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Acorns Disappear Across the Country

Hugh Pickens writes "Botanist Rod Simmons thought he was going crazy when couldn't find any acorns near his home in Arlington County, Virginia. 'I'm used to seeing so many acorns around and out in the field, it's something I just didn't believe,' said Simmons. Then calls started coming in about crazy squirrels. Starving, skinny squirrels eating garbage, inhaling bird feed, greedily demolishing pumpkins. Squirrels boldly scampering into the road. And a lot more calls about squirrel roadkill. Simmons and Naturalist Greg Zell began to do some research and found Internet discussion groups, including one on Topix called 'No acorns this year,' reporting the same thing from as far away as the Midwest up through New England and Nova Scotia. 'We live in Glenwood Landing, N.Y., and don't have any acorns this year. Really weird,' wrote one. 'None in Kansas either! Curiouser and curiouser.' The absence of acorns could have something to do with the weather and Simmons has a theory about the wet and dry cycles. But many skeptics say oaks in other regions are producing plenty of acorns, and the acorn bust is nothing more than the extreme of a natural boom-and-bust cycle. But the bottom line is that no one really knows. 'It's sort of a mystery,' Zell said."

78 of 474 comments (clear)

  1. Let me guess... by daveschroeder · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...to what the majority of comments to this article will be related, given the delicious quotes like this in the article:'

    "I'm used to seeing so many acorns around and out in the field, it's something I just didn't believe. [...] But this is not just not a good year for oaks. It's a zero year. There's zero production. I've never seen anything like this before."

    [...]

    The absence of acorns could have something to do with the weather, Simmons thought. But he hoped it wasn't a climatic event. "Let's hope it's not something ghastly going on with the natural world."

    [...]

    "This is the first time I can remember in my lifetime not seeing any acorns drop in the fall and I'm 53. You have to wonder, is it global warming? Is it environmental? It makes you wonder what's going on."

    Of course, these will be ignored on page two of the story:

    Whatever the reason for no acorns, foresters and botanists are paying attention.

    But they say they're not worried yet. "What's there to worry about?" said Alan Whittemire, a botanist at the U.S. Arboretum. "If you're a squirrel, it's a big worry. But it's no problem for the oak tree. They live a long time. They'll produce acorns again when they're ready to."

    White oaks can live as long as 300 years. Faster-growing red oaks can reach 200. And it takes only one acorn to make a tree, he said, which in an urban area with little open space is often more than enough.

    "This is probably just a low year, a biological event, and it'll go away," Zimmer said. "But if this were to continue another two, three, four years, you might have to ask yourself what's going on, whether it is an indication of something bigger."

    I know it's not a popular sentiment here, but Beware the church of climate alarm.

    [P]erhaps people are starting to wonder whether the so-called precautionary principle, which would have us accept enormous new taxes in the guise of an emissions trading scheme and curtail economic growth, is justified, based on what we actually know about climate.

    One of Australia's leading enviro-sceptics, the geologist and University of Adelaide professor Ian Plimer, 62, says he has noticed audiences becoming more receptive to his message that climate change has always occurred and there is nothing we can do to stop it.

    In a speech at the American Club in Sydney on Monday night for Quadrant magazine, titled Human-Induced Climate Change - A Lot Of Hot Air, Plimer debunked climate-change myths.

    "Climates always change," he said. Our climate has changed in cycles over millions of years, as the orbit of the planet wobbles and our distance from the sun changes, for instance, or as the sun itself produces variable amounts of radiation. "All of this affects climate. It is impossible to stop climate change. Climates have always changed and they always will.

    His two-hour presentation included more than 50 charts and graphs, as well as almost 40 pages of references. It is the basis of his new book, Heaven And Earth: The Missing Science Of Global Warming, to be published early next year.

    Plimer said one of the charts, which plots atmospheric carbon dioxide and temperature over 500 million years, with seemingly little correlation, demonstrates one of the "lessons from history" to which geologists are privy: "There is no relationship between CO2 and temperature."

    [...]

    Plimer says creationists and climate alarmists are quite similar in that "we're dealing with dogma and people who, when challenged, become quite vicious and irrational".

    Human-caused climate change is being "promoted with religious zeal ... there are fundamentalist organisations which will do anything to silence critics. They have their holy books, their prophet [is] Al Gore. And they are promoting a story which is frightening us witless [using] guilt [and urging

    1. Re:Let me guess... by wisty · · Score: 5, Funny

      Or maybe the squirrels had banked them in citi?

    2. Re:Let me guess... by Enter+the+Shoggoth · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Although I tend to side with the thesis of anthropogenic climate change I agree that there are too many alarmists who will draw an instant connection between occurances such as this and "global warming".

      That said, I would have hoped that you could dig up some better references to support your post; Miranda Divine is an ignoarmus and Kieth Windshuttle has only slightly more credibility than David Irving.

      ...to what the majority of comments to this article will be related, given the delicious quotes like this in the article:'

      "I'm used to seeing so many acorns around and out in the field, it's something I just didn't believe. [...] But this is not just not a good year for oaks. It's a zero year. There's zero production. I've never seen anything like this before."

      [...]

      The absence of acorns could have something to do with the weather, Simmons thought. But he hoped it wasn't a climatic event. "Let's hope it's not something ghastly going on with the natural world."

      [...]

      "This is the first time I can remember in my lifetime not seeing any acorns drop in the fall and I'm 53. You have to wonder, is it global warming? Is it environmental? It makes you wonder what's going on."

      Of course, these will be ignored on page two of the story:

      Whatever the reason for no acorns, foresters and botanists are paying attention.

      But they say they're not worried yet. "What's there to worry about?" said Alan Whittemire, a botanist at the U.S. Arboretum. "If you're a squirrel, it's a big worry. But it's no problem for the oak tree. They live a long time. They'll produce acorns again when they're ready to."

      White oaks can live as long as 300 years. Faster-growing red oaks can reach 200. And it takes only one acorn to make a tree, he said, which in an urban area with little open space is often more than enough.

      "This is probably just a low year, a biological event, and it'll go away," Zimmer said. "But if this were to continue another two, three, four years, you might have to ask yourself what's going on, whether it is an indication of something bigger."

