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National Debt Clock Overflowed, Extended By a Digit

hackingbear writes "The National Debt Counter, erected in 1989 when the US debt was 'merely' a tiny $2.7 trillion, has been moving so much that it recently ran out of digits to display the ballooning figure: $10,150,603,734,720, or roughly $10.2 trillion, as of Saturday afternoon. To accommodate the extra '1,' the clock was hacked: the '1' from "$10.2" has been moved left to the LCD square once occupied solely by the digital dollar sign. A non-digital, improvised dollar sign has been pasted next to the '1.' It will be replaced in 2009 with a new clock able to track debt up to a quadrillion dollars, which is a '1' followed by 15 zeros. That should be good enough for a few more months at least, I believe." Adds reader MarkusQ, "I know Dick Cheney has assured us that 'Deficits don't matter' but I can't help wondering if we should be fixing the problem rather than the sign."

144 of 696 comments (clear)

  1. Cheney is right.... by flewp · · Score: 4, Funny

    Deficits don't matter. All that matters is that your dogs are bigger and meaner than the debt collectors'.

    --
    WWJD.... for a Klondike bar?
    1. Re:Cheney is right.... by bsDaemon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yeah, but when the debters include China, where does that rule lead you?

    2. Re:Cheney is right.... by lysergic.acid · · Score: 5, Insightful

      that might be true if our society weren't so dependent on global trade. but if our trade partners suddenly cut all economic relations with us our domestic economy would collapse. we depend on other nations for manufacturing, investments, and imports/exports.

      we might be able to raid other countries for their oil, but we can't use military coercion to force other countries to import our goods or manufacture our raw materials. and since our trade relations with other nations are generally good for us, bad for them, if we're no longer an economic superpower, i imagine most of the developing nations we exploit would cut their ties with us and just nationalize the resources we've hijacked from them like Venezuela has done.

      i mean, if we don't have money to lend other nations, the IMF & World Bank would cease to be relevant. and without the power and influence of the IMF/World Bank, we wouldn't be able to dictate the domestic policies of other nations anymore. so 3rd world nations who've allowed us to privatize their industries and open up their markets to us would cease to allow themselves to be exploited.

      and quite frankly, we need them more than they need us. many American-based corporate conglomerates would tank if our globalization policies were reversed. WalMart and other retailers wouldn't have cheap sweatshop made goods to sell. Monsanto would lose most of their profits made from selling developing nations GMO seeds every planting season. and 38% of Microsoft's annual revenue comes from sales outside of the U.S. heck, Hollywood makes more money from foreign ticket sales than from the domestic box office ($12 billion a year versus $9 billion).

      if our money was certainly no good internationally, or if countries like China decided to collect on our debts, we would be royally screwed.

    3. Re:Cheney is right.... by lysergic.acid · · Score: 2, Informative

      oops, that last sentence should read "if our money was suddenly no good internationally..."

    4. Re:Cheney is right.... by PachmanP · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, but when the debters include China, where does that rule lead you?

      Wondering if a Rottweiler can beat 100 angry weaner dogs?

      --
      You're thinking small. Why miniaturize the laser, when we could instead enlarge the sharks? -John Searle
    5. Re:Cheney is right.... by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If China got pissed and cut off all exports to us... their economy would implode. And the people would hold the communist party accountable--revolution would be in the streets and China would become be under new management by the end of the month.

      The US is integral to the world market. This is a classic shoot your face to spite your nose situation.

    6. Re:Cheney is right.... by sortius_nod · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually, no it wouldn't. China's economy is a lot stronger than you think. Unlike the US, they have a massive manufacturing base that can ship to anywhere in the world. The US is just a "customer" - a bad one at that.

      They have the rest of the world (Europe, Asia, Africa, Russia, the list goes on). To me it would be business as usual, with one less "customer".

    7. Re:Cheney is right.... by Rutulian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      To me it would be business as usual, with one less "customer".

      Agree with your general point, but it's not quite that trivial...the US is a big customer.

    8. Re:Cheney is right.... by renegadesx · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Considering the US are paying with IOU's at the moment, I dont think China would mind collecting. If China and the EU both decided to cut off the US at the moment and collect on their debts, if they get their money back their economies may bounce back and the US would be screwed.

      I think alot of people on here (I am assuming americans) overestimate how big of an exporter they really are in actual goods. You guys seem to forget the manufacturing parts of american business have been outsourced overseas for years now with Wall St being (quote Ralph Nayder) nothing more than a gambling casino.

      --
      Make SELinux enforcing again!
    9. Re:Cheney is right.... by Telvin_3d · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Yes and no. China does have the world's largest standing army and citizens with a tradition of taking their orders from the government. If it comes down to a question of which county can suppress the riots for longer, my money is on China. They do a LOT of business with the EU and other nations, even if their single biggest trade partner is the US.

      My guess is that if trade between the US and China was cut off, China could hold back the riots for as long as it took to retool their production and markets. If Walmart ran out of stock, there would be rioting in the US within the week.

    10. Re:Cheney is right.... by Skim123 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Seeing as we bought $25 BILLION more from China than China bought from the US just in August 2008, I'd say that we are a pretty integral customer of Chinese manufacturing.

      Check out the stats: http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html. We've already bought more than $167 billion of Chinese goods than we have sold the Chinese. That is not an insignificant number, and that figure only takes into account the first 3/4ths of the year.

      --

      I could not justify my existence if I were a turkey farmer. Would I terminate myself? Undoubtably, yes.

    11. Re:Cheney is right.... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When one of your customers purchases more than 1/5 of everything you sell, it's not "just one customer" anymore.

      China could certainly do without the US, but they would have a few hard years recovering. I don't see them taking that risk.

      But it doesn't really matter in the context of this discussion, because China won't ask for their money back for the same reason. It's like a nuke - the most important fact is that you have one, so actually using one is silly (because then you no longer have one, and you've pissed someone off very badly). If anything, I think that Chinese will happily invest even more into the US economy while it's in bad shape - to help it recover sooner (too big a market to lose, once again), but also to establish a bigger foothold for themselves in the US.

      And then, give it 40-50 more years, and you'll see how the Sino-American Alliance is to be born.

    12. Re:Cheney is right.... by nedlohs · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You're in for a shock. The end result of the current financial problems is China waking up to the fact that it doesn't need to lend the Americans money so they buy its crap - its own consumers can instead of saving money to be loaned to Americans, buy crap themselves.

      Yes, the Chinese economy is going to collapse along with the US economy.

      However, they have the production base (that America shipped over there...) and a large population, and India is a big importer of Chinese goods already.

      The US has consumer debt with no capital investment to show for it, crumbling infrastructure, and a production base smaller than it once was.

      Also, when it comes to poor people rioting and killing the rich people and destroying yet more infrastructure - China has more experience with dealing with that (in a way one would hope America wouldn't deal with it).

      So China will recover faster, and will be the new engine of the world economy - both production and consumption...

      The US is a drain on the world economy (that's what a trade deficit is - historically you ran a trade deficit in order to invest in capital works, so you could pay the money back later, the US has instead invested in flat screen TVs and vacations), the sooner it is cut off the better for the rest of the world.

      Yes, short term is will tank the whole world economy - but it has to be done at some point. And right now there's enough motivation to pull the trigger - it's pretty obvious that money loaned to the US isn't getting paid back with dollars worth anything close to what the ones loaned were worth.

    13. Re:Cheney is right.... by Kjella · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If China got pissed and cut off all exports to us... their economy would implode. And the people would hold the communist party accountable--revolution would be in the streets and China would become be under new management by the end of the month.

      They wouldn't get their IOUs, the US wouldn't get their goods. I wonder who'd implode first because of that, I'd go with the country with the Soviet Russia style queues at the store. They could easily still import what they need and not run into any serious problems with the people, while repurposing them to other markets. As long as China keeps supporting most of their own internal consumption from inside China, it's not like the trade balance has that much immidiate impact.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    14. Re:Cheney is right.... by nedlohs · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Which is why the Chinese economy is stronger.

      What would the difference be if instead of shipping those goods to the US, China instead dumped them in the ocean?

      The US wouldn't have those goods. And china wouldn't have yet more IOUs from the United States. We pay them with dollars, they exchange them for treasuries (or equities when we let them) in order keep the yuan artificially low.

      I think the Chinese could do without essentially worthless IOUs (like the US can afford to pay its debts) a lot more than the US can do without imports (of clothes, food, etc, etc).

      And of course China doesn't have to dump them in the ocean, they can sell them to their own people - who will be much richer than Americans once their currency stops being artificially surpressed.

      Of course there's plenty of pain in the middle - but since the US is about to have a very severe recession these events might be forced on China anyway.

      Surely you can see that the consumer half of the producer/consumer relation is the less important half. Anyone can buy and watch a TV, it takes actual industry to be able to make one. Chinese people can start consuming much more easily than American people can start producing - if that trade stops.

    15. Re:Cheney is right.... by nedlohs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What do you think happens if tomorrow China sells all its US dollar reserves to buy yuan or euros or whatever? And sells it's US treasury holdings as well?

      Yes, China loses a stack of money - since the value of those two things plummets. But they must know by now that those things aren't worth so much anyway - and being first to cash out is a big win.

      The US collapses the next day. Since oil is now $10,000 a barrel (or 80 euro), food is equally too expensive to afford.

      Of course the US might just decide to go to war over such a thing, but the military is stretched pretty thin already, and they'll have to be paid in something other than US dollars...

    16. Re:Cheney is right.... by ultramk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's an old saying, oft quoted during the S&L scandal (Hello Senator McCaine!) that goes something like this: When you owe the bank ten thousand dollars, you have a problem. When you owe the bank a hundred million dollars, the bank has a problem.

      In this case, China is the bank.

      --
      You catch enchiladas by picking them up behind the head and holding them underwater until they don't kick anymore -VeGas
    17. Re:Cheney is right.... by TapeCutter · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "...they can sell them to their own people..."

      Indeed, China's earnings from exporting goods and services stands at ~25% of GDP, the US accounts for less than half of that. This is good for the economy here in Australia, not so good for the economy in the US. As for China, if the US stopped importing from them tomorrow their growth rate of ~10% would make up for the loss in ~1yr.

      It's also interesting to note that China lifted it's ban on buying and selling gold 2-3yrs ago (when oil & gold abruptly started climbing). For a while the government encoraged China's middle class to put some of their savings into the traditional 'rainy day' plan of hoarding gold in the form of trinkets. The middle class really didn't need much encouraging, China's new retail gold market drove the gold price up for the first 6-12 months of it's operation.

