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Goldman Invests $450m In Facebook

An anonymous reader writes "The news that Goldman has taken a stake in Facebook, the white-hot social networking giant, has tongues wagging from Wall Street to Silicon Valley. As first reported by DealBook, Goldman has invested $450 million in a deal that values Facebook at $50 billion. As part of the deal, Goldman is looking to raise as much as $1.5 billion from its wealthy clients to invest in Facebook alongside the firm."

228 comments

  1. Can't resist ... by johnhennessy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Did evil just become even more evil while I was sleeping over New Years ?

    Goldman Sachs aren't exactly known for their "good values".

    Why the hell does an investment bank, who normally act as a "service provider" want to take a direct stake in a Social networking company ?

    --
    [ Monday is a terrible way to spend one seventh of your life. ]
    1. Re:Can't resist ... by strength_of_10_men · · Score: 1

      Why the hell does an investment bank, who normally act as a "service provider" want to take a direct stake in a Social networking company ?

      um... not to state the obvious... but because they're an investment bank and see a lot of money potential?

    2. Re:Can't resist ... by Skreems · · Score: 2

      Why the hell does an investment bank, who normally act as a "service provider" want to take a direct stake in a Social networking company ?

      Because they're one of the (supposedly) hottest companies around, and don't have public stock.

      Remember, Goldman isn't just providing a service to let other people invest. That's just a way to get a larger stockpile of money that they can use to leverage themselves deep into the stock market on their own positions. They could care less about the $20 commission on your quarterly stock purchase.

      --
      Slashdot needs a "-1, Wrong" moderation option.
      The Urban Hippie
    3. Re:Can't resist ... by johnhennessy · · Score: 1

      Aha,

      so more like a "we put our own money in there, so it has to be a good thing".

      reading the article properly helped a little bit ! :)

      --
      [ Monday is a terrible way to spend one seventh of your life. ]
    4. Re:Can't resist ... by assertation · · Score: 3, Funny

      Maybe they decided it was about time to invest in something successful

    5. Re:Can't resist ... by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      It likely means they are about to do an IPO. Facebook has been profitable for the last couple of years, so they don't really need more investors. Goldman is willing to do IPOs or anything else that will make them money.

      Reports were in 2008 that Zuckerberg had a 3 year plan. Looks like this is the ending.

      Incidentally, Facebook is not stock I would buy, except perhaps for the initial jump after the IPO. I have trouble seeing it as a good long term growth investment. But then I've been wrong before.

      --
      Qxe4
    6. Re:Can't resist ... by Tr3vin · · Score: 1

      But then I've been wrong before.

      Well, so has Goldman.

    7. Re:Can't resist ... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Heh, I just found out Goldman was a major investor in Webvan, so apparently they have a long, distinguished history of investing in illustrious startups. :) No I'm off to investigate if they ever invested in Zombocom.......

      --
      Qxe4
    8. Re:Can't resist ... by ThePangolino · · Score: 1
      The 450 million deal may have something to do with this:

      As part of the deal, Goldman is looking to raise as much as $1.5 billion from its wealthy clients to invest in Facebook alongside the firm.

      --
      My ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.
    9. Re:Can't resist ... by LordNacho · · Score: 1

      They're doing God's work.

      Please don't hurt me...

    10. Re:Can't resist ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Hot DAMN but I can't wait for this little bubble to burst!

      Watching Zucker become obselete would have been delightful by itself, but to see Zucker and Goldman BOTH end up taking a wash? The schadenfreude... it will be too delicious...

    11. Re:Can't resist ... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Erh... that's pretty much the point in investment, at least these days.

      The value of a company is no longer what it produces and the value of their products. "Value" has become something completely artificial. Today, the "value" is what some people think it would be worth. Whether that has any reflection in reality is secondary.

      Just think for a moment. Facebook has been "valued" at 50 billions. I can't properly picture that amount of money to be honest, and I'm no friend of cheesy comparisons ("you could get X of Y for that instead"), how much easier does it get to imagine it when you know that you could "buy" 50 World Trade Centers for that?

      What would make a company that has no "real" assets that valuable?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    12. Re:Can't resist ... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Why the hell does an investment bank, who normally act as a "service provider" want to take a direct stake in a Social networking company ?

      Eventually Facebook will do an IPO. This will result in huge fees and favors for the underwriter. This deal makes it very likely that underwriter will be Goldman Sachs.

      Also, Goldman Sachs is not just a "service provider". They make most of their money trading on their own account. Of course, this is a huge conflict of interest, but if their clients are willing to accept that, why should I care?

    13. Re:Can't resist ... by Nadaka · · Score: 2

      They were right. It turns out that throwing the worlds economy into chaos and recession is fantastically profitable. Especially so when you can convince the government to cover your losses with the tax money that you avoided paying thanks to low capital gains taxes and loopholes engineered by high priced tax attorneys.

    14. Re:Can't resist ... by I8TheWorm · · Score: 1

      So they're first on the list for handling the Facebook IPO?

      OT a bit, but I still can't believe people help push up the valuation of Facebook by keeping their content there with all of the security fiascos and Zuckerberg quoted as having said "they trust me, dumb f**ks." That was, of course, back at Harvard when he was snooping in emails based on account login information, but I believe once a douchebag, always a douchebag.

      --
      Saying Android is a family of phones is akin to saying Linux is a family of PCs.
    15. Re:Can't resist ... by vlm · · Score: 2

      The value of a company is no longer what it produces and the value of their products.

      net present value calculations are fairly meaningless in an unstable environment. Also I think you're confusing the revenue line on the profit and loss statement with the net worth on the balance sheet. Play some more "railroad tycoon".

      "Value" has become something completely artificial.

      What exactly is a "non-artificial" "value"? The only answer I can even think of is some sort of revealed religious answer, like turning one dude in for crucifixion has a value of X pieces of silver, and I don't think that defined "value" is too helpful in figuring out how much Facebook is worth.

      Today, the "value" is what some people think it would be worth. Whether that has any reflection in reality is secondary.

      I would say that a closed transaction is the best, most realistic technology for finding value ever invented... Dice aren't going to work.

      how much easier does it get to imagine it when you know that you could "buy" 50 World Trade Centers for that?

      Its gets a lot easier to imagine if you think of it as, apparently in their opinion, if you have $50B laying around, the best thing to do with it at that moment is buy a Facebook. Rather than Government Motors or a huge pile of rice or whatever.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    16. Re:Can't resist ... by Low+Ranked+Craig · · Score: 1

      just remember that even though they'll likely lose a bit on each transaction, they'll make it up on volume!

      --
      I still cannot find the droids I am looking for...
    17. Re:Can't resist ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      According to http://techcrunch.com/2011/01/02/facebook-50-billion/ it is because facebook doesn't want to go public but does want venture funding.

      If they keep issuing shares to investors, the SEC will go after them for having too many shareholders and not disclosing internal information required by "public" companies.

      If facebook issues shares to Goldman and Goldman acts as 1 shareholder that allows others to invest in their share, lawyers may argue that there isn't a need to disclose operational information because FB hasn't exceeded that threshold.

      Or something.

    18. Re:Can't resist ... by lastchance_000 · · Score: 1

      Tom? Is that you?

    19. Re:Can't resist ... by longacre · · Score: 1

      What would make a company that has no "real" assets that valuable?

      Their brand alone is a valuable real asset. The data mined from their users' profiles is for the most part very real, as well. Most of the value lies therein.

    20. Re:Can't resist ... by KarrdeSW · · Score: 2

      The only answer I can even think of is some sort of revealed religious answer, like turning one dude in for crucifixion has a value of X pieces of silver, and I don't think that defined "value" is too helpful in figuring out how much Facebook is worth.

      Really? I can think of plenty of ways that using facebook is like getting nails pounded into your body.

    21. Re:Can't resist ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This site is rife with arrogant prick douche bag answers like this, where someone posts something reasonable, yet perhaps incorrect, and a douche bag know it all like vlm has to reply with a dickhead insulting response to each part, like he fucking knows anything.

      The meaner someone is online, the bigger a pussy fucking bitch they are in real life.

    22. Re:Can't resist ... by Dan667 · · Score: 1

      rupert murdoch bought myspace. A lot of these people don't know what they are doing with regards to the internet.

    23. Re:Can't resist ... by dachshund · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Why the hell does an investment bank, who normally act as a "service provider" want to take a direct stake in a Social networking company ?

      Two words: regulatory arbitrage.

      US law currently prevents Facebook from taking on more than 499 investors unless it discloses its financial results to the public. Facebook does not want to do this, but it certainly wants investment money. Plus there's a lot of dumb money out there that would love to invest in Facebook. How to get around this?

      The answer is, apparently, to take on a single investor --- Goldman Sachs. G-S will then sell "shares" of their stake to their own investors, collecting a handsome commission along the way. Most likely the investment house won't even wind up with too much exposure of its own, so when Facebook inevitably dot-bombs they'll just be sitting on a pile of cash. Plus there are opportunities here to make and return profits to their preferred clients (as the stock goes up), making sure that only the fools get stuck when it plummets.

      Normally it wouldn't bother me too much to see rich people getting fleeced, but how much do you want to bet that somehow your money will wind up in that pool, even if it's indirectly through mutual funds and third-party companies?

    24. Re:Can't resist ... by u38cg · · Score: 1

      Actually, Goldman is publicly traded, though the majority of stock is held by employees, ex-employees, or other investors who pre-date the flotation in 1999. Something like 12% of the equity is regularly traded. The answer will be something to do with the additional $1.5b that Goldman is raising from other partners. They will be tapping that somehow or other.

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
    25. Re:Can't resist ... by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      And the last two White House occupants (Bush/Obama).

      And people still love the (D)s and (R)s

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    26. Re:Can't resist ... by Skreems · · Score: 1

      I meant that Facebook has no public stock.

      --
      Slashdot needs a "-1, Wrong" moderation option.
      The Urban Hippie
    27. Re:Can't resist ... by bstender · · Score: 1

      Why the hell does an investment bank, who normally act as a "service provider" want to take a direct stake in a Social networking company ?

      It's a match made in heaven. Goldman's specialty is fleecing sheep. Facebook has a lot of sheep and are always looking to improve their own fleecing techniques. Goldman could also be handy in handling those pesky 'regulators'

      --
      look sig is kool
    28. Re:Can't resist ... by quarterbuck · · Score: 1

      1) Goldman Sachs is using this investment as a tool to let their investors and partners invest. They are forming a Special Purpose Vehicle to allow this. This works around the SEC requirement that a non-public company can have at most 500 investors.
      2) Goldman is now a front runner for any IPO that facebook does. IPO fees are something like 2-4% of the value of the company. On a 50 Bn valuation, Goldman can make about a billion in IPO fees alone.
      3) Most likely this stake will also be used as a compensation tool for Goldmans partners/Executives.
      4)Goldman gets insider info on tech industry.