      I know it's not a popular sentiment here, but Beware the church of climate alarm.

      [P]erhaps people are starting to wonder whether the so-called precautionary principle, which would have us accept enormous new taxes in the guise of an emissions trading scheme and curtail economic growth, is justified, based on what we actually know about climate.

      One of Australia's leading enviro-sceptics, the geologist and University of Adelaide professor Ian Plimer, 62, says he has noticed audiences becoming more receptive to his message that climate change has always occurred and there is nothing we can do to stop it.

      In a speech at the American Club in Sydney on Monday night for Quadrant magazine, titled Human-Induced Climate Change - A Lot Of Hot Air, Plimer debunked climate-change myths.

      "Climates always change," he said. Our climate has changed in cycles over millions of years, as the orbit of the planet wobbles and our distance from the sun changes, for instance, or as the sun itself produces variable amounts of radiation. "All of this affects climate. It is impossible to stop climate change. Climates have always changed and they always will.

      His two-hour presentation included more than 50 charts and graphs, as well as almost 40 pages of references. It is the basis of his new book, Heaven And Earth: The Missing Science Of Global Warming, to be published early next year.

      Plimer said one of the charts, which plots atmospheric carbon dioxide and temperature over 500 million years, with seemingly little correlation, demonstrates one of the "lessons from history" to which geologists are privy: "There is no relationship between CO2 and temperature."

      [...]

      Plimer says creationists and climate alarmist

      --
      Andy Warhol got it right / Everybody gets the limelight
      Andy Warhol got it wrong / Fifteen minutes is too long.
    3. Re:Let me guess... by daveschroeder · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That said, I would have hoped that you could dig up some better references to support your post; Miranda Divine is an ignoarmus and Kieth Windshuttle has only slightly more credibility than David Irving.

      It was more just that it was a very recent article (November 27, 2008) from a major media outlet, and very on point.

      It's the content of the article that matters, no matter who the author; "People who are really confident [of their facts] relish debate," is still true no matter whence it comes.

    4. Re:Let me guess... by MikeDirnt69 · · Score: 2, Funny

      They met Alvin, and now are trading songs for food.

      --
      Am I eval()? - http://www.monst3r.com.br
    5. Re:Let me guess... by Samschnooks · · Score: 5, Insightful

      ...the comments on this article can actually include speculation on what may be occurring beyond climate change alarmism?

      That's the thing that kind of bugs me is that Global Climate change gets all of the attention at the expense, it seems, over other issues. For example, coal fired power plants. The argument usually boils down to green house gases and maybe air quality. But the issue of coal burning releasing mercury into the environment (why do you think predator fish are contaminated with the stuff?) is hardly ever brought up and if it is, it's just ignored.

      Unfortunately, global climate change has become a very politically polarizing issue and it drowns out any sort of rational discourse. Which means, regardless of what needs to be done, it won't get done because folks will spend all their time digging their heals in to be "right".

    6. Re:Let me guess... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "However, I expect that "vicious and irrational" will win out."

      Duh. You've already built the strawman you've outwitted.

      It's idgits like you that poison the discussion by defining it as a contest between alarmists and anit-alarmists.

      get bent.

    7. Re:Let me guess... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Oh, and...funnily enough I've found that climate change skepticism seems to be the prevalent sentiment here

      SNIP, SNIP, FUCKING SNIP!! what are you an outlook user?

    8. Re:Let me guess... by Enter+the+Shoggoth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Au contraire, in an ideal world, or a close approximation (say a fully refereed journal) content can stand alone, but in any journalist outlet (especially from a so called "think tank") the content tends to be selective at best and is often down right fraudulent, now I admit that I haven't read the particular issue of Quadrant to which you refer but the journal definately sits in the former category and until I can see a fully referenced and sighted article from Mr. Windshuttle then I'm afraid his past transgressions will continue to weigh heavily.

      And as for Ms. Divine, an article written by an actual journalist from the SMH could fairly be described as originating from a major media outlet, but her piece is an Editorial comment placed in the paper to stir the pot from the right, just as say a Philip Adams editorial will stir from the left, I quite enjoy Mr Adams' rantings, but I admit the fact that it is an editorial opinion and cannot be fairly called journlism

      That said, I would have hoped that you could dig up some better references to support your post; Miranda Divine is an ignoarmus and Kieth Windshuttle has only slightly more credibility than David Irving.

      It was more just that it was a very recent article (November 27, 2008) from a major media outlet, and very on point.

      It's the content of the article that matters, no matter who the author; "People who are really confident [of their facts] relish debate," is still true no matter whence it comes.

      --
      Andy Warhol got it right / Everybody gets the limelight
      Andy Warhol got it wrong / Fifteen minutes is too long.
    9. Re:Let me guess... by hobo+sapiens · · Score: 5, Funny

      The squirrels are merely saving them. They know the apocalypse is coming. That, or they are planning an all out takeover of the earth. Are you ready?

      Look! You've been warned! The hungry squirrel of the apocalypse rides!!!

      --
      blah blah blah
    10. Re:Let me guess... by famebait · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's the content of the article that matters, no
      matter who the author;

      Yes, but if the content incorporates more than facts widely known to be previously proven, and clear and verifiable logic building on those, evaluating the content is very far from trivial.

      If you are unable to, or cannot be expected to, do a thorough vetting of all remaining claims in the content, then you are in reality really also being asked to _believe_ the author's claims of knowledge, and to _trust_ his judgement in handling it.

      For that, reputation and past transgressions do indeed matter rather a lot.

      --
      sudo ergo sum
    11. Re:Let me guess... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I agree that no one should be jumping to attribute this particular event to climate change. Climate change is generally slow, and something that abruptly shows up in a particular year probably isn't climate related. If the acorns have been gradually disappearing over the past few decades, that would be another matter.

      That being said, most of what Plimer says about climate change is misleading at best, and dishonest nonsense at worst. (But it sure does sell books, doesn't it?) Climate change is real and is being substantially influenced by humans. You can start by reading last year's IPCC AR4 report.

      For example, Plimer says:

      "Climates always change," he said. Our climate has changed in cycles over millions of years, as the orbit of the planet wobbles and our distance from the sun changes, for instance, or as the sun itself produces variable amounts of radiation.

