Slashdot Mirror


Helium Crisis Approaching

vrmlguy writes "Within nine years the National Helium Reserve will be depleted, according to an article in Science Daily. It quotes Dr. Lee Sobotka, of Washington University in St. Louis: 'Helium is non-renewable and irreplaceable. Its properties are unique and unlike hydrocarbon fuels (natural gas or oil), there are no biosynthetic ways to make an alternative to helium. All should make better efforts to recycle it.' (The St. Louis Post-Dispatch has a local article with quotes from Dr. Sobotka and representatives of the balloon industry.) On Earth, Helium is found mixed with natural gas, but few producers capture it. Extracting it from the atmosphere is not cost-effective. The US created a stockpile, the National Helium Reserve, in 1925 for use by military dirigibles, but stopped stockpiling it in 1995 as a cost-saving measure."

113 of 501 comments (clear)

  1. No more helium? by eldepeche · · Score: 5, Funny

    Oh, no!

    1. Re:No more helium? by Dr.+Cody · · Score: 2, Funny

      Mr. Bill, you're a Slashdotter?

    2. Re:No more helium? by Low5 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Sounds more like a lemming to me...or was that caused by hydrogen?

      I suppose it would explain the subsequent explosions.

      --
      -- "If the truth can be told so as to be understood, it will be believed."
    3. Re:No more helium? by elrous0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I sure hope they fix this. There is nothing more depressing than a sad clown.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    4. Re:No more helium? by sqrt(2) · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Helium was fun to play with like that but I loved when our chemistry teacher showed us what Sulfur Hexafluoride does to your voice.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    5. Re:No more helium? by sinclair44 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Basically, whereas helium is less dense than air and thus raises your voice pitch, sulfur hexafluoride is more dense than air and thus lowers your voice pitch.

      Wikipedia

      --
      Omnes stulti sunt.
    6. Re:No more helium? by kennygraham · · Score: 2, Informative

      <chipmunk voice>Oh, no!</chipmunk voice>

      Nmtoken can't contain whitespace. Turn in your nerd card.

    7. Re:No more helium? by jank1887 · · Score: 2, Informative

      yeah, definitely j/k. I read the MSDS on SF6 once when we had to set up some lab equipment. The long and short of it was that it will only kill you if you proceed to breathe it and only it long enough to lose consciousness from lack of oxygen, and then die from asphyxiation.

    8. Re:No more helium? by dakrin9 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      A great video of Jay Leno demonstrating sulfur hexafluoride: http://www.5min.com/Video/Jay-Leno-How-to-Float-a-Boat-on-Air-3542852

    9. Re:No more helium? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 3, Funny

      Uranium hexafluoride does the same thing, but it's an even stronger effect on your voice.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    10. Re:No more helium? by Phroggy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      <chipmunk voice>Oh, no!</chipmunk voice>

      Nmtoken can't contain whitespace. Turn in your nerd card.

      <voice type="chipmunk">Shut up and let him have his fun.</voice>
      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
    11. Re:No more helium? by Gyga · · Score: 2, Informative

      The uranium doesn't hurt you in Uranium hexafluoride. By the time you get heavy metal or radiation posioning the fluorine will have melted your lungs (couple seconds, a minute if you are unlucky.) My mom does various worst case scenarios for her job and has to calaculate the effects of exotic chemicals or radiation. She heard that this is one of the most painful ways to die, based off someone screaming according to Urban Ledgend.

      --
      I don't preview or spellcheck.
    12. Re:No more helium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      You on the other hand, welcome to the Über-31337 Secret Geek Club! You just "made an ass out of u and me"(*), a common trait in a certain group of antisocial people commonly known as nerds, giving you and instant pass to my club. Meetings are held every week on tuesdays and thursdays at my moms basement. Looking forward to interesting discussions about various markup languages.

      *) see other replies for details.

    13. Re:No more helium? by dunelin · · Score: 2, Informative

      Basically, whereas helium is less dense than air and thus raises your voice pitch, sulfur hexafluoride is more dense than air and thus lowers your voice pitch.



      Very cool indeed! And sulfur hexafluoride, since it is heavier than air, will also stay down in your lungs unless you try very hard to get it out. Hello asphyxiation. All with the added benefit that it is a tremendously potent greenhouse gas that will never (or extremely slowly) be broken down by any natural process. Now if only everybody tried to be cool by breathing in the stuff and filling fish tanks with it. Most of humanity would win the 2008 Darwin Awards, and the rest of us would enjoy a permanent tropical paradise.

  2. oh no! by opusman · · Score: 4, Funny

    does this mean all the party balloons will be filled with hydrogen instead?

    oh the humanity!

    1. Re:oh no! by Constantine+XVI · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's not like any hydrogen-filled balloons have exploded or anything...

      ...wait.

      --
      "I think an etch-a-sketch with an ethernet port would beat IE7 in web standards compliance."
  3. This is a capitalist economy by smittyoneeach · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Remember to spell 'crisis' as 'business opportunity'.

    --
    Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    1. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Rogerborg · · Score: 4, Funny

      Hey, why is there such a shortage of resources? Can't capitalism solve that? Is it that the damn Earth doesn't get this whole supply/demand thing? Aargh, we're living on a commie planet!

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    2. Re:This is a capitalist economy by aproposofwhat · · Score: 4, Funny

      Proof by very large bribes. QED.

      QED?

      Quod Erat Donatum?

      --
      One swallow does not a fellatrix make
    3. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Anynomous+Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Donandum.

      You want the gerundivum, not the participium.

      --
      I'm not a coward by any name.
    4. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Rich0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually - Capitalism can solve this problem rather readily. The problem is that the US government subsidized Helium so that it is dirt cheap, so it is used in situations where it isn't essential.

      Natural gas producers throw it away because it costs more to make than you can sell it for. The only reason for that is the US used to pay $5/liter for it and sells it for $1/liter and no longer buys it. (I made up those numbers - they're just illustrative but reflect the problem.)

      Assuming there is a decent amount left underground once the shortage becomes acute people will be willing to pay more for helium. Once the market value raises above the cost to produce it people who dig it up will stop throwing it away. At that part the market would regulate its own helium supply/demand.

      There really aren't any externalities in this market that I can see (unlike with fossil fuels - where pollution/CO2 needs to be accounted for) - so there is no reason the market wouldn't work. The main reason it isn't working now is because somebody messed with the market for the last 50 years and it will take some time to correct...

    5. Re:This is a capitalist economy by manekineko2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This is a great example of the concept of market failure for all those libertarians on Slashdot who blindly follow the church of the invisible hand.

      In a well-functioning market for a limited resource that a lot of people have access to, what is the result that pure capitalism creates? A race to the bottom competition in prices, which normally is great and one of the main advantages of capitalism, but in cases of limited resources might not be. It may well be that the most rational overall response would be to conserve the non-renewable resource, but humans value an immediate benefit over a distant one, and would rather feed themselves today than their children tomorrow.

      As a result, as soon as a few helium sellers lower their prices, then the entire market would have to follow, until soon the price of helium is based upon the current cost of extraction, rather than a higher, rational cost to society that maybe should be being imposed to preserve a non-renewable resource.

      This is a negative externality, something that without that bogeyman of government intervention stepping in, capitalism is unable to deal with effectively. The negative effects are felt by future generations, but the benefits are enjoyed by the current generations. Pure capitalism and market forces encourage the imposition of negative externalities, to the net detriment of all.

