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Sony Calls Current Blu-ray/HD DVD Format War a 'Stalemate

unger814 writes "Sony CEO Howard Stringer says that Blu-ray and HD DVD are currently in a 'stalemate' and is 'playing down the importance of the battle.' Stringer addressed a crowd at Manhattan's 92nd Street Y cultural center Thursday, where he said that 'it was a matter of prestige' which format wins. Stringer pointed to the switch by Paramount from producing movies in both formats to only HD DVD as a turning point. 'We were trying to win on the merits, which we were doing for a while, until Paramount changed sides,' Stringer said."

102 of 547 comments (clear)

  1. Hmm by moogied · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The first person to believe they have lost momentum is often the loser.

    --
    So basically, -1 troll/offtopic is really slashdots way of saying "I hate that you thought of something before me."
    1. Re:Hmm by mrops · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Momentum! What momentum?

      Blu Ray never gained momentum, for that matter, neither did HD DVD. However its looking more and more that HD DVD is slowly gaining momentum. Paramount Switch, 100$ HDDVD players.

    2. Re:Hmm by Troed · · Score: 2, Informative

      No, 2:1 is when counting just movies - and it's growing in favour of Blu-ray.

    3. Re:Hmm by lazyforker · · Score: 2, Informative

      Agreed. Some sales reports of the recent Wal-Mart price cut of the Toshiba HD-A2 suggest sales in excess of 90,000 HD-DVD players in the last couple of weeks... http://www.videobusiness.com/article/CA6498141.html Whereas Blu-Ray players are gathering dust.

      I'm personally staying out of this mess until there's a single, industry-wide standard. And it doesn't look like Blu-Ray is going to be it. Take a look at this Gizmodo article http://gizmodo.com/gadgets/exclusive/the-state-of-blu+ray-320077.php describing the THREE Blu-Ray ""Profiles". Holy crap. As if there wasn't enough confusion in the typical consumer's mind.

    4. Re:Hmm by sanosuke76 · · Score: 2, Informative

      This is an old, incorrect meme which hasn't managed to die yet. Fabrication machines which were partially owned by Disney, were contractually prohibited from being used to press pornographic Blu-Ray discs. They don't own all the fab machines.

      --
      My 229 is all the Sig I need http://thegunwiki.com/
  2. Wow by somersault · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Frosty piss!? Since the formats are roughly equal, then it is down to who does the dirtiest deals and knocks out their opponent with copious amounts of cash..

    --
    which is totally what she said
    1. Re:Wow by SQLGuru · · Score: 5, Funny

      I willing to accept large amounts of cash and electronics in order to accept one format as the winner.....

      Layne

    2. Re:Wow by MBGMorden · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The second issue that I expect to be decisive is that Sony refuses to allow porn on Blu-Ray, HD-DVD does not attempt to restrict the content produced. I don't think that any format is viable if the provider attempts to restrict the content. Even if you don't want porn, how can you be sure Sony won't make some new restriction you do care about? Ironically, the porn market is ran by some smart people. While I expect that HD-DVD allowing porn WILL be some level of advantage, most porn is already moving onto the internet for digital distribution. I think physical media will remain, only for those people who are either stubborn to adopt new technologies ('course HDTV isn't likely to be in their homes) and people who are simply unable to get broadband internet. Lots of sites do subscriptions at $20-30 per month and have weekly updates (or when you consider that one membership usually includes access to half a dozen sites, all updated weekly, it's more like daily updates). And most of this: completely DRM free. A few companies even started out with DRM in place, and then later completely removed it. And the quality? A lot of the better quality sites have video available in HD now.
      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
  3. Not sure what he means. by RandoX · · Score: 5, Insightful

    'We were trying to win on the merits, which we were doing for a while, until Paramount changed sides,'

    Now what? Are you going to try to win by unlawful or dishonest tactics? Not sure why you wouldn't try to win on the merits, unless you know that your product isn't as good...

    1. Re:Not sure what he means. by eln · · Score: 4, Funny

      As tends to happen in most asymmetrical warfare situations, Sony will be turning to terrorism. If HD-DVD really gets a big lead, I would avoid the Electronics section at the local Wal-Mart if I were you.

    2. Re:Not sure what he means. by mgblst · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Now what? Are you going to try to win by unlawful or dishonest tactics? Not sure why you wouldn't try to win on the merits, unless you know that your product isn't as good...


      This is very simplistic thinking. The fact is that Toshiba paid Paramount a lot of money to drop Blu-Ray support. Toshiba could pay everyone else to drop Blu-Ray support as well. So maybe you could explain how sticking to being "honest", and relying on the merits of the format would help win here? What an idiotic thing to say.

      It is clear how this is heading, just as Sony and Microsoft fight over exclusives for their consoles, Sony and Toshiba are going to fight over exclusives for their HD formats. Sony may have a superior format in some ways, size of data on the disc, but that wont win them the war.
    3. Re:Not sure what he means. by mgblst · · Score: 4, Informative

      Wow, didn't really think this was even in question, I thought everybody new this.

      http://www.tech.co.uk/home-entertainment/high-definition/news/toshiba-welcomes-paramount-hd-dvd-deal?articleid=734466306

      First link that came up in google for "toshiba paramount deal"

      This is just the cost of doing business.

    4. Re:Not sure what he means. by squiggleslash · · Score: 3, Informative

      As usual, it's an idiotic Slashbot simplification - if you don't like the results, pretend it's all about bribery. Paramount was paid for switching to HD-DVD, but it's not the only reason. Paramount does appear to believe HD-DVD is technically a superior system.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    5. Re:Not sure what he means. by veganboyjosh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While you're at it, I'd stay away from the ethnic foods aisle as well...

    6. Re:Not sure what he means. by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Paramount was paid for switching to HD-DVD, but it's not the only reason. Paramount does appear to believe HD-DVD is technically a superior system.

      If they believed all that strongly in HD-DVD's technical merits, the switch wouldn't have required grease on the wheels. Additionally, you're citing Panasonic's CTO as to the switch. No matter what the reason was, he's going to tell you it wasn't the money. Even if it was, in fact, the money.

    7. Re:Not sure what he means. by UbuntuDupe · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah, that a good point. A lot of axiom sets imply that 50 Gigs is less than 30 Gigs.

      (I don't know if that's funny, flamebait, or insightful.)

