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NASA Decides No Fix Needed for Endeavor's Tiles

bhmit1 writes "It looks like NASA is reporting that no repairs are needed for Endeavor. 'After meeting for five hours, mission managers opted Thursday night against any risky spacewalk repairs, after receiving the results of one final thermal test. The massive amount of data indicated Endeavor would suffer no serious structural damage during next week's re-entry. Their worry was not that Endeavor might be destroyed and its seven astronauts killed in a replay of the Columbia disaster — the gouge is too small to be catastrophic. They were concerned that the heat of re-entry could weaken the shuttle's aluminum frame at the damaged spot and result in lengthy post-flight repairs.'"

209 comments

  1. I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by ExE122 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Their worry was not that Endeavor might be destroyed and its seven astronauts killed in a replay of the Columbia disaster -- the gouge is too small to be catastrophic. They were concerned that the heat of re-entry could weaken the shuttle's aluminum frame at the damaged spot and result in lengthy post-flight repairs
    And I'm sure thats the only thing the astronauts were worried about as well... the precious shuttle.

    It reminds me of a while back when a friend of mine called his mother to tell her he had a few drinks and was gonna stay the night at a friend's house. Her response was, "Yeah, I wouldn't want anything to happen to the car."

    Regardless, I admire their fortitude given the history of the Columbia and all that has happened. I hope everything goes well and they get home safely.

    --
    Captialism: When it uses the carrot, it's called democracy. When it uses the stick, it's called facism.
    --
    Capitalism: When it uses the carrot, it's called democracy. When it uses the stick, it's called fascism.
    1. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by BigBadBus · · Score: 0

      I've seen pictures of the gouge on previous missions, and they were of a comparable size to this new one. So, thankfully, NASA haven't panicked and issued all kinds of worrying proclamations when it wasn't worried in the past: why start now?

    2. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Shinatosh · · Score: 1

      IMHO if something happens during a space walk, You still can bring the astronaut back on board, and still can try an unrepaired re-entry. But even if the repairing astronaut dies (which is very unlikely), the others are still alive.
      I'm not a space expert though, so my opinion doesn't count at NASA. I just hope for them to return safely in one piece.

      Shinatosh

      --
      :)
    3. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by ExE122 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      NASA haven't panicked and issued all kinds of worrying proclamations when it wasn't worried in the past: why start now?
      Because they weren't all that worried about Columbia either. Seven astronauts died because of that.

      Don't get me wrong, I see what you're saying. The damage may indeed be comparable to previous missions that went off without a hitch. And it is true, all of the lab tests show no cause for concern. But as another poster mentioned below, all the lab tests in the world can't make up for a real world scenario. The real world always has another trick up it's sleeve.

      And you also need to realize that NASA needs to be extra cautious. A repeat of the Columbia disaster would raise some serious concerns about their credibility and may be detrimental to the future of space exploration in general.

      --
      Capitalism: When it uses the carrot, it's called democracy. When it uses the stick, it's called facism.
      --
      Capitalism: When it uses the carrot, it's called democracy. When it uses the stick, it's called fascism.
    4. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Vellmont · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And I'm sure thats the only thing the astronauts were worried about as well... the precious shuttle.
      If the only thing mission control was worried about was "the precious shuttle", then they would have just sent them out right away to fix the gouge.

      Spacewalks are potentially dangerous. Micro-meteorites could tear right through a spacesuit and instantly kill an astronaut. They aren't taken lightly and are always judged whether the benefits justify the risks. In this case, they didn't.

      --
      AccountKiller
    5. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by SomeGuyTyping · · Score: 1

      That's the media answer. That message conveys that NASA is sure that the astronauts are in no danger to keep the reporters from going ape shit.

      --
      My posts are definitive. Reality is frequently inaccurate.
    6. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by vought · · Score: 4, Informative

      IMHO if something happens during a space walk, You still can bring the astronaut back on board, and still can try an unrepaired re-entry. But even if the repairing astronaut dies (which is very unlikely), the others are still alive. And what if the astronaut perched at the end of a 100-foot boom crashes into the tiles he's repairing, damaging them more extensively, or even beyond repair? After all, the arm is very heavy and the EVA suit is 300 pounds, along with the 200lb astronaut inside of it. That's a lot of mass to be swinging around next to all the other, undamaged tiles.

      Or what if the 'goop', applied unevenly, causes a hot spot on another tile? Right now, the damaged tiles are located over a wing spar - the thickest structural part of the wing, and a section that can take more heating. Since the depth of the gouge indicates that the plasma flow over it will 'eddy' over the deepest area, keeping it from the greatest heat of reentry, models indicate that the aluminum structure of the shuttle won't fail, and that temperatures won't exceed 350f.

      The problem with speculating on NASA decisions, as so many coffee urn quarterbacks are doing this morning, is that they really have no idea how complex the shuttle and its mission really are. The items I've outlined here, available in almost no major news stories about the decision, were easily obtained at NASA Tv and Aviation week - and they're a small sample of the factors in this decision.
    7. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Couldn't they just create some type of shield such as teflon or some other strong material to be placed a short distance from them covering their backs? I would assume that the spacecraft covers their front.

    8. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Ellis+D.+Tripp · · Score: 4, Insightful

      >>Because they weren't all that worried about Columbia either. Seven astronauts died because of that.

      In all fairness, nobody at NASA knew the extent of the damage to Columbia prior to reentry. There were engineers who suspected that there might be some, and wanted photography to be sure, which NASA disallowed. If the existence of a large hole in the leading edge of the wing was known, some type of rescue operation could possibly have been put into place, as there was no repair possibility at that time.

      In this case, NASA had detailed imagery of the damaged area several days before the return. That allowed for detailed analysis and laboratory testing, which have apparently convinced NASA that the extent of damage is limited enough that no repairs are required prior to reentry.

      I would like to know what assumptions were used in making the "no repair" decision, nonetheless. It would seem to me that even if the damage was not severe enough to REQUIRE the repair, this situation provided a chance to test out the newly developed repair techniques and materials in a "real world" setting, allowing engineers and future crews to gain more confidence in the repairs if and when they are required on a future mission. Is the risk of an EVA/repair causing further damage really high enough to justify throwing away what could be a very valuable "learning experience"?

      --
      Remember "News for Nerds, Stuff that Matters"? Help make it a reality again! http://soylentnews.org
    9. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by emotionus · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Ya, but by not fixing it, they've set the grounds for one really good TV Show.

    10. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Eponymous+Bastard · · Score: 1

      Nice job quoting out of context.

      The whole point is that they had already ruled out catastrophic scenarios and are therefore no longer worried about losing the crew and orbiter.

      The only concern left is that the aluminum frame will be weakened and need to be replaced once on the ground. The mission managers decided that it's not worth risking the astronauts during a spacewalk (which can further damage the tiles) and during landing because of a sloppy repair job. Not to mention creating more work for the next mission because of the wasted time during the repair.

      Sorry for feeding the troll.

    11. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by couchslug · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "And you also need to realize that NASA needs to be extra cautious. A repeat of the Columbia disaster would raise some serious concerns about their credibility and may be detrimental to the future of space exploration in general."

      They don't care enough about space exploration to halt the use of old systems like the Shuttle, continue exploration with unmanned systems, then send meat into space with more mature technology.
      This isn't 1492, and we are under no pressure to send crews off in the modern equivalent of a wooden ship. We can learn and observe and manipulate with unmanned systems that have a much more rapid rate of evolution than that of man-constrained systems. If we want humans to see the process we can record it.
      If an unmanned system is lost we don't have to deal with the hysteria that the public expectation of zero casualties engenders. (Good thing we didn't expect zero casualties in the era of test pilots, or aviation would not have gotten very far.)

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    12. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      And you also need to realize that NASA needs to be extra cautious. A repeat of the Columbia disaster would raise some serious concerns about their credibility and may be detrimental to the future of space exploration in general.

      Which is why, even after having collected and analyzed all the data that they do now in response to the Columbia disaster which even from the beginning seemed to show that this was a fairly minor issue, they still spent five hours discussing it before finally deciding that they should go with what that data said.

      They are being extra cautious, okay? They don't need you to remind them that another disaster could ruin our space program. It's why they've taken so many steps to try to prevent it, steps they never took before Columbia and hence should be fairly obvious indicators of their caution.

      Could they be wrong, and could we lose Endeavor? Yes, like you say reality can always throw a curve ball. But as best can be determined there won't be a problem, and whatever that curve ball may be they have no way of knowing. So for them to be extra cautious, as in more cautious than they already are, the only thing they could do would be to go out and fix the tiles before returning.

      But a space walk is far from safe. Especially one that's never been done before. If you're being cautious instead of hysterical then you need to consider the dangers inherent to your solution in comparison to the problem you are fixing.

      NASA looked at the danger both measured and hypothetical and decided the space walk was too risky. Given the amount of scrutiny they are under, the pressure to fix the problem so everyone could calm down, this means they see the dangers of the damaged tile as minimal, and the dangers of the space walk to be quite significant.

      I don't know what more you want from them. Would you still have them conduct the repairs in orbit, knowing how dangerous that will be, just to satisfy your fear of the unknown?

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    13. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting
      Because they weren't all that worried about Columbia either. Seven astronauts died because of that.

      Don't a large percentage of fatal auto accidents happen within a small distance of one's home? Relatively speaking, Columbia's accident happened right before they were to pull into the driveway, so to speak. Doesn't mean anything, just thought I make the comparison for whatever reason.

    14. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by sherms · · Score: 1

      Oh, I feel safe already! I don't know if I'd let NASA touch my Yugo. I might have heat damage to the Aluminum body if they use it.

    15. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by twistedcubic · · Score: 1

      Among other things, they probably considered that mistakes made while attempting to repair the gouge might make things worse.

    16. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "They are being extra cautious, okay? They don't need you to remind them that another disaster could ruin our space program..."
      "I don't know what more you want from them"

      I think the original comment was a reply to the parent poster, not a warning to NASA.

    17. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      And I'm sure thats the only thing the astronauts were worried about as well... the precious shuttle.

      From a certain point of view - that's all that really does matter.
       
      Astronauts are a dime-a-dozen. NASA currently has nearly 150 on the payroll - even if we fired the crew after each flight, we could fly 20 missions before we needed more. For every astronaut NASA currently has, there are 10 or more equally well qualified candidates available to be hired and trained.
       
      But the Shuttle itself is a nearly unique piece of irreplaceable hardware. If we lose another, the program ends. Not from politics and public outcry (though that will play a factor certainly), but because NASA won't be able to meet any kind of a schedule. (Since each mission requires two shuttles, one for the mission and one standing by a rescue mission.)
    18. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by networkBoy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, their primary concern was the EVA its self. The suits are showing possible signs of aging (a 2 inch tear in the top two layers of a glove on the last EVA). They don't want an astronaut to be at risk of decompression while attempting a repair that is not life threatening.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    19. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not sure why this is even news. The ceramic heat shield plates fall off all the time, and they never made it standard practice to attach new ones before reentry. Why start now? Oh that's right! People only care because it blew up last time from a completely unrelated event. (Insulation foam has nothing to do with heat shields)

      Stop listening to all the fools screaming their heads off that the shuttle is in trouble, because none of these bald 40 year olds in their parents' basement watching Star Trek reruns know better than the people at NASA who have the doctorates and experience.

      Keep in mind - 1) the people at NASA are at NASA for a reason, and it's the same reason you're NOT there. They have the knowledge you don't. 2) The only reason this is news is because the last one exploded.

      And if NASA is not taking necessary precautions, perhaps they're just trying to blow up all the shuttles so that they'll have none left and they can finally get congress to give them the cash for the fleet of X-33's that they want.

    20. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Looks to me that this decision by NASA has "broken up on re-entry."

    21. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by zippthorne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It is unlikely that a rescue would have been possible. It would've required extreme fast-tracking of one of the other shuttles, which NASA has proven to be unable to do. While I was living in FL, I think there was maybe one launch that went up at the original scheduled time, many were postponed, and the vast majority ended up postponed to over a week later.

      The disappointing thing about Columbia however, is that knowing no rescue or repair would be possible they decided additional imaging was unnecessary: The astronauts' fates were already decided, so why bother getting some pictures? It would have been nice, for the investigation later, to have such images. Even if they had landed safely. It's doubly disappointing because it seems DoD chose not to take images of their own initiative, either. It would've made a good training exercise even if the data itself turned out to ultimately be useless.

      At the time, it felt to me that the decision not to take or ask for pictures was akin to the ancient sailor's superstition against learning to swim.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    22. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Diakoneo · · Score: 1

      Out of curiousity, what would they use to get the additional images? Did we (or someone else) have a satellite that could have been repositioned to look over the shuttle in detail? Or do we have stuff on the ground that can see that kind of detail from an object in space?

      I know now they have a lot more cameras on the shuttle itself, and they do the "flip" just before they dock at the station.

      --
      "Well..here I am..." - Jubal Early
    23. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Richthofen80 · · Score: 1


      In all fairness, nobody at NASA knew the extent of the damage to Columbia prior to reentry. There were engineers who suspected that there might be some, and wanted photography to be sure, which NASA disallowed. If the existence of a large hole in the leading edge of the wing was known, some type of rescue operation could possibly have been put into place, as there was no repair possibility at that time.


      Engineers at NASA requested that the management contact the DoD to have spy satellites examine the Shuttle. The reports that came out after the investigation reveal a culture of management that didn't' want to 'rock the boat' was a huge factor in allowing the disaster to happen.

      Having said that, if they decide the damage is minimal, and the shuttle has a catastrophic event, it could spell the last shuttle flights ever, and most certainly derail manned spaceflight in general.

      --
      Reason, free market capitalism, and individualism
    24. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would seem to me that even if the damage was not severe enough to REQUIRE the repair, this situation provided a chance to test out the newly developed repair techniques and materials in a "real world" setting, allowing engineers and future crews to gain more confidence in the repairs if and when they are required on a future mission. Is the risk of an EVA/repair causing further damage really high enough to justify throwing away what could be a very valuable "learning experience"?

      Yes. Unquestionably yes.

      The Shuttle has several ascent abort modes which could save the lives of the crew if a critical malfunction is detected during ascent. Many of these involve some rather amazing flight profiles, such as prematurely jettisoning the SRBs (so you don't proceed to orbit), flipping the shuttle so it's pointing opposite its velocity vector, and using main engine thrust to slow down. I forget who said it, but when asked why none of the abort modes had never been tested, someone associated with the program said "You don't need to practice bleeding."