      In the long run, the result of the pure market system advocated by some here is that once supplies start running short, prices will increase as the supplies become scarce relative to demand. However, at that point we will already have frittered away 99% of our helium reserves, and it may be that many worthwhile usages will no long be economically feasible, despite being more efficient usages than the original wasteful usages that reduced the supply.

    6. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 4, Informative

      In a well-functioning market for a limited resource that a lot of people have access to, what is the result that pure capitalism creates? A race to the bottom competition in prices,


      Whups! You fail Econ 101. A market in a resource that has no clear owner is not a "well-functioning market". In such cases, you do indeed get a race to the bottom as players race to claim the resource by extracting it. This is what is meant by "the tragedy of the commons". The answer is to actually provide a well-functioning market by having clear ownership of the resource while it is still unextracted. Owners then have an incentive to leave it in the ground if there is an expectation that it will become scarce and therefore its price will rise.

      This is a negative externality,


      Nope, it's not. An externality is a cost the supplier incurs but does not have to pay. That's not what this is.

      Chris Mattern
    7. Re:This is a capitalist economy by nelsonal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Please, there aren't any real externalities associated with helium usage (unless talking with a funny voice brings far more joy to the masses than I've noticed at previous parties). Markets have a wonderful way to balance the needs of the future with the needs of today, interest rates. Google Hoteling's model to see how they apply to extractive industries. Markets continue to function fine when the government doesn't mess with them, as they have with helium since WWI.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    8. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Markets continue to function fine when the government doesn't mess with them, as they have with helium since WWI. Indeed. It sure seems like every time someone uses a shortage as an example of the free market failing, it always turns out to be the failure of a regulated or otherwise non-free market.
      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    9. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Vellmont · · Score: 3, Informative


      In the long run, the result of the pure market system advocated by some here is that once supplies start running short, prices will increase as the supplies become scarce relative to demand. However, at that point we will already have frittered away 99% of our helium reserves, and it may be that many worthwhile usages will no long be economically feasible

      I think you've got some basic facts wrong here, though I'm not sure if I disagree with at least some of your conclusions. We aren't really "running out of helium". There's still huge amounts of it captured in natural gas, most of which we're not even capturing. What's being depleted is the "strategic helium reserve" that the United States created in the 20s.

      As far as the helium shortage is concerned, it's not because we've reached "peak helium", far from it. It's not even really caused by "wasteful helium usage", though I suppose you could make an argument this might help alleviate the problem. It's because some companies have gotten out of the business, and others haven't replaced it yet. The other companies haven't replaced them because the people who own the natural gas and the natural gas processing facilities already make so much money off it that trying to make money off helium offers nothing much more than a risk with a small return. They figure, why bother?

      It may well still be a failing of capitalism, and "market forces" might not give a very optimum solution here. But this just isn't a case of "we used up all the helium, and now we're screwed". It's more of a case of capitalism not being as fluid and free-flowing as some people assume that it is.

      --
      AccountKiller
    10. Re:This is a capitalist economy by manekineko2 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      By "limited resource that a lot of people have access to", I am not referring to a tragedy of the commons situation. I am referring to a situation, say, where there are finite quantities of helium deposits within the United States, and each of these deposits is held by private ownership.

      Currently, there is clear ownership, there is no significant government oversight, yet what is the net result going to be if left to the market? The helium reserves (according to the article, and I will proceed with its assumptions, as I have no view of my own on this matter) will be mostly depleted relatively shortly.

      What's the cause of this? It's true, owners have an incentive to leave it in the ground if it'll become valuable in the future. However, this only works perfectly in a world of perfectly rational abstracted actors. In the real world, owners also have an incentive to eat today, rather than starving now on the hope of a big payday in the future. Once the large capital investment has been made to install helium extractors, infrastructure, etc. on the wells, it is highly improbable an owner would let that all depreciate into nothing as you wait for a highly speculative payday in the future. It is only when the shortage is actually imminent, and the payday less speculative, that owners will realistically start holding off on pumping. It would be more realistic in the real world that owners would let it stay in the land if they hadn't already tapped it, but it does not appear from the article that this is the case.

      Regarding your quibble about my use of the word externality, as I understand it, an externality is an impact upon a party not involved in a given transaction, and this understanding is supported by Wikipedia. Here, the transactions in question are between helium extractors and helium buyers. Yet the negative impact is felt by future generations, who are not current parties to this, yet will have to live in a world with insufficient helium for scientific and engineering usages, if the premise of the article is to be believed. Hence, negative externality.

    11. Re:This is a capitalist economy by jabuzz · · Score: 3, Informative

      Hope you don't ever need an MRI scan then. No helium, no MRI scans for starters. Then there is the deep sea diving, no helium no off shore oil platforms. Those pebble bed nuclear reactors also require it, Basically the use of helium in party ballons is morally irresponsible, and needs to be banned with *immediate* effect.

      The biggest problem is that once helium has escaped into the atmosphere it is literally lost for *EVER*. Basically the average velocity of a helium molecule is greater than the escape velocity, so it is lost into space and is irrecoverable.

    12. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Insightful


      The only reason for that is the US used to pay $5/liter for it and sells it for $1/liter and no longer buys it. . (I made up those numbers - they're just illustrative but reflect the problem.)

      Thanks for making up numbers that much of your argument hinges on. To make a real argument about the affect of the US government on Helium prices you'd have to get REAL numbers, not ones you just made up.

      --
      AccountKiller
    13. Re:This is a capitalist economy by Darth_brooks · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Thanks for making up numbers that much of your argument hinges on. To make a real argument about the affect of the US government on Helium prices you'd have to get REAL numbers, not ones you just made up.

      Not necessarily. This article concerns itself only with the national helium reserve. The fact that someone was buying the product created a significant portion of the market. That buyer quit, demand fell, prices fell, profits margins went away, so companies got out of the business of making the product. It doesn't matter if the government was paying $1/liter, $.10/liter, or $1 brazillion dollars per liter. Demand fell, prices went with it.

      If there is money to be made, someone will make it. The article answers itself. There is a demand for the product, above and beyond party balloons, and that demand will be met.

      --
      There are some people that if they don't know, you can't tell 'em.
  4. helium toy balloons by TheLink · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Then it does seem a waste to use it on those toy balloons as it's almost a sure thing the helium will be "lost".

    Well as it gets scarce the prices will go up. Maybe some people should start hoarding now :).

    --
    1. Re:helium toy balloons by weyesone · · Score: 2, Funny

      My wife bought a small helium tank for my son's birthday in Nov. I'm going to keep it and sell short controlled hits for $50.00 a burst!

    2. Re:helium toy balloons by WK2 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well as it gets scarce the prices will go up. Maybe some people should start hoarding now :).

      I thought of that. The problem is that it doesn't stay contained very well. If you bought one of those tanks, and never used it, it wouldn't keep for more than a few years. Even 100% air-tight containers might have a hard time containing helium.

      --
      Write your own Choose Your Own Adventure. http://www.freegameengines.org/gamebook-engine/
  5. A lost age by wish+bot · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Children's parties will never be the same.

    --
    lemonade was a popular drink and it still is
  6. We need more gas by Malevolent+Tester · · Score: 4, Funny

    Build a refinery.

    --
    If you haven't made a developer cry, you've wasted a day.
    1. Re:We need more gas by lonesome_coder · · Score: 4, Funny

      Well, the thing is, we need more minerals, but we are also in the middle of an SCV crisis.

      We're screwed.

      --
      If you'd just do what we tell you and quit yer gripin' everything would be chocolate sprinkles and rainbows! -AC
    2. Re:We need more gas by KlaymenDK · · Score: 2, Funny

      Silver, Copper, ...Valium?

