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NASA Moon Launch May Be Delayed After 2020

krou writes "The Guardian is reporting that NASA is quietly revising its internal estimates of a 2018 launch for its Ares V rocket. Although publicly the date given for the launch was 2020, the internal launch date was set for 2018. The shift in dates seems to be linked to 'growing budget woes,' and 'engineers say that means the public 2020 date to send humans back to the moon is in deepening trouble.' NASA administrator Mike Griffin blamed the White House, and the previous Bush administration, saying funding for Ares V and other projects fell from $4bn through 2015 to just $500m. 'This was to be allocated to early work on the Ares V heavy-lifter, and the Altair lunar lander. With only a half-billion dollars now available, this work cannot be done.'"

261 comments

  1. Hmm. by Sillygates · · Score: 4, Funny

    Maybe, this time, we will make it to the moon!

    --
    I fear the Y2038 bug
    1. Re:Hmm. by nschubach · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm still trying to figure out how and where they are launching the Moon... ;)

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    2. Re:Hmm. by RuBLed · · Score: 3, Funny

      That's no Moon!

    3. Re:Hmm. by masshuu · · Score: 0

      Its a Trap!

      --
      O.o
    4. Re:Hmm. by tttonyyy · · Score: 1

      I'm still trying to figure out how and where they are launching the Moon... ;)

      That's no moon...

      --
      biopowered.co.uk - catalytically cracking triglycerides for home automotive use since 2008. Just say no to big oil!
    5. Re:Hmm. by acongos · · Score: 0, Troll

      maybe this time you wont be a moron

    6. Re:Hmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe this time, the private sector will lead the way. NASA, much like the entire Federal government, is a bloated sloth. The entire operation should be privatized. Then we'd be on the moon again by 2012, and space tourism for the middle class might actually happen in my lifetime. Bush was right to cut funding to this money pit. If only he'd done the same to Amtrak. 12 hours from Austin to Dallas - it's no wonder they need a huge subsidy to stay in business.

    7. Re:Hmm. by Hurricane78 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Is that what Ron Paul would be called, if he were a moon?

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    8. Re:Hmm. by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      It's yo mom! :P

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    9. Re:Hmm. by dotancohen · · Score: 2, Informative

      Maybe, this time, we will make it to the moon!

      http://www.theonion.com/content/node/94463

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    10. Re:Hmm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I doubt NASA will still exist. Bunch of dinosaurs launching a flying bathtub for over 20 years.

  2. May I be the first to say by QuantumG · · Score: 5, Funny
    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
    1. Re:May I be the first to say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      I thought you were going to say something like:

      "The answer to your question? Hindsight is 2020. The moon launch is 2023."

  3. Well... by mc1138 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'd rather dates get pushed back a bit, and we do this right, than go off half assed and mess up. The moon isn't going anywhere anytime soon, and as much as I love the idea of space exploration, and think it is the single greatest thing we can do as a race, I think we also need to look to our own backyard and clean that up as well.

    1. Re:Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah, we can just trash the backyard and move to another planet and do the same. But until that's possible, can we please stop killing everything with pollution?

    2. Re:Well... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'd rather dates get pushed back a bit, and we do this right, than go off half assed and mess up.

      Forty years ago we managed to do it in eight years from the time Kennedy called for it. Including designing the Saturn V pretty much from scratch.

      Now, we won't be able to manage it in twelve-plus years, even using as many off-the-shelf components as possible.

      Which is really kind of pathetic.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    3. Re:Well... by Chaos+Incarnate · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Cheap, fast, and reliable. Pick two—and reliable is a required option, meaning we can either get to the moon cheap or fast. In the 1960s they picked fast; this time we went for cheap.

      But hey, Congress has corporate bailouts, Social Security, and national healthcare to pay for instead of useful projects. *rolls eyes*

      --
      Benford's Corollary to Clarke's Law: "Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced."
    4. Re:Well... by frieko · · Score: 4, Informative

      It comes down to money. Adjusted for inflation the 60's NASA budget was double or triple today's. And Gemini/Apollo was basically all they were working on. Of course, it was all just a fraction of the cost of an Iraq war or a bailout.

    5. Re:Well... by ThreeE · · Score: 0

      That's a false trichotomy. "Pick two" is what a bureaucrat says to stay employed.

      There are all kinds of things in the world that are cheap, fast, and reliable. Find a value-adding reason (i.e. not flags and footprints) to go to the moon and you'll get all three.

    6. Re:Well... by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Except that going to the moon in 1960 required lots of new technology. Going to the moon now requires some engineering of course - everything needs to be updated to use new technology rather than old. Still in comparison with doing it from scratch that shouldn't be as expensive.

      Of course Nasa is a government bureaucracy and bureaucracies tend to find a use for every penny in the budget and every employee. If you ask them to do additional stuff, they want more cash to do that.

      You really have to wonder what Nasa has spent most of the cash on. Most of the missions since 1960 were cheap and unmanned.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    7. Re:Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, I was having a really great day today until you mentioned the bailout and the Iraq war. Thanks for ruining my day.

    8. Re:Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Congress has Social Security, and national healthcare to pay for which are of useful projects.

      Fixed that for you

    9. Re:Well... by dyefade · · Score: 1

      You don't consider social security or healthcare "useful"?

    10. Re:Well... by Chaos+Incarnate · · Score: 1

      Not in their current incarnations, no. Social Security at the moment is just a pyramid scheme. And national healthcare is a black hole that I'm paying money into but not seeing anything back from.

      --
      Benford's Corollary to Clarke's Law: "Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced."
    11. Re:Well... by confused+one · · Score: 1

      They had a bit more money to work with, and were heavily leveraging the fear of the imagined threat posed by the Soviet Union.

    12. Re:Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do? Any person with >= half a brain would rather make their own choices about how their retirement dollars are allocated, or which medical procedures they undergo. Only a very lazy or very stupid person would prefer that some half-witted bureaucratic douche with an art history degree decides these matters for them.

      Social Security is not a good deal for anyone making a decent wage (you'll never get out what you put in), and it's bankrupt, just like our country is bankrupt. Politicians are in denial about both, so they order the Fed to just print more money and then they send Billary over to twist the Chinese's arm so they'll keep lending to us to finance our runaway entitlements. S.S. was never meant to be a primary retirement vehicle. Not only has it become one, but it is also a slush fund that Congress continually borrows from to finance MORE deficit spending.

      Democrats, you need to admit that the ONLY way to get a handle on the budget is to cut back on entitlements. Even Bill Clinton understood this, and now your messiah is undoing all of his welfare reforms. Increasing entitlement spending != economic stimulus. True economic stimulus creates incentives for employers (the wealthy, gasp!) to hire more employees. Economic stimulus does not involve paying homeowners who were too lazy/stupid to understand their mortgage contract to stay in their houses, nor does it encourage people to stay on welfare forever.

      You Democrats really need to get out and volunteer in some poor neighborhoods and get a dose of reality. There is a whole underclass of people that receives their entire food/shelter from the government for basically their entire adult life. And these welfare recipients are HAPPY about the situation! And why not? They get to sit around smoking weed and having sex and making more children which they let run around barefoot and unsupervised in the street, while money magically appears in their mailbox. You Democrats have created a monster that is COMPLETELY dependent upon the government for all of their needs, much like a parent/child or owner/slave relationship. But hey, who cares, as long as they vote Democrat every time some scary Republican threatens to cut off the gravy train? And what happens to these people when these government services are suddenly unavailable? Remember Hurricane Katrina? People treated like animals will act like them.

    13. Re:Well... by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Now, we won't be able to manage it in twelve-plus years, even using as many off-the-shelf components as possible.

      We most certainly could... if we were using off the shelf components. NASA has enough spare shuttle engines, shuttle SRBs and tankage IN STOCK to build a couple of J130s. The problem is that they aren't using the in stock parts. They're building a whole new rocket system.

      We could have a manned lunar flyby by 2013, an initial landing by 2017, and a 180 day expedition by 2019, if NASA used a tweaked version of the STS launch system.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    14. Re:Well... by ITJC68 · · Score: 1

      I think part of the issue is the engineers taking some personal time and working on a competitive design to the NASA model. We did these missions in the late 60's and early 70's so it shouldn't be that damn hard to do. The only issue is most of the brains that developed those technologies are no longer with NASA and it wasn't documented enough or just stupidly thrown out. What NASA needs to do is get everyone together figure out the rockets and the designs and move on this thing and stop all the bickering and delays. We should be able to pull this off well before 2018!!! How about 2014 or 2015?

    15. Re:Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that going to the moon in 1960 required lots of new technology. Going to the moon now requires some engineering of course - everything needs to be updated to use new technology rather than old. Still in comparison with doing it from scratch that shouldn't be as expensive.

      Going to the moon using outdated technology is a colossal waste of money. If we're going to the moon again, I want to see investment in new technology -- using nanotechnology, for example -- to go there. NASA is doing this. And it requires just as much testing as it did in the 1960s, and the 1980s.

      You seem to think that the research done in the 1960s was a sunk cost. It was not. To say there is "some engineering" is extreme understatement.

      You really have to wonder what Nasa has spent most of the cash on. Most of the missions since 1960 were cheap and unmanned.

      Science. And the Space Shuttle. And Hubble. And the Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

  4. In a nutshell, this SUX by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If you ask me, We should have focused on Ares V and Orien first. We could have use EELV for human launch and later develop the Ares I.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:In a nutshell, this SUX by icebike · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Rockets are so 60's.

      Its time to break out of that sandbox and fly into space like pilots instead of spam in a can.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scaled_Composites_White_Knight_Two

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    2. Re:In a nutshell, this SUX by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And the WK2 gets you how far? What takes you up to leo? Only rockets.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:In a nutshell, this SUX by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Orbit requirements match aircraft envelope characteristics about as well as trains work as aircraft.

      Its a totally different problem. We don't expect trains to look like ships and planes to look like trains. Why do we expect space access vehicles to look like planes?

      Personally I put it down to a lack of imagination on the part of SciFi writers and general lack of knowledge on what is required for orbit.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  5. Due to economic realities.... by ducomputergeek · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As more people want things at home, mission to moon and the entire manned space programme shall be delayed indefinitely.

    Once the shuttles are retired, I have my doubts whether the entire manned program doesn't get canned.

    --
    "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
    1. Re:Due to economic realities.... by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

      Any manned government mission. There is no doubt that Virgin Galactic and other similar companies will start doing things reminiscent of the golden days of NASA as soon as they can produce a few flyable spacecraft. It is rare to have government-based research that does anything that starts the flame for a better, cheaper, more effective version by a few competing private firms.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    2. Re:Due to economic realities.... by forkazoo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As more people want things at home, mission to moon and the entire manned space programme shall be delayed indefinitely.

      Once the shuttles are retired, I have my doubts whether the entire manned program doesn't get canned.

      Makes for a sort of depressing answer to the Fermi Paradox. Why haven't the thousands of advanced species conquered the universe yet? Oh, they will. It's just not practical right now. Maybe during the next budget period they can establish a group to consider returning to space. It'll happen eventually. They've been meaning to do another manned orbital mission for the last few thousand years. They'll get to it as soon as some immediate priorities are sorted out.

    3. Re:Due to economic realities.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One could also argue that a space race (US vs. China, for example) would be one heckuva stimulus package, much better than spending equivalent money on pork barrel projects because 1) it would foster technological and manufacturing innovation; and 2) it gives entrepreneurs a robust long-term target, as opposed to lots of one- and two-year earmark type programs. Not to mention that it would encourage lots of kids to pursue scientific careers.

      Reagan's "Star Wars" defense buildup helped blast the US out of the deep 1981-82 recession, although admittedly there is still plenty of debate about whether that was a good idea or not.

    4. Re:Due to economic realities.... by timeOday · · Score: 2, Funny

      It is rare to have government-based research that does anything that starts the flame for a better, cheaper, more effective version by a few competing private firms.

      That's why I'm holding off on this Internet thing... my capitalist bible says GEnie Online and CompuServe will crush it any day now.

    5. Re:Due to economic realities.... by daveime · · Score: 1

      Let's assume that we limit ourselves to conditions that *we* consider suitable for life, i.e. Sunlight, Oxygen, Water, and Carbon in abundance, and a similar development from complex molecules to single-celled organisms, all the way up to intelligent life as we know it.

      What makes you think that any other civilization, on any other planet, doesn't have exactly the same problems as we do i.e. overpopulation, scarcity of basic resources such as food and clean water, lack of funding for their space program etc etc ?

    6. Re:Due to economic realities.... by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      Carbon is a pollutant, you insensitive clod!

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    7. Re:Due to economic realities.... by Reality+Master+201 · · Score: 1

      Excessive atmospheric carbon dioxide, released as the result of burning fossil fuels extracted after lying sequestered under the ground for millions of years, is a pollutant, you insensitive clod.

    8. Re:Due to economic realities.... by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      And then they all die in fiery comet death.

      (Why yes, I am reading Lucifer's Hammer right now.)

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
    9. Re:Due to economic realities.... by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      Whoosh. :)

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    10. Re:Due to economic realities.... by Reality+Master+201 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but don't feel bad about it. It's even happened to me before.

    11. Re:Due to economic realities.... by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      I hope no mod sees this. I see a big karma hit headin our way. :D

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
  6. Re:the rest of the world should chip in by ElSupreme · · Score: 3, Funny

    For the last time it isn't theft. It's copyright infringement.

