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US Becomes Top Wind Producer; Solar Next

SpuriousLogic sends along a SciAm piece that begins, "The United States overtook Germany as the biggest producer of wind power last year, new figures showed, and will likely take the lead in solar power this year, analysts said on Monday. Even before an expected 'Obama bounce' from a new President who has vowed to boost clean energy, US wind power capacity surged 50 percent last year to 25 gigwatts — enough to power more than five million homes."

388 comments

  1. The US was always the World's top wind producer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    and always will be.

    Oh, you mean that kind of wind?

    1. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by Ihmhi · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, our politicians were always the best at putting out hot air, so it's logical that we would eventually overtake other countries on wind as well.

    2. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by Don853 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Sorry, I'll cut back on the dairy.

    3. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 1

      So you mean there was absolutely no wind in the world before 1776?

    4. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by russotto · · Score: 1

      Exactly; it was an election year in the US last year, so the wind was particularly strong anywhere the candidates went.

    5. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Pretty sure a diet of sausage and beer will always leave Germany as a contender for top wind producer.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    6. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by silverdr · · Score: 1

      O'rly? I was damn sure that Wind was produced in China (like everything else). Let me check, I have U100 here. It says "Assembled in China".. Ah, I see...

      --
      Now, mod me down freely. My karma can't get any worse...
    7. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by PDX · · Score: 1

      25 Gigawatts divided by 1.21 gigawatts equals 20.6 rounded down = twenty trips with the DeLorean.
      Yes, as a matter of fact I am bored right now. How ever did you guess?
        Ten trips into the past or future and an additional ten to apologise for all the mistakes made.

      Lets base our wind energy on potential uses that generate greater amounts of power such as conductive lasers to draw down lightning bolts in Florida.
      Storage will be the main problem to solve. Ten to twenty gigawatts per lightning bolt derived from a fifty MegaWatt laser could save us money. The laser could also be mounted on sharks! :^}

    8. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by glittalogik · · Score: 1

      Pretty much, yeah. Back then, pirate ships were appendage-propelled.

    9. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Especially now we've got the great orator Obama, and his loyal blowhard Biden helping lead the way :O)

    10. Re:The US was always the World's top wind producer by pseudochaos · · Score: 0

      Clearly we should encourage German immigration. I imagine beer and sausage are a lot more renewable sources of energy than carbon fuels.

      --
      "It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it." - Aristotle
  2. Makes you wonder by mosb1000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

    1. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Of course it's necessary; if they could get all the congressmen and senators to speak all at the same time, I think they could at least double the amount of wind produced. :)

    2. Re:Makes you wonder by chalkyj · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, pat your selves on the back. America (9,161,923 SQ KM) has over taken Germany (357,021 SQ KM). Good work.

    3. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      We have roughly 4x the population of germany, which means, per capita, we are far behind the rest of the industrialized world in development of renewable energy.

      If the disposition described in this article were applied to housing, it would be like declaring the wealth gap had closed because everyone who worked minimum wage pooled their resources and lived 4 families to a single family house.

      In other words: our renewable energy production is not up to pace with the rest of the world, which various international organizations say is STILL not enough.

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    4. Re:Makes you wonder by davester666 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Well, locations where these 'wind farms' are both out of eye sight and ear shot (as they can be quite loud) are rather rare.

      But good news, because with the current economic crisis, there are fewer homeowners to do the NIMBY.

      I think there was a story last year, where some rich community in Florida managed to get a off-shore wind farm denied because the towers would just be visible on the horizon...

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    5. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      Well, locations where these 'wind farms' are both out of eye sight and ear shot (as they can be quite loud) are rather rare.

      But good news, because with the current economic crisis, there are fewer homeowners to do the NIMBY.

      I think there was a story last year, where some rich community in Florida managed to get a off-shore wind farm denied because the towers would just be visible on the horizon...

      They shouldn't be using huge towers. they should be using the newer helix models. They're more stable in turbulent wind conditions and can be plunked pretty much anywhere.

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    6. Re:Makes you wonder by FriendlyLurker · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      The summary uses words like "Surged", and "biggest" which is more than a little misleading for the overall renewable situation, given the tiny fraction renewable energy makes up of the total energy market (7% in 2006, wind 1% of that):
      http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/solar.renewables/page/prelim_trends/rea_prereport.html

    7. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Well, but the real shame is that Germany is actually no.1 in solar power and was no.1 in wind power (I say this as a German).
      Given the climate and the size of Germany, it's quite a joke.

    8. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I wonder how the USA compares to the EU overall?

    9. Re:Makes you wonder by Hal_Porter · · Score: 5, Informative

      The German model of subsidising renewables is not without its problems

      http://www.economist.com/business/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10961890

      Most of Germany's electricity comes from coal-fired and nuclear plants. But the former are unpopular because of their relatively high greenhouse-gas emissions, and the latter because of the fear of a catastrophic accident. So in 1991 Germany adopted a renewable-energy law, now known as the EEG, which encourages investment by cross-subsidising renewable electricity fed into the grid. The law is popular with those who support the rapid introduction of new clean technology. Stefan Schurig of the World Future Council, a green think-tank in Hamburg, calls it "the best law of its kind worldwide".

      The law says electricity produced from renewable sources must be purchased by utilities according to a generous "feed-in tariff" that sets higher-than-market rates and fixes them for 20 years. Roof-mounted photovoltaic systems installed in 2007, for example, can sell power at €0.49 per kilowatt-hour, or about seven times today's wholesale price, until 2027. The fixed rate allows investors to calculate returns and removes uncertainty over financing.

      The utilities that buy power at these higher rates pass the extra costs back to their customers in the form of higher electricity bills. This added an average of 1 euro cent per kilowatt-hour to the price of electricity last year, increasing the typical household electricity bill by 5%, or €3 a month. For the country as a whole, the cost was €7.7 billion in 2007, up 38% on the year before. Enthusiasts consider that a small price to jump-start a new industry and start decarbonising the power supply.

      Clouds on the horizon

      But the government is not so sure. It has proposed a revision to the EEG, which calls for a shift away from solar and towards other forms of renewable energy, and offshore wind in particular. As things stand, the feed-in tariff for solar goes down by 5% every year. But new proposals call for a cut of 9.2% next year, and 7-8% thereafter.

      The problem is not just the expense of the existing law. Cheerleaders for solar had hoped that the increased demand for panels would help manufacturers reduce unit costs, and thus make solar more competitive in the long run. Instead, the rush into solar has led to a shortage of the high-grade silicon used to make the cells, which has soared in price from $25 per kilogram in 2003 to around $400 today.

      Indeed, such is the demand for solar panels in Germany that it has kept prices high globally. This is wonderful for manufacturers, but makes it more expensive to install solar capacity in sunnier parts of the world, where it would generate more electricity. The EEG's generous rates for solar amounted to "picking winners on a grand scale", says Dieter Helm, an expert on energy policy at the University of Oxford. A euro in cross-subsidies spent on wind power, rather than solar, produces more generating capacity and a larger reduction in carbon emissions.

      Basically if you subsidise the wrong thing, you can potentially hurt more than you help. Picking the right things to subsidise is non trivial.

      Hell if planned economies worked, India and the UK would have grown faster than free market places like the US in the 50's and 60's. Actually, despite being poorer, they grew more slowly until they implemented free market reforms.

      Now traditionally greens seem to see economic growth as some kind of problem because it usually leads to more pollution, but in the case of the renewable energy industry, more growth actually means less pollution.

      And actually the EEG is a fairly lightweight piece of government intervention, adding only 5% to bills.

      To misquote Socrates "True knowledge exists in knowing that the Government knows nothing."

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    10. Re:Makes you wonder by Instine · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Exactly. US becomes biggest wind bag. Or producer of hot air might be a better title... I know troll/flame/whatever. But please the rest of the world is kinda sick of this empty brovado. Real results please. Then we'll get back to admirring you as a nation. (and don't get me wrong - I already admire you as a poeple, many of you anyway)

      --
      Because you can - or because you should?
    11. Re:Makes you wonder by qc_dk · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The helix towers are also less efficient. And,
      the higher up you go the more wind there is.

      Finally, I like the standard windmills. I think they are a beautiful monument to human ingenuity.

    12. Re:Makes you wonder by blind+biker · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Yes, pat your selves on the back. America (9,161,923 SQ KM) has over taken Germany (357,021 SQ KM). Good work.

      I guess the US-haters are having a field day (+4 Informative? WTF?), but could you tell me what the heck does your comment have to to with the GP? In what way was the GP "patting itself"?

      If you want to make cheap shots at the US, why not do it in your own thread - at least it's somewhat logical. This way you seem like a retard.

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    13. Re:Makes you wonder by spectrokid · · Score: 5, Informative

      It would be more fair to calculate per inhabitant, not per square meter. A quick look on Wikipedia tells us that the US has 82 Watts installed capacity per inhabitant. Spain has 3.5 times as much, Germany 4.4 and little Denmark outperforms the US by 7 to 1. Denmark would like to get 50% of its electricity from wind power in the future. Denmark uses cross-border trading with Norway to balance supply/demand. The Norwegians have a lot of hydro which they can turn on/off rather quickly. So denmark sells power to Norway when there is wind, and buys it back when there isn't.

      --

      10 ?"Hello World" life was simple then

    14. Re:Makes you wonder by N1AK · · Score: 1

      But good news, because with the current economic crisis, there are fewer homeowners to do the NIMBY.

      Sadly, the current economic climate isn't having the same effect in the UK. NIMBYism is still rife, and our governments in so much debt I can't see renewables getting any meaningful investment.

      It's times like this that I wish local government was more autonomous, I'd love to see a system where local tax accounted for the number of positive and negative public amenities nearby. Thus if someone wants to live near the local school and hospital, but doesn't want wind turbines or prisons anywhere near they would pay higher local tax (council tax) and people who lived near the prison and further from the school would pay less.

      You might think if a system like this was put in place then it would unfairly lead to poor people getting a crap deal, well my counter to that is that they already do, and at least this way they pay less tax in return.

    15. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Well, you have to consider the long term goals of this.
      The main problem is that there is a chicken-egg problem with solar energy: with high panel prices is there is no demand and without demand the prices will remain high in the long term.

      They want to break this cycle by creating artifical demand. While the prices go up in the short term, the increased production capacity and investments into new technologies will drive them down in the long term.

    16. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, to get close to Germany the US needs five million homes / 25 gigawatts = 5kwh / home.
      I live alone in a 3 bedroom home in Australia and use ~1.2Kwh (yes I have a dishwasher, dryer, ect. gas heating, cooking, hot water. )
      Germany is more energy efficient than Oz (who are up near the top of the least efficient list along with the US), so say each 5kwh mansion has 5 people = 100% for 25 million people.
      That's just under 1/3 of their population getting 100% of their residential power from wind alone.
      I don't know how many buildings are powered by solar in Germany but I do know they were pumping almost a gigawatt of excess solar back on to the grid last summer.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    17. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hell if planned economies worked, India and the UK would have grown faster than free market places like the US in the 50's and 60's. Actually, despite being poorer, they grew more slowly until they implemented free market reforms.

      And yet everyone who lives there has adequate healthcare and the same standard of living without massive national debt.

      Go figure!

      As for subsidies, the US subsidizes a lot, and the US manufacturing sector has died because of a LACK of subsidies: specifically, the insistence that the government should not be providing healthcare, leaving it to businesses to pick up the slack.

      --
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    18. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The helix towers are also less efficient. And,
      the higher up you go the more wind there is.

      Finally, I like the standard windmills. I think they are a beautiful monument to human ingenuity.

      They're also a massive repair bill waiting to happen off the florida coast.

      The helix ones don't have to be as efficient, they can be clustered in phalanxes and placed ANYWHERE.. this means they can be included on skyscrapers, placed on the sides of interstates, put in your back yard, on your roof, etc.

      (not sure how well they'd do in water, but, if you'll allow me to make an arse out of you and me, i'll assume their resilience in turbulent winds would make them fairly resilient in water with minor modifications)

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    19. Re:Makes you wonder by cheetah_spottycat · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It puts the achievement into the right perspective. Outperforming a country with less than 4% surface (and similarly smaller number of citizens) is not quite as relevant as the headline wants to pretend. Whats next? "Russia outperforms Principality of Monaco in natural gas production! Film at 11!"?

    20. Re:Makes you wonder by dunkelfalke · · Score: 4, Interesting

      it is not, really, combined with this technology

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    21. Re:Makes you wonder by Anspen · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Yes it is, since this increase is the *result* of government intervention. The guarantees a minimum feed-in tariff which makes building wind installations commercially viable (not just because of the subsidy but also because it makes the large up front investment predictable). What's more, the past has shown what happens when it's left to the free market. Since the law has to be renewed every two years political wrangling means it's sometimes in place and sometimes not. When it's not, investment immediately collapses (see the graph at the end of this article).

      And since so far it hasn't been renewed installation this year will most likely be significantly lower.

      Beyond that total installad capacity is only important when looked at relatively. Total population is almost four times as large in the US than it is in Germany, energy consumption per household it much higher in the US and even Germany only gets a relatively small percentage of it's electricity from wind (7% according to this). So overall: good start, but most of the work is still to do.

    22. Re:Makes you wonder by devonbowen · · Score: 4, Informative

      I rode through Germany last weekend and couldn't believe all the solar cells I saw. Balconies, rooftops, entire sides of buildings. It's quite impressive. I'm not surprised that they generate so much power even with their climate.

      Devon

    23. Re:Makes you wonder by checkup21 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Most of the "solar stuff" you see at the roof is not solar-power, it's "solar-thermie". To produce warm water while the sun is shining. cheers

    24. Re:Makes you wonder by Rewind · · Score: 1

      Modded "flamebait"... Ok, I guess that pointing out that the largest country in terms of KM does not = the largest wind power producer is obvious trolling and Germans don't get any form of negative or black humor... To be fair I guess these are both things known by most of the world, though apparently not Germans.

      --
      ?
    25. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      so hot air + cold harsh reality = lots of wind ?

    26. Re:Makes you wonder by Mattsson · · Score: 2, Informative

      The fun thing about Denmark as a wind-power user, is that most of what they don't produce with wind are produced with coal, which is just about the worst energy-source there is. =)

      --
      /.Mattsson - My native language is not English, so please don't whine over linguistic errors. (That's lame anyway...)
    27. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the real point is that Americans don't get any form of negative or black modding and that any comment should always be in the form of a blanket statement.

    28. Re:Makes you wonder by jrumney · · Score: 1

      It would be more fair to calculate per inhabitant, not per square meter.

      Or as a percentage of overall energy use. The US is the worlds largest consumer of energy, so it shouldn't be surprising to see it becoming the world's largest producer of clean energy.

    29. Re:Makes you wonder by mcvos · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, locations where these 'wind farms' are both out of eye sight and ear shot (as they can be quite loud) are rather rare.

      Much more so in a relatively densely populated country like Germany, though.

      But they don't need to be out of sight or ear shot, you just put them in a place that's noisier and uglier than windmills. Along motorways, for example. And that's something that Germany has a lot of.

      No idea if they actually put them there, though. Much of Germany is probably too hilly. Along the coast is more efficient, but Germany is rather short on coastline.

      I think there was a story last year, where some rich community in Florida managed to get a off-shore wind farm denied because the towers would just be visible on the horizon...

      So they don't have power lines, highways or railroads in Florida? Or, I don't know, ugly apartment blocks? Wind farms are benign in comparison. But hey, put them wherever the oil platforms are.

    30. Re:Makes you wonder by mcvos · · Score: 1

      Exactly. For the moment, the political and societal will to do something is a much bigger factor than land area or climate. Germany is the front runner, but as soon as everybody else finally catches up, it'll be overtaken in solar by sunnier countries, and in wind power by windier countries.

      You'd think Netherland (my country) would be quite good at wind power, but apparently we suck.

    31. Re:Makes you wonder by jlar · · Score: 1

      As a side note the Swedish energy company Vattenfall (which owns a lot of the Danish coal plants) are currently undertaking large scale experiments with CO2 neutral coal plants (also one in Denmark):

      http://www.atlantic-times.com/archive_detail.php?recordID=1532

      So who knows. Maybe coal will be the next green energy source (or maybe not).

    32. Re:Makes you wonder by mcvos · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It puts the achievement into the right perspective. Outperforming a country with less than 4% surface (and similarly smaller number of citizens)

      Number of citizens isn't quite that much smaller. I think Germany has about 30% the population size of the US.

      But Germany is quite clearly a front runner in clean energy. It's inevitable that larger countries will eventually overtake it in absolute numbers. And I'm glad the US is already doing that. Good job!

    33. Re:Makes you wonder by the_one(2) · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yeah and Denmark gets pissy about Sweden's nuclear power plant and we have to shut it down.:(

    34. Re:Makes you wonder by master_p · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you want to talk about shame, then here is Greece we are last in solar and wind power...and we have sunshine 2/3 of the year and winds all over the season (because Greece is surrounded by sea)...

    35. Re:Makes you wonder by divisionbyzero · · Score: 1

      Aww, it sounds like you are bitter that your right to be morally self-righteous has been taken away. Seriously America is damned as hydro-carbon chugging, global glutton on one hand and on the other is shit upon when it shows a modicum of success when weaning itself off of them. Admittedly it didn't need to be positioned as a competition, but in case you hadn't noticed Americans are motivated by competition.

      All of the being said, it is only a modest success with a lot of work still to be done. There are still 105+ million households that still need energy from a "clean" source.

    36. Re:Makes you wonder by blind+biker · · Score: 1

      It puts the achievement into the right perspective. Outperforming a country with less than 4% surface (and similarly smaller number of citizens) is not quite as relevant as the headline wants to pretend. Whats next? "Russia outperforms Principality of Monaco in natural gas production! Film at 11!"?

      The headline, huh? Well then, as I said, why don't you have your own thread for that? I still don't understand what your post had to do with the one you answered to. This still makes you look retarded, no matter how many US-haters with mod points roam around here.

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    37. Re:Makes you wonder by phantomcircuit · · Score: 4, Informative

      That's funny last I checked Indians had terrible health care and in general are ridiculously poor.

    38. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Informative

      I don't think it's a binary choice, helio's are good for tacking on to buildings, especially where there isn't enough sun (eg: shady side of a building in an otherwise sunny clime). Large windmills work well in the North Sea and would probably hold up to hurricane strength winds as well as your average oil rig. The drawback is that they need to be built in shallow water, so floating helios may have a place in the deep sea. There is also a lot of research going into floating WM's, ironically most of these projects are consulting the oil industry for their rig building expertise.

      Smart oil and coal companies have been looking at themselves as "energy companies" for a few years now but there are still plenty of ludites.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    39. Re:Makes you wonder by Bearhouse · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      It's vital. Regardless of one's political preferences, a couple of things are clear:

      1. Although the gap is closing, most forms of 'sustainable' energy production, such as wind and solar, are still more expensive then burning fossil fuel. Demand, (which drives innovation in both R&D and production technology) is closely linked to Gov. subsidy - for both installation cost and 'buy-back' of the power generated. That's why you've got so much solar in Germany & Japan - homeowners got massive subsidies.

      2. Transmission infrastructure investment is required, since solar, wind and tidal generation locations are typically located a long way away from demand for the juice. These investments are massively expensive and difficult to do, for many reasons including NIMBY, hence the reluctance of the private sector to 'go it alone'.

      The current situation is that:
      * The private sector is starved of cash,
      * The recent fall in oil & gas prices has once again opened the gap between fossil generation and sustainable,
      * Few Govs have coherent long-term plans that the private sector can use to base investments on.

      So, yes, Gov intervention is really necessary.

      The cash is there - few people realise that massive amounts (billions) are given away in subsidies to the oil, and now ethanol industries. If some of this money was diverted to renewables then we'd see a big difference.

    40. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      You're kidding, right? Germany's population density is similar to that of the US coastal areas, i.e. among the highest in the world. Wind turbines are installed less than half a mile from small residential areas and less than a mile from big residential areas. They are not nearly as noisy as you may think they are. Traffic, even on low-noise asphalt, causes more noise immissions than wind turbines. Proper planning is important (taking dominant wind direction and shadow length/direction over the day into account) but if Germany has room to install wind turbines, so does almost everybody else. They're visible for miles, but I honestly prefer to look at a couple of wind turbines instead of coal or nuclear power plants with their huge cooling towers. To me the wind turbines are a symbol of high technology being used for providing a clean energy source.

    41. Re:Makes you wonder by Reaper9889 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yeah and Denmark gets pissy about Sweden's nuclear power plant and we have to shut it down.:(

      As I understood it, it was because Sweden put one (the one the danish goverment tried to shut down) 20 km from the danish Capitol and largest city, Copenhagen - see e.g. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barseb%C3%A4ck_nuclear_power_plant AFAIK, the rest wasn't a problem.

    42. Re:Makes you wonder by ChienAndalu · · Score: 1

      And yet everyone who lives there has adequate healthcare and the same standard of living without massive national debt.

      Really? I wonder who payed the BRDs 1.527.863.662.684 Euros in debt.

      See our clock: (German, obviously).

    43. Re:Makes you wonder by Hal_Porter · · Score: 3, Informative

      And yet everyone who lives there has adequate healthcare and the same standard of living without massive national debt.

      The US has a high debt at the moment it's true. I think it's partly due to Bush's spendthrift policies and partly a structural thing. Most US Federal Debt is owned domestically which makes it seem less threatening, almost like a voluntary tax system. There is a long term risk of Federal debts spiralling out of control admittedly, but that risk is exacerbated by increased government spending. If you want low debts, free market policies are the way to go.

      In fact in the UK social security would have bankrupted the government in the long run if entitlements had not been cut.

      The US, despite the rhetoric faces the same problem

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:GAO_Slide.png

      And unlike the UK, they haven't cut entitlements to make sure the system balances.

      In terms of health care, haven't you heard the expression "British Teeth"? I'm English and I grew up in the UK and travelled extensively and I have to say that British teeth from the NHS era are a on average lot worse than the teeth of Americans from the private healthcare era. In fact middle class English people over about 40 have worse teeth than ghetto/trailer park Americans. That's not unexpected either, the point of the NHS was that dentists got paid a (high) salary for taking part, not for actually treating anyone. It wasn't in their interests to "sell" treatment since they didn't charge for it. By contrast in the US dentists could market shiny straight teeth to people, or rather get them to buy them for their kids.

