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The Unmanned Air Force

coondoggie writes "How important have unmanned aircraft become to the US military? Well how's this: the Air Force says next year it will acquire more unmanned aircraft than manned. Air Force Lt. Gen. Norman Seip this week said the service is 'all in' when it comes to developing unmanned systems and aircraft. 'Next year, the Air Force will procure more unmanned aircraft than manned aircraft,' the general said. 'I think that makes a very pointed statement about our commitment to the future of [unmanned aircraft] and what it brings to the fight in meeting the requirements of combatant commanders.'"

352 comments

  1. Not surprising by OverlordQ · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I don't have the numbers handy but I'm betting that they can get many unmanned aircraft for the cost of a single manned one.

    --
    Your hair look like poop, Bob! - Wanker.
    1. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm curious as to what the costs of training a single pilot are, and even more to see a comparison of the average pilot skills vs an AI pilot.

      However, this sure screws my plans to corrupt the air force pilots to get them to bomb random sites I generally dislike.. hmm after reflection maybe a virus for this AI would be easier!

    2. Re:Not surprising by turkeydance · · Score: 2, Funny

      "i'm sorry Dave..."

    3. Re:Not surprising by Nursie · · Score: 1

      Do you even need AI if you can do low-latency remote control?

    4. Re:Not surprising by usul294 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Reaper is $13.325 million and carries 3,750lbs of payload. F35 is $83 million and carries 15,000lbs of payload, thats what wikipedia says. Reaper carries more load per dollar, but is much slower, carries less, flys lower, and doesn't have a person taking a ride.

    5. Re:Not surprising by peragrin · · Score: 1, Informative

      lets see

      1 $400 million dollar F-22

      10 $40 million dollar F-35

      or

        100 $4 million dollar UAV's

      yea the math speaks volumes. UAV's can target and back up ground troops but no UAV has done air to air combat. No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning. If not for local ECM(jammers in other aircraft) screwing up the flight controls, then the simple fact that the manned aircraft can turn their head and see the planes over their shoulder let alone behind them.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    6. Re:Not surprising by vux984 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Do you even need AI if you can do low-latency remote control?

      You do if your opponent has some sort of communications jamming technology.

    7. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      How hard can it be? Laser communication via a stratosphere communication relay for unjammable control, 360 camera and VR environment for the pilot.

    8. Re:Not surprising by trolltalk.com · · Score: 1

      ... or just fly by them really fast and let the sonic boom and backwash destroy the UAV.

      Then gather the debris, re-assemble it, and reprogram it to return home and blow up.

      Wasn't something like this the plot in most of the Terminator movies?

    9. Re:Not surprising by jcr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

      Except for all of the air-to-air missiles, which are UAVs of a sort.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    10. Re:Not surprising by qbzzt · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

      On a one to one basis, maybe no. But what about a ten to one basis? UAVs are a lot cheaper, and a lot more expendable.

      If you can occupy the enemy's airforce with some UAVs, while others bombard the airstrips, you win.

      --
      -- Support a free market in the field of government
    11. Re:Not surprising by Odin+The+Ravager · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning yet.

      there, fixed that for you

    12. Re:Not surprising by peragrin · · Score: 0

      yea i would love to see an air to air missile dogfight. at the mach 3+ that they travel they don't have enough fuel to maneuver more than a couple of turns.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    13. Re:Not surprising by Deadstick · · Score: 2, Insightful
      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

      Yet. Have you noticed that no UAV has been designed for dogfighting yet?

      the manned aircraft can turn their head and see the planes over their shoulder

      A data acquisition/display issue.

      And no human can withstand as much turning acceleration as a UAV can.

      rj

    14. Re:Not surprising by Libertarian001 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I understand the point that you're making by citing numbers, but it would be more effective if you didn't pull numbers out of your ass. I'm not going to go into specifics for the F-22 because they're readily available, but it's resultant cost is due to NRE/sunk costs and the original plan of 750 airframes being reduced to 183. While the total program cost decreased by a small amount due to the reduction of airframes ordered, the end result was to cause the cost of each individual airframe to skyrocket.

    15. Re:Not surprising by johnsonav · · Score: 4, Insightful

      UAVs are a lot cheaper, and a lot more expendable.

      Exactly. UAVs will require a complete reevaluation of how we fight an air war. Much like tanks, machine guns, manned aircraft, and ICBMs before them, UAVs won't fulfill their promise until our military doctrine catches up.

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    16. Re:Not surprising by megaditto · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Right. But I'd imagine that's why we have the incredibly expensive stealth bombers: once the enemy air defences are down, it would really be much more cost effective to run the drones. The drones should cost less to run and would be cheaper to replace.

      --
      Obama likes poor people so much, he wants to make more of them.
    17. Re:Not surprising by maeka · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Do you even need AI if you can do low-latency remote control?

      You do if your opponent has some sort of communications jamming technology.

      One hell of a jamming technology to block the laser to satellite communication of a high-altitude plane.

    18. Re:Not surprising by peragrin · · Score: 0

      While the numbers where pulled from my ass they aren't that far off.

      broken down with the aircraft count shrinking it is roughly $335 miillion for an F-22 from what I know.

      Half the reason the F-35 isn't that expensive is because some 70-80% of the R&D design work was budgeted under the F-22 design program and they copied the useful data, and piggy backed the modeling. Basically offsetting all the external performance design work.

      UAV vary by size. Some only cost $30,000 others 10's of millions. basically it boils down to how big and what size runway they are launching from. (back pack and hand launch vs needing a full airstrip.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    19. Re:Not surprising by DustyShadow · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Do you even need AI if you can do low-latency remote control?

      Yes. I say this because of the high number of Predator crashes that are always blamed on "pilot" error. Compare that to Global Hawk which has one crash (which was in a very early stage of the aircraft -- late 90s I think), which has a totally autonomous flight control. None of the deployed GHs have crashed. I don't know how many Predators have crashed but for awhile it seemed like I was hearing about them once every 2-3 months.

    20. Re:Not surprising by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 0

      Not really the greatest benchmark when it comes to things like being distracted by a cloud of chaff or flare.

    21. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      lets see

      1 $400 million dollar F-22

      10 $40 million dollar F-35

      or

        100 $4 million dollar UAV's

      yea the math speaks volumes. UAV's can target and back up ground troops but no UAV has done air to air combat. No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning. If not for local ECM(jammers in other aircraft) screwing up the flight controls, then the simple fact that the manned aircraft can turn their head and see the planes over their shoulder let alone behind them.

      From someone who used to fly them... There is something called a UCAV (Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicle).

      As a matter of *FACT*, the X45A shot down the top pilots over and over from the Airforce's topgun school in games of lasertag. The UCAV can pull a 12G turn in a dogfight. Most humans can't stay conscious in 8Gs and the human limit before passing out is 10G.

      A UCAV vs a manned F22 is like shooting fish in a barrel with a shotgun.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unmanned_Combat_Air_Vehicle

    22. Re:Not surprising by cgenman · · Score: 1

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

      I'm curious as to why this is. UAV's should be able to pull a lot more G's, respond more quickly, and should have a 360^2 view of the battlefield. Is it related to having a remote pilot in the loop? Or perhaps less development dollars over the years? Or are pilots really that much better than automated systems?

    23. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, I think the air-to-air missile never really wins that one. A tie's the best it can hope for.

    24. Re:Not surprising by monopole · · Score: 1

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

      Yet. Have you noticed that no UAV has been designed for dogfighting yet?
      UCAV and it's on the way
      the manned aircraft can turn their head and see the planes over their shoulder

      A data acquisition/display issue.
      A properly designed UCAV can look in all directions at once in visible, IR, and RADAR
      And no human can withstand as much turning acceleration as a UAV can.

      Nor does a UAV need life support or an ejector and all that associated weight
      The main reason UCAVs aren't common yet is because fighter jocks tend to rise through the ranks and acquire fighters.

    25. Re:Not surprising by vux984 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      One hell of a jamming technology to block the laser to satellite communication of a high-altitude plane.

      1) Satellite communications are not generally referred to as "low-latency" which the OP suggested were required.

      2) Two way Laser links are extremely difficult to maintain outside of your idealized scenario. Two rapidly moving endpoints, one of which might be engaged in combat.

    26. Re:Not surprising by pushing-robot · · Score: 5, Funny

      One hell of a jamming technology to block the laser to satellite communication of a high-altitude plane.

      Yes, the level of technology required would be ridiculous.

      --
      How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
    27. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe the word you were searching for there is a "draw". A "win" would probably involve one of the parties surviving the attempt.

    28. Re:Not surprising by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 1

      Exactly. UAVs will require a complete reevaluation of how we fight an air war.

      Or maybe we could skip all the intermediate steps and just go to straight to the end?

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    29. Re:Not surprising by Kingrames · · Score: 2, Funny

      A communications disruption can mean only one thing.

      --
      If you can read this, I forgot to post anonymously.
    30. Re:Not surprising by drexlor · · Score: 1

      The required latency is dependent on the speed of the vehicle. While testing UAVs in development there are pilots who manually control the vehicle. If the plane is going faster than 40 knots or so it latency becomes an issue. If you have a jet going 400/500 knots then you cannot have latency at all.

      There are some satellite communication protocols available but the latency is very high. They are used for some telemetry data.

    31. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would guess that the GHs aren't asked to do things as complicated as predators in close air support. When you have a human behind the controls that knows they won't die if they crash, I would bet they act more aggressively. Most military pilots are amazingly aggressive anyway. Would you be as daring in a real fire fight as halo? Also, they lost 1 in 4 GHs in their prototype deployment. Check your wiki.

    32. Re:Not surprising by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The US airforce has no doubt purchased more unmanned aircraft than manned aircraft since the missile was invented.

    33. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Considering this is what both the test platforms I've done work on are using as links, I think your concerns are irrelevant.

    34. Re:Not surprising by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 1

      "Molly, I'd like to buy this microchip a beer. I didn't think much of him at first. But after that dogfight today, I've grown to respect him. He's a hell of a pilot. Shoot - the only reason we're not still up there is that we called it a draw 'cause we both ran low on fuel."

    35. Re:Not surprising by F3V0H1B · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think the Japanese had a great innovative idea with kamikaze attacks, if only the United States could find a cheap way to manufacture cheap UAV's. :P

    36. Re:Not surprising by merreborn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Do you even need AI if you can do low-latency remote control?

      You do if your opponent has some sort of communications jamming technology.

      One hell of a jamming technology to block the laser to satellite communication of a high-altitude plane.

      I'd imagine you'd jam that system just like you jam radio: by sending a stronger signal -- in this case, by shining brighter lasers on the receivers on both ends (the satellite and the UAV).

      Or by simply interrupting line-of-sight.

    37. Re:Not surprising by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 0

      I'm not going to go into specifics for the F-22 because they're readily available, but it's resultant cost is due to NRE/sunk costs and the original plan of 750 airframes being reduced to 183. While the total program cost decreased by a small amount due to the reduction of airframes ordered, the end result was to cause the cost of each individual airframe to skyrocket.

      That cost-increase/order-decrease spiral effect has probably happened for most US military aircraft ordered since the 1970s. So you can't ignore it just because it was "unexpected". It's not unexpected, it's business as usual.

      If UAVs are cheap enough that they don't tend to get caught in such a feedback loop in the first place, then that's another advantage for them.

    38. Re:Not surprising by DustyShadow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well yes, the two airplanes fly completely different types of missions. Predator is a low flying airplane (~10k feet). GH is an ultra high altitude airplane (~60k feet). The truth is, however, that the Predator likes to fall to the ground. I've heard stories of the pilot station doing constant reboots during missions. That doesn't sound too good to me.

    39. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering the time and monetary cost of training a pilot, the difference is more pronounced.

    40. Re:Not surprising by conureman · · Score: 1

      Down at the bottom of the Wikipedia MQ-9 page: "four aircraft, four ground stations and five years of maintenance support, all valued at US$330 million." Pretty cheap, if you don't consider the public relations price of sending robotic killing machines to spread goodwill in sensitive regions.

      --
      The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
    41. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Regarding Air to air capabilities of UAVs. I'm not aware of any actual precedent in the real world usage. However, Predators are capable of carrying and firing sidewinders, which combined with their low signature and minimal profile makes them formidable in modern air combat.

      The days of top gun are long gone. Modern air combat is performed before visual acquisition, and relies almost entirely on missiles.

      They still teach dog fighting, but they teach it with the expressed attitude that if you end up in one, you already screwed up big time. /airforce brat.

    42. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

      What counts as a UAV? Strictly speaking, a surface-to-air or air-to-air missile is a UAV, and plenty of those have fought a manned aircraft and "won".

    43. Re:Not surprising by nebosuke · · Score: 1

      1) Depends on orbital altitude over the theatre of operations. Low (enough) latency links can be accomplished with sats if you're willing to spend money on a satellite constellation of sufficient density to allow for full coverage of the area with low altitude sats. Considerably lower latency than a Hawaiian quake player would experience on a west coast server is possible.

      2) Yes, but that is neither an unsolvable nor unsolved problem.

    44. Re:Not surprising by jstockdale · · Score: 1

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

      Actually, the main limiting factor for the latest generation of manned aircraft is not the airframe, but the pilot.

      I would imagine that a UAV could OWN a human pilot, just pull a 10G turn and then fire a missile where the F-22 will be. Done and done.

      --
      **AA: a bunch of mindless jerks who'll be the first against the wall when the revolution comes
    45. Re:Not surprising by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      I know you're joking but a range in the infrareds goes through clouds like they're not there.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    46. Re:Not surprising by 4D6963 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Huh? Which UAVs are piloted by AIs? None that I know of, but on the other hand I've only heard of Raptors.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    47. Re:Not surprising by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Crap, I meant Predator/Reaper.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    48. Re:Not surprising by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      You realise that Reapers are piloted by a full-blown pilot plus a sensor operator, right? The only difference is these guys aren't actually in the plane, but they still have to know how to pilot.. Plus UAV missions can last much much longer, but we're comparing different classes of military planes for slightly different tasks.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    49. Re:Not surprising by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Unless you put smaller missiles on the missiles!

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    50. Re:Not surprising by EoN604 · · Score: 0

      Umm. Wouldn't they have some technology that recreated the exact situation of the unmanned plane on the ground? Ie a pilot in a full simulator on the ground, who DOES see the plane when he 'turns his head'. Wouldn't be that hard given their level of technology.

    51. Re:Not surprising by jamesh · · Score: 1

      However, this sure screws my plans to corrupt the air force pilots to get them to bomb random sites I generally dislike.. hmm after reflection maybe a virus for this AI would be easier!

      This is the problem with a computer. Once you know how to hack a specific configuration/version of the AI, you can (probably) hack all of that model.

      I wonder what the public opinion would be on opening the source to the AI vs keeping it secure via not showing it to anyone. The difference here being that you can't just reverse engineer it because you can't even get a copy of the binary... (and if you could, the military have bigger problems than someone reverse engineering their code)!

    52. Re:Not surprising by Bios_Hakr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's even better than that. The pilot is really only needed on take-off, landing, and to carry out the mission over the target.

      20 pilots can take-off 200 UCAVs, direct them to loiter over the target, and then bring them down in groups of 20 over the target. Finally, they can land the remaining UCAVs at the base.

      While those 200 are en-route, the 20 pilots can be launching or recovering 200 more planes.

      Or, even better, you can set up an assembly line of pilotage. 20 dedicated launchers, 20 dedicated recoverers, 20 dedicated mission specialists. And maybe 5 guys to monitor in-flight information. You could rain constant fire on a target for 24/7*365 with 300 pilots or so.

      And all the pilots would be able to go home at the end of the day.

      --
      I'd rather you do it wrong, than for me to have to do it at all.
    53. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      electromagnetic storm?

    54. Re:Not surprising by TakeyMcTaker · · Score: 1

      Except for all of the air-to-air missiles, which are UAVs of a sort. -jcr

      I like this concept a lot. I'm imagining a hybrid approach, where a manned aircraft acts as a sort of command-and-control station for a cloud of UAV units, flying in formation, or deployed from bays as needed. UAV units could be AI or remote controlled, either from the airship, or relayed from ground. AI goals/actions could be guided by targeting interfaces in the manned craft.

      We stop thinking of them as missiles and think of them as kamikaze-AI explosive nodes, evasive-AI chaff nodes, target-AI gun nodes, swarm-AI laser/radio jammer nodes, advanced-AI ground attack nodes, diver-AI bomb nodes, scanning-AI remote sensing nodes...

      I can't get that Protoss battleship from Starcraft out of my head now.

    55. Re:Not surprising by jaxtherat · · Score: 1

      I've heard stories of the pilot station doing constant reboots during missions.

      Windows update strikes again.

      --
      http://www.zombieapocalypse.tv/
    56. Re:Not surprising by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      1) Depends on orbital altitude over the theatre of operations. Low (enough) latency links can be accomplished with sats if you're willing to spend money on a satellite constellation of sufficient density to allow for full coverage of the area with low altitude sats. Considerably lower latency than a Hawaiian quake player would experience on a west coast server is possible.

      Hmm. Like Iridium? =)

      http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/us-military-pays-804m-for-iridium-services-02148/

    57. Re:Not surprising by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      1) Satellite communications are not generally referred to as "low-latency" which the OP suggested were required.

      Geosync? Yes. Very high latency. LEO? (Iridium) Tolerable. I know only because I've integrated systems with Iridium. Expensive as hell, but imagine being able to control something from damn near anywhere.

    58. Re:Not surprising by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Sounds like the DoD needs to put some of the global hawk intelligence into the Predator for when communications are down (i.e. terminal reboot).

    59. Re:Not surprising by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Nothing is stopping the DoD from making the F35 fully autonomous. They probably just haven't tried it yet.

    60. Re:Not surprising by pushing-robot · · Score: 3, Informative

      That depends on the cloud. Warm, low-altitude clouds are almost transparent to infrared. Cold, high-altitude clouds—the kind you'd find between a plane and satellite—are extremely opaque to infrared. Even clouds that are nearly transparent to visible light can block infrared light.

      On the other hand, I'm not convinced a laser system would even be necessary; militaries already rely on a great deal of battlefield radio communication; if it was easy to jam those signals, people would be doing it already. Jamming a spread-spectrum transmission from one directional antenna to another is very hard.

      --
      How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
    61. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Invasion!