      This is like that. Perhaps not as severe, but there are major risks to undertaking repairs. The tile material is very delicate and astronauts in clumsy spacesuits with inadequate equipment to safely reach the repair site (the Shuttle was not designed with in-orbit repair of the thermal protection system in mind, and thus has nothing on its underside to support safe spacewalking) could easily cause more damage than they might fix. So you don't fix unless you think there's a risk which justifies it.

      (There's also the risk of doing a spacewalk at all to consider. You don't do them unless you really have to.)

      Essentially, NASA is now:

      * 100% sure Endeavor can safely land
      * Mostly sure Endeavor will not require substantial postflight repairs

      Under these circumstances there is no case for making on-orbit repairs.

    25. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by hughk · · Score: 1

      The USAF has stuff on the ground capable of photographing satellites. I think they even have adaptive optics now so photography would probably have been useful (the actual resolution is classified). The NASA managers (note, not engineers) decided that it wasn't useful to ask the USAF so nothing was done.

      --
      See my journal, I write things there
    26. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      Having said that, if they decide the damage is minimal, and the shuttle has a catastrophic event, it could spell the last shuttle flights ever, and most certainly derail manned spaceflight in general.

      If you mean "derail manned spaceflight at NASA," you have to admit that it would be for good reason. If NASA proved themselves to be that incompetent then they really shouldn't be doing manned spaceflight! (And I say that as an ardent supporter of the space program.)

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    27. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by khallow · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that there are a lot of astronauts and only 3 shuttles. Their priorities are correctly placed whether you like them or not.

    28. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by rbanffy · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't trust their lack of panic. The lack of panic with Columbia was because until then NASA has never even inspected a shuttle while in orbit in order to assess the damage it may suffer during launch. They were not worried until they learned (the hard way) damage suffered during launch can doom a spaceship.

      Their mission includes science. In fact, they should be more worried in learning than in having competitive launch technology (the shuttle is anything _but_ competitive). NASA should be committed to learn whatever they can from their hardware and it shocked me deeply they never conducted even a visual inspection of the underside of a shuttle until the loss of the Columbia.

      They should be at least curious. Bi-monthly flights of a 5-vehicle fleet (now reduced to 3) are hardly routine.

    29. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by rbanffy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "(Good thing we didn't expect zero casualties in the era of test pilots, or aviation would not have gotten very far.)"

      What bothers me isn't that there are people taking risks to advance our knowledge. What bothers me is that they are taking risks to prevent advancing our knowledge.

      It took more than 100 flights and the loss of a ship with its crew to make NASA start looking at what happens to a shuttle during launch.

      It's one thing when people die because you couldn't foresee a problem in a new wing design or a new engine technology. It's something entirely different when people die when you are unwilling to foot the bill of an EVA to inspect the spaceship while in orbit. It should have been done on the first flight of the Columbia (it wasn't possible at the time - no MMU, two crewmen). It should have been done when they decided to get rid of the white paint for the main tank. The belly inspection should have been conducted on the first time the shuttle docked with Mir. It was inexcusable not to do it as soon as the MMU became available and the shuttle started making regular trips to the ISS.

      There is a lot wrong in this.

    30. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      this situation provided a chance to test out the newly developed repair techniques and materials in a "real world" setting

      Particularly since there is a very small chance that the repair technique is totally broken for some reason. This would be the ideal opportunity to find out.

    31. Re:I'm glad I don't have to make these calls by Maxmin · · Score: 1

      It is unlikely that a rescue would have been possible. It would've required extreme fast-tracking of one of the other shuttles

      SCENE 1-A. Setting: RUSSIAN GARAGE OFFICE.

      SOUND FX: Telephone RINGING, then PHONE HANDSET CLATTERING while being PICKED UP.

      GRUFF RUSSIAN VOICE: (into phone) Privyet!

      VOICE-OVER, HOT-SOUNDING RUSSIAN FEMALE: Shh, eet's America calling!

      GRUFF RUSSIAN VOICE: Zis ees Russki space tahksi sorvice.

      SOUND FX: Incomprehensible BUZZING that is MALE VOICE on other end of line, a nasaly American counterpoint to GRUFF RUSSIAN VOICE.

      GRUFF RUSSIAN VOICE: Do we go ISS? Da.

      SOUND FX: Northeastern-accented American MALE VOICE BUZZING

      GRUFF RUSSIAN VOICE: Heavy lift? You want Soyuz. For Soyuz need one week notice and deposit.

      SOUND FX: BUZZING with tones of general agreement

      GRUFF RUSSIAN VOICE: Okee, 10% to start, will be ready Tuesday - spaseebah. Uvidimsia!"

      VOICE-OVER, HOT-SOUNDING RUSSIAN FEMALE: Need sputnik trooked eento orrbeet? Want toor of inner asteroid belt? Stranded in space? Energia!

      --
      O lord, bless this thy holy hand grenade, that with it thou mayest blow thine enemies to tiny bits, in thy mercy.
  2. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and stop driving cars

  3. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by grommit · · Score: 1

    They've already determined that the gouge will not endanger the astronauts lives if left alone. The question they just answered was do they risk more damage to the heat shield by attempting a repair in space or not. It sounds like they'd rather be safe and leave it alone and spend more money on repairs on the ground than risk killing the astronauts.

  4. A chance for testing lost by Chairboy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It's unfortunate, this could have been a good test case to see how the repair materials/procedures work under realistic conditions.

    Having firm, experimental data about:

    * The process of applying the patch
    * How well the patch stands up to re-entry
    * How well the patch protects underlying systems

    and more. Better to get this data on a 'non-critical' bit of damage than waiting until something is REALLY busted before finding the inadequecy.

    They've done extensive testing on the ground, I'm sure, but a real-world test scenario can trump ten lab extrapolations. That's why we do external betas of software, the real world always has something up it's sleeve.

    1. Re:A chance for testing lost by grommit · · Score: 1

      There's much safer ways to do tests like that in space. It would be trivial to create a small section of tiles attached to one of the robot arms and pre-gouge it. Astronauts could practice working on it. Why NASA hasn't done that, I don't know. I do think it'd be a good idea to have some sort of real-world test for these repairs.

    2. Re:A chance for testing lost by RoverDaddy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But most betas don't run the risk of killing 7 people. There are serious risks involved in -doing- the patch too.

      --
      RETURN without GOSUB in line 1050
    3. Re:A chance for testing lost by pilgrim23 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The tiles are extremely delicate. NASA viewed a lumbering astronaut in a suit ill designed for delicate work, with a tube of superglue and a squeege in the area around the main heat shield of the Shuttle a far greater threat then the small hole.

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    4. Re:A chance for testing lost by RoverDaddy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The Astronauts -have- practiced patching tiles in the cargo bay. But those tiles can't be on the outside of the shuttle during reentry.
      While I was writing my previous response I thought about the idea of 'pre-patching' some tiles near the rear of the shuttle before launch, in order to see how well those tiles did on reentry. Can you imagine the outcry if NASA suggested purposely -damaging- a few 'unimportant tiles' before the mission even begins? And I doubt you can easily add a few spare tiles to the airframe of the shuttle - just ain't gonna happen.

      --
      RETURN without GOSUB in line 1050
    5. Re:A chance for testing lost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's probably the only choice given their capabilities.

      But it's really sad that they don't have the ability to use it as an opportunity to learn.

      After the last shuttle loss, they were supposed to come up with a way to inspect and repair on orbit.

      Looks like they got caught unprepared, even after a severe warning.

      We can only pray that there isn't another warning.

      NASA's mission should be to make access to space no big deal.

    6. Re:A chance for testing lost by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      What's that mantra we IT folks keep repeating?... If it ain't broke, don't fix it.

      I'd argue it's better to wait until the shuttle's really busted before trying out complex repair maneuvers. In that case, the shuttle's already a writeoff; if the astronaut crashes into the tiles or they're otherwise damaged, it won't matter.

    7. Re:A chance for testing lost by Ellis+D.+Tripp · · Score: 1

      Also, launching the shuttle with "pre-patched" tiles would mean that NASA still wouldn't have any data on the feasibility of applying the repair materials during the flight. Working in the cargo bay is one thing, but trying to repair tiles on the belly while attached to the end of the robotic arm is yet another.

      --
      Remember "News for Nerds, Stuff that Matters"? Help make it a reality again! http://soylentnews.org
    8. Re:A chance for testing lost by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "But most betas don't run the risk of killing 7 people. There are serious risks involved in -doing- the patch too."

      Yet another reason manned exploration using primitive technology is so limiting. We should park the shuttle and develop unmanned systems with self-repair capabilities.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    9. Re:A chance for testing lost by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      After the last shuttle loss, they were supposed to come up with a way to inspect and repair on orbit.

      They did. They are able to inspect the tiles, that's how we have all those photographs and other data about it that allowed them to decide that the danger was minimal. They did come up with a repair method, but they haven't been able to actually try it, and it's very dangerous. You don't just hop out into the vacuum and go scurrying around the belly of the shuttle near all those delicate tiles just for practice. It's an emergency repair. If they determined that this was an emergency, they would have gone out and repaired the tiles.

      Looks like they got caught unprepared, even after a severe warning.

      The only thing they were unprepared for is people who think that NASA should have somehow magically eliminated all space-born danger.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    10. Re:A chance for testing lost by SCO+STINKS · · Score: 0

      That's why we do external betas of software, the real world always has something up it's sleeve.


      So how's the Vista beta test working out for ya Chairboy?

      --
      Reason #32767 not to use VB6: Integers are 2 bytes... Think about it!
    11. Re:A chance for testing lost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, they have a proven inspection system and a plan for repair.

      I said unprepared because the repair plan seems lacking in 2 areas.

      1) The repair goo is just a theory until it is proven. To expect it to work, when they really need it, without actual testing is to ignore Murphy.

      2) The plan to access the underbelly of the shuttle is not dependable. If it were, then we would not have lost this chance to test the goo.

      I agree that NASA is not prepared to deal with folks who think that they should be working on cheap and dependable access to space. This is not so much magic as just hard work and a long term commitment in a different direction.

      The way to prepare for an emergency is to practice.

    12. Re:A chance for testing lost by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1



      1) The repair goo is just a theory until it is proven. To expect it to work, when they really need it, without actual testing is to ignore Murphy.

      Uh, I think it was Murphy who cast the deciding vote not to pursue the repair mission. If they did then one way or another the astronaut's lives would be depending on that goo. You want them to do that just for the sake of seeing what will happen?

      2) The plan to access the underbelly of the shuttle is not dependable. If it were, then we would not have lost this chance to test the goo.

      Where'd Murphy go? No, a plan to extend a 100-foot robot arm around the shuttle with 500 lbs of astronaut + suit on the end is not "dependable", neither is trying to do the delicate repairs wearing a space suit. Such is life in the final frontier. If they try, and they end up damaging the tiles further, then they could make the situation much worse.

      I agree that NASA is not prepared to deal with folks who think that they should be working on cheap and dependable access to space. This is not so much magic as just hard work and a long term commitment in a different direction.

      No, what I meant is people who aren't willing to hear something like "we think the shuttle will survive reentry but we can't guarantee it, and we don't want to fix it just to 'be safe' because fixing it might kill them too". As if only had NASA been better prepared there'd be an option with no risk of death.

      We're a very long way from "cheap an dependable", whether to you that means airline or car levels of safety. This is the "expensive and nasty" phase. That's why they have limited options, and why their plans seem jerry-rigged. There's not exactly a lot of other robot arms or shuttle maintenance facilities available. Merely having the option to try to repair something like the shuttle's heat shield while in space is an achievement in this environment.

      The way to prepare for an emergency is to practice.

      This isn't practice. The only way to test the procedure is by actually putting the lives of the crew on the line in the attempt. Just like every time in the future the shuttle's tiles are damaged, they have to make a decision to risk reentry or risk the repair. Some things you can't "practice" without the risk. You can't "practice" taking chemotherapy, and you can't "practice" not destroying the shuttle's tiles in an EVA mission to repair them. You can gain experience by actually doing it, but you have to consider the risks. This is real life space travel, and NASA has to make real life risk assessments as though actual lives are on the line because they are.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    13. Re:A chance for testing lost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, we agree that this is the "expensive and nasty" phase. From talking to folks who were involved, I can verify that it has been so for at least 60 years.

      There are few human technological endeavors which operate on these times scales. Consider our progress in medicine, computers, and even GM cars over the last 30 years. By these yardsticks, NASA's progress in accessing space since Apollo has been pretty meager, even considering the harsh realities of space. (Of course, if NASA is measured against the yardsticks of beauracracies, it will fair better ;-)

      A man named Armstrong once pointed out that human progress is measured in small steps, some of which have big consequences.

      Towards the endeavor of cheap and dependable access to space, yes, one small step I'd like to see is to try out the goo just for the sake of seeing what would happen. Clearly this shouldn't happen in the hole in question until they have an adequate plan for accessing the Shuttle underbelly. If they have the goo in orbit and they are not going to use it for a repair, then they should be able to use it for a test somewhere. (Hopefully, they already have.)

      Since getting the goo to the right place is too big a step, then perhaps a smaller step, unfortunately for a future mission, would be to demonstrate an astronaut touching the area in question with no more risk than any other space walk. So what's the issue here, is it the strength and reach of the shuttle arm, or maybe a problem of what the arm operator can see? Can the station arm be moved to a position to help? Maybe it's a dynamics problem with the arm strong enough, but not stiff enough.

      With regards to where Mr. Murphy went, it looks like he was around in signing off return to flight with this plan to access the underbelly, but hopefully not in the voting to decide not to pursue the mission repair. If he was around in the voting, then the stakes are much higher than just a lost chance to learn.

  5. infamous powerpoint presentation by pimpimpim · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Let's just hope they did't reuse their previous powerpoint presentation on the space shuttle as a template for this meeting.

    Now that link is a bit of a read, but a very striking introduction on influencing decision-making with presentation techniques, even if this costs other people's lives.

    --
    molmod.com - computing tips from a molecular modeling
  6. NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...or the shuttle's days will be numbered even if it is still a useful tool.

    Endeavour is currently on the sixth shuttle mission since Columbia was lost. On Slashdot there's a chance that somebody could tell you what was achieved on any of those six missions. Ask an average member of the public though, and I guarantee you that less than 1% have any idea of a single piece of scientific research achieved on any of those six flights.

    A large number of those members of the public will be able to tell you about the scares over foam and tiles on every single mission though - because that is the only part of shuttle missions that the media cares about.