      Actually since Thatcher successive UK governments have largely dismantled the NHS. Most dental treatment in the UK is now private for example. Young English people have teeth like Americans.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    44. Re:Makes you wonder by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Well, you have to consider the long term goals of this.
      The main problem is that there is a chicken-egg problem with solar energy: with high panel prices is there is no demand and without demand the prices will remain high in the long term.

      They want to break this cycle by creating artifical demand. While the prices go up in the short term, the increased production capacity and investments into new technologies will drive them down in the long term.

      The point of the article I quoted was that it hasn't worked like that. And logically, you wouldn't expect it to. If you create artificial demand, you'd expect prices to go up. If you stop creating prices will go down. In fact the German government is tailing off support for exactly that reason, because the price of solar panels has gone up too much.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    45. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      For all his fault's Blair deserves credit for spotlighting the problem to people who didn't want to know. It's indeed a pity the cupboard is bare.

      I had the good fourtune to spend 5 weeks driving around the UK staying at B&B's. I don't know if you have driven down the west coast of Scotland but the sceanery is breathtaking, same with the Yorkshire dales (eg: Fountains Abbey), the orkneys, parts of Ireland. Being an Aussie I was amazed at the extent of wide open spaces and postcard views. You need to keep as much of that as is practicable, even if it means moving a couple of miles away and losing a few efficiency points.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    46. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      It's pretty obvious to anyone in or near germany, their politicians produce so much hot air that it's a shame that they can't power the world with it...

    47. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And in third place is Spain, with half population than germany (and I cannot even compare it to the states)

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_Spain

    48. Re:Makes you wonder by kqc7011 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How much per KWH does this windmill produced electricity cost, without subsidies? Then compare it to your electric bill.

      --
      Passionately Indifferent
    49. Re:Makes you wonder by Dr.+Hok · · Score: 1

      Yes, to get close to Germany the US needs five million homes / 25 gigawatts = 5kwh / home.

      You're getting the units mixed up. A watt (W) is a unit of power. A watt-hour (Wh) is a unit of energy, i.e. power x time, which is not what you mean.

      Many people get this wrong, and it usually creates quite some confusion when you talk about actual numbers. So pelase be careful.

      I won't mention that your equation boils down to A/B=B/A, hence A=B :-)

      --
      Say out loud: I'm an Aspie and I'm somewhat proud, I guess. Uh. Can I write an email in all caps instead? Hm...
    50. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're forgetting something. Enough wind comes out of Washington to power the whole nation. We don't need that many wind farms.

    51. Re:Makes you wonder by nickruiz · · Score: 1

      Yes, pat your selves on the back. America (9,161,923 SQ KM) has over taken Germany (357,021 SQ KM). Good work.

      Exactly. We're #1!

      US:
      [;\frac{25000MW}{9161923m^2} \approx .00273 MW/m^2;]

      Germany:
      [;\frac{24000MW}{357021m^2} \approx .06722 MW/m^2;]

      (Just wanted to test out my TeX FireFox plugin on /.)

    52. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point of the article I quoted was that it hasn't worked like that. And logically, you wouldn't expect it to. If you create artificial demand, you'd expect prices to go up. If you stop creating prices will go down. In fact the German government is tailing off support for exactly that reason, because the price of solar panels has gone up too much.

      Yes, but if you cut the subsidies at the right time the market and production will substain itself. Because investments have been made and the power of scale kicks in.
      Thus if they start reducing them at the right point, it will work actually.

    53. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      The dental situation has nothing to do with the fact its nationalized and everything to do with the fact they were paid salary and not by the treatment. It's quite possible to pay by the treatment in a nationalized system as well.

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    54. Re:Makes you wonder by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      It's funny, because in my state they are selling it as a tourist attraction for the beaches.

      Of course in an area of primarily home-owners I guess that is a bad thing.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    55. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      I have a relative who is an executive for a solar company. It turns out that, for now, it's not about climate or size - it's about the subsidies.

      Germany started giving *crazy* subsidies each year to renewable energy source, enough to make producing them viable. Each year, the amount of power delivered went up (kicking in economies of scale) and the subsidies went down.

      The Germans built the seeds of the solar industry by subsidizing them get up to the scale needed where they can stand on their own (almost: right now, there's an over-capacity, so the makers have to take their product to other countries or shrink. The Germans still have a small subsidy, but the companies might even be able to live without right now).

      It's the only "personal" example I have of public-private partnerships working out well. (The other "personal" example is the US ethanol industry, and it's kind of an example of what not to do).

    56. Re:Makes you wonder by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      In my area we have that system.

      It is in the form of property tax (and to a lesser extend real-estate transfer tax). If your house is worth more, you pay more tax.

      Income tax is in the realm of state government. When I used to live in Philidelphia it was a mixture (of property, income, and sales taxes), but the income tax was about 2/3's of the total, so it did not leave much room for adjustment on desirability (property value).

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    57. Re:Makes you wonder by SerpentMage · · Score: 1

      This is completely missing the point. First I rather doubt that the person is a US hater. Secondly, I think he is just pointing out the obvious.

      For a science magazine I am actually quite surprised that they would post some sensationalistic like that. But then again SCIAM is not what it used to be.

      And finally, if you can't come up with a better argument than "US-Haters" then stop posting! Much of the world doesn't hate the US. They just hate when people like yourself accuse us people who actually like the US as US haters...

      --

      "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
      "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
    58. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm from Melboure Australia, some say it's the 2nd largest Greek city. :)

      Here's shame: We were the last "friend" the neo-cons had in the international climate "debate".

      We have just had a week of ~40deg celisus, three days in a row at 43deg+. Footpaths slabs pop out of the ground due to expansion, rail lines buckle and damage points. Our coastline is a shallow straight in the "roaring fourties" of the southern ocean, it has tremendously powerfull tides and huge swells.

      Last weekend everyone was hoping the bushfires and heat would not cut off a major power line from the coal mines to the city, another major line was out because a sub-station exploded in the heat. No air-con literally kills people (as it has also done in Greek heat waves).

      Our electricity is centralised and more or less all coal with gas/hydro backup, (same with most of Australia). Where we have the most hydro capacity it's screwed because of the "permenant drought" (accelerating shift in rainfall patterns for last 50yrs). But coal? The stuff everywhere, we even sold "coals to Newcastle" in the Thatcher era. The disinformation in this country over the last decade is only rivalled by that of the US. To overcome the water shortage we are now contemplating building another coal plant to power the humungous desal plant we are building on the coast of said roaring fourties.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    59. Re:Makes you wonder by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      I would say the fairest way would be to compare percentages of total consumption provided by solar power. That takes in to account non-person-specific infrastructure uses like streetlights, factories, etc. The US consumes a total of X gigawatt-hrs each year with Y gigawatt-hrs of that from solar panels. Rating = Y/X.

      Naturally someone will suggest a formula that punishes the US for being such an extravagant consumer of power.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    60. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Admittedly it didn't need to be positioned as a competition, but in case you hadn't noticed Americans are motivated by competition.

      I am going to be cynical... Yes Americans are motivated by competition. BUT only by competition that they can win. Anything that they can't win becomes irrelevant, something France would do, or is a liberal leftie thing to do.

      Case in point, football (soccer). America is still incapable of producing a team that is actually a challenger on the world scene. Though they try.

      World Series? WTF, try America, Canada series. There are oodles of good baseball teams outside of Canada and America. Make the World Series a REAL world series.

      Again I am being cynical here, and I am glad that America is starting to change its ways...

    61. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Thanks, knew it was wrong (after posting). It doesn't detract from the conclusion.
      As they say in the movie The Castle: "It's the vibe of the thing."

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    62. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the important think to keep in perspective it not that the US passed Germany but that productions surged 50%. I don't know how maintainable 50% surges are each year, but any brainic knows that even at half that rate, the US can overtake Germany per capita in a short amount of time.

    63. Re:Makes you wonder by managementboy · · Score: 1

      But they don't need to be out of sight or ear shot, you just put them in a place that's noisier and uglier than windmills. Along motorways, for example. And that's something that Germany has a lot of. No idea if they actually put them there, though. Much of Germany is probably too hilly. Along the coast is more efficient, but Germany is rather short on coastline.

      yes, I actually remember where the fixed speed traps are by what kind of windmill is near them. Most of the wind is generated in the flat north.

    64. Re:Makes you wonder by tcopeland · · Score: 1

      > Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      I think the government already has, and with predictable effects; for example, see this post about 'negative pricing' in the Texas wind farms.

    65. Re:Makes you wonder by cellurl · · Score: 1

      Powering 0.1% of homes ain't much of a dent, not counting factories... 5k/5M= 0.1% = 300M people in US / 2 half own homes / 5 per household= 30M Estimate # of houses.

    66. Re:Makes you wonder by thePowerOfGrayskull · · Score: 1, Offtopic
      Aw c'mon. You've been here long enough to realize that this is the most common (and successful) form of karma-whoring there is. Post a comment in reply to an early post - preferably in response to one that is modded highly - and you don't have to even consider the post you're replying to. As long as it's relevant in some way to the article, you'll get modded up. It's all about getting seen by the moderators before they lose interest in the comments.

      To me, this is the definition of offtopic - since it has nothing to do with the comment being replied to - and I mod it so when I have mod points. Clearly this is the minority opinion...

    67. Re:Makes you wonder by VJ42 · · Score: 1

      It's times like this that I wish local government was more autonomous, I'd love to see a system where local tax accounted for the number of positive and negative public amenities nearby. Thus if someone wants to live near the local school and hospital, but doesn't want wind turbines or prisons anywhere near they would pay higher local tax (council tax) and people who lived near the prison and further from the school would pay less.

      Council tax already works likes this; if your house is worth more (i.e. in a "desirable" location, near amenities, transport links etc.) then you get put in a higher band and pay more.

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, you have no reason to search me
    68. Re:Makes you wonder by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      Nice selective metrics. A better metric might be that America has roughly 3 times the population of Germany. While it shows we are still behind the Germans, it certainly isn't as skewed as the land area would indicate.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    69. Re:Makes you wonder by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Wow. 99% of the time if I read a U.S. paper, I see how bad the U.S. is at everything. I see us slammed, mocked. I see how we rank behind every other country in just about everything. I am not sure where the "empty bravado" is coming from that offends you so much.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    70. Re:Makes you wonder by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      And yet everyone who lives there has adequate healthcare and the same standard of living without massive national debt.

      Really? Because I seem to remember an embarrassing incident a couple of months ago when the German Chancellor criticised the British Prime Minister for his new policy that would result in a massive national debt, only to have it pointed out later that after the massive public spending Britain's national debt would grow to equal that of Germany.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    71. Re:Makes you wonder by YeeHaW_Jelte · · Score: 1

      "Picking the right things to subsidise is non trivial.

      Hell if planned economies worked"

      Subsidizing some stuff planned economy

      --

      ---
      "The chances of a demonic possession spreading are remote -- relax."
    72. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      You do realize that when the talking heads tell you it is "the hottest it has been in 75 years," or we are in the "biggest economic recession in 30 years," etc., that it means 75 and 30 years ago, respectively, it was just as bad or worse than it is now?

      If in your entire lifespan it is the hottest 80 years on record, keep two things in mind: 80 years is barely a visible spot compared to the age of the planet; and accurate records haven't been kept for very long.

      We should be better stewards of the planet. We should respect nature to ensure future generations have something to enjoy. But we shouldn't get caught up in the "anthropomorphic global warming" craze because the earth has been warming and cooling for millennia without our help. That doesn't mean we should dump toxins into rivers, strip mine, and cross cut forests. It doesn't mean coal plants should belch out CO2.

      It means, as you point out by putting the word 'debate' in quotes, that rationality should lead and we should be able to have a debate, rather than people being labeled as idiots for not devouring the anthro-global warming tripe.

    73. Re:Makes you wonder by Jaysyn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "So they don't have power lines, highways or railroads in Florida? Or, I don't know, ugly apartment blocks? Wind farms are benign in comparison."

      Yes, but they are all either far away or hidden from said rich communities.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
    74. Re:Makes you wonder by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Most of the "solar stuff" you see at the roof is not solar-power, it's "solar-thermie". To produce warm water while the sun is shining. cheers

      And your point is? It reduces requirements for traditional power generation just as much as it would if it were enough solar-electric to do the same job.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    75. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FWIW Texas windmills can produce roughly 8 gigawatts of electricity. At about one third the population of Germany, that places it at an equal amount of production per person to Germany. Though, Texans use more electricity per person than Germans. Also, our wind energy production has been growing at a steady rate of 1.2GW/year back to 2004, with several new 3GW and 4GW proposals aiming for starting in 2012.

      The biggest problem we have is that actual production is less than potential because we don't have enough High Voltage transmission lines to get the electricity from where it's being produce to where it's being used. That's why the state has invested the money to put in the infrastructure to support 30GW output from the wind energy production/harvesting areas of west Texas.

    76. Re:Makes you wonder by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      Not to mention while the US wasn't a planned economy in the 50 & 60's, it also wasn't the bastion of free or fair trade like the previous poster would like you to believe.

      That's right, we got to the moon being unfair protectionist bastards. "Free" trade has cost us a *lot*.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
    77. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would say that heating water with the sun counts as solar power, certainly not solar electricity, but power, sure.

    78. Re:Makes you wonder by checkup21 · · Score: 1

      The point is, that it's actually not solar cells what the poster has seen in germany so often.

    79. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why you don't harness all the wind on Capital Hill.

    80. Re:Makes you wonder by Mattsson · · Score: 1

      There's other concerns with coal, besides the CO2.
      The ash and particle-filters are full of heavy-metals and radioactive substances that mustn't be released into the environment.

      --
      /.Mattsson - My native language is not English, so please don't whine over linguistic errors. (That's lame anyway...)
    81. Re:Makes you wonder by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      U.S. businesses don't provide health care because the government doesn't subsidize it. U.S. businesses provide health care because the government requires it, and subsidizes it. It isn't anything close to a free market.

    82. Re:Makes you wonder by robot_love · · Score: 1

      not sure how well they'd do in water

      Rather poorly, I'd imagine.

      --
      .there is enough of everything for everyone.
    83. Re:Makes you wonder by polebridge · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I've stood at the base of the three-blade type in North Dakota and Michigan. They were almost silent, with only a slight whoosh as each blade passed overhead. Are other designs louder? There were no mounds of cuisinarted birds, either, no dead birds at all.

    84. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a "World Baseball Classic" which is the "World Series" that you're looking for. The "World Series" is a dumb name, but no pro teams from other leagues around the world could realistically compete with the players in the American leagues. Their best players are already here, playing in those leagues.

      As for the World Cup, Soccer hasn't been a popular sport in the US for very long. The best athletes have gone into other sports. As that changes, they may field a competitive team, or may not.

    85. Re:Makes you wonder by Rasperin · · Score: 4, Informative

      I live next to a windmill and I can tell you, I've almost never heard a peep out of that thing, running and all. I hear protests against them all the time in the mid-western part of this state (Kansas) because they think they're loud/etc. No they're not and it's false media like that who are stopping anything real starting up.

      --
      WTF Slashdot, why do I have to login 50 times to post?
    86. Re:Makes you wonder by f0dder · · Score: 1

      I don't know.. there was a reddit headline about tidal turbines that read something akin to "Underwater Windmill Generates Electricity to Power Small City!!!!!!"

    87. Re:Makes you wonder by Aqualung812 · · Score: 1
      Thanks, we try.

      The point is, we have made progress. The current output doesn't have to stop, and as you pointed out, we have plenty of room to improve.

      --
      Grammer Nazis - I mod you "troll" unless you actually add something on-topic. Yes, I know I have mispellings in my sig.
    88. Re:Makes you wonder by 0prime · · Score: 2, Informative

      This is closer to the correct way to look at renewable harvesting, but not quite.

      The problem most people seem to have with understanding the use of renewable resources is that they aren't limitless when it comes to total production. Yes, you will always have wind, but where and how much varies depending on the climate.

      Germany should be a huge producer of wind power, as they have a huge source of strong wind energy, the North Sea. When it comes to coastal winds, lands along the North Sea are the best place for wind energy production, hence all the high amounts of wind energy being produced by countries in that area.

      A True measure of renewable energy harvesting is only found when you compare the potential output to the actual output. When only looking at land area in square units, most of Germany isn't suitable for wind energy production. Their high production comes from intensely using the available wind 'resources' in their northern coastal regions. It would be dumb to put a ton of windmills in the Black Forests of southern Germany.

      --
      I am not a *blank*, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
    89. Re:Makes you wonder by scorp1us · · Score: 1

      Yes, except people, not sqkm consume electricity. A better gauge is per capita, where Germany=82M and the US=303M.

      Meaning that, we need just under 4x the watt production of Germany to be comparable. Whereas your evaluation we would need 25x to be comparable. The middle of our country is vastly emtpy farmland. It shouldn't have the same weight as the urban areas.

      --
      Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
    90. Re:Makes you wonder by jambox · · Score: 1

      Well you picked an interesting article to quote. But I think your point about subsidies being inherently bad is non-sequitur. IANAE(conomist) but the German feed-in tariff sounds like a good way of avoiding the perils of public finance - it takes money from bill payers and forces the receiving industry to spend it on it's intended use without touching the government. That would avoid what often happens with "environmental" taxes - the cash is often just lumped into the treasury and spent on whatever the government needs money for at that time. Ring-fencing is another approach but the tariff money is still going through the government.

      IMHO this is exactly the sort of thing the Obama administration should be doing in the US, except elaborated to include wind and hell - even nuke.

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    91. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      They shouldn't be using huge towers. they should be using the newer helix models. They're more stable in turbulent wind conditions and can be plunked pretty much anywhere.

      Ya, but who ever heard of tilting with a helix?

    92. Re:Makes you wonder by mjbkinx · · Score: 1

      You can add it up here. The EU has more than twice the capacity of the US, Spain and Denmark are particularly impressive.

      Here's the same for photovoltaics, if you're interested.

    93. Re:Makes you wonder by khallow · · Score: 1

      If the disposition described in this article were applied to housing, it would be like declaring the wealth gap had closed because everyone who worked minimum wage pooled their resources and lived 4 families to a single family house.

      If the disposition described were applied to sauerkraut, it would be like declaring the wealth gap had closed because everyone ate a quarter as much sauerkraut.

      In other words: our renewable energy production is not up to pace with the rest of the world, which various international organizations say is STILL not enough.

      "Various international organizations"? Has to be one of the weakest appeals to authority I've seen in a while. I can come up with "international organizations" that want to make the human race extinct (the Voluntary Human Extinction Movement). Or merely destroy the Western world (Al Qaeda). Or sell cocaine (a few cartels in the Americas). Since they want it, let's go do that.

    94. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      Of course government intervention is necessary in this case! Who better to produce a lot of hot wind than government officials?

    95. Re:Makes you wonder by danlip · · Score: 1

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      It may be. Tax breaks we part of what made it happen. And TFA mentioned that the financial crisis was hitting the industry 2 ways: no loans for new projects and low petroleum prices make it harder to compete. The government should be loaning some of that bailout money directly to alternative energy construction rather than banks and our screwed up auto industry.

    96. Re:Makes you wonder by cliffski · · Score: 1

      Why do they need to be out of eye sight? Hundreds of thousands of people live within eyesight of butt-ugly coal fired power stations.
      Plus, noisy????
      I've stood right next to a huge fuck-off wind turbine in cornwall and heard nothing. My hearing is pretty good too. How far away can you hear a wind turbine?

      --
      DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
    97. Re:Makes you wonder by khallow · · Score: 1

      And yet everyone who lives there has adequate healthcare and the same standard of living without massive national debt.

      Code words for everyone has mediocre healthcare and a mediocre standard of living along with massive national debt (and India)!

    98. Re:Makes you wonder by cliffski · · Score: 1

      Thats definitely not crazy. With the rest of Europe begging Russia for gas supplies, and the oil price is all over the place, it sounds like Germany have taken big steps towards both energy independence and building a decent export business.
      I see wind and solar as a no brainer. I'd have solar on my roof tomorrow if I didn't plan on moving house this year.

      --
      DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
    99. Re:Makes you wonder by operagost · · Score: 1

      Save your criticism for the workers' paradise of China, then. They have 1.5 billion people, huge land mass, and all they do is burn fossil fuels and do hydro (after displacing a million people).

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    100. Re:Makes you wonder by UltraAyla · · Score: 1

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      It really was necessary here. There's an amazing graph that illustrates this that I can't find right now that basically shows that without the government's subsidy shift from oil to renewable energy, wind installation crashes. The government didn't renew the credits in 06, so installation was really high in 05, nosedives in 06 and rockets back up in 07.

    101. Re:Makes you wonder by khallow · · Score: 1

      It's quite possible to pay by the treatment in a nationalized system as well.

      You got to wonder why the UK never got around to doing that.

    102. Re:Makes you wonder by Moridineas · · Score: 2, Informative

      Rich community in Florida? There are far better examples...try Senator Kennedy and Cape Code

      http://preview.story.news.yahoo.com/s/bloomberg/20090116/pl_bloomberg/aj2z7l9psmeg

      NIMBY fake environmentalism knows no partisanship...

    103. Re:Makes you wonder by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      They may not be photovoltiac cells, but they're still solar cells in the sense that they have individual 'cells' that pick up energy from the sun. It's just that they're pumping water through them to use the heat more directly.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    104. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Being from Denmark I just want to point out that Norway benefits the most from this arrangement, because they get the energy (practically) free and sells it back at market prices.

    105. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do you expect them to use? Solar Irradiance is fairly low in Denmark, and I doubt they have anywhere to store nuclear waste. What does that leave them with? Oil, natural gas, and coal? Coal is the cheapest of the three.

    106. Re:Makes you wonder by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      but the companies might even be able to live without right now

      Without the German subsidies, maybe. But from what I've seen they're simply moving to different government subsidies in other countries.

      Makes sense though, you sell your product to the highest bidder/payer first.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    107. Re:Makes you wonder by cheetah_spottycat · · Score: 1

      I'm not criticising the US for their environmental efforts. I'm criticizing a misleading headline. And yes, I agree, the economic growth rate in China is an environmental time bomb.

    108. Re:Makes you wonder by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      It's distracting to those of us who understand the difference, because I was wondering how the heck you manage to get by on around 12 cents of electricity a month. Or even daily. Sure, a moment later I realized what you really meant, but I still had to mentally shift gears to resolve that issue.

      One thing to keep in mind is that you can't just model your usage of power as an averaged wattage - peoples demands not only change through the day, they're somewhat synchronized so that when you demand more power is also when other people demand more power, resulting in peaks and valleys.