    --
    My addiction: Arguing with idiots. AKA Slashdot!
  7. FOLLOW ON by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    just thinking about this. Musk wanted to figure out a way to fund a monster rocket. My guess is that if Falcon 9 and heavy are successful, he will get his chance. The reason is that congress will probably want to kill all funding for Ares V. It is possible that Direct will get a chance, but I do not think so. The reason is that it will be the same set of ppl and companies that did Constellation. As such, I could easily see Congress saying enough is enough.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  8. (Big) Business as Usual by DynaSoar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Planning a project and then cutting the budget is a common tactic used to divert more of the work and cash to contractors. In this case the intention was to cut the booster program and use already available hardware such as the Delta Heavy instead. This sort of behavior was an epidemic during the previous administration, but the present one showed signs of staying the course. Not long ago Obama was (mis)quoted as saying that possibly we should use available "military" hardware. The misquote, or possibly misstatement on his part, was in the fact the the hardware is used by the military, but comes from civilian sources that already supply the same to NASA.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
    1. Re:(Big) Business as Usual by DynaSoar · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      It's gratifying to know that /. allows people with no background in the subject matter and no understanding of the classifications in mods to have an editorial voice in moderating, as well as giving them the freedom to not pay attention to the guidelines and definitions in "Moderation Help".

      A troll is a false statement. What I said about both the administrations as well as the incestuous relationships between governance, agencies and business are a matter of public record. Several stories regarding NASA with just this plot line are included in the single most complete independent web site covering space program history, Encyclopedia Astronautica http://www.astronautix.com/ The statements I made are echoes of project managers and staff from axed programs over the last half century quoted in books, articles and personal interviews. There is no shortage of them because there are far more axed programs than successful ones. To support my assertions, look up the proposals NASA rejected for what has become the Constellation system and Ares launcher -- the early proposals from BigAero were based on existing or planned boosters such as upgraded Delta and Atlas.

      --
      "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
    2. Re:(Big) Business as Usual by daveime · · Score: 1

      It's gratifying to know that /. allows people with no background in the subject matter have an editorial voice.

      There, fixed that for you.

      I thought this was news for nerds, not the forum for paid-up members of NASA ?

      The moderation system is fine as it is, it gives the common person the same ability to make a complete ass of himself as the poster of this^H^H^H^Hthe comment itself.

  9. So America has given up? by MrMista_B · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So America has given up on the space race, huh?

    I guess it's up to China and India now.

    1. Re:So America has given up? by arthurpaliden · · Score: 1

      Only one nation can win the race because there is only water ice in one place on the moon and he who gets their first wins.

    2. Re:So America has given up? by Entropy2016 · · Score: 1

      Uh, hopefully this isn't news or anything, but well, we already won that race. Several decades ago. When the available technology was crappier. In fact, we went more than once, so we've lapped them multiple times.

      Frankly, I think NASA's better off moving on to one of the next two big space-race checkpoints:
      1) Mars (I'm sorta "meh" about that one).
      2) Find a way to clean up all of our orbital debris. (While not glamorous, this is going to be a prerequisite for us becoming a space-faring species).

    3. Re:So America has given up? by Provocateur · · Score: 1

      3) Somehow related to (2). Dust off those ol' Reagan papers and make a DeathStar. Make it dispose of debris efficiently by lasers (might be more pieces to float though) or grab them to feed what's in its internal trash compactor (sans Solo, Skywalker, and Leia).

      Also, shoot at anything/anyone determined to beat the U S of A at the space race, but maybe that's just me.

      --
      WARNING: Smartphones have side effects--most of them undocumented.
    4. Re:So America has given up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong. He who gets there with the biggest guns wins. Let the chinese and indians spend all their money getting there first. We then steal their technology, build a bigger fucking gun, and take what we want.

    5. Re:So America has given up? by MrMista_B · · Score: 1

      Nah, bullshit to that. America got there a few times, then turned tail and gave up. If you can't get to the moon till 2020, what makes you think you have a chance in hell of getting to Mars?

      Seriously. China's already got better technology, and India's not far behind.

    6. Re:So America has given up? by jcnnghm · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It is? The Chinese would need to multiply their space budget 34 times, and India would have to multiply their budget by 13 times to match ours. Even if you don't include our military space budget, which is larger than the NASA budget, we have a larger budget for space exploration than every other country on the face of the earth combined. We should stop spending, entirely, until other countries have a chance to catch up. There is no need for the American taxpayers to subsidize their substandard space programs any more than we already have.

      --
      You don't make the poor richer by making the rich poorer. - Winston Churchill
    7. Re:So America has given up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This calls for DIRECT measures.

      http://www.launchcomplexmodels.com/Direct/what_is_direct.htm

    8. Re:So America has given up? by Entropy2016 · · Score: 1

      Turned tail? What makes you think America stopped going out of cowardice? You can only collect so many moon-rocks before people start to ask the question of whether or not it's worth the billions of dollars it costs to keep going.

      Btw, "China" and "better technology"? I'm gonna have to call [citation needed] on that one. If I didn't already know you were trying to be serious, that would be interpreted as a funny joke. China doesn't compare to most developed nations in terms of innovation. Especially in terms of quality of technology. Their idea of "innovation" is making cheap rip-offs of what others have designed.

    9. Re:So America has given up? by daveime · · Score: 1

      Their idea of "innovation" is making cheap rip-offs of what others have designed. I have to disagree ... that might have been true 20 years ago, but these days (choosing a common tech example), the so called "china phones" take the best bits from ALL the competitors and produce an item that IS better feature-wise. It is so technically advanced, there is even a customisable hardware expiry date, after which point it will no longer charge or work at all (although most seem preset on 3 months and 1 microsecond after you purchased it). It wouldn't surprise me at all if China reached the moon before the US did it (again). Hell even Mars for that matter. And if the astronauts die on the way, they die for the greater good of the humble PRC ... none of that pesky grounding the fleet while they try a new kind of glue on the tiles or try to stop a bit of foam from puncturing the wing.

    10. Re:So America has given up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The budget difference doesn't matter as much as you might think. Firstly the problem of earth<-->moon travel is fundamentally a solved one, and with 60's technology no less, so R+D costs should be significantly lower this time around. If they focused exclusively on the manned program, as opposed to sending scientifically valuable but unexciting robots all over the solar system, and TOOK SOME DAMN RISKS like NASA did back when it still had balls, either could achieve at least manned lunar orbit by 2020.

    11. Re:So America has given up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's nice that America has a larger budget, but can you even buy the same amount of work and products for the larger budget in the US compared to what you get in India or China?

    12. Re:So America has given up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Chinese and Indian budgets can be lower because they saved on shipping. Simple as that.

    13. Re:So America has given up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a matter how much money is spent, but how efficiently. India has already launched unmanned missions to the moon at a fraction of what America does.

  10. I call bullshit by Seriousity · · Score: 5, Funny

    NASA administrator Mike Griffin blamed the White House, and the previous Bush administration, saying funding for Ares V and other projects fell from $4bn through 2015 to just $500m.

    Okay, the cost of the entire Apollo program was $25.4 billion dollars. That's 25,400,000,000 1969 dollars - about $135 billion in today's dollars. So why is it so much cheaper this time around?

    I put it down to the fact that technology has advanced quite a lot since 1969* - The film industry in particular, if you're making a movie there's a heck of a lot more you can do with that kind of money than you could have in 1969.
    -
    *Disclaimer: All sly remarks on the redundancy of this sentence being used on slashdot are hereby inherently redundant.

    --
    This post was made in complete sincere seriousity; as such any attempts to derive humour are doomed to instant failure.
    1. Re:I call bullshit by Chaos+Incarnate · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's cheaper because we're spending money over a longer time; there's not so much a "race" aspect this time.

      --
      Benford's Corollary to Clarke's Law: "Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced."
    2. Re:I call bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I saw the three members of the Apollo 8 mission at UT's LBJ library tonight for a great talk on Apollo, Gemini, and towards the end future moon shots. They kept going back to how "stimulative" the Cold War was for the space program. Frank said he was in the program basically to whup the Russians.

      In the 60's the government found and spent $25b mainly to accomplish goals that simply aren't present today. The political and economic will was present in a way that it simply isn't (and possibly cannot be) now.

    3. Re:I call bullshit by DaveDerrick · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Films are cheaper to make, special effects are much cheaper. I mean how much does Adobe After Effects cost these days ? ;)

  11. Shhhhh!! Don't tell anyone, but... by rts008 · · Score: 4, Funny

    From a secret launch site in the Florida Everglades, with a really big trebuchet. They are rounding up alligators as we speak, to fill the counterweight basket. It's gonna take a lot of gators!

    --
    Down With Slashdot BETA!!! I've been around the corner and seen the oliphant; you can only abuse me from your perspecti
    1. Re:Shhhhh!! Don't tell anyone, but... by The+Grim+Reefer2 · · Score: 1

      From a secret launch site in the Florida Everglades, with a really big trebuchet. They are rounding up alligators as we speak, to fill the counterweight basket. It's gonna take a lot of gators!

      It'll only take 1/6th as many alligators as you'd normally need though.

    2. Re:Shhhhh!! Don't tell anyone, but... by rts008 · · Score: 1

      Well, I did not know whether to go that route, or whether Fla. would flood from the increased tidal forces, got distracted hunting gators...and forgot!
      Gotta find the gators!

      --
      Down With Slashdot BETA!!! I've been around the corner and seen the oliphant; you can only abuse me from your perspecti
  12. Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We went from having no rocket program of any kind in 1945, to deciding to put a man on the moon in 1960, to actually doing it in 1969. Now, we decide we want to go to go back, and can't make any progress at all.

    Our national labs are filled with nothing but bureaucracy and useless political management. There's no sense of urgency, there's no focused direction.

    Seriously, we can't do in 20 years today what we did in 10 half a century ago? Come on. This shit's just sad.

    1. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by bronney · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's not just that, if we compare ourselves to our parents, and to our grandparents, you'll see that the more you go back in time, the more things get done.

      It is "this" generation that is uberly educated, creative, analytical, that is doomed to procrastination, and nothing ever gets done. I love to be in it.

    2. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      We went from having no rocket program of any kind in 1945, to deciding to put a man on the moon in 1960, to actually doing it in 1969. Now, we decide we want to go to go back, and can't make any progress at all.

      Our national labs are filled with nothing but bureaucracy and useless political management. There's no sense of urgency, there's no focused direction.

      Seriously, we can't do in 20 years today what we did in 10 half a century ago? Come on. This shit's just sad.

      In 1945 you went from having no rocket program to having the German rocket program packed up and shipped back to America. Maybe that's why you can't make progress anymore, all the scientists from countries you invaded are dead. If only Iraq really had WMDs eh, you could've had their scientists and knocked together another "American" scientific landmark.

    3. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by iamangry · · Score: 5, Informative

      Give NASA the amount of money the morons in Congress gave AIG over the last year and they'd get you to the moon next week sometime.

      Seriously... the formerly private company got over 10 times as much money as NASA did.

      Finance... it isn't rocket science. Ares V... well it is.

    4. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by Howitzer86 · · Score: 1

      The urgency died along with the Soviet Union.

    5. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by symbolset · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The brave men who went up in 1969 had no idea whether they would even get there let alone whether they would get home. There was no record, no experience. There were over a thousand volunteers. They went and they came back, some of them several times. I don't doubt offered a return trip they would to a man abandon all that they hold dear without hesitation to blast off for far horizons.

      A colony on the moon plus a colony on Mars plus self-sufficient habitats in Earth orbit and a pair of L5 orbits all together would cost less than TARP, the auto bailout and the Fed's increased balance sheet - and would pay better returns. If we gave a damn about the survival of the human race we'd have insured it by now.

      Americans were once better Men.

      But the good news is that the US Justice department is now a RIAA wholly owned subsidiary.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    6. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by Kuroji · · Score: 1

      Over the course of five years, if you gave NASA the US military's budget, you could establish a lunar colony with a regular rotation, and once industrial facilities are set up there, you could set up a semipermanent habitat at Earth's L4 or L5 points, which would make for a great place to launch interplanetary manned and unmanned exploration from. Probably would be somewhat more cost-effective to make an O'Neill cylinder rather than a torus, though I suppose a torus would be less expensive.

      Then again, given that budget and a heavy investment in materials science, you could see a space elevator ready to be built by then too.

      There are a lot of things that would suddenly become possible in a world where nations aren't assholes toward each other, but the reality is that they are. America's just a bigger target than most, at the moment. That's just the way things are.

    7. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by dlevitan · · Score: 1

      Our national labs are filled with nothing but bureaucracy and useless political management. There's no sense of urgency, there's no focused direction.

      I can't speak for the manned program, but I am loosely affiliated with a NASA unmanned mission (I'm a grad student). The major problem is lack of funding. Sure, NASA gets some money, but the competition for it is so intense that everyone suffers. Missions take decades from conception to launch and are doomed to failure as lack of money forces cost cutting that delays the mission.

      The horrible thing is that the amount of money it takes to design, develop, build, launch, and operate a flagship mission over a 10-20 year period is a few billion dollars - almost nothing for the government. But that money is not available because no one outside of the scientific community cares (since reality TV or celebrity gossip is so much more interesting). And if the population doesn't care, the government won't fund it besides token support. The only reason the US is still better than any other country at exploring space is because the politics of other countries are even worse.

      But no, I'm definitely not bitter that the mission I'm working on, which was conceived in the 90's and had most of its technology developed in the 2000's, may, if the government budget gods look favorably on us, launch in the 2020's. Then it'll collect the data it needs to for a few years, eventually shut down, and the whole cycle will repeat. It might even happen that the successor will launch before I die. And no, this is not the only mission that has worked like this.