      Disclaimer: Even though it was concieved by Newton I am not calling for a return to the gold standard.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    18. Re:Cheney is right.... by Gandalf_Greyhame · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's an old saying, oft quoted during the S&L scandal (Hello Senator McCaine!) that goes something like this: When you owe the bank ten thousand dollars, you have a problem. When you owe the bank a hundred million dollars, the bank has a problem.

      In this case, China is the bank.

      Oh yeah, so just because you owe the bank a hundred million dollars, you think the bank will just keep on lending you more?!? Eventually the bank will decide to just cut its losses. I mean lets face it, is there any chance of the debt EVER being paid off?

      No.

      So the $100,000,000 is soon to increase to $200,000,000. Personally if I were the bank I'd just cut my losses... better to lose $100M than $200M

      --
      I am not stubborn. I am right!
    19. Re:Cheney is right.... by BZ · · Score: 3, Informative

      > Unlike the US, they have a massive manufacturing base

      Actually, the two have approximately equally sized manufacturing bases in terms of production. The US has much higher productivity, so many fewer manufacturing _workers_, but the total production is pretty similar. Further, China's total exports are about the same as those of the US. It's just that the US imports so much more than China does that causes our current trade imbalance.

      There's also the fact that China's manufacturing base has been growing recently while ours has been shrinking, so if current trends continue then eventually what you say will be true.

      > They have the rest of the world (Europe, Asia, Africa, Russia, the list goes on).

      The real problem is that they employ people by producing all sorts of stuff that their own people don't (can't, largely) buy. So they HAVE to export to keep the economy going. They've been managing it so far by keeping a currency peg against the dollar so that their production is cheap in the US. This works because the US doesn't impose tariffs much on manufactured goods, even in the face of blatant currency manipulation.

      The situation with Europe, Asia, Africa, Russia is quite different. No qualms about tariffs there, especially if it will protect domestic industries. So attempts by China to shift their exports elsewhere might be met with strong protectionist measures, making the US rather hard to replace.

      Of course all this is speculation. And really, China should be working on creating domestic demand for its products. The problem is that doing too much of that threatens the political stability of the current setup, so it's been a pretty slow process.

    20. Re:Cheney is right.... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I mean lets face it, is there any chance of the debt EVER being paid off?

      No.

      Which reminds me of a tale from the Depression years:

      At the funeral of a banker, one of the mourners goes up to the Banker's son, and tells him, "Your father was a good man. Why, one time I was a mite short, and he offered to lend me $20. When I told him I wasn't sure I'd be able to pay him back, he told me not to worry about it. He said that if I gave him $1 every week, I could pay him that $20 back just whenever it suited me. Let me tell you, he was as good as his word - I paid him $1 every week, and he never did ask for his $20 back, and that's been nearly 30 years now."

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    21. Re:Cheney is right.... by nedlohs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Chinese market would implode and the country's newly revived economy would go into the shitter. I think you underestimate how important America is to China.

      So how is shipping goods to the US different from the dumping them in the ocean? All sending them over to the US does is cause dollars to be sold by American importers to pay the Chinese exporters, then the Chinese government has to sell some of it's yuan in order to buy US dollars in order to keep the exchange rate "semi-pegged", and then buy some treasuries with those dollars.

      So what is the difference with the Chinese government directly giving those yuan to the chinese exporters (buying the crap) and then dumping it in the ocean?

      The point is China doesn't gain anything from this trade, except for US dollars - which it is becoming pretty obvious are worthless IOUs from a country on a downward spiral.

      And capital to build the factory, and engineering to design the plants and items.
      If it became cheaper in the future to build TVs in America, then we could build factories here in a relatively short period of time.

      It's mainly American and Japanese engineering and capital.

      America doesn't have any capital - the savings rate is negative. In order to build a factory in the US money needs to be borrowed from abroad. China on the other hand has huge amounts of savings to invest - as does Japan.

      So yes factories can be built in America - they likely won't be built by "us" though, since foreigners will have to provide the capital.

    22. Re:Cheney is right.... by jvkjvk · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Considering the US are paying with IOU's at the moment, I dont think China would mind collecting. If China and the EU both decided to cut off the US at the moment and collect on their debts, if they get their money back their economies may bounce back and the US would be screwed.

      Except that they can't. Certainly China and the EU can try to collect on their debts. What happens if the US actually pays them? The first question you should ask is how. We could take those IOU's and redeem them for cash. Were does that money come from? Well, since we don't have an actual reserve, we would just print it. Instant inflation, devaluing the dollar and devaluing their own portfolios.

      The issue is that financials are truly global now. The mortgage crisis underlines that. The Conventional Wisdom was that this would be contained in the US. Oops. If you were surprised that the real-estate correction hit global markets hard you might be surprised at how much worse a correction in the value of the dollar would be, especially through such a confrontational method. Unless you read any of the economists that predict such an effect.

      I think alot of people on here (I am assuming americans) overestimate how big of an exporter they really are in actual goods. You guys seem to forget the manufacturing parts of american business have been outsourced overseas for years now with Wall St being (quote Ralph Nayder) nothing more than a gambling casino.

      It really doesn't matter. In fact this bolsters the opposite viewpoint rather than defeating it. Since the US is not as big an exporter -- what are those countries going to do with all that US money? In your scenario, China doesn't want US$ anymore, the EU doesn't want US$ either. So, who are they going to trade them to? The US? And do what - buy bonds? /sarcasm Or are they just going to burn them then? As soon as they try buying stuff in the US, prices will be driven up. If they don't buy from the US, what are they going to do with the money?

      It really is quite a bit of mess. The whole world has helped in leveraging the US dollar. The total amount of wealth on the books does not match wealth in reality. Any attempt to realize that "wealth" causes that "wealth" to lose significant value.

      It does look like this trend is unsustainable - that is we create more faery money at a greater rate than actual growth and insist that this is also "growth". This growing inequality is not just a figment of imagination and sooner or later must be addressed, but I'm not sure the "system shock" method is viable.

      While some level of unreality is fine for economic markets, periodically all structures get touched with cold iron. When that faery support evaporates if the structure can no longer hold itself up it will collapse in a heap (or more politically correct, "be restructured"). The impression that US$ represent some stable container for value creates a portion of that value and that portion of value disappears into thin air the minute actions are taken that refute this impression.

  2. Signed Binary FTW by MBCook · · Score: 5, Funny

    The largest bit became a one? It overflowed?

    So now it's negative?

    We're rich! So that's how we were going to pay for the bail-out, SS, medicare, medicaid...

    --
    Comment forecast: Bits of genius surrounded by a sea of mediocrity.
    1. Re:Signed Binary FTW by Skim123 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Freighteningly, $10,000,000,000,000 does not even come close to covering the expected costs of SS, Medicare, Medicaid, ...

      Sure, it may not cover the expected costs if we continue with the benefits promised today, it will work out just fine if we drastically cut benefits. Just wait until the baby boomers die out in large enough numbers so that their voting bloc is not longer so powerful. Then we will see substantive cuts to entitlement programs.

      --

      I could not justify my existence if I were a turkey farmer. Would I terminate myself? Undoubtably, yes.

    2. Re:Signed Binary FTW by TheLink · · Score: 4, Funny

      "Just wait until the baby boomers die out in large enough numbers "

      Bring back trans-fats!

      Will you like to have fries with that? Lots of fries? Supersize? Add fried chicken?

      And sir, smoking is encouraged in the chain smoking section ;).

      Thank you for being a Patriot! You have been nominated for the Black Lung and Fatty Heart awards.

      We don't need no purple hearts here...

      --
  3. Solutions by Rie+Beam · · Score: 3, Funny

    I think I understand now...eventually we're going to get to the point where no computer will be able to track how high the debt gets...and it will simply rollover and the US economy is back, baby!

  4. Analog it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Why don't they just make it an analog clock? The hands could simply spin around faster and faster as the situation worsens, which would be much more amusing. The numbers are fairly meaningless anyway.

    1. Re:Analog it by NFN_NLN · · Score: 5, Funny

      Why don't they just make it an analog clock? The hands could simply spin around faster and faster as the situation worsens, which would be much more amusing. The numbers are fairly meaningless anyway.

      George W. Bush is that you?

    2. Re:Analog it by 4D6963 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Great idea for a DIY fan!

      According to how much the debt increased lately if you wrote values from $0 to $10,000 around the frame of your fan, you'd need to make the fan run at about 1,300 - 1,500 rpm to represent the rate at which the debt is increasing.

      Be careful though, on some days it can hit an average of 6,900 rpm (like on the 30th of October). That would suck if the public debt made your fan fly apart!

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    3. Re:Analog it by William+Robinson · · Score: 5, Funny

      George W. Bush is that you?

      Must be. In the right part of his brain nothing is left and in the left part of his brain nothing is right!!!

  5. Clock can run in reverse. by Animats · · Score: 5, Informative

    This is the second debt clock. The first version could only count upward, and when the budget had a surplus back in the Clinton years, and the debt began to decrease, the debt clock was shut down. After a year or so, it was then replaced with the current version, which has the ability to count both upward and downward. The downward capability has not been used during the Bush years.

    1. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by falcon5768 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Thats really sad isnt it, that we at one point WHERE paying down the debt. And the sad thing is Bush cant even blame the war... he got rid of ALL of Clintons budget concessions not long after becoming president. If he had kept them, even with the war, we would have had the debt paid off by 2011., as of now without serious cuts in spending and raising taxes in some form (which could be as easy as repealing the Bush tax cuts) it could be 2070 by the time we get out of debt. And these are people who sold themselves as fiscal conservatives.

      --

      "Slashdot, where telling the truth is overrated but lying is insightful."

    2. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by zeda · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "When the budget had a surplus back in Clinton years,"

      What struck me most about those times were all the optmistic projections of surplus. There may or may not have been an actual surplus at the time, but even that is questionable when it turns out all these years that the whole basis of wealth and money was questionable.

      So maybe there was a surplus, but in what? Real dollars?