      Yes, it hashed my vibe a bit. ;)

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    109. Re:Makes you wonder by natoochtoniket · · Score: 1

      The current wind power production capacity was mostly built using government grants. The federal government directly paid for about 40% of the cost, and the power companies got states to fund grants and approve utility surcharges for the rest. Essentially all of the money came from government, or was extracted from individuals using government authority. Without those grants and taxes for renewable energy, there would be extremely little wind power in the US.

    110. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if you'll allow me to make an arse out of you and me, i'll assume

      Shouldn't that be "arseume"? (or "arsume"?)

    111. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      if in your entire lifespan it is [one of] the hottest 80 years on record

      But because the CO2 we already put into the atmosphere is staying there, and we continue to put in more, the warming trend will continue and the mean temperature will continue to increase.

      Which means one of the next few years will likely be the hottest in 100 years, the year after that the hottest in 500, some year after that the hottest in 1000, etc.

      We're already seeing that trend with droughts in Western America. We're exceeding 1/100 year shortages routinely.

      Your dismissal would be valid if the climate were stationary. It's not. It's changing.

    112. Re:Makes you wonder by Typoboy · · Score: 1

      Plus, it's heated air. So, maybe some sort of phase-change system could be used to power turbinesâ¦

    113. Re:Makes you wonder by Rei · · Score: 1

      To be fair, about 42% of new generating capacity that went onto the US grid last year was wind power. So even while it's a small share of our total, we're scaling up rapidly.

      As a counterpoint to my own above point, though, that number is expected to fall significantly this year, as a combination of our horrible financing environment and delays in the production tax credit (it's quite small, but that little bit makes all the difference right now**) have postponed many projects.

      To counter that counterpoint, it's expected to rise significantly again in subsequent years as the US government makes loans available and looks to establish a long-term framework rather than the boom-and-bust cycle of on-again, off-again production tax credits.

      ** - Wind subsidies are are a tiny percent of total national energy subsidies, despite how rapidly we're putting windpower onto the grid. The lion's share of renewable energy subsidies goes to ethanol. Nuclear power would be even worse off than wind if not for all of the breaks and government services provided for the industry.

      --
      Nothing says 'welcome to the neighborhood' like a gunny sack full of dead squirrels.
    114. Re:Makes you wonder by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      The UK doesnt have massive national debt? Really? Since when?

    115. Re:Makes you wonder by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Given the climate and the size of Germany, it's quite a joke.

      It's not so surprising that Germans don't want to buy natural gas from the Russians to keep their economy moving.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    116. Re:Makes you wonder by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      It puts the achievement into the right perspective.

      Yea you're right. the US shouldn't even bother with clean energy. We has so many people that we'll never have better per capita numbers than places like Germany. We shouldn't even try to improve the situation in the US because whatever we don't won't be good enough according to some people.

      I hope the world enjoys inhaling our coal dust.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    117. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Instead, the rush into solar has led to a shortage of the high-grade silicon used to make the cells, which has soared in price from $25 per kilogram in 2003 to around $400 today.

      This article was written in April 2008 back when oil was 130$ a barrel. Commodity prices have tumbled since then. I would hazard a guess that the balance has shifted again.

      Another effect of high silicon prices will be incentives for PV cell manufacturers to to produce more cells more cheaply and efficiently.

    118. Re:Makes you wonder by MrSnivvel · · Score: 1

      U.S. businesses don't provide health care because the government doesn't subsidize it. U.S. businesses provide health care because the government requires it, and subsidizes it. It isn't anything close to a free market.

      That's not correct, business' are not require to provide health insurance for their employees. Employer provided health insurance was born as a reaction against wage controls enacted by FDR. Since employers couldn't pay more to attract employees, they got around it by providing other incentives for people to work for them. Before then, "insurance" was a community based function (e.g. churches pooling resources together for the congregation).

    119. Re:Makes you wonder by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      And, just to provide the proper counter-point, people should be able to realize that things weren't the same millenia ago as they are now. Which means that trotting out "but it was hot long ago!" is idiotic - not to mention it misses the point that the last couple of times it was this hot for this long, humans weren't around.

      I'm all for debate, but I'm coming to the conclusion that every time someone says this, what they actually mean is "listen to me even if I don't have anything new to say!"

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    120. Re:Makes you wonder by blind+biker · · Score: 1

      I agree, but what good does the additional karma do to him, if he ends up looking like a total moron? Sometimes in the future, someone might read this thread and wonder "WTF, this guy isn't even trying to answer his parent post - twice in the same thread! Clearly, he is mentally deficient."

      As for the off-topic moderation: it's interesting that every time it has been used on my posts, it was used to mod down posts that were totally ON topic with the thread they were in and with the post I was answering to. It's a mod that is probably often (always?) mis-used.

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    121. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      And yet everyone who lives there has adequate healthcare and the same standard of living without massive national debt.

      Code words for everyone has mediocre healthcare and a mediocre standard of living along with massive national debt (and India)!

      As opposed to the US where the wealthy get excellent healthcare, the people who don't need health care have access to mediocre healthcare, and the poor and those who actually require healthcare have access to zero healthcare.

      I'll take an even mediocre over a skewed "excellent" only for the top 1%

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    122. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      The UK doesnt have massive national debt? Really? Since when?

      Now this is intellectually dishonest. Their recent stimulus efforts were making big news on the BBC because it will be the UK's first venture into debt in quite some time.

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    123. Re:Makes you wonder by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      That's funny last I checked Indians had terrible health care and in general are ridiculously poor.

      And what about the british? Oh wait you conveniently ignore them.

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    124. Re:Makes you wonder by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Over what time period do you use 1.2 kWh?

      The instantaneous rate might not be important, but the daily or weekly production is.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    125. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On behalf of all non-German people, we'd like to say "Thank you for expending your tax dollars to support lower market prices for us!"

      I prefer the market, and think the Germans just reduced their GDP, when they could have put this subsidy money to better use. (The government reallocated their citizens' money to a less efficient use of capital.)

    126. Re:Makes you wonder by khallow · · Score: 1

      Top "1%"? Health insurance in the US is expensive, but not that expensive.

    127. Re:Makes you wonder by radio4fan · · Score: 1

      In terms of health care, haven't you heard the expression "British Teeth"? I'm English and I grew up in the UK and travelled extensively and I have to say that British teeth from the NHS era are a on average lot worse than the teeth of Americans from the private healthcare era.

      Yes, everybody knows the British have bad teeth and dental care, don't they?

      Except cursory examination of the statistics shows British children have better oral health than American children.

      http://www.whocollab.od.mah.se/amro.html

      Decayed, missing or filled teeth for 12 year-olds:

      UK: 0.7
      US: 1.19

    128. Re:Makes you wonder by Ferretman · · Score: 1

      Yes, yes it was. Obviously China as the biggest country should be #1, eh?

      --
      Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    129. Re:Makes you wonder by mobby_6kl · · Score: 1

      >And what about the british? Oh wait you conveniently ignore them.

      The same applies for the British. Except not quite as ridiculously poor.

    130. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know the climate is changing. There is no such thing as a static state in the ecosystem. Even if balance can be achieved in the near-term it will inevitably be thrown out of balance within a time span relatively short compared with the age of the planet.
      In my opinion, the anthro-warming alarmists are the major offender in this regard. They seem to think if we all wish hard enough we can have a constant climate. Bullocks. The Sahara had a markedly different landscape 1,000,000 years ago. Did mammoth farts turn it into a desert?

    131. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think Germany has about 30% the population size of the US.

      Are you calling Americans fat?

    132. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, said community should get brownouts preferentially. That or someone should build a nice coal power plant somewhere they won't be able to see it but definitely upwind.

      Plus, they presumably don't mind seeing the power lines that bring them electricity.

    133. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WTF are you using electricity to heat your water then? There are *thermal* solar panels that cost a *fraction* of the electric ones, and are 99% efficient! In places like Australia, using solar/wind electricity to heat water is just plain stupid.

    134. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Humans haven't been around for the vast majority of the planets tenure in the solar system.

      The point is that the climate has been changing a lot longer than we've been around, and will continue to change long after we're gone. We need to separate conservation and renewable energy from the global warming debate, otherwise it is too polarizing an issue to realize significant gains in the near-term. And I don't think they are related to the degree that it matters.

    135. Re:Makes you wonder by t0rkm3 · · Score: 1

      Sure... Except there might be a selection bias in that more Americans seek dental care. Or as another poster has pointed out, the UK has recently privatized dental care so the current status may be getting better.

      While I stayed in London it was not uncommon for the concept of "American Teeth" to come into the conversation because my wife has beautiful natural teeth, and I've never had a cavity.

      Personally, I think it's mostly dietary choices in our case as we don't eat very many grain products and virtually zero processed sugars.

    136. Re:Makes you wonder by bughunter · · Score: 1

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      Where do you think all that wind comes from?

      --
      I can see the fnords!
    137. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Your dismissal would be valid if the climate were stationary. It's not. It's changing."
      I believe that WAS his dismissal.

    138. Re:Makes you wonder by LordVader717 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Power is the derivative of energy. Heat is energy. Your point?

      They're actually better than Photovoltaic cells because they're more efficient, generate more power per area, don't need batteries and are much cheaper.

    139. Re:Makes you wonder by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Sadly, the current economic climate isn't having the same effect in the UK. NIMBYism is still rife, and our governments in so much debt I can't see renewables getting any meaningful investment.

      Interestingly, a wind farm has been built a few miles from where I live in the UK. They're very large and very visible on top of the hills, and there was quite a lot of objection to them. Now they're built no-one really gives a shit, they look better than electric pylons at any rate.

      If there's one thing holding back renewables in the UK it's the inefficiency and cost, not the Nimbyism. If the government will demolish entire villages to build a third runway for a shitty airport against massive public objection, they won't think twice about putting windmills on some hills.

    140. Re:Makes you wonder by F34nor · · Score: 1

      Now this is a real windmill... cheap, efficient, and it harness high speed constant winds unlike the surface variety.
      http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/1248068.stm

    141. Re:Makes you wonder by mcrbids · · Score: 1

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      yeah..... especially when you factor in the significant tax credits and government sheltering programs that now exist, and did exist whilst all this fancy development was underway....

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    142. Re:Makes you wonder by thePowerOfGrayskull · · Score: 1
      Given the replies and acceptance (or discussion/argument which is essentially the same thing here) his statement has engendered, I would say that these days, most folks don't think it makes him look like a moron at all. Out of ... what, a dozen replies? Yours was the only one calling him out for what he had done.

      As for the off-topic moderation: it's interesting that every time it has been used on my posts, it was used to mod down posts that were totally ON topic with the thread they were in and with the post I was answering to. It's a mod that is probably often (always?) mis-used.

      Indeed, as was mine just modded offtopic even though it was perfectly ontopic to our conversation.

      I think there are two schools of thought: one defines "offtopic" as we do - not relevant to the thread of conversation at hand.

      The other defines it as "anything unrelated to the original article" and conversely, ontopic is anything that is related to the article -- no matter where it appears.

      I think since the advent of Digg's popularity, the tide has turned such that the latter have won this battle.

    143. Re:Makes you wonder by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

      No, it means we're still far behind Germany in renewable energy per capita, not the rest of the industrialized world. But I agree, we still have a long way to go. The guy who posted about "government intervention" is an idiot, those windmills were partially funded by government subsidies, so without "intervention" we wouldn't be where we are.

      --
      Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
    144. Re:Makes you wonder by jamesswift · · Score: 1

      (as they can be quite loud)

      From http://www.bwea.com/energy/myths.html

      Myth: Wind farms are noisy Fact: The evolution of wind farm technology over the past decade has rendered mechanical noise from turbines almost undetectable with the main sound being the aerodynamic swoosh of the blades passing the tower. There are strict guidelines on wind turbines and noise emissions to ensure the protection of residential amenity. These are contained in the scientifically informed ETSU Working Group guidelines 199617 and must be followed by wind farm developers, as referenced in national planning policy for renewables18. The best advice for any doubter is to go and hear for yourself!

      --
      i wish i could stop
    145. Re:Makes you wonder by Spectra72 · · Score: 1

      Soccer has been irrelevant in the US for longer than the World Cup has been played. So your "case in point" sucks.

      It's not that soccer is irrelevant because the US is no good at it...it's that the US is no good at soccer because it is and always has been (at least since the rise of college football in the late 1800's) irrelevant.

      Soccer was overtaken by American style football. End of story. Game over.

    146. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Per day.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    147. Re:Makes you wonder by joocemann · · Score: 1

      Kinda makes you wonder if government intervention is really necessary.

      We are definitely not doing enough. In what I view to be ideal, not only would we source energy from easily renewable sources such as wind, but that we would do so in such surplus/abundance that energy would be nearly free. This then reduces the costs of almost all things dramatically and would have amazing widespread impact not only on our country, but the world as a whole.

    148. Re:Makes you wonder by Elektroschock · · Score: 1

      Exactly.

    149. Re:Makes you wonder by Elektroschock · · Score: 1

      Read forbes.com and enjoy the lesson-learned depression.

    150. Re:Makes you wonder by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      And China, India, Russia, and Canada????
      I would agree if it stopped there but Germany did a good job with wind power.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    151. Re:Makes you wonder by rastoboy29 · · Score: 1

      Hey, it's a freaking miracle man.  The U.S. is pathologically addicted to oil.  Seeing this kind of progress is good news for the world.

      We need much, much more, though.

    152. Re:Makes you wonder by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      First off I don't attribute on particular heat wave to AGW.

      Second it's the first time we have ever had 3days in a row above 43deg.

      Third the "debate" is political and largely phony, it's obvious to anyone who has followed the science that the 1997 IPCC reports demonstrated AGW to be real and of genuine concern to all but the most recalcitrant of genuine skeptics. Perhaps you should take your own advice and read the science before accusing me of being sucked in by talking heads.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    153. Re:Makes you wonder by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Because the original design principle of the NHS was "free at the point of use and funded solely through general taxation"

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_National_Health_Service

      The founding principles of the NHS called for its funding out of general taxation and not through national insurance.

      Services would henceforth be provided by the same doctors and the same hospitals, but:
      services were provided free at the point of use;
      services were financed from central taxation;
      everyone was eligible for care (even people temporarily resident or visiting the country).

      All very laudable really, but it has a fatal flaw that dentists don't actually have any financial incentive to treat people, hence the British Teeth syndrome.

      Of course, there's no reason why you couldn't pay the dentists by treatment rather than just for being there. To some extent the government has moved over to this model, the problem being that the NHS pays too little to motivate them. They're actually better off selling their services on the open market to private patients and not accepting NHS patients ones post reform. So now if you're relatively well off you can get good treatment and that treatment is actively marketed, but it will cost you.

      Actually back in the old NHS days you could get good treatment too, if you were lucky enough to be in the catchment area of a hardworking dentist. The system didn't incentivise this though.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    154. Re:Makes you wonder by HW_Hack · · Score: 1

      No it makes you wonder if people actually think about what they read, or if the main stream media reporting goes for zippy headline over facts.

      Both Scientific American and Reuters should ashamed and fined for reporting like that.

      The key fact is in the tags --- NOT PER CAPITA ! Meaning if you factor in our population we don't really have diddly-squat wind or solar power compared to Germany. BUT they got you to form an opinion based on pure bullshit.

      I was in Germany last year - you can't drive 45-60mi without driving past a few turbines or seeing a wind farm on a hill. You DO NOT see that type of density here

      --
      Its not the years, its the mileage .....
    155. Re:Makes you wonder by evilviper · · Score: 1

      * The private sector is starved of cash,
      * The recent fall in oil & gas prices has once again opened the gap between fossil generation and sustainable,

      Private companies hedge against price increases in commodities all the time.

      It's not at all difficult to imagine a large number of them hedging against increasing electrical rates by building solar power plants (rather than based on some form of insurance, as is currently the case).

      What's more, with interest rates at all time lows, the economics are pretty good for such an investment. Once you've bought-in to the hedge, it's just a few months before you can start getting some small percentage of your electricity nearly-free (not counting the investment, which would have been paid out to a 3rd party for possibly no return).

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    156. Re:Makes you wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pardon me, but you sound like a wind developer. You are fortunate if the low frequency noise and vibration don't affect you. Many others are not so lucky. Check out www.windturbinesyndrome.com for the effects on those who are susceptible.

    157. Re:Makes you wonder by BoothbyTCD · · Score: 1

      And that is not replacing electric/natural gas/oil boilers?

      --
      snig
    158. Re:Makes you wonder by anaesthetica · · Score: 1

      If you would like to hear what non-silent ones sound like, download Orbital's track "The Girl with the Sun in Her Head." The song begins with a sample that they took of a wind turbine swooshing overhead, which they then use as the beat for the rest of the song.

  3. Interesting story title! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    McDonalds giving a free burger to every American, to commemorate the massive fart winds generated.

    1. Re:Interesting story title! by JoeCommodore · · Score: 1

      I figured it is about right, from the farts of the malnourished masses to the hot air expelled by politicians and CEOs.

      --
      "Enjoy what you're doing! If it becomes drudgery, you're doing it wrong!" - Jim Butterfield
  4. winning by numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    hardly surprising when you see just how many turbines some places have installed

    1. Re:winning by numbers by pisto_grih · · Score: 1

      Weirdly, I was thinking of exactly the same patch of the planet as I was reading this story.

      I visited the Bay Area last year as a tourist (from London, UK) and was marveling at the hundreds of turbines on the hill as I drove towards Yosemite.

  5. Per capita by moonbender · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So that comes down to 300W of solar power per capita in Germany, 83.3W of solar power in the US and 20.2W of solar power per capita worldwide. Just about enough to drive a netbook. ;)

    --
    Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
    1. Re:Per capita by feyhunde · · Score: 4, Informative

      I prefer looking at Hydro electric. 317,686 million Kilowatt-hours for the US versus 26,944 million Kilowatt-hours. Or about 4 times as much per person. I live in the Northwest though, and 82% of the power for the region is from Hydroelectric. The rest is either natural gas or nuclear and mostly for Seattle.

      --
      I'd say more, but my guild is raiding.
    2. Re:Per capita by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I prefer looking at the total figures for renewable energy. Solar, wind, and hydroelectric all have limitations making them unsuitable for some areas. The large landmass of the USA means that it is likely to have a more balanced mix than other countries, but the total is more important. Actually, the most important number is the per-capita energy usage from non-renewable sources. This shows which countries' inhabitants are the biggest drain on the world's resources. Anyone have these numbers?

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    3. Re:Per capita by kabocox · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I prefer looking at Hydro electric. 317,686 million Kilowatt-hours for the US versus 26,944 million Kilowatt-hours. Or about 4 times as much per person. I live in the Northwest though, and 82% of the power for the region is from Hydroelectric. The rest is either natural gas or nuclear and mostly for Seattle.

      I get very mixed when I think of hydro electric. Most of those really big dams in the US that we make use of have been around seen before our living memory. So we don't really realize how much land area that they eat up. Make a trip over to China and ask how many people and how much has needed to be relocated due to one massive dam project.

      Hydro-electric seems like the most land wasteful way for us to generate electricity. It has worked for the US because we built most of our really big ones before many were out there to move. They all have dis advantages. At least with wind power, you can still make use of much of the land for farming and such. Solar power can be mounted on top of existing structures or in existing yards. (Doing that wouldn't take up "additional" land area. It would only cut the need for other sources of energy.)

      Nuclear or oil generally comes out way ahead when "land area" is your yard stick for energy use.

      It's all in where we place our priorities

    4. Re:Per capita by Peepsalot · · Score: 1

      So the once usable land is now covered with water.
      Now if you cover the surface of the water with floating solar panels, you get double the land use!
      You could even throw some windmill rigs in there between the solar panels. Triple purpose action!

  6. Nothing New by zabzonk · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Americans have always been famous for producing wind.

    1. Re:Nothing New by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bill O'Reilly and Rush Limbaugh come to mind.

  7. For those of you keeping track at home... by SwabTheDeck · · Score: 5, Funny

    US wind power capacity surged 50 percent last year to 25 gigwatts

    ...that's 20.66116 flux capacitors and at least as many Libraries of Congress.

    1. Re:For those of you keeping track at home... by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 1

      And what about rods to the hogshhead then?

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    2. Re:For those of you keeping track at home... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only 5.94 flux capacitors (4.21 gigawatts/fc)

  8. Top wind producer my arse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Given enough beans, I can see how the US can produce a great deal of wind, however, from where I sit on the other side of the pond, I can't really envision seeing more light from somewhere where the sun doesn't shine. ;-P

  9. Biggest producer of wind? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Look, we already know that Americans are the biggest windbags in the world...

  10. LOL at desperate attempt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You guys must be pretty desperate to attempt this kind of spin. The comparison is obviously flawed.

    1. Re:LOL at desperate attempt by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      But.. But.. We ARE the leaders in per capita waste production and incarceration!

      USA USA USA!

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    2. Re:LOL at desperate attempt by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      How dare you mock your country! YOU ARE GOING TO JAIL!

    3. Re:LOL at desperate attempt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I (as a European) am happy to find Americans like you on slashdot :) I've always wondered why many Americans - considering all your great accomplishments (in particular in science) - get ridiculously defensive at the slightest criticism of your country. IMHO such a reaction is a sign of insecurity - I mean, if we say that the rest of the world told you that it was a stupid idea to go to Iraq, we're not being condescending for the very simple reason that you didn't come back running with your tail between your legs. Anyway, this got off-topic but I just wanted to compliment you.

  11. What are those gigawatts? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Is it the theoretical maximum you could get from the installed generators (i.e. when the wind blows optimally, you get 25 GW)? Or is it the average power? The minimum power continuously produced under normal conditions (i.e. under non-exceptional circumstances, you won't expect the power generation fall beyond that value)? Or what?

    --
    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    1. Re:What are those gigawatts? by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Scientific American (or, rather Reuters) don't seem to know the difference between production and capacity. The article says:

      The United States overtook Germany as the biggest producer of wind power last year

      implying it's production, but GW is a measure of capacity. Later in the article they say

      U.S. wind power capacity surged 50 percent last year to 25 gigwatts (GW)

      There is no indication of exactly how much power was generated from this capacity.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
  12. I must have missed something... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I thought Congress already held the record for wind production.