  4. A pox on both their houses by Raul654 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This comes down to greed, pure and simple. Rather than sitting down and coming to a standard acceptable industry-wide, these corporations decided to go it alone and try to beat the other guys in a format war. The result has been market confusion. I heard one NPR analyst estimate that this format war has reduced the market for next-gen DVDs by 90% - in other words, 90% of potential consumers stay away until the war has a clear winner. And there's no end in sight. I hope the format war continues on indefinitely, to teach companies a lesson not to do this in the future.

    --


    To make laws that man cannot, and will not obey, serves to bring all law into contempt.
    --E.C. Stanton
    1. Re:A pox on both their houses by hedwards · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I agree, ultimately, I think that HD-DVD is probably going to be the winner, but really only because the equipment is less expensive, and seems less prone to manufacturing problems.

      I think from the consumer perspective that the formats aren't really different enough to justify two of them. Perhaps if blue ray could offer something compelling that wasn't available in HD-DVD, then they'd have something, but all you get is a bit of extra run time that'll rarely be used and more encryption. Most consumers don't even use all the functionality that regular DVDs provide. Few use the surround sound capabilities that most DVDs have.

      I haven't really seen anything which makes me think that one is really better than the other in a significant way.

    2. Re:A pox on both their houses by Aladrin · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Of course, the other problem is that the difference between DVD and HDDVD/Bluray is not clear enough.

      When I first went to buy an HDTV, I was very excited. I got to the store, looked at everything... And then realized: I couldn't tell the difference between the HDTV and regular TV... Both were CRT at the time. I went away very disheartened.

      It wasn't until a couple years later that I finally bought an LCD HDTV for gaming, instead of TV, and I was very happy. To this day, I still can't see much difference between HD and regular TV on my 50" LCD. And while I can tell the difference between Bluray and DVD, the difference isn't big enough for me to justify spending twice as much on the discs.

      So, if I can hardly tell the difference and I'm fully invested in the system... What about normal people? All they have is the hype... There's no proof.

      I must say one thing has impressed me, though: Over the Air HD broadcasts. The same channel that is a mess of colored fuzz with sound in regular broadcasts is a perfectly clear channel in HD. (I admit, that could be my crappy antenna, though.)

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    3. Re:A pox on both their houses by mgblst · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This comes down to greed, pure and simple.

      This is a foolish statement. It has nothing to do with greed, everything to do with profits. (How can a company be greedy anyway, they are supposed to make as much money as they legally can) How can something like this be modded up. Why do people persist in calling companies greedy, when it makes as much sense as calling your car greedy for oil, or your hat greedy. The fact that you got modded up to 5 only proves that there are a lot of fools that make the same mistake.

    4. Re:A pox on both their houses by yakumo.unr · · Score: 2, Informative

      They are sub $100, at least one company is selling $99 HD-dvd's through walmart and I think others.

    5. Re:A pox on both their houses by Raul654 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's greed because instead of being content to try to get the industry to agree on a standard (which would have resulted in a fully functional market, in which everyone makes a fair profit) they decided to try to standardize in their own proprietary formats, resulting in a confused market that people stay away from - and nobody profits. That's greed, by definition.

      --


      To make laws that man cannot, and will not obey, serves to bring all law into contempt.
      --E.C. Stanton
    6. Re:A pox on both their houses by Kjella · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Oh, I think I can predict who the winner is. I think the pain threshold is around "put it on when you go to sleep, done when you get home from school/work" which comes out to 30GB/16hrs = 4Mbit sustained. Now we're not quite there yet, but we're getting there. For several years now our main telco has been lying fiber to all new housing, so even if it doesn't happen overnight more and more buildings will be directly linked with fiber. At that point it's really just a question of how much you're willing to pay...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    7. Re:A pox on both their houses by Raul654 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I wouldn't go that far. The big players in this - Sony, Toshiba, Microsoft, Paramount - are very big and diversified companies. Losing will cost them money, but not bankrupt them.

      --


      To make laws that man cannot, and will not obey, serves to bring all law into contempt.
      --E.C. Stanton
    8. Re:A pox on both their houses by pete-classic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      37 vs. 54 Mbps isn't peanuts.

      That said, if studios encode once and stick it on both formats Blu-ray has no advantage.

      -Peter

    9. Re:A pox on both their houses by SpryGuy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Weird. I have a 46" 1080p HD-TV that I just bought, and the difference between HD channels and regular channels is STUNNING to me. So dramatic, in fact, that I hate going back to 'standard def' TV for those channels I don't have in HD (which, alas, is most of them).

      I am not about to pick a horse in this format war just yet (especially not at these prices), so I just replaced my existing DVD player with a cheap "Up-converting" DVD player-Recorder ($100! AND it plays and copies VHS tapes to DVD!) ... and my existing DVD collection looks tons better than it ever did on my old TV with my old player.

      Now, I can't see much difference between Blu-Ray and HD-DVD, video quality-wise, but the video quality difference between the HD channels and the standard def channels is dramatic, and I could never go back.

      --

      - Spryguy
      There are three kinds of people in this world: those that can count and those that can't
    10. Re:A pox on both their houses by Tim+Browse · · Score: 2, Funny

      To this day, I still can't see much difference between HD and regular TV on my 50" LCD.

      You need a big screen to tell the difference. You should see it on a 50"

      Do you have ADD or something? :-)

    11. Re:A pox on both their houses by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 2, Informative

      To this day, I still can't see much difference between HD and regular TV on my 50" LCD. If you can't see the different then you don't have an HD signal going to your TV. It's night and day even with the high compression some cable companies do to their signals. Next time football is on look at the standard channel and then switch it to the HD channel, if you still can't see the difference you might need to have your eyes checked ;)
    12. Re:A pox on both their houses by Jethro · · Score: 2, Informative

      > To this day, I still can't see much difference between HD and regular TV on my 50" LCD.

      No offence, but you really need to get your eyes checked. I know it sounds mean, but the difference between a 30" SD CRT and a 30" HD CRT is /overwhelmingly/ noticeable, even for SD programming.

      I have a 30" HD CRT, and I could tell the difference long before I had any HD programming (I got it specifically for DVDs and future development). My set can do 1080i, and believe me, the difference between even the junky overcompressed SciFi channel in SD and HD is very noticeable.

