd666 · · Score: 1
    Does anyone care about number anymore, or are they just sprinkled about haphazardly to imbue the article with a sense of authority?

    If you care so much about numbers, start using SI units, please.
    1. Re:SI units, please by 4181 · · Score: 1
      If you care so much about numbers, start using SI units, please.
      Hunh? I used the units used in the chart. Are you suggesting that the authors, by using units common to the industry, abdicate their responsibility to makes sense of the numbers (an admittidly easier task with SI units).


      In any case, I am not troubled so much by their being off by a factor of 10^6, in essence a typo, but by their beleiving their typo ("only a fraction of current U.S. annual consumption" -- technically true, as 3/4 is only a fraction), and providing meaningless entries for the solar and wind columns.

  80. Electricity -- Not Hydrogen by yancey · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In my opinion, hydrogen is a distraction by the petroleum industry, which would be the primary source and that is why G.W. supports it. The problems with hydrogen are stated as "production, storage, distribution and use". It seems to me this is true of any energy source. However, I believe that we have solved all but the storage issue for electricity. We know how to produce electricity in great quantities and new means of production are coming on-line every day (solar, hydro, wind, etc.) and these techniques are ever improving. We have a distribution system in place for electric, which just needs to be expanded. Use is also covered as electric motors are far more efficient than fuel engines. That only leaves storage. Research monies should be spent on engineering storage solutions for electricity instead of solving all of the above stated problems for hydrogen.

    --
    Ouch! The truth hurts!
  81. Hey ... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1
    You forgot the salt.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  82. Production of Hydrogen by Socguy · · Score: 1

    With the first major hurdle being the production of hydrogen I'm supprised that no one has mentioned bacteria. I seem to recall a previous article on Slashdot which indicated that a biological production method was the 'way of the hydrogen future' I relize that bacteria would ultimatly be powered by the sun, but they would still be much more efficient than electrolosis by solar cells. S.

    1. Re:Production of Hydrogen by gewalker · · Score: 1

      Absolutely. Farts are filled with hydrogen coming from intestinal flora (often more than methane in fact). But, nothing at all wrong with getting a mix of Hydrogen and CH4 coming from your friendly bacteria either.

      Its not really efficiency (grams H2/Joule sunlight) that anyone cares about. Its grams H2/dollar to produce that is important. Bacteria will actually work for food -- unlike the people that carry those signs.

    2. Re:Production of Hydrogen by cr0sh · · Score: 1
      I wouldn't be surprised if bacteria couldn't be coaxed to produce hydrogen, however, I have never heard about that nor read anything on it - looks like I need to do some research.


      However, I do know that you can get ordinary pond scum (algae) to create hydrogen - in fact, this has been known about for years (there is an old Mother Earth News article about it) - you basically do something like starve them of oxygen and feed them sulphur or something, and they output hydrogen for a while, then it stops - you then return conditions to normal for a bit, then reverse them again to start production back up.

      The trick is getting production volume up - IIRC, the amount produced is very, very low - too low for industrial production, anyhow. I think, though, that it isn't too low, given enough pond area, for it to be unfeasible to someone wanting to live off-grid who has some acreage available and doesn't mind the stink.

      --
      Reason is the Path to God - Anon
  83. Re:A wise man once said.. by budgenator · · Score: 1

    You are so wrong, liquid gasoline doesn't burn at all; you can put out a match in it; gasoline vapors are extremely explosive; there is no in between if it will burn, it can do so explosively.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  84. Re:Electricity + Water (Re: Your .sig) by bcattwoo · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    According to the NHTSA, 42,636 people were killed in traffic accidents in 2004.

    Here is a list of the top fifteen causes of death for 2004 from the CDC:
    1) Diseases of heart;
    2) Malignant neoplasms;
    3) Cerebrovascular diseases;
    4) Chronic lower respiratory diseases;
    5) Accidents (unintentional injuries);
    6) Diabetes mellitus;
    7) Alzheimer's disease;
    8) Influenza and pneumonia;
    9) Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis;
    10) Septicemia;
    11) Intentional self-harm (suicide);
    12) Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis;
    13) Essential (primary) hypertension and hypertensive renal disease;
    14) Parkinson's disease; and
    15) Pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.

    The bottom on that list accounts for over 15,000 deaths. I wonder how much the government spends fighting these compared to terrorism?

  85. Re:A wise man once said.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Yet another person who doens't know what distribution is? Here's one for you: most people have more than the average number of eyes, ears, fingers, and legs. Why? Because there are plenty of people missing some (and only a few with extra), so the average number of eyes is 1.9+ but less than 2.