      (No help to be had at acronymfinder)

    3. Re:We need more gas by fbjon · · Score: 4, Funny

      Space Construction Vehicle. More Starcraft playing is required.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
  7. Time to ramp up fusion research by Billosaur · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Want to replace the helium lost and create cleaner, more abundant energy? Now is a good time to pour some more money into fusion research to try and get over the hump and create sustainable fusion reactions.

    --
    GetOuttaMySpace - The Anti-Social Network
    1. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Picass0 · · Score: 5, Funny

      1) Inhales balloon
      2) ?????
      3) <squeakyvoice> Profit! </squeakyvoice>

    2. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by lachlan76 · · Score: 5, Informative

      That's not really practical. Let's assume, for the sake of argument, that a fusion reactor can convert 10% of the power from its reaction to electricity.

      The most promising reaction, according to Wikipedia, is that of:

      Deuterium + Tritium ---> Helium-4 + Neutron, delta-H = -17.6MeV/reaction[1]

      First of all, there is the Deuterium. This is harvested from Heavy Water, water that has one or two deuterium atoms instead of normal hydrogen atoms. This heavy water costs approximately US$300/kg[2] for consumers, and the deuterium produced approximately US$1/L[3]. This is a lot. Deuterium has a molar mass of approximately two g/mol, with one mole of a gas taking up one cubic metre at standard temperature/pressure. At US$1/L, this deuterium costs US$1000/m^3, or US$500/g (I'm assuming that gases volumes refer to STP. If I'm wrong, feel free to point this out---I've never dealt with bottled gas).

      Next is tritium. At US$30000/g[4], it's hardly cheap. For the reaction to take place, you need the two isotopes to react stoichiometrically (in the proper ratio). IOW, for each mole of tritium, you need a mole of deuterium. Converted to masses (tritium's molar mass is approximately three), this means that you need a ratio of 3g tritium : 2g deuterium. For each mole of Tritium, you will get a mole of helium. Because we're dealing with helium-4, the molar mass is ~4g/mol. The rest of the mass is made up by the neutron; this doesn't matter to us. Therefore, to make four grams of helium, we need three grams of tritium, and two grams of deuterium. At the prices given, this is US$91000 per four grams of helium, which, because it is one mole, is one cubic metre at STP. Helium, as of 1986 (yeah, yeah, I know) cost US$37.50/1000f^3. This is about US$1.30/m^3. Think about those prices. 9.1 x 10^4 US$/m^3, vs 1.3 x 10^0 US$/m^3. That's almost five orders of magnitude. There would have to be be a bloody good reason to be using helium at those prices.

      In conclusion:
      Helium-4 produced by fusion will cost five orders of magnitude more than current prices

      References:

      1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fusion#Important_reactions
      2. http://www.straightdope.com/mailbag/mheavywater.html
      3. http://www.corrosionsource.com/handbook/periodic/1.htm
      4. http://fire.pppl.gov/fesac_dp_ts_willms.pdf
    3. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      At the prices given, this is US$91000 per four grams of helium, which, because it is one mole, is one cubic metre at STP. Helium, as of 1986 (yeah, yeah, I know) cost US$37.50/1000f^3. This is about US$1.30/m^3. Think about those prices. 9.1 x 10^4 US$/m^3, vs 1.3 x 10^0 US$/m^3. That's almost five orders of magnitude. There would have to be be a bloody good reason to be using helium at those prices.

      Yeah, because the only thing fusion is good for is producing Helium.

      Those $91000 isn't what it cost to produce four grams of helium. It's the cost to produce all the electricity from the energy given off by that reaction. Which is a lot. Which gets sold to people. The Helium production is a bonus. Instead of throwing it away, they get to sell it. How much they sell it by is a function of the supply and demand for helium, not the cost for manufacturer. If nobody was buying, they'd still be selling the electricity, and would be throwing the helium away.

    4. Re:Time to ramp up fusion research by Beyond_GoodandEvil · · Score: 2, Informative

      Just like a nuclear reactor spits out many orders of magnitude less waste than a coal power plant (how poisonous that waste is is a completely unrelated issue, this is just about pure volume). Ergo you would not be very wise to wait for the chemical elements coming out of that reactor - it's just not enough to be used for any kind input into other production processes. The only thing of value you get is the energy.
      Written by someone who has never heard of a breeder reactor.

      --
      I laughed at the weak who considered themselves good because they lacked claws.
  8. Where's the problem? by GreatBunzinni · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Could someone please explain how exactly is there a crisis? I mean, the article states that the only thing that is happening is that the US national helium reserve is being depleted, an artificial stockpile program that stopped stockpiling due to being too expensive. Then it is stated that there are plenty sources of helium but no one bothers to take advantage of them due to the fact that at the moment it simply does not make anyone any money. So, to sum things up, no one bothers to store helium because it isn't cost effective and no one bothers to mine helium because there isn't any money to be made by it.

    Doesn't that mean that the offer outweighs the demand by a landslide? Doesn't this mean that there were a lot of people smooching the US national helium reserve for a long time?

    --
    Slashdot, fix your code or at least hire someone who is competent at it to do it for you.
    1. Re:Where's the problem? by denzacar · · Score: 5, Funny

      Doesn't this mean that there were a lot of people smooching the US national helium reserve for a long time? Yeah... there is always at least one jerk at every party who still thinks that is funny.
      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    2. Re:Where's the problem? by Mysticalfruit · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I was just thinking the same thing... once the stockpile is depleted and helium goes (some price way higher than it currently costs) some refiner will look at one of their waste product pipes labeled "Helium" and well... they'll get really happy and call a company about a cryopump and some storage tanks... shortage solved...

      --
      Yes Francis, the world has gone crazy.
    3. Re:Where's the problem? by mcelrath · · Score: 5, Informative

      One cannot "mine" helium. It comes dominantly from radioactive decay in the earth of Uranium and its decay products. But because it is so light, it generally leaks out of the ground, and escapes. Also because it is so light, it is not retained in the earth's atmosphere at all, and leaks into space (at which point it is irretrievable). Our supply right now comes from radioactive decay (over the last 5 billion years) which produced helium that accidentally got trapped in the earth (mostly in the same underground reservoirs as oil -- it is mixed in with natural gas). The half-life of Uranium is about 4.5 billion years, so the Helium is produced very slowly.

      The problem is that it has widespread industrial and scientific uses, and its loss will have a severe impact on our science and industry. In particular it is used as a coolant (gets down to about 4K, and is the best way to get things to that temperature). Also it is used in any application requiring high field superconducting magnets. The fancy new High-T_c magnets generally cannot support large fields, so in fields like particle physics which require big magnets, they generally use simpler materials (e.g. Niobium-Titanium for the main LHC magnets) that only superconduct at temperatures much lower than the liquid Nitrogen boiling point.

      -- Bob

      --
      1^2=1; (-1)^2=1; 1^2=(-1)^2; 1=-1; 1=0.
    4. Re:Where's the problem? by sdpuppy · · Score: 2, Informative
      Exactly.

      I think it's worth mentioning two related uses for high field magnets that impact out "everyday lives" quite a bit more than particle physics (yes I am a fan and realize the potential of particle physics but I am talking about immediate impact):

      Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) - those babies use lots of liquid Helium to keep the magnets 4K

      Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy (NMR) - OK this is "almost immediate impact" on daily lives in that research into new drugs and organic chemicals would be tremendously affected and slowed without this analytical instrument.