      If you can't see it, I really do think you might have vision problems. And again, I know this sounds like I'm flaming/trolling, and I apologise for that, but I can't think of any other reason why you couldn't tell the difference.

      --


      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is kinky.
    13. Re:A pox on both their houses by justinlindh · · Score: 3, Informative

      The fact that you've been modded 5 for this comment is interesting to me, because it probably means that some of the moderators agree with you. Which blows my mind.

      The difference between HD and SD is light and day. HD-DVD is blatantly superior to DVD, and the different is excruciatingly obvious to myself and any of my friends who watch movies with me (I've even had friends buy a version of a movie on HD-DVD just because they wanted to check it out on my HD setup).

      A great way to notice the difference is ESPN. Wait for a game to air, and switch to the HD version of the channel. Then switch to the SD version (well, my cable company carries both... I'm assuming most others do, too). Channel switch a few times. If the difference isn't obvious, then I would argue that either you have very poor eyesight, awful cable company service, or an improperly setup configuration (running RCA cables to the TV instead of Component/HDMI, for instance).

      Everybody I've shown my HD setup to has been bowled over. I just can't understand how someone can't tell the difference on a 50" TV. Even my grandparents, who are nearing 80 years old, could perceive the clarity.

  5. Blu-ray vs HD DVD by grasshoppa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In this war, there may not be a winner, but I guarantee the consumers will be the losers. From high priced product ( which may go down in time ) to DRM shens ( Explain to your mom why the new movie she just bought for 30 bucks doesn't work in her 600 dollar player ).

    And like cattle, we line up to hand over our money.

    --
    Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
    1. Re:Blu-ray vs HD DVD by tzhuge · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "And like cattle, we line up to hand over our money."

      What's actually happening is that people are just not buy HD discs and sticking to DVD. That's not what I would consider cattle like.

    2. Re:Blu-ray vs HD DVD by wattrlz · · Score: 4, Funny

      Well, the not buying movies thing is kinda spot on for cattle.

  6. I see a pattern by thatskinnyguy · · Score: 4, Funny

    With all the formats out there, they all have one thing in common: they're all unpronounceable words. VHS and DVD. Try pronouncing them. I'm thinking HD DVD will eventually come out on top if the historical track record continues.

    --
    The game.
    1. Re:I see a pattern by SQLGuru · · Score: 3, Funny

      Well, the marketing guys for the BetaMax wouldn't let them call it BM.

      Layne

  7. what? by holywarrior21c · · Score: 2, Insightful

    it was a matter of prestige is it DRM what they call 'prestige'?
  8. If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by TFer_Atvar · · Score: 5, Informative

    If Sony's calling it a stalemate, then HD-DVD is already ahead. If all Sony can manage with it's PR department is to call the situation a "stalemate," then HD-DVD likely ahead in real terms. Incidentally, I just conducted an informal, non-scientific poll here in the office. Of 20+ people, only two had heard of Blu-Ray. Half had heard of HD-DVD, but almost all were able to figure out what it was by the name alone. It makes me think that HD-DVD has an advantage just because of its name.

    1. Re:If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by king-manic · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If Sony's calling it a stalemate, then HD-DVD is already ahead. If all Sony can manage with it's PR department is to call the situation a "stalemate," then HD-DVD likely ahead in real terms. Incidentally, I just conducted an informal, non-scientific poll here in the office. Of 20+ people, only two had heard of Blu-Ray. Half had heard of HD-DVD, but almost all were able to figure out what it was by the name alone. It makes me think that HD-DVD has an advantage just because of its name. From all sources Blu-ray is still outselling HD DVD 2:1. Has so for the last 9 months, Blu ray is in a comfortable lead. But sony may have correctly spotted that widespread adoption is hindered by the format war. So While it's 2:1 lead may eventually kill off HD DVD, it will for sure delay the adoption of a HD format. This is likely a preamble to some sort of reconciliation with Toshiba and maybe an attempt to merge and enable hybrid players for the good of the industry.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    2. Re:If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by jmauro · · Score: 2, Informative

      I believe the 2:1 ratio existed with Betamax as well, before VHS cleaned it's clock in the consumer market.

    3. Re:If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by 91degrees · · Score: 2, Informative

      The PS3 might have skewed those figures a bit.

    4. Re:If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by LWATCDR · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You see I think Sony has seen the sales figures from the under $100 HD-DVD players. BestBuy sold out and I think Walmart did as well. When Black Friday comes I think HD-DVD players will be back below $100. At that price people will buy them just because they bought an HDTV last Black-Friday. The winner of the format wars will be the first to get below $100. When it reaches that price point it becomes a why not purchase.
      My guess is that this announcement is to prep us for Sony to start supporting HD-DVD.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    5. Re:If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by JK_the_Slacker · · Score: 2, Funny

      By the way, couldn't they have thought up a better name than Blu-Ray? WTH is a Blu Ray?

      It's a death ray for Smurfs, of course. I'm having some installed on my sharks next Thursday... just in case.

      --
      I'm waiting for a "-1 somepeoplejustshouldn'tgetmodprivileges" meta-moderation.
    6. Re:If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by BrerBear · · Score: 2, Informative

      Frankly, I'd love to see actual sales numbers of HD-DVD vs. Blu-Ray discs. That information is easy to find, at site like Home Media Magazine. They post weekly Nielsen sales results every Friday.

      For a current snapshot of Amazon, you can check the Product Wars site, which keeps current rankings of the two formats and comparison charts over time.
    7. Re:If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by ad0gg · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sony just saw HD-DVD camp sell 100k players in a weekend at the $100 pricepoint and more would have been sold if walmart and bestbuys stock didn't deplete. Thats why sony is scared. They will always be more expensive than HD-DVD and rumours are toshiba is going to drop the of their entry level HD-DVD player to $150 for the Xmas season.

      --

      Have you ever been to a turkish prison?

    8. Re:If Sony's calling it a stalemate... by king-manic · · Score: 2, Informative

      If the 2:1 ratio is true, then why would Sony make such statements??? Simple--most Blu-Ray sales are from the PS3. Blu-Ray may have a big lead in outright sales of drive mechanisms, but I doubt many PS3 owners watch more than the occasional Blu-Ray movie... They view the whole ability to play Blu-Ray movies as a "plus" whereas someone who's buying an HD-DVD player is buying it to watch movies.