      --
      http://slashdot.org/submission/1062723/Cheap-mobile-data-plan?art_pos=2
    29. Re:Can't resist ... by History's+Coming+To · · Score: 1

      That is indeed the interesting bit.

      Now, in entirely different and offtopic matters, can somebody remind me exactly what constitutes a Ponzi scheme?

      --
      Please consider this account deleted, I just can't be bothered with the spam anymore.
    30. Re:Can't resist ... by Exclamation+mark! · · Score: 1

      Why the hell does an investment bank, who normally act as a "service provider" want to take a direct stake in a Social networking company ?

      They're in the business of making money. If this will make them money they'll invest in it. If selling their souls will make them money they'll do that too... scratch that they already did that one.

      --
      I'm a wanker.... and loving it!
    31. Re:Can't resist ... by Ear+Phantom · · Score: 1

      I really hope the SEC comes down hard on this. Using an SPV (special-purpose vehicle) as a "single investor" is breaking the spirit of the law, if not the letter of the law. This deal makes Goldman Sachs an insider trading infinite fraud machine with the power to print as much money as they want and defraud as many investors as they can. As usual, you are doomed if you can't get on the investment bandwagon and get some of that "good old privately traded Facebook stock", and doubly doomed if you are one of the investors who actually does buy the stock, only to be killed by Goldman's credit default swaps when the bubble pops and you find out that the stock is worthless. In no universe should it be legal, but you know Goldman, they're Too Big to Fail. Get ready for the taxpayer to foot the bill (again).

    32. Re:Can't resist ... by definate · · Score: 1

      I guarantee your money will end up there. Though in all likelihood, only a very small proportion, unless you're managing it yourself, and want to invest more.

      It's hard to say whether these people are getting "fleeced" or not, as we scarcely, if ever, know the true value of something.

      --
      This is my footer. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    33. Re:Can't resist ... by inKubus · · Score: 2

      GS didn't actually take very many losses because all the MBSs they had were hedged or insured. Funny that AIG hasn't had to pay back that $150B yet but Goldman made good in only a few months. Goldman is sitting on an absolute PILE of cash--the pile is so big they haven't even counted it yet.

      But another poster said it best--Goldman will simply run it like a private equity trade; they can't sell Facebook stock but they can own it and then sell the right to gamble on it. Seems like it it should be illegal and it is exactly how the CDOs and MBSs worked as well. It should be illegal because it's unfair to investors who only have the opportunity to play on the public market. Goldman can place all kinds of restrictions on the trading, like "you need to have an account with us for 100M or more", etc. It's actually pretty diabolical and brilliant and it's the same JP Morgan shit that's been happening in New York for over a century.

      So many companies have been taken private recently to hide this private cash from the SEC. They just take a company private, suddenly don't have to file with the feds anymore (except the IRS, which is real independent of the general bureaucracy) and just file with their state whatever minimal amount they have to. Ship it out of the country to Dubai or whatever, it's not rocket science. We got fucked, and they even fucked the government, and they still have public opinion on their side. Amazing.

      Anyway, what can we learn? Number one, the cash is still out there, plus all the money the government printed to cover the cash being dropped out of circulation. So in order to get some sort of return they are going to have to start investing in stuff. They are the lucky ones who get to spend the money first, before the multiplier decays its value. So they get the most value for each dollar by spending it now. By the time it trickles down to the little guy they have bought more land, installed more factories, bought their houses and islands cheap, etc. and the little guy gets just enough to keep up with inflation and keep him where he is, or hopefully (for the rich) a little less powerful. So, if you have any money, you should put it in stuff that the rich will buy with their cash before inflation and interest rates go up.

      And what kills me is Warren Buffet saw all this almost two years ago when he (firstly) bought GS in the dumps, preferred shares mind you, and then took the profits from that and bought burlington northern and netjets. Trains and planes. Two things the very rich use to move stuff between their factories with their low priced midwest hick labor and the city markets and planes because they gotta travel. Gold's up, not because of any safe haven mentality (ok, there is some of that) but because the rich buy lots of gold when they have extra cash.

      Not sure where I'm going with this but uh, hasn't everyone here made around 30% on the market in the past year just by buying nasdaq index or have you all been too scared? It's not hard, run away from the herd and you won't get run over. Yes, the "market leaders" will always have some time advantage but that doesn't mean you can't be there waiting when the peopel that follow the market leaders plow in their money. Facebook would be a great investment in the short term; I like long term it is....just a website.

      --
      Cool! Amazing Toys.
    34. Re:Can't resist ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > The meaner someone is online, the bigger a pussy fucking bitch they are in real life.

      [citation needed]

    35. Re:Can't resist ... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      It's a given that the "data mining" part is the "valuable" part, but 50 billion?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    36. Re:Can't resist ... by Deefburger · · Score: 1

      I dumped my Facebook as soon as I heard the devil-bank "bought" into it. Goldman is like a stink that you can't wash out! I don't need them in my personal life too!

      --
      Most people are mostly good most of the time.
  2. Fools and their money.. by sstamps · · Score: 2

    Goes hand-in-hand with the modern-day Farcebook version:

    Fools and their privacy..

    --
    -SS "Teach the ignorant, care for the dumb, and punish the stupid."
    1. Re:Fools and their money.. by Seumas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Only the American tax-payer is the fool, here. This is a can't-lose wager, for everyone else. You invest and get rich or you invest and get re-imbursed by the American tax-payer next time the government decides to save the speculators by handing them a few trillion.

      Remember, the current president and last president decided that speculation should no longer have any risk and backed that up with seven or eight trillion dollars in handouts. Hurrah!

    2. Re:Fools and their money.. by blind+biker · · Score: 2

      Only the American tax-payer is the fool, here. This is a can't-lose wager, for everyone else. You invest and get rich or you invest and get re-imbursed by the American tax-payer next time the government decides to save the speculators by handing them a few trillion.

      Remember, the current president and last president decided that speculation should no longer have any risk and backed that up with seven or eight trillion dollars in handouts. Hurrah!

      I was going to say the same, so I have nothing to add except: mod parent up!

      OK, well, there's one thing I would like to add as a commentary: this transaction is emblematic of the current US economy: speculation, criminal institutions that are too big to fail, and a social network valued at billions$.

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    3. Re:Fools and their money.. by flaming+error · · Score: 2

      > Only the American tax-payer is the fool, here.

      Not sure what you mean.

      Are we fools for paying taxes? The alternative is big men with guns confiscating our possessions and imprisoning us.

      Are we fools for bailing out bankers? That choice wasn't a checkbox on our tax forms.

      Are we fools for approving the Goldman/Facebook deal? Again, not a tax form checkbox.

      Are we fools for not arming ourselves and shooting somebody? Who would you want us to shoot?

    4. Re:Fools and their money.. by brainboyz · · Score: 2

      Fire those that pass the taxes, and make it known why.

      Again, fire those that bail out the bankers, and make it known why.

      Goldman/Facebook is a private deal, but if they get bailed out then see point #2 above.

      Yes, but that's a much deeper issue.

    5. Re:Fools and their money.. by Viewsonic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's a good thing tax payers have made all that money back with interest then, isn't it?

      I think you forgot to mention that part.

    6. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are we fools for bailing out bankers? That choice wasn't a checkbox on our tax forms.

      It's a choice when you vote. (Sometimes you have to write in, though.)

      The bail out decision was something that wasn't merely controversial, but absolutely absurd and no good-faith politician would have supported it. If people voted for even reasonably-good candidates, it wouldn't have happened. It's not even a left/right thing. If enough people vote against corruption, this won't happen anymore.

    7. Re:Fools and their money.. by Perl-Pusher · · Score: 1

      Tells me they really didn't need the money then!

    8. Re:Fools and their money.. by flaming+error · · Score: 1

      > If enough people vote against corruption

      Everybody votes against corruption. Everybody also votes against terrorists, pedophiles, and puppy mills. But they all happen anyway.

      The root problem isn't corruption, it's power. Voters have decided that government should be responsible for all our problems, and have gradually allowed government commensurate power over our lives.

      Now our votes change nothing. And, naturally, the power we've ceded often corrupts the empowered.

    9. Re:Fools and their money.. by troll+-1 · · Score: 1

      Only the American tax-payer is the fool, here. This is a can't-lose wager, for everyone else. You invest and get rich or you invest and get re-imbursed by the American tax-payer next time the government decides to save the speculators by handing them a few trillion.

      Nah, I invest and the tax payer never reimbursed _me_ when I lost. Historically the American economy has outperformed all others because it embraces laissez faire capitalism that allows people to accumulate wealth so they can invest. If you have another system please run for office but consider that overly regulated markets without entrepreneurial investment have failed in the old Soviet Union, been abandoned by the Chinese, and caused stagnation throughout South America.

      A lot of people seem to be against investors and the free market while at the same time lapping up the abundance of its products.

    10. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So if someone pays their mortgage off they didn't really need it in the first place then, eh?

    11. Re:Fools and their money.. by Seumas · · Score: 2

      First, bullshit. In total, the government handed out more than seven trillion dollars in emergency spending/bailouts (and in some estimates, as much as 9, 11, or even 15 trillion). TARP, which was repaid, was only a very small portion of it. And with that, the amount repaid wouldn't even cover inflation.

      Second, you're missing the point that speculation is supposed to be just that. Speculation. If we're backing investments with tax payer money, it's no longer speculation and we're even more prone to further abuses where speculators run up ridiculous valuations in the market to get rich and when it all goes tits up, nobody really has to supper except the tax-payers who, again, will rescue everyone again.

      To say that the trillions we were stuck handing out were somehow actually repaid is misleading and disingenuous.

    12. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a good thing they get to pick and choose which "rescues" were included in that profitability figure.

      They seem to have forgotten to include the following in their "LOOK! WE MADE A PROFIT" number:
      1. "Rescues" that haven't been paid back yet (but they expect them to be paid back)
      2. Loans (as opposed to the preferred stock "investments" made in most banks). For example, the loans made to GM before the bankruptcy, which were converted to equity (or surrendered to unions) for pennies on the dollar
      3. Opportunity cost of lending at below market rates to AIG and GM
      4. Debt forgiveness in AIG's case
      5. Losses at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in the various Maiden Lane incarnations
      6. Losses through various other lending facilities at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York which, while not direct tax-payer losses, are effectively losses to the public

      I think you forgot to mention that part

    13. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you really that much of an ignorant idiot? Nobody was given money to pay off their mortgages. Idiots bought houses that they couldn't afford and criminals in the financial industry gave mortgages that they shouldn't have given and then these debts changed hands multiple times as one debt purchases transferred their stacks of mortgages from one institution to another. Idiots who couldn't afford the houses to begin with began to default on their mortgage loans. The banks holding the loans were given cash from the government (tax payers) to cover the bad loans they willfully and knowingly made.

