2010 May Be the First Year YouTube Turns a Profit
eldavojohn writes "Analysts are saying that this year will be the first year YouTube turns a profit. From the New York Times article: 'In the last year, the video site has become a significant contributor to the family business at a time when Google, which makes more than 90 percent of its revenue from text search ads, is seeking a second act. Though Google does not report YouTube's earnings, it has hinted that it is hovering near profitability. Analysts say YouTube will bring in around $450 million in revenue this year and earn a profit. Revenue at YouTube has more than doubled each year for the last three years, according to the company.' Of course a little over a year ago we were being told that YouTube was losing around $1.65 million each day. Regardless, when you pay $1.65 billion for a business, you probably don't expect it to take three to four years before you start making your money back."
This is why google is eating everybody's lunch. Thinking this far is a good thing when you are able to double revenues year over year. Not a bad long run strategy.
In the .com error days, people valued money-losing Internet companies as if they would gain market share and be able to raise prices in the future. Most failed at doing that, and the bubble burst.
But Google has this insanely profitable AdWords business, and therefore can fund a money-loser and work the ads in slowly... which is exactly what they did with YouTube. Look out phone companies, you're next.
It's not like Google didn't know what they were getting themselves into. I'm sure they're doing just fine over there.
The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
The only monetization I see on youtube is advertisements, either as overlays or lead-ins to real content.
I run linux so I can't use itunes, which partly blocks me from buying music on line. Lately if I want to listen to a track I search for it on youtube and watch a video. Once a week I seem to spend an hour or so clicking through links from one video to another. Youtube has a fantastic collection of early Kate Bush demo recordings.
I bet they charge a lot of money for targeted adds on videos. Google knows my wife wants to buy a new car...
http://michaelsmith.id.au
I assume that profit is "revenue - operational cost", i.e. "advertising - server farm".
That's very different from "getting your money back".
While It might be old school dot com to start a business and "try to lose as much $$ as possible" it's clear that Google through YouTube has created something very valued, given the reach and impact YouTube has. What remains to be seen is through Google TV and other technologies can they bring this video from the desktop to the set top?
Also interesting will be to see if they can get as much corporate content as they already have consumer content. They did do away with Google Video service..
I would love it if YouTube/Google/Google TV was my one shop stop for searching on video content and then let the technology figure out how best to view it; also figure out the cheapest way. For example I subscribe to HBO on demand but on my cable box when I search for movies they will charge me for watching these movies unless I come in via the HBO interface.. I need a video search service that is looking to minimize my expenses not increase them.
http://www.hawknest.com/
Strangly this coincide with the year of linux on the desktop. So it must be due to all the new linux desktop accessing youtube.
Bravo youtube *claps* I would have though you would have been sued into oblivion by copyright lawyers shortly after you spawned (i.e. viacomm suit). Thanks for making work a lot less dull these last few years!
Global warming and other natural disasters are a direct effect of the shrinking number of pirates - Gospel of the FSM
Unless you're one of the many people who likes singing cats.
Youtube is just a couple more Bed Intruders away from profitability.
Make everything as simple as possible, but not simpler. - Albert Einstein
The main point of the article is how Youtube is enabling a shift in how copyright holders deal with unauthorized content. They scan new videos for content matching that provided by content owners and split ad revenue with them. It's certainly less confrontational than DMCA takedown notices, but I imagine it's full of gray areas: what if the video I upload uses 15 seconds of a music video for commentary but is otherwise 9 minutes of my own contribution? Does Youtube still show more-than-usual ads and split the revenue with the artist?
Is there any way we can reliably well which videos have this revenue sharing? Some things are obvious - official music videos often have more ads and big "VEVO" logos everywhere. But how about these user-uploaded videos?
"The universe seems neither benign nor hostile, merely indifferent." --Carl Sagan
Was the articles about YouTube not having to pay (any/much) money for bandwidth and therefor not actually costing google any/much money incorrect?
I thought that google losing over a million a day was proved to be false?
Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
The main point of the article is how Youtube is enabling a shift in how copyright holders deal with unauthorized content.
Disclaimer: Summary author here. Honestly, wasn't too interested in that. YouTube's been auto-recognizing songs and videos through fingerprinting for quite sometime now and making an ad for the song pop up at the bottom of the video because you don't own it. I saw this with my friend's account as early as 2008.
;-) good luck!
Neat trick but not really fresh news to me. And you know, I read the article and the only thing that caught my eye was that YouTube might be turning a profit this year. I thought it was more newsworthy than your summary and -- frankly -- I get annoyed and feel like I failed whenever I post a summary and someone screams "slashvertisement" and gets modded +5 Insightful. That really does get to me. So instead of gaping in awe at how awesome they are at scanning your videos, I went with the profit angle. Especially since people have been so mixed on whether or not YouTube was a smart play by Google. Viacom trial lawyer fees aside, it's not a cheap outfit.
You'll just have to beat me to the scoop next time
My work here is dung.
It's surprising how little flak youtube is catching in the comments to this story. I would have expected at least one sideways attack on youtube and its reason for existing.
Usually, in any Xbox story regarding its earnings, we would already have gotten a detailed graph & analysis on how it could never pay back the initial costs before the heat death of the universe.
I've been their customer since they opened their doors and I never got any spam. Are you sure it wasn't a lucky guess of a valid email address by the spammers?
Blar.
that it is the same year as the year of the Linux desktop?
Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
Regardless, when you pay $1.65 billion for a business, you probably don't expect it to take three to four years before you start making your money back."
Actually if you spend that much for a business, it would not be unreasonable to expect ten years or more. 1.65 billion is not an investment you make for a quick turnaround.
Google's aims in buying youtube were not just long term, but also wide/strategic.
Owning youtube puts them in a position where they get to decide what the next well supported steaming video codec will be. If they didn't have youtube, they would be in a position where Apple or Microsoft could lock them out of video ads - particularly on the mobile front.
My pics.
"Regardless, when you pay $1.65 billion for a business, you probably don't expect it to take three to four years before you start making your money back."
Once again, it's pretty obvious that the summary writer (like most slashdotters) knows roughly fuck all about business. Taking three to four years to start earning your money back is neither new, nor unique to Google, nor even notable.
Looks like it's just turning a profit for the current year. A milestone for sure, but a long way from the investment being profitable, though how you measure that is another question.
If they paid $1.65b 4 years ago and lost half a billion a year for 3 years (to ~October 2009) and broke even for this year then YouTube would have to be worth around $5.5b by the end of this month just to "break-even" (in real terms) if we were to say that cost of capital+inflation etc is 15%. I seriously doubt a 15% return would be even close to good enough for a dot com investment, but anyway.
This is probably a naive however. YouTube expanded the reach of the advertising business and more importantly they had to cover off the possibility for someone else to move in, take the momentum and market share. Just like they had to do with smartphones and are now wondering what the hell to do about Facebook. The new revenue opportunities are important, but defending their position far more so.
Dear advertisers: If you put ads on top of the content, I will not buy your product. If I click your shit, it's because I missed the X button. I will make a conscious effort to never send a cent your way.
Google: if you can't make a profit without running ads ON TOP OF your youtube videos, everyone will migrate to a site which can do so eventually.
A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
"The day Google ad content becomes indistinguishable from the neo-Trotskyite content I enjoy perusing on aldaily.com (until my eyes glaze over) is the day I pull my plug on the grid and run for the hills."
Challenge Accepted!
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http://www.xkcd.com/788/ (All rights reserved to Randall Monroe, used for educational purposes only.) ... ((Action sequence)) ________________________"
The Carriage
"Because I could not stop for death, he kindly stopped for me. The carriage held but just ourselves
In that blank is an ad.
By the time you have seen the Ad Exposure, you cannot un-see it. Therefore, the ad wins. With that New-Carriage Smell you have come to lust for.
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