    This is only going to be fixed one way. NASA has to start giving out copious quantities of interesting video from shuttle flights to the media, and completely seal away from the media any talk of damage or problems. The damage has been of no real significance every time, but it is the only thing we're talking about.

    Unless NASA can extricate itself from the media black hole, it will never again run a shuttle mission without the shuttle being called into question - and that will eventually lead to calls for funding for this "dangerous" vehicle to be withdrawn. After all, it doesn't actually do anything when it is up there, right?

    1. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by Duffy13 · · Score: 1

      While I agree, I think the problem would be that most research is quite boring.

      --
      "Now you know, and knowing is half the battle!"
    2. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...or the shuttle's days will be numbered even if it is still a useful tool.
      ...
      Unless NASA can extricate itself from the media black hole, it will never again run a shuttle mission without the shuttle being called into question - and that will eventually lead to calls for funding for this "dangerous" vehicle to be withdrawn.
      The shuttle's days are numbered. The fleet will be retired in 2010, period.

      That's one of the reasons ISS assembly is front and center: there are parts that can't be carried up, maneuvered, or installed by anything but the shuttle. Its cargo bay has different dimensions than any other launch vehicle, and some parts are designed to fit it. The orbiter brings a second robotic arm, which is needed for several assembly steps. Not to mention all the extra training, manpower, and supplies that shuttle missions provide.

      Retirement of the entire STS program has been set in stone for ages. Where have you been?
    3. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This assumes that some 12-14 currently planned flights all happen. I don't doubt that the shuttle's days are numbered, but the way the media story is playing out I wouldn't be at all surprised to see NASA's arm twisted into cancelling the shuttle altogether a year or two ahead of schedule...

    4. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by Boilermaker84 · · Score: 1

      Not every story is about doom and gloom because of the tile damage. There has been EXTENSIVE media coverage of the fact that Barbara Morgan is a mission specialist on this mission. It was a no-brainer PR bonus since she was the backup to Christ McAuliffe. Her orbital classroom lesson was highlighted not two days ago.

    5. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      Who cared about the space program after Apollo 11 other than nerds?

      Spirit and Opportunity have entered year three, well past their 90 day expected life span, yet I'd wager the lost Polar Lander and crashed Climate Orbiter got more press than the little rovers that could ever will.

    6. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by ks*nut · · Score: 0

      I believe that all of the flights have been to add parts/change out crew on the ISS. The only "research" flight in the current shuttle schedule is a visit to the Hubble Space Telescope to change out gyro(s) and other electronics systems. There are pretty tight schedule parameters built into the HST flight; if the ISS flights don't fly according to schedule the HST flight never happens. So the concept of the Shuttle as a vehicle for space research is another in its list of "can't do" missions. IMOHO the shuttle would never have flown if the military hadn't backed it as a way to launch "sensitive" cargo. After Challenger the military seemed to lose interest.

    7. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      This is only going to be fixed one way. NASA has to start giving out copious quantities of interesting video from shuttle flights to the media, and completely seal away from the media any talk of damage or problems. The damage has been of no real significance every time, but it is the only thing we're talking about.

      I wouldn't take NASA to task for not keeping the media up-to-date when you don't do so for yourself.
       
      NASA does give copious quantities of information to the media. (Video, still, and text, plus press conferences daily.) By and large the media chooses to do nothing with the information, and NASA can't force them to.
       
      Insofar as 'interesting' video goes, NASA can't do much about that - they do what they do, even if it doesn't look sexy. I mean have you ever watched, really watched, the live feed of a spacewalk? It's boring as hell - it's like watching a video of a mechanic working on your car, slowed down 4:1. (It's fascinating to me personally, but it's not going to be to Joe Sixpack.) There's really no way to make it 'interesting'.
       
      Though, parenthetically speaking, I imagine NASA could use creative editing to create the same kind of false drama found on 'reality documentaries' like Deadliest Catch or Ice Road Truckers... But is it a good use of our tax dollars not only to lie to the public, but create a false impression thereby?
    8. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by Ellis+D.+Tripp · · Score: 1

      >, and completely seal away from the media any talk of damage or problems.

      I was completely in agreement with you up until you dropped this one.

      The last thing we need is further adoption of the "Bush Doctrine" of suppressing any information that a government agency decides that the public doesn't need to know. I actually think it admirable that NASA is now so open concerning potential problems with shuttle flights, and would like to see it continue.

      Besides, if they were to hide such information, and an accident occurred, the inside information IS going to get out (like it did after Challenger and Columbia), giving the agency even more of a black eye than they would have had if the problems were disclosed.

      Yes, the media will continue to overhype every glitch in an attempt to grab attention and ratings. Sensationalism and lack of technical analysis are part and parcel of the corporate media these days. But that is no reason for NASA, possibly the most open and honest government agency we have left, to start deciding what information the public has a right to know.

      --
      Remember "News for Nerds, Stuff that Matters"? Help make it a reality again! http://soylentnews.org
    9. Re:NASA needs to get out of the media black hole by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Which further raises the question: why are we bothering to finish the ISS? Wouldn't it be both safer and more cost effective to retire the shuttle NOW and buy out our obligations to any of the other countries involved?

      I mean, we're keeping the shuttle around to finish the ISS, which we're building to give the shuttle some place to go...

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  7. IANAAE by Stanistani · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Here's where we get to watch a lot of folks decide whether to comment on the effects of something outside of their experience and expertise.

    I've seen photos and 3D imaging of the bashed tiles. I know very little of the forces involved. I have seen no structural analysis of the materials that are beneath the deepest part of the gouge.

    To a limited extent, I can compare this damage to the past damaged tiles. There seem to have been a number of similar damaged tiles in the past, and those flights landed safely.

    The astronauts could slap some of that goop on the gouge, but risk damaging the tiles by accident, or changing the aerodynamics of the craft.

    There are many unknowns. I really don't know what will happen when Endeavour reenters.

    I wish them well, and hope that NASA can complete the remaining shuttle flights without mishap.

    1. Re:IANAAE by DumbSwede · · Score: 1

      If memory serves correctly the very first few Shuttle flights lost ENTIRE tiles (plural) and came back safely. There was much concern and debate over the adhesives used to attach them -- that problem was corrected. A gouge in a tile is NOT the same thing as a WHOLE in the leading edge of a wing.

  8. If I were one of the shuttle astronauts by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 1

    "We're good to return without repairs? Ummm...tell you what, just drop me off at the ISS and I'll wait for the next shuttle, ok?"

    --
    It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
    1. Re:If I were one of the shuttle astronauts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Actually if you were one of the shuttle astronauts, you'd probably have enough confidence in the engineers on the ground to make the call correctly.

      You don't make something as complex as a shuttle mission work correctly by second guessing everybody.

  9. 640 tiles is enough for everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    640 tiles is enough for everyone

  10. Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by WED+Fan · · Score: 4, Interesting

    As a former USAF avionics specialist and later crew chief, one thing was always true:

    The decision about air-worthiness, mission-worthiness was the pilot's, the aircraft commander.

    It didn't matter if I told him that sure, the plane will fly, if he didn't like it, the plane didn't fly.

    So, NASA, provide all the information to the commander, pilot, and crew, and let THEM make the call. If you don't like what they decide, it can be taken up AFTER the mission.

    --
    Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    1. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by Billosaur · · Score: 5, Informative

      But that's the difference between an aircraft and a spacecraft -- an aircraft pilot can look his plane over, read up on the maintenance, talk to his ground crew and then decide to fly or not. In NASA, it works differently. A Space Shuttle commander has command of the spacecraft, but Mission Control in Houston has command of the mission. You have to remember: the crew of the Shuttle can't just go bombing around in Earth orbit like they are flying the Millennium Falcon. Every move has to be choreographed and planned out months and even years in advance. When unexpected problems crop up, the technicians on the ground certainly know more about the workings of the machine than the crew, as they have all the data at the fingertips, they are experts in their systems, and they can draw on contractor resources to get more information. Decisions like this cannot be left to the spacecraft commander; his/her job is hard enough without having to keep in their head the compendious amount of information regarding their spacecraft.

      It has been this way since Mercury; it was Chris Kraft who outlined the need for the ground to have the skills required to manage the mission and deal with problems in real time, so that the crew could concentrate on their activities in space. The system has worked extremely well over all these years, with the exception of the Columbia accident. I for one am confident that NASA knows what it is doing and will take all the precautions it can before Endeavour is allowed to land.

      --
      GetOuttaMySpace - The Anti-Social Network
    2. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "As a former USAF avionics specialist and later crew chief"

      Egads, there's another one???
      "328Xwhatevers x-trained to Nosepickers" represent!
      I did it to escape Moody in the F-4 days, but it sure made promotion testing easier.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    3. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by Franklin+Brauner · · Score: 1

      Spam in a can.

    4. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have to remember: the crew of the Shuttle can't just go bombing around in Earth orbit like they are flying the Millennium Falcon.

      Yeah but could he do the Kessel run in 12 parsecs?

    5. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by WED+Fan · · Score: 1

      Wow, I ended up cross training several times.

      Started out as a cop at RAF Upper Heyford, went back to Lackland as an MTI, then A-10 gun, then Avionics and finally chief on the C-5's out at Travis.

      There were bonuses or really good training locations each time I did that. If you count Biloxi as a really good training location.

      --
      Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    6. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by everphilski · · Score: 1

      He can decide not to return to earth, but they are on the clock, they got to come home sometime :) He can have all the balls in the world but when the power goes out, and the CO2 levels start rising, and the food supply is running low (whatever order it occurs) ... its life or death. On earth it isn't.

    7. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by WED+Fan · · Score: 1

      He can decide not to return to earth, but they are on the clock,

      Not the only choice, Sparky.

      • Fly it home, unfixed. Maybe burn up.
      • Return it home, unmanned. If it burns up, relief. Go home in Soyuz.
      • Fix it, fly it home.
      • Park it, fly home in Soyuz (in shifts because of number of people). Repair on subsequent flight, or when repair kit is sent up on next Soyuz.

      Does anyone see a need for a better lifeboat than Soyuz?

      --
      Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    8. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by everphilski · · Score: 1

      * Fly it home, unfixed. Maybe burn up.

      And follow orders from Houston. So much for sticking it to the man.

      * Return it home, unmanned. If it burns up, relief. Go home in Soyuz.

      Believe it or not you actually need a pilot for the first few and last few moments of reentry. See below for my Soyuz comments.

      * Fix it, fly it home.

      Not sure how feasible this is without ground support. They may or may not have written procedures onboard.

      * Park it, fly home in Soyuz (in shifts because of number of people). Repair on subsequent flight, or when repair kit is sent up on next Soyuz.

      Good luck convincing the Russians :) And going through food stocks quicker than the Russians can prepare Soyuz. And overloading the life support systems. You do realize the Soyuz are not exactly available until constructed? I don't think they have more than 1 on reserve. There is 1 docked on the station. You would need three for a complete evac. Does anyone see a need for a better lifeboat than Soyuz?

      Only meant to be a station lifeboat. It serves that purpose wonderfully.

    9. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by WED+Fan · · Score: 1

      Fly it home, unfixed is what Houston has ordered. Hopefully the man who made decision has signed his name to it.

      Soyuz - There are 2 available, the stationed there is set up for remote all the way. They have the supply craft available, for remote all the way. All the parts are available, the Russians actually have several near completion at all times, they could have a new supply craft ready to go before food and air stores get too critical. Remember, the shuttle has some as well. The Russians have an incredible turn around time, unlike NASA. Pity. Also, we only need to evac enough to slow the depletion of stores. Not the entire shuttle crew and station crew. Send 3 home (4 is tight, but can be done). Yes, that means a few astronauts get a longer stay than planned. And, it does mean that a lifeboat is not immediately available should another emergency crop up.

      They do have procedures, and materials. Since the last disaster, they have sent up patch kits. If its not adequate, they can send up one that is on the next go round. They chose not to patch because they don't like the risks involved with an EVA (to both man and machine).

      --
      Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    10. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by everphilski · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Fly it home, unfixed is what Houston has ordered. Hopefully the man who made decision has signed his name to it.

      The decision is by committee. The consensus to fly home was made last night and was unanimous among the committee. They did extensive analysis both with CFD, analytical models and arc jet testing.

      They do have procedures, and materials. Since the last disaster, they have sent up patch kits. If its not adequate, they can send up one that is on the next go round. They chose not to patch because they don't like the risks involved with an EVA (to both man and machine).

      Precisely. If they banged up a few tiles doing the repairs and wound up stranded in space, dying, that would be a true tragedy when in reality no repair was needed. The tiles are located on the aft midsection of the belly of the orbiter which does not receive extreme reentry heating. In fact they don't get over 400 degrees and the aluminum underneath stays 50 degrees under design temperature, and is still covered by Nomex (a flame retardant, among other things used by fire fighters) (still in place, as best we can tell). (I am an aerothermodynamist, not working shuttle but working closely with shuttle people)

      Do you have a source on your Soyuz data? I'd be interested in seeing it. What I've heard and seen is that production as of late has slowed down to the rate of demand, IE, there isn't more than one on hand. But I could be wrong and I'd be interested in seeing a source that says so.

    11. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by WED+Fan · · Score: 1

      There are several places, but the best source is the current schedule.

      Space Flight Now is an excellent resource. You may not know this, but, the 40 year average for Soyuz launches is 5.3 per year, with a much faster pace now.

      Launch Dates

      Currently ready for flight, waiting for payload or just its time:

      • Sep 14 - Non-ISS but could always be refitted.
      • Oct 10 - ISS mission
      • TBD - Unknown mission (military?) with a launch somewhere between the preceding and following
      • Dec 23 - Non-ISS, from what I know, but again, could go ISS (also, may not be completely fitted)

      Final stages of fitting:

      • Feb 12 - ISS/Other

      With that, I would say that between the Russians being able to mount a quick refit of a flight, or NASA just happening to have an orbitter ready, shuttle crews taking refuge on the ISS will only have to stay around for a month, at most. With 3 or 4 going home sooner on the docked Soyuz.

      --
      Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    12. Re:Hey, NASA, here's an idea... by everphilski · · Score: 1

      I know the schedule, I know SFN and other sources, but that doesn't tell me the number of soyuz on hand. I did some reading about the assembly line efficiency of the Soyuz a few years back and it lead me to believe that they made 'em and lauched 'em, IE, there isn't a stockpile laying around.

      And remember, looking at Soyuz entries on SFN, Soyuz is a vehicle, not a capsule. For example, the September 14 mission will NOT have a man-rated capsule aboard. It will have the Foton M3 microgravity research capsule and the YES2 tether demonstration spacecraft. Likewise, the Progress resupply mission vehicles are NOT mannable.

