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Price Shocks May Be Coming For Helium Supply

Ars has an update on the potential helium shortage we discussed a couple of years back. A Nobel laureate, Robert Richardson, argues for ending market distortions that are resulting in an artificially low price for helium, which is accelerating the projected exhaustion of the supply. "Richardson's solution is to rework the management of the Bush Dome [so named for reasons that have nothing to do with the politician] stockpile once again, this time with the aim of ensuring that helium's price rises to reflect its scarcity. In practical terms, he said that it would be better to deal with a 20-fold increase in price now than to deal with it increasing by a factor of thousands in a few decades when supply issues start to become critical. But he also made an emotional appeal, stating, 'One generation doesn't have the right to determine the availability forever.'"

362 comments

  1. Lets mine the Moon! by Seriousity · · Score: 1

    We can make clones on the moon and insert fake memories into them - who wants to spend money on training? Then we can power the world with H3 :D

    --
    This post was made in complete sincere seriousity; as such any attempts to derive humour are doomed to instant failure.
    1. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      No thats Helium 3. The best sources of Helium are in the four gas giants but I think the price locally would have to rise by a factor in the billions to make extraction economical.

      On a personal note my eight year old son asked me the other day how helium balloons work and could we get a bottle of helium to play around with. Looks like I should do that before the price goes up.

      And I wonder exactly how dangerous it would be to use hydrogen for party balloons? The density in the balloon will be low, but the bottle of hydrogen might be dangerous, but possibly no worse than propane.

    2. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Jafafa+Hots · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Looks like I should do that before the price goes up.

      Or, you could explain to him about the situation with helium that you wouldn't want to waste a rare, precious resourse that might be unavailable to future generations even for more important uses, should we continue to use it frivolously today.

      --
      This space available.
    3. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 3, Informative

      Unless the hydrogen cylinder is slowly leaking into an enclosed room, it is basically as harmless as the helium one.

      Hydrogen will give a reasonably zesty(but ever so eco-friendly) explosion if mixed with oxygen in an enclosed space in the right concentrations; but, being less dense than air, tends to just float away unless well enclosed. Plus, at ~atmospheric pressure, H2 has crap energy density, so it is way less dangerous than larger hydrocarbon gasses and liquids.

    4. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by countertrolling · · Score: 5, Funny

      The moon? There's lots more in the sun. Just stick a big straw into it and drain it out. Just don't let BP do it. They'll blow out a big hole and the thing will fly off like a balloon.

      --
      For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
    5. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by arctan1701 · · Score: 1

      i get the feeling that you just ruined a movie that i was planning to see for me, didn't you?

    6. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by swb · · Score: 5, Funny

      Mom, why is dad such a boring, sanctimonious pain in the ass?

    7. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Looks like I should do that before the price goes up.

      Or, you could explain to him about the situation with helium that you wouldn't want to waste a rare, precious resourse that might be unavailable to future generations even for more important uses, should we continue to use it frivolously today.

      Considering the amount of helium lost from weather balloons and airships I doubt my experiments will have an impact.

    8. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by sznupi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But if you would multiply that by the number of all other people doing such experiments / fun and telling themselves (well, OK, mostly just don't know & don't care) that they don't have an impact?

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    9. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Natetheinfamous · · Score: 1

      Or, you could explain to him about the current situation with helium and then explain to his mother why you invested all his college tuition into Helium futures.

      --
      "To invent, you need a good imagination and a pile of junk." - Thomas A. Edison
    10. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 1

      however, if you paint your party balloons with thermite...

      --
      I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
    11. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Bman21212 · · Score: 3, Funny

      I have no problem seeing BP sent into the sun

    12. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wouldn't want to take the chance... Best to just lock 'em up in a dungeon.

    13. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My god, a literal shooting star.
      That would be the most awesome thing ever.

      "hey daddy whats that?"
      "That's a shooting star Sarah, make a wish"
      "Daddy, why is it getting hotter?"
      "blaaaaaggagarrffzzt"

    14. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But I thought helium balloons would fly off _without_ a hole.

    15. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Use hydrogen. Really. It's not that big of a deal when dealing with things as small as toy balloons. And you can tie a fuse on the end of it for some neat fire works. If something goes wrong the fireball might singe you a bit, but it ain't going to maim you.

    16. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Seriousity · · Score: 1

      No, because I lied, what I said doesn't resemble the movies plot at all :)

      --
      This post was made in complete sincere seriousity; as such any attempts to derive humour are doomed to instant failure.
    17. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by zippthorne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, airships should absolutely no longer be allowed to use helium for buoyancy. They ought to use hydrogen, hot-air, or, heck, even nitrogen.

      When there are so many alternatives, there's no good reason to use helium, especially when there are medical and scientific uses that practically require helium to be effective. Ever try diving deep on hydrox? Hydrogen plus oxygen plus pressure is not a cocktail one would recommend lightly.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    18. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Oh the Humanity!"

      Yeah, the overlap between common aircraft dopes and "really flammable shit" is an unfortunate one.

      Assuming you just use mylar or something, you probably won't be Hindenberging in the living room quite as often...

    19. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by deglr6328 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't know why the post above responding to you is at +3 insightful. It is not. Because if you "multiply that by the number of all other people doing such experiments / fun and telling themselves that they don't have an impact" as Sznupi says, you still only end up with a trivial fraction of He use overall, since only 7% of all He production is used in "fill" applications for buoyancy etc. I'm pretty sure the majority of that 7% is going to fill weather balloons and blimps and the like as you note, and the overwhelming majority ISN'T being used as kid's party decoration.

      So don't worry, go out, get your kid one of those small $40 tanks and have fun. Better still, use your imagination and take the opportunity to teach your kids about some physics / chemistry. Start with the phenomenon of buoyancy and how that works (look at how a He filled balloon weirdly behaves in a car), show how helium is non-flammable and explain where its inertness comes from (electron valency - It's already "happy" with the number of e- it has), pick up a cheapo $10 vacuum thermos from Wal-mart or wherever and have your local welding supply shop fill it with liquid nitrogen ($5) so you can demonstrate how gasses expand/contract with temperature changes (the air in a balloon that has been manually blown full will liquefy in LN2, but a He filled balloon won't - explain WHY!), show them some videos about liquid helium on youtube and how much colder it is than LN2, explain how breathing it shifts the speed of sound - thereby shifting the pitch of your voice, etc. etc. etc. etc.

      Is some of this well beyond the level of your 8yr old? Hell yes, and that's why you should do it! It doesn't matter if kids "get it" 100% all the time as so many stultifying grammar school teachers stupidly seem to believe. It matters much more that they are exposed to new things that make them think about familiar phenomena in new ways. They'll remember how fun and interesting the experience was, and the curiosity bred from that will stick with them forever. [/tangent]

      --
      - "Hear that?! The percolations are imminent! Cease your ingress!"
    20. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Yeah, airships should absolutely no longer be allowed to use helium for buoyancy. They ought to use hydrogen, hot-air, or, heck, even nitrogen.

      Well... maybe hot nitrogen. Nitrogen at STP won't get you off the ground. But you missed an important possibility: vacuum. You just need a gas tight sphere, strong enough to take outside pressure.

    21. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Weight balance will probably continue killing that for a long time. I wondered once about lightweight aerogels, with air (carefully) evacuated and providing support for a thin membrane sprung on the surface of the structure; maybe at least something like that would be light enough...

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    22. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by jensen404 · · Score: 1

      If all helium balloons float to the sun, where does the sun fly off to?

    23. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by stalky14 · · Score: 1

      Yes and no. The reason the movie is so good is because it doesn't make the main character not figure out what you figured out 20 minutes in. He knows it and you engage in the moral dilemma with him as the story progresses.

    24. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Tacvek · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The last time airships powered by vacuum were attempted it was found that the then current technology could not create a container strong enough to support a 1 atmosphere pressure differential without weighing enough to cancel out all the displaced air, preventing any buoyancy. Modern technology might be able to do better, but this is not guaranteed.

      --
      Stylish sheet to fix many problems in Slashdot's D3: https://gist.github.com/801524
    25. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by BrokenHalo · · Score: 1

      Has anyone done any comparative study on how long balloons stay inflated with hydrogen vs. helium? I can imagine there might be quite a difference.

    26. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      They ought to use hydrogen, hot-air, or, heck, even nitrogen.

      I've determined that the most efficient way to fill an airship is to evacuate it... a vacuum-filled airship would be much lighter than air, non-flammable, and vacuum is available in abundance throughout the universe.

      All I need is a sufficiently rigid balloon body...

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    27. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Ken_g6 · · Score: 1

      The Mythbusters tested that. It wasn't thermite, and it didn't behave like thermite. So the Hindenburg is still a mystery.

      --
      (T>t && O(n)--) == sqrt(666)
    28. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      You will need to ban smoking and Christmas sparkles at the same time.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    29. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by khallow · · Score: 1

      But you missed an important possibility: vacuum. You just need a gas tight sphere, strong enough to take outside pressure.

      OTOH, with helium, you need a bag (it can even have a large hole on the bottom, see "zero-pressure" balloons) strong enough to wrap a salad bowl. Make a guess which one is far lighter and flies higher?

    30. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by paganizer · · Score: 1

      it's not very dangerous. and if you know how to make a match shooter, lots of fun.

      making a electrolysis rig to make your own hydrogen balloons is pretty darned easy; salt water, DC current, a few graphite rods and a couple of empty 2-liter soda bottles (well, if you want to capture the oxygen also you need two).

      You know what? never mind.

      --
      Why, yes, I AM a Pagan Libertarian.
    31. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by lxs · · Score: 1

      Out of sheer decadence, I'm going to buy a whole bottle and talk like Donald Duck all day.

    32. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      Don't do that. They'll drill the dungeon bottom and drown themselves in oil.

      Thinking better, that doesn't sound so bad...

    33. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      Hell yes!
      Playing with liquid nitrogen at the local university open day was fantastic!
      Sure I was already a science kid but there's something about a liquid nitrogen which is so charming, dangerous and not at the same time... it can freeze something solid in a few seconds yet you can chase bubbles of it around a table with your finger.

    34. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by tsotha · · Score: 1

      No thats Helium 3. The best sources of Helium are in the four gas giants but I think the price locally would have to rise by a factor in the billions to make extraction economical.

      That's true today. Will it be true in 100 years when helium gets truly difficult to get ahold of? I'm skeptical. Assuming, of course, we haven't found some way to synthesize it.

      And I wonder exactly how dangerous it would be to use hydrogen for party balloons? The density in the balloon will be low, but the bottle of hydrogen might be dangerous, but possibly no worse than propane.

      The individual balloons wouldn't be very dangerous, but the filling station would be, and if you stored enough of them in an enclosed space you might have trouble. Probably one of those things most people could do responsibly, but there are enough idiots to make it impractical on a society-wide basis.

    35. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      I know of no formal study; but hydrogen diffuses through stuff with all the enthusiasm you'd expect from such a tiny atom, so I would assume inflation time would be worse.

    36. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by ultranova · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Vacuum is lighter than helium (0 g/l vs. 0.1786 g/l at NTP). The problem is the weight of the casing necessary to keep the atmospheric pressure out. Since it seems that nitrogen is diamagnetic, putting a sufficiently strong superconducting magnet in the middle of the balloon might help by reducing the effective density of the atmosphere around the balloon; unfortunately it's not quite sufficient alone since oxygen is paramagnetic, so we can't build a vacuum bubble with that alone. Then again, simply repulsing nitrogen should create lift...

      Anyone care to work the physics out?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    37. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by ultranova · · Score: 1

      That's true today. Will it be true in 100 years when helium gets truly difficult to get ahold of? I'm skeptical. Assuming, of course, we haven't found some way to synthesize it.

      A fusor should be able to synthesize helium from hydrogen, however I'm not sure how economical that would be.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    38. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by RichiH · · Score: 1

      You should add that pressure leads to an increase in spontaneous oxidation. Especially when people dive cheap and don't use oxygen-save o-rings, lubricants, etc.

    39. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by BubbaDave · · Score: 1

      Jeez, dial the force field down to a point then expand it out to a sphere, what could be simpler?

      Dave

    40. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Vacuum is lighter than helium (0 g/l vs. 0.1786 g/l at NTP).

      In practice that means that you get about a sixth more lift per unit volume. That's nothing when you consider the real secret to helium (and hydrogen) balloons which vacuum simply can't beat. Zero pressure balloons are not fixed volume. The volume of the bag expands as the balloon rises. This means that as long as there remains room to expand, the balloon will rise with near constant lift. Generally, the way it works is that you start with a bubble of helium in a big bag at ground level (or a latex weather balloon weakly inflated). When the balloon rises, the gas expands (even the latex balloons have internal pressure that almost equals external pressure) with volume inversely proportional to pressure. That means at any given altitude, the amount of air that is displaced remains the same. This stops only when either the bag is full and helium starts leaking out the bottom or the latex can't stretch any more. Or when you hit the top of the buoyant part of the atmosphere (around 400k feet).

    41. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      Or better yet, Oh the Huge Manatee!"

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    42. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by GigsVT · · Score: 1

      It's not really a mystery... the thermite-like skin plus the hydrogen taken together were pretty flammable, even in the Mythbuster's tests.

      The Mythbuster's did largely debunk the idea that it was primarily the skin alone burning, since their skin-only tests were not very spectacular.

      --
      I've had enough abrasive sigs. Kittens are cute and fuzzy.
    43. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by ultranova · · Score: 1

      So basically, you're saying that the only bad side of a helium balloon is the need for helium?

      What if we simply painted the balloon black? Or, better yet, make its upper half transparent and the inside of the lower half black? Would the end result be a solar powered hot air balloon?

      I still wonder if my nitrogen-repulsing magnet bubble would work, too. Would the partial pressure of oxygen increase inside to compensate for decreased overall pressure, and if so, to what degree? Total pressure and the magnetic field push oxygen in, partial pressure push it out, which will dominate?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    44. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by morgauxo · · Score: 1

      Wow, at first glance I thought you were kidding! You seem to have really meant that though! Hydrogen - Ever hear of the Hindenburg? Oh the humanity! Hot-Air - Certainly the most feasible of your suggestions. Hot air balloons can and are used regularly already. Still, how energy efficient is it to heat all that air? I can't imagine a balloon provides that much insulation to keep the heat in either. And I don't think it could because thickening the material would just add weight. You are just trading He use for increased fossil fuel use. Nitrogen - Why would a balloon full of nitrogen be expected to float? The air surrounding the balloon IS mostly nitrogen. The balloon would have about the same buoyancy once inflated as it had as a pile of nylon or whatever it is made of lying on the floor.

    45. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by khallow · · Score: 1

      So basically, you're saying that the only bad side of a helium balloon is the need for helium?

      Yes.

      What if we simply painted the balloon black? Or, better yet, make its upper half transparent and the inside of the lower half black? Would the end result be a solar powered hot air balloon?

      We could always beam power from the ground to get the desired level of heating. I don't know of any zero pressure hot air balloons, but doesn't mean it couldn't be done.

      I still wonder if my nitrogen-repulsing magnet bubble would work, too.

      Why would it work? I didn't realize you were serious there.

    46. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by ultranova · · Score: 1

      We could always beam power from the ground to get the desired level of heating. I don't know of any zero pressure hot air balloons, but doesn't mean it couldn't be done.

      Most hot air balloons are open from the below, so the hot air generated by the burner can enter the balloon. What I'm suggesting is letting Sun do the work.

      I still wonder if my nitrogen-repulsing magnet bubble would work, too.

      Why would it work? I didn't realize you were serious there.

      Half-serious. It should work because most of atmosphere is nitrogen, and nitrogen is diamagnetic and thus repelled from magnetic fields. So, if you employ a strong enough field, you should get a nitrogen-free bubble. The only question is: would the lower internal pressure caused other gasses to flow inward, or would their greater concentration inside the bubble cause them to flow outward due to osmotic pressure.

      Basically, it's a balloon made of a force (magnetic) field.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    47. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd advise against hydrogen in party balloons , i had quite the burns on my face (bought it off the street assuming it was helium filled).
      Luckily i was wearing glasses at the time. Pretty colors in the fireball though.

    48. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by elsJake · · Score: 1

      Solar hot air balloons work, just get a couple of garbage bags , make them into a long cilinder by cutting.taping and leave them partially inflated in the sun , they will float.

    49. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1
      One good-and-bad thing about hydrogen, depending on what you're trying to do, is the width of concentrations in which it's flammable: 4 to 75%. That's really great if you're using it as a fuel, but really awful if you don't *want* it to burn furiously. In contrast, for instance, propane is only flammable between 2 and 10%, and gasoline fumes between 1 and 6%, and those are still considered dangerous.

      But, as you say, one big plus of hydrogen is that the flames tend to go upwards, fast, meaning that you're a lot safer than when around gasoline fumes when things start to burn.

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    50. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Wow, at first glance I thought you were kidding! You seem to have really meant that though! Hydrogen - Ever hear of the Hindenburg? Oh the humanity!

      It has been theorized (I actually want to say shown/proven) that the hydrogen was not the problem, it was the paint on the skin. "Secrets of the Dead" on PBS discussed it: http://www.pbs.org/wnet/secrets/html/e3-about.html

      I think Mythbusters did too.

    51. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Two words my friend: Hoop stress.

      The real killer, though, is buckling. The only way you could have a vacuum airship is if you could manufacture a perfect sphere, didn't attach anything to it, and protected it from breezes and all other small forces that could trigger buckling.

      But keep in mind, vacuum only has about 7% more lift by volume than STP hydrogen, so it's really not that big of an improvement for the design problems you have to solve.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    52. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Yes, well flying a hydrogen blimp full of people through a thunderstorm, and landing on a flat plane while dropping wet, electrolyte laden ropes probably isn't a good idea. We should consider not allowing that in the regulations.

      Although an electrically conductive skin might not be a bad idea (to prevent building up a charge), it would be nice not to make it out of a material that can only aggravate any combustion.

      The spectacular conflagration of Hindenberg merely highlights the design problems that would need to be solved in undertaking any future hydrogen airships. But just as a similar fiery spectacle in Souix City Iowa didn't mark the end of the age of airliners, neither should we be quick to reject airships over a single spectacular tragedy.

      More importantly, however, there are more than just manned airships. In fact, most inflatable craft, even the manned ones, carry very few people at all.

      We won't see the cost of all the venting of helium until it runs out, but then there will be a real human cost: helium is a critical component in medical imaging technologies, and its depletion will mean that people will have to go without lifesaving diagnoses and treatment.

      If you can't make a safe airship with hydrogen, and you can't make it with the other elements that are more conservative, then the answer isn't to make a helium airship. The answer is to make no airship.
       

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    53. Re:Lets mine the Moon! by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Because he loves you and doesn't want you to live your life in a world warming out of control, without natural resources, without beauty, without hope. Talking like a chipmunk for a few seconds just isn't worth risking all that.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
  2. No Problem by LBArrettAnderson · · Score: 4, Funny

    This isn't an issue... all we need to do is send some blimps up to collect all of the balloons that kids accidentally let fly away.

    1. Re:No Problem by Yvan256 · · Score: 1

      Another idea would be to fill up a small house with balloons and... oh wait.

    2. Re:No Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too bad the helium on the outer edge of the atmosphere is shaken off earth by its rotation and flung into space.