    3. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by Drakin020 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, the debt never went down under the Clinton administration.

      http://www.letxa.com/articles/16

      --
      The greatest revenge in life is massive success.
    4. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by larry+bagina · · Score: 3, Insightful

      it wasn't the war that ended the surplus, it was the .com bubble collapsing. And it was only a surplus if you include FICA contributions.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    5. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by falcon5768 · · Score: 4, Informative

      actually the assertions are not entirely accurate in that whole spiel. The debt DID go down, but it was the way it went down that was not readily visible. The persons agenda clouds the fact that our debt needs to be paid down in certain ways before it can be paid off completely. Corporate accounting is not the same as governmental accounting, I know this one for a fact working for a school district and the specific ways we have to work our books that would make a corporate accountant freak out.

      --

      "Slashdot, where telling the truth is overrated but lying is insightful."

    6. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      That should be "it's". :)

    7. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by dachshund · · Score: 2, Informative

      it was only a surplus if you include FICA contributions.

      I seem to recall Al Gore pointing that out in his campaign at some point. Something about putting Social Security contributions into a "lockbox" and balancing the budget without borrowing from those funds. Couldn't really hear it though, cause conservatives were so busy laughing.

      Needless to say Bush didn't mention the thing about FICA contributions when he argued that we should "give back" the surplus in the form of tax cuts.

    8. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by seeker_1us · · Score: 5, Insightful

      it wasn't the war that ended the surplus, it was the .com bubble collapsing. And it was only a surplus if you include FICA contributions.

      Bullshit.

      The surplus was ended by Bush and cronies deciding to spend it all on a huge, unnecessary tax refund, most of which went to the extremely rich.

    9. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by dachshund · · Score: 5, Informative

      it was only a surplus if you include FICA contributions.

      I already posted a reply to this, but it occurs to me that a lot of people may not be clear on what it means.

      You see, most working Americans see two kinds of Federal tax on their paystub. The first is plain-old Income Tax, which is probably in the low 20% range for most people with a "decent" full time job. The second is "FICA", which rolls up your contribution to Social Security and Medicare. For most people that tax covers another 7.6% of your income (6.2% Social Security, 1.4% Medicare). However, this number is misleading since the government actually makes your employer pay an equal amount. This is money that could be going to you, so really 15.2% of your salary is going to the government. (If you happen to be self-employed you'll see this directly, since the government makes you pay both halves.)

      An important thing to note, however: the Social Security portion of your paycheck only applies to the first $90k or so of your income. So if you make, say $1m/year, your effective Social Security tax will be only a fraction of a percent. Basically it's a tax on the working class.

      Now clearly 15.2% of your income is a huge chunk. In fact, considering that most people are probably paying only 20-22% of their income in regular Income Tax, that means you're really giving the Federal government 35-37% of your income! So it's worth knowing where the tax came from and where the money is going.

      A bit of history: in the mid 1980s, Ronald Reagan came into office with the idea to slash income taxes, particularly for people who were "important" to the economy, i.e., very wealthy. At the time there was some belief on the Republican side that cutting taxes would magically produce new economic activity that would pay for the reduced tax cuts. Unfortunately, that never really happened and the nation started to go deep into debt.

      Coincidentally (or not), right around the same time, a Republican chairman of the Federal Reserve came up with the idea to massively increase the Social Security Payroll tax. Recall that this is a tax that only applies to the first $90k of your income (it was less then), so raising it isn't going to have a big impact on high earners. In theory the tax hike was designed to build up a big reserve of cash so that Social Security could operate in the 2020s when the baby boomers started to retire. However--- and this is the really important part of the story--- the same chairman insisted that all this cash should not be put away someplace safe, but should rather be made available as a kind of piggy bank for the government to borrow from.

      You can probably figure out the rest of it. Free money. Tax cuts to give. Weapons systems to buy. Amazingly, even after eating up all of the Social Security funds, the government still had to borrow hundreds of billions from the outside throughout the Reagan and Bush years.

      So far it's possible to cause this a bipartisan cheat, since Democrats were equally to blame. But then in 1992 a Democrat named Bill Clinton got elected and decided to get serious about reducing those deficits. And over his term he succeeded, through a combination of slightly higher taxes (mostly on the high end of the income scale) and reduced spending (particularly military). The economy also boomed--- many say as a direct result of all of this fiscal responsibility. And so balancing the checkbook begat revenue which meant an even more balanced checkbook.

      By 2000, Clinton (and his VP Gore) had cut the deficit all the way back to a "surplus" which means we were still borrowing some from the SS funds, just not from the outside world anymore. Al Gore ran on a campaign of even further deficit reduction, basically saying: let's finish the job, take those SS taxes you're paying, and put them in a special fund ("lockbox") where the government can't spend them. Republicans scoffed, and promised an even bigger round of income tax cuts (focused at the very wea

    10. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by Forrest+Kyle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are arguing that the budget surplus was not harmed by the burst of the .com bubble. Instead of using power words like "bullshit" and "cronies", can you support this claim with some evidence?

    11. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by Clanked · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Time to get rid of my karma.

      Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:

      The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
      The fifth would pay $1.
      The sixth would pay $3.
      The seventh would pay $7.
      The eighth would pay $12.
      The ninth would pay $18.
      The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.

      So, that's what they decided to do.

      The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve. "Since you are all such good customers," he said, "I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20."Drinks for the ten now cost just $80.

      The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free. But what about the other six men - the paying customers? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his 'fair share?' They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody's share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer. So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man's bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay.

      And so:

      The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% savings).
      The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33%savings).
      The seventh now pay $5 instead of $7 (28%savings).
      The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).
      The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings).
      The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).

      Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant, the men began to compare their savings.

      "I only got a dollar out of the $20,"declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man," but he got $10!"

      "Yeah, that's right," exclaimed the fifth man. "I only saved a dollar, too. It's unfair that he got ten times more than I!"

      "That's true!!" shouted the seventh man. "Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!"

      "Wait a minute," yelled the first four men in unison. "We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!"

      The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.

      The next night the tenth man didn't show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!

      And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

      David R. Kamerschen, Ph.D.
      Professor of Economics
      University of Georgia

    12. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      But of course the tax system doesn't actually work that way. That tax code can not be explained in an analogy, nor can the ideal tax code. Its like you're stating categorically that any adjustment what-so-ever in the tax code will have dire consequences if it results in higher taxes being paid by the super wealthy. Historically speaking, the tax burden on the rich was actually much much higher, with the result being both a lower burden on the middle and lower classes as well as higher rate of philanthropy amongst the wealthy.

      Attempting to deceive people by the means of an analogy and a degree is a vile act of the highest order. You sir, should be ashamed.

    13. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by gnud · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not sure whether to laugh or to cry. I always kinda assumed that US citizens paid significantly lower taxes than we do here in scandinavia, I mean, since you get no job security, no real unemployment benefits and no real healthcare. But you still pay 35%? And the republican nominee still has a significant percentage of the votes? I think I'll go back to bed.

    14. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by 7+digits · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What a load of crap. If you want to do an analogy, do it right:

      Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and get the following (numbers not accurate, but I don't pretend to have a PhD in economy):

      The first man get no beer
      The second man get 1 beer
      The third man get 1 beer
      The fourth man get 1 beer
      The fifth man get 2
      The sixth would get 3.
      and so one until:
      The tenth man (the greediest) get 50 beers.

      Furthermore, the tenth man owns the bar.

      Then the bill for all ten comes, bla bla bla.

    15. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by MrMr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      but in what? Real dollars?
      I guess about as real as the subsequent deficit dollars. So stop posting and start working for those imaginary interest payments you owe your Chinese loan shark.

    16. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by Dhalka226 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Your comment about the whole basis of wealth and money is a bit off the board for me to reply to, but we can certainly look at surplus.

      When presidents submit a budget, they're given an estimation of income. I assume this is what you're referring to when you talk about projections of surplus. This is largely irrelevant except to the intentions of the president. That is, if I submit a balanced budget I intended to submit a balanced budget. If after we count all the money it turns out we didn't bring in as much as projected, say because of an economic downturn, at least I can say I tried.

      There are still absolute numbers, however. You can look back a year and see that we spent $X and brought in $Y. What basis these dollars exist in is largely irrelevant; it's the system we've chosen. Looking at Clinton's presidency, it looks like he ran deficits for the first five years and then surpluses the last three.

    17. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Parent is fake. From David R. Kamerschen website:

      "Contrary to Internet folklore, Dr. Kamerschen is NOT the author of "Tax Cuts: A Simple Lesson in Economics." Additionally, he does NOT know who wrote it."

    18. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by bartron · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Attempting to deceive people by the means of an analogy and a degree is a vile act of the highest order. You sir, should be ashamed.

      Analogy's are a way to start educating the lay person in a manner that their brain can process and understand. If the lesson were to continue the analogy would be only the first step in a flight of stairs.

      Attempting to discredit an Economics professor with some perceived air of authority is a vile act of the highest order....or is that why you posted as AC?

      Disclaimer: I don't know if the OP is a professor of economics or not but the story involved beer and a good probability that the beer was free (as in beer).

    19. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by esme · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Other than being a well-known fake, the biggest problem with this analogy is that it leaves out the income of each of the men. If the tenth man is making as much money as the other nine put together, then paying 60% of the tab is about as affordable for him as what the other people are paying (given that basic necessities, etc. are a smaller share of his income).

      So while it seems unfair that the richest person should pay such a large share, in fact the burden is being shared pretty fairly. Progressive taxation, and estate taxes, are designed to share the tax burden and prevent extreme concentrations of wealth. Concentration of wealth was a big factor in creating the Great Depression, and a large part of the New Deal was to reverse the trend and lessen its effects. We have gotten back close to the same concentration of wealth as the 1920's, and I hope the correction is less devastating this time.

      -Esme

    20. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by Zironic · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Swedish Taxes:
      Your employer pays 30% of your salary ontop as an employer fee
      Everyone pays 33% of their income to their kommun (you could call it the swedish version of a state, it's the local goverment that takes care of everything within an area such as school, healthcare etc)
      You pay 20% of everything you earn above 340 900kr(48,571 USD) to the state and an additional 5% for above 507,100(72,251 USD)
      then you pay 7% of your income to your pension fund but that is tax reductible.

      So in total if you earn 100 units you pay the state 63, or 63/130 = 48,5% and that's if you're a low income earner.
      With a high income you can end up paying 83 units for 83/130 = 64%

      So yes, the US still has significantly lower taxes then sweden : P

    21. Re:Clock can run in reverse. by ultranova · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

      And if they do, then perhaps we should consider such a large chunk of our economy being controlled by foreigners to be an unacceptable risk to our national security, and nationalize said chunk.