  13. 1.21 gigwatts! by jabithew · · Score: 1, Funny

    US wind power capacity surged 50 percent last year to 25 gigwatts

    I wasn't aware that live music had its own unit of energy consumption! Perhaps someone could tell me how to scale it to something SI, like gigawatts? I can't find the unit in Google calculator.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
    1. Re:1.21 gigwatts! by Canazza · · Score: 1

      Gig's are the biggest source of Summer-time Wind Power in the world, didn't you know that? that's why they're always held in the countryside

      --
      It pays to be obvious, especially if you have a reputation for being subtle.
  14. Enough to power by Canazza · · Score: 1

    20 Delorian Time Machines - with enough left over for a few thousand decent cups of tea

    --
    It pays to be obvious, especially if you have a reputation for being subtle.
  15. It doesn't surprise me... by JimboG · · Score: 0, Redundant

    It doesn't surprise me that the US is the top wind producer... what with all the large people you have over there. OH, I see. Top wind power producer. Sorry, my bad.

    1. Re:It doesn't surprise me... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do fat people really fart more? I suppose they eat more, but I want some statistics!

  16. Efficiency by jez9999 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unfortunately, the US is infamous for using vast quantities of energy and using pretty inefficient devices (as a whole, not saying it applies to everyone). So some pretty serious energy efficiency measures are also called for.

    1. Re:Efficiency by eastlight_jim · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The startling statistic is that 25GW is enough to power "more than five million homes" or around 5kW per home. A story a couple of days ago from Scotland said that 7.2MW is enough to power 9000 homes. This is only 800 watts per home; the American home is consuming 6.25x as much power as the Scottish one. It would have to be a *lot* more than five million homes from 25GW to come close to the Scottish requirements. I think it is this extragavant electric consumption that is one of the cruicial things to tackle before getting all exited about a few windmills.

    2. Re:Efficiency by CubicleView · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not sure if it's really fair to compair to just Scotland, it's too small. It wouldn't account for all the difference of course, but for example, unlike several states in America, Scotland would be more concerned about heating its homes than cooling them. To do that they burn oil and gas which wouldn't consume much electricity.

    3. Re:Efficiency by khallow · · Score: 1

      The thing you are missing is that there's roughly a factor of 4 multiplier. 25GW is peak generating power for wind power. If that were 25GW of continuous power, then it'd be enough to power say 20 million homes. Also we need to consider the economic disparity between US and Scottish homes. US GDP per capita is significantly better than Scottish GDP per capita. For example, from 2001, Scottish GDP per capita was under $25,000 compared to roughly $36,000 per capita for the US. I see no reason to get excited about extravagant energy consumption when there is corresponding extravagant GDP production as well.

    4. Re:Efficiency by uvdivergent · · Score: 1

      You're overlooking intermittency. Baseload plants like nuclear, coal, hydroelectric etc. can generate 90-100% of their rated capacity, and (contingent on demand) will do so. Intermittent sources like wind, solar can not. With large wind farms the capacity factor is something like 20-30%. 25 GW rated = 5-8 GW actual generation.

      "The capacity factor of wind power"
      http://lightbucket.wordpress.com/2008/03/13/the-capacity-factor-of-wind-power/

  17. Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1, Interesting

    A friend of mine who is a mathematician told me he rad an article that showed that the total amount of energy required to create a windmill would never be recovered by the device. So a couple of questions. First, does anyone know of where he speaks? Second, should we have a label on devices that audit how much power was used to create the device, not just how much it takes to use it? Third WTF happened to gyromills?

    1. Re:Audit by polar+red · · Score: 4, Interesting

      He's totally wrong. the 'energy pay-back time' or EPBT of big windmills ranges from 6 months to a year.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    2. Re:Audit by regular_gonzalez · · Score: 1

      Never recovered? Even if it ran for 10,000 years? I find such claims to be highly suspect, as any ongoing routine maintenance must require less power then the windmill produces (otherwise, there would be no incentive to install it at all - it would be a drain on the current power grid instead of supplementing it).

      --
      Due to circumstances beyond my control, I am master of my fate and captain of my soul.
    3. Re:Audit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If by "gyromills" you mean the ones with vertical axis of rotation, those turned out to be not as efficient and did not scale up like regular windmills. I also heard they did kill a serious number of birds due to much higher speed and being near the ground.

    4. Re:Audit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      small rooftop windmills 'hurt' the environment.

      http://www.lowtechmagazine.com/2008/09/urban-windmills.html

      "big" ones are okay as other poster stated

      but, hello? windmills CHANGE THE CLIMATE -- they don't f' things up (or kill people) like hydroelectric, but they certainly change weather patterns

    5. Re:Audit by tarscher · · Score: 1

      How could these things then be economical viable? I think your friends article had it's math wrong.

    6. Re:Audit by Ihlosi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A friend of mine who is a mathematician told me he rad an article that showed that the total amount of energy required to create a windmill would never be recovered by the device.

      ... and that's exactly why you pick an engineer or physicist if you need to solve real-world problems. ;)

      Oh, and he "read an article"? I can write lots of articles that show all kinds of things. Did the article pass any plausibility checks?

    7. Re:Audit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A friend of mine who is a mathematician told me he rad an article that showed that the total amount of energy required to create a windmill would never be recovered by the device.

      If a wind turbine ever pays back its initial financial investment, then it must pay back its initial energy "investment". Say some turbine costs $20k to purchase. Then its production consumes less than $20k worth of energy, otherwise the manufacturer would be making a loss (and would not have sold it for $20k). If in its lifetime, it recoups at least $20k in energy costs, then it has extracted at least $20k worth of energy, which is at least as much as that consumed in its production.

      Of course, having a wind turbine pay back its financial investment is not a given. If the turbine is improperly sited in (for example) a calm area, the financial and energy returns are more doubtful. I'm guessing the article your friend referred to was probably about a specific instance of a wind turbine in an inappropriate location rather than a general argument against wind turbines.

    8. Re:Audit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He says, you says ... got anything to back up your claims? From what I've read around the place, wind farms require subsidies to break even and the power generated by them is more costly than that generated by, say, coal-powered power stations.

      I don't care one way or the other, I just want some real figures.

    9. Re:Audit by polar+red · · Score: 1
      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    10. Re:Audit by polar+red · · Score: 1

      windmills CHANGE THE CLIMATE

      You mean they take energy out of the air/reduce average windspeeds ?

      I think we cut down enough trees allready to offset a whole lot of windmills.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    11. Re:Audit by ChienAndalu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Then why is it being subsidized?

    12. Re:Audit by daveime · · Score: 1

      It's asshole comments like these that piss me off.

      The coal will NOT last forever, and as it becomes increasingly rare and demand increases it will become prohibitously expensive.

      Wind on the other hand, like solar, will last for about the next billion years, and as a raw material, it is also free ...

      So should we take a short-term simplistic view that "coal is cheaper (now)", or should we think past the end of the year / decade / whatever, to when your kids and grandkids are having to deal with YOUR shortsightedness and short term objectives ?

    13. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      People who claim we can't influence climate should be locked up in a garage with a running engine.

      I certainly hope you're being faecetious with you sig there. And making that assumption, I'm not implicating you in my statement here, but those that do sincerely hold that position. The nature of that statement is a political one and nothing to do with science or the scientific method. The scientific method is completely based on skepticism, while much of the discussion on this particular subject has been about the squelching of skepticism. Anyone that advocates the ostracism, demonization and silencing of those that have drawn a contradictory conclusion to theirs in the realm of science is not practicing true science.

      Science is based upon hypothesis and the testing of those hypothesis to validate them. Unfortunately, this field has been hijacked by politics (as can be clearly seen by the fact that Al Gore, a politician, is at the head of the discussion). Science is being thrown out the window to drive a political agenda. Skeptics, what we used to call other scientists that objectively tested and confirmed or invalidated each other's hypothesis, experiments and conclusions, are treated as heretics in the same way as Galileo was by the Catholic church because he dared to challenge the "consensus" that the Earth was at the center of the universe.

      What goes missing here is the fact that much of the "consensus" is not consensus. There is pretty much consensus that the planet has been warming. Anyone that disputes that is ignoring the obvious. But, that's where the consensus ends.

      Gore and the politicos have hijacked the "consensus" and claim that the consensus is the temperature will rise 10C in the next 50 years, sea levels are going to rise 50 feet and natural disasters will abound from an out of control weather system. There is absolutely no consensus on that prediction. There is not even a majority of real scientists that hold that position.

      Also, the whole CO2 driving the temperature increase is not being challenged near enough. Looking at the data, it's clear to see that CO2 increase follows, not leads, an increase in temperature. If there is causation (thus far only some correlation has been established), then the rise in CO2 is caused by the increase in temperature, not the other way around. Even John Houghton, who was co-chair of the IPCC and is a supporter of the idea of antropogenic global warming, admits "Carbon dioxide content and temperature correlate so closely during the last ice age is not evidence of carbon dioxide driving the temperature but rather the other way round... I often show that diagram in my lectures on climate change but always make the point that it gives no proof of global warming due to increased carbon dioxide."

      For those that support the CO2 driving the increase, I've yet to see how the climate models explain how the temperature 450 million years ago was colder than it has ever been in the last half billion years, but the CO2 levels were 10 times what we have today. And for those arguing that human activity is driving the increase, why does the rate of increase vary so greatly (particularly looking at the significant decrease in rate during 1991-1993) despite the consistent growth of human CO2 producing activities. The rate should be consistently increasing if human activity were the main driver, but it hasn't been.

      I'm not arguing that humanity has no impact on the climate. And, I'm not even really arguing that we are a significant impact. However, it seems that deforestation along with ever expanding cities with concrete and asphalt that absorb and radiate heat make an even better explanation than CO2, which the data suggest follows temperature rather than temperature following the CO2 increase.

    14. Re:Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1

      Narf... um... yeah I was asking for backup... because, I could find the reference, so I asked the assembled nerds for help. "Reading, its not for people any more."

    15. Re:Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1

      risk = damage x likelihood

      Lets say that the "worst case possible scenario" for catastrophic global climate change is death of all humans, in that case we can assume that the damage is infinite. If the damage is infinite then even if the likelihood is very very small anything times infinity equals infinity. Resulting in the basic truth that global climate change has basically infinite risk to all humanity. If that is true we have every moral and ethical right to kill people who do not believe in the RISK of climate change. If all it takes is a couple of assholes to kill us all why can't we kill them first? What's the worst case risk there? Lets say 50% of people are dumb and don't believe that they can irreparably harm the planet. We round them up and kill them or sterilize them or cut out their reproductive organs or give them an Ebola milkshake (whatever works.) Worst case; damage, 50% x likelihood, 100% = risk is 50% to the human population. Not so bad. There are 7 billion of us currently, what's 3.5 billion dead if it means we have a chance of surviving until we get hit by a big fucking rock.

      Its a variation (taken to a horrific extreme) of Isaac Asimov's freedom of the bathroom quote. "When two people share two bathrooms, each has "freedom of the bathroom." This freedom entails using the resource whenever, for however long, and for whatever purpose one chooses. Unfortunately, when 20 people share those same two bathrooms, freedom of the bathroom disappears. It is a simple metaphor from which he extrapolates the problems of overpopulation-a circumstance he believed would mean the end to democracy, human dignity, convenience and decency.

      Nothing we care about can survive exponential population growth. Eventually population growth will stop and when it does (unless it is our choice and even then only if we chose contraception and/or education) its going to mean lots of death, famine, pestilence, war, and the other less well know horsemen of the "Oh my god how did we not see this coming? We did see it coming and I'm a fuck wit? Oh well pass me the purple kool-aid then."

      p.s. "(as can be clearly seen by the fact that Al Gore, a politician, is at the head of the discussion)" Bullshit. The discussion is between people with PhDs in climate fields, Al Gore is one talking head who happens to talk about it. You thinking he is the "head of the discussion" shows that you are not part of the discussion at all.

      p.p.s Skepticism is great but risk analysis is more practical. You don't need a flawless model for Newtonian physics to slam on the breaks before you hit a pedestrian.

    16. Re:Audit by Mattsson · · Score: 1

      And the low cost of coal is exactly why many nations rely heavily on coal, even though it is one of the worst power-sources available.

      --
      /.Mattsson - My native language is not English, so please don't whine over linguistic errors. (That's lame anyway...)
    17. Re:Audit by kabocox · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Then why is it being subsidized?

      Short answer: politics.

      Here's a hint. You are being leeched to pay for "renewable energy" built by your good ole "energy companies" of yore.

      They aren't stupid. They know that the public doesn't want to fund to build coal, oil, or nuclear power. They know that the public has a thing for anything termed "renewable" even if it is more expensive than other sources. So they get us to pay as much of their costs as possible. Even when "renewable energy" becomes price competitive to build on its own, they'll still try to use subsidies as far as possible on general principles.

      I can't blame the "energy companies." I'm iffy on blaming the politicians in this case. They've actually been doing what voters want. The problem is when to stop subsidies. That's one of those trick questions in politics.

    18. Re:Audit by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      That's not a troll, that's fucking hilarious!

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
    19. Re:Audit by sgtrock · · Score: 1

      Lets say that the "worst case possible scenario" for catastrophic global climate change is death of all humans, in that case we can assume that the damage is infinite. If the damage is infinite then even if the likelihood is very very small anything times infinity equals infinity. Resulting in the basic truth that global climate change has basically infinite risk to all humanity.

      IANA climatologist, nor do I pretend to be. Even so, I can spot a hole in your logic big enough to put Mack truck through while it's sliding along in a jackknifed drift.

      The point that you fail to acknowledge is that no reasonable study that I've read (that is aimed at laymen, anyhow) has shown any indication of the kind of catastrophic change that you're postulating. Even Gore's nightmarish scenario, as unlikely as some scientists find it, fails to take into account that people will have time to adapt over a period of decades, not days or weeks. Plenty of time to move cities, which makes the resulting mess more of an economic problem than an immediate fatal threat.

      With that in mind, we need to weigh the costs and risks of adopting any proposed change to current policies against the likelihood of the entire gamut of potential outcomes while also taking into account that old military adage, "the map is not the terrain." In this context, this means that we have to recognize that our climate models are not and may never be perfect predictors. We shouldn't treat them as such.

      Figure out a mathematical model that will allow that kind of probability analysis with that many unknowns and you've got yourself a winner. In the meantime, I hope you'll accept the fact that many of us skeptics are very concerned about the obvious politicization of climatology. It becomes extremely difficult to determine who's driving an agenda and who has actually done their homework.

      For example, take the point that the GP made about the level of CO2 in the atmosphere half a billion years ago is news to me. If it's true, it's a fact that is being ignored by much of the current establishment. If it's false, it's yet another red herring. However, it's sounds like something that's easily refuted by anyone who knows where to look for the data. Therefore, I eagerly await any such refutations. If they don't show up, then I'll have to add that to the list of objections that sound like they may actually have some real meat to them.

    20. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      risk = damage x likelihood

      Yes. But, that is a high level view of it. There are multiple levels of estimates of damage as well as probabilities associated with those. Also, you're discounting the argument that global warming could actually benefit humanity by expanding the amount of arable land along with other ideas proposed by scientists that don't think warming is a problem but a good thing.

      Lets say that the "worst case possible scenario" for catastrophic global climate change is death of all humans, in that case we can assume that the damage is infinite. If the damage is infinite then even if the likelihood is very very small anything times infinity equals infinity. Resulting in the basic truth that global climate change has basically infinite risk to all humanity. If that is true we have every moral and ethical right to kill people who do not believe in the RISK of climate change. If all it takes is a couple of assholes to kill us all why can't we kill them first? What's the worst case risk there? Lets say 50% of people are dumb and don't believe that they can irreparably harm the planet. We round them up and kill them or sterilize them or cut out their reproductive organs or give them an Ebola milkshake (whatever works.) Worst case; damage, 50% x likelihood, 100% = risk is 50% to the human population. Not so bad. There are 7 billion of us currently, what's 3.5 billion dead if it means we have a chance of surviving until we get hit by a big fucking rock.

      Wow. That's the best illustration of the absurdity of the global warming hysteria I've ever seen. At the risk of terminating objective discussion with the N bomb, it seems that a very similar reasoning was used by the Nazi's to justify their concentration camps. Inferior people, for them jews, for you "dumb and don't believe that they can irreparably harm the planet", needed to be exterminated so the superior people, for them the Aryan race, for you the people that "know" anthropogenic warming, particularly based on CO2, is absolute fact.

      That's the clearest example to indicate that science is not driving this. Political forces advocate murder. Scientists oppose killing, particularly simply because of a difference of opinion.

      Its a variation (taken to a horrific extreme) of Isaac Asimov's freedom of the bathroom quote. "When two people share two bathrooms, each has "freedom of the bathroom." This freedom entails using the resource whenever, for however long, and for whatever purpose one chooses. Unfortunately, when 20 people share those same two bathrooms, freedom of the bathroom disappears. It is a simple metaphor from which he extrapolates the problems of overpopulation-a circumstance he believed would mean the end to democracy, human dignity, convenience and decency.

      Nothing we care about can survive exponential population growth. Eventually population growth will stop and when it does (unless it is our choice and even then only if we chose contraception and/or education) its going to mean lots of death, famine, pestilence, war, and the other less well know horsemen of the "Oh my god how did we not see this coming? We did see it coming and I'm a fuck wit? Oh well pass me the purple kool-aid then."

      You're absolutely right there. Humanity and decency have been thrown out of the window with this entire discussion. There are villages in Africa that are discouraged from using fossil fuels despite the fact that their solar panel powered hospitals can't create enough electricity to power both the medical refrigerator and the lights at the same time. Africa is being held down from developing because of UN policies that are blocking their use of fossil fuels simply because of the bogus CO2 argument, which I would note you didn't dispute from my post.

      And as for overpopulation problems, most of that is in the developing world, which is being held back by the CO2 driven hysteria. If these nations were allowed to develop, their b

    21. Re:Audit by yariv · · Score: 1

      Because you don't pay for energy alone, but it is all you gain from. It seems as materials and work are the main costs, and it shouldn't surprise anyone.

    22. Re:Audit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because the 'energy pay-back time' of coal is half a second.

      Coal is what every form of alternative energy has to compete with. The US has vast coal reserves, and it will continue to use them unless alternative energy is CHEAPER than coal.

    23. Re:Audit by sean.peters · · Score: 1

      Economic break-even is not the same as energy break-even, but even so, wind farms manage to do both and more. Polar Red has provided links below.

    24. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      For example, take the point that the GP made about the level of CO2 in the atmosphere half a billion years ago is news to me. If it's true, it's a fact that is being ignored by much of the current establishment. If it's false, it's yet another red herring. However, it's sounds like something that's easily refuted by anyone who knows where to look for the data. Therefore, I eagerly await any such refutations. If they don't show up, then I'll have to add that to the list of objections that sound like they may actually have some real meat to them.

      And the shame is that you haven't heard of that fact. It's because the whole debate has been hijacked by those with a political and economic agenda. The data can be found around the net by searching. Tim Patterson made the observation in a testimony in 2005. Most of the scientists (not the politicians) involved with the IPCC admit that CO2 level increases FOLLOW temperature increases, not lead. And, it's quite interesting in Gore's propaganda film that he shows the graphs of the two on separate axes. The reason why, and he knows it, is that if they were on the same axis, it would be clear to everyone that CO2 increase does not cause temperature increase. If there is any causation there, it's the complete opposite.

      The reason for the hysteria is people with a political agenda are pushing the seriously flawed argument that CO2 is driving the temperature increase. They're calling for quick action, despite the fact that we don't have a single shred of evidence that anyone on the planet has experienced anything negative due to warming. The reason they're pushing for quick action is so that their political agenda can be implemented before any possible cooling can happen. That way, if things do cool after their actions, they can take credit and claim that they were right while furthering their POLITICAL agenda. If temperatures don't decrease, they can claim they were still right and force more extreme measures.

      I don't argue one way or another about anthropogenic warming. I'm not a climatologist. However, I do have an extensive education and background in developing and using statistical models. The entire "science" behind all of this is based on statistical models. Models require you to make assumptions about how things work. Sure, they're based on historical data, but if you don't properly account for each specific driver in your model, sooner or later it will give you bogus results. If your assumptions in your model or wrong, you can't rely on the output. And, from what I gather, many of these models are relying on CO2 as the driver for temperature increase. So, my simple question, to those that have a clue about the subject, not those that have sold their souls to the hype, is "how does the model account for the 1000% more CO2 levels that existed during the coldest period in the last half billion years compared to today?" For that to be possible, there either is some other factor that is much more significant than CO2 that acts on temperature or CO2 has virtually zero effect on temperature.

      Now, please. Someone that has intimate knowledge of the real science and models explain this to me. I completely subscribe to the scientific method. Good evidence of a testable and verifiable hypothesis is all it takes to convince me. But, as far as I can tell, CO2 driven global warming is just below room temperature nuclear fusion at this point.

    25. Re:Audit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All power generated receives subsidies. The subsidies will never end.

    26. Re:Audit by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      All 4 references give the time it takes to generate the energy equal to the energy required to make and install the windmills. This is interesting, but in an economic sense it is almost useless. We need to know the time it takes to make a windmill pay back the costs of getting it online. A solid gold windmill may pay back its power costs in 6 months, but it will never pay back its economic cost.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    27. Re:Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1

      "...global warming could actually benefit humanity by expanding the amount of arable land..." Bullshit. Change is bad, any change is bad. One theory is that our temperature has remained artifically stable for the last 10K years because of the gulf stream being shut off as we increased temp. One theory in anthropology is that the only reason we developed a society at all was because of this stability. Why fuck with a known quantity. risk=damagexlikelyhood again. Damage is totally unknown so why risk it?

      Even if you kill all the dumb people 50% of the remaining people will still be dumb, statistics are a bitch. I am obviously being absurdest but my point is still valid. If the conservatives think we can preemptively strike Iraq (killing hundreds of thousands of people) to prevent them from attacking us (when there was no way in hell that they would) why can't I kill the people who are risking the only known habitable planet in the universe so they can what??? Not modify their lazy, arrogant, slothful, greedy, murderous lifestyle? What exactly is so important that you are fighting for? Inefficiency. A noble purpose if ever there was one.

      Birth rates. Condoms and educating women the only two things that drop it. But you are not taking into account that the Muslims, the Christians, the Hindus, and a lot of other people who KNOW they are right, and think they have a G-d given right to have as many kids as possible hell some think it is an imperative. Religion trumps thinking a frightening proportion of the time. Are you willing to RISK it once again. Any population growth at all will lead to doubling. Per Dr. Albert A. Bartlett at University of Colorado, Boulder...
      "The land area of the continents (excluding Antarctica) is 1.24 1014 m2. If this modest annual growth rate of 1.7% were to continue steadily in the future, how long will it take for the population to reach a density of one person per square meter on the continents? Solving, we find t is slightly less than 600 years."