      Total non sequitur. We know climate has changed over millions of years. That doesn't mean that we ought to be changing it further in ways that are to our detriment, or with consequences we can't fully predict.

      And the current climate change is not due to orbital wobbles (that takes place over tens of thousands of years) nor variance in solar radiation (whose measured history in the 20th century does not agree with the actual changes we've observed).

      "All of this affects climate. It is impossible to stop climate change.

      No one is seriously claiming we can stop all climate change, forever. We can't even stop the current change we've caused. We can, however, slow it down to a more manageable rate.

      Plimer said one of the charts, which plots atmospheric carbon dioxide and temperature over 500 million years, with seemingly little correlation, demonstrates one of the "lessons from history" to which geologists are privy: "There is no relationship between CO2 and temperature."

      That's an absolutely ridiculous statement, and even more ridiculous to claim that this is some well known fact among geologists. See, for example, Royer et al.'s Phanerozoic climate sensitivity estimate, or the vast amount of work on the effect of CO2 on the glacial-interglacial cycle, or the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) event (although it's still debated whether that was CO2 or methane).

      Sure, you can draw a graph of CO2 vs. temperature (or rather, some paleotemperature proxy) over 500 million years, and no, they're not always going to agree with each other. That doesn't mean that CO2 is unrelated to climate. It means CO2 is not the only thing which affects climate, as Plimer himself acknowledges. Hundreds of millions of years ago, the continents were in totally different locations, the atmospheric and ocean circulation patterns were likewise altered, ice sheets were in different places or absent altogether, the distribution of vegetation was different, the sun itself was slightly weaker, and so on.

      All those things affect climate. But it's very difficult to infer all the factors which were contributing that long ago. To isolate the effect of CO2, the best we can do is look at certain intervals when there were large changes, like the PETM, where the climate signal is very strong. Or we can start going closer to the present, where we have more data; we can dig ice cores back a million years and reconstruct a lot of the past climate drivers more directly then we can if we have to rely on much older ocean sediment cores. That covers many of the glacial-interglacial cycles. And we do see direct relations between temperature and CO2.

      In short, it's completely dishonest to claim that you can disprove the link between CO2 and temperature using nothing but the correlation between the two. This goes the same for people who claim that you can prove the link using the glacial-interglacial correlation between the two. The link is vastly more subtle than that. Plimer would know that if talked to any of his geolog

    12. Re:Let me guess... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 5, Interesting

      If you think climate scientists don't relish debate, you obviously haven't been to a scientific conference.

      What they relish, however, is honest debate by an informed opponent. As opposed to 95% of the so-called "skeptics" out there — like Plimer — who do little but repeat long-discredited misleading or wrong arguments. It's pretty much the same as the evolution-creation "debate". Evolutionary biologists argue all the time about evolutionary theory — witness the whole gradualism vs. punctuated equilibrium debate. But that doesn't mean they relish correcting creationist wackaloons, again and again, every time they drag out the same bad arguments. Bypassing the whole scientific debate in the first place by going straight to the media. The reason why creationists don't engage in real scientific debate is because their arguments are so poor they can't get published. Of course, they then cry that the orthodox gatekeepers are "silencing" them. Pretty much like most of the climate skeptics. There is legitimate scientific debate about, say, whether the equilibrium climate sensitivity to CO2 is closer to the lower or the upper end of the IPCC range. But you hardly ever see any of the real debate. Instead, you see the ridiculously wrong claims like "the geologic record proves that temperature is unrelated to CO2" or "all the global warming is an artifact of urban heat island contamination". It's a shame.

    13. Re:Let me guess... by arelas · · Score: 5, Funny

      It's a simple supply and demand thing. OAPT (Organization of the Acorn Producing Trees) decided that supply was too high and cut production. This has significantly increased the price per cheek full.

    14. Re:Let me guess... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So you have irrefutable evidence that global warming is due to fossil fuel combustion products and not, say, the output of the sun?

      Yes, pretty much. Hardly anything is totally "irrefutable", but there is plenty of evidence which supports the link between warming and CO2, including the paleoclimate record, the observed timing, rate, and magnitude of the warming compared to the CO2 forcing (when other forcings are included too, of course), the stratospheric cooling fingerprint, the observed changes in the diurnal cycle, etc. All of those directly disagree with solar irradiance trends. The solar trend disagrees in rate, timing, and magnitude with the warming since the mid-20th century, although it explains a fair bit of the warming before then. So does the cosmic ray trend, for that matter. Solar warming doesn't lead to stratospheric cooling, it doesn't lead to the same changes in the day-night cycle as globally distributed greenhouse gases do, and so on. See Foukal et al., Lockwood and Frohlich, etc. Of course, your article doesn't bother to mention any of those inconvenient facts.

      The whole "other planets are warming" is among the dumbest of all skeptic arguments. The climate of other planets has about jack squat to do with the Earth's climate. Some of them hardly have any atmosphere, none have water oceans, and so on. When you actually look at what causes warming on various planets, it's not even the Sun; Martian warming is attributed to a change in global dust storms, Jupiter warming isn't even global, Pluto warming is due to it being summer there, and so on. I don't know why people ignore the large amount of data we have on Earth climate and what causes it, in favor of much sparser data from planetary climates dramatically unlike our own.

      The fact is that most of the global warming theories are based on poor evidence and conjecture.

      Oh, that's a "fact" is it? What establishes this fact?

      we shouldn't have irrational, knee-jerk reactions to the use of fossil fuels.

      It's not an irrational, knee-jerk reaction, it's one based on over 40 years of scientific and economic study. The IPCC AR4 WG1 report summarizes the state of the science. Nordhaus's A Question of Balance is a good introduction to the policy side of the issue.

    15. Re:Let me guess... by DavidTC · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If the earth's temperature is being increased by the sun, then it's more important we do something about global warming, and quick.

      All the bad stuff that's going to happen thanks to global warming doesn't magically vanish because it's being done by the sun.

      If it's caused by humans, we just need to back off. As long as we don't hit the point where the ocean currents flip or the antarctic ice melts, we're okay.