      Which gets back to my point. I have no idea how many capsules they have sitting around, or rate of production ... from what I heard there will be 4 manned Soyuz flights and 6 Progress flights starting in 2009, which they are ramping up to (they are breaking ground for another manufacturing facility) so they are doing more then than now. So that tells me the rate of production of manned capsules is at or less than 4 a year now, as they fly less than that.

  11. One final test by ubrgeek · · Score: 4, Funny

    > after receiving the results of one final thermal test

    While playing Stairway to Heaven, bic lighters were waved back and forth over the affected area.

    --
    Bark less. Wag more.
  12. To err on the side of caution... by gihan_ripper · · Score: 1, Insightful

    ...why don't they replace the tiles anyway, just to be sure? The article suggests that a spacewalk would create added risk, but we know that spacewalks occur all the time routinely. Perhaps there is a financial motivation for not carrying out the repair? I don't know. What I'd like to see is an actual breakdown of the possible positive and negative consequences of each course of action and the probabilities that NASA has assigned to the outcomes. I'm really hoping that they've put some serious statistical analysis into this decision and aren't just flying by the seat of their pants. Certainly, the article quotes a Nobel Prize-winning physicist, Douglas Osheroff, as saying that the repairs "can only increase their chances of making it down."

    --
    Phoenix, Boston, Little Rock, see a pattern?
    1. Re:To err on the side of caution... by SQL+Error · · Score: 1

      They can't replace the tiles - the tiles are fitted to the shape of the Shuttle; every tile is different.

      They have a patch kit, but in applying the patch they could weaken the tiles that they're patching. So it's a tradeoff. If they perform the repair and all goes well, then they're probably better off than before. But if something goes wrong during the repair, things could get a lot worse.

    2. Re:To err on the side of caution... by tzhuge · · Score: 1

      What I heard in an interview with some NASA guy is that the foam bottom of the shuttle is extremely delicate (according to him, you can poke a finger into it.) So it's not so much that the space walk is especially dangerous for the astronaut but that the risk of causing more serious damage is very real. Wouldn't want to accidentally knock off a tile...

    3. Re:To err on the side of caution... by Spirilis · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Unless, during a spacewalk, one of the astronauts accidentally bumps some of the adjacent tiles and break them... (IIRC, they are EXTREMELY fragile, a mere tap is all that is required to snap 'em). That's the kind of risk they're probably worried about.

      --
      the real at&t mix
    4. Re:To err on the side of caution... by bev_tech_rob · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It would be problematic to replace the affected tiles.....if I remember from old articles (don't have links, sorry), each tile is unique and not the same size as its neighbor (although they visually appear to be). You would have to grind it or somehow alter the shape to make it fit the hole precisely as it should.

      If they used the caulk, I would worry about the goop bubbling out or not being flush with the surrounding surface, thereby creating drag which may pull the whole tile out, which would leave a BIGGER opening with sharp edges causing more tiles to be torn off...I would think the black paint they were discussing wouldn't hurt.....just my .02 cents...

      --
      You're messin' with my Zen Thing, man.....
    5. Re:To err on the side of caution... by RoverDaddy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I read Osheroff's quote and decided he's talking out his ass (or it's a lousy quote). Perhaps successful repairs can only increase their chances, but things can and do go wrong, and it wasn't explained how Osheroff was in a better position to make the analysis than the people at NASA doing it. BTW, if you read the article carefully, it seems that financial considerations would lean toward doing the repair, not avoiding it. Leaving the gouge in place may result in more down-time and repair work for Endeavour on the ground.

      --
      RETURN without GOSUB in line 1050
    6. Re:To err on the side of caution... by east+coast · · Score: 2, Informative

      but we know that spacewalks occur all the time routinely.

      What's risky about this isn't the space walk itself but the concept of damaging more tiles. It's a delicate operation and one slip can make things go from bad to worse easily.

      Perhaps there is a financial motivation for not carrying out the repair?

      What financial motivation? The material already exist onboard. There is no investment and the amounts by which NASA would be set back in the case of a mid-air breakup or even a safe landing with an unusable shuttle far outweighs using the patch method. If you're going to say something like this I'd think that you'd need to back it up with some logic (even if it's faulty) or fall suspect to producing FUD. Not to be a dick but I find it to be a dismissive remark that borders on trollish.

      What I'd like to see is an actual breakdown of the possible positive and negative consequences of each course of action and the probabilities that NASA has assigned to the outcomes. I'm really hoping that they've put some serious statistical analysis into this decision and aren't just flying by the seat of their pants.

      Again, not to be a dick but I'd like to give the guys at NASA some credit here and pretty much chalk this up to random speculation of a problem that has been reviewed by NASA's best engineers for hundreds, if not thousands, of man hours. A PDF with some stats is not going to convey the experience of the teams in question. I know we joke that NASA has certain problems that are rather embarrassing but I'd like to think they went the extra mile on this one.

      Certainly, the article quotes a Nobel Prize-winning physicist, Douglas Osheroff, as saying that the repairs "can only increase their chances of making it down."

      Let's requote that: the [successful] repairs "can only increase their chances of making it down."

      Again, I think it's a matter of potentially doing more harm then good. I think if NASA had a guarantee from the mouth of God that this repair would not cause more damage they'd go for it in a second. They'd be fools not to. This isn't a question of if the repairs will help but a question of pros and cons.

      I'm not going to say that everything is going to work out but I certainly hope they do. If I were up there I'd be more willing to trust the ground engineers at this point. Not to say that Dr. Osheroff doesn't know what he's talking about, he's well versed on the subject but I don't know how much he really knows about this incident and what his take is on the chances of making the situation worse with a potentially botched repair job.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    7. Re:To err on the side of caution... by BlackSnake112 · · Score: 1

      You do realize that those tiles are put under a lot more fore then a tap during lift off and re-entry. A simple tap will not break them. Have ever actually seen these tiles? They are like 6 inches by 6 inches and vary in thickness from 1 to 5 inches thick (depending on location). The exact shape differs to contour to the shape of the shuttle and if that area has a door/hatch. Even the 1 inch thick tiles will not break from a simple tap. Hitting it with a hammer, yea they will break. A tap of the finger no way.

      You can see one that is in a museum. There is a space shuttle in the air and space museum. Enterprise(?) it never was in space though.

    8. Re:To err on the side of caution... by fataugie · · Score: 1

      Thank you....finally someone stating the obvious.

      Delicate tiles? What? Are they made out of...sugar? Snapping them with a touch of the finger? WTF? Are you HIGH?

      What I want to know is.... who the hell designed this tile shield? A pack of retarded monkeys? Why in hell would you spec a tile that when patched, becomes more likely to fail?

      I'm old enough to remember the first shuttle landing when a half dozen of the little bastards fell off. I remember thinking it was a fluke, since it was the first flight and all. Ha! They can get them to stick on, but now they can't seem to keep ice and foam from damanging things.

      Honestly, why do I feel like this thing is made from leftover spare Yugo parts?

      No, I'm not a rocket scientist, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn last night.

      --

      WTF? Over?

    9. Re:To err on the side of caution... by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      Do you also ask why they can't make planes out of the materials the black boxes are made of?

    10. Re:To err on the side of caution... by Volante3192 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The HRSI tiles are made of a low-density, high-purity silica 99.8-percent amorphous fiber (fibers derived from common sand, 1 to 2 mils thick) insulation that is made rigid by ceramic bonding. Because 90 percent of the tile is void and the remaining 10 percent is material, the tile weighs approximately 9 pounds per cubic foot.

      http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/shuttle/technology/sts -newsref/sts_sys.html

      My structural physics knowledge is a bit lacking, but something made of 10% rigid fibre 1-2mm thick and 90% void doesn't sound like the sturdiest structure to be applying force to.

      I'm trying to think of a similar, down to earth item that mimics that structure...but best I can come up with would be like packing peanuts. Close, but it's not rigid enough.

    11. Re:To err on the side of caution... by sremick · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, they are quite delicate. I know, because I've got a piece of the material. And no, I'm no one special... they sell it (or used to) in the KSC gift shop. A tap won't "snap" it but it will crush that spot... these things are like a silica sponge, mostly air. Great insulators, at the expense of being extremely fragile. It can't take much of a bump without damage.

      I managed to easily put some marks into my sample before I smartened up and kept it in its case.

    12. Re:To err on the side of caution... by fataugie · · Score: 1

      No, not really but it's a thought.

      --

      WTF? Over?

  13. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by TheMeuge · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Life has a cost too.

    We seem to have forgotten that in the U.S. lately. Granted, the integrity of the shuttle frame is not worth human life, but the panicked semi-troll responses to this crisis made me realize yet again how far we've fallen as a society.

    The same people are "concerned" now, as the ones who were calling for ending the space program after Columbia.

    We are so fat and content that we seem to think that anything that interferes with our blissful lives must be a curse. We have forgotten the drive and determination of scientists, engineers, and many others, which made the world we're living in possible. Make no mistake about it - without self-sacrifice, many of the technological and scientific developments that shaped the latter half of the 20th century would not have been possible.

    Yet the population, spurred on by the scaremongering media, seem to think that we've now magically gotten to a point at which we can make everything safe. Well... we almost can... if we all just stay home. But if we want another revolution in the development of our species, like the one that spanned 1850-1975, we will have to accept that some things are worth it. Yes, it's important to minimize risk... but sometimes you have to accept a reasonable amount of risk, take a deep breath, and just go.

    Anyway, sorry about the rant...

  14. Memo to all NASA employees: by Ed_1024 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Subj: Space Shuttle

    However tempting it may be, given the considerable savings, please don't source any more tiles from "Home Depot".

    NASA Mgmt.

  15. Why not? by BlackCobra43 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Why wouldn't you want to make the calls?

    As a mission manager you'd have next to no reprimand if anything goes wrong (see: columbia aftermath), even as a direct result of policies you've implemented and the decisions you make.

    The astronauts are trained not to worry about these because they have t ooperate a highly complicated SPACEFARING VEHICLE, so they won'nt be the wiser until shit starts breaking off.

    Frankly, I would make the call with a big, shit-eating grin on my face. THAT'll teach those nasa flyboys not to trust a bunch of PHBs on the ground.

    --
    I never spellcheck and I freely admit it. Save your karma for more worthwhile "lol erorrs" replies
    1. Re:Why not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And I bet you would've handed a gun to Seung-Hui Cho with a "big shit-eating grin" on your face knowing that you'd have "next to no reprimand" if he guns down 32 people. However, I'd like to think that most of us are human and have a conscience.

  16. Bullshit on NASA. by tomhudson · · Score: 0

    Bullshit. They should attemt a repair, if only to get data on how efective and practical repairs are. They'll need this information for future missions, when they might have to deal with larger gouges. They ow have a chance to analyse the effectiveness of the patch procedure, and make any necessary changes. They also probably have a "motivated crew", if you know what I mean ...

    Or is the possibility of repair just the NASA equivalent of "security theatre"?

    1. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      BullS**t on you for having no understanding of risk mitigation. You always do the least risky thing that is safe. In this case, you do nothing. If it ain't broke, don't fix it. It ain't broke, its just dinged (and quite overhyped by the media).

    2. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by _bug_ · · Score: 1

      You always do the least risky thing that is safe.

      Then don't launch space shuttles. Send supplies up in unmanned craft like the Soyuz. Use robotic arms to install new equipment and design the fittings in such a way that humans need not spacewalk to finalize connections.

      Furthermore, this isn't just media overhype. The engineers at the Johnson Space Center have asked for the repairs to be made. They were overruled. Sound familiar?

      And yet even furthermore, as has already been pointed out, such a repair would provide very valuable data on the effectiveness of the as yet untested repair methods NASA has developed for such situations. That data would be put to good use in the continuing development of procedures for repairing the shuttle in flight, thus decreasing the risk involved in future repairs and increasing chance of mission success.

      And why wouldn't NASA want to perform steps that only increase the chance of a successful landing?

      There's every reason to perform this repair.

    3. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      I take it you're the type that pushes out service packs day one throughout a corporate network too.

      What if the astronaut crashes into the tiles? What if the arm locks up? What if the repairs cause more damage to the tiles? NASA's a very conservative organization. They already take risks that'd make most people white, they're not keen to take on more than they have to.

      If a shuttle gets damaged to the point where repairs are required, it won't matter if the situation is made worse because it's already destined to be a flaming comet. But to take a structurally sound machine and risk making it worse is a height of folly.

    4. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by Billosaur · · Score: 1

      The problem with that is that the lives of the crew are riding on the potential repair. Without knowing the effect in advance, the risk in making the repair is increased, beyond the risk the crew undergoes in suiting up and spacewalking in the first place. Remember, they have already had a partial glove failure. The repair itself is not without considerable risk. They have had similar gouges before and the Shuttle has landed perfectly fine. Now is not the time to experiment. They can certainly perform experiments of this type using unmanned vehicles and gain the information they need that way. That is how they tested heat shield materials in the olden, golden days.

      --
      GetOuttaMySpace - The Anti-Social Network
    5. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by joshuac · · Score: 1

      After a certain point (long down the road, which will never happen in the remaining lifetime of the shuttle program) it might be worth it to experiment on a "production" system with human lives onboard. But at this stage of the game, leave the data gathering to simulations. You can get lots of good data (probably BETTER data, since you can monitor more closely) from a test environment than from the actual shuttle coming through the atmosphere.

      At _some point_, the returns off of simulations will become less and less, and then it would finally make sense to take the next step and see what happens with the real thing. But that would be _way_ out there. Heck, looking at the guns/butter curve it probably doesn't even make sense for them to test the repair system on the ground even halfway to that point...the number of remaining missions and the odds of that same type of failure make it uneconomical, better to invest the section of your time and money budgeted for "cargo protection" into other things that will yield a higher likely return.

    6. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by toolie · · Score: 1

      And why wouldn't NASA want to perform steps that only increase the chance of a successful landing? You're a freakin idiot if you think a repair such as this only increases the chances of a successful landing. Maybe if it was a successful repair. On the other hand, a repair attempt could completely fuck up a bunch more tiles than are gouged. A repair attempt could dick up the flow of air around the repair to cause it to heat up more than it would by being left alone. There are a billion reasons an attempted repair could make things worse than they already are.

      As for JSC disagreeing, they were the only ones. The overwhelming majority of engineers said the repair attempt was a bad idea.
      --
      -- toolie
    7. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by tomhudson · · Score: 1

      Riiiight ... like god forbid they should actually conduct (gasp) an experiment (one that can be called off if things get wonky, perhaps unlike the next gouge) to see if the repair protocol works.