      600 fucking years; a little less than half the time since Mohammed, 1/3 of the time since Jesus and it will be one person per square meter. Wake up jackass.

      As to Al Gore and propaganda lets look at this critically. You are telling me that scientists, a group of squabbling intellectuals who's only hope of advancement is one-upmanship have conspired to take away our freedom to burn fossil fuels for what? So they can control us? So they can make us suffer? Because they are all secretly communists? Vs. the idea the the MOST PROFITABLE business in human history has to introduce just enough fear uncertainty and doubt to make sheeple like you question the questioners. Oh yes those billions of dollars the ivory tower egg heads have hidden away with their magic lead to gold machines are being used to push a propaganda machine of biblical proportions drowning out the logical dispassionate arguments of the capitalist captains of the oil industry. Follow the money... fuck you you ignorant ass. How much did Exxon make this year? That's the fucking money. "Show me the money" Oh wait here's the money...
      "Exxon earned $45.2 billion in 2008, beating the record it set in 2007 for most profitable corporation, at $40.6 billion. That came despite a fourth "quarter in which income fell 33 percent, owing to the steepest drop ever in oil prices, as the economy went into a tailspin." http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/31/business/31oil.html

      "hy did the coldest period in the last half billion years have 10 times, that's 1000% the CO2 level we have today if CO2 is such a big driver for temperature increase? There's your bullshit." um... citation?

      How about this one http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/01/28/the-greenhouse-effect-and-the-bathtub-effect/
      So what if it is "relatively cold" right now. This temperature range works for us. Don't RISK fucking it up bec

    28. Re:Audit by jafiwam · · Score: 1

      The friend needs to go back to his theoretical math and stay out of engineering.

      Saying "will never get back the energy" is the direct equivalent to saying "you will never make money on it". Unless you want to claim the energy to create the thing was _FREE_. Someone paid for that energy, and then made a profit or broke even doing it. Which then got factored into the retail or wholesale cost of the windmill. So the final cost always includes the energy.

      There are plenty of systems out there that do have pay back time. And for those, they generate more energy than they used. WAY more because the cost is not energy completely, it's labor too.

      And, even for the ones that don't pay back eventually, there are other fixed costs that would make the "run this with only energy" equation come out positive.

      Energy is factored in cost and influences cost but is not all of cost.

      The assumption that there is free energy is wrong, therefore the entire argument is wrong.

      Furthermore, the "can't possibly" is a really stupid way to say that. Because as with all things there are variables that can be manipulated to end up as a positive. (And have been.)

      It would be a much less annoying thing to say if he said "so far they haven't been" which might actually be true.

      The refutation goes for that bullshit "Hummer is more efficient than Prius" crap the right-whinger pigs were using a few years back.

      If anything, it tells us a lot about the friend's willingness to suck the big cock of republican ideals over using his brain. I know 4th graders with more critical thinking skills than your friend seems to have.

      So again, send him back to his math.

    29. Re:Audit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [Citation Needed]

      The entire bird-kill thing is bullshit.

      Nowhere, has there been a real credible study on it that comes to that conclusion.

      The first article way back in the 90's printed the same four dead birds picture. Nobody could even generate a new one because there simply aren't piles of dead birds under the damn things.

      And, fluffy the cat and picture windows and skyscrapers cause way more bird carnage than windmills do, WITHOUT also helping with energy and climate problems.

      Gonna cut down all the buildings and wipe out cats too?

    30. Re:Audit by uvdivergent · · Score: 1

      If we're looking at the same thing, the study applied to residential "microturbines" located on roofs, not the large ones located 100m above ground offshore.

      "Home wind turbines in UK warming the planet: study"
      http://www.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUSL3056582220071130

    31. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      Change is bad, any change is bad.

      Then we're fucked. Change has always been happening and will always happen. If we can't change with it, then we die. It's called evolution. But, from the ignorance of your arguments you may be more of a subscriber of "Intelligent Design". In that case, Jesus will be back to get you soon. :)

      One theory is that our temperature has remained artifically stable for the last 10K years because of the gulf stream being shut off as we increased temp. One theory in anthropology is that the only reason we developed a society at all was because of this stability.

      Just because that MIGHT be how we got here doesn't mean that we haven't sufficiently developed to survive something different. Technology has changed. Do you think that just because the temperature rises we're going back to caves? Do you think we lose all those gains just because of the change? I find that assertion weak.

      Why fuck with a known quantity. risk=damagexlikelyhood again. Damage is totally unknown so why risk it?

      If the damage is unknown, how can you even assess the risk? If we're supposed to always assume the worst possible outcome to drive our decisions, despite plenty of evidence to the contrary, how do we decide which doomsday scenario to avoid? And, the only "known quantity" that we have is that there is, has been and always will be change. Nothing we can do can stop change from happening. We MIGHT be able to influence things to a degree, but the climate has never, nor will it, stop changing.

      Even if you kill all the dumb people 50% of the remaining people will still be dumb, statistics are a bitch. I am obviously being absurdest but my point is still valid. If the conservatives think we can preemptively strike Iraq (killing hundreds of thousands of people) to prevent them from attacking us (when there was no way in hell that they would) why can't I kill the people who are risking the only known habitable planet in the universe so they can what??? Not modify their lazy, arrogant, slothful, greedy, murderous lifestyle?

      I don't condone anything that the US has done with respect to Iraq and have great difficulty with much of the approach in Afghanistan. Arguing for the extermination of any opposition that is not an immediate threat to life, whether it be an international or in this case political opponent, is wasteful, ignorant and completely unproductive. And, most importantly, it is a good sign of a weak argument.

      What exactly is so important that you are fighting for? Inefficiency. A noble purpose if ever there was one.

      What I am fighting for is the honesty and respectability of science. Science is supposed to be based on the scientific method. It is based on collegial, friendly rivalries that are disputed with open and honest debate using all evidence. The open debate is being suppressed because the entire discussion has been hijacked by those with no scientific interest and a driven political agenda. Just research the history of the politization of the issue, which started when Margaret Thatcher used CO2 as an argument to push for nuclear power to break the coal workers union.

      As for inefficiency, I have not argued in any way for that. You are making assumptions about my stance on other issues. My only argument is that CO2 does not lead to an increase in temperature. And that is based completely on the evidence and statements of most scientists in the field including many that have been part of the IPCC. I do support efficiency. Efficiency makes perfect sense whether you agree with the CO2 bunk or not. Less energy to accomplish X is better. Costs go down. Benefits to society go up. I'm all for abandoning coal fired power plants. Most of western Europe runs on nuclear. That makes complete sense. I don't need an imaginary CO2 boogeyman to convince me that there are better ways

    32. Re:Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1

      Ok... I'm not going to bother to refute your points this time just a simple dichotomy.

      You say "we don't know what will happen" but "total purity of our science is more important than the unknown effects of climate change" therefore "we shouldn't act because we can't know for sure what will happen"

      I say we don't "we don't know what will happen" but "global climate change is a risk because of its unknown effects" therefore "we should act to keep the status quo."

      How is your position defendable? Why do we need to know if it will be good bad or genocidal before we make a decision to stop a set of behaviors that are causing changes that NOAA thinks could last for a thousand years even if we acted forcefully now? Who cares if it a causal or leading indicator? Discuss it later, over a not **possibly** totally broken world. You present the most conservative view of skepticism but the most LSD liberal view of the possible effects. Read Collapse by Jared Diamond about what happens when you cut down the last tree. We live on a very small island in the middle of ocean light years wide. What happens if you're wrong? What happens if like the Easter Islanders an American insult of the next century is "I have a piece of your mother stuck in my teeth."

      Look at sea level vs. c02 for the last 500 million years. Yes we are in an ice age right now, but it works for us. Lets keep things the way they are not risk everything becasue you want a flawless model of a unmodelablely complex system.

    33. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      Ok... I'm not going to bother to refute your points this time just a simple dichotomy.

      Just a difference in philosophical approach to the subject. It doesn't reflect any of the real human value of either of us. We're still people.

      You say "we don't know what will happen" but "total purity of our science is more important than the unknown effects of climate change" therefore "we shouldn't act because we can't know for sure what will happen"

      I say we don't "we don't know what will happen" but "global climate change is a risk because of its unknown effects" therefore "we should act to keep the status quo."

      I don't say we shouldn't act. I just dispute that we CAN maintain the status quo. I think we should change. We should learn to be more adaptable because we know that change is inevitable regardless. If we keep wasting our efforts to stop the change rather than adapt to it, we are in an entirely futile fight that probably ends in extinction. Of course, given the history of life on this planet, extinction of all species, at least those of any significant complexity, is likely inevitable.

      How is your position defendable? Why do we need to know if it will be good bad or genocidal before we make a decision to stop a set of behaviors that are causing changes that NOAA thinks could last for a thousand years even if we acted forcefully now? Who cares if it a causal or leading indicator? Discuss it later, over a not **possibly** totally broken world. You present the most conservative view of skepticism but the most LSD liberal view of the possible effects. Read Collapse by Jared Diamond about what happens when you cut down the last tree. We live on a very small island in the middle of ocean light years wide. What happens if you're wrong? What happens if like the Easter Islanders an American insult of the next century is "I have a piece of your mother stuck in my teeth."

      My position is easily defensible. If you don't know what causes something and you don't know what the effects of it are, how can you argue to take an action based on hypothetical scenarios. The entire argument for action is based on the assumption that CO2 increase causes temperature increase. The data and scientific consensus clearly indicate that CO2 increase follows temperature increase. So, why would the NOAA say that we could cut CO2 to zero and the change might still last 1000 years? Because the scientists know that CO2 doesn't drive the change.

      If you study the history of the environmental movement and climate science, you will see that the big hysteria before the 1980's was that we were entering an ice age because global temperatures had been falling since the 1940's. There was a program produced by the BBC in the 70's discussing all the doomsday scenarios due to the inevitable ice age. The producer of that program was greatly criticized because he included in his presentation a scientist that argued that we might actually be saved from an ice age by increased CO2 emissions affecting the inevitable cooling. The scientific "consensus" of the time was that an ice age was the inevitable doomsday scenario. The data hasn't changed. The only difference is that from about 1975 on, warming began. So, the doomsday scenario could no longer be an ice age.

      Say we took action based on the ice age scenario to counteract the cooling that was being presented as our coming catastrophe before. How would the result, assuming we actually could control these things, be any different than what we've seen? So, had you been around worrying about these things before, you would be satisfied we avoided the catastrophe. The only issue for those that were arguing for action to prevent the ice age is that we didn't change anything to avoid it. And, what if we act now (I'm not sure what that action would be since CO2 has no significant causal effect on temperature) to stop the warming? Assuming we could affect it, what's to say

    34. Re:Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1

      Ok, so its bad if we selectively kill people but we should encourage conditions that speed up evolution despite the fact that it may kill us all. I seriously do not understand how that's better. Why not maximize our chances of living for a long time in current conditions? If you really want people to evolve faster just release some top level predators into the neighborhood.

      Is this http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/technical-papers/climate-change-water-en.pdf really pseudoscience? I mean really? If so is economics a science in your opinion?

    35. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      Ok, so its bad if we selectively kill people but we should encourage conditions that speed up evolution despite the fact that it may kill us all. I seriously do not understand how that's better. Why not maximize our chances of living for a long time in current conditions? If you really want people to evolve faster just release some top level predators into the neighborhood.

      The CO2 myth is killing people now when hospitals in Africa don't have enough electricity to run both their medical refrigerators and lights at the same time because we're trying to keep them from using any energy source that releases CO2 despite the fact that they have abundant resources to do so.

      You're still basing your argument on 2 flawed assumptions:

      1. We can maintain a static climate. There has never been a static climate. We can't create it either. If we could, we'd probably already be terraforming Mars.
      2. Human activity is solely or mostly what is driving the change. Everyone keeps blaming CO2, but the science and data clearly show that is not the case.

      If you have a plan that will clearly stop all change in the climate, then you should submit it to the Nobel committee. They would certainly have a big check waiting for you.

      Is this http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/technical-papers/climate-change-water-en.pdf really pseudoscience? I mean really?

      Well, that paper is really only discussing the potential impact on water. It still doesn't offer anything to support the CO2 myth. But, I would consider that paper as science with some politicised embellishment. If you check the list of contributors, you'll find that not all of them are scientists. Quite a few are political people with a political agenda.

      Still, looking at the scientific points doesn't seem to indicate anything particularly alarming or unexpected for someone understanding the natural chaos inherent in all natural systems. The paper makes a great point that I continue to argue:

      Current water management practices may not be robust enough to cope with the impacts of climate change on water supply reliability, flood risk, health, agriculture, energy and aquatic ecosystems. In many locations, water management cannot satisfactorily cope even with current climate variability, so that large flood and drought damages occur. As a first step, improved incorporation of information about current climate variability into water-related management would assist adaptation to longer-term climate change impacts. Climatic and non-climatic factors, such as growth of population and damage potential, would exacerbate problems in the future (very high confidence). [3.3]

      Our real problem isn't the change. It's that we haven't learned to be adaptable. Lightening our requirements from our environment through efficiency is what we have to do in order to be able to adapt. We need to be able to recycle our water. We need to require less energy.

      We're not really arguing much on the path that we should take here. We're arguing on the motivation. And, we're not even arguing so much on that. You say if we don't change to be more efficient we won't be able to survive. I totally agree. The only difference of opinion is about what we're trying to accomplish in terms of priority. You're arguing that we need to cut CO2 so that we don't change the climate. The energy efficiency is a secondary benefit. I'm stating that the CO2 argument is completely off base and inconsistent with the evidence. I think we should become efficient because it allows us to adapt to the inevitable change that is coming, both here on Earth and for our eventual move into space. I don't care if CO2 is reduced. If we move in the directions that I would like to see us move, it would be. I just don't believe that the change in CO2 output by humanity would stop the climate change. And, ac

    36. Re:Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1

      Sorry economics is not even close to being a science.

      http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?id=the-economist-has-no-clothes

    37. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      Sorry economics is not even close to being a science.

      http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?id=the-economist-has-no-clothes

      Wow. You are just hell bent on relying on journalists that have no understanding of anything but the arrangement of words for you information.

      That entire diatribe is based on the 19th century view of economics theory. He in no way mentions the developments of Keynes, Friedman, the Austrian school, etc. He insists on debunking economics based on what the theories were when the science first emerged. If that's a fair way to assess a branch of science, I can easily say that climate science is not science because those idiots claimed that we were entering an ice age back in the 1970's, when the Earth has been clearly warming.

      He cites no sources, illustrates a complete misunderstanding of modern economics and is using total misinformation to promote his view of things. The article is nothing about a rant on a subject that the author obviously has no understanding of. He challenges it on the ideas that it adopted from physics at the time, which he himself admits was incomplete. He could easily argue that physics is not science either using the reasoning he laid out. However, he does at least admit physics evolved through study and experimentation. What he fails to acknowledge is that Economics has done the same.

      Economics IS a science. It's much younger than the sciences of Physics and Chemistry, so it makes sense that it wouldn't be as completely developed yet. It's also a social science, which in and of itself makes it a more difficult endeavor to undertake.

      Anyone that doesn't believe that Economics is a science must also take the position that psychology, sociology, anthropology and all the other social sciences are not science either.

      It's science and is universally defined as such.

    38. Re:Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1

      I would agree that psychology, anthropology, and sociology are soft sciences for the most part. There is some hard science in psychology and anthropology. Most of psychology and sociology are in fact just statistics not really a since unto themselves. But economics is not a science at all. Give me proof that the basis of economics has been fully exorcised of is misbegotten roots and I still don't believe that individuals will always act to maximize their "utility." Either way you have answered by question. You believe what you want to and don't believe what you don't, facts be damned.

    39. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      Give me proof that the basis of economics has been fully exorcised of is misbegotten roots and I still don't believe that individuals will always act to maximize their "utility."

      You just need to do some in depth study of economics to understand that it is grown much beyond the initial assumptions. Economic modeling has been as accurate as climate modeling. Economists have predicted the occurrence and impact of the last several economic downturns. There's still much dispute in economics like climate science. The difference is that we get to hear about the disputes in economics. We don't with climatology.

      As for the individual maximizing his utility, economics is an aggregate science. The assumption is that on the aggregate (in general) individuals will seek to maximize their own utility. The other assumption that goes along with that is that people would have complete and correct information with which to rationalize those decisions.

      The proof that economics has moved beyond its early roots of those two base assumptions is clear when you realize the level to which Game Theory is applied in modern economics. Game Theory expands the model substantially taking it beyond Adam Smith. Those assumptions are still true. However, with perfect information, for an individual to maximize their own utility they must do it in concert with the aggregate. Economics is not based around the atomic individual as in its origins now, but upon the individual in context of a rhizomic, interdependent "game".

      The breakdown we still have in this world is the lack of information. Education is what is required to stabilize economies. That allows people to filter out bad information and to collect correct information. Our problem is that we have a populace that is not particularly interested in understanding and would prefer to watch American Idol than develop a deeper understanding of the world. So, irrationality is built into the system. Irrationality is what causes problems with economic modeling because it isn't completely understood, much in the same way that inadequately understood factors, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, solar cycles and cloud activity, cause problems with climate models.

      I think you really should dig more into economics before you dismiss it. I felt the same way about climate science before because all of my knowledge and experience of it was through the media, which I know with respect to technical things that I understand produces severely flawed and sensationalized interpretations of them. Anyone here on slashdot can tell you the same. After I started digging into the science, not the media pseudoscience works, it became clear to me that climate science is valid. The scientists are not making these sensational claims. It's the media and political types that are. If you would dig yourself into economics, I would bet that you would have the same realization.

    40. Re:Audit by F34nor · · Score: 1

      I don't dismiss economics, I just admit that it is not a science. I understand that the best economics models does not do a very good job of predicting future events because the models are flawed and the complexity of the system defies prediction. If you read the Economist's 14 page report on finance in the last week of January you will notice they talk a great deal about the economist going back to revise their models to fit what happened. When the next shit storm hits they will all do the same thing again. Why? Because, like climate, economics is and art based on intuition built up by observation of past events. Basically you can't model any of this stuff as a complete model no matter what, all you can do is gather data and make a guess. Some economists saw what was coming, other didn't. So climatologists see what coming others don't. But if you really look the numbers that think (and that's all this really boils down to anyway) that things are going to worse due to global climate change you will find that there are far greater and far more respected. Could the curmudgeons be right and that to quote the Postal Service "...we just being rewarded... now we can swim any day in November" or is the majority right and we are deeply fucked.

      Irrationality IS NOT what damages economic models, the butterfly effect is what damages economic models. Economics even flawed is just a place to stand when trying to view the world, without a place to stand and look at the system you can't even begin to process it, but it is a flawed place built on a flawed principal. At least climate is based on science and is placed firmly in the physical, testable, and verifiable realm. Climate models are far better than economic models by an order of magnitude if not more. How often is the 3 day forecast deeply, deeply WRONG? If you had 3 day economic forecast that was as good as the weather you'd be rich as Creases. So why do you attack climate change models and defend economic models? Because it fits your preconceptions about the world and reinforces your beliefs. Now as a statistician you know that when they say 3 degrees in 50 years (or whatever) they really mean the true mean temperature will be bracketed by this range with a 95.6% certainty, bla bla bla. Now is that true, of course not its just one digital slice of a huge analog system predicted out far beyond any range that is realistic but it is a place to stand and look. It is one point to add to your internal hologram of the universe and judge, "try to fix, or keep going as is."

      I am right to dismiss economics because I have studied it and I have seen that they do a fucking terrible job of seeing what will happen. I have called the last 3 stock market crashes to within 1 week to 1 year. In 2001 I saw the Rambus deal with intel and knew instantly and clearly that the party was over. For the last 5 years I have seen no reason for the rest of the world to loan us anymore money, this summer I couldn't believe that the market could possible go up any longer and sold a crap load of stock. That a pretty damn good record and if I was a banking CEO I would be getting a foot rub from Hank Paulson right now for it. Did the quants see it? No. Did Ben B. see it? G-d I hope not. I had the same data why did I see it and not them? Because as sickening as it is most business is in the end is not irrational but subliminal analog and messy.

    41. Re:Audit by sac13 · · Score: 1

      You make an excellent point about both economics and climate science. They are both based on historical data that is used to develop statistical models that fit the data. And, as any statistician would tell you, just because you have a model that fits the data you have doesn't mean you can use it to tell what the future will be.

      You point out that the 3 day forecast is hardly wrong. You're right there. But, what about the 30 day forecast? I've been chided many times by people supporting climate change hysteria that weather is not climate. I do find the ridiculousness of that argument amusing, but that's neither here nor there. I would simply argue that the economic models can equal that precision. It's easy for the economic models to predict the state of the economy 3 days out with at least equal or better precision than the weather. Of course, the difference is that our general concern of the weather (outside those losing sleep of the changing climate) is pretty short in time scope. Our concern for economic conditions is usually on the scale of years.

      The problem with both (or all three for those that say weather and climate are seperate) is that there is a huge amount of inherent entropy in the system. That's just basic physics. For economics, some would argue that the underlying physics has no influence on the entropy, regardless there is psychology involved which does plenty to throw in chaos. The only way to eliminate the effects of chaos on models is to both holistically understand ALL factors that influence the outputs of a model and also be able to quantify those factors. We certainly don't have that with economics because we don't have the level of understanding of psychology, sociology, etc that influence economics. And, if we had that with weather, we'd know what the weather will be everyday for the next 1000 years.

      So, all of our models are flawed and require refinement. Does that mean they offer zero utility to us or do we take what we have understanding they're flawed and work from there?

  18. I had this great idea for green power... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean are at different levels (that is why locks are needed in the Panama canal).

    The idea is to have a hydro-electric plant between the two oceans, all you need is few miles of huge pipes and a turbine. Bingo! unlimited power, who needs wind?

    1. Re:I had this great idea for green power... by Technician · · Score: 1

      The Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean are at different levels (that is why locks are needed in the Panama canal).

      Correction, they have different tide levels and times. A big hydro dam wouldn't be of much use. A closed off large bay with a hydro plant to take advantage of the tidal current would be just as useful. It would be easier to close off San Fransisco Bay to use for hydro than to cut a sea level channel through Panama for a hydro plant.

      Other than letting pollution build up and killing off the sea port, closing that bay for hydro power whould have huge costs.