      If it's caused by the sun, we need to back way the hell off, back to the stone age, and even farther, perhaps with some sort of technology to shade the earth, and attempt to weather it out without hitting the tipping point in several of the systems that would push us past no recovery.

      I.e., the car we're in just got a flat tire. Most people are arguing that it's because we're driving over a rocky road with bad tires, whereas you're arguing there's a sniper shooting at us. That doesn't make the situation better and somehow mean we can ignore it, that makes it a good deal worse and means we need to start panicking now.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    16. Re:Let me guess... by nahdude812 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I emailed my mom who lives in Pennsylvania (which was mentioned in the article), and who owns 5 acres of oak trees (terrible for raking in the fall - these leaves decay very slowly and lay very flat - each missed leaf is a dead bit of grass come the spring). She also lives on the edge of ~100 acres of forest composed largely of oak.

      Yes, we have lots of acorns - acorns are on a two-year cycle. It takes two years for an acorn to mature; so one year there are lots and the next year there are not very many. Our trees are not synchronized with each other, so we have pretty many acorns every year.

      The cicadas this year ate the tender tips of a lot of oak trees - that is where the acorns form.

      BUT the oak trees are in trouble. There is a disease called "Sudden Oak Death" that is doing a lot of damage and we have lost at least seven trees in our yard.

      She's a zoologist and not a botanist, though botany is a bit of a hobby of hers. This explanation sounds as plausible as any other, and more plausible than most.

      So I think that alarmism about this is overboard until there's more information. That said though, environmental concern under the guise of global warming is overall a good thing - it's causing people to pay attention to the impact of their actions on the world.

      Just like most main stream causes, the only way to maintain the public attention the cause requires is to either federally mandate the attention, or to engage in a lot of alarmism. The only way to get the federal mandate is to convince politicians that doing so is in their political career's best interest, so you need to engage the public with... alarmism.

    17. Re:Let me guess... by Anonymous+Monkey · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Get decoy squirrels for your house. They may be evil super geniuses but are extremely short sighted. A few fake squirrels on your lawn and they will think you are being ransacked by their brothers and ignore you. By the end of this, only redneck humans and old ladys may be left alive.

      --
      We are the Borg...
    18. Re:Let me guess... by macbeth66 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I for one, welcome our furry overlords!

    19. Re:Let me guess... by tmosley · · Score: 2, Funny

      Obviously all we need to do is drop an ever-larger chunk of ice into the ocean every now and then. That'll fix the problem.

      FOREVER!

    20. Re:Let me guess... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 3, Informative

      The best scientific introduction is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 4th Assessment Report, Working Group 1 (physical science). It attempts to be a comprehensive literature review of the mainstream science. It is all available online here. If you'd like to know more specifically about any particular issue, and are having trouble locating it in the IPCC report (e.g., if you don't know what keywords to look for), let me know and I might be able to provide more specific references.

      The IPCC report is kind of dense and is a survey of the modern state of the art. If you're looking for more of a textbook sort of introduction to climate science, I'd recommend David Archer's book Understanding the Forecast. It's aimed at undergraduate freshmen, so it might be below the level you're looking for, but it's still pretty good at laying out a lot of the important issues.

    21. Re:Let me guess... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 4, Informative

      Warming will cause an ice age. Because of "crucial heat exchanging currents." Got it.

      Although that's an oversimplification, that has in fact happened many times in the past (e.g., Dansgaard-Oescher events). What happens is that warming causes more fresh water to be added to the North Atlantic, due to increased precipitation and ice melt, or freshwater pulses from draining inland bodies of water (e.g., Lake Agassiz and the Younger Dryas event). This disrupts the Atlantic thermohaline circulation which carries heat from the tropics to northern Europe. That region will experience strong cooling, although not all regions do. Numerous such cooling events are recorded in the geologic record, including plunging the regional climate back into an ice age shortly after recovery from one. However, it is thought that glacial climates are more susceptible to such events than is the current interglacial. Current estimates are that even if the thermohaline circulation shuts down, Europe will still warm, since the cooling there is counteracted by the large amount of warming necessary to trigger such a collapse.

      Some of you have bought so heavily into this crap that you can't even tell how ridiculous you sound.

      Some of you are so pathetically unaware of everything we know about climate that you can't even tell how ignorant you sound.

    22. Re:Let me guess... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I defy you to reference ANY such data that suggests a causal link from CO2 to temperature change!

      What a joke.

      I already gave a number of such examples, which are all cited in the IPCC report you claim to have read. Not to mention the basic atomic physics of the greenhouse effect.

      I've read nearly everything the IPCC has published, and there is nothing there on this central point except assumptions and models based on assumptions.

      Yeah, duh.

      All of science is based on assumptions. Then you test the predictions of those assumptions and see whether they agree with what you observe. Then you test the predictions of alternate assumptions and see if they agree.

      CO2 change rate FOLLOWS temperature change rate, after a varying lag that averages around 800 years.

      ... in the specific case of the glacial-interglacial cycle. You can't say the same for other paleoclimate events, such as the PETM, Cenozoic cooling, etc.

      Nor does the glacial-interglacial cycle contradict a causal link from CO2 to temperature change (as noted in the Caillon et al. paper which first described this lag). And you cannot explain the magnitude and warming/cooling rate of the glacial-interglacial cycle without the CO2 greenhouse effect.

      The IPCC is an organization established for the purpose of influencing public policy and public opinion.

      The IPCC is charged with providing a thorough summary of mainstream research, and is specifically forbidden from making policy recommendations.

      I'm not saying that the IPCC is necessarily a bad thing in itself. But incorporating IPCC products in a scientific endeavor is a bad thing.

      The IPCC does not conduct scientific research. It summarizes existing scientific research. If you want to know what the state of climate science is, the IPCC report is a primary index into the literature.

    23. Re:Let me guess... by lennier · · Score: 2, Funny

      "All for the greater good of the Earth, and it doesn't matter that billions will die because we just "backed off" and discarded all our technology to the point that tigers can eat us for lunch!"

      What the heck is with this argument? I keep hearing it from anti-environmentalists. It makes no sense.

      The point isn't that we should "save the planet" IN EXCHANGE FOR human wellbeing. Nobody's arguing that!