    8. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      When I was in Munich one of the German engineers said something kind of profound about this.

      In WWII the Germans managed to build V2's essentially from scratch in country that was by today's standards very low tech. Plus the allies were bombing everything constantly and the Nazi political leadership was absolutely the worst case imaginable.

      Post World War II the Russians and Americans and some German scientists were able to go from V2s to ICBMs by 1957 - around twelve years. Once again the Russian engineers were working under a worst case political system and a very limited industrial base, and that didn't seem to delay them compared to the US. The US program was rather well run and had access to essentially unlimited resources.

      Now the Russians sold V2 like rockets to places like Iraq, Syria, Iran, North Korea and so on. And all of those countries have then spent the next 57 years making very minor improvements to those rockets, despite the fact that some of them seem to have been aiming at fielding ICBMs and have had access to far more money and far better technology. Rogue state ballistic missile projects are remarkably unsuccessful.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    9. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by antic · · Score: 1

      Funnel some of the defence expenditure across! Think long term rather than short term (warmongering).

      --
      'Thats they exact same thing a banana wrench monkey.'
    10. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Americans were once better Men.

      [Eric Idle voice] ...or Women.

    11. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by CBM · · Score: 1

      From someone who has worked inside of NASA for more than ten years (not manned space flight): you are right and you are wrong.

      I think if you look at the portfolio of projects that NASA is doing now, including manned, earth science, space science, planetary science, robotics, aeronautics, and so on, NASA is doing way more than it did in the 1960s. The taxpayer is definitely getting more for the money now than they did then.

      On the other hand, yes, the bureaucracy has grown larger as well. Basically, every time there is a mishap or accident, NASA adds another review process. So the result is that the projects are top-heavy with managers who spend all their time, either presenting "status" at various reviews, or pestering the people who actually do the work for some powerpoint slides for their next meeting. It can definitely be a drag.

      But overall, it can be fun and cool!

    12. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Americans were once better Men.

      Indeed we were. Before the 1965 Immigration Act. You can thank Teddy Kennedy for a large part of our deterioration.

    13. Re:Can't we do ANYTHING anymore? by The_Quinn · · Score: 1

      We DON'T give a damn about the survival of the human race.

      Environmentalism has led people to feel guilty for being alive (a la original sin). Why would people want to spread their pestilence and filth to the rest of the universe?

      Besides, the space program is a fat pig of a pollution producer. (Not that I care, personally)

  13. Why so long? by slashqwerty · · Score: 5, Insightful

    From the time JFK announced his challenge to go to the moon it took us eight years to actually do it. Now we have all the technology from all of our space research for the past 40 years, we have five years sunk into the current plan to return, and they are saying they can't finish it in another nine years? This is the fruit of our lousy political and education systems!

    1. Re:Why so long? by Swampash · · Score: 4, Insightful

      funding for Ares V and other projects fell from $4bn through 2015 to just $500m

      In other words, the amount cut from the NASA budget for the next six years is about the amount spent on the Iraq war every two weeks.

      U-S-A! U-S-A!

    2. Re:Why so long? by j-stroy · · Score: 2, Informative

      Nowadays, seemingly its all about optimization and minimums through re-inventing... The taste of the dev plan for ARES seems thin. Regardless of specifics, The Jupiter Direct plan has a more likable production dynamic as far risk management on the deliverables. IANARS

    3. Re:Why so long? by plover · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is the fruit of our lousy political and education systems!

      No. This is the fruit of our new Project Management philosophies.

      Last time they did this, they asked the engineers "hey, how do you want to build a big rocket?" The engineers answered "strap five of those smaller engines together, and we'll be good to go."

      Now it seems like they have to put together a project plan to create each and every nut, bolt and washer. Then they have to have a nut, bolt and washer design document inspection. Don't forget they have to invite the nut, bolt and washer quality control team to the nut, bolt and washer design document inspection. Then they have to create the nut, bolt and washer master test plan. And they have to have another document inspection of the nut, bolt and washer master test plan. ...

      I could go on and on about nuts, bolts and washers, but I'm bored typing all this project management crap already, and it's only been one paragraph. Repeat this process for three million parts, and 20 years seems like a bargain.

      --
      John
    4. Re:Why so long? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Did you really expect any different when Bush announced the goal? The problem is it was a political goal, intended to make Bush look good. There was no real scientific motivation behind it. Do you think Bush went to Nasa and said, "Look, I want to know what projects we can have that will push science forward the most." No, of course not. He sat there in his office and then decided, "Let's do it. We haven't been in a long time." That's just not a good enough reason to go.

      If we had focus, and decided it's what we wanted to do, we could go to Mars. No doubt about it. It's just that most people don't really see a reason.

      --
      Qxe4
    5. Re:Why so long? by deoxyribonucleose · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Um, sorry, but do you seriously think the Apollo program wasn't managed like a project, with quality assurance and heaps of subcontractor management hazzles? If so, perhaps you'd better not read any histories. The sound of illusions shattering can be so disheartening...

      Aerospace engineering had damned well better be managed and QA'd to within an inch of its life, if the metal is to get off the ground at all without killing everybody in a five hundred meter radius, simply because Bert thought Ernie knew which tank to fill with LOX (or Ken thought Bill always used the metric system of measurements). And even so...

    6. Re:Why so long? by wumpus188 · · Score: 1

      I guess it would be hard to go agile on $500m .

    7. Re:Why so long? by Tomfrh · · Score: 1

      BINGO!

  14. Iraq? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bringing a semblance of a Republic to a nation of 25 million is more impressive than putting a man on the moon in my opinion. Of course, there has been big mismanagement and could have been done faster and for less, but that could be said of almost all government projects.

    I don't give s*** about the Iraqis and would much rather have the >$1 trillion. I don't know how the rest of the US feels about that...

  15. It was all a lie. by arthurpaliden · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For all its grand announcements and associated fanfare the United States government has no intention of going back to the moon. The reason. There are no people, that is no eligible voters on the moon, so there is not point in going there.

    However, China does not care whether there are possible eligible voters there or not they just want the high ground. So they will go.

  16. First rule of Engineering: by shbazjinkens · · Score: 1

    Good Fast Cheap (Pick two)

    1. Re:First rule of Engineering: by HappyEngineer · · Score: 2, Funny

      What will I get if I pick fast and cheap? If lack of "good" means that a few extra rockets blow up then all we need is a decent escape module on top of the cheap rocket. Sounds good to me.

    2. Re:First rule of Engineering: by psicop · · Score: 1

      Given that Time/Space(therefore 'fast') are relative, wouldn't Good and Cheap essentially be a 'it'll get done when it's done' level of fast?

      Sounds like it's a case of 'we don't want to get it done with what we have been allocated'

      If it's really a case of being underfunded for the task, then I think it's time that all those corporations who licensed NASA technology and made serious bank to return the favor.

      For $500M, if you want a toe, I can get you a toe there are ways.

      I understand the desires to reduce travel time, but we're still a ways away from 'going to the moon, brb lol' Apollo had a 3 day travel time.

      Fast and cheap is still good for sufficiently acceptable levels of good.
      Good and Cheap is still faster than not doing it all.

      Mod me redundant, but I think the financial bail-out would have been better served for launching those executives into space...out of a cannon...into the sun.

    3. Re:First rule of Engineering: by shbazjinkens · · Score: 1

      What will I get if I pick fast and cheap? If lack of "good" means that a few extra rockets blow up then all we need is a decent escape module on top of the cheap rocket. Sounds good to me.

      Someone hasn't ever watched footage of a rocket blowing up.

      You first!

  17. Mike Griffin's Fault by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 4, Insightful

    First off, Griffin isn't NASA Administrator anymore, since Obama accepted his resignation as Obama was being inaugurated.

    Next up, I don't notice Griffin taking any responsibility himself for leaving NASA in disarray after years running it. Even though he messed up its budget. Yes, Bush deserves blame for messing up NASA, including by putting a CIA Star Wars hack in charge of it, who wasted our time suppressing climate change research results. But Griffin doesn't have any standing to criticize anyone else until he owns up to his own bad work setting back our space program, now apparently by decades.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Mike Griffin's Fault by nutshell42 · · Score: 1
      Even though he messed up its budget.

      I fail to see how this is Griffin's fault. NASA's mission is a political decision and it was decided that we would go back to the moon and then Mars. So Griffin had to shift some of the funding from other programs to achieve said goal.

      Now the page you link to complains mostly that the unmanned stuff got axed for the manned stuff while your post blames him for not allocating enough to the manned stuff.

      So what the fsck do you suppose he should have done? Shit money?

      --
      Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
    2. Re:Mike Griffin's Fault by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Disarray. I blame Griffin for messing up NASA's budget, as I said. What's worse than his debatable budget priorities is how he promised not to cut science to fund live missions, but then did so, which threw budget planning and integrity out the window. Which makes NASA much more expensive and difficult to manage.

      If you want to get deeper into Griffin's priorities, we can talk about how the CIA / Star Wars exec reprioritized NASA to support Bush's policy of supporting Pentagon/intel "space supremacy" instead of the peaceful exploration and exploitation of space. But that level of detail isn't necessary. Griffin ran NASA for years, got big boosts to its budget, and spent them in a way that left NASA unable to even properly predict scheduling its main function. Then he responds by blaming everyone but himself. Those are objective facts, and show Griffin to be a hack.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  18. They should have destroyed the world economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Then they'd get a $3 trillion bailout like Wall Street did.

  19. Why does NASA suck so much? by schnell · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This sounds like flamebait but I swear it's not. I would love to hear someone knowledgeable explain to me why (at least as it seems to a layman like myself) NASA did amazing things for so long then hasn't done anything to capture the public's imagination for decades. I understand how massive the funding was in their heyday, but every other technology sector seems to do more with less over time - is NASA's mission just impossible to accomplish for less than 3% of GDP? Or did they hire worse and worse recruits over time? Or did the wrong people get put in charge? Or does this stuff just get harder to do?

    This has baffled and saddened me for years. I really do want to hear an answer from someone who has some insight...

    --
    "95% of all Slashdot .sig quotes are incorrect or completely fabricated." -Benjamin Franklin
    1. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by The+Grim+Reefer2 · · Score: 0, Troll

      Or did the wrong people get put in charge?

      Yes, Jimmy Carter.

    2. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by timeOday · · Score: 1

      I think it's largely the natural progression of technology. When you break into a new field, discoveries come fast and furious for a while, then they tend to become less significant. Look at medicine, for instance... you start off discovering penicillin, how to fill cavities... things that save millions of lives and drastically extend life expectancy. Now thousands of devoted professionals spend their lives looking for treatments, and there are innumerable small discoveries but few breakthroughs. Aerospace was the same way. From Kittyhawk to the moon in just 70 years. Nobody would have guessed in 1969 that commercial airliners would still look exactly the same 40 years later.

    3. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by icebike · · Score: 4, Insightful

      > Nobody would have guessed in 1969 that commercial airliners would still look exactly the same 40 years later.

      And they will look exactly the same in another 40 years. Minor cosmetics and incremental differences in size not withstanding.

      Airplanes look the way they do because that is how something needs to look to do the job it does at the price we are willing to pay.

      Oh, I know, some people still think moon rockets would not look so much like like a phallus if they were designed by women.

      But Horatio Greenough had it right. Form follows function.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    4. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But going to the moon AGAIN isn't a new breakthrough. That would be like discovering penicillin, saving a million people, and then 50 years later not being able to make penicillin again.

      NASA, as currently directed, just sucks.

    5. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Allicorn · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's the public's imagination that's at fault if that really is the case. NASA continues to do spectacular, amazing things.

      The NASA current missions page:
      http://www.nasa.gov/missions/current/

      Does the Cassini-Huygens mission do nothing for you?
      That Hubble Telescope doodad not honking your horn?
      Spirit and Opportunity are things that make you go "meh"?

      If you (or rather some notional "member of the public") would rather be watching tonight's new episode of "The Apprentice" than reading about one of these missions, then where does the lack of vision lie?

      --
      OMG!!! Ponies!!!
    6. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by PapayaSF · · Score: 1

      All bureaucracies tend to become less efficient over time: see the Peter Principle, Pournelle's Iron Law of Bureaucracy, Parkinson's Law, etc. They grow sclerotic with timeservers and brownnosers, work more for themselves and less for their supposed goals, and the highest-quality employees retire or leave for greener pastures. And if you are more or less a government-authorized monopoly you don't worry much about the competition.

      Here's how I'd get back to the Moon: 1) Give Burt Rutan $10 billion. 2) Tell him to get us back to the Moon. 3) Stand back.

      --
      Q: What does the "B." in Benoit B. Mandelbrot stand for? A: Benoit B. Mandelbrot
    7. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by ThreeE · · Score: 0

      Burt Rutan needs (and probably wants) to get his $10B from someone other than the government.

    8. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by scottrocket · · Score: 1

      I read GP as meaning that we would have expected delta- and scissor- wing SST's, VTOL saucery thingies, etc. by the 21st century.

    9. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by tiger32kw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We are still doing things. Quite a bit of things. The only difference is we don't really need human beings up there to do these tasks, thus you don't hear about the missions and discoveries. It's not big news unless a human is physically involved, generally.

    10. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by __aajoqa250 · · Score: 1

      Are you an enemy of the US or phishing?

    11. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Chazerizer · · Score: 1

      Rockets only look like that so they can violate mother sky.