      Frankly, I'd love to see actual sales numbers of HD-DVD vs. Blu-Ray discs. 2:1 is not players, 2:1 is media. it's 2:1 averaged over the last 9 months. For players its' 5:1 including the PS3 and 360 HD DVD attachment.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  9. Black Knight by decipher_saint · · Score: 5, Funny

    "We'll call it a draw"
    ~Black Knight

    --
    crazy dynamite monkey
  10. Stalemate == Loss.... by nweaver · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I will not be getting either one until there is a clear winner. So a stalemate is a loss for both sides.

    --
    Test your net with Netalyzr
    1. Re:Stalemate == Loss.... by Asic+Eng · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think these days format wars are no longer resolved. Instead hybrids will come out which can handle whatever format you throw at them.

  11. If only Sony could... by PinkyDead · · Score: 2, Funny

    ..fashion some kind of crude weapon to break the impasse.

    http://blog.wired.com/games/2007/11/hack-turns-ps3-.html

    --
    Genesis 1:32 And God typed :wq!
  12. Price Points by blhack · · Score: 4, Insightful

    These things are still far to expensive. The jump between VHS quality and DVD quality was HUGE!! Not only did you start getting things like director's commentary and deleted scenes, but you got a much more "cinema like" experience. 5.1 dolby (in multiple languages if you need it), 16x9 Aspect ratio etc. etc. etc.

    Blu-ray/hddvd don't offer THAT huge of a jump from DVD....certainly not enough of an improvement to justify their [still] astronomical prices, not to mention the limited selection of titles.

    The first one to come out with a 30 dollar player will win the war.

    --
    NewslilySocial News. No lolcats allowed.
    1. Re:Price Points by Trojan35 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "The first one to come out with a 30 dollar player will win the war."

      The problem isn't the player, it's the discs. The first one to get movies to me for a $10-$20 price point, and not the $35-$40 price point, wins in my book.

    2. Re:Price Points by bubba451 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The first one to come out with a 30 dollar player will win the war.
      As long as studios are aligning with only one format (Paramount with HD-DVD, Disney with Blu-Ray), it's a war that can't be won, which I guess is pretty much the point Stringer is making. Personally, I'm excited for a high definition format, and would jump at even a $299 player if it actually played all of the titles that were out there. But I, like pretty much every one else, don't want to be saddled with an obsolete and useless box (whether it cost me $99 or $999), and buying TWO new boxes is not an acceptable "solution."
  13. Stalemate? by brunes69 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Well - if Sony PR is calling it a stalemate, thats the equivalent of declaring HD-DVD the winner.

    Did anyone expect otherwise though? The statement "Never Get Involved in a Land War in Asia" has pretty much been replaced with "Never Get Involved On The Sony Side Of A Format War". Seriously - Betamax, Mini Disc, Memory Stick, A-TRAC - Why would anyone expect Sony to come out aheard this time? They have no idea how to trumpet a format.

    1. Re:Stalemate? by mihalis · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This a very unconvincing argument to me. History doesn't necessarily prove that Sony always loses. An equally compelling interpretation is that that the format with more capacity and better library of titles wins. Well that was VHS last time and Blu-Ray this time. VHS allowed an entire feature length movie on one tape and had more of them to offer when it launched. Many people have said that was the key reason that VHS won.

      By the way, I don't disagree that the formats you mention failed, but I seem to recall Sony being one of the two developers (with Philips) of this little thing called audio CD. How did that do? :)

    2. Re:Stalemate? by I'm+Don+Giovanni · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, I fully expected BR to win because of Sony's PS3 strategy. Sell lots of PS3s, which just happen to be BR players, and you instantly have a huge BR user base. And it worked to some extent, as since PS3 started shipping, BR discs have outsold HD-DVD discs 2-1. But PS3 hasn't sold nearly as well as had been predicted, and a 2-1 selling advantage isn't that big, not nearly enough to kill off HD-DVD. Now, HD-DVD players are being sold for $200 and less (even $99), and BestBuy/Walmart sold 100k HD-DVD players just last weekend. Meaning that HD-DVD players are beginning to sell faster than PS3s, and all of those players are going to be used to play HD-DVD discs, while only a fraction (could be big, could be small) of PS3s are used to play BR discs. Meanwhile, the standalone BR player market (i.e. the BR players that aren't PS3s) is pretty much dead, with very few units being sold.

      So, even though BR has had the "lead" due to the PS3, things are beginning to trend the other way now. Sony was ready to declare victory a few months ago. That they are now declaring "stalemate" is an admission of defeat.

      --
      -- "I never gave these stories much credence." - HAL 9000
  14. Not Just Prestige by crymeph0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Despite what Howard Stringer says, it seems obvious that there is much more than just prestige on the line for Sony. Specifically, if Blu-Ray loses to HD-DVD, the PlayStation 3, which is already overly expensive, would lose it's secondary selling point - as a Blu-Ray player. This would be disastrous for Sony, as even more people would choose the 360, which can be made to play HD-DVDs for a relatively small premium over the basic package.

    --
    It should be illegal to say that freedom of speech should be limited.
  15. Winning on its own merits by Shivetya · · Score: 2, Informative

    Is the polite phrase for saying the other sucks.

    In other words, they want to call the other side names, make claims the other sides technology is inferior, but can't do it and remain professional.

    Right now, in the DVD war the only thing BluRay has over HD is Disney. Thats the most important line they have which seems to be limited to BluRay.

    Since HD DVD players have recently hit $99 on special deals, hell even regular price $199 versions can come with up to TEN movies, its only a matter of time before BluRay is just another Sony product unique to Sony.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  16. As a consumer by Bullfish · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I really don't care which format wins. By the time I invest in an HD TV, I fully expect that the hybrid HD-DVD/ Blu-Ray players will be out and that is what I will buy. At that point, anyone who was an early adopter of wither of these technologies will probably pick one of them up as well. It's not like VHS vs Beta as in that case, the formats required tapes that were physically different in size. The discs don't have that limitation.

  17. Re:Chess by mgblst · · Score: 4, Informative

    In chess, if you know you're going to win (which is often the case, sometimes several moves before it happens), it's customary to offer a draw out of courtesy, rather than to drag out the inevitable.


    What a load of drivel. If this was true, then nobody would ever win a game of chess...yes, that would be exciting, wouldn't it.
  18. hybrid player? by valderost · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Whatever. Just sell me a player that reads both formats.