      The point is that we should save the planet TO SUPPORT human wellbeing. Because we, y'know, live here? And rely on a functioning ecosystem to, eg, eat and breathe? Do you want to continue doing that? Then perhaps you'd like to continue to have some trees to make the oxygen and something living to eat? As opposed to a dead high-tech sea of glass and asphalt willed into existence by John Galt and his heroic band?

      Yes, stone age society would suck. But if our only options are a stone-age society or complete mass extinction... which of those options would YOU rather take?

      I'm not saying those necessarily *are* our actual options - they're the potential extremes. But "dialing back" a bit on the industrial revolution is not this mass flight from reason and sanity that some of the weirder voices on the Right seem to think it is. It's about finding a way to stop our breathing privileges from being revoked because we've cut down all the trees to build parking lots.

      Seriously, what are you guys smoking over there?

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    24. Re:Let me guess... by MacDork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Pretty much like most of the climate skeptics. There is legitimate scientific debate about, say, whether the equilibrium climate sensitivity to CO2 is closer to the lower or the upper end of the IPCC range. But you hardly ever see any of the real debate.

      Funny you should mention real debate over climate sensitivity. That too has been censored by the Cult of Climate Change.

      American Physics invited both believers and sceptics to submit articles, and has published a submission by Viscount Monckton questioning the core calculation of the greenhouse gas theory: climate sensitivity.

      ...

      But within a few days, Monckton's piece carried a health warning: in bright red ink.

      Question the methodology of the one paper that ALL of the IPCC's global warming theory is based upon... and be shouted down.

    25. Re:Let me guess... by instarx · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, but if the content incorporates more than facts widely known to be previously proven, and clear and verifiable logic building on those, evaluating the content is very far from trivial. [emphasis mine]

      The politically-driven global warming "skeptics" rely on the difficulty of verifying their claims. I recently spent most of a day chasing down and reading original scientific papers that had been cited as references on a professional-looking anti-global warming site. Without exception the papers did not reach the anti-warming conclusions the site claimed they reached. In at least one instance the paper came to the exact opposite conclusion and stated it very plainly in its conclusions section. Yet it was still used as a reference against global warming.

      These charletans rely on people being unable or unwilling to go to the significant effort to check their sources. In this particular instance Plimer's "40 pages of references" and "more than 50 charts and graphs" is used to give his speech a gravitas it doesn't deserve. Quadrant Magazine is a right-wing conservative rag [see wiki] that vetts any pseudo-science articles it publishes through accepted conservative filters. The American Club of Sydney hires out its meeting halls to anyone. However, citing it as a venue implies support from the Club and sounds more impressive than if Plimer spoke at the local Grange Hall.

    26. Re:Let me guess... by instarx · · Score: 2, Informative

      The problem is that there are only experts on one side of the argument. The global warming "debate" isn't honest experts shouting at each other - it is real experts being shouted at by PR propagandists who CALL themselves experts. Just look at all the so-called "Institutes" on the Web that look so professional and scientific when they claim to offer evidence that global warming is a myth. These are NOT scientific organizations - they are paid public relations firms posing as reputable independent research organizations. Don't be fooled - and they are very good at fooling people - it's what they do for a living.

      Their job is to create controversy where there is none. By creating pseudo-controversy and the appearance of scientific disagreement they delay legislation and influence public opinion to the benefit of their clients.

  2. Anecdotal data point by Muad'Dave · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here in the Hanover county north of Richmond Va, we had an early and massive acorn crop. It would be interesting to correlate some weather phenomenon to acorns (long drought in late summer = early crop, very wet spring = huge crop, etc).

    --
    Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    1. Re:Anecdotal data point by jav1231 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem is a lone observer in a single locale can muster up a climate scare like this and apparently get attention. Here in my area we too saw a large crop of at least the large variety of acorns. These are the kinds of things that we'll find Al Gore referencing if we're not careful.

    2. Re:Anecdotal data point by StrawberryFrog · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Here in my area we too saw a large crop of at least the large variety of acorns.

      And a lone observer like you can dismiss it with an anecdote. Which is why people have to compare notes across wide areas ... which is pretty much what they're doing, if you read the article.

      These are the kinds of things that we'll find Al Gore referencing if we're not careful.

      Oh look, I just fed a troll.

      --

      My Karma: ran over your Dogma
      StrawberryFrog

    3. Re:Anecdotal data point by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I look forward to proper "data collection" following. The fact that it has not occurred yet doesn't mean that the whole thing should be dismissed out of hand.

      What thing? I'm just reading that some peoples' oak trees are producing less acorns than those people expected and that low acord production is routine. I think it should be dismissed out of hand. There's no evidence that there's anything to look into.

  3. acorns going down hill for 2 years by dalewj · · Score: 2, Informative

    In Boston 2 years ago we were walkign on acorns, last year was a lower year, this year barely an acorn can be found. makes walking a bit safer :)

    1. Re:acorns going down hill for 2 years by Hao+Wu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Same thing happens with hickory nuts.

      I can't believe how a little farmers' knowledge sends today's kids into desperate panic.

      These editors think they are smart because they can program, yet a little thing like this requires PhD climatology research to explain to them. (And some sort of political action no doubt.)

      --
      I suggest you read Slashdot
    2. Re:acorns going down hill for 2 years by jcnnghm · · Score: 2, Informative

      Having just walked across my patio barefoot yesterday, I can confirm that there are plenty of acorns in Maryland.

      --
      You don't make the poor richer by making the rich poorer. - Winston Churchill
  4. Weird... by $1uck · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I remember one year growing up the Oaks in my backyard didn't produce any acorns, instead they produced these strange green globes that were soft almost like a grape except more spherical and speckled. When I split one open there was something akin to what cotton wood trees put out or dandylions, a soft fluffy thing. I wonder if the Oaks have a secondary seed production mechanism? Is that what I saw? that was probably 20 years or more ago so the memory is a little hazy. I wonder if the oaks are producing those things? or nothing at all.

    1. Re:Weird... by gardyloo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Those were probably marble galls (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oak_marble_gall); I find them a lot, too. They are produced in addition to acorns, though.

    2. Re:Weird... by Kamineko · · Score: 2, Funny

      Noo! Don't touch it!

