X Prize Foundation Wants AI Physician On Every Smartphone
kkleiner writes "One of the exciting ideas being tossed around recently at the X Prize Foundation is the creation of an Artificial Intelligence physician that you could access from your smartphone. Want to know if that rash on your leg is poison ivy or smallpox? Take a photo of it with your phone and ask the AI. The possibilities are enormous, especially for the billion plus people around the world who live more than a few hours' walk or drive from the nearest doctor."
This is one of four X Prizes in planning for the future. The other three are for an AI automobile driver, organ generation through stem cell use, and a deep sea submersible capable of exploring the sea floor.
Not smallpox. C4n I plz haz the prize?
http://www.webmd.com/balance/features/internet-makes-hypochondria-worse
Would the smartphone version be any better?
Because having medical advice available on the internet hasn't led to people flooding GP surgeries because they're convinced their cough is actually Ebola.
I read the title as Al (like short for Albert or Alfred) Physician - I thought to myself, "What a funny name for a doctor."
Dang sans serif fonts...
Since smallpox is the only disease the human race has ever eradicated, an outbreak would be a very big deal. Unless you work in a germ warfare/infectious disease lab, in which caseyou'd already either know what it looks like or have access to people that do.
Here Lies Jim
His cellphone said it wasn't cancer.
SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
A smartphone cannot perform a physical exam. Enough said.
I hadn't known there were so many idiots in the world until I started using the Internet -Stanislaw Lem
...for an epidemic of medical student's disease.
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Tell me more about X Prize foundation Wants AI Physician On Every Smartphone. /emacs
The thing is going to get killed a week after public release after the AI 'misdiagnosis' someone and they decide to sue.
Why mention stem cells specifically in the prize description? I'd rather see something like "Create replacement organs in the lab with MTBF of X years" but I guess that doesn't have quite the same ring to it. Different organs lend themselves to different replacement strategies better than others. The first long term implantable artificial hearts are just coming to the market, at the same time stem cells are being used to build the first replacement bladders, also at the same time some basic nanotech is looking at replacing the pancreas. So... why call out stem cells specifically when the future is probably some fusion of many different approaches depending on need, cost, and ease?
Six posts in and no comments about your phone saying "please state the nature of your medical emergency".
Incredible.
Perfect. All you'll need is one of those phones with a built in projector.
"Please state the nature of the medical emergency."
"Please state the nature of the medical emergency."
We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
Lawsuits will be a problem. And though we've got the technology for AI medical diagnosis (at least for some stuff), the visual processing suggested by the story is still a bit beyond us. (Cf. yesterday's story about identifying images of genitals on chatroulette.)
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
I think this is one example of techno-utopian overkill.
I think you could spend much less money just getting more meat doctors into the bush.
I think this over estimates the ability of AI and anything limited to pure visual inspection could be accomplished by emailing a picture to a doctor using the phones we have now.
Now if this smart phone could do blood tests, you might have something.
I would totally buy it if it said "Please state the nature of the medical emergency."
Maybe its just me, but if your have to walk miles to a Doctor, maybe having a smart phone isnt the best use of your money?
Seriously, isn't it time to stop overusing, abusing and misusing the term AI? Such primitive software doesn't come even close to the kind of intelligence people with IQ of 100 or higher have. Thanks.
Of course I wouldn't want to get sued so my app would just tell you to go see a real doctor you idiot no matter what happened.
Did you know 80 to 90% of the moderators on slashdot wouldn't recognize a troll even if one dragged them under a bridge.
Especially for the billion plus people around the world who live more than a few hours walk or drive from the nearest doctor.
Yeah, to all four of them, who actually have a smartphone
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"You have severe inflammation of the cerebral cortex, human. The only cure is to wire your brain into the AI Overmind. Proceed at once to the nearest Community Conversion Center."
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They need to pay particular attention to privacy concerns if the phone were to have any gathered physiological data or even self described symptoms - I wouldn’t want that information hacked or even disseminated under the best of intentions.... “Look – he’s having a heart attack or early onset diabetes – let’s cancel his healthcare [insurers] or blackmail him [hackers]”
The nearest doctor is a several hours away walking. I don't have a car and there are no roads. But thanks to the AI software on my smartphone and ubiquitous 4G coverage, I have quality health care at my fingertips.
to bad high data rates will kill this and roaming fees can make seeing a real doctor cost less.
How many people in the world that live several hours walk from a doctor or hospital have smartphones? How well does that smartphone work with no coverage? I don't think they tend to put in cell towers in areas where the nearest human population complex is 30 miles away.