  19. Re:DO NOT LET SONY WIN! by Kohath · · Score: 4, Funny

    Thanks. Everyone was wondering what the Sony-haters were thinking on this. Turns out they were thinking "I hate Sony". Who could have guessed?

  20. It's actually worse than that by rbarreira · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Specifically, if Blu-Ray loses to HD-DVD, the PlayStation 3, which is already overly expensive, would lose it's secondary selling point - as a Blu-Ray player.

    Actually, it's even worse. If Blu-Ray loses, Blu-Ray players will stop being manufactured. Sony is relying on economies of scale to drive down the costs of Blu-Ray diodes and drives, which will make it even harder for them to make a profit on the PS3.

    In the past 1.5 years they've already lost half the profit they made on the Playstation brand since 1997 (you can check it on their financial reports).

    Combine that with the astronomical price cuts they're being forced to do, and you have the recipe for financial disaster at Sony's game division. There may never be a PS4 if things keep going the way they're going now.
    --

    The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    1. Re:It's actually worse than that by ivan256 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Who modded this insightful?

      The laser diodes are identical for both BluRay and HD-DVD.

      Too bad there isn't a (-1, Wrong)...

    2. Re:It's actually worse than that by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The laser diodes are identical for both BluRay and HD-DVD.

      I am certain that my car has at least one component in common with a Ferrari, but that doesn't mean you can build a Ferrari for the same price.

      --
      Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    3. Re:It's actually worse than that by ivan256 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes, but your car probably doesn't have the most expensive component in common with a Ferrari...

      The only differences between an HD-DVD drive and a BluRay drive are the lens, and software.

  21. Merely a flesh wound! by dsginter · · Score: 5, Funny

    We'll call it a draw!

    --
    More
  22. Re:Chess by z0idberg · · Score: 2, Funny

    Are you suggesting chess could be even more exciting?!

  23. Just Bought by WED+Fan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We just bought our first HDTV, they then knocked the price of a Toshiba HD DVD player down to $169 if we bought it at the same time. I asked about Blu Ray, the salesman said they'd love to, but they aren't getting the incentives from the factories and wholesalers. Plus, Blu Ray has that awful problem that Beta had in the 80's, license fees that keep the price floor artificially high.

    If you remember the VHS/Beta wars, the winning factor really wasn't quality, it was price. You could get the VHS machines cheaper, and the tapes were cheaper. Sony keeps biting their own tail.

    If it continues down familiar Sony lines, HD DVD will be the dominant one, and Blu Ray will go the way of the Beta and MD.

    --
    Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    1. Re:Just Bought by nuzak · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > You could get the VHS machines cheaper, and the tapes were cheaper.

      You could also get longer tapes, which made a huge difference. And while technically Blu-Ray also has higher capacity, it's too huge to make a real difference to anyone, since they don't record their shows on blu-ray discs anyway.

      --
      Done with slashdot, done with nerds, getting a life.
    2. Re:Just Bought by DECS · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Neither Blu-Ray nor HD-DVD "tapes" are cheaper--they are both prohibitive expensive in -R/-RW versions, and movies on both are quite expensive. If you were really paying attention during the VHS/Betamax wars, the real issues were:

      - availability of rental movies (because there was no retail market for movies at reasonable prices until DVD)
      - length of recording time (Beta couldn't originally do an hour and a half on a single tape)
      - other features (VHS integrated a clock for time shifting).

      Format Wars in Home Theater

      None of those issues really apply to BR or HD-DVD. You also gloss over the fact that Sony helped to develop both CD and DVD, in your attempts to suggest that Sony has only ever failed with Betamax and MiniDisc. That sounds like "concern FUD."

      The real failures that are relevant today are SA-CD and DVD-Audio, both of which tried to sneak in new DRM under the premise of delivering HD audio content. Sound familiar? Here's a hint: BR and HD-DVD are doing the same thing for video.

      What's really shocking is how badly both are selling. Both sides are chatting up how they're in the lead, but combined together, both couldn't manage to sell more than a million players by this summer. That's ZUNE-like! Each have sold about 300,000 stand alone players up to this summer.

      The only clear winner is Sony's bundled PS3, which purposely tagged along a BR drive to create an installed base for BR and drop the price of manufacturing. That means there are lots more BR players, but only because of the PS3:

      Blu-Ray: 7.3 million
      300,000 standalone
      7,000,000 PS3 bundled

      HD-DVD: 0.3 million
      150,000 standalone
      150,000 Xbox 360 optional disc player units

      That isn't good on either side. Neither format delivers anything that couldn't be done with DVDs using H.264. Who needs PC-style navigation or 20 hours of "extra features" when you can easily put an HD movie on DVD? The only reason for either format to exist is to sell stronger DRM under the guise of HD, and to resell everyone the movies they already own.

      As for all the astroturfing about the "Sony root kit," remember that Microsoft's Windows Media is the same thing, you just voluntarily install it. Running from Sony into the arms of Microsoft, which facilitated the Sony root kit in Windows after launching Bill Gate's DRM wet dream of Palladium--well, its obvious that you're all frauds. Come on, Microsoft has never supported anything open or consumer-friendly.

      Origins of the Blu-ray vs HD-DVD War
      Blu-ray vs HD-DVD in Next Generation Game Consoles

      Is a Root Kit only evil if its installed by an evil third party, but "A-OK" if its shoehorned in by Microsoft? Because WGA and WMA are both exactly the same thing as Sony's third party root kit, it's just that Microsoft additionally uses its access to send home data on top. Spyware + Root Kit DRM. The Windows Enthusiasts don't seem to mind getting bent over by Microsoft, but sure have a lot to say about DRM from anyone else.

      Ten Myths of Mac OS X Leopard: 9 Apple Is Spying on Users!