    3. Re:No Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well then it's a good thing they're contained by rubber!

    4. Re:No Problem by DigitAl56K · · Score: 2, Informative

      All we need to do is make nuclear fusion work.

    5. Re:No Problem by Arthur+Grumbine · · Score: 4, Funny

      All we need to do is make nuclear fusion work.

      This is why this is a non-story. I have it from a very reliable source that practical nuclear fusion is only 20 years away. I spoke to my father and grandfather, and they assured me that this estimate was time-tested, and therefore, reliable.

      --
      Now that I think about it, I'm pretty sure everything I just said is completely wrong.
    6. Re:No Problem by jd · · Score: 1

      Nuclear fusion is easy. We've been able to do that for 50 years. Sustainable fusion reactions that release more energy than they require - that's trickier. (Sarcasm mode on.) Doubtless the real-term cuts in science spending and the active efforts to scrap ITER will help with that. (Sarcasm mode off.)

      Fusion reactors would not only help with helium, they'd slash the need for coal- and gas-powered generators. The heat should also be more than sufficient to recycle many materials by reducing them to pure elemental form. Temps should be way hotter than any blast furnace even a long way off. There is no end to their value. How to get them - well, that's going to take heaps of effort, heaps of money and starting construction on the housing for them now (before we have the designs) since that will take decades and we really don't have a huge amount of time we can waste given the lack of uranium reserves or meaningful oil reserves. I'd also suggest a Manhattan-style brainstorm, with some real pressure for practical results rather than nice theories that can get lots of citations in journals.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    7. Re:No Problem by joggle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Even practical nuclear fusion wouldn't generate nearly enough helium to meet today's needs. Fusion creates an incredibly tiny amount of helium. Even if all of the electrical power in the world was generated by fusion there wouldn't be enough helium produced to fill a single Goodyear blimp in a year.

      There's already shortages of helium-3 (an isotope that has to be manufactured). The entire world only produces 20,000 liters of helium-3 per year (it takes 368 million liters of helium to fill a blimp).

      See http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/23/us/23helium.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=helium%20billions&st=cse

      Once the natural supply of helium-2 runs out, all helium would have to be produced on earth artificially or somehow imported from other parts of the solar system. It would take billions of years for enough uranium to decay to replenish the earth's supply of helium.

      Also, from one of the articles linked to in the story (Sobotka refers to Lee Sobotka, Ph.D., professor of chemistry and physics in Arts & Sciences at Washington University in St. Louis):

      "When we use what has been made over the approximate 4.5 billion of years the Earth has been around, we will run out," Sobotka said . "We cannot get too significant quantities of helium from the sun — which can be viewed as a helium factory 93 million miles away — nor will we ever produce helium in anywhere near the quantities we need from Earth-bound factories. Helium could eventually be produced directly in nuclear fusion reactors and is produced indirectly in nuclear fission reactors, but the quantities produced by such sources are dwarfed by our needs."

    8. Re:No Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Read the linked articles. There wouldn't be nearly enough helium produced from fusion to meet our needs. They don't go into details on this point, but it wouldn't even come to within several orders of magnitude of meeting today's needs for helium.

    9. Re:No Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll start collecting the balloons...

    10. Re:No Problem by PatrickThomson · · Score: 1

      If the cost of helium spikes by a factor of 20, then so does the cost of an MRI and the costs of medicinal chemical research. At least they won't be able to scan for the cancers they can no longer cure, right?

      --
      I am one of many. My idea is not unique, nor do I expect my voice alone to sway you. I speak in a chorus of opinion.
    11. Re:No Problem by AlecC · · Score: 1

      Eh? Helium is not the only component used in MRI - there is a lot of metal and computers. If helium is 5% of the machine cost - and this is a high estimate because of the aforementioned low price - going up by 20 time will double the capital cost of am MRI scanner. Which, since staffing and running costs also figure, will add maybe 50% to the cost of each scan. Which is better than being unable to do them at all in 50 years time.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    12. Re:No Problem by triffid_98 · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Both 40 and 20 years ago practical nuclear fusion was also "20 years away". Therefore this estimate is both time tested and quite unreliable.

    13. Re:No Problem by PatrickThomson · · Score: 1

      This is true, but my comment was more of a visceral attack on the ignorance of the "oh well, no more ballons or fusion, shrug" crowd.

      --
      I am one of many. My idea is not unique, nor do I expect my voice alone to sway you. I speak in a chorus of opinion.
    14. Re:No Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We already make nuclear fusion work. What are you babbling about?

    15. Re:No Problem by khchung · · Score: 1

      Nuclear fusion is easy. We've been able to do that for 50 years. Sustainable fusion reactions that release more energy than they require - that's trickier.

      The point should be, when Helium gets expensive enough, it would be economically feasible to run fusion plants even when they are net energy negative - i.e. the sole purpose of the plant is to harvest the Helium.

      It would be like desalination, you feed in energy and you get Helium as output (yeah, you will need to feed in fuel also, but we have plenty of hydrogen and deuterium on Earth, compared to Helium).

      With a bit of luck and the accumulation of experience, eventually the fusion plants might become net energy positive, and that would be a bonus.

      --
      Oliver.
    16. Re:No Problem by necama · · Score: 1

      Except that liquid helium is a consumable part of an MRI. You can capture the boil-off (or at least try), but you are going to constantly lose some of that boil-off to diffusion through bag/pipes/pump oil/etc. So if the cost of helium goes up, the cost of replacing gas in these systems goes up as well. And that is the scary thought.

    17. Re:No Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have it from a very reliable source that practical nuclear fusion is only 20 years away. I spoke to my father and grandfather, and they assured me that this estimate was time-tested, and therefore, reliable.

      Am I the only one who gets this? Mod parent funny not insightful!! He's saying that for 75 years, estimates have been that practical fusion is 20 years away...

  3. He3 situation even worse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I hear that He3, which is used in high tech detectors in connection to neutron imaging, is harder and harder to get because the US gov't is buying up all available resource to build bulls..., err, terrorism detectors and nothing is left for science.

  4. Killing Brain Cells to end soon by Crock23A · · Score: 3, Insightful

    All I can think of is making kids laugh at parties by inhaling helium and then talking like a chipmunk. I will miss those days.

    1. Re:Killing Brain Cells to end soon by Zerth · · Score: 2, Funny

      In the future, we'll do the trick with sulfur hexafluoride instead.

      At least until enough kids suffocate.

    2. Re:Killing Brain Cells to end soon by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of that scene in My Name is Earl where his younger, borderline-retarded brother Randy grabs the balloon, takes a long draw from it and starts singing (in a squeaky, high-pitched voice) that song from Charlie & The Chocolate Factory, "We're the Lolly-Pop Guild..." and then Earl reminds him that the balloon doesn't contain any helium...

    3. Re:Killing Brain Cells to end soon by poliscipirate · · Score: 1

      In the future, we'll do the trick with sulfur hexafluoride instead.

      At least until enough kids suffocate.

      "Quick! Stand on your head and breathe out!!! HURRY!!"

    4. Re:Killing Brain Cells to end soon by kill-1 · · Score: 1

      Oblig Youtube

    5. Re:Killing Brain Cells to end soon by 2obvious4u · · Score: 1

      that song from Charlie & The Chocolate Factory, "We're the Lolly-Pop Guild..."

      lol, you mean that song from "The Wizard of Oz"?

  5. Re:I can't wait... by TruthSauce · · Score: 5, Informative

    Supply and demand are a short-term adjustment, not a long term one.

    There is absolutely nothing (other than perhaps some sort of "speculative warehousing" schemes) that would allow supply-and-demand adjust to prevent the depletion of a non-renewable resource.

    Helium, for example, is priced based on how easy and cheap it is to extract it from the ground immediately, right now, rather than on what its real time-value is when considering the value of potential important industrial, medical and scientific usage 100 years from now when the stuff will be impossible to obtain, because too many people stuffed it into party balloons and party favours and a billion other random uses today.

  6. Hmm by Stumbles · · Score: 1

    So lets see, discover helium behaves like glass under certain conditions; raise helium prices to reflect some "perceived artificial low" price; profit from a helium super fluids.

    --
    My karma is not a Chameleon.
  7. No problem in the long term by syousef · · Score: 1, Funny

    In the long term disney characters will finally be out of copyright and will no longer be popular. So we won't need helium to make those zany character voices. Better to use it now while the characters are still popular. That is the only use for helium right? Science? Pah, what's that!?

    --
    These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    1. Re:No problem in the long term by syousef · · Score: 1

      -1: Moderator has no sense of humour

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
  8. "One generation doesn't have the right to..." by BarryJacobsen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    One generation doesn't have the right to determine the availability forever.

    Like property rights, why should land only be able to be sold by those who got to it first (or bought it from those who did) - I wasn't able to compete with them and doesn't seem fair that my ancestors lack of ability to "win" should deprive me.

    And the same thing for all the minerals that have already been mined from the earth. And in fact, every single thing on the entire planet, ever.

    1. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by benjamindees · · Score: 3, Insightful

      doesn't seem fair that my ancestors lack of ability to "win" should deprive me.

      Similarly, your ancestors lack of ability to provide for their offspring shouldn't deprive me.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    2. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by fm6 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So conservation == socialism? Why not, everything else does.

    3. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am trying to figure out if 'saving enough for future generations' means I have to save enough for my grandkids, or if I have to save enough for my grandkids' grandkids. How many generations is enough?

    4. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Where did the GP mention socialism? Since everything is socialism, your mention of socialism without it previously being mentioned means you are a socialist! :).

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    5. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by 10101001+10101001 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One generation doesn't have the right to determine the availability forever.

      Like property rights, why should land only be able to be sold by those who got to it first (or bought it from those who did) - I wasn't able to compete with them and doesn't seem fair that my ancestors lack of ability to "win" should deprive me.

      And the same thing for all the minerals that have already been mined from the earth. And in fact, every single thing on the entire planet, ever.

      You're examples are interesting, and they do illustrate a point. One generation does have the right to determine the availability forever. But, it also has the responsibility and obligation to wisely use those resources. This comes not only in not trivially forever consuming resources but also, as you point out, providing for future generations to inherent that which is available in a fair way. Oligarchies makes sense in a gene pool, but in the short term humanity exists much more in a meme pool where ideas have much more weight than genetic mutation.

      The long-term survival of the meme pool to maintain and progress requires, then, the opportunity for everyone to grow so that those most capable, willing, and involved actually continue the meme pool. To facilitate this requires many things, including the availability of quality education and a mechanism of reallocating rival resources (property taxes and death taxes come to mind). This also can translate into absorbing into monetary costs the externalities of pollution or the warpings of other externalities. Just because a right trumps an obligation in the axioms of law doesn't mean a law cannot be created or a society can willfully choose to act individually to fulfill an obligation and withhold from the exercising of a right. Recognizing that this can and should be so is something too few seeming willing to acknowledge, so I do congratulate you on noting the difference.

      --
      Eurohacker European paranoia, gun rights, and h
    6. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by perpetual+pessimist · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      doesn't seem fair

      Life ain't fair.

      But don't worry, you are not required to realize that. It just means you're far more likely to exit life quite soon. We'll laugh at the very surprised look on your face as you leave.

    7. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by selven · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And the same thing for all the minerals that have already been mined from the earth

      Without mining minerals from the earth, we'd be stuck in the Stone Age. It's a tradeoff - our generation gets less minerals to work with, but in exchange we get all our technology. With that in mind, it's reasonable to say that things created by people are the property of their creators, since you have the same (arguably better with all of your aforementioned technology) chance at creating stuff that they did. Since everything on Earth that lasts long enough to be multi-generational and is scarce enough to bother having a property system around is either land, minerals or products, it looks like only land ownership is unfair (a point that can be argued rather convincingly, IMO).

    8. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by falzer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How would you prefer land ownership to work?

    9. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have any sense of realism and not thinking that gold is something made in WoW in the parent's basement, life is wealth. The true judge of how one succeeds or fails in life are three things:

      Net worth -- this is where the proof is in the pudding.
      Credit score -- the judge of how one tells the truth versus being a liar and a deadbeat.
      How much coming in per year. -- how someone's life is getting better or worse.

      Everything else, especially justifications about why one isn't doing well, is just excuses of how someone failed in life.

    10. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by fm6 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      He phrases the whole issue in terms of property rights. The idea that some evil liberal-big-government cabal is down on the concept of private property is at the core of all arguments by people fulminating against "socialism."

    11. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Similarly, your ancestors lack of ability to provide for their offspring shouldn't deprive me.

      GP was talking about "time immemorial", which is when "providing for their offspring" becomes an euphemism for "amass wealth by war and pillage". Don't forget that nobility got started as the privileged warrior class. Property rights were certainly not as sacrosanct back in those days as today's libertarian take them to be.

    12. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those minerals are a bit different, we can use them again, the don't just *fly offworld* when their done !

      Not to mention they just arbitrarilly decided - oh fuckit can't be arsed let's sell them cheap

    13. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      except that helium is mined, used, then escapes into the upper atmosphere and ultimately out into space, never to be seen again. meanwhile, the oil we dig up and burn stays around as carbon dioxide if we ever want to reverse the process. but the only way to make more helium on earth is... nuclear fusion

    14. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by medoc · · Score: 0

      Which is why most civilized countries have inheritance taxes so that the accumulation is eroded (quite strongly, ie 40% in France), and after a few generations the descendants start up like average people (except if the the intervening accumulated enough to offset the tax, which typically and quite unjustly happens with really big, professionaly managed, fortunes).

    15. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by johnhp · · Score: 1

      Who can own a tree? Who can own a rock? Only the great spirit.

    16. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Without mining minerals from the earth, we'd be stuck in the Stone Age. What! Where do you think stone comes from, and what do you think it's made of? Without mining minerals we'd be stuck in the Wood age!

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    17. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what country are you from?

    18. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by DMiax · · Score: 1

      Why not? It's not like you did something to deserve your parents' money, apart from being born in the right family. You are just legally entitled to it.

    19. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      Resources exist to be consumed, and consumed they will be, if not by this generation then by some future. By what right does this forgotten future seek to deny us our birthright? None, I say! Let us take what is ours, chew and eat our fill.

      -- CEO Nwabudike Morgan, The Ethics of Greed

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    20. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by Demonantis · · Score: 1

      I'm not trying to be trollin, but you make it sound like we have burned through all the planets resources. We are at the tip of the ice berg. A lot of people make it sound like we have used up almost all our resources, but I suspect they are the ones trying to sell materials at a premium. Of course we can't access most of the resources. Yet we can access more now then previously possible as the increased value of the resources allows for technological innovation that drives the industrial machine. You are also complaining about things that are easy to accomplish with today's technology, but were very challenging when they were first accomplished. For example, I think anyone who risked life on a ship for months to come to the new world should be rewarded with cheap land. You were born here which probably posed less hardship on you. Of course there are inequities, but complaining about something that wasn't a free lunch is absurd.

    21. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes but it's hard to have ownership of anything else if there is no land ownership. Where are you going to put your stuff? Will it be there when you get back?

    22. Re:"One generation doesn't have the right to..." by noidentity · · Score: 1

      Agreed fully. What gives you or me the right to increase the entropy of the Universe? All those before me who increased it didn't give me any say in whether and how much to increase it, but I have to live with the result.

  9. Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    While on the train ride back from Germany, I read a headline in the Financial Times.

    "Mineral Prices Depress as Fear Dissipates"

    It was spot on. I was involved over the last year in a major project for the Dutch government on the topic of mineral scarcity. After a year of intensive research I came to the conclusion that the mineral scarcity situation was effectively the inability of manufacturers and managers to effectively communicate their material requirements. There is really no absolute scarcity on the planet. We've tapped less than 2% of the resource base on the planet. Unless we suddenly run out of energy, prompting us to slow down extraction of these minerals, it is unlikely we'll ever really be faced with a shortage.

    Needless to say, such analytical conclusions are not popular these days, we'd much rather claim there really is a scarcity situation as that would give the government something to do. Not a shock that the results of my study were warped, rewritten and omitted. In the end there was no science left in the report presented to the Dutch government. Just another fear piece, much like this one, which temporariliy increases the price of a resource so a few greedy bastards can make a buck while legitimate manufacturers get screwed with a major artificial spike in price.

    1. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by rtb61 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      An obfuscating truth covering over a lie. Mineral resources need to exist in sufficient concentrations at any particular point and in sufficient quantity to make mining those resources cost effective. If you a talking about base elements your typical right wing idiot could argue that non of the mineral have been used up at all, it all still exists and hence you never actually use any, so this generation is fully entitled to mine all readily accessible concentrations of resources to profit itself and fuck future generations.

      The mining of resources not only uses up all the 'MOST' viable concentration of resources it also results in pollution of the planet, not only from mining but also from refining (which becomes much worse as you deal with less viable mining resources).

      Whilst today's psychopaths care little for the current generation and even less for future generations including their own descendents, the rest of us the majority still should consider all future generations of humanity in the way we use and abuse our mutual resources, not just the next but thousands of years even hundreds of thousands of years into the future. Of course for the psychopath the whole of humanity can cease and die when the psychopath does as they will no longer be able to exploit them.

      The best way to reduce mineral scarcity, eliminate the psychopaths who consume resources beyond all reason, no more mega yachts, mansions, private jets et al. the planet can no longer cope with them.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    2. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      Insightful MY ASS.

      Prices rises, lower concentrations become economically viable, util we use all the fucking Earth crust.

      This is just a STUPID rant with the all too common "blame the rich". Way more resources are used keeping stupid people like you viable than keeping my humble pleasure boat.

    3. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The best way to reduce mineral scarcity, eliminate the psychopaths who consume resources beyond all reason, no more mega yachts, mansions, private jets et al. the planet can no longer cope with them.

      Wrong. The best way is to develop the world as fast as humanly possible. Why? Because the more resources people consume, the less children they have. If population growth is our enemy, then our friend is economic growth. This is happening in a big way in places like India, which previously was a huge pop growth center. It is still growing, but it is down from 6 births per woman to 2.75 per woman. Why? not because of environmentalism, government or anything. It is because of consumerism and capitalism. Why? because women decided that they'd rather have cars then kids. What this means is that if we build, build, build, we end up with less people total. If we conserve and become poorer, more people will be born, and we will end up with a overpopulation catastrophe. Oh, and the mega yachts etc. of the ultra rich aren't the main resource users. It's average people in developed countries. It doesn't really matter though, because we haven't used all that much of the earth's metals.

      not only from mining but also from refining (which becomes much worse as you deal with less viable mining resources).

      Wrong again, rtb61. A mine in a poorer country that dumps toxic waste into a river is bad news. A modern mine, with all it's emission controls and neutralization processes is not. You really have to understand the difference between an open coal fire and highly emissions controlled one.

      The world contains more than enough metal for all the stuff the enviros love to hate. More energy then we could ever find a way to use hits the earth from the sun. However, we need to actually use it. Then all 15 billion of us can live in mansions, and drive flying SUVs. The real psychopaths are people like you who wish to deny people the right to live their lives to fullest. The best way to reduce mineral scarcity (and this is proven over and over) is to allow entrepreneurs and capitalists to find new methods of mining, recycling, and substitution of materials, and sue them if they dump acid down the drain.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    4. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by roman_mir · · Score: 1, Troll

      well, as long as the 'psychopaths' can defend themselves from such attempts at apparently taking their stuff away, they'll be fine. Also why does it seem to me that you are defining people with means as psychopaths?