      Touch Fuzzy, Get Dizzy! :(

  5. The sky is falling! by PinkyDead · · Score: 4, Funny

    This really puts a causality twist on that old chestnut.

    --
    Genesis 1:32 And God typed :wq!
  6. Nothing new by paiute · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I have noticed this cycle in the Boston area over the last 20 years. The squirrel population will follow the acorn yield. Some years there are very few squirrels about, and the chipmunk population seems to boom. Then the squirrels will have a great year and have too many little ones. Some of the babies will end up on the ground, pushed out by the others.

    Don't let your kids adopt them or talk you into taking them to a wildlife shelter. Believe me. All you have to do is put them back into a tree in a basket. The mommy squirrel will come find them and take them home by the scruff like a kitten.

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
  7. Weighty by symes · · Score: 2, Funny

    I bet they'll find a couple of really greedy overweight squirrels up in them woods.

  8. you can have mine... by Lumpy · · Score: 4, Funny

    I had what felt like a metric ton in my yard this year.

    All over my state we have the typical ton of acorns.. Some are freaking huge compared to previous years.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  9. Acorn boom by ericferris · · Score: 3, Interesting

    For the record, there was an acorn boom a couple of years ago that was responsible for an increase of Lyme disease. Apparently, when you get more acorn, you get more ticks the next season.

    --
    Fantasy: http://ferrisfantasy.blogspot.com/
  10. Plenty of Acorns in Northern NJ by Crock23A · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Every Autumn, my brothers and I get into a nice acorn fight at Grandma's house in North Jersey. There was no shortage of ammunition this year.

  11. The solution is obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Big Acorn needs a bailout.

    1. Re:The solution is obvious by MaggieL · · Score: 2, Funny

      They tried to put a lot of money for ACORN in the bailout, but the Republicans stopped them. Considering that a lot of the crap mortgages are ACORN's fault, it's only fair...

      --
      -=Maggie Leber=-
  12. Another anecdotal data point - Dallas Texas by portforward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Seems like there are plenty of acorns here.

  13. I found them... by mr_lizard13 · · Score: 5, Funny
    --
    "We live in a global world" - Harvey Pitt, former Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman
  14. Acorns? As in a nut, not a computer? by coofercat · · Score: 2, Funny

    Acorn is a long-forgotten, but actually tremendously influential company. Had Acorn not made the Acorn Electron, and subsequently the BBC Micro, I'm sure British IT would not be what it is today. Oh wait... this article is about a nut. Silly me, I thought I was on Slashdot.

    1. Re:Acorns? As in a nut, not a computer? by Ciarang · · Score: 2, Informative

      You've got your subsequently backwards. The BBC Micro came first - the Electron was a cut-down budget version.

  15. Nah, don't worry... by bhunachchicken · · Score: 5, Funny

    Panic when the dolphins decide its time to leave.

  16. Re:Colony Collapse? by Missing_dc · · Score: 2, Informative

    Oaks have male and female plants that use airborn pollenation techniques, but they will self pollenate or clone themselves if needed. I would look at chemicals or precipitation before looking at bees.

    (for the Christers: perhaps God told the trees their children are no longer needed(/sarcasm))

    I have heard reports in the past of hungry packs of squirrels attacking and eating cats and small dogs. I wonder if those reports will increase this winter.

    --
    How amazed would you be to suddenly find that you just forgot what I wrote and you needed to reread my post.... again.
  17. It's cyclical and difficult to predict by samwichse · · Score: 3, Interesting

    There are really two groups of oaks: the red and the white oaks.

    The white oaks are generally preferred by most small animals (and deer!), as their acorns are lower in tannins and produced much more regularly (a good crop approximately every other year, and less difference between a good year and a bad year).

    Red oaks have a less palatable acorn and can go up to 7 years between heavy mast years (with up to a 135x difference between a bad and a good year).

    Oddly, with all the research done on the topic, there's little that can be done to predict a future crop, as cyclic production varies so widely and seems dependant on such a myriad of factors. In areas heavily dominated by oaks, we still even have to "wait and see" for a harvest... otherwise it's a game of roulette, and you might have such poor production you don't get a forest of oak back at all (but red maple is a whole other can of worms).

    Sam

  18. Re:Have the bees gone too? by Plug · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Have a more open world view, moderators; the OP is referring to the arc linking all the episodes of series 4 of Doctor Who. It's the first thing I thought of when I read the post, and is also why the article is tagged 'badwolf' and 'starsgoingout'.

  19. Haven't seen them in a few years by erikdalen · · Score: 2, Funny

    I haven't seen them in a while either. But my first thought was these:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acorn_Computers

    --
    Erik Dalén
  20. Pay attention, Hollywood by AdmiralXyz · · Score: 3, Funny

    This sounds like the beginning of an M. Night Shyamalan movie.

    --
    Dislike the Electoral College? Lobby your state to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact.
  21. there's something alarmist by Reality+Master+201 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    About your apparent need to deny, out of hand, even a remote possibility that this or any other event is linked to anthropogenic climate change.

    You appear to have decided a priori how things are, and seem to go into an intellectual panic when something comes up that challenges you understanding of thing. You're just as bad as you claim the global warming "alarmists" to be, worse perhaps. You're willing to cling to what a tiny fraction of people have to say about the topic because it suits what you want to hear.

  22. Actually its a normal occurence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Every so many years the Oak Trees cut off production of acorns. It has been documented and studied somewhat. I remember reading a scientific article about it in my bio class. The thinking is that there is a codependent relationship between Oak trees and squirrels. The oak trees depend on squirrels for new oak trees (squirrels disperse and plant seeds and forget where some of them are) and the squirrels depend largely on the acorns for food. the Acorn production increases year to year, creating a population increase for the squirrels. (stable food = more babies, more babies that survive) This goes on until there is a population boom of squirrels. At about this time the oak trees halt acorn production, producing a mass die off of squirrels. From the human point of view this seems highly ungrateful of the oak tree. After all the squirrels are busy helping the trees reproduce and now the trees repay the squirrels by making them starve. But the thinking is that if the oak trees didn't do this the squirrel population would reach an equilibrium with the oak tree population's acorn production. Each and every (or nearly every) acorn would get eaten, and next to none of the acorns would result in new oak trees. This local population of oak trees would die out. So it is only the oak trees that are "underhanded" that survive and make new trees. It shouldn't be hard to find more information on this; probably under ecology literature.