      Good news for the MRI application is that there are now Helium recyclers - instead of letting the liquid Helium slowly boil off into atmosphere, it is collected, compressed and reused. There are still losses, but instead of having to fill a half empty magnet around 4 times per year, you now have to fill about once a year.

      However current recycling technology produces too much vibration for most NMR applications and currently isn't viable for this application.

  9. damn. by apodyopsis · · Score: 3, Funny

    damn. there goes my billionaire sky yacht. damn those pesky kids and their party tricks.... damn them.

  10. Peak Everything by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 5, Insightful
    As a civilisation we are facing Peak Everything a century of resource decline in the face of population expansion.

    It's not the End of the World, but you can see it from here, and if we're not careful Things Could Go Poorly. The problem is the smartest people around think "technology" will fix the "resource" problem. Given unlimited energy and resources, perhaps this is true, but we don't live in a world where there are unlimited resources. So, if we're at the top of the heap - look around you: this is as good as it gets.

    RS

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    1. Re:Peak Everything by Aladrin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Of course, given unlimited energy and resources, there wouldn't be a crisis to begin with.

      As for technology fixing the problem... How do you know it won't? 100 years ago, they could have said the same... And been wrong. Nuclear was invented after that.

      Every generation seems to think this is 'as good as it gets' and every generation has been proven wrong. Our technology is still advancing faster than ever.

      Am I putting blind faith in technology? No. I think we should conserve and recycle. I think we should specifically research the issues of the day instead of random other things. But I also know that researching 'random other things' has created some of our best technology.

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    2. Re:Peak Everything by tgd · · Score: 5, Insightful

      While it sounds noble to talk about space travel, and at once level you're right, comparing what we did as a species 40 years ago and what we'd need to do to really utilize those resources on Earth is like saying getting into orbit is easy because the Chinese invented rockets two thousand years ago.

      Do take a stroll by any of your local industrial plants -- doesn't matter what it is. Steel, say. Or a gas liquification plant. Now figure out how you're going to get all of that into space. Not orbit, you need it orbiting the sun, not the Earth because the stuff you're talking about what we want isn't floating around around the earth. Now figure out how you're going to shield it from radiation, and feed the hundreds of employees. And keep in mind all of that capacity is to produce something for a regional demand, not a global demand.

      Even when you've got it, now figure out how you're going to get it back down to the ground. (We'll ignore the fact that most of the resources are tied up in other gravity wells...)

      Your statement may be intellectually correct, but its about as realistic as sitting in the jungles of central america 12,000 years ago and taking solice in the availability of some resource you need, buried a mile inside of Everest and nowhere else.

    3. Re:Peak Everything by Angostura · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Every generation seems to think this is 'as good as it gets' and every generation has been proven wrong.


      I think you may need to adjust your frame of reference somewhat. Have a look at the fall of he Roman Empire, the Dark Ages, what happened to the Mayans, Easter Island etc. and think again about whether every generation has been proven wrong
    4. Re:Peak Everything by moosesocks · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Our understanding of Physics and Geology is undisputedly the best that it ever has been. One could even argue that our understanding of physical phenomena that occur for "human-sized" systems is nearly complete.

      Granted, we still have a long ways to go in terms of exploiting those laws of physics to generate energy/resources, but the fact remains that our "catalogue" of Earth's natural resources is largely complete.

      We know what materials are available to us, we know which of those materials can be used to generate energy, and we know that we're quickly running out of all of them. Although Nuclear fusion/fission offer the promise of "turning nothing into something", even our current supply of fissile material is most certainly finite (and we must take great care to properly re-process and re-use spent fuel).

      I'd love to be proven wrong, but I'm really not sure we're going to uncover any magical new energy sources in the near future. Fusion research should of course be pursued (preferably funding several different designs, as there are quite a few worthy candidates), although every current indication shows that viable Fusion generation is going to be *really* *really* difficult, even if we do figure out how to sustain the reaction.

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    5. Re:Peak Everything by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 2, Funny

      > Peak Everything
      > End of the World
      > Things Could Go Poorly

      hey! stop using up our precious reserves of capital letters!

    6. Re:Peak Everything by fireboy1919 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do take a stroll by any of your local industrial plants -- doesn't matter what it is. Steel, say. Or a gas liquification plant. Now figure out how you're going to get all of that into space.
      Once you're in space, orbit around the sun is easy because there's no friction. Energy expenditures for going long distances aren't much - only what it takes to start and stop. Getting into space, though....

      Now figure out how you're going to shield it from radiation
      Big chunks of metal (Faraday's cages)
      , and feed the hundreds of employees.
      Lets not bring people into this. People can't survive very long without gravity. Industrial robots will be doing this. Telerobots, for sure. People will probably be doing administration of them using radio signals.
      And keep in mind all of that capacity is to produce something for a regional demand, not a global demand
      The things will have to be bigger than aircraft carriers. They will likely cost trillions of dollars and use enough metals to rival the total yearly consumption of metal right now. Probably large portions will have to be made of glass based solely on the fact that we can't get enough metal to cover everything. Its trips will probably take decades, and it'll bring back hundreds of tons of new material.

      Even when you've got it, now figure out how you're going to get it back down to the ground.
      Big ceramic boxes+gravity. Presumably the materials to make new big metal boxes will be mined.

      Seems like the only really, really hard problems are how to be able to escape the earth's gravity whenever we want...and the logistical problem of getting every nation on the planet working together to produce this thing. Are these two issues insurmountable?

      --
      Mod me down and I will become more powerful than you can possibly imagine!
    7. Re:Peak Everything by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem is the smartest people around think "technology" will fix the "resource" problem. Given unlimited energy and resources, perhaps this is true, but we don't live in a world where there are unlimited resources.

      Sheesh. Every century seems to have people who think, "Yeah, the good times are rolling now, but judgment day is coming! Repent now!

      Will there be problems in the future? Of course there will. But then "magically" something will come along to solve them. To use the cliche, "necessity is the mother of invention." Look around you. We have supercapacitors that are being invented because of concern about oil prices (by the way, we will NEVER run out of oil. NEVER. It will just get more expensive until something else replaces it). We can fire up nuclear plants (and breeder reactors) anytime we want (and really, really need to). We've just had an article the other day about new solid-state solar stirling engines, and another one about mass-production solar cells to reduce cost. Some of them will pan out, some of them won't. But it is absolutely true that civilization isn't going to collapse. In fact, civilization is, at most, going to be slightly inconvenienced. SUVs will always be available (thank God).

      The solar system is FLOODED with energy. It really is effectively unlimited.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    8. Re:Peak Everything by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Russotto wrote:

      And what makes now different from 1798 (Malthus's "An Essay on the Principle of Population"), or 1968 (Erlich's "The Population Bomb") or 1974 (The Club of Rom's "Mankind at the Turning Point")?

      What's the difference? The ecocide that's been going on for centuries, for starters. Also, VASTLY improved resource analysis and data, as well as the apparent peak of petroleum production.

      All of those writers were correct. The timing was off, and certain technologies came into play as the petroleum age came along, but as we're going to blow through the remaining oil pretty quickly, the total amount of energy per capita will collapse. So, you'll see each of them in reverse order appear - first the Club of Rome's resource and ecological depletion which will put the constraint on Ehrlich's population bomb, followed by a Malthusian Die Off.

      Easter Island. Look it up.