      So, the banks made bad loans, but uncle sam/tax payers covered their debt. The people who actually have the mortgages (typical american family buying more home than they can afford) are not off they hook. They still have to pay their mortgages.

      And, even if it was some magical system where tax payers were stuck paying money to other people to directly pay off their mortgages (which is ABSOLUTELY NOT THE CASE) . . . who the fuck cares? Like that makes it any better? Fuck you. Pay for your OWN shit.

    14. Re:Fools and their money.. by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      Who would you want us to shoot?

      Whom, you ignoramus!

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    15. Re:Fools and their money.. by Late+Adopter · · Score: 1

      More or less. It was a crisis of confidence, banks didn't trust each others' assets and so weren't lending. The TARP program gave some breathing room to sort things out.

    16. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [citation needed]

      Seriously! If ever there was a time for it, this is it.

      Economics doesn't work that way. $8T paid back from banks, plus interest, in less than 3 years? Show your work, and shifting debt over seas is also not a valid solution here.

    17. Re:Fools and their money.. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Exactly - nobody else could (or would) bail them out at the time, and if teh grubbarmint - i.e. the taxpayer - hadn't stood behind them they'd all be in the gutter now.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    18. Re:Fools and their money.. by fropenn · · Score: 1

      Wrong, wrong, wrong. Plenty of companies and people lost their shirt and more. The bailout targeted only a few specific companies that, were they to fail, offered a substantial and serious risk to the remaining health of the economy.

      Ask anyone who worked for, or invested with Lehman Brothers how much of a "can't-lose wager" it was...

    19. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope, not payed back yet.
      http://www.zerohedge.com/article/no-big-banks-have-not-paid-back-government-bailouts-and-subsidies

    20. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you want laissez faire, then you shouldn't go bailing out people who speculate and are wrong.

    21. Re:Fools and their money.. by purpledinoz · · Score: 2

      That's just the TARP money. You also have to look at what the Fed is doing. Giving Loans to Goldman Sachs at 0% -> GS buys US Treasuries and pockets the interest. Tax payers lose, Goldman Sachs wins.

    22. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seriously believe this?

    23. Re:Fools and their money.. by definate · · Score: 1

      The question then becomes, was that interest reflective of the true risk at that time. If not, then while it wasn't "free" it was "cheap", and we all like cheap capital. Also, depending on inflation (or was it deflation) over the period, we might have effectively lost.

      * Disclaimer: While I do this analysis, I haven't done much on this particular area. Hence the open questions. Perhaps someone who has the time could fill in the details.

      --
      This is my footer. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    24. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FYI we still lost money on the deal. The amount of interest that was recompensed was not equal to the amount of value we would have gained from the time they held our funds.

    25. Re:Fools and their money.. by Rudeboy777 · · Score: 1

      Shifting debt is how apologists like the grandparent post are able to justify the claim that the TARP funds were repaid in full.

      Goldman's AIG exposure must be factored into any consideration of the concept of repayment. Goldman would be bankrupt today had the government not bailed out AIG. The government's bailout of AIG was in effect a proxy bailout of Goldman. Goldman is not settled until AIG repays their bailout and that is a long, long way off.

      --

      From hell's heart I fstab at /dev/hdc

    26. Re:Fools and their money.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's just categorically false. The TARP funds were repaid, yes, but the TARP funds represent a very small amount of money given to these banks in the last few years. The AIG bailout was a giant subsidy to various companies, most notably Goldman Sachs. And this doesn't take into the hundreds of BILLIONS of dollars lent out to banks at zero percent interest by the Federal Reserve. So before spouting off like you know what you're talking about, why don't you do some research?

    27. Re:Fools and their money.. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Nah, I invest and the tax payer never reimbursed _me_ when I lost.

      Can't find a gentle way of saying it, so here goes: you're small enough to fail.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    28. Re:Fools and their money.. by Skreems · · Score: 1

      The bail out decision was something that wasn't merely controversial, but absolutely absurd and no good-faith politician would have supported it

      Not saying that the companies deserved an out (personally I think we should have let them collapse), but the US Govt ended up making a tidy profit on TARP overall, and there are still some companies left to pay back. So we make money, companies get saved from complete collapse at the cost of temporary government oversight and financial compensation to those that saved them, and everybody wins. What's so absurd about that?

      --
      Slashdot needs a "-1, Wrong" moderation option.
      The Urban Hippie
  3. Book value vs. Real Value by teknopurge · · Score: 2

    Aside from development I trade as a second-job.(I'd call it a hobby but hobbies cost money.) The net result of this valuation is marketing hype. Regardless who think what FB's eyeballs are worth, this is a point-in-time snapshot of FB's worth. Based on trading experience, if this was publicly traded right now I would be opening a vertical put spread.(i.e. be massively short) It feels and smells like an overrated athletic team.

    1. Re:Book value vs. Real Value by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More like railroads, cars, the web...

      The bubble always bursts. There is always competition in a free market. Facebook will soon be just one of many social networking companies.

      BTW my Mom joined Facebook before I did. I was considering joining now that they seem to understand what the users want in terms of controls, but seriously? Mom? Call me immature, but that does it for me. ;-)

    2. Re:Book value vs. Real Value by LordNacho · · Score: 1

      Overrated athletic teams' performance isn't dependent on how much people have bet on them winning. FB's valuation benefits from GS betting on them.

      I'd have to agree, I don't see how it's worth so much. But that doesn't mean I'd have to balls to bet against GS.

    3. Re:Book value vs. Real Value by teknopurge · · Score: 1

      exactly - the only difference between FaceBook and MySpace(for all intents and purposes) is the timing.

    4. Re:Book value vs. Real Value by Esteanil · · Score: 1

      "Markets can remain irrational a lot longer than you and I can remain solvent" - A. Garry Shilling

      --
      I'm a dreamer, the world is my playpen. But hey, I'm a serious person, I can't dream all the time.
    5. Re:Book value vs. Real Value by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look at it this way:

      Facebook has revenue, quite a lot of it.

      Facebook has a pretty small staff.

      Facebook drives that revenue with a pretty tiny infrastructure relative to say amazon or google.

      Facebook behaves like a semi-open platform -- they allow companies like zynga to also generate revenue using the FB platform.

      They have lots of users and lots and lots of valuable data that can't be gotten anywhere else.

      So, are they worth 50billion? I don't know, but they are actually doing something right, vs say groupon.

    6. Re:Book value vs. Real Value by DCFusor · · Score: 1
      Agree -- it's not worth that much. Question is, and we can't know yet, is Goldman going to be short it while/when/if they pull in enough other investors...

      I online trade all day every day these days, and now it's software that's the hobby. One of the better pieces of advice I ever got from a broker, back when I had one (online now, all the way) was "watch Goldman". Don't buy them, and sure don't listen to what they say -- watch them. You can make money riding the moves they make when they manipulate markets. Lots. And it cuts down their profits if you do it right, which always feels special.

      That's what I do anyway. I hope FB goes public so I can short it too. It's only a matter of time before some of the privacy issues take them down a notch. I know younger people seem not to care now -- but they'll reach a place of being denied a job or credit due to it, and get tired of targeted marketing, and that turkey is going down...

      --
      Why guess when you can know? Measure!
    7. Re:Book value vs. Real Value by u38cg · · Score: 1

      Always remember, the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. I remember telling people to ignore the dot-com bubble as a teenager and being laughed at for years. I told people the housing market was a mess and that buying a house was stupid, and we all know what happened there...

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
    8. Re:Book value vs. Real Value by teknopurge · · Score: 1

      according to our best-guess, FB has ~2B in gross revenue. If each employe made 100k, that's 200mil/yr in salary costs. Add in their IT costs that are easily 2x that, and you have 600mil/yr in operating costs, which means their making 1.4 billion in profit per year: hardly a company worth 25x earnings.

  4. Goldman Sachs .... Facebook .... Wall Street ... by unity100 · · Score: 5, Funny

    What could POSSIBLY go wrong ...

  5. 12 billion bailout by fermion · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So our 12 billion in bailout money goes to invest a company that maybe makes a few million dollars of profit on at a least half a billion dollars in revenue. Combined with Groupon, can we say bubble? Can we say it is easy to flush money down the toilet when it is the taxpayers? Can we remember how signed TARP and the bank bailout, thereby giving all the taxpayer money to the banks and investment firms and raising the deficit to astronomical percentages of GDP. And we want to continue to give these crooks a free hand at destroying the middle class?

    --
    "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    1. Re:12 billion bailout by timeOday · · Score: 4, Informative

      I am not am not an expert here, but my understanding is Goldman-Sachs was the first bank to repay TARP (a year and a half ago), and the govt. made 23% interest on it.

    2. Re:12 billion bailout by LordNacho · · Score: 1

      That's right, but you can't say it's a great deal for everyone (taxpayers) just because GS didn't go bust and managed to repay their loan. There was a chance they were gonna go down. If the government keeps giving them money to bet with, they'll roll snakeeyes someday.

    3. Re:12 billion bailout by Viewsonic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      People seem to leave this part out. They keep screaming about the 'bailouts' and tax payer money being 'wasted'. That money has been, for the most part, repaid, with interest. The 'taxpayers' have been making out like bandits with these 'bailouts' because they've decided they don't want the regulation that comes along with it. You take taxpayers money, you play by their rules. It's like people can't beyond the fact that these loans had some pretty heavy strings attached to them for the benefit of the taxpayers.

    4. Re:12 billion bailout by westlake · · Score: 1

      So our 12 billion in bailout money goes to invest a company that maybe makes a few million dollars of profit on at a least half a billion dollars in revenue.

      Goldman Sachs doesn't owe the government a dime:

      In June 2009, Goldman Sachs repaid the U.S. Treasury's TARP investment, with 23% interest (in the form of $318 million in preferred dividend payments and $1.418 billion in warrant redemptions). Goldman Sachs

      The 23% return in interest on a loan of $10 billion is not half-bad.

      In 2010 Goldman Sachs stage-managed $554.5 billion dollars worth of mergers and acquisitions. Goldman Sachs Returned to M&A Top Spot in 2010

    5. Re:12 billion bailout by NotAGoodNickname · · Score: 1

      If you lend me money without interest I would pay you back with interest too. I would LOVE that deal! Banks love it too!