    Now, the median is defined such that it's actually in the middle, so half are below and half are above it. So half of the world has lower than median intelligence.

    If you really wanted to defend that, you might instead point out that IQ tests are made to fit a normal distribution.

  86. Ammonia as hydrogen storage by g8oz · · Score: 1

    Ammonia is a good candidate for hydrogen storage. An extensive infrastructure for it already exists, in terms of transport, storage, safety procedures, familiarity etc.

    And it contains more hydrogen per cubic foot than liquid hydrogen. No messing around with the high pressure hydrogen storage solutions that researchers are wasting so much time on.

    1. Re:Ammonia as hydrogen storage by WhatDoIKnow · · Score: 1

      Have you ever worked with anhydrous or concentrated forms of ammonia? Personally, I'd rather be around gasoline and diesel fuel any day. Hmmm, come to think of it, I am around gasoline and diesel most every day.

      :wq

  87. Renewable Hydrogen production by Ex-MislTech · · Score: 1

    The phrase "hydrogen economy" is an idiocy at best; a fraud at worst.

    Considering that hydrogen use be intended for vehicles only, and I think
    bio-diesel is a better alternative to hydrogen in the near term.

    Alot of what "kfg" says is relevant, but the quoted phrase is not, if some
    ways to produce hydrogen are considered.

    Such as:

    Thermal Hydrogen production from sunlight, I'd like to see
    something on the scale of a solar furnace array of mirrors
    applied in Death Valley or the Sahara, and other low population
    high heat areas.

    http://www.hionsolar.com/n-hion96.htm

    High Efficiency solar production of electricity that can be used
    to produce hydrogen when the electricity demand is lower than production:

    http://www.sandia.gov/news/resources/releases/2004 /renew-energy-batt/Stirling.html

    The total amount of solar power reaching the earth's surface is:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power#Advantage s

    122 Peta-Watts or 122,000 Tera-Watts, and we use 13 Tera-watts,
    about 9,384 times less. Granted most of the earth we cannot
    cover in solar furnaces, but some areas that are brutally hot
    and not populated would be ideal for this use.

    Passive low-destructive tidal power generators located at
    the largest tidal shift on earth, non-dam type underwater turbines.

    The Bay of Fundy:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bay_of_Fundy#Tidal_el ectrical_power_generation

    Each day 100 billion tonnes of seawater flows in and out of the Bay of Fundy
    during one tide cycle more than the combined flow of the world's freshwater rivers.

    Other high flow underwater locations are located around the world,
    but none on this scale.

    Hot spots like Iceland also exist in many places around the world and
    could be used to make hydrogen.

    Also wind power current makes 58 Giga-Watts, and is slated to soon be 120 Giga-Watts,
    and a large ramp up could help offset costs to make hydrogen, unless a
    better clean fuel can be derived.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power#Large_scal e

    Eletric cars might be viable if they can perfect the Super Capacitors.

    Solar, Wind, Tidal, GeoTherm, and others can help make hydrogen viable.

    Ex-MislTech

    --
    google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
    1. Re:Renewable Hydrogen production by kfg · · Score: 1

      Considering that hydrogen use be intended for vehicles only. . .

      A faulty premise, right off the bat. I live just down the road from a fuel cell powered experimental house, built by Plug Power.

      Thermal Hydrogen production from sunlight. . .

      So, a solar powered culture and an economy based on the stuff to make the solar power useful for doing work. You have not fully thought out the implications of hydrogen being an energy carrier, not an energy source. Ignore the hand the illusionist is waving around. Look at the one he just stuck in his pocket. What has he got in his pocketseeesesssss?

      KFG

  88. Hydrogen is the new... by Merovign · · Score: 1

    Hydrogen is the new free energy machine, chain letter, or pyramid scheme - the bad idea that just won't go away.

    It doesn't matter how much it costs, or how inefficient it is, The Hydrogen Economy is a religion, it's based on faith and facts are irrelevant.

    I wouldn't be surprised if "we" spent 100 Billion on Hydrogen infrastructure before abandoning it because it's crap.

    Humans have done many amazing and wonderful things. We've also done many amazingly stupid things. Just go down to your local Greenpeace or Sierra Club office, or to the EPA for that matter, and ask them how many people have died from DDT compared to how many have died from Malaria. Kudos to African nations who are starting to reverse this insane behavior, BTW.