    12. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by icebike · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We had delta SSTs. We quit them. I reiterate:

      "Airplanes look the way they do because that is how something needs to look to do the job it does at the price we are willing to pay."

      We are not willing to pay for SSTs. They lost money. If you don't do SSTs you don't need scissor wings.

      We can't afford the fuel expense and risk of VTOL, and saucery things just don't fly worth squat.

      We will have aircraft that look like what we have today until we develop radically better engine technology, and or run out of Jet A fuel.

      They are not likely to get much bigger that the biggest Airbus. They are not likely to get much faster.

      We had no reason then or now to expect anything but incremental changes.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    13. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      Politics is, of course, the answer to your question; specifically the fear caused by the cold war. The cold war was going full swing and the space race was about much more than just bragging rights. I don't know how accurate it is, but I've had it explained to me that getting a person into space meant you could put a nuke anywhere within 5000 miles of territory you control. Putting a man into orbit was equivalent to being able to drop a nuke onto the heartland of you enemy, not necessarily accurately. But putting a man on the moon meant you could aim the nuke to any city in the world.

      It's the only situation where our nation would except spending such a massive amount (relative to GDP) on the space program. It's also the only situation where NASA would launch expecting only a 1/3 chance of the astronauts surviving. Today, that is absolutely unexceptionable. They have contingency plans on top of contingency plans for if the shuttle gets hit by debris while fixing Hubble, something that is only estimated at 1 in 200 chances. Those plans include having a shuttle on the launchpad ready to go, just in case. I don't know how much that costs but I bet it isn't cheap; the least they could do is have a mission planned to use the rescue shuttle if it isn't needed.

    14. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 1
    15. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nobody would have guessed in 1969 that commercial airliners would still look exactly the same 40 years later.

      And they will look exactly the same in another 40 years

      That may not be entirely true. It is true that most will look very similar since they will likely be based on the current designs (Boeing 787 variants are expected to be in service for the next 30+ years), but there are new concepts in development that look very different. Boeing and NASA have developed the Blended Wing Body design which is not currently being planned for passenger aircraft, but prototypes have flown and military applications (UAVs and cargo/refuel) are being considered. Alternative engines have also been proposed like the Propfan which has been in development since the 70s and recently returned due to rising fuel costs, advances in materials and improvement in analysis techniques.

    16. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by icebike · · Score: 1

      Indeed they will:

      1997:

      http://asia.cnet.com/photogallery/0,3800005208,62032380-005p,00.htm

      1947:

      http://asia.cnet.com/photogallery/0,3800005208,62032380-005p,00.htm

      Almost exactly 50 years apart.

      But the thread is about commercial airliners. Posting about an experimental aircraft (and ignoring the examples above from that same page) is hardly germane.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    17. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by the_other_chewey · · Score: 1

      We had no reason then or now to expect anything but incremental changes [...in aircraft designs].

      Yes we have. There is considerable work being done on flying-wing designs, which promise very significant
      improvements in fuel efficiency and don't look too much like the "classical" aircraft body anymore.
      There's a very realistic possibility for flying-wing passenger airliners within the next twenty to thirty years,
      or about two generations of aircaft design ahead.

    18. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because NASA is Soylent Green.

    19. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2, Informative

      When you look back at the lunar missions, it was done with the idea that we need to get their before the end of the 1960s. Because we did it with one big rocket, we were limited in how much we could take in both people and equipment. But the idea was to beat them rooskies and if we could plant an American flag on the surface first, we won.

      Now, we're trying to do this with more than one rocket. We're trying to stay longer than we did in Apollo. And we're trying to do it on a budget, rather than spending lots of money.

    20. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This sounds like flamebait but I swear it's not. I would love to hear someone knowledgeable explain to me why (at least as it seems to a layman like myself) NASA did amazing things for so long then hasn't done anything to capture the public's imagination for decades. I understand how massive the funding was in their heyday, but every other technology sector seems to do more with less over time - is NASA's mission just impossible to accomplish for less than 3% of GDP? Or did they hire worse and worse recruits over time? Or did the wrong people get put in charge? Or does this stuff just get harder to do?

      This has baffled and saddened me for years. I really do want to hear an answer from someone who has some insight...

      The space race was funded for political reasons: the USA had to prove we were still better than the Soviets, after they put the first man in orbit. NASA also had huge lobbying support from defense contractors and powerful senators in the southern states where the facilities were. Afterwards, funding was cut for most projects, and the clunky Space Shuttle made it through as a compromise that really pleased nobody but could get built once it was promised to Nixon and Congress that it would have reusable booster rockets, etc., and be cheap.

      The real science these days mostly gets done with probes and satellites. Manned missions are not cost effective for science -- at least not yet. (Sure, we've made enormous advances in space medicine, but if there's nobody in space, who benefits?) And it's easy to cut funding for NASA now that they don't have the lobbying power they once did. (Don't forget that politicians in the US Congress were doing things like killing the Superconducting Super Collider in Texas in the 90s seemingly in revenge for the years when they had less power. And more recently, NASA programs investigating climate change were probably not favorites of the Bush administration, either)

      If it had ever really been about the science and discovery, we would probably be on Mars already. At that's where we need to focus now, actually, not Luna, not more wasted money on the ISS (which doesn't have projected utility beyond about 2015). Those tin cans we have in orbit right now are really there just so we can prop up parts of the Russian military infrastructure, and pretend we haven't turned our back on the world's dreams, 40 years after that "giant leap for mankind."

    21. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by slinches · · Score: 1

      "Airplanes look the way they do because that is how something needs to look to do the job it does at the price we are willing to pay."

      This is true as of now, but the rise in fuel costs and increasingly restrictive emissions regulations that will be imposed on the next generation of aircraft will drive the cost/benefit balance toward higher efficiency designs like flying wings. Flying wing designs are technically and economically viable now. The real problem is regulatory. The cost of enough testing and analysis to get the FAA to certify any unconventional design creates a high barrier to entry for new technology. To get over this hurdle either fuel costs need to rise enough to make current technology too expensive to operate (somewhat likely since many airlines are already operating at a loss) or the major aircraft manufacturers will cooperate to spread out the cost across the industry (unlikely unless the first criterion is already met)

      --
      Knowledge Brings Fear
    22. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This sounds like flamebait but I swear it's not. I would love to hear someone knowledgeable explain to me why (at least as it seems to a layman like myself) NASA did amazing things for so long then hasn't done anything to capture the public's imagination for decades. I understand how massive the funding was in their heyday, but every other technology sector seems to do more with less over time - is NASA's mission just impossible to accomplish for less than 3% of GDP? Or did they hire worse and worse recruits over time? Or did the wrong people get put in charge? Or does this stuff just get harder to do?

      This has baffled and saddened me for years. I really do want to hear an answer from someone who has some insight...

      In terms of the great feats of manned spaceflight, I think it was also the fact that NASA were allowed (a) huge budgets, (b) huge amounts of manpower (400,000 people worked on Apollo), and (c) in order to beat the Russians, they were allowed to cut corners in terms of safety; Apollo used test pilots for several reasons, not the least of which was they had the mentality of, "strap me to a big tank of rocket fuel, point me at the moon and set it alight... I'll be fine! Honestly!"

    23. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by dbIII · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      People forget that he was the guy that got international relations to a point where not even Ronnie Raygun could restart the cold war.

    24. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by icebrain · · Score: 1

      And we're trying to do it on a budget, rather than spending lots of money.

      The problem is that skimping on funds now means the overall cost is going to wind up higher. Look at what happened with the space shuttle--they tried to cut development costs by getting the air force on board and moving to an easier-to-develop design... which wound up costing $500 million a flight because of all the support costs for their less-robust and easier-to-develop design.

      --
      The meek may inherit the earth, but the strong shall take the stars.
    25. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are not willing to pay for SSTs. They lost money. If you don't do SSTs you don't need scissor wings.

      We can't afford the fuel expense and risk of VTOL, and saucery things just don't fly worth squat.

      Agreed - but from a little kids 1969 perspective (mine), these things seemed likely, even expected.
      -SR

    26. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I imagine that if women were in charge of the space program they would've just ignored rocketry as a technology until they could develop a form of transport that resembled female genitalia, perhaps interspatial portals.

    27. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This sounds like flamebait but I swear it's not. I would love to hear someone knowledgeable explain to me why (at least as it seems to a layman like myself) NASA did amazing things for so long then hasn't done anything to capture the public's imagination for decades. I understand how massive the funding was in their heyday, but every other technology sector seems to do more with less over time - is NASA's mission just impossible to accomplish for less than 3% of GDP? Or did they hire worse and worse recruits over time? Or did the wrong people get put in charge? Or does this stuff just get harder to do?

      This has baffled and saddened me for years. I really do want to hear an answer from someone who has some insight...

      I'm an engineer at NASA, and I've had some insight into some of the problems in the human space flight side...but these are only opinions, not facts--I have no data to back this up.

      Launching humans has become more and more difficult after the two Shuttle disasters. In addition, many of NASA's people are government workers, who can't be fired, no matter the apathy or incompetence. There's also a pressure on the management to keep everyone working, and that leads to a "too many Cooks in the kitchen" syndrome--people basically stepping on each other's toes while trying to do something more than twiddle their thumbs.

      It's a shocking reminder of the inefficiencies that NASA faces because of this "can't fire a Civil Servant, have to find work for them to keep them occupied" problem when you take a look at the size of the Constellation Program Office (the group of managers and analysts that coordinate between the Orion crew vehicle, the Ares rocket and the other projects that are necessary to replace the Shuttle): The program office at Johnson Space Center has around 500 people working in it.

      As a comparison, the private company Space X has fewer than 500 people working at the entire company, at least it did in December of last year. Space X has designed the Falcon 1, the Falcon 9, the Merlin and Kestrel engines, and is about half way done with their version of a space capsule, the Dragon.

      I'll put my money on Space X finishing the Dragon before JSC finishes Orion.

    28. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      Except that if you just gave him the money he'd have no more need to succeed than the current bureaucracy. No, Private enterprise works because if you fail it's your welfare that's on the line. So I propose instead:

      Offer $10 billion to the first private company to get to the moon. $1 billion for each of the first 5 after. Plus a bonus of $100 Million for each landing a company does.

      Now your favourite companies (e.g. spacex, scaled composites), you may wish to be nice to and offer them very attractive loans that would have to be paid back at a certain date (say 2020). This would mean that they could get capital to do their development with and would also give them a very hard date they had to meet. i.e. they have to reach the moon by 2020, or are left with a bill for e.g. $5billion that they can't pay without a landing.
      Now I know there are a few flaws in this - a company could just take the money, never intend to do a landing and plan to go bankrupt as soon as the loans are called in - so you would have to make things a bit more complex in terms of funding, but I think the basics have to be better than the current bureaucracy.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    29. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Rolgar · · Score: 1

      I think part of the problem is that NASA is too concerned with making sure no accidents happen (I read this on Cringley, who was starting a team to compete for the Google Moon prize, and it made a lot of sense). The cost difference between a launch vehicle that has 99% launch success and one with 100% success is huge.

      As far as unmanned launches go, that's what insurance is for. Sure, it might suck if you work on a project that gets blown up, but if NASA were to drop it's cost to launch, they would be able to launch far more mass into orbit with which to get stuff done, even though more of it would fail to reach orbit. As far as manned missions go, that would be tough, especially on the families, but most of the individuals that are choosing to go into space consider it a hazard of the job, and know it's a risk they take to do the things they do.

      NASA, much like this country at large, needs to get off it's ass, and get back the cowboy mentality of fighting off hardship, and doing what needs to be done. The malaise at NASA is indicative of our wider culture's softness and willingness to do the easy thing.

    30. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Current design constraints call for a Loss of Crew (LOC) of 1 in 1000.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    31. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I would love to hear someone knowledgeable explain to me why (at least as it seems to a layman like myself) NASA did amazing things for so long then hasn't done anything to capture the public's imagination for decades.

      The Space race was a more-peaceful way to bankrupt the soviets. It had to be sold to the American people, and sold it was. Since then we've done things through war because a) none of our enemies have been as implacable as the former soviet union and b) it makes more money for a bunch of rich white fucks. NASA at the time was run by [relatively] young men interested in getting things done, and tasked with getting things done. NASA is now run by bureaucrats who are tasked mostly with making themselves not look like assholes. If we really wanted to do great things, we would have a funded mandate and things would happen. We are not trying to utilize NASA to do great things, and by trying I mean expending effort.

      This isn't to say that a lot of smart people aren't trying to make it happen. It's just that as a nation we're not making the attempt. Make of that what you will.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    32. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funding cuts, that's why.

      Even before the Apollo program ended, NASA sustained massive budget cuts.

      NASA sustained 70% loss of budget in the 1970s, and tried to make up for the loss by cutting back on QA. And we know how well that turned out...

    33. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by schnell · · Score: 2, Insightful

      To your point, NASA continues to do great, worthwhile things. But "spectacular?" No. Not in the same way their early triumphs were. Cassini-Huygens is great but does it compare with Mercury, Apollo, Voyager, Skylab or the Shuttle? No.

      Maybe it's okay, we just aren't trying to do anything that catches the public imagination in the same way those older things did. But I think that's also the reason that if you ask Joe Public - who through public opinion has a great impact on NASA's funding - what NASA has done for the last 20 years, he may mention Hubble then he'll say that NASA is in the business of delaying shuttle launches that he wasn't sure why they were happening in the first place.

