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Antique Fridge Could Keep Venus Rover Cool

Hugh Pickens writes "In the 1970s and 80s, several probes landed on Venus and returned data from the surface but they all expired less than 2 hours after landing because of Venus' tremendous heat. It's hard to keep a rover functioning when temperatures of 450 C are hot enough to melt lead but NASA researchers have designed a refrigeration system that might be able to keep a robotic rover going for as long as 50 Earth days using a reverse Stirling engine. NASA has not committed to a Venus rover mission, but a 2003 National Academies of Science study recommended that high priority be given to a robot mission to investigate the Venusian surface helping to answer such questions as why Venus ended up so different from Earth and if the changes have taken place relatively recently."

229 comments

  1. No problem. by dozer · · Score: 5, Funny

    I've got an easier solution. Don't make the robot out of lead.

    1. Re:No problem. by DaleGlass · · Score: 1

      What will you solder the electronics with? Or what will you make them from for that matter?

    2. Re:No problem. by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      Dude, no one uses lead for soldering any more.* Get with the times.

      * Except, ironically, NASA and the like, due to the tin whisker panic.**

      ** All the evidence I've seen is that tin whiskers are 99% a non-issue panic. The Wikipedia entry is definitely not NPOV with its inflammatory list of "nuclear power plant, satellites in orbit, aircraft in flight, and implanted medical pacemakers" for places that failures have been seen due to the phenomenon.

      --
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    3. Re:No problem. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Happy thoughts? Prayers and pixie dust?

    4. Re:No problem. by s20451 · · Score: 2, Funny

      All the evidence I've seen is that tin whiskers are 99% a non-issue panic.

      Given that there are at least 100 nuclear reactors in the world, I'm not exactly reassured.

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    5. Re:No problem. by mangu · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The Wikipedia entry is definitely not NPOV with its inflammatory list of "nuclear power plant, satellites in orbit, aircraft in flight, and implanted medical pacemakers" for places that failures have been seen due to the phenomenon


      Would you consider it more NPOV if they stated that aunt Hilda's radio also failed because of tin whiskers? I don't think it's necessary to add irrelevant cases just to make it "neutral".

    6. Re:No problem. by SydShamino · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Would you consider it more NPOV if they stated that aunt Hilda's radio also failed because of tin whiskers? I don't think it's necessary to add irrelevant cases just to make it "neutral".

      No, I don't think additional minor issues should be added. I think the examples included should be backed up by citation or removed. In this case, only the nuclear power plant has a citation, so the second sentence should be deleted entirely.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    7. Re:No problem. by Monkeybaister · · Score: 1

      Dolomite, duh.

    8. Re:No problem. by cmowire · · Score: 1

      Well, do you tear down your failed electronics to see why it failed? I don't, I just junk the sucker.

      Could be tons and tons of tin whisker failures. Well, might be in the future, now that all of the lead-based electronics are gone.

    9. Re:No problem. by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      The trouble is afaict only failures in places like nuke plants tend to get analised rigorously enough to diagnose this sort of thing.

      There are so many possible causes of failure in electronics and there is so little reporting of how long equipment lasts and how it fails that drawing meaningfull conclusions on whether this is having a significant effect on the lifetime of consumer electronics is difficult to measure.

      --
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    10. Re:No problem. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fixed that for you. Citations added.

    11. Re:No problem. by Nullav · · Score: 0

      In this case, only the nuclear power plant has a citation, so the second sentence should be deleted entirely.
      Not like you couldn't have done it. That's the entire point of an encyclopedia than anyone can edit.
      --
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    12. Re:No problem. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not like you couldn't have done it. That's the entire point of an encyclopedia than anyone can edit.

      That, or someone could add references between the time he complained about it and the time I read it ;) For instance, pacemakers: http://www.fda.gov/ora/inspect_ref/itg/itg42.html

    13. Re:No problem. by Mr.+Freeman · · Score: 1

      Lead solder substitutes might not be cheap (I honestly have no idea if they are or not) but I'll be damned if launching a rover to any planet is supposed to be cheap.

      --
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    14. Re:No problem. by DaleGlass · · Score: 1

      I wasn't referring to the price, I was trying to say that making a robot out of components that won't melt is not possible as AFAIK semiconductors fail much below 450C, and so will any sort of solder I heard of.

    15. Re:No problem. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As long as it's not made in China, that won't be a problem will it?

    16. Re:No problem. by fractoid · · Score: 1

      Depends whether you want the paint to melt or not. :P

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    17. Re:No problem. by Zaatxe · · Score: 1

      What will you solder the electronics with?

      I was going to point that electronics are soldered with tin (at least I was told so, my actual cup of tea is software), but I found out that it melts at 231C, while lead melts at 327C. Of course these numbers can change depending on pressure, but they are way below the 450C they expect to meet in Venus.

      --
      So say we all
    18. Re:No problem. by SkelVA · · Score: 1

      The trouble is afaict only failures in places like nuke plants tend to get analised rigorously enough to diagnose this sort of thing.
      You're saying that airplanes that fail in flight, pacemakers and multi-million dollar satellites don't have their failures analyzed?

      You should submit a suggestion to the FAA, FDA and communications companies to do some failure analysis. I'm sure they never thought of it. You could save them millions!
    19. Re:No problem. by PermanentMarker · · Score: 1

      wel in space normaly glas conducters are used and glass melting points can range from 500 to 1650 C

      --
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    20. Re:No problem. by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      See the comment page. There's a note requesting that it be removed.

      Just pulling the sentence off the article wouldn't have done any good, since someone would have just decided I'm wrong and put it back. To make it go away for good, the folks that regularly patrol that article need to agree with my position.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
  2. i've always said by circletimessquare · · Score: 5, Interesting

    venus is a better terraforming candidate than mars. oh sure, if you want to get somewhere as quickly as possible that is vaguely hospitable to settlement, mars beats venus hands down

    but if you want to talk about recreating earthlike conditions (water, temperature, gravity, atmospheric density), i think it would easier (easier, not easy) to precipitate out venus' atmosphere than to bulk up mars'. and if you stood on venus right now, you would weigh roughly the same. big bonus right there

    where is all the water going to come from? how the heck do you thin out the venusian atmosphere to earth-like densities? i don't know. but however you do it, it's an easier starting scenario than mars

    --
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    1. Re:i've always said by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Same weight is a big bonus if you're not fat. Here's a story:

      http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20071111/ap_on_sc/global_warming_diet;_ylt=AszOz6v9fi81Lhr1v.PxVwZvieAA

      Let's ship all the fat people to Mars along with a couple thousand tons of Twinkies and it'll terraform itself.

    2. Re:i've always said by calebt3 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Isn't Venus outside Sol's habitable zone? (the region around a star where liquid water is possible)

    3. Re:i've always said by evanbd · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well, in terraforming terms, finding stuff to make up the Martian atmosphere probably isn't that hard. There are significant CO2 ice caps, and there may be significant water available with modest effort. CO2 plus plants gives you O2. Also, there is some good evidence to suggest that the icecaps' existence is bistable -- that is, if you could mostly evaporate them, the additional greenhouse effect would warm the planet enough to finish the job and keep it that way.

      Basically, the problem of terraforming is to find resources that are already available in almost the form you want, and find some way to leverage your input effort. You don't want to have to process every single megaton of atmosphere you want to add / remove. It's far easier to (for example) dust carbon black on the poles and add a few orbiting mirrors.

      Of course, the only reference I have handy is Zubrin's The Case for Mars which is a bit dated but (I think) still basically correct. The details may well have changed thanks to newer lander data.

    4. Re:i've always said by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      So you'd get a planet full of people predisposed to have big appetites, and have them breed.
      I'd get pretty scared once they get a taste for Terran ribs and start hunting us for food from their flying saucers.

      With apologies to obese people. I suck.
      (And I taste bad.)

    5. Re:i've always said by larry+bagina · · Score: 5, Informative

      Prior to the global warming, Venus is generally believed to had surface water.

      --
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      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    6. Re:i've always said by jimbojw · · Score: 3, Funny

      but however you do it, it's an easier starting scenario than mars
      That's ridiculous - everyone knows that as soon as Quaid activates the turbidium reactor, Mars' atmosphere will fill out nicely.
    7. Re:i've always said by Average_Joe_Sixpack · · Score: 4, Interesting

      i don't know. but however you do it, it's an easier starting scenario than mars

      Probably not due to the 243 day rotation.

    8. Re:i've always said by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      venus is a better terraforming candidate than mars. oh sure, if you want to get somewhere as quickly as possible that is vaguely hospitable to settlement, mars beats venus hands down
       
      but if you want to talk about recreating earthlike conditions (water, temperature, gravity, atmospheric density), i think it would easier (easier, not easy) to precipitate out venus' atmosphere than to bulk up mars'.

      In some magical universe where you can safely sequester the billions of tons of carbon that will have to be removed from the atmosphere without a) having to perpetually pump energy into the storage or b) having billions of tons of flammable carbon compounds lying about.
    9. Re:i've always said by schnikies79 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Isn't the problem with mars a lack of a magnetic field which allows the solar wind to strip away the atmosphere? I don't see how we could jump-start a magnetic field, so whats the point of even trying to rebuild the atmosphere if it's all going to blow away?

      How about the lack of gravity? Can you build atmospheric pressure comparable to earth with lower gravity?

      I saw Zurbin give a talk at my Univ a couple years ago and was going to ask him about it, but I forgot.

      --
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    10. Re:i've always said by Loke+the+Dog · · Score: 2, Informative

      They both lack magnetic fields which makes long term terraforming pointless which means we can just drop the whole idea.

    11. Re:i've always said by Tim+C · · Score: 1

      Can you build atmospheric pressure comparable to earth with lower gravity?
      Probably. I wouldn't bet too much on necessarily being able to breathe the atmosphere though.
    12. Re:i've always said by edwardpickman · · Score: 1

      The real truth is all the other inner planets suck as terraforming cannidates. Mars is realitively benign compared to Venus. Its the high content of sulfuric acid that would hamper terraforming. Shifting the orbit to Earth orbit might help with the greenhousing and it might be possible to blast away part of the atmosphere but removing large amounts of sulfuric acid is going to be trickier. The concentrations are high enough to erode mountains on Venus. Mars may lack a dense atmosphere and has low gravity but we can keep humans alive with current technology. Itd take thousands and perhaps millions of years of hard work to get Venus to a level where even with a space suit humans could survive on it. Were definitely talking in the millions or tens of millions of years to terraform it. Itd almost be easier to start from scratch with asteroids and comets or collide enough of them with Mars to add more mass. The real problem with Mars is the lack of an iron core so solar radiation will be an issue even with an atmosphere. No shirt sleeve weather on Mars no matter how much terraforming you do, the sun tan will kill you. The truth is Earth is unique in this solar system and any colonizing for the next 10,000+ years will require domes or similar survival structures. Other than a few things like the dust problems, its a bigger issue than you think, the Moon is probably the best cannidate for colonizing. Gravity is the biggest problem with long term stays but most of the other problems can be solved with current technology. Water is a problem but mostly for fuel for ships since most of it would be recycled for human use. Energy would be far less of an issue with the strong sun exposure. Artificial planets, a Dysan sphere without a sun at the middle would be an option but even then rings like in Ringworld are superior since spinning them can reproduce the effects of gravity. Make one the diameter of the Earth and add a wall the height of our atmosphere and spin it and you effectively have a planet. Angle it to the sun and you can reproduce day and night. Youd have to cannibalize the asteroid belt and possibly part of the ort cloud for raw materials but it is possible. There are plenty of resources on the moons of the outer planets you just need to mine them and orbit the materials. Its far more practical than terraforming a known planet.

    13. Re:i've always said by Daimanta · · Score: 1

      But it has GREAT all night parties!

      --
      Knowledge is power. Knowledge shared is power lost.
    14. Re:i've always said by jaxtherat · · Score: 1

      For the love of pepsi, please use paragraphs!! If you don't know how to use html, post in plain text, it is wysiwyg.

      --
      http://www.zombieapocalypse.tv/
    15. Re:i've always said by JebusIsLord · · Score: 1

      You can't just precipiate it out... I remember reading in (I think) some Carl Sagan book long ago, that if we did so, they'd end up with a layer of charcoal a few feet deep, plus around a hundred atmospheres of pure oxygen. Someone lights a match, and you're back to square one.

      His best analysis was that we'd have to blow the atmosphere off by hitting the planet with asteroids. Not exactly as easy feat.

      --
      Jeremy
    16. Re:i've always said by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, but it takes thousands of years for the solar wind to blow away the atmosphere. If we one day have the ability to make the atmosphere of Mars suitable for human habitation then surely we will also have the ability to maintain the atmosphere over such a long time period.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    17. Re:i've always said by CorSci81 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, Earth has managed to safely sequester billions of tons of carbon. We have just as much of it as Venus, ours just happens to be locked up in nifty things like carbonate rocks. Venus could have carbonate rocks too if we could just get it a little cooler and get some water back on the surface to help with erosion. Just at present the reaction goes the wrong way and you have CaCO3 + SiO2 -> CaSiO3 + CO2, so there aren't a lot of carbonate rocks laying about. In terms of atmospheric composition if you removed most of the CO2 from Venus's atmosphere it'd have roughly the same amount of nitrogen, which is a good starting point, and you only need to liberate oxygen from a relatively small amount of the CO2 that's presently there for a breathable atmosphere.

    18. Re:i've always said by khallow · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that Venus is considered to be on the edge. Whether it's in or not is a matter of opinion. Given that there are engineering solutions for reducing solar radiation (orbiting sun screens), this seems manageable for terraforming.

    19. Re:i've always said by P3NIS_CLEAVER · · Score: 1

      We should move that atmosphere from Venus to Mars.

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    20. Re:i've always said by Tumbleweed · · Score: 1

      Probably not due to the 243 day rotation.

      And the vampires thought Barrow, Alaska was a great place to vacation...

    21. Re:i've always said by capnchicken · · Score: 1

      I think you need a molten, spinning core to have a magnetic field. Good thing we have The Core as reference material.

      --
      A libertarian shat on my carpet once. Claimed the free market would sort it out. -Ford Prefect(8777)
    22. Re:i've always said by Tumbleweed · · Score: 1

      The technology required to terraform another planet will probably come along about the same time as making our own planetary-scale magnetic fields. I'll worry about it if we actually get to the point of being able to terraform and *can't* make a huge magnetic field. We should probably speed up the rotation of Venus while we're at it.

      And by that time, I expect we'll be able to download our consciousnesses into artificial bodies, so we could probably live in just about any physical environment, anyway.

      Still, all these theoretical abilities are insignificant next to the power of the Force. :)

    23. Re:i've always said by Cadallin · · Score: 1
      Ga Zuh? "His best analysis was that we'd have to blow the atmosphere off by hitting the planet with asteroids. Not exactly as easy feat."

      How exactly is that NOT easy? At least in any context where you're seriously discussing terraforming planets, striking the targets with planetoids is as easy as it gets. All you have to do is go out and identify likely sized asteroids (we're well on our way to doing that, with various catalogs of solar system objects), and then move them in to place using well placed nuclear detonations, a process only trivially (again, triviality being defined in terms of our discussion) more difficult than many maneuvers we use for solar system exploration today.

      I'd also argue that straight up nuclear detonations on Venus would be another viable route. Correctly planned, you could jettison quite a bit of the atmosphere directly that way. The other big problem with Venus, the extremely slow rotation, can be resolved using similar strategies.