      Two can play the blackmail game.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  6. As Feynman said ... by richg74 · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The late Richard Feynman had an appropriate comment for this, I think:

    There are 10^11 stars in the galaxy. That used to be a huge number. But it's only a hundred billion. It's less than the national deficit! We used to call them astronomical numbers. Now we should call them economical numbers.

    Perhaps they can get a new model that displays the debt in scientific notation -- it could be named the "Cheney Memorial Clock".

    1. Re:As Feynman said ... by LurkerXXX · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Reagan was the one who set us on this path. It should be named after him.

    2. Re:As Feynman said ... by cc_pirate · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yeah, but Cheney was the one dumb enough to draw the "Reagan proved deficits don't matter" conclusion from Reagan's actions.

      We need engineers in government, not politicians and lawyers. They don't have any respect for what happens when you ignore science and mathematical facts and press on as if they didn't matter.

      The Logic of Failure....

      --

      "There are laws that enslave men, and laws that set them free. " - Sean Connery as King Arthur

  7. Math says it bad, but not quite AS bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    First of all, 2.7 in 1989 are worth more than the same amount in 2007. Inflation calculator says 2.7 trillion in 1989 equal 4.6 trillion in 2008.

    Secondly, what's really important is the debt-per-capita ratio, and the US population has increased. In 1989 the US population was 246 million; in 2008, it's 305 million.

    That means, that in 2008 dollars equivalent, the per-capita debt in 1989 was $18,000, while in 2008, the per capita debt is $32,000.

    Yes, we do owe more. But we "only", per capita and in equivalent monetary value, owe about 80% more, as opposed to 370% more, as the original numbers would make you believe.

    1. Re:Math says it bad, but not quite AS bad by dogmatixpsych · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Someone mod this up "Insightful". AC was not downplaying the seriousness of the debt, he/she merely pointed out that in relative terms the debt is not as bad as it looks. It should be much smaller and we certainly should not be running with a budget deficit as much as we do, but perspective is needed on this issue as AC pointed out nicely.

    2. Re:Math says it bad, but not quite AS bad by clang_jangle · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The problem with applying math that way is that today, more than one in eight US citizens lives below the poverty line, jobs are vanishing at an alarming rate, and the number of parasitic, wealthy corporations and individuals has grown while the middle class has become a much smaller group. And that leaves a much smaller pool of available resources to tap in addressing today's vastly larger debt. Thus, the per capita comparison is ultimately meaningless. Neither the very poor nor the very rich are going to pay.

      --
      Caveat Utilitor
    3. Re:Math says it bad, but not quite AS bad by Skim123 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Take a temporal trip. The average family enjoyed a better standard of living in 1970 than in 2008, even though the average family income, adjusted for inflation, was lower. There was more likely a stay at home parent, and the amount of non-disposable income (that is, income not spent on "necessities" - health care, mortgage, daycare for kids, education, car, etc. - was much less than today. Today, two incomes are required for many families to enjoy a middle class lifestyle. This may sound like an OK thing at first, but once you start reasoning through the implications - higher chance for loss of income, less family time, etc., it is clear that today's middle class families are far less secure than those a generation ago.

      --

      I could not justify my existence if I were a turkey farmer. Would I terminate myself? Undoubtably, yes.

  8. That's good value! by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For 2007, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists listed the U.S. with about 5,400 total nuclear warheads.

    So that means each warhead is worth about $1,879,741,432 each.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  9. he supports the terrorists by dirk · · Score: 5, Funny

    Adds reader MarkusQ, "I know Dick Cheney has assured us that 'Deficits don't matter' [CC] but I can't help wondering if we should be fixing the problem rather than the sign."

    Why does this guy hate America so much?

    --

    "Information wants to be expensive" - Stewart Brand, the same guy who said "Information wants to be free"
    1. Re:he supports the terrorists by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why does this guy hate America so much?

      Who, Cheney? It does seem odd, he's certainly profited by the country's action.

      Oh, wait.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  10. Perfect Time by jelizondo · · Score: 4, Funny

    Now is the perfect time to convert to the decimal system!

    National debt goes from $10.2 trillion to only $10.2 billion (10^6) without paying a single cent of it!

    --
    Be very, very careful what you put into that head, because you will never, ever get it out. - Cardinal Wolsey
    1. Re:Perfect Time by ikkonoishi · · Score: 4, Informative

      We use the decimal system. We just run off of short scale instead of long scale.

  11. You're wrong to think it linear by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Your ability to repay debt is not linear but depends on the amount as a ratio to your disposable income.

    Consider repaying $1000/month on your credit card. For many people that might be hardship. For most people, repaying $2000/month is not 2 times as hard, butmuch harder.

    Similarly, repaying $18k per person is a lot easier than repaying $32k, by much more than a factor of 2.

    Of course that's all academic since nobody seems to be planning on repaying this debt.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  12. Re:non-digital dollar sign by eln · · Score: 4, Funny

    OMG the dollar sign is static... it's the end of the world!!!!

    You're right. After the upcoming total economic collapse, we'll need the clock to be able to display the debt in terms of Chinese yuan or Euros. The current design does not allow for that.

  13. Absolute number tells us nothing by fermion · · Score: 3, Informative

    The reason the debt clock has this problem is because it is sensationalistic and does not give us any real information. What we should be looking at is not the debt, but the debt in relation to some other metric, such as multiple of median income, amount per person, percentage of GDP. Using this later metric, Reagan left us with a debt of about 70% of GDP, Bush will leave us with a debt of 80% of GDP, while Clinton left us with a debt of about 60% of GDP. It is interesting to think that Truman, Ike, Kennedy and even Nixon, all worked to help the US future by reducing the % debt. We even have to give carter so kudos for not increasing it as a % of GDP. The scary thing is that during the great depression GDP fell perhaps 20 or 25%. If this happened in the next few years, our GDP might fall to 9.5 trillion, and we might see a national debt of 110% of GDP. This would be like a family with the median of $50,000 having unsecured debt of $55,0000. How they would pay this off would be extremely unclear.

    --
    "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    1. Re:Absolute number tells us nothing by larry+bagina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      by borrowing more money, of course.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    2. Re:Absolute number tells us nothing by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm not sure that percent of GDP is such a great way to measure the national debt, since government spending and investment (e.g. making loans to the government) both count positively towards the GDP. All else being equal, I would expect that the debt/GDP ratio would decrease as a result of deficit spending.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
    3. Re:Absolute number tells us nothing by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A lot of countries have debts greater than a year's GDP. I think that even less than a year's GDP is a problem, as you suggest. If the economy is growing, we can afford to pay for today's stuff next year, but what happens when the growth turns out to be unsustainable?

      In the US, it's a problem of reigning in entitlements, as well as reigning in stuff like military spending, and the same for pork barrel spending, but there aren't enough courageous legislators that are willing to do all that, and the same goes for voters that are willing to give up things like that in order to pay down the debt. I am worried that there will come a time when habits like that simply can't continue and there would be a pretty hard crash as a result. A little bitter medicine now might prevent utter calamity later, but as a society where so many are acclimated to debt and having everything now won't understand that until it's too late.

    4. Re:Absolute number tells us nothing by rolfwind · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, but the GDP is bullshit. It makes societal harms into positives (Hurrican Gabby hits and causes $5 BILLION damage, that ADDS to the GDP). Another common scenario is a foreign car bought in the US at a dealership, because the transaction is in the US, it, again, adds to the GDP. Peter Schiff and many others put forth arguments much better than mine, go google it. It is a feel-good measure put out by the government in the same fashion the offical inflation figure is (which hardly accounts for real inflation).

      The point is, you need to stack the deficit against some other number that isn't complete nonsense. Perhaps trade deficits. Japan has a huge national debt (3x ours in terms of GDP), but it can keep going purely because it makes so much stuff and good trade balances. OTOH, our industry has been exported, we hardly make anything to export anymore.

      Economics should not be hard, at least the basics. Consider the country as a huge household. You have debts and you produces things. It should make sense that an economy, to stay healthy has to overproduce and underconsume. A farmer cannot expect to thrive if he eats all his harvest of wheat in his own household PLUS has borrow to consume other people's harvests. A farmer is best off when he underconsumes (only part of the crop is internally consumed and the rest exported).

      Japan is like a high swinging professional living way beyond his means but because he brings home the big bucks from clients, can keep paying the increasingly large minimal balances on his credit card - though that will come to an end. America, OTOH, is more like a blue collar worker - can't afford a smaller debt to begin because he doesn't have a high paying job.

      Please don't compare the GDP, after Truman we still had a huge manufacturing base left over from WW2 and were exporting to the world. We don't have that anymore. A farmer's household cannot stand for long if he consumes his entire crop for himself and that of his neighbors on credit. That's what we, as a nation, have been doing and it won't work forever.

    5. Re:Absolute number tells us nothing by Michael+Wardle · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Clinton left us with a debt of about 60% of GDP

      Someone else said that Clinton paid off the national debt. Can you explain how you came up with the 60% figure?

  14. What nonsense! by martin-boundary · · Score: 3, Funny
    There's no need for extra room in the display. Just convert to hex, then you only need 13 digits:

    10,150,603,734,720.00 (decimal) = 93,B5F,213,EC0.00 (hex)

    Whoever came up with the idea of buying a new LCD clock should be fired for wastefulness.

    1. Re:What nonsense! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      Just convert to hex

      Better yet, convert to base 36, so we can use the entire alphabet. Every once in a while, the value displayed would spell out something interesting like HOLYSHITWEAREFUCKED.

    2. Re:What nonsense! by compro01 · · Score: 4, Funny

      HOLYSHITWEAREFUCKED = $182,396,328,105,409,846,882,664,606,244.00

      You certainly would be.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
  15. Wrong by Kludge · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The debt clock gives a per family portion. ~$86k. Compare that with the median income. Whoo!

    1. Re:Wrong by Kjella · · Score: 2, Insightful

      oh yes, ignoring that... it could all be paid off in a mere 10 years if every family (ignoring the ones who are truly at the poverty line, and ignoring that the truly wealthy can stand to pay much, much more) were to pay $8.6k/year? Sounds doable. Never gonna happen, of course.

      Don't forget that's the public debt only, it comes on top of any other debts they might have. According to wikipedia the average household income in the US is about 50k so that's 17% of the income. Less taxes, cost of living and the interest on private debt (some 140k average I believe, about 80% in mortgage) I don't think there's 8.6k left over just like that.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  16. Re:Press Your Luck by proverbialcow · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...except as a country we're taking it about that seriously, and we're all losing.