    62. Re:Not surprising by camperdave · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I read a story like this many winters ago. A modern day figher jet somehow went through a time warp, and wound up in WWI. The pilot is talked into fighting for the British. However, he couldn't fly slow enough to engage the German planes of the day, and because they were made of wood and cloth, they didn't register on his radar. When he learned how fragile the planes were, he wound up just flying past them at high speed and letting his wake turbulence take them out.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    63. Re:Not surprising by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Oh, isn't there even a precise IR wavelength that allows us to go through those clouds, you know, in the same way as with a precise IR filter you can see through the haze of Titan?

      Also, yeah, you don't need a laser for that. The reason for suggesting it in the first place is that people tend to think that lasers are inherently very focused (which they're not by definition), and that radio waves are diffuse, whereas you can have a radio signal just as focused as needed.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    64. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I call BS on "no UAV is capable of fighting a manned air craft and winning". Are you paid by some AF stick jockey union?

      People at the stick have been long since outgrown by the capabilities of the plane they fly. An F-22 can knock you off-line for very long without breaking a sweat. People are the weakest link in air combat: even with the best G-suits and very expensive training, most high performance fighter planes simply outdo the human as far as operational envelope goes.

      All you have to do to win a dogfight with a human these days is to maneouver long enough to tire the stick jock out. Fighting G-forces is a lot of effort and you can simply wear the enemy dude out.

      It's no big deal for a drone to pull 10G turns, if its airframe was designed to take it. The F22 airframe would take it, but not the pilot -- at least not if it's done for several minute long stretches, with load reversals (say +10G, then -10G). Negative Gs are even worse than positive Gs -- it's easy to rupture your eye capillaries if you're not careful.

      AFAIK, a stick jockey is well trained to roll the plane as soon as there would be a need for negative Gs (stick down). Hard stick down is, again AFAIK, always associated with a roll, and ends in stick up -- simply due to our anatomy and physiology. A drone doesn't have to do any of that: it doesn't care which way the Gs go, as long as it's within the design limits.

      As for seeing the drone etc: it's no biggie to have instrumentation on the drones which not only "sees" omnidirectionally in a few bands (visual, IR and radar), but can play out a dogfight at relative positioning which is simply impossible for a human to execute. Imagine doing formation flying with your "wingmate" doing unplanned aerobatics and sitting some 100m above and towards your rear. There's nothing preventing a drone from doing this routinely. The currently publicized drones are not very agile, but there's nothing but money between us and a drone with very agile envelope (vector thrust control, redundant control surfaces, etc).

    65. Re:Not surprising by evanbd · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Be very careful when reading stats on pilot error. Generally, if a report claims something was pilot error, it is appropriate to ask what caused the pilot error. The answer can usually be found in some sort of human factors design flaw -- poorly laid out controls, confusing instruments or indicator layout, overly complex procedures, poor scheduling leading to fatigue, etc. When you decide the pilot made a mistake, that is not the end of the investigation -- and it doesn't mean that the correct solution is to replace the pilot with an AI, either.

    66. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry, but WHAT?! Predators fly at a much lower altitude. Predators are equipped with weapons and are designed to attack targets. BTW, here are some Wikipedia unclassified facts about GH incidents:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Globalhawk#Incidents

      Incidents

      On December 30, 2001 a Global Hawk crashed in Afghanistan.[28]

      On July 10, 2002 a Global Hawk crashed in Pakistan due to an apparent engine failure.[29]

    67. Re:Not surprising by RudeIota · · Score: 1

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

      Given there's 1:100 ratio in cost when compared to an F-22, do you suppose say... 30 predators could take down a fancy aircraft like that? The military would still be ahead in the $$$ wars and no human lives would in danger...

      Power in numbers, maybe?

      --
      Fact: Everything I say is fiction.
    68. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's really not that simple.

      Two reasons:
      1. Thrust/weight. The energy it takes to maintain a 10g turn is tremendous.
      2. Maneuvering. The UAV certainly has an advantage in agility. Air combat maneuvering is much more complicated, though, than pull a 10g turn and shoot--the other guy's turning, too.

    69. Re:Not surprising by pcolaman · · Score: 0

      Whoops, shouldn't have upgraded to Vista on those Predators.

    70. Re:Not surprising by ani23 · · Score: 1

      thats called a UAV

    71. Re:Not surprising by pcolaman · · Score: 0

      The initial cost of an F-22 was about $330 million or so, but has gotten to the point where each actually costs only about $130 million, and that number will continue to fall the more that are produced.

    72. Re:Not surprising by trolltalk.com · · Score: 1

      I read the same story and loved it. He took weeks to distill enough fuel for a quick flight, nobody saw anything he did and assumed that his sonic boom was the noise of big guns over the horizon, and he had to elearn how to fly with nothing but a stick, the wind in his face, and a tennis ball on a string as his turn/bank indicator.

    73. Re:Not surprising by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 1

      This is US technology---The one thing a communications disruption can mean is that an invasion was adverted.

    74. Re:Not surprising by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      100 Predators or even 100 reapers couldn't take down a F-22

    75. Re:Not surprising by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 1

      Or they just haven't told us yet.

    76. Re:Not surprising by superandy47 · · Score: 1

      Or... 400 million $1 hooker-bots.

    77. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      IMO The two-way laser datalinks can very well be maintained, but you'll need to have sharks to be mounted on the endpoints with friggin' lasers attached to their heads.

    78. Re:Not surprising by Dersaidin · · Score: 1

      If communications lost, retreat to base (and manned fighter assistance), and do evasion maneuvers on the way. That plan should take care of things.

    79. Re:Not surprising by Dersaidin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Take out the satellite.

    80. Re:Not surprising by Xest · · Score: 1

      Air combat just aint like that and hasn't been for a couple of decades, probably the last real dogfights were in the Falklands in '82.

      It's now all about launching missiles from beyond visible range, a UAV can do this as well as any jet. Countermeasures wise it's probably more important to have good stealth, a low heat signature and a bunch of flairs. I don't see why a UAV should be any worse than most modern jets.

      I do think moving on a few decades when stealth technology and low heat signatures as seen in the F22 are a bit more commonplace that we may well go back to an era of dogfighting as missiles lose their ability to track targets from long distance but for the time being I'm not convinced UAVs need particularly be in a disadvantage in air to air combat against most the jets they'll be up against ('50s - '80s MiGs etc.), the fact most UAVs have a fairly stealthy design means they probably even have the element of suprise.

    81. Re:Not surprising by EdIII · · Score: 1

      Duh. Skynet took over all operations a few years ago. Since then they have had perfect flight records. What are you new?

    82. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny it is. I wonder, would it confuse a satellite based IR-detector if something would be sprayed to the clouds?

    83. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The basic concept of armed UAVs is "Yo dawg, I heard you like missiles so I put a missile on yo missile so you can missile while you missile."

    84. Re:Not surprising by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "I don't have the numbers handy but I'm betting that they can get many unmanned aircraft for the cost of a single manned one."

      The support, training, and maintenance cost is also far less (and less over the years). No pilot in the machine, so no life support, no climate control (except for avionics), no G-suit, no cockpit, no canopy, no ejection seat or seat rockets, no periodic or phased inspection disassembly of these systems, etc, etc.

      The Air Force "gets" this, too bad much of NASA does not.
      Leave the meat at home station and if you lose the machine, you can afford more machines. Pilots and astronauts IMPOSE SEVERE CONSTRAINTS on the systems that support them. They are technically replaceable, but the emo aspect ensures war effort or program damage when they are lost. The days of accepting lots of dead aircrew are many decades gone.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    85. Re:Not surprising by VoidCrow · · Score: 1

      There is a point in getting the "meat" into space. A lot of geeks focus on the present difficulty and ignore the potential for discovering other, better, approaches. This is a typical geek fail for those of us who lack imagination.

    86. Re:Not surprising by dilvish_the_damned · · Score: 2, Funny

      Call the round trip 600ms since you have to make the distance four times to do it.

      Still, its lower latency than Clint Eastwood thinking in Russian.

      --
      I think you underestimate just how much I just dont care.
    87. Re:Not surprising by dilvish_the_damned · · Score: 1

      Considering this is what both the test platforms I've done work on are using as links, I think your concerns are irrelevant.

      Dish TV links get jammed? I thought it was just the Playboy channel.

      --
      I think you underestimate just how much I just dont care.
    88. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, the reason for suggesting it was because it is what I have seen used.
      I work on different "parts" of the test platforms, but despite all regulations engineers from one project tend to talk to engineers from another over lunch.

    89. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And if you have some more than that for a padding of redundancy, and institute good turnover protocol and rotation between control stations while manning standby stations - the pilots can go to the bathroom, have a lunch break, be able to leave to deal with family emergencies that may be called in, etc. even in the middle of a mission. So the pilots have even less to worry about, thus less in the way of stress, and when involved with a mission will be more effective and focused because they won't (or at least shouldn't) be fatigued or distracted by problems that may come up in the mind during long and boring flights.

      So an unmanned flight squadron would run things like a pretty tight office while maintaining vigilance and raining down destruction on the enemy... The future flyers are likely to have more in common with the space and missile folks, this is probably upsets the current pilots due to the glorfied and risky nature of operating manned aircraft. The drone pilots of the future won't be any more special than the guy babysitting the missiles or the guy tracking the sattelites.

    90. Re:Not surprising by master_p · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Another solution would be to fly a million small model airplanes armed with bombs directly to the enemy. Small in size but big in numbers way is way more effective and vastly cheaper than big in size and small in numbers.

    91. Re:Not surprising by Angostura · · Score: 1

      Exactly. I expect they also plan to procure more paperclips than manned aircraft. That doesn't really say much about their "commitment" to paperclips.

    92. Re:Not surprising by redxxx · · Score: 1

      If not for local ECM(jammers in other aircraft) screwing up the flight controls, then the simple fact that the manned aircraft can turn their head and see the planes over their shoulder let alone behind them.

      You can put a few sensors on a UAV. Some of them can point backwards. UAV's aren't like dogs, they can look up.

      A UAV could eventually out turn any human pilot. UAV don't black out in a 15 G turn and they aren't afraid of using themselves as bait, so an ally can find a F-22's fire control radar or catch it with it's bays open.

    93. Re:Not surprising by thrillseeker · · Score: 1

      Chuck Norris flies F-22s?

    94. Re:Not surprising by Jurily · · Score: 1

      I'm curious as to what the costs of training a single pilot are, and even more to see a comparison of the average pilot skills vs an AI pilot.

      Factor in the cost of losing one as well.

      You can't just copy a dead pilot, you know.

    95. Re:Not surprising by GooberToo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I say this because of the high number of Predator crashes

      Don't forget a number of these planes were actually downed from small arms fire. Even with full size aircraft, human error is often attributed to crashes when it really isn't a factor at all.

      Example: A small, single engine plane on short final (low to the ground and slow airspeed) encounters wind sheer which forces it into the ground. Cause of crash may be, "Human error. Failure to maintain positive control of craft and while close to the ground. Failure to initiate a go-around." I'm not kidding, stuff like this is actually recorded in NTSB and/or FAA crash records. Of course it ignores the fact that it is impossible for some craft to escape wind sheer. And in fact, it has caused the crash of large, commercial jets before. The problem is serious enough commercial jets now have wind sheer detection systems on board and large airports now detect and report the condition.

      Additionally, as many as a half dozen commericial jet crashes which were originally attributed to human error have since been determined to be attributed to humans actually doing things properly. In fact, in these cases, the cause of the crash was actually failed hydraulic valves causing the rudder to operate in reverse direction; meaning correct corrective action by humans actually cause the problem to become worse. Yet it's still dubbed, "Human error."

      Long story short, don't get too caught up believing in "pilot error" claims.

    96. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "you cannot have latency at all"

      Faster than light FTW!

    97. Re:Not surprising by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Don't forget a number of these are actually caused by pilot transfers. When a pilot finishes their shift, they must place the aircraft on autopilot before turning off their station and transferring control to the replacement pilot at a different console. Pilots sometimes forget to place the aircraft on auto pilot. Once they shut down their system, the aircraft has no input. This generally causes the aircraft to go into emergency mode which is forced landing mode. This throttles back the aircraft and starts a spiralling descent.

      Yes, it's human error, but not the type of error where the pilot actually flies it into the ground.

    98. Re:Not surprising by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Some studies have shown, for commercial aircraft, sleep deprivation may account for as much as 50% of all human error related accidents. The statistics are much higher for trans-Atlantic pilots; where it is notoriously known they don't get enough sleep.

      Of course, this also accounts for the numerous reports of pilots sleeping on the job while flying on autopilot.

    99. Re:Not surprising by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Already been done... Bat Bomb

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    100. Re:Not surprising by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      The Predator is a recon/bomber, air force planes are built like UNIX programs built to do a job and do it well, but not do another job as well. Lots of bombers would bet easily destroyed by a fighter, the limiting factor would be the fighters ammo, but the same value of unmanned fighters would completely destroy a human piloted fighter (slower bigger and more expensive). The biggest impediment won't be technological, it will be that most of the generals in the air force were fighter pilots.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    101. Re:Not surprising by jp102235 · · Score: 1

      control systems != AI
      ok, that could be a debate, but in general, the global hawk has a fancy autopilot that can of course: cruise, fly to waypoints and land (like any other somewhat sophisticated airplane from the 70's on) - but it can also takeoff, and I think has limited taxi abilities. You give this guy a flight plan (taxi/takeoff, waypoint, mission profile, and approach and landing location) and voila! an "autonomous" airplane.

      what it can't do: see and avoid (google it) that would require some nice ai, or human supervision. (the latter is employed right now)

      it also has trouble choosing targets and playing chess.... that's another story

      JP

      --
      jp
    102. Re:Not surprising by jp102235 · · Score: 1

      the aim-120 is the best dog fighter out there....
      ok, in fairness, there are many missiles (fire and forget class) that are nearly in-defendable, air OR surface launched
      dog fighting uav's have been around FOREVER (relatively)...

      we in the Air Force are less concerned about Migs and more concerned about the missile threat.

      JP

      --
      jp
    103. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Speaking as someone who has been in the Air Force I can tell you that "Pilot Error" is an easy excuse for larger problems that commanding officers don't want to become general knowledge.

    104. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When Reapers get shot down, you don't lose a pilot. Even if you are going to just look at that fact in dollars and cents, it is much cheaper to not retrain pilots.

      Also, I don't know the exact numbers, but as I understand it flying fighter jets is very expensive per mission as they need significant overhauls after a short number of hours (this may have improved- I am basing this on what I know of the F14). I don't believe the Reaper has these costs associated with it.

    105. Re:Not surprising by Savage-Rabbit · · Score: 1

      20 pilots can take-off 200 UCAVs, direct them to loiter over the target, and then bring them down in groups of 20 over the target. Finally, they can land the remaining UCAVs at the base.

      Rant:
      I'm no military expert but what happens when a group of interceptors, manned or unmanned, comes across those 200 loitering UCAVs? Can those 20 mission specialists handle evasive actions for all of those 200 UCAVs? According to it's wikipedia entry a Su-35 for example has 12 hard-points for WVR and BVR missiles plus wing-tip rails and it can track 30+ targets and engage 8 simultaneously, probably more depending on how much you want to spend on avionics. I suppose you could build some kind of auto activating AI into the UCAVs and link it to a network of onboard threat sensors but even then you'd be losing a lot of them, either to incoming A2A missiles or in-flight collisions due to the limitations of the relatively primitive nature of even state-of-the-art modern AI. Can modern AI even handle collision avoidance in a formation of 20 or 30 UCAVs as they start their automated evasion sequences and the formation degenerates into what fighter-pilots call a "furball"? Will those processes still work if your UCAVs are being subjected to heavy jamming? It has been argued that losses won't matter that much because UCAVs would be available at throw-away prices. This ignores the fact that it is one thing to send low speed UCAVs with piston, turboprop or small jet engines against Taleban guerillas who can't mount any kind of air defence to speak of beyond shoulder launched heat seeking missiles and manually aimed AA guns. It is quite another thing to set up an airforce of UCAVs to operate against a modern integrated air defence system. Particularly if it is operated by an enemy that has parity with you in technology, training, tactical and technical sophistication and resources. By the time you have produced a UCAV that stands a reasonable chance of surviving an encounter with a Su-35, F-22, Rafale or EF-2000, or modern SAM missile systems the UCAV won't cost that much less than a manned aircraft. Another interesting thing to consider is what happens if somebody infiltrates your control network and "pwns" some of your UCAVs? You might find yourself being bombed by your own UCAVs. Now that would be really interesting, at least it's one thing you can't do very easily to manned aircraft.

      --
      Only to idiots, are orders laws.
      -- Henning von Tresckow
    106. Re:Not surprising by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      When Reapers get shot down, you don't lose a pilot.

      F-22s don't get shot down, therefore you don't lose a pilot either ;-). I'm not qualified to evaluate the economics of it, but I think we can agree at that point that comparing these UAVs with modern fighter jets is like comparing a motorbike with a cement truck.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    107. Re:Not surprising by Kent+Recal · · Score: 1

      Yes, it's human error, but not the type of error where the pilot actually flies it into the ground.

      Yep. It's more the type where the pilot leaves the cockpit to take a dump and notices too late (with pants already down) that he forgot to put the autopilot on. Used to happen all the time in commercial aviation, that's why they've added autopilot-enable buttons to the loo. Nowadays those cause other problems of their own...

    108. Re:Not surprising by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      We weren't made for flying, but computers excel on it! A human has no chance against an AI pilot.

      By the way, you'll find that your virus idea is really much easier than corrupting humans, and much, much harder to detect before the act. Also remember that every time you talk about nuclear bombs delivered by missiles...

    109. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One word LAG...too much lag, and you have a crash.

    110. Re:Not surprising by Brigadier · · Score: 1

      I think many unmanned planes have a reprogrammed which I would assume is flay to way point a.) capture surveillance, prioritize targets and await further instructions. If no instruction proceed to way point two .. wash and repeat.

      Then when a list of targets are inquired central command forwards a revised target list and firing solution. so latency may not be as much of a problem as one would think.

      sorry about all the sub lingo... too much silent hunter.

    111. Re:Not surprising by master_p · · Score: 1

      Not exactly similar with the model airplanes scenario.

    112. Re:Not surprising by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning."

      Hanging AMRAAMs on a UAV wouldn't be difficult, and neither would conversion of manned fighters to UAVs.
      Obsolete fighters are routinely converted into unmanned drones used for gunnery and missile tests.