    3. Re:Just Bought by TheBolten · · Score: 2, Informative

      Those numbers aren't even close to correct. The PS3 has only sold 5.5 million units, and only 2.26 million of those are in the United States, where this war is being primarily fought. On the other hand, HD-DVD has sold WAY more than 150,000 standalone players. Just recently, with the $99 sale, they sold over 90,000 Toshiba HD-A2s in a period of three days. The number is more like 500,000 and the numbers for the Xbox 360 add-on are about double what you quoted. Let us also not forget that anyone who is buying a PS3 could be buying it for games, movies, or both. We don't really know. However, there is no reason to buy the add-on for the Xbox 360 unless you intend to watch HD-DVDs, so those are just as powerful as standalone players. If I round up the actual numbers of players by about 200,000 each, the ratio of Blu-Ray to HD-DVD players in the market is 6:1. However, at best Blu-Ray has had a 2:1 sales lead in software, and at worst they have been almost dead even (51:49 the week of the Transformers release, even with a Buy-One Get-One offer on the Blu-Ray side for that week, not to mention that these Nielsen numbers do not include Wal-Mart, the largest retailer in the country which has sold a LOT of HD-DVD hardware recently). Sony cannot build a Blu-Ray platform with the PS3 as the flagship piece of hardware. It's too expensive and it's unappealing to people who just want to play movies. Toshiba is offering a solution at 1/2 to 1/4 the price, depending on discounts at retailers.

    4. Re:Just Bought by Wdomburg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Eh? Where are you getting your numbers? Toshiba is nearing the half million mark with players and the most recent numbers of the Xbox add-on peg sales at 200k through September. And that doesn't include notebook drives. I haven't seen any numbers on how many of those have been shipped, but Toshiba has been talking about a target of 5 million by the end of next year.

      As for Blu-ray, I haven't seen a figure on the total number of units, but year to date sales reported through September by NPD break 53% hd-dvd, 44% blu-ray, 3% dual format. This was before the 90k unit sales surge last weekend. And that doesn't take into account the headstart that Toshiba had or the slow initial sales of Blu-ray.

      The Playstation does give a larger installed base, but nowhere near the figure you gave. To date sales in the United States are a mere 2.26M. And estimates are that the majority of owners (as many as 80%) don't use them to watch movies at all. It certainly would explain why the sales figures have remained about 1.8:1 instead of the 3.5:1 that the Blu-ray camp was projecting by the end of the 1Q07.

    5. Re:Just Bought by ppc_digger · · Score: 2, Informative

      it's too huge to make a real difference to anyone
      So was DVD back in the mid-90s. That's why we have higher durability 4.7 GB DVDs instead of less reliable 5 GB discs (DVD format history).

      Also, there are people who use it exclusively for data storage. I would prefer using 50 GB Blu-Ray discs over 30 GB HD DVD discs (unless, of course, Toshiba's 51 GB triple-layer HD DVD format becomes popular and cheaper than dual-layer BD-Rs).

      --
      Of all major operating systems, UNIX is the only one originally meant for gaming.
  24. Blu-ray seems to be winning by pontificator · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Some of you seem to be assuming that HD-DVD is doing very well while Blu-ray is floundering, but if you look around you'll see evidence to the contrary. Here are a few points from an editorial from The Digital Bits (http://www.thedigitalbits.com/articles/soapbox/soap060107.html), which favors Blu-ray, and a few other places:
    • Blockbuster, Target and BJ's Wholesale Club have all decided to promote Blu-ray exclusively in their U.S. retail store locations this holiday season
    • Blu-ray hardware prices are expected to be as low as $399 by Christmas (and possibly lower).
    • Retailers across the country are reporting that Blu-ray player sales have begun to outpace HD-DVD player sales over the summer.
    • Sony, Pioneer, Panasonic, Philips, LG, Sharp, Mitsubishi, Denon, Samsung and a few others make or will make Blu-ray players (Official Blu-ray site.)
    And just from my own observations at a few retailers in NY I see more Blu-ray movies than HD-DVDs on the shelves. I'm not buying a player until there's a clear winner, but if I had to buy soon (i.e. my DVD player dies) I'd pick a Blu-ray player.
  25. The Blu-ray Advantage by essinger · · Score: 5, Informative

    Blu-ray has, right now, a 50gb to 30gb advantage. That's pretty significant. Blu-ray has the potential for 100gb and hd-dvd might be able to get 50gb. Those extra gigs could be put towards quailty or quanity. Consumers might care, or they might not.

    But if you want to point to something that blu-ray has that consumers will care about, it's the Sony catalog. It is huge. And the crown jewel is the entire James Bond collection. Joe Six-pack WILL want to see those on his player.

    1. Re:The Blu-ray Advantage by Tim+Browse · · Score: 2, Funny

      But if you want to point to something that blu-ray has that consumers will care about, it's the Sony catalog. It is huge. And the crown jewel is the entire James Bond collection. Joe Six-pack WILL want to see those on his player.

      Nonsense. The Sony man quite clearly said they were trying to fight the format war on merit, and not by strong-arming people by releasing their Sony-owned movies on BD only, because it's not like that's the reason Sony got into movie production in the first place, so they could ensure they controlled some content, and could make their new formats a success by linking the format to their content.

      Sony would never do that! They'd never lie to us, surely? If they're fighting on merit, surely Sony movies and James Bond are available on HD-DVD...aren't they? Surely he wouldn't lie so blatantly..? Say it aint so.

    2. Re:The Blu-ray Advantage by havenskate · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What about TV Shows? You could fit great quality complete seasons on one disc (maybe not perfect quality, but very very good).

      No reason for multiple discs and that also helps with cost... They don't sell seasons by disc...

      Off-topic: When is The Simpsons going HD!? I'd think cartoons would be the easiest transition ever.

    3. Re:The Blu-ray Advantage by neepey · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Blu-ray may have a higher storage capability but take a look a the stats for discs actually used... http://www.blu-raystats.com/index.php - approx. 60% use the 25 GB disc while almost all HD DVD movies are in the 30 GB dual layer format.

  26. After the rootkit...... by tempest69 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    After Sony added the rootkits to their CD-ROMs, I lost trust in them as a company. I figure If I'm one more person who boycotts their blu-ray launch, they might just get a clue how much damage the rootkit did to their customer loyalty.

    I'll probably hold the grudge for another five-ish years if they can keep their nose clean.

    Storm

    1. Re:After the rootkit...... by edwdig · · Score: 4, Funny

      Sony fucked me on the th-55 first. I died. I sent it in for repairs the fuckers at the repair shop fuck it up.

      I understand that you're upset that Sony fucked up the repairs when you died, but I think the rest of us are far more interested in who ended up repairing you successfully.

    2. Re:After the rootkit...... by billcopc · · Score: 3, Funny

      Short form: fuck shit fuck sony fuck ass fuck DVD fuck ps3 fuckity fuck fuck

      I love you!