      Yet another question is: what's the reason to live at all, if you can't abuse a few people, at least a little and more importantly what's the reason for an entire humanity to live if it can't make it possible for at least some specimens to enjoy all that life has to offer to the fullest extent possible?

      And finally don't you mean 'sociopath'?

    5. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Insightful MY ASS.

      Prices rises, lower concentrations become economically viable, util we use all the fucking Earth crust.

      This is just a STUPID rant with the all too common "blame the rich". Way more resources are used keeping stupid people like you viable than keeping my humble pleasure boat.

      There aren't enough yacht-owning rich to account for all the resource usage on this planet. Hell, one of the biggest uses of electric power in the U.S. is residential refrigeration ... let's blame the rich for that.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    6. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by eparker05 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If only the Romans had been more conservative with their wood resource use! If they had carefully controlled the cutting of trees and rationed the wood, they could have theoretically never run out, and we would still be using the burning of wood as our primary energy source today.

      The next energy and/or mineral gap is always just around the bend, and while prices are cheap, people never develop (or find) alternatives. I agree that we should not be keeping the helium price artificially low, but don't think that we should go into crisis rationing mode just yet.

      There are alternatives on the horizon (using NMR as an example since I am familiar with it): high temperature superconductors exist that some day will be able to make powerful magnetic fields while cooled only by nitrogen. More sensitive detectors and better analysis methods can yield more data from weaker magnets. There are solutions just waiting to be found. If we ran out of helium today, I promise you that organic chemists would still be using NMR in a year.

    7. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by haruchai · · Score: 5, Funny

      You named your ass Insightful? Or is it really the source of your insight? That would explain many of the Anonymous Coward postings I've seen
      over the years.

      "Ladies & Germs, I'd like to introduce Insightful, my ass"

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    8. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by khallow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The best way to reduce mineral scarcity, eliminate the psychopaths who consume resources beyond all reason, no more mega yachts, mansions, private jets et al. the planet can no longer cope with them.

      So when are you going to kill yourself? I believe that would do more to reduce mineral scarcity than killing off the producers.

    9. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Prices rises, lower concentrations become economically viable, util we use all the fucking Earth crust.

      Who's this we? By the time using "all the fucking Earth crust" is "economically viable", it'll cost more than all the trillions of dollars in the world to do it. In other words: there IS an absolute upper bound to the economic viability of resource extraction.

      At that point, we better pray that our descendants have figured out how to get around these limits somehow. Probably by using the lowest class to wade through ancient landfills and sort through the drug needles and toxic waste for usable bits of metals.

    10. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by couchslug · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "The best way to reduce mineral scarcity, eliminate the psychopaths who consume resources beyond all reason, no more mega yachts, mansions, private jets et al. the planet can no longer cope with them."

      Nice rage, but the above listed uses consume a trivial amount of resources compared to more mundane but widespread consumption.

      "the rest of us the majority still should consider all future generations of humanity in the way we use and abuse our mutual resources, not just the next but thousands of years even hundreds of thousands of years into the future."

      Precisely why should we do this?

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    11. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by joh · · Score: 1

      Insightful MY ASS.

      Prices rises, lower concentrations become economically viable, util we use all the fucking Earth crust.

      Nope. There is a point where this stops to be economical in a very final way, because you can't run an economy anymore on that level of costs for things. There is a point of rising prices when nobody can *afford* to pay them, you know.

      What we're doing is living off the wealth that has accumulated over millions and millions of years and we are using them up in a matter of centuries. Many things you can (and have to) replace with others or make them from other things. But helium, as an element, can't be created. And once used most of it vanishes into space. It's gone forever then.

    12. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by FroBugg · · Score: 1

      Wrong again, rtb61. A mine in a poorer country that dumps toxic waste into a river is bad news. A modern mine, with all it's emission controls and neutralization processes is not. You really have to understand the difference between an open coal fire and highly emissions controlled one.

      Just because a mine is modern and in a first world country doesn't mean it's clean and safe. I don't have any examples from precious metals on hand, but the BP gulf disaster, the continuing poor safety record of American underground coal mining, and mountaintop removal coal mining are all excellent examples.

    13. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by zippthorne · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Normal minerals don't go anywhere after you use them, they either remain in circulation or end up in a landfill, which we'll eventually mine for resources later. Helium rises through the troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere.. until the solar wind or a photon, random collisions gives it enough velocity to bounce off into space, never to return.

      It's critical to at least attempt to recover helium since we don't really have it in abundance (like hydrogen, locked as it is in the oceans) and it can so easily be lost forever. At the very least, we should try to keep the annual consumption of helium below the annual production, and I don't mean the rate at which we pull it out of the ground, but the rate at which it forms naturally as a decay product of minerals throughout the earth's crust.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    14. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Of course. It doesn't guarantee that it will be clean. All that matters is that there are ways of mining that don't hurt the environment and that more are in use.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    15. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2, Informative

      It would put a pretty bad dent in human imaging. High temperature superconductors are brittle and very, very difficult to wind in the complex coils at the sizes required to produce a homogenous field big enough to image a person in. Also, people don't sit still long enough for you to image longer to make up for NR drop with a much less powerful magnet. You could still image with resistive magnets, but you couldn't do most of the things we take for granted today.

    16. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Psaakyrn · · Score: 1

      "because women decided that they'd rather have cars then kids."

      [citation please]

    17. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Well, there's a known decline in birth rate in richer countries. I'm guessing there is a woman who said that exactly, the exact quote is just me trying to make the post a bit funny.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    18. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by turing_m · · Score: 1

      Wrong. The best way is to develop the world as fast as humanly possible. Why? Because the more resources people consume, the less children they have.

      That might work for one or two generations. After the trinket addicts get weeded from the gene pool you will be left with those who forsake trinkets for having children, and higher birthrates as a result. Some sort of legislative solution would be needed long term. Or at least, some compassion shown to those who are responsible enough to self-limit their birthrate instead of to the starving children of irresponsible parents.

      More energy then we could ever find a way to use hits the earth from the sun. However, we need to actually use it. Then all 15 billion of us can live in mansions, and drive flying SUVs.

      If we have the right to "live our lives to the fullest", why don't future generations have this right? I guess so long as we can hand-wave into existence some vaporware super-efficient solar technology, it's ok to make decisions with irrevocable consequences, such as expending supplies of energy that have been built up over millions of years in the space of a few short decades. Because all hypoethetical technology magically pans out, just like flying cars (or SUVs), affordable hypersonic jet travel, and terahertz CPUs.

      --
      If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
    19. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by cowtamer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Then all 15 billion of us can live in mansions, and drive flying SUVs. The real psychopaths are people like you who wish to deny people the right to live their lives to fullest.

      I venture to guess that you haven't traveled much. It's easy to rail against environmentalism when

      1) You have your own SUV to think about

      2) You live in a country with abundant natural resources, trees, land, and relatively low population per area

      3) Environmental destruction is an abstract concept that only "left wing wackos" and people who want to take away your "right to consume" rail on about...

      4) You consume (or produce) commercially sponsored news/research/propaganda

      Visit a developing country sometime. You will quickly observe that:

      1) Not even the rich can afford single story houses, let alone mansions because of land scarcity

      2) Even a tiny fraction of the population driving causes unbelievable amounts of traffic and pollution (you will feel this with your own lungs -- not just read about it)

      3) Environmental destruction is effectively permanent (even if some of the ruined pieces or nature theoretically _could_ recover if they had not been covered by apartment blocks, sidewalks, ware houses, or toxic sludge).

      4) People do not ever _debate_ whether environmental destruction is bad. They generally find themselves powerless reverse it once it has happened (e.g., it's a LOT easier to keep an existing forest alive rather than try to grow a new one once you've lost all your topsoil and rainfall due to widespread deforestation).

      I'm no saint. I own an SUV. I commute. I take international flights. I drink bottled water.

      But there's a HUGE difference between not living up to your values and actually BELIEVING that what you do would be good policy if everyone else on the planet did it. The latter may make you feel good, but leads to the election of decision makers who create policies that are far more harmful than the actions (good or bad) of a single individual.

    20. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      1) I don't have an SUV because I can't afford one
      2) I'm really glad I live there, and wish everyone had the opportunity to live like that
      3) Environmental destruction has not actually happened here because of environmental regulations, which means it is an abstract concept. I wish it was for the rest of the world to
      4) I don't read commercially sponsored news. I extract numbers from scientific reports, personal experiments, as well as commercial facts (I.E. the price of iron), etc. Then I calculate the total effect of 15 billion people living "wastefully". The results have so far shown it not to be a problem with existing or near future technology. Stop with condescending BS that's all to typical of the left

      I may visit a developing country some time. Hopefully I will leave it a more developed place. Which one did you visit?

      1) And why is land scarce? Oh, because dictators own it all. Then you realise that everyone could fit in the southern USA at Los Angles pop densities. And yes, I do realise that they will need more land to provide all the stuff they are using
      2) Because there are no emissions control systems on the cars
      3) Environmental destruction may be permanent in some instances. That's why we need to help developing countries move beyond that phase of construction
      4) Because they can't afford to.

      I don't drink bottled water. I love cars and I love SUVs. And I don't have any values outside of my belief in leaving people alone. I don't believe that it would be good policy for everyone to live like me. Instead, I want to change the way I'm living by inventing new technologies, while improving other people's lives. If everyone drives a solar powered SUV, then that's good. And that can happen. We have to stop the people (on the left and right) who want to stop that.

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    21. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Your first point is actually a good one. The question is how many will be left and is it one or two generations or is it 1000 generations. That remains to be seen.

      Your second point, however is not right. The technology exists to solve the oil problem - nuclear, and nuclear gasoline synthesis. Greenpeace has essentially banned it in my country. The idea that we have burned millions of years of stored energy in decades is true but it is a fallacy. That energy was stored in an incredibly inefficient manner. I have not yet calculated it but my guess is that it was stored at less than 1 billionth of a percent efficient. The reality is that the earth gets more solar energy in an hour then we use in a year. If you could harness that energy at even %1 efficiency (try for higher anyway), you'd solve the problem. Thus, we have not made any irrevocable decisions in burning the oil. If we enact social change (I.E., fix our nuclear policy), we can solve the problem with currently existing technology. If we aren't allowed to use existing technologies, we'll have to invent new ones. I'm working on that. And in every shortage in history, be it of wood, whale oil, ammonia (one of my favorites) or of food, the technologists have found a solution. Will they again? We won't know, but we can be somewhat confident that they will.

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    22. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Hell, one of the biggest uses of electric power in the U.S. is residential refrigeration ... let's blame the rich for that.

      Depending on one's perspective, it's quite possible. By third world standards, refrigerators (and even more so air conditioning) are signs of good life; if you pick some African hell-hole, they're positively luxurious, and the person owning such would be considered a fatcat, and blamed as such.

      Which doesn't mean that I'm going to get rid of it for my apartment, of course...

    23. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait, aren't there helium particles in the solar wind already? So aren't we constantly bombarded with helium? Also, while fusion might be impractical for energy generation right now there's no problems making helium with it right?

    24. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by deathbait · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If only the Romans had been more conservative with their wood resource use! If they had carefully controlled the cutting of trees and rationed the wood, they could have theoretically never run out, and we would still be using the burning of wood as our primary energy source today.

      The next energy and/or mineral gap is always just around the bend, and while prices are cheap, people never develop (or find) alternatives. I agree that we should not be keeping the helium price artificially low, but don't think that we should go into crisis rationing mode just yet.

      There are alternatives on the horizon (using NMR as an example since I am familiar with it): high temperature superconductors exist that some day will be able to make powerful magnetic fields while cooled only by nitrogen. More sensitive detectors and better analysis methods can yield more data from weaker magnets. There are solutions just waiting to be found. If we ran out of helium today, I promise you that organic chemists would still be using NMR in a year.

      Friend of mine actually said something similar to me. It's bad when people use that kind of thinking when they're assuming property prices will always go higher just because it has so far. It's just downright scary when you're using the same logic on resources that may or may not be replacable by The Next Big Thing.

      Natives on Easter Island would no doubt have come up with a conservation plan if they had indeed come to the conclusion that there was NEVER going to be a replacement for wood. Part of the reason they chopped that island clean of trees is probably due to the same kind of thinking you're doing now.

    25. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your point might be better made without the random interchange of the words "then" and "than".

      ...because women decided that they'd rather have cars then kids.

      So first they buy cars, and THEN they have kids. How does that make the situation any better?

      The world contains more than enough metal for all the stuff the enviros love to hate.

      Ok, I'm with you there.

      More energy then we could ever find a way to use hits the earth from the sun.

      And now we're back to the problem again.

      How is it possible that otherwise intelligent people can get those two words confused so often? It's not even a grammar problem. The words "then" and "than" don't have the same meaning any more than the words "detail" and "retail" do. If someone said, "there isn't sufficient retail in these drawings," you'd find that pretty confusing, no?

      And now I guess I'll be moderated down. Maybe someone can tell me why the majority of Slashdot moderators find it acceptable when someone corrects a math error or a mistake in lines of code made by another Slashdot poster, but when people try to correct recurring English problems they get moderated down? As someone who's tackled learning a foreign language, this annoys me the most me when I consider the fact that not everyone who reads Slashdot speaks/reads English as their native language. As a result, misusing two completely different words like "then" and "than" on a regular basis risks error propagation amongst a crowd that can ill afford it. And don't tell me it doesn't matter -- re-read that first line I highlighted above from the original poster. Having a word that genuinely means something other than "then" can play a fundamental role in conveying a thought clearly.

      My English isn't perfect ... but confusing "then" and "than"? It's such a basic error and one that's made by so many. Yet somehow I still have hope that the people who visit Slashdot and read the comments are the type of people who want to learn and improve their skills.

      But if I can't convince you, maybe The Oatmeal can with: Ten Words You Need to Stop Misspelling.

    26. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by khallow · · Score: 1
      Fixed it for you.

      It's easy to rail against environmentalism when you aren't the problem

      Why should the developed world make all sorts of environmental sacrifices when they aren't the problem? It's one thing to make some sort of sacrifice because you're generating a bunch of pollution that harms others. It's rather pointless to do so, if you're not the one doing the polluting. That just exaggerates the effects of the externality since your live style is being sacrificed in addition to the direct effects of the pollution.

    27. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by khallow · · Score: 1

      "the rest of us the majority still should consider all future generations of humanity in the way we use and abuse our mutual resources, not just the next but thousands of years even hundreds of thousands of years into the future."

      Precisely why should we do this?

      Too late! You already considered it. At least, you'll be able to fire up your SUV without guilt now.

    28. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by blindseer · · Score: 1

      I have to wonder about the amount of energy required for fusion created helium. What kind of fusion device produces helium? Can such devices be scaled to where it makes economic sense as a helium source? Of course the answer to that question is based on market demands. What alternatives are there to helium? Hydrogen is cheap but has this nasty habit of burning in the presence of heat and oxygen. With the current prices of helium I imagine that few use it if alternatives did exist.

      The solar sourced helium does not come into play since it never reaches far enough into the dense atmosphere of Earth to where it can be captured. I may be wrong and I'd be pleased if I was since all we would have to do is squeeze the helium out of the air using existing technologies. Argon is already being produced by distilling it from the air, same with oxygen, nitrogen, and perhaps a few other gases.

      --
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    29. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Whoops. Thanks for the corrections.

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    30. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by swilver · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It is just unbelievable that this was modded insightful. Parent couldn't be further off base.

      I shudder to think what would happen when the approx. 500 million modern consumers in this world are joined by another 5.5 billion modern consumers. It would probably result in a direct proportional increase in natural resource expenditure and environmental destruction. This planet cannot support the people that are on it now in the way we have been living so far, and you think that transforming those 5 billion poor people into Americans is the solution?

    31. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Another appeal to emotion. State your evidence. And yes that is the solution to population growth, which is one of the two main problems: CO2 and population growth. Consumerism is the solution to population growth. Alternative energy is the solution to CO2. I work to create both.

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    32. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do I have to drive an SUV? Why can't I just telecommute and walk to the store? Driving is such a waste of time.

    33. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      You can if you want. I like driving, and so do many. But you'll be paying a lot if you want to walk to the store and have a big house.

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    34. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Well the developed world leads the world in two bad things: CO2 and fossil fuel use. Everything else is worse in the developing world. The reason is obvious, because when you are rich you use fossil fuels. The solution is obvious, renewable energy. I'm dedicating my life to that.

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    35. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Psaakyrn · · Score: 1

      One women who said that is a sample size of one. Correlation is not causation. My claim is that yes, when incomes rise, people prefer not to have more kids, but it is NOT because they rather have cars. There's like a billion other reasons why they wouldn't want more kids, like say, the chance of death is far lower due to improved access to health-care provided with their increase in income, so they don't need more kids to compensate.

    36. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Okay okay. I put the exact quote (which I made up) as a joke. The real point is that rich countries are no longer adding people to the world. Their populations are growing only through immigration. All countries become rich, then growth stops. Simple as that.

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    37. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by PatrickThomson · · Score: 1

      My understanding of superconductors was that High Tc used a departure from standard superconducting theory that meant they couldn't survive/sustain a magnetic field. All I know is, if a usable NMR was possible using nitrogen only, it'd exist and everyone would have one. Perhaps the relatively small cost of helium compared to the rest of the machine is what's been suppressing research in the field so far.

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    38. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by backwardMechanic · · Score: 2, Informative

      Which is why NMR and MRI are both moving to weaker magnets...oh, no, they're not. They're moving to bigger magnets requiring more helium. We're struggling to find low-temperature superconductors that will maintain a high enough current density, let alone high Tc. Maybe you want to give away sensitivity, but I think you'll find your colleagues don't. Guess who'll be getting published?

    39. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Psaakyrn · · Score: 1

      Yes, but my question is whether they have to go through "consumerism and capitalism", which is your claim on why the birth rate fell, as opposed to environmentalism, government or health-care, all of which are also co-related effects of getting rich.

      (Or at least, in the extent that countries like the USA went through.)

    40. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      So first they buy cars, and THEN they have kids. How does that make the situation any better?

      - those fucking women! Shit, what do we do? I suggest we round them all together and then lock them up in my place, so that I can decide their collective and individual fate. I promise I will make sure they procreate much less!

    41. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Helium rises through the troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere.. until the solar wind or a photon, random collisions gives it enough velocity to bounce off into space, never to return.

      *sob*

      *dries eyes*

      What a sad ending :'-(

    42. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by FishTankX · · Score: 1

      Er... so according to this link
      (energy information administration: http://www.eia.doe.gov/ask/electricity_faqs.asp)
      Residential refrigeration accounts for 8% of residential power.

      According to this chart
      (same source: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/aer/pdf/pages/sec2_6.pdf)

      Residential accounts for about 20% of energy usage.

      Putting those figures together, residential refrigeration accounts for 2% of total energy usage.

      This seems like a rather insignificant proportion.

      A far larger energy hog is residential AC and lighting. At about 6% of national energy consumption.

    43. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I suggest we round them all together and then lock them up in my place, so that I can decide their collective and individual fate. I promise I will make sure they procreate much less!

      Spoken like a typical Slashdot pencildick fag.