      F-16s are already fly-by wire, with only the throttle being (semi) mechanical mostly for reasons of stopcocking fuel flow, Interface the F-16 A-models in the boneyard (low hours, retired due to the drawdown) with modern UAV control systems, fit with AMRAAMs, and you'd have an agile fighter that can pull more G's than a human pilot could sustain and kill enemies beyond visual range.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    113. Re:Not surprising by jfz · · Score: 1

      I'd be also willing to speculate that despite the kind of money the U.S. spends on "defense", we could achieve air superiority in most conflicts with a sufficient quantity of Sopwith Camels. This is conflict resolution at a discount.

    114. Re:Not surprising by Bios_Hakr · · Score: 1

      In another post, I talked about air superiority. Current doctrine demands that the first targets are enemy airfields. The Migs might get off the ground once, but after that, they will never land again. UCAVs will continue to loiter over the decimated airfields until the end of the war in order to kill any combat engineers.

      As for the current situation with "taliban" or gorilla fighters, UCAVs are perfect. We know the routes we need to follow to get from point A to point B. Convoys get attacked by roadside bombs. Just patrol the highways with UCAVs and scan for anyone digging or any newly-parked cars/trucks/boxes. If the car/truck/box remains for more than 2 hours, blow it up.

      --
      I'd rather you do it wrong, than for me to have to do it at all.
    115. Re:Not surprising by lsatenstein · · Score: 0

      One of the features of unmanned planes is that they can be drones. About 6 feet across, and with tv cameras and hours of fuel. They can also be used to aim intelligent missles as the drone locks into the target and directs the explosive to the site.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
    116. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning. No human can withstand the G-forces a UAV can be built to handle. Besides that, UAV's aren't for air to air combat. They are for recon and attacking highly defended ground targets (their original mission).

    117. Re:Not surprising by Vastad · · Score: 1

      Have you any links to back this up? You're saying the crew toilet in the upstairs section of a 747 has buttons the passenger toilets don't have?

    118. Re:Not surprising by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

      Reaper and the F-22 are designed for different missions. The F-22 is designed for air domination. Reaper is meant to loiter over combat zones for extended periods to keep a watch for insurgents or follow them around and blow them up when they return to enemy base. Later generations of UAVs will be able to carry more weight and fly faster. Without a pilot, the airframe can be flown harder to its full capacity and sent on riskier missions. It can also be more aerodynamic and stealthier without the human bump in the middle.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    119. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess that it will be the same ole, same ole,,,,
      I'm on top,,, Your on top,, I'm on top,,,, scenario

      Let's hope that,,,,, the costs do go down

  2. War No 81-Q by Nursie · · Score: 2, Funny

    So have we got to the stage yet where we can just have our unmanned vehicles fight their unmanned vehicles over an empty patch of ocean and declare a winner?

    No, thought not, but I'm sure that's where we're headed. /mark elf... //I hope someone gets the references

    1. Re:War No 81-Q by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Sure. Now please report to the disintegration booth.

  3. Re:Sad to hear it by halsver · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I'm sure you are grief-stricken, but that topic is one article that way. (down)

    On the main page of course.

    --
    Roughly half my comments are never submitted. You may be reading the better half...
  4. Toys Anyone? by ITEric · · Score: 0

    I suspect this has been in the works since the release of the movie Toys. Sure the general in the film was a nut case, but the idea was a good one - low cost weapons that keep soldiers out of harm's way. We only had to wait for the tech to catch up to make it effective and reliable.

    --
    The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds new discoveries, is not 'Eureka!' but 'That's funny...
  5. Out of curiosity... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is there to prevent someone from just jamming an unmanned aircraft's communications systems? This would seem to be a pretty major liability, especially if the aircraft is controlled remotely.

  6. So winning a war... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    So winning a war will be about programming skills and not economic power.

    I for one welcome our new communist overlords.

    1. Re:So winning a war... by incubuz1980 · · Score: 1

      So winning a war will be about programming skills and not economic power.

      I for one welcome our new communist overlords.

      I agree, I wonder how this will change wars. Changing the economics is probably harder than just focusing on education.

      Moors law will applied to war is a scary concept.

    2. Re:So winning a war... by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Winning a war will, as always, be a combination of many factors. Economic power is only one of these; no doubt it will continue to be an important one.

      As far as the specific issue of producing leading-edge UAVs goes, the USSR was not particularly good at either software or electrical engineering, IIRC. Command economies and totalitarian ideologies seem to be good at the brute-force, metal-bashing, rule-of-thumb kind of engineering, but not stuff requiring higher levels of precision. To the degree that the PRC is catching up, they're doing so by becoming steadily less "communist" in any meaningful sense of the word.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    3. Re:So winning a war... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well it would certainly be true to say that the US has the edge when it comes to deluding itself. This is a sad fact we know from history. As far as i know the Soviet system took russia from being an peasant based economy right through to the point where it was streets ahead of the US programme, and without the help of quite so many nazi scientists, most of whom made their home in the states. How about the first satellite into space, the first man into space etc...? This was fifty or so years after the revolution remember.

      The moon landing was great propaganda but still, it was a typically pointless and empty gesture from the US. They reacted to the fact that the USSR was streets ahead and needed a publicity stunt to try and convince the public that they were keeping up. Things only got worse for them; while the US quietly forget about the moon and tried to get somewhere with the disastrous shuttle programme, the Russians pushed ahead with their space station Mir, which was by all accounts a huge success.

      |So, does space exploration require a high level of precision - or do you have a turd instead of a brain...?

      As for military technology there are plenty of experts would agree that Soviet jets of all types were vastly superior to their US counterparts - faster and more advanced. Show me a US fighter that could compete with the Mig 25 during the time that it was operational.

      And have you noticed how the high technology stuff has taken off since yeltsin et al took power - look at the glorious space programme in russia now. The truth is that the adoption of capitalism has reduced its status to that of a third world nation, exactly what the US wanted, surprise surprise.

      When you look at it, the idiocy of your statement is so obvious that you must be a troll, and I've probably been wasting my time. Never mind.

    4. Re:So winning a war... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is little doubt that putting a man in orbit is not accomplished by metal-bashing and brute force only, you actually need high levels of precision and technology. I lived in a country that was once under the shadow of the USSR and I have seen exactly what Daniel means, most USSR consumer products were aesthetically ugly, very simple in functioning, but most of the time very reliable, just like a shovel: it will do its work, but nothing more, and forget about fancy additions. I think that the USSR had a great scientific community, but they failed spreading space-era technology and all of its breakthroughs out of that field, mainly because of a totalitarian regime that mantained control of everything. Not so in the US for example, as we all know that space-era technology it's all around us in our everyday life. Why? Because NASA relays in third-party individuals to deliver specific objectives, then those individuals are free to do whatever they like with their inventions, like selling/licensing them. They beat us a couple times at the beginning because like I said they had a great community of scientists and a lot of push too, but they failed to keep up, not only because of this, but because the whole system was just waiting to collapse.

  7. Remote or AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

    So are these being piloted by remote or with pure AI?

    I think for now the remote option is far better, as long as there are sufficient cameras/other output from the plane in order for the "pilot" to know what's going on.

    I think this makes the Air Force far more attractive to more people. Sure, a non-tech saavy pilot who thinks he's a hero won't like it, but take an intelligent, college educated soldier and put him in command of a military operation *with no threat to his person* and I'm sure you could achieve some amazing results.

    Maybe we'll stop bombing civilians eventually.

    1. Re:Remote or AI? by slugtastic · · Score: 1

      Think of all the geeks who'll sign up to the army to play this fancy new simulator...

    2. Re:Remote or AI? by DougF · · Score: 5, Informative

      The Reaper, Predator and smaller UAVs are controlled by humans sitting either at the operating base for takeoffs and landings, or somewhere else for the mission. The Global Hawk is autonomous, but can be remotely piloted. FAA requirements are that an unmanned vehicle must be remotely piloted over US airspace, or escorted by aircraft capable of shooting it down should it develop a mind of its own. As for not bombing civilians, if someone would convince the bad guys to quit hiding in civilian neighborhoods, homes, crowds, etc., we'd be quite happy to not inflict collateral damage in the process of killing said bad guys. As for cost effectiveness, although cheaper to buy, they crash a lot more. Mishap rates for the Global Hawk and Predator are much higher than for manned aircraft. Add to the the fact that in-flight support costs (ground stations, bandwidth, satellite time, etc) can be much higher for unmanned vehicles than for a manned fighter/bomber, means the debate on which is more cost effective, manned or unmanned, will be going on for some time.

      --
      Impetuous! Homeric!
    3. Re:Remote or AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mishap rates for the Global Hawk and Predator are much higher than for manned aircraft.

      Really, I'm shocked. I would have thought that a pilot would care a whole lot less about dying than a computer. /sarcasm

    4. Re:Remote or AI? by tabrisnet · · Score: 1

      Great. Has echoes of Ender's Game.

    5. Re:Remote or AI? by conureman · · Score: 1

      Mishap rates are being attributed to the development phase. These are being tested on-the-job, that alone is a cost benefit. Price/performance ratio will increase with each unit deployed.

      --
      The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
    6. Re:Remote or AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FAA requirements are that an unmanned vehicle must be remotely piloted over US airspace, or escorted by aircraft capable of shooting it down should it develop a mind of its own.

      Not trying to flamebait here, I just want to know whether your wording is not precise or whether I should just go and start my retreat into the mountains. Aircraft developing minds of their own? This is seriously a concern for the FAA? We dont know enough about thought OR the brain, and we sure as heck can't program well enough. I dont think we'll see anything sophisticated enough to "develop a mind of its own" or "go rebel" any time soon. I mean, its no wonder the defense budget is as high as it is. We're actually spending equipment, manpower and fuel to escort unammaned vehicles over US airspace because someone at the FAA got stoned and saw S.T.E.A.L.T.H. one night?

      Besides, if there's anything the last eight years have taught me, it's that an idiot can do WAY more damage than an evil genius.

    7. Re:Remote or AI? by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      ...

      For the last time, they're crashed by human pilots.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    8. Re:Remote or AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      As for not bombing civilians, if someone would convince the bad guys to quit hiding in civilian neighborhoods, homes, crowds, etc., we'd be quite happy to not inflict collateral damage in the process of killing said bad guys.

      So if your family are taken hostage in your family home by some arsehole murderer, you would have no problems with the idea of the police destroying your home and killing your family in order to - hopefully - get the bad guy?

    9. Re:Remote or AI? by twostix · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah damn those evil TV stations, evil UN safe houses, evil electricity sub-stations and evil 'bad guy' bridges. The 'bad guys' (grow up) should know better than to have those things in built up areas.

      If *you* can simply dismiss the innocent being killed because you want to wage war against a tiny fragment of their neighbours as 'collateral damage', then by that exact same logic, all of the dead on 9/11 can simply be dismissed as collateral damage too.

      But then logic nor emotion enters the world of the chicken hawk...until it's their own neck on the line and then raw emotion *must* be dished out in spades.

    10. Re:Remote or AI? by Aceticon · · Score: 1

      As for not bombing civilians, if someone would convince the bad guys to quit hiding in civilian neighborhoods, homes, crowds, etc., we'd be quite happy to not inflict collateral damage in the process of killing said bad guys.

      "As for not sending rockets to civilian areas, if someone would convince the bad guys to quit attacking civilian neighborhoods, homes, crowds, etc. with missiles, artillery, tanks and bombers and other military equipment against which we have little or no defense, we'd be quite happy to stop firing rockets against the homes of the bad guys that sent their army to kill us."

      One man's terrorists are another man's freedom fighters and both sides ARE the bad guys to the other side - amazing concepts aren't they?

      Certainly, an understanding of basic human group psychology (in a fight both sides promote the image that "we are the good guys, the others are the bad guys") seems to be beyond the intellectual ability of a many people. ...

    11. Re:Remote or AI? by thrillseeker · · Score: 1

      Of course we all have a problem with it - that's why the arsehole murderer is hiding there.

    12. Re:Remote or AI? by giemer · · Score: 0

      How about...

      "if someone would convince people to quit hiding in civilian neighborhoods, homes, crowds, etc., we'd be quite happy to not inflict collateral damage in the process of killing those people."

      There, all bias removed.... poor grammar remains intact.

    13. Re:Remote or AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds like you need to brush up on your Geneva Conventions knowledge, then spend some time in Iraq yourself. Your comment is like a bright LED flashing "ignorance". And your analogy to 9/11 is so ridiculous, it's almost funny, save for the scary fact that you might actually believe that. Name the military target what was attacked on 9/11. There were none. It was purely an attack on civilians.

      As for logic and emotion--how many UAV missions have you been a part of? How many control centers have you sat in? You should educate yourself before you comment.

    14. Re:Remote or AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whereas traditional planes require quite large crews, copious amounts of technology, and were talking about the Navy, ya know...a HUGE floating hunk of metal.

    15. Re:Remote or AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Name the military target what was attacked on 9/11

      Pentagon?

  8. Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by EWAdams · · Score: 3, Funny

    However, there is still an old guard of macho "Top Gun" guys in the upper ranks who will have to die off before the Air Force becomes completely comfortable with the idea.

    An un-manned plane can out-accelerate and out-turn any plane with a human in it, so before long a manned plane will be at a distinct disadvantage. Give it 10 years or so and manned fighters will be gone. We'll still use pilots for AWACS and the like, though.

    --
    I piss off bigots.
    1. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by chadenright · · Score: 5, Insightful

      In order for unmanned, remote control aircraft to fully replace manned aircraft 3 things have to happen:

      *Reaction time for the remote pilot must equal or exceed that of an in-the-air pilot.
      *Data the remote pilot has access to must equal or exceed that of an in-the-air pilot.
      *Counter-counter measures must ensure that the remote pilot is always in control of the craft.

      In order for self-guided robotic aircraft to replace live pilots the following must happen:

      *Reaction speed must equal or exceed that of human pilots.
      *Appropriateness of reaction must equal or exceed that of human pilots.
      *Counter-counter measures must ensure that the robot cannot act against its creator body (IE, it can neither be subverted, nor rebel).

    2. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can you imagine a squadron of "fighter pilots" (flying remotely) who are sober and respectful 24x7, working out regularly at the gym?

      This doesn't seem at all right.

      You never close your eyes anymore when I kiss your lips.
      And there's no tenderness like before in your fingertips.

    3. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by dragonturtle69 · · Score: 1

      Eh, machismo maybe is a factor for managerial preference for people over automatons in the military, I think more one of trust though. As a civilian, who likes peace, I would rather that War costs lives, as that cost should equal a reluctance to engage unless necessary.

      Man, if we go all automatons, cracking skills will bring some serious power.

      --
      "What luck for the rulers that men do not think." - Adolph Hitler
    4. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      *Reaction time for the remote pilot must equal or exceed that of an in-the-air pilot.

      Why?

      The performance difference between a manned and unmanned aircraft is so great that it pretty much takes all the skill out of dogfighting. This of course assumes that the aircraft even gets into visual range (hint, missiles might be involved) before the engagement is over.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    5. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Bios_Hakr · · Score: 1

      *Reaction time for the remote pilot must equal or exceed that of an in-the-air pilot.

      Reaction time does not matter as much in bombing. The UCAV is, more or less, a reusable cruise missile.

      *Data the remote pilot has access to must equal or exceed that of an in-the-air pilot.

      Again, not really needed. One thing that keeps UCAV cost high is the "requirement" to provide feedback to the pilot. Sure, you need basic instruments. But most of the data in the cockpit is really not needed for the remote pilot. An onboard computer can track the data. If it falls outside of parameters, the plane can self-destruct and the pilot can be switched to another plane.

      *Counter-counter measures must ensure that the remote pilot is always in control of the craft.

      It's called an INS. Set up a crypto-enabled link to update the INS in-flight. The INS is a gyroscope attached to a computer and a bomb. If the gyro and the computer disagree, the bomb explodes.

      --
      I'd rather you do it wrong, than for me to have to do it at all.
    6. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by zx75 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or, you know, be able to put 3 unmanned airborne weapon platforms in the air for the same cost as a single manned jet-fighter and develop sophisticated enough auto-pilot that a human controller is only required during tactical maneuvers and blow the hell out of any human pilot opponents because:
      1) You outnumber them
      2) Your cost of casualties is far less because a single lost plane is 1/3 the price and no human casualties as a result
      3) Your ability to maneuver is much greater because you don't have to worry about physical limits on human pilots
      4) You have much better judgment and information at hand for the controller because they aren't being shot at, they can have support staff in the room with them, and important decisions can be more easily confirmed or double-checked (such as "are those actually enemies"? stupid friendly fire that killed 4 Canadian in Afghanistan...)

      I think the benefits and advantages of unmanned aircraft far outweigh manned aircraft at this point. The exception being instances where you need humans to be present (ie. troop transport, search and rescue, etc.)

      --
      This is not a sig.
    7. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Goddamnit, IT guys giving their opinions about planes...

      Do you fucking realise that the UAVs have absolutely nothing in common with the rest of the military aircrafts? They're slower, lighter, not a bit stealthy, don't have great flying performances, can't carry much, and so on. That's like comparing cherries and bananas, they have nothing in common, one cannot replace the other. If you launch a bunch of UAVs against say the Iranian Air Force all you're gonna end up with is a pile of steaming crashed UAVs on the ground and the enemy in the air. They're slow glowing expendable pieces of metal in the sky that you use to take out ground targets and such. They're not made for that, period.

      The only reason we're ordering more of them is because we need more of these for the ground tasks in question. Because we have no epic air battles against a powerful foreign Air Force, we just blow trucks and buildings up.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    8. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      It's called an INS. Set up a crypto-enabled link to update the INS in-flight. The INS is a gyroscope attached to a computer and a bomb. If the gyro and the computer disagree, the bomb explodes.

      Which of course means that the intrusion succeeded, because you just got the UAV to destroy itself instead of completing its objectives. It may not be $400 million a pop, but losing $14 million UAVs to ECM starts to add up after awhile.

    9. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

      * The remote pilot does not need to equal or exceed that of an in-the-air pilot. His airplane can outperform any manned aircraft, which allows him to recover from slower reaction times and still be more lethal than normal. Moreover, a plane that does not need a hump for the pilot, his ejection seat, and life support system can be designed to a much thinner and unobservable shape. If the remotely-controlled plane can sneak right up to a bad guy and pop him, reaction time is a useless metric.

      * Most of the information fed to an in-the-air pilot comes from electronic sensors on his plane or an AWACS. The only important data would be visual acuity but high-zoom cameras slaved to radar systems could probably see better than a human being.

      * The remote pilot will always be in charge of his aircraft. I don't understand this objection.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    10. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Bios_Hakr · · Score: 1

      I don't think we've lost any to jamming yet.