    I guess it's kind of like how command economies never go out of style, no matter how many millions of victims they produce. Why are good ideas so much harder to remember than bad ideas? What is it, love of the underdog?

    Next thing you know, Cuba and China will be on the UN Human Rights Commission. What's that you say?

    1. Re:Hydrogen is the new... by SoulRider · · Score: 1

      Given his record on hiring, planning and predicting the future. I would say if Bush is for it, it is probably a bad idea.

    2. Re:Hydrogen is the new... by Merovign · · Score: 1

      Obsess much?

  89. 20 years by iconara · · Score: 1

    Hydrogen power is, and will always be, 10 years into the future.

  90. Rubbish by fnj · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The Hindenburg fire was NOT caused by hydrogen, but rather by a new exterior covering that the Zeppelin company was trying out - a butyl rubber fabric coated with iron oxide and powered aluminum - in other words, a formulation very close to what the Space Shuttle Solid Rocket Boosters use for fuel.

    There was no butyl rubber involved, but other than that, you have picked up on the revisionist Incendiary Paint Theory. It is voodoo science, nonsense on the face of it, and has been completely discredited through logic, investigation, and experiment; see Definitive rebuttal and many good links. The best minds in the field of airship history hashed this out in extreme detail, going over and over every angle. I know because I was involved in some of the debates.

    Incendiary Paint Theory proponents who completely reject evidence and experimental findings are never able to explain away the DOZENS of other hydrogen filled airships which were lost through catastrophic hydrogen fires. None of them were doped with the Magic Incendiary Potion.

  91. Re:Hydrogen Not A Fuel vs Tesla's Whitepaper by pg--az · · Score: 0

    Tesla motors details the advantages of say Lithium-Ion batteries as an energy-transport mechanism in their white paper "The 21st Century Electric Car". They say somewhere on their site that their 900 pound battery pack manages to store the equivalent of about 8 liters of fuel - not a lot, but their conversion efficiency being higher makes it go further. http://www.teslamotors.com/media/white_papers.php Martin Eberhard and Elon Musk seem like the dream team to me, the entire site is fun to read.

  92. Re:A wise man once said.. by HiThere · · Score: 2, Informative

    As a statistician (out of practice) there are THREE common averages: The mean, the median, and the mode. In a normally distributed sample these values coincide.

    He's not wrong, merely imprecise. You might be considered either wrong, or ill informed. Your choice. I can't just pick overly critical, as that doesn't fit. (Well, it's true, but it's not the point I'm addressing.)

    It would have been more correct to point out that dumb means unable to speak rather than unintelligent. This is at least formally true.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  93. nuclear plant in downtown LA by bcrowell · · Score: 1

    If you look at the whole thing from a rational, technical point of view, the right thing to do is to build nuclear power plants in the middle of big cities like LA. TFA refers to three issues: production, distribution, and storage. Of these three, building a nuclear plant in the middle of a city takes care of the first two. It gives you an environmentally benign way to produce the hydrogen, i.e., without producing greenhouse gases. It also cuts distribution costs, because you have 10 million people within 20 miles. They quote costs of a million dollars a mile for pipelines, and that's very doable if you just need a network that covers an urban area.

    Of course people who can't add fractions would freak. You'd get NIMBY, bigtime. To their credit, many environmentalists are willing to reconsider nuclear power in light of global warming, but many aren't. And many people also haven't adjusted to the new reality, which is that the real nuclear danger on this planet is nuclear proliferation, not nuclear power plants:

    • estimated deaths from the Chernobyl incident: roughly 9000
    • number of people killed at Hiroshima and Nagasaki: about 150,000
    1. Re:nuclear plant in downtown LA by Xtifr · · Score: 1

      Downtown LA strikes me as a particularly bad suggestion for certain reasons, but in general, the idea sounds reasonable. I think you'd be better off proposing this for New York, Chicago, or London, though, rather than listing LA as your primary example. :)

    2. Re:nuclear plant in downtown LA by dbIII · · Score: 1
      If you look at the whole thing from a rational, technical point of view ... without producing greenhouse gases

      Unfortunately what you consider a rational point of view involves and assumption that the fuel grows like magic beans and is not a rock which is mined and processed in a very energy intensive way - much of but not all of which you could get back from the energy generation even if your mining equipment is electric. Assuming the best quality ore you get one third the greenhouse gas emissions of the already good contender of gas turbines is pretty good, but it isn't zero.

      My approach with nuclear power generation would be to actually put more than a pittance into research and then use it when it is a mature technology that can stand on it's own merits. Until then it only makes sense in the special cases (submarines, Japan worried about a blockade and all those places that want the bomb).