    24. Re:i've always said by geobeck · · Score: 1

      venus is a better terraforming candidate than mars.

      True. In fact, we're doing our best to reverse-terraform Earth to be more like Venus every day.

      --
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    25. Re:i've always said by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      > The real truth is all the other inner planets suck as terraforming cannidates.

      Earth seems like a fairly promising candidate. Just get rid of the humans...

      > ...rings like in Ringworld are superior since spinning them can reproduce the effects of
      > gravity. Make one the diameter of the Earth and add a wall the height of our atmosphere
      > and spin it and you effectively have a planet.

      Bit of a materials problem there.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    26. Re:i've always said by Bee1zebub · · Score: 1

      Venus is borderline habitable, as the sibling said. However, Mars is outside the habitable zone, sinc eht eonly potential liquid water is below the surface.

    27. Re:i've always said by wizardforce · · Score: 1

      Isn't the problem with mars a lack of a magnetic field which allows the solar wind to strip away the atmosphere? I don't see how we could jump-start a magnetic field, so whats the point of even trying to rebuild the atmosphere if it's all going to blow away?
      it takes several million years for a sizable atmosphere to be sufficiently eroded without a magnetic field. We don't need to jump start the entire magnetic field on the planet, just create an artificial one- like say a *ton* of orbiting satillites using a thin helium plasma to extend the magnetic field generated several miles out in a large bubble, send up enough of them with each bubble overlapping and voila! a nice protective magnetic field. it's well beyond our current technology to pull it off but hey what will we be able to do in the few million years it takes the atmosphere to erode anyways?

      How about the lack of gravity? Can you build atmospheric pressure comparable to earth with lower gravity?
      yes. Mars at least might have a cool enough atmosphere and large enough mass to retain a thick atmosphere for several million years at the least. with our help it can last as long as we like when and if we get the proper technology. Venus on the other hand has far too much CO2 and too little hydrogen atoms available to be terraformed without some *serious* work and by serious I mean super-civilization capable of moving quadrillions of tons of material to and from different planets.
      --
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    28. Re:i've always said by Jarnin · · Score: 1

      Isn't the problem with mars a lack of a magnetic field which allows the solar wind to strip away the atmosphere?
      Yes.

      I don't see how we could jump-start a magnetic field, so whats the point of even trying to rebuild the atmosphere if it's all going to blow away?
      It'll last for thousands of years if you suddenly stopped adding to it.

      How about the lack of gravity?
      Mars has 38% the gravity of Earth. The difference isn't too bad, and eventually people living on Mars will adapt to the lighter gravity.

      Can you build atmospheric pressure comparable to earth with lower gravity?
      No, but you wouldn't need to. A terraformed Mars isn't going to be like Africa or South America. It'll be more like living up in the mountains.
    29. Re:i've always said by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "Venus is borderline habitable, as the sibling said. However, Mars is outside the habitable zone, sinc eht eonly potential liquid water is below the surface."

      Gort! Klaatu barada nikto!

    30. Re:i've always said by wizardforce · · Score: 1

      Can you build atmospheric pressure comparable to earth with lower gravity? No, but you wouldn't need to. A terraformed Mars isn't going to be like Africa or South America. It'll be more like living up in the mountains.
      so Titan doesn't exist? an atmosphere onyl escapes when the atmos in the upper part of the atmosphere attain a high enough energy to escape. The amount of energy available to do this is dependant on how warm the atmosphere is and the amount required to break free of the planet is dependant on the mass and radius of the relevant atmosphere. it takes millions of years for the atmosphere to erode, not thousands as has been suggested, so it's probably doable. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Titan_(moon)
      --
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    31. Re:i've always said by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      I don't see how we could jump-start a magnetic field...

      You'd have to reheat(relight?) the core. That's where the atmosphere comes from. Then you need oceans full of water and plant life to filter it. Mars is dead. Cold as a cucumber. In the case of Venus, a great big Stirling fridge will cool it down a bit and condense everything we need.

      --
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    32. Re:i've always said by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not true; you can still get liquid water on the surface of Mars. Even pure liquid water is possible, and salt brine, hydrogen peroxide, and sulfuric acid are actually quite easy to maintain at the surface. It gets even easier at the bottom of canyons.

    33. Re:i've always said by Refenestrator · · Score: 1

      and if you stood on venus right now, you would weigh roughly the same.

      Not for very long.

    34. Re:i've always said by Rorschach1 · · Score: 1

      But what about the slow rotation? It takes what, 243 Earth days for Venus to complete one local day? It'd be rather difficult to maintain Earth-like conditions like that.

    35. Re:i've always said by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      All very true - and all having nothing to do with what I wrote. Removing the CO2 from Venus's atmosphere is a Hard Problem.

    36. Re:i've always said by Iron+Sun · · Score: 1

      One big advantage Mars has over Venus in terms of terraforming potential is that Mars' day length is really close to that of the Earth (43 minutes longer, I think). Venus, on the other hand, has a day longer than its year. You would either have to spin up the planet somehow (good luck with that) or else have a series of mirrors and shades at the Venus-Sun Lagrangian points to allow the simulation of a proper day/night cycle. This might lead to the interesting situation where the entire planet shares the same time zone, with night falling across the entire planet simultaneously.

    37. Re:i've always said by CorSci81 · · Score: 1

      No, really, I was answering you. If you take what I wrote earlier and extrapolate you can see one possible (albeit slow) solution. And no one said terraforming was going to be easy or practical, it's just not technically impossible.

      If you can manage to cool Venus's atmosphere sufficiently (with say a giant sunshade in orbit at the Lagrange point, but you can use your imagination) for carbonate rocks to form the chemistry does the work for you. Venus has a nearly identical chemical makeup to the Earth, so as long as you can get some water back on the planet (probably a much more daunting challenge than an orbital sunshade) erosional processes do the rest.

      No huge constant energy input for storage (aside from keeping your sunshade in place), no flammable hydrocarbons, which were the two complaints in your original post.

    38. Re:i've always said by inviolet · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, in terraforming terms, finding stuff to make up the Martian atmosphere probably isn't that hard. There are significant CO2 ice caps, and there may be significant water available with modest effort. CO2 plus plants gives you O2. Also, there is some good evidence to suggest that the icecaps' existence is bistable -- that is, if you could mostly evaporate them, the additional greenhouse effect would warm the planet enough to finish the job and keep it that way.

      Eh... better to leave Mars alone. It will be the perfect home for any future silicon-based intelligent life, because it lacks the two chemicals (water and oxygen) that play such hell with metal components.

      Assuming that humans can overcome their "OMG we'll be obsolete!" paranoia about post-humans, it would be teh awesome if carbon-based intelligence on Earth could coexist peacefully with silicon-based intelligence on Mars. Assuming.

      Not bloody likely, of course, but it's an awesome thought. Terraforming Mars would waste that fantastic opportunity, all for the sake of the outdated "meat86" system architecture.

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    39. Re:i've always said by corpsmoderne · · Score: 1

      And how a earth-like gravity is a big bonus? A reduced gravity like those found on Mars or on the Moon are probably enough to prevent weightlessness illness. On the other hand, a huge gravity field like eath's (or Venus) is a big problem for space flight: where you only need a LM ascent module (less than 5 metric tons) to get 2 men from Moon's surface to low orbit, you need a Tian2/Gemini (150 tons!) or a Soyuz to put 2 men in earth orbit.

    40. Re:i've always said by INeededALogin · · Score: 1

      I don't see how we could jump-start a magnetic field

      Hollywood did it

    41. Re:i've always said by edbob · · Score: 1

      Venus is of similar size and density as Earth, so the gravitational attraction should be about the same. According to what I've read, its magnetic field is considerably weaker than Earth's and is not able to protect the planet from cosmic radiation. Even so, atmospheric pressure is higher on Venus than on Earth.

    42. Re:i've always said by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      venus is a better terraforming candidate than mars. oh sure, if you want to get somewhere as quickly as possible that is vaguely hospitable to settlement, mars beats venus hands down

      The best candidate for terraforming is terra. Perhaps we should start here first, given that if we don't, then the Venus/Mars discussion may become moot.

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    43. Re:i've always said by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Hint: "sunshade" = "huge solar collector" = "constant power source".

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    44. Re:i've always said by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      It's not a problem. You just call it scrith (remember to use the italics) then before anyone gets a chance to ask you what its chemical composition actually is, you quickly go back to talking about alien sex again, which is, let's face it, what we're really interested in.

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    45. Re:i've always said by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Was ManBearPig responsible?

    46. Re:i've always said by liquiddark · · Score: 1

      Mars lacks...water? Really? Given the body of research which indicates it has permafrost, I think you may want to check your facts.

    47. Re:i've always said by inviolet · · Score: 1

      Liquid and gaseous water, dude. Those are what cause corrosion. Permafrost and ice caps wouldn't cause any troubles for mechanized life.

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    48. Re:i've always said by mfrank · · Score: 1

      Earth sequesters carbon because continental drift recycles carbon back into the planet's interior. Venus doesn't; its crust is much thicker (most of Earth's original crust was removed during the event that formed the moon), and it has no plate techtonics. A little bit of water creating erosion won't cut it.

    49. Re:i've always said by CorSci81 · · Score: 1

      Well, yes and no. It's been a while since I've done the analysis, but as I recall only about 1/2 of Earth's carbon is sequestered in the mantle and plate tectonics keep that reservoir relatively fixed. Volcanic outgassing is just as much a source of carbon as carbonate rocks being subducted are a sink. My real point was carbonate rocks are fairly stable at the surface and can sequester a lot of carbon.

      In regards to plate tectonics, yes, Venus does have twice the crustal thickness of the Earth, but lack of water could play just as much or more of a role in why Venus doesn't have plate tectonics. Who knows what'd happen if we added the water back. As of the time I graduated how you get plate tectonics to start in the first place was still an open question.

    50. Re:i've always said by liquiddark · · Score: 1

      One of the papers I cited talked about the melting of the permafrost. Liquid water is believed to exist on Mars. And if you want to get technical, the sheer amount of fine particulate in the Martian atmosphere would wreak havoc on moving parts, or so it's believed, anyway. The current rovers have gotten lucky, but it's not like the dust didn't shut them down once or twice.

  3. Better make the bionic man first by killdozer3k · · Score: 1, Funny

    If your going to have a Venus probe there is always the chance it will land on the earth and go berserk. So you need a bionic man or woman to fight it. Actually, why are we making Venus probes at all for a bunch of stupid textbook companies. Let them pay for th probe. what we need is to make fembots. I want fembots dammit. Affectionate fembots that can make flapjacks... Now that would be a worthwhile implementation of science.

    1. Re:Better make the bionic man first by kc2keo · · Score: 1

      I'll drink to that!

  4. Isn't It Obvious by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 1

    Isn't it obvious. Venus is Global Warming run amuck. And we're next!

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
    1. Re:Isn't It Obvious by Vegeta99 · · Score: 1

      Thank God for sterling engine refrigerators!

  5. Stirling coolers by EaglemanBSA · · Score: 4, Informative

    While stirling engines are certainly old, the idea of using them as refrigerators is just recently catching on. Here in sleep Athens, OH a company called Global Cooling is the forefront producer of such devices (and is still hand-making a good number of them).

    The nice little advantage to these coolers is that they operate with very high COP's, and are limited in lower temperature merely by available power and the boiling point of the working gas. In global cooling's case, Helium is typically used, so temperatures down to around 5K are obtainable (at which point the helium liquifies. Yeah. Cold.) Also, control of the device can be very precise, in that instead of a compressor kicking on and off, it operates constantly, quietly, and with good variable control.

    LG is beginning to outfit refrigerators with Stirling pumps because they're so much better than current designs - only problem is they're not mass produced yet. Coleman has a portable unit shown here that is quite a nice unit, albeit very pricey.

    One of my professors here at school is one of the pioneers of Stirling refrigeration, so I've been exposed to it a lot. If the whole country switched their refrigerators to stirling compressors, California could shut off its power grid and we'd still have a surplus of energy country-wide.

    --
    Quiz: True or False -- On a scale of 1 to 10, what is your middle name?
    1. Re:Stirling coolers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > LG is beginning to outfit refrigerators with Stirling pumps because they're so much better than current designs - only problem is they're not mass produced yet. Coleman has a portable unit shown here that is quite a nice unit, albeit very pricey.

      ITYMeant stirling engine...
      But anyway, how much better are they than the current heat pump designs?

    2. Re:Stirling coolers by EaglemanBSA · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, actually they're using the stirling design as the actual pump - that's the beauty of it. They're looking at using CO2 or helium as the refrigerant as well as the working fluid in the stirling cooler - especially with respect to helium, getting the gas-phase bubbles out of the fluid is as simple as letting it evaporate and leak back into the cooler itself. The design is much simpler this way, and leaks are quite benign.

      That being said, helium is a bit more expensive than other refrigerants, and CO2 requires intensely high pressures, so much work is yet to be done. As a heat pump, Stirling cycle engines operate on the theoretical threshold (we evaluate them using the Carnot cycle) of efficiency, so they...well, blow other designs out of the water. For numbers, I don't have any here. To give you some perspective though, I've seend a 40 watt unit freeze the water in the air around it within seconds of being turned on.

      --
      Quiz: True or False -- On a scale of 1 to 10, what is your middle name?
    3. Re:Stirling coolers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That sounds very clever and promising. I hope to see this technology soon.

    4. Re:Stirling coolers by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2, Informative
      in sleep Athens, OH a company called Global Cooling is the forefront producer of such devices (and is still hand-making a good number of them).

      ... and, in fact, Global Cooling licensed their free-piston Stirling engine technology from Sunpower (also of Athens, Ohio), and Sunpower works with NASA Glenn on the Stirling engine development. So they really are the cousins of the Venus engines.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    5. Re:Stirling coolers by P3NIS_CLEAVER · · Score: 1

      These sterling 'refrigerators' are currently in use on the detectors in the antennas at the VLA.

      --
      Please sign petition to restore sanity to our banking system!!!

      http://financialpetition.org/
    6. Re:Stirling coolers by rdebath · · Score: 1

      Note to self: check temperature setting before turning it on.

  6. another reason by ILuvRamen · · Score: 1

    Isn't the real reason we haven't been trying to rover there because it's just not a very interesting place? Wouldn't the rover just beam back "It's hot and everything's melted" over and over lol. If I remember correctly, there's no significant features to even study. You can't have mountains and ancient, dried up rivers and caves when everything's that hot. Mars is far more interesting.

    --
    Google's Super Secret Search Algorithm: SELECT @search_results FROM internet WHERE @search_results = 'good'
    1. Re:another reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not the heat that disrupts the Venusian landscape. It's been theorized that Venus' plates build pressure and periodically vent it all at once (every few hundred thousand or million years) thus dramatically resurfacing the landscape.

    2. Re:another reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That was the old theory, based on impact sites. More recent analysis has shown that Venus' surface is not as new as was once thought, and shows a more typical range of impact crater ages. I wish I could find you some background on this change, because I too was once under the impression that the "reshapes its surface like clockwork" theory was pretty much the accepted doctrine. Not anymore.

    3. Re:another reason by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Isn't the real reason we haven't been trying to rover there because it's just not a very interesting place?

      Nobody really knows because it's been under-explored. Rocks generally can handle a lot of heat without melting. In fact, there may be *less* erosion on Venus than Mars because the temperature does not swing much on Venus due to the thick atmosphere. Wide temperature swings are a major erosion factor, perhaps more than mere heat. Thus, Venus may surprise us.