    6. Re:12 billion bailout by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      I am not am not an expert here, but my understanding is Goldman-Sachs was the first bank to repay TARP (a year and a half ago), and the govt. made 23% interest on it.

      I'm not sure why that's really relevant. The assistance the government provided was worth far more than 23% interest. And the SEC let them off with practically no penalty for scamming their clients (maybe that's a bit harsh, but then again, the way they sold investment vehicles that they had a financial stake in seeing fail seems like a majorconflict of interest. Maybe someone can explain why it was okay?).

      Add to that the fact that the top 5 banks have gotten bigger, instead of shrinking them away from being too-big-to-fail.

      I'd rather see long-term regulation than 23% interest, because all this set up was the probability that it happen again. After all, why not risk the company if the government will finance one more bet. And what are the odds two bets fail in a row?

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    7. Re:12 billion bailout by RazzleFrog · · Score: 1

      Well considering how much has been paid back and how successful it has been either they've been very lucky or they knew what they were doing.

    8. Re:12 billion bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Some legislators wondered if Treasury has been aggressive enough in collecting taxpayers' full due from banks that have repaid their TARP loans. A July 10 report from Warren's panel estimated Treasury had recovered just 66% of the estimated value of warrants in repurchase transactions." From an accompanying article to your link.

    9. Re:12 billion bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Interest is something you get for saving - not for making really risky investments.

      Any venture capitalist would have demanded a return in terms of factors - not in percents - for bailing out financial institutions that can cause a few billion $ to simply disappear. We'd be talking a return of 200% to, say, 800% in order to have the 'markets' jump in ...

    10. Re:12 billion bailout by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Considering the conditions at the time, 23% was a steal for Goldman Sachs. Markets wouldn't have loaned to it at 50% at the time.

    11. Re:12 billion bailout by Seumas · · Score: 1

      Yay! Next time, make even bigger bad speculative investments! There's no risk to speculation, anymore, because you can rely on the tax payer to save your ass. This will totally in no way perpetrate greater damage on the economy and society by generating a false economy based on a mix of tax-payer-fail-safes and unchecked speculation. What could ever go wrong?!

    12. Re:12 billion bailout by PerfectionLost · · Score: 2

      As much as we got back the money with interest from some companies, the amount of money we lost on AIG completely wipes it out. The 1.1 Billion that Goldman-Sachs payed back pales in comparison to the 50 billion of the 180 billion that they got out of the AIG bailout.

    13. Re:12 billion bailout by Seumas · · Score: 1

      It has? Please show me this spreadsheet that shows most of that 7-14 trillion dollars we spent during the whole "the world's gonna end if we don't bail everyone out!" period of time being repaid. As far as I'm aware of, only the actual TARP funds have been repaid, which is a very trivial part of those trillions of dollars we were screwed on. Fuck, we're still stuck with a company or two, now. You know we're in the car selling business and all, now.

    14. Re:12 billion bailout by celle · · Score: 1

      "People seem to leave this part out. They keep screaming about the 'bailouts' and tax payer money being 'wasted'. That money has been, for the most part, repaid, with interest... "

          And how does that interest pay for all the damage done. These creeps aren't even being held accountable for the disaster they themselves caused. 23% interest on a few billion doesn't compare to the trillions in damages and the billions already given to the banks before tarp.

      rant
          Why haven't these assholes been killed already? They wield more actual power than the kings of old but don't pay the big price for it. /rant

    15. Re:12 billion bailout by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 3, Informative

      People seem to leave this part out. They keep screaming about the 'bailouts' and tax payer money being 'wasted'. That money has been, for the most part, repaid, with interest.

      Baloney. Of the $550B disbursed, only $230B has been returned and that doesn't take into account the cost of money for the interim.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    16. Re:12 billion bailout by David+Jao · · Score: 4, Insightful

      People seem to leave this part out. They keep screaming about the 'bailouts' and tax payer money being 'wasted'. That money has been, for the most part, repaid, with interest. The 'taxpayers' have been making out like bandits with these 'bailouts' because they've decided they don't want the regulation that comes along with it. You take taxpayers money, you play by their rules. It's like people can't beyond the fact that these loans had some pretty heavy strings attached to them for the benefit of the taxpayers.

      If you count Goldman's AIG exposure, which any honest accountant must count, Goldman has not even come close to repaying the bailout money they received.

      Goldman would absolutely be bankrupt today ten times over had the government not bailed out AIG. The government's bailout of AIG was in effect a proxy bailout of Goldman. Until AIG repays every cent they received with interest, Goldman is not off the hook.

      It is, however, more than a little upsetting that cheerleaders like you so blindly accept Goldman's offloading of their liabilities onto AIG and then try to say with a straight face that Goldman has repaid their debt to the taxpayer.

    17. Re:12 billion bailout by purpledinoz · · Score: 1

      Oh, and don't forget a big chunk of money given to AIG was channeled to Goldman Sachs.

    18. Re:12 billion bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, you gotta give them credit. Forget steel, their man sacks are made of gold!

    19. Re:12 billion bailout by LordNacho · · Score: 1

      Actually, it's both.

    20. Re:12 billion bailout by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, Goldman effectively repaid the loan with more of the taxpayers' own money. At the very same time as giving Goldman a massive loan, the government began its well-publicised stimulus program, explicitly to re-float the economy and ensure the stock market recovered. In other words, the government said

      "Hey, Goldman - here's a big pile of cash as a loan. But we're also about to force share prices upwards with even more cash."

      Lo and behold Goldman says

      "Thanks. We'll leverage the first pile of cash to buy some shares. Then your second pile of cash will also come to us. And we'll use that to repay the loan and profit. So, we get to pocket your cash twice and pretend that in doing so we've been wonderfully good citizens repaying you with interest."

      Frankly Goldman doesn't just reckon there's a sucker born every minute -- there are 7.6 every minute and they all grow into nice juicy taxpayers.

    21. Re:12 billion bailout by inKubus · · Score: 1

      Goldman bought those insurance contracts fair and square and AIG had every ability to underwrite each and every one to insure it was a sound investment. The American people are to blame, for beleiving housing prices would forever go up and that they could buy houses they couldn't afford in the future if the prices didn't go up. Yes, the evil banks enabled this, but there was a market and people were signing these papers so why the hell not? The problem is now, the American people don't want to make good on their loans. Total shit balls are stripping their granite and bathtubs out of their foreclosed properties rendering them useless. There are four kinds of people as I see it:

      1. People who gambled on real estate and lost (~90% of foreclosures)
      2. People who were tricked into loans that the banks knew would not be paid back (~10% of foreclosures)
      3. People who already owned houses or bought a house they could afford and are still making the payments on, or invested in a good rental market
      4. People who stayed out because they were poor or scared.

      It seems like #1 and #4 are the people who are complaining the loudest, and those are just shitty people. #3 are the people who are going to see us through because they work hard and are now carrying this whole thing on their backs. And #2 will always be there, because there's always some new starry eyed immigrant who can get duped into a loan. It's not a good thing but it's a fact.

      The only thing that can save us is people buckle down, save money and create new wealth rather than sucking on the teat of the tax payer or gambling on something people really need. So I don't think we'll see the huge gains in the real estate for a long time. But I hear facebook stock is going to be a great investment! ;)

      --
      Cool! Amazing Toys.
    22. Re:12 billion bailout by David+Jao · · Score: 1

      Goldman bought those insurance contracts fair and square and AIG had every ability to underwrite each and every one to insure it was a sound investment.

      If AIG had the full ability to underwrite its insurance contracts then it certainly didn't need a bailout. But your point is irrelevant. Regardless of whether or not AIG had the ability to honor its contracts, AIG should have been left to succeed or fail on its own merits in the free market fair and square, without government interference, and without bailouts.

      In fact, "no bailouts" is a simple solution to every single problem that you bring up in your post. The free market, without government interference, is an excellent mechanism for correcting the prices of mispriced goods, whether those goods are houses, loans, or insurance contracts.

      This economic crisis would have been fully resolved two years ago had there been no bailouts. The only downside (from the point of view of bankers, that is; for taxpayers it would have been an upside) is that Goldman Sachs would be deservedly out of business.

    23. Re:12 billion bailout by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Or that they may have charged 23% interest, but then GS went and loaned the money back to the US government (because its not like they have any money) at 46% interest... It really doesn't get any more dirty and corrupt than that.

      Also I may have made all of that up, then again maybe not.

  6. Demographic Data by MoonBuggy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Why the hell does an investment bank, who normally act as a "service provider" want to take a direct stake in a Social networking company ?

    Well theoretically Facebook's "product" is demographic data for marketing purposes - Goldman Sachs obviously think this is a profitable segment. What I've said before, and will say again, is that I'll never truly believe that marketing data can provide that much value. Obviously some very successful people think differently, so it may well be that I'm just outright wrong, but when I look at the value of Google and Facebook, who might provide slightly better ways to convince people to buy your product, and compare those valuations to those of the companies who actually make popular, profitable and tangible products, it just seems like there's something not quite right here. Bubble 2.0, perhaps?

    1. Re:Demographic Data by durrr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Some very sucessful people crashed the worlds economy, while getting filthy filthy rich at the same time.
      One mans poison is another mans profit.

    2. Re:Demographic Data by div_2n · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If FB can figure out how properly utilize the data it has to properly send target advertisements in an unobtrusive way, they will be able to do what nobody has to date -- compete with Google on the advertising front.

      This makes them supremely poised to be the ultimate competitor to Google for advertising dollars (which last I heard is the bulk of Google's profits). Note this doesn't make them a direct competitor to Google per se, but certainly it makes them capable of putting one heck of a dent in Google's bottom line.

    3. Re:Demographic Data by MoonBuggy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That still hinges on the assumption that targeted marketing is so beneficial that it's worth all these billions of dollars. Maybe it is, maybe I'm wrong - I'm just some guy and I'm arguing with billionaires here, after all - but it looks to me like they're building something of a house of cards that'll come tumbling down if the companies purchasing the ads ever manage to quantitatively assess their impact.

    4. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't have to be true to be profitable; spammers seem able to fool enough people enough of the time.

    5. Re:Demographic Data by Low+Ranked+Craig · · Score: 4, Informative

      This all makes sense now. This is the real reason California, and likely other states will criminalize using bogus demographic information in your profile. If you do so you are depriving Goldman Sachs of their rightful revenue from selling your personal info, therefore you have defrauded or harmed the corporation. I mean, it's not like Goldman Sachs owns any congress critters or would ever contribute to completely fucking up an economy only to have the government write them a big check for their efforts.