      Better to find the bugs in the checklist now than when they can't call it off.

      This isn't about risk mitigation. One day, this WILL have to be dealt with. Its like a hard drive crash - its not "if", its "when". So you prepare accordingly, so as to mitigate future risks.

    8. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by tomhudson · · Score: 1

      "Now is not the time to experiment. They can certainly perform experiments of this type using unmanned vehicles and gain the information they need that way. That is how they tested heat shield materials in the olden, golden days."

      A few points:

      1. "Now is not the time to experiment."

        Better to run an experiment now, when if the patch doesn't work, its not going to lead to a catastrophic failure.

      2. "They can certainly perform experiments of this type using unmanned vehicles"

        This will not give them information on how well humans can do the patching in a space suit, and on whether the procedures worked out are optimal, or even possible. Here they can call it off if reality doesn't conform to their expectations. You can't test this without humans.

      3. "That is how they tested heat shield materials in the olden, golden days."

        And even in the olden, golden days, you needed people in the loop to make decisions and act on them. Remember the warning light that said Glenn's Mercury capsule's heat shield was loose?.

        Even today, its too bad there's nobody around to wipe the dust of the Mars rovers' solar cells ... humans are the best general-purpose tool ever.

    9. Re:Bullshit on NASA. by tomhudson · · Score: 1

      The original catastrophic failure statistics were supposed to be between one in 10,000 and 1 in 100,000. This is how the program was sold - a fleet of 8 shuttles with a launch a week, with a very low risk of loss during the life of the program. Real life is another story - total failure odds worse than 1 in 100, and turn-around times that are ludicrous and costly (nearly half a billion - disposables would be cheaper).

      NASA also originally projected (1976) up to 75 flights a year ... for 10 to 12 years. Here's what the program looked like back in 1980 - a financial disaster. Read about the problems with ice and the tiles, and all the other bugaboos. The Saturn 5 could have outdone the shuttle in every way - cost per mission, payload to LEO (5-1/2x as much). Heck, the Saturn V could put twice as much in orbit around the MOON than the shuttle can put into earth orbit.

      Everyone in the space community admits that the shuttles were a waste of money, draining funding from all other areas.

  17. I don't think powerpoint was to blame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    for instance, if the first line of the first presentation slide contained in a big font "astronaut's lives are at risk" then the powerpoint presentation would have conveyed a much different message.

  18. If it aint [all that] broke, don't fix it. by reality-bytes · · Score: 3, Informative

    They can't actually replace entire tiles on orbit. They have a 'patching' system which allows them to spread a compound into any nicks in the tiles.

    Now, the compound has to be applied by an astronaut attached to a long extension arm attached to the Shuttle's robotic arm. When they tested this a few flights ago, it became readily apparent that it was at best difficult to work this way. The length of the arm caused significant 'bouncing' with every motion. At the time they only pulled a gap filler and simulated the motion of filling a tile and it wasn't easy.

    The real danger is that the control issues of having a 'massive' astronaut + EVA gear swinging around on the end of that very long arm so close to the TPS could actually cause more damage to the tiles than it fixed.

    Furthermore, the compound could actually cause even worse localised heating issues on re-entry depending on how well it fills the tile ie: It could cause ducting etc.

    --
    Ripping an new rectum in the fabric of spacetime.
  19. I was in 6 grade when Challenger blew up. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    I have a fixed memory of this. I will never forget sitting in reading class with my classmates watching it go up, up, up, and then kablueeee! All our mouths dropped. We had never seen anything like it at the time. Decades later, I don't think anybody is surprised by disaster anymore. In fact, I think it's expected to happen( no, thanks to Bush!).

    I do hope these guys make it back. But I think there is a serious problem. We all know the space fleet is beyond it's shelf life. So why hasn't it been scraped and reinvented with more pioneering technology? I feel that if there's another catastrophic disaster; then NASA will be dismantled. Perhaps it should be. I've always dreamed about space exploration but our current state of affairs is a recipe for failure. If our planet is too succeed; then full support and focus is needed by all. I'll say a prayer our current space explorers. I truly hope they make it back in one piece.

    1. Re:I was in 6 grade when Challenger blew up. by cosinezero · · Score: 1

      "I will never forget sitting in reading class with my classmates watching it go up, up, up, and then kablueeee! All our mouths dropped."

      -->I share that exact memory. And the teachers trying hard to figure out how to explain all that to the students.

      Aside from finding out that Vader was Luke's Father, that may have been the biggest WTF! moment of childhood.

    2. Re:I was in 6 grade when Challenger blew up. by Pojut · · Score: 1

      We all know the space fleet is beyond it's shelf life. So why hasn't it been scraped and reinvented with more pioneering technology?

      Because every single solitary year, the budget for NASA is drastically reduced...it's at the point now where they are barely able to function.

      Instead of investing in exploring the existance that surrounds us, we instead decide that our money is better spent destroying each other. To quote Bill Hicks:

      "Here's what we can do to change the world, right now, to a better ride. Take all that money we spend on weapons and defenses each year and instead spend it feeding and clothing and educating the poor of the world, which it would pay for many times over, not one human being excluded, NOT ONE, and united as one race we could explore inner and outer space in peace...for EVER."

  20. Not even Duct tape?! by erroneus · · Score: 3, Funny

    Man, that pretty much fixes everything... did they forget to pack any this trip?

    1. Re:Not even Duct tape?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know you were joking, but they do actually pack duct tape! Didn't you see Apollo 13?

  21. Crew and Shuttle are not in danger!!!!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Jeez,

    The crew and shuttle are not in any danger from this. Dozens of engineers from all over the country spent many hours doing thermodynamic modeling, fluid dynamics modeling, running samples in an arc jet furnace that simulates re-entry and then some. The managers spent more than 4 hours each of the last few days discussing all of these results, not coming to a conclusion until all the results were in, just to make sure the all agreed with each other. The proved that there is no danger to anybody or anything that is going to re-enter earth, so the decided not to do a risky (and scientifically proven unnecessary) spacewalk. Stop with the post saying that NASA should do this or that - the actually DO know what they're doing.

    --End rant against silly ideas and preposterous reasoning for doing a repair.

    1. Re:Crew and Shuttle are not in danger!!!!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Just like they did test on the o-rings right? Managers always listen to engineers right??? It all comes down to money and time.

  22. Why not change the design? by chud67 · · Score: 1

    After all the problems NASA has had during reentry with foam and tiles on the shuttle, I don't understand why they haven't built a new craft with a better design; something like Burt Rutan's 'feather' reentry system used on SpaceShipOne would be good. It would reduce the risk from these blazing hot reentries.

    1. Re:Why not change the design? by ahuard · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The feather reentry technique is only useful at suborbital speeds. How do you expect the spacecraft to slow down to these speeds? The only option is to use the underside of the shuttle as a heat shield as it is barreling through our atmosphere. What other options are there? You can't use a fuel burn because that would enormously increase the launch weight, and therefore the cost, of every mission. The shuttle was designed by some of the best aerospace engineers in the world. I'm sure every crazy reentry option was on the table during the design phase and they chose the one best suited for the job.

      ~Andrew

    2. Re:Why not change the design? by terrymr · · Score: 1

      As good as SpaceShipOne is, they're not dealing with re-entry at orbital velocities. It's a whole different ball-game.

    3. Re:Why not change the design? by Anomalyst · · Score: 1

      They chose the one best suited for Tricky Dicky's anemic NASA budget
      Fixed that for ya.
      Kidding aside. All my best hopes and wishes for the safe return of the crew.
      --
      There is no right to feel safe thru security vaudeville at the expense of everyone's freedom, privacy and tax money.
    4. Re:Why not change the design? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sibling posts point out the vast differences in re-entry speeds between SS1 and orbital vehicles...scaling the 'feather' system to handle orbital speeds may be non-trivial. Of course 'feathering' the vehicle only addresses the dynamics of the entry (offering an elegant way for a lifting vehicle to make a 'ballistic' re-entry)--it does nothing to address the TPS needs at higher entry velocities. **[The detail oriented may want to argue this point...I don't, see the **Note** where I enumerate some of the mitigating effects]**

      The concept of using a lifting vehicle capable of gliding to a runway landing, but re-entering as a blunt body at nearly 90 degrees angle of attack, is not unique to SpaceShipOne. A similar concept was proposed for many of the initial design studies leading to the Space Shuttle. These designs were championed by Max Faget, who was instrumental in the design of every manned NASA space vehicle (as well as being credited for several design innovations adopted by the Soviets for Soyuz and Zond).

      These designs featured a small straight-winged orbiter that would re-enter nearly ballisticaly at nearly 90 degrees of angle of attack (belly-first). After slowing down, the orbiter would pitch over ~40kft and regain enough forward airspeed to glide to a landing. Lacking the feathering surfaces used on SpaceShipOne (and not needing to worry about them thermally), the control of such a re-entry is more complicated, but conceptually the approaches are similar.

      Unfortunately for the small straight-winged orbiter of these concepts, the Space Shuttle requirements were changed to accommodate the Air Force's desire to buy a common vehicle with NASA (the only way NASA could get funding approval after the agency was instructed that the Saturn V too expensive to continue procurement). All Slashdotters should be familiar with the larger required payload bay that increased the overall size of the vehicle and made re-entry (as well as booster development) more difficult.

      A second Air Force requirement, that is often overlooked when folks discuss the shuttle development, was the need to launch into a polar orbit (requiring a launch from Vandenberg on the West Coast) and land in the Continental US after a single orbit. Notionally, the Air Force was interested in being able use the Shuttle for reconnaissance or to inspect Soviet satellites and to land before anyone could retaliate. This desire resulted in a requirement that the shuttle be designed for ~1500 nautical miles of cross range capability on entry. This pretty much requires integrating atmospheric engines and fuel for a powered flight after entry, or a lifting re-entry.

      The hypersonic lifting re-entry with all of its headaches: protecting the leading edges of delta wings, higher integrated heating, etc, pretty much results directly from this requirement. (Increased cross range gives some marginal operational safety gains from being able
      to target a specific landing site from a variety of entry conditions--most of the practical benefit can be gained at much lower amounts of cross range capability, well withing the capability offered by the early shuttle concepts).

      **Note** making the effective forebody more blunt does have the advantage of moving the bow-shock, and the more ballistic re-entry does reduce the integrated heat load (though it may increase the peak). However, these effects still don't buy you much relative to the difference in thermal-protection required for orbital and suborbital velocities. (Note that the shuttle already has a high angle of attack during the initial re-entry)

    5. Re:Why not change the design? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why did you post this Anonymous Coward? I had moderator points & would've modded you up! (Unfortunately, I gave them to others with also-enlightening posts who would get credit... and because of that, I had to post this here message AC too!)

      If I would've had one more point to give, I would've modded up your excellent post anyway, so that its unfortunately-zero score would no longer hide it as "beneath threshold" to default/anonymous readers.

      Sorry about my strangely-hypenated-made-up-uber-words. :-)

  23. Re:Famous Last Words by dhollist · · Score: 1

    I might update this Wikipedia article to reflect NASA's decision to NOT repair Endeavor's heat shield, just to see what WikiScanner shows for IP address 198.137.240.100 next week.

  24. Overdue for replacement by Syncroswitch · · Score: 1

    I'm happy to hear that the crew is not in serious danger, but it's still past time that we replace the shuttle, which was a poor compromise from the start, with something SnApPiEr.


    Kill for fun and profit?

  25. You seem very sure about this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    #Purpose: Counter Rant
    #Author: Some Young Guy(kinda)

    I hope you're right. Other than they fact that THEY do have teams of people who can analyze this problem; do YOU have some insider knoweledge that the damaged tiles are actually a non-issue? Probably not. Therefore you shouldn't assume or believe everything you read. People make mistakes in math, judgement, or are influenced by powers to say the opposite so as to not cast doubt on a volatile situation. Instead of ranting about trusting NASA's judgement; you've overlooked many previous incidences that say otherwise about our space exploration program.

    #Done

    1. Re:You seem very sure about this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, I may have watched the NASA press conferences, where the talked about this, for the last couple days on NASA TV.

      "The MMT made two significant decisions tonight," Shannon said. "The first was a unanimous recommendation that the damage we saw after reviewing all the engineering tests and analysis was not a threat to crew safety, this was not something that the astronauts are in danger about. We had thought that for several days, but we were waiting for the final analysis to be complete.

      "We did all the things that we said we were going to do over the last few days. We had engineering analyses, we had computational fluid dynamics of the cavity from both Ames Research Center and the Langley Research Center, they were both in agreement. We did the thermal analysis and that continued to show good margins and we also did two arc jet tests where we put a re-entry heating profile on the damage sites.

      "We went through all of that data and it was unanimous that we were not in a loss of crew/vehicle case," Shannon said. "The discussion then centered on whether we should use as is and return Endeavour in its current condition or if the uncertainties in the analysis could potentially cause some underlying tile damage or structural damage that we would have to deal with at the Kennedy Space Center. So we had that debate. And it was not unanimous, but it was pretty overwhelming to go with the use-as-is condition, in other words not to do the tile repair."

      from http://www.spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/sts118/07081 6norepair/

      That last non unanimous vote was something like 29-1 according to the press conference.

      --Original poster

    2. Re:You seem very sure about this? by Walt+Dismal · · Score: 1
      Here's what really happened:

      NASA flunky: "Hello, is this Canaveral Auto Body?"

      CAB: "Speaking."

      NASA: "Yes, well, we've kind of thinking about having some body work done on the shuttle. It's in orbit right now. Do you do mobile repairs?"

      CAB: "Yeah, we have Bruce Willis. Okay, what you do you need?"

      NASA: "Well, we have a little shuttle gouge."

      CAB: "Teenage drivers again?"

      NASA: "No. What do you think it'll cost?"

      CAB: "Insurance?"

      NASA: "All State."

      CAB: "How big's the gouge?"

      NASA: "Couple inches."

      CAB: "Let me see (taps calculator keys) Okay, on-site repair mission, estimate $30,000,000. We're kind of booked up right now, but we can do it for you by .. lemme see .. next opening is after Labor Day. And... you want clearcoat?"

      NASA: "!!!!!! (spits coffee) B..b..b.but we have some guys waiting on this."

      CAB: "Sorry. Why don't you try Wing Chang's Golden Auto Repair down the street. He's cheaper but he can do it fast. Cuts costs by not having his crew come back. Gotta tell you, that Chinese body putty doesn't hold up for too many missions."