  7. ROHS by Biff+Stu · · Score: 1

    Now that everybody has made the shift to ROHS electronics, who cares if the heat melts lead? They should be able to do it with all COTS parts.

    1. Re:ROHS by kcbanner · · Score: 1

      Apparently NASA doesn't trust tin so they still use lead. Go figure.

      --
      Obligatory blog plug: http://www.caseybanner.ca/
    2. Re:ROHS by ThePeices · · Score: 1

      it matters because the melting point of lead free solder is well below 400deg C!

    3. Re:ROHS by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      > Apparently NASA doesn't trust tin so they still use lead.

      They use an alloy of tin and lead, and for good reason. Google "tin whiskers".

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
  8. time for tubes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sounds like operating temperature for tubes. What happened to SED technology? What if you put sensors on the surface with tube-backed technology and keep an orbiter to process and send the info to Earth? In the 60s they had integrated tubes.

    1. Re:time for tubes! by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Remember the Nuvistor? It would be interesting if vacuum-tube technology got revived in order to make a space probe capable of surviving high temperatures.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    2. Re:time for tubes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Remember them? I still use them! I have a nice collection of 7586 tubes but also a few Tektronix plugins for 500-series scopes. I also have Russian Nuvistors that seem to work fine.

    3. Re:time for tubes! by bitrex · · Score: 1

      Most vacuum tubes have filaments that need to be hot to cause thermionic emission, but that doesn't mean one can keep the entire tube and its environment at 450 degrees C. The problem is made worse because the tube plates can only cool themselves by radiating heat through the vacuum to the glass or metal envelope or conducting down the leads, unlike semiconductors which can be heat-sunk. If the ambient temperature is too high the plate won't be able to dissipate heat, and out gassing from the overheated metal will ruin the tube.

  9. 1970's refrigerator? by downix · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sterling's are older than the 70's. I've been tinkering on using a sterling for cooling off an engine block for a few years now (pretty good results too, allowing me to generate electricity from the previously wasted heat).

    --
    Karma Whoring for Fun and Profit.
    1. Re:1970's refrigerator? by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      Hmm, the 1870s more likely.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  10. From the Stirling Engine article by AnonymousCactus · · Score: 5, Funny
    1. Re:From the Stirling Engine article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, that was a less controversial form of a link troll. ;)

  11. The real test by kaoshin · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yes, but can this device provide adequate cooling for a pair of NVIDIA 8800's in a brutal "room temperature" environment?

  12. The many faces of counterproductivity by liquiddark · · Score: 1

    They're going to power the 1) cooling unit for 2) the robot looking for life with 3) plutonium that will 4) generate heat Day 4 prediction: Mutant baby sulphur monsters come play in the pool of liquid robot.

    1. Re:The many faces of counterproductivity by Jesus_666 · · Score: 1

      They won't be able to get th rover there anyway - the rocket will never be able to reach Venus:

      1. The rocket flies towards Venus a bit
      2. In the same time, Venus moves a bit further
      3. The rocket now has to fly further to reach Venus
      4. GOTO 1

      As Zeno of Elea has proven, it is impossible to catch up. Thus Venus is unreachable.

      (And no, I won't allow nonsense arguments like "the rocket is faster than Venus" or "we launch the rocket in Venus' path" or "the cooling system will dissipate enough heat to compensate for the power source".)

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
    2. Re:The many faces of counterproductivity by liquiddark · · Score: 1

      If the cooling system could dissipate more heat than the power source generated, you could hook the cooling system to a forward Stirling engine and create a perpetual motion machine.

      Of course, the word "mutant" didn't clue you into the fact that it was a joke, so I'm not really hopeful that this will penetrate either.

    3. Re:The many faces of counterproductivity by Jesus_666 · · Score: 1

      Hey, this is Slashdot. It's usually impossible to tell whether a post is biting sarcasm, dead-honest or complete nonsense.


      BTW, just to finish this thread: The battery won't melt itself down (because that would be a really stupid way to build a battery), it wil be insulated and cooled if neccessary and the electronics will be insulated heavily - and separately from the battery. Unless they construct the whole thing in a really weird way the battery shouldn't pose much of a heat problem.

      Then again, every space device we build has a chance of someone using the wrong system of measures, thus completely screwing everything over. It's unlikely that the battery will produce 700 degrees of heat more than it should ("Celsius? I thought we worked with degrees Fahrenheit!"), thus baking the whole thing before it even reaches Venus, but it is possible.

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
  13. Floating Cities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As to the overly dense atmosphere and colonisation of the solar system - one possibility now would be to put up floating cities around or where the pressure equals 1 earth atms, iirc someone at NASA suggested that but I can't find the link now.

    Generating energy would be much more efficient via solar pannels because of it's proximity to earth. Or you could use giant vents with exits floating at different heights to drive rotors, and possibly move your cloud city so it is alway in daylight since venus' day is very long.

  14. Length of days is a problem by mangu · · Score: 2, Insightful
    if you want to talk about recreating earthlike conditions (water, temperature, gravity, atmospheric density)


    Unfortunately, the rotation of Venus is ridiculously slow, that would create a problem, not only for human work cycles but, much worse, for managing temperature.


    Suppose they create some kind of shield between Venus and the sun, for instance with a swarm of thin foil satellites. The surface temperature would fall down to bearable levels, perhaps to the point of solidifying the CO2, which would make the atmospheric pressure fall. But even assuming that kind of technology, I see no way to get Venus rotating close to the Earth and Mars rates of about 24 hours.

    1. Re:Length of days is a problem by mbone · · Score: 1

      The length of day isn't really a problem.

      Venus had a habitable climate for billions of years. If you get the CO2 out of the air and back into the rocks, like on Earth, it could again, long length of
      day or not. BTW, there are lots of people who live in arctic areas with roughly similar day / night distributions.

      However, if you really needed to, you could hit the planet with a carefully aimed ice rich asteroid or (better yet) a comet. This would both add water and change the spin, in principle to whatever you want.

    2. Re:Length of days is a problem by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      Length of day IS a problem. more specifically, the length of NIGHT that goes along with it. During the "day" you would have the hot sun beating down constantly, and during the "night" you have the icy cold blackness of space into which all your heat radiates into.

      Temperature swings would be a bitch.

      Right now, the planet has a nice thick blanket of CO2 and dust to keep the warmth in and solar radiation out, so the temperature swings aren't that bad. We would need to strip that blanket off if we ever want to live on it without special suits, though.
      =Smidge=

    3. Re:Length of days is a problem by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 0, Troll

      I've read things that suggest that Venus might only be a few thousand years old, and not because that's when Jeebus got around to creationing it.

      Things that suggest it might have been ejected from Jupiter's core.

    4. Re:Length of days is a problem by jackbird · · Score: 1

      Reference?

      I have a hard time swallowing that given the nice round shape of its orbit. Of course, if this is a reference to some movie or game I don't know, never mind.

    5. Re:Length of days is a problem by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 1

      Nothing that anyone could take seriously. Just a notch above the "free energy" kooks. But it made me think.

      The premise is that a large solid core in a gas giant like Jupiter is unstable, and every once in awhile it kicks out a terrestrial-sized planet. A hot one. I'm not sure if it's actually better than Jeebusistic creationism or not, but it's interesting. I like ideas that are different.

    6. Re:Length of days is a problem by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      The premise is that a large solid core in a gas giant like Jupiter is unstable, and every once in awhile it kicks out a terrestrial-sized planet. A hot one. I'm not sure if it's actually better than Jeebusistic creationism or not, but it's interesting.

      It's marginally more scientific than creationism, because it's more amenable to rational analysis and doesn't have the built-in 'God just did it that way' excuse.

      As an exercise, why not work out the energy required to lift the mass of Venus from Jupiter to a large distance? Compare that to, say, the annual energy output of the Sun. Then work out if that kind of power is plausible.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    7. Re:Length of days is a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMFG! Jupiter's nucleus is undergoing a radioactive decay!

    8. Re:Length of days is a problem by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 1

      I'm a flunky, incapable of the math. But I don't think that that's the problem so much.

      It's one of circularizing the orbit to Venus's current one, especially in so short a time, that is problematic.

    9. Re:Length of days is a problem by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      Suppose they create some kind of shield between Venus and the sun, for instance with a swarm of thin foil satellites. The surface temperature would fall down to bearable levels, perhaps to the point of solidifying the CO2, which would make the atmospheric pressure fall. But even assuming that kind of technology, I see no way to get Venus rotating close to the Earth and Mars rates of about 24 hours.
      Hmm...well...perhaps two birds with one stone?

      That is...suppose you create a large shield as you say. Problem is, it would have to cool somehow due to the temperature from the sun. So, perhaps you make it a large array of smaller shields - when one gets too hot, it rotates so that its hot side is now facing away from the sun, and then a cool side is presented. You could then use this to control day-light by controlling how much light is allowed through.

      Of course, you could also do it with plasma cooling to suck the heat away...but that wouldn't be any fun. (Water cooling just wouldn't be effective enough.) Of course, that would be one freaking large heat sink...you could still get the two birds by having some kind of panel system that could allow some light through too.

      Or may be we just turn it into a big magnet too and use some gravitational lensing...then again, that might eat the sun up.
      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    10. Re:Length of days is a problem by snooo53 · · Score: 1

      Hmm... say you are able to accomplish the plasma cooling in an open system in orbit. A big cloud of ionized gas in orbit around the planet= magnetosphere = potential magnetic field which Venus is sorely lacking.

      Not sure about your comment about "gravitational lensing", there isn't enough mass to do anything of the sort. The sun barely deflects light as it is. Now using magnetic fields to trap material in space in order to refract light such that you create a lens.... maybe.

      --
      The sending of this message pretty much inconveniences everyone involved.
    11. Re:Length of days is a problem by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1
      Hmm...so it might actually work...supposing you could solve the plasma cooling in an open system in orbit. I was mostly jesting around with ideas...may be it is just too realistic for a jest? ;-)

      Not sure about your comment about "gravitational lensing", there isn't enough mass to do anything of the sort. The sun barely deflects light as it is. Now using magnetic fields to trap material in space in order to refract light such that you create a lens.... maybe.
      Actually, I was thinking about curving light around the "shield" instead of poking holes through it to provide sunlight. Not using the sun to provide gravitional lensing, but creating one. It wouldn't work b/c it would have to have a stronger gravity than the sun, thus the sun would get sucked into it - as would the rest of the solar system and we'd be in greater trouble.
      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    12. Re:Length of days is a problem by mangu · · Score: 1

      I've read things that suggest that Venus might only be a few thousand years old, and not because that's when Jeebus got around to creationing it.

      Things that suggest it might have been ejected from Jupiter's core.

      Reference?

      Here is a good reference for that "theory"
    13. Re:Length of days is a problem by PermanentMarker · · Score: 1

      No the temperature shift.. is where you would get your stations energy from
      Create a roling station have one part at night side one at day side..
      difference = energy

      Energy can be used for wel doing Xbox kind of things emulating a liveable world.

      --
      I know you're out there. I can feel you now. I know that you're afraid. You're afraid of us. You're afraid of change.
    14. Re:Length of days is a problem by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      I think you need to take a step back and think about that...

      Where, on Earth, can you stand and see both complete night and complete day at the same time?

      And even if you manage to find such a place, consider the hundreds of miles between those points. What you're proposing is to construct a "rolling station" that is, effectively, at least a third of the planet's circumference. And that says nothing of a clear path for it to travel on...
      =Smidge=

  15. all i'm saying is by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    it is easier to destroy than it is to create

    so with atmospheric density, it is easier to start some sort of process that would precipiate mass out of venus's atmosphere than it would be to bulk up mars somehow (and can mars' gravity hold the density?)

    as for oxygen, i forgot about that (duh! ;-)

    but getting oxygen (and water) in sufficient quantities is equally hard and daunting for mars or venus. venus has hydrogen and oxygen locked up just as much as mars does, and will require some chemical/ atomic manipulation to arrive at the proportional quantity we need just as much as mars does. so for oxygen and water, i think you are talking massive difficulties either way right there, it's a wash in comparing the two planets thatways. both will require heavy manipulation, with a huge energy input, using technology far beyond our current comprehension

    and in considering gravity, venus wins without a second thought

    and something neither of us considered: magnetic fields. on this measure, both mars and venus stink. so any colony on either orb will be irradiated daily. uggh

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:all i'm saying is by CorSci81 · · Score: 1

      Actually, Mars has lost a significant amount of hydrogen (as has Venus, but not as severely) and most of the surface rocks are highly oxidized. Really, you'd need to add back some hydrogen to make Mars really work. And as far as the radiation goes, Earth's atmosphere (and also Venus's) do a LOT to stop radiation. Sure it doesn't get all of it, but astronauts on the space station are getting a much higher radiation dose than you and I down at ground level.

    2. Re:all i'm saying is by Yoozer · · Score: 1

      It's easier to upload our minds into something that doesn't require all those pesky things like oxygen and all that. To create a bubble in a hostile environment just to get the least important parts of us there - the waterbags - that's a waste. We want our brains and senses there because those of the machines are too limited and too hampered by time and signal quality problems.

    3. Re:all i'm saying is by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      That's great, but the "somethings" better look and feel like Alyson Hannigan, because my "brain and senses" don't get their jollies from groping R2D2.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
  16. Water and Plate Tectonics by MaxEmerika · · Score: 1

    According to TFA, Venus's plate tectonics shut down when the last of its water boiled away. Can any of you geniuses explain to me why water is required for plate tectonics to function?

    1. Re:Water and Plate Tectonics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is the KY of the plate tectonics world....(lubrication for all you virgins out there)

    2. Re:Water and Plate Tectonics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      all you virgins out there

      I can assure you, both non-virgin readers of Slashdot found your KY joke hilarious.
    3. Re:Water and Plate Tectonics by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2, Informative

      Water lowers the viscosity of magma.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    4. Re:Water and Plate Tectonics by zenkonami · · Score: 1

      Lubrication.

      --

      Do You Experiment?
    5. Re:Water and Plate Tectonics by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      It is the KY of the plate tectonics world....(lubrication for all you virgins out there)

      With a name like "Venus", I doubt the planet's a virgin.

      (I knew a girl named Venus once. She was quite pretty and had rainbow hair. Goddess of love, indeed.)

  17. you're a bore by circletimessquare · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    of course it is difficult to terraform planets. any attempt at terraforming any planet will require commanding and intricately directing massive amounts of energy many orders of mangitude well beyond anything mankind has even dreamed of mastering

    but at the same time, ask a roman general 2,000 years ago to consider the existence of jet fighters, air craft carriers, and helicopters and you would get the same level of incredulity as you have now about being in a "magical universe"

    which means his problem, and your problem, is that you lack imagination. you're a dullard. you think pointing out that terraforming planets is difficult is a useful comment to make

    well shit, thanks for enlightening us. we had no idea, we thought it would be easy. where would we be without you?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:you're a bore by Ponzicar · · Score: 1

      And that Roman general was quite justified in pointing out those difficulties, given the many years of technological innovation and problems involved in inventing those examples. He's hardly a dullard for asking about the problems that someone in the future will have to overcome before your fantasies could come to life.