    44. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your entire post is stupid beyond belief but this struck me in particular:

      Because the more resources people consume, the less children they have. If population growth is our enemy, then our friend is economic growth. This is happening in a big way in places like India, which previously was a huge pop growth center. It is still growing, but it is down from 6 births per woman to 2.75 per woman. Why? not because of environmentalism, government or anything. It is because of consumerism and capitalism. Why? because women decided that they'd rather have cars then kids.

      You have absolutely zero comprehension of why people reproduce in greater numbers in the developing world. First of all, contraceptives aren't quite that accessible as here and - more importantly - children are the substitute for retirement savings. Even if you - as unlikely as it is - had money to save in such countries, it wouldn't be a feasible option since there are no reliable financial institutions and inflation can skyrocket any time. And as far as your SUVs are concerned - the car Indians dream of affording is a 33 hp Tata Nano, which is intended to be an improvement over the entire family sitting on one motorcycle. Pretty fucking far from SUVs.

    45. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by mr+exploiter · · Score: 1

      Residential refrigeration IS a rich only thing if you look at the entire world instead of just the US. Especially whole-house cooling in the summer seems like a luxury to me .

    46. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Yours is the lie. In third world countries pollution is out of control. There is no restraint on corporations and they operate with total disregard for the future. Yours is the lie of infinite resources, so tell me smart arse, what is the new metal to be discovered, what is the new, copper, then brass, then iron, then titanium 'er' what there are no more beyond that the metals that tend to drift in the radioactive and highly toxic heavy metals.

      The modern corporate lie of raping the planet because like over the last thousands years, what there are more undiscovered continents to exploit, hmm no. We are at the end of the delusion of infinite resources and very hard up against finite reality, yours are the fantasies of the 19th century and already had fallen out of favour by the 20th let alone the harsh realities of the 21st century.

      You never have economic growth in third world labour markets, you have violence and revolution because corporations refuse to let go of the cheap labour and get corrupt politicians to ruthlessly clamp down upon labour and block improvements. The whole of South America is testament to the US corporate lie, the revolutions, the coups, the death squads and, the economic collapse, they are now only starting to growth since they have reduced corporate corrupted US influence.

      The delusion that 6 billion can all live in luxury is the carrot of the psychopath, the reality is the stick of the psychopath, if you cannot have rich people with out tens of thousands of poor people. So how is the US going after 40 years of claims of establishing energy independence, memory serves me correct, each decade worse and worse. How much is the US importing because for some reason it seems it is totally incapable of supporting itself, the supposedly most modern country, is also the most dependent upon the rest of the world country (with foreign debt growth to provide economic proof). Truth hurts doesn't it.

      The psychopathic lying liar lies, so what's new.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    47. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well the developed world leads the world in two bad things: CO2 and fossil fuel use.

      Uh huh. Neither which has been shown to be a serious problem.

      The solution is obvious, renewable energy. I'm dedicating my life to that.

      I have no problem with that. When it becomes economically to switch over, I'll do so in order to save money. But not before.

    48. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by turing_m · · Score: 1

      Your first point is actually a good one. The question is how many will be left and is it one or two generations or is it 1000 generations. That remains to be seen.

      Knowing how exponential growth works, it doesn't take many generations. Think of applying "trinket culture" as applying antibiotics. The general idea with antibiotics is that you apply a dose that is enough to kill all of the bacteria you want to destroy over time. What you don't want to do is apply just enough that it stops the average pathogen from growing but allows the resistant pathogen to grow nicely, reproducing with other pathogens and spreading resistance to the whole population until your antibiotic no longer works.

      The technology exists to solve the oil problem - nuclear, and nuclear gasoline synthesis.

      My problem with nuclear energy is that once used you can't make more of it. You can synthesize gasoline. Try synthesizing some uranium, after you have finished with the U235 and U238 that you have used in breeder reactors or shot off into the desert. And thorium and whatever else will work. If humanity needs that sort of extremely dense energy for some sort of future space colonization effort and we've squandered it on flying SUVs, what a contemptible species of idiots we are.

      However, I see where you are going with this. I'll answer the following, and continue commenting.

      The reality is that the earth gets more solar energy in an hour then we use in a year.

      Ok. Let me verify that. Solar radiation entering earth's atmosphere: 174 peta Watts, or 174k tera Watts. World energy consumption = 15 tera Watts. So 174000/15> 265*24. You are right, by 20%. Or more usefully, if we could somehow harvest all this energy it would be 11600 times as much as we currently use.

      So, what percentage of the earth could we collect this solar from without covering over something that produces food (e.g. oceans, cropland) or would be impractical due to terrain or covered by forest? I think the only thing that would be practical would be deserts and on top of cities. Deserts cover 1/5 of earth's land surface, which is 148*.2 = 29.6 km^2. Total surface area of earth is 510 km^2. So we have roughly 6% of that area where we can put solar collectors (this is only a ballpark figure as we would have to calculate flux passing through each desert). Now we are down to 673 times as much solar energy as we can harvest. At 19-27% efficiency (wikipedia), (say 20%) that's 134 times as much as we can use. Wow. I'm impressed. I wonder how many other deaths by a thousand cuts that "surplus" will be knocked down by, e.g. impractical terrain, difficulty in storage of the energy, transmission losses, maintenance costs, etc.

      But still, the difference in running out of wood, whale oil, ammonia, food compared to the present day is that our actions are having a significant global impact, and potentially a practically irreversible one. As our population grows, we are much closer to being the yeast in the bottle of wine, producing enough pollution to kill ourselves off.

      Continuing the comments from before, I see where you are going with this. If you can efficiently use solar power to convert water and carbon dioxide back into a hydrocarbon, you've potentially solved the world's energy problems AND anthropogenic global warming, (if it exists and carbon dioxide is the culprit). Figure out a way to tax the world, and use that tax to build enough excess equipment to produce surplus fuel, which can then be pumped back into the ground. Just dig a big hole in the desert, and pump it in. Perhaps the world's last somewhat intelligent species did that, and all that remains of their civilization is a big heap of oil under a desert somewhere. And because they prioritized building flying SUVs instead of building sustainable off-world colonies, their civilization got completely wiped out by an asteroid/volcanic outbreak/global pandemic/nuc

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    49. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      The solution is obvious, renewable energy. I'm dedicating my life to that.

      Soylent Energy is People, is that it?

      You're full of hydrocarbons, and people are eminently renewable. Perhaps I should write a modest energy proposal to BP and Obama.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    50. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Junta · · Score: 1

      2) I'm really glad I live there, and wish everyone had the opportunity to live like that

      The problem is that the people who do live like that only do so by other people not living like that. There is a reason why so much manufacturing and mining is done in developing countries with little or no restrictions, and it isn't just the labor cost.

      3) Environmental destruction has not actually happened here because of environmental regulations, which means it is an abstract concept. I wish it was for the rest of the world to

      As above, if those regulations were in effect globally, *fewer* people would live like that and it would cost disproportionately more.

      1) And why is land scarce? Oh, because dictators own it all. Then you realise that everyone could fit in the southern USA at Los Angles pop densities. And yes, I do realise that they will need more land to provide all the stuff they are using

      I do agree that hoarding by violent means is the bigger problem than any artificial scarcity and I have no inkling of how land *really* looks, but on the other extreme of 'LA density everywhere' is a silly concept, considering that LA would not be possible if not for food and other products being brought into the city. If LA were given an impenetrable dome suddenly, a great many would starve when the food stores went out for lack of farmland to cultivate new food.

      3) Environmental destruction may be permanent in some instances. That's why we need to help developing countries move beyond that phase of construction

      It's naive to presume that doing it safe and clean at the similar (really, you are hoping for lower) costs.

      4) Because they can't afford to.

      Because the price of restoring it when technically possible is higher than any value extracted. If you are going to pay the price to put things back the way they were, then you are committing to put more resources into restoration than you will extract in ruining it.

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    51. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by halltk1983 · · Score: 1

      But helium, as an element, can't be created.

      Fusion?

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    52. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by 2obvious4u · · Score: 1

      When cultures go from needing offspring to support them to being able to better support themselves without children is when birth rates go down. Children are a lot of work and drain your finances for thirty years or more. That is a very long term investment with little to no returns. Then again if you have 10 kids who recycle cribs, cloths, etc they become a lot cheaper per child and if you put them to work at an early age and share a residence they increase the families ability to earn a shared income. I'm in a situation where kids are money out not money in, so it hurts me economically to have more.

    53. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Simetrical · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Visit a developing country sometime. You will quickly observe that:

      1) Not even the rich can afford single story houses, let alone mansions because of land scarcity

      2) Even a tiny fraction of the population driving causes unbelievable amounts of traffic and pollution (you will feel this with your own lungs -- not just read about it)

      3) Environmental destruction is effectively permanent (even if some of the ruined pieces or nature theoretically _could_ recover if they had not been covered by apartment blocks, sidewalks, ware houses, or toxic sludge).

      4) People do not ever _debate_ whether environmental destruction is bad. They generally find themselves powerless reverse it once it has happened (e.g., it's a LOT easier to keep an existing forest alive rather than try to grow a new one once you've lost all your topsoil and rainfall due to widespread deforestation).

      So in other words, pretty much like America too, until we got rich and instituted environmental regulation? Like how 20 people died and 7,000 grew sick in a 1948 smog incident in Pennsylvania? That and many other incidents in the same vein were what spurred the first air pollution regulations in this country. That we all take clean air for granted today is a testament to their effectiveness.

      But when you're poor, you live in lousy conditions anyway, so pollution isn't the most important thing on your mind (vs., e.g., disease or starvation). Plus, pollution controls make things more expensive, and you need that money for necessities. It's completely rational for poorer societies to tolerate more pollution, and that is in fact what happens. None of this is the fault of developed nations – it's due to developing nations' quite sensible lack of pollution regulations. As they grow richer, they'll regulate pollution more, totally independent of us.

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    54. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      I assume you're not imagining basically a world of America-esque consumers as seen in the present day, because present-day consumerism is only made possible by outsourcing the pollution, garbage and low pay/bad working conditions. It is totally 100% unsustainable, an illusion made possible by hiding all the ugly stuff, just like a day at a theme park.

      Sure, it may be possible that some day, a present-day-level or maybe even larger population may live with a large wealthy middle class in an environmentally sustainable way. All that would really take is fusion power or a great deal of renewable power, some kind of cleanly recyclable battery (and a major shift to recyclable materials in general, but that's a relatively small issue) and finally responsible people who maintain good leadership. All the technologies required are possible and we may even see them within our lifetime, it's the last bit that may only be possible in theory.

      Libertarians definitely wouldn't like this future though, it would have to be more "socialist" than present-day Canada.

      Maybe they could have their own little sci-fi dystopialand, if it was located in the right area, natural climate effects and geological features could help contain the pollution and allow a safe buffer zone for stray ordnance and unregulated aircraft flights :)

      --
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    55. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Simetrical · · Score: 1

      The problem is that the people who do live like that only do so by other people not living like that. There is a reason why so much manufacturing and mining is done in developing countries with little or no restrictions, and it isn't just the labor cost.

      If all third-world countries suddenly became as rich as developed nations tomorrow, you're absolutely right that the cost of consumer goods would rise greatly in absolute terms. But on the other hand, these newly-rich countries would be buying much more from us and selling much more to us, so we have a lot more money to spend. There's more total wealth, so the fact that a lot of our goods cost more doesn't necessarily mean we'd wind up poorer overall. A more detailed analysis is needed.

      So I'm not an economist and don't know much about economics, but your statement sounds shaky to me. It seems intuitive, but only because we intuitively assume there's a fixed amount of wealth available (thus rich countries must take it at the expense of poor countries), and that's definitely wrong. It's certainly possible in principle for everyone in the world to be richer than Westerners are now. Do you have particular evidence for the idea that we benefit from the poverty of third-world countries, or is this just common sense to you?

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    56. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by eparker05 · · Score: 1

      I never said that the eventual loss of helium as a feasable refridgerant is a good thing. There would be a significant loss in sensitivity and much longer trials would have to be run just to get the same results. There are many fields where high priced helium would hinder productivity, but it's just something we have to deal with, and something that history has shown we will be able to deal with.

      We really have 2 options:
      1) stop using helium now because it will eventually run out.
      2) stop using helium later when it eventually runs out.
      They both lead to the same result.

      Being more conservative will help slow down the loss of helium, and one of the best ways to make people more conservative is by letting the free market determine the price of helium: no government subsidy, no government rationing.

    57. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Psaakyrn · · Score: 1

      The returns depends on culture. Suck to be you when your culture encourages self-fulfillment before filial piety, but there are also many cultures where the child is expected to care for the parent, hence the child being a long term investment, when you can no longer earn income.

    58. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Residential refrigeration IS a rich only thing if you look at the entire world instead of just the US. Especially whole-house cooling in the summer seems like a luxury to me .

      It was 102 outdoors today. One man's luxury ...

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    59. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1
      The fact is simply that there is a hell of a lot of iron around. A hell of a lot of copper. A hell of a lot of zinc. Ironically, titanium is an extremely abundant element (on the order of zinc), but it's a pain to work with, so making stuff with it is expensive. Just do googling to find where it is - look at the recent Afghanistan discovery as one example. Then there is also recycling. As a capitalist pig, I'm quite excited when I see a pile of scrap iron. It's essentially free concentrated iron.

      The idea that people like me believe resources are infinite is a typical straw-man argument. The fact is that no one with half a brain believes that. And in reality, not many people ever did. Go search for some old Edison quotes about gasoline vs. electric cars. It's funny. Meanwhile your fantasies of poverty and doomsday have been debunked over and over and over again. It's tiring work debunking them.

      I'm tried of the US being picked on over and over again. Europe uses similar amounts much resources per capita as us and they aren't in debt to the rest of the world. The reason we are in debt is because of some poor economic moves (subprime et. al). I laugh when I hear the complaints about the USA from Europe. Lets talk about the French empire, the British empire, the Spainish empire, etc. Before we talk about the USA.

      Finally, your calling me a "psychopath" is childish and typical of someone who has passion in something that is wrong and/or worthless. It is also the incorrect use of the term, because the correct term would be "sociopath", as others have pointed out.

      The psychopathic lying liar lies, so what's new.

      Yes they do. This one wears your face.

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    60. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1
      I'm not sure about the "trinket culture". We'll have to see on that one. All I know is that for now, more development == less children.

      My problem with nuclear energy is that once used you can't make more of it.

      That is true. However, sensible estimates for 15 billion Americans energy use ranges from 10,000 to a billion years of energy. By that time, the SUVs will be hyperspace capable and powered by ZPMs or we will have fusion or solar figured out. Nuclear is a technology that can stop oil and global warming RIGHT NOW. The problem is a social issue, but that is changing. It can't provide that energy forever and everyone knows that. But it can provide it for a long time. We can't predict what will happen in 10 years, let alone 10,000 years.

      As for solar, the deserts of the world are the answer for solar generation. We can basically cover up the whole desert with out problems. As for the math, lets do it. My favorite solar energy company right now is E-solar (look em' up). They have a simple system. It is basically a steam engine and a bunch of mirrors (it is unobtainium free). They are getting 1 megawatt/4 acres. What does that mean? 15 billion Americans consume 1460*15 billion watts of electricity. Next, we multiply by 3 because that's about the amount a solar plant delivers when night and day are taken in to account and some other nonsense. How big is this plant? Well, it's about 72 miles on a side. It's big, but not uncontrollably huge. But now lets talk about storage. How do we store that electricity? We don't. Instead we store heat, by using molten salt storage.

      Now let's talk about oil. We can do electricity to gasoline at surprisingly high efficiency. Doty energy, one hydrocarbon synthesis research company, is looking at around 60 percent efficiency as the first cut. Theoretical efficiency is in excess of 90 percent. What does that mean for our esolar system? Well, it is quite big, unfortunately. 800 miles on a side. It would fit but it would be big and annoying. However, it is a grotesquely inefficient process. Light->heat->mechanical->electrical->chemical->heat->mechanical. What those Sandia guys are working on is cutting out some of the trash. And when you do that you get areas of like 100-200 miles on the side. The Sandia guys need more funding, and if a VC asked me "what technology should I invest in right now?", I would say the Sandia tech. What they are doing is trying to develop a loop of chemicals to split the CO2. The way they are doing this is by using arrays of mirrors to heat up red iron oxide, break it down into a different (black) iron oxide, and then react it with water and CO2 to produce hydrogen and CO as well as the red iron oxide. React and get oil. This is what I call a thermochemical engine. This could be way, way more efficient then the previous process. Also, it would use up the high grade heat. After it runs, the excess heat could turn the steam engines to run the powerplants. The ultimate solar energy conversion technology would be a combination of thermochemical aluminum production engines, solar steam, and aluminum-air fuel cells. This system would have huge efficiencies, contain no unobtainium, and have energy densities that make gasoline look like a poor fuel. It would of course require lots of technology development.

      Finally, I doubt any intelligent race has inhabited this planet, unless aliens came by for a picnic and left. There would be left over stuff, like some SUV parts or some teflon tape around, and we would have found it by now. In addition, it is incorrect to assume that the flying SUVs are incompatible with the off-world colonies. We will develop off world colonies, not because of popular will be because some rich genius realises that his or her view of the "perfect society" isn't happening on earth, and builds some spaceships. The economic powerhouse that would be the world at that point would easily be able to produce the ships and the colonies.

      I agree that we should save the

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    61. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1
      I am indeed talking about about a world of America-esque (or really Europe-esque as well) consumers. It is not an illusion. There was a time when many products were made right here in the USA in good (or at least decent) working conditions. It just turns out that China is cheap. Also, a lot of metals are mined in the USA and Canada (nickel for example), and we get along just fine with them. Yes, we outsource pollution. But, dealing with it won't cost an extreme amount.

      Sure, it may be possible that some day, a present-day-level or maybe even larger population may live with a large wealthy middle class in an environmentally sustainable way.

      It will actually be possible in the near future. There will soon be exponential growth in the renewable sector. I hope to be one of the people who profits from it.

      finally responsible people who maintain good leadership.

      Libertarians definitely wouldn't like this future though, it would have to be more "socialist" than present-day Canada.

      I wish you luck with that one. The idea of good leadership is a paradox, because power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely. The best way is to sue people who pour acid down the drain and make it not cost effective to pollute the system. Eventually, the people of Africa and China will demand it, and they will hopefully get their way with no blood spilled.

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    62. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Maybe they could have their own little sci-fi dystopialand, if it was located in the right area, natural climate effects and geological features could help contain the pollution and allow a safe buffer zone for stray ordnance and unregulated aircraft flights :)

      Or utopia, as we would view it. We could call it Galt's Gulch...

      Although, on second though you might want to be careful, a vast army of robot could pour out of it one day and force everyone to drive an SUV :).

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    63. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Uh huh. Neither which has been shown to be a serious problem.

      Basic chemistry says that by burning oil, we have removed it from the ground and added it to the air. It also says that if no reaction is going back the other way we will eventually use up all the oil. This is reflected because the price of oil is rising. So that is what I mean by "fossil fuel use". By CO2, I don't care if you consider it a bad thing, it's just the only really thing we lead at.

      My goal is to be the opposite reaction for oil, reversing its depletion.

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    64. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Actually, I've got a better plan. It will save both the economy and the environment. I call it bankerdiesel.