      NASA: "I gotta ask my boss... he ain't gonna like this..." (whimper)

  26. Angry General by Programmer_In_Traini · · Score: 1

    Angry General:
    Son, what do you mean you've blown my multi-billion dollar shuttle ?

    Pissing-in-his-pants Soldier:
    Well, there was this small gouge you see, we had experts analyze it and they said it was not urgent.

    Angry General:
    you mean you wouldn't spend a few tens of thousand bucks to keep a multi-billion shuttle in good health ? I'll tell you what, why don't you and your experts go clean the toilets with your tongue while you think things through...

    --
    If you look like your passport photo, you're too ill to travel. - Will Kommen
    1. Re:Angry General by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So when did a general become an authority in a civilian agency?

    2. Re:Angry General by Programmer_In_Traini · · Score: 1

      the same day a joke required it.

      --
      If you look like your passport photo, you're too ill to travel. - Will Kommen
  27. They weren't by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    If they are that concerned with cutting costs than saving life's, they should stop sending people in to space.


    Actually, the whole point is that they weren't.

    The problem is that so far in a relatively short interval they had two cuts in two spacesuits' gloves during spacewalks. The last one was a two inch gash, and prompted an immediate abort of the spacewalk. Precisely because noone wants to vaccuum an astronaut.

    Now they weren't all the way through the glove. At least the latest one had only cut the top two layers out of five.

    But essentially noone wants to find out what happens when you cut all 5 layers.

    And the problem is that they don't know _what_ cut two different spacesuits. Exactly where is the sharp edge there, and how big is it? Is it only big enough to do those two layer cuts? Or are we talking about something that could cut all the way through, and we got luck the last two times?

    That's, in a nutshell, why they'd rather not risk a spacewalk to fix the tiles, if they can avoid it.
    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:They weren't by Ambiguous+Puzuma · · Score: 1

      Here's one thing that can happen if the hole is small enough:
      http://www.mu.org/~joe/traveller/archive/General/E xplosive.Decompression.txt
      (scroll down to the "Gregory Bennett adds" section)

      I know a 1/8 inch hole is not the same as a two inch cut, but it's still an interesting anecdote, and it might have some relevance.

  28. A bit of Tile prediction History: all bad by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1, Informative
    Ahem, I have some doubts about NASA's ability to predict tile-related events, based on their past record:

    • The first calculations about the aerodynamic loads on the tiles were waay off.
    • So far off, many tiles fell off when the Shuttle was carried on back of the 747!
    • The calcs about the damage to tiles from loose foam were also way off.
    • So I'd be rather dubious about any heat-transfer calculations from those same folks.
    • We will see.
    1. Re:A bit of Tile prediction History: all bad by Eponymous+Bastard · · Score: 2, Informative

      Which is why they are not relying on calculations. They actually grabbed some tiles, gouged them in the exact same form from the measurements taken in orbit and then put them in a hot wind tunnel (The Arcjet facility) to check what will actually happen
      see here
      And:
      here (with pictures).

      The tests at Arc Jet used a set of tiles, with identical damage drilled on to a test article. This was then put through the heat of a simulated re-entry, to test how the damaged area performed, along with the gathering of thermal data.

      'The Arc Jet test using the damaged test article was completed, initial assessment did not identify structural burn through,' noted one encouraging memo, with data showing that the heating remained 50 degrees below the baseline requirement for the underlying structure.


      And those articles are from the preliminary results. They were supposed to do an additional test with the repaired tile.

  29. how many tile defects in past? by peter303 · · Score: 1

    I'm under the impression they've had dozens of defects more extensive than this one in the hundre-plus returns. At least they did laboratory tests and computer modeling of the exact defect they discovered this time.

  30. No offense, but... by Moraelin · · Score: 0, Troll

    No offense, but I'm inherently... weary... of people waving the banner that someone _else_ should sacrifice everything for the general progress.

    If you think a life is that disposable, why don't you go risk _your_ life on some endeavour that benefits everyone? _Then_ you'll have the moral high ground to preach that kind of thing. Until then, way I see it, you're safely in a chair at a computer, preaching that someone _else_ should take unnecessary risks to further your standard of living.

    And that's a... sociopathic attitude, to say the least.

    You want to talk about the scientific developments that shaped the 20'th century? How about the fact that most of them were driven by the need for safety and/or comfort, and a lot of the rest were driven by consumerism?

    If we just wanted to live hard and risky, then we wouldn't have needed all that science and technology anyway. What we actually wanted was stuff like:

    - travelling cheaper, safer and more comfortable, hence the automobile instead of riding a buggy like the Amish. A lot of the research that went into the automobile was precisely so it wouldn't be a deathtrap that throws a wheel if you even take a too tight curve.

    - some cheap and comfortable way to stay in touch: hence, telegraph and then telephone

    - entertainment. Hence technologies like the movies, or TV

    - some _safe_ lighting (lighting itself being a quality of life issue): most cities had already invested heavily in gas lighting when Edison proposed electric lighting

    - to not die of the first disease that drops by: hence, antibiotics

    - even in military applications, to _not_ lose more soldiers than strictly unavoidable: the main use of machineguns in WW1 was _defensive_, and that's why it ended up a stalemate

    Etc, etc, etc.

    So bemoaning safety and concern for human life as some brake on progress, doesn't strike me as just disingenuous, but also as outright mis-informed and mis-leading. That's not brakes, that's what drove most of progress.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:No offense, but... by TheMeuge · · Score: 1

      No offense, but I'm inherently... weary... of people waving the banner that someone _else_ should sacrifice everything for the general progress.
      I never shifted responsibility to someone ELSE...

      If you think a life is that disposable, why don't you go risk _your_ life on some endeavour that benefits everyone?
      I am a medical scientist. I can't say I do it haughtily or foolishly, but I do deal with infectious agents and carcinogens on a daily basis. I've also sacrificed my youth to being stuck in a lab 60-80 hours a week at $25k/year. It may not be as romantic as going up into space, but it's risk and sacrifice as well, so don't lecture me.

      P.S.
      If given the opportunity I'd go up as a medical officer.

      You want to talk about the scientific developments that shaped the 20'th century? How about the fact that most of them were driven by the need for safety and/or comfort

      No, most of them were driven by desire to figure out better ways to kill other people.
  31. who crawled up your backside today? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The chairman of the mission management team, John Shannon, said Johnson Space Center's engineering group in Houston wanted to proceed with the repairs. But everyone else, including safety officials, voted to skip them.

    The spacewalk would have had added risk, so much so that mission managers did not want to attempt it unless absolutely necessary. Wednesday's spacewalk, cut short by an astronaut's ripped glove, showed how hazardous even a relatively routine spacewalk can be."

    So not sending crews out on a potentially risky and unnecessary spacewalk to fix a problem that had been characterized as only effecting shuttle maintenance is showing no concern for the astronauts?

    Jeez, how does the parent get modded insightful, for not being able to determine context?
    You're the kind to bitch if they did send them out there to fix it.

  32. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by emotionus · · Score: 1

    We need more rants like this. Life is to easy and we take it for granted. (In the global north). To paraphrase The Libertine - "Life's most interesting experiments will come at one's own expense"

  33. Nasa Repair Plan reminds me of.... by JustASlashDotGuy · · Score: 1

    ....NASA's in-space repair abilities that they spent gobs of money on after Columbia remind me a lot about our "Disaster Recovery" plans at my firm. Sure.. we have one; Sure.. we spend a lot of money on it;... but please.. oh please.. don't make us actually test it or put it into practice.

    I hope they didn't just spend all that money so that could check the "Disaster Recovery" check box on some form and quiet the complaints.

    1. Re:Nasa Repair Plan reminds me of.... by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      It has been *tested.* What you're suggesting is akin to taking down the company servers. The live servers. The servers that run the company. Not backups of the servers, not test boxes, THE servers. The ones that make you piss your pants on a simple restart no matter how redundant they are.

      NASA's tested applying the goop on practice tiles on the end of the arm. Here's the thing: the arm wobbles. the underbelly of the shuttle is fragile. Astronauts on an EVA don't exactly have the same forces available that we do to react instantly. Stuff floats out there, inertia, all that stuff. One wrong hiccup and that 400-500 pound weight is crashing into the shuttle and there's no way to stop it.

      That's why the don't want to do a repair: the risks outweigh the benefits. And what do you think the media would say if the tiles were damaged further during a repair? I shudder to think...

    2. Re:Nasa Repair Plan reminds me of.... by JustASlashDotGuy · · Score: 1


      NASA's tested applying the goop on practice tiles on the end of the arm. Here's the thing: the arm wobbles. the underbelly of the shuttle is fragile. Astronauts on an EVA don't exactly have the same forces available that we do to react instantly. Stuff floats out there, inertia, all that stuff. One wrong hiccup and that 400-500 pound weight is crashing into the shuttle and there's no way to stop it.


      Aren't these this kind of things that all that money and testing were supposed to account for?


      That's why the don't want to do a repair: the risks outweigh the benefits. And what do you think the media would say if the tiles were damaged further during a repair? I shudder to think...


      I believe the media would probably point out that NASA's DR plan was flawed. ... and then five minutes later, they would have a new alert about Britney Spears' latest pool side romps.

      Now, if they did it and everything worked perfectly, then it would be an amazing bit of wonderful PR for NASA. However, Britney would probably trump that news as well.

      The risk/reward angle, is definitely valid and probably spot on. However, I can't shake the feeling that NASA simply doesn't have faith in there own repair techniques. It would make me very nervous if there was a warning label on a repair kit that said, "Last Resort Warning: Only use if you're pretty sure you're gonna die anyway."

    3. Re:Nasa Repair Plan reminds me of.... by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      However, I can't shake the feeling that NASA simply doesn't have faith in there own repair techniques. It would make me very nervous if there was a warning label on a repair kit that said, "Last Resort Warning: Only use if you're pretty sure you're gonna die anyway."

      That pretty much sums up how I feel about any disaster recovery plan. It sorta hits close to home in a way for me, too, actually. We (well, I...) had to do that over the past weekend: we had a production server for a small business (read: too cheap for hardware redundancy) that I help consult for, die. Hard. The raid went out too. Had to recreate the raid from scratch and the data from backup tape.

      Worked fine in the end, but the only way we could actually be sure that it would work is if we either had a spare server (which was obviously not in the budget) or if we took down the production box.

      We monitor the backups, we watch the raid integrity, but in the end, it's just prayin to the FSM if the excrement hits the fan.

    4. Re:Nasa Repair Plan reminds me of.... by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Aren't these this kind of things that all that money and testing were supposed to account for?

      They are accounting for them... in the risk/benefit analysis of attempting the repair vs hoping their analysis of the tile damage is correct.

      The risk/reward angle, is definitely valid and probably spot on. However, I can't shake the feeling that NASA simply doesn't have faith in there own repair techniques. It would make me very nervous if there was a warning label on a repair kit that said, "Last Resort Warning: Only use if you're pretty sure you're gonna die anyway."

      I would be extremely alarmed if they had "faith" in their repair technique. Doing anything in space is very difficult. Repairing something as complex yet delicate as the shuttle is extremely difficult, very dangerous, and could easily make things worse. And that's after they spent all the time, money, and effort to devise a scheme to even make it possible in the first place.

      So yeah, it may pretty much be a repair technique with a "Last Resort Warning" sticker on it. That may also be about as good as you're going to get when we're talking about fixing the shuttle's tiling while in orbit. Is this better or worse than a repair kit with the same warning on it, but you open it and it's just a note that says "Kiss your ass goodbye"?

      I think of the space shuttle as an extension of our experimental aircraft programs, and a lot of astronauts were former test pilots so that's pretty fair. An ejection seat on a jet is a Last Resort, and they are notorious for severely injuring or even killing pilots who use them. Yet given the parameters of what they're doing they aren't bad, and if you have to use one it's either risk injury or death ejecting, or face certain death going down with the plane. That's the kind of situations astronauts have to deal with, pushing the frontiers of human survivability. There are no easy answers in space, pretty much everything has the possibility of killing you, and in this case I'm glad they're saving the "Oh Shit" lever for some other time when the risks on reentry seem worth the risks of a repair mission.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  34. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Anyway, sorry about the rant...


    Not at all. You're Saint and we all admire your wisdom. Please teach us, master.

  35. Meteroid speed by Rob+T+Firefly · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Couldn't they just create some type of shield such as teflon or some other strong material to be placed a short distance from them covering their backs? I would assume that the spacecraft covers their front. The faster meteoroids might be travelling at roughly 30-40 km/sec. (*) In comparison, here on Earth the fastest bullets cruise at around 1.2 km/sec, with slower bullets loping about in the neighborhood of 0.3 to 0.6 km/sec. (*)

    All the strong layers of whatever you want to strap onto an astronaut in addition to all the crap s/he's already got to wear and maneuver through won't help all that much against a small particle moving at that speed.
  36. some people do not deserve mod points by unity100 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    who modded the parent "offtopic" ? someone devoid of capability to establish correlations ?

    1. Re:some people do not deserve mod points by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whoever the humorless guy is, I've been seeing him in recent weeks modding things offtopic that often are funny, but he doesn't seem to get the humor. The problem is, he's pretty active, and it's starting to get annoying. Whoever you are, and maybe you're also the guy who's stared modding heavily against things you perceive as leftwing, I hope you get a life soon. It really feels like one person, too, because the nature of what gets modded offtopic is usually pretty similar, and funny. But not to him.

    2. Re:some people do not deserve mod points by unity100 · · Score: 1

      always report such cases to the /. administration. they take it seriously as they should. ill do it as far as im concerned now.

  37. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

    You know, I know nobody RTFAs anymore, but even TFS made it clear that they determined major risk and the only reason to do a spacewalk would be to prevent the shuttle's aluminum frame from sustaining damage that would be costly to repair.

    They decided it was not worth risking an astronaut's life to repair the shuttle just to potentially save on repair costs.

    In other words THEY ARE MORE CONCERNED WITH LIVES THAN COSTS YOU ASSHOLE.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
  38. Why do we send people into space? by Leuf · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Isn't the whole justification for manned missions that people can react and do a lot more than robots, at least at this point in time? And yet we're afraid to let them out the door to actually do anything. Time and again when people are given the chance to perform they rise to the occasion and exceed expectations.

    Remind me, how many astronauts have we lost on spacewalks?

    1. Re:Why do we send people into space? by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      How many astronauts have we had work on the underside of the shuttle, within arm's reach of tiles that are made of 10% material and 90% void, and the material's just 1-2mm fibre strands of silica, standing on the end of a wobbily robotic arm?