      --
      "95% of all Slashdot .sig quotes are incorrect or completely fabricated." -Benjamin Franklin
    34. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMG!1!1! There is a new episode of "The Apprentice" tonight??????

    35. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow. Just wow. Partisan much?

    36. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by cowtamer · · Score: 1

      We are still doing things. Quite a bit of things. The only difference is we don't really need human beings up there to do these tasks, thus you don't hear about the missions and discoveries. It's not big news unless a human is physically involved, generally.


      This is a fatal strategic mistake for an organization that relies on the the enthusiasm of humans for its existence.

      I think you'll get a lot more advancement towards space exploration if you have a permanent base on the moon and HAVE to solve the problems that you will have in space.

      Heck, I think you'll get a lot more advancement if you have a HARD deadline for getting to the Moon, getting to Mars, etc (more than one prime-time NASA related speech in 8 years by a president will help). You also need to fire every bureaucrat and contractor that has not contributed to a flying mission in the last 10 years.

      It also doesn't help that we have raised a generation of unimaginative dolts whose concept of the ultimate in technology is limited by the next smart phone.

    37. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by chazbet · · Score: 1

      You Sci-Fi fanboys should climb out of your refrigerator cartons with "Death Star" painted on the side, and realize that there is no fundamental NEED to have a permanent base, or a moon-shot at all, to accomplish space science, exploration, or exploitation. Many of the problems of space are vastly simplified if you don't need the mass, complexity, and messiness of a life support system. On the other hand, who are you to denigrate the potential for next smart phone? It may have applications yet unimagined; potentially useful for people on EARTH, where the rest of us live, remember?

    38. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      As a comparison, the private company Space X has fewer than 500 people working at the entire company, at least it did in December of last year.

      And that includes the sales staff, the contracts staff, and Elon himself.

      The contrast is moderately mind-boggling. Somebody else suggested giving $10 billion to Burt Rutan and telling him "take us to the Moon" and standing back. I say, promise Elon $2 billion after he sends a capsule to the Moon, and jump out of the way.

      It's rather sad to watch NASA sagging under its own weight. It has too many people and not enough managers with the ability to juggle money around legally to get things done. It should be easy to find work to keep them occupied. The problem is finding a way to describe the work in a way that will fit as a line item in some Congressionally mandated budget.

      Possibly NASA will have fewer people to get under each other's feet as SpaceX continues to expand. I would imagine that SpaceX would seek to recruit out of NASA for any number of things. Too bad the resulting brain drain will leave NASA with nothing but the dregs. They already suffer from PowerPoint engineering. It's only going to get worse.

    39. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But going to the moon AGAIN isn't a new breakthrough. That would be like discovering penicillin, saving a million people, and then 50 years later not being able to make penicillin again.

      Making penicillin isn't an engineering challenge. Once you know a little bit of biology, and know which fungus to culture, you just culture it.

      Going to the moon is an enormous engineering challenge. They physics to do it are easy enough to learn in a few years. Building things to get you there takes time and money, regardless of having done it before. An apt comparison would be "like building the Hoover Dam, powering homes for 50 years, and then 50 years later not being able to build the Hoover Dam again". Put in the perspective of an engineering challenge, you see that your comparison is terrible. If you want another Hoover Dam, or something better, you build it. It is still going to take a decade or more to do it.

    40. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by HasselhoffThePaladin · · Score: 1

      Flying Wing. For non-aero-nerds. It's the B-2 style.

    41. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two Words: Cold War

      Back when the space race was occurring, a lot of what was going on was proving superiority to the other superpower, the Soviet Union. We had competition.

    42. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by jae471 · · Score: 1

      I worked for NASA, more or less, on an instrument data processing system. My company was a sub-contractor to a company that was contracted to provide a solution when the original contract fell through in providing the system. My company was acquired by another company that was acquired by another company.

      Over the three years on that project, the PM changed twice.

      Much of the source code was ported from F77 to F90 to C. It was then ported from whatever hardware it started in to IRIX then Linux. Very few people understood what it did, only that it "worked".

      Every other day there was a meeting to discuss something, either at the other building, or at the remote office.

      We used clearcase instead of something sane, like cvs.

      Individually, any one of those would not be too bad, but put them all together and you have a mess that doesn't really work.

    43. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by DarkMage0707077 · · Score: 1

      It's not big news unless a human is physically involved, generally.

      And isn't that the natural progression of things for exploration? It used to be that crossing the ocean was an epic and exciting undertaking. Now it's just like "taking the bus" over to another country. After a while, it won't be news when humans blast off into space. Only when they found colonies or discover new worlds...

    44. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Heck, there will probably be a sizable number of the planes flying today still flying in 40 years. The average age of a bomber in the US Air Force is at least that old, many general aviation aircraft are that old, and while most airliners in passenger fleets in the US are newer than that, the planes from the 60's and early 70's they retired are still living second lives as cargo planes or passenger planes in other parts of the world.

    45. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by cowtamer · · Score: 1

      This is the problem. We don't need to be in space any more than we need to send pictures to hand held devices, talk to people on the other side of the globe, discuss ideas on vast virtual bulletin boards, or step into machines that fly (ancient cautionary tales exist about the last one).

      Our needs are limited to food, clothing, shelter and medical care. Most of us don't even need the capability to leave the town we were born in unless required by war, famine, etc. As much as I love this planet, I would like us to have the capability to get out for the same reason you might want to leave your town if you needed (or desired) to.

      Also...feel free to make fun of childish obsessions with certain works of fiction--but remember that your smart phone was just an imaginative Sci-Fi prop 30 years ago!

    46. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      Well, to be fair, Bush's last moon program was bashed on this very website when it was announced : it was irrealistic and many people thought it was a way to dig NASA's grave while directing money to White House friends' pockets.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    47. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      The James Webb Telescope planned to be on the Earth-Sun L2 point does it for me as well.
      And I'll go on the trollish side and continue saying that Spirit and Opportunity do make me go "meh" : no innovations in automatics, no scientific use (the orbiters are where the real science happens), pitiful performances, no decision autonomy and therefore a ridiculous speed. It takes a DARPA Grand Challenge student team less than one megabuck to build an autonomous vehicule and NASA can't do it ? Please...

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    48. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I really admire your nickname. I bet you get that all the time, though.

    49. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by The_Quinn · · Score: 1

      I have wondered what the 'Greens' think of NASA. It has a tremendous "carbon footprint", and surely they don't want our pollution to infect the rest of the universe...

    50. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by BoothbyTCD · · Score: 1

      Useful, Spectacular, Cheap: pick two.

      --
      snig
    51. Re:Why does NASA suck so much? by The+Grim+Reefer2 · · Score: 1

      People forget that he was the guy that got international relations to a point where not even Ronnie Raygun could restart the cold war.

      Be that as it may. Carter also slashed the hell out of NASA's budget forcing them to abandon all kinds of cool stuff.

  20. Time by lord_sarpedon · · Score: 5, Funny

    Look, guys. Got to face this sometime.

    America just isn't as young as it used to be.

    Forty years ago? Sure. We could get a rocket up, in little time at all. And though we'll certainly never forget that first time - we were ready to go again just a few short years later.

    But face the facts, people. The country isn't a spry 193 anymore. Let's just have hope that NASA is trying its best, Although its worrisome that the launch date doesn't seem very firm, just keep in mind - nothing would be worse than a premature launch.

    We don't intend to disappoint.

    --
    "Strangers have the best candy" -Me
    1. Re:Time by plover · · Score: 1

      Fortunately, this is the 21st century, and we now have modern science to thank for assistance in that area. If NASA opts for the "blue capsule" approach, we should be able to set a hard date that will last long enough to satisfy the entire scientific community.

      --
      John
  21. If we, the people had a vote... by erroneus · · Score: 3, Informative

    If we had a vote between spending whatever was needed to get to the moon again and bailing out another banker, I'll bet we'd vote to go to the moon. At least then we'd see some results from the spending.

  22. Not exactly "From Scratch" by gbutler69 · · Score: 5, Informative

    There was a MASSIVE infusion of technology and expertise from German Scientists that had been working on the "Rocket Problem" since the '30's. Also, there was significant military research in the U.S. before, during, and after WWII as well.

    --
    Over-the-top Response Guy! Giving "Over-the-Top Responses" since 1970.
    1. Re:Not exactly "From Scratch" by Hucko · · Score: 1

      and it didn't help that Wilson died...

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    2. Re:Not exactly "From Scratch" by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Informative

      There was a MASSIVE infusion of technology and expertise from German Scientists that had been working on the "Rocket Problem" since the '30's. Also, there was significant military research in the U.S. before, during, and after WWII as well.

      From scratch. They didn't even START the design work on Saturn V till the year after Kennedy called for the moon landing. At the time they started, "state of the art" was the Atlas, for god's sake!

      The Saturn V was designed specifically for the moon missions, and pretty much everything in it was so bleeding edge it should have been painted red.

      Note, further, that the US military did almost no rocket research before or during WW2. And didn't do much of it afterwards. Not until von Braun and Korolev managed to convince the politicos on both sides that the other side was trying to get into space did either get budget to do much more than fire off leftover V2's.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  23. perhaps it's time... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

    ...for a privately funded moon shot.

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    1. Re:perhaps it's time... by j-stroy · · Score: 1

      thank you for saying that

  24. lol, 1/2 Billion seems like a fortune still by jamessnell · · Score: 1

    Well I completely completely sympathise for NASA having difficulties with the gov't - I think for $0.5B, I could get a gang together to pull all this off.. lol - of course, NASA probably has a lot of that money allocated to non-Aries, etc related projects, perhaps such as maintenance

    1. Re:lol, 1/2 Billion seems like a fortune still by Seriousity · · Score: 1

      Well I think for $0.5B, I could get a gang together to pull all this off.. lol

      Excellent, and then you can use the spare change to transform the poverty of third-world countries into the sheer elegance of the western world!

      --
      This post was made in complete sincere seriousity; as such any attempts to derive humour are doomed to instant failure.
    2. Re:lol, 1/2 Billion seems like a fortune still by jamessnell · · Score: 1

      Hah, as if that'd be allowed. All those victimised people are what helps produce the disparities that let war-driven economies emulate thriving.

  25. If we cared enough to make the hard choice by symbolset · · Score: 2, Funny

    If we were willing to spend the money, to dare the risk, America might one day find she has what it takes to get an American to the moon and return safely. What lessons we must learn from that mission: the physics, the materials science, the computer and communications technology might drive a surge in American eminence in science and engineering. Yes, it is not easy. We should go to the moon and do these other things not because it is easy but because it is hard. It is an opportunity to prove that we have the grit, the intelligence and the skill that others do not, and we'll reap the benefit of taking that journey for a generation.

    Or maybe we could just get ILM to do it in CGI and save budget. Is Bruce Willis available? Think of the product placement opportunities!

    /Co-channeling JFK and Spielberg.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
    1. Re:If we cared enough to make the hard choice by SEWilco · · Score: 2, Funny
      We choose to go to the Moon not because it is easy,
      but because we might get there someday if we have extra money left over from the meetings, all those Earth-navel-watching things, and paying companies to invent stuff that they can sell. Yeah, we'll get there someday.

      You know, if we can send a man to the Moon, maybe we can send a man to the Moon.

    2. Re:If we cared enough to make the hard choice by tsa · · Score: 0, Troll

      I hardly dare think about how long it would take, how much it will cost and how it will be organized eventually when Europe decides to go to the moon. Look at the way the Airbus A380 is built...

      --

      -- Cheers!

  26. Private mon landing by spire3661 · · Score: 1

    WE may see a private enterprise moon landing before NASA can be bothered to go back.

    --
    Good-bye
  27. What... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What the HELL is taking so long?

  28. G1 USA. by M0b1u5 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When these things are delayed, the true cost escalate massively.

    It's mind boggling to me that Obama is shit-eating happy to hemorrhage 2 Billion a week at Iraqistan, for nothing and no one, but the space program gets fucked up the ass.

    This isn't about going to the moon at all: it's about retaining the expertise that America paid dearly for in the 60s! The huge sums invested (yes, "invested") in the space program kept US aeronautics and engineering at the top of the world for 50 years.

    But now the Euros make better planes, and US engineering is being rapidly eclipsed.

    As expertise is lost, so the budgets escalate, and the delays get bigger, further escalating costs.

    Pretty soon the USA is an "also ran" in space, and shortly thereafter it becomes an "also ran" on Earth. The writing is on the wall: only massive investment in science, technology and expertise can save the USA from utter collapse under the weight if 53 trillion dollars in entitlements.

    While space investment (under NASAs most specific commission - to provide all their data to any US firm) return well in excess of a dollar for every dollar invested, there are a couple of things that the USA simply MUST do in order to avoid total melt down.

    1) Don't start any more wars, and finish the ones you got going on now.

    2) Invest heavily in space technology

    3) Secure the supply of energy to the world for the entire future.

    Number 3 can be achieved by singlehandedly getting Fusion power tamed. I'm not talking about that ridiculous ITER thing - because the only thing which will come from that fiasco is a pile of Ph.D.s about 10 metres tall - and most of them won't be 'merkin Ph.D.s!

    No, the small-scale, tiny fusion efforts like Focus Fusion and Bussard's Polywell reactor - if practical will yield results for sums under a billion - while the potential payoff is measured in the hundreds of trillions of dollars in this century.

    --
    How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
    1. Re:G1 USA. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      bah, come on. If it wasn't for European war refugees during WWII and German engineers after WWII, there would be no bomb and no space rockets. Like it or not but a huge part of that investment was simply given us (the US) for free at the time.