    2. Re:you're a bore by flyingsquid · · Score: 2, Insightful
      but at the same time, ask a roman general 2,000 years ago to consider the existence of jet fighters, air craft carriers, and helicopters and you would get the same level of incredulity as you have now about being in a "magical universe" which means his problem, and your problem, is that you lack imagination. you're a dullard. you think pointing out that terraforming planets is difficult is a useful comment to make

      All the example of the Roman general proves is that it's not a good idea to make predictions, especially about the future. Sure, the Roman general would probably have laughed at you if you told him about a time, two thousand years in the future, where people would travel in horseless carriages, fly through the sky, send words, voices, and moving pictures across the world, and worship a crucified Jew.

      On the other hand: where IS my flying car? 50 years ago I'm sure you could find people confidently predicting that in the far-off future of 2007, people would have androids do their chores, live under the sea, and fly to work in that flying car. And of course, it'd all be run on nuclear power. You can't tell me that "lack of imagination" is the reason I don't have my flying car. Flying cars, it turns out, are pretty damn hard to build.

      About all we can do is extrapolate from current trends. Ten years from now, I'll be able to buy a faster PC with more memory and hard drive space, my cell phone will be smaller, more organisms will be genetically engineered, and Michael Jackson will be even more freaky. But will AIDS be cured? If I lose my daughter in a terrible accident, can I clone her? Will we solve global warming? Will Duke Nukem Forever be released? The revolutions are hard to predict. Our ignorance makes many possible things seem impossible, and many impossible things, seem possible. Where does terraforming Venus fit in? Hard to say. My gut feeling is that if it ever happens, it will come long after the day we all have flying cars. Of course, I may be forced to eat those words. But if that time ever comes, I will do so gladly- I'll be having too much fun with my flying car to care.

    3. Re:you're a bore by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      of course it is difficult to terraform planets. any attempt at terraforming any planet will require commanding and intricately directing massive amounts of energy many orders of mangitude well beyond anything mankind has even dreamed of mastering

      In some fantasy universe, sure. In our universe with our laws of physics? No.
       
       

      but at the same time, ask a roman general 2,000 years ago to consider the existence of jet fighters, air craft carriers, and helicopters and you would get the same level of incredulity as you have now about being in a "magical universe"
       
      which means his problem, and your problem, is that you lack imagination. you're a dullard. you think pointing out that terraforming planets is difficult is a useful comment to make

      Oh, I have plenty of imagination, but I also have a working knowledge of how the universe works. (Unlike your notional Roman general... and unlike you.)
       
       

      well shit, thanks for enlightening us. we had no idea, we thought it would be easy. where would we be without you?

      Somebody that thinks Venus is a better candidate than Mars is indeed badly in need of enlightening. Because you haven't a fucking clue how the universe works.
    4. Re:you're a bore by Eivind · · Score: 1

      It's hard to predict the future, particularily on a longer timescale. On a short timescale, extending current trends will likely be correct more often than wrong. (allthough it'll certainly be wrong too in some cases)

    5. Re:you're a bore by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      All the example of the Roman general proves is that it's not a good idea to make predictions, especially about the future. Sure, the Roman general would probably have laughed at you if you told him about a time, two thousand years in the future, where people would...worship a crucified Jew.
      Just a slight correction - there were Roman generals that would have certainly believed that part...especially given this Roman Centurion. Though, there were also a few Caesars too (can't remember which off hand). So that was definitely believable.

      However, your basic point stands.
      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    6. Re:you're a bore by mdwh2 · · Score: 1

      You are right that it's hard to predict the future, but...

      On the other hand: where IS my flying car? 50 years ago I'm sure you could find people confidently predicting that in the far-off future of 2007, people would have androids do their chores, live under the sea, and fly to work in that flying car.

      We have the technology for "small flying vehicle", the problems are more unrelated to technology: that they are expensive, and require a harder-to-get pilot's licence.

      As for androids doing chores, it was more that technology went a different route - having some robot that does everything is rather inefficient, so instead we have devices that are specific for a particular purpose. Things like washing machines, microwaves, dishwashers are gradually but significantly reducing the amount of time people have to spend on chores; things like robotic vacuum cleaners (and IIRC lawn mowers) are appearing.

      A similar example might be video telephones, which are often portrayed in descriptions of the future. But the technology does exist (and any bog standard phone will do it now), it's just most people don't want to get dressed up to use the phone.

    7. Re:you're a bore by liquiddark · · Score: 1

      Flying car. Robot servant. Jacques Cousteau. Nuclear Power (Quote: "The provincial government had decided to see if private managers could do a better job running a major part of the nuclear fleet that supplies almost half of Ontario's electricity [emph. mine]).".

      Expecting a perfect match to prediction is a physicist's game at this point. Everyone else has to deal with macroscopic error values.

  18. how about nuclear winter? by joggle · · Score: 1

    I wonder how much Venus would cool if we simply dropped a couple hundred nukes on the surface. It would surely cool it by a few degrees, although I doubt it would cool it to anywhere close to comfortable temperatures.

    1. Re:how about nuclear winter? by Rakishi · · Score: 1

      Well one idea for quickly thermoforming venus is to drop comets on it, broken up before impact to impact all their energy into the atmosphere. The idea being that the simplest method to get rid of the atmosphere is to simply blow it into space. Sadly it seems that the energy required would be quite a lot, as in you'd need to hit the planet with a lot of comets or whatever other space junk you find.

    2. Re:how about nuclear winter? by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      > I wonder how much Venus would cool if we simply dropped a couple hundred nukes on the
      > surface. It would surely cool it by a few degrees...

      More likely a few hundredths of a degree, but why do you think that would cool it at all?

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    3. Re:how about nuclear winter? by larry+bagina · · Score: 1

      Nuclear winter is based on the idea that dust particles in the air will block sunlight. However, Venus has a thick cloud layer that blocks 60+% of the sunlight; the high temperatures are caused by a CO2 greenhouse effect. Chemically converting, trapping, or bleeding off the atmospheric CO2 would be required for any temperature adjustment.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    4. Re:how about nuclear winter? by joggle · · Score: 1

      For the same reason it would cool earth's atmosphere, by blocking more sunlight (ie, global dimming). If enough dirt is kicked up high into the atmosphere it may block more light than the clouds by themselves, thus reflecting some of the sun's energy before getting trapped by greenhouse gas.

    5. Re:how about nuclear winter? by joggle · · Score: 1

      Still, the dirt kicked up in the Venetian atmosphere would still help reflect if the dust particles get higher than the atmosphere. If the dust is within the atmosphere I would presume that the light would be rather diffuse so the dust wouldn't help whatsoever. I don't have any idea how high the cloud tops are on Venus nor what altitude dust kicked up by nukes would stabilize at. Still, it would be a convenient excuse to get rid of our aging stockpile.

    6. Re:how about nuclear winter? by joggle · · Score: 1

      Obviously the dust would stay within the atmosphere. I meant to say if the dust could get above the troposphere (I guess that's what they would call it on Venus; if not, whatever layer they name that contains the clouds).

    7. Re:how about nuclear winter? by operagost · · Score: 1

      Buying carbon credits would be more effective.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
  19. Venusian or Venutian? by thenickboy · · Score: 1

    And how do you pronounce that?

    Ven-u-shun?
    Ven-u-zian?
    Ven-u-sian?

  20. I would rather put a Stirling on Venus... by rholland356 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I would rather put a Stirling-cooled robot rover on Venus than pairs of human feet in the dust of the Moon.

    Robotic exploration of our solar system is critically important and will achieve much more than a pair of glass-encased Lunar baby blues.

  21. Albert Einstein invented a safer refrigerator by MichaelCrawford · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Back in his day, refrigerators used gaseous ammonia as the refrigerant, which is highly toxic. He was appalled to hear of a whole family being killed by a leaky refrigerator, so he and Leo Szilard invented one that had no moving parts, and thus without the risk of leaky seals.

    Leo Szilard was later instrumental in launching the US' Manhattan Project to build the atomic bomb. It was his idea, but he got Einstein to write the letter to President Roosevelt that convinced him to fund the project.

    --
    Request your free CD of my piano music.
  22. magnetic fields are good for block radiation by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    there are many ways to block radiation

    but obviously, you are correct to point out this is a major impediment. but beggars can't be choosers. i don't see any other small rocky orbs close by to consider. mercury is way worse, and the gas giants are, well, gas giants, and their moons are too cold

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  23. uneven heating meets atmosphere by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    and you get wicked weather at the night/ day interface, a blistering midday, and a chilling midnight. but it won't be as wicked a change as on mercury, because the atmosphere will conduct some heat (little, yes, but some is better than none)

    and even with day length considered, venus is still ahead of mars, considering all the other variables, mars comes out a worse prospect still

    but you are correct to point out that day length is a big impediment, i forgot to address that

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:uneven heating meets atmosphere by SetupWeasel · · Score: 1

      Worse than blistering mid-day... a boiling midday. Though the silver lining is that the 240 day rotational period is the sidereal day. The solar day is closer to 120 days.

      The truth is that neither Mars nor Venus are good candidates for "terraforming," but Mars is far more viable for settlement.

  24. If Stirling Coolers are so efficient by JumperCable · · Score: 1

    If Stirling Coolers are so efficient, why are we not using them to cool our homes & office buildings?

    1. Re:If Stirling Coolers are so efficient by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I understand right, they're a bit of a pain to get right, manufacturing-wise, and require the two ends to be at widely varying temperatures (they basically work by thermal induction?)

    2. Re:If Stirling Coolers are so efficient by EaglemanBSA · · Score: 1

      The ends don't have to be different in temperature at all - when used as a refrigerator (or air conditioner, in this case), they are driven by a motor, which provides the temperature difference. That being said, I've seen small engines that can be driven by the temperature difference between your hand and room temperature, but that's a different story all together.

      Correcto-mundo on the manufacturing side, though. Currently the units large enough to do house cooling are hand-made one-by-one and cost in the neighborhood of $50k. They are working on units for car air conditioners though, and we hope to see those within a decade.

      --
      Quiz: True or False -- On a scale of 1 to 10, what is your middle name?
  25. no, wrong by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    and this is why: considering terraforming venus, mars, or any planet, you are already in a realm of technological futurism that is impossible. so, when you say it is impossible to keep an oxygen rich atmosphere off of willing chemical kindling, well, who is to say there wouldn't be some sort of technology by then that could dampen that effect

    i mean, in a way, you and sagan are describing the earth: lots of oxygen, lots of kindling. as san diego proved a few weeks ago, that's a problem. and yet the earth maintained this seemingly thermodynamically impossible balance long before there were human firemen running around. so we're not considering an impossible situation when we describe lots of oxygen and lots of carbon lying around. there are a myriad ways to poison and dampen a runaway plantary fire. it's not in the realm of impossible to keep the kindling and oxygen away from each other

    look, this whole concept is extremely daunting. with terraforming, we are in the realm of fine-tuned and at the same time massive amounts of energy of an order well beyond anything mankind's technology can remotely comprehend. therefore, keeping oxygen and kindling away from flareup will probablt be an afterthought by the time we even considering mastering what is needed to make this work

    i would conjecture that terraforming any planet, including mars and venus, will consist of not just molecular and chemical manipulations, but atomic ones as well. because neither mars, nor venus, nor any other planet will have oxygen in water in the right ratios for mankind, or even in the potential ratios, considering just their atomic oxygen and hydrogen stores. so atomic manipulations will probably be necessary to artificially induce the right ratios. yes: massive amounts of intricately controlled energy in consideration here. so perhaps you could "poison" the atmosphere in terms of making sure there is enough of some inert or interfering chemical that would dampen a potential flareup as the terraforming proceeded. nitrogen, or a nobel gas, for instance

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:no, wrong by JebusIsLord · · Score: 1

      I generally agree with you - not sure why you say i'm "wrong". I was responding to a parent who implied it would be easier to terraform Venus than Mars. I'm sure, given enough time for technology to develop, that both are possible, but Mars is far, far more hospitable in the near-term.

      As far as your oxygen/kindling argument goes though, earth only has both because life creates it. But the upper limit for oxygen is only something like 25% at 1 atmosphere, after which you start getting spontanious combustion events. Now tell me what we'll do with 100 atmospheres of pure oxygen.

      Anyhow, humans can't safely live in that kind of atmosphere either. You'd have people going into seizures all over the place.

      --
      Jeremy
  26. good point by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    we ARE turning our planet into venus

    so, perversely and sadly, if we are going to survive to the point where terraforming venus ever becomes possible, to get to that point, we will have had to master the technology to cool down a hot planet already

    yet another reason venus is a better candidate: a historically inevitable future technological convergence point. we will come to master the technology to cool down a hot planet no matter what, or we won't be around at all

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  27. Well, no... by tjstork · · Score: 1

    The problem with Venus's atmosphere is that there is so damned much of it. In order to get rid of Venus's atmosphere, you need get rid of the mass of something the size of asteroid Vesta. Basically, you need either calcium or something the size of the asteroid Vesta, and gently put it on Venus, and that will precipate the carbon out as calcium carbonate. Or, you could try and find a Vesta sized chunk of hydrogen, and via some chemical wizardry, that will get rid of the carbon dioxide as well and leave water. But even that amount of water wouldn't be nearly as much as in earth's oceans. The Earth has -a lot- of water.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:Well, no... by lachlan76 · · Score: 1

      If you just dropped a whole lot of calcium on there, you'd end up with calcium sulphate, rather than calcium carbonate, because of the sulphuric acid. So you would probably need even more.

    2. Re:Well, no... by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      Or, you could try and find a Vesta sized chunk of hydrogen, and via some chemical wizardry, that will get rid of the carbon dioxide as well and leave water.

      This, at least, can be had. Saturn would probably be the best place to get it, although lifting it all out of that gravity well would be energetically expensive. You'd probably need fusion power to do it - fuel the reactors from a small amount of the atmospheric hydrogen, and start pumping the rest of it into space.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  28. Obviously, Gore didn't make it in time... by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 1

    But there's still hope for this planet!

    1. Re:Obviously, Gore didn't make it in time... by thatskinnyguy · · Score: 1

      Venus is what happens when ManBearPig runs amok?! He needs stopped! Where are you Al Gore to save us?!

      --
      The game.
  29. High temp chips? by sc0ob5 · · Score: 1

    Sorry but I am not understanding the point of this when NASA has the tech to make chips that can take the high temperatures of Venus. http://arstechnica.com/journals/hardware.ars/2007/09/12/nasa-designs-new-ultra-high-temperature-chips

    1. Re: High temp chips? by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      Yes, in fact, the actual rover design make use of both: high temperature SiC electronics for the parts exposed to the high temperature environment, and the cooled electronics compartment for the main command and control components, which can be isolated. The SiC components are very impressive, but (so far) they're not up to the technology readiness level to make all the components for a Venus rover-- although the SiC differential amplifier is a good start

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  30. Almost a solution by MobyDisk · · Score: 2, Funny

    designed a refrigeration system that might be able to keep a robotic rover going for as long as 50 Earth days Unfortunately, the refrigeration system only lasts 10 days. So the refrigeration system will have a refrigeration system which will make it last for 50 days. Unfortunately, that refrigeration system will only last 10 days. So NASA will construct a refrigeration system refrigeration system refrigeration system, which will make the refrigeration system refrigeration system last 50 days. Unfortunately, THAT refrigeration system will only last 10 days...
  31. 50 days?? by iminplaya · · Score: 1

    HA! They don't fool me. Damn thing would probably last 5 years.

    --
    What?
  32. Welcome! by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Funny

    We at Venus welcome your cool beer-carrying roverlords. We're damned thirsty over here.

  33. why nuclear? by Danathar · · Score: 1

    Why do you need nuclear power onboard when there is all that HEAT around you? Is there no way to convert that to usable energy?