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    2. Re:I had this great idea for green power... by jchandra · · Score: 1

      OP AC here... Thanks for the explanation.

      But the original point remains...

      With SF Bay or any other bay, the problem remain that you kill sea port, and screw up the environment with pollution or changing eco-system.

      With the two oceans, there is no concern like this and the volume of water is unlimited, so you can practically generate as much power as you want...

      --
      god n. : the Supreme Being, indistinguishable from a good random number generator.
    3. Re:I had this great idea for green power... by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

      "The Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean are at different levels"

      Yes, that's why there are also locks in the Straits of Magellan. Oh, wait...
      I hope you're trying to be funny. The reason there are locks on the Panama Canal is that it goes over a mountain.

      --
      Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  19. Best discussions ever! by c6gunner · · Score: 0, Troll

    Congratulations Slashdotters, you've outdone yourselves this time! Never in my life have I seen so much redundancy with so little benefit. I think it's safe to say that we could replace 95% of the comments in this thread with:

    "America is teh ghay!"

    without losing a shred of information.

    And people call Vista bloated ....

    1. Re:Best discussions ever! by ZombieWomble · · Score: 2, Funny

      To be fair, I think it's more like 45% "America are teh ghay!" and 50% "Hur hur, farts are funny!"

    2. Re:Best discussions ever! by bigmouth_strikes · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well it's good to see your valuable, thought-provoking, high quality comment complaining about worthless comments enhancing the signal-to-noise-ratio...

      Clearly, Slashdot is a US-centric website where many articles and discussions are in the format of comparing the situation on a scientific or technological topic in the US versus the rest of the world. Nothing wrong with that, since there are many positive outcomes from that if one can raise oneself above petty nationalism.

      In this particular discussion it is valuable to compare the statistics which are a bit skewed by the vast differences in size, population and population density. Nevertheless it is interesting to note that being able to power 5 million US homes by wind power is an astonishing number in itself, and brings hope for a brighter future!

      --
      Oh, I can't help quoting you because everything that you said rings true
    3. Re:Best discussions ever! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Farts ARE pretty funny.

    4. Re:Best discussions ever! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the really interesting thing is that these numbers were true under the bush administration but no one felt free to discuss them until obama was in office. just goes to show how much the democrats are a bunch of cunt liars.

  20. Enough Energy To... by geordie_loz · · Score: 1

    US wind power capacity surged 50 percent last year to 25 gigwatts - enough to power more than five million homes.

    Or...
    Hmm.. 25 / 2.21 = 11.31
    About enough energy to travel through time 11 times, right?

    1. Re:Enough Energy To... by geordie_loz · · Score: 1

      hmm. maybe 20 times, it's 1.21 isn't it?

  21. Thank you, mods by pcgabe · · Score: 1

    I would like to thank the mods for not upmodding the MANY bean- and politics-related "wind" puns that appear to be dominating the posts so far.

    Stand fast, men. I fear it is only going to get worse.

    --
    Don't put advice in your sig.
  22. the focus should be on energy consumption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    US citizens are 5% of world population and consumes 23% of the energy.

    Nothing more to say.

    http://worldpopulationbalance.org/pop/energy/

  23. 25 gigawatts by martin-boundary · · Score: 1
    25 gigawatts? Maybe this car analogy can help:

    With last year's US wind power capacity, Marty McFly was able to drive back and forth to 1955 a total of 20.661 times, but since this capacity wasn't available in 1985 yet, you'll have to wait until 2013 to find out what really happened when Part IV will get filmed.

  24. And per capita? by kitgerrits · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Wow, a country with over 300 million people, 9,629,091 square kilometers and sea on the east and west side
    managed to produce more wind power
    than a country with 80 million people, 57,022 square kilometers and sea on the (mostly useless) north side.

    Call me when they reach 90 GW...

    --
    "I was in love with a beautiful blonde once, dear. She drove me to drink. It's the one thing I am indebted to her for."
    1. Re:And per capita? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      357,022, actually, not 57,022, although your point very much still stands.

      That being said, hey! I *am* from mostly useless north side of Germany, you insensitive clod!

    2. Re:And per capita? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, a country with over 300 million people, 9,629,091 square kilometers and sea on the east and west side
      managed to produce more wind power
      than a country with 80 million people, 57,022 square kilometers and sea on the (mostly useless) north side.

      Call me when they reach 90 GW...

      You think 90 GW is impressive?

      Geez, how much energy is generated and used worldwide every day? What is 90 GW? 0.00001% of that?

      How much of all that energy that the world uses (and NEEDS to use to grow the food to feed 6+ billion people!) could possibly come from solar/wind power? What are you going to do? Use all the farmland on the planet for solar collectors?

      So, 90 GW is an important to you?

      No surprise - you seem impressed by empty gestures. Like per capita and per sq km production of wind power.

      Why don't we just harness the hot air you're generating?

    3. Re:And per capita? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      than a country with 80 million people, 57,022 square kilometers

      We might have lost the war, but it is still 357,022 square kilometers.

    4. Re:And per capita? by kitgerrits · · Score: 1

      Oops, Germany is actually 357,022 square kilometres...
      (bad copy-paste from Wikipedia )
      My apologies to any Germans I may have insulted...
      (I'll get you you lot later ;-) )

      --
      "I was in love with a beautiful blonde once, dear. She drove me to drink. It's the one thing I am indebted to her for."
    5. Re:And per capita? by kitgerrits · · Score: 1

      I was, of course, referring to the wind you can expect from the sea (meer).
      For wind to strike to US, all it has to do is come towards it from the east or west.
      For wind to strike Germany, it has to come straight down through a tiny gap between Norway and Denmark.

      And, if the north beach was any good, why are the dutch beaches filled with Germans any time the sun drops by? ;-)

      --
      "I was in love with a beautiful blonde once, dear. She drove me to drink. It's the one thing I am indebted to her for."
    6. Re:And per capita? by kitgerrits · · Score: 1

      The good thing is that the US is improving its energy production, but they need to realize that there's a long way left to go.
      Yes, I agree it is only a tiny fraction of our total production now and China has not even begun to industrialize.
      If we want to be any nicer to the environment we'd give China plans, instructions and engineers
        to build cleaner power plants, instead of trying to force them to stay in the 20th century.

      You're welcome to use my hot air for anything you like, I produce plenty per day and I work in a datacenter that produces piles more.

      --
      "I was in love with a beautiful blonde once, dear. She drove me to drink. It's the one thing I am indebted to her for."
    7. Re:And per capita? by Kevin+Stevens · · Score: 1

      You are right of course, but I think the much more interesting fact here is that wind power capacity increased by 50% in the past year. That trend line will probably not hold in 2009 since oil prices have dropped and the economic crisis we are in has made getting funding difficult, but this is still great news.

      Is the headline a bit sensational? Absolutely. Is this still great news? Absolutely.

    8. Re:And per capita? by khallow · · Score: 1

      If we want to be any nicer to the environment we'd give China plans, instructions and engineers to build cleaner power plants, instead of trying to force them to stay in the 20th century.

      Who is "we"? How are we "forcing" China? And why is "staying in the 20th Century" worse than what you'd like to force China to do? As I see it, China's current path is building great wealth for its citizens and can be smoothly transitioned to a non-fossil fuel economy when the rest of the world proves that can be done.

    9. Re:And per capita? by kitgerrits · · Score: 1

      With me, I mean the collective Western World of First Countries (Europe, US).
      I am referring to the G8+5 ruling, which supersedes the Kyoto Protocol, which intends to reduce global emissions.
      Seeing as China's industry is currently booming, it is hard to expect them to reduce their carbon output.

      Apparently, they're already doing rather well

      --
      "I was in love with a beautiful blonde once, dear. She drove me to drink. It's the one thing I am indebted to her for."
    10. Re:And per capita? by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Well, if you weren't so busy discounting it, you'd notice instead that a much less subsidy-driven country is growing its renewable resources.

      So aside from desperately trying to compare epeens, isn't that FUNDAMENTALLY a good thing?

      But all I see are posts desperately denigrating the accomplishment by changing the terms of the comparison to per-capita or per km2.

      --
      -Styopa
    11. Re:And per capita? by MrSnivvel · · Score: 1

      Whenever I see such posts by those in the 'Old World' I rack them up as more examples of "Euro-Penis Envy".

      I would seem that those who judge us over here in the 'New World' are by stereotypes provided by their media. It would be like me, a Texan, to believe that all British are like the characters portrayed by the show "Little Britain".

  25. Original article by pieleric · · Score: 4, Informative

    The original article can be found here. It has more figures, including some on China, and an interesting remark that Europe in total generates 66GW, which is another way to the per capita computation to moderate this first rank of US...

  26. people seem to like nominal comparisons by Trepidity · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For example, there was a bunch of excited speculation about when China's GDP would surpass the U.S.'s, despite the fact that that would still leave China nowhere near the U.S. on a per-capita GDP basis.

    1. Re:people seem to like nominal comparisons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, the US isn't the highest in per capita wind power generation. But that doesn't mean that aggregate numbers are completely useless. It does demonstrate that there is a significant domestic market in the US for wind turbines (should be encouraging for any companies in that line of work). Similarly, China's GDP may not mean a high standard of living for everyone - but it does indicate the amount of production that China's leadership has at its disposal (eg. they can afford to spend a lot on their military, foreign aid and influence, a space program, and major domestic projects).

  27. What a load of crap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Your friend is an idiot. Do you really think people who have used windmills for hundred of years did so purely for the fun of it?

    "Lets spend months building a windmill", they thought, "to saw lumber or grind corn. Who cares if it costs more energy to build it then it ever delivers and we could easily saw all that wood ourselves with the same energy".

    Your friends argument is similar to those who claim we don't have global warming because it is freezing cold outside. It seems superficially true but comes from such a poor understanding of the issue you can't even begin to correct.

    However, presuming you ain't as big a moron as your friend, here is the reason this myth has come into being.

    It costs X amount of energy to build a generator. This is far higher then you probably think because if it uses for instance aluminum. Simply put, if all energy was equal, a generator that costs X energy from the grid to produce should pump X+ energy into the grid over its lifetime.

    Now comes the killer. What is its lifetime? Economic lifetime? Period it is written off in? Or shortened lifetime because it was demolished before it was obsolete/rundown?

    It is very easy to claim a generator should produce its energy in say 1 year claiming that is its lifespan for whatever reason. In that case, the cost of producing it must be recovered in a year. Thanks to the way goverments work there have been projects where windmills were put up and torn down in a matter of months. Of course these never recouped their energy. The headline went into the newspaper, idiots didn't read the full article and myth is born.

    This however also applies to nuclear reactors that are dismantled before they are ever brought online and countless other big projects.

    A normal windmill produces far more power over its operational life then it has cost to produce. If it didn't it wouldn't make economic sense and countless windmills have come up for no other reason than that the owner wants to make money from them.

    They have been doing this ever since the first windmill was invented hundreds of years ago.

  28. Population by krischik · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Yes, pat your selves on the back. America (9,161,923 SQ KM) has over taken Germany (357,021 SQ KM). Good work.

    Right on. And the US has 2.8 times the population as well. And we don't even start speaking of totel power consuption.

  29. it's a little more proportional on new capacity by Trepidity · · Score: 3, Informative

    The U.S. is coming closer to pulling its weight on new capacity: in 2008, it installed 8.3 GW, while Germany installed 1.7 GW, or about a 5x factor. Not quite the 30x factor of land area, but hey, 1.7 million of those sq km are in Alaska, which is kind of inconvenient for electric transmission (same reason Canada's wind power is fairly low, despite massive land area).

  30. abosulte figures vs relative figures. by krischik · · Score: 2, Informative

    Of you are lager by sqare kilometers, population and power consumtion then is is just easy to have the larger wind farms as well. Comparing absolute figures between countries is just plain unfair.

    Divide by any of the three and the US won't be the winner any longer. But then Germany probably won't win either any more...

    1. Re:abosulte figures vs relative figures. by CastrTroy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Also make sure you factor in the energy consumption of the average American. According to Wikipedia the US uses almost twice as much energy per capita as Germany. So it stands to reason, that if they use more, they should be producing more. 7.5 x the population and 2 x the energy consumption per person means they used 15 x more energy than Germany. They should be producing a lot more power from wind.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
  31. Irrelevant metric? by Xest · · Score: 1

    Surely it's better to measure the amount of electricity generated by a particular method per head of population or total consumption of electricity or similar?

    The US is a bigger country with a bigger population than Germany, it is therefore surely not that spectacular if it has overtaken a vastly smaller country in wind power generation. What matters is when it overtakes it in proportion to some other relevant statistic.

    With the vast amounts of open land the US has it's more of a surprise it can't generate more wind, and particularly with states like Arizona, New Mexico etc. more solar than most other countries already.

  32. inconvenient truth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "a friend of mine" isn't that what al gore says throughout his masterpiece? I guess if you are important you must have important friends and no one will question you.

  33. Percent of total by grimJester · · Score: 1

    66GW / 500M inhabitants gives about 130W/capita. US has 25GW / 300M inhabitants, which is about 80W/capita. According to this list the US consumes 1460W/capita and the EU 700.

    EU 18,5%, the US 5,4%.

    Which is completely wrong because "The wind power capacity installed by end 2008 will, in a normal wind year, produce 142 TWh of electricity, equal to about 4.2% of the EU's electricity demand". Sigh. What did I get wrong here?

    1. Re:Percent of total by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Sigh. What did I get wrong here?

      The EU has 66GW of capacity. It doesn't generate 66GWh per hour however - sometimes the wind doesn't blow.

      If 66GW gives you 142TWh then you're generating 100% for 2151 hours - about 89 days a year, i.e. only 24% of your "capacity".

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    2. Re:Percent of total by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Hey, my figures almost work, 24% of 18.5 is 4.4, which is more or less the same as 4.2.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    3. Re:Percent of total by radtea · · Score: 1

      What did I get wrong here?

      You didn't get anything wrong. Wind power advocates routinely give peak production capacity as if it was actual production capacity, which is typically 20 - 25% of maximum capacity due to variable winds.

      Divide any claims about wind power production by four, or five if you're feeling ungenerous.

      Unlike nuclear power or hydro or coal, which all produce 90% or more of their maximum capacity for the lifetime of the plant, wind power produces at most 25% on average, and therefore it is dishonest to compare "installed but not used" wind capacity to "installed and used" non-wind capacity. It's as if someone built three or four extra generators beside a hydro dam and then claimed that we should count the capacity of those generators, even though they aren't connected to anything.

      From an engineering point of view peak capacity matters a lot. From a social value point of view average capacity is the only thing that matters, and yet for some reason wind power advocates continue to spout misleading peak capacity numbers.

      Solar power advocates typically are a bit clearer about this stuff. Dunno what's wrong with the wind people.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    4. Re:Percent of total by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Wind power advocates routinely give peak production capacity as if it was actual production capacity, Unlike nuclear power ......., which ... produce 90% or more of their maximum capacity for the lifetime of the plant,

      If you are going to say that I think you also have to look at the availability of the Nuclear plant. If the plant is only available to produce power for %50 percent of it's expected 40 year lifespan then it's actual output is only 45% of it's capacity to produce. So if a Wind installation has a higher availability to produce power then it's more realistic to compare the output of the $TYPEOF plant.

      Despite the generous subsidies the Nuclear industry receives, worldwide renewable energy sources produced three times the output and six times the available capacity of Nuclear power *in 2004*. The reality of Wind and Solar is the capacity is much easier to bring to market, is easier to insure and generates a return for investors much sooner than Nuclear.

      Also Nuclear is still a greenhouse gas emitter. Concrete is the third biggest greenhouse gas emitter in the world and concrete is the largest input cost in terms of building a Nuclear plant. Enrichment is powered by coal plants (approx 1Gw worth) and the process is also the number one cause of industrial CFC emissions from the U.S. CFC's 20,000 times more potent than Co2 at 1 million pounds, thats 453,592 kilgrams, PER YEAR since the bans began. That is 8 618 255.03 kilograms *since* CFC114 was banned. That's the equivalent of 172,365,100,000 kilograms of carbon dioxide from the enrichment process alone. Then there is also the carbon input from mining and crushing rock (500 ton's of rock per 1 kilo of uranium), decommissioning, containment etc.

      A study by Stanford university collated 8000 wind records worldwide and found a potential global wind power resource of 72 Terrawatts - that's 40 times the entire world consumption in 2000. We only need to tap 20% of that to satisfy world energy needs. As far as the political will to connect that capacity to the grid, what is dishonest is politicians yielding to the coal lobby not to connect that *available capacity* to the grid - which is why a claim of 25% capacity, for wind, can be made.

      Now this is the first time I've advocated for wind power, I just think that for a country like America, that is so blessed with HUGE amounts of wind and Solar resources, it's an absolute no-brainer.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    5. Re:Percent of total by vlm · · Score: 1

      If the plant is only available to produce power for %50 percent of it's expected 40 year lifespan

      In France, which is admittedly far more technologically advanced than any other nation w/ regard to nuclear power, 80% is considered a failure and 85% would be a record. Probably what France would consider a failure would be pretty good in the less developed countries.

      http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssIndustryMaterialsUtilitiesNews/idUSL205876020080220

      The wikipedia estimate of capacity factors for wind power vary from 20 to 40%. Probably 30% would be "typical".

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power

      The greenhouse gas emission of the concrete in a plant seems fairly pointless... A thousand windmills might replace one nuke plant (or maybe you'd need 4000), and a thousand windmills is a lot of concrete foundations. Probably building mounted solar uses the least concrete per KW, followed by coal, nuke, followed by ground mounted solar, followed by hydro, followed by windmills at the highest use.

      I have no idea why no one makes solar powered concrete kilns. A long solar concentrator around a pipe with a big hydraulic ram at one end like a car compactor. Every morning push a days worth of limestone in one end, and cooked limestone out the other end. Make the pipe a couple weeks long. "Free" cement?

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    6. Re:Percent of total by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      how much analysis has been done regarding the climate change that would ensue if so much wind (read energy ==> heat) is taken out of the atmosphere?

      youre messing with macro air currents, if this ends up affecting the air flow in the upper atmosphere, as no doubt it will if built on such a huge scale, what do you think will happen?

      im all for "renewable" energy, the problem is that i dont think enough though has been given to the potential negative impacts that it might cause if used on such a massive scale.

    7. Re:Percent of total by uvdivergent · · Score: 1

      If you are going to say that I think you also have to look at the availability of the Nuclear plant. If the plant is only available to produce power for %50 percent of it's expected 40 year lifespan then it's actual output is only 45% of it's capacity to produce.

      FUD. US nuclear plants average a capacity factor of >90%.

      "Table 9.2 Nuclear Power Plant Operations, 1957-2007"
      http://www.eia.doe.gov/aer/txt/ptb0902.html

    8. Re:Percent of total by uvdivergent · · Score: 1

      Also Nuclear is still a greenhouse gas emitter. Concrete is the third biggest greenhouse gas emitter in the world and concrete is the largest input cost in terms of building a Nuclear plant.

      More FUD. Nuclear plants use far less concrete per megawatt capacity than wind turbines, and their lifecycle CO2 emissions are correspondingly smaller (but they're both orders of magnitude below coal, so it's a moot point)

      http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/07/per-peterson-information-on-steel-and.html

    9. Re:Percent of total by slashtivus · · Score: 1

      Concrete is the third biggest greenhouse gas emitter in the world and concrete is the largest input cost in terms of building a Nuclear plant.

      Oh jeez, not this one again. Let's do some math. The output of a concrete plant in a given day (for an entire CITY) could easily build a nuclear plant.

      You won't use all of the capacity in 1 single day, of course (making forms / letting lower layers set, etc etc), but the capacity will be at reasonably close. Some of our nuclear plants are pushing 50 years old.

      A nuclear plant can power an entire CITY, not just a single concrete plant. Let's pretend the concrete plant consumes 20% of the city power (yea, right). My math works out this way:

      Take 1 days total power out put of the nuclear plant and multiply by .20 (the concrete plant's consumption of total output) and divide that by 18,250 (the operational life time of the nuclear plant in days) and watch your calculator go into negative scientific notation. Calling a nuclear plant a greenhouse producer (considering what it would save) with that trade-off is laughable at best.

      Enrichment is powered by coal plants

      Huh? Is this mandated by law or something? Why would you not use the nuclear power (after scaling up)? This makes no sense.

      Regarding the CFC's: I'll take your word for that, but it is a new one on me. If we would stop our stupid policy of not allowing breeder reactor technology, that would stop that issue, and also extend our supply of nuclear material out for centuries without mining/refining a gram more.

      Not flaming you, but I've grown tired of the Concrete thing after doing the math. Cheers.

    10. Re:Percent of total by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      FUD. US nuclear plants average a capacity factor of >90%.

      According to the glossary for the page you cited: Generator capacity: The maximum output, commonly expressed in megawatts (MW), that generating equipment can supply to system load, adjusted for ambient conditions. So I re-iterate that the capacity you are referring to does not speak to the actual availability of a plant to produce power at it's capacity.

      Interestingly, the figures in themselves are revealing as the peak gains in capacity have been made when the plants are in the peak of the operating life cycle (10% gain in the '80's, 22% gain in the '90's) of the plants. As the plants age and components wear, further outages will affect availability (indicated by an oscillation of peak capacity during the 00's). I expect the capacity to produce power will only mitigate reduced availability by implementing advances in fuel rod and coolant technology. However, this stresses an ageing reactor which is a very risky business and will have an even greater effect on availability of the reactor to produce power - because the entire reactor is off line to repair it.

      In comparison to an 800Mw wind installation, the distribution of the generating capacity means an outage doesn't affect overall availability - it only reduces the capacity for the duration of the outages. To be fair the Nuclear industry has made advances in capacity to generate, but I would expect the Wind Power industry to make similar advances as it's industry matures.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    11. Re:Percent of total by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      More FUD. Nuclear plants use far less concrete per megawatt capacity than wind turbines,

      Some of the points your reference article raises wrt wind power steel and concrete are compelling but I think your claim remains to be seen. First of all your reference compares 1990's vintage wind turbine which negates the fast development cycle for wind power technology and the last 15 years of development. The next consideration is if the installation sites for a wind turbine can be re-used - re-using much of the energetic inputs and how mass production drives efficiencies into the industrial techniques, as wind power is still an emerging technology.