    2. Re:G1 USA. by chebucto · · Score: 1

      Well put. The shift of young professionals away form science / engineering, towards law, finance, etc. concerns me more than most other long-term problems on this continent. The benefits from the surge in sci/eng grads during the Apollo program continue to this day; it's probably safe to say that the talent raised during the 60s is a key pillar in the US victory during the Cold War, and US supremacy during the 1990s.

      On fusion, the Energy Crisis is really an Engineering Crisis - once fusion is ready to go commercial, _all_ of the problems in our current setup will be gone. No more need to support tin-pot dictatorships, fully domestic fuel supply, no long-term waste storage problems, no meltdown risk, no more smog, drastically reduced point-source CO2 emissions; heck, even those electric cars we're starting to build will ultimately be powered by a clean source. Indeed, the only problem will be the cost of replacing all the existing power plants; but that investment should be an easy case to make: huge long-term return on investment coupled with significant short-term economic benefits from construction.

      --
      The English word fart is one of the oldest words in the English vocabulary.
    3. Re:G1 USA. by Archon-X · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't mean to troll, but what does it matter if it's the Chinese or 'Euros' that end up on the moon next?
      Why does it have to be the USA?

      Any advance in space-technology is going to benefit mankind as a whole.

      If Europe is more prepared at this point to go into space, then let it be europe!

    4. Re:G1 USA. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You say:

      "It's mind boggling to me that Obama is shit-eating happy to hemorrhage 2 Billion a week at Iraqistan, for nothing and no one, but the space program gets fucked up the ass." ...No one likes to spend money in Iraq except for Bush and loonies. But you happen to have picked the one politician who agrees with you, and did so before the war even started, and actually has followed through with his plans to change the mission.

      So WTF is your point? NASA isn't a priority, who the fuck cares if we go to the moon in 2022 or 2032. the only point to going was established long ago when we first went there: TO BE FIRST. That's why the Soviets gave up their moon plans - who the fuck cares about who is second.

      RIght now the only reason to go is out of some weird jealously trip "well, China can't make it to moon before we get back there!". That's a lame rallying cry. Let China prove themselves on the world stage.

  29. It'll be done... by Landshark17 · · Score: 2, Funny

    It'll be done when they can play Duke Nukem Forever on it.

    --
    This sig is false.
  30. Billions of Dollars !?! by j741 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If it really costs 4 billion dollars to put a man on the moon, is it worth it? What resources can be economically gained from going to the moon? Is the moon made of pure Gold? If so, the shuttle's 22,700Kg cargo capacity full of pure, refined, 24 karat gold 22 would need to have a value of $1,762.12 per gram in order to make the trip economically break even. With today's gold value somewhere under $100 per gram, and the fact that the moon is not made of refined 14 karat gold, I think it will be a long time before a trip to the moon is economically viable at a cost of 4 billion dollars. ;)

    --
    - James
    1. Re:Billions of Dollars !?! by saiha · · Score: 1

      Its abosolutely worth it. You are looking at pure mineral gains from the moon itself when a lot of the real gains could come from asteroids or further celestial bodies. 4 billion dollars is absolutely nothing at the moment so it would be a perfect time to invest in creating a base of operations on the moon.

      I haven't, and am not prepared to do the calculations but i would guess that fuel costs alone would cover any operation we make to set of a secondary stage (the first being earth) on the moon to recover all costs within 50 years.

      In addition we wouldn't use the shuttle for mining operation, well at least no earth -> wherever. We could transport the mining "ships" in bulk with cheap unmanned rockets and the crew in bulk with more expensive and safe rockets. The crew would then take the mining ships to wherever and gather the minerals, bring them to another launch point on the moon and send them unmanned back to earth.

    2. Re:Billions of Dollars !?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      sounds more viable than giving 700 billion to a bunch of Wall Street assholes...

    3. Re:Billions of Dollars !?! by myrdos2 · · Score: 1

      The moon is abundant in Helium 3. If we had fusion generators, a single shuttle load of helium 3 could supply the entire energy demands of the US for an entire year. Helium 3 is incredibly rare on Earth. Maybe in 50-75 years, we'll have a working fusion generator that can take advantage of it. In the meantime, it makes sense

      One of many sources: http://www.wired.com/science/space/news/2006/12/72276

    4. Re:Billions of Dollars !?! by myrdos2 · · Score: 1

      ...it makes sense to ensure we have the capability to harvest it.

      Never post while dead tired.

    5. Re:Billions of Dollars !?! by penguinchris · · Score: 1

      It's not necessarily about a practical result, such as mining for resources, though that's certainly something to look towards in the future. The point *should* be to make massive advancements in the science and technology fields involved, just like in the 50's and 60's.

    6. Re:Billions of Dollars !?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That argument would rule out the majority of all research.

      Why do we need a telescope to see into space? that doesn't make us any money.

      And waiting until it's cheaper isn't a solution either. You have to work at it and TRY to get there. Then along the way you come up with refinements and better ways of doing things. I don't think the Wright bros sat down and thought.. "hey, this is really hard to do. We should wait a few years.. let technology advance a bit more (lighter materials!) and then we'll try to get a functional plane together."

    7. Re:Billions of Dollars !?! by bramblez · · Score: 1

      I've NEVER understood the concept of the "second stage" on the moon. Unless whatever you're launching from there is constructed there, you have to 1) Launch out of the earth's gravity. 2) Use fuel to brake while entering the moon's gravity well, since there's no atmosphere. 3) Use more fuel to get back out of the moon's gravity well. Congratulations, you've wasted a ton of fuel! It makes absolutely no sense to use the moon as a base on your way farther out!

    8. Re:Billions of Dollars !?! by saiha · · Score: 1

      The reason is because you don't just take one trip from the second stage. It takes one trip from the earth to the moon, but after that you can do as many trips from there as your vehicle is capable of.

      Also the earth's gravity is far greater than the moon's...

  31. Risk averse culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How many died so that we (and the Russians) could do that?

    Look at how much the loss of Columbia set back the shuttle program. The public have forgotten that every space shot involves strapping frail humans to a few thousand tons of explosives and lighting the fuse. People sue when their kid falls over in the mall and gets a scratched knee.

    If they said "fuck the safety" I am sure they could have something as safe as the 60's-70's space program ready to go in 2-3 years.

    1. Re:Risk averse culture by Kral_Blbec · · Score: 0

      Weren't the shuttle accidents caused by long-term damage associated with maintenance and aging of a system that wasnt intended to last as long as it has? If you asked any of the original designers back then, i doubt they would have expected their work to still be used today.

    2. Re:Risk averse culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Weren't the shuttle accidents caused by long-term damage associated with maintenance and aging of a system that wasnt intended to last as long as it has? If you asked any of the original designers back then, i doubt they would have expected their work to still be used today.

      No, they weren't. Challenger was relatively new at the time and the accident was a direct result of launching with the temperature on the pad below the minimum for the O-ring seals on the solid rocket boosters in spite of warnings from the engineers at Morton Thiokol who built the boosters.
      There is no evidence that Columbia's airframe was less than 100% airworthy before it was hit, and holed, by a lump of foam which fell off the main fuel tank. The main fuel tanks are not reusable and would have been practically brand new.

    3. Re:Risk averse culture by chebucto · · Score: 1

      There was no "fuck the safety" attitude for the Apollo program - look at what happened after the Apollo 1 disaster. That disaster saw three people die on the ground when an oxygen fire in their command module started. The reaction: a grounding of the program, and a complete redesign of the module.

      The US has never lost a person in space, and if you think about the dangers of space flight, you'll understand that that's only because they've always put an emphasis on safety.

      --
      The English word fart is one of the oldest words in the English vocabulary.
    4. Re:Risk averse culture by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

      The US has never lost a person in space,...

      Well, with the exception of launch and reentry of spacecraft - which is where 99% of the risk is. That the deaths weren't in space seems like a technicality.

      We need to set a value on astronauts that is not wildly out of line on what we are willing to spend to avoid driving, mine, or construction fatalities. If manned space missions are going to become more than occasional curiosities, many more astronauts will have to be launched and some of them will have to die, and we need to accept that as a cost that can only partially be avoided.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
  32. It should only take 2 years max by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Why can't we just dust off the rocket we have and make it run again. Surely it can't be that hard. We did it the first time on computing power that is a fraction of a 486. Wal Mart still runs a lot of their operations on 1970's technology. Why are we re inventing the wheel ???

    1. Re:It should only take 2 years max by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      SO, Let me get this straight. We can reverse engineer an alien spacecraft that landed here in 1947 and get technology like transistors from it, but we can't even reverse engineer a space craft the WE built to go to the moon. Something does not add up here.......

    2. Re:It should only take 2 years max by bokske · · Score: 1

      A very insightful question indeed.

      Some people drive oldtimer cars that are from before that magical year 1969. Granted, such a car may have gone through a few major maintenances in its lifetime, and some of its subsystems might have gotten replaced entirely. But the whole thing just works, as well as it did 50 years ago.

      If the task at hand only requires sprucing up an oldtimer rocket, like some people refurbish an oldtimer car as a hobby, then this would surely become Nasa's cheapest project ever.

      So really, why don't they just fly an Apollo mission to the moon again ? Perhaps because they never did that before, either ?

    3. Re:It should only take 2 years max by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah. All I'm saying is that something does not add up. I can just see them with racks off supercomputers crunching away at a problem that was solved 40 years ago with something like a 486 or 286. Take the thing out of the museum for a few weeks, use that to build a new one. Heck, upgrade everything on it. Put a Hemi engine in it, heated seats and even splurge for 1200.00 and get one of those new GPS/video units that sticks to the windshield with a suction cup and off we go !

  33. Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by symbolset · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In 1961 the Apollo program was founded when US President John F. Kennedy announced a goal of landing a man on the moon by the end of the decade. On July 20, 1969 it was accomplished when Buzz Aldrin and Neil Armstrong landed on the moon. It took eight years. I was four years old at the time they landed. I watched breathlessly each launch, each landing, and all the reports in between. I actually recall trying to convince some of the adults in my life the significance of these events. The Moon! That ball in the sky! Men are walking on it! I failed miserably. I lived in Watts at the time. They didn't care then and they don't care now.

    It had never been done before. Practically none of the necessary materials science, engineering and physics were even understood at the time. They performed orbital vector calulations sometimes using computers, and sometimes using banks of people operating calculators.

    40 years later we carry computers in our pocket that have more power than all the computers in the world at that time. Our cars have better navigational equipment. It has been done before. The problem has been solved - we've done it many times. The physics, mechanics and materials are well understood. But now we can't figure out a way to do this again in under a decade. It's over. We're officially sliding into decay.

    Now I point to that ball in the sky for my son who's five, and I say "That ball in the sky! We knew how to get there once. My parents did it, but we forgot how when I grew up. If you study hard - if you really want it - you might go there too." And then we point the telescope at Mars.

    /And it's Orion. Try and spell it write, ok?

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  34. So America has given up? Yes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We thought we won it, then we scrapped all the equipment we won it with. Now China will repeat what we did, cheaper, before we're able to.

  35. Let me be the first by actionbastard · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    To thank the scumbags in the Bush administration and the cadre of Wall Street sycophants in Congress who've leveraged our futures to bankrupt the American nation so that I will not live to see humans walk on the Moon again in my lifetime.

    --
    Sig this!
  36. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    First, I was 10. I remember Apollo 1. Second, My parents were INTO this and pushed me. Third, my 5 y.o. knows the planets, and can tell the difference between Mars and Moon via pics. Fourth, my 2 y.o knows some of the planets. And finally, spelling can go to hell when putting a 2 y.o. to bed who is too tired and very fussy.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  37. NASA Needs to Die.... by BJ_Covert_Action · · Score: 1

    Don't get me wrong, NASA has done an absolute wonderful job in helping move mankind into the stars thus far. From their original moon landing missions to the continued effort to probe space via advanced optics platforms and missions to other planets, it has been a wonderful help in getting mankind past the boundaries of its own planet.

    Nonetheless, keeping a space program under the thumb of the U.S. federal government is doing little more than holding back the field at this point. When space programs (and technology) were just starting to blossom, it was important to monitor them due to their potential military uses as well as the safety issues involved in working with such experimental technology.

    Nowadays, however, companies such as SpaceX, Bigelow Aerospace, Blue Origin, and a plethora of others are showing that space exploration is capable as a commercial entity (granted, none of these organizations are sending probes past Earth orbit yet, but the potential is there). That being said, there is very little reason to continue to spend federal money on an entire space program. NASA employs some of the most intelligent and capable people in this industry. They have a plethora legacy and in-house knowledge that could benefit the public sector endlessly. It seems that, at this point, the NASA entity should be closed entirely while a private sector entity is set up to absorb most of, if not all of, its employees. If NASA were to break free of the federal government (and all of the political staging and pressures and general BS) it could perform unimaginably well in the private sector.

    It seems to me that it is time for the government funded (and unfortunately, controlled) entity of NASA might as well be dissolved and a private equivalent PASA (Public American Space Agency or some other such acronym) could thrive better in its place. Of course, I am not a business major so I can't say I know much about a potential business model, but from a science and engineering standpoint, it would behoove progress greatly if NASA could get free of the government.

    Keeping NASA under government control would be like keeping a booming computer company like Microsoft under government control during the early years of the computing industry, it would have just hampered progress and the dissemination of computer technology. Similarly, federal control of one of the most (if not THE most) advanced space exploration entities is just hampering the progress of mankind's expansion into the stars.