      RS

      --
      Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    9. Re:Peak Everything by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't panic. Agreed, don't panic. But that doesn't mean poke our head in the sand pray for the magic to happen. It doesn't and it won't. The magic is made to happen. We need to plan out for as much as we can think of. Even if the possiblity is way out there we need to have some plan in place.

      We may not run out of oil but we need to be prepaired if we do.

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

  11. Increase public awareness by Mantaar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... not only of a looming Helium shortage - just google for "Aluminum Shortage" and take a look at the results... many resources on earth are becoming more and more scarce while everybody seems to only concentrate on energy resources.

    That, my friends is one of the best reasons for putting money into space exploration rather than wars for oil. We're still far from being able to actually mine anything that's not already on our planet, but we're not so far from a shortage in the critical resources that would make extraterrestrial retrieval of resources possible in the first place.

    With Helium it's actually a matter of re-using what we have - gas recycling hasn't been much of an issue in the past, but people need to hear about it. And please don't throw 'statistical evidence' at me that suggests 'there is no crisis'. Even the potential crisis is enough to be worried about it, if the implications are that dramatic. Much of our economical and scientific growth currently depends on the reckless abuse of non-renewable (or non-renewed) resources. We don't want to break Moore's Law, do we?

    --
    I'm an infovore...
    1. Re:Increase public awareness by DeeQ · · Score: 5, Informative

      What exactly uses Helium that is all that important?

      According to wikipedia the applications of helium

      * Because it is lighter than air, airships and balloons are inflated with helium for lift. In airships, helium is preferred over hydrogen because it is not flammable and has 92.64% of the buoyancy (or lifting power) of the alternative hydrogen (see calculation.)

      * For its low solubility in water, the major part of human blood, air mixtures of helium with oxygen and nitrogen (Trimix), with oxygen only (Heliox), with common air (heliair), and with hydrogen and oxygen (hydreliox), are used in deep-sea breathing systems to reduce the high-pressure risk of nitrogen narcosis, decompression sickness, and oxygen toxicity.

      * At extremely low temperatures, liquid helium is used to cool certain metals to produce superconductivity, such as in superconducting magnets used in magnetic resonance imaging. Helium at low temperatures is also used in cryogenics.

      * For its inertness and high thermal conductivity, neutron transparency, and because it does not form radioactive isotopes under reactor conditions, helium is used as a coolant in some nuclear reactors, such as pebble-bed reactors.

      * Helium is used as a shielding gas in arc welding processes on materials that are contaminated easily by air. It is especially useful in overhead welding, because it is lighter than air and thus floats, whereas other shielding gases sink.

      * Because it is inert, helium is used as a protective gas in growing silicon and germanium crystals, in titanium and zirconium production, in gas chromatography, and as an atmosphere for protecting historical documents. This property also makes it useful in supersonic wind tunnels.

      * In rocketry, helium is used as an ullage medium to displace fuel and oxidizers in storage tanks and to condense hydrogen and oxygen to make rocket fuel. It is also used to purge fuel and oxidizer from ground support equipment prior to launch and to pre-cool liquid hydrogen in space vehicles. For example, the Saturn V booster used in the Apollo program needed about 13 million cubic feet (370,000 m) of helium to launch.[2]

      * The gain medium of the helium-neon laser is a mixture of helium and neon.

      * Because it diffuses through solids at a rate three times that of air, helium is used as a tracer gas to detect leaks in high-vacuum equipment and high-pressure containers, as well as in other applications with less stringent requirements such as heat exchangers, valves, gas panels, etc.

      * Because of its extremely low index of refraction, the use of helium reduces the distorting effects of temperature variations in the space between lenses in some telescopes.

      * The age of rocks and minerals that contain uranium and thorium, radioactive elements that emit helium nuclei called alpha particles, can be discovered by measuring the level of helium with a process known as helium dating.

      * The high thermal conductivity and sound velocity of helium is also desirable in thermoacoustic refrigeration. The inertness of helium adds to the environmental advantage of this technology over conventional refrigeration systems which may contribute to ozone depleting and global warming effects.

      * Because helium alone is less dense than atmospheric air, it will change the timbre (not pitch[12]) of a person's voice when inhaled. However, inhaling it from a typical commercial source, such as that used to fill balloons, can be dangerous due to the risk of asphyxiation from lack of oxygen, and the number of contaminants that may be present. These could include trace amounts of other gases, in addition to aerosolized lubricating oil.

      Maybe I'm missing the usefulness of some of those but it doesn't seem like a big deal.

    2. Re:Increase public awareness by toggleflipflop · · Score: 2, Informative

      >What exactly uses Helium that is all that important?
      >* At extremely low temperatures, liquid helium is used to cool certain metals to produce superconductivity, such as in superconducting magnets used in magnetic resonance imaging. >Helium at low temperatures is also used in cryogenics.

      Aside from all the scientific experiments that need the helium for cooling, I wonder how you could consider magnetic resonance imaging as not being important.

    3. Re:Increase public awareness by petermgreen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Maybe I'm missing the usefulness of some of those but it doesn't seem like a big deal.
      lets see

      Because it is lighter than air, airships and balloons are inflated with helium for lift. In airships, helium is preferred over hydrogen because it is not flammable and has 92.64% of the buoyancy (or lifting power) of the alternative hydrogen (see calculation.)
      not that important because most really important uses of balloons (weather monitoring) are unmanned and so can use hydrogen.

      For its low solubility in water, the major part of human blood, air mixtures of helium with oxygen and nitrogen (Trimix), with oxygen only (Heliox), with common air (heliair), and with hydrogen and oxygen (hydreliox), are used in deep-sea breathing systems to reduce the high-pressure risk of nitrogen narcosis, decompression sickness, and oxygen toxicity.
      While a lot of diving is done just for pleasure diving is also done for industrial reasons such as maintinance of oil/gas rigs, some of that diving is pretty deep. Helium is by far the best mixer gas (and you need some mixer gas to get the overall pressure of the breathing gas right withotu making the partial pressure of oxygen/nitrogen dangerously high) for high pressure diving because it has a low molecular mass, is safe to handle and no (or at least very little) affect on the body.

      * At extremely low temperatures, liquid helium is used to cool certain metals to produce superconductivity, such as in superconducting magnets used in magnetic resonance imaging. Helium at low temperatures is also used in cryogenics.
      magnetic resonance imaging is a pretty important part of modern medicines.

      * For its inertness and high thermal conductivity, neutron transparency, and because it does not form radioactive isotopes under reactor conditions, helium is used as a coolant in some nuclear reactors, such as pebble-bed reactors.
      nuclear reactors are probablly going to be the main power source of the next half century or so once we realise that burning fossil fuels at the current rate is not reasonable, that renewables are an extra at best and that fusion is still a long way off.

      * Helium is used as a shielding gas in arc welding processes on materials that are contaminated easily by air. It is especially useful in overhead welding, because it is lighter than air and thus floats, whereas other shielding gases sink.
      welding is pretty important in a lot of industries

      * Because it is inert, helium is used as a protective gas in growing silicon and germanium crystals, in titanium and zirconium production, in gas chromatography, and as an atmosphere for protecting historical documents. This property also makes it useful in supersonic wind tunnels.
      silicon based computers have become a pretty vital part of the world economy

      in rocketry, helium is used as an ullage medium to displace fuel and oxidizers in storage tanks and to condense hydrogen and oxygen to make rocket fuel. It is also used to purge fuel and oxidizer from ground support equipment prior to launch and to pre-cool liquid hydrogen in space vehicles. For example, the Saturn V booster used in the Apollo program needed about 13 million cubic feet (370,000 m) of helium to launch
      while manned space exploration doesn't really achive all that much sattalites have certainly become pretty important in the modern world.