If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
...the whole "dermatologist camera" idea sounds cool, but what about internal afflictions? The article says it can tell you whether you're having heartburn or a heart attack--how? What makes this any more reliable than WebMD? Speaking of WebMD, the self-diagnosis numbers are going to go through the roof. I'm sure the ER docs are just going to LOVE this...
This is a terrible idea. However I guarantee that the AI algorithm will have a "success" rate of around 85%, since that is the rate at which illnesses spontaneously cure themselves. This rate is why homeopathy, snake oil salesmen, faith healers and all other forms of shamans and charlatans manage to convince people of their effectiveness. Too bad that 15% of the patients will suffer permanent disability or die using these methods. That's the part of the statistic we doctors manage to concentrate on and improve, the 15% that really need help...
Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
Why do you need AI physician if you already have a phone? Just send a real physician (non-American, of course, because US physicians are really overpriced ones thanks to various professional insurances and malpractice lawsuits) a MMS with your views and symptoms. That will be better analyzed, anyhow.
The possibilities are enormous, especially for the billion plus people around the world who live more than a few hours' walk or drive from the nearest doctor."
And yet... they'll have smartphones?
I know, a lot of countries skip land lines and go to cell phones... but all those people who live hours away from the nearest doctor will have smartphones (as opposed to normal cell phones)?
I guess this prize is already won, then. See http://www.automobile.com/stanford-and-vw-self-driven-vehicles.html
Freedom is not worth having if it does not include the freedom to make mistakes. - Mahatma Gandhi
My first thought was "Please state the nature of the medical emergency."
"You're older than you've ever been, and now you're even older."
Considering how unfriendly the American Medical Association originally was to giving Nurse Practitioners diagnostic/prescriptive authority, I can't imagine they're gonna be happy about conferring it onto inanimate objects.
Especially for the billion plus people around the world who live more than a few hours walk or drive from the nearest doctor
This is brilliant logic, because all of the peole I know who live more then a few hours from the nearest doctor are all about 3.5 hours from decent 3G coverage (more if they have AT&T).
People are retarded, what's next we plan on giving kids who are primarily worried about starving or being shot at by the rival drug gang in Africa a laptop?
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Immediately proceeding this app will be the mobile drug test app. Just pee on your phone and see what color it turns.
print "Take two asprin and call me in the morning";
Where do I pick up my check?
I have lived in places and seen people who are few hours walk/drive away from a doctor. Let me tell you, if you are few hours walk away from a doctor, then you probably do not have an internet connection let alone mobile internet. A doctor would come to your town far ahead of the Internet facility.
The notion of creating a diagnostic heuristic isn't particularly novel, and given the frailty of human memory and other inadequacies of the human brain it has the potential to eliminate a significant number of errors in medical diagnoses. The problem with a machine doing this, in my experience, is the diagnostic component -- many diagnoses are based upon the physician's qualitative interpretation of the patient's symptoms (i.e. as experienced diagnosticians).
Nevertheless, somebody clever will undoubtedly eventually create a medical diagnostic tool on a smart phone, which will be of incredible value – reducing the cost of both physicians and their diagnostic mistakes in the medical services industry. Let's just hope such an application doesn't become another pharmaceutical delivery medium (as I have heard physicians referred to by some marketing people in big pharma).
And after reading your post, my first thought was "I'm a doctor, not a doorstop."
This brings back memories of The Simpsons when Lisa types in Homer and Bart's symptoms into the virtual doctor. The virtual doctor a la Steven Case spews out, "You've got .... leprosy"
" Please state the nature of the medical emergency "
Mine too. So naturally I had to search the comment threads to see if someone had posted it already. :)
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# Press 1 for heart attacks
# Press 2 for aneurysm symptoms
# Press 3 for severed limbs or profuse bleeding
Please stay on hold while we contact a physician for you
[..musak...]
"Before God we are all equally wise - and equally foolish"
Albert Einstein
It's okay. I'm sure the developers will get around to fixing your personality subroutines eventually so that you have a more varied introductory phrase.
True, but doctors these days are often in a hurry and don't do a great exam either (and charge a bunch of money). I'd rather have the info available to me, and use a doctor as a second opinion if I feel it warrants it. Ultimately, my health is my responsibility.
a escape pod episode on a handheld boyfriend
http://escapepod.org/2009/09/17/ep216-%CE%B2oyfriend/
With voice recognition we can use Voyager's Doctor as the screen UI. Maybe use the built-in camera so he can actually take a look, too. I say it's a bit early for this, but we're close.
has herpes.
It's been relatively well established that expert systems can have high success rates for diagnosing diseases within a limited scope(for instance, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mycin).