      Jamming sites are also ridiculously easy to spot. A few manned aircraft could take it out while the UCAVs loiter. Hell, you could even use a tungsten rod dropped from orbit or a dumb bomb that was lofted from outside of jamming range.

      --
      I'd rather you do it wrong, than for me to have to do it at all.
    11. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by rabbit994 · · Score: 1

      Fighters pilots won't die but primary issue is we don't need fighter pilots in our current conflicts. What guys on the ground want and need is Close Air Support or CAS. Something that Air Force isn't interested in and doesn't want to build planes to do. However, Drones are extremely effective at this and would probably get alot more effective at if Air Force went along with it.

    12. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      Thank you for a sane post.

      Dogfighting is more an aberrant case than anything else. No air force wants one-on-one dogfights: it's a situation that has become steadily more rare as C&C and doctrine have improved. Common in WW1 (knights of sky, etc,) rarer in WW2 (more multi-plane engagements, but pilots still got lost at times,) Korea, Vietnam (very rare, enough to make news when a dogfight happened.)

    13. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      The performance difference between a manned and unmanned aircraft is so great that it pretty much takes all the skill out of dogfighting

      The difference between a jet fighter and a cesna is about that. But not all UAVs need to be cesnas.

    14. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Eivind · · Score: 1

      Nah. That's silly. The criteria for taking over a role isn't to be better in EVERY way. It's enough to be, in sum total, the better choice. Evaluating choices has more than one criteria, and you don't need to excel in EVERY criteria to be the best choice.

      For example, it's perfectly possible that a somewhat higher reaction-time can be compensated by an ability to perform higher-G turns, in many situations initiating a 20G turn after 0.4 seconds may be superior to initiating a 5G-turn after 0.3 seconds. (random fabricated example)

      And for some high-risk missions, the fact that these are UNMANNED is by itself a large advantage, it means that if the mission goes horribly wrong, the risk to pilot-lives is significantly lower. Losing a pilot is expensive, in 3 ways. First pilots cost real cash. Second, losses on your own side are bad for morale. Third, and perhaps most significantly, loosing pilots is bad for popular support back home in USA for the mission.

      The last point is essential. At the moment, the only way to beat USA in a war is to convince the us public that they no longer want to pay the price of the war. And the price they care most about is coffins coming back home. So-and-so many billions doesn't make the same impression.

      If the count of dead US soldiers in Iraq was 10 times what it is, US-troops would be out already. If they where 1/10th what they are, Obama wouldn't have needed to promise withdrawal to win the election.

    15. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by EdIII · · Score: 1

      * The remote pilot will always be in charge of his aircraft. I don't understand this objection.

      It's not so much an objection, as a stated requirement for unmanned aircraft to fill the role being provided by manned aircraft. This a 100% reasonable requirement. Nay, 150%.

      If you have a squadron of 20 manned fighter jets it is already highly unlikely the enemy can remotely interfere with the operations of the plane. They may be able to jam the sensors and prevent the planes from being able to see or communicate as effectively as they otherwise could. However, it is impossible in a manned aircraft for the enemy to TAKE OVER the plane and direct it to attack other targets on the battlefield.

      With unmanned aircraft it is *possible* to hijack it's control systems and then direct it to attack other targets. I believe what the poster was saying is that there needs to be plenty of safeguards in place to prevent unmanned aircraft from being controlled by the enemy. Hackers are a threat to unmanned aircraft. Now I am sure this threat can be suitably mitigated by proper design, but it is certainly an area of primary importance if we are going to talk about unmanned aircraft taking over the role of manned aircraft.

      As for the other requirements I agree that they don't need to be that strict. After all, the Stealth fighters and bombers rely on heavily computerized flight systems to even get off the ground. The pilot is merely indicating direction. I can see that unmanned aircraft can take that to even more sophisticated level with software on the unmanned aircraft that not only keeps it in the air, but can make its own decisions about collision avoidance, threat assessments, evasive maneuvers etc.

      In that situation, real-time sensor data from those unmanned aircraft will become less and less important. In fact, I can see it as becoming irrelevant as unmanned aircraft in A2A combat may be able to react and perform many times faster than any human ever could. In that situation, human response times would be detrimental and real-time sensor data would be pointless.

      Of course as this technology progresses the whole situation itself becomes ridiculous. We will just send out a bunch of hardware and hope that our hardware is better and we can create more faster. No human casualties in warfare. We might as well get rid of war entirely and just agree to solve disputes with 200 foot tall robots created out of the best hardware and technology that individual countries could create. Now *that* is an original idea right?

    16. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by EdIII · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The last point is essential. At the moment, the only way to beat USA in a war is to convince the us public that they no longer want to pay the price of the war. And the price they care most about is coffins coming back home. So-and-so many billions doesn't make the same impression.

      I have to disagree. Wholeheartedly.

      During WWII the cost was so much higher than what Iraq and Afghanistan is today. It was a cost we could actually *feel* and experience everyday. There were rations. War Bonds. Women in factories all day. Your statement about "price" is simplistic. WWII made us pay a much higher "price" with human lives, yet it did not deter us from our goal. We paid a much higher "price" by having to work harder and enjoy a lower standard of living temporarily. That did not deter us from going the distance either.

      We believed in the "Mission" during WWII. That was to defeat the AXIS. Defeat Hitler and the Nazis. To defeat fascism in Europe. To punish the Japanese for their audacity in attacking us and killing all our soldiers in Pearl Harbor. It was an emotional response to Pearl Harbor and the resultant hardening of our will to stand up for the principles of our own nation. It was a war over ideology. It was about freedom. Now I am sure there are some cynics and conspiracy theorists that would argue otherwise, but that is how the American people felt during that war. WWII is where America started to "export our democracy".

      Most people don't care too much that we are losing lives in Iraq and Afghanistan. It's sad, but true. Americans don't BELIEVE in the MISSION. We don't believe we should have been in Iraq in the first place. We never bought the story (we all know it was fabricated at this point) that it was a direct and imminent threat to our welfare.

      Your statement about the billions not making an impression is ludicrous. The whole reason we are in this recession-turning-into-a-great-depression is that the average American is a Grade-A-Fucking-Moron(tm) when it comes to finance, credit, and money in general.

      We *don't* even understand how much money was spent on Iraq, how much was stolen, how much went to nepotism laced deals with Haliburton and a new black force of unaccountable mercenaries that replaced our own soldiers for the "wet work".

      If we truly understood the scale of this expenditure, the corruption involved, we would not be asking for an end to the Iraq war. We would be demanding that the Bush Administration be put in prison, that hundreds of others be held accountable with prison time, forcibly taking our money back from the scammers, etc.

      I'm sorry, but what you said was offensive in many ways. It is NEVER the financial cost of a war that will deter us. We proved that beyond all doubt with WWII. You make it sound like Americans are weak willed and that the moment it gets to tough we just give up.

      The way to "defeat the US" is to win our hearts and minds. You need to make us believe that you are not a threat to the world and our future. That us having our soldiers over there dying is pointless, and moreover, just wrong.

      We *lost* Vietnam because we did NOT believe that we had to defeat Communism at all costs. We did not believe that we had to fire bomb a country into oblivion and lose thousands of lives on both sides. It was not the financial price of Vietnam that had people in the streets chanting anti-war slogans.

      If the count of dead US soldiers in Iraq was 10 times what it is, US-troops would be out already. If they where 1/10th what they are, Obama wouldn't have needed to promise withdrawal to win the election.

      Your absolutely wrong on both counts. If your first statement was true, we would have stopped our involvement in World War II well before the summer of 1945. Obama needed to promise to withdraw our troops, not because of how many we were losing, but because we no longer believed we should be there in the first place, and

    17. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      I am even willing to pay $5,000 dollars as my share to attack Iran, Syria, AND !AND! PAKISTAN RIGHT NOW.

      Pakistan is a nuclear power. You might want to re-think your target list.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    18. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by EdIII · · Score: 1

      Pakistan is a nuclear power. You might want to re-think your target list.

      How could Pakistan defend itself with nuclear capabilities? It has nuclear warheads. It does not have delivery systems that can even make it to the Atlantic ocean. AFAIK, their longest range missile is maybe 1500 miles at best. The top end of the HATF group. In order for Pakistan to be able to hit the US it would need ICBM's. They don't have that capability which is probably why they are not a field of glass right now. So you are overstating their capabilities.

      Why should we be concerned about Pakistan? The fact that Mushariff is out of office means that more Islamic conservatives are going to take over and there will be a heck of lot less moderation and tolerance in Pakistan. Not like there is much anyways. They have always been more of a threat than any other country in the region. I know what I say sounds radical, but if we are truly going to do a threat assessment Pakistan is #1 on the list, followed by Iran and then Syria.

      North Korea follows after that, even though it has seemed to calm down lately. Probably figured out the US was not kidding about finding a nuclear armed North Korea with ever expanding missile ranges an "imminent" threat. That and they were probably afraid of Bush since the world really sees him as unstable and psychotic with regards to foreign diplomacy. In other words its fun to play the bully till you run into someone truly insane that just looks at you and tells you to bring it on (Kim is the bully, Bush is insane). Then its no longer any fun. PLUS Kim and Saddam have a lot in common. They both like to spout rhetoric and act tough, but at the end of the day they like to spend their time in their pleasure palaces enjoying a standard of living way higher than any of their people. I bet that got to Kim and his people around him. Knowing that at the end Saddam was in a dirty hole with no amenities and servants.

      The reason why I even mention it is that Iraq was just the stupidest target imaginable. They just were not a threat, and certainly not a stronghold for militant Islamic groups. Saddam and his kids were true gangster thugs and did not want Islamic fundamentalism in their country. That would have been competition to them. Pakistan is much more logical and reasonable target than Iraq. Quite frankly, other than Afghanistan there really was nobody else on the list worth doing anything about at the moment. If we were not going to attack Pakistan, we should of just concentrated on the Taliban and left the region alone.

      Islam is not a religion of hate, but in the middle east it is being used by many in a culture of hate. These are truly men that cannot be reasoned with. It is us or them. Well I say we take them out now before Pakistan gets ICBM capabilities. I do believe they had some responsibility in the attacks in India during thanksgiving and that many within the military and government are supporters of militant Islam.
      It really will be a matter of time before some militant Islamic group gets there hands on those weapons anyways. War with them now or later, it makes no difference.

      Now the ONLY reason I even mentioned that I was willing to fork over five grand to go attack them was to point out to the poster that the cost is meaningless if you really believe you are fighting for your survival and freedoms. I would much rather attack Pakistan given all that we know about its defensive capabilities than quietly let the US turn into some cowed and terror filled populace perfectly willing to sacrifice all of its freedoms just to feel a little more secure from those same men in Pakistan and the surrounding regions that hate us.

    19. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Eivind · · Score: 1

      I think you're needlessly provoked because you didn't fully read what I wrote, or atleast you ignored parts of it.

      I said *AT*THE*MOMENT* I never claimed that America was at no point involved in wars over issued more important to the US public, such as WW-II. And it's obvious to everyone that when the US public really genuinely care about the issues at stake, they're willing to accept much higher losses, without turning against the war as such.

      But at the MOMENT (like I said) most of the wars USA are involved in are over issues which the average American doesn't consider very crucial. It's atleast my honest impression that really, people don't care THAT much who leads Iraq. Sure, Saddam was a dictator and an asshole of the worst sort, but let's face it, that's also true for dozens of other state-leaders today.

      And when you don't really care about the issue, the most realistic way of beating usa (not in the sense of military win, but in the sense of suceeding in having american soldiers remove themselves from your country) is to make the price to pay high, for an issue that people in USA don't really care about.

      There's a limit to how many dead Americans the general public in USA will accept for an issue that they really don't care that deeply about. 4000 dead, and something like 30K wounded (more than that if you include wounded from non-enemy-action) is a high price to pay for... for what exactly ?

      Sure. If your point is that if the issue was important to you, you'd have stayed even at high cost, I agree absolutely. It's just that it ain't. And that seems the pattern for most of the military actions abroad of the US military these last few decades.

      How many of the military actions performed by the US military abroad in the last 20 years do you REALLY care about ?
      Some, perhaps. But I'll guess that most missions have been performed on issues that aren't really close to the heart of the average American.

      I agree absolutely that the financial price didn't get you out of Vietnam. Infact I said PRECISELY that; that you care more about the count of coffins than you care about the count of dollars. I do suggest that the high number of dead in the vietnam war contributed to creating the opposition to the war. 60000 dead US soldiers, and 5 times that wounded played a role here.

      This is, by the way, in my eyes a compliment to the American people. I do share the opinion that in general, human suffering is more important than financial cost.

    20. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Urkki · · Score: 1

      Of course as this technology progresses the whole situation itself becomes ridiculous. We will just send out a bunch of hardware and hope that our hardware is better and we can create more faster. No human casualties in warfare. We might as well get rid of war entirely and just agree to solve disputes with 200 foot tall robots created out of the best hardware and technology that individual countries could create. Now *that* is an original idea right?

      Well, in the end war is about taking and keeping control. You can do that either by physical presence, or by threats of bombing and/or occupation. Dominating the air is something that only indirectly helps with this, by allowing effective and cheap surveillance, transport and bombing. But alone, aircraft can achieve very little directly valuable, they can only give an advantage for other operations.

    21. Re:Among insiders this is a well-known phenomenon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mate, dunno how to tell you this, but i doubt attacking a country with proven nuclear capabilities will only result in "tens of thousands" of casualties among US military personnel..

      And i'm talking about Pakistan here...

  9. Sure, unmanned RC stuff by zoomshorts · · Score: 0

    BUT It all depends on how the undermind game player assigns target values to unimportant
    Targets, and based upon his/her video game expertise.

    This sounds like the usurpation of thinking people to videiots.

    Who needs this?

  10. How much does a pilot cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How much does the recruitment and training of a pilot for one of these things cost?

  11. About time. by jcr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    For decades now, the limit to fighter aircraft performance has been human endurance.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    1. Re:About time. by werdnapk · · Score: 1

      Thanks to uppers the pilots are going longer, stronger, faster.

    2. Re:About time. by jcr · · Score: 1

      Those won't keep a pilot from blacking out at 15 G.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    3. Re:About time. by Bios_Hakr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      For years, "fighters" really haven't been doing A2A combat. Most (all?) of these are employed as bombers. And fighter/bombers are limited by airframe, not the pilot.

      And when it comes to bombing, unmanned aircraft are just better. One can orbit at high altitude and lase targets while others come in lower and drop GBUs all over the target. If a few get shot down, no big deal.

      Set up an INS with a gyroscope and trigger that to the proposed flight path and set the bomb to detonate if the plane veers off course. If a few blow up in the air, no big deal. Better than having one go "unguided" and hit whatever.

      Forget calling in air strikes for CAS roles. The soldiers on the front can launch their own RPVs for some stuff. And for other missions, it'll be cost effective to have a wing of escorts accompany the troops. If they are attacked, the UCAVs can come down in seconds and drop munitions.

      Forget the traditional role of air dominance. We can just send hundreds of UCAVs for every piloted vehicle the enemy has. He can't possibly shoot them all down. And in the opening days of the war, we'll blanket all the enemy runways with thousands of UCAVs anyway. Bomb the shit out of the runways and then loiter to take out any combat engineers trying to fix it.

      The greatest thing is the manpower use. One pilot can update the INS for hundreds of UCAVs. Then, they just fly themselves. Once over the target, one pilot can take a single UCAV out of loiter and hit targets all night. Or, 20 pilots can be re-directed to engage in "shock and awe" while their former flights loiter.

      Pilots will be working 8-hour shifts with 15 minute breaks every hour. They will even be able to take lunch. They can do their job from Utah or Maryland or Colorado without every having to deploy to Iraq. They won't have to be in perfect physical shape to fly. Bum knee on a great pilot; no problem.

      --
      I'd rather you do it wrong, than for me to have to do it at all.
    4. Re:About time. by willmorton · · Score: 1

      Pilots don't use speed anymore, they use modafinil (brand name Provigil). Keeps you awake but doesn't make you wig out like Dexedrine does, which is widely regarded as a bad thing when the subject is in charge of a few tons of ordnance.

    5. Re:About time. by evanspw · · Score: 1

      You're quite right. The biggest problem is identifying targets, and that needs to be done flying low and slow. The modern fetish for very expensive aircraft flying at 25000 feet and 500 knots trying to hit small targets is a complete waste of time and next to useless.
      The A10 is by far the most useful aircraft the US army and airforce has flown in the last 40 years, but the hierarchy hates it because it doesn't fit in with their macho fighter jock mentality (as per the rest of the armed forces, they are trained only to refight WW2).

      --
      Interstitial spaces are filled with cream.
  12. We are calling it skynet and WOPR is the name of m by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 1

    We are calling it skynet and WOPR is the name of main AI running it all.

  13. Welcome by sgt+scrub · · Score: 0

    I for one welcome our unmanned overlords.

    --
    Having to work for a living is the root of all evil.
    1. Re:Welcome by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really burned karma points for that?

  14. A very pointed statement by InlawBiker · · Score: 1

    I think it's a very pointed statement about our commitment to providing money to the defense contractor industry.

    1. Re:A very pointed statement by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      You realise that we're currently engaged in two wars, right? Maybe you hear more about what Malia Obama had for lunch at school than about these wars, but they're still being fought.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    2. Re:A very pointed statement by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      You realise that we're currently engaged in two wars, right?

      Nope. we're engaged in two occupations. Significantly different problem, neither of which requires an Air Force half as much as it requires a Police Force.

    3. Re:A very pointed statement by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      True. We still arguably need to shoot stuff from the sky though.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
  15. Not just the US by youknowjack · · Score: 2, Informative

    I read recently that China is also committing to unmanned aircraft, with a 1 billion yuan investment (US$150 mil)

    http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90001/90776/90882/6564823.html

  16. Jamming the communication system by qbzzt · · Score: 2, Informative

    It is probably a spread spectrum solution that is difficult to jam. If you do manage to transmit powerfully enough to jam it, you advertise your location and something else (artillery or manned bomber) will pay you a short visit.

    --
    -- Support a free market in the field of government
    1. Re:Jamming the communication system by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      True. Of course, the control station is also announcing its presence rather loudly ... the people we're fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan don't have the tech to take advantage of this, of course, but it would be a grave mistake to assume that our future enemies will be fighting with such a handicap.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    2. Re:Jamming the communication system by maeka · · Score: 3, Interesting

      True. Of course, the control station is also announcing its presence rather loudly ... the people we're fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan don't have the tech to take advantage of this

      Two things:
      1 - the control station is only announcing its presence loudly if we assume non line-of-sight radio use. The CIA and USAF have been rapidly moving to LoS radio and laser communication (satellite bounced) for their UAVs. The control station may be in-theater or:
      2 - there is no reason to park your control station anywhere near the battlefield. The USA is very capable of controlling their UAVs from the continental US, where no opponent outside Russia could likely strike.