      Because of its extremely low index of refraction, the use of helium reduces the distorting effects of temperature variations in the space between lenses in some telescopes.
      probablly not that important

      The age of rocks and minerals that contain uranium and thorium, radioactive elements that emit helium nuclei called alpha particles, can be discovered by measuring the level of helium with a process known as helium dating.
      not really a use of helium in the sense we are talking about here.

      The high thermal conductivity and sound velocity of helium is also desirable in thermoacoustic

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    4. Re:Increase public awareness by Sockatume · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's the superconductivity which is really important. Nuclear imaging and experimental high-energy physics are pretty much dependent on magnets at liquid helium temperatures. So, no MRIs in hospitals, and the likes of CERN (and other Big Physics Things) would become multi-million-dollar holes in the ground. Both of those would be pretty disasterous steps backwards for mankind, all for the want of two protons, two neutrons, and two electrons.

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    5. Re:Increase public awareness by russotto · · Score: 2, Informative

      just google for "Aluminum Shortage" and take a look at the results
      Aluminum shortage? Brought to you by the same people who if shown the Sahara desert would claim there's a silicon shortage, right? Actually, googling for "Aluminum Shortage" reveals that the shortage was of production capacity, not ore. It's over.
    6. Re:Increase public awareness by sdpuppy · · Score: 2, Informative
      Nitrogen suffices

      Wrong.

      There are no practical high field magnets that run at 70K (Liquid Nitrogen temperature).

      At the moment it's pricier so it's not used as much.

      Wrong again. Liquid Nitrogen is around $100 for 200 liters.

      Liquid Helium is around $700 for 100 liters.

      Some facilities use exclusively nitrogen to cool their super magnets.

      You're half right here (or half wrong)

      All facilities with high field magnets use liquid Nitrogen as well as liquid Helium.

      The liquid Nitrogen is used as a heat shield to slow boil off of the liquid Helium.

      You know what they say about three strikes...

  12. Funny thing by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Informative

    I commented about this the other day, and I was surprised at the comments that indicated that so many ppl did not realize that we are headed for issues on this. I only hope that we start recapturing it again. Since Natural gas prices have gone up, we have quit separating it. Combine that with Clinton having opened up the store, and we are losing our massive stockpile. Instead countries like Russia and China do it. IOW, the west is about to be dependent on countries on other countries.

    BTW, folks, helium is looked at for a number of important uses esp nuclear power, medical, and welding.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  13. Re:What? by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don't think our society remembers being in a time of shortage - and I think that's a problem. It's easy to consume and throw away things if you don't think there will be a problem in getting more, and that attitude is pretty wasteful.

  14. Cost effective? by phorm · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Extracting it from the atmosphere is not cost-effective

    Not now, but as the availability goes down and focus turns to finding ways to extract helium more efficiently, along with a sharp price rise, then the incipient profit involved in extraction will likely create a market for atmospheric or some other method of extraction... or perhaps lead to the future ability to synthesise helium.

    My question: can any science-types here list some important uses of helium? I'm sure that there are some, but I can't think of any off the top of my head.

    1. Re:Cost effective? by jjon · · Score: 2, Informative

      or perhaps lead to the future ability to synthesise helium

      Pretty much impossible (unless we get nuclear fusion working). Helium's not just some compound we can synthesize like oil or natural gas, it's an element like gold. And last I checked the alchemists didn't have much success at creating gold.

    2. Re:Cost effective? by Esel+Theo · · Score: 2, Informative
      The problem is that helium is lighter than air. You you'll hardly find any of it here near the ground that you could extract. I was once even told that helium released into the air will move up and up and up ... and eventually leave our atmosphere. Gone. Forever.

      can any science-types here list some important uses of helium? Cooling is a very important use. No other gas can bring you to temperatures near 0K. Most of the gas used for cooling could be recycled after use. I know that research labs in Europe do that. Here in the U.S., unfortunately, I only know of labs that don't.
    3. Re:Cost effective? by lachlan76 · · Score: 4, Informative
      • Cryogenics---including the superconducters used by MRI machines---often uses liquid Helium, though MRI machines might be using high-temperature superconductors now; I'm not sure.
      • Welding---the various *IG welders use helium in mixtures of gases to protect the high-temperature metal from the air.
      • Lasers---Helium-Neon lasers are sometimes used.
      Wikipedia's Helium page. has more details.
    4. Re:Cost effective? by Rich0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Even if MRIs used high-temp superconductors they'd probably still need liquid helium. A few issues:

      First, most if not all high-temp superconductors are ceramics, which are hard to make into coils of wire. So that's why they don't get used much in magnets.

      Second, superconductivity is inhibited by magnetic fields - the lower the temperature the more field you can sustain. So even if you could barely get by with LN2 you still end up using He in magnets...

  15. Hydrogen balloons would be more fun by JumperCable · · Score: 3, Funny

    Subject says it all.

  16. wha?! by wwmedia · · Score: 2, Interesting

    is Helium like the second most common element in the universe?

    1. Re:wha?! by leomekenkamp · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yes, there is a fairly large amount of it only a few lightminutes away from earth; and the best thing is: tons of helium are being created every second! Unfortunately you have to overcome some issues, like gravitational pull and high temperatures.

      --
      Wenn ist das Nunstueck git und Slotermeyer? Ja! Beiherhund das Oder die Flipperwaldt gersput.
    2. Re:wha?! by phagstrom · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yes, but that does not make it the second most common element on earth. I don't think there are that many astronauts volunteering a trip to the sun to get some helium - even if it is for the sake of clowns everywhere ;-)

  17. Helium is a rebel, a loner by Reader+X · · Score: 4, Funny

    FTA: helium is a rebel, a loner, and it does not combine with other atoms while hydrogen does

    Helium: the James Dean of elements. All by itself in the upper right hand corner of the periodic table.

    Which I guess makes hydrogen the Paris Hilton of elements? Alone at the top??

    Why oh why couldn't I have been a science journalist...

    1. Re:Helium is a rebel, a loner by Manchot · · Score: 5, Funny

      Which I guess makes hydrogen the Paris Hilton of elements? Alone at the top??

      It also bonds with pretty much anything it meets.

  18. scavenging by phorm · · Score: 4, Informative

    Companies are already looking at scavenging raw materials out of recycled industrial (or even consumer) waste. As we are able to extract less through mining, we may look more at extracting (what may be in the future) semi-precious metals through various forms of recycling. Already a lot of companies are springing up around this concept, and some are even making decent bucks. As availability through mining starts to fall short, I'd expect to see an increase in price followed by availability picking up again to some extent through re-use.

    This may be a pretty damn cool use for bio-science too, as I seem to remember articles about modified plants that could be placed about areas such as garbage dumps etc and absorb various metallic minerals from the ground. Maybe one day we'll see people growing trees of copper and aluminum over previous landfills, leeching bits of once-discarded waste metals from the ground.

    I wouldn't say that the lack of raw materials shouldn't be a concern, but in the perhaps it will actually force society to view such things as less "disposable" and further the science and industry of re-use in the future.

  19. Supply and demand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    TFA says few natural gas producers recover the helium from their wells. If the price of helium rises due to scarcity, those producers will recover the helium. Problem solved.

  20. If the price increases enough ... by Chrisq · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If the price increases enough every natural gas producer will separate helium. This will postpone the problem until we run out of natural gas, possibly 30 to 50 years away. I am sure that when the western world runs out of these resources our previous fair dealings with the Arab world and Eastern Europe will help us negotiate some fair deals.