I can imagine something more general could be put together. The main cost is in acquiring the data; the coding itself is trivial. And you could have it tell you to see a human physician when the confidence level is low. A heavy disclaimer would probably be necessary though.
I anticipate a lot of penis shots. Especially after reading yesterday's slashdot story - http://tech.slashdot.org/story/10/06/15/1419224/Chatroulette-Working-On-Genital-Recognition-Algorithm
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What if the rash is in an area that is a little more personal than the leg? How can we integrate this with Chat Roulette?
As an American (estadounidense) living in a very small rural town in Mexico, where what often passes for a doctor is the guy who but a sign reading 'Doctor' out side of his house. And a medical exam consists of poking your belly and prescribing a wide spectrum antibiotic, I don't think this is an all together bad idea. Yes, for those fortunate enough to live near actual medical professionals I can easily see how it would be very problematic and perhaps lead to more harm than good.
It fills the same role that books like "Where There Is No Doctor: A Village Health Care Handbook."
I will only allow my phone to be my doctor when it passes the requisite exams (ie: USMLE, MCCEE).
It's a cute idea, but probably works about as well as self-diagnosis through Google.
More useful would be portable, automatic test equipment for blood samples. This is already available (PowerPoint file, will open with Open Office Impress) in a small desktop machine. It's marketed, though, as a device which allows US medical practitioners to do blood tests in their offices while charging insurance companies the usual price an outside lab would charge. These things need to come down to the cost of a high-end smartphone, be deployed in pharmacies, and operated by people at the nurse/practitioner, paramedic, or pharmacist level.
Can I borrow your phone? I need to do a colonoscopy.
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I have seen this coming for some time, as I'm sure many people have.
Most of the time when you go to the doctor, he is guessing at your symptoms based on a verbal patient interview. Unless the symptoms have a physical manifestation that the doctor can see or measure, diagnosis is largely guesswork.
There is no reason why this sort of guesswork needs to be done by a highly trained and expensive person. The only reason why we do is we are afraid of the consequences of guessing wrong so we feel better by having they highly trained expert do the guessing.
But we are entering an era where automated diagnostic tools, such as the camera tool in the article, are going to become a reality. We are not yet to the "Star Trek Tricorder", but I don't think it will be long and you /could/ go to a kiosk at the drug store and be scanned, including a blood analysis, by an automated piece of machinery that will be able to diagnose based on observable information rather than guessing based on how the patient is able to describe their symptoms.
This is going to eat into doctor revenues massively.
For society, this will be a good thing. Doctors will be freed up from diagnosing ailments to concentrate on actually curing ailments.
But doctors are not likely to take kindly to these new tools. Just like today there is pushback against the mall-store ultrasound clinics that people can use to get ultrasound images of their unborn babies. The doctors are claiming that these services are "unsafe", despite the fact that you don't have to be a rocket scientist to operate the things. They just don't want their business undercut.
A work that expires before its copyright never enters the public domain and thus enjoys eternal copyright protection.
Seriously, half a dozen Voyager EMH jokes and not a single House reference?
Rectal exam physical enough for you?
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
It was set on "car" not "cancer"!
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
I'm a general practitioner not an oncologist!
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
The addendum just mentions in passing this is only one of four new X Prizes, however the other three all sound much more interesting than an AI Physician for cellphones. Organ regrowth/replacement and AI cars could have a huge impact on our lives, and even a new deep sea submersible sounds kind of cool. As others have pointed out there are already a lot of health resources on the web that are accessible by smartphone. This seems more like evolutionary development than revolutionary.
This Space Intentionally Left Blank
As a physician myself (well I'll have my MD next year), there is more to a diagnosis than a simple test/analysis. The most important part of any diagnosis is the "History of Present Illness" as well as the physical exam. Knowing when to use certain tests, and how to interpret them in the light of the particular patient's present condition is what makes medicine an art as well as a science. I think the idea of a camera taking a picture of a dermatologic problem being a great tool, but it won't be able to make a conclusive diagnosis. Many tests are not black and white, yes or no answers to a problem...they themselves contain errors, which if interpreted incorrectly can lead to further harm to the patient. I think it's going to be awhile before we have an AI doctor like "The Doctor" from the Star Trek Voyager series.
Why not just send the photo to a call center in Asia that's staffed with actual physicians?
In Canada (at least Yukon and Ontario) there is a (free of course) phone number where you can chat with a nurse any time you want. They generally tell you what you can do or whether you should go to the emergency room. It's super handy for people that live outside of cities where it is a long drive or possible even a plane trip to the nearest doctor. Implementing a smartphone application where instead of just consulting WebMD, it actually connects you to a nurse would be the best route to take with this. It would be similar to a phone call, but you could include photographs, or even audio recordings of how you scream when you touch the bubon on your leg.