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    3. Re:After the rootkit...... by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 3, Funny

      It was a self done. I have a great recovery system. I just rebooted and reinstalled from a clean backup.

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    4. Re:After the rootkit...... by bwcook0 · · Score: 5, Funny

      I agree. In 5 years I will go back to not buying sony electronics just because they are overpriced, and forget about the whole rootkit thing. but until then, it is definitely about the rootkit.

    5. Re:After the rootkit...... by Boycott+BMG · · Score: 2, Informative

      Except that it wasn't Sony that installed the rootkit on CDs it was Sony/BMG. Sony/BMG is 50/50 owned by Sony and Bertelsmann with most of the decision makers being from the BMG side. It isn't too much of a surprise really, given than BMG had such a crappy reputation previous to the merger. Sony does hold some blame being a major shareholder, but the ultimate decision was not theirs. If anything Bertelsmann holds more blame than Sony, but no one is suggesting a boycott of Random House, for example.

  27. Deja vu by dysonlu · · Score: 3, Funny

    Summary of comments on "Blu-ray VS HD DVD" article #242175: - HD DVD is winning - No, Blu-ray is winning - HD DVD is cheaper - Blu-ray is better technology. - Toshiba pays studios for support - Sony makes rootkits - There are no winners - The consumer is the big loser This is the same list as for the 242174 previous "Blu-ray VS HD DVD" articles.

  28. Buy PS3 and subscribe to Netflix by melted · · Score: 2, Interesting

    That way you will enjoy the biggest library of HD content available and if Blu-Ray goes titsup, you still have a console you can play. If HD-DVD goes titsup, though, standalone players will be worthless.

  29. Re:I'm curious.. by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 2, Funny

    Well, knowing the inner workings of studio's accounting methods, everyone has lost vast sums of money, such that the format owners owe them billions of dollars, and only after they've paid up will they start to receive any royalties. Also any movies released for the past 30 years have had their accounting updated to reflect the cost of creating the new hi def discs, such that George Lucas, James Cameron, and Peter Jackson now owe them a combined total of 5 billion US.

    --
    Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
  30. Re:They should have known better by papasui · · Score: 2, Informative

    Eh dude I had my first DVD player in 1998.

  31. Re:If you want to win, lower the prices $29.99 by otis+wildflower · · Score: 2, Informative

    I bought a Sony TV and a PS3. Went to look for a new movie to pick up and they were $29.99 across the board for blu ray and hd-dvd.

    B&M is for losers and the impatient. There's tons of HD discs available for $19.95 on amazon, and there's probably similar deals on other sites.

    In fact, recently there have been sales as low as $15 for catalog titles.

  32. The war is already over for me. by Charcharodon · · Score: 2, Funny
    I picked HD DVD.

    Reason #1:

    It's not SONY

    Reason #2:

    It was the first one I found a sub $200 player that I could hook up to my PC. (Xbox 360 HD DVD drive)

    Reason #3:

    It was the first that I found a usefull software for ripping and playback. (AnyDVD HD and PowerDVD 7)

    Reason #4:

    It's not SONY

  33. HD DVD has figured it out by rabt68 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Just as VHS beat out Beta, HD DVD has figured out the best way to win. If your product has lower prices on the player/hardware, then that is the one the mass public will buy. Just last week Best Buy and Walmart had HD DVD players on sell for $99.99 and I believe the cheapest Blu-ray is still around $250.00 or more. Quality will never win over ease of use and lower price.

  34. If Sony really wants Blu-Ray to win ... by Skapare · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If Sony really wants Blu-Ray to win, it will "bite the bullet" and sell players for $100 and recorders for $200 during the 2007 Christmas holiday shopping season and make up the loss in future volume. Since products have already shipped to stores, they will need to do a rebate. To avoid annoying potential customers, it will need to be an "in store instant rebate". Otherwise most people (these are the people that don't give a damn about technical issues) will buy what is cheapest, and that is now HD-DVD.

    --
    now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
  35. One more... by KingSkippus · · Score: 2, Informative

    I wonder how many others have decided to do the same.

    Me.

    The rootkit was the straw that broke the camel's back, though. I bought a Sony home theater system around five years ago. The DVD changer in it broke, so I sent it in for warranty repair. It took months for them to fix it and get it back to me, and when they finally did, it was still broken. They obviously hadn't checked to make sure it was working before sending it back. So I returned it again, and they fixed it that time. Just before the warranty expired, the DVD changer broke yet again, so I send it back again. They fixed it and sent it back after another month or so. Then around a year later, one of the speaker ports screwed up, causing the center channel to emit a constant high-pitched whistle. I wasn't about to pay to get something fixed that would probably break again soon anyway, so I cut my losses and threw the thing away.

    Then, of course, there was the whole PS3 debacle. Sony was so nauseatingly arrogant about the whole thing, acting as if paying $600 for a gaming console that was a thinly veiled attempt at foisting their Blu-ray format on everyone would be a privilege. They didn't take any competition seriously, from a console gaming or a next-gen HD format point of view, and they got their clocks cleaned. That was extremely satisfying to watch. The reason I hate Blu-ray isn't because of its technical merits or lack thereof, it's because of how it was pushed on the public.

    From what I hear, Sony used to be a really kick-ass company. Maybe someday they will be again after they learn some humility and what their place in the food chain is (i.e. under the wants and needs of its customers). But for now, they've just done too much wrong and lost my respect.

  36. Re:both can be transparent by benwaggoner · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Once content visually looks like the source, more bits aren't going to make it look any differnt. Not having enough bits is a big problem, but having more than enough is just burning capacity.

    Try making some JPEG exports in the 80-100 quality range, and look at the connection between file size and vistual quality. You'll not that there's a point where a higher quality doesn't look any different, but the file size keeps getting bigger and bigger.

    Also, nothing is wrong with my eyes or my television, since I'm a professional compressionist who works with professional grade video displays :).

  37. 1920x1080 video does fit on a DVD9... by trdrstv · · Score: 4, Informative

    Of course it can't be because a movie with six times (1920x1080 as opposed to 720x480) as many pixels can't fit on 8.5GB.

    Actually it can. The issue is (using the VC-1 Codec) it can only contain ~83 minutes of it, which discounts most "non-animated made for TV movies".

    1. Re:1920x1080 video does fit on a DVD9... by woodhouse · · Score: 2, Interesting

      >Ideally, it would be a lossless transfer.