      Your reference claims a 60 year life cycle for the nuclear power plants which is unlikely to be attained because Neutron irradiation embrittlement is a significant problem affecting the pressure vessels (and other components) of nuclear reactors, this is a fundamental issue that limits the lifespan of nuclear reactor by introducing failure modes not accounted for in the basis design.

      and their lifecycle CO2 emissions are correspondingly smaller (but they're both orders of magnitude below coal, so it's a moot point)

      Nowhere on the page you cited was there a reference to the mining, enrichment, decommissioning of plants and containment of spent fuel in the carbon calculations - so you cannot make a strawman argument attacking lifecycle Co2 emmissions of wind by not including these factors into the overall calculations for Nuclear. Furthermore referring to such potent concerns as "FUD" does not make for a honest comparison, especially when we are *only* talking about the carbon emissions and not the overall toxicity of the nuclear fuel cycle.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    12. Re:Percent of total by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      how much analysis has been done regarding the climate change that would ensue if so much wind (read energy ==> heat) is taken out of the atmosphere?

      You are extracting solar energy from the atmosphere.

      youre messing with macro air currents, if this ends up affecting the air flow in the upper atmosphere, as no doubt it will if built on such a huge scale, what do you think will happen?

      Could be a good thing considering the amount of carbon dioxide we have released by burning coal it might reduce the severity of storms by sinking energy *out* of the atmosphere.

      im all for "renewable" energy, the problem is that i dont think enough though has been given to the potential negative impacts that it might cause if used on such a massive scale.

      The negative impacts of the existing industries (coal and nuclear in particular) are well documented and simply not sustainable. We can't continue to use coal as much and, realistically, the nuclear industry requires a redesign that will likely take 30-50 years to implement before it is able to produce energy with out the toxic mess the current industry has made. The reality is we have not invested in low externality energy sources like Wind or Solar in a serious enough way to ensure continuity of energy growth. The pressing issue is to control carbon emissions, that is what we know now.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    13. Re:Percent of total by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Take 1 days total power out put of the nuclear plant and multiply by .20 (the concrete plant's consumption of total output) and divide that by 18,250 (the operational life time of the nuclear plant in days) and watch your calculator go into negative scientific notation. Calling a nuclear plant a greenhouse producer (considering what it would save) with that trade-off is laughable at best.

      Hi - been to busy to respond till now. I think you have made some overly conservative estimates for the energetic expenditure for the constructing and demolishing a nuclear power plant. I include demolition because it is part of the life cycle of the plant. Estimates for this are between 8000000 Gw and 240000000 Gw of energy which is a lot higher than your estimates.

      Huh? Is this mandated by law or something? Why would you not use the nuclear power (after scaling up)? This makes no sense.

      This is reality. American enrichment is powered by Coal.

      Regarding the CFC's: I'll take your word for that, but it is a new one on me. If we would stop our stupid policy of not allowing breeder reactor technology, that would stop that issue,

      Well that would be trading one type of toxicity for another, our material sciences technology is not yet advanced enough to support a breeder program and they are fickle beasts to operate. For example the French have well developed reactor technology and the Superphoenix breeder suffered numerous problems before being closed down.

      Even an MIT report recommends the once through cycle if an increase in the use of Nuclear power is to be considered.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    14. Re:Percent of total by slashtivus · · Score: 1
      I'm sorry but I think I was bending the numbers your way in a not-so-subtle form of sarcasm.

      I asked why (once you have nuclear) you would continue to use coal, yet you answer with the answer that we use coal, therefore we will always use coal. This makes no sense, If we have nuclear, then coal falls by the wayside, therefore it is not reality in that situation, only currently. You seem to be stuck in a rut on that one.

      On the 2nd point, (your link does not work, I looked it up myself), most of what I see there is political problems as I mentioned in my original reply. Laws are changable, and political agendas change. They closed a 1968 design due to political pressure and a rocket attack, not Physics problems. I'm not buying it.

      With all due respect, Cheers.

    15. Re:Percent of total by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry but I think I was bending the numbers your way in a not-so-subtle form of sarcasm.

      Lack of sleep takes away my ability to understand sarcasm. I should actually go to bed now :-}

      I asked why (once you have nuclear) you would continue to use coal, yet you answer with the answer that we use coal, therefore we will always use coal. This makes no sense, If we have nuclear, then coal falls by the wayside, therefore it is not reality in that situation, only currently. You seem to be stuck in a rut on that one.

      Fair enough. What I am saying is it is the current situation. The only thing that I can see that will break the dependency deadlock on (today's)Nuclear and Coal is Wind/Solar/Geo-Thermal and Micro Generation and heavy investment in those technologies should begin yesterday.

      It's not a rut, per se, but given the above is achieved the *entire* nuclear industry still requires a bottom up re-design to redress the issues that have manifest over it's first generation before any serious deployment of nuclear power plants can occur. At the very minimum we need a geologically stable granite containment facility and an infrastructure plan to contain plutonium before we can even consider new reactor plants.

      And that's just the starting point. MIT recommends the once-through cycle for reactors that takes us to %60 nuclear capacity for the next 50 years - so there will still be coal in the mix. So we are *still* talking PWR like the AP-1000, which itself has some design characteristics that do not re-assure me. Until then the best we can get out of a nuclear reactor is 40 years - maybe, and it won't even be operating for it's entire lifespan and it will be lucky to operate at it's peak efficiency when it is.

      Even fuel reprocessing will require new technologies, and if it were to be powered by a Nuclear reactor I would guess that it's power requirements would be a dedicated 1Gw Reactor which halves it's current energy usage.

      On the 2nd point, (your link does not work, I looked it up myself), most of what I see there is political problems as I mentioned in my original reply. Laws are changable, and political agendas change. They closed a 1968 design due to political pressure and a rocket attack, not Physics problems. I'm not buying it.

      Apologies for the broken link of the Superpheonix but it would still have had it's inevitable problems at the end of it's 40 year life span. It's not physics issues we are dealing with, but the engineering issues and material sciences issues. Have no doubt, I do believe that the inevitability of a breeder program that converts transuranics to fissile ash should be supported by a proper research program to develop the technology - it just not practical to implement breeders with today's technology. Any breeder program has to be supported by a reactor design that has a similar lifespan to the half-lives of the fissile ash created. Not 40 years, but engineered to last 1000 year so that decommissioning the facility can be matched to the decay of the, what we can now call, waste products. With a stable site and better materials technology to support engineering challenges we can devise how we can extract the energy from that plutonium and convert it to fissile ash (so the time frames for containment are more manageable) using a properly engineered breeder.

      Sure, we should maintain the *option* of implementing a nuclear program, but as I've outlined above, the only realistic way to achieve that is a properly developed infrastructure plan that begins with a geologically stable containment facility.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  34. 25 gigawatts! by thepacketmaster · · Score: 1

    That's enough to power the province of Ontario at peak times in the summer...can we please have your energy?

    --

    --

    Luck is just skill you didn't know you had.

  35. Per use, not inhabitant by grimJester · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'd argue that wind power per inhabitant is also wrong, since it doesn't take into account that the average American uses 1,460W while the average German uses only 753W. As a fraction of consumption, Germany has about eight times more wind power. Link

    1. Re:Per use, not inhabitant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      What about wind power as a fraction of total energy produced? That's really the stat we care about; it doesn't matter that the US is 1 in wind power if we produce ten times as much "dirty" energy as Germany.

  36. MSI by tonywestonuk · · Score: 1

    I though MSI, were the top Wind producer, and they're based in Taiwan??...er.....

    1. Re:MSI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought and thought and did all my research, but I couldn't seem to come up with a witty comeback. Arrrghh!

  37. Heh heh....wind... by Geraden · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I KNEW I shouldn't have eaten at Chipotle last night...

  38. Errrrm by The+Outlander · · Score: 0, Redundant

    With a certain Mr Bush as outgoing president I don't think it will surprise the world that the US produces the most wind!

  39. just give the hippies free pot to shut up by cheekyboy · · Score: 0, Troll

    Those stupid Nimbys, where do they think they get their coal powered electricity from. Stupid pricks.

    Either give em free pot, or send em to jail for 'working' for the oil companies, because im sure there are 4 levels of indirect funding of their legal actions against sound power generation by oil corps.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
  40. Ask nuclear the same by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And oil. Gas. Biodiesel.

  41. 25 gigawatts! by argent · · Score: 1

    That's enough to power *20* deLoreans!

  42. Whoops. by nickruiz · · Score: 1

    Sorry, doesn't look like /. supports the LaTeX plugin.

    1. Re:Whoops. by Typoboy · · Score: 1

      Looks like Preview would have shown you that also :)
      But I agree, that is very cool, thanks.

  43. You are correct, but... by Kupfernigk · · Score: 1
    When the timescale is longer than a year or so, the free market is terrible at picking winners. Ask GM. Ask Toyota, who chose last year to release the biggest Land Cruiser ever. On long timescales, the free market is no cleverer than the Government, and unfortunately infrastructure needs long timescales.

    Meanwhile, technology evolves quite rapidly. Economies of scale and build cost of wind are changing rapidly. Solar cell technology is changing rapidly - I'm currently testing a set of non-silicon cells and already I've decided to wait rather than buy silicon - so there will be inevitable swings. Left to itself, the market will do what I do - wait for a winner to emerge. And without investment, there will be no winner.

    You've already given away your political leaning by copy and paste from the Economist - which by the way was one of the cheerleaders that led to the present financial crisis - but it's fair to mention one other thing. Britain in the 50s and 60s was poor because the US delayed intervention in WW2, hoping that this would result in the collapse of the British Empire, to the gain of the US. The US was never bombed, and Pearl Harbor did less damage to the US than a single air raid of London. As a result, Britain emerged almost bankrupt with much of its productive capacity destroyed, and only rescued itself by having a strongly dirigiste economy focussed on exports, while people at home went cold and hungry. During the late 40s and early 50s, we got shot of the Empire (to our financial benefit). During the Thatcherite "reforms", the UK slipped back economically relative to its European neighbours.

    Yours, and the Economist's view of history is dangerously simplistic. Personally, like most Europeans, I believe that the answer lies in a mixed economy. But I don't expect to learn that from a comic that sells mainly to non-tax paying expats and their accountants.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    1. Re:You are correct, but... by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      You've already given away your political leaning by copy and paste from the Economist - which by the way was one of the cheerleaders that led to the present financial crisis - but it's fair to mention one other thing. Britain in the 50s and 60s was poor because the US delayed intervention in WW2, hoping that this would result in the collapse of the British Empire, to the gain of the US. The US was never bombed, and Pearl Harbor did less damage to the US than a single air raid of London. As a result, Britain emerged almost bankrupt with much of its productive capacity destroyed, and only rescued itself by having a strongly dirigiste economy focussed on exports, while people at home went cold and hungry. During the late 40s and early 50s, we got shot of the Empire (to our financial benefit). During the Thatcherite "reforms", the UK slipped back economically relative to its European neighbours.

      Yours, and the Economist's view of history is dangerously simplistic. Personally, like most Europeans, I believe that the answer lies in a mixed economy. But I don't expect to learn that from a comic that sells mainly to non-tax paying expats and their accountants.

      Wah! The Economist mentions facts that don't fit my world view! Must attack its credibility!

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    2. Re:You are correct, but... by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Informative

      Britain in the 50s and 60s was poor because the US delayed intervention in WW2, hoping that this would result in the collapse of the British Empire, to the gain of the US

      That's funny, I always thought it had to do with domestic political considerations. It is true that FDR hoped to end colonialism but I've never heard that used as an explanation for why we didn't intervene.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    3. Re:You are correct, but... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Britain in the 50s and 60s was poor because the US delayed intervention in WW2, hoping that this would result in the collapse of the British Empire, to the gain of the US.

      Umm, no.

      Aside from domestic political concerns (it's not terribly clear from the point of view of an American in 1939 that either Poland or Great Britain are worth wasting American lives on), there's the small matter of lack of military power.

      It's frequently forgotten today (after 60 years of America as the premier military power in the world) that before WW2 we maintained a TINY Army, almost no Air Force (it wasn't even a large part of our tiny Army), and minimal industrial assets devoted to building military hardware.

      Fact of the matter was that in 1939, the USA could have brought a decent Navy to WW2. Though not as much of one as one might think, since most of our Navy was deployed in the Pacific, and would have remained so, even if we'd joined in WW2. But it couldn't have brought much else to the effort - no Eighth Air Force (we didn't have enough planes to fill that large an organization, and none of the ones we had were modern enough to survive anyway), no Army, no LSTs (the one thing that was absolutely required to fight Germany, since we had to move enormous amounts of men and material across the oceans just to get to Germany), none of that good stuff.

      Note also that we were bailing the Brits out before our entry into the War. Our own neutrality laws actually prevented us from doing some of the things we did from 1939-1941 (like selling the British airplanes, tanks, destroyers without cash on the barrelhead), but we did them anyway. We provided convoy escorts before we entered the war (illegally, of course), and we refused to sell to Germany (illegally).

      Personally, like most Europeans, I believe that the answer lies in a mixed economy.

      "I believe" is perhaps the most dangerous thing anyone can say. It suggests a lack of evidence, or a lack of desire to look for evidence for one's "belief".

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  44. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by vtcodger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ***Bring on the nukes!***

    I've always been mildly pro-nuclear. It's non-polluting compared to coal, and has much higher availability than a wind-farm or solar array with a similar sticker output in MW or GW.

    But there are only a limited number of sites with cooling water, satisfactory geology, and where evacuation of the neighborhood in the event of trouble is realistically possible.

    The US could, I am quite sure, treble our current nuclear output. We might even be able to increase it by an order of magnitude to 1000 plants although we'd have to scrounge up some fuel that probably exists, but isn't currently in proven reserves. But every time I work the numbers, I get the same answer. US energy needs are so great that we need more like 5000 nuclear power plants just to replace oil.

    And we need to remember that there are 5.7billion folks on the planet who are not Americans and they are going to want to use energy on much the same scale that we do.

    So -- unless we believe that the world has unlimited hydrocarbons and there is no limit to the amount of CO2 the human race can vent into the atmosphere without consequence, it isn't wind OR solar OR nuclear. It's wind AND solar AND nuclear AND conservation AND any other non-carbon emitting technology we can come up with.

    --
    You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
  45. Moving those blades by BenEnglishAtHome · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I know that wind-powered energy generation is growing in the U.S. because I see it every day (in season; see below). I don't know if they're manufactured near here or just shipping in via our port, but those gi-normous wind turbine blades are a common sight on the freeways of Houston, traveling up I-45 headed for who knows where. There's a small cottage industry in escort vehicles. I've seen every manner of tiny, broken-down car, truck, and minivan festooned with flags and feeler poles, in packs, leading and following each individual blade as it makes its way through town. You don't realize it until you're driving right next to one, but those blades are *HUGE*; I'd estimate as long as 4 or 5 tractor-trailer rigs. I'm sure someone will pop up with an accurate number. Whatever the correct size, it's just amazing to watch something that long and odd-looking moving through midday traffic, dwarfing everything around it. Up until a few months ago (I assume winter brings a slowdown to construction), I'd see at least one every day. Sometimes I'd see three at a time. I expect for the freeways to be lousy with 'em again as soon as the weather gets warm.

    1. Re:Moving those blades by dbcad7 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I "was" driving truck for a few months (Nov,Dec,Jan), and I saw those trucks in Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, Arizona, and Oregon (off the top of my head) and I saw them so frequently that I wondered about the company making them.. they have got to be doing quite well whoever or wherever they are. Those are huge blades, and whoever is molding them at such a rate must be working their butts off.

      --
      waiting for ad.doubleclick.net
    2. Re:Moving those blades by 0prime · · Score: 1

      They're mostly heading up to the West Texas area between Lubbock and Fort Worth. I've gone through the area each summer and it seems like there has been an explosion in the total number of windmills over the past two or three years. Not only does Texas produce twice as much wind energy as any other state, it has been growing at an increasing rate of 1GW-1.25GW every year for the past four years.


      For an insightful (and sometime humorous) look at the direction Texas is headed with wind power, check out this interview with Texas Land Commissioner Jerry Patterson.

      "I talked the Audubon Society and told them, "Don't worry about this, after several generations we'll have smarter birds." They did not think that was funny. The other thing I told them was wind farms in the Gulf of Mexico would be the first line of defense against avian flu. These people have no sense of humor. You can't break the ice with them."

      --
      I am not a *blank*, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
    3. Re:Moving those blades by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've seen them going east/west on IH10 in Beaumont, and going north on FM105 towards Silsbee/Jasper. Not saying that's their destination, I don't really know where they're headed. And yes, they are huge. The first time I saw one from a distance, I thought it was a fin (rudder?) for a ship.

      Traffic sucks anyway though, thanks to the ridiculously, intentionally slow construction projects we have in this area. You guys getting that in Houston too?

    4. Re:Moving those blades by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      They are huge.

      When the leaves came off the trees last fall, I could see lots of new red lights blinking on the eastern horizon at night. It was a new wind farm. From 9 miles away, I can see them turning. The other day when I went to get the mail, with the sun low in the west, I could see the shadow each blade cast on the pillar as the blade passed the bottom of its arc.

    5. Re:Moving those blades by BenEnglishAtHome · · Score: 1

      intentionally slow construction projects we have in this area. You guys getting that in Houston too?

      Are you kidding? I believe the stretch of I-45 south of Houston has been continuously under construction for over 50 years.

      Note to the folks who aren't from around Houston: This is NOT a joke. There's a stretch of a few critical miles of highway between Houston and Galveston that has spent, I believe, the entire half century with the traffic at least a little snarled because one construction project or another has been continuously in process. Seriously. I'd be willing to place a sizable wager that if I'm wrong, the time when that stretch has been completely clear of construction has been less than a year out of the last 50.

  46. Comparing apples to apples by Burz · · Score: 1

    ...how likely is it that the US will overtake the EU?

  47. Transmission costs by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Yes, pat your selves on the back. America (9,161,923 SQ KM) has over taken Germany (357,021 SQ KM).

    Way to argue against yourself. The power has to be transmitted and good turbine locations are often not especially close to population centers. This can add dramatically to the cost. Germany's higher population density makes transmission costs notably lower since they don't have to build and maintain the infrastructure.

  48. Not Wrong! by woolio · · Score: 1

    One can recover the financial cost of the initial investment without recovering the energy cost of the initial construction.

    [It just means the initial construction used methods which require large amounts of (cheaper) energy.]

    Example: Selling bottled water (in the Americas) imported from Fiji brings financial profit but energy inefficiency. [Water could be obtained locally with less energy wasted on transportation]. However, the Fiji water may be financially more profitable [perhaps it has a larger profit margin]. A Fiji water business could reclaim its initial financial investment while consuming more energy than a local-water business.

    [This is actually a fundamental flaw of capitalism. One might hastily assume that since energy cost money, market forces would promote energy conservation. Such conservation happens only to a limited extent.]

  49. TeX Firefox plugin!? by In+hydraulis · · Score: 1

    However offtopic it may be... Thanks for showing me that!

  50. Time Travel from Wind Power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can't believe no one pointed out that 25 GW is enough electricity to power 20 time traveling Deloreans with a few MW left over.

    Where are the time traveling electric cars we were promised?

  51. Awesome by AlbinoClock · · Score: 1

    That's enough electricity to power 20.661157024793388429752066115702 time machines!

  52. Weren't we already No. 1? by PontifexMaximus · · Score: 1

    I mean with all the damn wind coming out of Washington, we should be able to power the world. But then, it's all hot air, so that may contribute to global warming. What a horrible catch-22.

    --
    Pax Vobiscum
  53. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Informative

    The US could, I am quite sure, treble our current nuclear output. We might even be able to increase it by an order of magnitude to 1000 plants although we'd have to scrounge up some fuel that probably exists, but isn't currently in proven reserves. But every time I work the numbers, I get the same answer. US energy needs are so great that we need more like 5000 nuclear power plants just to replace oil.

    Nuclear power accounts for 19% of our electricity right now.

    Trebling our capacity will push it to ~60% of our electrical requirements. 1000 plants should make it 200% of our electrical capacity.

    Somehow, I doubt seriously we'd need 1000% of our current electrical generation capacity to replace oil alone....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  54. Wrong! by vlm · · Score: 1

    This is actually a fundamental flaw of capitalism. One might hastily assume that since energy cost money, market forces would promote energy conservation. Such conservation happens only to a limited extent

    No, capitalism is perfectly OK in your example. The market has declared water is not a commodity, although you might disagree your individual opinion doesn't matter much vs the entire rest of the market. Fiji-an water is much better than the polluted Lake Michigan water in Milwaukee. Numerous (hundreds of) people have died in recent years in Milwaukee from contaminated city water, admittedly its not as bad as india or other 3rd world areas but I certainly will not drink Milwaukee city water (only filtered or bottled for me when I'm there, note that I live in a somewhat more civilized area to the west of Milwaukee where it's all ultra-deep wells, so it is safe to drink the city water at home). They are not interchangeable products so it is pointless to compare their costs.

    Water could be obtained locally with less energy wasted on transportation

    How do you propose to get fiji-an water to Milwaukee with less transportation costs, a really deep directionally bored well?

    Also its not "wasted energy", if transportation was the entire point of the product, as opposed to a byproduct to be minimized. Kind of like French wine would be a lot cheaper in the USA if only you could sell Californian wine as French wine. Of course knowing the overall corruption level of the average American business, that probably does happen.

    --
    "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
  55. Top Wind Producer... yup by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, we sure do produce a lot of wind. Just look at all our politicians, although the dumbercrats (Obama and company) are worse with all of their lies. Time to clean house... and senate... and white house.

  56. Who makes the turbines? by mdsolar · · Score: 2, Informative

    At this time in wind's growth curve, the most interesting question is: who is producing the turbines? They are likely to hold market share into the future. My impression is that Europe and the US are doing pretty well with China beginning to ramp up production. This means that the money invested in wind will often stay within a country. This makes some sense because the equipment is bulky and may pose difficulties with long supply chains.

    The situation is different with solar panels. China is becoming the largest producer this year while the US is becoming the largest consumer. Solar panels can be shipped at a weight advantage of 200 times over coal or oil and fit well in containers. The US is leading in production in the small market segment of thin film solar however.

    The eventual size of the solar market may be five times that of wind given cost projections so the bulk of the money to be made in renewable energy will be in solar. The present market shares for solar production look to disadvantage the US.

    1. Re:Who makes the turbines? by evilviper · · Score: 1

      The present market shares for solar production look to disadvantage the US.

      No.

      There are two kinds of solar. Photovoltaic and Thermal.