    --
    The only surefire protection against Microsoft infections is abstinence. - The Onion
  17. Another Republican "Victory" by cc_pirate · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What "fiscal conservatives"!

    But wait, the debt has grown insanely under every single Republican president in the last 40 years.

    How could that be?

    The Republicans aren't fiscally conservative at all. Every single republican president has spent like a drunken sailor and GWB is the worst of the lot.

    The only thing more stupid than Tax and Spend is Spend and Spend.

    --

    "There are laws that enslave men, and laws that set them free. " - Sean Connery as King Arthur

    1. Re:Another Republican "Victory" by corsec67 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Republican" faction of the American Party:
      Borrow and Spend

      "Democrat" faction of the American Party:
      Tax and Spend

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
    2. Re:Another Republican "Victory" by MrMr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But, borrowing is just postponed taxation when it exceeds the growth.
      So in the slightly longer run the Republicrats are a 'Spend and Tax' party while the Democritans are a 'Tax and Spend' party.

  18. Cheney's strategy was "starve the beast" by Kligat · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If you spend a lot on your administration, to win over voters or do whatever it is you want, then when the Democrat gets into office, he or she will be forced to cut spending so as to create a surplus while keeping the Republican's low taxes, lest they get "tax hike" backlash. At the same time, whenever "starve the beast" fails, deficits don't matter, or deficits are the grease that keeps the gears of the economy going.

    Republican politicians like McCain say we're supposed to reduce spending, (in order to reduce national debt, though this step on the flowchart may be skipped depending on the audience), and we also should reduce taxes further, but then how will we get rid of the national debt?

    Furthermore, if the Republicans are to perpetually starve the beast and fail, clearly their strategy needs to change. They need to raise deficits so much that the interest itself is as burdensome as the current deficit levels by themselves. That, and if the Republicans are perpetually starving the beast, maybe they should at least be doing so with programs like national healthc----oh, wait.

    The preferred method of starving the beast is through increases in the national defense budget, it would seem. John McCain has expressed need for a spending freeze in all areas but that, which would cut off funding for new NASA projects (which aren't entitlements, including Orion, which was approved in a separate bill), while his close colleague Lindsey Graham wants to cut the budget by 5% in all areas but national defense.

    1. Re:Cheney's strategy was "starve the beast" by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's the Laffer curve. Lower taxes allow the economy to flourish, and tax receipts go up. It worked in the 1980s -- taxes collected ran well ahead of inflation. The catch is that it only works to a point.

      There's a range where you can lower taxes and increase revenues. At the same time, there's a range where you can increase taxes and increase revenues. The real problem is that it's very hard to accurately determine which part of the curve you're on. We could be right on the perfect spot right now, which means that both candidates' plans will result in lower tax revenues than would otherwise happen.

      There are other problems as well. You can't just raise taxes and have more income. The economy is a lot more complex than that. Raise taxes too much, and either those able to will hide them or the economy will sour, and then capital gains tax collections go down. There are other ways that the rich can mess with the numbers, including the use of trusts, charitable contributions, and overseas investments. None of these are inherently bad (the first is becoming increasingly common in middle class families), but they can be used to mask the true income.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  19. Debt by fishbowl · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If I owe you a hundred dollars, I have a problem.

    If I owe you a hundred billion dollars, you have a problem.

    --
    -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
  20. Re:i give it two years by Asmor · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sort of a Moore's Law for debt, eh?

    Every 2 terms of republican presidency, the national debt increases by a factor of 10. :D

    Incidentally, anyone know what 1989's $2.7 Trillion is in today's dollars?

  21. Re:Conservative government? by pthisis · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Just because Bush claims to be a conservative doesn't mean he actually is one!

    The US has an incredibly interventionist foreign policy, and Americans haven't experienced a free market for almost a century.

    Historically, that _is_ conservative. Free markets are a hallmark of classical liberalism. Around much of the world outside the US, politics, that's still what those words mean.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classical_liberalism

    The "normative core" of classical liberalism is the idea that laissez-faire economics will bring about a spontaneous order or invisible hand that benefits the society, though it does not necessarily oppose the state's provision of a few basic public goods...Several liberals, including Adam Smith, and Richard Cobden, argued that the free exchange of goods between nations could lead to world peace.

    Bush has a lot more historical standing in claiming to be a conservative than a laissez-faire National Review follower would, and certainly he's been socially conservative (an area where, as opposed to economics, there isn't a huge difference of opinions over what's liberal and what's conservative).

    --
    rage, rage against the dying of the light
  22. Re:non-digital dollar sign by RuBLed · · Score: 3, Informative

    about 1.3599 better

  23. Re:Conservative government? by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Socialism requires the government to help and assist those with less money.

    Giving the super wealthy more money is not socialism.

    It's a completely different type of wasteful spending. If the bush years were actually socialist then everybody would have benefited and lower income Americans would have seen an improvement--seeing as things have just gotten harder and worse off it's insulting to socialism, as flawed as it is, to call taking from the poor to give to the rich as a socialist agenda.

  24. The debt did go down by goombah99 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Actually the debt realtive to the GDP went down which is all that matters.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:The debt did go down by okmijnuhb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Actually the debt realtive to the GDP went down which is all that matters."

      Which is NOT what is shown on the debt clock.
      And which also does not mean that this isn't a serious problem. Look up the former GAO head Dave Walker's "wake up tour".

      When the interest paid on the national debt is nearing the budget of the US military, (which is larger than all the world's militaries COMBINED), there is a problem. (and the problem isn't that we're not spending enough on the military).

      The GDP is not all that matters. The US economy will not grow itself out of this.

      I can say with a fair amount of certainty that this problem will (or is now) going to blow up in our face.

      Americans do not vote on fiscal responsibility, and will not tighten their belts. Politicians will be forced to spend beyond the government's income, or be cast/barred from office.

      Clinton had a budget surplus, only in his last year in office, the surplus was handed to W, with the advice to pay some amount of the debt. W decided that it was best to give it back to the American people, and followed through by ringing up a half trillion more to the debt for every year in office.

      I don't believe either candidate has balanced books (surplus) on their agenda, we will find out what happens to a debtor nation.

      It's rather remarkable how the fed can bail out the banking system with more red ink of it's own.

      10 trillion in debt, and where did the money to bail out banks come from? Borrowed! Genius!

      We're in trouble people.

    2. Re:The debt did go down by GaryPatterson · · Score: 2, Interesting

      10 trillion in debt, and where did the money to bail out banks come from? Borrowed! Genius!

      Oddly enough, this reminded me of SimCity.

      When I first started playing the game, I'd borrow heavily to fund agressive growth, thinking that if I cuold grow fast enough, I'd make the money back fairly quickly.

      After a while I realised that the borrowing was hurting me far more than any other factor, so I started trying slow, organic growth. My cities were a bit of a hodge-podge at first, but I stayed in positive cash flow every game-month.

      Although it's too simplistic to be completely realistic, I've often wondered where we'd be if politicians had to show competence in even simplistic games like this. I suspect that it'd be revealing to see how different politicians play the game.

    3. Re:The debt did go down by Chuck+Chunder · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually the debt realtive to the GDP went down which is all that matters.

      In the same sense as your mortgage not being a worry because house prices are going up?

      --
      Boffoonery - downloadable Comedy Benefit for Bletchley Park
  25. Re:Exccept.... by plasmacutter · · Score: 2

    let me know when joe sixpack can own a joint strike fighter and a few smart missiles.

    --
    VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
  26. Re:i give it two years by Korin43 · · Score: 2, Informative

    This says $2.7 trillion in 1989 = $4.46 trillion in 2007 (no data for 2008 yet).

  27. Re:i give it two years by tomhudson · · Score: 4, Funny
    Why not be cheap AND get with the times. Do it in hexadecimal. LOTS of room left.

    And when that (inevitably) threatens to overflow, do it in scientific notation. The Neocons and their supports won't understand it, and hopefully leave economic policy to people who don't think you can fix the economy by praying in public for lower gasoline prices.

  28. Deficits DON'T matter. by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm a god hating, baby aborting, marx reading liberal.

    Deficits don't matter. Rather, the existence of a deficit doesn't. Having a deficit and a debt we CAN PAY BACK is a GOOD thing. It means our credit rating is great and that we can extend ourselves in times of crises and be a financial powerhouse in the world.

    however, when we're struggling to pay our principle much less the interest, then that's a different story all together.

    --
    Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
  29. Re:Exccept.... by plasmacutter · · Score: 3, Funny

    push the on button, wait for the tutorial lady to tell you why there are 6 pedals when there are only 4 directions.

    red button activates auto-fire sequence. Be sure to have some shovels ready.

    --
    VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
  30. Is the rest of the world slaves to USA then by AaronLawrence · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If USA owes this foolish amount of money, but no-one dares to ask for it back because of the military and economic power - then USA effectively owns the world, and might as well just declare itself debt free, and carry on living off the backs of its slaves.

    The rest of us aren't going to do anything about it.

    --
    For every expert, there is an equal and opposite expert. - Arthur C. Clarke
  31. Re:Exccept.... by flewp · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If shit ever got so bad here that there was another civil war, I wonder just how much the military would be divided between both sides. Of course, those currently in power would like to remain so, and would order the military to fight for them, but I wonder just how much of our soldiers and other military personnel would take part in that fight.

    If it were an extremely asymmetric war, where it'd be the military up against Joe Sixpack, the effectiveness of smart missiles and the JSF are vastly reduced. Used overseas, sure, the public here doesn't care as much, but using weapons like those on our own people, where American families would be the collateral damage, would be extremely detrimental to the military and their side's cause.

    --
    WWJD.... for a Klondike bar?
  32. Re:Conservative government? by Skim123 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But political party terminology changes over time. For instance, Abe Lincoln was a Republican, but he didn't hate black people.

    --

    I could not justify my existence if I were a turkey farmer. Would I terminate myself? Undoubtably, yes.

  33. I agree. by extrasolar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We should be fixing the problem. All we need to do is cut spending and increase taxes.

    I, for one, wish you luck getting elected on this platform.

  34. Re:Exccept.... by YttriumOxide · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Don't forget that the US Military are still a part of the US Population. If there were a civil war, it wouldn't be "population vs armed forces", it'd be "some people in the armed forces plus civilians vs other people in the armed forces possibly plus other civilians".