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    65. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Visit a developing country sometime.

      Is China developing? I've been there, and I think your argument is stupid and 100% wrong. The world can sustain much more than we give it credit for, we just need to do so responsibly. But we end up with two sides, one saying it can't be done and the other wanting to do it irresponsibly. Why can't both be wrong?

    66. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by khallow · · Score: 1

      Basic chemistry says that by burning oil, we have removed it from the ground and added it to the air. It also says that if no reaction is going back the other way we will eventually use up all the oil. This is reflected because the price of oil is rising. So that is what I mean by "fossil fuel use". By CO2, I don't care if you consider it a bad thing, it's just the only really thing we lead at.

      I didn't say it didn't happen. I said it wasn't a serious problem.

    67. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by mr+exploiter · · Score: 1

      Most of the population of the world live in places that are at times hotter than that and they still don't die...

    68. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Most of the population of the world live in places that are at times hotter than that and they still don't die...

      So, in other words, as long as you don't actually, you know, die, it doesn't matter how miserable you are? That's an extreme position and adds little to this discussion.

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    69. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by turing_m · · Score: 1

      They are getting 1 megawatt/4 acres. What does that mean?

      That means that rolling that out across the Sahara would yield 57 times the energy needs of the world. That is awesome. If they can make solar power as cheap as coal, the world's energy needs will be solved. Provided of course that we can either make hydrocarbon fuels with that power or improve battery technology and charging infrastructure sufficiently for transport. If that is true then it means that energy probably won't be the limiting factor for economic growth, which has profound implications. Especially if solar can be cheaper than coal.

      The other things you mentioned are interesting though I would need a lot more study and expertise to be able to discern whether they are realistic. But on the whole it is very promising. Thanks for the conversation, it has been very interesting.

      BTW I was kidding about an intelligent race inhabiting the planet (other than us). But it might be plausible enough to make a movie script.

      The idea that "waste not want not" is doable is wrong. The fact is that doing so will lead to an overpopulation catastrophe, and continuing environmental destruction, as is proven. However, proven technologies can solve the problem for at least 1000 years, and near future technologies can solve the problem forever.

      I think this needs more fleshing out. Are you referring to the Jevons paradox? It appears as if that would depend on whether there are green taxes in place.

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    70. Re:Someone owns stocks in major helium producers by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      But on the whole it is very promising.

      Definitely. But they aren't very flashy or techy so people don't think about it. People are always excited about some system that might save 0.00001% of the energy used or "nano" batteries or solar panels. However, these are not the answer. History shows that simple mechanical systems will triumph. While the "nano" folks will be getting all the press, the engine builders will be getting all the cash.

      I think this needs more fleshing out. Are you referring to the Jevons paradox? It appears as if that would depend on whether there are green taxes in place.

      I'm not referring to the Jevons paradox. I'm referring to several things. First is basic market economics. Supply and demand. Demand goes down, supply goes up, price goes down, demand goes up. Second, I'm referring to the correlation between development and population growth. If we care about the environment, we must make people richer. The people dumping acid down the drain are the poor, not the rich. And it's not really there fault - they have to chose between eating and protecting the environment. Therefore we need to do to things at once. We must have economic growth in the developing world (which will increase energy use) and we must develop sources of energy that do not lead to CO2 production. If we fail at the first goal, population growth will not stop, and will blow up, and we will starve. If fail at the second, we will run out of gas, and starve. Let's not fail at either. In light of these facts, a green tax, which may succeed at reducing energy use, is not a good idea.

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  10. All things in DC rise with taxes by zazenation · · Score: 0, Troll

    What this seems to say is that the price of helium has historically been inversely proportional to the televised quantity of hot air generated by Washington pols. Now they're changing the rules so it is directly proportional to Washington gas emissions. This includes all gases generated by any Washington orifice -- lighter than air or not...

  11. I might know a guy who has helium... by __aatirs3925 · · Score: 0

    Although the answer to that all depends on what you have to offer. Incidentally it pays to be a clown, a mad mad clown that is. MWAHAHAHAHAHHAHAA! *honkahonka!*

  12. Health care impact by adamwpants · · Score: 5, Informative

    I work in respiratory care. We administer a 70%/30% mix of helium and oxygen, called Heliox. It is a low-density gas, making it easier to breathe for people with airway obstructions (such as asthma, throat cancer, etc.).

    The rising cost of helium may make Heliox prohibitively expensive.

    Just wanted to share that helium is for more than balloons.

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    1. Re:Health care impact by JDeane · · Score: 1

      Just switch to Nitrous Oxide!!!

      "I feel funny.... is this real life?"

    2. Re:Health care impact by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 3, Informative

      Not to mention the use of superconducting(and thus typically liquid helium cooled) magnets in medical diagnostic imaging and medical research.

      No helium, No MRIs.

    3. Re:Health care impact by retchdog · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Since the only choices we've allowed ourselves are 1) use it all up now; 2) impose Strict Market Discipline, we're just going to have to go with the latter since the former is clearly nuts.

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    4. Re:Health care impact by turing_m · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The rising cost of helium may make Heliox prohibitively expensive.

      Only if you don't recover it. At some price for helium, sucking the exhalations into a compressor, bottling it and selling it back to the gas company for reprocessing becomes cost effective. I don't imagine that recovering the helium would be difficult given the difference in densities between helium and other gases.

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    5. Re:Health care impact by nomadic · · Score: 1

      Since the only choices we've allowed ourselves are 1) use it all up now; 2) impose Strict Market Discipline, we're just going to have to go with the latter since the former is clearly nuts.

      Unfortunately the libertarian bent of the louder politicians (and slashdotters) makes option 2 pretty unlikely.

    6. Re:Health care impact by imsabbel · · Score: 5, Informative

      Any real use of helium for cryogenics is usually combined with helium recapturing lines. It would be _insane_ to let it go up into the air, even at todays prices.

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    7. Re:Health care impact by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I work in respiratory care. We administer a 70%/30% mix of helium and oxygen, called Heliox. It is a low-density gas, making it easier to breathe for people with airway obstructions (such as asthma, throat cancer, etc.).

      The rising cost of helium may make Heliox prohibitively expensive.

      Are you already using rebreathers? That's one way of holding down costs. Another way is to find another light gas to form your low density mix.

    8. Re:Health care impact by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Except for some...interesting ;) secondary properties, would a 70%/30% mix of hydrogen and oxygen be equally fine as far as human organism is concerned? (hm, given controlled enough usage style?)

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    9. Re:Health care impact by The+Grim+Reefer2 · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the use of superconducting(and thus typically liquid helium cooled) magnets in medical diagnostic imaging and medical research.

      No helium, No MRIs.

      Not quite. There are still low field permanent magnets. Not ideal I grant you, but not the end of MRI either.

    10. Re:Health care impact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Only if you don't mind the highly exothermic reaction between the two gases causing the human to explode. Oh, the Hindenburgity!

    11. Re:Health care impact by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'd hardly say that government regulations that are artificially deflating the price of helium is 'libertarian'.

      Given the description, the helium is a natural resource 'owned' by the government. A proper libertarian response is that the government should get the maximum price it can get for it. IE the most benefit.

      As mentioned, 20X the price might be a little less money in our pocket now, but it's much more later. Fusion plants aren't going to provide sufficient quantities any time soon.

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    12. Re:Health care impact by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Or 3) allow the price to rise, causing entrepreneurs to search for solutions.

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    13. Re:Health care impact by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 4, Informative

      Newer ones are being based on MgB2 and liquid hydrogen.

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    14. Re:Health care impact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There now exist superconductors above the boiling point of nitrogen.

    15. Re:Health care impact by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      libertarian

      That word does not mean what you apparently think it means given the sentence you used it in.

    16. Re:Health care impact by zippthorne · · Score: 2, Informative

      Unfortunately, hydrox has some rather explosive risks. Not sure you want to be playing with it in an area where there might be sparks or flame sources, and there aren't many other options: you're looking for a diluent that's less dense than diatomic nitrogen, with an atomic mass of 28. Preferably a lot less. Not a huge range of possibilities there.

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    17. Re:Health care impact by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 2, Informative

      Another way is to find another light gas to form your low density mix.

      Well there are a few limitations:

      You sure as hell aren't going to find a substitute for Oxygen.
      There is 1 gas that is lighter than Helium, and mixing it with Oxygen and introducing it in high enough volume to breath is dangerous as hell.

      So let's move up the Periodic table. If we can't do Helium, we go up the elements... Lithium, Beryllium, Boron, Carbon and finally.... Nitrogen, which puts us right back at regular air, and thus is pointless.

      So no, there isn't a substitute for Helium.

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    18. Re:Health care impact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah right.

    19. Re:Health care impact by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      "Surgical Fires". Less comedic than the name would suggest. Estimates suggest that there are about 550 a year in the US, generally in situations where relatively high concentrations of oxygen are around to turn a mistake into an inferno with unusual speed; but alcohol disinfectants and assorted electrical gear tend to show up on culprit lists as well...

    20. Re:Health care impact by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Well, maybe huge industrial uses, but the typical MRI or NMR just vents it to the atmosphere. It just isn't enough to try to collect. I'm not sure whether major industrial uses or lots of dewars all over the country constitute the majority of use.

    21. Re:Health care impact by decafcalif · · Score: 1

      And, the semiconductor industry very widely uses Helium in manufacturing processes. Gaseous helium is a better conductor than other inert gases (such as nitrogen, oxygen etc) and is often used to transfer heat/cold away from the wafer during the chip manufacturing process. Shortage of helium (in other words, super expensive helium) has been a concern in the semiconductor industry for a while now.

    22. Re:Health care impact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And, even more important to some of us, for diving :)

    23. Re:Health care impact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fun fact:

      Liquid hydrogen cooled superconductors were mainly developed in Japan. Why? Because Japan did not have access to liquid helium after the second world war.

      Also, using liquid hydrogen as a coolant is exceedingly dangerous. But, if we don't have helium, then we'll just have to be careful.

    24. Re:Health care impact by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Oh, I'm sure it would be nasty. That's why I'm hoping for liquid nitrogen cooled HTSC MRI before then.

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    25. Re:Health care impact by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Your option 3 is the same as the OP's option 2.

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    26. Re:Health care impact by Tacvek · · Score: 1

      Actually, Neon would theoretically work, because Ne still has a lower atomic mass than N_2. Granted though that Neon is going to remain even more rare than Helium for the foreseeable future, so I'm not sure that is a step in the right direction. Neon though is very much non-reactive, so besides the scarcity it would be an ideal substitute for Helium.

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    27. Re:Health care impact by PPH · · Score: 1

      You can't just use an enriched O2 mix? Same O2 for a smaller total inhaled volume.

      Not terribly sophisticated technology. I see old people dragging tanks around the mall all the time.

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    28. Re:Health care impact by PPH · · Score: 1

      Use hydrogen? Its even better for cooling than helium in some applications. I suppose it might not be compatible with some of the process chemistry, but then if you are defining oxygen as an inert gas, hydrogen should qualify as well.

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    29. Re:Health care impact by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Neon has a lower atomic mass than O2 and N2 but is it low *enough*? The nice thing about neon is that it tends not to float out of the atmosphere so it can be recycled from the atmosphere through fractional distillation of the air. Because of it's rarity it costs much more than helium right now. That, it would seem, could change soon enough.

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    30. Re:Health care impact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope the MRI doesn't quench when I'm in it- especially due to a short.

      KABOOM.

    31. Re:Health care impact by Fuji+Kitakyusho · · Score: 1

      Helium is not metabolized, so expense is a non issue if the technology for reclaim / recycling is employed. I am a diver, and have been using Helium in Heliox (He/O2) and Trimix (He/N2/O2) for years. The scarcity issue is not new - commercial diving operations have employed gas reclaim equipment for many years, because they go through tons of the stuff. The recreational and technical diving crowd were slower to respond, but the peaks in the fluctuating helium prices have helped to speed the adoption of rebreathers for this purpose, drastically reducing helium consumption. When I first started mixed-gas diving, every single one of us was blowing through hundreds of cubic feet of the stuff every dive - perfectly good helium lost to open circuit exhaust. Now, most serious divers are moving to closed circuit equipment, and as the cost of helium rises, the lifetime cost of closed circuit gear is becoming cheaper in comparison to the open circuit alternative. I most often still dive on open circuit, but feel the pain every time I purchase gas. I have six T cylinders in my basement - as I recall, I filled them for about $80 each when I first started. Now, the cost is over $200. My point being, for many uses, drastic increases in helium cost will simply drive technology development, as opposed to outright prohibiting historical uses of the gas.

    32. Re:Health care impact by Kronon · · Score: 1

      I second this. Some work can't tolerate the vibration involved with compressors and doesn't require the volume to justify piping it large distances to/from a reservoir. My work always necessitated continuous flow cryostats.

    33. Re:Health care impact by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 1

      Couldn't the same be achieved with CPAP machines to relieve sleep apnoea?

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    34. Re:Health care impact by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Medical MRIs probably have no recovery systems these days. Lots of lab-use NMR spectrometers already are fitted with recovery systems, though. The losses are not that huge, but it is already viable to recover it. On a side note - I had a 18 T magnet quench on me once. I do not want to stand close to such a quench when we have to use hydrogen as coolant.

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    35. Re:Health care impact by j00r0m4nc3r · · Score: 1

      Just wanted to share that helium is for more than balloons.

      Lungs aren't balloons?

    36. Re:Health care impact by Plazmid · · Score: 1

      Why even bother rebottling it when you can scrub the CO2 out and add more oxygen just like they do in rebreathers? The helium, which is inert, would essentially be along for the ride each inhalation-exhalation breathing cycle.

    37. Re:Health care impact by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      Because of it's rarity it costs much more than helium right now. That, it would seem, could change soon enough.

      If we ramp up production of Neon it could even drop in price. I doubt that there is even a fraction of the production capability for neon as there is for other more 'useful' gases. The process itself is no more expensive, and we currently aren't extracting enough to even marginally alter the atmospheric percentage of neon.

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    38. Re:Health care impact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Liquid Hydrogen isn't exactly safe.

    39. Re:Health care impact by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Oxygen is toxic. People breathe based on unconscious cues. So someone breathing toxic levels of O2 and told "don't breathe too much or you'll die" isn't medically responsible. And the specific issue is that they don't want to use N2 because it's heavier than He2. He2 is easier to breathe. The people on Heliox have working lungs and bad passageways. People with bad lungs (pneumonia, cancer, scar tissue from cigarettes) can take higher concentrations of O2 without dying because their lungs aren't efficient enough to process it to toxic levels. Enriched O2 and Heliox are addressing different problems.

  13. Do you hear that? by Adrian+Lopez · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's as if a million chipmunk voices suddenly cried out in terror and turned into baritones.

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    1. Re:Do you hear that? by put_it_down · · Score: 0

      I thought it was an add for the next movie.

  14. Biomass - a renewable resource by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 0

    Helium is the second most abundant element in the universe. If we need it, just go get it. If someone could come up with a rocket that could burn carbon-based politician gas bags, we'd solve this problem in no time.

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    1. Re:Biomass - a renewable resource by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It may be abundant, but it doesn't always make it obtainable. Carving out a bit of the Sun in search of helium stocks might be a tad bit impractical.

    2. Re:Biomass - a renewable resource by imsabbel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, it is. And hydron is the simply most common ones. Why are we then not all just using hydrogen for power?
      Ding Ding Ding. Our planet is not a typical case of "universe", dimwitt.

      Our helium sources are _very_ scarce, as it will depart our atmoshpere in quite a short time, geologically speaking. We have to make do with the results of radioactive decay down below, and even then you need something like long-time accumulation in natural gas fields to get usable helium fractions.

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    3. Re:Biomass - a renewable resource by v1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "abundant" does not equal "easily available". The Sun for instance, is "relatively" close to us in space, and contains more helium than we could ever use, many million times over. Stars tend to have a lot of that and hydrogen in them. But it's not easy for us to get, obviously.

      The problem with helium is it's light enough to escape earth's gravity well, and drift off into space. Because of that, it's not in our atmosphere anywhere in any concentration. So we have to get it from the ground. Looks like the main source is natural gas wells. So all we need to renew our helium supply is more dinosaurs.

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    4. Re:Biomass - a renewable resource by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hear helium also makes a nice "woosh!" as it rises over your head.

    5. Re:Biomass - a renewable resource by repapetilto · · Score: 1

      Dinosaurs were made partly of helium? No wonder they grew so big.

  15. emotional appeal? by retchdog · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It sounds more like a sound moral argument to me, but I guess anything which doesn't have a "$", "€", or similar symbol attached to it doesn't count as rational anymore.

    --
    "They were pure niggers." – Noam Chomsky
    1. Re:emotional appeal? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Informative

      There certainly is a moral element; but helium is a very special case, virtually unique among the elements of human relevance.

      Once it hits the atmosphere, it is inert enough not to combine with anything and light enough to diffuse into space. Game over. No mining the garbage dumps for this one. The only "recycling" that occurs is that in the sense that, if a piece of hardware hasn't been breached, you can remove the helium it contains before decommissioning it.

      The only earthly source of the stuff is assorted alpha-emitting radioactives, since an alpha particle is just a helium nucleus in need of electrons. Very slow. The only viable sources are places where it has had millions of years to be trapped underground, often with natural gas deposits. Once those are tapped out, we wait until some more alpha emitters decay.

      Helium also has some unique properties. There are other inert gasses(nitrogen is inert enough for many purposes, argon is even more so and doesn't float into space), there are other lift gasses(hydrogen, hot air); but if you want very cold fluids, liquid helium is it. Game over. Nothing better available. Hope you guys can figure out high-temp superconductors that don't quench at trivial magnetic field strengths before you run out...

      Virtually every other element or chemical of which we might "run out" we actually mean "run out of really inexpensive supplies". They also tend to be recyclable(in the case of elements and some chemicals) or synthesizable(if you have the energy), and they stay within our gravity well pretty much no matter what you do.

    2. Re:emotional appeal? by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      Isn't it possible to manufacture helium with fusion? I mean fusion is still not good enough for producing electricity, but it should be able to make helium using hydrogen and electricity.

    3. Re:emotional appeal? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is stupid scaremongering. We make plenty of Helium by radioactive decay - that's an alpha particle! It's usually found in natural gas reservoir when the sealing rocks have certain common characteristics. But due to decline in the West Texas natural gas production, we're seeing less of it. Drilling more for natural gas will solve the He supply problem but people like a little scaremongering - there's still a shitload of He trapped in gas fields all over the world.

      Drill, baby, drill.

    4. Re:emotional appeal? by Rockoon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Agreed.

      He has basically put all the badness of using up a resource on the single generation variant. Its as if its not bad when more-than-one generation depletes a resource...

      I've got news for him. The generation that doesnt have access to the resource doesnt give a fuck how many generations it took to use it up.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    5. Re:emotional appeal? by joh · · Score: 1

      Isn't it possible to manufacture helium with fusion? I mean fusion is still not good enough for producing electricity, but it should be able to make helium using hydrogen and electricity.

      Basically, yes. But you get so much energy out of it that doing this for the amounts of helium we're using every day would probably vaporize the planet...

    6. Re:emotional appeal? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Virtually every other element or chemical of which we might "run out" we actually mean "run out of really inexpensive supplies".