    1. Re:If the price increases enough ... by Jaysyn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've read numerous times that there is an estimated 300 years worth (@ current usage rate) of methane hydrates just around the Bermuda Triangle.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
    2. Re:If the price increases enough ... by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

      but that has nothing to do with the helium. The helium that we are refering to in rock. There is none that is trap in the ocean, though it could be under the ocean floor, along with other NG pockets. The methane that is at the bottom of the ocean is solid due to the pressure. Helium does not become liquid, let alone solid at those wimpy pressures. Methane does.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  21. Re:What? by dintech · · Score: 5, Funny

    I was going to mod you up but then I remembered I time when I didn't have mod points and thought better of it.

  22. Moon by Nephrite · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There is a helluva lot of helium on the Moon. Moon ground is soaked in helium if I may say so. May be this will give another boost to space program? And remember the Chinese are going to build a moon base. Prepare to buy helium from China.

  23. Don't forget the physics by tastiles · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Two important points about helium

    1. It's the smallest atom/molecule, since hydrogen is diatomic and H2 is a bit bigger than He. This makes it more difficult to store as it can get through any holes in a container

    2. It escapes from the atmosphere. So, once it's out of the container it goes into outer space and is gone forever.

  24. Not cost-effective by KlaymenDK · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Extracting [Helium] from the atmosphere is not cost-effective. The US [...] stopped stockpiling it in 1995 as a cost-saving measure.

    Not cost-effective, eh? Well, in nine years, it will be! When your options are to use hydrogen, or tro to convince your friendly neighbourhood refinery to start capturing helium, then it will darn well be cost-effective to buy my extracted-from-the-sky-and-stockpiled-in-my-bunker helium instead...

  25. Re:Look on the bright side by SirBruce · · Score: 4, Funny

    The balloons that drop at political events aren't filled with helium, smart guy. Otherwise they wouldn't DROP.

  26. I can see it now. by MrCopilot · · Score: 2, Funny
    2010 The Rationing Begins.

    Borthday Balloons will get smaller every year. Soon you won't be able to get them at your local grocery store.

    I personally blame the Mythbusters. What between the Raft, The several thousand balloons used to lift the kid, and the Lawn chair, they probably reduced our supply by 3 yrs alone.

    --
    OSGGFG - Open Source Gamers Guide to Free Games
  27. Helium Plant in Amarillo by ssorrrell · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I live in Amarillo, TX where the Helium plant used to be. Check to the Amarillo Globe News to find out what happened to it. They closed it for financial reasons, not lack of helium. It sold last year to a developer. Had been closed ~10 yrs or so and had not been updated for decades before then. When they built it, it was the edge of town. Town grew out to it. This is a stupid story. There is no lack of helium only a change in government policy.

  28. No, acetylene! by swb · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This girl I once fu^H^Hdated had this crazy, mad-scientist brother who used to put on a "show" on the 4th of July which involved trash bags filled with acetylene he got from some welding place. I think he used model rocket igniters.

    Anyway, he kind of won the Darwin award one dry very dry year when static electricity beat him to the punch. He only singed off the hair on his eyebrows and arms and didn't get serious burns or lose eyesight, but he quit the displays.

  29. Re:Good! That stuffs dangerous! by caluml · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'll let you into a secret. Everything is a deadly poison.

  30. What aluminum shortage? by swb · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Is aluminum really in that short of a supply, or is it a smelting shortage?

    There was a guy on Science Friday, Jerry Woodall of Purdue, who has a process of generating hydrogen from an aluminum alloy. I heard him on Science Friday on NRP and he never mentioned any kind of worldwide shortage of aluminum, although he was largely pushing the fact that the aluminum alloy used as a catalyst in his process was completely recyclable and reusable for the same process.

    I have heard there are supply problems related to aluminum smelting limitations, primarily due to the energy required -- in fact, I seem to recall that Iceland of all places is a leading refiner of aluminum due to the geothermal energy resources; its cheaper to ship the ore to Iceland and refine it and ship it out due to the immense "free" geothermal energy.

  31. I believe there is shitload of helium on the moon.

    Helium-3, which is way cooler than our boring ass Earth helium.

    Why dont we just take the H-3 from the moon and de cubeify it? subtract the '3'...and were set.

    --
    -I only code in BASIC.-
  32. Some information about helium by Tom+Womack · · Score: 4, Informative

    The USGS compiles a large quantity of useful information about mineral production and consumption, including helium:

    http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/helium/

    You can buy helium from the US government at $2.037 per cubic metre, whilst the commercial price is nearer $3 per cubic metre; adjusting that would seem to make some kind of sense, since the US has 600 million cubic metres of the stuff in Amarillo.

    There are plants at Skikda in Algeria and somewhere in Qatar which aim to extract 25 million cubic metres from natural gas a year, but there have been some issues in getting them to work; both Algeria and Qatar's natural gas reserves contain about as much helium as the US total reserves do.

    It is impossible to substitute for helium for cryogenics; nothing else stays liquid at that low a temperature, and the ultra-refrigerators that get to liquid helium temperatures use helium as working fluid.

    I did my PhD at Nottingham University, which uses a fair amount of liquid helium; the arrangement there is that it's delivered to the MRI building at the top of the hill, and the boil-off passes through a liquifier and is used by the theoretical physicists at the bottom of the hill. I don't know what the theoretical physicists do with their boil-off; there are obvious practical problems with running piping from lots of separate labs to a central liquifier, and liquifiers are bulky and vibrating enough that you don't want to have them in the same lab as your delicate semiconductor-physics experiment.

  33. Re:Look on the bright side by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 5, Funny

    No, they are filled with helium, but after the speeches they've just given up all hope and are too depressed to float anymore.

    --
    Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
  34. You had to tell them that didn't you? by denzacar · · Score: 3, Funny

    You go out of your way to present people with a plan how to get rid off politicians and someone comes along with an XXL ego and an S brain and starts shouting "It won't work! It won't work! They only go up!"

    Of course they don't drop down. Ceiling drops down.

    Sheeesh! Do I have to tell you how to do EVERYTHING?

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  35. Nuclear fusion is an absurdly poor source of He by Tom+Womack · · Score: 5, Informative

    Yes, nuclear fusion produces helium.

    The fusion of 1kg of deuterium produces near enough 1kg of helium, and, umm, 2.7MeV per fusion * 6*10^23 atoms per mole * 500 moles of D atoms per kilogram / 2 deuteriums per fusion * 1.6e-19 joules per eV = 64.8 terajoules of energy.

    So, a one-gigawatt fusion power plant would produce a kilo of helium every eighteen days; if the current electricity use of France were provided entirely by fusion plants, you'd get thirty tons a year. The large hadron collider uses 120 tons of helium, but efficiently; present planetary helium use is about seventy-five tons a day.

    For comparison, the US produces from natural gas about 76 million cubic metres of helium a year; a cubic metre of helium weighs 1000/22.4*4 grams, so 76 million cubic metres weigh about fifteen thousand tons.

  36. Drilling is mining by jbeaupre · · Score: 2, Informative

    If you dig in the ground to get something out, it's mining. Drilling into underground reservoirs is a form of mining. http://www.mininglife.com/Miner/drilling/

    --
    The world is made by those who show up for the job.
  37. Liquidating the reserve by Gogogoch · · Score: 2, Funny

    I love the line from the end of the Wikipedia article:

    The resulting "Helium Privatization Act of 1996" (Public Law 104-273) directed the United States Department of the Interior to start liquidating the reserve by 2005.