      ( http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/shuttle/technology/sts -newsref/sts_sys.html for details on tile composition)

      As far as 'afraid to let them out the door,' you do realize these guys are putting the ISS together on spacewalks, and they've lost parts on those excursions as well. Also, suits have been damaged (gash through two layers of glove). You know why we haven't lost anyone on a spacewalk? Because at the first hint of any trouble, they're back in the shuttle.

      Here's a physics question for you:

      Astronaut standing on robotic arm underneath shuttle.
      Arm wobbles towards shuttle, then down, away from shuttle.
      What direction does the 200lb astronaut with 200lb gear go?

      That's right. Toward the shuttle. Toward tiles that are 90% nothing. But this risk is worth trying out a complex repair maneuver? And you want the space program to continue?

  39. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by couchslug · · Score: 1

    "Yes, it's important to minimize risk... but sometimes you have to accept a reasonable amount of risk, take a deep breath, and just go."

    The problem isn't the risk to people.
    The current problem is that making systems that carry people is so expensive it eats up the budget we could be using for unmanned exploration. It ties us to primitive systems and slows development.
    No matter how many people we send into space, we'll need advanced unmanned systems to exploit what we find. If we begin by focusing on unmanned systems, we can develop equipment much more rapidly and deploy it at much less cost.
    There is no inherent reason we cannot focus on unmanned, robotic systems and develop them to do everything we'll need, then send the tourists later. If we need astronauts to "do" anything, that indicates we should build an appropriate machine.
    Terrestrial exploration used people because we didn't have anything else. Supporting those people was a burden, they had a high loss rate, when they were lost so was their data, so why replicate those conditions?

    Want to explore space? Here's the way to go:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyager_1
    Think how many, and how much more advanced, unmanned systems could have been deployed if the Shuttle program hadn't gobbled up NASA funding.

    --
    "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
  40. Remember, many of the early shuttle flights... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    ...landed just fine with tiles completely missing from the underbelly of the ship. For the earlier flights before the Columbia disaster, a typical shuttle mission had on average about 40 or so damaged tiles from foam and ice collisions during liftoff and climbout. One Columbia mission in 1997 even landed just fine with over 300 tiles damaged. In 1988, probably the most extensive tile damage was the Atlantis landing at Edwards with over 700 tiles damaged on the lower portions of the ship, with 298 of those having damage bigger than one inch. Extensive repairs were needed after that one.

  41. somewhat agree but... by Jeremy_Bee · · Score: 1

    While I basically agree with the thrust of your argument that armchair quarterbacks are talking out of the wrong orifice on this one, I think the same applies to those defending the decision doesn't it?

    I am prepared to go along with the experts, but it still seems to me that the "downside" of repairing the hole has been wildly exaggerated. IMO it seems unlikely in the extreme, (based on previous mission reported experiences), that an astronaut would damage the underbelly of the shuttle by fixing it. It's possible of course, but these kinds of manouvres have been carried out for many years, mostly without incident. And even if they did damage it, thats a commercial loss, not a loss of human life, right?

    Why gamble with human lives because you are worried about scratching the expensive "space SUV?"

    It's possible that a blob on the bottom of the orbiter could cause some kind of flow abnormality also, but again, this seems like another bit of hyperbole to me. We are talking about a repair system specifically designed for this purpose. One that could possibly end up with a bit of ceramic paste sticking out a few milimetres from the bottom surface. Unless they already know that the much vaunted "repair kit" doesn't work and is more of a media item than a useful tool, why would they not take this opportunity to show us how fabulously it works?

    As I said, they are most likely making the correct decision here and most of us probably don't know what we are talking about, but when the only downside to fixing it is likely a commercial loss and the downside to not fixing it is another ship full of dead astronauts, you'd think they would give their brand new space-caulking-gun a whirl.

    1. Re:somewhat agree but... by everphilski · · Score: 1

      IMO it seems unlikely in the extreme, (based on previous mission reported experiences), that an astronaut would damage the underbelly of the shuttle by fixing it. It's possible of course, but these kinds of manouvres have been carried out for many years, mostly without incident.

      Underbelly operations are not par for the course. In fact they were impossible before Columbia. The Canadarm could not reach the belly of the Shuttle prior. The top of the Shuttle is mostly not composed of fragile tiles. After Columbia protocol was developed for extending the Canadarm and for operating against fragile tiles. As a last resort.

      And even if they did damage it, thats a commercial loss, not a loss of human life, right?

      If there were issues with a rescue mission, it could be a loss of human life.

  42. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by TheMeuge · · Score: 1

    Never send a machine to do a man's job. No amount of data will make up for the lack of information we get from seeing, and touching things.

  43. Re:same moron with mod points again by posterlogo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Your comment is off topic (as is mine, probably). I hope your whole thread gets modded down to obscurity. Stop whining about mod points.

  44. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

    Think how many, and how much more advanced, unmanned systems could have been deployed if the Shuttle program hadn't gobbled up NASA funding.

    Like the Hubble? Oh wait

    I blame the ISS more than the shuttle. We could've had more Hubble-like devices out there if we didn't lock ourselves into dedicating all shuttle hours to that boondoggle of Skylab 2 out there.

    To properly explore space you can't rely on one thing. Sure, we've got unmanned probes to do amazing things (we being mankind; Japan's asteroid mission was incredible) but there's also a benefit to having high powered satellites within orbit that we can maintain.

    Plus shuttle missions have the added benefit of being able to observe the effects of outer space on people, and what limitations they have. You know...something that might be important for when the tourists go up...

  45. Why not fix it anyway? by Nim82 · · Score: 1

    Regardless of whether it's critical or not, why don't they use this as an oppertunity to test their ability to fix such issues in space? Try the emergency sealant/filler/whatever and see how effectively it works in a *real* scenario.

    Sooner or later it's no doubt going to be needed, so why not build up practical experience?

    1. Re:Why not fix it anyway? by Gil-snowboarder · · Score: 1

      Remember that media are looking for ratings so they blow everything out of proportion (as they did with the coverage of tiles & the ding in the window in this case, the computers going down in the last mission, the blanket pulling away on the mission before that) In previous missions, shuttles have come back with MISSING tiles. If it wasn't for Columba and ALL the checking they do NOW, we wouldn't have know about these damaged tiles until after C had landed. The damaged tiles are NOT that bad. The crew will make it back safely. it will cause some work to be done to fix the results but nothing bad. (they are figuring that it may take up to 12 weeks to fix, most of that time will in normal processing of the craft for the next launch) What this will do is verify all there analyzing and testing they did. on the next launch or two most likely they will plan a real test of patching tiles (within the shuttle bay for safety) and do the ark jet testing when they get home. Remember that if they had done the repair, they could have done a LOT more damage if something went wrong in the process and then they will be having to do a rescue mission to return the crew. (Endeavour would have been dumped in the oshon, they would have taken MANY RISKS to get the next shuttle up to the station and the shuttle program would come to an END) The next space craft (Orion) is in the works but will not be operational until 2014. If you are going to follow the space program, please go to a real site for your info and not those news sites that are just looking for ratings. please check out the site www.nasaspaceflight.com think of it as slashdot for the space program but with insider info (it has a public and pay sections) BTW- did you stop driving over bridges when that last bridge collapse? I don't thick so! Are they now out checking/fixing the bridges now, YES. Should the shuttle program come to a stop because of a little damage, NO. Are they going to fix the problem of the large chunks of foam falling off, yes over time. do you stop using a computer because of the bugs in the software, no but you fix them as soon as you can.

  46. An odd decision by Autonomous+Crowhard · · Score: 1
    Not making the repairs strikes me as odd. If it turns out that the gouge was too big we lose the crew (including yet another teacher) and the shuttle. And they'll never know if the repair would have saved them. If the gouge didn't need repairs we get to find out how the repairs hold up under real world conditions.

    Also, this would a chance to test the repair kits in a real world scenario. It's a simple 2x2 matrix of whether is works or not and whether it was needed or not. The only problem is if the repair doesn't work and was needed, but then the results are the same as if you've done nothing.

    The only time you wouldn't want to do the repairs is if there's a threat that the repairs either make things worse or the act of doing the repairs causes more damage. If these are the case then NASA needs to rethink the repair procedures.

    1. Re:An odd decision by Anomalyst · · Score: 1

      It's a simple 2x2 matrix
      IANARA (Risk Analyst) but there are many more factors to be taken into account. I would certainly like to see the actual analysis and probabilities to quell my concern that a thorough risk analysis was actually done instead of a show of hands. To your point though, prior posts raise the danger of an EVA to that astronaut and to the shuttle and its tiles, while attempting the repair. Also there is introducing unknowns into the airflow with protrusions by the "goop" instead of the gouges (which other shuttle re-entries with similar gouges found afterwards have not shown to be a significant danger). Integrating those associated risks make a repair attempt far from the "no-brainer" implied.
      --
      There is no right to feel safe thru security vaudeville at the expense of everyone's freedom, privacy and tax money.
    2. Re:An odd decision by gclef · · Score: 1
      In case it wasn't blindingly obvious, moving around in space is hard. Your decision matrix is *far* larger than 2x2...there is no given that the application itself won't cause further problems.

      Imagine doing something that requires fine motor control (like, smoothly filling a space with fairly sticky stuff) under the following conditions:
      1. Your entire body is encased in a bulky 100-lb suit.
      2. Your hands are encased in enormous gloves that are effectively oven mitts.
      3. Any force you exert against the surface you're trying to fix results from you getting pushed away from it (Yay, Newton), and then pushed back by the shuttle arm you're standing on. Since this force isn't drowned out by a large constant force (they're in free-fall, after all), you end up bouncing around every time you touch anything.
      4. If you fall (ie, come dis-connected from the shuttle), you're going to die a slow, horrible death.
      5. If you screw up and do more damage, you just killed yourself and everyone with you.
      6. If you screw up and just slightly mis-apply the goo, you might kill yourself, and everyone with you...we don't know because we've never tried it.
      There's only so many procedures you're going to get under those conditions, and none of them are something you want to do unless there is no other choice. This isn't simple matrix management...this is fairly complex risk analysis. Naive criticism that they need to "rethink the repair procedures" conveniently leaves out the whole bit where this is hard.
  47. meh by maxume · · Score: 1

    First:

    http://www.idlewords.com/2005/08/a_rocket_to_nowhe re.htm

    Second, covering up what a piece of shit it might be isn't going to make it any better, and good luck covering up anything like Columbia(which would probably be more likely in the insular environment you propose).

    Tautologically speaking, the future lies in the future, not the past. The space program should take stock of that and abandon its current public relations focus and get back to doing interesting stuff, like imaging the entirety of the planet in interesting frequencies and so on. Ten unserviceable Hubblets would have done plenty of good science too.

    --
    Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  48. Why are we having this discussion? by SuperCharlie · · Score: 1

    After the reviews, investigations, and all the freaking hoopla about things falling on the shuttle during take-off, please tell me why we are having this discussion.

    If we cant keep chunks of stupidity from falling and breaking things, maybe we need to figure out a different way to launch the thing..

  49. yes by unity100 · · Score: 1

    entire world should be modded offtopic to hell

  50. Re:I'm glad I don't have to trust beaurocrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    given their record, I wouldn't

    I wonder how much has been lost

  51. NASA PR vs. Nature by Ranger · · Score: 1
    Yeah, it's been quoted before, but we'll see if NASA has taken this to heart. Maybe, if they lose a third shuttle they will.

    For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled.

    . . . . . — Richard P. Feynman, Appendix F - Personal observations on the reliability of the Shuttle
    I would recommend they go ahead and test the goop in the shuttle bay and even paint it and see how it does in the vacuumn and exposed to sunlight for a day. Then they can determine if the goop has a good chance of sticking. If they are happy with it, then apply the goop carefully, let it set. Then paint it, let it set. Then inspect one last time and come home.

    I'm worried they are still playing Russian roulette with the space shuttle. "Well, it didn't burn up/blow up that time. It must be OK."
    --
    "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  52. Not good by Iowan41 · · Score: 1

    The damage is such that it may well destroy the spacecraft. Plasma will get into the airframe and wheel well, and not so far from the APCs, which potentially could explode. Previous protocol required that the crew return by Russian capsule and leave the shuttle docked to Fred. NASA doesn't have a good record on making non-political decisions regarding shuttle safety. They ought to at least give the crew options on return method.

  53. A Few Nerve-wracking Minutes for Shuttle Crew by aquatone282 · · Score: 1

    . . . during re-entry wondering if leaving their fate to a committee was a smart idea.

    --
    What?
  54. aluminum frame by f1055man · · Score: 1

    So my Ti/carbon fiber bike is more advanced than the space shuttle? What was the reasoning for that design decision?

    1. Re:aluminum frame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fact that the design decisions were made in 1972, a couple of decades before your fancy bike was still made out of steel?

  55. ROFL by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    ROFL. Dude, while I may have said "no offense" before, thinking maybe you're just repeating something you haven't thought much about. But if you actually think that the sterile controlled environment of a lab, plus the fact that once you were underpaid, make you soo entitled to demand that someone risks _death_ in a damaged shuttle... well, please do take offense. Or better yet, please go see a shrink. You're so disconnected from reality, it's funny.

    Wake me up when you're actually facing risk at least similar to what you demand there. Like, I don't know, when you've volunteered for new medicine tests. Now even that isn't actually that close, but it's a step upwards.

    Plus, you can't say that _you_ are doing it haughtily or foolishly, but demand no less than that NASA does just that: act haughtily and foolishly. Because it's such an outrage to you if they exercise proper caution.

    Get a grip.

    Plus, to get back to that bitching and moaning about how concerns over safety are braking progress, how do you see that progress happening _without_ it, in this particular case?

    If NASA can't keep a multi-billion dollar shuttle from blowing up every few missions, with a whole army to take care of it, how do you propose that that progresses to the stage where it's ready for mass use? Even if we were to accept risking life and limb, a space aircraft/bus that blows up every couple of flights just isn't worth it economically. If that space bus blows up as little as every 10'th trip, even assuming everyone was fearless and bet their life on such odds, you'd be looking at a price high enough to build a new one and train a new crew every 10'th trip.

    Any kind of space-related progress from where we are, will have to involve moving more humans and materials through space. Whether it's hotels and labs and office buildings in orbit, or mining sites on the moon and mars, we'll need some kind of cheap and _reliable_ space bus to move people and cargo up and down. And the current space shuttle just isn't it. Someone will have to make something with a better safety record, not because of "scaremongering", but because it's just not worth shipping anything up and down if you blow up a multi-billion dollar shuttle every few flights. There's just no price at which you can sell that cargo, or the tickets on such a space bus, that covers that kind of losses.