    I don't live in the US, never have, and never intend to; but from what I've seen, I do now think it's at least a possibility, which is both scary and sad. There's a lot of great people in that country - it's just a shame there's also so many that aren't. Extreme corruption in your political system, the core values of the country being eroded, and so many people that are either too stupid or too ignorant (or both) to care. People need to learn from history, and meanwhile the rest of the world needs to pay close attention there to learn from the present - the US isn't the only country going down this slippery slope, it's just one of the most noticeable.

    Currently, I live in a country that has gone down slippery slopes before, and almost lost everything for it. Mostly, the people remember, and are informed and cautious. Those who aren't are forcibly reminded when needs be. I'm hoping that this should be a good place to be should the worst happen through the coming years.

    --
    My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
    Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
  35. It's not that simple by Moraelin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's not that simple.

    1. For a start, it would work that way if the USA were the only market in the world. I do believe that China can also sell to Europe, or to its own damn citizens. I don't think the Chinese would revolt if they could buy good computers instead of exporting them.

    The USA survived pretty well by selling its best stuff locally instead of exporting it all, didn't it?

    Anyway, the USA has, what, 5% of the world's population? There's a whole other 95% who could buy that stuff.

    2. Whatever advantage there may be in selling to the USA, would disappear overnight if the USA decided not to pay, which is (I believe) what the GP was getting at. The whole deficit scheme is, basically, borrowing money from those countries in exchange for their products. If the USA decided to just pocket some trillions of dollars overnight, on the justification that, basically, "our dogs are bigger than the tax collectors'", it would find itself a much less attractive market. Equally overnight.

    3. The whole lopsided market situation exists because countries are made to export their raw materials for cents and have to buy high-tech stuff for thousands of dollars. Or, ridiculously enough, lately manufacture that high-tech stuff themselves in their own sweatshops, sell it to themselves, and send the profits to some overseas corporation.

    Basically think: you want new shoes. So I send you my permit to raise your own pig, slaughter it yourself, tan its skin, and make your own gloves. Only now you have to pay me for the gloves. I'll even pay you back a few cents for the leather, 'cause that's raw materials and dirt cheap, and charge you lots for the gloves.

    And you can't just say "fuck you, buddy" because there are some international treaties and that forbid you from using my patented design and my "Le Moraelin Haute Couture" label. Oh, and to add insult to injury, you designed that design for me too, but I patented it, 'cause I'm the big international corporation with teh moneyz.

    And while for gloves that's just a matter of being a fashion victim, for a lot of other stuff it's less black and white.

    That's the shit end of the imperialism stick, that those countries get. Mostly because we, the western world, promise to give them a black eye one way or another, if they don't abide by that kind of an arrangement.

    Far from being some kind of great help that China would be foolish to cut off, it's a very disadvantageous system for China and a lot of other countries. If they threw it off, their economy wouldn't implode, and their standard of living would go up overnight. Again, they have a billion of their own people to sell that stuff to, instead of selling it to 300 million foreigners. Other than an artifficial financial and trade system imposed on them saying that it's better to sell to an American than to 4 Chinese, there is no real reason why that is so.

    _If_ the western world decided to just plunder the existing debts, that might just be the excuse they're waiting for, to get out of that system.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:It's not that simple by SubliminalLove · · Score: 2, Funny

      Basically think: you want new shoes. So I send you my permit to raise your own pig, slaughter it yourself, tan its skin, and make your own gloves. Only now you have to pay me for the gloves.

      You're right. If I wanted shoes and someone forced me to make gloves, instead, I'd be totally pissed.

  36. Re:Exccept.... by uncqual · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm not sure "civil war" (groups of citizens against other groups of citizens - of course, supported by their respective local governments) is the right model. I think the Founding Fathers were more interested in making sure another "revolutionary war" (citizens against rouge government) could be launched successfully.

    Outside of that minor quibble, I agree with your sentiments completely. If the populace is not armed, it's comparatively easy for the military to take control under a rouge government's orders -- about all the populace can do is meekly be herded and live in fear. By allowing the populace to be armed, even with vastly inferior arms as compared to the government, the military must approach each "situation" with lethal force as there may be a bunch of folks in the neighborhood with high powered hunting rifles. While many "follow orders" military personnel would probably accept "herding" defenseless citizens, when they have to blow the brains out of yet another person who looks and believes a lot like their mother, father, brother, sister, neighbor, pastor etc, they are much more likely to at least refuse to follow orders and, hopefully, switch sides.

    You don't have to be able to beat your own military, you just have to make them kill you to make them turn from the evil side. And, of course, existing civilian arms only need to stave off the government for a few months -- the people who designed/built/best understand the government's weapons are largely US civilians, many of whom would decide their allegiances are not to some bland oath they took to a "government by name" but to the cause of freedom and democracy. These civilians know the weak spots of the government weapons and also know how to build weapons.

    --
    Why is there an "insightful" mod and why isn't it "-1"? If I wanted insight, I wouldn't be reading /.
  37. Analogies can be misleading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think analogies are great, because they can be such effective argumentative tools. The other great thing about them is that they can be awfully misleading, because they'll trigger all sorts of unrelated or inappropriate (to the actual argument) intuitions.

    Keep in mind that the relationship between a taxpayer, a country, and the government is much more complicated than that between a patron, a bar, and a barkeeper.

    First off, I don't consider myself a "customer" of the US government. In my opinion, this isn't how a citizen-government relationship should work.

    Next, it's misleading to use beer as the analogous good for government services. We can safely consider beer to be some kind of luxury good, and not a necessity. But what the government provides is in most cases very necessary for us. Water or food or shelter might have been more appropriate here.

    This is related to my third point, which is that the richest man in the group can't opt out so easily. Setting up shop in another country isn't as easy as going to another bar, nor will you get the same beer in one place as the next.

    And finally, our individual prosperity is in large part dependent on the system and opportunities either created by or opened up by the government. A drinker and his bartender don't have that sort of dynamic, sadly.

    Perhaps there are some truths to your argument, but I don't like this analogy at all.

  38. Re:No need to replace it... by Patrik_AKA_RedX · · Score: 2, Funny

    Simple, use bits with more than 2 different values. 10 might be a good number.

  39. As an Australian by aussie_a · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As an Australian I can only Marvel at America's national debt. You've all given up on the hope of ever paying it off, which is simply astounding.

    1. Re:As an Australian by mcvos · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As an Australian I can only Marvel at America's national debt. You've all given up on the hope of ever paying it off, which is simply astounding.

      The real problem comes when their moneylenders give up all hope of it ever getting paid off, because then the US can't lend any money anymore.

  40. The national debt is completely inevitable by Colin+Smith · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If your money is created from nothing at the point of a loan and you want to inflate the money supply then you also have to increase the (exponentially growing) debt at the same time.

    Now, if you want the "economy" to grow then clearly you have to increase the supply of money faster than the interest on the debt which is consuming credit, or you get a recession.

    Whether the debt is public debt, private debt or corporate debt, is irrelevant. The debt must be created. Or at least, it will be until you run out of people willing or able to take on and service the debt, then the system collapses. Doesn't this requirement for perpetual growth sound like something else?

    It is a predictable exponential function and therefore has a doubling time, so yes, you could create a "law" about it.

    The national debt, the credit crunch, the stockmarket crisis are all the inevitable result of the way your money is created... Long may it continue.
     

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:The national debt is completely inevitable by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Informative

      If your money is created from nothing at the point of a loan and you want to inflate the money supply then you also have to increase the (exponentially growing) debt at the same time.

      What? This is not true at all.

      The national debt is the federal government balance. Bank-issued FR loans have no direct impact on the national debt -- but they do directly increase the money supply. This will inflate the currency unless there is corresponding growth in the economy.

      But I'm not sure what you're trying to say... one cannot "inflate the money supply"... unless you are not using the word "inflate" as the standard term in economics. One inflates a currency by increasing the money supply relative to production. The debt is not growing exponentially... You claim it is a predictable exponential function and has a doubling time, would you like to share the math? This graph suggests otherwise. The national debt cannot be a predictable exponential function, since it is dependent on legislation. Any non-nominal change to budgetary or appropriation legislation changes the rate of growth of the national debt. How can you claim it is predictable, or that it is exponential?

      I agree with you that there is a problem with the pyramid scheme economy that we're stuck with, and I think corrective action should have been taken 5-6 years ago. But railing against a fractional reserve is useless in a discussion of the national debt.

      Whether or not I disagree with your idealogy, please stop the demagoguery. It's exceedingly annoying to continue to see posts involving economic theory that don't make sense, but hit all the right buttons to incite the even less informed.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    2. Re:The national debt is completely inevitable by Colin+Smith · · Score: 4, Informative

      LOANS DO NOT CREATE MONEY

      Well, that rather depends on how and who's making the loan, doesn't it. If I lend you a fiver. I lose the use of the fiver and no money is created. But if I lent you a fiver but still had the use of half of it, then you have a fiver and I essentially have $2.50. Money is created.

      "The bank hath benefit of interest on all moneys which it creates out of nothing." - William Paterson, founder of the Bank of England in 1694

      "I am afraid the ordinary citizen will not like to be told that the banks can and do create money. And they who control the credit of the nation direct the policy of Governments and hold in the hollow of their hand the destiny of the people." Reginald McKenna, Chairman of the Midland Bank, 1924.

      "The banks do create money. They have been doing it for a long time, but they didn't realise it, and they did not admit it. Very few did. You will find it in all sorts of documents, financial textbooks, etc. But in the intervening years, and we must be perfectly frank about these things, there has been a development of thought, until today I doubt very much whether you would get many prominent bankers to attempt to deny that banks create it." H W White, Chairman of the Associated Banks of New Zealand, 1955

      "Banks lend by creating credit. They create the means of payment out of nothing. " Ralph M Hawtry, former Secretary to the Treasury.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_creation

      etc etc.

       

      --
      Deleted
    3. Re:The national debt is completely inevitable by tmosley · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The reserve amount is much less than the amount lent out, thus the money for the loan is created out of thin air.

      If the borrower defaults, then the amount of the default is taken directly from the banks reserves. While any single loan may be less than the total reserves, the combined amount of loans outstanding is something like 100x more than their reserves. If it were 100% backed, then a bank could easily weather having 95% of its loans default while still remaining solvent. If this were the case, we would never have failed banks.

      I don't think you are in a position to call it 'bullshit' if you don't even know how our banking system works. It's not hard or complex. It's just fraudulent. An arguably legal fraud.