    1. Re:why nuclear? by yeremein · · Score: 1

      No. You need a temperature gradient to convert heat into energy.

    2. Re:why nuclear? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Second Law of Thermodynamics: It takes a temperature differential to convert heat into usable energy.

    3. Re:why nuclear? by Boronx · · Score: 1

      Not by itelsef, but if you could create some sort of reservoir of coolness, perhaps with a refrigerator or heat pump, you could run a sterling engine with the temperature difference.

    4. Re:why nuclear? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever heard of entropy?

    5. Re:why nuclear? by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      Not by itelsef, but if you could create some sort of reservoir of coolness, perhaps with a refrigerator or heat pump, you could run a sterling engine with the temperature difference.

      Seems kind of pointless... energy source X powers a heat pump to maintain a cool region, against which you run a Stirling engine to produce energy output Y. I bet you anything you like that Y X.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  34. Heat Heat Heat by evilviper · · Score: 1
    TFA:

    The researchers say the power to run the Stirling cooler, about 240 watts, would be provided by on-board plutonium batteries, which generate power from the heat of radioactive decay.

    Excuse me while I go slam my head against a wall...
    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    1. Re:Heat Heat Heat by fuzz6y · · Score: 1

      The researchers say the power to run the Stirling cooler, about 240 watts, would be provided by on-board plutonium batteries, which generate power from the heat of radioactive decay. Excuse me while I go slam my head against a wall...

      Slam it against a physics textbook instead. Perhaps the second law of thermodynamics will be driven into your brain.

      --
      If you're going to be elitist, it would help to be elite.
    2. Re:Heat Heat Heat by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Your arrogance is surpassed only by your ignorance...

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    3. Re:Heat Heat Heat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From wikipedia: "A Stirling engine operates through the use of an external heat source and an external heat sink having a sufficiently large temperature difference between them."

  35. Venus' landscape is awesome by amightywind · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Wouldn't the rover just beam back "It's hot and everything's melted" over and over lol. If I remember correctly, there's no significant features to even study. You can't have mountains and ancient, dried up rivers and caves when everything's that hot. Mars is far more interesting.

    It's hot and nothing is melted. On earth the melting point of rock is lowered by the amount of water they contain. Water acts as a flux. On Venus where the climate is intensely hot and dry, crustal rocks melt at a very high temperature and are very strong. They create some pretty wild landforms (scarps, cliffs...) as a result.

    This or this don't seem so boring to me. The Maxwell Montes are higher than the Himalayas. With adiababic cooling their tops will be hundreds of degrees cooler than the planetary mean. Also, with all of the volcanism and mobile lava flows you can expect there to be some amazing lava rivers and lava tube caves.

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
    1. Re:Venus' landscape is awesome by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      It's hot and nothing is melted
      So, in other words, it's some of the most perfect rock to be used for spacecraft, space elevator cable, space docks (for building and repairs), and numerous other stuff that requires high strength metals...if we could only figure out how to mine it, return it to earth orbit for processing and use, and also figure out how to process it.
      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    2. Re:Venus' landscape is awesome by amightywind · · Score: 1

      The materials are probably mostly like variety mafic rocks with a larger crystal size, like Gabbro or Dacite. Being closer to the sun they should also contain more refractory oxides like TiO or Mg0 and maybe sulfides like FeS. You mine these rocks and bring them to earth temperatures and they act just like earth rocks. The mining on Venus is probably a lot worse than on earth because there is no water circulation to extract and concentrate metal ores from host rock. But who really knows?

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
  36. wait by circletimessquare · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    you mean terraforming planets is a fantasy?

    we did not know that!

    where would we be without you?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  37. I know the truth by algoa456 · · Score: 1

    1. Venus was once like Earth is now . 2. Earth was once like Mars is now 3. They had Venusian SUVs that heated up the planet (but no Venusian Al Gore) . 4. Venusian scientists terraformed Earth . 5. Our ancestors moved to Earth (those who did not believe in Venusian Warming, stayed behind) . 6. The rest is history, however, there is serious consideration now for terraforming Mars just in case .

    1. Re:I know the truth by MLease · · Score: 2, Funny

      4. Venusian scientists terraformed Earth


      Wouldn't that be veneraformed or something?

      Also, you forgot: 7. ??? and 8. Profit!

      -Mike

      --
      I'm sorry; I don't know what I was thinking!
  38. The Fraud of Venus' Supposed Thermal Equilibrium by pln2bz · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Few people on this forum take the time to carefully consider the story of our investigations to date of Venus' exceptionally high temperatures. It is a very interesting story that has incredible ramifications for science to this day. The various probes sent there did not say what NASA wanted to hear, so it was decided that the *assumption* of global energy balance would take priority over the sensor data. And this is how the theory of CO2-based global warming survived one of its first scientific challenges ...

    If one assumes that Venus is the sister planet to Earth, formed out of swirling stellar material billions of years ago along with the Earth, then Venus should be about 20 degrees warmer at any given latitude than Earth is. And, in fact, that is what was taught 50 years ago before we had sent any probes to peer beneath Venus' dense cloud cover. When the 900 degree F surface temperatures of Venus were discovered in 1970 by the USSR's Venera 7 probe, Carl Sagan devised his "super greenhouse" theory, which instantly became the standard theory for explaining the extreme surface temperatures on Venus. Sagan's claim was that the less than 2% of solar energy which somehow finds its way through the thick carbon dioxide clouds of Venus to the surface is forever trapped there and cannot re-radiate as infra-red flux, and thus escape (flux is a measurement of an amount of something that flows through a unit area per unit time).

    The only competing theory at the time was posited by Immanuel Velikovsky, who pointed to evidence supporting the notion that the planet Venus was a new planet that was still in the process of cooling down. Although Velikovsky's "Worlds in Collision" was so popular with the public that it once held the title of bestseller, the mainstream astrophysical community scoffed at the notion that an outsider whose expertise was in linguistics could offer any value whatsoever to a discussion about Venus' hot temperatures.

    Carl Sagan's theory would require that Venus' atmosphere be in something called thermal balance. In other words, in order to rule out the possibility that Venus' heat originates from the planet itself, scientists must establish that the heat absorbed by Venus from the Sun must equal the heat emitted by Venus back into space. If Venus' surface was emitting more infrared light than the sunlight it was receiving, then Sagan's greenhouse theory would be ruled out and scientists would have to consider the possibility that Venus was probably cooling down from some past catastrophic event --a finding that could lend credence to Velikovsky's assertion that Venus was a new planet.

    The November 13, 1980, issue of New Scientist contained an article titled, "The mystery of Venus' internal heat". It reads as follows:

    Two years surveillance by the Pioneer Venus orbiter seems to show that Venus is radiating away more energy than it receives from the sun. If this surprising result is confirmed, it means that the planet itself is producing far more heat than the earth does.

    F.W. Taylor of the Clarendon Laboratory at Oxford presented these measurements at a Royal Society meeting last week. Venus surface temperature is higher than any other in the solar system, at 480 C. The generally accepted theory is that sunlight is absorbed at Venus' surface, and re-radiated as infrared. The latter is absorbed in the atmosphere, which thus acts as a blanket, keeping the planet hot. It is similar to the way a greenhouse keeps warm.

    Pioneer has shown that there is enough carbon dioxide and the tiny proportion of water vapor needed to make the greenhouse effect work -- just. If this is the whole story, the total amount of radiation emitted back into space, after its journey up through the atmospheric blanket must be exactly equal to that absorbed from sunlight (otherwise the surface temperature would be continuously changing).

    But Taylor found that Venus radiates 15 percent more energy than it receives. To keep the surface temperature constant

    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  39. Pseudoscience by MaDeR · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Funny that many people mistake mythology with factual history... you also think that x-files are documentary, aren't you?

    Your comment is classical pseudoscience tactic: find some problem with actual theories and claim "so my completely ludicrous idiotic shambling on acid must be right!!!!oneone".

    And for rest of universe, I would like to present Velikovsky in all ot his (in)famous glory...

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immanuel_Velikovsky

    http://skepdic.com/velikov.html

    "report the arrival of Venus into our solar system as a comet-like body within the past 10,000 years"

    No. Venus was to be expelled from Jupiter. And remind me, what comets have anything in common with Venus? Mass? Temperature? Looks? Materials? Orbital parameters?

    --
    What modern Obelix would say today? Of course, "Those crazy Americans!".
    1. Re:Pseudoscience by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      Funny that many people mistake mythology with factual history... you also think that x-files are documentary, aren't you?

      You are judging a discipline of research which you've clearly read nothing about. The ironic thing, to be perfectly clear, is that it is commonly believed that mythology is largely devoid of information for the sole reason that the mythologists of old have been using the dominant astrophysical theories within their interpretations with little successes to date. However, when documents are translated without this extraneous influence, they tend to make a lot more sense. They also tend to point directly to plasma-based cosmologies. So, the irony of somebody like yourself claiming that the field of comparative mythology is like the x-files makes for a great show! Their failure to generate results was in fact a direct function of listening to the mainstream astrophysicists.

      Your comment is classical pseudoscience tactic: find some problem with actual theories and claim "so my completely ludicrous idiotic shambling on acid must be right!!!!oneone".

      Um, no, not really. Unlike yourself, I've read what the Electric Universe Theorists are saying. Due to this exposure, and unlike yourself, I'm qualified to speak about their claims. Unfortunate for yourself, you will actually have to read what they are saying before you can be sure that they are wrong. If you ever do decide to read about them, you may be dismayed by what they are saying, for they are the ones arguing that laboratory plasma physics can teach us about space. They are the ones arguing that mainstream astrophysicists should have to follow Maxwell's Equations. I'm not so sure that you realize this at the moment, or you might not go so far out of your way to ridicule them.

      And for rest of universe, I would like to present Velikovsky in all ot his (in)famous glory...

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immanuel_Velikovsky

      http://skepdic.com/velikov.html

      "report the arrival of Venus into our solar system as a comet-like body within the past 10,000 years"

      No. Venus was to be expelled from Jupiter. And remind me, what comets have anything in common with Venus? Mass? Temperature? Looks? Materials? Orbital parameters?

      Velikovsky was unfortunately wrong about Jupiter. Venus was expelled from Saturn. Dwardu Cardona demonstrates as much in "God Star", which if you ever get a desire to seriously challenge the dogma that you've come to blindly accept, I would recommend that you read.

      We see large-scale comet-like bodies all over the universe, buddy. You should try reading more recent materials if you're not aware of it. Mira was observed to be emitting a comet-like tail in infrared just a couple of months ago. There was also this article ...

      http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn12622-did-our-galaxys-black-hole-eat-its-baby-brother.html

      Maybe you should ask your questions to the people who made *those* observations.
      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    2. Re:Pseudoscience by MaDeR · · Score: 1

      is commonly believed that mythology is largely devoid of information for the sole reason that the mythologists of old have been using the dominant astrophysical theories within their interpretations with little successes to date. No, not for this reason. First in place, mythology is not devoid of information. Only that information is different.

      However, when documents are translated without this extraneous influence, In other words, "properly interpreted".

      they tend to make a lot more sense. They also tend to point directly to plasma-based cosmologies. So you not only Velikovsky follower, but also electric-universe proponent? Wooonderful... but not very surprising.

      Your comment is classical pseudoscience tactic: find some problem with actual theories and claim "so my completely ludicrous idiotic shambling on acid must be right!!!!oneone". Um, no, not really.Unlike yourself, I've read what the Electric Universe Theorists are saying. Due to this exposure, and unlike yourself, I'm qualified to speak about their claims. Huh? We talk now about Venus and Velikovsky, not EU.

      Velikovsky was unfortunately wrong about Jupiter. Venus was expelled from Saturn. On what basis you claim it? And what is physical mechanism for this feat? As far as I am aware, EU hypothesis say nothing about expelling major celestial bodies from other major celestial bodies.

      if you ever get a desire to seriously challenge the dogma that you've come to blindly accept You know that kind of patronizing text is very typical of pseudosciencists and crackpots, right? And I do not "blindly accept" scientific results. Simply science works. Heck, thing that lies before me is very good proof that science works. In domains where I have no knowledge, or time, or money to verify and check scientific results I see many scientists veryfing each other, checking results, producing knowledge (that later can be used by engineers to create more toys like that thing before me). This is called, you know, scientific method. Dismissing hundred years of accumulated knowledge and a lot of hard work of ten thousands people from around of world because this is at odds with your favorite crackpot "theories" is extremely arrogant.

      We see large-scale comet-like bodies all over the universe, buddy. (...) Mira was observed to be emitting a comet-like tail Comet-like "tail" is not enough to describe object in question as "comet-like". Especially when other properties of that body are drastically different from comets.

      There was also this article... And what this article have anything to do with comets? Because of artist illustration slighty similiar to "comet"?? :))) Sooo, you don't actually answer to my question. Again: what comets have anything in common with Venus? Size? Mass? Temperature? Pressure on surface? Looks? Materials? Atmosphere composition? Orbital parameters? Existence of tail (if you insist on that)? Answer me.
      --
      What modern Obelix would say today? Of course, "Those crazy Americans!".
    3. Re:Pseudoscience by pln2bz · · Score: 1
      You're the one arguing that that I'm a Catastrophist. EU Theory may sound like Catastrophism -- which is surely the heart of your confusion -- but it differs in its claims. EU Theory is fundamentally based upon laboratory plasma physics. Catastrophism was fundamentally based upon Velikovsky's linguistic knowledge.

      As far as I am aware, EU hypothesis say nothing about expelling major celestial bodies from other major celestial bodies.

      It certainly does. Read "The Electric Sky" by Don Scott. When stars undergo extreme electrical stress, they will reduce their charge density by fissioning into two bodies, or expelling a smaller object. How the charge density subsequently balances out determines if the two new bodies are stars, planets or a mixture of the two. This process is inherently understandable within the laboratory. It explains the HR diagram without the concept of stellar ageing. It explains pulsars and many energetic stellar events.

      You know that kind of patronizing text is very typical of pseudosciencists and crackpots, right? And I do not "blindly accept" scientific results. Simply science works. Heck, thing that lies before me is very good proof that science works.

      You bought your computer, right? Semiconductor and computer manufacturers must make working products in order to sell them. Our astrophysical theories can be wrong, and the astrophysicists will not receive any immediate feedback that it is so. In fact, by your own logic, you should be a bit concerned with the entertainment value that people derive from the mainstream astrophysical theories (wormholes, brane worlds, black holes, etc) as it represents a form of purchase by the public. If the public is demonstrating a clear preference for a particular theory based upon something other than its accuracy in making predictions, then they are possibly not judging the theory on the basis of its truthfulness -- but rather how much it stimulates them to imagine that space is strange. One would have to expect in such a scenario that more mundane, yet correct, explanations would receive less attention. I believe strongly that the public has developed emotional attachments to many objects in astrophysics that are highly speculative and probably do not even exist.

      In domains where I have no knowledge, or time, or money to verify and check scientific results I see many scientists veryfing each other, checking results, producing knowledge (that later can be used by engineers to create more toys like that thing before me). This is called, you know, scientific method. Dismissing hundred years of accumulated knowledge and a lot of hard work of ten thousands people from around of world because this is at odds with your favorite crackpot "theories" is extremely arrogant.

      I'm not dismissing anything. I accept all evidence that is compelling. I started out with an identical philosophy as yourself. Then, I decided to look a little bit further. I found out that the history of science is filled with these situations where dogma (somebody's belief system) superceded observations -- and it continues to this day. So long as you refuse to look into the situation any further and so long as you refuse to read materials outside of mainstream science, you will not be aware of it. We all define our own realities, and we tend to subconsciously reinforce our belief systems by our reading selection.