    3. Re:nuclear plant in downtown LA by bcrowell · · Score: 1

      Assuming the best quality ore you get one third the greenhouse gas emissions of the already good contender of gas turbines is pretty good, but it isn't zero.
      Interesting -- do you have a source for this claim?

      My approach with nuclear power generation would be to actually put more than a pittance into research and then use it when it is a mature technology that can stand on it's own merits.
      At which point we'll already have destroyed our planet with global warming.

    4. Re:nuclear plant in downtown LA by dbIII · · Score: 1
      do you have a source for this claim?

      The sources I had were in print and on radio but this is a good short paper on the same subject - "CANDU REACTORS AND GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS" http://www.computare.org/Support%20documents/Publi cations/Life%20Cycle.htm

      If you think about it at all it should be obvious - after all Uranium enrichment is not easy (Uranium hexaflouride vapour!) and the best ores are not paticularly high in Uranium anyway. The difficulty in getting the fuel is offset by not needing a lot of it - but capital costs are still huge and waste management isn't easy without even considering spent fuel.

      My point is liars pushing absolutes still run the nuclear debate with "too cheap to meter", "clean" and now "zero emissions". All the effort taken with advertising, dumbing things down and demonising anyone with any criticism as a luddite is pushing us between the extremes of a total ban or a blank check to build dangerous dinosaur plants at the expense of the taxpayer.

      At which point we'll already have destroyed our planet with global warming.

      Then it is probaby time for the US nuclear industry to put some effort in and stop lagging behind in reseach so they can build something useful - far more has been done in India, South Africa, Canada, China, Israel and even Australia.

    5. Re:nuclear plant in downtown LA by bcrowell · · Score: 1

      The paper you linked to actually contradicts your claim.

    6. Re:nuclear plant in downtown LA by dbIII · · Score: 1
      My claim is that it is not zero emissions - how can this paper possibly contradict that or thinking about some other claim made by someone else?

      We need to stop going for the Chritianity Lite good vs evil approach on these things - "clean" and "zero emissions" do not apply to any industrial process so it's better to stop the lies and consider things on their merits.

  94. Methanol by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

    Stop talking about hydrogen, and start talking about methanol. Everything you can say about hydrogen, you could say about methanol, except that you can pump methanol in an ordinary kind of gas pump. Hydrogen is just a huge pain in the ass to handle.

    Methanol is what we should be thinking about. You can convert any energy into methanol, and burn methanol to make energy. You can even for methanol into heavier molecules to make things such as plastic polymers.

    METHANOL. Goddammit!

    --
    Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
  95. Re:Known Reserves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's easy to increase the known reserves. "Known reserves" usually refers to oil already found and figured to be economically feasible to extract at current market prices. Just treble the oil prices and watch the reserves increase.

  96. Solution to hydrogen storage! by xtronics · · Score: 1
    I just came up with a way to store hydrogen more compactly - attach the hydrogen to a chain of Carbon!



      http://xtronics.com/reference/energy_density.htm


    The government is testing us with the "hydrogen Economy" to see if they have sufficiently destroyed the education system to start putting in place the infrastructure of totalitarianism - looks like they met their objective.


    Always replace the words "hydrogen Economy" with "Snake oil Economy" to get a better read on these articles.

  97. Yea... by WarlockD · · Score: 1

    Stupidity IS more abundant than hydrogen after all...

    But can you put it in a bottle and power my SUV?

  98. hydrogen is not a fuel? by ce33na66 · · Score: 1

    Anyone who says something like that has never used an oxy-hydrogen torch. It makes a nice clear flame that burns at about 5400 degrees F. You connect the hydrogen hose to the side of the torch marked "fuel".

    By the same logic that says hydrogen is not a fuel, I could say that any fuel we use is an energy transfer medium and not a fuel in itself. That includes food. Ultimately, every energy source we have started as a result of gravity.

    That was a good article, but I started to question that magazine's integrity over twenty years ago. They have really produced some bonehead stuff over the years.

    We have some major political/economical/environmental problems because of our long dependence on crude oil. The answer is not going to come easily or obviously. In the early days of the automobile, gasoline was not the dominant fuel. Electricity and steam were extremely competitive until the invention of the electric starter for gasoline engines.

    There are many promising alternatives to crude oil and we need to try each and every one till we suddenly realize that we don't depend on crude oil anymore.