I hope it has a better bedside manner than the one from Voyager.
http://www.diabetesmine.com/2009/03/lifescans-new-diabetes-iphone-app.html
This is one step. This thing could save lives - unless it's Flash-based.
Give a man a fish and you have fed him for today. Teach a man to fish, and he'll say "WHERE'S MY FISH, YOU IDIOT?"
Slashdot's next poll: how many hours' walk are you from the nearest doctor?
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As I read it, they aren't looking for AI, they are looking for a expert system with a decent interface. The ability to weasel data out of the patient and interpret it. A big database of facts to bang it against. There is no reason it would have to have a voice interface - text would do fine, better initially.
People throw the term AI around a lot.
The service requires a smartphone - which in turn requires a hefty chunk of steady income for the initial contract and the $30 per month data plan (and the mandatory credit card). And who can afford such a costly, high-tech gizmo? Those who already have health insurance. "What, you're sick? Serves you right for being poor!"
"You have Leprosy. Good bye."
*Virtual Doctor avatar scurries away*
Having your AI analyze a cell phone photograph of a rash isn't likely to help in most cases-- you need to know if the rash is palpable, if it blanches when you press on it, exactly how it is distributed over the skin, etc. And a cell phone photograph of smallpox lesions would be completely indistinguishable from shingles.
Lousy example, in other words.
Yeah, just like Professional Engineers "protect" their "monopoly" on being certified to build structures like bridges and buildings competently so that people's lives are not unnecessarily endangered.
Get a freakin' clue.
Must be a brain aneurysm.
http://www.webmd.com/brain/tc/brain-aneurysm-topic-overview
Towards this and to assist patients,nurses,physicians, hospitals, clinics, etc we developed MEDgle http://www.medgle.com/ . We're still in beta but feedback, suggestions and more are very welcome. We believe strongly in empowering everyone with the best personalized evidence based options anywhere anytime. :)
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You've got.... AIDS.
and a friendly face pops up saying: "Please state the nature of the medical emergency." Bonus if your phone has a projector!
There are plenty of cut-and-dry situations where computers can replace or out perform humans and even when they are sub-par, billions of people around the world have limited to no access to doctors but increasingly are getting smart phones. Some people have no medical but they have a cell phone!
This is just the beginning; better hardware and years of development in this area will produce machines that can do even better. It should someday come down to cheap doctor free centers or drug store machines to do the bulk of the diagnosis work before referral to a specialist. A phone will always be limited because it will not have the hardware to probe - a digital x-ray booth with recognition software could make that whole area accessible to billions who couldn't have it before. There is no way a human doctor can know enough to diagnose it all (they luck out in that it follows a bell curve;) the subject is too vast -- somebody has to be on the front line and it may as well be a cell phone that helps you find the proper specialists.
Errors will happen but I see no reason why machines can't out perform the humans on average. I've seen plenty of doctor errors in my life...
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Simply make the thing say "Could be cancer" for every type of ailment.
I win!
- It's not the Macs I hate. It's Digg users. -
Remember -- it's always cancer.
Want to know if that rash on your leg is poison ivy or smallpox? Take a photo of it with your phone and ask the AI.
Or add this into chatroulette and inform the trollers what STDs they have.
... for myself and for millions of hard working Americans without health care. I can afford a phone bill once a month, but I certainly cannot afford to do anything but die in a hospital.
I hold very few opinions. I hold information based on observation and fact. If you wish to disagree, please use facts.
If I already have my smartphone with me, or indeed any phone with camera, and I can take pictures of my skin condition (or whatever), and write or talk about it, perhaps I could SEND the photos and comments to a REAL LIVE doctor, even one who works more than a few hours drive away, but within phone coverage, and get his NATURAL INTELLIGENCE comments, instructions, etc. over the phone? Is AI going to be better and cheaper than human doctors any time soon? And assuming it does get that way, why does it need to run on my smartphone? Through the magic that is the interweb (of which I believe smartphones are a part), would it not be easier to send the data to a slightly more powerful SERVER, and get my AI GP's advice from there? Slapping "AI" and "smartphone" on a problem does not make for a brilliant futuristic solution.
What doctors would actually provide this service?
Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
"This one goes in your ear, this one goes in your mouth, and this one goes in your butt. No, wait..."
Ooh ooh, I want the Dr. House edition!
"Tests take time. Treatment's quicker."
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http://consumerist.com/2009/12/hp-face-tracking-camera-doesnt-track-black-faces.html
If we're having a hard time getting relatively simple AI image recognition tasks like this to work, the ability to make an AI doctor for a cell phone is a very very very long way away.