      Comet-like "tail" is not enough to describe object in question as "comet-like". Especially when other properties of that body are drastically different from comets.

      You know, comets are believed to be sublimating snow-balls because of the molecules they release as they move. Scientists observe large amounts of OH coming off of them. The thing is, oxygen is one of the most common elements in the universe. It is certainly present within the silicates contained within comets. And hydrogen is being sent towards

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    4. Re:Pseudoscience by MaDeR · · Score: 1
      I cutting most of text because it is not on topic.

      You're the one arguing that that I'm a Catastrophist. I said nothing at all about "catastrophism", although Velikovsky certainly sounds like one.

      I believe strongly that the public has developed emotional attachments to many objects in astrophysics And so what? You claim that "coolness" of some science propositions have non-meritoric influence upon scientists? Your claim is strange, I encountered mainly totally opposite criticism from people like you: these pesky scientists are in their ivory towers and does not care at all about external world, including general public.

      that are highly speculative and probably do not even exist. Like what? Let me guess: black holes?

      the history of science is filled with these situations where dogma (somebody's belief system) superceded observations While sciencists are only humans, like we are all, they should give predecence of observations over belief system, as you say. And I think they doing pretty good, weeding out mistakes and cheats.

      Obviously, you think about something else here. You do not consider some obsevations valid (specifically these at odds with EU&V - Electric Universe & Velikovsky).

      And I see nothing dogmatic about science. Only people screaming "dogma!" that I see are cranks that try explaining for other and themself why their theories are not recognized as valid. God forbid that is because of errors and wrongness of said crackpot theories!

      Deep Impact was supposed to find that water was present inside of the comet Tempel 1, but it failed to find sufficient quantities to lend credence to the conventional cometary models. Yes, they are more dusty and less icy than expected (but unfortunately for EU not "rocky" - of course this bit was promptly forgotten by EU proponents). Also fact that material was ejected from surface (not very deep) plays role.

      The Stardust mission clearly demonstrated that comets are the result of intense, hot origins. Um... no, this claim is false. Origins was mixed, hot and cold.

      http://www.planetary.org/news/2006/1216_Stardust_Samples_Rewrite_History_of.html

      Again: what comets have anything in common with Venus? Size? Mass? Temperature? Pressure on surface? Looks? Materials? Atmosphere composition? Orbital parameters? Existence of tail (if you insist on that)? Answer me. What's being argued by the EU Theorists is that the planet Venus was ejected. Rather "argued by your EU&V".

      The subsequent movement of the planet away from its origin and the subsequent emission of heat caused the planet to take on a comet-like appearance. So you admit that Venus have almost nothing in common with comets? Only exception: some kind of look (apperance) in some stage of life. Right?

      I strongly recommend that you take a more open-minded approach Okay, but not so open that brain fells out.

      We will almost certainly see a very interesting situation unfold within our lifetimes within astrophysics as the plasma-based cosmologies regain a foothold. I don't think so. You remind me of creationists that from 150 years predicts fall of Theory of Evilution "really soon, any minute now".
      --
      What modern Obelix would say today? Of course, "Those crazy Americans!".
    5. Re:Pseudoscience by pln2bz · · Score: 1
      The conversation is clearly off-topic by now, but it's not a big deal. It's an important subject.

      Like what? Let me guess: black holes?

      If a person never read any criticism of black holes, then they could be forgiven for not realizing that the theory of black holes has adjusted over time to reflect observations. For instance, it was once thought that black holes were so powerful that nothing could escape them. Then, black holes were observed to possess jets coming out of them that involved intense magnetic fields and particles moving at near the speed of light, and the theories had to be modified. There's a great critique of black hole theory on Wallace Thornhill's holoscience site (http://www.holoscience.com/news.php?article=tyybhrr8). If you can read that criticism and maintain a solid belief in black holes, then I'd have to at a minimum give you credit for actually challenging your own belief system.

      While sciencists are only humans, like we are all, they should give predecence of observations over belief system, as you say. And I think they doing pretty good, weeding out mistakes and cheats.

      It would certainly seem this way if you weren't paying close attention, at least. After all, how would you notice all of the people that are being blacklisted and outright dismissed? Have you seen this site?

      http://www.crank.net/

      If you do any history of science reading, you will find that it is inevitable that some ideas within the fringes of science today will eventually make their way into the mainstream, and become accepted fact. Sites like this prefer that scientists be dismissed for the sole reason that they advocate theories that are not currently conventional. I can guarantee you that some of the people being ridiculed on this site will one day be vindicated.

      But I can get more specific on this point. Wallace Thornhill made numerous predictions regarding the 1995 Deep Impact Mission based upon the concept of the Electric Sun Hypothesis:

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2005/arch05/050704predictions.htm [thunderbolts.info]
      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2005/arch05/050630deepimpact.htm [thunderbolts.info]

      Interestingly, the predictions were Slashdotted:

      http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=05/07/03/1246254 [slashdot.org]

      Now, if you go through those forum postings from Slashdot, you will observe that Slashdot readers make absolutely no distinction whatsoever between ridiculing an astrophysical PREDICTION and ridiculing an astrophysical theory. This is a very serious problem because predictions are the most powerful tool that astrophysicists have for validating theories. When it was subsequently discovered that Wallace Thornhill was right in nearly every single aspect of his prediction, there was no retraction by any of those people and no announcement by the moderators at Slashdot. Mention of the successful prediction was also eventually completely sanitized from wikipedia many years later. Clearly, they did such a good job that you've never heard of the entire situation.

      One of Thornhill's successful predictions was that there would be a pre-impact flash -- something which nobody else was actually predicting at the time. There were in fact two flashes at the time of impact. Furthermore, images of Tempel 1 just prior to impact demonstrate clear whiteouts (arguably from electrical arcing ... http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2005/arch05/050705impression.htm [thunderbolts.info]).

      What you learn when you look into these things is that scientists dismiss ideas that they consider absurd withou

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    6. Re:Pseudoscience by MaDeR · · Score: 1
      I will cut to answer only to one most important issue.

      If a person never read any criticism of black holes, then they could be forgiven for not realizing that the theory of black holes has adjusted over time to reflect observations.

      Conventional cometary theory is in shambles because it has been modified so many times out of need by enigmatic observations.

      I'm aware of the minor tweak that was done to the theories of comet formation. Every time that something like this happens -- when you receive a result that doesn't work with your current theories -- the result, in truth, casts doubt upon the theories. (...) The rational thing at that point would be to step back and re-evaluate our comet theory and perhaps even the bigger picture of cosmology. You seem to ignore whole premise of scientific method. Scientific method does not mean that you put into trash whole theory when slighest differences occur. If some new observations change picture, you change theory. If this does not work, change more. Only if this is impossible, THEN (and only then) you start to look for new, better theory.

      "step back and re-evaluate our comet theory and perhaps even the bigger picture of cosmology" is irrational thing to do, because less drastic ways exists to reconcile theory with observations. And these ways should be tried first.

      What you will find though in practice is that changes happen incrementally as there is always resistance to dramatic change. And this is perfectly normal. As i said, throwing all away in first sign of small problem would be crackpot idiocy. Resistance was very big against ideas that now science consider valid (for example, Theory of Relativity). New ideas win because they are right (or at least "righter" than old ideas), not because they're so sexy, so new and preached by fringe groups.
      --
      What modern Obelix would say today? Of course, "Those crazy Americans!".
    7. Re:Pseudoscience by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      Okay, now we're kind of getting somewhere. I've listened for 18 months to what the people around here think about EU Theory, and I agree that your beliefs represent the majority of the people here. What I'm trying to tell you is that the number of adjustments that have been made to the mainstream theories is more plentiful than you're aware of, and the amount of support for EU Theory within peer-review journals is more than you're aware of.

      The thing is, nobody here wants to read what the theory actually says, so there is no way for you guys to know that this is true for yourself. All you can do is to look at what the people around you are saying and evaluate their beliefs based upon their credentials. This is not a very effective way of evaluating a theory when the theory threatens the research of nearly everybody who has credentials.

      What I'm in the process of doing right now is creating a website that is directed specifically to people like yourself. You believe that EU Theory is unscientific and unsupported by modern observations. I'm creating a website that will demonstrate beyond any doubt that this is incorrect, and that teaches pseudoskeptical people from Slashdot what EU Theory states on the basis of the most modern peer reviewed papers out there. It won't be until you see this site and the wealth of research that currently supports EU Theory that you will begin to realize that there is in fact emerging support for the theory, and that the current state of mainstream astrophysics was only arrived at through numerous incorrect predictions and supposedly minor tweaks.

      I think though that this idea that these tweaks are always minor is a bit of an incorrect generalization. I mean, when we're talking about things like finding artifacts within the CMB that correspond with filaments of Hydrogen within our local galaxy -- as has been recently reported as Wired Magazine's top story this past week -- we're not talking about minor tweaks anymore. This is a possible paradigm change of the most dramatic proportions possible. Papers have been appearing within the peer review system that report that the solar wind resembles filamentary flux tubes of charged particles. If you perform a search through Harvard abstracts on "elephant trunks", you will find a wealth of papers that point directly to filaments of charged particles being observed throughout the universe. This type of stuff is precisely what EU Theory predicts, and this finding about flux tubes coming off of the Sun very importantly negates some of the simplified attempts to mathematically disprove that the Sun can be powered externally by those charged particles. These calculations (made famous on the BAUT Forums) need to be revisited in light of these new findings about the solar wind as I'm confident it will be shown that those calculations are no longer valid. The arguments against EU Theory are in fact losing weight in the face of improved observations. Astrophysicists are now noticing that stars within nebulae form within filaments. This is exactly what happens for electrical plasmas within laboratory plasma physics when Birkeland Currents pinch together at points called z-pinches. Perhaps you do not realize this, but any time that helical magnetic fields are being observed around filaments in space, this strongly suggests, according to Maxwell's Equations, that those filaments are in fact electric currents.

      I strongly advise that you observe this situation with an open mind. Allow yourself to be presented with the evidence that argues against your own prefered theories. If you do as much, I think you will come to realize that the evidence is stronger than you currently realize. You do not realize it right now merely because the EU Theory websites that currently exist have been created to service the EU community. My site will be the first EU site ever designed from scratch to convince people like yourself using the most compelling arguments available. We will tap into 50

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  40. Re:The Fraud of Venus' Supposed Thermal Equilibriu by meringuoid · · Score: 2, Insightful
    (a) A satellite on the dark side of Venus beamed a light towards Venus and measured how much of that light returned, or (b) A satellite on the light side of Venus simply turned the instrument towards the Sun and then towards Venus, and computed a ratio of the light intensities.

    Or (c): the apparent brightness of the Sun is measured from Earth, the apparent brightness of Venus is measured from Earth, and a simple inverse square law calculation is done.

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  41. Re:No problem. That knocks China out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No lead? Who said that?!

  42. before wetting your pants re Stirling engines... by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
    Before getting overly excited regarding the "high efficiency" Stirling engine, "forward" or "reverse":

    • If you read far enough in TFA, you'll notice the thingy is only a plan.
    • Use Google to find the actual efficiency of a Stirling Engine on Earth.
    • Ponder how that would scale to Venus, and the relevance thereof.
  43. Re:The Fraud of Venus' Supposed Thermal Equilibriu by Slashcrap · · Score: 1

    So long as astrophysicists refuse to follow the changes occurring within the field of comparative mythology -- which is an actual discipline with real scientific methodology -- they cannot claim that their theories were arrived at by rigorous methodology. Yeah, the people who modded you "Interesting" didn't actually get to the end of your comment did they?

    Why didn't you just say, "I believe Venus is a comet that entered the solar system in the last 10,000 years and that's why global warming is a liberal conspiracy."? Is it because bitter experience has taught you that padding it out with a thousand extra words makes it less likely that people will notice you're a nutjob?
  44. Oops, I did it again by Biff+Stu · · Score: 1

    I forgot to set the tounge-in-cheek flag. Sorry about that.

  45. Algae by brunes69 · · Score: 1

    I read a book once about terraforming Venus by sending probes periodically over decades to inject payloads of hydrogen, algae, and seawater into the atmosphere. The algae would thrive off of the mainly Co2 atmosphere and multiply, producing o2, and gradually lowering the planet's temperature over a long period of time.

    The problem with the proposal is I can't remember how they expected to keep water for the algae liquid at 450 degrees.

    1. Re:Algae by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with the proposal is I can't remember how they expected to keep water for the algae liquid at 450 degrees.


      Perhaps upper layers of atmosphere are not as hot as one at the bedrock?

      However, to me it doesn't seem like we need additional water. So to say, sulphuric acid is sulfur trioxide poisoned water...and sulfur trioxide is completely burned sulfur. So, we may say that potentially we have both water and oxygen on Venus but we need something (weird extremophile life forms eligible) that will extract sulfur from Venus atmosphere and sequester it in some place (or in deposits of some stable and solid mineral) where it won't be reached by hot free oxygen, using whichever free energy source it may have on Venus (that part seems most problematic in whole idea - Venus is hot, but there is no significant thermal gradient anywhere... entropy is rampant).
  46. Rover? how about a successful probe first by CodeShark · · Score: 1
    450 celsius is plenty of heat to permanently power a balanced "scientific station" building" i.e. by using heat pipe type of arrangements to both cool the exterior of the station and provide power (probably using a modified binary/rankine cycle engine, there is absolutely no reason why a major research installation couldn't be landed and set up -- except that without testing on the ground it would be rather difficult to land the station and set it up correctly (which could presumably be done at some point with robotic rovers).


    When something has moving parts -- like a rover would -- it is much more difficult to properly insulate and lubricate the parts away from the heat. So do the firs things first: put a probe down to figure out as much of the array of conditions on Venus that can possibly be reproduced here on planet earth for scientific / technical testing here on terra firma.

    --
    ...Open Source isn't the only answer -- but it's almost always a better value than the alternatives...
  47. How about something WAY more cool.... by CodeShark · · Score: 1

    And a good practice run...

    How about building a lunar rover capable of wandering over the lunar surface and placing a number of linked web cams at the various Apollo sites and a transmitting web server (or servers) nearby?

    --
    ...Open Source isn't the only answer -- but it's almost always a better value than the alternatives...
    1. Re:How about something WAY more cool.... by Radon360 · · Score: 1

      I hope you're not expecting the view to change much...except for the one mounted on the rover.

      While maybe not as sexy, perhaps surface temperature (that of the actual surface, since there isn't an atmosphere) and solar radiation sensors reporting back data might be more interesting/useful to graph.

    2. Re:How about something WAY more cool.... by CodeShark · · Score: 1

      If you buy off on having a lunar rover capable of that amount of movement, you have a rover capable of placing experiments and perhaps returning to a "lunar depot drop-off site". Meanwhile I just think it would be cool to have webcams (pointable perhaps?) or webcams and other linked experimental "stuff" near some of the original Apollo sites, and more than one location has all sorts of interesting scientific implications in terms of radio telescopy (sans an interfering atmosphere... (?)