    1. Re:Actually its a normal occurence by tbo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The AC is right. In grad school, my wife studied population genetics of coast live oak (quercus agrifolia), and she saw the same boom-and-bust cycles of acorn production. The boom years are known as "mast" years--not sure what the bust years are called.

      This is just a normal cycle, and, as usual, the media's reporting of science is atrocious.

    2. Re:Actually its a normal occurence by rve · · Score: 4, Informative

      So I'm not the only geek in the world who takes an interest in trees after all?

      I knew about mast years, and the following meagre years. This is a common adaptation to predation pressure or parasites. An extreme example of this are cicadas; predators don't live long enough for their population cycle to become synchronized with that of the cicada.

      I'm curious what the synchronization mechanism could be. In my area (north western Europe), last year was a mast year ... for beeches, chestnuts and all four species of oak growing in my area. This fall I found only a handfull of chestnuts, no beech nuts and hardly any acorns.

      While hiking in North Carolina this fall, I didn't see a lot of acorn remains either, but I attributed that to having been a bit late in the season.

      I'm surprised and intrigued that the phenomenon appears coincided on both sides of the Atlantic this year. Are the cycles synchronized via some global (solar?) external trigger, or is this just coincidence? I always assumed it must be the weather, but that isn't even remotely similar on both sides of the Atlantic.

  23. OK, natural science geek here by hey! · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I chose trees as my area of natural science geekdom, because I couldn't stand those snotty birders who take a glance at a streak through the trees that an ordinary mortal couldn't narrow down to "bird" then say something like, "Ah, a Stimpson's downy breasted tit." Trees stand still long enough to put an identification to an objective test.

    Oak species often display yearly variations in acorn production. This may be helpful in that you want surplus acorns from the point of view of squirrels; producing lots of acorns every year means you get lots of squirrels. Producing a bumper crop every three or four years and a small crop otherwise maximizes the number of surplus acorns you make.

    I've heard some say that White Oaks (with smoothly rounded leaf lobes) have three to four year cycles and Red Oaks (with pointy veins that stick out past the end of the leaf lobes) are acyclic. I've also heard the opposite, that White Oaks produce acorns every year and Red Oaks have longer cycles of five or even six years. My own experience is that the White Oaks I know produce bumper crops ever several years, and the Red Oaks seem to produce reliably every year. However, individual trees often vary considerably from the normal habit of their species. In my experience the yearly variations in the Red Oaks I know are small, and the acorns produced are always extremely bitter, however some Red Oaks seem to produce acorns like White Oaks: sweet, and in bumper crops.

    That said, the Red Oaks in my yard have for the last fourteen years produced healthy crops of extremely bitter acorns every year. I've lived in this house fifteen years and every year, like clockwork, there has been a night in early November where I've woken up to a continual refrain of "pok-pok-pok-tumble", as the oaks shed the bulk of their acorns in one day.

    It didn't happen this year. This article made me go out an look, and the tree is completely bare and there is very little acorn debris around the tree or the gutters.

    Weird.

    Still, the Northern Red Oak species is reported by some as having long annual crop cycles, and nobody really knows what might trigger a good or bad year. It stands to reason that trees in an area ought to have some kind of climatic trigger for coordinating their production variations. Otherwise, the winner would be a tree that produces lots of acorns every year.

    This could be a situation where a meme gains steam because somebody reports a mysterious lack of acorns, and then others (like me) run out and look at their tree and say, "good lord, there aren't any acorns." Chance are if we'd been paying attention, we'd have noticed that there is occasionally a year in which the trees don't produce many acorns.

    It's still a weird feeling, though, to read this story and realize that my trees produced hardly any acorns this year.

    If this is real, it may be trees responding to a common climatic cue, a cue which is not necessarily a sign of a widespread disaster (unless you are a squirrel). I'd hypothesize that they ought to have some kind of cue that helps keep the squirrel population in check.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  24. It's a plot by confused+one · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's part of a plot developed by the squirrels. They want us to feel sorry for them, feed them, and invite them into our homes. They've become jealous of what the dogs and cats have, and they want in...

  25. They all came here by alta · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't know about where you guys are at, but we are having exactly the opposite problem. I'm in Mobile, Alabama, and I have heard MANY people comment on the HUGE amount of acorns we are getting this year. My wife and I tried to sit on the deck yesterday and watch the kids play, but every time a kid came buy we would get pelted. I raked the yard and after I was done, I had about 30lbs of acorns I had to get up with a shovel. I have noticed fewer squirrels around though.

    --
    Do not meddle in the affairs of sysadmins, for they are subtle, and quick to anger.
  26. No acorns in NH either by 2gravey · · Score: 2, Informative

    Really weird. We have about 15 oak trees on our lot in Nashua, NH and we had noticed the complete absence of acorns this year as well.

  27. Come to my house by beavis88 · · Score: 2, Informative

    We've got a bumper crop of acorns this year. I've never seen anything like it - my front yard is almost literally paved with acorn bits and pieces now. And we're less than 200 miles from the supposed VA dead zone in the article...

  28. Re:acorn years by Muad'Dave · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Speaking of squirrels, do the English hunt and eat squirrels? There is a tradition of doing just that at least in the southern US. I used to hunt squirrels every fall as a youngster. My grandmother would cook them for me. No time for it now 8-(.

    --
    Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
  29. So long and thanks for all the nuts by fivethreeo · · Score: 2, Funny

    n/t

  30. Warm weather last January by Electric+Eye · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think a lot of these problems stem back to the ridiculously warm weather we had late last January. It was in the 60s and 70's for nearly a week. Fucked up a lot of my plants and killed many of them once it returned to normal cold a week or so later. I've talked to several people who've had similar problems this year with various plants likely due to that warm spell.

  31. Someone needs to go outside and play by Deputy+Doodah · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It's no mystery.
    There's a bumper crop of acorns on my property this year and last year there were almost none.

    Why? Last year we had a late freeze followed by a drought.
    The volume of mast crop always varies, but during bad years there's very little production. The people screaming and hollering about it need to go outside more.