      Note that there are rather more than 2x10^17 tons of helium in Jupiter's atmosphere. Plus Saturn's. Uranus'. Neptune's....

      In other words, helium is is just like the other elements we might "run out" in that we'll actually only "run out of really inexpensive supplies".

      Well exactly like them except that there's more helium in the Solar system than there is all the other elements (excepting only Hydrogen) combined.

    7. Re:emotional appeal? by ChaosCon · · Score: 1

      Perhaps a more feasible method (in the same vein you're thinking of) is to use a breeder reactor to generate new quantities of radioisotopes that emit He faster than what is found in the ground.

    8. Re:emotional appeal? by johnhp · · Score: 1

      That's a good point. Even if the world suddenly decided to conserve helium for future generations, it would only take one smiling politician to win favor by using it up. The idea that a valuable resource could survive the next 100 years of George Bush Jr's and Bill Clintons is laughable. It wouldn't take long for the rich to get a little richer and for the resource to be gone.

    9. Re:emotional appeal? by twosat · · Score: 1

      The Delta IV rocket uses a lot of helium to start its liquid hydrogen and oxygen rocket engines; it gets pumped through its turbopumps to to spin them up for pumping its fuel. If its main competitor the Atlas V did not use a Russian kerosene/oxygen engine (the RD-180), then this plus the inefficiency of hydrogen for a first stage engine would have precluded the Delta IV from consideration for being man-rated, I also remember when I was at school that my physics teacher had to send an electron-beam gun to be refilled with helium since it would leak out from the tiniest of gaps around where the glass seal was melted shut.

    10. Re:emotional appeal? by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      If the world decided to conserve helium for future generations, then this generation gets to go without. The next generation is going to use it up just as quickly.

      The inevitability is that most substances on earth will primarily be found inside or part of man-made objects. Its called recycling and we do on the whole apply it just about everywhere made up of valuable stuff, be you in a capitalist, socialist, or communist haven. If there is value in it, we do it by-and-large.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
  16. I RTFA and... by martyb · · Score: 3, Funny

    I RTFA and am pleased to report that it was *really* light reading! ;)

  17. the coming century by circletimessquare · · Score: 2, Interesting

    will all be about the fight to successfully manage the earth: its climate, its species, its fisheries, its water, its minerals, its energy sources etc

    and those who just want to consume, consume, consume, with no forethought, and then: "hey, where'd all the stuff go?"

    but in some areas of this country, when you talk about managing things intelligently and prudently, you're some sort of anti-american fascist liberty destroying socialist

    why is that?

    if that sort of propaganda is allowed to prevail, our grandchildren are going to live (or rather, mostly die) in some awfully brutal conditions

    but just keep ignoring the fish stock depletions, the aquifer depletions, the increased consumption of oil that just gets deeper to dig up, the slowly rising thermostat... nah, none of things are problems! keep partying see? anyone who wants to manage these things is just a killjoy evil liburul!

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:the coming century by fotbr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      why is that?

      I live in redneckland. It sucks at times and is great at others. But maybe I can give you some insight as a result.

      1) Often, "intelligently and prudently" comes across as very condescending, and that doesn't sit well with most people, regardless of their intelligence or social status.

      2) People around here have a very high distrust of anyone that doesn't believe the same as them. Yes, that means religion, and their belief that anyone who isn't their particular variety of christian is automatically "wrong" in some manner. Add to that the fact that most people haven't ever lived far from where they grew up, and a distrust of most "big city folk", and a paranoia of those from either the east or west coasts.

      3) Most of the things you mention aren't an issue around here, so there's also a big case of "out of sight out of mind". Fishing? That's a way to spend the afternoon drinking beer; not a way of life (though some of the bass fishermen would call those fightin' words). Aquifer depletion? Not a huge deal here (yet). Oil? Again, not produced here, and no one will care until it all goes away.

      4) Things that work in the more densely populated area simply won't work here. Small commuter cars are great in cities and suburbs. A better system of public transit and light rail would be completely awesome to have. But they really don't work out in the rural areas. So various proposals that have been made regarding high taxes on gas, or on "gas guzzlers" (specifically light trucks), are seen as directly and unfairly targeting them.

      5) Incomes out here are very low compared to the coasts. So while people in Boston or LA may not think much of something that might cost an extra $1000 / year per family, people out here often cannot afford it. When a family of 4 are barely getting by on an income under $30k before taxes are taken out, ANY increase is difficult. Being told "it's worth it" by someone out east making 6 figures, with no kids, and a wife/husband/partner who ALSO makes a nearly 6 figure salary, doesn't go over very well.

      6) Lastly, when they try to make any of these points, they're often dismissed with little thought because they often don't come across as terribly educated. So when they find anyone willing to listen, they can be fiercely loyal.

      I'm not saying any of these make people around here right (indeed, I often disagree with them on just about everything), just trying to explain part of what's going on.

    2. Re:the coming century by witherstaff · · Score: 1

      When will fox news start a heliumgate discussion how the science is skewed, we have yet to reach peak helium, and that humans couldn't possibly be at fault for this problem?

    3. Re:the coming century by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1
      Actually, I have a really really good solution to this problem. There could be resource tokens, made of cheap materials, like paper. You could trade them for metal, oil, land, etc. You could also trade them for people's time and skills. Scarcer resources could be worth more resource tokens. If you dump acid overboard, you have to pay resource tokens. Maybe these tokens could have pictures of presidents on them or some- oh wait. Money. It will manage those resources for us.

      but just keep ignoring the fish stock depletions, the aquifer depletions, the increased consumption of oil that just gets deeper to dig up, the slowly rising thermostat

      Trust me, many, many people (including me) are aware. They are searching for solutions, like solar arrays, desal plants, government-free recycling, etc. The public will not notice the change. Some people will get rich (hopefully me) and we and the planet will be okay. If not, the prices will force people to cut back and we'll be safe.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    4. Re:the coming century by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but in some areas of this country, when you talk about managing things intelligently and prudently, you're some sort of anti-american fascist liberty destroying socialist

      why is that?

      Because the bible says that you don't have to worry about it (Matthew 6:34, 2 Peter 3:10-13). If you do worry about it, you are clearly doubting the bible and are therefore satan. And the American constitution demands that subjects^W citizens defame satan because this is a christian nation.

    5. Re:the coming century by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      why is that?

      I live in redneckland. It sucks at times and is great at others. But maybe I can give you some insight as a result.

      1) Often, "intelligently and prudently" comes across as very condescending, and that doesn't sit well with most people, regardless of their intelligence or social status.

      Too bad. Sometimes telling your kids what to do comes off as "condescending" - I'm sure the average resident of Dumbfuckistan has a pretty good idea what to do with uppity kids.

      2) People around here have a very high distrust of anyone that doesn't believe the same as them. Yes, that means religion, and their belief that anyone who isn't their particular variety of christian is automatically "wrong" in some manner. Add to that the fact that most people haven't ever lived far from where they grew up, and a distrust of most "big city folk", and a paranoia of those from either the east or west coasts.

      Add in hatred of anyone who isn't white and heterosexual, and you've just about got it. However, exactly how much should the rest of the world bend over backwards to accommodate their invisible friend?

      3) Most of the things you mention aren't an issue around here, so there's also a big case of "out of sight out of mind". Fishing? That's a way to spend the afternoon drinking beer; not a way of life (though some of the bass fishermen would call those fightin' words). Aquifer depletion? Not a huge deal here (yet). Oil? Again, not produced here, and no one will care until it all goes away.

      Once again, this sounds like a problem for the residents of Dumbfuckistan to solve, not something for the rest of the world to have to work around.

      4) Things that work in the more densely populated area simply won't work here. Small commuter cars are great in cities and suburbs. A better system of public transit and light rail would be completely awesome to have. But they really don't work out in the rural areas. So various proposals that have been made regarding high taxes on gas, or on "gas guzzlers" (specifically light trucks), are seen as directly and unfairly targeting them.

      Here's an idea: stop maintaining and building roads that lead to places that can't afford them. How's that for "free markets"? Sorry Cooter, if you want to live in the boonies, better start saving up for the road.

      5) Incomes out here are very low compared to the coasts. So while people in Boston or LA may not think much of something that might cost an extra $1000 / year per family, people out here often cannot afford it. When a family of 4 are barely getting by on an income under $30k before taxes are taken out, ANY increase is difficult. Being told "it's worth it" by someone out east making 6 figures, with no kids, and a wife/husband/partner who ALSO makes a nearly 6 figure salary, doesn't go over very well.

      Maybe if the family of 4 had stopped voting Republican a generation ago there'd actually be some decent-paying jobs left. If you can't afford to live in the sticks, MOVE. After all, fine upstanding politicians from all over Dumbfuckistan will tell you that unemployment and welfare just make people lazy!

      6) Lastly, when they try to make any of these points, they're often dismissed with little thought because they often don't come across as terribly educated. So when they find anyone willing to listen, they can be fiercely loyal.

      I'm not saying any of these make people around here right (indeed, I often disagree with them on just about everything), just trying to explain part of what's going on.

      You've also succeeded in explaining why we shouldn't spend a DOLLAR more to "preserve the rural way of life". As a city resident, I'm sick and tired of watching my tax dollars go to subsidize the bucolic existence of people who hate me and everyone I know - and I'm even sicker of watching those same people accuse others of being "parasites" and "welfare queens" (bonus fact: most federal cash assistance goes to rural areas, despite the Raygun fantasy of Latifah in her Cadillac).

    6. Re:the coming century by Mspangler · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "will all be about the fight to successfully manage the earth"

      And you got it in one, once you add the part that it's even more about managing people, as in dictatorship.

      You will decide what car (if any) I get to drive, you will decide what I eat, when I'll be allowed to have kids, what medical care I'm eligible for, and so on.

      That's the not so hidden agenda that riles up people so well. I don't know if you intend to be one of the new slavemasters or not, but someone is pushing for that role. Richard Heinberg is very open about using "Government means" to "encourage" 50 million people to move out to newly confiscated and redistributed lands to take up organic subsistence farming.

      As for him, in his own words (I do give him full points for honesty)

      http://www.richardheinberg.com/museletter/189

      "Many people (this includes him) who are doing this necessary work (leading others on the path of righteousness as defined by him) will be unable immediately to put much effort into building alternative, off-grid dwellings, and may have to continue using computers and jet transport, at least in modest ways. "

      He will milk the system for every luxury he can get because he has to show the true path to the 50 million new eco-serfs who are being marched out into the country at bayonet point.

      And this one is really a riot: http://energybulletin.net/node/22584

      "Rather than a new peasantry that spends all of its time in drudgery, we could look forward to a new population of producers who maintain interests in the arts and sciences, in history, philosophy, spirituality, and psychology--in short, the whole range of pursuits that make modern urban life interesting and worthwhile."

      As if subsistence farmers have time for anything other than subsistence. And you are never more than two bad years from starvation. See the Little Ice Age by Brian Fagan, who has a much more realistic view of subsistence farming, or the opening act of said book;

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Famine_of_1315-1317

      Yes, I grew up on a farm, and even with Friend Diesel and Friend Hydraulic System, it's not easy.

    7. Re:the coming century by GlassHeart · · Score: 1

      Money. It will manage those resources for us.

      You are correct that the market will eventually sort it out. However, the market is not always gentle, with prices rising gradually until it nears infinity upon depletion. If it did, then the rising prices would indeed trigger conservation and alternatives. The problem is that political concerns may cause the governments to artificially depress prices until they can no longer do so, and you have a sharp jump with no time to plan for alternatives.

      Any listening person can be easily convinced that we're not accounting properly for the price of oil, for example. The US troops hanging around the Persian Gulf are paid for by US taxes, not at the pump. This is very easy to see. Now, if the US government goes bankrupt and withdraws these troops, you might suddenly see lots of pirate activity that creates wild fluctuations in prices. These will be painful, probably leading to hoarding and other undesirable side effects. The market will eventually sort out the new price, but it'll do damage to many economies first.

      So maybe there's a better way than just leaving it all to the market.

    8. Re:the coming century by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Of course, we need to send the oil co's the bill for the wars. Then they'll pass it on to consumers.

      Prices won't go to infinity. Investors give the market system foresight. Investors predict that the price will go up, and the investors build stuff before the prices go up suddenly. Look at all the investors in alternative energy, although it makes up a tiny amount of the total energy production. Look at the work on water. People plan ahead for these things and take a shot at it. I agree that the oil situation could be painful. That's why I'm studying to be one of those entrepreneurs who deals with it.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    9. Re:the coming century by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      anyone who wants to manage these things is just a killjoy evil liburul!

      There are two ways scarcity can hurt people. The price of some good can slowly rise as it gets more rare (think oil). Or, a resource can become unavailable after some tipping point is reached (think Cod population collapse due to overfishing in the North Atlantic). In either case, the people who hate government will fight to make the government ineffective at solving the problem, then use the problem as evidence that government is ineffective.

      Prices slowly rising as we run out of oil that can be extracted at a low cost? !@#$%^&* inflation! Why doesn't the government manage the currency properly!

      Why did the government allow the fish population to collapse? Clearly the government is incompetent, and should not be trusted to manage anything.

      Yes, I know there are some libertarians who are both wise and intellectually honest. I am not talking about you. I am talking about the other 99.999% of conservatives.

    10. Re:the coming century by cduffy · · Score: 1

      That's the not so hidden agenda that riles up people so well. I don't know if you intend to be one of the new slavemasters or not, but someone is pushing for that role.

      Someone is pushing for every side imaginable -- we've got a whole lot of people in this world. To put it differently -- everyone has their wingnuts, and wingnuts are best ignored. I don't paint all Christians by the Westboro Baptist Church, for instance, and expect similar courtesy when it comes to characterizing my own positions.

    11. Re:the coming century by khallow · · Score: 1

      will all be about the fight to successfully manage the earth: its climate, its species, its fisheries, its water, its minerals, its energy sources etc

      Where's the evidence that you have a clue about what it takes to successfully manage the Earth? Capitalists already have a ready solution to the problem: own it. If the public is as stupid and gullible as you claim, then sure your lazy argument is good enough. Just market your "solution" right and you can screw up humanity (and Earth's environment, come to think of it) to your leisure. But my take is that you haven't demonstrated any more foresight than the consumers you seem to despise.

      if that sort of propaganda is allowed to prevail, our grandchildren are going to live (or rather, mostly die) in some awfully brutal conditions

      You got evidence for that? Looks to me like baseless FUD. "Do it for the kids" is one of the lousiest lines on Slashdot.

      but just keep ignoring the fish stock depletions, the aquifer depletions, the increased consumption of oil that just gets deeper to dig up, the slowly rising thermostat... nah, none of things are problems! keep partying see? anyone who wants to manage these things is just a killjoy evil liburul!

      These are all tragedy of the commons problems. There are many ways to deal with them. I doubt that creating a bunch of new commons (which is one of the natural outcomes of regulating resource consumption) will do anything other than make the problem worse. Let me walk you through the implication. Let's start with an owned resource. By your assumption, it's being ruthlessly exploited. That means government has to take over and regulate the resource. Right there, you've created to some degree a public good since now no one exercises the old ownership rights. That also simultaneously creates the moral hazard of the tragedy of the commons. As long as your government works, you can keep on doing that, creating new public goods and adding regulation to offset the moral hazard problem. What happens if your government stops working right? Suddenly you have a pile of public goods getting ruthlessly exploited by people who don't have anything to lose by the exploitation. A lot of them will be sitting in a government, I might add. At least, if it were private property, someone could defend it personally.

      There are other big problems. For example, you greatly reduce the incentive for people to provide the resource. If I don't own a fishing ground, then I have less incentive to fish, or to improve the quality and value of that fishing ground, even if there is a large public resource available (owning something that you could make valuable, gives you some incentive to make it valuable). That isn't helped any if there are burdensome regulations preventing all but a small oligopoly out of the fishing business.

    12. Re:the coming century by halltk1983 · · Score: 1

      An excellent response. Living in Texas, I can agree with each of your observations.

      --
      Watch for Penguins, they eat Apples and throw rocks at Windows.
    13. Re:the coming century by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I can appreciate number 1 and 4 (slightly), but the rest....don't paint a pretty picture at all.

      2. Learned Bigotry.
      3. Willful Ignorance.
      5. Complete lack of understanding about taxes. Republicans consistently give tax tiny tax breaks to the middle and lower classes and huge tax breaks the the upper class. My conservative relatives still believe that Obama didn't cut their taxes. I don't know if that is ignorance, or blinded by a conservative ideology, but I cannot understand why those folks can't understand that numbers.
      6. Most of the time those shouting the loudest aren't terribly educated, and frankly, the rest of the country is pretty sick of them being on the national news (tea party, palin, etc etc).

      Your post is modded correctly as 'insightful', but what it implies is that many of us on the west/east coasts, northwest, etc.. are correct in our assumption that something is drastically wrong with media when the number one news station in the country is very much pro-conservative/tea party.

      Maybe it just shows that the blue folks have basically given up trying to talk sense into red folks who willfully ignore facts. I don't know, but I find it pretty depressing.

    14. Re:the coming century by fotbr · · Score: 1

      The sad part is that by giving up on communication -- on the part of all sides of the various issues -- we're left with little except name calling (see palin, kos, etc), and that doesn't really help things at all.

      As far as the tea party goes - I'd actually like to see them become a viable political party. Not because I agree with much of their platform, but because once the two-party system is broken, it becomes a little easier for other parties to become viable as well. And partly (ok, fairly large part) because I think it'd be amusing to watch the resulting wailing and gnashing of teeth that would result.

      Politics have never been all peaches and roses, and the last 12 years or so kicked off pretty bad and went downhill, with no signs of any positive change. But now that same divisiveness is sticking its ugly head into the sciences and turning everything into a goddamed red v blue political football.

      Somewhat off-topic...there are times I think the internet really is a bad idea since it makes 'groupthink' much stronger and much more prevalent than it'd otherwise be.

    15. Re:the coming century by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I don't think the internet is at fault for the group think, so much as the concentration of media ownership and the continual rise of corporate influence in the media and politics.

      Take Citizens United vs. the Supreme Court as yet another example of 'big money' being able to influence more and more Americans.

      The massive rise of 'think tanks', who do 'studies', which are then taken at face value (or blow out of proportion) on talk radio and internet blogs, which winds up basically being touted as fact a few days later on major news outlets is the primary reason that so many Americans find themselves entrenched in one camp or the other.

      The only way out I see (short of a massive reform of campaign finance rules, shorter term limits, etc..) is basically to broaden libel and slander laws to include ideas and theories.

      If you, as a news organization, or journalist, are found guilty of intentionally misleading or grossly mis-reporting facts by a jury of your peers, its off to jail/big fine time.

      You can get in trouble for libel or slander against a person, but why not against a theory/idea such as global warming, which for society has a much larger impact if it is not handled objectively and with the truth in mind?

    16. Re:the coming century by fotbr · · Score: 1

      The problem I see with that solution: What about the issues where you can find facts to support multiple, differing conclusions on the same issue? Then you have courts deciding science, and given how badly courts handle pretty much everything, I don't see how that could end any way except badly.

      And since libel and slander are usually civil procedures, not criminal, you also introduce the ability for those with deeper pockets to bully others (RIAA & MPAA vs college students, for example).