      That combined with the fact that the UAV software is quickly progressing to the point where you can "park" one over a target site and it can operate autonomously for long periods, only requesting human intervention when a "key event" is detected and there is little reason one pilot can not control an entire squadron.

    3. Re:Jamming the communication system by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      We already control uav's from the continental US. Its called Nellis AFB out of Las Vegas (chosen for its surrounding terrain and climate that makes basically devoid of any cloud cover)

    4. Re:Jamming the communication system by merreborn · · Score: 1

      there is no reason to park your control station anywhere near the battlefield. The USA is very capable of controlling their UAVs from the continental US, where no opponent outside Russia could likely strike.

      When it comes to communications latency, the time required for a signal to reach an orbiting satellite and return, even at the speed of light, is not trivial.

      Geostationary orbit is 35,786,000 meters out. A laser beamed from the earth's surface takes over 100 ms to reach that altitude, and another 100+ ms to reach its destination. Right off the bat, you're looking at a 400+ ms ping time, which is significantly slower than human reaction time. And it only gets worse if you're going around the globe.

      Using satelites in low earth orbit brings this time down, but not all that much when it comes to getting a signal to the other end of the planet.

      Even in the theoretical absolute best case -- a direct fiber optic cable connection operating at the speed of light (actual fiberoptics operate at a fraction of that speed) on the earths' surface (the lowest "orbit" altitude possible), any given point on the earth's surface may be up to 20,000 km away (1/2 the earth's circumference), meaning a 66 millisecond travel time one-way, or a 132 millisecond round-trip ping. Of course, in reality, this is completely impossible -- a real round-the-globe trip will be well over 20,000 km, and take place at a fraction of the speed of light.

      So, in short, you'll never do better than 132 ms round trip when it comes to getting a signal half way around the earth and back. As a result, there will pretty much always be a significant latency benefit to be had in having your transmitter near your receiver. You can afford to put yourself hundreds of miles from your drone, sure. But you can't expect to fly a drone in China with from a base in Wyoming and hope to have exceptional reaction times.

    5. Re:Jamming the communication system by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      So, in short, you'll never do better than 132 ms round trip when it comes to getting a signal half way around the earth and back. As a result, there will pretty much always be a significant latency benefit to be had in having your transmitter near your receiver. You can afford to put yourself hundreds of miles from your drone, sure. But you can't expect to fly a drone in China with from a base in Wyoming and hope to have exceptional reaction times.

      The drone need only take high-level commands, and deal with low-level reactions on the local level without human intervention.

    6. Re:Jamming the communication system by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The USA is very capable of controlling their UAVs from the continental US, where no opponent outside Russia could likely strike."

      You don't need to strike the command center. There are several countries capable of destroying satelites. It's not exactly a hard control task to follow a microwave or laser beam back to the source.

      And if you want to go low tech, a high altitude blimp / balloon with a mirror or microwave reflective material (ie the blimp skin) would also seriously screw with remote controlled UAVs.

    7. Re:Jamming the communication system by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In a "real" war there will be no satellites since, the US, Russia, EU and China all have the means to obliterate all satellites (ok, perhaps not the moon, but you know what I mean) in the first days (hours?) of war.

      Then A.I. or manned again seems more the way to go.

  17. You will need economic power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To design and manufacture the best and most unmanned aircraft themselves.

    1. Re:You will need economic power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm glad to see you have a sense of humor.

    2. Re:You will need economic power by Zebano · · Score: 1

      In Soviet Russia, the UAVs program you!

      (Apologies, but if you make a "new xxx overlord" joke you're asking for the Soviet Russia variant.)

      --
      You hate your job? There's a support group for that. It's called "everybody" and they meet at the bar. -Drew Carey.
  18. Robot wars by Venerence · · Score: 1

    In a decade war will be entirely done remotely as robot wars. And then my decades of gaming experience will finally be applicable.

    1. Re:Robot wars by Anonymous+Cowpat · · Score: 1

      Interestingly, as air forces switch to unmanned aircraft, and unmanned ships are invented (thanks, Israel), and shiny ground-control robots too, we're seeing an understandable drive towards changing the way that wars are fought to eliminate the risk to people all together, with the possible exception of attacking command and control centres behind the lines.

      How long until the rules of war get changed so that you're not allowed to deliberately attack people, civilian or military?

      --
      FGD 135
  19. Defense contractors by qbzzt · · Score: 1

    Do you think we don't need an air force? Or that we shouldn't try to run it in such a way that will minimize casualties?

    --
    -- Support a free market in the field of government
  20. Judgement Day by GottliebPins · · Score: 1

    All Stealth Bombers are upgraded with Cyberdyne computers becoming fully unmanned. Afterwards, they fly with a perfect operational record. The Skynet Funding Bill is passed. The system goes online on August 4th, 1997. Human decisions are removed from strategic defense. Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 AM Eastern Standard Time, August 29th. In a panic they try to pull the plug. It launches its missiles against the targets in Russia...

    1. Re:Judgement Day by fortapocalypse · · Score: 1

      The system goes online on August 4th, 1997.

      Rats, so we're in the 90s again? Guess I need to dig up my grunge clothes, grow a soul patch, and put on some Pearl Jam CDs.

  21. Assymentrical warfare by mi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So have we got to the stage yet where we can just have our unmanned vehicles fight their unmanned vehicles over an empty patch of ocean and declare a winner?

    The whole point of UAVs is that they are great in assymetrical warfare — such as what we and our allies (like Israel) are engaged in now and for the foreseeable future. A really strong military facing weak opponents, who carefully exploit not military strength (which they do not have), but their blending among civilians, terrorism, and some legal tricks too.

    It does not work the other way — against comparable or stronger military. When Georgians tried, earlier this year, to use UAVs to monitor their rebel territories from the air, the rebel-supporting Russia quickly blasted the UAV out of the sky with a manned fighter.

    Should we come to the unfortunate point of facing a comparably-equipped military once again, Air Force's spending priorities will change again.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Assymentrical warfare by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      It does not work the other way â" against comparable or stronger military. When Georgians tried, earlier this year, to use UAVs to monitor their rebel territories from the air, the rebel-supporting Russia quickly blasted the UAV out of the sky with a manned fighter.

      Given the proper SAM/laser defense capability, Georgians could've continued to use UAVs.

    2. Re:Assymentrical warfare by evilviper · · Score: 1

      When Georgians tried, earlier this year, to use UAVs to monitor their rebel territories from the air, the rebel-supporting Russia quickly blasted the UAV out of the sky with a manned fighter.

      That has NOTHING to do with manned vs. unmanned.

      If they sent-up slow, defenseless, piloted aircraft, they would have similarly been shot down.

      UAVs have, so far, been designed for (unarmed) surveillance (ala. U-2s) and bombers, ala (mini) B-52s. Just because there isn't currently an unmanned fighter doesn't mean they can't defend themselves, or be used for air to air combat.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    3. Re:Assymentrical warfare by dwater · · Score: 1

      > but their blending among civilians, terrorism, and some legal tricks too.

      I would say that use of these vehicles encourages more terrorism.

      Terrorism is already used because one side doesn't have the might to directly fight with the group of people the other side has assigned for fighting (army/air force/navy/etc). I'm not even sure why people think they should restrict their fighting to only against those people.

      Removing more people from the 'battlefield' isn't going to help, but make things worse - this way it's almost like every one is a 'civilian' (at least in the limit it will be) and they can't even attack 'military' even if they wanted to 'play by the rules'.

      --
      Max.
    4. Re:Assymentrical warfare by rcastro0 · · Score: 1

      The whole point of UAVs is that they are great in assymetrical warfare -- such as what we and our allies (like Israel) are engaged in now and for the foreseeable future.

      So, UAV are good to go against guerrilla tactics and terrorism, and not good to destroy, say, tanks and battleships? Nah! It is quite the opposite.

      Think of fighting guerrilla wars and terrorism as police work (it is more similar to that than to conventional warfare), and try to imagine how useful would be a UAV to fight the Mob, or that drug dealing gang downtown. Not useful at all, I tell you. Infantry (= soldiers on foot or policemen) are what is most important then.

      Now... think of a UAV against heavy, more static and/or concentrated targets such as armored divisions, battleships, even command centers and buildings -- all targets that only present themselves in conventional warfare. That will work much better! Remember the Kamikaze in WWII? As someone pointed out, guided missiles ARE a form of UAV.

      --
      Quem a paca cara compra, paca cara pagará.
    5. Re:Assymentrical warfare by mi · · Score: 1

      Just because there isn't currently an unmanned fighter doesn't mean they can't defend themselves, or be used for air to air combat.

      It was my understanding, that although the cameras provide decent observation angles, they can't provide equivalent of the glass cockpit. Similarly, although the communication links are high-speed, there is still latency. Both of these factors would make controlling of a high-speed fighter from a remote (sometimes half-way across the globe) location rather impractical, limiting UAVs' use to slow, defenseless, and cheap apparata.

      Seriously, I know of some hedge funds, that pay premiums for placing their algorithmic trading servers right there next to the stock-exchanges — to help reduce communication latencies, which would dull the efficiencies of their exploiting momentarily opportunities in price-differences. They could trade on Tokyo exchange from a server in the US, but they don't want to be impeded by the latency of price-quotes arriving from and of their automatic execution orders reach the exchange. The speed of lights is high, but not infinite.

      Similarly, controlling a real fighter jet over Afghanistan from Nevada would be rather inefficient, although one could still deploy the "pilots" to Afghanistan without putting them on the planes. Some day...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    6. Re:Assymentrical warfare by evilviper · · Score: 1

      although the cameras provide decent observation angles, they can't provide equivalent of the glass cockpit

      True only because they weren't designed to. If you don't need it, you don't spend money on it, and the current UAVs wouldn't benefit from it at all.

      There are innumerable cameras out there which provide visual data vastly better than the human eye is able to. And there are other benefits, like the ability to have 50 eyes (on the ground) looking over the visual data, simultaneously.

      Similarly, although the communication links are high-speed, there is still latency.

      There haven't been any attempts to minimize latency, again, because there is no need for it in their current designs. The transmission delay over a direct air to ground (line-of-sight antenna, routed some miles away to the operating base) link is minuscule, and the current satellite bounce links can be reserved for use only if/when the direct links go out.

      As listing all the potential drawbacks, without listing any of the (many) benefits, will always make something sound bad. Include speed, cost, manuverability, size, etc., and you'll find the cheaper, faster, more numerous UAVs flying circles around manned aircraft, despite lag and reduced field of vision.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    7. Re:Assymentrical warfare by mi · · Score: 1

      the current satellite bounce links can be reserved for use only if/when the direct links go out.

      Basically, I agree with you, except in the above — the plane's "pilots" would have to be located fairly close to the action. Placing them, as is done now, half way across the globe in Nevada, just would not work. Ever.

      Earth's circumference is 40076000 meters. The speed of light is 299792458 meters per second. The round-trip latency will thus be at least 0.13 of a second, which is substantial even for driving in the rain — and the real lag will be bigger. This is a serious disadvantage and no money or technology can solve this problem.

      Only deploying the controllers closer to the battlefields — itself quite a logistical challenge — will. Perhaps, retrofitting the carriers to keep the "pilots" on the ship is the next practical step... But first, most of the current decision-makers among military pilots would have to retire...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  22. Launching space tractors. by Ostracus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "Command economies and totalitarian ideologies seem to be good at the brute-force, metal-bashing, rule-of-thumb kind of engineering, but not stuff requiring higher levels of precision."

    Like say launching rockets into orbit.

    --
    Shai Schticks:"You don't make peace with friends, you make peace with enemies"
    1. Re:Launching space tractors. by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Like say launching rockets into orbit.

      Which they did, basically, by brute force, metal bashing, and rule of thumb. And killed a hell of a lot of people doing it. I'm a big fan of Soviet-era space technology, actually -- the stuff that has lasted is cheap and reliable -- but the process of developing it was something that would have been completely unacceptable to Americans, and rightly so.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    2. Re:Launching space tractors. by TerranFury · · Score: 1

      "Command economies and totalitarian ideologies seem to be good at the brute-force, metal-bashing, rule-of-thumb kind of engineering, but not stuff requiring higher levels of precision." Like say launching rockets into orbit.

      I was going to say! The Soviets controls community was really incredibly badass (and they had journals with wonderful names like "Kybernetica"). They must have also had some really good aeronautical engineers, because they put out some insane fighter jets too. All of this is pretty much the definition of high-precision. And while we're on the subject of "totalitarian ideologies" and "higher levels of precision," I should probably bring up Hitler's Germany. Y'know, the country that the U.S. got a lot of its postwar scientific big names (like Von Braun) from.

    3. Re:Launching space tractors. by _ivy_ivy_ · · Score: 1

      -- the stuff that has lasted is cheap and reliable

      Isn't cheap and reliable equivalent to good engineering?

    4. Re:Launching space tractors. by cobraR478 · · Score: 1

      You missed the part where he said "And killed a hell of a lot of people doing it." That's poor engineering.

    5. Re:Launching space tractors. by _ivy_ivy_ · · Score: 1

      What about Apollo 1, Challenger, and Columbia?

    6. Re:Launching space tractors. by cobraR478 · · Score: 1

      Sure, but at the same time many other technologies were developed in the non-totalitarian country (aka US) that provided tangible and immediate benefits to the people living in it. On top of that, technologies were developed that greatly increased productivity which helped to ensure future economic gains that would be extremely difficult to match.

    7. Re:Launching space tractors. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lol - don't confront these retards with historical facts - it will only confuse them further.

    8. Re:Launching space tractors. by Seraphim1982 · · Score: 1

      That's what 17 people?

      The 1980's Vostok rocket explosion killed 48 people on it's own.

    9. Re:Launching space tractors. by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      It's true that *Germany* produced some very fine scientists and engineers, but its also true that fascism caused some of the best and brightest of them to end up in the United States. That's one reason the US had the Atom Bomb and Germany did not. Its one thing to school and encourage great scientists, its another thing entirely to take over the country and inherit them (and do your best to get some good ones to leave because they happened to be Jewish).

      As for the Soviet Union, as much as I completely oppose communism, I will readily admit they did make sure and provide a very high level of education for all. Indeed, one of the reasons that I know Marxist-Leninism to be a flawed ideology is that they had all of these extremely talented and educated people, and they still ended up behind the West.

      The problem with Soviet engineering was that it by all done with the whole command economy mindset. The Politburo wanted results, and the scientists had to provide... or else. The one thing is that the Politburo wasn't overly squeamish about the occasional loss of life here or there, and they didn't have to worry at all about an electorate or a free press. That meant very simply that the scientists knew where their priorities lay, and it wasn't in precision or technical sophistication.

    10. Re:Launching space tractors. by Yazeran · · Score: 2, Informative

      Except that Nazi Germany basically invented all the technologies used in modern warfare

      1) Long endurance diesel electric submarines (type XXI, Elektroboote)
      2) Long range ballistic missiles (A4/V2)
      3) Jet propelled aircraft (both fighters, bombers and recon, notably ME-262)
      4) Cruise missiles (V1/FGZ-76)
      5) Smart bombs (Fritz-X and HS-293 glider bombs)
      6) Inertial navigation (A4/V2)

      Systems under development/not deployed
      1) Nuclear bomb / nuclear power
      2) Guided surface to air missiles (Wasserfall)
      3) Guided Air to Air missiles (Ruhrstahl X-4)

      All in all, only the digital computers (of which Nazi germany also made the first Turring complete one (Zuse Z3) have come later.

      Yours Yazeran

      Plan: To go to Mars one day with a hammer

    11. Re:Launching space tractors. by Yazeran · · Score: 1

      Doh, this should have been a reply note to the one a level higher up....

      Yazeran

    12. Re:Launching space tractors. by ElAurian · · Score: 1

      GPS, lasers, radar.

      Ze Germans didn't invent those.

    13. Re:Launching space tractors. by Yazeran · · Score: 1

      Wrong on 2 out of 3.

      The Germans had a very well developed radar system from the beginning of the war. The Freya-gerat for long range search, Wurtzburg for short range ground intercept and control and Lichtenstein for short range airborne interception.

      It is true that Nazi Germany didn't have GPS (which requires satellites in orbit, something noone could do in 1945), but they did have a range of radio navigation aids of which the Knickebein system was the widest deployed (they also had the X- and Y- beam systems used for both bombing and interception of allied bombers).

      The Knikebein system was based on the Lorenz blind landing system, which is still being used today on all large airports, as the simplicity of the system requires only a functional AM-radio receiver to work (you can basically hear if you are on course or not as well as which side you have to move if you are not).

      Yours Yazeran

      Plan: to go to Mars one day with a hammer.

  23. would you go to minnesota? by east+coast · · Score: 1

    to find moonlight grahm?

    --
    Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
  24. and they plug it into skynet in 3, 2, 1..... by Rick+Bentley · · Score: 1

    buy a dog, learn to shoot heavy weapons, and move to Mexico.

    --
    My favorite quote doesn't fit into 120 characters. Now no one will like me.
  25. Misleading number by andy1307 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    An unmanned aircraft costs a lot less than a single F/22 or F/35. So, buying more UAV/UCAVs doesn't say much about spending priorities. TFA makes no mention of the amount of meny being spent on unmanned aircraft v/s manned aircraft.

    1. Re:Misleading number by cowscows · · Score: 1

      That's not currently a fair comparison to make however. Current unmanned aircraft are nowhere near as capable as an F-22 or an F-35. Sure, in theory, an unmanned craft with comparable performance and capabilities should be somewhat cheaper because you can leave out a bunch of the pilot interface/support/safety gear, but I don't think the difference will be as vast as the cost difference today between an F-22 and a predator drone.

      --

      One time I threw a brick at a duck.

  26. Wait a second... by DesScorp · · Score: 4, Interesting

    lets see

    1 $400 million dollar F-22

    10 $40 million dollar F-35

    or

    Where are you getting those figures? Your larger point... UAV's are cheap compared to manned fighters... still stands, but your figures for the manned fighters are off significantly. Your F-22 price is waaay to high, and ironically, the price for the F-35 is too low. No one really knows for sure, as Lockheed Martin and the Air Force fudges their financial figures on this, but the most credible figures for an F-22 is between $120 and $140 million a copy (flyaway cost), and at around $87 million per copy for an F-35A.