      --
      I still cannot find the droids I am looking for...
    6. Re:Demographic Data by wwfarch · · Score: 1

      Google does allow you to quantitatively assess the impact. You can pretty easily tell when someone came to your site through a Google ad and what they did while they were there. I'm sure many people don't assess the data in any meaningful matter but Google does make that data available to use.

    7. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If we assume that Facebook peaks at half the world's population (3500 million) and maintains that user base for 5 years, then those $50 billion can be distributed as about $3 per user year.

      Do you think that the Facebook database could be used to make the average Facebook user increase their consumption of real stuff by significantly more than $3 per year? I do.

      If we run the same calculation with only 500 million users and 5 years we get about 20 dollars per user year. That still sounds like fair deal to me.

      We are probably in the very early stages of a targeted advertisement bubble. Goldman Sachs has plenty of time to cash in and get out.

    8. Re:Demographic Data by bberens · · Score: 1

      Given standard historical P/E ratios of 15:1, makes it sound even more reasonable.

      --
      Check out my lame java blog at www.javachopshop.com
    9. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No one modded this?

      The law wasn't done purely for Golden Sacsuckers, but after reading this, I can't help but totally agree that this was done to attempt to "purify" demographic information online for corporate use.

    10. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "As long as the music is playing, you've got to get up and dance"

      Does this sound like someone who really wants to keep dancing?

      I point out that it was said before the financial crisis.

    11. Re:Demographic Data by root_42 · · Score: 1

      What I've said before, and will say again, is that I'll never truly believe that marketing data can provide that much value.

      It's not just marketing data. Both Google and Facebook are a massively huge platform on which you can present your products. If you're not on Facebook with your company, and if your product does not show up on the first page of a Google search, you have a problem as a big business.

      --
      [--- PGP key and more on http://www.root42.de ---]
    12. Re:Demographic Data by tukang · · Score: 1

      who actually make popular, profitable and tangible products

      A lot of people seem to have hang ups about FB not producing anything tangible but traditional media corporations such as Viacom don't produce anything tangible either and their business model has done just fine. Think of FB as a media corporation that has a global audience and the ability to display targeted ads. If Viacom is worth 25 billion then I don't find it so unreasonable to value FB twice as much.

    13. Re:Demographic Data by al0ha · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Everyone *thinks* Facebook's product is demographic data for marketing purposes, and at this point in history perhaps that is only what it is used for; however I would not personally feel comfortable believing this will continue to be the only use for all of the connections and information gleaned via Facebook, Google and myriad other data mining enterprises.

      The main point almost everyone is missing is that all data put in the *cloud* is there until the end of time, never to be reclaimed. That is a freaking long time peeps; and just as people could not comprehend the ability to land on the moon at the turn of the 20th century; we can not begin to comprehend the future uses, good or bad, for all the data people are currently freely giving up without a second thought. Goldman is obviously betting the payoff will be substantial; far more than mere marketing alone.

      In my lifetime we've gone from being upset when a person stood to close to the phone booth (with a closed door) while we were having a conversation, to loudly conversing and putting personal facts out there for anyone to use however they choose.

      --
      Did you ever wake up in the morning, with a Zombie Woof behind your eyes? -- FZ
    14. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, that sounds like something from one of Bad Boy Bill's House mixtapes

    15. Re:Demographic Data by div_2n · · Score: 1

      I think it makes great logical sense that heavily targeted advertising would be more successful than generalized advertising.

      Have you ever been on a heavily populated beach resort area and seen one of the planes go by pulling an advertisement? Which do you think would be more effective for one of those planes in the dead of summer in a hot place -- an advertisement for tanning lotion or one for heavy winter coats?

      I see targeted advertisement based on demographic data as an attempt to be smart in similar ways to target people. If done exactly right, I think it makes lots of sense it SHOULD work.

      I guess we'll see if anybody has qualitative data to prove it does.

    16. Re:Demographic Data by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      we can not begin to comprehend the future uses, good or bad, for all the data people are currently freely giving up without a second thought.

      Rev 13:16 KJV - And he causeth all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and bond, to receive a mark in their right hand, or in their foreheads:
      Rev 13:17 KJV - And that no man might buy or sell, save he that had the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of his name.

      Just sayin'

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    17. Re:Demographic Data by Duradin · · Score: 1

      Zuckerberg may be evil but outside of delusions of grandeur he's not that Evil.

      And "just sayin'" has got to right up there with smilies and "with all due respect".

    18. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      People still don't get it. That massive global derivatives trade that is larger than world GDP? Guess what's backing it. It's not just your savings. It's not your retirement account. It's not your mortgage. Not even your tax dollars.

      It's you.

      And anyone who can know all about you, can gain an incredible edge in the new order of global trade. In the new reality, that the world is a closed system. That the economy operates on knowable variables. And that it can be solved. They are building the Google of global finance.

      And, to do that, they've put a bullseye on your most intimate details. They want to know your business contacts. They want to know your friends. They want to know who influences your decisions. They are building a map. Forming connections. They want to know what you eat. They want to know how often you exercise. They want to know what drugs you take. What television shows you watch. They want to know how the dominos fit together. They want to know how a random person can say something to a secretary who says it to her boss which influences his perspective and brings down a major corporation, like a house of cards.

      Then they can make it happen. Bet against it. And profit. Checkmate.

      So there's quite a bit of money on the line. And somehow insurance companies aren't as useful as they once were. Somehow, the entire concept of random, evenly distributed risk probability curves has been replaced with a much more insidious, and manipulable, model. And you're right at the center. So, now, reliably modeling the global economy hinges upon controlling it's most unpredictable part: you.

    19. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And if it all goes wrong it doesn't matter - it's not their money anyway. Fucking jew bastards.

    20. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is the beauty of the internet: quantitative analysis is very easy. An advertiser knows when somebody clicked on their ad, went to their website and bought something. That is very different for offline types of advertising. This is exactly why internet advertising is so popular and companies like Google make so much money: advertisers have much better control and much directer means of measuring the effectiveness of their marketing campaigns.

    21. Re:Demographic Data by Orestesx · · Score: 1

      Google (and I assume Facebook as well) make it very easy for a company to evaluate the impact of their advertisements. It's called analytics. It only, requires a few variables, CPC (cost per click), conversion rate, revenue per transaction. Google is nice enough to provide a ROI in bold at the bottom of the page. I set this up at a retail website that I used to work for. The data makes a very convincing argument that Google advertising is worth it.

    22. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "What I've said before, and will say again, is that I'll never truly believe that marketing data can provide that much value."

      This is funny. I was just wondering exactly the same when I read the story. I mean, 500 million users making the company worth 50 billion means every user is worth 100 dollars to the company. Thats is a lot of money and I doubt the average user generates that much value which means this company is just a bubble that will burst.

    23. Re:Demographic Data by MarcQuadra · · Score: 1

      That's my question:

      Does advertising actually matter? Does it matter because companies -think- it matters, or does it really drive sales?

      Maybe I'm in the minority, but I don't think I've -ever- purchased something via an online ad. I generally buy stuff that I feel I need, not stuff I want.

      Then again, I still don't have a microwave and the only reason I have a TV is because someone misunderstood me when I said 'I don't have a TV' and gave me one.

      My prediction is that this is Goldman getting in before the bubble inflates too much. They'll get in, there will be an IPO, the price will skyrocket. Goldman will sell their shares quietly right before the advertisers realize that 'intuition' is 'good enough' (and a lot cheaper) to drive online sales. The overhead of thousands of servers and terabytes of daily bandwidth to support 't-shirt sales' just doesn't seem sustainable to me.

      --
      "Sometimes, I think Trent just needs a cup of hot chocolate and a blankie." -Tori Amos on Nine Inch Nails
    24. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You still need to have the business with which to utilize the data. Companies have used demographics (often provided by the census) for a very long time to determine things like store placements, product placement etc...

      I am not honestly really sure though how a company can value the demographics information that facebook contains in that you can't really guarantee its accuracy. It is people putting up bs for whatever reason. That would create an error factor beyond what I would consider acceptable.

      But hey, who am I to argue, ALL YOUR FB DATA ARE BELONG TO US. I welcome our FB overlords.

    25. Re:Demographic Data by MoonBuggy · · Score: 1

      Neither of these things generate any revenue though - they actually cost a small amount in bandwidth and CPU time. One of the main reasons that a top result on Google or a Facebook fan page with hundreds of thousands of followers is considered to be worth something is precisely because it can't be bought. Sure, they can provide a lot of eyeballs for the sidebar ads, but those don't have anything like the cachet attached to those things that people actually visit the sites for.

    26. Re:Demographic Data by ottothecow · · Score: 1
      Of course...a bogus facebook profile is actually pretty useful.

      If they are trying to advertise to you based on your habits, they don't really care if you fill in your home town as Chicago and fill in a fake name. If they see that you spend most of your time on facebook looking at concert dates in NYC while you tag photos with and post on the walls of your friends in brooklyn.

      On websites that grab your demographic data just to sell it (you register to read an article and then get a package of info sold), fake info will be misleading but the only useful functions of facebook are demographically linked. You can make up as much info as you want but unless you also use it in a fake way (talk with friends you don't know, read about books you don't like, watch movie trailers you aren't interested in), you will be revealing plenty of data.

      --
      Bottles.
    27. Re:Demographic Data by Josef+Meixner · · Score: 1

      I am not so sure, don't you think it would feel creepy, when you just looked for a book, lets say about a travel to the moon on one site and then suddenly in all the tabs open you start to see offers to name a star, buy some piece of some space mission, a DVD with footage from the Apollo-mission and so on? Everything targeted not quite right, but obviously close to what you just did. I think it will be very hard for targeted advertising to avoid, that people feel like some creepy guy is following them.

      And honestly, the advertising business never had any kind of restraint. Advertising on the web got very fast very obnoxious to the point, where I won't browse without an adblocker. So I doubt, that the advertisers will be careful this time.

    28. Re:Demographic Data by Afty0r · · Score: 1

      I work for a company that has a pay-per-click ad budget well into seven-figures per annum - and we track every click, journey and resolution.

      We know exactly how much we have spent each hour, and exactly how much value each of those clicks had to our business (although it may be some weeks or months before the customer ultimately completes a financial transaction with us, we will know about it).

      One of the reasons the internet has been ascending rapidly in terms of its' share of ad/marketing spend *is* the ability to directly track and quantitatively assess the impact of the spend - none of the traditional channels can offer this.

      We know all of our serious competitors are doing this too - and the spend makes fiscal sense. So at least one from one (very major) industry sector, I can't see what you mean when you say it's a house of cards - it's an avenue to discover potentially interested customers, and one which results in us earning significantly greater profits. I don't see that changing any time soon...