      Though I do like the idea of Murdoch and his minions having to fund organizations like the ACLU and EFF...

    17. Re:the coming century by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      Well, I suppose if there are an equal amount of facts supporting an issue/theory, then the outcome of the court should indicate that in its ruling.

      But really, if the wording of the 'new' libel and slander laws were very strongly worded (grossly misrepresented, vast majority of evidence favors, etc..) then the jury should be clear that rulings should only be against the worst of the bunch.

      However, in reality, I can't think of any major issues that are so evenly balanced with facts that a jury would be confused, given competent prosecutors of course:)

      AGW reporting would be a very interesting case. I cannot imagine how a prosecutor could screw that up, given the preponderance of evidence in favor of the theory.

      I do see that bullying could be an issue (big institution vs college blogger) but that is the case with almost all law now.

  18. Shipping and handling is a bitch... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

    Best case, being outside of our puny little gravity well tends to add 4 or 5 zeros to the terrestrial price....

  19. I found the solution by ckedge · · Score: 2, Funny

    1. Bottle helium
    2. ...
    3. Profit

    FUCK YEAH.

    1. Re:I found the solution by Yvan256 · · Score: 1

      0. Buy bottle-making companies.
      1-3. (your plan here)
      4. More profits!

    2. Re:I found the solution by mog · · Score: 1

      It's the other way now...

      1. ...
      2. Bottle helium
      3. Profit

  20. Good times gone soon... by adosch · · Score: 1

    The days of sounding like an oompa-loompa with old birthday balloons are over! Back to plugging my nose.

    1. Re:Good times gone soon... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're thinking of the munchkins. Oompa-loompas had more of a baritone.

    2. Re:Good times gone soon... by adosch · · Score: 1

      Ah yes! Thanks for the correction. I'm a goomba.

  21. Re:I can't wait... by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 3, Informative

    Nevermind that you can never, ever, get back the helium you loose on the surface of the planet.

    I don't mean to burst your Helium bubble, but the stuff is actually produced naturally by radioactive decay in the crust, etc. You may have heard of things called alpha particles, which sometimes have the symbol He2+. All you need to do to get Helium at this point is add 2 electrons, and we're not short on those.

    --
    May the Maths Be with you!
  22. The real question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How much does he stand to benefit from the immediate rise of helium prices? If his gain is negligible maybe he actually cares. If not, maybe he is just trying to start arbitraging. This is the era of parasitic individualism where people will sell out professional reputations in order to live comfortably into the future while everyone else suffers. As a result, we must be wary the motive.

  23. Whew! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Well...I'm GLAD I have a 1200cc/min hydrogen generator then. I've been making hydrogen balloons for years with it. I take them outside and blow them up...or inhale them to sound funny...Should have seen what I did yesterday for the 4th....

    I guess I could use them for children's birthday parties huh?? Just hope some little girl doesn't think she's cute and rubs it in her hair to make it staticy and BOOM!!! I'm kidding. I guess b*day parties will just have to be dull with no balloons that float.

    Here's a tip: If you want to inhale hydrogen but not kill brain cells and get light-headed, then mix the oxygen with it that you're also getting from electrolysis. Then you have 66.6% hydrogen and 33.3% oxygen. That's MORE O2 than you get from the air!! Just DON'T get a spark near you! Your lungs (and you) would seriously explode since it's mixed together...the reaction would seriously back up down your throat and into your lungs and you would explode everywhere. You wouldn't get the "fire-breathing effect" that works only if there's no oxygen in your lungs.

    1. Re:Whew! by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      You know, you could switch to *nitrogen* balloons. i don't think they'd work with rubber, but with a thin enough material and a large enough volume, you can get some decent buoyancy out of 100% nitrogen. And you have the added bonus that you only have to worry about oxygen diffusion into the balloon rather than nitrogen diffusion out of it!

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    2. Re:Whew! by LoRdTAW · · Score: 1

      Maybe add a little hydrogen to help float it.

    3. Re:Whew! by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      I guess I could use them for children's birthday parties huh?? Just hope some little girl doesn't think she's cute and rubs it in her hair to make it staticy and BOOM!!!

      You've heard, I suppose, the story of George, who played with a Dangerous Toy, and suffered a Catastrophe of considerable Dimensions?

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  24. EETS TEH BOOOGEYMAN! by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

    So what have you done? That is, other than post rants against something straight out of Amalgamated Stereotypes, Ltd?

  25. No problem by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

    Pipeline to Jupiter.

    Sheesh. Wake me when you have a *real* problem.

  26. Facts by DCFusor · · Score: 4, Informative

    Most helium is released from nat gas flares in oil wells, as at current prices it's not worth recovering either if the well is far from concentrated "civilization". And as the parent mentions, that's it, it's lost. Yes, you can make helium with fusion, and I even do it here, but in amounts that make a microgram look like large lots. Lemme know when a fusion reactor makes energy gain -- I'm working it, but....not yet. www.coultersmithing.com has some info there. Helium 3 is in far shorter supply (always, but now it's really critical) and it is because the DHS has taken it all for portal neutron detectors -- you can't buy it as a civilian (or the detectors new) for ANY price whatever. Sometimes can find it in a used detector, that's about it, and CERN is crying because they need that for their superfluid He dilution coolers. This is a separate but also important issue -- 3He is a decay product from Tritium mostly and we just don't do much of that anymore. There's only a tiny amount in natural He, which of course we're just letting whiz into space because we don't want to pay the rent to store the stuff.

    --
    Why guess when you can know? Measure!
    1. Re:Facts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      not all gas wells are n areas where there is lots of alpha decay. So its not like every flaring well is a font of wasted helium.

    2. Re:Facts by purpledinoz · · Score: 1

      The problem is essentially economics. With artificially low prices, there's no incentive to recover helium. On top of that, helium cheap enough to waste on party balloons. If we remove the price distortions on helium, it will encourage recovery and reuse of helium, plus reduce the wasteful usage of helium.

  27. There's an inexhaustible supply just 1 AU away by mykos · · Score: 3, Funny

    But you have to harvest it from a giant fusion reactor with the biggest gravity well in the solar system

  28. Re:I can't wait... by mysidia · · Score: 5, Informative

    Are you forgetting that this entire situation is due to government meddling, as in government buying helium for one price, building a massive reserve, and then selling it for a much lower (ridiculously low) price, totally independent of any demand or worth of the product?

  29. Re:I can't wait... by slack_justyb · · Score: 5, Informative

    because too many people stuffed it into party balloons and party favours and a billion other random uses today.

    Okay I've grown really tired of this argument. The Helium that is used in balloons and blimps accounts for an incredibly small amount of the total use. The most single use of Helium is as a coolant. The largest group of uses is as a purging gas or artificial atmosphere (like in arc wielding, silicon mfg., etc...) Just those two together account for 75% of all uses.

    Second, Helium is under constant resupply here on Earth, pretty much all helium on Earth today is the radioactive decay of heavy metals in the interior of the Earth.

    I understand where people are coming from when they warn of this kind of stuff, but LONG term this stuff resupplies at a pretty decent rate. Hence the reason He is the second most abundant element in the universe. Fine, rise the price, but don't blame it on the balloons.

  30. Re:The Cathedral and the Mustard Jar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He got it out by using an open source jar file.

  31. the good news is: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the race for controlled fusion just got a much needed shot in the arm.

    If helium and gasoline are the two staples that you cannot do without,you are a rare breed indeed.

  32. Re:I can't wait... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Informative

    I understand where people are coming from when they warn of this kind of stuff, but LONG term this stuff resupplies at a pretty decent rate. Hence the reason He is the second most abundant element in the universe.

    The actual reason He is the second most abundant element in the universe is that huge amounts of it were formed in the first moments of the Big Bang. A little more has been formed since then by fusion in stars. Unfortunately, essentially none of the helium from either of those sources has stayed put on earth. It all floated away long ago.

    Helium created by decay of heavy elements in incredibly rare in the universe, and it's rare on the earth as well, but it's the only helium we can get at. It forms at a rate that's way too low and too diluted for us to use. It has accumulated over millions of years in the same geological structures that capture natural gas, but those special traps certainly aren't being replenished fast enough for our needs.

  33. Re:I can't wait... by zippthorne · · Score: 4, Informative

    There is a reason that helium deposits are often associated with natural gas deposits. They both take a *long* time under a non-porus rock to accumulate to anywhere near useful levels. Like.. geologic time.

    If you think you're just going to get a ton of granite and stick it under a tarp for a few days, you're way, way off base.

    --
    Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  34. Re:I can't wait... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This may be the first time in 2010 that I've seen the word "loose" on Slashdot and the author didn't actually mean "lose".

    This is a day to celebrate.

  35. Does anyone remember the CFC shortage? by NicknamesAreStupid · · Score: 1

    A.k.a., chlorofluorocarbon. Or the uranium shortage? Or the ivory shortage? Or the newsprint shortage? All pre-shashdot, of course. Next, the sunlight shortage! Laugh now, you won't in 2031.

  36. Bring up the helium prices by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Clinton really screwed up by dumping 50 years worth of Helium on the market. It needs to be taken off and then encourage the natural gas guys to restart helium separation by allowing the prices to rise.

    The really sad part about this, is that the helium reserves were about being a RESERVE. That way the west had guaranteed access to it (which IS hard to come by).

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  37. Re:I can't wait... by KarmaKhameleon · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Perhaps you could get every natural gas producer in the county to STOP THROWING IT AWAY.

    They used to capture it and re-sell it. But when the govt got out of the helium business and liquidated their supply in Texas, the nat.-gas folks just started discharging it (it doesn't burn, so they strip it off the supply). It's been about 2 decades since they stopped capturing it. Now STFU about these stupid articles that haven't the faintest clue what they're talking about.

    Raise prices - jeezus fucking christ - you have no idea what's even going on in the supply chain and you want to enforce price controls...fucking morons.

  38. Re:I can't wait... by KarmaKhameleon · · Score: 1

    it's the same bullshit as when the refineries have "shortages" in the supply line as opposed to product. No one is capturing it - so "duh" shortage time. Perhaps you could capture it again at the nat gas processors.

    nah - write another sensationalist piece of link-bait bullshit.

  39. Re:I can't wait... by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There's also significant helium in the upper atmosphere (that is, you can scoop it in low Earth orbit). I don't see anyone touching that before we reduce Earth helium stocks a lot, but if helium goes up a crazy amount, we do have alternatives near Earth.

  40. Re:I can't wait... by Thing+1 · · Score: 2, Funny

    The actual reason He is the second most abundant element in the universe [...]

    Now, that's just freaky. I mean, not that I believe all the religious clap-trap, but my cousin is certain that "God is everywhere", and is now rather painfully confused as to what could possibly be more everywhere than the sky fairy he refers to as "He".

    --
    I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
  41. welding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The price for manufacturing good that require welding will go up dramatically. A lot of welders us a heluim/argom mix because it allows for real nice welds.

  42. Re:I can't wait... by mysidia · · Score: 1

    That would make sense. But they are not going to expend the resources to capture it, if the cost of capturing it is equal to or greater than what they could sell the captured volume for.

    Also, not only does there have to be profit, there has to be enough profit to justify the capital outlay, and therefore the risk.

    It's probably not worth spending billions on infrastructure for a 1% profit that could easily turn into a 0% profit or loss if market conditions change

  43. Re:I can't wait... by disambiguated · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Of course you are right but how many alpha particles does it take to make a meaningful amount of helium gas? I'm too lazy to do the calculations, but off the top of my head, I'd guess that's an insane amount of alpha radiation. Is this really enough to not bother with conservation?

  44. Re:I can't wait... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Are you forgetting that this entire situation is due to government meddling, as in government buying helium for one price, building a massive reserve, and then selling it for a much lower (ridiculously low) price, totally independent of any demand or worth of the product?

    Good point. When the military realized that they needed a stockpile, they should have stepped back and thought of the poor market whose freedom they were taking away. After all, is a country worth defending if the price of helium will be distorted by non-market forces in twenty years?

  45. Land of Oz by SoundGuyNoise · · Score: 2, Funny

    Doesn't the Lollipop Guild have representatives to handle this kind of financial crisis?

    --
    You never expect irony, do you?
    Want to be a professional wrestler? Visit www.iyfwrestling.com
    @iyfwrestling
  46. Re:I can't wait... by __aajfby9338 · · Score: 1

    It requires about 6.02E23 alpha particles per mole of helium.

  47. Re:I can't wait... by slack_justyb · · Score: 1

    Helium created by decay of heavy elements in incredibly rare in the universe, and it's rare on the earth as well

    You mean to tell me that Alpha Decay is rare in the universe? I simply don't buy the argument.

    those special traps certainly aren't being replenished fast enough for our needs.

    I'd like to point out that running out and running low are two different things here. I favor the later whereas everyone wants to be a doom-sayer and favor the former.

    "Oh God! We'll never be able to do another MRI ever again!!!" That is the attitude that I'm sick of, that and OMG! Stop the balloons and blimps!!! Really, c'mon let's not be those people.

    As hard as we try we will never be in a vacuum of Helium. We might have low points of supply but we simply are not going to run out of something that is insanely abundant everywhere else in this universe. The Earth is not so special that we can have zero Helium.

    The method of extraction may differ but one thing that is for sure is that we know about a million different ways to make Helium here on Earth and a lot of them are byproducts of another reaction. That's not to say that prices won't go up or down, but we will never be at a point where we can't have Helium for the 80% of the uses that it is mainly used for. (aka not balloons). Sealant technology for liquid He will only improve and eventually someone will figure out how to hermetically seal liquid He in stage II. Running low will only accelerate that.

  48. New Helium production plant just opened by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...in Darwin, Australia. The He is from natural gas wells:
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/03/03/2835141.htm

    1. Re:New Helium production plant just opened by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      Yes, but that helium isn't controlled by the USA and thus doesn't actually exist.

  49. Mining is destructive by definition by sjbe · · Score: 1

    All that matters is that there are ways of mining that don't hurt the environment and that more are in use.

    I defy you to name one. Mining is an inherently destructive activity. There is no such thing as a mine that does not hurt the environment. We might decide that the economic benefits outweigh the environmental consequences (and I don't necessarily have a problem with that in many cases) but make no mistake that the environment IS impacted negatively by mining. There are ways to mitigate the consequences and reduce/minimize the impact but there is no such thing as environmentally friendly mining.

    1. Re:Mining is destructive by definition by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Okay, I'll agree that there's no such thing as a mine that doesn't harm the environment. There's no such thing as a person who doesn't harm the environment. But eventually, you start debating what the definition of "harm the environment " is. Humans are natural, and thus part of the environment. Does a bear harm the environment when it eats the last member of a soon to be extinct species? If the answer is "no" then does a human who cuts up a rock to get some iron "harm the environment". In the end, the environment is only worth what people think it's worth, in dollars.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    2. Re:Mining is destructive by definition by AigariusDebian · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, there would be if the government had more regulatory will and power - you could easily tax all mining activities at the exact level that they are harming the environment and use those tax incomes to foster green environments (plant trees, clean up old dump sites, ...). A company can pillage and leave, a country, where its happening can not. So it is for the government of the country where mining is happening to impose taxes and regulations that must ensure that environment actually benefits from the mining overall. That is the role of the government - insure that in the long term, the country benefits and not just the companies.

  50. Imaginary shortage. by w0mprat · · Score: 1

    My understanding is that most helium is a byproduct of extracting natural gas from gas fields. If natural gas resources are not dwindling, and no doubt there are still undiscovered fields, then isn't this scarcity somewhat artificial?

    --
    After logging in slashdot still does not take you back to the page you were on. It's been that way for 20 years.
    1. Re:Imaginary shortage. by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that most helium is a byproduct of extracting natural gas from gas fields.

            Earthly helium is the result of radioactive decay, because alpha particles are, after all, just helium nuclei. Once that alpha particle stops and absorbs a couple electrons, helium is formed. If this happens near the surface, it enters the atmosphere and eventually escapes into space. It is only present in natural gas because a lot of decay happens under layers of rock that are not permeable to gas and so the helium is trapped.

            The dilemma is that the rate of production of helium is constant (ok, to be accurate it is decreasing, but not so much as we would notice given half-lives in the billions of years for radioactive potassium). Therefore if our rate of consumption exceeds the constant rate of production, we will end up with a real shortage.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  51. What a coincidence -

    My flat at university was also called the Bush Dome [so named for reasons that have nothing to do with shrubbery].

    --

    There are no karma whores, only moderation johns
  52. Re:I can't wait... by KarmaKhameleon · · Score: 1

    They already HAVE the infrastructure - AND - it's BEING USED to strip off and DUMP the helium.

    The justification is to bottle the shit - oooo - high tech mother-fucking challenge. I heard fire is hard to make too. The point is - it's not rare, there's no shortage, it's all bullshit to the extreme.

    There is however a lack of balls and the will to get off your ass in the United States and do something other than type some shit on the screen and get ad-sense dollars. Oh that's some rare shit right there. Making something - holy fuck! I bet you broke a sweat just reading that!

  53. This discussion.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... so much more than hot air

  54. Alchemist's Guide to Making Elements by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 3, Informative

    You mean to tell me that Alpha Decay is rare in the universe? I simply don't buy the argument.

    Alpha decay is incredibly rare in the universe. The reason for this is that only heavy elements will decay by alpha particle emission that is elements like Uranium, Thorium etc. All of these are far, far heavier than iron which is important.

    Next question is where do all the elements come from? The very light ones such as hydrogen and helium were formed in the Big Bang and the accurate prediction of the observed abundance's of these gases is one of the major achievements of the Big Bang model (the technical term is Big Bang nucleosynthesis).

    The slightly heavier elements such as carbon, silicon, oxygen etc. can be formed in the heart of any star by nuclear fusion binding nuclei together in complex fusion cycles. However iron-56 is the most stable nucleus possible so once you have bound nuclei together to form this you cannot get any more energy out and, in fact it requires energy to make heavier nuclei.

    So where do all the elements which can undergo alpha decay come from? Well if you have a sufficiently massive start (above 9 solar masses) when it finally turns its core into iron there is no more energy to be had and the entire core collapses under gravity and then rebounds in a super nova explosion. In this explosion there are massive numbers of neutrons produced which stream out through the star's outer atmosphere. This results a very complex chain of neutron capture and decay (which nuclear astrophysicists study at places like TRIUMF) resulting in the heavy elements like Uranium, lead etc. that we find on the earth today - in fact ALL the elements heavier than iron-56 were produced in this manner.

    So to get alpha decay you have to have a radioactive element that was produced in the heart of a particular type of dying star. In terms of the total mass of the universe the about which exists in such a rare and hard to produce form is minuscule. Hence, although alpha decay is common on the Earth is is incredible rare in the Universe.

  55. Fusion plants and hydrogen blimps by khchung · · Score: 1

    If Helium gets expensive enough, it will be worth the money to build fusion plants just for the Helium even though the plant never produce a net positive energy output. So, in principle, there is big latent supply hidden.

    Even before that, it would be economically infeasible for using Helium for blimps, eventually someone will figure out how to do it safely using Hydrogen.

    --
    Oliver.
    1. Re:Fusion plants and hydrogen blimps by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I think there could be a real boom in hydrogen blimps as a result of this shortage.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
  56. Re:I can't wait... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You mean to tell me that Alpha Decay is rare in the universe? I simply don't buy the argument.

