Are Google's Best Days In the Past?
rsmiller510 writes "For a time, everything Google touched turned to gold, but lately a slew of bad press is creating a negative perception about the search giant."
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..does not mean they can't still turn a profit.
vos nescitis quicquam, nec cogitatis quia expedit nobis ut unus moriatur homo pro populo et non tota gens pereat.
My perception:
They are no longer the cool new guys tearing up the internet and being a company for the people. They are big, diversified, making money hand over fist, and have attracted the requisite controversy, criticism, and bad press that comes with being big and diversified and making money hand over fist.
Despite everything, I still see them as one of the good guys. I think there’s always a severe whip back when you suddenly discover something that you thought was awesome is now merely ok. Google looks terrible when compared to what it was, but compare it to everything else and it looks pretty damn good.
And (flamewar time) I continued to be baffled over all the flack they got over the stupid wifi thing. They came clean, admitted everything, co-operated with the investigations and people still tore them 12 new ones. Personally I think they should have been commended for admitting they made a mistake rather than going into full on cover up mode.
To get back to the topic, it really required a definition of “Best”. Are they ever going to be the cool trendy upstart they once were: probably not. Are they going to continue making money hand over fist and growing like a spider until you shave with google razor blades: entirely possible.
As for not innovating I still think they’ve got it in them. They’ve had a string of bad luck, and they’ve failed in the social area but I suspect they’ll pull something killer out in the next little bit.
Gee! Some attention-whore journalist/blogger (I think that's redundant) claims google is dead, it MUST BE TRUE!
I won't believe it until Netcraft confirms it.
You expect me to take a google critique seriously from someone running asp.net?
To answer the summary: No
I'd elaborate, but decided to go with the same depth this "summary" provides.
Not to rip on an article that's just a bunch of one-sentence summaries of other articles and a saucy eyebrow-raise, but the 1% drop cited in the article is in search marketshare. The total value of search ads went up by about 10% in the same period, meaning that Google's revenues almost certainly grew over that period. It's just that they grew slightly more slowly than the newcomers.
No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
A pretty large majority of the article went into arguing that just because Google lacks good social networking tools, it is declining. What kind of logic is that?
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http://img.lightreading.com/internetevolution/RonMiller.gif
look at the smugly smile.
I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
Never mind I'll just Yahoo it.
Can I bum a sig?
For me? For you? Or for Google?
They certainly took the glory out of youtube with their lame advertising.
Google is successful and will continue to remain successful both in a quality product sense and a fiscal sense because of one thing, they continue to think like a startup instead of a conglomerate. Things like 20% time have been major assets to their success, and as long as they keep that focus on fresh ideas from within, Google will continue to be successful. A few stumblings here and there aside.
...when you have the best search engine, tied to the best internet ad support, tied to great free thought-provoking-industry changing office products, map tools, tool bars for your browser, chat tools, phone tools, and it all comes from ONE company. What else can you do when everyone is watching every move, ever senior management comment, every action?
Then again, it does beg to ask, is this typical media bullsheit with typical negative stories that are solely geared towards making money rather than a balanced approach to news reporting? When does the news cross the line when it starts focusing on areas that it's owners have a vested interest in ensuring their 'enemy' is bashed at every opportunity? Is this really a sponge-worthy story?
Management is doing things right; leadership is doing the right things. - Peter F. Drucker
Google's bad press? Well, they do want to be like Apple. It comes with the territory.
The real Sig captains the Northwestern. This one captains
Comment removed based on user account deletion
I read the article (it's not that long) but let me save you the trouble: it's not a great article. In fact, it's pointless. You don't need to read very far before he presents his conclusion:
Emphasis mine.
So the tech writer (Ron Miller) doesn't know either. He presents both sides, and seems totally unsure about what he's talking about. To summarize the article:
But:
So yeah, this was a pointless article.
Political Games Against Google
They need to create a search engine.
Google's not dead yet, and as long as they continue to dominate search and a few other niches(Maps, email), they'll be alive.
This would be like asking if Apple's best days are in the past when they were going through their revolving door of CxOs. If asked then, the answer would've been overwhelmingly "yes."
Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
I can't speak for the rest of Google but the days when I could rely on its USENET archives are long gone.
Anyone else remember the pre-Google dejanews.com?
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
It's a search engine. Who cares? Honestly, Google has to be the most overrated company in U.S. history. Perhaps it is more like "People stop caring as much about overrated company". In that sense I have to say "Congratulations America!"
isnt this why sergei and larry sacked schmidt recently ? because he was taking google away from the principles, and causing anti-consumer scandals ?
Read radical news here
Oh god, a google fanboy. Is that even a thing?