    29. Re:Demographic Data by rfuilrez · · Score: 1

      Then again, I still don't have a microwave and the only reason I have a TV is because someone misunderstood me when I said 'I don't have a TV' and gave me one..

      That's exactly how I got my TV! Guy at work bought a new one, and showed up at work one day "You don't have a tv right?" "Nope" "I got one for you" "....k"
      And my Microwave I got when my mom came out to visit for a week...while I was at work she bought me one.

    30. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Got that straight from the Matrix, didn't ya?

      Morpheus: What is the Matrix? Control. The Matrix is a computer-generated dream world built to keep us under control in order to change a human being into this.
      [holds up a demographic map of society]
      Neo: No, I don't believe it. It's not possible.
      Morpheus: I didn't say it would be easy, Neo. I just said it would be the truth.

    31. Re:Demographic Data by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Goldman Sachs have made a lot of mistakes but they are very good at getting other people to pay for them. For one thing, if it wasn't for some tax money taken from you pocket they would not be able to buy Facebook.

    32. Re:Demographic Data by rastoboy29 · · Score: 1

      No man, trust me, if it's your job to get customers for a business, you lust for really, really good leads.  People that fit all the categories of your customers are much more efficient (and vastly cheaper) to market to than the general populace.

    33. Re:Demographic Data by rastoboy29 · · Score: 1

      I think it's more about building mailing lists.

      However, down the road, perhaps.

    34. Re:Demographic Data by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      With all due respect :-)

      How would you recognize evil? How would you distinguish evil from EVIL?

      In this case I was answering a specific comment, not on the evilness of Zuckerberg, namely that someone thought of the thing someone else thought wasn't possible a few years ago, from a period nearly 1900 years ago.

      Or to put it completely differently, mankind hasn't really changed in 2000 years, the problems we have now are the same problems from 2000 years ago, evil men wanting to rule over others.

      Man cannot rule over himself, what makes him think he can rule over others?

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    35. Re:Demographic Data by cavebison · · Score: 1

      if the companies purchasing the ads ever manage to quantitatively assess their impact.

      Surely that's as easy as marrying up any increase in sales with advertising on any network. Can't be that hard - but since it's relatively new territory, we may be waiting a little while longer for businesses to start going, "hm, this isn't working as well as I'd hoped."

      But at the same time it's a numbers game. New advertisers get on board all the time, so even the disappointed ones won't count for much, as the new ones have the same stars in their eyes. There's no way to get an overall, objective picture of results. Like starting a new diet - you have no idea how other people fared who started that diet, so you try it anyway. Diet plan sees "success", at least until the next diet plan comes along (probably created by the same company who does nothing but create diet plans because people are that stupid/uninformed).

    36. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I recall hearing on NPR that targeted ads had something like 2.5x the propbability of generating an actual sale. They didn't discuss what % of ad viewers did purchase, but if 1% can bet turned into 2.5% and the price of that value add is not 2.5x the price of untargeted ads then its a net gain for the advertiser.

    37. Re:Demographic Data by Synonymous+Homonym · · Score: 1

      Then they can make it happen.

      I thought mathematics had already proven that they can not.
      There are, in fact, no dominoes, just cumulative effects.

      It does not matter, though, because economists rarely understand mathematics, and as long as some in that community think it could be done, they will invest in it, like the suckers they are.

      This is a bubble. Estimates say that GS values each FB user at 100 USD. How much more can it rise?
      FB will soon be superceded by the Next Big Thing, but it seems GS aims to hurry that process along.

    38. Re:Demographic Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I disagree. Facebook is essentially today's AOL (but without the ISP feature). Another older example is Geocities. Its a big walled garden. When it becomes old-hat or unfashionable it and all its data will disappear from the world just as completely as did AOL's and Geocities. Perhaps there will be an archive somewhere, but even that may be defeated by Facebook's access control.

    39. Re:Demographic Data by Deefburger · · Score: 1

      BINGO! Give this guy a cookie! That is precisely why I disabled my Facebook at the news of Goldman.

      --
      Most people are mostly good most of the time.
    40. Re:Demographic Data by FreakyGreenLeaky · · Score: 1

      targeted marketing is so beneficial that it's worth all these billions of dollars

      As a company owner, I can categorically state that it is. TV is the ultimate since it provides the highest volumes, but it's carpet bombing. Radio is great, but requires constant repetition and is also un-targeted.

      Also, don't forget that marketing people are not stupid - they'll not keep pouring money into a medium which does not provide a return. Online/targeted ads give you real measurable returns.

    41. Re:Demographic Data by freudigst · · Score: 1

      Define how the term "successful" (I assume this adjective was intended) applies for such people

    42. Re:Demographic Data by somersault · · Score: 1

      when I look at the value of Google and Facebook, who might provide slightly better ways to convince people to buy your product

      I don't think it's to do with convincing so much as just number of eyeballs. I don't have stats, but Google and Facebook are some of the top visited websites - probably actually the top two websites visited today.

      If I didn't have adblock, then most of the ads I see would be from Facebook. Considering I don't watch TV or listen to the radio, the only other ads I'd really see are the ones before movies.

      And actually, on my phone, which I'm starting to use more and more, I don't have adblock, so I have seen a couple of ads on Facebook there (I tend to use the actual website rather than the Facebook app). Of course, the ads don't really interest me anyway. I know what I want, and whether I'm going to buy it or not. Mostly movies, music, and games. I'm not sure if I've ever bought anything from a clickable ad on a website. Viral marketing is a better way to go IMO. Create a useful or fun product, create a bit of buzz around it, and people will buy it. Word of mouth is much more valuable when deciding whether to buy a product. Though of course everyone is different, so what might be great for one person is not for another.

      --
      which is totally what she said
  7. I know this isn't new... by cosm · · Score: 1

    ..and I didn't RTFA, but doesn't it seem kind of messed up that mega-banks get to invest their profit (which comes from fractional reserve interest scheming) into a company, keeping the wealth amongst the uber-wealthy? I understand the they still have to pursue the private clients consent for the rest of the money, but have the days of traditional IPOs gone by the wayside in this age of predatory, high-frequency investing. If there is anything I have learned about Wall Street, its that it serves its own private interest, and not the commonwealths.

    Whether or not this is ultimately beneficial to main-street is definitely debatable, but my money is on an exponentially larger gap between the distribution of wealth between the middle class and the upper elite.

    I'm all for keeping the money you as an individual earn, but it seems that as corporations get more and more of the ups of personified status (defamation rights, etc.), without also incurring the negatives (murder, genocide), we all get screwed by the plutocracy ad infinitum. Or is my armchair punditry completely off-base?

    --
    'We are trying to prove ourselves wrong as quickly as possible, because only in that way can we find progress.' RPF
    1. Re:I know this isn't new... by trickyD1ck · · Score: 1

      ..and I didn't RTFA, but doesn't it seem kind of messed up that mega-banks get to invest their profit (which comes from fractional reserve interest scheming) into a company, keeping the wealth amongst the uber-wealthy?

      As opposed to what? Not investing? Not earning profits?

    2. Re:I know this isn't new... by SnapShot · · Score: 1

      Your armchair punditry is completely on target. Can you imagine the outcry if congress passed a bill to invest in Facebook? But, pass through $12.9B from AIG to Goldman Sachs so they can invest in Facebook... that's okay. This is just an awful idea: the company that owns congress is investing in the company that knows everything about you.

      --
      Waltz, nymph, for quick jigs vex Bud.
    3. Re:I know this isn't new... by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      What does any of that have to do with an investment bank investing capital in a company?

      It is after all the definition of what they do every day.

      And yes, they are trying to make a buck and acting in their own private interest - that's how capitalism is supposed to work.

    4. Re:I know this isn't new... by u38cg · · Score: 1

      A useful tip is that if someone starts talking to me about fractional reserve banking and how evil it is, I make polite noises and move away quietly. Most intelligent people with a basic grasp of economics will do likewise.

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
  8. Reasons Why This Might Be a Bad Move by eldavojohn · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The reasons this is a great move are pretty obvious but there's some articles floating around out there that point out this might be a gamble. Reasons include:

    • We have no real idea if Facebook revenues are actually near $2 billion. The company is private and doesn't have to report numbers to anyone.
    • Groupon and its clones buy lots of Facebook ads, and we don't know if group-buying is a sustainable advertising model. Some local merchants say it kills their margins.
    • Zynga and the other social game companies are desperate to find a way to live off Facebook. Google is supposedly building an alternative.

    Regardless, it sounds like more of these privately traded shares in auctions from Sharespost will be conducted in the near future. Expect to see Facebook get a serious cash infusion if they all go as well as this one.

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Reasons Why This Might Be a Bad Move by Animats · · Score: 2

      We have no real idea if Facebook revenues are actually near $2 billion.

      Correct. But Goldman does know. They will have had access to Facebooks' books before doing a deal like that.

    2. Re:Reasons Why This Might Be a Bad Move by Peeteriz · · Score: 1

      The rest of the market has a very vague idea about Facebook financial numbers, as they are not public - however, you'd bet that Goldman's lawyers and financial analysts have now spent much time looking at their numbers, and they are betting with their bonuses that some 10% of Facebook will be worth $450 million.

  9. Man, they never listen to me by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 5, Funny

    Tulip bulbs, I tried to tell them. Tulip bulbs! That's the future of finance, right there!

    --
    The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    1. Re:Man, they never listen to me by D+Ninja · · Score: 2

      Ah...but you seem to be forgetting that the South Seas is where the investments are at! Never mind that we don't have a business plan...it's the south. And it's the seas. It must be worth something!

    2. Re:Man, they never listen to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it's been what, close to 500 years since then, yeah, lets recycle the tulip bubble. hehehehe

  10. The Social Network: Goldman Sachs years by Pecisk · · Score: 1

    So we will have new sequel "The Social Network: Goldman Sachs years"?

    Diaspora, where are you?

    --
    user@ubuntubox:~$ stfu This server is going down for shutdown NOW!
  11. White Hat? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can you really remain a white hat while involved in FaceBook's business practices? When you have the white hat, everything is above the table. FaceBook has many below the table items. You can't take off the hat either, as otherwise your hat gets stain marks, and your reputation is hurt.

  12. Everybody into the Pool!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This whole thing reminds of Bernie Madoff back in the day. Everybody was complaining about how the little guy couldn't get the huge hedge fund profits. People at high-end parties didn't feel like they were "somebody" unless they were in the fund.

    How'd that work out for them?

  13. What a relief! by digitaldc · · Score: 4, Funny

    I was so worried about facebook running out of money. Thank GOD that Goldman Sachs intervened and saved them from financial ruin.

    --
    He who knows best knows how little he knows. - Thomas Jefferson
  14. I want in by Eggbloke · · Score: 0

    Can I invest £50 and then get £1.50 from it? I think I have found a way to create infinite money!