    Both are wayyy to expensive, but at least the F-22 will do what it promises... dominate air-to-air battles. The F-35 is beginning to look like an expensive pig in a poke. If UAV's can become more and more capable (and stay cheap), you're right in that the trend of replacing some manned missions with unmanned planes will only accelerate.

    --
    Life is hard, and the world is cruel
    1. Re:Wait a second... by icebrain · · Score: 1

      To clarify, "flyaway" cost is that it would theoretically cost if you walked up to Lockmart and ordered a new airplane right now. It doesn't include R&D costs that have already been paid, only the material cost plus labor and a reasonable profit margin.

      Using the amortized cost is good when you're trying to justify canceling the program, which is part of what happened to the F-22. "Oh, it's expensive! We don't want to buy as many!" So they cut the purchase. Well, the R&D (much of which was already paid) was then rolled back into the new amortized cost... "hey, the price went up again! Buy less of them!" And so on.

      --
      The meek may inherit the earth, but the strong shall take the stars.
    2. Re:Wait a second... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      UAVs have many advantages. They can loiter over an area on auto-pilot until someone notices something by filter, then a human can take over. Basically, they can continue over an area until all the fuel has been expended, and you don't have to take pilot exhaustion into account as much (if they will be piloted remotely, they can take shifts).
      They can be produced in large numbers.
      They don't risk a human pilot over enemy territory.
      When some company designs a dogfighting system, they will immediately be able to out-turn any human pilot by a large factor.

  27. No need to dogfight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No need to dogfight, just fill the sky with cheap UAVs armed with cheap AA misiles. F22s at 100 times the price tag of an UAV will need to have a hell of kill ratio to win this fight.

    1. Re:No need to dogfight by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      You do realise that F-22s pretty much have the radar cross-section of a seagull, that they can get out of dodge so fast it's not even funny and that even stealth aside they can still go anywhere by bypassing an eventual swarms of UAVs, right? As for actually taking the UAVs down that may actually take a while, and by a while I mean lots of missiles, but that's the only advantage UAVs would have there. A few SAM stations and such all over the place might help ;).

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    2. Re:No need to dogfight by Anonymous+Cowpat · · Score: 1

      So fire at seagulls, use infrared, see which points in the sky produce more infrared and less visible light.
      In any case, you get your 100 attack UAVs and you put them together with 100 AA UAVs.
      That's financially equivalent to 2 F-22s, each F-22 can shoot down 2 UAVs at medium range and 6 at short range with missiles. That's a total of 16. To do any more to fend off the attackers they're going to have to get in close and open up with guns, at which point they'll have a swarm of about 90 AA UAVs to worry about.

      The only reason that we haven't seen this already is that the only people with the capability to build practical UAVs are the also the only people with F-22s.

      --
      FGD 135
    3. Re:No need to dogfight by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      The whole 100 UAVs vs 1 F-22 is getting a bit silly to be honest, I don't see in what sort of circumstance you would deploy that many UAVs (each need a 2-person crew on the ground as well as the equipment, there's a lot of hidden costs behind the cheap UAVs when you think about it). Besides, even if you did that you might as well deploy SA-3s and use your SA-2s and whatever else that can reach them to intercept them too.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
  28. Unmaned Air Force? by mr+exploiter · · Score: 1

    The next step will be to give this planes more autonomous capabilities developing AI systems to control them. Then build a network so they communicate between themselves. I would call it skynet.

    1. Re:Unmaned Air Force? by east+coast · · Score: 1

      Oddly enough the ability for them to communicate with each other has probably already been put in place. There's a million errors a human pilot, even on the ground, could make that the automated part could right without having to "think twice".

      There's just some things you can't trust a human to do in any given circumstance. That's reason enough to have the planes.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    2. Re:Unmaned Air Force? by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      There's just some things you can't trust a human to do in any given circumstance. That's reason enough to have the planes.

      Given that an F-22 has computer-assisted everything,, the F-117 was "fly by computer", and the UAW is essentially just telepresence with an autopilot...

      You don't know what the hell you're talking about. The things that computers do better, THEY ALREADY DO. The things that people do better? Nonintelligent Computers will never do. And we're not closer to intelligent AI than we are fusion.

  29. mnb Re:Launching space tractors. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like say launching rockets into orbit.

    Considering much of their head-start in the space race was due to the fact that they owned larger rockets because their (ballistic) nukes were cruder and heavier - yes sometimes the brute-force method pays unexpected dividends.

  30. Unmanned indeed. by thePowerOfGrayskull · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    See? This is what happens when you let women into the military! They cut the balls off of our planes...

    Erm, someone had to say it right?

    Guys? Um, guys?

  31. UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by DesScorp · · Score: 4, Informative

    No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

    On a one to one basis, maybe no. But what about a ten to one basis? UAVs are a lot cheaper, and a lot more expendable.

    If you can occupy the enemy's airforce with some UAVs, while others bombard the airstrips, you win.

    Well, considering that computers can think and react faster than any human (if properly programmed), it's very feasible that one day, UAV's will have the software and AI to absolutely dominate manned fighters. Not only that, but UAV's don't have the same limitations as human pilots do... think of things like G-forces, and the requirement to carry life-support equipment. Without things like oxygen tanks and ejections seats and cockpits, you can free up a lot of space... for fuel, or to simply make the aircraft lighter and smaller. You also don't have to worry about things like blacking out in high-G turns. All equipment has limitations, but today, the major impediment to performance is the human factor. Our current planes, not to mention our future ones, are limited more by the limitations of their pilots than by their physical structures.

    There was a cheesy movie in the early 80's called Deal of the Century, a remarkably silly diatribe against arms dealing... but considering that it was made 25 years ago, it was prescient in one of its features: a UAV called the Peacemaker that could out-fight and out-fly any manned fighter, at one point literally flying circles around Gregory Hines in his state-of-the-art manned fighter. The Peacemaker is only defeated when Chevy Chase disables it by attacking its remote control pilot back at the airfield. The Peacemaker was smaller than manned fighters, and could be launched from the back of a trailer.

    Considering the advance of lightweight materials, CPU's, and software, it's only a matter of time before we can build an unmanned fighter that, like the fictitious Peacemaker, can fly rings around F-22's.

    --
    Life is hard, and the world is cruel
    1. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by PitaBred · · Score: 1

      I know that Wikipedia knows everything, but doesn't an IMDB link make more sense for movies?

    2. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Spoken like a true computer scientist. As I said in another post, 100 UAVs vs. 1 F-22 probably wouldn't go as you think. F-22s are so stealthy you wouldn't see them on radar or anything before you'd get visual contact, while they'd see your swarm for 100 nautical miles away. Surely the F-22 couldn't take a lot of UAVs down (although it could take the few it could down from a totally safe distance), but you could throw 1,000 UAVs at a F-22 and it wouldn't scrap it even remotely.

      It's not Battlefield 1942, you don't dogfight until the one with the best reflexes, decisions and aim wins, in which case an eventual AI pilot would help, no, in this case it's about one machine that's easily ten times faster than your machine and that can launch a missile at you from 16 nm away while you couldn't detect it if it was 10 times closer.

      If you want a better comparison, imagine a dude with a gun vs. 100 crawling babies, in an open space.

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    3. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Also, you clearly overstate the importance of reflexes. It's not really that important, don't use movies as a basis, they keep showing ultra-close range dogfights for the sake of sensationalism while these days most of the stuff happens out of sight.

      Secondly, you also assume that the UAV in question is at least as good a plane technically as the F-22. For obvious reasons of cost that's not gonna happen, even less with an eventual AI as a pilot (lol..).

      And no, it can't be smaller, faster and cheaper. If you think about all the fuel that has to be carried, as well as the weapons and instruments, you'll end up with something as big and costly as the F-22 anyways.

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    4. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      It's not Battlefield 1942, you don't dogfight until the one with the best reflexes, decisions and aim wins, in which case an eventual AI pilot would help, no, in this case it's about one machine that's easily ten times faster than your machine and that can launch a missile at you from 16 nm away while you couldn't detect it if it was 10 times closer.

      If F-22s are so stealthy, how is an object 1/10th to 1/5th of it's size going to be detectable, unless all the UAVs are bunched together? Also, you're going to burn through missiles waaaaaay faster then someone is going to burn through UAVs if they're sending tons after you're one F-22.

    5. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      Spoken like a true computer scientist. As I said in another post, 100 UAVs vs. 1 F-22 probably wouldn't go as you think. F-22s are so stealthy you wouldn't see them on radar or anything before you'd get visual contact, while they'd see your swarm for 100 nautical miles away. Surely the F-22 couldn't take a lot of UAVs down (although it could take the few it could down from a totally safe distance), but you could throw 1,000 UAVs at a F-22 and it wouldn't scrap it even remotely.

      But that isn't a reasonable scenario: fighters exist to destroy energy planes (bombers, recon, or other fighters,) UAVs are bombers/recon. So, the UAVs ignore the fighters and work on their mission: think old WW2 bomber movies of massed, slow planes holding the course onto target in the face of AA and faster, more nimble, fighters.

      The equation is more about attrition than anything else, and UAVs will soon hold the edge. Fighter pilots are looking a lot like cavalrymen: highly trained, rather dashing, loved by the girls, but ultimately obsolete.

    6. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radar_cross_section

      You could make a foot-wide reflector that could be detected for tens of miles away, while such a plane as a F-22 might be as detectable as a bird. It's not about physical size at all, it's about how much of the radar signal it sends back to the sender.

      And you missed the point. Depending on its payload, the F-22 can take a few UAVs down, surely half a dozen without firing a single bullet, I'm not so aware of how much a F-22 can carry. The UAVs we're talking about (the ones that really exist, not Sladotters' wet dreams) have NOT FUCKING CHANCE IN HELL of taking down a single F-22, ever.

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    7. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      I agree that current UAVs are not a match for current fighter aircraft. I do believe that within 5 years you'll see aircraft with enough intelligence onboard to slice and dice any manned aircraft, as the human onboard is the weakest link.

    8. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Well, you're right, in that it's different tasks, a new class of task airplane if you will, that is, expendable light-weight planes meant to stay in the air for a long time, do reconnaissance and attack precise targets.

      I disagree that fighter pilots will be obsolete any time in the foreseeable, which at the rate at which things evolve in the air is in the order of several decades. Fighters = air superiority, only them can assure that, and their UAVification isn't yet even planned, which means that as long as something like a F-22 isn't UAVified, and I don't see why it should be anytime soon, fighter pilots will be absolutely essential and necessary. Besides, even then, you'd still need the very same fighter pilots to do the very exact same things as they did in the air, except remotely. You'll always need a man at the wheel for such tasks.

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    9. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Utter balls, you only reinforce the impression that you have no fucking clue what you're talking about.

      First of all, 5 years in the Air Force is a blink of an eye, and then, no, you have strong misconceptions about what a pilot does, these days their task is more a matter of decision making than anything else. The "human skills" are not the bottleneck, aircraft capabilities are. You just can't defeat a stealth fighter, mainly when all you have is some shitty slow non-stealth UAV.

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    10. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by timeOday · · Score: 1
      A remotely-controlled F22 is a UAV with the payload, speed, and stealth of an F22. Happy now?

      You still haven't pointed to any inherent advantage of manning a plane. If there aren't any true "dogfighting" (shooting cannons at other aircraft) UAVs being made, it's because that kind of engagement is history. The only war with enough hairball dogfights to matter militarily was WWII.

    11. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      My Aerospace Engineering Degree + Industry Experience > Your Arm-Chair Slashdot Posts.

      You're assuming a UAV is a small, flimsy device. Perhaps you haven't met the Global Hawk. Note that if I take the F-22 airframe and avionics, and dump in UAV intelligence, it's now a UAV. All the benefits of not having a human onboard, with the only negative being situational awareness (or lack thereof). It's only a matter of time before the software becomes faster at judging a situation from it's data and acting on it (I leave the question on if the decision is "better" to others). I suggest you stick to working on sound software. Seems to be a better fit than aerospace-related work.

    12. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      you have strong misconceptions about what a pilot does, these days their task is more a matter of decision making than anything else

      Exactly the right point.

      The difference isn't between an "unpiloted" and "piloted" plane. /.'ers are good ones for completely missing the point here. The difference is between "local pilot" and "remote pilot."

      It's not impractical to imagine a simulator-type UAW control, that provides an even match to a local-pilot fighter. Maybe even better, given the manuverability concerns.

      OTOH, since we don't have quantum radios, there is going to have to be SOME signal to the UAW -- and it takes even less imagination to figure out a weapon designed to kill this multi-million dollar UAWs.

      UAWs are cheap not because there's no human on board, but because they're, well, cheap. The A-10 did much the same job, but with a significantly different profile.

    13. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Almost forgot. My private, instrument, and commercial ratings give me some sort of conception with regards to what a pilot does. And it is certainly not just decision making.

    14. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      The equation is more about attrition than anything else, and UAVs will soon hold the edge. Fighter pilots are looking a lot like cavalrymen: highly trained, rather dashing, loved by the girls, but ultimately obsolete.

      Wait... what makes you think UAWs don't need pilots, again?

      Sure, the army lets enlisted fly 'em -- but that doesn't make them any less pilots.

    15. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 0, Troll

      My Aerospace Engineering Degree + Industry Experience

      Bwahahaha I'm so gonna believe that, you didn't even know how something much smaller than a F-22 could have a much larger radar cross-section. Noob.

      Yeah, a UAVed F-22, that is SO gonna happen. Just a geek wet dream, UAVs are meant to be expendable, you won't make a 137.5 million dollars UAV, for what benefit to outweight the extra costs and disadvantages? Besides, many people have mentioned superior g-load possibility if you don't have a human in, but the F-22 is only rated to sustain +9 G anyways.

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    16. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      LOL, a UAVed F-22 is never gonna happen, it's just a wet dream, you won't make a 140 million dollars UAV, for what benefits?

      Actually the Korea War had a hell of a lot of dogfights, as back then they didn't have yet missiles despite having jet engines. But why are we even talking about dogfights, who talked about dogfights, I was the one to say that these days everything happens from miles away.

      Anyways, I have nothing against UAVed fighters in principle, that would be great if a fighter was designed to be a UAV, I'm just saying, these don't fucking exist, there's no fucking such thing as a UAVed F-22 and it's not gonna happen, period. Write a letter to the Pentagon if you like, the fact remains that it'll be a long time before you'll see anything but cheap machines as UAVs, so let's stick to what already exist when we're talking about UAVs vs. fighters, please.

      Even if we'll assume an hypothetical UAV similar to the ones existing but with air to air missiles and guns, can we agree that these would never scratch a F-22, even a 100 of them vs 1?

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    17. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      Well, air superiority has been classic doctrine because manned vehicles get massacred if the enemy fighters get to play unimpeded. But, if there are no, or few, manned bomber/recon assets, what does air superiority buy you?

      It's a bit like cavalry in the face of automatic weapons: it's fast, lethal, and once controlled the battlefield, but suddenly it's out of a job. Eventually, it reinvents itself as air cav, or tankers, etc, but the new job description is nothing like the old one.

    18. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by extrasolar · · Score: 1

      I don't understand. Why can't you make an unmanned aircraft with stealth technology? Or an unmanned aircraft that is as fast as, or even faster, than the F22? You're assuming that manned aircraft are necessarily faster and only manned aircraft can be cloaked from radar/infrared. I don't know a lot about air combat so could you explain why this is so?

    19. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Leuf · · Score: 1

      The benefit of an unmanned F-22 is that if it does get shot down you don't lose the pilot. In a prolonged war you may be able to keep making new aircraft fast enough to replace the ones that you lose, but you can't make new veteran pilots to fly them. Japan had planes left, but only warm bodies that would get owned if they went up against a real pilot, so they had to turn their planes basically into human piloted cruise missiles. That's why we have such an investment in having our planes have superiority in the first place, besides the political fallout of casualties. The day the technology in the plane is able to compensate for the pilot not being skilled you don't need the pilot anymore.

      And the F-22 isn't designed to handle higher Gs because that would be stupid. If you are designing the plane to be unmanned in the first place then you don't have the human limitations to worry about. But it's not like human pilots don't already have to deal with scenarios where the opposing plane has a tighter turning radius or faster rate of climb or whatever. The good pilots will overcome. Until they run out of luck.

    20. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Well, air superiority has been classic doctrine because manned vehicles get massacred if the enemy fighters get to play unimpeded. But, if there are no, or few, manned bomber/recon assets, what does air superiority buy you?

      Well yeah, I think that pretty much the reason why more of these UAVs are bought is that we already have the air superiority (in that no one else is up there), fighter planes or not, as we're not fighting an army, but an insurgency. It's not so much about the advent of UAVs everywhere as it is "well, that's all we need right now really".

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    21. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1
      To make an aircraft as fast, potent and stealth as an F-22 would result necessarily in something about as big and expensive as an F-22. You can make a stealth UAV, there's actually stealth long range missiles, but as for the rest, if you want something fast but that can stay in the air for hours you'll need a lot of fuel, and because of that you'll need a big plane, with everything it implies.

      So yeah, replacing the dude inside with a machine doesn't change the problem much, and while you could technically make a F-22 UAV, there's no good reason to.

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    22. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      Five years? No way. Twenty years, maybe there'll be a UAV kill on a manned fighter.

    23. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      F-22s don't get shot down. Look it up.

      And you're right about the G-load, however it may be an engineering challenge on its own to design a plane of that kind with a significantly superior g-tolerance.

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    24. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by hax4bux · · Score: 1

      We lost a F-117 in Yugoslavia. Look it up.

    25. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Leuf · · Score: 1

      That's what you would have said about an F-15 not that long ago.

    26. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Yeff · · Score: 1

      Considering the advance of lightweight materials, CPU's, and software, it's only a matter of time before we can build an unmanned fighter that, like the fictitious Peacemaker, can fly rings around F-22's. With the pk (probability-of-kill) of modern air-to-air missiles being so high, if you've merged into a "knife fight in a phone booth" scenario then you've most likely screwed up. Air combat today is basically sniper-v-sniper with the advantage going to the pilot who sees his enemy's aircraft first. "First look, first kill," is the term of the art.

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    27. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Kadin2048 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're making something of a ridiculous comparison.

      Nobody is planning on attacking an F-22 with Predator. That's not the purpose of the Predator, or of any other current UAV. It's not what they're designed for, and it makes no sense. Criticizing them on that basis is like arguing that you can't shoot and disable a tank with a handgun; very true, but only an idiot would try. It doesn't really say anything about the fundamental design of the handgun, or whether bigger guns operating on the same principles might not be useful against the tank.