    So from a very pragmatic point of view, NASA _has_ to work on a better safety record before that technology is ready to trickle down to civillian use. If they take a cavallier "oh well, human lives are expendable" attitude, space flight will never progress from ivory-tower national-penis-size-symbol to a more mass-use technology.

    So even if it were scaremongering that drives that research into safety... good! Because we'll need that anyway, if we're progress in that direction.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  56. Alternatives to tiles? by rubberbandball · · Score: 0

    Why hasn't this been discussed? Since it seems to be the newsworthiest story of the last few shuttle flights and all, you would think someone would have brought it up.

    Are there any alternatives to the thermal tiles? I'm sure that NASA has some profound (no, really) reasoning for using them and all, but isn't there an alternative? A solid piece of thermal plating on the underside (aside from landing gear doors) would be easier to repair than spreading space grout with an astro-trowel, no? Or is it that the tiles distribute the heat more evenly that that are continually used?

    I'm sure they're thinking of a way out of the tiles at this point, and one of the lead developers could even be reading /. right now! band together and brainstorm!

    --
    oh marmalade.
    1. Re:Alternatives to tiles? by slew · · Score: 1

      Historically, most orbital return vehicles primarily use some sort of ablative heat shield technology where some outer coating burns off to create a boundary layer which protects the re-entry object from the full effect of the heat from the high-temp gas shock region.

      On the other hand, the shuttle tiles are basically form a big thermal soak that absorbs the heat and keep it away from the shuttle frame. Since nothing is "burning-away" in a thermal soak scheme, it was thought that this would help in resuability.

      Some more modern re-entry devices use radiatively cooled systems (so called hot-metal) which instead of absorbing all the heat and storing it (e.g., in tiles), actually try to re-radiate the heat into the atmosphere (after the initial heat shock of initial re-entry, generally the average heat load is lower so this usually works). I think the leading edge of the space shuttle wings are radiatively cooled, but the bulk of the body is tiles for weight reasons. I also have heard of proposed modern re-entry vehicles that used various types of shingles as radiatively cooled systems for the bulk (and I seem to recall that this was also proposed for the shuttle).

      I'm not sure what you mean about thermal plating (is that not what a tile is?). The reason the tiles are small and have gap-fillers between them is that the tiles expand when they heat up (as most things do). A solid piece of thermal plating that covered the whole underside would likely deform and/or crack if heated irregularly and that would be pretty tough to engineer or reuse.

      I assume that metal-ceramic material science has advanced enough to make radiatively cooled systems more practical now (where they weren't very practical cost/weight-wize when they had to be all made of titanium)...

      I don't really think any of this is "rocket-science" (just material-science ;^). Nearly everyone involved with this stuff are aware of the facts and tradeoffs already (or could have googled for them)...

  57. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about this:
     
    They have determined that the damage will in no way bring down the shuttle and kill its passengers.
     
    So they switch to their second piority- protect the shuttle.
     
    Happy?

  58. Tomato, tomah-to, Endeavor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Endeavour.

    http://space.about.com/b/a/256929.htm /NASA = Need Another Spellcheck ASAP

  59. This is Rocket Science? by terencen · · Score: 1

    Perhaps NASA should try out their procedure for repairing tile damage. If the repair doesn't work as expected, the experience gained may prove useful on some future occasion.

    Is the repair procedure really riskier than re-entering the atmosphere with the damage untreated? I think the final decision should be made by the crew. The crew might even abandon the repair procedure, if it goes badly, and still learn something from the attempt.

  60. Takes more than a former teacher on board... by Ellis+D.+Tripp · · Score: 1

    to get decent coverage of a shuttle launch. I was watching the NASA-TV internet streaming video of the launch, and also turned on ABC network news hoping to see some better video. The network coverage:

    Didn't even START until T-30 seconds.

    The commentator kept talking OVER the astronauts and CAPCOM voice feed. Heaven forbid the blow-dried talking head SHUT UP for a few minutes!

    Ended even before SRB separation.

    --
    Remember "News for Nerds, Stuff that Matters"? Help make it a reality again! http://soylentnews.org
  61. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by couchslug · · Score: 1

    "No amount of data will make up for the lack of information we get from seeing, and touching things."

    Cameras can see more than the human eye, and everything we "touch" will be through a barrier such as a glove. If you want tactile feedback, machines can offer that as well.

    "Never send a machine to do a man's job."

    What job can man do hands-on that must be done for space exploration and is not possible to do by machine?

    --
    "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
  62. Reinvited from the Apollo Era by Zancarius · · Score: 1

    > We all know the space fleet is beyond it's shelf life. So why hasn't it been scraped and reinvented with more pioneering technology?

    It sort of has been proposed that the shuttle should be replaced with "more pioneering technology." But you'll notice that the current ideas on the table, specifically the Orion spacecraft, are similar in design to something from the Apollo era with some technology borrowed from the shuttle. What's old is new again, I suppose.

    I know, I'm sure you were expecting something Star Trek-esque rather than the antiquated splash-down capsule for four to six astronauts. But, save for Apollo One, we never lost any crews on the Apollo missions--and Apollo One was lost on the launch pad. (Understandably, the shuttles have flown far more missions, but there's something to be said for simple design.)

    --
    He who has no .plan has small finger. ~ Confucius on UNIX
  63. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by couchslug · · Score: 1

    "benefit to having high powered satellites within orbit that we can maintain."

    Which does not, in principle, require humans to do the work. The investment in bringing up humans to fix their appliances could be redirected into more developed, less expensive appliances that are expendable.
    Home computers are "maintainable", but they are now so cheap they are routinely thrown away. As we move into space, we'll need lots of expendable hardware to avoid wasting expensive travel time on repairs that may or may not work.

    "Plus shuttle missions have the added benefit of being able to observe the effects of outer space on people, and what limitations they have. You know...something that might be important for when the tourists go up..."

    My point being that there is no rush to send those tourists up and hurrying to do so at the expense of other more useful programs is inefficient.

    --
    "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
  64. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by TheMeuge · · Score: 1
    What job can man do hands-on that must be done for space exploration and is not possible to do by machine?

    Exploring...

    I am sure that you have no experience with scientific research, because any researcher will tell you that to do something yourself, or to have a machine do it, is worlds apart.
  65. Risky?? by JEntwistle · · Score: 1

    How is the possible repair of actual damage to the Shuttle underbelly more risky than removing filler material sticking out the tile gaps previously?? It seems to me that it was much more risky to remove the filler material when there was no tile damage present. I believe the reasoning was that the filler material could affect the aerodynamics of the Shuttle, but so could a 3" gash in the underbelly.

    Man, there is going to be a lot of engineers holding their breathe on this landing...

  66. The reason NASA does'nt want you to see more. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The ET/alient factor.

    They have to edit everything much much more because of ET objects. Some might mod this funny. But can you ask yourself the exact question the parent posted posed, why does nasa not give out more? Why isin't there a 'shuttle space cam' that just peers off into space on the shuttle, or many cams for that matter. They could even be accessed from the internet, though this should be obvious by now. There is a reason stuff is being withheld. If it is not ET objects/phenomena then why don't they do this. Please proove me wrong.

  67. I want more NASA on Discovery Channel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why aren't there some shows on Discovery Channel about the Shuttle and ISS? I can't recall a single show in the last 5 years. You would think they would be able to fit in at least one or two between endless reruns of Mythbusters, Dirty Jobs, and Deadliest Catch. I propose we all write to Discovery Channel and demand more coverage.

  68. Spelling error: Endeavour instead of Endeavor by stevenrieder · · Score: 1

    The shuttle's name is Endeavour, spelled in the British way, instead of Endeavor. The shuttle is named after HM Bark Endeavour, the ship commanded by James Cook, and the name also honors the Command Module of Apollo 15, which was also called Endeavour.

    --
    Hier staat een stukje tekst.
  69. Arm Chair Quarterbacking - Geek Edition by mdmoery · · Score: 1

    Here is what is different from STS-107 and before:

    * Many more cameras to monitor the ascent, including those cool views from the tops and bottoms of BOTH SRB's

    * A new orbiter sensing boom with LASER cameras to get 3D images. Used at least twice every mission, day 2 and again two days before re-entry

    * An extra back-flip maneuver during the ISS rendezvous for hi-res photos.

    So as a result, they knew about this problem prior to landing which they WOULDN'T have on any mission before STS-107.

    Also new:

    * 3 different methods of tile repair if needed.

    So now they take all of this and make a detailed engineering and risk analysis. What are we risking by landing as is? Computer model predicts that it is OK to land. Also, ACTUAL TILE is put into the arc-jet and tested in REAL REENTRY CONDITIONS to determine what happens if we leave it alone.

    Oh, and don't forget they have the engineering expertise of 116 prior SUCCESSFUL Space Shuttle reentries and landings to draw from too, including a very similar tile damage event from STS-26.

    Compare all of that to the VERY REAL RISK of causing WORSE damage by attempting the repair.

    Their careful judgment: Leave it alone.

    Is this a risk free decision? Nope - spaceflight is ALWAYS GOING TO BE A RISK. So everyone needs to get over that part. As long as they are making decisions on SCIENTIFIC and ENGINEERING grounds instead of the old Challenger/Columbia "well the o-ring/foam hasn't killed us before so it won't this time" mindset from before the accidents.

    They did a good job here. Think it through and give them a break...

    Oh, and as for the "why don't we get a new vehicle" posters - we are. Orion, 2014. Shuttle program over no later than October 1, 2010. Want it sooner? Give NASA MANY more billion dollars per year than we are now and they can get Orion going faster. Otherwise, here we are.

  70. NASA = Need Another Seven Astronauts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA = Need Another Seven Astronauts

  71. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by Chris+Burke · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well it's not offensive when you put it like that, but it's still not right. They are still considering the lives the astronauts at the expense of the shuttle. Their analysis and simulation said that with the present damage the worst that will happen is that the shuttle's wing might be damaged and require lengthy, expensive repairs on the ground. That's the money angle. They could try to patch the damage and prevent this, but EVA is dangerous and these repairs are difficult, if it ends up causing more damage to the delicate tiles then all the astronauts' lives are in danger. On-the ground repairs, no matter how expensive, are a better option.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
  72. The Crew Implicitly Does Decide by iamlucky13 · · Score: 1

    The decision sort of already is with the crew. They may have nerves of steel, but I seriously doubt any of them are going to blindly take the risk unnecessarily.

    If the crew didn't trust the engineers on the ground, they don't have to re-enter. Ground control can't get the shuttle down remotely without the crew prepping it (landing gear control needs to be hooked up to the computer, thrusters need to be powered on, docking hatch has to be sealed). They can raise a fuss and holler, and NASA will get them down by their altnernate means (Soyuz or rushed rescue shuttle). Sure, outright rebellion would be the end of their careers, but these are smart people, and a career doesn't mean much if you're dead.

    So the crew is implicitly in the decision loop. They might not have all the info, but at the very least you know they've seen the damage. The general public probably doesn't really appreciate how much the crew, especially the pilot and commander, are very familiar with the inner workings of the shuttle. They definitely know enough to be able to make intuitive assessments of various situations, such as aircraft pilots passed on your work as an avionics specialist, and possibly numerical ones too (since about half the crew has engineering degrees).

    Assuming ground control has fully briefed them, which there is not really any reason to doubt, they recognize there is an added risk to re-entering as-is, and there is a risk to sending astronauts out-of-sight underneath the shuttle where there's potential for them to cause further damage if they're not careful. They've said in several interviews they're aware of the damage, but trust the assessment from the ground.

    I personally thought this would be an outstanding opportunity to do a real test of their repair method, but obviously people more familiar with it don't find the payoff equal to the added risk.

  73. Mod Parent Up! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry I don't have any mod points, but everyone interested in this discussion should be aware of the material you posted.

  74. Re:Isn't there a teacher on board this time? by geekoid · · Score: 1

    When you need to do an EVA to repair, there is a risk you will do more damage.

    Just to point it out again, the shuttle has landed many time with missing tiles.

    It is classic risk analysis.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  75. Definitive Proof by toolie · · Score: 1

    These articles on NASA are definitive proof that when it comes to aerospace/NASA if ignorance was truly bliss, the average Slashdotter would be orgasmic.

    --
    -- toolie
  76. Re:NASA = Need Another Shuttle Also by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    (the old Challenger-era joke.)

  77. Unmanned landing? by moosesocks · · Score: 1

    I'm no expert on these things, but wouldn't it make sense to leave the astronauts on the ISS to be returned by a Soyuz capsule, rather than risking their lives by landing them on a potentially damaged craft?

    After all, the shuttle did gain the ability to land on its own a few years back.

    Sure, Russia would have to send 2 extra pods to the ISS, but from what I understand, that's a fairly trivial procedure when compared to a shuttle launch. (Compare these two pictures. Note the size of the man standing next to the rocket, along with the profound lack of ground infrastructure.)

    --
    -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
  78. They shouldn't have to worry by iminplaya · · Score: 1

    As long as they have an inanimate carbon rod.

    Oh, those Golden Grahams.
    Oh, those Golden Grahams.
    Crispy, crunchy, graham cereal, brand new breakfast treat......

    --
    What?
  79. Fair is fair by watermodem · · Score: 1

    If the shuttle burns up on entry from these chipped and cracked tiles that could have been fixed...

    The proper action would be to throw the NASA staff who made the decision not to fix it out of an aircraft at a high altitude without chutes or other means of rescue...

    Like fair is fair.

  80. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by couchslug · · Score: 1

    "I am sure that you have no experience with scientific research, because any researcher will tell you that to do something yourself, or to have a machine do it, is worlds apart."

    I'm sure you didn't answer the question. :)
    For terrestrial research, perhaps, but in space one interfaces with the environment via machines and sensors. Therefore, the difference is human proximity to the sensor. The machine is not doing things for you, it is the mechanism by which you do things.

    "Exploring..."
    That is not a specific reply.

    --
    "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
  81. Re:Disaster waiting to happen by TheMeuge · · Score: 1

    The trouble is that you think of space exploration as dry data-gathering. It's not.

    That's the cardinal difference between data gathering and exploring - the human element.

  82. What is up with the shuttles lately? by 56ksucks · · Score: 1

    It seams every time one goes up we hear about a hole being knocked in it. I don't remember hearing too much about that in the 80's and 90's. Are they just that freaking old that they're falling apart with every launch?

    --

    ---- "Excuse me. Where's the children's gun section?"