The insane privacy violations, hand-to-mouth relationship with the Feds, crappy search results, blah blah blah. There are a lot of corporations run by douche bags that I'm forced to interact with every day. Will I still use Google? Yes? Do I have my Applehead loyalty to them any more? No!
I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
Whatever next? Microsoft sucks? Nah. They know who pays them bar bills.
And man can Microsoft pay a bar bill. Went to Supercomputing06 in Tampa. Microsoft rented an entire (small, but upscale) *mall* for their show party. Everything was free: live music all night, open bar (and not just well stuff, Bombay Sapphire and tonic? Sure!)... It was awesome. Of course, I still didn't want to buy their cluster computing OS, but it was a Hell of a party.
I don't need a million points of light, just two points of multi-mode fiber and a 10 Gig-E router.
So everything that Google's touched has turned to gold? Like Gmail where you can't sort emails by sender or by subject? Where emails whose subject lines match existing label filters still end up in the Spam folder? Where searching doesn't always work in the spam folder? Or Google Groups where (last time I checked about a year ago) you couldn't integrate a Google Calendar into your Google Group and, instead, had to use an external link? Or Google Documents where you can't create columns in a text document? Or Google Maps where, up until this year, you couldn't clear your search results without having to refresh the page? My point is that Google starts projects but doesn't finish them. When Google actually decides to focus on completing existing projects then they'll start turning things to gold. Until then....
Doesn't mean that their competitors wouldn't want to refer to google as dead or nonexistent.
In the meantime, google has had it's screwups, and had it's successes, and is doing far better than it's competitors because competition is fucking lazy and doing a bad job. Surprise? Not really.
The numbers speak for themselves:
Chrome release: September 2008
Chrome market share; Dec 2009: 4.63%
Chrome market share; Feb 12011: 10.7%
Android release: September 2008
Android smartphone market share; Q1 2010: 9%
Android smartphone market share; Q4 2010: 33%
Many year ago, I used to bookmark various search engines. Everyone knew Yahoo, Google was only for the "in the know" crowd. If you didn't find it there, you went to Alta Vista, or Excite, or lycos, or some other engine that I bookmarked because I never used it enough to remember the name. I don't bookmark search engines anymore, I just Google it. Even even if I need a Babelfish translation, I Google "babelfish".
Gmail beats yahoo mail. While yahoo seems to do a pretty good job of filtering spam from my yahoo mail acct, some makes it through, and some legit messages go into it's spam folder. I never get spam on my gmail acct, and the web interface is about 2x as fast.
Google Maps beats Mapquest and Bing maps. Fast, reliable, flexible, and easy to read. Not to mention funny (try getting directions from Japan to China or Japan to Los Angeles).
Gee, I guess Google's best days are in the past. How could I have missed that?
Oh wait, Chrome is new, and fast. It's faster than Safari, even on Mac OS. It includes Adobe Flash built-in, so I don't have the Flash Player plug-in installed on my machine for any other browser. If I want/need to use a site that requires Flash, I use Chrome for that site. If it doesn't work in Chrome...actually, I haven't encountered that yet, so I can't say for certain what I would do.
make imaginary.friends COUNT=100 VISIBLE=false
A site that has an article telling us how "nosql databases go mobile" isn't one that I take too seriously.
in 2 years. Yeah, they're moribund.
Whatever.
http://investor.google.com/financial/tables.html
Considering that Google posted a 24% revenue increase last year, I really cannot recognize a Google "in decline". IMHO, it is still the best search engine out there.
This "journalist" is simply following the tried-and-true method of hacks like Roberts Scoble and Cringely. Predict every possible outcome, then in a couple years sit back and point out what an incredible track record you have.
The article is from some clueless blogger type, and reads like something from a content mill.
Google does have problems. The biggest one is that most of their "products" lose money. YouTube finally has become ad-heavy enough to make money, the first product other than search to go into the black. Google buys market share by giving stuff away, but revenue usually doesn't follow. Being #1 in giving away mail service isn't a business. Android, as a business, loses money. Google has never had a second killer profitable product, and not for lack of trying.
On the search front, Google's defenses against spam are weak. That's technically fixable, but fixing it would cut into the 30% of revenue that comes from AdSense sites, most of which are junk. Google's recent bad press stems from their addiction to revenue from junk sites.
As for "social", that looks like a bubble. Facebook is way overpriced as a company. Facebook already has so much obnoxious advertising that it's hard to see where they can generate more revenue without becoming even more annoying. Facebook tried a phone once; it was called Helio. Didn't work.
Google does have a "social" system, Orkut, It's #1 in Brazil but nowhere else, much to the annoyance of Google executives.
On the Real-time top 500 GOOG is number 6 and threatening to knock Microsoft out of the top five. Yeah, they're not growing as fast as they once did, but they bounced back from the recession nicely and people who bought the dip are doing fine. Microsoft, on the other hand, isn't.