    OK, OK, so they are going to start liquidating the reserve, but the big question is - are they going to sell off the helium to make some cash? :-)

  38. Helium difficult to store by wildcatherder · · Score: 2

    Because helium is the second smallest atom, it permeates most storage containers. Storage is marginally possible in very large volumes such as the national store because of low surface to volume ratios. During the Sealab experiments, a major cost was replacing CRTS. The helium from the helium-oxygen atmosphere seeped into the cathode ray tubes rendering them useless. For the same reason, helium-neon laser tubes can be rejuvenated by immersion in a helium atmosphere. The only known method of creating helium in quantity is nuclear fusion. This helium shortage has been foretold for some time. I personally know of warnings from the 60s. It is one of the primary reasons for lack of commercial interest in modern lighter-than-air flight technologies.

  39. Re:Already use hydrogen for balloons by JWW · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In the name of science, you should see what happens when you ignite those balloons.

    In the name of science? Nah, take em outside and do it just for fun!! :-)

  40. Re:Look on the bright side by Ranger · · Score: 5, Funny

    Ever fill a balloon with carbon dioxide then drop it? It gives visual meaning to the phrase 'went over like a lead balloon.'

    Now that would be a cool sight. Dropping C02 filled balloons at a political rally. They wouldn't float down. They'd plummet straight to the ground and wouldn't even bounce. It wouldn't look natural.

    --
    "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  41. Re:Thermite paint by SteelFist · · Score: 3, Informative

    Mythbusters did a segment on this and found that the thermite coating causing the disaster was nothing more than a myth. Well, at least the part of it being caused solely by the thermite was... From Wikipedia: "Using the same compounds used in the Hindenburg's paint, the MythBusters discovered that they could combine to form highly incendiary thermite. However, the actual proportions of components in the paint burned too slowly to match the film footage of the Hindenburg disaster. A scale model of the Hindenburg using the same paint and placed in a hydrogen-rich environment took about a minute to burn and did look very similar to the original events. In the end, they concluded that the Hindenburg's demise could be attributed to both the hydrogen and the paint, and they agreed that the paint by itself was not responsible for the rapid burning of the airship. They also pointed out that if actual thermite covered the Hindenburg, it would make the airship too heavy to fly." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MythBusters_(season_5)#Episode_70_.E2.80.94_.22Hindenburg_Mystery.2C_Crocodile_Zig_Zags.22

  42. Re:Capitalism can save it by InvalidError · · Score: 2, Informative

    If continuous fusion is achieved, the process will include some mean of extracting mass from the cavity to maintain a constant hydrogen and helium mass. I see no reason why diverting the "exhaust" to a liquefaction plant to recover helium should be a problem.

    The problem with this approach is that a nuclear fusion power plant would only consume a few grams of hydrogen per day and therefore produce only a few grams of helium daily whereas worldwide helium consumption is several orders of magnitude higher. Even if all power was produced from hydrogen fusion, power plants would only supply a tiny fraction of overall helium demand. A fusion plant's own He production might not even cover the plant's leakage.

    Since fusion reactors cycle thousands of liters of He to keep their plasma levitation/containment coils nice and frosty, it would be a shame to end up in a scenario where scavenging enough He to start the reactor became problematic.

  43. Call Batman. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 3, Funny

    Doesn't this sound sort of like part of an old Adam West script?

    And on a side-note which is probably more relevant. . .

    Since the Hindenburg went up in flames because it had been painted with thermite and not because of the gas it had been filled with, perhaps our airships should be using hydrogen which has more lifting power than helium anyway.

    I've always felt slightly gyped by not getting to live in that reality where we had regular airship traffic and where classy chicks all smoked from foot-long cigarette holders. I want to wear a waxed mustache and say things like, "Now see here, what?" and not sound like an idiot like I currently do when I speak that way.
    -FL

  44. Let me amend the summary a bit by tacokill · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Extracting it from the atmosphere is not cost-effective at current pricing levels

    There, fixed it. Helium is available. We can extract it out of the air for anyone who needs it. However, the price they want to pay may not make it worthwhile to the supplier so we have fewer and fewer suppliers who can provide Helium and still stay in business.

    Saying "something is running out" never seems to take price into consideration. Same issue with oil. There is PLENTY of oil on the earth. The question is: how valuable is it to you (the consumer) to extract and use it? I guaran-damn-tee you that if Helium sold for $5000/cu ft -- we'd have PLENTY of helium. And most likely, I'd be in the helium sales business tomorrow. That's how capitalism works. If demand is out of whack with supply, then the price goes up and more suppliers come online to provide that product. If supply is out of whack with demand, then prices go down and fewer and fewer suppliers stay in that business.

    I see it something like:
    1. Go to Soviet Russia
    2. Find some old Koreans
    3. ????
    4. Profit!!!!!


    See how easy it works?

  45. Re:Capitalism can save it by InvalidError · · Score: 2, Informative

    The problem is not with recovering the helium... it is that the amount of fused hydrogen to produce megawatts is so small that fusion reactors with by-product helium recovery equipment (simply liquefy the "exhaust", dumping the "unburnt" hydrogen back in the fuel tank and pumping the He into the cooling system's tank) might not even be helium self-sufficient due to leakage in the cooling/pumping system without building a low pressure double-wall to catch and recycle leaked helium.

    A fusion power plant would only produce enough helium to fill a few balloons each day so man-made helium will be a really expensive commodity once natural stocks are exhausted.

    Save helium and save money by switching to hydrogen balloons. Just remember to open windows when popping them indoors to avoid detonable accumulation and keep them away from hairy surfaces when lighting them up for safe fun/show or closed-quarters disposal.

  46. Nice logic. by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 2, Funny

    we will NEVER run out of oil. NEVER. It will just get more expensive until something else replaces it

    Shall I say anything?

    Nah.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
  47. Re:Look on the bright side by Warbothong · · Score: 5, Funny

    Hmmm.... There's a joke here about hot air, but I can't quite get it off the ground.....

  48. Re:And "spark plug" by Wavicle · · Score: 2, Informative

    I strongly suggest you read this criticism of the incendiary paint theory.

    The short answer is: we can actually calculate how much static energy each panel could hold, and how long and how powerful the spark between panels would be. There simply wasn't enough energy to ignite the panels. I think the greatest testimony against the "electric spark started it" is that Addison Bain, who popularized the "thermite paint" theory, had to hold a piece of the Hindenburg fabric in an electric plasma-arc generator (Jacob's ladder) to get it to burn, and even then not very well.

    Read Appendix B for a full discussion on how much electric energy each panel could hold and discharge.

    --
    Education is a better safeguard of liberty than a standing army.
    Edward Everett (1794 - 1865)
  49. rarity factto by deodiaus2 · · Score: 2

    Economomics is driven by rarity. Helium is the rarest of all the naturally occuring elements and was discovered in the sun's spectra before it was discovered here on earth. Once it is released, it it practically impossible to recover. Sooner or later, someone is going to succeed finding a commericial use for this stuff. I once went to a talk at NASA concerning one motivation for going to the Moon in the 1960's. It was hoped that there would have been enough He 3 (2 protons, 1 neutron) in the moon's atmosphere to make a fusion reaction an economic payoff. If these types of reactions yield enough energy, then it will be well worth it to travel to the moon to harvest He 3. I don't know if fusion reactions for He 4 to yield enough energy to be economically viable.