      Photovoltaic is horribly expensive, and inefficient, but scales down linearly (calculators).

      Solar-Thermal is dirt cheap and extremely efficient, and scales up exponentially.

      PV panels are useful in small, portable devices. They're used on roofs only because of subsidies and zero maintenance. They're not the future of electrical generation. Solar-thermal is.

      The two have no more in common than a wind turbine does with a coal-fired power plant turbine.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    2. Re:Who makes the turbines? by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      It is difficult to see how solar thermal can take the cost reductions that PV can take. PV is still boosting conversion efficiency, reducing material use, reducing the energy input for the material it does use and is just starting to see a scale advantage.

      Solar thermal appears to have fixed material costs, roughly fixed conversion efficiency modulo using much improved surfaces, fixed energy inputs, and has to have scale to begin with.

      We might see a factor of two reduction in cost for solar thermal (same for wind) but a factor of twenty for PV could well happen because of all of the multipliers. Certainly PV is already projected to be the cheapest form of future generation, we just don't know how cheap it will go.

      Solar thermal is good. The cost advantage in reduced turbine capacity with included thermal storage is a very interesting development, but it just does not have the same potential that taking advantage of quantum mechanics can provide.

    3. Re:Who makes the turbines? by evilviper · · Score: 1

      It is difficult to see how solar thermal can take the cost reductions that PV can take.

      Solar thermal consists, by and large, of a few pieces of shiny metal. You're NEVER going to make any (complicated) materials at a lower cost than that.

      PV is still boosting conversion efficiency, reducing material use, reducing the energy input for the material it does use

      Yes. It is so HORRENDOUS to begin with, that it's easy to improve. However, there is an absolute end point to possible improvements, and some solar thermal technologies have already hit 80%. A century from now, SOME PV technology just MIGHT slightly exceed that. When the fuel is free, an extra 20% efficiency is worth very, very little.

      Certainly PV is already projected to be the cheapest form of future generation, we just don't know how cheap it will go.

      That's a positively idiotic assertion. Of course, people have been making stupid predictions since the beginning of time.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    4. Re:Who makes the turbines? by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      You forget that to make electricity using CSP, you need a turbine and a generator. That is extra equipment. Further, you need structural integrity in the reflectors which implies minimum material requirements. Solar PV may end up being just hundreds of microns thick on a stretched frame of mylar or some other low energy material.

      PV is suppose to reach grid parity by 2015: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/photovoltaics_program.html

      while goals for CSP are only to be competitive by 2020. One should expect substantial cost reductions in PV beyond 2015 so it would seem that it will be in the lead.

    5. Re:Who makes the turbines? by evilviper · · Score: 1

      You forget that to make electricity using CSP, you need a turbine and a generator. That is extra equipment

      It is, but it happens to be extremely inexpensive.

      goals for CSP are only to be competitive by 2020

      The fact that one DoE project is slightly less ambitious than another DoE project doesn't prove ANYTHING about the potential for the underlying technologies.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    6. Re:Who makes the turbines? by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      DOE is tracking what people in the industry think they can manage. PV is likely to be producing 25 GW of capacity a year in 2012. Probably 9% of that will be priced below $1/Watt http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/report-cigs-could-supply-3gw-of-solar-panels-by-2012-5625.html the CdTe and CIGS thin film panels. Everyone else will have to get there soon after to survive. It is really really hard to see how CSP can get down to that level very soon or how it can install that much capacity a year soon either.

  57. No, not precisely by Kupfernigk · · Score: 1
    The Economist states as facts opinions that I disagree with. How can you call yourself "The Economist", and then state as a basic principle that you support only one kind of economics? It's the Economist that, as a matter of editorial policy which is admittedly openly stated, slants all its stories to fit its world picture. It's a bit like Pravda in reverse.

    Adam Smith lived in a world of no big corporations (where in fact the biggest corporation was a Government department, the Royal Navy)and never envisaged how things would turn out. Karl Marx wrote in the 19th century, and actually envisaged rather more accurately how things would turn out. In the 20th century, Nobel prize winning economists demonstrated the flaw in the free market concept - the accumulation of secret asymmetric information - and were promptly proved right in the early 21st Century. Now, the US Government is trying to adopt a mixed economy without actually using the "socialism" word. It looks like your own Government has decided that the worldview of the Economist hasn't panned out too well.

    I'm not a Marxist, I'm not a Smithite - but if somebody tells me on page 1 that he is prejudiced, I like to check the statistics, and get a second view from someone else. Economics is not a science like, say, QED, it makes few really testable predictions and its root beliefs are constantly being called into question. The world viewpoint of the Economist is more of a religion than a science, and I'm entitled to call it into question.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    1. Re:No, not precisely by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure what you mean about "telling you on page 1 they are prejudiced". Still, maybe I don't have the secret decoder ring you Marxist types have for spotting conspiracies.

      You still haven't addressed what they actually said, which is that German subsidies for solar power have pushed up prices, not pushed them down and that the government has actually subsidised the wrong renewable. In fact you seem to thing that rattling off ad hominems about the magazine somehow negates everything they said.

      I'm not sure what you're referring to by "Nobel prize winning economists demonstrated the flaw in the free market concept - the accumulation of secret asymmetric information - and were promptly proved right in the early 21st Century". My point is that government planners don't know enough about the future to plan for it effectively. Now in a free market system that doesn't matter. If I have access to secret information I can start a business based on it. IP laws will even let me publish that information without putting it in the public domain and license it to investors. So if there was an 'accumulation of secret asymmetric information', the best way to deal with it is via free markets and IP law.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  58. Come on, a little credit. by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

    Lots of people are poo-pooing this because we are far from #1 per capita.

    Well, we're also a company that has some very serious, entrenched problems with coming to terms with our energy problems. There are many milestones ahead that we will have to pass to survive, but this is a nice one. Let's give some credit where it is due for getting us past the first milestone.

    For my part: Thanks, and congratulations, to those who are helping to drive us down the path to a more secure future - keep up the good fight.

  59. Hmm.... by kabocox · · Score: 2, Interesting

    When are we to stop comparing the US with EU states? If we were going to compare EU states to the US, then we should do it to individual US states.
    I actually don't care if we are "behind" EU in general or "ahead" since no one apparently considers the EU a practical entity for comparison purposes.

    Do you realize the fastest growing energy sector in the US? It's pretty much wind. Why? Because it's a pain in for the big boys to get oil, coal, gas, or nuclear approved and funded. Getting funding for wind power now is easy. The other thing is that wind power can be bought in very small slices. So if I as a big boy energy company had only a few million to spend on new production this quarter, well I can build a few wind power plants somewhere.

    Heck the Perkins Plan was basically that the big energy boys have long since woken up and realized that the time is ripe to really leech the US to fund our grand energy change over. I haven't seen any real details of the Perkins Plan, but that it's been introduced by "the right players." Means that it'll reappear in certain lobby groups and the given states involved could in theory fund it themselves. (They'd want federal money, but sure 5-10 states could do it themselves.) Wind has issues just like everything else, but they are just as solvable as anything else.

    I'm actually not that surprised to hear how much wind power we are building. Every few day or so it seems like I'm behind either a house on a semi or giant parts of a wind mill on a trailer. Wind will happen despite the government not because of it.

    1. Re:Hmm.... by evilviper · · Score: 1

      When are we to stop comparing the US with EU states?

      Probably about the same time that EU states stop comparing themselves with the US...

      Besides, what are we supposed to compare it to? The entire European continent?

      I actually don't care if we are "behind" EU in general or "ahead" since no one apparently considers the EU a practical entity for comparison purposes.

      Yes, it would be so much more fair to compare the US with a loose confederation of states with 170% the population, much more dense population, far different environment, etc.

      Considering that there are no two countries anywhere that have the exact same land mass, population count, climate, natural resources, etc. I'd say no direct comparison is going to be particularly useful for anything, EVER.

      Comparing Germany to the US doesn't seem any more unfair than any other arbitrary comparison.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  60. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  61. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  62. Oblig Al Gore Reference by scorp1us · · Score: 1

    Thanks to the wind bag that Al Gore is, we have a power source to turn the turbines!

    I wonder if putting up with Al Gore is worth it. I'm totally serial guys. Man-bear-pig is out to get us!

    Anyone who looks into the global warming science in depth sees that TEMPERATURE LEADS CO2, not t he other way around. Al Gore had this to say about that in an Inconvenient Truth - "the relationship is complicated". That's all he explained about the science of global warming. The entire rest of the movie is about the consequences. Go watch the movie again. See if he actually explains how it works.

     

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  63. Bird kills and such. by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Interesting

    That's because dakrats and other carrion eaters drag them away ;)

    I've heard is that some efficiency improvements dramatically decreased the bird kills - the older, smaller, faster, and louder turbines killed far more birds than the bigger slower(quieter) turbines of today - though those edges still end up moving pretty quick, birds evolved to at least try to dodge falcons and such are plenty fast enough to avoid them. A lot easier than they avoid our nice clear windows, at least...

    The latest though, is that they kill more Bats than birds - Personally, while I don't want bats too close to me due to the whole rabies problem, I do love the little mosquitoe eaters a little further away.

    Still, put the turbines up high enough and you should avoid the bats - I don't imagine that skeeters fly that high, after all, there's no prey at that altitude, and why would bats be up there if their food isn't?

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  64. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  65. Th UK and India.... by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    .... have never been centrally planned economies, specially the UK.

    Choose your examples wisely, what you are trying to say may be true but your examples are lousy to say the least.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
    1. Re:Th UK and India.... by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Actually the UK is an excellent example. Post 1945 the Labour Party tried to build a Keynesian/socialist economy and the Tories largely left it intact when they were in power. Essentially Keynesianism became a consensus which both parties respected. That continued up until 1979, by which point inflation and unemployment were both high, something which Keynesian theory did not predict.

      At that point Thatcher won an election and on the advice of the monetarists started to dismantle the system. To some extent the Labour Party respected the new post Keynesian consensus, e.g. by continuing the free marketification of the NHS, passing control of interest rates to an independent Monetary Policy Committee with distinctly monetarist goals.

      India is another good example because post independence the Congress Party were keen on the same sorts of ideas as the Labour Party, perhaps worse ones including protectionism. India developed fairly slowly right up until they opened up their economy, at which point they started to take your jobs.

      PBS has a good documentary on it

      http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/commandingheights/hi/story/index.html

      All that said, I think a certain amount of Keynesianism or something like it is inevitable to get us out of the shit economically. What I don't agree with is that we let the pendulum swing back so that it becomes the consensus, as it did in the UK between 1945 and 1979.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  66. A more meaningful number by aqui · · Score: 1

    Denmark generates 19% of _ALL_ its electrical energy requirements using wind.
    Spain and Portugal 9%, Germany 6%.
    (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power)

    The US has a total installed capacity of 695 GW ( http://www.allcountries.org/uscensus/965_electric_energy_net_generation_and_installed.html )

    25 GW wind / 695 GW installed = 3.5%

    Incidentally 56% of the US's generating capacity is coal powered (can you say CO2 green house gases).

    So the US produces 3.5% of its energy needs by wind, still behind Denmark 19%, Spain and Portugal 9%, ... and oh ya and Germany 6%.

    If you want meaningful numbers you should look at energy consumption per person:

    (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electricity_consumption)

    You'll see the US consumes almost TWICE as much energy per person as Germany.

    For environmental issues (like CO2 emissions) efficient energy use is at least as important as how you generate it.

    The news here is not that the US is the biggest installed capacity, but the rapid growth of wind power. In Environmental terms both Germany and the US still only generate a small amount of their electricity by wind power (less than 10%).

    So there's still a lot of work to be done to lessen the dependency on non renewable energy sources like coal etc...

    Just my 2 cents.

    --
    ----- "Profanity is the one language that all programmers understand."
    1. Re:A more meaningful number by uvdivergent · · Score: 1

      Denmark generates 19% of _ALL_ its electrical energy requirements using wind.

      And just that is enough to quadruple the retail costs, relative to the US.

      "Key World Energy Statistics 2008-"
      http://www.iea.org/Textbase/publications/free_new_Desc.asp?PUBS_ID=1199

      US residential: 10.27 c/kWh
      Denmark residential: 38.15 c/kWh

    2. Re:A more meaningful number by moonbender · · Score: 1

      Seems like a good idea. Generate clean energy and at the same time give people an incentive for using it more efficiently.

      --
      Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
  67. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by Ana10g · · Score: 1

    I read an article a while back on Pebble Bed reactors (though, for the life of me I can't remember where, so I'll link the wiki article instead). They seem to be a lot more stable and less prone to the dangers cited by the anti-nuclear crowd (like meltdowns, etc), and the fuel is not as concentrated. I'm not a nuclear physicist, so I can't speak to their efficiency, but IMHO would be a viable avenue to pursue as well.

    --
    just an analog boy living in a digital age.
  68. Five million homes by operagost · · Score: 2, Funny

    Or one of Al Gore's.

    --

    Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
  69. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Somehow, I doubt seriously we'd need 1000% of our current electrical generation capacity to replace oil alone....

    We use oil for some stuff like lubrication that, assuming we insist on using nuclear power to provide it, wouldn't be too efficient. ;)

    I haven't seen an estimate either on how many kwh a year it'd take if we went to 100% EVs. Don't feel like building one at the moment either - though .3kwh a mile is one figure I've seen. You'd have to get trucks and trains as well.

    http://www.bts.gov/publications/national_transportation_statistics/2004/html/table_01_32.html

    3 Trillion highway miles a year - 900 Billion kwh required - a Gigawatt plant can be expected to produce ~7.8 Billion kwh a year.

    We have just over a hundred reactors now, to supply 20% of our power. Call it 500 to supply all of our electricity, and another 100-200 to provide the power for vehicles. 700 reactors in total, for relatively carbon-free transportation and electricity. Utilize cogeneration and we'd be able to eliminate a lot of heating bills as well. Reactors by the ocean could use the ocean for cooling and desalinate water while they're at it.

    We'd burn through our uranium reserves pretty quickly doing it that way with traditional reactors, but using breeders and such we'd be good for thousands of years before we'd need to start filtering the stuff from ocean water or switching to Thorium. Still, I'd definitely use wind/solar where it makes sense.

    It's also suspected that with increased use of nuclear fuel and the depletion of fuel coming from weapons stockpiles that a price spike would result in more exploration ala oil and find lots more of the stuff.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  70. And I thought I was the top wind producer.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    especially after a burrito.

  71. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by geobeck · · Score: 1

    ...as one of the older Slashdotters here, I clearly remember the first ecology movement in America.

    You attended the 1910 Conservation Conference? Damn, you're pretty tech savvy for a centenarian!

    --
    Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
  72. The Conservative solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Drill Baby Drill!!!

    Oh, and burn a whole lotta coal. Because if it's environmentally friendly, our God hates it, and so do we!

  73. Censorship by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is interesting to see that my comment not only is not only hidden, it just doesn't exist.

    It excoriated dumbercrates (democrates) but Obama. I see this site is not a political bullcrap machine. Good riddance.

  74. wind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    With all the sausage and sauerkraut the Germans eat, you'd think they'd be hard to beat at producing wind.

    Must have been the recent presidential campaign.

  75. Let's be consistent, shall we? by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    I see a lot of posts desperately denigrating the accomplishment by changing the terms of the comparison to per-capita or per km2.

    Really? Because then if we don't want to be hypocrites, then we need to use per-capita, per-GNP$, or per-km2 output of pollution when demonizing the US as well, shouldn't we?

    US pop 303 million
    DE pop 82 million
    Non US world: 6403 million

    US vs Germany and Rest of World
    Annual CO2 Emissions in 000's of tons:
    US: 19t per capita
    Germany: 10t
    NonUS: 3t

    GNP per capita
    US $45,000
    Germany: $34,000
    NonUS: $6000 ...so, while we can see that Germany is much more admirable individually than the US in terms of CO2 output per capita (around 50%), this 'efficiency' starts to disappear when you realize they're only producing about 75% of what each American produced. Still more efficient (and that's a good thing!) but not quite so cut and dried.

    And then, when you see that compared to the rest of the world, the US is producing 7.5x the wealth per person, while only producing 6x the CO2 emissions, one might conclude that perhaps there are other states more worthy of demonization than the US.

    (By the way, China per capita CO2 and GNP are 3t and $2444...about 5% of the productivity (of the US) at 16% of the CO2.)

    --
    -Styopa
  76. US Becomes Top Wind Producer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rush Limbaugh? Is that you?

  77. Gigwatts? by KalgarThrax · · Score: 1

    Is that like a jiggawatt?

  78. Nobody ever admits it but by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    See, size does matter.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  79. $150,000 windmill makes $171 in electric per month by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Kittery, Maine wind turbine pays dividends?
    Seacoast Online Newspapers
    http://tinyurl.com/cmxkew

    Umm..... this thing cost $150,000 and it only produces $171 in electricity each month?

    If my math is correct, the 1.5 months its produced 1,715 kwh ($171). As the article stated, lets estimate cost is .10 kwh (although its probably closer to .13 to .15kwh). Lets multiply that times 12 months and you get 20,580 kwh ($2,058) per year which is on the generous side.

    That's still a far cry from 80,000 kwh year producing $8,000 in electricity. I like windmills, but the financials are just not adding up. $171 worth of electricity per month? That will take 73 years to pay off the $150,000 investment. LOL.

  80. noisy windmills by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Noise is energy wasted.

    Also, the quieter you make them, the more bats and birds will fly through them.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  81. Per habitant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think that total production don't means nothing special. Try production per habitant to see anything.

  82. GlobalSolar by Kupfernigk · · Score: 1

    The US is leading in production in the small market segment of thin film solar however

    Yes indeed, and this is probably where the future lies. (I'm doing comparative testing right now.) At this early stage, the current biggest manufacturers may turn out to have sunk costs in the wrong technology. Thin film has the possibility of being significantly better for volume manufacture and for low environmental cost. Silicon may turn out to be a bit of a blind alley.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    1. Re:GlobalSolar by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      There are very promising aspects of thin film, but silicon has not reached its full promise either. Reduced energy costs for purifying silicon are coming and efficiency gains continue to appear as well: 25% currently http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/10/081023100536.htm I think the US should be doing more with silicon given the large potential domestic market. But, China is surely willing to step in.

  83. Dollars by zippthorne · · Score: 1

    The retail price is as good a proxy as any. It can't have taken any more energy than you could get from that money by buying it on the open market, because they couldn't sell the windmills for below cost for very long.

    Subsidies do muddy the issue a bit, but if can find out what they are, you can adjust the estimated retail price by it.

    so, if it has a good money-pay-back-per-time, it probably has a good energy-pay-back, too.

    --
    Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  84. so wait... by viridari · · Score: 1

    ...we reached this global green milestone under the Bush administration? That's unpossible (as George would probably say)

  85. Think of it as Evolution in action! by clonan · · Score: 1

    Kill off the slow bats and we are left with bats that can dodge turbine blades...

    1. Re:Think of it as Evolution in action! by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Thing is, they aren't even being hit. They're being sucked into the low pressure zone behind the blade and having the blood vessels in their lungs burst.

      Still, same principal; evolution will favor bats that either avoid the turbines or can survive the passage...

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  86. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by Eccles · · Score: 1

    A problem with pebble beds is that the pebbles, by definition, create more waste and waste that's hard to reprocess, although it is certainly safer than some other forms. Also, in the most prominent test plant, there was a radiation release. It'll never go critical, I think, but it is possible for the pebble manipulation hardware to jam and thus cause problems.

    Some of the CANDU designs seem particularly nice from a safety standpoint, the only concern being that as I understand it, weapons-grade material can be made from them. Not an issue with the U.S., of course, but then you have the Iranians, etc. making CANDU reactors for civilian purposes but it also helping them develop weapons.

    --
    Ooh, a sarcasm detector. Oh, that's a real useful invention.
  87. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by horos2c · · Score: 1

    no.. it's not 5000 nuclear power plants simply because when you compare electricity to fossil fuels you are comparing apples to oranges.

    Right now, 104 nuclear reactors do 20% of our electricity. Hence, 500 nuclear reactors could supply it all.

    As for transportation,40% of our energy supply is oil, mainly for use in transportation, which is at best 20% efficient. electric vehicles can approach 90% efficiency at point of the motor. Hence, the amount of true work to replace it is 40% / 4.5 or about 8% of our energy supply.

    Anyways, you get the idea. When you see a 'million barrels of oil equivalent' chart it really is misleading, because they count million barrels of oil thermal in the case of coal, natural gas, etc. and million barrels of oil *electric* with nuclear, and hydro.

    So all in all, less than 1000 nuclear plants could do it with a wide margin - the main trick of course is getting everything electrical which is no small trick..

  88. NYT sounds less bullish by kaapstorm · · Score: 1

    The New York Times ran a story, Dark Days for Green Energy, that takes a more bearish look at the situation.

  89. Brit much? by pokeyburro · · Score: 1

    if you'll allow me to make an arse out of you and me

    Sorry, but honestly, I have no clue what happens when you arseume.

    --
    Lately democracy seems to be based on the skybox, the Happy Meal box, the X-box, and the idiot box.
  90. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  91. The last resort of the conspiracy nut by coryking · · Score: 1

    Pardon me, but you sound like a wind developer

    Anybody who supports any technology made by any company is obviously a paid shill for $COMPANY or $TECHNOLOGY. Likewise, anybody who argues against $TECHNOLOGY or $COMPANY is a paid shill by those in $OLD_INDUSTRY.

    In other words all arguments for and against anything are done by paid shills. Won't somebody think of the children!?

    1. Re:The last resort of the conspiracy nut by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How does the leading sentence invalidate the medical study pointed to by the poster?

      Have you ever met a wind developer? Have you ever listened to a wind developer's sales pitch?

      I have, on more than one occasion. To paraphrase an old IBM joke: "What's the difference between a wind developer and a used car salesman? The car salesman KNOWS when he's lying."

  92. Re:Makes you wonder...not so much by KovaaK · · Score: 1

    It'll never go critical, I think, but it is possible for the pebble manipulation hardware to jam and thus cause problems.

    In terms used in nuclear reactions, "critical" refers to a self-sustaining fission process. You want a nuclear reactor to go critical. Thus, "sub-critical" is a reaction that is slowing down, and "super-critical" is a reaction that is speeding up. Still, you probably don't mean to say super-critical, as this could describe the beginning stages of a reaction that will become stable and critical without causing damage to its surroundings. It's safer to just say "The reactor probably won't explode" :).

    See here for more information.