Yeah, there are other stocks that are better to be in - HTC, Samsung, Sony Ericsson, AAPL. But Goog has great prospects too.
Help stamp out iliturcy.
Hey Anon, you just made me realize something: say IBM uses Watson-derived tech to put searches into our phones, using our voices? In that scenario, Google is not so cutting edge.
In the future, they be just a company selling phone (as the other search engines get better), or a company selling data (like Google Street View).
The GOOG thinks they're eternal. But we know the truth: only IBM is eternal. ;-)
Main difference between the BSD license and the GPL license: one is from California and the other is from Massachusetts
Google caters to the dregs of internet marketing. I'm not speaking about the good companies out there who just want to promote their services. I'm talking about the SEO types who spam and break any of the rules they want, to turn quick bucks on poor schmucks. Google pretends they aren't in league with these guys but Google profits from that money as probably the largest chunk of cash they generate from search. There are many stories of Google freezing adwords/adsense assets of reputable and degenerate folks alike -- refusing to pay out, and playing all kinds of games when it comes to money that would otherwise deplete Google's bottom line. Google does not reimburse these funds so it's free money for them or perhaps they charge some of it off as service charges.
At any rate, Google is not the paragon of value it once was. It's too big to have a clear vision. It's clear Google has abandoned it's motto of doing no evil, because that's kinda impractical to their opportunity, and therefore the organization is in decline from its original greatness. Many evil companies turn very high profit today, so we may continue to see profits from Google -- but we cannot expect to see them in the forefront should a paragon company surface and gain momentum. Google is relegated to the moral equivalent of Yahoo.
The fundamentals speak to the rise or fall of an organization so I foresee an eventual decline in Google if we can get a Mark Zuckerberg to launch something disruptive in the search market. P2P decentralized search is probably the best idea going as of right now and it wouldn't be controlled by one organization, only a group of open source developers. That would be paragon enough.
The dangers of knowledge trigger emotional distress in human beings.
I agree with you but wanted to add and maybe emphasize a point: open standards. I can't think of another big company that is pushing open standards in the same way with the same enthusiasm as Google is. They are helping to foster diversity in the browser market in a way that no other for profit company has done before (if you can think of a better example, let me know, really). Whether or not Chrome takes the lead in browser market share doesn't matter to them. What mattered to them, and me, is that they made open standards an important part of the debate over internet standards. I consider their actions regarding open standards to be an offering of goodwill that tends to get overlooked.
I think that attitude will extend the life of the company and very likely point the way towards better days ahead.
The diversity and expression of human opinion is essential to human survival.
Google 2003 = Microsoft 1998
Google 2011 = Microsoft 2006
Facebook 2011 = Google 2003
Culturally, Americans seem to have a problem with leaders. They have a strong inclination to rally behind the underdog, or at least whoever manages to continue effectively marketing themselves as such.
The perception is that Google is a leader, so it's inevitable that we're starting to hear that their best days are supposedly behind them. I don't know how the hell Apple pulls it off, but they continue to maintain this perception that they're an anti-establishment underdog.
I can appreciate the desire to root for the small guy, but people sometimes take it to the point of being irrational, especially when people are completely ignorant about the reality behind all the marketing.
As always when someone competes with Microsoft, where does the bad press stem from originally?
Microsoft has been working hard. First they tried to paint Google as privacys biggest enemy, despite generally much better policies than most competitors.
This never took off once people started to compare the different privacy policies and found out that Google is infact pretty decent amongst the others.
Then Microsoft tried to and still tries to drag Google into monopoly scrutiny. This isnt bad, Google should be checked and scrutinized, but coming from Microsoft its just silly. None of the accusations has sticked so far so most if not all seems like nothing but hot air from Redmond.
Personally i see it as if Microsoft is waging a PR battle against Google. As long as Google is viewed upon as the generally good guys Microsoft cant compete, especially not in the social network and cloud services area where trust is number one.
HTTP/1.1 400
Too many instances of Ron Millers face.... blech...
I don't think negative press means squat. The success of Android means that their best days are ahead of them. As their tools become more pervasive, their knowledge of us all grows. The more google knows, the more ads they sell and the more money they make.
Is Google's presence in your average person's life going to increase or decrease? Thats the direction their profits are going.
Fixed that for you. Worst. Astroturf. Ever!
Ok, how much is M$ crapola paying you to come up with these stupid articles, I mean come on, really?
Think to write some stuff to slam google even though there is no credible thing you are saying in your article, just makes you look plain dumb!