      --
      ...Open Source isn't the only answer -- but it's almost always a better value than the alternatives...
  48. Thermal balance of Venus is well understood by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1
    I'm sorry, but this essay about Velikovsky basically misunderstands the nature of our measurements of Venus. The thermal balance of Venus is well understood. The part where you mention "four probes landed on Venus" is the start of where you start to misunderstand how well the planet is understood. In fact, twelve probes landed on Venus; an additional five probes have entered and measured the atmosphere. The high temperature of Venus is a straightforward effect of the thick carbon dioxide atmosphere. You can calculate it to a decent first approximation simply by understanding the adiabatic lapse rate. The temperature of Venus at the altitude in the atmosphere where it has the same atmospheric pressure as Earth is, in fact, very similar to that of Earth; adibatic lapse means that the atmosphere gets cooler with altitude (i.e., hotter as you go lower)-- the adibatic lapse on Venus is about 10 degrees (C) per kilometer (roughly comparable to Earth). Internal heat is not needed.

    I do not have the time or patience to go through the many many many measurements of the thermal parameters of the Venus atmosphere and explain your misconceptions, however, orbiting probes as well as infrared and radiotelescope measurements from Earth have very well confirmed that Venus is very close to thermal equilibrium. It is not correct that there is a large internal heat source contributing significantly to the surface temperature.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  49. pln2bz, you are a renowned fraud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I started writing a post illustrating how your analysis is conclusively incorrect, but you're really "not even wrong". Ever. I think this post instead will be more illuminating to the Slashdot readership:

    Here's another gem in an illustrious succession from you:
    "So long as astrophysicists refuse to follow the changes occurring within the field of comparative mythology -- which is an actual discipline with real scientific methodology -- they cannot claim that their theories were arrived at by rigorous methodology."

    Comparative mythology is a science with rigorous methodology, and physics is not? Direct observation, with mathematical modeling, is bunk but translated/copied/forged human religous writings and artifacts, amounting to hearsay and outright lies, are not?

    On this forum, you act like a contrarian blowhard with an unsatisfied ego.

    You're the same guy we put up with around here espousing the disproven virtues of the Electric Universe cosmology and decrying fusion and the Standard Model.

    Same on several bunk-science forums, according to a few seconds with google. I encourage moderators and interested readers to review your post history on Slashdot, and view samples your other writings on the web.

    You have an "us-versus-them" mentality that seems to pit you against Carl Sagan an awful lot, as well as other mainstream (and typically famous) scientists. It's as though you're at least as happy to sling mud at someone like Sagan as you are to imagine yourself part of a darkhorse theory of physics as it spreads its wings, blowing away the infantile ignorance and superstitions of old.

    Your posts on Slashdot (and elsewhere) score you highly on the crackpot index:
    http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/crackpot.html

    Clearly you are not a scientist, but a dilettante. You support Velikovskian catastrophism as the origin of Venus, despite evidence both profound and prodigious against. Have you ever calculated an orbit? An orbital? Would you even know how to begin? Do you know what the latter is? Do you know what binding energy is? Do you know what a differential equation is, even? Clearly, no. If the answer were yes, you could see why these things were rejected by accredited scientists as soon as they became testable.

    You always seem to find an audience on Slashdot just large enough to make "+5 Insightful". Your delusion is sickening, but the moderation is saddening. You need to learn critical thinking; it's the only thing that has gotten humans from fearful lives on the savanna to somewhat less fearful lives on the internet. As it stands, your abominable, deplorable disinformation is detrimental to human thought and understanding, and thus to human society at large.

    On behalf of myself, other Slashdot readers, and the rest of humanity who must endure the machinations of any aspiring tech-folk you might poison or deter from productivity or enlightenment: stop clogging the internets with garbage and start that critical thinking bit.

    1. Re:pln2bz, you are a renowned fraud by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      Comparative mythology is a science with rigorous methodology, and physics is not? Direct observation, with mathematical modeling, is bunk but translated/copied/forged human religous writings and artifacts, amounting to hearsay and outright lies, are not?

      You seem to be quite intent to portray me as anti-science. Is it not possible that I believe in the scientific method, but just disagree with mainstream science? You appear to confuse the two ...

      Comparative mythology is structured similar to the way in which we evaluate court testimony. You analyze the testimony of multiple cultures for similarities on specific themes. People like yourself add significant confusion to the matter because you've never given it a chance. Like others, you incorrectly believe that the Garden of Eden is a *religious* concept even though both the historical and fossil records indicate quite clearly that the phenomenon was physical and occurred for the entire world. You are aware that alligator fossils and coral reef fossils have been found at all latitudes, right?

      On this forum, you act like a contrarian blowhard with an unsatisfied ego.

      You're the same guy we put up with around here espousing the disproven virtues of the Electric Universe cosmology and decrying fusion and the Standard Model.

      Same on several bunk-science forums, according to a few seconds with google. I encourage moderators and interested readers to review your post history on Slashdot, and view samples your other writings on the web.

      Perhaps we'd save some time if people actually just read the materials themselves, eh? After all, that appears to be the real problem -- the outright dismissal of data that is enigmatic to numerous disciplines.

      You have an "us-versus-them" mentality that seems to pit you against Carl Sagan an awful lot, as well as other mainstream (and typically famous) scientists. It's as though you're at least as happy to sling mud at someone like Sagan as you are to imagine yourself part of a darkhorse theory of physics as it spreads its wings, blowing away the infantile ignorance and superstitions of old.

      Your posts on Slashdot (and elsewhere) score you highly on the crackpot index:
      http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/crackpot.html

      I'm sorry you think that I'm a crackpot. I'm really quite a normal person who was not dissuaded from reading materials that I subsequently found compelling. Why does everybody who disagrees with mainstream astrophysics have to be so loony? I mean, you act as if astrophysics is some sort of laboratory science, and that so long as the mathematical equation exist to make the theory work, then the mathematical equations must be true. Few degreed astrophysicists ever even attempted to develop the ability to compare and contrast cosmological models; most are satisfied to accept the theories they were taught in school as fact. You're so hostile to alternative physical models for the universe that you never allowed your brain to even witness them in any depth. You and others here put far more effort into learning the math than you do the philosophy and history of science. I've taken plenty of math in my life, but it is not a substitute for a rounded education. You appear to be completely unaware that many of the strongest adherents to the Electric Universe Theory are the laboratory plasma physicists. Even the guy who invented magnetohydrodynamics pleaded with the scientific community during his Nobel Physics acceptance speech to drop the frozen-in-place magnetic field concept. I mean, every week that goes by, more and more peer-reviewed papers are being published that indicate filaments surrounded by helical magnetic fields (do a Harvard Abstracts paper search on "elephant trunk"). Sure, there are ways to create such things without the filaments being electrical currents, but it is complete nonsense

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    2. Re:pln2bz, you are a renowned fraud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      pln2bz, I actually think you may be on to something, but not because of your wacky mystical theories. It's very possible that Venus didn't form the way we see it today. Based on nothing at all, I have a feeling that something big might have struck Venus in its recent history (as in, 1 or 2 billion years ago), and what we see today is a result of Venus re-forming. That could account for its thick atmosphere, its thermal flux, if there really is something funny going on, and could also account for its backward spin. Of course, there's only one way to find out the real story behind Venus, and that's to go there.

    3. Re:pln2bz, you are a renowned fraud by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      pln2bz, I actually think you may be on to something, but not because of your wacky mystical theories.

      Actually, it's hardly wacky to develop a cosmology based upon the behavior of laboratory plasmas. As you may already know, plasmas constitute 99.999% of all visible matter within the universe. Furthermore, gases can become plasmas with less than 1% ionization. Laboratory plasma physics clearly indicates that these plasmas can continue to conduct current while in their dark mode, which offers an elegant explanation for dark matter. It is commonly argued that quasi-neutrality precludes large-scale charge separation in space, but quasi-neutrality is an *assumption*. Arguing that space must be charge neutral on some scale is tantamount to declaring that we've reached a conclusion on a metaphysical question. But it is also in violation of our laboratory experiences, which indicate that plasmas can and do form double layers, Birkeland Currents and z-pinches. Don't be deceived into believing that the Electric Universe Theory is "mystical". Sure, it's different than standard cosmology and it correlates perfectly with human mythology and ancient documents (which should be an advantage, IMHO), but the theory that space plasmas are electrical can be explained completely separately from all of that. Hannes Alfven, Ralph Juergens, Wallace Thornhill and Anthony Perratt are not at all "mystics". Religion is in fact strictly forbidden as a topic amongst the theorists.

      Of course, there's only one way to find out the real story behind Venus, and that's to go there.

      I completely agree! People act as if I'm some sort of dogmatic rebel around here, but that's only because they are reading different evidence than I am. I would have to think that if Venus was emitting heat from its surface that this simple fact would appear on the lander's sensors. I am concerned by the hostility though towards the idea that Venus may not be in thermal equilibrium. I've yet to receive much in the way of technical criticism for my interpretation of Taylor's arguments. Most of the attacks upon my posting have been ad hominem attacks, or uninformed attacks upon the discipline of ancient document interpretation. This concerns me because it indicates that if we do clearly observe heat originating from Venus' surface, I do not see any indication that people would accept it for what it is.

      What I recommend to you though is to not make the same assumption of others around here. Do not accept as fact this notion that there is no useful information within the field of comparative mythology without first trying to understand the strength of the evidence that is emerging within the field. Dwardu Cardona's "God Star" (published in 2006) presents a compelling case that there was in fact an event within the past 10,000 years that all cultures record in surprising detail. The problem up until now has been that mythologists have been using the popular cosmology to perform their translations. When they run into a translation regarding a star that is called "Saturn", they have up until now normalized the translation to "the sun". This has caused all sorts of problems for the discipline. What I find exceptionally arrogant though is that the mainstream astrophysicists subsequently blame the entire field of mythology for not being able to make sense of ancient writings and stories using their own favored cosmology, without ever considering that the ancient testimony is actually a test of their own theories' validity. These problems vanish once you drop the force-fitting and allow for the possibility of a plasma-based cosmology. Once you just interpret the documents as they stand, the story of what happened becomes quite clear and convincing and points directly to a plasma-based cosmology.

      My goal is not to spread *belief*. I only advocate that people learn and judge for themselves what is being said. If somebody reads the evidence and subsequently disagrees wit

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    4. Re:pln2bz, you are a renowned fraud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is commonly argued that quasi-neutrality precludes large-scale charge separation in space, but quasi-neutrality is an *assumption*. Arguing that space must be charge neutral on some scale is tantamount to declaring that we've reached a conclusion on a metaphysical question.


      No, it's because we can measure (right here on Earth, using cheap equipment -- an example experiment is here, others can be constructed with bits of styrofoam and plastic sheets, or latex balloons and latex-paint-covered ceilings) the ratio of the gravitational force to the electro-magnetic force. The ratio is HUGE (1:4.17e42). Since the Earth-Moon, Earth-Sun and Halley's Comet-Sun orbits have been closely approximated by classical Newtonian gravitation for centuries, this means that any contribution of electrical charge to these orbits is going to be tiny.

      We cannot retain the combination of a basically charge-neutral earth and moon (people have been to both places and measured this directly, and indirectly using non-NASA people with non-NASA probes) and a charged sun for retaining electrical interactions between the sun and other noteworthy bodies in the solar system without a good explanation about how the earth and moon could retain their charge neutrality and orbits about the sun.

      Likewise, we cannot retain the combination of the overall stellar motions we observe, particularly with respect to the shape and general movement of spiral and globular galaxies, and the ratio between gravitation and the electric and magnetic forces, unless the contribution from the electric force is extremely small. The smallness of this contribution is strong evidence in favour of the quasineutrality assumption.

      If you could explain convincingly how to preserve the terrestrially observed Fg/Fe ratio and a close approximation of Kepler's orbital rules while introducing significant electric non-neutrality, that would be very interesting.

    5. Re:pln2bz, you are a renowned fraud by iantresman · · Score: 1

      >It is commonly argued that quasi-neutrality precludes large-scale charge separation in space,

      Quasi-neutrality is violated by both double layers and particle beams. For example, M87's "jet" is as a "sheet beam", that extends at least 5000 light-years.

      Our Solar System's heliospheric current sheet violates quasi-neutrality locally (otherwise there wouldn't be a current). While charge separation is relative small (between the two sheets), the heliospheric current sheet extends out from the Sun to the heliopause, and is the largest coherent structure in the Solar System.

      --
      Ian Tresman plasma-universe.com
    6. Re:pln2bz, you are a renowned fraud by pln2bz · · Score: 1
      That was quite a response, and I have to thank you for it. It's unfortunately rare that people directly confront my claims. I ran your posting by Wallace Thornhill -- who has the rather distinguished credential of being the *only* scientist to accurately predict the Deep Impact Mission results -- and I'm presenting his comments with my own combined here.

      No, it's because we can measure (right here on Earth, using cheap equipment -- an example experiment is here, others can be constructed with bits of styrofoam and plastic sheets, or latex balloons and latex-paint-covered ceilings) the ratio of the gravitational force to the electro-magnetic force. The ratio is HUGE (1:4.17e42). Since the Earth-Moon, Earth-Sun and Halley's Comet-Sun orbits have been closely approximated by classical Newtonian gravitation for centuries, this means that any contribution of electrical charge to these orbits is going to be tiny.

      The problem with your logic is that you rule out an important, viable alternative within your assumptions. You do not consider the possibility that there is a unification of electromagnetism and gravity -- the idea that gravity and mass itself may be related. As you know, mass is a trait of matter. Wallace Thornhill specifically states:

      [B]y the addition or subtraction of charge from a celestial body, the mass of that body is altered. To conserve energy the result is a proportional change in orbital radius. The problem for your correspondent is to realize that the masses in Newton's gravitational theory are electrical variables. And comets do not conform to classical Newtonian gravitation, exhibiting anomalous non-Newtonian accelerations that have been explained away principally as due to cometary jets.

      Before you outright dismiss the suggestion, I would actually add to this further the following NewScientist article (from http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=dn2814). The emphasis is my own:

      Their work is based on theories such as string theory that try to unify all the forces, including electromagnetism and gravity, by invoking the existence of several extra spatial dimensions.

      In a paper submitted to Classical and Quantum Gravity and presented at a meeting of the European Astronomical Society in Porto, Portugal, the researchers calculated the values they would expect G to have at different locations around the world. They say it should be greater where the Earth's magnetic field is stronger, with the highest measurements at the north and south magnetic poles.

      The values of G measured so far seem to fit with that idea. But the researchers say the best way to test their theory would be to take accurate measurements of G at locations such as the magnetic poles and particular longitudes on the equator, and then check those values against the predictions.

      Studies of the Sun also support the theory. To make mathematical models of the star's interior tally with experimental data, physicists have to use a lower value of G than is traditionally agreed. Mbelek says his calculations predict that electromagnetism would not boost gravity as much at higher temperatures, so you would expect G to be lower inside the Sun.

      Exotic physics

      But other researchers are not convinced. Clifford Will, a gravity theorist at Washington University in St Louis, Missouri, believes improvements in terrestrial experiments will eventually do away with the need for explanations that rely on such exotic physics.

      "In many ways it's a scandal that we don't have an agreed value for G, but if you look at the experiments, the values have been converging," he says. "In five years or so, we'll have an agreed value."

      But Mbelek does not think so. Although the precision of individual measurements is improving, he says, the values are not converging.

      Keep in mind that the voltages we're talking about here are qui

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
    7. Re:pln2bz, you are a renowned fraud by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      That should clearly read "the idea that electromagnetism and mass itself may be related". Typo.