    So this educated fool has a "theory" about wet and dry cycles, does he? Any rube farmer or hunter out there can tell you that the mast crop is directly related to wet and dry cycles. Any botanist who doesn't know that already shouldn't be able to call himself one.

    I guess it's much less fun to understand the workings of nature than it is to lay the blame on a favorite political cause.

  32. Squirrels: by ciderVisor · · Score: 4, Funny

    Squirrels are just rats with good PR.

    --
    Squirrel!
  33. One big (75 foot tall) oak tree in NC by mikefocke · · Score: 2, Informative

    produced 4 large yard trash bags full of acorns just from the 400 sq foot parking pad which is located under its branches and perhaps covers 20% of the total area under its branches. While last year it produced about 5 to 10% of that.

    I figure that this single tree produced between 400 and 800 pounds of acorns this year! Based on having to pick up the bags I shoveled them into from the parking pad.

    The difference was a months long drought the year before and then this year we were consistently above seasonal average rainfalls through the entire year.

    My other oak trees were also putting out acorns in heavy volumes this year in contrast to last.

    When trees are feeling unstressed, they put energy into reproduction. When they are stressed, they focus on self-preservation.

    1. Re:One big (75 foot tall) oak tree in NC by gurps_npc · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The article DIRECTLY contradicts your premise. It states instead that when acorn trees were feeling stressed they pumped out a LOT of acorns so that if they died, their children would continue. Then when trees were doing well, they cut it back down to a reasonable amount.

      Not saying you are wrong, just that your single example is only enough to question the article, not enough to create a theory.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  34. Re:No acorns for you! by RenderSeven · · Score: 2, Informative
    Im awash in acorns, never seen so many in my life. Some places in the lawn are 2 and 3 deep and I cant even walk near some of the big oaks. And the squirrels dont even bother with my bird feeder.

    Not sure then how Rod Simmons is claiming New England has no acorns. Well, yes the answer to that is in TFA... he did all his research by reading newsgroups and BB's. I couldnt imagine a worse way to gather objective data, since no one would post normal or excessive acorn production, he doesnt compare newsgroup chatter to prior years with 'normal' acorn production, does no validation of claims, and still cherry-picks the results. Rod Simmons is an *idiot*.

  35. Lots in Atlanta by benro03 · · Score: 2, Informative

    We've had a bumper crop this year of acorns, chestnuts, and pecans. Especially pecans because of the drought the insect population that normally eats them is way down.

    --
    I am Homer of Borg, resistance is - Ooo Donuts!
  36. Re:Coming out of an ice age by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Most people don't realize this but we are actually still in an ice age. The planet goes through natural cycles of cold and hot. Our cold climate is warming, perhaps from anthropogenic disturbances but also perhaps from natural climate change.

    Before industrial fossil fuel CO2 emissions, the Holocene has been in a very stable period, neither warming nor cooling, which is actually kind of unusual. Normally it would have been cooled slightly by now.

    Sure the globe might be warming faster from CO2 but it will warm regardless we just might have accelerated things a bit.

    Why should it warm regardless? As I said, if you go by past interglacials it should probably be cooling. If you go by this interglacial's earlier history, it shouldn't be warming or cooling much. Unless you're proposing that the whole ice age cycle was due to end this time around anyway. What evidence do you have for that? I've never seen that in any of the geological literature.

    When all of the ice is "gone" the planet will effectively reboot and start the process all over again. Once the oceans warm up to the point condensation will kick in, extreme storms, and then a massive cooling period.

    Again, what is the basis for that? The last time we left an extended greenhouse for an extended ice age (~50 million years ago?), it wasn't because the oceans were too warm or all the ice was gone. (It had been warm with no ice for millions of years before that.) It was more likely due to weathering from the Himalayas drawing CO2 out of the atmosphere when the Indian subcontinent collided with Asia.

    The 'naturalists' will be stuck inside their box right up until their extinction occurs.

    If you're really so worried about future global cooling, you should be arguing for us to save our greenhouse gases for later when we need them, rather than use them all up now when we don't.

  37. One long-term study already done by Elder+Lazarus · · Score: 3, Informative

    "LONG-TERM PATTERNS OF ACORN PRODUCTION FOR FIVE OAK SPECIES IN XERIC FLORIDA UPLANDS"

    Study of acorn production across several species in FL from 1969 to 1996 http://www.esajournals.org/doi/abs/10.1890/01-0707

    From the abstract: We identified regular cycles of acorn production ... and found evidence that annual acorn production is affected by the interactions of precipitation, which is highly variable ..., with endogenous reproductive patterns. In contrast, acorn production showed no significant association with minimum winter temperatures.

    --
    I need a rest between naps some days
  38. Bees by Pope · · Score: 4, Funny

    The bees took them!

    --
    It doesn't mean much now, it's built for the future.
  39. No Pecans Either by Ranger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Here in Tulsa, none of the pecan trees in our backyard produced any pecans this year, though we had a bumper crop last year. They were big enough to be edible. I collected about 20 pounds but could have collected a lot more. The park near our house used to be a pecan orchard and it too has no pecans this year. I don't know why. I suspected it was because of the terrible ice storm we had last year damaging the trees, but someone told me that sometimes after a bumper crop they don't produce.

    --
    "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  40. Just the Opposite by DougF · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...the solar trend disagrees in rate, timing, and magnitude with the warming since the mid-20th century, although it explains a fair bit of the warming before then.

    If by "Solar Record" you mean the sunspot cycle, it is in direct agreement with the increase in warming trends with the latter half of the 20th Century. The number of sunspots is 70% higher on average in the latter half of the last century compared to the first half, and even through comparable time periods in the 19th Century as well. As well, the number of days without sunspots is markedly lower throughout every cycle in the latter half of the 20th Century. Only this year, 2008, the sunspots are down dramatically, along with global temps. Will this be a prolonged trends? I don't know, and can't speculate, but I will be keeping an eye out for a continuing coincidence between sunspots and temperatures. Scientists are only now discovering the link between the solar wind generation and sunspots, as well as a possible mechanism between the solar wind and energy transference to the troposphere.

    --
    Impetuous! Homeric!