And citing a website that is owned by an former M$ employee that is now self employed as a blogger sure amounts to wishwash if you ask me...do you know how to WHOIS? Of course I will get blasted by all those who favor M$ but then again, guess what.....IDC
Google is in some danger from Bing. Bing is nearing a point of critical mass in quality and usefulness that could translate into market share momentum. In the end, companies will divvy their ad spend accordingly. Handset search is also on, and it's a pitched battle in a high hardware turnover environment. Apple and Microsoft dislike each other, but they both are fostering a special hate for Google. Google has to out-innovate both of them like hell, and while it's doing a fine job, it must be taxing to say the least.
In my opinion they got incredible amounts of bad press, mostly in the Murdoch press, because Rupert Murdoch sees them as a major competitor for the advertising dollar and will rip them "12 new ones" any chance he can get.
Did you notice it happened in the middle of his international roadshow where he's been going around trying to convince governments to restrict the net and stifle such things as Google and BBC online?
It's not that they won a Grammy - it's the category. Jethro Tull was an awesome band back in the day. I'm not familiar with too much of their stuff after the early '80s and not at all with Crest of a Knave but I would never class them as Hard Rock, which is what they won. So new categories, belatedly, were created after something of an uproar.
Pain is merely failure leaving the body
I tend to concur...it is what google did that created "the bad press".
And what is up with this anthropomorphizing corporations, anyway? "Google" didn't do squat - but the people running Google did.
Anthropomorphizing corporations only makes things worse, 'cuz although it is the people who run those corporations that do the bad things, if you have a corporation wrapped around you then suddenly you're immune from responsibility for what you have the corporation do. And then with the Supreme Court and Citizens United coming along to make it even worse by naming corporations "people" who can spend money to influence the course of America's government when any jackwagon knows that it is really a handful of people in the executive suite who are spending that corporation's money to get what they want....
It's getting weird out.
Orwell: "In a Time of Universal Deceit, telling the Truth is a Revolutionary Act"
I'd have to disagree. I know how to search. My results from Google have been steadily headed downhill over the last two years.
Yes, the result I want is still in there. But no, it's not usually on the first page of results any more.
"Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
Is that you, Chris? Or why else are you posting as an AC? :-)
Their problem is that they are not paying attention to all the dirty pool that MS is up to. They need to do the same back-behind-the-scence kind of work that MS does against them.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
No, Google's results have tended on a downward curve for years now. Composing a search which does not include SEO results involves endless iterations of this process:
bananas, bananas -viagra, bananas -viagra -cialis, bananas -viagra -cialis -prescription, bananas -viagra -cialis -prescription -poker
and so forth. What doesn't help matters is that many of the sites that are clearly SEO spam also have Google-based ads, so why would Google be interested in removing them? They make money every time you click on one of their pathetic results whether or not the result is topical to the search.
Of course, I still didn't want to buy their cluster computing OS, but it was a Hell of a party.
Nobody knows how to give away alcohol without converting anyone to their cause like Microsoft.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
I have to agree with this. I keep hearing how Google searches don't work anymore, but other than a few specific cases, Google is almost always spot on. Even the few specific cases I can think of are actually on topic, they are just behind a paywall, and I am not prepared to pay for the information the site has.
This is because Google searches are personalized now. Stop searching for male enhancement drugs and online casinos and it will change. You have managed to convince Google that's what you're interested in.
Help stamp out iliturcy.
With little basis to go on, I'd have to say this is a perception problem, and was guaranteed to happen.
Back in the early days, search wasn't that great. Google simplified it and beat the others by a smarter algorithm.
Now that everyone is used to it, they expect to keep getting that same improvement, year on year.
When it doesn't happen, suddenly Google appears to be stagnating when in fact it just isn't advancing like the users want.
Otherwise it should be easy for some other search engine to just do what google did 3 years ago and profit. This isn't happening...so maybe people aren't searching for the same things, or there is more crap on the internet, or what was relevant years ago is no longer relevant now...and vice versa...
I think your diagnosis is too narrow. How do you judge search engine relevance? There are no criteria, really.
This seemed like a reasonable sig at the time.
Sure, buddy.
Try this from a "new" ip, or from a public library. The results are just as bad.
Some of their "advancing" can be letting me add in permanent exclusions to my searches when logged in.
let me have a line where I ad in my -SEOscumbaglinkfarm.com -expertanswers.com etc..... and they are applied every single time I search until I change them.
Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
Google search is broken in the sense that it returns results not for what I searched for, but what it thinks I wanted to search for. That mostly means words that are spelled similar to my search (but have nothing to do with it otherwise), or results that contain only some or none of the terms I searched for. Now, I don't mind Google suggesting alternative searches based upon words I might have misspelled, but I prefer the actual results match the actual search terms I typed in. Yes, I know I can force it by using '+' in front of the terms, but lately I've been using other search engines that behave like what I expect without trickery.