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  50. Acoustic (NOT unplugged!) fridges by Desert+Tripper · · Score: 1

    A few years ago there was a lot of hype about using intense sound waves to set up a standing wave in a special tube in a manner that would produce very efficient refrigeration with no moving parts other than a hefty speaker voice coil. Anyone heard any further developments on that front? It would seem to me that with energy prices skyrocketing, these alternative, energy-saving ideas and others that alt-energy geniuses like Popular Science's Smokey Yunick used to come up with would be receiving lots of new attention. Then again, the oil industry IS one of the biggest lobbying groups on the Hill, so who knows when (if ever) we'll see a large-scale switch to alternate energy sources.

  51. Plutonium Batteries? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just how do plutonium batteries work, and how much heat do they really generate? And couldn't the abundant amount of thermal energy in the environment be used to generate electricity using the same process?

  52. Re:The Fraud of Venus' Supposed Thermal Equilibriu by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 1
    > all of these instruments showed infrared fluxes which conformed with mainstream theories; as the probes descended, however, all began to show very large net fluxes UPWARDS

    A minor fact. For flux constant over time, the total flux emerging from any shell around Venus must be independent of the choice of shell. If Venus was radiating, then the total net flux in upper shells would be exactly as the same as the net flux in the lower shells. So variations in net flux on the way down aren't explained by the hypothesis that Venus itself is 'cooling down'.

    --
    Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
  53. Re:The Fraud of Venus' Supposed Thermal Equilibriu by pln2bz · · Score: 1

    Why didn't you just say, "I believe Venus is a comet that entered the solar system in the last 10,000 years and that's why global warming is a liberal conspiracy."? Is it because bitter experience has taught you that padding it out with a thousand extra words makes it less likely that people will notice you're a nutjob?

    I talk about mythology *all* of the time in my postings. There is no trick here. The Slashdot article in question though had little to do with mythology, so it was not the focus of my posting.

    I'm not bitter, btw. I'm trying to get people to respond to the arguments of the Electric Universe Theorists, which I've educated myself in, for the purpose of seeing if there are any legitimate arguments that cast doubt upon their theories. Most of the responses I get though tend to be ad hominem attacks, and claims that I am "misleading" people. Most people argue that I am not worth their time. People don't understand that they need to get their licks in now before I go public with my documentary on the subject.

    When I find an argument that seems solid, I forward it to the theorists, and they respond in kind. I will typically repost their responses here. What I've found after 1.5 years of doing this is that people are not actually reading what their theory says, and are in fact dismissing the evidence they point to in a piecemeal fashion, unaware that there is a fabric that connects all of these pieces together. What needs to be done is that people need to understand what they are saying -- the entire theory -- so that observations can be evaluated on the basis of both paradigms. But nobody's doing this because there is this general sense that science is heading in the right direction. I feel that, in light of the arguments of the heretics, this is a big mistake.

    It's as simple as that, and there's nothing unethical about what I'm doing. In fact, I'm quite sure that people will eventually thank me for my work.
    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  54. Re:The Fraud of Venus' Supposed Thermal Equilibriu by pln2bz · · Score: 1

    This seems like a bit of revisionist history here ...

    Revercombe and Suomi et. al. thought the upward IR flux was anomalous enough to warrant writing up a highly complex mathematical description of the manner in which all of those sensors had "failed".

    If there was no problem, as you seem to suggest, then why bother?

    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  55. pln2bz...fraud, more detail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You seem to be quite intent to portray me as anti-science.

    Sorry; that was not my intent. It was my intent to portray you as unscientific. There is a subtle distinction. It is certainly possible to be scientific (aside: the scientific method is not a thing to believed in, or not) without the assent of "mainstream" science, but not for long. In effect, there is only "science"; there is no "mainstream" vs. "fringe". If there's observation in support of a scientific model, then that is the model that "mainstream" science will accept, ipso facto. If it is apparent to once practitioner of science that a model is optimal, it is so apparent to all practitioners of science. Information travels fast these days, so the lag from the establishment of "proof" (in the sense of supporting evidence) to widespread knowledge of that "proof" is short. The case for EU is weak, and for Velikovsky's folk ramblings, at least doubly so. It's too bad that Sagan was snarky and superficial in debunking Velikovsky's bunk, and a great opportunity to demonstrate careful scientific thinking in (or at least closer to) the public eye was lost.

    Comparative mythology is structured similar to the way in which we evaluate court testimony.

    Comparative mythology is amenable to the scientific method, which is an even stronger claim than you make. However, it is also true that the "testimony" in question is inherently unreliable. It is possible through fabrication, corruption, mutation, omission, or coercion for that testimony to simply not be so. It is not possible to observe made-up reality. Gravity is a very mysterious force, but at least it is "truthful" in the sense of your analogy. (Re. human hallucinations, dreams, and perception problems: if you're at least moderately careful and use the methods of scientific inquiry). Even if you can observe only an incomplete portion of reality, that portion is "the truth".

    ...you incorrectly believe that the Garden of Eden is a *religious* concept even though...

    The book of Genesis is most interesting for its literary lineage. This paragraph is a real howler though:

    ...both the historical and fossil records indicate quite clearly that the phenomenon was physical and occurred for the entire world.

    The historical and fossil records speak of *vastly* different times: historical record ~8000 years if we're generous, and the fossils of which you speak were formed starting *at least* 80 million years ago, and depending on what you're citing exactly, as much as 250 million years ago. That's a long time even in geological scale, and certainly long enough for the ground those fossils are embedded in to move to all latitudes. If you're talking about the advent of life, and appealing to fossils, what about the 3~3.5 *billion* years of single-celled life forms in the fossil record? They preclude the historical veracity of the creation myth in Genesis, that's what. What about the vast majority of creation myths and folk cosmologies around the world that document different events at different times, instead of the same event (even through allegory) even roughly beginning at the same time?

    Perhaps we'd save some time if people actually just read the materials themselves, eh? After all, that appears to be the real problem -- the outright dismissal of data that is enigmatic to numerous disciplines.

    It would certainly be nice if people had the hobby of investigating reality or even just the human condition, but there is little time for that in their busy schedules of job-they-don't-love and television. The situation would indeed be better. However, look at what happens when the democratic people of USA, UK, Germany, France, Iran, and Brazil (try to) do things according to their best powers of reasoning: critical thinking takes practice that the majority of humans do not have even on a day-to-day basis, let alone one sufficient for scientific rigor.

    1. Re:pln2bz...fraud, more detail by pln2bz · · Score: 1

      In effect, there is only "science"; there is no "mainstream" vs. "fringe". If there's observation in support of a scientific model, then that is the model that "mainstream" science will accept, ipso facto.

      Let me first congratulate the mainstream on their ability to agree on everything. When you rule out the alternatives within your assumptions, though, it does become a bit easier to find common ground.

      Your views on astrophysical observations seem to me very parochial. You completely leave out the fact that there is plenty of debate on the interpretation of observations. For instance, you completely ignore the debate over Halton Arp's observations, suggesting that there is no meaningful debate over his observations of low-redshift quasars connected to or in front of higher redshift galaxies.

      You also completely ignore the fact that many scientists have spent their entire lifetimes unsuccessfully pursuing acceptance of their theories only to have their theories vindicated or co-opted after their death. Kristian Birkeland, for instance, struggled his entire lifetime to convince Sydney Chapman and the British that the aurora were caused by the Sun. Chapman repeatedly ridiculed Birkeland's theory even though he himself had proposed something similar before he was admonished for it. Like many people who ridicule EU Theory, Chapman didn't even have his facts straight enough to know what he was arguing against; he thought Birkeland was arguing that the Sun only sent protons. In fact, Birkeland was arguing that it was only the solar protons that were creating the aurora.

      The entire mess with the source of the aurora was of course the result of a throwaway comment by Lord Kelvin. Kelvin's star power blinded a lot of people to the fact that he was sometimes full of shit. The same thing happened with Carl Sagan and Velikovsky.

      Your view that science is pure and virginal, and unaffected by social drama or public preferences and prejudices is a bit naive. I mean, clearly you can tell that the public *likes* Carl Sagan, Albert Einstein, black holes, wormholes, multiple-dimensioned universes and other various esoteric concepts that may defy common sense. The public does not like these things because they have sifted through the evidence themselves and identified these concepts as being more true than other ideas in astrophysics. The majority of the public likes them because they are fascinating -- like science fiction. They induce a sense of wonder in space that adds to their mundane lives here on Earth. More mundane theories that involve electricity over space plasmas have a hard time competing with black holes, which many people have developed emotional attachments with. When I told my girlfriend that black holes do not exist, she said, "But I *like* black holes!" Precisely.

      If it is apparent to once practitioner of science that a model is optimal, it is so apparent to all practitioners of science. Information travels fast these days, so the lag from the establishment of "proof" (in the sense of supporting evidence) to widespread knowledge of that "proof" is short.

      With such a simple model in place for understanding science, one wonders why people even bother studying the history or philosophy of science.

      Let's review a specific example for why this is complete nonsense. Wallace Thornhill made numerous predictions regarding the Deep Impact Mission based upon the concept of the Electric Sun Hypothesis:

      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2005/arch05/050704predictions.htm
      http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2005/arch05/050630deepimpact.htm

      Interestingly, the predictions were Slashdotted:

      http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=05/07/03/1246254

      --
      "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  56. Re:pln2bz, on the philosophy of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your views on astrophysical observations seem to me very parochial.

    I could take the same cheap shot at yours: you seem to consistently prefer "fringe science" and it's tough to distinguish between legitimately reasoned objection and new-age quackery. Is most of physics "wrong" ("off"?) and all these "fringe" ideas improvements? Perhaps most of physics is "right" (-ish, that is of course), and you only take exception to some small portion of it that's clearly wrong? Looks like a duck, walks like a duck... You might not be a duck, the universe may not behave like a duck, but it sure looks like it.

    You also completely ignore the fact that many scientists have spent their entire lifetimes unsuccessfully pursuing acceptance of their theories only to have their theories vindicated or co-opted after their death.

    Here it is the exception that proves the rule. I do not "completely ignore" that possibility in my ideals nor their execution, and I disagree with your inference that anything I've said amounts to that. Clever, rigorous people don't say "well, the machines that brought gifts from the sky came once when there were landing strips around here, so it's a good bet that was the efficient cause." "Some scientists were scorned during life and posthumously proven correct, so it's at least likely if not necessary that scorned scientists are correct." That's a false generalization.

    The entire mess with the source of the aurora was of course the result of a throwaway comment by Lord Kelvin. Kelvin's star power blinded a lot of people to the fact that he was sometimes full of shit. The same thing happened with Carl Sagan and Velikovsky.

    In this sense it seems at least that scientific knowledge has become less about "what sells" than it was in the Victorian era of "science celebrities", but it has also made science less accessible to the public. The majority of EU proponents steadfastly ignore the fact that the Standard Model is a more thorough framework, with fewer holes and more supporting evidence than the competing and largely mutually exclusive EU theory. I rather doubt you understand the Standard Model as well as you understand EU, but then even a few very capable physicists have sided with EU's story and not the Standard Model's, so there must be more to this quandary...

    Your view that science is pure and virginal, and unaffected by social drama or public preferences and prejudices is a bit naive.

    As is your view that the particular "fringe" theories you support are caused, even primarily, by social drama [dogma?] or public preferences and prejudices. Academia is indeed quite "political" in its operation and parochial in its techniques, but not to the extent you appear to believe. I'm familiar with the tenuous, meandering path human knowledge and civilization have taken, and science in particular. I think you fail to take into account just how long a leash science has been on in places where theocracy is not rampant, and even in a few places where it is or was. I think it's inaccurate to say that science is on a leash at all in most of the world today. Even though some American scientists can't get government funding for certain "un-godly" or "hippie" things like stem cell or legitimate environmental research, at least neither church nor state confine or kill people for conducting and disseminating that research on their own coin.

    ...clearly you can tell that the public *likes*...various esoteric concepts that may defy common sense.

    True enough, many of the ideas of astrophysics and cosmology, and many other sciences, are sexy in the eyes of a vast, interested, but lay audience. But they are not considered fantastic in the eyes of (most of) the scientists who study them, even if those very scientists are fascinated enough to make that study their life's work. To most cosmologists, it is EU theory that looks fantastic, because of the observations it fails t

  57. Re:pln2bz, on the philosophy of science by pln2bz · · Score: 1

    Perhaps most of physics is "right" (-ish, that is of course), and you only take exception to some small portion of it that's clearly wrong?

    You know, if you weren't so stubborn about reading things that you don't already agree with, you could quite easily find the answer. It's interesting that you will waste your time arguing with me over these things, and yet you won't actually spend the money or time to understand what the theory states. I am confident of my understanding of what is happening because I've expanded my awareness of what they theory says beyond yours. Your carefully-crafted arguments seem to me like one long drawn-out excuse to avoid challenging your own belief system. The idea that you would be preventing me from spreading misinformation on Slashdot is silly when you've yet to fully read what is being alleged.

    "Some scientists were scorned during life and posthumously proven correct, so it's at least likely if not necessary that scorned scientists are correct." That's a false generalization.

    That's clever. It wasn't meant as a generalization. It was intended as a rebuttal to your allegation that ...

    If there's observation in support of a scientific model, then that is the model that "mainstream" science will accept, ipso facto.

    Your perception that I'm making sweeping generalizations is not accurate. The debate over the mathematical modeling of space plasmas is specific in its claims and philosophy and history of science can assist us in reaching a conclusion.

    The majority of EU proponents steadfastly ignore the fact that the Standard Model is a more thorough framework, with fewer holes and more supporting evidence than the competing and largely mutually exclusive EU theory.

    And yet, your thorough framework could come crumbling down like a house of cards at any moment ...

    http://plasmascience.net/tpu/downloadsCosmo/Verschuur-CIV-HI-TPS-Aug2007b.pdf

    Or in layman's terms ...

    http://www.wired.com/science/space/news/2007/11/big_bang

    As a sidenote, Wallace Thornhill's "The Electric Universe" was the first published book
    to reference Verschuur's allegations ...

    When the COBE satellite measured the cosmic microwave background radiation (CMBR) at 2.7 Kelvin, proponents of the Big Bang immediately announced that the measurement ?confirmed? their theory. Principal investigator of the COBE team, Dr. John Mather: ?The Big Bang Theory comes out a winner.? John Huchra, a professor of astronomy at Harvard University: ?The discovery of the 2.7 degree background was the clincher for the current cosmological model, the hot Big Bang.? And astrophysicist Michael Turner: ?The significance of this cannot be overstated. They have found the Holy Grail of cosmology.? Did the measurement of the CMBR actually confirm a prediction of the Big Bang hypothesis? The truth is that predictions by other theorists, who did not base their estimates on the Big Bang, were a great deal closer.

    The first astronomer to collect observations from which the temperature of space could be calculated was Andrew McKellar. In 1941 he announced a temperature of 2.3K from radiative excitation of certain molecules. But World War II occupied everyone?s attention and his paper was ignored. In 1954, Finlay-Freundlich predicted 1.9K to 6K based on ?tired light? assumptions. Tigran Shmaonov estimated 3K in 1955. In 1896, Charles Edouard Guillaume predicted a temperature of 5.6K from heating by starlight. Arthur Eddington refined the calculations in 1926 and predicted a temperature of 3K. Eric Regener predicted 2.8K in 1933.

    In fact, the proponents of the Big Bang had made the worst predictions. Rob

    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  58. Re:pln2bz, on the philosophy of science by pln2bz · · Score: 1

    To assist with any investigation of the Deep Impact Mission results that you may decide to take on, if I may, can I recommend the following link?

    http://www.suppressedscience.net/news.html

    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.