    Speaking of steam power: A steam engine will run off anything that will burn. Take your pick of fuels; liquid, solid, gas, or any combination. The fuels are not burned under compression which means that many of the harmful nitrogen compounds are never produced. All torque and horsepower produced, by the particular design, is available at any speed greater than zero rpm. Transmissions are totally unnecessary. Essentially, all you really need is a flash boiler, a small steam engine, and a condenser. Surely, with all the electronic control and modern steam technology at our disposal, we could make a practical car that didn't care what you used for fuel.

  99. Hydrogen produced by algae by drwho · · Score: 1

    This article was not well written. It neglected to mention a very promising source of H2, and that is from algae. It has been discovered that depriving certain algae of oxygen and sulfur at a specific stage in its growth causes it to switch to an alternative, anaerobic, photosynthetic path.

    But really, I am not so sure that Hydrogen is really such a great energy storage media due to the low temperature required to make it a liquid. Perhpas we can improve ways to entrap it in other liquids or solids, but that technology is far off. I think that the better fuels, for now, are biodiesel, SVO (straight vegetable oil), and Octane (the algae Botryococcus Braunii can create alkanes directly crackable to octane, i.e. good old gasoline!).

    The farm industry has been wielding an inordinate amount of clout in influencing government interest in biofuels. They want to keep using corn and soy oils for biodiesel and alcohol, when these crops are quite inefficient when compared to the production capability of algae. While I agree that the greatest good of the country requires us to grow what appears to be a surplus of food (just in case there is a bad crop, we'll not starve), and that it is better to create corn/soy meal and oils from it, it would be inefficient to depend on these crops for all of our vegetable oil needs.

  100. Only useful if using nuclear to generate hydrogen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    see title. all other hydrogen generting methods that are non nuclear are themselves polluting and draining of earth's natural resources.

  101. Clever idea somehow lost by SmartAZ · · Score: 0

    I saw a story a few months back, but haven't heard any more about it. The plan was to use sodium and water to produce hydrogen on demand. Sodium strips oxygen out of water instantly, releasing hydrogen. When the sodium was used up, the canister would be exchanged for a fresh one and the sodium oxide would be smelted by solar heat. No other inputs - just water and solar heat. Has anybody else heard of this? Has the idea been "disappeared"?

  102. Re:A wise man once said.. by bobstay · · Score: 1

    Sir, I earnestly invite you to place a lit match in your can of liquid gasoline. You would be doing us all a favour.

  103. In hot water by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

    The Prius engine is about 37% efficient according to Argonne, at its most efficient. When on its optimal demand curve the efficiency is always above 30%.

    So far as the other efficiencies in the driveline go, 85% would be a good round number to use. Knock another 5% off around town.

    The Prius engine is not all that fancy. It does conventional things well, rather than being strikingly different in design. In fact, for a given efficiency and power to weight ratio a VW turbo diesel is probably a better bet.

    So, there is no particualr problem in getting the IC engine into roughly the same ballpark of effiency as your fuel cell. In fact if there was any economic desire to do so efficiencies in excess of 40% are not really very difficult. Oil is so cheap that is not economically viable.

    But, a fuel cell car with the same range, passenger space, safety and performance as a Prius or VW Diesel Jetta, will weigh substantially more than those cars, and will be a lot bigger. So its 20% advantage in prime mover efficiency will be used to propel a larger vehicle, leaving you no (or scarcely) better off. If it uses a hydrocarbon reformulator then its efficiency will be no better than the Jetta, and it will cost twice what the simple fuel cell car would, and still be rather large.

    Actually my main point was that the waste heat from a fuel cell is at 80 deg C, as the cooling system will have to be substantially larger (again) per kW than that of the IC engine, which rejects heat at around 105 deg C, and the rad size is going to be proportional to the deltaT to the environment, which around here is 35 deg C.

    Also the BMW hydrogen car boils off 30% of its hydrogen every day, when it is parked. That would be a bit of a bummer efficiency wise, no?

  104. Mouse doodles? by Bertie · · Score: 1

    Was I the only one reading that and thinking "a server powered by rodent shit?"

  105. Re:A wise man once said.. by budgenator · · Score: 1

    the GP said Gasoline is so safe you can light it on fire and it won't explode.
    I said You are so wrong, liquid gasoline doesn't burn at all; you can put out a match in it; gasoline vapors are extremely explosive; there is no in between if it will burn, it can do so explosively.
    I can not only put out a lit match in gasoline, I can make 250mL explode like a stick of dynamite; want to come over and watch?

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  106. Missing out conservation by Conficio · · Score: 1

    I like this article. Gathers a lot of data from many places and comes to an important conclusion - It will be costly.