    Alpha decay generally happens to elements heavier than lead. Those elements are only created as a small side reaction in supernova explosions. Only a fraction of matter is in stars, and only a fraction of stars become supernovas, and only a small fraction of the matter in a supernova becomes heavy elements. Relative to the total matter in the universe, alpha decay is in the parts-per-billion category. In particular, the abundance of helium is NOT due to alpha decay.

    The Earth is not so special that we can have zero Helium.

    It is pretty special. The only thing that holds helium over the long term is gravity, and earth just doesn't have enough of it. The only place we can get at abundant helium is gas giant planets, and we don't have any technology in the foreseeable future to lift anything out of those gravity wells.

    Arguing that helium is abundant in the universe therefore there must be plenty on earth is silly. Using that logic, I could say that a much, if not most, of the planetary mass in our solar system is in the form of metallic hydrogen. Therefore metallic hydrogen is available for us to use here.

  57. Re:I can't wait... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's the creator spirit that created the creator obviously.

  58. Re:I can't wait... by toddestan · · Score: 1

    You mean to tell me that Alpha Decay is rare in the universe? I simply don't buy the argument.

    You might want to consider that heavy elements themselves are pretty rare in the universe. Anything heavier than iron came from a supernova, as that's the only natural process we know about that can make them. Yes, they are somewhat more common on Earth, but Earth is a very unusual place in the universe.

    The problem with helium is that while it's abundant, there are very very few places that have it in any sort of concentration. It's all over the place, but most of the time the densities are on the order of number of atoms per square meter.

    Also, there aren't "a million different ways to make Helium" that I know about. The only ways I know is to fuse hydrogen (insanely expensive for any significant quantity) or decay of heavy elements (you could probably build a reactor of some kind to harvest helium if money was no object). It's a noble gas, so there's no way to obtain it chemically.

  59. Re:I can't wait... by toddestan · · Score: 1

    A mole of gas is about 22 liters. So you'll have enough helium to fill about two balloons.

  60. There are not infinite sources of energy by tentimestwenty · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We have already tapped all the easy forms of energy available to us. Your argument doesn't apply. If the Romans didn't have anything else to find after they used up all the trees, then they damn well should have rationed them. By conservative accounts, we've got 50 years of oil left at our current use, solar and alternative energies will never provide more than 10-20% of world consumption. Even if we were to conserve massively now, there would have to be a major population reduction. Damn right we should be rationing right now. The majority of us live in complete luxury, with artificially cheap everything but there is nobody consuming rationally. It's not in our nature.

    1. Re:There are not infinite sources of energy by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      solar and alternative energies will never provide more than 10-20% of world consumption.

      Why?

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    2. Re:There are not infinite sources of energy by FrankieBaby1986 · · Score: 1

      Damn right we should be rationing right now. The majority of us live in complete luxury, with artificially cheap everything but there is nobody consuming rationally. It's not in our nature.

      I agree strongly that we need to conserve resources where possible, but the funny thing about pricing is it's not artificially cheap. We can't price oil based on the fact that it will eventually run out and and so we need to raise the price to match future scarcity. Because then the price would simply be infinity.

      --
      ERROR: SIG NOT FOUND (A)bort, (R)etry, (F)ail?:
  61. Stockpile by akayani · · Score: 1

    If you look into the facts on this, because of the stockpile, the US stopped collecting helium (separation from natural gas) and allowed it to be vented into the atmosphere. Given its real value as a coolant in high temperature reactors those responsible for this really should face a firing squad!

  62. There is no real problem by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    Recapture the helium. Yeah it costs money - until you consider what He will cost in 20 years...

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    1. Re:There is no real problem by Aphoxema · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's not like it disappears and goes away forever, especially being a noble gas.

      --
      "Most people, I think, don't even know what a rootkit is, so why should they care about it?"
    2. Re:There is no real problem by halltk1983 · · Score: 1

      No, it doesn't disappear, just gets thrown out of our atmosphere...

      --
      Watch for Penguins, they eat Apples and throw rocks at Windows.
    3. Re:There is no real problem by Aphoxema · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I read about that right after I posted that comment. I had no idea that helium could shoot out of the atmosphere. I'm just impressed it hasn't all leaked out already.

      --
      "Most people, I think, don't even know what a rootkit is, so why should they care about it?"
  63. USA based flat earth doom and gloom by flyingfsck · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Uhmmm, USAsians have this weird pizza view of the world: The world is flat and if you venture beyond the borders of continental USA, then you are going to fall off. The planet is a little larger than the USA and there is helium elsewhere. The USA has a somewhat unique stash of the stuff, but it certainly isn't the only supply on the planet.

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    1. Re:USA based flat earth doom and gloom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uhmmm, USAsians have this weird pizza view of the world: The world is flat and if you venture beyond the borders of continental USA, then you are going to fall off. The planet is a little larger than the USA and there is helium elsewhere. The USA has a somewhat unique stash of the stuff, but it certainly isn't the only supply on the planet.

      I don't think that view is particular to just Asian-Americans.

    2. Re:USA based flat earth doom and gloom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But if the USAians raise the prices on their reserve, it could force gas extractors in Europe, Russia, and China to put helium bottles on their lines, by making it competitive. Then everybody will have a reserve of helium, rather than the current option used by the petro companies of just letting it up into the air.

  64. Re:I can't wait... by khallow · · Score: 1

    Supply and demand are a short-term adjustment, not a long term one.

    I think the problem here is that you think we need a long term adjustment. I disagree. What is the point of planning helium consumption a full century into the future? Especially given that there are heavy opportunity costs to any attempt to save helium for some unknown use in the future?

    For example, I used to work with an aerospace not-for-profit that launched helium filled high altitude balloons (to 100k feet routinely). The cost of our helium is a few hundred dollars while the payloads and other parts of the mission tend to be a few thousand dollars. Multiplying the cost of helium by a factor of 20 means helium cost is most of the mission cost and more than doubles our mission costs. Now maybe you don't appreciate development of high altitude ballooning and rocket technology, but I am hard pressed to imagine any use of helium in a century that warrants doubling our costs much less the ridiculous market distortion that would hit the helium market.

    Incidentally, in the worst case scenario, an increase in the cost of helium by a factor of 1000 opens up interesting opportunities in low Earth orbit. Helium today is worth roughly $0.05 per gram. At $50 per gram, that is similar to gold in price per mass. I think that would enable helium scooping and would be an interesting revenue generator.

  65. What by Kenoli · · Score: 1

    One generation doesn't have the right to determine the availability forever

    Doesn't the current generation determine the availability, one way or another?

  66. Re:I can't wait... by blindseer · · Score: 1

    If you think you're just going to get a ton of granite and stick it under a tarp for a few days, you're way, way off base.

    Well... there goes my grand money making scheme. Now, what am I supposed to do with all this granite?

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  67. You got the wrong message by SuperKendall · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I venture to guess that you haven't traveled much. It's easy to rail against environmentalism...

    Read what he wrote again. He's not railing against environmentalism, he's saying let us live our lives to the fullest.

    You chose to interpret that as being against environmentalism. Well I have travelled a lot internationally, including to parts of Africa and South America. What I took away from all the things you listed (and I saw all of them in spades) is this - any country with a poor economy is inherently going to suck at environmental care. In part because they do not have the resources, but also in part because poor people care less about the world that surrounds them.

    If all 15 million of us lived in mansions and drove flying SUV's, the earth would look like a garden because everyone would have the spare resources and abilities to take care of the environment. So if you REALLY care about the environment, you should be doing everything in your power to boost economies, anywhere you can make a difference. You should be dying to give people that flying SUV so they care that they have beautiful places to visit in it, instead of deforesting the area where they live simply to have heat and cooking fuel.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:You got the wrong message by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      any country with a poor economy is inherently going to suck at environmental care

      You have travelled internationally and I haven't.. but why is that inherent? It would seem to me that a country with a poor economy _could_ (not necessarily would) have much better environmental usage. For example, instead of throwing out whatever technology they have when it breaks, fix it and keep using it. Or taking care of even naturally occurring (i.e. not purposely planted in farms) plants being used for food, similar things for hunting wild animals.

    2. Re:You got the wrong message by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      It would seem to me that a country with a poor economy _could_ (not necessarily would) have much better environmental usage. For example, instead of throwing out whatever technology they have when it breaks, fix it and keep using it.

      Because all technology eventually breaks to where you can't fix it. And then you are back to destroying the environment around you, just to live. And when it comes down to it, people want to live no matter the cost. So they can live well and in harmony with everyone, or live poorly and in contention with everyone and everything.

      That's humanity. It's actually both awful and wonderful, how adept we are at survival... but it means because we are so good at it that we need to make sure everyone survives well and keeps the primal instincts somewhat subdued.

      Or taking care of even naturally occurring (i.e. not purposely planted in farms) plants being used for food, similar things for hunting wild animals.

      To some degree people can do that, but eventually a major state change comes due to one disaster or another and then lots of people die. There is no beating entropy in the long run, no matter how thick the walls of the terrarium you try to lock yourself in.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  68. Business Plan: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. Raise prices on helium
    2. Use extra money to fund fusion research in order to produce more helium
    3. ????
    4. Profit!

  69. Re:I can't wait... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you think you're just going to get a ton of granite and stick it under a tarp for a few days, you're way, way off base.

    I was thinking more like 1.50465494 × 10^20 tons, but I haven't found a tarp that big yet.

  70. Foam lattice by SgtChaireBourne · · Score: 1

    The weight balance is going to be a barrier to using vaccuum cells for lift for a long time. Aerogels are a good idea to investigate. Or some kind of metallic foam framework for the the shell of the sphere. The membrane does not have to be thin, it just has to be light and strong enough to create a specific gravity within the space it encloses that is significantly less than that of the atmosphere.

    --
    Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
    1. Re:Foam lattice by MancunianMaskMan · · Score: 1

      If we replace the atmosphere with SF6, airships will float with all sorts of gases!

    2. Re:Foam lattice by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Replace the atmosphere with water and floating becomes dead easy.

    3. Re:Foam lattice by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Well, thin should do fine with very "dense", in a way, supporting structure of aerogel; thin helps light (and some aerogels are already much lighter than air).

      But anyway, it's probably mostly impractical - the main problem with lighter-than-air vessels is that they have to be large for their mass, which in turn makes them relatively slow and, most importantly, at the mercy of winds; much less controllable. "Rigid airships" exploring other bodies in our system might be sensible - wild temperatures mean trouble for fillable skins; OTOH often large size of entry vehicle for rigid variant is probably even more problematic...
      Perhaps a hybrid of aircraft and airship could be at least semi-sensible; or not, and the concept is mostly unworkable.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  71. Re:I can't wait... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Supply and demand are a short-term adjustment, not a long term one.

    There is absolutely nothing (other than perhaps some sort of "speculative warehousing" schemes) that would allow supply-and-demand adjust to prevent the depletion of a non-renewable resource.

    What about speculative trading in futures contracts?

  72. Re:I can't wait... by JockTroll · · Score: 1

    "Now, what am I supposed to do with all this granite?"

    Eat it. Heard it tastes like chicken.

    --
    Geeks are so full of shit that "beating the crap out of them" takes a whole new meaning.
  73. Re:I can't wait... by AigariusDebian · · Score: 1

    And they don't bottle it, because the government has been keeping the price of the strategic reserves of helium too low for that to be profitable, which is the whole point of the article - if you raise the prices (or allow the prices to rise naturally, given the shortages on the market) capture from natural gas will become profitable again and the shortage will be solved for some time (like 20-50 years).

  74. Re:I can't wait... by FishTankX · · Score: 1

    I think, logically, his post is sound. When helium leaves the surface, it rises into the atmosphere and is blown away. Thus, it is non recoverable.

    He's not arguing that helium is not formed, it's that once it has escaped, it's unrecoverable.

  75. Microwave steam powered lift by SgtChaireBourne · · Score: 1

    Rigid airships can have and probably should have separate lift cells. Those need to be spherical anyway to get optimal lift per mass. The air frame can be layered on top as a wrapper and could be a strong plastic stretched over carbon fibre or something.

    Pure distilled water might work for lift. Just make an air tight, water tight lift cell that is lined on the inside with a surface that reflects microwave radiation. Then at the bottom in a depression to collect condensation, have a powerful microwave transmitter to create steam. The idea is about the same as with a hot air balloon, but with water vapor, with a closed lift cell instead of open, and running on electrical current rather than fuel. Make it diesel electric and in regions and hours when there is enough sunlight, it can cut over to solar powered or solar supplemented.

    --
    Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
  76. Helium will never be impossible to get by cnaumann · · Score: 1

    Helium will never be impossible to get, even in large quantities. Stop worrying!

    The atmosphere is 5ppm helium. That is not a lot of concentration, but we have a lot of atmosphere. But we will never even get to the point of needing to recover it from the atmosphere. Helium is present in most natural gas well in concentrations of 1000's of ppm. Most of that cannot be economically recovered at this time because helium is cheap, and recovery is expensive. We are not 'wasting' helium through use, we are 'wasting' helium by not recovering it in the first place.

  77. Send in the Clones by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There must be something wrong with Sam Bell's clones on the Moon. Let's send a "rescue mission" to set things right, and get that He-3 moving again!

  78. This is news? by goodmanj · · Score: 1

    Man, this is a big deal. It's a tragedy that we haven't heard about this in the news before. It seems like the kind of thing Slashdot would have reported on years ago.

  79. Re:I can't wait... by Plazmid · · Score: 1

    Just out of curiosity, does anyone know of any purging gas or artificial atmosphere applications that CANNOT under any circumstance use argon as a replacement for helium?

  80. Because it's the developed world's fault by Junta · · Score: 1

    I guarantee you that most of the products you consume are imported from places that do significant harm to their environment. Our amenities come by exploiting willingness of other places to fubar their environment. The cost and sometimes simply the forbidden nature of extracting resources from the earth in a developed country combined with similar effects on processing those resources make developing countries the place to do it. If every square foot on the planet were as restricted as the 'developed world', then all the toys and necessities would be much more rare and much more expensive.

    I'm not an uber-envorinmentalist or anything, but I have to acknowledge that my country's domestic rules and regulations are nice for our land, but bordering on hypocritical with the huge imports of goods made possible by other places not having such restrictions.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    1. Re:Because it's the developed world's fault by khallow · · Score: 1

      I guarantee you that most of the products you consume are imported from places that do significant harm to their environment.

      As I see it, such trade is not my fault, but rather my gift to these places. Economic development leads to environmental reform and other things more important than the environment.

  81. super rare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    from wikipedia (helium):
    "Next to hydrogen, it is the second most abundant element in the universe, and accounts for 24% of the elemental mass of our galaxy."
    just kidding : P

  82. Re:I can't wait... by KarmaKhameleon · · Score: 1

    wrongo again. READ motherfucker READ. The govt has been getting OUT OF THE HELIUM BUSINESS. THAT is what depressed prices as the US liquidated their stock.

    Funny thing about liquidation sales - they EVENTUALLY FUCKING END.

    What - every single company that's throwing away helium didn't know the govt was going to stop having a firesale at some point? Are you really that fucking stupid? Wait - don't answer that.

  83. Re:I can't wait... by KarmaKhameleon · · Score: 1

    Here's the point btw - it's as if an American company decided to get out of the business of selling water by telling everyone - um ... there's no more water on earth, sorry.

    THAT is how astoundingly moronic this is.

  84. Re:Facts-agree by DCFusor · · Score: 1

    Agree all the way. Helium is too cheap now, considering but then again, price fixing doesn't seem like a smart road to go down either (remember some past events in USA with trying to price-fix? Oil in the '70s etc? Nixon's price/wage freezes?) -- so how to fix that one and skip the unintended (but often obvious) consequences? Helium is so cheap (right now) that I use it to prefill my fusion reactor up to STP before I open the door, as being very inert it makes the subsequent pumpdown time a lot quicker (because all the shop air doesn't get in if I work fast), and I get to purity and running conditions again faster. I could use Argon instead, but if I run the usual plasma during pumpdown to get tank-wall bakeouts, the heavier Ar does more damaging sputtering of metal the ions hit than He does. I have Ne, but at that price, forget it. If He cost the same, there would be no problems with taking care of the supply -- they'd be capturing it in the NG flares along with the gas they are now burning because it costs more to compress/liquify/transport than they'd get for the NG. In this case, the NG would just come along as a bonus to make the operation slightly more profitable than before, or that's how I'd design it.

    --
    Why guess when you can know? Measure!
  85. Re:the coming century will be... by DCFusor · · Score: 1
    I live in redneck land myself, by choice, having come from DC. Took awhile to become accepted, to be sure, but now it's great, I love it. Nearly all you say above is correct here too, but one thing -- pay IS less here, but so are costs, so it tends to work out not that differently. Of course the very cool thing to be is a computer consultant to some outfit on a coast or a big city and get paid rates that seem reasonable to them, but are rich indeed for here....heh, that's how I retired way early.

    As you say, something that's "good for you" but is going to cost you money isn't going to fly real good. It might do better if it were some percent, rather than a fixed amount. But one thing people here are suspicious of is that statement. Here in Floyd, VA, we had a rash of hippies move in from CA when some spiritualist said this place wasn't gonna fall into the ocean. They settled in and then started hassling the locals about "recycling, "sustainability" and "green" stuff. That *really* didn't go over well at all, but in a humorous way. Not because of who said it either -- but because the locals can all *teach* this stuff to those idiots -- they have been sustainably farming these mountains since before the Revolutionary war, after all....and it's nicer now than it was then by all accounts. Rich fertile land, lots of game and all that. I think you'd have to be an idiot to live in a big city, but that's me, sitting here on my PV solar electricity, a year or so worth of food and fuel stashed up, on a nice big piece of land I own outright -- and get off my lawn if you don't like what I'm doing -- because if you weren't trespassing, you'd never know about it anyway. In a city, the ultimate unsustainable idea, you have to have a lot tighter laws and rules, because if I swing my arm there, it's likely to connect with someone's head. Here, there's little chance of that. The danger is applying the same laws to both places -- the shoe won't fit in one or the other.

    --
    Why guess when you can know? Measure!
  86. Rigidness by nu1x · · Score: 1

    In my opinion, we should see breakthrough in this area after carbon nano-materials become cheaply available.

    I have never thought about it, but apparently, a baloon with internal structure designed for optimum implosion resistance would be a revolutionary way to lift objects up to certain levels (depending on the payload) in the atmosphere.

    --
    I have nothing to lose but my bindings.
  87. ample supply, not at curent prices by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Helium is up to several percent in natural gas. The cost of separation is still more than the cost of the dwindling Cold War stock pile. Once that gone, the markets will take over.

  88. Re:I can't wait... by mysidia · · Score: 1

    It's not the military's fault in deciding they needed a stockpile. But the American taxpayer paid the cost they incurred to get that stockpile, however.

    When deciding to open up and dispose of the stockpile, they should have developed a sales process that would price it only a modest amount below market value, rather than setting a fixed price.

    That way the American taxpayer could recover as much as possible for the unused reserves that were being sold off.

    They should also have limited the rate they were selling it at. Flooding the market would of course reduce the price.

    They should have calculated a maximum amount to sell every month based on the market demand, and set the maximum to sell the next month at 50% of the expected demand for Helium.