  38. This Is How Hubble Was Sent Up With Blind by darkmeridian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Congress messed up the Hubble Space Telescope project a few decades ago by similarly setting unrealistically low budgets. The scientists agreed to the budget because that was the only way to go forward. Perkin Elmers, the prime subcontractor for the lens, had to take all sorts of shortcuts to meet that budget. They had to skimp on quality control. Instead of multiple tests, they used the same system that guided the polishing of the lens to verify the polishing was correct. It turns out that a bolt was inserted backwards in the measuring laser. Of course, this meant that the mirror was wrongly-ground and that the error was not caught.

    The Ares Project is more important not only because it represents the next generation of American rocketry, but also because lives will be depending on the rocket. The early Apollo and Shuttle projects claimed lives because of shoddy work. History is in danger of repeating itself.

    Congress and NASA should either do it right, or not do it at all. Astronauts assume the risks at every launch, but we should not let them take that risk if it is too significant. NASA should just put the ball down and walk away if it believes that the project cannot be done correctly on the current budget. Not for political gamesmanship, but to protect astronauts.

    --
    A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    1. Re:This Is How Hubble Was Sent Up With Blind by nyctopterus · · Score: 1

      Why shouldn't we let astronauts take risks, if they are willing to do so? Doing this stuff with very low risk mean we are much less likely to try at all. If you've got people that want to try, why not?

  39. Re:I call baloney by samcan · · Score: 2, Interesting

    But in 1969, we were in an arms race with the Soviet Union at the time, so we not only spent a gazillion dollars on nuclear missiles, we also managed to get to the Moon?

    Either we need to pay more taxes, or we need a more efficient use of our money.

  40. That's a ways off... by John+Pfeiffer · · Score: 2, Funny

    By the time they get there, they'll find a Chinese flag, an Indian flag, a Canadian flag, some monument to commercially-sponsored space travel, and a McDonald's.

    Do you want fries with that?

    --

    Friend: "The NIC is misconfigured..." Me: "No prob, I'll just telnet in and fix it." *Silence*
  41. Work smarter, not harder. by Merakis · · Score: 1

    They should have enough intelligent people working at NASA to figure out how to get a man to the moon for 500 million dollars.

  42. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by symbolset · · Score: 1

    My posting suffers too when the littles want to bang on the keyboard. I understand that.

    I was actually just using your post as a launching point for my own rant because it was neutral, short, and properly positioned. I barely read it. I'm sorry if I came off as too critical. Try not to take my post as a personal thing, because I really was being a bad person and not replying to the thread at all.

    But it's beautiful prose, isn't it? C'mon - read it again.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  43. Misleading cost quote, more like $50 billion by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

    NASA administrator Mike Griffin blamed the White House, and the previous Bush administration, saying funding for Ares V and other projects fell from $4bn through 2015 to just $500m.

    It doesn't mention it in the summary, but people need to keep in mind that figure's only for the Ares V, which is supposed to be building on the Ares I. The GAO (which is certainly historically better in its cost estimates than NASA) has estimated that the Ares I and Orion capsule will cost more along the lines of $40-50 billion.

    For comparison, funding SpaceX to finish developing commercial crew transport to the space station would cost $500 million. SpaceX would need to have a 100x cost overrun to cost as much as the Ares program.

    1. Re:Misleading cost quote, more like $50 billion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For comparison, funding SpaceX to finish developing commercial crew transport to the space station would cost $500 million. SpaceX would need to have a 100x cost overrun to cost as much as the Ares program.

      Of course SpaceX's vehicle is neither a heavy lifter (as the Aries V is intended to be), nor a good candidate to propell either a crew or cargo beyond Earth's orbit. So while it would be a good service vehicle to the ISS, it doesn't have direct applicability for missions to the Moon.

    2. Re:Misleading cost quote, more like $50 billion by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Falcon 9 Heavy will be the largest American-made heavy lifter in service once the rocket that's sitting on the pad at Cape Canaveral lifts off. It can boost a payload heavier than either the Space Shuttle or the Delta IV Heavy, its next closest competitors. No, it doesn't have the capacity of the Saturn V, or the projected capacity of the Ares V, but it has the advantage of being a real rocket sitting on the pad right now. Ares V is a bunch of paper, and Saturn V is history.

      Is it strictly necessary to build a rocket that can boost a payload that large? I don't think so. I believe it's not necessary to launch an entire Moon landing stack in a single shot. There have been so many successful on-orbit rendezvous between the Shuttle and the ISS that the feat is no longer remarkable. It's routine. Assembling a Moon landing stack in orbit would be similarly routine. So the fact that the Falcon 9 Heavy can only handle one quarter of the mass of the Saturn V is no real detriment, and the fact that it will only cost $94 million per launch, available essentially now, is a great big plus.

  44. Contradictio in terminus by tsa · · Score: 1

    Somehow seeing the words 'only' and '0.5 billion dollars' in one sentence gives me a strange feeling in my stomach.

    --

    -- Cheers!

  45. Or the amount allocated to stimulus every two days by xmark · · Score: 1

    or the amount paid in interest alone on the national debt every four days (although that amount is on its way up very soon).

    We each have a different lens through which to observe the expenditures of government. Personally, I'd rather see space money increased, and re-allocated toward unmanned probes and robotics. Extraordinarily more bang for the buck...but less emotionally satisfying for some. Either way, I prefer spending money learning about black holes than pouring it into black holes.

    Take a look at the stimulus bill broken out by line and I'll bet you can find a dozen ways some of that money could be better "re-purposed" toward creating and maintaining high-quality aerospace jobs building spaceships, probes, and engineering infrastructure.

    http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=pV-c6t5fOVmNorqMpHvnCMw

  46. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In the late 40's Arthur C Clark was writing stories about the British going to the moon. He thought that Britain was still enough of a superpower to be able to do it. Nowadays, we look back at his writings and say 'You've got to be dreaming. Britain is too poor to afford anything like that.'

    I venture to say that in about 40 years time we will look back to NASA's pronouncements about going back to the moon (much less going to Mars) and we'll say 'You've got to be dreaming. The US is too poor to be able to afford anything like that."

  47. I know nothing about this subject. by symbolset · · Score: 1

    I agree with this post in every particular. I have no insight to add. The detail is outside the scope of my experience and training.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
    1. Re:I know nothing about this subject. by Ceiynt · · Score: 1

      Based on your post, please turn in your slashdot account. You can be an expert in underwater basket weaving, but you still have to state that everything else is within your scope of experience. The only disclaimer that is required is the IANAL, and that still allows you to interpret law as you wish. Also, you are not allowed to agree with any posts, and must add insight to everything.
      I do not intend this to be flamebait, but possibly to be funny, which I fail at most times, IMHO.

  48. The proper greeting is "Ni hao ma?" by JustJohnny · · Score: 1

    Great. So we'll miss the 50th anniversary of the first moon landing, and probably trail the Chinese by several years. We'd better make sure our astronauts speak Mandarin, or they won't be able to order noodles at any of the lunar luxury hotels they'll land next to...

  49. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Actually, I had read it the first time and DID like it. Just had been beaten up in another place so was cranky. On a side note, the reason why the pressure earlier, is that everynight (and every nap where my 2 y.o is home), we do a blastoff. He likes to bend backwards at the knees, so that he has has reclining position. I am holding him parallel to the ground. Then we do a countdown with engine ignite at 3 and of course a liftoff at 0. All the way to the fan where he gets to knock the on-off chains on it. So, I have combined that with the SpaceX movie to keep the kids interested in space.

    On a side note, I wish that SpaceX would hire a web specialist. Have that person create constant media like the recent cots-d movie. Also should show the work that is going on. For example, show the shots of the dragon. Any simulation of being inside it would be way cool. When I was growing up, my dad was a b-47 pilot in USAF, and then later a commercial pilot for AA. He had plastic layouts of the cockpit panels that my brother and I played with. I would pay for something similar from SpaceX for the 5 y.o. to play with.

    In addition, I have written Bigelow to suggest the same numerous times. Bigelow does not realize that they NEED to get citizens enthused about what they are doing. For example, it would be useful to them to have ppl calling for America to buy the first sundancer and BA-330 to attach to the ISS. I would LOVE to see us do that and get Bigelow moving forward on getting a station in orbit. At this time, Bigelow has all but checked out. Really sad.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  50. Let the cat out of the bag. by Corxeaus · · Score: 0

    You'll find yourself in one.

    1. Re:Let the cat out of the bag. by __aajoqa250 · · Score: 1

      The next war won't be fought on the moon or on Mars. Maybe everyone's focus has changed a bit.

  51. If they wait long enough... by Phizzle · · Score: 1

    We arent going to have a moon! Damn procrastinators.

    --
    I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.
  52. I guess I will never see a human land on Mars ... by antdude · · Score: 1

    I wished I got to see the moon landing live in the old days. I was hoping it would happen for Mars, but at this rate many of us and I will be dead when a human finally lands on Mars. Building a base on Moon would be cool too since we already landed there in the past. Someone frakkin please get going to space exploration in person.

    --
    Ant(Dude) @ Quality Foraged Links (AQFL.net) & The Ant Farm (antfarm.ma.cx / antfarm.home.dhs.org).
  53. Cathedral and Bazaar, NASA style by camperdave · · Score: 2, Interesting

    NASA is stuck on ARES to the point where any alternative is dismissed out of hand. Engineers are being forced to pare down the Orion capsule, removing safety features so that ARES can lift it. Progress tests have been redefined to allow ARES to pass inspection. There have been reports of persecution for disagreeing with Griffin's cronies. The Stick Must Fly.

    Some NASA engineers thought differently. They got together and dusted off some alternatives from the shuttle design days, modernized them, and came up with the Jupiter/Direct plan. They have had their designs and budgets independently (but unofficially) reviewed and verified. They can get to the moon faster, cheaper, and safer. But sorry, not NASA approved.

    It is the Cathedral and the Bazaar all over again.

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  54. I bet Russians can do it for half a billion by melted · · Score: 1

    It probably won't be as comfy as the NASA version, but it will get there and back.

  55. Re:the rest of the world should chip in by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

    When its international espionage I think it has always been referred too as theft. Or treason. Or something that gets dam close to the death penalty when caught.

    You don't really want to give a spy just a $750-$10000 dollar fine do you?

    In these cases its really not copyright law thats involved.

    --
    The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  56. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "And it's Orion. Try and spell it write, ok?"

    o_O

  57. So let me get this straight ... by thelandp · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Ok.

    So, we just cut the budget on this project from $4billion to $0.5billion.

    And in the meantime, we also just gave $700billion to a bunch of banks. To save them from bankruptcy that was of their own making.

    WTF !?!?!

    Give NASA some funding - like maybe a tenth of what is being spent in fixing the financial crisis? At least then we know it will be spent on achieving something great.

    --

    -- the only thing we have to fear is really scary things
  58. It's simple .... by kramulous · · Score: 1

    RISK

    --
    .
  59. Sorry, but that's a fake... by mangu · · Score: 1

    The picture in the link you posted has been reported as a fake.

    You don't even need to go all the way to Boeing to get to the truth in this case, since the fake Boeing blended wing has a glaring technical error that's obvious at first glance to any aerospace engineer: the turbine intakes are located above the wing in a low-pressure region. If you compare it with existing blended wing or large delta wing aircraft, the turbine intakes are either at or near the front edge of the wing, as in the B-2, or under the wing, as in the Concorde or the XB-70

    Also, passenger airplanes need a big pressurized cabin. Making it different from the cylindrical shape used today would be wasteful, it would need much more strength at the walls and would be heavier.

    1. Re:Sorry, but that's a fake... by holmstar · · Score: 1

      [sarcasm]Oh NOES! Someone on the interwebs claims its a fake! We better believe them! [/sarcasm]

      McDonnell Douglas worked with NASA on the concept of a passenger aircraft based on a BWB design. McDonnell Douglas later merged with Boeing, thus Boeing is now the company behind the concept.

      Also, the photo is real... it is a smallish scale model of the planned design.
      See here: http://www.likecool.com/Car/Transportation/The%20Skyray%20X48B/The-Skyray-X48B----.jpg

    2. Re:Sorry, but that's a fake... by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 1

      So sorry, try this one

      Even if the X-48 in the photos is just a big R/C model it doesn't change the point I was making, and since it seems that people keep missing the point in my comments here it is spelled out.

      Your point "..they will look exactly the same in another 40 years"

      My point; Maybe they won't. There are concepts and designs for aircraft that do NOT look like the planes 40 years ago, a cylinder with wings attached is not the only form that can fly, and not necessarily the only form that passenger aircraft will always have.

    3. Re:Sorry, but that's a fake... by PinkyGigglebrain · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the cover fire. The photos in my original link are of the R/C flight test model. For more info check here

    4. Re:Sorry, but that's a fake... by chrisxcr1 · · Score: 1

      We know you can write but can you read? Go read the captions under the pretty pictures at that cnet page.

      "Don't look for a full-size version right away, however. Boeing has a long horizon for the R&D effort, envisioning the larger successors to the prototype serving as a multipurpose military platform--from cargo transport to bomber--in 15 to 20 years."

      Your comment about engine placement is complete nonsense. Watch the youtube video, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V4URaQgltJA

  60. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by mykdavies · · Score: 1

    When I read your first sentence, I thought I was reading this post again.