    However, I'm missing an alternative of other solar plants then photovoltaic. They are critical, in the sense that the production of the silicon based photo cells require a lot of energy in the first place. There are alternatives, such as large mirror collectors to create steam and electricity. Don't know how viable they are.

    Another conclusion I'm missing is conservation. It is a shame that a country like the US uses 4 times as much energy per head than comparably rich countries in Europe. Don't tell me that is a function of it being the richest country in the world. As far as I can see it is a function of it being one of the most wasteful countries in the world and also one of the richest to buy all those products that turn quickly into waste.

    I think we could reasonably assume that half of energy consumption could be reduced and the price tab looks much smaller. I believe it is more realistic to produce products that last longer and save energy and money in the process of making them, than it is to find locations for 1000 coal plants or 2000 coal reactors.

    And as mentioned, governmental leadership is needed. Europe reacted to the 70th oil crises by taxing hydrocarbons in a way to make them expensive to consume and to encourage conservation (including many other ways). Since then industry discovered that they can save money by producing more efficiently. In combination with other pollution prevention measures this is even more effective and cost saving. Look at economies like Ireland, or UK that flourished in the past 30 years or Germany that is still a production power house and world class in exporting products, despite its unfavorable demographics. Compare that with the US which does not know how to offset the imports from China.

    Conservation must be a part of the answer in the US and even more in aspiring huge economies such as China, India or Brazil.

    --
    Busy helping non technical users of OpenOffice.org - http://plan-b-for-openoffice.org/
    1. Re:Missing out conservation by Conficio · · Score: 1

      2000 coal reactors
      2000 nuclear reactors

      --
      Busy helping non technical users of OpenOffice.org - http://plan-b-for-openoffice.org/
  107. which is why it makes sense for them.... by zogger · · Score: 1

    ...to use the natural resources they have in abundance, geothermal heat and water. You can't export geothermal, but you can turn it into hydrogen which can then be used in substitution for expensive petroleum products for their various transportation needs..

      It costs hard currency on the open market to get oil, yet they don't have a lot of cash, so what to do? They have apparently decided to go and use their number one natural energy resource, hydrothermal, in various ways, and it seems to be working out quite well for them. In a strict laboratory sense,it maybe doesn't make sense, in the real world of cash on the barrel head for stuff, it makes a lot of cents. And the hydrothermal resources will last a lot longer than even saudi arabias crude, their supply is regulated by the heat at the center of the earth-it ain't running out any time soon. they are very similar to some cash starved and oil lacking tropical nations, who can't afford to buy oil, but they can raise stuff like palm and use palm oil for biodiesel. You use what ya got, not what you wish you had and can't afford.

    I just came in from running the splitter. We have propane heat, and a woodstove, and some small electric heaters. The number one heat we use, our primary, is the wood though, because it's is way way way cheaper for us, because we have trees, tractors, chainsaws and a splitter. There is absolutely no comparison, it's our most abundant natural resource. 10 bucks worth of diesel and two stroke mix makes me a few hundred dollars worth of heat, and even with the extra labor-well, I live here, this is what I do, farm action stuff, so the wood heat beats the pants off of propane at todays prices. If people want to pay a couple bucks more a lb for beef (over what I get wholesale at the auction now which is pitiful) and a quarter more for a chicken, swell, I'll use all propane, until then, you use what ya got that works the best with your resources. Checking mine, the international free market cash reserve wallet looks mighty thin, but the woods look slap full to bustin'-it's a no brainer.

      You can either try to make more cash, or failing that, achieve your goals with useing little or no cash, and frankly, I prefer the latter as much as possible, especially as I am getting older. I strive to constantly eliminate bills, one of the reasons I started investing in solar PV as well, electricty keeps going up, what I have so far is paid off long ago and keeps pumping out the watts. It's also why we have a huge garden and a greenhouse, we eliminate a lot of middleman on the grocery bill, and if you were to see what we saved versus price of organic food at the store, it is rather a decent rate of return on cash and labor investment on our part.. And as soon as the smart guys get cellulosic ethanol production down good, the techniques, so we can use scrap wood that has been chipped up for it,because we have a decent large chipper, I'll start making ethanol and use that for fuel in what I can, at least the cars and smallish gas powered tractor. We aren't set-up to make biodiesel, we don't do a huge amount of oily row crops, no space or equipment for that really, but wood we got, wood and pasture, so that's what we exploit and use. Eliminate the middleman skimmers, always works to save you cash or make you cash.