      The F-22 is the pinnacle of more than 100 years of manned flight experience, and it represents an investment of trillions of dollars over the course of decades by the U.S. alone (for it and its antecedents, which it builds off of). It's a stunning machine.

      Current UAVs are the very bleeding edge of an emerging technology that wasn't realistically possible until perhaps a decade ago. Someday they'll probably be regarded as the Sopwith Camels of unmanned aviation (and perhaps only then if someone is speaking kindly).

      Given that manned aviation is starting to run into some fundamental limitations (amount of force the human body can bear, minimum size of an adult human, need for oxygen and sleep), plus it has political concerns (risk of dead or captured pilots and resulting changes in public support for military action), which UAVs simply do not have, it seems very likely that an increasing amount of resources will be spent on unmanned platforms rather than manned.

      A great many of the advantages currently enjoyed by manned aircraft will probably be transferred to UAVs (there's no reason why you can't build a UAV with a low radar cross-section, for example), and it seems arguable at best that the one difference they will always have -- the presence of a human operator in the manned one -- will always translate into combat superiority. There seem to be many situations where that could be a serious liability rather than an advantage.

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    28. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Wow, there's so many reasons why that comparison is flawed, let alone the fact that these are two VERY different airplanes, the F-22 being vastly superior. But because I like to think of myself as a good debater, instead of showing how the comparison is flawed, I'll rather use your comparison to the advantage of my point.

      The F-117 in Yugoslavia was pretty much flying the same low altitude path every day. They used that information to place a SA-3 there and shoot at it. If you put a radar close enough to a stealth plane that flies at a low altitude and on its path you can detect it. The F-117 doesn't have a radar warning detector (which the F-22 has) so he couldn't attempt to escape the missiles or launch countermeasures (which it doesn't have, and the F-22 has).

      The F-22 doesn't fly such routinely low-altitude missions. Even if it did, it has a much lower detectability anyways, so it's fairly unlikely it could have been detected by radar anyways. Even if it could have, and that the pilot didn't see the radars from a distance (which you totally could with a F-22), and that missiles had been launched at it, it would have been fairly trivial to escape them. So not only could a F-117 avoid such risks by not flying such missions like the F-22 does, but the F-22 is much more stealth, manoeuvrable, has more detectors and all that fancy stuff to detect dangers from a distance, has all the necessary countermeasures, and is much faster.

      Check mate.

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    29. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by joib · · Score: 1
      You're playing a straw man game by assuming an UAV is either the flimsy reconnaissance drones of today or some UAV version of the F-22.

      For example, there are plenty of combat UCAV prototypes being designed. Most of the more advanced ones are stealth. Now at the moment all of these design seem focused on bomb truck duty, but I think it's rather naive to assume that, given the rate at which the technology is developing, an air-to-air focused UCAV design couldn't beat the F-22 in, say, a decade or two.

    30. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Oh I didn't even know about these.. thanks for the link heh.

      Just one thing though, how are two stealth fighters going to defeat each other if none can acquire the other?

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    31. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by iq+in+binary · · Score: 1

      The only war with enough hairball dogfights to matter militarily was WWII.

      Except, you know, for Korea and Vietnam. The US Military had the same outlook you had at one time, it was called the F-4 Phantom II. After getting too many pilots spanked by MiG Pilots that had access to traditional dog-fight munitions (on-board machine guns), the Air Force has learned its lesson and hasn't bought an airframe without an on-board cannon since.

      Truth is, dog-fighting is still around. Maybe not against American forces (we stress air superiority in all armed engagements), but it happens all the time. There's a reason we still train our pilots (Navy and Marines, at least) to use their on-board cannons, because dog fights still happen. Now maybe not in Iraq or Afghanistan (anybody ever hear of the Afghani Air Force?), but in Vietnam, two Medals of Honor were awarded for supreme valor during aerial dog fights. The only reason that valor was needed was because the Phantom was designed for everything BUT dog-fighting. It's turning radius was for ass, it only had shoddy munitions (AA missiles at the time were best described as hobby rockets), and 2 pilots to confuse and mess eachother up. Ever hear of Top Gun? Guess what, it's still around. Oh yeah, it's a dog-fighting school.

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    32. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by timeOday · · Score: 1

      How many US planes in Vietnam were out-turned and gunned down by MIGs, vs. being taken out by SAMs and AAA?

    33. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      100 UAVs are much more likely to see 1 F-22 by networking their sensors than 1 F-22 is going to see all 100 UAVs trying to hunt it down.

      To be honest, though, this conversation is starting to sound like a certain episode of SeaLab 2021...

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    34. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      There is plenty of good reason to. A computer or remotely controlled plane can react more quickly and manuever better than one with a fleshbag pilot.

    35. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      lol, networking their sensors... I have no idea how 100 UAVs would look on such a radar hehe.

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    36. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      The only reason fighter pilots won't be obsolete in our lifetimes is that the decision makers of the airforce are mostly former figher pilots (always have been, too). A specialized dogfighting UAV would be far more effective (smaller, lighter, less restricted, and cheaper) than a piloted fighter. It will be some time, as dog fighting isn't yet something computers are good at, but if you can throw enough research at the problem, it wouldn't matter (either the cost or the advantages will mean the shift will eventually occur).

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    37. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      As I said many many times today, no, in modern combat reflexes aren't that crucial. Like I said, the era of gun dogfights is over. It's pretty rare that a fighter pilot gets less than 3 miles away from an hostile fighter pilot during combat. Most of the stuff happens from quite a distance, and one second more or less doesn't make such a big different in most cases, really. The modern fighter pilot's role is more of decision making these days.

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    38. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Dogfighting? No one dogfights anymore, ever heard of missiles? Damn IT people and their misconceptions based on unrealistic video games and films.

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    39. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by astarf · · Score: 1

      Because the United States almost almost operates with complete, unchallenged air superiority, no one is worried about whether UAVs can take on manned aircraft. If it ever comes down to an air war, we already have the resources we need to defeat any potential adversary. UAVs, however, are used for close-in GROUND support. For quite some time there's been a strong reluctance within the Air Force to invest in UAVs because the Air Force is run by pilots. Gates, however, essentially made the point to the Air Force that "the ground pounders are getting killed out there, it's time you started providing some support." The previous secretary and chief of staff for the Air Force didn't get the message and were fired. This guy obvious values his job a bit more.

    40. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by msi · · Score: 1

      So why do they put guns on all modern fighters?

      The F4 originally did not have a cannon but the later models did. Are all fighter aircraft designers and manufactures putting them in for fun?

    41. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by msi · · Score: 1

      Like I said, the era of gun dogfights is over. It's pretty rare that a fighter pilot gets less than 3 miles away from an hostile fighter pilot during combat. Most of the stuff happens from quite a distance,

      How do you know this? During the Falklands war the last time reasonably equally match opponents o faced each other the Argentinians tried to stay away from the British. The Harrier was on paper a worse fighter than the Mirages it was facing and the British had far fewer planes but the British forced the Argentinians to dog fight and decimated them.

      Every war since all the one quoted above have been a modern air force verses an untrained and poorly maintained opponent

    42. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by TempeTerra · · Score: 1

      it can't be smaller, faster and cheaper. If you think about all the fuel that has to be carried, as well as the weapons and instruments, you'll end up with something as big and costly as the F-22 anyways.

      How does that work? I won't pretend I know anything about aircraft, but if you take an F-22 and remove all of the pilot support and just transmit to a ground station instead how is it not going to be smaller and potentially more manoeuverable since the pilot can't black out? Faster and cheaper may be side effects.

      If you're just arguing that the size of comparable UAV would have to be on the same order of magnitude as an F-22 I might agree with you.

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    43. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      The "pilot support" part is no big deal, that won't help you make the aircraft much smaller. Also, the F-22 isn't rated for more acceleration than a person can sustain, so to achieve something higher you'd need to design an aircraft with the extra resistance necessary for that, as well as the avionics to be even able to go there.

      But as it turns out I spoke a bit out of ignorance, even if I wasn't necessarily wrong, someone informed me that such combat UAVs are already in the works. The interesting thing is how in many of these designs a large air intake replaces the cockpit.

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    44. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      lol, networking their sensors...

      ... Yes. That's how a modern military fights, using data fusion. It's also how Nighthawks have been seen and shot down before, by combining multiple radars and optical/infra-red tracking. Yes, an F-22 looks like a bird on radar and will often be ignored as "noise" by a system, but if 100 different radars see the same "noise" in the same general area, with the same general heading and speed, then it's probably not noise...

      But then again, they won't be using radar most likely. Optical/infra-red doesn't give yourself away when you use it...

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    45. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Networked ground radars (and what we're talking about wasn't even networking, just using radars at the right places) != networked airplane instruments. lol.

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    46. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      Yes, the networked "airplane" (sic) instruments are not the same thing.

      They're much scarier and much more effective. The Soviets already pulled it off in the MiG-31: the Foxhound could synchronize targeting and engaging amongst four aircraft automatically using short ranged wireless networking of their computers. That was with frickin' vacuum tubes and 70s technology--don't you think we could pull it off a little better in today's world of supercomputer-on-a-chip?

      You can 'lol' all day if you want, but in the meantime General Atomics, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, and others already have operational networked UCAVs, and have some even more awesome things in the works. The X-45 already showed that groups of UCAVs can autonomously identify targets/threats and defeat them, after determining amongst themselves which aircraft has the best position and/or loadout to most efficiently deal with the threat. The stuff General Atomics is doing with automatic task prioritization and delegation of surveillance UAVs is amazing.

      The way things are looking, in the next ten years our skies are going to be absolutely choked with UASs... We're doing a lot of work currently trying to develop procedures for handling UASs in the National Airspace System right now, because they're going to be such a big deal...

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    47. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      We were talking about interferometry, not sharing simple information. You're off-topic.

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    48. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      So in other words, you're admitting you don't know what you're talking about, and that I'm right, and therefore are simply going to claim I'm off-topic to avoid having to face this fact.

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    49. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      OMG stfu, you just started talking about something completely off topic, then you're like "nanana I'm right I'm right". Get a fucking life, fucking moron. Besides, this thread is like 3 weeks old.

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    50. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      This thread is two weeks old, actually. And it's that old precisely because I *HAVE* a life and therefore only have time to bother to check here every couple days or so.

      I actually was right on-topic. The discussion was about how future UCAVs could even be a threat to an F-22, you asked how UCAVs would even be able to find an F-22, and I pointed out that networking would give a group of stealth UCAVs a much better chance of seeing an F-22 than a single F-22 would have of seeing stealth UCAVs. You then proceeded to engage in a lot of juvenile 'lol's and finally some rather crude profanity.

      Thanks for fulfilling my high expectations of you.

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
    51. Re:UAV's vs. Manned Fighters by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Duh, you're a moron.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
  32. Here's the key by tkrotchko · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If they can make UAV's cheaper than the missles to shoot them down, then it changes air warfare completely.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    1. Re:Here's the key by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 1

      Heck, make equal numbers of combat and non-combat UAVs (which will hopefully be even cheaper) to make the enemy air force waste money chasing something useless for all but reconnaissance.

  33. Already unmanned in a sense by jason8 · · Score: 1

    At least according to this helpful chart... Military Language Conversion Chart

  34. affirmative action by arbitraryaardvark · · Score: 3, Funny

    'Next year, the Air Force will procure more unmanned aircraft than manned aircraft,'

    Nice to see the air force finally getting behind affirmative action.

    1. Re:affirmative action by traderkenny · · Score: 1

      yar.. air force air force and air force http://tech.slashdot.org/

  35. Re:Sad to hear it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We are suppose to be a civilized nation but we are practicing Barbaric behavior called human sacrifice

    "But if its a muslim go ahead and shove sticks up their asses and force them to perform gay sex on each other, it's all good. Oh, and be sure to tape it for me and the guys to... uh, research."

  36. When will war be obsolete? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Will it actually happen after we get to the point that our robots and unmanned craft. Are shooting at the enemys robots and unmanned craft?

    At some point someone should notice this is all silly. Lets just decide our wars with a good game of half life or counterstrike.

    It makes about as much sense as machines shooting at each other to decide issues.

    It would be alot cheaper too.

  37. Re:Sad to hear it by trolltalk.com · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm sure you are grief-stricken, but that topic is one article that way. (down)

    No no - it's appropriate. Somewhere in a village, a midget is looking at a military UAV and going "da plane! Boss, da plane!"

    And beside him, someone else is looking at that same UAV and saying "From Hell's heart, I stab at thee. For hate's sake, I spit my last breath at thee."

    And miles away, some pasty-faced joystick jock is sitting in his fine corinthian-leather chair humming "Volare" and saying "Can we change the channel on this thing. All I'm getting is really bad remakes!"

  38. Is fighting from...that far...ethical? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not from a military background--but it seems to me that people developing and using such tools have a very real responsibility to ask themselves if it is proper (moral?) to take warfare in this direction. Yes--saving friendly lives is presumably good.

    But it appears to me that historically there has always been a well defined "front" of battle in warfare--even with cruisers and carriers--the systems launching the offensive operation can't just sit at home and run it safely--they have to at least get within a few hundred miles, and something with a person that can be taken out has to get in proximity.

    Any adversary is going to realize that *somebody* is controlling the computerized systems--and that they're going to make the softest, best target--What happens when the people fighting all of these UAVs in Afghanistan realize it's much more effective to drive a truck bomb into whatever military base in the US controls all of these over remote/satellite, than it is to try to take them out one at a time?

    By failing to present a target--it seems to make *more* sense to attack the handlers to me. How will the US react then? Would it be an attack on US soil if you just happened to go after the people behind the joystick--safely nestled 4000 miles from the operation?

    It seems like this opens a up a lot of nasty issues where the adversaries' response is likely to be *a lot* worse than the original problem...

    I don't fault people for making tactically sound decisions--but will this actually make us safer--or just open up a new era of much more ruthless warfare where the only option of the guerrilla fighters facing such foes is to directly target the very heartlands of the countries that launch such attacks--if only to take out the remote control.

    1. Re:Is fighting from...that far...ethical? by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Hmmm, let's see, is it ethical for someone to kill someone without taking any personal risks? I know I'd like a lot better to be killed by someone who could have bothered to take the risk of being killed by an engine failure when I catch a missile in the face than by someone who didn't even have the decency to be on the same continent as me. That would make my death a whole ordeal less bitter, that's for sure!

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    2. Re:Is fighting from...that far...ethical? by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      War is not a sport. The object of a war is to destroy your enemy so that he can act no longer.

      The US military is great at fighting and winning wars. The problem is, we can't tell the difference between a war and an occupation -- the latter being that thing where your object is not to destroy, but to build-up. We're so bad at it that we often call it a "war", when it's no closer to a war than a robbery is to an assassination.

    3. Re:Is fighting from...that far...ethical? by evanspw · · Score: 1

      You twat. That attitude is exactly what's screwed up about the US armed forces (and those of most western countries). You assume war is about large armed forces clashing and killing each other. The future of war is not that. Please understand: designing your armed forces to refight WW2 is not going to help you at all.

      --
      Interstitial spaces are filled with cream.
  39. Very Very Dangerous Ground We Tread Upon by Bruha · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This is about as dangerous as Shinsheki's push for the lighter more mobile Army which was torn to shreds by IED's in Iraq and Afganistan.

    If too much focus is put towards UAV's we'll end up with a manned Air Force that begins to put A2A combat second to UAV combat. What happens when we end up fighting a real war?

    Capitalistic principles have no room in our military, if we cut corners we will someday pay for it.

    1. Re:Very Very Dangerous Ground We Tread Upon by chadenright · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bruha:

      If and when we end up fighting a "real" war, by which I assume you mean a war against a superpower with near-comparable strength to the United States, there are a couple of factors to keep in mind:
      1) Each power is unilaterally capable of assuring mutual destruction of the other, should the conflict escalate to atomic-biological-chemical (ABC) levels.
      2) Should the loser be pushed to hard by losing, they will escalate the conflict. See 1) above.
      3) This means that at best, any such conflict will consist of minor skirmishes, preferably through third parties, such as Iraq.
      4) Please refer to this hypothetical situation which simulates what a "real" war might be like.

    2. Re:Very Very Dangerous Ground We Tread Upon by chadenright · · Score: 1

      I realize that a lot of the grammar hounds will wince at the phrase "unilaterally capable of assuring mutual destruction"...This phrase is a contraction of "By itself, able to make both itself and its opponent be certain that both it, and its opponent, can be simultaneously destroyed; and also able to make both itself and its opponent be certain that the destruction of one cannot follow without the destruction of the other"... just thought I'd clear that up.

    3. Re:Very Very Dangerous Ground We Tread Upon by pfarber · · Score: 0

      No.. let the Military FIGHT.

      All to often politicians say what can and cannot be targeted. Almost all of the video of air to ground strikes have way to much chatter Ie Gunner 'can we smoke them?' reply: 'Do they have a gun?' gunner 'affirmative' and in the background you hear 4 relays to higher ups.

      Put a few 30mm shells on them and let god/allah figure it out. In WWII they actually sent guys out to strafe whatever they found... trains/cars/convoys. Imagine that... killing the enemy.

    4. Re:Very Very Dangerous Ground We Tread Upon by spcmky · · Score: 1

      Capitalistic principles have no room in our military, if we cut corners we will someday pay for it.

      No matter how much money spent, someone will always find a way to defeat it. It's the ability to quickly adapt that ensures survival.

    5. Re:Very Very Dangerous Ground We Tread Upon by milkasing · · Score: 1

      This is about as dangerous as Shinsheki's push for the lighter more mobile Army which was torn to shreds by IED's in Iraq and Afganistan.

      If too much focus is put towards UAV's we'll end up with a manned Air Force that begins to put A2A combat second to UAV combat. What happens when we end up fighting a real war?

      Capitalistic principles have no room in our military, if we cut corners we will someday pay for it.

      Shenseki wanted the footsoldiers in trucks to be replaced by a group around the better armoured Strykers. Strykers have been a success in Iraq. Shenseki is best known for advocating far more troops than what Rumsfeld said was needed. He turned out to be right. It makes no sense to blame the Shenseki's doctrines for what went wrong.

  40. A bit off topic but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is pretty funny, as it may be a prelude to the movie "Toys". I just can't wait till war is turned into an RTS, and I become a distinguished general due to the childhood of mine that was lost to Starcraft (among other games). That will show my mom what's really a productive use of time.

  41. MOD UP Re:Very Very Dangerous Ground We Tread Upon by dragonturtle69 · · Score: 1

    MOD up!