    Seriously though is there anything stopping me from doing this? Facebook doesn't look like it's going to fail anytime soon...

    --
    I care not for your karma and your mod points.
    1. Re:I want in by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      Can I invest £50 and then get £1.50 from it? I think I have found a way to create infinite money!

      Seriously though is there anything stopping me from doing this? Facebook doesn't look like it's going to fail anytime soon...

      If you already have money, it's easy to make more money. Especially if you have lots and lots of money - so much money that if you lose money, everybody else gets worried and gives you more money.

      The hard part is getting a lot of money in the first place, the rest is so easy even a banker can do it.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:I want in by u38cg · · Score: 1

      Yes, it's called a 3% interest savings account. Don't tell anyone, but if you invest $10 today, in fifty years time you'll have over $40. What a scam.

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
  15. So each user is worth about $100? by McNihil · · Score: 2

    Somehow that does not seem right in any shape way or form. I know at least a handful users that have way more than a couple of accounts (pets, hiders and other stuff.)

    Maybe 25 cents/user on a good day but $100?!? Completely incredulous. But then again maybe Goldman sees the US dollar tanking worse than Titanic in the near future.

    1. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by Abstrackt · · Score: 1

      Ongoing access to the data of each user neatly categorized into groups based on gender, interests, age, religion, relationship status, and purchasing history is probably worth about $100 a pop.

      --
      They say a little knowledge is a dangerous thing, but it's not one half so bad as a lot of ignorance. - Terry Pratchett
    2. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by vlm · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Somehow that does not seem right in any shape way or form. I know at least a handful users that have way more than a couple of accounts (pets, hiders and other stuff.)

      Maybe 25 cents/user on a good day but $100?!?

      Take all your physical paper junk mail and toss it into MULTIPLE trash bags for about a year. Make an intelligent estimate on paper, printing, and postage costs and multiply by the number of envelopes / catalogs / postcards / phone books. I was easily exceeding $1000/yr a couple years ago.

      Realize that my yearly junk mail is a yearly cost for an entire industry, that shows up on the P+L and cash flow statements not the balance sheet. On the other hand you're talking about ownership of a future advertising industry merely being $100 per victim. Frankly, $100 ownership cost per victim is cheap.

      Compare to the cost of buying the SuperBowel in order to sell millions per minute TV commercials.

      Another fun cost comparison is a realistic estimate of the sum of all local TV stations, at least a hundred million industry wide total to reach a million or so viewers, not so far out of line.

      Advertising is big business.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    3. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by McNihil · · Score: 1

      We the consumers pays 100% of all advertising dollar. Those pamphlets from the bank/cable/telco and all other you pay either with monthly bank/cable/telco costs... They are literally pissing away our own money.

      Data entry of one persons data @ say $10/h would give us 10 hours of work... and yes this is clerk entry data duty... so again I find the notion of $100/user completely unfounded and quite frankly pie in the sky lunacy with LSD sprinkled on top.

    4. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by TheoMurpse · · Score: 1

      Another fun cost comparison is a realistic estimate of the sum of all local TV stations, at least a hundred million industry wide total to reach a million or so viewers

      Only a million people in the US watch NBC, ABC, FOX, and CBS combined over a full year?

    5. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by hb79 · · Score: 1

      I know at least a handful users that have way more than a couple of accounts (pets, hiders and other stuff.)

      Tell me about it. All my 15 teddy bears are on Facebook. And each of them have hundreds of other friends; all toys, pets, cats, dogs, sheep, horses. It's a tight nit club though, with typically 300 or more friends in common. :)

    6. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by glwtta · · Score: 1

      Compare to the cost of buying the SuperBowel in order to sell millions per minute TV commercials.

      That does sound like the source of most advertising content.

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    7. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by hacker · · Score: 1

      Frankly, $100 ownership cost per victim is cheap. Compare to the cost of buying the SuperBowel in order to sell millions per minute TV commercials.

      What is this "Advertisement" thing you speak of? I haven't seen a single ad on the web in at least a few years, thanks to some intelligent, learning plugins and Javascript plugins that restrict/prohibit them from ever being displayed to my eyes. They might get blocked at the request level, or get stashed in the cache and neutered in my web interface, but I haven't seen ads in a long, long time now.

      And that's just the way I like it.

    8. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      In USA only, probably. In Europe/Japan/other developed countries, highly unlikely but maybe.

      In the rest of the world? No way in hell.

    9. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      I think OP meant for a particular geographic area. A city of a million people would cost, let's say, $300 million to reach.

      HTH.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    10. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by TheoMurpse · · Score: 1

      Well that's just dumb. Is every person going to buy $300 worth of your product because of the commercial?

    11. Re:So each user is worth about $100? by vlm · · Score: 1

      Well that's just dumb. Is every person going to buy $300 worth of your product because of the commercial?

      The car dealers and local food stores seem to think so. They're probably correct.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
  16. Now that GS invested 1/2 billion into Facebook.... by blind+biker · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now that Goldman Sachs has invested all this taxpayers' money into Facebook, is Facebook suddenly too big to fail? *shudders*

    --
    "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
  17. Re:Goldman Sachs .... Facebook .... Wall Street .. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble

    Did I just get trolled?

  18. And this is what's wrong with "investing" today by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Remember the good ol' days when "investing" actually meant "putting money in one basket to build a bigger company, to produce better products cheaper, to create more jobs"?

    This is investment for the sake of investment. This neither generates jobs nor does it do anything else of value to ... well, anyone but the investors and the invested.

    And when (not if, as soon as this bubble pops, too, we'll be bled dry for bailouts again.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:And this is what's wrong with "investing" today by tukang · · Score: 2

      Remember the good ol' days when "investing" actually meant "putting money in one basket to build a bigger company, to produce better products cheaper, to create more jobs"?

      FB intends to use this money to hire more developers and build out their infrastructure. How does this not fall under "creating jobs" or "building a bigger company" or "building a better product"?

    2. Re:And this is what's wrong with "investing" today by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Half a billion dollars will get you EVERY SINGLE INDIAN PROGRAMMER!

    3. Re:And this is what's wrong with "investing" today by francium+de+neobie · · Score: 1

      But not all of the American ones. Just divide $0.5B by your paycheck - not a lot of programmers. Not enough to sustain a Google-sized team for a year.

  19. Re:Goldman Sachs .... Facebook .... Wall Street .. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, they control how we connect on the internet, our government's funds, the private sector's funds, the new media in general - I don't think anything can possibly go wrong, seeing how they define "wrong" as they see fit.

  20. Based on .... by PPH · · Score: 1

    ... Goldman's behavior during the recent mortgage-backed securities fiasco, I'd say its time to short Facebook. If that were possible with a pre-IPO company.

    When someone advertises their purchase of a chunk of a companies equity and then goes looking for investors to "go in along side them", its too late. The news of their purchase has just driven the price up. If they were looking after their clients' interests, they'd have rounded up partners before going public. What they're probably looking for is suckers whose egos they can stroke by calling them "wealthy clients" who they can unload their holdings onto at the IPO.

    This is why we need to reinstate something like Glass-Steagall. Or whatever it takes to separate brokerages, banks, investment banks, and private equity funds. Too many games are being played with publicity releases of investment schemes in pre-IPO companies.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  21. Why do they need the money? by Fractal+Dice · · Score: 2

    A 1% stake looks an awful lot like an attempt to manufacture a good old fashioned dotcom bubble - take a website, slap a price tag on it to create the illusion of value, sell it the masses in an IPO in a little while and get out before people actually analyze the balance sheet. Is there a legitimate business need for this investment money? If they are a profitable company, can't they just use the profits? (or if the IPO is the goal, just show the balance sheet and it should speak for itself). If they are not profitable by this point, then what value is there in the business?

    1. Re:Why do they need the money? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wouldn't it be typical Goldman practice to sell on all the shares to their clients and then start shorting Facebook?

    2. Re:Why do they need the money? by inKubus · · Score: 1

      Zuckerberg needs the cash to fund his charity.

      --
      Cool! Amazing Toys.
  22. This will be a disaster.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    On New Years, someone was taking pictures. The person is a big time Facebook person. Everyone except me was giving her crap about putting those photos on FB. She said "I keep my profile private!"

    Long story short, everyone else (none are IT people) chastised her about FB's lack of consideration for privacy, how they ignore those settings and how they pimp the data they collected.

    Facebook's name is mud - even among non-IT people.

    Goldman is going to lose! They needn't worry! Their bitches in Congress will give them more money.

  23. The guy from house of the dead 2, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Dogs of the AMS, this is GOLDMAN."

  24. "Exactly" by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 2

    "And does the Goldman-Sachs give him a good price?"

    "Of course not, they are the Goldman Sachs, they make their living ripping off the American people."

    --
    Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
  25. Just what we need by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Yet another bubble. That's going to do wonders for the economy.

  26. Facebook ain't worth jack by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Unlike companies that provide a service that requires skill and/or technology (eg. Google), Facebook does not provide anything that some college kid couldn't whip together over a couple of weeks. It's basically just a big web-forum.

    MySpace is the same way and look how fast the tide turned on them. It's because they don't actually do anything and rely on people deciding to use them instead of some other site. A competitor could pop up and Facebook could disappear overnight and nobody would care.

    Very poor investment.

    1. Re:Facebook ain't worth jack by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why didn't someone pop up yet then? It seems to be a bit more complicated than that. :)

    2. Re:Facebook ain't worth jack by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, go fucking write a Facebook yourself with all the infrastructure to support 500M users, all the features and all the ad-targeting algorithms over a couple of weeks and come back to tell me it's easy. If it's that easy and you don't have $4B in personal fortune, then you have nobody to blame but yourself. If it isn't that easy, then shut the fuck up, you whiny loser.

    3. Re:Facebook ain't worth jack by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  27. Pmp'n'dmp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Strange how few here seem to recognise this for what it is. But then Goldman have always been masters at obfuscating that modal switch.

  28. We will all be happily chanting the Facebook Creed by fudreporter · · Score: 1
    --
    I woke up breathing today. Everything else is a plus.
  29. Re:Goldman Sachs .... Facebook .... Wall Street .. by wiredlogic · · Score: 1

    The sequel will practically write itself.

    --
    I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
  30. $450 Million = One New Facebook Data Center by miller60 · · Score: 3, Informative

    The $450 million number from Goldman is interesting because Facebook just announced plans to invest $450 million over the next 5 years in a huge new data center in North Carolina. Facebook's already spending about $50 million a year on leased data center space, and expects to spend about $200 million building its new Oregon server farm. It takes a lot of infrastructure and servers to support 500 million users.