  41. Re:non-digital dollar sign by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Man, I have to reply to this, because although you may understand the concept, I've had so many people make this mistake around me that it drives me crazy.

    Now remember this: THE EXCHANGE RATE MEANS NOTHING. Think about it.....if the the exchange rate meant something, then the US economy would be doing about 106 times better than the Japanese economy right now, but it's not.

    The only thing that really matters is the change and general direction of the exchange rate (and even that isn't entirely accurate, since it is possible for both sides to experience inflation at the same time, which is essentially what is happening right now, with the Euro dropping in value against the dollar). So once again, the Euro being at 1.35 of the dollar means very little by itself, despite the fact that two months ago the Euro was 1.6 times the dollar.

    Eh. We're all gonna be livin' on the streets soon, so who cares?

    --
    Qxe4
  42. I am a rat jumping ship by philspear · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Is anyone else, like me, making plans to move out of the US? Frankly I didn't get us into this mess and I'm not willing to do my part to bail out all those who did. I'm a liberal, not a libertarian, so I don't think taxes are always bad, but when I hear about what they're going to be going to, well I'd rather be paying taxes someplace where they're going to do some good. I hear european countries have high taxes, but they're not sending it all to Wall street, Iraq, and the world's largest military. I'd rather pay twice the taxes I am now if I knew it was going to more worthwhile things, like studying bear DNA.

    I have no skill when it comes to convincing people of anything, especially not the average voter. I come across as arrogant, elitist, and condescending, because I am arrogant, elitist, and condescending, and that doesn't convince them of anything other than they don't like me. I give money to different causes to do that, but I myself am not helping my fellow citizen make the right choices.

    While I like the place and the people, we've really painted ourselves into a corner. Every other country on earth makes stupid moves, because every person on earth is occasionally stupid, but the US keeps making such BIG mistakes. I feel selfish, or rather, I realize I'm selfish, but I'm not doing any good here, country is going to hell in a handbasket no matter what I do. I'm here for several more years in any event, so I guess there is time for us to shape up, but I'm making new plans anyway. Anyone else?

    1. Re:I am a rat jumping ship by OriginalArlen · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You do realise our taxes are actually lower in Europe that yours in USA, right? I earn about $70K (depending what the exchange rate is today) and I pay about 30% on that, including National Insurance (equiv to your FICA.) See this comment for more detail...

      --

      Everything I needed to know about life, I learnt from Blake's Seven
  43. Re:Exccept.... by easyTree · · Score: 3, Insightful

    when they have to blow the brains out of yet another person who looks and believes a lot like their mother, father, brother, sister, neighbor, pastor etc, they are much more likely to at least refuse to follow orders and, hopefully, switch sides.

    People from other countries like to avoid being murdered by the American military too; perhaps at some point in the future, the American soldier might extend his circle of care to included mothers, fathers, brothers, sisters and neighbours from other countries too?

  44. Re:Exccept.... by easyTree · · Score: 2, Insightful

    i'm pretty sure the iraqi insurgents are armed with more than just sticks and stones

    According to dictionary.com, 'insurgent' is defined as:

    "a person who rises in forcible opposition to lawful authority, esp. a person who engages in armed resistance to a government or to the execution of its laws; rebel."

    Do *you* think it's the right choice of word to describe someone who's defending their country against an invading army? hint: your army. Do you use another word when you're not posting onto a forum which is read by non-americans ? or have you honestly been brainwashed to believe that iraqies have no legitimate right to defend their own country against the american aggressor?

  45. What's the solution? by inKubus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It really irks me that people keep mentioning the same facts over and over again. Everyone knows how FRB works. Everyone knows they printed money. Everyone who is going to know knows. So why are you wasting brain power trying to educate people when you could be coming up with solutions.

    I saw I story today about Iceland. You may or may not know that Iceland is a sort of banking haven for Europe. Anyway, they bought up a lot of these bad securities based on loans that may or may not currently be bad. Anyway, the story mentioned that the depositors from England and Germany and Europe are coming and wanting their money from the Icelandic banks and they don't have any. And it ended with "poor Iceland, what will they do now that their economy has collapsed"?

    It's this type of stupid story that the media JUST LOVE to splatter about. They don't understand that they are CAUSING the mess. Guess what? NOTHING HAS CHANGED IN ICELAND. The farmer still grows his stuff. The geothermal energy is still coming from the ground. The snow is still white and cold. Nothing is different except the assumed value of a few sheets of paper.

    Likewise, in America and world-wide, nothing REAL has changed. Yes, there are shysters who make money off confidence, and they are suffering right now. Oh, who's this guy Henry Paulson? The FORMER CEO of Goldman Sachs you idiots! But in reality, we are all still going to work, still producing the little amount of stuff we produce in this country. But we produce everything we need to exist, food, housing, medicine. So, again, I ask, what's the problem? If I'm hungry, can I get food? Yes. If I need a place to stay, is there one? Yes. If I'm sick is there a hospital mandated by law to provide care for me? Yes. So, what's the problem?

    Buy local and DO NOT buy gold, since you can't buy food with gold. You can, in very bad times, buy gold with food :) So yes, if they weren't already speculated to record highs by people who saw this whole thing coming 18 months ago, buy commodities. Hell, REAL ESTATE is a great investment right now. If you have cash.. Some lucky asshole is going to swipe all those houses up from the banks. It might even be the U.S. government. And you know, they overpay for EVERYTHING, so if you buy some now, you will see an immediate appreciation. Anyway, these are not bad times if you are smart and not stupid and buy into their stupid panic stories. If you are seriously worried about feeding your family you shouldn't have GAMBLED IT AWAY on stocks.

    --
    Cool! Amazing Toys.
    1. Re:What's the solution? by mcvos · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's this type of stupid story that the media JUST LOVE to splatter about. They don't understand that they are CAUSING the mess. Guess what? NOTHING HAS CHANGED IN ICELAND. The farmer still grows his stuff. The geothermal energy is still coming from the ground. The snow is still white and cold. Nothing is different except the assumed value of a few sheets of paper.

      The problem is that those sheets of paper are extremely important nowadays. If you have a mortgage, the ownership of your house is regulated by those sheets of paper. If something goes wrong, you suddenly find yourself without a home.

      Lots of consumption and production is not local anymore. We import lots of stuff, and depend on exports to pay for it. And we need sheets of paper to figure out who gets what.

      Without the global economy this crisis wouldn't have been nearly as big a problem, but we fucked up our global economy to the point that sheets of paper are more important than actual production.

      But we produce everything we need to exist, food, housing, medicine.

      The US doesn't produce all the oil it currently uses. Without the sheets of paper, most people won't be able to drive cars, and it's back to horse and carriage again.

      So, again, I ask, what's the problem? If I'm hungry, can I get food? Yes.

      Unless you don't have money to pay for it. Not everybody works on a farm.

      If I need a place to stay, is there one? Yes.

      Unless you just lost your home because you can't afford your mortgage anymore.

      Buy local

      Buying locally is a very good idea, but it's not how our global economy is organised at the moment.

      Anyway, these are not bad times if you are smart and not stupid and buy into their stupid panic stories.

      These are very good times if you are smart and have sufficient means to take advantage of the situation. Average Joe who can't afford his mortgage because his employer can't afford to pay him because the bank won't lend them any money, could be in serious trouble.

      I'm not saying there's trouble for everybody (personally I'm not worried at all), but some people are in very real problems.

    2. Re:What's the solution? by HuguesT · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What has changed is that it is very hard to get a loan now, even backed up to the gills. Consequently people cannot invest, either you and me or big companies. This will be causing a lot of people to lose their jobs and the economy to contract in real terms.

      What has been lost is *confidence* that loans can be repaid in time.

      Given that the trade of real goods only represented 2% of the financial economy up to the crash, the magnitude of the problem cannot be exaggerated.

    3. Re:What's the solution? by MichaelSmith · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So I am to gather that the current situation with Ford, GM and Chrysler is imaginary too.

      Everybody knows that American and English cars are crap. The English car industry died 20 years ago because of this. The US industry is dying now but they made a great profit selling the same cars for 6 or 7 decades with minimal R&D. Now tesla (based on a lotus) may be creating a new US car market to suit the times. Bloody stupid that GM and Ford didn't do it when they had the money.

    4. Re:What's the solution? by complete+loony · · Score: 4, Interesting

      What's the problem? The *average* American spends $1.30 for every $1.00 they earn. The average house has a loan on it for 60% of its market value, while the market value is falling fast. And everyone is still hoping and praying for a quick fix wonder cure that will wipe all the trouble away and allow the fairy tale to continue.

      And now everyone is turning to their governments to bail out this mess. This will only result in bankrupt governments as well.

      There's only one way to fix this. Widespread bankruptcy.

      All the people who have gambled with or spent their future earnings and thrown them away need to be cleaned out of the economy. It's going to hurt and there's nothing we can do about it. We might have been able to fix this 15 years ago during the last recession, but it's too late now.

      I thought with the panic last week, the bubble would finally burst and we can start the healing and re-building process. But it seems there is still far too much optimism.

      Oh, and that job you have? Once we stop borrowing more money, 30% of the economy (and therefore 30% of the jobs) disappear overnight. I hope for your sake you don't become redundant.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    5. Re:What's the solution? by electrictroy · · Score: 2, Informative

      If you're less than ten years away from retiring, then you should have your saving in a simple interest bank account. No stocks. That way a crash won't devalue your money.

      Take me for example - my stocks devalued from $30,000 to $20,000. I don't care because I know it will eventually come back, but if I was going to retire in 2015, I'd be screwed. For short-term investments the best place is a stable bank account.

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
  46. Heh. No. by Moraelin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Heh. Nobody is arguing that, but that's exactly the crap artifficial system that other countries are forced to adhere to... even when it's against their interests.

    The thing is, money is just an abstraction to make the system work smoother. Go back to reading even, say, Adam Smith: the "wealth" of a nation is measured by how well the goods it gets match the needs and desires of its citizens. That's why you live better in the USA than they do in China. You get some of China's goods too, to match _your_ needs.

    That system actually does very little for China, though. They get to export some goods to match _your_ needs instead of using them to match their own citizens' needs, i.e., instead of raising their own standard of living.

    Even then, it would be a fair trade if they used the dollars they get, to buy things they need more. But the whole trade defficit scheme means they don't. In that relationship, the USA gets more and China gets some IOUs. As in, "I Owe You goods worth this many dollars." If the rest of the world actually tried to cash in those trillions of dollars, the value of the dollar would go down by an order of magnitude or more. Because you just don't produce the goods they could buy with them.