    --
    The world has changed and we all have become metal men.
  61. There are better plane designs by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

    ie the bat wing type plane prototyped by boeing, but market research still wants 2 rows with windows, even tho it only represents 2/12th with windows.

    For the record, both orientation women like phallic objects ;-)

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
  62. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    I do worry that has become the situation. If so, W and the neo-cons have bankrupted us while the dems stood by allowed them. Hopefully, the dems push COTs and actually provides 500M or 1B for COTs-E that can do the large booster if Constellation is to be cut. It will be sickening because we had DECADES in which to do this. Bad leadership and politics will be blamed for throwing away such opportunities.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  63. Basic TECHNICAL education is the key by mangu · · Score: 1

    In WWII the Germans managed to build V2's essentially from scratch in country that was by today's standards very low tech

    I once read an anecdote about Von Braun that might explain this.

    In his engineering training there was a six month course where each student was given a rough lump of cast iron at the start of the course. The goal was to convert that lump into a cube. The size didn't matter, but it had to have six flat faces, each edge had to have the same length, and all angles had to be ninety degrees.

    Each student was left to his own, he had to research among the different tools and processes available at the university labs how to perform the task. In the end, the student was graded on how perfect the cube was.

    I think this anecdote (if it's true, I don't know) would explain a lot about how Germany was able to rebuild itself into a technological superpower twice after being destroyed at war in the twentieth century. Their engineers were trained at solving problems, they were trained to research and find practical solutions.

    Unfortunately, too many engineering students in many countries today do not have the slightest idea on how machines work, they are trained in management instead, because becoming a manager is the only way an engineer can reach a higher salary level.

  64. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by PhxBlue · · Score: 1

    /And it's Orion. Try and spell it write, ok?

    I'll take "Irony" for $600, Alex.

    --
    !#@%*)anks for hanging up the phone, dear.
  65. 2020 was a myth anyway by gelfling · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's like reading "they wandered for 40 years" in the Torah. It's just meant to signify a very long time that you're not really going to care about. In a few years it will be pushed out again, and again and again. You see we're NEVER going back to the moon and manned spaceflight will be a memory by 2020. The ISS will be gone. The Shuttle will be gone, The Russians and Chinese will have focused on satellites and space based weapons. The Indians will also be in the commercial satellite business. The Europeans will will simply declare space science an unaffordable luxury of the Evil White Man. With no heavy lifters, no missions and no stomach for the challenge and the risk, mankind will have seen the end of manned spaceflight. Perhaps in a hundred years we'll take another look at it, but who knows? It will probably be against Sharia by then.

  66. Smoke and Mirrors by BodhiCat · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The whole Bush administration Moon and Mars programs were just smoke and mirrors to shift funding away from the Space Station and other NASA programs, then cacel or push back the Moon and Mars missions. NASA put too many eggs in once basket with the poorly concieved Space Shuttle program and we are now paying the price with no good booster to get humans into Low Earth Orbit. I only hope the Obama administration has the imagination to keep the Space program growing in ways that are productive and that help spur the economy. What is the U.S. going to get more out of in the long run? An active space program or planting trees along a highway?

  67. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    In 1961 the Apollo program was founded when US President John F. Kennedy announced a goal of landing a man on the moon by the end of the decade. On July 20, 1969 it was accomplished when Buzz Aldrin and Neil Armstrong landed on the moon. It took eight years.

    40 years later we carry computers in our pocket that have more power than all the computers in the world at that time. Our cars have better navigational equipment. It has been done before. The problem has been solved - we've done it many times. The physics, mechanics and materials are well understood. But now we can't figure out a way to do this again in under a decade.

    Well, you're a bit confused about the timeline. It only seemed to take eight years - but in reality it took over a decade to get all the pieces in place for the 1969 landing. Development of the F1 engine started in 1956, and development of the Apollo capsule in 1960.
     
    Apollo also had virtually a blank check, which the current program does not.
     
     

    It had never been done before. Practically none of the necessary materials science, engineering and physics were even understood at the time.

    That's what nearly forty years of NASA propaganda, journalistic hype, and urban legend would lead you to believe. But it's completely wrong. In reality, NASA managers explicit avoided new technology and risky development wherever possible. (Just one example: This is why the Apollo inertial platform had three gimbals, rather than four. The design was frozen in 1963 - before four gimbal systems were proved in flight by the Gemini program.) They took, wherever possible, existing pieces or technologies well along in development.

  68. U of F Gators by WED+Fan · · Score: 1

    gonna take a lot of gators!

    Have you seen some of the women that go to that school? It won't take as many as you think. Double and Triple wides have several meanings in the south.

    They are the Official School of the Bedonkadonk!

    --
    Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
  69. fermie sshmermie , get real by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

    last 100 years, to us.... WOW so relavent, to aliens, ahh just a small blip. 40000 years is significant.

    Whos to not know that the govts have made contact but are keeping it secret like the 10000 other secrets, now you know why lawyers become politicians.

    Its like a tribe in Brazil saying, "we have seen no tribes for 5 generations, the whole world must be wiped out"

    Get over it, either aliens dont give a rats ass, or they have morals and leave us alone, or are waiting for slowmotion take over taking 2500+ years.

    Even if we are alone, the thought/hope of aliens is enough to make us want to explore other planets so that we eventually will do what we thought aliens will do just so we preserve our selves. Else all this usual locallized 'life' is just boring dull and none sustainable.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
  70. Step Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Give them a break - they are trying something that they have never tried before.

  71. Noooo! by mrfantasy · · Score: 1

    I have a VERY IMPORTANT meeting on the Moon, and I HAVE to be there by 2020! You can't just postpone flights and expect to stay in business!

    --

    -- Of course I'm paranoid. I'm a sysadmin.

  72. Reminds me of Warhammer40k by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In several occasions in the books/games/... they mention they have the lost the knowledge of some technologies. I always thought that was a bit "strange" (as far as we can define strange in such a science fiction universe). But your post made me wonder if we, people of today, are also not constantly losing knowledge of stuff we might need later.

  73. more international cooperation he answer? by peter303 · · Score: 1

    The space station operation seems to working fairly well, even though I think it is too expensive for its results. For a while, the US had to subsidize the Russian space program during Russia's hard times last decade. Now Russia has to subsidize the US with the only manned launch vehicle. The ESA provides an annual unmanned supply ship, with its first success last year. Japan and Canada have built ISS modules.

    The largest missing player is China. They have their own slow, but successful space program.

  74. Terminator is back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They probably delayed this mission because of when the machines are suppose to try and take over.

  75. Yes by symbolset · · Score: 1

    [groucho marx voice] She's a better man than I am.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  76. Tell the sea captains there are whales on the moon by jameskojiro · · Score: 1

    And they will go there to hunt to them and instead they will end up singing songs about it.

    --
    Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
  77. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    /And it's Orion. Try and spell it write, ok?

    Try to.

  78. From my understanding... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...we are already there (moon base on the dark side of the moon), see the book: Dark Mission

  79. Terribly sad by paulxnuke · · Score: 1

    I've been saying for a while that the US will never land on the moon again. This doesn't change anything, it's happening because the US no longer has the national will to commit to anything that big. No foreseeable amount of technology is going to change that, even if it solved all the other problems we have (that are more pressing.)

    I see the 60's as pretty much the high point of modern civilization Project Apollo happened to come along at the only time in human history thus far when both technology and society were capable of it, and society started to seriously decline about that time.

    China may make it to the moon; I doubt anyone is going to Mars, at least not until we've been through a new dark age and (hopefully) renaissance.

  80. ...told you so... by Simonetta · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Every time that a space and lunar exploration story has run on Slashdot for the past three years, I have answered it with a reminder that space and lunar exploration is a fantasy because the USA is ...well... stone dead broke.

    And every time that I point this out, my message gets zapped to -1. And I always get replies that I am (1) a luddite, (2) a moron, (3) an asshole, (4) a fool who doesn't understand how absolutely important space and lunar exploration to human existence, and (5) a twit who doesn't realize that the space and lunar exploration programs are already blasting off because the money has been fully allocated for the next lunar and martian Apollo missions and vast teams of engineers are working on it right now as we speak.

    Well, as it should have been obvious to anyone who is not collecting a fat pay check from NASA or isn't a total Tekkie buffoon, the USA actually is broke, politicians lie, budgets can be quietly revised, and whatever importance space and lunar exploration actually does have for human existence, it's going to have to wait for another hundred years or so. Get used to it because it is your reality.

    You aren't going to see people walking on the moon or Mars in your lifetime. You will be lucky if in thirty or forty years from now if you can rent a tiny car once a year and drive to what once a shiny mall back in the glorious Lindsey_Lohan-cute_superstar era (before she converted to Islam and became president).

    So, be a mensch, and stop modding me down to -1 for simply pointing out the plain honest truth to you'all. Be thankful that someone is willing to do it.

    Come'on Slashdaughters, the 20th century is over. The boom times generated by cheap oil is passing. There will continue to be fantastic scientific discoveries, but they won't be implemented in the same way that they were in the era of your youth. With exploding populations, financial disintegration, and environmental collapse, we will be lucky if we are able to marshal all our scientific, engineering, and political skills to maintain a lifestyle for our special class of people that is equal to 1900, forget about returning to the era of 2000, which will only be available to the rumored ultra-rich 'cloud people'.

    So get real, delicious Slashdaughters, and stop thinking about space and think about place. Your place in the real world. The cold dark world.

    1. Re:...told you so... by HasselhoffThePaladin · · Score: 1

      Almost two hours later and it looks like you've been largely ignored. Things are starting to look up!

  81. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

    Thank you. Posting in lieu of modding up. Pet grammar peeve.

  82. Good! by Slashdot+Junky · · Score: 1

    Frankly, we shouldn't be blowing money on trips to the moon, Mars, or anywhere else not within Ionosphere. All that funding should be directed to more earthly endeavors. The exception is the research that leads technology and understanding that allows to put satellites up there. NASA's funding would be better spent on advancing green-themed initiatives so that we can maybe remain on this planet longer.

    Later,
    -Slashdot Junky

    --
    .
    Landfill Mining Co.
    Managing the (Un)natural Resources of Tomorrow
  83. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

    If so, W and the neo-cons have bankrupted us while the dems stood by allowed them.

    The Dems stood back and ALLOWED it?

    Do you remember when Bush pushed through a prescription drug plan for Medicare? The Dems opposed it vigorously, because it didn't cost enough to suit them.

    Did you notice that when the Dems got control of Congress back the deficit didn't go down at all?

    Have you noticed that Obama's budget for 2010 (which does NOT include the various stimulus packages) will have a deficit three times as big as Bush's biggest deficit?

    The problem isn't that the Democrats "stood by and allowed them", the problem is that the Democrats actively encouraged them, and are actively pursuing policies that will make GWB look fiscally restrained.

    Only hope I have out of all the spending planned for the next decade or so is that a chunk of it goes to NASA....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  84. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Do you remember when Bush pushed through a prescription drug plan for Medicare? The Dems opposed it vigorously, because it didn't cost enough to suit them.
    Yes, a group that had ZERO power in congress VIGOROUSLY opposed it. RIIIIGGGHHHHTTT. And it was the neo-cons that insisted that we pay FULL PRICE for the drugs.
    The dems allowed the irrational neo-con spending.

    As to the deficit not dropping, the dems ONLY got control about 100 days ago. At this time, they are busy putting out neo-con fires.

    Of course, my question is how much really was needed? In addition, once the fires are out, then what? Will they push towards a balanced budget like Clinton did? WIll they push a balanced budget amendment? What is funny is that pubs had TOTAL control of congress for 12 years, had total control of our gov for 6 and even had a split congress for the last 2 years and what did they accomplish in terms of balanced budget, controlling deficits via amendments or controlling term limits?
    Not a damn thing.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  85. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by symbolset · · Score: 1

    Ooh. Well if this is a competition you'll find my son's picture on a tribute site to manned space travel that's named after SpacePort 1.

    /because I am that kind of geek.

    //He's a cute boy.

    Not being critical. I like your posts. I think we share an enthusiasm for manned spaceflight that is missed by most folk. I think if we inspire our kids properly we will win Darwin's game and our critics will not.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  86. Re:Focus? The focus doesn't matter. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

    As to the deficit not dropping, the dems ONLY got control about 100 days ago.

    No, the Dems got complete control of both houses of Congress two years ago. They've been writing the budgets they wanted since then.

    What is funny is that pubs had TOTAL control of congress for 12 years, had total control of our gov for 6 and even had a split congress for the last 2 years and what did they accomplish in terms of balanced budget, controlling deficits via amendments or controlling term limits?

    Not a damn thing.

    And the Dems had total control of Congress for, let's see...40 years before the Republicans got it in 1994. And two years since. And they did how much? "Not a damn thing" fits quite well.

    Note that the first two years of Clinton's terms, the Dems had House, Senate, and Whitehouse.

    Carter's term included complete control of House, Senate, and Whitehouse by the Dems.

    And in none of those periods did fiscal restraint seem to be a goal. Note that during Carter's term, the debt increased by about 30%, which is a larger increase than Clinton managed in two terms.

    The big problem with focusing on the period of the Republican control of the Congress is that the Democratic control existed for a much longer period (40 years of either Democratic control or divided control before the Republicans got control of the House in 1994).

    So it's pretty clear that both Parties spend like drunken sailors when they have the chance.

    Will they push towards a balanced budget like Clinton did?

    Clinton didn't balance the budget. National Debt increased each year he was in office. The highest rate of increase in National Debt during Clinton's terms occurred when he had a Democratic House and Senate to back him up.

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"