      Yeah, good luck with that. Uncompressed 1080P video is roughly 500GB per hour (assuming 1920*1080 & 3 bytes/pixel @ 24hz). When you find a lossless compressor which can compress that down to 20GB or so, please let me know.

    2. Re:1920x1080 video does fit on a DVD9... by Zalbik · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well too bad for you, DVD, HD-DVD, and Blu-Ray are all compressed LOSSY. It's just a small enough loss that you don't really notice.

      Lossless transfer would require insanely large disks...likely in the Terrabyte range.

      I've seen HD and DVD on an HD television. I certainly wouldn't call it "night and day". It noticible, sure, but IMHO only if I'm watching a movie specifically for the effects. Problem is, if I'm watching a movie specifically for effects, it probably sucks as a movie.

      I think the big problem is that (a) crappy movies are still crappy, regardless of how good they look. (b) good movies don't gain much from HD.

  38. Re:Chess by rk · · Score: 2, Funny

    I get my kicks above the waistline, sunshine.

  39. Straight Outta Sony by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sony fucked me on the th-55 first. I died. I sent it in for repairs the fuckers at the repair shop fuck it up. They say its not their fault and refused to honor the warranty. How the fuck can it not be covered? It died, i put it in a box and that is all I did. Some tech at the repair shop fucked it and covered his ass. That's what happened.

    Aren't these the lyrics to an NWA rap?

    --
    It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
  40. Re:numbers wrong, hddvd closer to 500,000 stand al by Teriblows · · Score: 2, Insightful

    stand alone http://www.tvpredictions.com/forum/comments.php?y=07&m=11&entry=entry071108-051750 the 90,000 recently announced for a week did not include online sales by amazon and others so its actually higher.

  41. I thought competition was GOOD by MikeMulligan · · Score: 2

    The number of comments on here about how there's only a format war cause both format owners are GREEDY, and it's causing consumer confusion, etc. amaze me.

    This is the same crowd that goes APE SHIT over monopolies and proprietary formats, and goes on and on about how there should be more open competition. Well you got it! Unfortunately, sometimes with competition, there are, you know, competing solutions.

    So yes, it's annoying and potentially confusing. But do you think that there would be $100 HD players if there wasn't such intense competition? Do you think the formats would get such big support if there wasn't intense pressure to roll out? Would you rather a company like sony have total dominance in the market? Yes, some titles are on one and some on the other.

    Don't worry. Whoever wins, all the titles will eventually come out on that format, or dual-format players will be cheaper. In fact, I almost prefer the latter, as I actually like when there's multiple solutions to choose from.

    Competition is GOOD. It will mean cheaper, better, and a wider variety of goods for consumers. Too often, companies cite "consumer confusion" to mask what they're really concerned about - consumer CHOICE. I'm just surprised to see that happening here.

  42. A view from the inside... by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 2, Informative

    Neither Blu-Ray nor HD-DVD "tapes" are cheaper--they are both prohibitive expensive in -R/-RW versions, and movies on both are quite expensive.

    Yet, from what I can tell, HD-DVD has the potential of being much cheaper than BR. (I realize this is like saying I have the potential to bone Natalie Portman, just saying.)

    Two major factors:

    First, licensing. While both are going to use AACS, I would guess that other licenses around HD-DVD would be cheaper. I could be completely wrong about that.

    Second, DRM. HD-DVD can come without DRM, and some small studios are doing it. It means fewer features -- for example, no access to the 128 megs of flash memory that's on every player -- but it also saves you a licensing fee. BR not only requires AACS, they allow two additional standards: BD+ and BD-ROM Mark. The latter requires some data stored elsewhere on the disk -- I would guess this increases the cost of manufacturing.

    From what I understand, in fact, it's relatively cheap to upgrade a standard DVD facility to support HD-DVD, and I know at least a few discs are coming that are literally two-sided -- one side DVD, one side HD. BR requires completely new equipment.

    Also, the fact that HD-DVD has been $99 already suggests that it will win among non-gamers. The player will be cheaper, the discs are likely cheaper to produce (so can become cheaper), and the A2 is a damned good standard DVD player, too -- has a great upscaler, says my boss (who has a massive 1080p TV at home).

    Now, the technical parts.

    BR is the more flexible spec, it seems. Looking at a matrix between the two, on BR, secondary video and audio decoders (for picture-in-picture and, I guess, an overlayed audio commentary track), and Internet connectivity are all optional. It doesn't mention persistent storage, which is again, supported, but optional.

    All of these things are mandatory on HD-DVD. Doesn't mean you need an Internet connection, but it means that every player must have an Ethernet port. Again, BR has more expensive players, but the cheapest ones aren't obligated to support any of these features.

    The things that are mandatory on Blu-ray: more restrictions, and a bigger disc, always. By "more restrictions", there's the DRM, and also the region coding. (HD-DVDs are region-free.)

    The only clear winner is Sony's bundled PS3, which purposely tagged along a BR drive to create an installed base for BR and drop the price of manufacturing. That means there are lots more BR players, but only because of the PS3:

    How many gamers are there, versus non-gamers who will want this? I've heard of stores that have stopped selling SD TVs, and for $99, with a decent upscaler, that A2 is not a bad SD DVD player. So for all the millions of Average Joes out there, who don't play games and don't care about the "format war", this is still a sensible upgrade if they're into DVDs at all.

    Neither format delivers anything that couldn't be done with DVDs using H.264.

    Yes, they do, you just don't seem to care about it:

    Who needs PC-style navigation or 20 hours of "extra features" when you can easily put an HD movie on DVD?

    Well, first, the 300 HD-DVD appears to use more than a single layer for the main video alone. That's 15 gigs per layer. So "20 hours" could be made to fit, yes, but realistically, the space isn't entirely unused.

    Second, even if you're convinced it is, HD-DVD, at least, supports red-laser discs. That means you can get an HD-DVD movie, with all the trimmings, on a dual-layer DVD disc, if it will fit.

    As for the "PC-style navigation", that sounds like someone who hasn't used it. There are more than enough gimmicks to sell this concept, and remember, Joe User doesn't give a fuck about DRM; he didn't give a fuck about DRM when this was about DVD vs VHS and your argument might have been for Video CDs (but with MP

    --
    Don't thank God, thank a doctor!