    But in the mean time, that market doesn't work like Adam Smith and the free market apologists thought. Instead of being a mechanism by which China gives away stuff its citizens don't need more, and gets stuff they actually need, it's a mechanism by which China gets some IOUs instead of matching its own citizens' needs. As the wealth of nations go, China gets impoverished by that system.

    And if, as the GGP was getting at, the USA decided it can ignore the IOUs because its dogs are bigger than the tax collectors', essentially you'd tell the whole world that USA's IOUs are worth nothing. They'd be a lot less inclined to sell you for more worthless IOUs in the future.

    But even that lopsided trade is already based on some artifficial conventions that we, the western world, imposed upon those countries. In a lot of cases the goods they "import" to give those dollars back, are produced locally in China. But they must pay a foreign corporation a "tax" on goods produced in China and sold in China. We created an artifficial situation which _causes_ the western markets to be artifficially wealthier. We decided that the goods China has are low worth, ours are high worth, and China can't produce ours unless it's for one of our corporations. Then they can import their own product and pay us a tax for it.

    To use a more classic economics example, the whole trade and market theory is based on the following idea: if England is better for producing wool, and France is better for producing wine, then the sane thing to do is raise sheep in England and grapes in France, then trade them. And the money and merchants' greed would be a mechanism for figuring out the exchange rate and making sure each country gets something closer to what its citizens want.

    But now imagine a system where we artifficially decided that wine is cheap, wool is expensive, and France is outright forbidden to raise sheep except if it's for an English lord. 'Cause England patented sheep. Well, _of_ _course_ then the English market would be wealthier than the French one. But it's only due to an artifficial system which pumps resources out of France and makes them pay even for sheep their own shepherds raise.

    It's a hypothetical example, France would have never bowed to that kind of conditions, but it's not entirely hypothetical for other goods and countries: That's exactly the thing that, say, IP conventions _do_ to poorer countries. They can only produce raw materials, they have to import computers from us. Even if they know how to make a computer, even if the fabs are on their land and staffed by local workers, and even if the damned design team who designed the CPU or chipset are their own people in their own countries. But they can't actually produce it for themselves. They have to beg, say, _Intel_ to build tha

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:Heh. No. by Hognoxious · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's a hypothetical example, France would have never bowed to that kind of conditions

      Not so sure, six armour piercing arrows per minute can be quite persuasive...

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  47. Re:Except.... by Hognoxious · · Score: 4, Funny

    making sure another "revolutionary war" (citizens against rouge government

    Better dead than red!

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  48. Not the SS... by denzacar · · Score: 2, Funny

    You pay for the SS with "goods harvested" from the concentration camps.

    Come on! Its Nazism 101.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  49. Re:Your history is wrong by mcvos · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The wealthy are important to the economy. The wealthy and the upper-Middle class business owners are the engine of American prosperity. How many poor people ever offered you a job?

    How many rich people ever fixed your sink or baked your bread?

    It's true that capital is important, but so is labour.

  50. Re:Exccept.... by Curtman · · Score: 2

    Hey, at least living in Texas is good for SOMETHING!

    We have no idea what, but we are pretty sure about it anyway.

  51. Absolutely ridiculous by garote · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That analogy is absolutely ridiculous. The rich man is not a goose who poops golden eggs and shares them out of kindness. The rich man's wealth is where everyone else's is: In the bar.

    When ten men go to a bar, the first five clock in and start working. The next four buy their own drinks. And the tenth gets a free beer because he owns the place. If ANY of them stop going to the bar, the musical chairs just shuffle around, until there are too few people left to operate a bar. And then it closes. And no more rich man.

    You talk as though the rich are the lynchpin of capitalism. They're not; they're a byproduct, and in many cases a sign of inefficiency or poor regulation. The middle class are the lynchpin of capitalism. And they have been slowly disappearing into WalMart, CostCo, and the military industrial complex for the last 25 years. Have you noticed that the steps are getting a bit narrow on your ivory tower?

  52. Well... by MrKaos · · Score: 3, Funny

    It will be replaced in 2009 with a new clock able to track debt up to a quadrillion dollars

    It's important to have goals.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  53. Re:Exccept.... by MrNaz · · Score: 3, Funny

    "Hi, it looks like you are trying to eliminate a target. Would you like me to:
    a) Arm the weapons systems
    b) Initialize the targeting system
    c) Deploy ECM in case hostiles are nearby"

    --
    I hate printers.
  54. How do they spend like that? by linebackn · · Score: 2, Funny

    That's odd. When I try spending more than what I have, my city improvements start disappearing.

    Are these guys using cheats?

  55. Re:i give it two years by squiggleslash · · Score: 5, Informative

    Now for the current crisis, most of it can come to blame upon groups like the Acorn group and other liberals putting pressure on congress and banks to extend low income loans to people who could never afford one

    No, it can't. The result of the efforts to make home ownership more widespread was a set of anti-discrimination laws placed in the CRA. However, CRA regulated loans had virtually nothing to do with the current crisis. Despite CRA-regulated banks doing the bulk of regular loans, 50% of sub-prime loans - which make up the bulk the "toxic mortgages" - were issued by banks entirely free of CRA regulation, and a further 20-25% were issued by departments of CRA-regulated banks that were free of CRA regulations. The remaining 25-30%, while performed by regulated banks, were almost certainly illegal given the strict nature of the CRA and the requirements for collateral it imposes.

    The problem here are not mortgages given to people on low incomes, but sub-prime mortgages given to everyone. People were using the sub-prime market to make excessive gambles that fell apart when the housing market collapsed. These varied from overly stretched ARM HELOCs to people buying multiple houses with the intent of either flipping them or renting them out. You can probably imagine that the largest gambles were not taken by the poor, but by those on median or higher than average incomes.

    BTW, thanks for being one of the few people making this argument that didn't directly blame ethnic minorities for this mess, but remember that the key laws Democrats are being blamed for are not laws directed at low incomes, but at ending discrimination against ethnic minorities. Those that are promoting this meme are treading on very dangerous ground. The CRA didn't force banks to give loans to people who couldn't afford them (quite the opposite in fact), and CRA regulated loans had little or nothing to do with this crisis, which affects sub-prime loans of the type the CRA prevents. It did require banks end discrimination, but a person from an ethnic minority who entered a branch of Wachovia and asked for a 110% mortgage to help them buy a $500,000 home which they expected to pay back using their Burger King salary would have been rejected just as a white person in the same circumstances would have been. The CRA wouldn't have forced them to give the loan anyway, the CRA would have done the opposite.

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  56. Armchair economists... by digitalsolo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Wow, some of the armchair economists in this thread should go get into government, they clearly have a complete and total handle on the intricacies of all national economies. Most impressive. No more than a few days in office will clearly have them properly handling debt and economy. Thank you for your enlightening opinions!

    --
    Just another ignorant American.
  57. Re:Exccept.... by galoise · · Score: 2, Informative

    nonsense, and i got two examples:

    1.- The American civil war was the deadliest, meanest and most violent military confrontation up until world war one. It saw the development of weaponry and military strategy up to an unprecedented point in world history, goodies like the submarine or the Gatling machine gun were invented during this time. By Americans. To shoot other Americans. Once they hated each other so much as to declare war on them, the little fact that they looked like your mother, or even were your uncles and aunts cared little, they happily proceeded to savagely try and kill each and every one of them.

    2.- Ever read about a military dictatorship? typically, they are implemented by military personnel of the same nationality than the people against who it's implemented. And never, not even the most unprofessional and hippie army in the world, has drop their weapons and changed sides out of solidarity with the oppressed.

    That's why a civil war is also called a fratricide war: 'tis brother against brother, father against son. And their family ties have never been strong enough to avoid conflict. Anywhere.

    To think that "you just have to make them kill you to make them turn from the evil side" is, quite honestly, not the smartest thing I've read around here, to say it mildly.

    --
    entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem
  58. Re:Exccept.... by electrictroy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The citizens of Eastern Europe rose-up against their governments. These citizens didn't even own guns. By your reckoning they should have been squashed, but that didn't happen. Most of the soldiers refused to fire on their own neighbors, and the governments collapsed under the sheer weight of numbers.

    --
    The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
  59. The National Debt is predictable. by Colin+Smith · · Score: 2, Informative

    The debt is not growing exponentially...

    Sure it is.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:US_Federal_Debt(gross).JPG

    In fact, I'm about 90% sure it's exponential. It sure fits an exponential curve well. averaging about 7% growth. With percentage growth the doubling time is 100*ln(2)/percent. So at 7% it would be doubling every 10 years.

    And just as a check...

    1980 909,041

    1990 should be double that:

    1990 3,206,290

    Yikes, even higher than 7%

    2000 5,628,700

    That's more like it. A fraction under 7%.

    It's predictable. I predict with about 90% certainty that the national debt will grow at 7% per year and therefore doubles every 10 years. There you go. "Colin's Law". Though I would like to thank my high school science teachers for an introduction to exponential functions.

    Even Excel can do the analysis for you. The function you need is "logest".
     

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    Deleted
  60. What nonsense - China is a house of cards by unassimilatible · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Which is why the Chinese economy is stronger.

    Nonsense. China's "growth" is subsidized by government loans to government-owned companies, an enormous amount of which are under-performing or non-performing. It's a ponzi scheme, and sooner or later it collapses. It will make the subprime crisis look like a deck chair on the Titanic. One of the few things that keeps China afloat is the influx of cash and credit from the US. To suggest they don't need us is ludicrous.

    And of course China doesn't have to dump them in the ocean, they can sell them to their own people - who will be much richer than Americans once their currency stops being artificially surpressed.

    Are you crazy? 70% of China's population are pre-industrial agrarian people who live in poverty by any measure.

    --
    Slashdot "libertarians": Small government for me, big government for those I disagree with. -1, I disagree with you
  61. Re:Your history is wrong by jambox · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So let's cut this bullshit right now that wealthy = villain.

    Why? Jesus said it was so.

    --
    You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
  62. Wow. by FrameRotBlues · · Score: 2, Informative

    I don't know if you realize it or not, but you're a part of that very "upper class tax bracket" as described by, well, everyone.

    When anyone talks about "the rich getting tax breaks," they're specifically referring to you.

    You do realize that the majority of us only make 40-60K a year, right?