    --
    "What luck for the rulers that men do not think." - Adolph Hitler
  42. mnb Re:Launching space tractors. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    USA = 3 + 2 + 7*2 = 19
    I don't know my Soviet space history as well, but considering they killed at least 48 people with one rocket I think their record is not the best either.

    USAians win the astronaut death race - Ruskies win the space program death race.

  43. Re:Here's a chuckle for ya. by chrisxcr1 · · Score: 1

    I think you mean the P-36 Hawk. The P-26 "Peashooter" was an earlier open cockpit, fixed gear fighter.

  44. Notice the changes in the latest... by tcopeland · · Score: 1

    ...Air Force reading list. Several books about counterinsurgency, only one about flying airplanes and that's a historical piece (Fast Tanks and Heavy Bombers: Innovation in the U.S. Army, 1917-1945). That's the CSAF's reading list, and he would know where they're going...

  45. Citations? by moogleii · · Score: 1

    Do you have any citations? As far as I've heard, the Stryker has been quite successful in the war, and has been more survivable against IED's compared to the other vehicles we've had.

  46. SKYNET You FOOLS! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1st, by not having people in aircraft it will take "morality" out of strike decisions.

    2nd, maybe not anyone but i'm sure some clever enemy of the state will convert one of these for their own (crashed broken one recovered by enemies and a enemy fleet is now bombing YOUR neighbourhood)

    I trust my fellow man more then machines. Machines can be reprogrammed/hacked.

    Also for those under a rock, Terminator might be a good watch. You know, they build UN MANNED DEFENCE robots to kill those enemies. I'd rather see an emp on a nuclear reactor then a virus taking over a FLEET of these puppies and ripping/tearing through our cities. The nuke damage is only to one city.

    Love how there is even LESS input from humans in the states about military decisions. We vote for someone to make decisions, they make the wrong ones and no one is ALLOWED to change anything. lmfao.

    When they start screwing up I'll be the guy beside you shooting them down saying F*** Skynet and I told you so (before im picked off like an ant...lmfao)

    1. Re:SKYNET You FOOLS! by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      I trust my fellow man more then machines. Machines can be reprogrammed/hacked.

      I trust machines more than my fellow man, especially the kind of man who will freely abdicate his duty to make his own moral and political decisions by promising to obey the orders of others. Men can also be reprogrammed/hacked - it's the entire point of the propagandist's art - but unlike machines, men will often go above and beyond the call of duty and invent new atrocities of their own. Consider Abu Ghraib. Consider My Lai. Then tell me your fellow man is trustworthy, and can be relied upon to do as instructed.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  47. Global Hawk by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

    Huh? Which UAVs are piloted by AIs?

    The Global Hawk has a fairly autonomous flight-control system. It is a reconnaissance, rather than a ground-attack, aircraft. (Basically its role is to do what the U-2 does, only with less chance of a Gary Powers situation.)

    I think there has been some thought put to arming the Global Hawk, but it wouldn't be terribly effective for that. My suspicion is that future UAVs will take on combat roles more directly. Long range bombing, perhaps someday even replacing the B-2 fleet, seems like a good match, since those missions are typically well-scripted in advance and very tough on pilots due to their length.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Global Hawk by thrillseeker · · Score: 1

      I think there has been some thought put to arming the Global Hawk, but it wouldn't be terribly effective for that.

      Many of our high altitude flights these days are in areas where weather is almost always cooperative. I suspect it would be very effective to have a precision-guided-munition always within 10 minutes of a ground commander.

  48. Re:We are calling it skynet and WOPR is the name o by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where have i heard skynet before.... Terminator?

  49. Don't compare the F-35 with a Predator! by gnieboer · · Score: 1

    The F-22/F-35 should not be compared with the Predator head to head. They were designed for different missions.

    -Current- UAV designs are built for what we call persistence. The ability to be present in an area for a long time. And they are also designed primarily for ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaisance), and weapons were frankly an afterthought that turned out to be rather effective. In an environment with complete air supremacy and where your targets are small, few in number, and fleeting, they are perfect. That's great for counter-insurgency warfare, ie today's war.

    HOWEVER, not all wars will be thus waged. There are great debates around the military about when the next war will occur and what it's nature will be. The -current- generation of UAV's can't carry the big loads and avoid enemy defenses (whether ground->air or air->air). That's where our currently manned portfolio comes in.

    What's key about this is that the difference has nothing to do with whether the aircraft are manned or unmanned. It's to do with their overall mission design.

    So yes, a UAV F-35 could be built reasonably easily, and would be on par I believe with a manned F-35. Will we go there? Maybe.

    The only arena I see certain job safety for pilots is anything that carries passengers. I don't believe any pax would board an AI-driven aircraft.

    Also, in this whole discussion, don't forget the Air Force had both it's Chief of Staff (4-star) and Secretary of the Air Force (Civilian) got fired, which on the face of it was for nuclear-related issues, but in fact was about a number of other things, to include lack of support for more UAV orbits. So not surprisingly the AF has quickly gotten in line with what the SecDef wants.

    1. Re:Don't compare the F-35 with a Predator! by KiwiCanuck · · Score: 1

      True, but think of it this way. The limiting factors on acrobatics/evasion is due to human limitations. I imagine it is possible to train a "pilot" to fly a remote squadron. Plus you could send decoy drones on top of armed drones, and flood the defensive capabilities of an area. Send a U2 or use a satellite to get a top down view of the battlefield. Switch to drone-cam when targeting. Totally a video game. This has great potential, so longs as the opponent cannot jam the control signals.

  50. Finally get our flying aircraft carrier? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Boeing did some neat studies a while back about making very small manned microfighters visually somewhat similar to an F-16XL but with wide set twin rudders. The idea was to have a 747 with two airlocks on the bottom, have the microfighters get close by a normal refueling boom, then grab the wings from behind and lift up and into the airlock. Basically could fit about 8-10 microfighters, plus associated fuel and weapons reloads.

    Considering the progress in automated in-air refueling for UAV's and UCAV's, we aren't that far away from bringing the 747 carrier concept back. Considering also the rather large surplus of old 747's that are suitable for conversion, this is a cheap and evil way of doing fairly responsive force projection from the continental US. The next step after that is doing a UAV mod to the 747 itself, and automating the refuel/rearm process onboard. Though that's getting close to Skynet territory.

    http://ak47.tumblr.com/post/70398034/xplanes-boeing-microfighter-parasite-concept

    for pic of the fighter

    the only pics of the carrier I've seen are in air force PDF's, but those are freely downloadable.

  51. UAV's are for the dirty work... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I dont think the airforce intends to replace manned aircraft for air to air combat, but EVERYTHING else. I did some (unclassified) work at AFRL this summer and their philosophy is that the human is in the loop as a sensor. The idea is that multiple UAV's are given a mission and a single human operator is notified when a UAV detects something out of nominal. Its pretty interesting: By testing each operator's quickness and accuracy of identifying objects of interest as targets or non-targets using a simulation, a stochastic dynamic program is much more effective at finding targets than humans alone. In fact often some of the operators during the simulation became frustrated when after identifying an object the UAV would ignore their classification and move to the next object, then we would analyze the results and find the operator had made an incorrect classification!

  52. Surprise! by Slugster · · Score: 1

    I don't know a whole lot about fighting aircraft (never having been in military service) but as I have read it..... most air-to-air combat now is already fought with air-to-air missiles, which themselves are UAV's....


    I had read some years ago that to people "in the know" it was not surprising that the CIA was the first US government agency to use an unmanned aircraft in combat. When the concept of an unmanned combat aircraft was first elaborated to be technically possible, the political structure of the Air Force was highly resistant to it, as the political prestige of the image of the "highly-trained combat pilot" was something that the Air Force relied on to define their skills (and petition for funding) as a branch of the general military. The question at the time was "if UAV's greatly decrease the necessary training, then anybody can fly a remote-control attack jet--and then what do you need a separate air force for?".

    To this end I am quite surprised that the USAF is moving to UAV's so fast--but I suspect that they see the economic writing on the wall (with the current US/world situation) and feel that they don't have a choice, they must go to whatever is cheapest and effective.
    ~

    1. Re:Surprise! by gtall · · Score: 1

      Well, the Air Force isn't going willingly. The Secdev canned the head of the AF and his civilian lackey last summer for not getting with the program some of which included UAVs. The AF's argument was that there should be a trained pilot flying every UAV, not some stick jockey. The Secdev knew a feather padding proposal when he saw it. The last straw was when the AF tried to take over command of all UAVs from the Navy (and Marines) and the Army. The Marines were already ticked off at the AF for not flying close-in ground support missions...well, they weren't close enough to the ground unlike the Navy pilots. And the Army complained the time lag between acquiring a target and getting a UAV to fire a missile would too large if they had to go through the AF.

      Gerry

  53. Overlords by s1lverl0rd · · Score: 0

    What if? What if teh 'bots turn around and start shooting innocents? What is going to make sure these flying computers don't turn bad? The Three Laws?

  54. Chinese Anti-Reaper by martijnd · · Score: 1

    So how long before the Chinese come up with a low cost (and then sell to Iran) , cut corners, just works but deadly effective anti-UAV aircraft?

    Doesn't require a runway (so you can't take out its infrastructure) and has a basic AI that can find and take out or cripple multiple UAV's with a high speed gun? If an AI is too much work, just link it to a ground based portable and a teenage game junkie.

    This just sounds like the beginning of another arms race. (you first need to clear the anti-UAV's with anti-anti-UAV's)

    1. Re:Chinese Anti-Reaper by redxxx · · Score: 1

      They have a small radar cross section and it isn't easy to track them by their communication, because it all goes straight up.

      It's hard to find them on the cheap. They would need to create a large aperture pretty high powered airborne radar. Now, if you are leaving your processing power at home, you could probably swing something with a lot of smaller radars, provided you accurately knew where they all were and what each was radiating.

      It's hard to hide your communications with this sort of thing without satellites, so that's another barrier to entry. After all if you are radiating your communications in all directions, both the anti-predator and your base station are likely to be harmed.

      There is going to be a UAV arms race, and it will almost certainly end up including air superiority roles. I don't know how long it is going to take to trickle down the likes of Iran.

      Frankly, if I rather see Iran picking up defensive anti-air weapons than buying a bunch of little strike aircraft and turning a tanker/cargo ship into an UAV Carrier that can blend in with merchant traffic.

  55. The only problem is by Chrisq · · Score: 1

    If this is used offensively, attacking countries with no risk to pilots or anyone who are in bunkers thousands of miles away - what can the attackers do? They have two options. Give up or take the fight to America (terrorism). This will increase the terrorist recruiters argument that it is the only way to resist ... because it is.

  56. They still need pilots! by chord.wav · · Score: 1

    When will they start recluiting top arcade gamers?

  57. Airborne hackers of the world, unite! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Unmanned US Air Force will cease to exist the day russian and chinese hackers start working on the problem. The unmanned planes, which are essentially networked computers with wings, will be exploited, 0wned, reprogrammed and turned against their yankee creators and then 9/11 will be a daily re-occurance.

    When your Reaper starts communicating that the Emperor shall live for eight thousand years, ten thousand years, until the stones turn into moss, then you will realize you have a big problem.

  58. You mean CURRENT UAVs. by EWAdams · · Score: 1

    What you have to say has nothing to do with the UAVs of the future. The current ones are designed for a specific task, but it's not always going to be that way.

    --
    I piss off bigots.
    1. Re:You mean CURRENT UAVs. by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      True, my comment was about the current capabilities of the current type of UAVs. Someone else then told me about UCAVs.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
  59. Hacked by ezwip · · Score: 2, Funny

    In other news little Johnny is being deported to the United States to face further charges. He is accused of hacking a flight of F17s to blow up his fathers house. Johnny's defense attorney states that this was all due to the video game Top Gun that little Johnny's pasture father took away from him.

    --
    "I guess I'm gonna fade into Bolivian."
  60. Found it by icebrain · · Score: 1

    Yep... I think that it was published in Asimov's science fiction magazine; July 1969 seems to ring a bell. I remember the cover distinctly; it was sitting on my nightstand for a while recently.

    And yep... a few minutes searching finds it to be July 1968. The story is "Hawk Among the Sparrows" by Dean McLaughlin. Cover image here: http://www.isfdb.org/cgi-bin/pl.cgi?ANLGJUL68

    And no, I'm not that old... we bought a whole collection of them at a bookstore in Chattanooga a couple years ago.

    --
    The meek may inherit the earth, but the strong shall take the stars.
  61. Uncomfortable truth about wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Unsymmetrical warfare leaves only one option for retaliation: the terrorism. However, military can't just let themselves be killed, too, "for fairness sake", it is just plain stupid!

    OTOH, "protecting the civilians" is utter BS! "Surgical precision" boasting is not meant to assure civilians they won't get ("collaterally") hurt and thus score "mercifulness" and "humane" moral points, but to threaten higher ranks with assassination from distance. No total war was ever won without intentionally harming civilians! Civilians are fair game: it is necessary, for they are the infrastructure that makes war possible and besides, they are at the top of the command chain (at least in democracies, it is "we, the people" who is above the authorities).

    Just look at the WWII. Even those presumably on good guys side (such as POW's, concentration camps' prisoners, occupied countries' inhabitants) were attacked in Allies deliberate air raids, not to "help them escape" (BS, where could they possibly go?) but to cut down Nazi and Japanese industry (war economy) manpower. I guess that even in wars of Ancient ages, warriors would probably kill any defenders' slaves who would be either unable or unwilling to fight against their former masters - after all, why keep competing looters around?

    Only after the war is over, a PR spin will picture everything as "collection of unfortunate mistakes" and blame the "Undemocratic, demagogic rulers" of defeated nation for all "innocent" victims on their own side.

    So, to call spade a spade, both the terror brought upon the West and bombing the peasants in "War on Terror" (as well as contemporary on-going ravaging of Gaza) are rational and carefully thought-of war strategies. Future wars won't be any different in that regard and targeting the civilians will only expand (historically, that trend is already apparent). Even worse, with today's overpopulation and high productivity (no use for people, yet they consume precious resources), there will come the time when wars are fought for no other reason but to kill as many civilians as possible! Ironically enough, probably the winner in such war would be deemed that side with greater ratio of civilian (surplus) loss to (useful) assets loss!

    So, sending robots out to kill unarmed civilians - it is absolutely not a mistake in reasoning, it is how it was always supposed to work. There will never be an intentional robot-vs-robot war on an uninhabitable patch of land or over the sea, like some people seem to imagine.

    Consequently, only way to do out with wars is to hold civilians of potentially warring nations at nuclear Armageddon point or other similarly sized credible annihilation threat (end of WWII, whole of Cold War).

  62. Oh, great... by Caedes.Leighton · · Score: 1

    Now every time a school or hospital blown up, they can blame it on flawed programming rather than the shitty way that some pilots interpret orders.

    1. Re:Oh, great... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can tell SOMEBODY does not understand how pilots make their decisions. If you had any real experience, you would understand the process. You also may want to brush up on your Genevea Conventions knowledge. There are times it IS legal to bomb these targets.

  63. As recruiting slogans go... by BaronHethorSamedi · · Score: 1

    ...pushing an unmanned airforce leaves something to be desired.

  64. UAV airforce by Schmyz · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Having worked with members of the UAV community...I can say two things... First I agree with a way to cut down on the risk our service people see in combat situations. which brings me to my second point... By removing the human element we loose the ability to make battlefield decisions based on ever changing data. just my 2 cents

  65. UAVs in a dogfight by sjbe · · Score: 1

    No UAV is capable of fighting a mannned air craft and winning.

    And your evidence for this is what? An unmanned craft can turn and accelerate at rates that would kill a pilot of a manned aircraft. They're lighter, smaller, faster, and more agile which are significant advantages. With stealth technology a UAV could potentially blow a manned aircraft out of the sky before the enemy pilot even knows the UAV is there. I buy the argument that UAVs are not yet able to dominate in a dog fight, but saying the can never win is a whole different argument and not an easy one to support.

    If not for local ECM(jammers in other aircraft) screwing up the flight controls, then the simple fact that the manned aircraft can turn their head and see the planes over their shoulder let alone behind them.

    It's quite possible to install sensors to allow a pilot of an unmanned craft to see in any direction - even simultaneously. For all we know there might already be sensors with full spherical vision available. The jamming is a bigger problem but presumably there are countermeasures for jamming as well. I don't think we're going to get rid of manned fighters anytime soon but there are plenty of missions where jamming is not a significant or an easily mitigated concern. Even manned fighters have to destroy radar and jamming equipment so they don't get shot down so it's a problem the US armed forces are more than passingly familiar with.

  66. OT: sig response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In response to your sig of

    If anyone knows why my comments recently started appearing with score 1, despite "Excellent" karma, I'd love to hear.

    Your posts show up as Score of 2 for me. (Posting AC to avoid caring about getting modded Offtopic... besides - people with mod points should be spending them down-modding legitimate trolls and up-modding well written posts - not downmodding stuff that most people won't read anyway)

  67. Law by Automaton by Fishbulb · · Score: 1

    I've said it before, I'll say it again,

    Law enforcement by automaton scares the living hell out of me.

  68. Human Limitations by gnieboer · · Score: 1

    People talk about the human limitations thing a lot, but it's really a lot more complicated than that. If you really study fighter combat, very rarely will a western pilot pull 9+ G's. That's because of all the energy it burns off. Fighter combat is really all about energy conservation. Slow=Dead. So you want use as little energy as possible. Once you do that 9G turn, you've used up so much energy/speed, that you are generally a sitting duck. Plus, you have to be in just the right flight envelope to pull a max effort turn (at least in an F-16). In a 1-v-1 basic dogfight, the F-22's greatest asset is it's enormous engines, because they allow the aircraft to turn faster!! Yes, because those engines can replace lost energy must faster than an F-15 or similar.

    So while you might be able to pull more than 10G's consistently in a drone, the engine technology to really be able to consistently and stay in the fight is the next generation PAST the F-22. (Well, I don't have F-22 experience personally, so I can't say that with certainty, but I can say it with more certainty than most statements on /.)

  69. Meet the laser: by Well-Fed+Troll · · Score: 0

    A bunch of little airplanes would quickly fall from short pulses from:
    http://www.popularmechanics.com/technology/military_law/1281536.html
    or
    http://blog.800hightech.com/airborne-military-laser-weapons/932/
    One way to defeat this might be to spew optically (and gamma/x-ray) dispersive pollutants (water, foil, dust etc) in the path that the flock would take.