    1. Re:$450 Million = One New Facebook Data Center by JoeThoughtful · · Score: 1

      I suppose Facebook is too proud to do a Google search or they would find plenty of web hosting companies that offer unlimited bandwidth for only $12.95 a month.

  31. Re:Now that GS invested 1/2 billion into Facebook. by tukang · · Score: 2

    What taxpayer money? They repaid their bailout (as have most financial institutions) a long time ago with interest.

    I remember when the TARP was being discussed a lot of people would discuss what $700 billion could buy. Oh think about the number of schools, teachers, policemen firemen, or homeless people this money could go to. What those people failed to realize is that TARP was a loan, 90% of which has been repaid with interest.

  32. Facebook... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...too big to fail.

  33. Re:Goldman Sachs .... Facebook .... Wall Street .. by TaoPhoenix · · Score: 1

    Hey, if the Dollar crashes, we can buy lunch in Farmville Chickens. Maybe they'd be on a par with Italian Lira. $34,000 Chickens per former $.

    --
    My first Journal Entry ever, in 8 years! http://slashdot.org/journal/365947/aphelion-scifi-fantasy-horror-poetry-webzine
  34. Re:Goldman Sachs .... Facebook .... Wall Street .. by noidentity · · Score: 1

    Do not like

  35. Yes, Goldman is evil !!! by e065c8515d206cb0e190 · · Score: 1

    They were not surprised by the meltdown. They didn't need TARP money. They should have gone bankrupt as people with good values at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers and countless others did!

    If being smarter than your competition is evil, then I welcome evil.

  36. Well, if the other choice was ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the other choice was to put the money into American Idol, without Paula, what would *you* do?

  37. Blowing big bubble before (future) Facebook IPO by boorack · · Score: 2

    I don't believe that Facebook is worth the valuation financial media (and institutions) are touting today (>$50B). And I'm not sure Goldman intends to keep its investment in Facebook for a long time. I suppose they are trying to find as many suckers as they can, push Facebook through IPO with share price inflated several times, then sell their investment with profit to unsuspecting public, pension funds etc. (a.k.a. suckers), collect fees/profits on it and leave everyone with the bag. Watching banking sector overall and GS behavior in particular above scenario seems to be their standard business practice.

    1. Re:Blowing big bubble before (future) Facebook IPO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If you add up every dollar spent on any kind of marketing and advertisement for the last 10 years it's less than $50 billion. How can Facebook be worth that much when there isn't even that much to spend. GS know better than anyone how much money there is in any given space. This is the kind of data they leverage to make a fail-safe play like the one you described. Sorry I cannot cite a reference for the $50b figure above.

    2. Re:Blowing big bubble before (future) Facebook IPO by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      You do realize, of course, that the US economy over the last 10 years alone has generated over $100T dollars, don't you? Do you honestly believe that there hasn't been $50B spent on marketing? This is simple math here.

    3. Re:Blowing big bubble before (future) Facebook IPO by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Simply put in this case, the marketing is all about pumping the perceived value of Facebook so Goldman Sachs can get in, dump Facebook on mug investors making a huge profit and then bet on the collapse and make another profit.

      Facebook's real value simply divide their profit numbers by the current loan interest rates and that's your answer (why no higher, they have insufficient assets to justify it and no goodwill, they are a fad social networking site).

      Hard fact is 100% not 99.99% but 100% of social networking sites have gone from nothing, to leader, to trailing behind and there's 20 years of hard data to prove it. Don't point to Google, they are a search site and portal, want to point to google then talk only about Orkut it had it's time in the sun too.

      Will Goldman Sachs make their money, likely they will, by screwing anyone that listens to them (buying when Sachs are selling) and via off balance sheet in tax haven executive bonuses for pension fund managers. Funny how all those losing pension funds seem to be run be somehow still rich idiots.

      Now the real question will the Goldmans Sachs investment be the death knell for Facebook, have Blankfein and Cohn, put the mockers on, just like Murdoch did to MySpace.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    4. Re:Blowing big bubble before (future) Facebook IPO by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 2

      I don't believe that Facebook is worth the valuation financial media (and institutions) are touting today (>$50B). And I'm not sure Goldman intends to keep its investment in Facebook for a long time. I suppose they are trying to find as many suckers as they can, push Facebook through IPO with share price inflated several times, then sell their investment with profit to unsuspecting public, pension funds etc. (a.k.a. suckers), collect fees/profits on it and leave everyone with the bag.

      This. "Social networking" websites are not long-term investments. There was once a time when everybody thought that no one would ever catch up to the market share of AOL instant messenger. It wasn't two years ago that all the kids were using Myspace. How is Facebook different?

  38. Re:12 billion bailout - Yes, but... by dccase · · Score: 2

    But...

    They paid back the TARP with money they got from quietly selling illiquid MBSs to the Federal Reserve.

    http://dailyreckoning.com/outing-ben-bernanke/

    So, yes, the Treasury got paid back. But now there is a bunch more junk on the Fed's balance sheet that will eventually have to be written down.
    But Goldman came out OK, so that's nice.

  39. Why raise money? by plopez · · Score: 1

    When GS can get the treasury to print it up for them. It's going to be interesting to see what happens when the creeping horror known as GS gets it hands on so much personal info. They could also take the LBO approach of "strip it and milk it" by forcing Facebook to ruthlessly cutting costs, which translates into worse service and security, and maximizing revenue which translates to opening the flood gates to greater sale of info and more ads.

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  40. Well then, Goldman's screwed by Xaedalus · · Score: 1

    Any political and/or economic ideology is perfect and will work as planned... until humans get involved.

    Goldman is welcome to that data, and everything that comes with it.

    --
    Here's to hot beer, cold women, and Glaswegian kisses for all.
  41. Facebook & Google sucks as advertising busines by mozumder · · Score: 1

    Facebook has 500 million viewers, but can only manage to get $1.2 billion a year from that.

    Meanwhile, Conde Naste brings in $4 billion from just a few million viewers.

    This is why internet advertising will never be able to compete with traditional advertising. They are chasing CPM in the pennies range, while something like Vogue has a CPM of $150.

    Facebook and google have to dramatically improve signal-to-noise of their content before they can raise their CPM rates.

  42. Ask Slashdot: How can I bet against this? by bigredradio · · Score: 2

    This is such a bad idea to throw more money towards an over inflated bubble. All I want to know is if I (as an average investor) can somehow bet against it? That way when the bubble bursts and goes down in flames, I can make some money.

    1. Re:Ask Slashdot: How can I bet against this? by Sean_Inconsequential · · Score: 1

      I bet there is, but I also feel it may require being super rich.

      But that is pretty interesting, worth looking into at least. I too would like to bet against this.

  43. Hard not to make money with 0% loans by witherstaff · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They were able to use further loans from the gov to pay back the TARP funds. I know GM did this, not sure how widespread it is among TARP recipients. So they went around and got another loan, paid back the original loan, and everyone's happy.

    As to G-S, give me access to 0% loans direct from the fed and I'm sure I can make money too. Like oh, use these no interest loans to buy government bonds that return 5%.. That's right, we give these bastards money at no charge so they can turn around, buy government debt, that we as taxpayers pay back at a 5% charge. Sweet! No wonder so many NY Stock exchange board members jumped onto G-S when they became a bank specifically to allow them to get bailout money.

    Do this scam enough and the facebook money is nothing.

  44. MOD it up.. ITS A TARP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the whole TARP program is so complex that they have basicalyl hidden who got money.
    the AIG thing David Jao points out, is just a tip of the iceberg.
    The fed alone had several programs just by itself.

    Considering a synthetic CDO cubed could have underlying swaps on hundreds of different securities, it would be almost impossible to untangle which were truly 'Goldmans'. but they damn sure benefitted from the money propping up the rotten system, AIG being a most blatant example, because it had to pay 100 cents on the dollar to Goldman for contracts where the market value was far, far, far, far less, more like 2 cents on the dollar.

  45. business is business already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Facebook does not provide anything that some college kid couldn't whip together over a couple of weeks.

    I thought that's exactly how it did get created? And then some college *yid* stole it from him and now he's selling it to some other hooknosed kikes.

  46. Medium term strategy by chenjeru · · Score: 1

    GS purchased an approximately 3% stake in Facebook because they have a plan. The most likely scenario is that they expect an IPO in the next year or two, and they want to be on good footing to be the investment bank for Facebook when that happens. The fees they'll make in that position will pay handsome returns over the $1.5B they just spent. As soon as this happens, they'll disinvest and move on.

    --
    Even if you're on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there. - Will Rogers
    1. Re:Medium term strategy by chenjeru · · Score: 1

      ...by "just spent", I meant "are planning to invest".

      --
      Even if you're on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there. - Will Rogers
  47. The Goldman Sack (tm) -WB7- by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good Afternoon Sheeple,
    Facebook doesn't produce anything.
    GS is a leech on the back of nothing to begin with.
    I may be one of the stupidest sheeple on slashdot, but I know FB isn't worth $50 billion.
    You chase that pipe dream and you can kiss your money goodbye.
    Wake me up when I can remove facebook.com from my squidguard filter rules!

  48. The money invested vs the revenue from ads by jago25_98 · · Score: 1

    Has anyone calculated how much advertising is worth for Facebook?

    In the current state I noticed they couldn't even geotarget outside of America properly - I requested geotargetting but I noticed in their logs they also advertised to people who didn't fill out a location -useless.

    That's in the present state of course. If we imagine what the most is it could be worth, what then? Any additional value beyond this smacks of investment for ulterior motives.

  49. Umbrella Corp by Javajunk · · Score: 1

    Didn't Goldman Sachs invest in Umbrella Corp?

    --
    "It is a mistake to think you can solve any major problems just with potatoes." Douglas Adams
  50. Flooz by Alex+Belits · · Score: 1

    So right after the money started to flow at them again, they went back to exactly the same behavior that gave us dotcom bubble.

    I am expecting resurrection of flooz any minute.

    --
    Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
  51. Still unknown value by crachel · · Score: 1

    If I pay $250,000 for 1% of an offshore well, that does not value the well at $25,000,000. In fact, my 1% is completely worthless if oil/gas is not struck. Same goes for Facebook, the userbase is the oil. Until they are traded on an OPEN market, the value is still anybody's guess, no matter what Goldman or Microsoft or whoever offers. What Facebook amounts to is a very large "pile of eyes", and as has already been proven on the internet, those piles can dissipate very quickly. The CEO is supposedly worth more than the companies all time cumulative revenue. As long as the #1 search term is "facebook" and the #2 is "facebook login", Google doesn't have to compete with Facebook as they are already the layer around it.